If you look at the USSBS and the campaign against Nazi oil supplies, in the final year of the war nearly 94,000 short tons of HE bombs were dropped on oil targets with great effect. However the Ukrainian attacks are pin pricks in comparison and the Russia oil industry far larger. For sure this will hurt, but not much just now. But the trend is becoming worrying, and in the future allowing Ukraine to re-arm with tens of thousands of new model drones would prove a strategic mistake I think. An error I believe Russia will not make.
Good point. You have to bomb such targets day by day. The Germans were able to repair a coal to oil facilities within a few days. Again and again the Allied showed pictures of massive fires after a bomb raid, but the very next day, the Germans started rebuilding. And as the Allies concentrated huge amounts of bombers for permanent pressure, they could never stop the production, a few days of bad weather and the plan was up and running.
The US Strategic Bombing Survey after the war found out the uncomfortable truth that German war production maxed out in early 1945. The bombing campaign might have lopped off potential growth but it didn't stop the machine from operating. They had a weakness in oil because of lack of supply and that was exploited in the late war, but Russia has no such issue. This Ukrainian activity is pointless except as a morale boosting effort for the desperate Ukies.
Russia is the largest member of OPEC+ in proven oil reserves and GDP size. The OPEC countries are not going to appreciate being leaned on the shiv Russia.
” VVP said in an interview w/ a Moscow-based reporter that if the U.S. stopped arming Ukraine tomorrow the conflict would end in 2-4 months.”
Next I hope Putin calculate that if Russia bomb railway and major road junctions (and bridges) and sank all boats approching Ukraine harbours during a 2 month period it could end the War….
This is how sanctions backfire. You sanction the normal shipping. So the transportation is done by the type of ship you normally do not see in our waters. Drunken sailors, not qualified officers, damaged and rotten equipment. And then bad things start to happen, but not intentionally, but due to rotten equipment and bad crews.
The harbor porpoise (Phocoena phocoena) is the only cetacean presently native to the Baltic Sea. There used to be larger migratory baleen whales visiting the Baltic seasonally but those populations were extinct before 1800.
True. I still remember my shock when my American friends were apologizing to me for "hating the Soviets so much." It was surreal to me how could one hate someone you don't know, just because, what - someone told you? Hate is a strong, personal feeling but to be able to hate, to be taught to hate someone abstractly? Hate by proxy - WTH? I'm a military brat, and I grew up during the Cold War, but never ever we're taught to hate Americans.
This constant artificial cultivating of the "enemies" erodes America.
Notice that the european fears more than anything that Master will leave him, he can't live without Master, doesn't want to live without Master, can't even imagine life without Master.
The european can live with and even welcomes beatings from Master, because that means he has a Master to beat him. But abandonmnent and having to live without a Master is too scary for a european to contemplate.
Much of the objection to Trump 1.0 was that he said the quiet parts out loud.
Now that the United States has been dropping any pretense to being anything other than an empire, with no corresponding need to keep up the polite fictions and shopworn pieties of the past, there is less objection to Trump 2.0 and his bluster and bullying.
They are still there. In the Boardroom of Lookheed, in the Congress, in Pentagon, in the Think-tanks, in the Administration and all over govermental US.
The major consequence of a US defeat in Ukraine, no matter what anyone believes this will be percieved by the vast majority of the world as a US defeat. What will the US have to force the dollar unto the world as money? With BRICS creating a very lucrative alternative to the western financial system and Russia providing the military destruction of US invulnerability. In the words of Marco Rubio "If they start trading in their own currencies we will not be able to sanction them"
The US could save the dollar simply by lifting sanctions on countries and ending dollar warfare. The dollar could continue being a dominant currency if the US were more interested in honest trading with partners instead of being a bully all over the world stage... Chip
The reality is, it is just more feasible for countries to trade in local currencies. The sanctioning, bullying and dishonesty in trade is just convincing nations to seek about self interest rather than sticking to a financial system that is not in the best interest of prosperity.
I like Kevin's podcasts he gives a very good perspective of China business. In that episode he is giving an opinion of what he believes is the Chinese intent. From another perspective it can be assumed that China has such a surplus of dollars it no longer sees the dollar as a reliable reserve asset. So they spend and lend to create development on the BRI while accumulating good will diplomatic clout and more paying customers. Noone knows the Chinese end game but surely they cannot see US treasuries as a good store of value after seeing they can be stolen at a whim as in the case of the Russian Central bank reserves and Russian citizens.
Its obvious to everyone, that they have started to use the dollar in a way that the Western oligarchy do not want want then to.
Not even the Saudis want to be a part of the game anymore. Even they understands what side has the leverage.
China is 5000 years of continuous civilisation. It is also pretty easy to understand what they are trying to do.
The world is turning it's back on the US Empire with it's death and destruction, not the USA.
The Chinese love the dollar, and now they use it to their advantage. They have been forced to do it that way, because of the hubris of Western oligarch elites.
The point is that the rest of the world watches how Russia is wiping the floor with NATO/US in Ukraine, and 'the major consequence of a US defeat in Ukraine,' are not obvious at all to the majority of Americans. How CNN used to brag about the war in Vietnam "the war will be over, when CNN says it's over."
"There is nothing for the U.S. to ‘win’ in eastern Ukraine." For the U.S, as a country - no, but for a small group of the heavily invested in Ukraine individuals/funds with property/land, etc. there, I bet there is a lot to 'win' in the eastern Ukraine.
Looking at the big picture, these drone attacks make the strategic position worse for Ukraine. Russia's main options now are (1) an early peace deal along vaguely current positions allowing Ukraine to re-arm and a future SMO2, or (2) take advantage of the battlefield and political situation and continue until Ukraine represents no possible threat - probably it being dismantled and partitioned. By showing that it can launch dangerous drone attacks now and on strategic targets, Ukraine simply demonstrates in future that it will enhance its capabilities and thus threat. So do you as Russia let that threat grow, or do you extinguish it permanently? Russia cannot create security for itself until Ukraine ceases to exist.
Ukrainians are returning to Ukraine, surprisingly so. My brother's in-laws returned to Ukraine from Canada. My friend's cousin returned to Ukraine from Prague with her 17 yo son (crazy!) about 1 year ago, but she'd have lost her job in Ukraine, if not returned...
Well, the entire immigration of Ukrainians to Canada started, I believe, in Alberta with two guys from Galicia, way back. Hence, the Western Ukraine presence is strong in Canada. Most are hard-working people, but this war brought out the worst kind of entitlement. Like the world owes Ukrainians a living :-)
I think Trumps priority now is to get his Ministers in place and then clean out the Administration. He must first control US and be sure he has the apparatus behind him. Nothing else matters more.
Meantime he is throwing around Molotovs-coctqils, part as intimidation, part as indicators of what comes next.
And can Trump throw around his Molotov-cocktails in a more dignifying manner? Every time he opens his mouth, either my jaw drops or my eyes roll up. Like, really?!
Well this is the classical outcome when a force advertise and marketed as unstoppable runs squarely into an object that is actually immovable. There will not be an unlimited discharge of energy but more like a crash, crumble and derailed end of marketing over reality.
Putin can't end the war because usa will keep it going. Only the usa can end the war simply by stopping funding it and actually doing it. Russia would not then keep going. Maybe to the borders of the new russian oblasts but that's all. I think. Though maybe after all this they're a bit angrier than that and would go for an overland bridge to Odessa.
Putin putting an end to the war? His soldiers will kill him, and don’t expect his successor to be more friendly especially not to Americans, in Russia it has become almost an Olympic discipline, a national Sport…Let's kill some Americans.
This is believable. Aside from the current war, just being barred from international sport competition would just about foster this, not to mention the slap-in-the-face post '89/'91.
s it so? I would like to know more of the actual mood of the average Russian - if there is such a person in such a vast and diverse country. Perhaps the average big city dweller. Can you direct me to a reliable source of such information ?
Russians love pigs on the BBQ and also fat lazy and queer Americans full of McDonnalds junk food. Russians are on a strict diet and once and a while they go overboard with untastful indigestible American yanks but acceptable with loads of Vodka
The Country is called Colombia not Columbia. It's like saying "United STATE of America". I saw this so many times i worry for the literacy of americans.
Thx Simplicius! After being suspended from X for following you and other gentlemens these articles are the highlight of the week.
Will read it with joy!
After reading it I can conclude that the first half was material from your X flow - have missed a couple of days. Hopefully your longer, in-depth, articles will resurge when things start to evolve around Trumps ”peace plan”.
Good that you dont underestimate the threat from Ukraines drone campaign causing severe damage and costs in Russia. Although Russia can replace and repair the structural damages there is no way they can do it in days. Refinerys burn and there is a lot to replace for sure.
Trumps threats of sanctions was ridiculed at first but if China and India cease to import fuel from Russia it will affect Russian economy massively. But it is, as you state, desperation in Ukraine and West as the reality of the War has sunk in.
Which makes me wonder where these large, more complex, longer range UAVs are being produced in Ukraine - certainly not by children in schools. I'm somewhat surprised that Russia hasn't found the locations yet - but then, Ukraine is a large country and it's people, whilst ruled by nazis, are very clever, as most slavs are.
We can wonder but as you say, there are clever people (cunning) in Ukraine and elsewhere. War is a perfect way to make people do the most for their country.
Actually even that is not correct, but that does not make it any better.
There are large MIC facilities inside Ukraine that have not been destroyed and are still running.
It is far from just small UAV production, we are talking small arms, ammo, etc. Still running, not hit.
For what reasons we can only guess.
But just last week I remember seeing somewhere that Ukraine was providing a third of its own weapons. Given the scale of the weapon consumption, that is a huge amount in absolute terms.
Meanwhile Russia spent thousands of cruise missiles on small transformers that were replaced/fixed within a couple days...
>I'm somewhat surprised that Russia hasn't found the locations yet
Given what else has not been touched, why is that surprising?
Also, remember the stories about Rheinmetal setting up factories in Ukraine? Then there was a story about how the first one opened.
Long before that and also shortly after it opened Medvedev talked about how it would be immediately destroyed.
Have you heard about a strike on it? Presumably we would have heard about it, right?
So what are we to conclude here?
Also, remember how the big plant that makes fuses and other military-related stuff in Shostka was quite spectacularly hit a few months ago, and then hit several more times later on. How do you keep that object not touched three years into the war? And it is right next to the Russian border too, GMLRS can hit it with ease from deep inside the Kursk and Bryansk regions.
Trumps understanding of the elasticity of supply and demand in the oil and gas business is that of a toddler.
Saudi Arabia is supposed to increase oil supply, lower prices and .... What.? Fund the Saudi Economy from retained earnings? How is S.A. going to invest $500 Billion to $1 Trillion into the U.S while losing hundreds of billions pumping oil to replace Russian oil.
And the U.S. Oil/Gas Corporations are to lower prices, and fund drilling and fracking? What, from borrowing?
Indeed. If you just follow a couple of ”incorrect” people, does no liking and no posting (because the first account was suspended) what is then the explanation?
Regarding the midair collision near Reagan Airport. It would have been worse if the air traffic controllers, military flight crew, and civilian flight crew had not been fully vaccinated for Covid-19. Thank you Mr Warp Speed and Dr Fauci. We can't wait for Stargate Project.
What the hell is good enough for you lol? Just reinstated our service men with back pay. Released the J6 prisoner who would as political prisoners would have languished in prison forever. And all without help from tinfoil hatted nut jobs like you.
I know I know it’s all scripted and we are following some crazy Jew plan lol. You guys had me on the Jews for a bit just last year. Just sayin. That was until i realized how mentally unstable all of you really are lol. Let me tell you something, if the Jew shit is real you morons are their best friends.
Y’all gotta stop being fucking stupid if you want to win …..🤦♂️
You are correct in noting Trump's "transactional nature". The last hopeful transactional candidate was Ross Perot. The rest (from Reagan onward were either soft or hard idealogues or puppets). Trump's nature is to exploit opportunities - exploitation and opportunism work in the "real" world as we all do it in our daily lives. Once the masses understand this then they will also understand that men like Trump also look at problems from the standpoint of "how to fix it". He is neither an idealogue not a puppet...
Good news for poor blackrock banks and the media conglomerates. January 2025, the U.S. Department of Commerce recognized Jew owned businesses as Minority Business Enterprises (MBEs). Trumps idea of DEI.
AND - In 2022 the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), changed the electrocardiogram (ECG) markers that measure the ‘PR interval’. This is the time it takes for an electrical impulse to travel from one part of heart to another and is an indicator of heart health. The new limit is 50 per cent longer than the previous limit, and means that if a pilot has developed a heart condition, it could slip past.
I don't know about that, even 300 ms PR interval is a pretty severe First-degree atrioventricular block, likely to progress to second or third degree in time. I was appalled when that was normalised by the FAA, when 200 ms had been the upper limit to pass a flight physical for generations.
In January 1994, as a foreign visitor to the US, I travelled on a train from Chicago to New Orleans. Clinton's new policy of "gays in the military" was making a few waves. I overheard the train bar staff discussing the subject........ "Well, we won't win any wars, but we'll have the most FABULOUS parades!"
It seems like Ukrianian drone strikes are following Zaluzhnys docterine of more rockets and drones.
Ukraine special services are also waging a covert war against the Russian economy and shipping and interests worldwide. Quite recently a Russian oil tanker sank under mysterious circumstances - it seems that while losing on the battlefield, it is winning the "covert war". And Russia does nothing to "allied" shipping to put the pressure on the American economy in turn.
The question is - will Russia bend Ukraine before Ukraine collapses its economy?
You got a point in the situation that Russia doesn’t repost, but still this Ukrainian generation is totally broken, swept away even if all oil and gaz tankers are send to the bottom of the ocean. I never expect a final winner, only a Vietnam alike but in decades episodes.
