A few brief statements and thoughts on Ukraine’s drone strike of the Kremlin earlier. One thing in general to say, is that we are unquestionably heading towards a very tumultuous time in the next year and a half or so. The critical point of the Ukrainian war, which could happen this year, as well as the epochal 2024 election cycle which will have major connotations for the entire world.
Isn't Moscow a little out of range for the cheap drones that Ukraine flew in? So, therefore, they were launched within Russia by Ukraine friendly personnel, or, yeah, false flag.
It's absurd of the west and Ukraine to think such an attack can create chaos in the minds and hearts of Russians. Just the opposite. The last great bi-partisan moment in America was post 9-11. Hell, even Putin offered help.
Just another "shock & awe" display meant to provoke an over-response from Russia and "feels good" dopamine hits for the Deep-State sloths & public masses of morons. A LOT is converging around the beginning of June, including potential debt ceiling face-off and the ending of using LIBOR, finishing the transition to SOFR, for US financial institutions. For any fellow econ-finance geeks out there!
The Ukraine campaign is terrorism. Don't play into it. Russia just needs to bomb the living crap out of Ukraine, day and night, and then move strongly on the offensive to the Dnipro as a first step. Blow them away. They are rapidly intensifying strikes already, and doing a LOT of damage. Would not give Ukraine 1 inch of ground, anywhere. Of course, the USA/UK will play their games and dirty tricks, and Poland will act stupidly, as Poland always does. Things may escalate rapidly. So what? Did you expect anything else? The USA/UK are OUT OF CONTROL, fighting for control. They will do desperate things short of nukes. This is what is called WAR. My understanding is that Russia is currently in mass production of several new, advanced drone categories, as well as mass production of Kinzahl missiles. My belief is that they are going to swarm Ukraine with a ton of these drones. It will be a rollercoaster ride in terms of banner headlines, but this war is already won strategically. Stay clam and carry on. Do not follow MSM. Russia is destroying Ukraine military and can destroy Poland and NATO militaries as well, if needed. The FSB does need to increase the home front defense in terms of capturing these terrorist cells, as there are certainly a number of them in action.
We don't know what we don't know, but what we do know is the incident opens the door in the minds of the people for strikes against senior leadership. Agreed, the level has risen, and we can expect more drama. Sadly the human cost is staggering, and I don't necessarily have an affinity for the Ukes, but they are still sons, fathers, brothers and loved ones to people who have no idea why they have been exterminated by own leaders poor political decisions. It is hurtful to see the carnage. Lord have Mercy.
Are these the only options for the poll? If that's it then I would go for the warning strike on Bankova but the clown is not there. Otherwise I would add dialing up the heat in the theater to 11
The Rand Corp schema: a degrading of Russian military will have favourable (to USNATO) reverberations throughout the Russian Federation...
As the 'defense' of Bakhmat seems to indicate, USNATO have no compunctions about using Ukranians-to-the-last-person...
The provocations seem intended to lure the Russians deeper into Ukraine, to set them up for a full frontal assault - to inflict massive casualties, and damage, even though Ukrainian troops will be slaughtered... Using the Ukraine Military as a 'suicide squad'...
That is, the Ukrainian offensive is more likely to be eastward towards Russias forward defenses, not southwards to Crimea...
I Agree with point 5 of the Russian mil-blogger, Zhivoz:: 'massive missile volley at troop positions and nearby facilities." ...Especially at troop positions...
Only 'some' of the USNATO supplied weaponry entered the black market...
(Ground-to-air missiles seem to have limited the reach of Russias air arm?)
I'm no expert on any matters military...I merely keep in mind the Rand corps belief that inflicting considerable damage on the Russian forces could have positive destabilising effects within Russia, and couple that with my belief that this is a do-or-die effort by US to force changes within Russia, that the the window-of-opportunity is closing...
Ukraine for much of the Special Military Operation traded the lives of its citizens for territory.
The next phase is to trade the lives of its citizens for time, meaning a series of offensives (strikes against Zapharozia, Kherson, Russia, Crimea, etc.) designed to give sufficient time to memory-hole the loss of Bakhmut, and other cities. So in effect Ukraine will now concede territory, but not concede the war.
As the third Ukrainian army is totally defeated, it will be forced into terrorist activities. Under the Fourth Army (pure terrorism), Ukraine will adopt the concept of the loss of Ukrainian lives exchange for capturing Russian minds.
