Thx Simplicius! After being suspended from X for following you and other gentlemens these articles are the highlight of the week.
Will read it with joy!
After reading it I can conclude that the first half was material from your X flow - have missed a couple of days. Hopefully your longer, in-depth, articles will resurge when things start to evolve around Trumps ”peace plan”.
Good that you dont underestimate the threat from Ukraines drone campaign causing severe damage and costs in Russia. Although Russia can replace and repair the structural damages there is no way they can do it in days. Refinerys burn and there is a lot to replace for sure.
Trumps threats of sanctions was ridiculed at first but if China and India cease to import fuel from Russia it will affect Russian economy massively. But it is, as you state, desperation in Ukraine and West as the reality of the War has sunk in.
Which makes me wonder where these large, more complex, longer range UAVs are being produced in Ukraine - certainly not by children in schools. I'm somewhat surprised that Russia hasn't found the locations yet - but then, Ukraine is a large country and it's people, whilst ruled by nazis, are very clever, as most slavs are.
We can wonder but as you say, there are clever people (cunning) in Ukraine and elsewhere. War is a perfect way to make people do the most for their country.
Trumps understanding of the elasticity of supply and demand in the oil and gas business is that of a toddler.
Saudi Arabia is supposed to increase oil supply, lower prices and .... What.? Fund the Saudi Economy from retained earnings? How is S.A. going to invest $500 Billion to $1 Trillion into the U.S while losing hundreds of billions pumping oil to replace Russian oil.
And the U.S. Oil/Gas Corporations are to lower prices, and fund drilling and fracking? What, from borrowing?
Regarding the midair collision near Reagan Airport. It would have been worse if the air traffic controllers, military flight crew, and civilian flight crew had not been fully vaccinated for Covid-19. Thank you Mr Warp Speed and Dr Fauci. We can't wait for Stargate Project.
What the hell is good enough for you lol? Just reinstated our service men with back pay. Released the J6 prisoner who would as political prisoners would have languished in prison forever. And all without help from tinfoil hatted nut jobs like you.
I know I know it’s all scripted and we are following some crazy Jew plan lol. You guys had me on the Jews for a bit just last year. Just sayin. That was until i realized how mentally unstable all of you really are lol. Let me tell you something, if the Jew shit is real you morons are their best friends.
Y’all gotta stop being fucking stupid if you want to win …..🤦♂️
You are correct in noting Trump's "transactional nature". The last hopeful transactional candidate was Ross Perot. The rest (from Reagan onward were either soft or hard idealogues or puppets). Trump's nature is to exploit opportunities - exploitation and opportunism work in the "real" world as we all do it in our daily lives. Once the masses understand this then they will also understand that men like Trump also look at problems from the standpoint of "how to fix it". He is neither an idealogue not a puppet...
Good news for poor blackrock banks and the media conglomerates. January 2025, the U.S. Department of Commerce recognized Jew owned businesses as Minority Business Enterprises (MBEs). Trumps idea of DEI.
AND - In 2022 the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), changed the electrocardiogram (ECG) markers that measure the ‘PR interval’. This is the time it takes for an electrical impulse to travel from one part of heart to another and is an indicator of heart health. The new limit is 50 per cent longer than the previous limit, and means that if a pilot has developed a heart condition, it could slip past.
I don't know about that, even 300 ms PR interval is a pretty severe First-degree atrioventricular block, likely to progress to second or third degree in time. I was appalled when that was normalised by the FAA, when 200 ms had been the upper limit to pass a flight physical for generations.
It seems like Ukrianian drone strikes are following Zaluzhnys docterine of more rockets and drones.
Ukraine special services are also waging a covert war against the Russian economy and shipping and interests worldwide. Quite recently a Russian oil tanker sank under mysterious circumstances - it seems that while losing on the battlefield, it is winning the "covert war". And Russia does nothing to "allied" shipping to put the pressure on the American economy in turn.
The question is - will Russia bend Ukraine before Ukraine collapses its economy?
You got a point in the situation that Russia doesn’t repost, but still this Ukrainian generation is totally broken, swept away even if all oil and gaz tankers are send to the bottom of the ocean. I never expect a final winner, only a Vietnam alike but in decades episodes.