It's been the best part of a year since Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy infrastructure started. But check out the websites that track world energy prices and you find that the ruble prices of petrol and diesel are up only around 10% yoy, this equalling the official general inflation rate. LPG is only up 2% yoy. Natural gas is near the cheapest in the world at less than a US cent per kWh. Electricity is also only a fraction of the cost in the West at under 10 US cents per kWh. All Ukraine's efforts to this point could be honestly said to have had zero visible effect on the internal Russian energy market.
no the question is the import of your first part: is america winning the covert war?
that's the point.
the whole point.
We don't need to give a dam about the battlefield war any more. Donetsk and Lunhansk and such as we have of Kherson and Zapho will do for the time being. It wasn't long ago that Putin was ready to let them go, remember?
Well no they don't have to be 'let go' but they don't have to be painfully won on the battlefield either. Political victory can include stipulation they go to Russia.
What matters is not the 'war with Ukraine' (meaning the Kiev regime) at all, as I see it. What matters is the war with America.
When are going to start calling a war, a war?
When are we going to start calling aggression, 'aggression'. America is an aggressor. America wages virtual open warfare against Russia.
We all know it.
I think America even declares it so from time to time doesn't it?
So we need no negotiations with Kiev. No peace treaties with Kiev. We need negotiations and peace treaties with Washingon.
I don't know how that works out but I reckon its what we need.
Time to call a spade a spade and murderous bunch of warmongering bandits what they are.
I think Russia has to start picking targets that hurt America.
Bring it on. There'll never be a better time, it's only going to get worse.
Everyone frightened to fight America because of the nuclear threat, in the end.
F**k it. They got to be stopped.
Just at least change the language and call a spade a spade: 'we are at war with America' and act accordingly.
p.s. or perhaps slightly better to point out; 'America is waging war on us' because they are the initiator after, the provoker, the maintainer.... the profiteer...
I just saw today an article naming Palantir and Unduril as places 'to invest' because of the success of their drones in attacking russia's oil refineries. Clear profit to America. Clear America at war with Russia. How much clearer does it need to be?
I realise of course that it is usual, normal and I suppose totally acceptable for a nation at war to be able to buy things from outside to help it in its struggle and those suppliers from outside are not actually held to be participating in the war, not active hostiles.
But when they sell only to one side and not the other?
When they sell on credit to a nation with nothing?
And when they provide targeting information?
And when they do the controlling of the flight?
And when they actually press the trigger even?
And when they mount aggressive acts on the other nation: sanctions etc ?
And when they propagandise endlessly about the other nation?
usa does all of that and more.
Does any sane person have any doubt at all?
America is waging war on Russia.
Let it be said, confessed to, stipulated, announced, broadcast, clearly...
And if your nation supports the usa then your nation too is attacking Russia.
The EU and London are parties to this war. Perhaps the major ones. America is supposed to supply the money and materials. If the EU and London didn’t want this war it would stop.
The perfidious Albion’ banking cartel needs desperately this war against Russia. Currently, British bankers took over the regulation of US “financial system.” The real owners of the collective west are becoming more visible.
yes, could be. who the major players are is a big mystery. for all our internet etc. we still know little. who was running america whilst biden sputtered?
we need a lot of air clearing solid facts and distinguishing of mechanisms and players.
perhaps the eu and uk promote the war as much as they can, alright. but it is/was the american congress that voted billions to ukraine and those billions kept it going.
so there's a mechanism and 'players' clearly identified so we can investigate that further and when we do we find vast Israeli influence in congress. some claim the whole congress is owned by israel in fact. so is that relevant? does that mean they directed the congress to vote that way? that they are/were the ones keeping it going.
traditionally we expect jews to be at the head of all big banking and munitions businesses. in fact at the head of the american nation. well big banking and big munitions are profiting mightily from this war. right there in usa, without needing any eu or uk urging.
It seems most unlikely doesn't it? Yet that must be the goal. Peace between usa and russia. Do you remember in his first term or whilst campaigning Trump proposed it?
I think it possible. Russian people would allow it. We just need American people to wake up from their dream, throw off their chains, take control of their country and they'd probably allow it, too.
It is only our lunatic 'elite' (the must utterly un-elite I can imagine actually) that would not/will not ever stop their rapacious, greedy, homicidal conduct.
Not the people.
We are in the habit of confusing the lunatic 'elites' that run countries with the people themselves.
This is the tradition of historians and chroniclers, pundits and prophets: to speak of 'nations' and 'countries' as though they were actual living entities deliberately steering courses through history with their own motivations, destinies, desires, needs,, purposes, hereditary grudges et al.
Hence 'russia will never allow this' and 'france will never allow that' and 'china will always this' and so on.
There's libraries filled with books that talk like this. Big libraries. Massive libraries. It is THE way to talk of human history.
But it is not true, not valid and not human history. It is the history of ruling elite almost always vicious, brutal, selfish etc because stemming from animal origins/tribalism, dominance of the strong.
Let the people once emancipate themselves and perhaps have it filter into their dim consciousnesses what being a citizen of a democracy entails: understanding and participation - and then the courses plotted by nations could be radically different and could reflect the wishes and needs of people; be human courses.
A good start would be a mind meeting venue, a voice for people better and beyond and more suited and unarguably valid than the ad hoc voices presented by social media.
Democracy is only for those with a stomach loaded, having a roof above your head, bread on the table but that doesn’t work no more. Everyone a Tesla or sort of, going regularly to Michelin star’s restaurants, having a bank account with credits, full of them as in France and the whole west, paying taxes also sponsoring wars like in Ukraine and Israel. Problem is not everyone can dispose of this for a lifetime, as a result the whole democratic card house collapses. We had more than 2000 wars in 2000 years of civilisation and I foresee no end to them ever, but I do see a progress in property, a better and easier life for all those surviving these wars, even at the loss of the majority of people. All our good intentions of peace and wishing well for all is never seen in the whole of history, in books ok in real life, nope. La condition humaine est plus bas que les animaux. People kill for fun and out of cruelty, merciless no animal does.
nobody knows what/who democracy is good for. It is all speculation. democracy has never been tried.
ancient greek 'democracy' was nonesuch: it was the privilege of a select few.
the democracy we envisage today and often think we have, claim we have, insist other people should, insist we are protecting, etc. etc.. is where every man has a vote. every woman, too, of course. every adult.
and everyone has a commensurate obligation but that bit is never mentioned, never thought of.
such a democracy has come anywhere near realisation.
have you done the simple math and know how many people one congressman in america represents? about half a million.
there's how close that paragon, the exemplar, of 'democracy' has gotten to one man one vote.
if you read the material I linked you'll know more.
Democracy has been tried but it goes against the grain of human nature. Aren’t we the offspring of a brother murderer Kain? Wasn’t he our brother too? Who wrote about our selfish genes? If sperm wasn’t pushing and bypassing the other 4.999.999 you would not breathe the air that surrounds you.There were opposite experiments, Epicurist, hedonists and many others all over the world, all failed. So that leaves Anarchy and that will fail too! Is our destiny only a matter how we get organised together in the outer world, or are there signs as far as human origins show us, that it everywhere you search on the outside, you’re bound to fail, even directions AI, Stargate, Mars, our Solar system colliding with Andromeda which advances to us with a speed of 400 thousand miles an hour, destroying all history that we crawled over Mother Earth in our modest solar system. So where do we go from here, it’s everywhere to find except…there.
In WWII the German production plants were under permanent bombardment. Day by Day thousands of Allied planes were over Germany. But the peak production was in autumn of '44. Then the Germans had lost so much land with its resources that they could not maintain the production. Despite all the film evidence of burning plants, railway stations, and busted dams, the production went up and up and up, so do not overstate the pictures and videos of a burning "Russian Economy". One could ask, would the Allies have won the war earlier if they had not produced the big bombers but instead produced tanks, guns, and fighter-bombers?
An excellent example of that is Ukraine itself, I already lost count of the number of missiles it received in its infrastructure, and it is still working.
The Russians are still being careful with the Ukrainian population, but I would be more careful with over-stinging the bear
Yep. It survives. How? If blowing up oil storage is effective surely Kiev Ukraine would be powerless by now?
I realise it does damage to Russia's economy and that doesn't apply to Kiev because they have no economy left, I think, anyway, they rely on money from america, but in pure physical terms: things the oil is used for: transport, industry. How does Kiev Ukraine keep going?
And it doesn't just keep going, despite the constant retreating in the Donbas it attacks fiercely all the time in Kursk.
And how much of Donbas retreat is strategic/political/pretence? For the Donbas is not their land anyway. It is what they invaded. It is clear now they are going to have to live without it in the future so why bust your guts trying to keep it?
The never ending litany of how depleted Kiev Ukraine is in every possible aspect has been running for two years now. I hear ridiculous things. A battalion, I think, down to 10 men. 'guarding', 'holding', the front assigned to a battalion. And so on. That kind of thing. If that were the case the Russian and Donbas forces would simply be walking across the country. Despite appearances that is not what they are doing. They are fighting.
It profits Kiev Ukraine greatly if everyone thinks they are in dire straits.
I've given you a like because that's important information if it's true. But is it true? I remember some weeks there when I was hearing about oil storage in Odessa, for instance, being destroyed and so on...
It is an excellent example of how comprador elites will actively work towards the destruction of their own country. And I don't mean the elites in Kiev, I mean the ones in Moscow.
Ukraine "is still working" because there is a firm political veto by the Kremlin on the kind of strikes that will make it stop working.
The Russian army is perfectly capable of shutting the whole place down within 24 hours using just conventional means (I can give you a list of the targets if you want), and of ensuring the war will be won within half an hour using more serious tools. It has not been done for three full years now because of Putin and the oligarchs that control him.
From what I read, Allied planes bombed the less risky residential area, since the production plants/military objects were well defended, and since workers' homes were destroyed and they had nowhere to go, they just slept/lived at their work place, worked longer hours, being more productive, hence the higher output.
The Americans conducted precision bombing, largely because the British bomber aircraft could not surive over Germany during daylight while Americans could.
The nordsen bomb sights despite being only second to the Manhattan project for cost so they used terrorist fire bombing of civilians. We're pure evil, in some ways worse than Hitler. Never forget, we refused Jewish refugees.
British tried daylight bombing. Didn't work. Switched to nighttime. Wasn't good but was tolerable. Americans came in and said they'd do daylight precision bombing because they'd been practising incessantly and were shit hot. British warned them against it. It didn't work. Americans went to nighttime bombing too. Later in the war, America's Mustang fighter came along and was able to protect bombers deeper into Germany because it had bigger fuel tanks than the British fighters. Losses were still bad though. Then they put the British Merlin engine in the Mustang and suddenly the allies were able to dominate the sky over Germany even in daylight. The fact that Germany was being out produced in aircraft by the allies in the later part of the war was a big factor too.
thanks for that. saved me the trouble of asking how the hell that could have been. so in essence the paradox of how production can increase while you smash the means of production is solved by the fact that you only pretend to smash the means while actually aiming at soft targets. What we might call the 'american' or 'israeli' tactic. We might and it fits but further comments remind me it was the british tactic too. well that figures. that country run by the same people as those two.
No, this is a myth. The not-needed persons (children, the old, mothers with children) were evacuated to secure zones; e.g., to Austria, my grandparents had to house such people. The German (and Czech!) workforce was relatively small; the remaining housing was more than enough. The major part of the low-level workforce was slave labor from Eastern Europe, and they lived in concentration camps, which were not bombed intentionally. Real qualified work was outsourced to the countryside; the plants were beneath the earth (mines or tunnels), and the German (and the other European) engineers lived in the small villages around. The German AA-defense was stationary around the cities; it did not matter if you attacked the production facilities or the living quarters. (I know, there are some exceptions, like the AA-towers in Vienna). In the academic/military circles they discuss, if the amount of AA-guns would have been better moved as AT-guns to the East, or if the AA ammunition would have been better produced as artillery shells, because it was sometimes more than half of the total production. This academic discussion brings us back to Ukraine: if all these resources for "strategic" targets were used for the frontlines, the situation might be better.
Ok, but explain if 'the not-needed persons (children, the old, mothers with children) were evacuated to secure zones; e.g., to Austria' who were comprising the volkssturm and hitlerjugend groups in 1945 in Berlin?
Most German cities were not part of the military production lines. There were no evacuations for non-military plants. These cities had huge losses in civilian life. Therefore, the civilian losses in the Ruhr, Linz, or Schweinfurt are minor, in Hamburg or Berlin very bad. You see the same picture in Italy; Livorno had very small losses in civilian life, opposite to Naples or Roma. And do not forget the refugees from the East; the most "successful" bombing raid was against Dresden, a city full of refugees—but these absurd things were British ideas. No wonder that the Germans (and Italians!) were willing to join the Volkssturm.
I understand re.: above, but still, in the war, the info people get is restricted to areas/knowledge/lore. My own family lines were on different sides @WW2, and some of the knowledge I sure 'knew' was true, turned out BS on close scrutiny.
There were almost no PGMs back then. In fact, the development of PGMs began for the first time precisely because of how ineffective those bombings were.
Long-range PGMs change the picture completely.
Now a cheap Ukrainian drone can hit very precisely the distillation column of a refinery and take it out for a long time. And that is happening every night.
Given the fact that Russia has conquered a great deal of Ukraine's natural resources in the Donbass, and will never give them up, I think Russia has already technically "won" the war - rare earths, farmland fisheries and ports, fuel, coal, coking chemicals, steel and various lower elemental ores, Russia has taken many trillions from Ukraine. Combined with Russia's population growth from the war - several million at least fled into Russia from Ukraine at the SMO's outset, I think Russia has already achieved "technical" victory.
I guess my point is, I wonder when "enough will be enough" - I would very much like the war to end just for humanitarian and stability reasons - as cynical as the Gaza "ceasefire" is, it's nice to not have the Palestinians not being bombed to splinters (as much). I want the same for Ukraine. I don't think Trump has any real leverage over Russia but he certainly has plenty over Ukraine - hopefully he can tard wrangle Zelensky and the rest into a victory-surrender.
