My assumption is that Russia will pound the living daylights out of the Ukraine forces with missiles and aerospace a few days before they launch their spring offensive, since it is patently clear to everyone the narrow timeframe Ukraine has to launch it. Russia is also monitoring the Western arms supply buildup. Russia is holding back ma…
My assumption is that Russia will pound the living daylights out of the Ukraine forces with missiles and aerospace a few days before they launch their spring offensive, since it is patently clear to everyone the narrow timeframe Ukraine has to launch it. Russia is also monitoring the Western arms supply buildup. Russia is holding back massive missile and bombing raids for now, using only targeted pinpoint attacks. My view is that Russia determines that Ukraine has fully committed to their spring offensive, it will launch its own offensives with its mobilized divisions to flank the Ukrainians and also to exploit gaps in the defenses. Russia has been holding back most of its mobilized troops and aerospace forces. Think we will see a power ferocity and out of Russia no one expects.
I agree. There is a very striking reservation of combat power at the moment, most notably as you pointed out the lack of missile attacks, Iskander strikes, even artillery still somewhat down etc. It's obvious as day that Russia is building reserves for a much larger scale action. Some reports now claim it will come in April (high ranking AFU officer stated this recently), and that WOULD make sense to the extent that the next strategically ideal 'window' to launch an operation would be just AFTER Rasputitsa and just BEFORE Ukraine's big planned Spring Offensive, in order to neuter it right at the root. So this would place a possible operation window for around late April give or a little after perhaps
I would like to see Russia carry on being patient. They do not need to do anything rash. A slow advance, as it is doing now, is all that is needed. Ukraine is falling apart economically while the Russian economy and military is gaining capacity. Patience, nothing rash. The long game.
My assumption is that Russia will pound the living daylights out of the Ukraine forces with missiles and aerospace a few days before they launch their spring offensive, since it is patently clear to everyone the narrow timeframe Ukraine has to launch it. Russia is also monitoring the Western arms supply buildup. Russia is holding back massive missile and bombing raids for now, using only targeted pinpoint attacks. My view is that Russia determines that Ukraine has fully committed to their spring offensive, it will launch its own offensives with its mobilized divisions to flank the Ukrainians and also to exploit gaps in the defenses. Russia has been holding back most of its mobilized troops and aerospace forces. Think we will see a power ferocity and out of Russia no one expects.
I agree. There is a very striking reservation of combat power at the moment, most notably as you pointed out the lack of missile attacks, Iskander strikes, even artillery still somewhat down etc. It's obvious as day that Russia is building reserves for a much larger scale action. Some reports now claim it will come in April (high ranking AFU officer stated this recently), and that WOULD make sense to the extent that the next strategically ideal 'window' to launch an operation would be just AFTER Rasputitsa and just BEFORE Ukraine's big planned Spring Offensive, in order to neuter it right at the root. So this would place a possible operation window for around late April give or a little after perhaps
I would like to see Russia carry on being patient. They do not need to do anything rash. A slow advance, as it is doing now, is all that is needed. Ukraine is falling apart economically while the Russian economy and military is gaining capacity. Patience, nothing rash. The long game.