It's been the best part of a year since Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy infrastructure started. But check out the websites that track world energy prices and you find that the ruble prices of petrol and diesel are up only around 10% yoy, this equalling the official general inflation rate. LPG is only up 2% yoy. Natural gas is near the cheapest in the world at less than a US cent per kWh. Electricity is also only a fraction of the cost in the West at under 10 US cents per kWh. All Ukraine's efforts to this point could be honestly said to have had zero visible effect on the internal Russian energy market.
no the question is the import of your first part: is america winning the covert war?
that's the point.
the whole point.
We don't need to give a dam about the battlefield war any more. Donetsk and Lunhansk and such as we have of Kherson and Zapho will do for the time being. It wasn't long ago that Putin was ready to let them go, remember?
Well no they don't have to be 'let go' but they don't have to be painfully won on the battlefield either. Political victory can include stipulation they go to Russia.
What matters is not the 'war with Ukraine' (meaning the Kiev regime) at all, as I see it. What matters is the war with America.
When are going to start calling a war, a war?
When are we going to start calling aggression, 'aggression'. America is an aggressor. America wages virtual open warfare against Russia.
We all know it.
I think America even declares it so from time to time doesn't it?
So we need no negotiations with Kiev. No peace treaties with Kiev. We need negotiations and peace treaties with Washingon.
I don't know how that works out but I reckon its what we need.
Time to call a spade a spade and murderous bunch of warmongering bandits what they are.
I think Russia has to start picking targets that hurt America.
Bring it on. There'll never be a better time, it's only going to get worse.
Everyone frightened to fight America because of the nuclear threat, in the end.
F**k it. They got to be stopped.
Just at least change the language and call a spade a spade: 'we are at war with America' and act accordingly.
p.s. or perhaps slightly better to point out; 'America is waging war on us' because they are the initiator after, the provoker, the maintainer.... the profiteer...
I just saw today an article naming Palantir and Unduril as places 'to invest' because of the success of their drones in attacking russia's oil refineries. Clear profit to America. Clear America at war with Russia. How much clearer does it need to be?
I realise of course that it is usual, normal and I suppose totally acceptable for a nation at war to be able to buy things from outside to help it in its struggle and those suppliers from outside are not actually held to be participating in the war, not active hostiles.
But when they sell only to one side and not the other?
When they sell on credit to a nation with nothing?
And when they provide targeting information?
And when they do the controlling of the flight?
And when they actually press the trigger even?
And when they mount aggressive acts on the other nation: sanctions etc ?
And when they propagandise endlessly about the other nation?
usa does all of that and more.
Does any sane person have any doubt at all?
America is waging war on Russia.
Let it be said, confessed to, stipulated, announced, broadcast, clearly...
And if your nation supports the usa then your nation too is attacking Russia.
The EU and London are parties to this war. Perhaps the major ones. America is supposed to supply the money and materials. If the EU and London didn’t want this war it would stop.
The perfidious Albion’ banking cartel needs desperately this war against Russia. Currently, British bankers took over the regulation of US “financial system.” The real owners of the collective west are becoming more visible.
yes, could be. who the major players are is a big mystery. for all our internet etc. we still know little. who was running america whilst biden sputtered?
we need a lot of air clearing solid facts and distinguishing of mechanisms and players.
perhaps the eu and uk promote the war as much as they can, alright. but it is/was the american congress that voted billions to ukraine and those billions kept it going.
so there's a mechanism and 'players' clearly identified so we can investigate that further and when we do we find vast Israeli influence in congress. some claim the whole congress is owned by israel in fact. so is that relevant? does that mean they directed the congress to vote that way? that they are/were the ones keeping it going.
traditionally we expect jews to be at the head of all big banking and munitions businesses. in fact at the head of the american nation. well big banking and big munitions are profiting mightily from this war. right there in usa, without needing any eu or uk urging.
It seems most unlikely doesn't it? Yet that must be the goal. Peace between usa and russia. Do you remember in his first term or whilst campaigning Trump proposed it?
I think it possible. Russian people would allow it. We just need American people to wake up from their dream, throw off their chains, take control of their country and they'd probably allow it, too.
It is only our lunatic 'elite' (the must utterly un-elite I can imagine actually) that would not/will not ever stop their rapacious, greedy, homicidal conduct.
Not the people.
We are in the habit of confusing the lunatic 'elites' that run countries with the people themselves.
This is the tradition of historians and chroniclers, pundits and prophets: to speak of 'nations' and 'countries' as though they were actual living entities deliberately steering courses through history with their own motivations, destinies, desires, needs,, purposes, hereditary grudges et al.