My final prediction - best case scenario for Ukraine - the line freezes around here, Ukraine is demilitarized but quasi let into the European Union in some form, economic stabilization etc etc. Nato is off the table obviously - not even sure why Ukraine wants to be let into Nato at this point, aside from the United States there is no firepower in Nato, Nato should be asking to join Ukraine.
Worst case scenario for Ukraine - their army routs and cracks and falls all the way back to Zaporhiza city and Kiev and digs in like termites. Everything east of the Dnieper becomes russia or at least under heavy Russian dominion, everything west of the Dnieper becomes a failed state / refugee vortex that further destabilizes the EU. The US says "aw shucks" and goes and invades panama or something.
In other words, there's no "lose scenario" for Russia now - it's either win a lot with more bloodshed or when a significant amount with less bloodshed. I don't know which path will be chosen - I wish all these sanctions and tariffs on Russia would be lifted to lower the price of food, fuel and fertilizer globally but I guess "lowering the price of eggs" has already been forgotten as a campaign promise - sigh...
It is easy to trace your anguish as we all has been following this War for 3 years now.
WW2 lasted six years.
Sadly it doesnt matter if Russia has a technical win over Ukraine. Russia is under threat, a deadly one, as long as West is nurturing this War. And you can listen carefully when Karja Kallas call for the disintegration of the Russian Federation. She and others are firmly commited to forever War with Russia.
The first scenario you choosed as the good one is exactly the deranged points that surfaced as the Trump plan. It is in no way a Peace or a development that bode well for the future.
The second one means more killing and destruction but will create a more ”stable” border along Dniepr and cripple Ukraine for a long time. As such it is no Peace or a solution for the end of hostilities between West and Russia.
I doubt any of us can think in a realistic way and in the dark hours I think Europe needs a moment of insight. A moment so unspeakable horrorful that they finally reach awareness of how stupid they have been to let US exeptionalism start a big War, dragging in Europe as well, and risk the prosperity for generations to come.
Yep. The fact is Russia is at war with America. Whether it likes it or not.
And it needs to put it plainly and clearly and start drawing up battle lines and finding allies.
It needs warlike commitments from its allies.
And it needs to start making warlike actions on america's allies.
America and the west can bring down Russia.
But so can Russia and its allies, however few and weak they are, bring down america.
For it is america that has the least. It has a massive front of propaganda and bluster but it has f*** all military supremacy and it has a totally rotten economic background, underpinning that relies solely on the world dumbly accepting newly printed american dollars as worthwhile currency. and dumb slavish acceptance by all lackeys of america's 'sanctions' regimes. All that could fail overnight.
Overnight america could be stripped of its lackeys and the worth of its paper and 'might' of its sanctions. Its an emperor with no clothes.
Russia needs to hang in long enough to get some of these fence sitters on side and while it is doing it russia needs to proclaim to the world that america has no clothes.
Forget 'Ukraine'. It's not ' Ukraine' anyway. It is "Kiev Ukraine' which means Ukraine minus 10 million Donbas Ukrainians. And it's no even that for how many Kiev Ukrainians want to die in this war? No. It's not 'Ukraine' at all. It is a lunatic Kiev regime, fronting for the usa.
Ukraine has nothing to do with it. It is all usa and russia.
Russia has to call it what it is and Russia has to show this 'emperor' is naked and Russia needs to start fighting and hurting this 'emperor'. And I don't know how they can do any of that. Fortunately they're smarter than me.
"Ukraine has nothing to do with it. It is all usa and russia."
^^^THIS^^^
A one sentence CliffsNotes to summarize the shit-show the Americans are sponsoring. The USA! USA! USA! couldn't beat the Vietnamese or Afghans but will somehow win against the Russians in their own back yard? A resounding FUCK NO.
Despite your histrionic shouting and swearing the fact is that america is to date winning inasmuch as it has profited massively while Russia is, of course, losing money all the time.
It is not 'in their own back yard' at all. It is a global conflict with global ramifications and repercussions. Syria was/is part of this. Gaza was/is part of this. Because for instance relations with Israel are part of Russia's political stance and essential fibre.
Now the latest sanctions raise the cost of transporting russian fuel to where china and india do not buy russian fuel. that is very damaging to Russia.
America did not lose in vietnam any more than it loses in Cuba.
America destroys Vietnam and Cuba via sanctions, impoverishes, beggars these places. Causes generations of hardship, pain and suffering via sanctions to nations while itself pursuing its course unconcerned and unhurt - the investors and workers and owners of the military industrial complex businesses all fat and happy.
That's a victory, son, a victory, in the inhuman bean counter terms, methods of measurement. that's why they keep doing it.
America loses in human terms, sure enough, in spiritual terms it is blackened and blighted. The heart and soul of the nation becomes a deformed and inhuman thing.
But that's not the kind of victory or loss you are talking about. You are talking purely military victory: well America wins.
You don't think it does because a military victory to you is a tank standing in the main square of some town/village/city/nation and remaining there as representative of 'victory' and overlordship of that place.
You're a bit simplistic and slow in your comprehension. The tank leaves, the plunder having been taken, the city sacked, and the 'caravan' moves on to sack another town/village/city/nation elsewhere.
That's what military victories truly are: politics by other means and what are politics in america? business by other means. and what is business? profit. And american business profits all over the world by fomenting wars and strife and by oppressing people.
America is a fat leech sucking the blood of the world and while a leech is alive and sucking blood it is 'victorious', see?
And america for three years has sucked the blood of Ukrainians and Russians alike.
US cannot win a war even WWII, without Russian Army taking Berlin it would still be fighting Germany, and it still is in some economic sense, but the Wirkschaftwunder is losing momentum, don’t worry Germany is the EU and will rise as a Phoenix, that’s where there good in. The Economic Trump wars are extremely ambitious, but as far as I can see I see the 500 billion stargate project already a dead born child, a Chinese rat already ran with the cheese, and much much cheaper deepseek. American weapon industry is too expensive and inaccurate Russian use cheap Chinese, Iranian and nord Korean and with much more effect and above all cheaper! I can go on and on, the US is on its deathbed economically, geopolitically, military and as RFK. Jr. Said we are the sickest nation on earth, the utmost expensive in health care, we are overvaccinated, overmedicated and to ensure that we keep with both feet on the ground although stumbling all the time, we’re on Fentanyl and Opioids.
America is sick alright--morally sick. That is the fundamental sickness of America.
The USA always tries to demonizes its conga line of hated enemies from the Soviet "Evil Empire" in the Old Cold War to the "Axis of Evil" nations in the War on Terror to Russia and China in the New Cold War.
But the USA's demonization campaigns are nothing more than an Orwellian attempt to project America's demonic character onto other nations--all the while pushing the Big Lie that the USA is a Beacon of Liberty and a Force for Good in the world.
As Vladimir Putin famously stated, the United States of America is the Empire of Lies.
For Russia to call a spade a spade it needs less cautious leadership in the Kremlin. The conduct of this war in the Ukraine has been an example of Russian patience and caution. That may have worked for a time. But the west is intent on defeating and destroying Russia. The Russians and Chinese and Iranians must have the same mindset too in regards to bringing down the west. Perhaps they are looking at doing it via peaceful means only. If so, that's commendable up to a point. But the west needs at least a strong smack in the face to remind them that they are not dealing with another Libya or Iraq. We have not seen such a geopolitical smack yet.
'The west' is not intent on defeating and destroying russia. 'The West' is nearly a billion people who just want peace. The lunatic overlords of the west they are intent on plundering Russia. They are. Not the people. And the west IS the people despite this centuries old habit of describing nations, talking of nations, plotting the course of nations, predicting the actions of nations, as though they were living entities of their own and using the actions, thoughts, motivations of various gangs of 'elites' and despotic rulers for data.
2025. Internet. AI. Time for people to begin to manifest and take over. Inherit their own kingdom.
>'The west' is not intent on defeating and destroying russia. 'The West' is nearly a billion people who just want peace.
Not true unfortunately.
How many people do you think were responsible for what the Nazis did to Russia in WWII?
Just a tiny elite?
That tiny elite was rounding up people in random villages in Belarus and setting them on fire, shooting everyone who tried to crawl out of the inferno?
Please.
It was many millions of people all over the continent who wanted Russia destroyed.
Those people have descendants who have never quite gotten over it, and now see an opportunity for revenge.
Karaganov said it best -- "Let Germany burn, it deserves it for everything it has done"
Lunatic madnesses overtake whole populations but that doesn't at all mean that's their permanent mindset.
People want peace and are docile. The both. Perhaps to a fault.
Because they are so peace loving and docile they become easily manipulated into - as we see in Ukraine - attacking their own people for no good reason and without any prospect of any profit to themselves.
>And it needs to start making warlike actions on america's allies.
There is a fundamental asymmetry here that right now works catastrophically against Russia because of its internal weakness, but also is the key to Russia winning the war with America.
Which is that America refuses to fight directly and uses proxies, and those proxies are not even on its own continent.
Thus when push comes to shove and the question is whether America is willing to go up in the nuclear flames itself or watch its proxies get destroyed, the rational decision will always be to stand down.
Russia can destroy the proxies at any moment of its wishing, ending the whole game.
But for that to happen, Russian elites will have to be willing to sacrifice their own comforts and carry out internal reforms that will reduce their power and wealth. They refuse to do it, so Russia is losing.
"But so can Russia and its allies, however few and weak they are, bring down america."
This is a joke, right? What kind of planet do you live on where China is "weak?"
The US's vassals are the ones that are weak. Every single one of their economies has either flatlined, is in recession, or is growing so weakly that they can't make ends meet. In contrast, the global majority, the seven out of eight billion people who like trading with Russia, include the world's rapid growth powers, like Russia's friends in BRICS+.
Just China and India alone, two staunch friends of Russia, account for almost a third of the world's population. The US depends on China for almost everything that Americans buy or use. Russia also has a very tight friendship with the Saudis and other energy superpowers.
So no, Russia's friends are neither "few" nor are they "weak." As for bringing down America, they don't give a hoot about that. They know the US will do a perfectly good job of bringing itself down all on its own. Stunts like weaponizing the dollar have guaranteed that the world is making the slow motion move away from US financial hegemony, and extraordinarily cretinous stunts like threatening military action against Denmark to seize Greenland, or against Panama to seize the canal, means nobody in their right minds trusts the US. Doh.
Russia is defeating the US and the US's stooges in Ukraine. The EU has become completely irrelevant, other than as an object of ridicule for how they get down on their knees and pretend to like it when the US tells them to swallow whatever, ahem, the US sends their way.
Russia and China and the other new poles of civilization, like India, are busy developing their own economies and societies, growing successfully and establishing a community of nations interested in trade and development. They don't particularly care that the US has marginalized itself as yesterday's hegemon.
The point inherent in my language, as you would note if you approached it in the spirit of enquiry rather than as a tedious borderline gratuitous abusive 'ad hominer' refers to the fact that we don't know who Russia's allies are as yet
Nobody has stood up to declare themselves firmly on Russia's side in military terms.
China staunchly denies supplying any weapons at all and makes the point things would be very different if it had. Which point itself indicates that Russia for all its vaunted predominance in weapons has some shortcomings - else the Chinese point would be invalid.
One may look at Russia's supposed allies and select a number that are small and weak quite definitely. One may look at Russia's supposed allies and decide their support is 'small and weak'.
And the statement does not say that all Russia's support is perforce decidedly small and weak. Not at all.
It makes the point that even if it were small and weak: which it currently is, they could still bring the USA down.
Which fact you then spend the rest of your tirade supporting.
So I find your approach and your post offensive, mistaken and redundant all at the same time. And a waste of my time. I won't waste any more.
Nobody has stood up to declare themselves on whose side they’re on, well it’s a waste of time to find out when you know for a fact, that all the humans spent on both side, that those who got in this war unwillingly, are now firm to go to the end, last soldier, civilian, old and young men, women and on both sides. No cease fire or peace treaty can bring them back, and Ukrainians not the contractors or legionnaires have payed a higher price than the Russians, 8 or 10 to one and that’s what counts, not the waste of time as you said but a waste of lives.
When you start giving any of your time to listen to the likes of Kallas you need to realise you're wasting your time. It doesn't matter if it's her Baerbock or Von De Liar. Word for word they repeat their script from one of Soros sponsored script writing NGO's. Haven't you realised talk is cheap? Who's going to be the next country stupid enough to sacrifice itself for this globalist extremism? Kallas will repeat anything the highest bidder tells her to say. What do her Baerbock & Von De Liar have in common? A severe lack of intelligence, a failed political career & no interest in doing what's best for any EU citizens.
People who fails listening are those who runs around ignorant of what is being played before their eyes. There is no script from Soros, these woman in power are reading from. They believe in this shit and are acting accordingly. Not listen to what they are saying is just stupid.
Sadly! They really believe in this sh##t. And there is a very simple explanation, Main Stream Media, where you read how things should be, but not the facts.
"Main Stream Media, where you read how things should be?" I would say the straight bluff and lies have nothing to do with "how things should be." Should be where and for whom?
Ya'all realize BIG changes are coming to EU & NATO [and Ukraine] as all foreign aid and NGO funding has now STOPPED, and audits begin ... forensic audits, I might add ... with Russian intelligence services assisting the new Trump administration. A lot of people want to see those pesky bioweapons labs eliminated ... forever. Military aid to Ukraine is going, going ... GONE. Trump is giving Putin TIME to taķe beyond the Dnieper down to Odessa. Lvov may be the new Capital of what's left of Ukraine. Hungary, Poland and Slovakia are researching their historic claims to areas of Western Ukraine. A 300-mile buffer zone, policed by Wagner and Russia, will fan out from the new borders of "NovoRusia". Eventually, new territories will be offered referendums ... like Crimea, like Donbass. Hopefully we are seeing the birth of a multipolar 'harmonious' Central Europe .... and a permanent end to nazification and fascism. The British Remnant is going to endure a slow and painful death ... karma for the centuries they have perpetrated brutal colonialism and war profiteering upon the world (INCLUDING America since 1778). The Perfidious Albions, Anglo-Saxon ELites, flesh-eating vampires are history. GoBearsZ and Hooray for a reconstituted, rehabilitated American Republic.
