The Ukrainian project is starting to come undone at the seams. What began as hints of brewing conflict has now turned into a full-scale rift between the Ukrainian leadership and military staff. A storm of new reports paint a dismal picture of a final desperate scramble for power.
Rats fleeing a sinking ship. Ironic that Burns knew what would happen when he was US Ambassador to Russia from 2005-2008. His cable to his boss Condi Rice: "Ukrainian entry into NATO is the brightest of all redlines for the Russian elite (not just Putin). In more than two and a half years of conversations with key Russian players, from knuckle-draggers in the dark recesses of the Kremlin to Putin's sharpest liberal critics, I have yet to find anyone who views Ukraine in NATO as anything other than a direct challenge to Russian interests."
Someone supplied all those Javelins (and other stuff) to Hamas from Ukraine and there's no way people at the Ukrainian MOD are not involved. I'm pretty sure there's a lot of pressure behind closed door from the US who are now really pissed their taxpayer dollars end up arming Hamas too.
Masterful analysis. But your last point is the nut. This all relies on Russia running to the negotiation table. And why should they? Why stop when you are winning? Why would you let Ukraine get its breath and re-arm? And of course, this comes to the Evil Empire's hubris. They just cannot imagine anyone not taking "their" terms.
And that is where it gets interesting. So, they arrange the deck chairs on the Titanic, and they call Russia. And Russia is happy to sit down. And to present the demands. Total Ukrainian disarmament. Kharkiv and Odessa. All sanctions lifted. Reparations for theft of Russian assets. Oh, and we are going to need those Nazi's for the War Criminal trials.
None of which is palatable. So back to the grind. At which point, they will just sweep Ukraine under the rug and forget it. Western citizens are so fucking stupid they will accept whatever the media prints. And Ukraine hangs slowly slowly in the wind like a hanged man.
..How about Klitschko president instead of Zaluzhny? What has Zaluzhny achieved a part desiring to retreat from here or from there? He's not going to end the conflict, he did not hint at that in his 'the economist' article
The Ukranian armed forces were reshaped and trained by the British since 2016. There are multiple accounts of this. Ukraine was to be the perfect platform to attack Russia proper. A good chunck of the British military, intelligence, finamce and industrial complex worked hard on Ukraine for years. What a fantastic loot. After the Maidan Ukraine became an anglosionist colony. At the beginning it was a cheap grab, costing only 5 billion dollars to take over the biggest country in Europe. Investors flocked from all sides: hard industry, weapons, training, cheap fertile land, fisheries, child and organ trafficking, prostitution, biowarfare, money laundering, drugs, cheap workforce... you name it. Now the bill rose up to 300 billion and they are reaching the profit investment margins. That is to say that the Ukranian gold mine worthed 295 billion in profits plus the corresponding x10 times derivatives. If the war stops now they can still very much squeeze white the Ukranian cow by means of reconstruction IMF programs and so on. A bad peace now could mean a strategic defeat for Russia.
US is like an emperor without clothes if they think they can just offer a ceasefire and Russia will suck it up: they won't, given all the duplicity Putin encountered from NATO since he came to power and especially the Minsk II betrayal.
The US government thinks they can obtain a ceasefire from Russia to freeze the conflict (until they decide to start it again). In the past, Putin arranged ceasefires at the very moment when the Ukrainians were most desperate, such as after the Battle of Debeltsavo. However, by doing so, Putin bought time for Russia to prepare for the inevitable war with NATO, in particular by modernizing its military air defenses and attack missiles. Russia has spent the past 18 months upgrading to a full war footing and is now flush with well trained soldiers and equipment. I think that the Biden Administration will find that Russia is not interested in negotiations. They will allow the rotation of leadership in Ukraine, and then take advantage of it to complete the destruction of the Ukrainian military and obtain surrender on terms favorable to Russia.
So much for the war lasting another two years! LOL It's over, baby!
Whoever runs Ukraine will be forced by the US to "freeze" the conflict - except Russia ain't accepting no "freezes", homey! It's "surrender or bust" - and despite what Alexander Mercouris might think, "bust" is just fine with Putin and his team if they can't get surrender. And surrender is the same as bust for Ukraine, except maybe a few fewer people die on both sides.
Beginning to look like Russia will be on the Polish border by New Years Eve, if Ukraine surrenders. If not, well, Russia will get there soon enough.
France will stop transferring its arsenals for the needs of Kiev - Sébastien Lecornu
The French Defense Minister said that supplies from the country's arsenal will resume only when Kiev begins to purchase ammunition from French manufacturers using funds allocated for this.
Sausage did not get it yet it seems?
"Olaf Scholz said that negotiations between Ukraine and the RF are possible only subject to the withdrawal of Russian troops from Ukrainian territories"
“A decisive step is needed on the part of the Russian Federation: the withdrawal of troops from Ukrainian territories.”
Churning them out!