Hence 'russia will never allow this' and 'france will never allow that' and 'china will always this' and so on.
There's libraries filled with books that talk like this. Big libraries. Massive libraries. It is THE way to talk of human history.
But it is not true, not valid and not human history. It is the history of ruling elite almost always vicious, brutal, selfish etc because stemming from animal origins/tribalism, dominance of the strong.
Let the people once emancipate themselves and perhaps have it filter into their dim consciousnesses what being a citizen of a democracy entails: understanding and participation - and then the courses plotted by nations could be radically different and could reflect the wishes and needs of people; be human courses.
A good start would be a mind meeting venue, a voice for people better and beyond and more suited and unarguably valid than the ad hoc voices presented by social media.
In WWII the German production plants were under permanent bombardment. Day by Day thousands of Allied planes were over Germany. But the peak production was in autumn of '44. Then the Germans had lost so much land with its resources that they could not maintain the production. Despite all the film evidence of burning plants, railway stations, and busted dams, the production went up and up and up, so do not overstate the pictures and videos of a burning "Russian Economy". One could ask, would the Allies have won the war earlier if they had not produced the big bombers but instead produced tanks, guns, and fighter-bombers?
An excellent example of that is Ukraine itself, I already lost count of the number of missiles it received in its infrastructure, and it is still working.
The Russians are still being careful with the Ukrainian population, but I would be more careful with over-stinging the bear
Yep. It survives. How? If blowing up oil storage is effective surely Kiev Ukraine would be powerless by now?
I realise it does damage to Russia's economy and that doesn't apply to Kiev because they have no economy left, I think, anyway, they rely on money from america, but in pure physical terms: things the oil is used for: transport, industry. How does Kiev Ukraine keep going?
And it doesn't just keep going, despite the constant retreating in the Donbas it attacks fiercely all the time in Kursk.
And how much of Donbas retreat is strategic/political/pretence? For the Donbas is not their land anyway. It is what they invaded. It is clear now they are going to have to live without it in the future so why bust your guts trying to keep it?
The never ending litany of how depleted Kiev Ukraine is in every possible aspect has been running for two years now. I hear ridiculous things. A battalion, I think, down to 10 men. 'guarding', 'holding', the front assigned to a battalion. And so on. That kind of thing. If that were the case the Russian and Donbas forces would simply be walking across the country. Despite appearances that is not what they are doing. They are fighting.
It profits Kiev Ukraine greatly if everyone thinks they are in dire straits.
From what I read, Allied planes bombed the less risky residential area, since the production plants/military objects were well defended, and since workers' homes were destroyed and they had nowhere to go, they just slept/lived at their work place, worked longer hours, being more productive, hence the higher output.
The Americans conducted precision bombing, largely because the British bomber aircraft could not surive over Germany during daylight while Americans could.
The nordsen bomb sights despite being only second to the Manhattan project for cost so they used terrorist fire bombing of civilians. We're pure evil, in some ways worse than Hitler. Never forget, we refused Jewish refugees.
British tried daylight bombing. Didn't work. Switched to nighttime. Wasn't good but was tolerable. Americans came in and said they'd do daylight precision bombing because they'd been practising incessantly and were shit hot. British warned them against it. It didn't work. Americans went to nighttime bombing too. Later in the war, America's Mustang fighter came along and was able to protect bombers deeper into Germany because it had bigger fuel tanks than the British fighters. Losses were still bad though. Then they put the British Merlin engine in the Mustang and suddenly the allies were able to dominate the sky over Germany even in daylight. The fact that Germany was being out produced in aircraft by the allies in the later part of the war was a big factor too.
thanks for that. saved me the trouble of asking how the hell that could have been. so in essence the paradox of how production can increase while you smash the means of production is solved by the fact that you only pretend to smash the means while actually aiming at soft targets. What we might call the 'american' or 'israeli' tactic. We might and it fits but further comments remind me it was the british tactic too. well that figures. that country run by the same people as those two.