That's not at all for sure at this time. Trump's cabinet is all warhawks. Trump's backers are all plutocrats obsessed with control and money. Trump himself talks like a bully right now: I'll take this, I'll take that, we'll rename this and we'll rename that...
I think there's a good chance this regime will outperform even Biden's in inhuman destructive lunacy. Even perhaps to where it finally goads the whole world into turning on america finally and putting it back in its box.
You are probably right -- I didn’t really emphasize the U.S. non-role in the Russia/Ukraine outcome … Trump’s a lame duck …. but there are others around this administration that are taking names and documenting war crimes and terrorism -- bioweaponry is a greater threat than nuclear, IMO. Britain IS going down [along with NATO/EU] … and there just might be some room for hopefulness that Americans can and will re-constitute our Republic once those influencers are rendered IRRELEVANT (vapid, stupid, destructive). Unlike Alex Christoforou, I believe there IS a reverse gear … it will be imposed from the outside in. If I was 20 yrs younger (73 this year), I would be volunteering for the Russian military and on my way to becoming a Russian citizen. Preferably training in Chechnya and applying to Wagner. GoBearsZ. Russia is the hope for the world ….
The fact is that the EU wants this war. If they have been at all dragged in, it has been by London. Sure the US is in it but because Ukraine is a globalist project to neuter Russia. I think this will become more obvious when the US moves to pull back. London and the EU will scream bloody murder. Ha.
Yes.The Brexit, non EU state, Little Britain managed to drag the entire EU into the War. You had fanatical Poles and Suedes drooling about Revenge before that but anyone could see that Germany and Scholtz was reluctant. So was Macron and France until Putin told the Dwarf he was a p***y (and killed some French Legion soldiers in Ukraine).
The Woman on top, von der Leyen, is only doing some opportunistic Only-fan-job for her own sake of becoming a Historic…………..failure.
"The first scenario you choosed as the good one is exactly the deranged points that surfaced as the Trump plan. It is in no way a Peace or a development that bode well for the future."
Yeah...I just...I just want the war to end lol. I know it's not gonna happen but then again I still thought Israelis would be obliterating palestinian schools right now, a man can dream. I always hoped Ukranians would "rise up" against Zelenksy and say "no more" but unfortunately like their ideological forefather Nazis berlin will be burning around their heads and still saying "heil zelensky"
And the saddest part is that schoolkids all over Europe has learned the
”Holocaust gospel” of ”never again” transforming WW2 to a question of jewish existence instead of what it was, a totally unnecessary War as Pat Buchanan described it in his book.
Ukraine became independent in the 90-ties and those dying know were born without communism or just kids.
But as you say, these Nazi ideology, was never uprooted.
As far as I know, the USA has always prospered at the expense of European wars, first with the Napoleonic Wars, which gave it time to consolidate and obtain an incredible amount of territory (which was splitting the current country in half) at a ridiculous price. And then, of course, the first and second world wars. Let's say that Europeans are not very good students of history, and those from the USA are
I disagree with your analysis that the war should be stopped to save Ukrainians for humanitarian reasons. Ukrainians are pawns being manipulated by Polish and Lithuanian nationalists who want to resurrect the Polish-Lithuanian Empire from the 17th century. These resurgent imperialists want color revolutions, EU expansion, and a creeping political takeover of the EU by the EU eastern flank countries(including Estonia). The rise of Kaja Kallas is evidence their plan has made substantial progress.
Ukrainians, lured by manipulative promises, chose pawnhood and consequently, their future is out of their control. Allowing Ukraine to join the EU would play into the hands of the Polish-Lithuanian imperialists, and it wouldn't take long for them to attempt another color revolution in Belarus. Russia will never be secure as long as the Poles and Lithuanians believe they can bring back their empire at Russia's expense.
There's no such thing like Polish-Lithuanian nationalistic alliance. If it were, there would be at least some sense in it. Lithuania is not only anty-Russian, but also anti-Polish, in very similar way like the Banderite regime is. Lithuania is stripping Polish minorities of rights to use Polish language and keep Polish schools. In Poland no major political force is treating Lithuania seriously. It's erringly strange that in Poland we hardly have any news from Lithuania at all. If we have any, is about Lithuania blocking rail access to rafinery own by Polish Orlen or about closing yet another Polish school. Or about a politician fantasizing on destroying Russia. Both Lithuania and Poland support Banderites, because they are perceived as a tool to weaken Russia. There's no strong cooperation of PL and Lithuania, and a lot of animosities. Way more strong ties are withing the group of PL, CZ, HU and SK (yet it's almost halted since the start of the SMO).
Again! The Dnieper is not a barrier; this river is connecting people and the economy. In all the wars that were fought in Ukraine from the Ottomans to the Poles, the Swedes, and the Austrians and Germans, no one ever successfully used the Dnieper as a barrier.
eh...there's a reason russians crossed out of kherson - with those bridges cut logistics would have been hellish for russia, would they have held, sure, especially if they chucked a few tac nukes, which they considered doing, but ukraine would have fought on the advantage there, russia always seems to seek the advantage both tactically and strategically so that means "staying behind the river" in this case
the advent of mass drone warfare i think makes traditional river crossing tactics hellish - pontoon bridges, landing craft, beachhead bases, all these things would be swarmed with such a terrifying amount of drones it makes my skin crawl to think about it. Keep in mind that the Dnieper circles ukraines "core" so they really could flood thousands of drones at any russian landing party - russia has not meaningfully attrited ukraines drone pilot corp, arguably the best in the world, or its insane drone production "meth lab" factories no doubt seeded all around the country
to a certain extent, this "river crossing battle" has already been fought, but in reverse - Ukraine's "Operation Krynky" was a small version of crossing the Dnieper - it ended so, so horribly for Ukraine. The russians basically killed everyone that crossed the river.
i think if russia crosses the dnieper to take Odessa, it will only happen if the Ukraine army has already been functionally destroyed and ukraine put to flight around the entire battlefield
The retreat was done because the Ukrainians could generate floodings and wash away any logistics. There are some other dams, but not one is as massive as the destroyed one. And all historic river crossing were done north of Zaporoshie. Krynky ended as horrible as any attac by the Ukrainians, you can not attac against an enemy with massive artillery supriority, the same story as in the Kursk area.
Your best case scenario is a non starter for Russia. They would still be under the constant threat from drone attacks that they are experiencing now. They are going to have to take all of Ukraine now or otherwise "control" the western rump in such a manner that their safety is assured. Anything less will be a defeat for Putin and the Russian State and her people... Chip
Wrong again…France a budget never to be accomplished, 66 thousand companies in th Seine, 20 restaurants close their doors, Michelin, Auchan, Air France all flying on one engine, Germany….a war industry? Go begging Uncle Sam and all goes to Bibi
Of course you understand only your own logic, the logic of Russia behind the iron curtain and its people retarded. Russia wants those missiles to strike deep, its only purpose is to enforce the will to go on with this war to the bloody end, and be sure American soldiers qualify for more blood than Russian soldiers, they’re overweight, on drugs, too fat and full of blood.
Right now the war is a catastrophic loss for Russia.
Look at the map of WWII in late 1941. Where do the front lines run? Largely where the current Russian borders are (give or take).
Is that a success? Literal Nazis (open LARPing ones in Ukraine, mostly crypto-Nazis though actual descendant of real ones in the West) being left permanently in control of the territory they took during the early stages of Operation Barbarossa?
The last three years have revealed how Westerners know nothing about history. In this case, if they knew the history, they would know that Odessa is a 100% Russian city, and that Kiev is core historic Russian land, and that you can only really speak of something like a real Ukraine in Galicia.
They are also ignorant about geostrategic issues.
There is absolutely no way you can leave your mortal enemies in possession of Chernigov, Sumy and Kharkov.
The whole reason the war started is the prospect of missiles being placed there. But guess what, missiles were placed there and they are striking deep into Russia already.
The modern (1991) construct of a "nation" we call Ukraine was a failed concept. The chaos of the collapse of the Soviet Union created the situation that the Ukraine SSR became an independent entity.
You cannot have +/- 50% of a Russian population dominated and discriminated by a radicalized, Russian hating ethnic group who fought with (Galician Waffen SS Division) and support a Nazi/Banderite mentality in one country. Literally bordering on the Russian heartland.
This type of ethnic volatility is exactly what our American neocons look for to leverage the hostilities and create crisis in a manic attempt to "contain" or dominate every potential competitor to a "rules" based world.
There can be no "freeze" to create a solid European security arrangement. Russia is an asset to Europe, it is our country, as a latent, failing, imperialistic empire that is the enemy of Europe.
Russia must liberate and incorporate all regions from Odessa, Trasnistrya (I'm aware this is part of Moldovia), Dnepr River and east into the Russian Federation. Romania, Hungary and Poland need to annex such regions as their people live.
As far as the Lvov region, just let them stew in poverty and prejudice, impotent, join the decadent EU and help destroy that cancer, sooner the better.
Probably Ukraine tries to earn Trump's favor with all his talks about bringing the oil prices to $45. Ukrainians were/are traditionally very very good in sabotage & guerrilla warfare, as proven in WW2, for the right cause when as "partizani", they're exploding the German's trains, airdromes, warehouses, etc., and after WW2, for the Banderites' nefarious causes, all the way to mid -1950s, when the OUN were gutting out the entire villages in the Western Ukraine.
Probably tons of "moles" were sent to Russia when so many Ukrainians moved to Russia after 2014 & Feb 2022. Clearly, Russia could do a better job of protecting its huge refineries, but the damage is unavoidable. It's very hard to defend against such kind of war, and it might go on for at least a few years, even when this war is "settled."
links?
The damage is limited to some parts only. They are not destroyed entirely obviously.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_campaign_of_World_War_II
If you look at the USSBS and the campaign against Nazi oil supplies, in the final year of the war nearly 94,000 short tons of HE bombs were dropped on oil targets with great effect. However the Ukrainian attacks are pin pricks in comparison and the Russia oil industry far larger. For sure this will hurt, but not much just now. But the trend is becoming worrying, and in the future allowing Ukraine to re-arm with tens of thousands of new model drones would prove a strategic mistake I think. An error I believe Russia will not make.
Good point. You have to bomb such targets day by day. The Germans were able to repair a coal to oil facilities within a few days. Again and again the Allied showed pictures of massive fires after a bomb raid, but the very next day, the Germans started rebuilding. And as the Allies concentrated huge amounts of bombers for permanent pressure, they could never stop the production, a few days of bad weather and the plan was up and running.
The US Strategic Bombing Survey after the war found out the uncomfortable truth that German war production maxed out in early 1945. The bombing campaign might have lopped off potential growth but it didn't stop the machine from operating. They had a weakness in oil because of lack of supply and that was exploited in the late war, but Russia has no such issue. This Ukrainian activity is pointless except as a morale boosting effort for the desperate Ukies.
All they have is propaganda and copium.
Russia is the largest member of OPEC+ in proven oil reserves and GDP size. The OPEC countries are not going to appreciate being leaned on the shiv Russia.
Nobody will ask them. The United States has many levers over the Saudi tyrants.
” VVP said in an interview w/ a Moscow-based reporter that if the U.S. stopped arming Ukraine tomorrow the conflict would end in 2-4 months.”
Next I hope Putin calculate that if Russia bomb railway and major road junctions (and bridges) and sank all boats approching Ukraine harbours during a 2 month period it could end the War….
It looks like Alt media will get seats now at White House Press meetings. You know that has legacy media pitching a fit.
This is how sanctions backfire. You sanction the normal shipping. So the transportation is done by the type of ship you normally do not see in our waters. Drunken sailors, not qualified officers, damaged and rotten equipment. And then bad things start to happen, but not intentionally, but due to rotten equipment and bad crews.
@cheetosSpring
The harbor porpoise (Phocoena phocoena) is the only cetacean presently native to the Baltic Sea. There used to be larger migratory baleen whales visiting the Baltic seasonally but those populations were extinct before 1800.
True. I still remember my shock when my American friends were apologizing to me for "hating the Soviets so much." It was surreal to me how could one hate someone you don't know, just because, what - someone told you? Hate is a strong, personal feeling but to be able to hate, to be taught to hate someone abstractly? Hate by proxy - WTH? I'm a military brat, and I grew up during the Cold War, but never ever we're taught to hate Americans.
This constant artificial cultivating of the "enemies" erodes America.
Philip K. Dick definition of reality: "Reality is that, when you stop believing in it, doesn't go away." (1972)
I believe that was General Wesley Clark that said 5 in 7... Chip
Too late. Germans is so bend-over that they stare right into their b*tts.
Notice that the european fears more than anything that Master will leave him, he can't live without Master, doesn't want to live without Master, can't even imagine life without Master.
The european can live with and even welcomes beatings from Master, because that means he has a Master to beat him. But abandonmnent and having to live without a Master is too scary for a european to contemplate.
Much of the objection to Trump 1.0 was that he said the quiet parts out loud.
Now that the United States has been dropping any pretense to being anything other than an empire, with no corresponding need to keep up the polite fictions and shopworn pieties of the past, there is less objection to Trump 2.0 and his bluster and bullying.
I doubt the Collective part of Biden is gone.
They are still there. In the Boardroom of Lookheed, in the Congress, in Pentagon, in the Think-tanks, in the Administration and all over govermental US.
Fuckin' Biden was a whore his entire life, conditioned by the winds of historical Murikan ethos & papist indoctrination.