"Lives for minds" is an attempt to try to force Russia to leave Ukraine. Under this concept the psychological cost of witnessing train derailments, bridges blown up, oil storages being blown up, etc. will be an attempt to make the Russian public tire of being in Ukraine and use public opinion force the government to exit.
If correct, this suggests that by 2024 the Special Military Operation will be converted into some kind of Counter-terrorism operation.
I think Russia - and by which I mean DPR and LPR for instance, I mean all the Allied States, Federations that comprise the Russian Federation - should start getting proactive.
Do not 'conquer' Bakhmut. Starve it out.
Threaten Kiev in words, in troop buildups, in demo attacks on the dam
Sever all land comms to the West. Every road and rail either too destroyed or too risky to use.
Mount massive PR initiatives all over the physical world and the web.
Mount massive 'exposures' of Western malfeasance.
And so on. They have clever men I am sure of it. Clever women, too. Call on their services.
Start to run the show.
The opportunities would seem to be boundless.
How about complete exposure of the Biden family laptop stuff for instance, as a minor example?
How about the bio labs?
How about how it was pretended at the Zhapo Nuclear plant it was pretended they didn't know where the incoming was from? In the days of 5 minute counter battery fire they couldn't distinguish incoming from Kiev side rather than Donbas side?
Crap. Insulting crap to expect us to believe anything remotely like that.
The opportunities, the dimmest of us can see, are boundless. Why still boundless? Still?
Because they aren't trying and haven't tried.
And there's the point.
There's the nub of it all.
There is something dramatically wrong about all of this.
Russia is not fighting this war on the ground.
And it is not fighting it anywhere else either, in mass media, in social media, in serious discourse.. nowhere.
I think it is perfectly valid for me to say Russia has been silent. Totally silent.
Don't quibble with references to Putin's speeches and Lavrov and Zhakarov. You know as well as I they never get out of a tiny little circle and they're not even expected to.
This is claimed - and it looks like a good argument - to be possibly an existential war for Russia.
Well is any of that correct behaviour for an existential threat?
No it is not. You know it as well as I.
The Kremlin could be talking to the UK public, as a for instance, as a friend and just spelling things out to them: 'Your government instituted this sanction. This meant this loss to you: $xxxx. This meant, in fact, this gain to us: $xxxx.'
The British would listen.
And so on.
I claim there is NO war being fought really. The men are allowed to play out their bloody theatre, the colosseum of 2023, Christians to the lions to sate the masses.
It is a show. Not a war.
And I just can't understand why we are not overwhelmed by authoritative voices spelling that fact out. But more and more as one after the other pops up and reveals himself to us we find the sacred cows have feet of clay. If you don't mind a few mixed metaphors. 'Experts' who quickly descend into mere carnival show style hucksters barking their same spiel over and over. Nothing new. Nothing perceptive, Nothing helpful.
Stay impeccably centered, do not be distracted. The error of our ways will become self evident as time marches on. GodSpeed, Mother Russia, Glory to Russia❤️🇷🇺💙
Is it possible the Ukrainian offensive will be a massive drone swarm attacking Russian infrastructure? I'm not talking dozens or even hundreds, but thousands. Drones are cheap and if enough are sent they could overwhelm Russian AD.
Putin should come out and remind the world that NATO and its pathetic attack dog Ukraine are criminals and terrorists. That is all that’s needed. Victory is within reach, no need for emotional reactions that could derail this trajectory.
"This is not meant to be a long run-on reflection on the state of the world, but is to simply make a statement, which is that we are entering a time of troubled waters comprised of events which may seem unrelated, but are in fact intimately so."
Yes, got to keep the Big Picture in play. I wrote the following this morning:
"Maria Zakharova's Weekly Briefing transcript is still being constructed, but the initial part related to Ukraine is finished and seems to grow longer every week. The comments about Ukraine consist of several parts of which the first follows, but first I must make the following comment. All attacks made on "peaceful Russian cities" and lands are deemed terrorist attacks, not legitimate acts of war because Russia views the Kiev regime as a terrorist regime whose primary goal is the eradication of everything Russian, something that Kiev has actually confessed to on many occasions. Thus the drone incident in Moscow is deemed a terrorist attack, not an act of war. Do take note that the Outlaw US Empire behaved the same way in relation to the first attack on the WTC and the attack on the USS Cole despite the fact that it was then as now clearly the main sponsor and ally of the Occupied Palestine regime that's doing to Palestinians what the Kiev Nazis want to do to Russians, thus making those objects legitimate targets in what's been a decades-long ongoing war."