Rats fleeing a sinking ship. Ironic that Burns knew what would happen when he was US Ambassador to Russia from 2005-2008. His cable to his boss Condi Rice: "Ukrainian entry into NATO is the brightest of all redlines for the Russian elite (not just Putin). In more than two and a half years of conversations with key Russian players, from knuckle-draggers in the dark recesses of the Kremlin to Putin's sharpest liberal critics, I have yet to find anyone who views Ukraine in NATO as anything other than a direct challenge to Russian interests."
Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman is looking for a job - perhaps we can install him as Ukraine's President in the fianl act of a disastrous color revolution: https://yuribezmenov.substack.com/p/alexander-vindman-cringeman-cringestack-kgb
Someone supplied all those Javelins (and other stuff) to Hamas from Ukraine and there's no way people at the Ukrainian MOD are not involved. I'm pretty sure there's a lot of pressure behind closed door from the US who are now really pissed their taxpayer dollars end up arming Hamas too.
Masterful analysis. But your last point is the nut. This all relies on Russia running to the negotiation table. And why should they? Why stop when you are winning? Why would you let Ukraine get its breath and re-arm? And of course, this comes to the Evil Empire's hubris. They just cannot imagine anyone not taking "their" terms.
And that is where it gets interesting. So, they arrange the deck chairs on the Titanic, and they call Russia. And Russia is happy to sit down. And to present the demands. Total Ukrainian disarmament. Kharkiv and Odessa. All sanctions lifted. Reparations for theft of Russian assets. Oh, and we are going to need those Nazi's for the War Criminal trials.
None of which is palatable. So back to the grind. At which point, they will just sweep Ukraine under the rug and forget it. Western citizens are so fucking stupid they will accept whatever the media prints. And Ukraine hangs slowly slowly in the wind like a hanged man.
WTF? Why would they announce that they were considering dismissing these officers? That makes no sense in any context.
What makes them think Russia will agree to a ceasefire? Dumfuks all.
..How about Klitschko president instead of Zaluzhny? What has Zaluzhny achieved a part desiring to retreat from here or from there? He's not going to end the conflict, he did not hint at that in his 'the economist' article
Simplicus: The one stop source for all things concerning the rump states of the USSA.
The Ukranian armed forces were reshaped and trained by the British since 2016. There are multiple accounts of this. Ukraine was to be the perfect platform to attack Russia proper. A good chunck of the British military, intelligence, finamce and industrial complex worked hard on Ukraine for years. What a fantastic loot. After the Maidan Ukraine became an anglosionist colony. At the beginning it was a cheap grab, costing only 5 billion dollars to take over the biggest country in Europe. Investors flocked from all sides: hard industry, weapons, training, cheap fertile land, fisheries, child and organ trafficking, prostitution, biowarfare, money laundering, drugs, cheap workforce... you name it. Now the bill rose up to 300 billion and they are reaching the profit investment margins. That is to say that the Ukranian gold mine worthed 295 billion in profits plus the corresponding x10 times derivatives. If the war stops now they can still very much squeeze white the Ukranian cow by means of reconstruction IMF programs and so on. A bad peace now could mean a strategic defeat for Russia.
US is like an emperor without clothes if they think they can just offer a ceasefire and Russia will suck it up: they won't, given all the duplicity Putin encountered from NATO since he came to power and especially the Minsk II betrayal.
The US government thinks they can obtain a ceasefire from Russia to freeze the conflict (until they decide to start it again). In the past, Putin arranged ceasefires at the very moment when the Ukrainians were most desperate, such as after the Battle of Debeltsavo. However, by doing so, Putin bought time for Russia to prepare for the inevitable war with NATO, in particular by modernizing its military air defenses and attack missiles. Russia has spent the past 18 months upgrading to a full war footing and is now flush with well trained soldiers and equipment. I think that the Biden Administration will find that Russia is not interested in negotiations. They will allow the rotation of leadership in Ukraine, and then take advantage of it to complete the destruction of the Ukrainian military and obtain surrender on terms favorable to Russia.
So much for the war lasting another two years! LOL It's over, baby!
Whoever runs Ukraine will be forced by the US to "freeze" the conflict - except Russia ain't accepting no "freezes", homey! It's "surrender or bust" - and despite what Alexander Mercouris might think, "bust" is just fine with Putin and his team if they can't get surrender. And surrender is the same as bust for Ukraine, except maybe a few fewer people die on both sides.
Beginning to look like Russia will be on the Polish border by New Years Eve, if Ukraine surrenders. If not, well, Russia will get there soon enough.
Why hurry to close the door to an efficient mouse trap?
"At this pace Avdeevka could still potentially hold out another 2-3 months"
I'll remember that prediction.
France will stop transferring its arsenals for the needs of Kiev - Sébastien Lecornu
The French Defense Minister said that supplies from the country's arsenal will resume only when Kiev begins to purchase ammunition from French manufacturers using funds allocated for this.
Sausage did not get it yet it seems?
"Olaf Scholz said that negotiations between Ukraine and the RF are possible only subject to the withdrawal of Russian troops from Ukrainian territories"
“A decisive step is needed on the part of the Russian Federation: the withdrawal of troops from Ukrainian territories.”