The major consequence of a US defeat in Ukraine, no matter what anyone believes this will be percieved by the vast majority of the world as a US defeat. What will the US have to force the dollar unto the world as money? With BRICS creating a very lucrative alternative to the western financial system and Russia providing the military destruction of US invulnerability. In the words of Marco Rubio "If they start trading in their own currencies we will not be able to sanction them"
The US could save the dollar simply by lifting sanctions on countries and ending dollar warfare. The dollar could continue being a dominant currency if the US were more interested in honest trading with partners instead of being a bully all over the world stage... Chip
The reality is, it is just more feasible for countries to trade in local currencies. The sanctioning, bullying and dishonesty in trade is just convincing nations to seek about self interest rather than sticking to a financial system that is not in the best interest of prosperity.
They love the dollar. They just don't love the US dollar policies. After sanctions of Russia in 2022 they are just using the dollar in another way.
https://youtu.be/eCjGU5TUC30?si=ul0v4AV-qtI06v7C
I like Kevin's podcasts he gives a very good perspective of China business. In that episode he is giving an opinion of what he believes is the Chinese intent. From another perspective it can be assumed that China has such a surplus of dollars it no longer sees the dollar as a reliable reserve asset. So they spend and lend to create development on the BRI while accumulating good will diplomatic clout and more paying customers. Noone knows the Chinese end game but surely they cannot see US treasuries as a good store of value after seeing they can be stolen at a whim as in the case of the Russian Central bank reserves and Russian citizens.
Its obvious to everyone, that they have started to use the dollar in a way that the Western oligarchy do not want want then to.
Not even the Saudis want to be a part of the game anymore. Even they understands what side has the leverage.
China is 5000 years of continuous civilisation. It is also pretty easy to understand what they are trying to do.
The world is turning it's back on the US Empire with it's death and destruction, not the USA.
The Chinese love the dollar, and now they use it to their advantage. They have been forced to do it that way, because of the hubris of Western oligarch elites.
The point is that the rest of the world watches how Russia is wiping the floor with NATO/US in Ukraine, and 'the major consequence of a US defeat in Ukraine,' are not obvious at all to the majority of Americans. How CNN used to brag about the war in Vietnam "the war will be over, when CNN says it's over."
"There is nothing for the U.S. to ‘win’ in eastern Ukraine." For the U.S, as a country - no, but for a small group of the heavily invested in Ukraine individuals/funds with property/land, etc. there, I bet there is a lot to 'win' in the eastern Ukraine.
"Collective Biden is gone" - is not only premature, but may never come, I fear.
Looking at the big picture, these drone attacks make the strategic position worse for Ukraine. Russia's main options now are (1) an early peace deal along vaguely current positions allowing Ukraine to re-arm and a future SMO2, or (2) take advantage of the battlefield and political situation and continue until Ukraine represents no possible threat - probably it being dismantled and partitioned. By showing that it can launch dangerous drone attacks now and on strategic targets, Ukraine simply demonstrates in future that it will enhance its capabilities and thus threat. So do you as Russia let that threat grow, or do you extinguish it permanently? Russia cannot create security for itself until Ukraine ceases to exist.
"Russia cannot create security for itself until Ukraine ceases to exist."
That is the situation in a nutshell... Chip
Ukrainians are returning to Ukraine, surprisingly so. My brother's in-laws returned to Ukraine from Canada. My friend's cousin returned to Ukraine from Prague with her 17 yo son (crazy!) about 1 year ago, but she'd have lost her job in Ukraine, if not returned...
Canada is not heaven to all. Who ever said Ukies were geniuses?
Well, the entire immigration of Ukrainians to Canada started, I believe, in Alberta with two guys from Galicia, way back. Hence, the Western Ukraine presence is strong in Canada. Most are hard-working people, but this war brought out the worst kind of entitlement. Like the world owes Ukrainians a living :-)
I think Trumps priority now is to get his Ministers in place and then clean out the Administration. He must first control US and be sure he has the apparatus behind him. Nothing else matters more.
Meantime he is throwing around Molotovs-coctqils, part as intimidation, part as indicators of what comes next.
And can Trump throw around his Molotov-cocktails in a more dignifying manner? Every time he opens his mouth, either my jaw drops or my eyes roll up. Like, really?!
Well this is the classical outcome when a force advertise and marketed as unstoppable runs squarely into an object that is actually immovable. There will not be an unlimited discharge of energy but more like a crash, crumble and derailed end of marketing over reality.
Putin can't end the war because usa will keep it going. Only the usa can end the war simply by stopping funding it and actually doing it. Russia would not then keep going. Maybe to the borders of the new russian oblasts but that's all. I think. Though maybe after all this they're a bit angrier than that and would go for an overland bridge to Odessa.
Putin putting an end to the war? His soldiers will kill him, and don’t expect his successor to be more friendly especially not to Americans, in Russia it has become almost an Olympic discipline, a national Sport…Let's kill some Americans.
This is believable. Aside from the current war, just being barred from international sport competition would just about foster this, not to mention the slap-in-the-face post '89/'91.
@givenroom
s it so? I would like to know more of the actual mood of the average Russian - if there is such a person in such a vast and diverse country. Perhaps the average big city dweller. Can you direct me to a reliable source of such information ?
Russians love pigs on the BBQ and also fat lazy and queer Americans full of McDonnalds junk food. Russians are on a strict diet and once and a while they go overboard with untastful indigestible American yanks but acceptable with loads of Vodka
The Country is called Colombia not Columbia. It's like saying "United STATE of America". I saw this so many times i worry for the literacy of americans.
Partly ignorance, partly autocorrect. Plus more familiarity with "District of Columbia", Columbia the Gem of the Oceans".
Personally, I get het up over presidents who invent alternative pronunciations for "nuclear".
You'll never go wrong underestimating the intelligence of the Murikan public - I think that's somewhere in The Good Book.
Worry about the general intelligence, motivation & ethics of the USA general public - literacy is just a resultant symptom.
No arguing that there.
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34th
Eleventeenth
358th. Oh the shame!😥
I'm first if I don't understand or read those b4 me, so there!
Thx Simplicius! After being suspended from X for following you and other gentlemens these articles are the highlight of the week.
Will read it with joy!
After reading it I can conclude that the first half was material from your X flow - have missed a couple of days. Hopefully your longer, in-depth, articles will resurge when things start to evolve around Trumps ”peace plan”.
Good that you dont underestimate the threat from Ukraines drone campaign causing severe damage and costs in Russia. Although Russia can replace and repair the structural damages there is no way they can do it in days. Refinerys burn and there is a lot to replace for sure.
Trumps threats of sanctions was ridiculed at first but if China and India cease to import fuel from Russia it will affect Russian economy massively. But it is, as you state, desperation in Ukraine and West as the reality of the War has sunk in.
Which makes me wonder where these large, more complex, longer range UAVs are being produced in Ukraine - certainly not by children in schools. I'm somewhat surprised that Russia hasn't found the locations yet - but then, Ukraine is a large country and it's people, whilst ruled by nazis, are very clever, as most slavs are.
We can wonder but as you say, there are clever people (cunning) in Ukraine and elsewhere. War is a perfect way to make people do the most for their country.
Those UAVs are not produced in Ukraine and attakcing Ukrainian infrastructure is pointless.
Why exactly?
Because Ukraine produces nothing of value to the war effort other than warm live bodies.
Actually even that is not correct, but that does not make it any better.
There are large MIC facilities inside Ukraine that have not been destroyed and are still running.
It is far from just small UAV production, we are talking small arms, ammo, etc. Still running, not hit.
For what reasons we can only guess.
But just last week I remember seeing somewhere that Ukraine was providing a third of its own weapons. Given the scale of the weapon consumption, that is a huge amount in absolute terms.
Meanwhile Russia spent thousands of cruise missiles on small transformers that were replaced/fixed within a couple days...
>I'm somewhat surprised that Russia hasn't found the locations yet
Given what else has not been touched, why is that surprising?
Also, remember the stories about Rheinmetal setting up factories in Ukraine? Then there was a story about how the first one opened.
Long before that and also shortly after it opened Medvedev talked about how it would be immediately destroyed.
Have you heard about a strike on it? Presumably we would have heard about it, right?
So what are we to conclude here?
Also, remember how the big plant that makes fuses and other military-related stuff in Shostka was quite spectacularly hit a few months ago, and then hit several more times later on. How do you keep that object not touched three years into the war? And it is right next to the Russian border too, GMLRS can hit it with ease from deep inside the Kursk and Bryansk regions.
That sort of thing...
Lol 😂😂😂😂 you guys will soon how the USA will be a papertiger. Three years you kept saying that it was the end for Russia.
Trumps understanding of the elasticity of supply and demand in the oil and gas business is that of a toddler.
Saudi Arabia is supposed to increase oil supply, lower prices and .... What.? Fund the Saudi Economy from retained earnings? How is S.A. going to invest $500 Billion to $1 Trillion into the U.S while losing hundreds of billions pumping oil to replace Russian oil.
And the U.S. Oil/Gas Corporations are to lower prices, and fund drilling and fracking? What, from borrowing?
Trumpologic is the new thing.
No one has ever been suspended for who they follow, that is simply retarded.
Indeed. If you just follow a couple of ”incorrect” people, does no liking and no posting (because the first account was suspended) what is then the explanation?
No one given at all - just finished of.
Regarding the midair collision near Reagan Airport. It would have been worse if the air traffic controllers, military flight crew, and civilian flight crew had not been fully vaccinated for Covid-19. Thank you Mr Warp Speed and Dr Fauci. We can't wait for Stargate Project.
As always: it would’ve been so much worse without the booster
FIFTEEN DAYS TO SLOW THE SPREAD!!!!
And only 2 weeks the fatten the curve!!
Hmm..
FLATTEN THE CURVE.
FATTEN certain wallets.
Oh, the curve was definitely fattened complete with strokes and heart attacks, as well as some turbo cancer to boot
What the hell is good enough for you lol? Just reinstated our service men with back pay. Released the J6 prisoner who would as political prisoners would have languished in prison forever. And all without help from tinfoil hatted nut jobs like you.
I know I know it’s all scripted and we are following some crazy Jew plan lol. You guys had me on the Jews for a bit just last year. Just sayin. That was until i realized how mentally unstable all of you really are lol. Let me tell you something, if the Jew shit is real you morons are their best friends.
Y’all gotta stop being fucking stupid if you want to win …..🤦♂️
Trump isn't loyal, he's transactional.
Why shouldn't the Public have the same attitude?
You are correct in noting Trump's "transactional nature". The last hopeful transactional candidate was Ross Perot. The rest (from Reagan onward were either soft or hard idealogues or puppets). Trump's nature is to exploit opportunities - exploitation and opportunism work in the "real" world as we all do it in our daily lives. Once the masses understand this then they will also understand that men like Trump also look at problems from the standpoint of "how to fix it". He is neither an idealogue not a puppet...
It's ok for Trump to be transactional, as far as his transaction value is adequate.
Good news for poor blackrock banks and the media conglomerates. January 2025, the U.S. Department of Commerce recognized Jew owned businesses as Minority Business Enterprises (MBEs). Trumps idea of DEI.
Trump talking about ethnically cleansing Gaza for his Jew so. In law and his tunnel Jew masters.
‘Our’ service men ? You mean the goyim the Jew needs to fight their wars ?
What’s your real name, you coward? How many American sodiers have been sent to fight Israel’s wars, you dyed-in-the-wool Jew hater.
All of them, Jew.
Why would you not hate those chicken swinging sin merchant in bread genocidal perverts ?
What’s your real name, you coward? How many American sodiers have been sent to fight Israel’s wars, you dyed-in-the-wool Jew hater.
Toss you a couple of crumbs and you're back onside.
Notice I said not a word about conspiracies or Jews. Although, yeah, the Russian side does need to stop being fucking stupid if they want to win.
The Tribe may or may not be your enemy, but they will NEVER be your friend.
And against FAA rules, all pilots must be grounded for 12 months after taking an experimental 'drug'.
AND - In 2022 the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), changed the electrocardiogram (ECG) markers that measure the ‘PR interval’. This is the time it takes for an electrical impulse to travel from one part of heart to another and is an indicator of heart health. The new limit is 50 per cent longer than the previous limit, and means that if a pilot has developed a heart condition, it could slip past.
Correct, although read a report that the was no longer an upper limit?
I don't know about that, even 300 ms PR interval is a pretty severe First-degree atrioventricular block, likely to progress to second or third degree in time. I was appalled when that was normalised by the FAA, when 200 ms had been the upper limit to pass a flight physical for generations.
Yes it is scary, and that’s why I’m in no hurry to board a commercial aircraft.
My daughter is in the aviation industry and heard rumours that Qantas long haul flights now have an extra crew. Not confirmed though.
FAA also removed the reference to the individuals' age, to serve you better :-)
But, did not DEI supersede all skills and health requirements?
400 pound Cheeto Munchers of confused sex predilections clearly are superior pilots and aircraft controllers.
Training flight, perhaps. Deep condolences 😢
If only we had more black women and immigrants in the military this never would have happened
In January 1994, as a foreign visitor to the US, I travelled on a train from Chicago to New Orleans. Clinton's new policy of "gays in the military" was making a few waves. I overheard the train bar staff discussing the subject........ "Well, we won't win any wars, but we'll have the most FABULOUS parades!"
Gah I needed that, Cheryl 🤗
It seems like Ukrianian drone strikes are following Zaluzhnys docterine of more rockets and drones.
Ukraine special services are also waging a covert war against the Russian economy and shipping and interests worldwide. Quite recently a Russian oil tanker sank under mysterious circumstances - it seems that while losing on the battlefield, it is winning the "covert war". And Russia does nothing to "allied" shipping to put the pressure on the American economy in turn.
The question is - will Russia bend Ukraine before Ukraine collapses its economy?
What part of "UKRAINE IS WINNING THIS WAR" did you miss??
Are you trolling or being serious?
Doesn't matter they are loosing ground. They're still winning the war. Everyone important says so! So it should be true! /Sarc
100% sarcasm, Uncle.
Losing on the battlefield while winning the covert war, but how many leftovers will there be to claim that they won?