The important aspect: Ukraine's been a terrorist state since 2014, which is the official outlook. Its sponsors are essentially the same. Russia's new Foreign Policy Concept is very explicit that the current Era is existential for Russia and Russian Civilization. And that factors in here greatly. The best report I read on the incident was by Sputnik https://sputnikglobe.com/20230503/kievs-terrorist-attack-on-kremlin-sets-dangerous-global-precedent-1110065710.html who cited Alexander Mikhailov, head of the Bureau of Military-Political Analysis whose words IMO were excellent. A sample:
"The fact is that Ukraine is already openly positioning itself as a terrorist state, which is covered up by the collective West, primarily by Washington and Brussels. And with such support, [the Kiev regime] calmly arranges such terrorist acts of sabotage, using the simplest and most modern method for this, that is, buying these products in the West and equipping them with the necessary amount of explosive, and then sending them on a particular course."...
"It is necessary to inform the other side and, above all, Washington, that [drones] may soon fly to the White House too," said Mikhailov. "This is a very serious matter. It is related to international terrorism and those who are covering it up."...
"We should explain: 'Tomorrow they will arrange sabotages in Beijing, in Delhi, in other states, in other developed economies of the world,' because those who want to maintain their dominance feel that they are falling down; so they are clinging to power, they have already resorted to the meanest methods, pulling the strings of these satellites and their other subordinate states," Mikhailov said."
The SCO's security policy is aimed at Anti-Terrorism, so this attack is an opportunity for that organization to speak out as its Foreign Ministers will meet in India May 4-5. Otherwise, it was business as usual at the Kremlin.
IMO, aside from usual SMO actions, like tonight's missile/drone barrage, the responses will come via diplomatic channels--or--they may wait for Putin's Victory Day Speech to be expressed. As for the nuke use crap, what happened doesn't come anywhere close to triggering action via Russia's nuke use doctrine and is thus crap as usual.
What I haven't seen considered is Russia will use this to launch its own offensive. And that means we can only wait and see.
Isn't Moscow a little out of range for the cheap drones that Ukraine flew in? So, therefore, they were launched within Russia by Ukraine friendly personnel, or, yeah, false flag.
It's absurd of the west and Ukraine to think such an attack can create chaos in the minds and hearts of Russians. Just the opposite. The last great bi-partisan moment in America was post 9-11. Hell, even Putin offered help.
Just another "shock & awe" display meant to provoke an over-response from Russia and "feels good" dopamine hits for the Deep-State sloths & public masses of morons. A LOT is converging around the beginning of June, including potential debt ceiling face-off and the ending of using LIBOR, finishing the transition to SOFR, for US financial institutions. For any fellow econ-finance geeks out there!
The Ukraine campaign is terrorism. Don't play into it. Russia just needs to bomb the living crap out of Ukraine, day and night, and then move strongly on the offensive to the Dnipro as a first step. Blow them away. They are rapidly intensifying strikes already, and doing a LOT of damage. Would not give Ukraine 1 inch of ground, anywhere. Of course, the USA/UK will play their games and dirty tricks, and Poland will act stupidly, as Poland always does. Things may escalate rapidly. So what? Did you expect anything else? The USA/UK are OUT OF CONTROL, fighting for control. They will do desperate things short of nukes. This is what is called WAR. My understanding is that Russia is currently in mass production of several new, advanced drone categories, as well as mass production of Kinzahl missiles. My belief is that they are going to swarm Ukraine with a ton of these drones. It will be a rollercoaster ride in terms of banner headlines, but this war is already won strategically. Stay clam and carry on. Do not follow MSM. Russia is destroying Ukraine military and can destroy Poland and NATO militaries as well, if needed. The FSB does need to increase the home front defense in terms of capturing these terrorist cells, as there are certainly a number of them in action.
We don't know what we don't know, but what we do know is the incident opens the door in the minds of the people for strikes against senior leadership. Agreed, the level has risen, and we can expect more drama. Sadly the human cost is staggering, and I don't necessarily have an affinity for the Ukes, but they are still sons, fathers, brothers and loved ones to people who have no idea why they have been exterminated by own leaders poor political decisions. It is hurtful to see the carnage. Lord have Mercy.
Are these the only options for the poll? If that's it then I would go for the warning strike on Bankova but the clown is not there. Otherwise I would add dialing up the heat in the theater to 11
Nah. Putin's an old hand at that game.
Why should he react? He's winning. Big time.
Doing nothing, as Allenby told Lawrence in Cairo, is usually the best thing.
He's got Europe over a barrel, the US on its heels, and Xi's got his back.