Does it matter? The covert war can win the war. You can't have one without the other.
Lol 😂😂😂😂 you guys will soon how the USA will be a papertiger. Three years you kept saying that it was the end for Russia.
Fuck off spammer.
You got a point in the situation that Russia doesn’t repost, but still this Ukrainian generation is totally broken, swept away even if all oil and gaz tankers are send to the bottom of the ocean. I never expect a final winner, only a Vietnam alike but in decades episodes.
Lol 😂😂😂😂 you guys will soon how the USA will be a papertiger. Three years you kept saying that it was the end for Russia.
OK OK I'll include a cutsy little "/sarc" with my obvious sarcasm!!
It's been the best part of a year since Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy infrastructure started. But check out the websites that track world energy prices and you find that the ruble prices of petrol and diesel are up only around 10% yoy, this equalling the official general inflation rate. LPG is only up 2% yoy. Natural gas is near the cheapest in the world at less than a US cent per kWh. Electricity is also only a fraction of the cost in the West at under 10 US cents per kWh. All Ukraine's efforts to this point could be honestly said to have had zero visible effect on the internal Russian energy market.
no the question is the import of your first part: is america winning the covert war?
that's the point.
the whole point.
We don't need to give a dam about the battlefield war any more. Donetsk and Lunhansk and such as we have of Kherson and Zapho will do for the time being. It wasn't long ago that Putin was ready to let them go, remember?
Well no they don't have to be 'let go' but they don't have to be painfully won on the battlefield either. Political victory can include stipulation they go to Russia.
What matters is not the 'war with Ukraine' (meaning the Kiev regime) at all, as I see it. What matters is the war with America.
When are going to start calling a war, a war?
When are we going to start calling aggression, 'aggression'. America is an aggressor. America wages virtual open warfare against Russia.
We all know it.
I think America even declares it so from time to time doesn't it?
So we need no negotiations with Kiev. No peace treaties with Kiev. We need negotiations and peace treaties with Washingon.
I don't know how that works out but I reckon its what we need.
Time to call a spade a spade and murderous bunch of warmongering bandits what they are.
I think Russia has to start picking targets that hurt America.
Bring it on. There'll never be a better time, it's only going to get worse.
Everyone frightened to fight America because of the nuclear threat, in the end.
F**k it. They got to be stopped.
Just at least change the language and call a spade a spade: 'we are at war with America' and act accordingly.
p.s. or perhaps slightly better to point out; 'America is waging war on us' because they are the initiator after, the provoker, the maintainer.... the profiteer...
I just saw today an article naming Palantir and Unduril as places 'to invest' because of the success of their drones in attacking russia's oil refineries. Clear profit to America. Clear America at war with Russia. How much clearer does it need to be?
I realise of course that it is usual, normal and I suppose totally acceptable for a nation at war to be able to buy things from outside to help it in its struggle and those suppliers from outside are not actually held to be participating in the war, not active hostiles.
But when they sell only to one side and not the other?
When they sell on credit to a nation with nothing?
And when they provide targeting information?
And when they do the controlling of the flight?
And when they actually press the trigger even?
And when they mount aggressive acts on the other nation: sanctions etc ?
And when they propagandise endlessly about the other nation?
usa does all of that and more.
Does any sane person have any doubt at all?
America is waging war on Russia.
Let it be said, confessed to, stipulated, announced, broadcast, clearly...
And if your nation supports the usa then your nation too is attacking Russia.
The EU and London are parties to this war. Perhaps the major ones. America is supposed to supply the money and materials. If the EU and London didn’t want this war it would stop.
The perfidious Albion’ banking cartel needs desperately this war against Russia. Currently, British bankers took over the regulation of US “financial system.” The real owners of the collective west are becoming more visible.
@grape soda
yes, could be. who the major players are is a big mystery. for all our internet etc. we still know little. who was running america whilst biden sputtered?
we need a lot of air clearing solid facts and distinguishing of mechanisms and players.
perhaps the eu and uk promote the war as much as they can, alright. but it is/was the american congress that voted billions to ukraine and those billions kept it going.
so there's a mechanism and 'players' clearly identified so we can investigate that further and when we do we find vast Israeli influence in congress. some claim the whole congress is owned by israel in fact. so is that relevant? does that mean they directed the congress to vote that way? that they are/were the ones keeping it going.
traditionally we expect jews to be at the head of all big banking and munitions businesses. in fact at the head of the american nation. well big banking and big munitions are profiting mightily from this war. right there in usa, without needing any eu or uk urging.
Peace treaties with Washington? There will never be an outcome, the best an ongoing never ending Cold War, and very anecdotal and rare a Hot War.
@ givenroom
It seems most unlikely doesn't it? Yet that must be the goal. Peace between usa and russia. Do you remember in his first term or whilst campaigning Trump proposed it?
I think it possible. Russian people would allow it. We just need American people to wake up from their dream, throw off their chains, take control of their country and they'd probably allow it, too.
It is only our lunatic 'elite' (the must utterly un-elite I can imagine actually) that would not/will not ever stop their rapacious, greedy, homicidal conduct.
Not the people.
We are in the habit of confusing the lunatic 'elites' that run countries with the people themselves.
This is the tradition of historians and chroniclers, pundits and prophets: to speak of 'nations' and 'countries' as though they were actual living entities deliberately steering courses through history with their own motivations, destinies, desires, needs,, purposes, hereditary grudges et al.
Hence 'russia will never allow this' and 'france will never allow that' and 'china will always this' and so on.
There's libraries filled with books that talk like this. Big libraries. Massive libraries. It is THE way to talk of human history.
But it is not true, not valid and not human history. It is the history of ruling elite almost always vicious, brutal, selfish etc because stemming from animal origins/tribalism, dominance of the strong.
Let the people once emancipate themselves and perhaps have it filter into their dim consciousnesses what being a citizen of a democracy entails: understanding and participation - and then the courses plotted by nations could be radically different and could reflect the wishes and needs of people; be human courses.
A good start would be a mind meeting venue, a voice for people better and beyond and more suited and unarguably valid than the ad hoc voices presented by social media.
Something like:
DON'T WRITE TO CONGRESS
https://abrogard.com/blog/2023/12/25/dont-write-to-congress/
This is still not the way because it still belongs to govt. not the people and is still used only every few years -
but shows it could be done right NOW
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open-source_voting_system
a little more in depth:
https://abrogard.com/blog/2024/10/14/how-about-this-to-bring-truth-to-the-elections/
Democracy is only for those with a stomach loaded, having a roof above your head, bread on the table but that doesn’t work no more. Everyone a Tesla or sort of, going regularly to Michelin star’s restaurants, having a bank account with credits, full of them as in France and the whole west, paying taxes also sponsoring wars like in Ukraine and Israel. Problem is not everyone can dispose of this for a lifetime, as a result the whole democratic card house collapses. We had more than 2000 wars in 2000 years of civilisation and I foresee no end to them ever, but I do see a progress in property, a better and easier life for all those surviving these wars, even at the loss of the majority of people. All our good intentions of peace and wishing well for all is never seen in the whole of history, in books ok in real life, nope. La condition humaine est plus bas que les animaux. People kill for fun and out of cruelty, merciless no animal does.
@givenroom
nobody knows what/who democracy is good for. It is all speculation. democracy has never been tried.
ancient greek 'democracy' was nonesuch: it was the privilege of a select few.
the democracy we envisage today and often think we have, claim we have, insist other people should, insist we are protecting, etc. etc.. is where every man has a vote. every woman, too, of course. every adult.
and everyone has a commensurate obligation but that bit is never mentioned, never thought of.
such a democracy has come anywhere near realisation.
have you done the simple math and know how many people one congressman in america represents? about half a million.
there's how close that paragon, the exemplar, of 'democracy' has gotten to one man one vote.
if you read the material I linked you'll know more.
Democracy has been tried but it goes against the grain of human nature. Aren’t we the offspring of a brother murderer Kain? Wasn’t he our brother too? Who wrote about our selfish genes? If sperm wasn’t pushing and bypassing the other 4.999.999 you would not breathe the air that surrounds you.There were opposite experiments, Epicurist, hedonists and many others all over the world, all failed. So that leaves Anarchy and that will fail too! Is our destiny only a matter how we get organised together in the outer world, or are there signs as far as human origins show us, that it everywhere you search on the outside, you’re bound to fail, even directions AI, Stargate, Mars, our Solar system colliding with Andromeda which advances to us with a speed of 400 thousand miles an hour, destroying all history that we crawled over Mother Earth in our modest solar system. So where do we go from here, it’s everywhere to find except…there.
In WWII the German production plants were under permanent bombardment. Day by Day thousands of Allied planes were over Germany. But the peak production was in autumn of '44. Then the Germans had lost so much land with its resources that they could not maintain the production. Despite all the film evidence of burning plants, railway stations, and busted dams, the production went up and up and up, so do not overstate the pictures and videos of a burning "Russian Economy". One could ask, would the Allies have won the war earlier if they had not produced the big bombers but instead produced tanks, guns, and fighter-bombers?
An excellent example of that is Ukraine itself, I already lost count of the number of missiles it received in its infrastructure, and it is still working.
The Russians are still being careful with the Ukrainian population, but I would be more careful with over-stinging the bear
@Hu Veja
Yep. It survives. How? If blowing up oil storage is effective surely Kiev Ukraine would be powerless by now?
I realise it does damage to Russia's economy and that doesn't apply to Kiev because they have no economy left, I think, anyway, they rely on money from america, but in pure physical terms: things the oil is used for: transport, industry. How does Kiev Ukraine keep going?
And it doesn't just keep going, despite the constant retreating in the Donbas it attacks fiercely all the time in Kursk.
And how much of Donbas retreat is strategic/political/pretence? For the Donbas is not their land anyway. It is what they invaded. It is clear now they are going to have to live without it in the future so why bust your guts trying to keep it?
The never ending litany of how depleted Kiev Ukraine is in every possible aspect has been running for two years now. I hear ridiculous things. A battalion, I think, down to 10 men. 'guarding', 'holding', the front assigned to a battalion. And so on. That kind of thing. If that were the case the Russian and Donbas forces would simply be walking across the country. Despite appearances that is not what they are doing. They are fighting.
It profits Kiev Ukraine greatly if everyone thinks they are in dire straits.
>Yep. It survives. How? If blowing up oil storage is effective surely Kiev Ukraine would be powerless by now?
Ukraine's fuel supplies have barely been hit.
I've given you a like because that's important information if it's true. But is it true? I remember some weeks there when I was hearing about oil storage in Odessa, for instance, being destroyed and so on...
It is true.
The only time there was any discussion of oil shortage in Ukraine was in the second half of 2022.
No, Ukraine is not an excellent example of that.
It is an excellent example of how comprador elites will actively work towards the destruction of their own country. And I don't mean the elites in Kiev, I mean the ones in Moscow.
Ukraine "is still working" because there is a firm political veto by the Kremlin on the kind of strikes that will make it stop working.
The Russian army is perfectly capable of shutting the whole place down within 24 hours using just conventional means (I can give you a list of the targets if you want), and of ensuring the war will be won within half an hour using more serious tools. It has not been done for three full years now because of Putin and the oligarchs that control him.
From what I read, Allied planes bombed the less risky residential area, since the production plants/military objects were well defended, and since workers' homes were destroyed and they had nowhere to go, they just slept/lived at their work place, worked longer hours, being more productive, hence the higher output.
That was the British strategy of "area bombing".
The Americans conducted precision bombing, largely because the British bomber aircraft could not surive over Germany during daylight while Americans could.
The fact remains.
The nordsen bomb sights despite being only second to the Manhattan project for cost so they used terrorist fire bombing of civilians. We're pure evil, in some ways worse than Hitler. Never forget, we refused Jewish refugees.
Canada refused as well.
British tried daylight bombing. Didn't work. Switched to nighttime. Wasn't good but was tolerable. Americans came in and said they'd do daylight precision bombing because they'd been practising incessantly and were shit hot. British warned them against it. It didn't work. Americans went to nighttime bombing too. Later in the war, America's Mustang fighter came along and was able to protect bombers deeper into Germany because it had bigger fuel tanks than the British fighters. Losses were still bad though. Then they put the British Merlin engine in the Mustang and suddenly the allies were able to dominate the sky over Germany even in daylight. The fact that Germany was being out produced in aircraft by the allies in the later part of the war was a big factor too.
No precision bombing occurred in ww2.
There weren't any precision bombs in ww2, it's why so many were dropped.
@angelina
thanks for that. saved me the trouble of asking how the hell that could have been. so in essence the paradox of how production can increase while you smash the means of production is solved by the fact that you only pretend to smash the means while actually aiming at soft targets. What we might call the 'american' or 'israeli' tactic. We might and it fits but further comments remind me it was the british tactic too. well that figures. that country run by the same people as those two.
No, this is a myth. The not-needed persons (children, the old, mothers with children) were evacuated to secure zones; e.g., to Austria, my grandparents had to house such people. The German (and Czech!) workforce was relatively small; the remaining housing was more than enough. The major part of the low-level workforce was slave labor from Eastern Europe, and they lived in concentration camps, which were not bombed intentionally. Real qualified work was outsourced to the countryside; the plants were beneath the earth (mines or tunnels), and the German (and the other European) engineers lived in the small villages around. The German AA-defense was stationary around the cities; it did not matter if you attacked the production facilities or the living quarters. (I know, there are some exceptions, like the AA-towers in Vienna). In the academic/military circles they discuss, if the amount of AA-guns would have been better moved as AT-guns to the East, or if the AA ammunition would have been better produced as artillery shells, because it was sometimes more than half of the total production. This academic discussion brings us back to Ukraine: if all these resources for "strategic" targets were used for the frontlines, the situation might be better.
Ok, but explain if 'the not-needed persons (children, the old, mothers with children) were evacuated to secure zones; e.g., to Austria' who were comprising the volkssturm and hitlerjugend groups in 1945 in Berlin?
Most German cities were not part of the military production lines. There were no evacuations for non-military plants. These cities had huge losses in civilian life. Therefore, the civilian losses in the Ruhr, Linz, or Schweinfurt are minor, in Hamburg or Berlin very bad. You see the same picture in Italy; Livorno had very small losses in civilian life, opposite to Naples or Roma. And do not forget the refugees from the East; the most "successful" bombing raid was against Dresden, a city full of refugees—but these absurd things were British ideas. No wonder that the Germans (and Italians!) were willing to join the Volkssturm.
Dresden was leveled, horrible.
I understand re.: above, but still, in the war, the info people get is restricted to areas/knowledge/lore. My own family lines were on different sides @WW2, and some of the knowledge I sure 'knew' was true, turned out BS on close scrutiny.
Attacking fuel and transport infrastructure did prove damaging to the Nazi war machine.
Interesting, in the war against Japan, the biggest bang for the buck turned out to be naval mines.
The US could have bombed the Romanian refineries and the War would have been over soony but they chose ball bearings, stupidity has no boundaries.
Very faulty analogy.
There were almost no PGMs back then. In fact, the development of PGMs began for the first time precisely because of how ineffective those bombings were.
Long-range PGMs change the picture completely.
Now a cheap Ukrainian drone can hit very precisely the distillation column of a refinery and take it out for a long time. And that is happening every night.
And we're not even talking heavy missiles.
A quick look at the numbers shows us that the allies didn't win the war, the Soviets did.
Thank you, perhaps summer will see peace. It certainly would be a nice change.
Only the dead know the end of war.
As they say, "the war doesn't determine who is right, but only who is left"
Given the fact that Russia has conquered a great deal of Ukraine's natural resources in the Donbass, and will never give them up, I think Russia has already technically "won" the war - rare earths, farmland fisheries and ports, fuel, coal, coking chemicals, steel and various lower elemental ores, Russia has taken many trillions from Ukraine. Combined with Russia's population growth from the war - several million at least fled into Russia from Ukraine at the SMO's outset, I think Russia has already achieved "technical" victory.
I guess my point is, I wonder when "enough will be enough" - I would very much like the war to end just for humanitarian and stability reasons - as cynical as the Gaza "ceasefire" is, it's nice to not have the Palestinians not being bombed to splinters (as much). I want the same for Ukraine. I don't think Trump has any real leverage over Russia but he certainly has plenty over Ukraine - hopefully he can tard wrangle Zelensky and the rest into a victory-surrender.
My final prediction - best case scenario for Ukraine - the line freezes around here, Ukraine is demilitarized but quasi let into the European Union in some form, economic stabilization etc etc. Nato is off the table obviously - not even sure why Ukraine wants to be let into Nato at this point, aside from the United States there is no firepower in Nato, Nato should be asking to join Ukraine.
Worst case scenario for Ukraine - their army routs and cracks and falls all the way back to Zaporhiza city and Kiev and digs in like termites. Everything east of the Dnieper becomes russia or at least under heavy Russian dominion, everything west of the Dnieper becomes a failed state / refugee vortex that further destabilizes the EU. The US says "aw shucks" and goes and invades panama or something.
In other words, there's no "lose scenario" for Russia now - it's either win a lot with more bloodshed or when a significant amount with less bloodshed. I don't know which path will be chosen - I wish all these sanctions and tariffs on Russia would be lifted to lower the price of food, fuel and fertilizer globally but I guess "lowering the price of eggs" has already been forgotten as a campaign promise - sigh...
It is easy to trace your anguish as we all has been following this War for 3 years now.
WW2 lasted six years.
Sadly it doesnt matter if Russia has a technical win over Ukraine. Russia is under threat, a deadly one, as long as West is nurturing this War. And you can listen carefully when Karja Kallas call for the disintegration of the Russian Federation. She and others are firmly commited to forever War with Russia.
The first scenario you choosed as the good one is exactly the deranged points that surfaced as the Trump plan. It is in no way a Peace or a development that bode well for the future.
The second one means more killing and destruction but will create a more ”stable” border along Dniepr and cripple Ukraine for a long time. As such it is no Peace or a solution for the end of hostilities between West and Russia.
I doubt any of us can think in a realistic way and in the dark hours I think Europe needs a moment of insight. A moment so unspeakable horrorful that they finally reach awareness of how stupid they have been to let US exeptionalism start a big War, dragging in Europe as well, and risk the prosperity for generations to come.
There is always a Psych Ward missing a patient.
Yep. The fact is Russia is at war with America. Whether it likes it or not.
And it needs to put it plainly and clearly and start drawing up battle lines and finding allies.
It needs warlike commitments from its allies.
And it needs to start making warlike actions on america's allies.
America and the west can bring down Russia.
But so can Russia and its allies, however few and weak they are, bring down america.
For it is america that has the least. It has a massive front of propaganda and bluster but it has f*** all military supremacy and it has a totally rotten economic background, underpinning that relies solely on the world dumbly accepting newly printed american dollars as worthwhile currency. and dumb slavish acceptance by all lackeys of america's 'sanctions' regimes. All that could fail overnight.
Overnight america could be stripped of its lackeys and the worth of its paper and 'might' of its sanctions. Its an emperor with no clothes.
Russia needs to hang in long enough to get some of these fence sitters on side and while it is doing it russia needs to proclaim to the world that america has no clothes.
Forget 'Ukraine'. It's not ' Ukraine' anyway. It is "Kiev Ukraine' which means Ukraine minus 10 million Donbas Ukrainians. And it's no even that for how many Kiev Ukrainians want to die in this war? No. It's not 'Ukraine' at all. It is a lunatic Kiev regime, fronting for the usa.
Ukraine has nothing to do with it. It is all usa and russia.
Russia has to call it what it is and Russia has to show this 'emperor' is naked and Russia needs to start fighting and hurting this 'emperor'. And I don't know how they can do any of that. Fortunately they're smarter than me.
I hope they get onto it quick.
"Ukraine has nothing to do with it. It is all usa and russia."
^^^THIS^^^
A one sentence CliffsNotes to summarize the shit-show the Americans are sponsoring. The USA! USA! USA! couldn't beat the Vietnamese or Afghans but will somehow win against the Russians in their own back yard? A resounding FUCK NO.
@occamsrazorback22
Despite your histrionic shouting and swearing the fact is that america is to date winning inasmuch as it has profited massively while Russia is, of course, losing money all the time.
It is not 'in their own back yard' at all. It is a global conflict with global ramifications and repercussions. Syria was/is part of this. Gaza was/is part of this. Because for instance relations with Israel are part of Russia's political stance and essential fibre.
Now the latest sanctions raise the cost of transporting russian fuel to where china and india do not buy russian fuel. that is very damaging to Russia.
America did not lose in vietnam any more than it loses in Cuba.
America destroys Vietnam and Cuba via sanctions, impoverishes, beggars these places. Causes generations of hardship, pain and suffering via sanctions to nations while itself pursuing its course unconcerned and unhurt - the investors and workers and owners of the military industrial complex businesses all fat and happy.
That's a victory, son, a victory, in the inhuman bean counter terms, methods of measurement. that's why they keep doing it.
America loses in human terms, sure enough, in spiritual terms it is blackened and blighted. The heart and soul of the nation becomes a deformed and inhuman thing.
But that's not the kind of victory or loss you are talking about. You are talking purely military victory: well America wins.
You don't think it does because a military victory to you is a tank standing in the main square of some town/village/city/nation and remaining there as representative of 'victory' and overlordship of that place.
You're a bit simplistic and slow in your comprehension. The tank leaves, the plunder having been taken, the city sacked, and the 'caravan' moves on to sack another town/village/city/nation elsewhere.
That's what military victories truly are: politics by other means and what are politics in america? business by other means. and what is business? profit. And american business profits all over the world by fomenting wars and strife and by oppressing people.
America is a fat leech sucking the blood of the world and while a leech is alive and sucking blood it is 'victorious', see?
And america for three years has sucked the blood of Ukrainians and Russians alike.
US cannot win a war even WWII, without Russian Army taking Berlin it would still be fighting Germany, and it still is in some economic sense, but the Wirkschaftwunder is losing momentum, don’t worry Germany is the EU and will rise as a Phoenix, that’s where there good in. The Economic Trump wars are extremely ambitious, but as far as I can see I see the 500 billion stargate project already a dead born child, a Chinese rat already ran with the cheese, and much much cheaper deepseek. American weapon industry is too expensive and inaccurate Russian use cheap Chinese, Iranian and nord Korean and with much more effect and above all cheaper! I can go on and on, the US is on its deathbed economically, geopolitically, military and as RFK. Jr. Said we are the sickest nation on earth, the utmost expensive in health care, we are overvaccinated, overmedicated and to ensure that we keep with both feet on the ground although stumbling all the time, we’re on Fentanyl and Opioids.
America is sick alright--morally sick. That is the fundamental sickness of America.
The USA always tries to demonizes its conga line of hated enemies from the Soviet "Evil Empire" in the Old Cold War to the "Axis of Evil" nations in the War on Terror to Russia and China in the New Cold War.
But the USA's demonization campaigns are nothing more than an Orwellian attempt to project America's demonic character onto other nations--all the while pushing the Big Lie that the USA is a Beacon of Liberty and a Force for Good in the world.
As Vladimir Putin famously stated, the United States of America is the Empire of Lies.
As such, the USA serves the Father of Lies.
For Russia to call a spade a spade it needs less cautious leadership in the Kremlin. The conduct of this war in the Ukraine has been an example of Russian patience and caution. That may have worked for a time. But the west is intent on defeating and destroying Russia. The Russians and Chinese and Iranians must have the same mindset too in regards to bringing down the west. Perhaps they are looking at doing it via peaceful means only. If so, that's commendable up to a point. But the west needs at least a strong smack in the face to remind them that they are not dealing with another Libya or Iraq. We have not seen such a geopolitical smack yet.
'The west' is not intent on defeating and destroying russia. 'The West' is nearly a billion people who just want peace. The lunatic overlords of the west they are intent on plundering Russia. They are. Not the people. And the west IS the people despite this centuries old habit of describing nations, talking of nations, plotting the course of nations, predicting the actions of nations, as though they were living entities of their own and using the actions, thoughts, motivations of various gangs of 'elites' and despotic rulers for data.
2025. Internet. AI. Time for people to begin to manifest and take over. Inherit their own kingdom.
Well said!
>'The west' is not intent on defeating and destroying russia. 'The West' is nearly a billion people who just want peace.
Not true unfortunately.
How many people do you think were responsible for what the Nazis did to Russia in WWII?
Just a tiny elite?
That tiny elite was rounding up people in random villages in Belarus and setting them on fire, shooting everyone who tried to crawl out of the inferno?
Please.
It was many millions of people all over the continent who wanted Russia destroyed.
Those people have descendants who have never quite gotten over it, and now see an opportunity for revenge.
Karaganov said it best -- "Let Germany burn, it deserves it for everything it has done"
Well I believe it is true.
Lunatic madnesses overtake whole populations but that doesn't at all mean that's their permanent mindset.
People want peace and are docile. The both. Perhaps to a fault.
Because they are so peace loving and docile they become easily manipulated into - as we see in Ukraine - attacking their own people for no good reason and without any prospect of any profit to themselves.
Look into it a little more.
>It needs warlike commitments from its allies.
>And it needs to start making warlike actions on america's allies.
There is a fundamental asymmetry here that right now works catastrophically against Russia because of its internal weakness, but also is the key to Russia winning the war with America.
Which is that America refuses to fight directly and uses proxies, and those proxies are not even on its own continent.
Thus when push comes to shove and the question is whether America is willing to go up in the nuclear flames itself or watch its proxies get destroyed, the rational decision will always be to stand down.
Russia can destroy the proxies at any moment of its wishing, ending the whole game.
But for that to happen, Russian elites will have to be willing to sacrifice their own comforts and carry out internal reforms that will reduce their power and wealth. They refuse to do it, so Russia is losing.
There's more than one way to skin a cat and I'm sure there's people clever enough in Russia to think of them.
At this moment I think it debatable whether Russia is losing overall. So many factors and so little information in our hands.
Clearly Russia cannot destroy the proxies at 'any moment'.
But at any moment it could do a raft of other things.
>Clearly Russia cannot destroy the proxies at 'any moment'.
Clearly it can. It has the relevant warheads and delivery means
You mean nuclear strikes taking out a whole country? I don't contemplate such actions.
There's more than 1 way to POISON A DAWWGGGIE...
"But so can Russia and its allies, however few and weak they are, bring down america."
This is a joke, right? What kind of planet do you live on where China is "weak?"
The US's vassals are the ones that are weak. Every single one of their economies has either flatlined, is in recession, or is growing so weakly that they can't make ends meet. In contrast, the global majority, the seven out of eight billion people who like trading with Russia, include the world's rapid growth powers, like Russia's friends in BRICS+.
Just China and India alone, two staunch friends of Russia, account for almost a third of the world's population. The US depends on China for almost everything that Americans buy or use. Russia also has a very tight friendship with the Saudis and other energy superpowers.
So no, Russia's friends are neither "few" nor are they "weak." As for bringing down America, they don't give a hoot about that. They know the US will do a perfectly good job of bringing itself down all on its own. Stunts like weaponizing the dollar have guaranteed that the world is making the slow motion move away from US financial hegemony, and extraordinarily cretinous stunts like threatening military action against Denmark to seize Greenland, or against Panama to seize the canal, means nobody in their right minds trusts the US. Doh.
Russia is defeating the US and the US's stooges in Ukraine. The EU has become completely irrelevant, other than as an object of ridicule for how they get down on their knees and pretend to like it when the US tells them to swallow whatever, ahem, the US sends their way.
Russia and China and the other new poles of civilization, like India, are busy developing their own economies and societies, growing successfully and establishing a community of nations interested in trade and development. They don't particularly care that the US has marginalized itself as yesterday's hegemon.