Non-reaction will prove more popular with most Russians, I suspect.
An offensive ? Yes... To reclaim Crimea ? No...
The Rand Corp schema: a degrading of Russian military will have favourable (to USNATO) reverberations throughout the Russian Federation...
As the 'defense' of Bakhmat seems to indicate, USNATO have no compunctions about using Ukranians-to-the-last-person...
The provocations seem intended to lure the Russians deeper into Ukraine, to set them up for a full frontal assault - to inflict massive casualties, and damage, even though Ukrainian troops will be slaughtered... Using the Ukraine Military as a 'suicide squad'...
That is, the Ukrainian offensive is more likely to be eastward towards Russias forward defenses, not southwards to Crimea...
I Agree with point 5 of the Russian mil-blogger, Zhivoz:: 'massive missile volley at troop positions and nearby facilities." ...Especially at troop positions...
Only 'some' of the USNATO supplied weaponry entered the black market...
(Ground-to-air missiles seem to have limited the reach of Russias air arm?)
I'm no expert on any matters military...I merely keep in mind the Rand corps belief that inflicting considerable damage on the Russian forces could have positive destabilising effects within Russia, and couple that with my belief that this is a do-or-die effort by US to force changes within Russia, that the the window-of-opportunity is closing...
Ukraine for much of the Special Military Operation traded the lives of its citizens for territory.
The next phase is to trade the lives of its citizens for time, meaning a series of offensives (strikes against Zapharozia, Kherson, Russia, Crimea, etc.) designed to give sufficient time to memory-hole the loss of Bakhmut, and other cities. So in effect Ukraine will now concede territory, but not concede the war.
As the third Ukrainian army is totally defeated, it will be forced into terrorist activities. Under the Fourth Army (pure terrorism), Ukraine will adopt the concept of the loss of Ukrainian lives exchange for capturing Russian minds.
"Lives for minds" is an attempt to try to force Russia to leave Ukraine. Under this concept the psychological cost of witnessing train derailments, bridges blown up, oil storages being blown up, etc. will be an attempt to make the Russian public tire of being in Ukraine and use public opinion force the government to exit.
If correct, this suggests that by 2024 the Special Military Operation will be converted into some kind of Counter-terrorism operation.
I think Russia - and by which I mean DPR and LPR for instance, I mean all the Allied States, Federations that comprise the Russian Federation - should start getting proactive.
Do not 'conquer' Bakhmut. Starve it out.
Threaten Kiev in words, in troop buildups, in demo attacks on the dam
Sever all land comms to the West. Every road and rail either too destroyed or too risky to use.
Mount massive PR initiatives all over the physical world and the web.
Mount massive 'exposures' of Western malfeasance.
And so on. They have clever men I am sure of it. Clever women, too. Call on their services.
Start to run the show.
The opportunities would seem to be boundless.
How about complete exposure of the Biden family laptop stuff for instance, as a minor example?
How about the bio labs?
How about how it was pretended at the Zhapo Nuclear plant it was pretended they didn't know where the incoming was from? In the days of 5 minute counter battery fire they couldn't distinguish incoming from Kiev side rather than Donbas side?
Crap. Insulting crap to expect us to believe anything remotely like that.
The opportunities, the dimmest of us can see, are boundless. Why still boundless? Still?
Because they aren't trying and haven't tried.
And there's the point.
There's the nub of it all.
There is something dramatically wrong about all of this.
Russia is not fighting this war on the ground.
And it is not fighting it anywhere else either, in mass media, in social media, in serious discourse.. nowhere.
I think it is perfectly valid for me to say Russia has been silent. Totally silent.
Don't quibble with references to Putin's speeches and Lavrov and Zhakarov. You know as well as I they never get out of a tiny little circle and they're not even expected to.
This is claimed - and it looks like a good argument - to be possibly an existential war for Russia.
Well is any of that correct behaviour for an existential threat?
No it is not. You know it as well as I.
The Kremlin could be talking to the UK public, as a for instance, as a friend and just spelling things out to them: 'Your government instituted this sanction. This meant this loss to you: $xxxx. This meant, in fact, this gain to us: $xxxx.'
The British would listen.
And so on.
I claim there is NO war being fought really. The men are allowed to play out their bloody theatre, the colosseum of 2023, Christians to the lions to sate the masses.
It is a show. Not a war.