The point inherent in my language, as you would note if you approached it in the spirit of enquiry rather than as a tedious borderline gratuitous abusive 'ad hominer' refers to the fact that we don't know who Russia's allies are as yet
Nobody has stood up to declare themselves firmly on Russia's side in military terms.
China staunchly denies supplying any weapons at all and makes the point things would be very different if it had. Which point itself indicates that Russia for all its vaunted predominance in weapons has some shortcomings - else the Chinese point would be invalid.
One may look at Russia's supposed allies and select a number that are small and weak quite definitely. One may look at Russia's supposed allies and decide their support is 'small and weak'.
And the statement does not say that all Russia's support is perforce decidedly small and weak. Not at all.
It makes the point that even if it were small and weak: which it currently is, they could still bring the USA down.
Which fact you then spend the rest of your tirade supporting.
So I find your approach and your post offensive, mistaken and redundant all at the same time. And a waste of my time. I won't waste any more.
Nobody has stood up to declare themselves on whose side they’re on, well it’s a waste of time to find out when you know for a fact, that all the humans spent on both side, that those who got in this war unwillingly, are now firm to go to the end, last soldier, civilian, old and young men, women and on both sides. No cease fire or peace treaty can bring them back, and Ukrainians not the contractors or legionnaires have payed a higher price than the Russians, 8 or 10 to one and that’s what counts, not the waste of time as you said but a waste of lives.
When you start giving any of your time to listen to the likes of Kallas you need to realise you're wasting your time. It doesn't matter if it's her Baerbock or Von De Liar. Word for word they repeat their script from one of Soros sponsored script writing NGO's. Haven't you realised talk is cheap? Who's going to be the next country stupid enough to sacrifice itself for this globalist extremism? Kallas will repeat anything the highest bidder tells her to say. What do her Baerbock & Von De Liar have in common? A severe lack of intelligence, a failed political career & no interest in doing what's best for any EU citizens.
People who fails listening are those who runs around ignorant of what is being played before their eyes. There is no script from Soros, these woman in power are reading from. They believe in this shit and are acting accordingly. Not listen to what they are saying is just stupid.
Sadly! They really believe in this sh##t. And there is a very simple explanation, Main Stream Media, where you read how things should be, but not the facts.
"Main Stream Media, where you read how things should be?" I would say the straight bluff and lies have nothing to do with "how things should be." Should be where and for whom?
Ya'all realize BIG changes are coming to EU & NATO [and Ukraine] as all foreign aid and NGO funding has now STOPPED, and audits begin ... forensic audits, I might add ... with Russian intelligence services assisting the new Trump administration. A lot of people want to see those pesky bioweapons labs eliminated ... forever. Military aid to Ukraine is going, going ... GONE. Trump is giving Putin TIME to taķe beyond the Dnieper down to Odessa. Lvov may be the new Capital of what's left of Ukraine. Hungary, Poland and Slovakia are researching their historic claims to areas of Western Ukraine. A 300-mile buffer zone, policed by Wagner and Russia, will fan out from the new borders of "NovoRusia". Eventually, new territories will be offered referendums ... like Crimea, like Donbass. Hopefully we are seeing the birth of a multipolar 'harmonious' Central Europe .... and a permanent end to nazification and fascism. The British Remnant is going to endure a slow and painful death ... karma for the centuries they have perpetrated brutal colonialism and war profiteering upon the world (INCLUDING America since 1778). The Perfidious Albions, Anglo-Saxon ELites, flesh-eating vampires are history. GoBearsZ and Hooray for a reconstituted, rehabilitated American Republic.
That's not at all for sure at this time. Trump's cabinet is all warhawks. Trump's backers are all plutocrats obsessed with control and money. Trump himself talks like a bully right now: I'll take this, I'll take that, we'll rename this and we'll rename that...
I think there's a good chance this regime will outperform even Biden's in inhuman destructive lunacy. Even perhaps to where it finally goads the whole world into turning on america finally and putting it back in its box.
You are probably right -- I didn’t really emphasize the U.S. non-role in the Russia/Ukraine outcome … Trump’s a lame duck …. but there are others around this administration that are taking names and documenting war crimes and terrorism -- bioweaponry is a greater threat than nuclear, IMO. Britain IS going down [along with NATO/EU] … and there just might be some room for hopefulness that Americans can and will re-constitute our Republic once those influencers are rendered IRRELEVANT (vapid, stupid, destructive). Unlike Alex Christoforou, I believe there IS a reverse gear … it will be imposed from the outside in. If I was 20 yrs younger (73 this year), I would be volunteering for the Russian military and on my way to becoming a Russian citizen. Preferably training in Chechnya and applying to Wagner. GoBearsZ. Russia is the hope for the world ….
Why the Angles and Saxons? Why not the Normans and perhaps ews (no "J" in Hebrew)?
The fact is that the EU wants this war. If they have been at all dragged in, it has been by London. Sure the US is in it but because Ukraine is a globalist project to neuter Russia. I think this will become more obvious when the US moves to pull back. London and the EU will scream bloody murder. Ha.
Yes.The Brexit, non EU state, Little Britain managed to drag the entire EU into the War. You had fanatical Poles and Suedes drooling about Revenge before that but anyone could see that Germany and Scholtz was reluctant. So was Macron and France until Putin told the Dwarf he was a p***y (and killed some French Legion soldiers in Ukraine).
The Woman on top, von der Leyen, is only doing some opportunistic Only-fan-job for her own sake of becoming a Historic…………..failure.
"The first scenario you choosed as the good one is exactly the deranged points that surfaced as the Trump plan. It is in no way a Peace or a development that bode well for the future."
Yeah...I just...I just want the war to end lol. I know it's not gonna happen but then again I still thought Israelis would be obliterating palestinian schools right now, a man can dream. I always hoped Ukranians would "rise up" against Zelenksy and say "no more" but unfortunately like their ideological forefather Nazis berlin will be burning around their heads and still saying "heil zelensky"
I feel with you, man.
So tired of all these killings.
Totally meaningless.
And the saddest part is that schoolkids all over Europe has learned the
”Holocaust gospel” of ”never again” transforming WW2 to a question of jewish existence instead of what it was, a totally unnecessary War as Pat Buchanan described it in his book.
Ukraine became independent in the 90-ties and those dying know were born without communism or just kids.
But as you say, these Nazi ideology, was never uprooted.
As far as I know, the USA has always prospered at the expense of European wars, first with the Napoleonic Wars, which gave it time to consolidate and obtain an incredible amount of territory (which was splitting the current country in half) at a ridiculous price. And then, of course, the first and second world wars. Let's say that Europeans are not very good students of history, and those from the USA are
Indeed!
You make interesting points
Jack is out the box and that hornets nest has been disturbed and the hornets are angry. The end may be the beginning of a whole new dangerous world.
I disagree with your analysis that the war should be stopped to save Ukrainians for humanitarian reasons. Ukrainians are pawns being manipulated by Polish and Lithuanian nationalists who want to resurrect the Polish-Lithuanian Empire from the 17th century. These resurgent imperialists want color revolutions, EU expansion, and a creeping political takeover of the EU by the EU eastern flank countries(including Estonia). The rise of Kaja Kallas is evidence their plan has made substantial progress.
Ukrainians, lured by manipulative promises, chose pawnhood and consequently, their future is out of their control. Allowing Ukraine to join the EU would play into the hands of the Polish-Lithuanian imperialists, and it wouldn't take long for them to attempt another color revolution in Belarus. Russia will never be secure as long as the Poles and Lithuanians believe they can bring back their empire at Russia's expense.
There's no such thing like Polish-Lithuanian nationalistic alliance. If it were, there would be at least some sense in it. Lithuania is not only anty-Russian, but also anti-Polish, in very similar way like the Banderite regime is. Lithuania is stripping Polish minorities of rights to use Polish language and keep Polish schools. In Poland no major political force is treating Lithuania seriously. It's erringly strange that in Poland we hardly have any news from Lithuania at all. If we have any, is about Lithuania blocking rail access to rafinery own by Polish Orlen or about closing yet another Polish school. Or about a politician fantasizing on destroying Russia. Both Lithuania and Poland support Banderites, because they are perceived as a tool to weaken Russia. There's no strong cooperation of PL and Lithuania, and a lot of animosities. Way more strong ties are withing the group of PL, CZ, HU and SK (yet it's almost halted since the start of the SMO).
Again! The Dnieper is not a barrier; this river is connecting people and the economy. In all the wars that were fought in Ukraine from the Ottomans to the Poles, the Swedes, and the Austrians and Germans, no one ever successfully used the Dnieper as a barrier.
eh...there's a reason russians crossed out of kherson - with those bridges cut logistics would have been hellish for russia, would they have held, sure, especially if they chucked a few tac nukes, which they considered doing, but ukraine would have fought on the advantage there, russia always seems to seek the advantage both tactically and strategically so that means "staying behind the river" in this case
the advent of mass drone warfare i think makes traditional river crossing tactics hellish - pontoon bridges, landing craft, beachhead bases, all these things would be swarmed with such a terrifying amount of drones it makes my skin crawl to think about it. Keep in mind that the Dnieper circles ukraines "core" so they really could flood thousands of drones at any russian landing party - russia has not meaningfully attrited ukraines drone pilot corp, arguably the best in the world, or its insane drone production "meth lab" factories no doubt seeded all around the country
to a certain extent, this "river crossing battle" has already been fought, but in reverse - Ukraine's "Operation Krynky" was a small version of crossing the Dnieper - it ended so, so horribly for Ukraine. The russians basically killed everyone that crossed the river.
i think if russia crosses the dnieper to take Odessa, it will only happen if the Ukraine army has already been functionally destroyed and ukraine put to flight around the entire battlefield
The retreat was done because the Ukrainians could generate floodings and wash away any logistics. There are some other dams, but not one is as massive as the destroyed one. And all historic river crossing were done north of Zaporoshie. Krynky ended as horrible as any attac by the Ukrainians, you can not attac against an enemy with massive artillery supriority, the same story as in the Kursk area.
Your best case scenario is a non starter for Russia. They would still be under the constant threat from drone attacks that they are experiencing now. They are going to have to take all of Ukraine now or otherwise "control" the western rump in such a manner that their safety is assured. Anything less will be a defeat for Putin and the Russian State and her people... Chip
Exactly
Resources are irrelevant. Ukraine doesn't produce anything execpt warm live bodies, and the West has all the resources it needs to keep the war going.
Wrong again…France a budget never to be accomplished, 66 thousand companies in th Seine, 20 restaurants close their doors, Michelin, Auchan, Air France all flying on one engine, Germany….a war industry? Go begging Uncle Sam and all goes to Bibi
If only France were the sole supplier of the Ukrainian war effort then you might sort of have a point.
Hope I can keep my trousers up, the whole of NATO now at a production rate of a year, It takes Russia 4 months, and projects for 25 are escalating.
Even after peace treaty France and Britain will never accept, and starting their own terrorist attacks on Russian Ukraine territory.
I have no idea what you are on about.
Of course you understand only your own logic, the logic of Russia behind the iron curtain and its people retarded. Russia wants those missiles to strike deep, its only purpose is to enforce the will to go on with this war to the bloody end, and be sure American soldiers qualify for more blood than Russian soldiers, they’re overweight, on drugs, too fat and full of blood.
You have no idea what you are talking about.
Right now the war is a catastrophic loss for Russia.
Look at the map of WWII in late 1941. Where do the front lines run? Largely where the current Russian borders are (give or take).
Is that a success? Literal Nazis (open LARPing ones in Ukraine, mostly crypto-Nazis though actual descendant of real ones in the West) being left permanently in control of the territory they took during the early stages of Operation Barbarossa?
The last three years have revealed how Westerners know nothing about history. In this case, if they knew the history, they would know that Odessa is a 100% Russian city, and that Kiev is core historic Russian land, and that you can only really speak of something like a real Ukraine in Galicia.
They are also ignorant about geostrategic issues.
There is absolutely no way you can leave your mortal enemies in possession of Chernigov, Sumy and Kharkov.
The whole reason the war started is the prospect of missiles being placed there. But guess what, missiles were placed there and they are striking deep into Russia already.
How is that a win in any sense?
The modern (1991) construct of a "nation" we call Ukraine was a failed concept. The chaos of the collapse of the Soviet Union created the situation that the Ukraine SSR became an independent entity.
You cannot have +/- 50% of a Russian population dominated and discriminated by a radicalized, Russian hating ethnic group who fought with (Galician Waffen SS Division) and support a Nazi/Banderite mentality in one country. Literally bordering on the Russian heartland.
This type of ethnic volatility is exactly what our American neocons look for to leverage the hostilities and create crisis in a manic attempt to "contain" or dominate every potential competitor to a "rules" based world.
There can be no "freeze" to create a solid European security arrangement. Russia is an asset to Europe, it is our country, as a latent, failing, imperialistic empire that is the enemy of Europe.
Russia must liberate and incorporate all regions from Odessa, Trasnistrya (I'm aware this is part of Moldovia), Dnepr River and east into the Russian Federation. Romania, Hungary and Poland need to annex such regions as their people live.
As far as the Lvov region, just let them stew in poverty and prejudice, impotent, join the decadent EU and help destroy that cancer, sooner the better.
Probably Ukraine tries to earn Trump's favor with all his talks about bringing the oil prices to $45. Ukrainians were/are traditionally very very good in sabotage & guerrilla warfare, as proven in WW2, for the right cause when as "partizani", they're exploding the German's trains, airdromes, warehouses, etc., and after WW2, for the Banderites' nefarious causes, all the way to mid -1950s, when the OUN were gutting out the entire villages in the Western Ukraine.
Probably tons of "moles" were sent to Russia when so many Ukrainians moved to Russia after 2014 & Feb 2022. Clearly, Russia could do a better job of protecting its huge refineries, but the damage is unavoidable. It's very hard to defend against such kind of war, and it might go on for at least a few years, even when this war is "settled."