And I just can't understand why we are not overwhelmed by authoritative voices spelling that fact out. But more and more as one after the other pops up and reveals himself to us we find the sacred cows have feet of clay. If you don't mind a few mixed metaphors. 'Experts' who quickly descend into mere carnival show style hucksters barking their same spiel over and over. Nothing new. Nothing perceptive, Nothing helpful.
Stay impeccably centered, do not be distracted. The error of our ways will become self evident as time marches on. GodSpeed, Mother Russia, Glory to Russia❤️🇷🇺💙
Just one bunker busting Kinzhal with ZelenskyyIdiot's name on it.....just one.....
Is it possible the Ukrainian offensive will be a massive drone swarm attacking Russian infrastructure? I'm not talking dozens or even hundreds, but thousands. Drones are cheap and if enough are sent they could overwhelm Russian AD.
I'll be honest whenever I hear "terrorist attack", I immediately think false flag.
When the Kurds bomb Istanbul, and so Turkey cracks down.
When the Ukraine attacks the Kremlin, and Moscow calls for escalation.
I always think that if there was a similar attack on the White House, it would put up so many red flags for me.
I know Ukraine has a history of doing terrorism, but this entire story stinks to high heaven.
I can't understand the logic behind it being a false flag attack - doesn't it just make Moscow's/the Kremlin's air defences look ineffective?
Putin should come out and remind the world that NATO and its pathetic attack dog Ukraine are criminals and terrorists. That is all that’s needed. Victory is within reach, no need for emotional reactions that could derail this trajectory.
You wrote:
"This is not meant to be a long run-on reflection on the state of the world, but is to simply make a statement, which is that we are entering a time of troubled waters comprised of events which may seem unrelated, but are in fact intimately so."
Yes, got to keep the Big Picture in play. I wrote the following this morning:
"Maria Zakharova's Weekly Briefing transcript is still being constructed, but the initial part related to Ukraine is finished and seems to grow longer every week. The comments about Ukraine consist of several parts of which the first follows, but first I must make the following comment. All attacks made on "peaceful Russian cities" and lands are deemed terrorist attacks, not legitimate acts of war because Russia views the Kiev regime as a terrorist regime whose primary goal is the eradication of everything Russian, something that Kiev has actually confessed to on many occasions. Thus the drone incident in Moscow is deemed a terrorist attack, not an act of war. Do take note that the Outlaw US Empire behaved the same way in relation to the first attack on the WTC and the attack on the USS Cole despite the fact that it was then as now clearly the main sponsor and ally of the Occupied Palestine regime that's doing to Palestinians what the Kiev Nazis want to do to Russians, thus making those objects legitimate targets in what's been a decades-long ongoing war."
The important aspect: Ukraine's been a terrorist state since 2014, which is the official outlook. Its sponsors are essentially the same. Russia's new Foreign Policy Concept is very explicit that the current Era is existential for Russia and Russian Civilization. And that factors in here greatly. The best report I read on the incident was by Sputnik https://sputnikglobe.com/20230503/kievs-terrorist-attack-on-kremlin-sets-dangerous-global-precedent-1110065710.html who cited Alexander Mikhailov, head of the Bureau of Military-Political Analysis whose words IMO were excellent. A sample:
"The fact is that Ukraine is already openly positioning itself as a terrorist state, which is covered up by the collective West, primarily by Washington and Brussels. And with such support, [the Kiev regime] calmly arranges such terrorist acts of sabotage, using the simplest and most modern method for this, that is, buying these products in the West and equipping them with the necessary amount of explosive, and then sending them on a particular course."...
"It is necessary to inform the other side and, above all, Washington, that [drones] may soon fly to the White House too," said Mikhailov. "This is a very serious matter. It is related to international terrorism and those who are covering it up."...
"We should explain: 'Tomorrow they will arrange sabotages in Beijing, in Delhi, in other states, in other developed economies of the world,' because those who want to maintain their dominance feel that they are falling down; so they are clinging to power, they have already resorted to the meanest methods, pulling the strings of these satellites and their other subordinate states," Mikhailov said."
The SCO's security policy is aimed at Anti-Terrorism, so this attack is an opportunity for that organization to speak out as its Foreign Ministers will meet in India May 4-5. Otherwise, it was business as usual at the Kremlin.
IMO, aside from usual SMO actions, like tonight's missile/drone barrage, the responses will come via diplomatic channels--or--they may wait for Putin's Victory Day Speech to be expressed. As for the nuke use crap, what happened doesn't come anywhere close to triggering action via Russia's nuke use doctrine and is thus crap as usual.
What I haven't seen considered is Russia will use this to launch its own offensive. And that means we can only wait and see.