No, this is a myth. The not-needed persons (children, the old, mothers with children) were evacuated to secure zones; e.g., to Austria, my grandparents had to house such people. The German (and Czech!) workforce was relatively small; the remaining housing was more than enough. The major part of the low-level workforce was slave labor from Eastern Europe, and they lived in concentration camps, which were not bombed intentionally. Real qualified work was outsourced to the countryside; the plants were beneath the earth (mines or tunnels), and the German (and the other European) engineers lived in the small villages around. The German AA-defense was stationary around the cities; it did not matter if you attacked the production facilities or the living quarters. (I know, there are some exceptions, like the AA-towers in Vienna). In the academic/military circles they discuss, if the amount of AA-guns would have been better moved as AT-guns to the East, or if the AA ammunition would have been better produced as artillery shells, because it was sometimes more than half of the total production. This academic discussion brings us back to Ukraine: if all these resources for "strategic" targets were used for the frontlines, the situation might be better.
Ok, but explain if 'the not-needed persons (children, the old, mothers with children) were evacuated to secure zones; e.g., to Austria' who were comprising the volkssturm and hitlerjugend groups in 1945 in Berlin?
Most German cities were not part of the military production lines. There were no evacuations for non-military plants. These cities had huge losses in civilian life. Therefore, the civilian losses in the Ruhr, Linz, or Schweinfurt are minor, in Hamburg or Berlin very bad. You see the same picture in Italy; Livorno had very small losses in civilian life, opposite to Naples or Roma. And do not forget the refugees from the East; the most "successful" bombing raid was against Dresden, a city full of refugees—but these absurd things were British ideas. No wonder that the Germans (and Italians!) were willing to join the Volkssturm.
I understand re.: above, but still, in the war, the info people get is restricted to areas/knowledge/lore. My own family lines were on different sides @WW2, and some of the knowledge I sure 'knew' was true, turned out BS on close scrutiny.
Given the fact that Russia has conquered a great deal of Ukraine's natural resources in the Donbass, and will never give them up, I think Russia has already technically "won" the war - rare earths, farmland fisheries and ports, fuel, coal, coking chemicals, steel and various lower elemental ores, Russia has taken many trillions from Ukraine. Combined with Russia's population growth from the war - several million at least fled into Russia from Ukraine at the SMO's outset, I think Russia has already achieved "technical" victory.
I guess my point is, I wonder when "enough will be enough" - I would very much like the war to end just for humanitarian and stability reasons - as cynical as the Gaza "ceasefire" is, it's nice to not have the Palestinians not being bombed to splinters (as much). I want the same for Ukraine. I don't think Trump has any real leverage over Russia but he certainly has plenty over Ukraine - hopefully he can tard wrangle Zelensky and the rest into a victory-surrender.
My final prediction - best case scenario for Ukraine - the line freezes around here, Ukraine is demilitarized but quasi let into the European Union in some form, economic stabilization etc etc. Nato is off the table obviously - not even sure why Ukraine wants to be let into Nato at this point, aside from the United States there is no firepower in Nato, Nato should be asking to join Ukraine.
Worst case scenario for Ukraine - their army routs and cracks and falls all the way back to Zaporhiza city and Kiev and digs in like termites. Everything east of the Dnieper becomes russia or at least under heavy Russian dominion, everything west of the Dnieper becomes a failed state / refugee vortex that further destabilizes the EU. The US says "aw shucks" and goes and invades panama or something.
In other words, there's no "lose scenario" for Russia now - it's either win a lot with more bloodshed or when a significant amount with less bloodshed. I don't know which path will be chosen - I wish all these sanctions and tariffs on Russia would be lifted to lower the price of food, fuel and fertilizer globally but I guess "lowering the price of eggs" has already been forgotten as a campaign promise - sigh...
It is easy to trace your anguish as we all has been following this War for 3 years now.
WW2 lasted six years.
Sadly it doesnt matter if Russia has a technical win over Ukraine. Russia is under threat, a deadly one, as long as West is nurturing this War. And you can listen carefully when Karja Kallas call for the disintegration of the Russian Federation. She and others are firmly commited to forever War with Russia.
The first scenario you choosed as the good one is exactly the deranged points that surfaced as the Trump plan. It is in no way a Peace or a development that bode well for the future.
The second one means more killing and destruction but will create a more ”stable” border along Dniepr and cripple Ukraine for a long time. As such it is no Peace or a solution for the end of hostilities between West and Russia.
I doubt any of us can think in a realistic way and in the dark hours I think Europe needs a moment of insight. A moment so unspeakable horrorful that they finally reach awareness of how stupid they have been to let US exeptionalism start a big War, dragging in Europe as well, and risk the prosperity for generations to come.
Yep. The fact is Russia is at war with America. Whether it likes it or not.
And it needs to put it plainly and clearly and start drawing up battle lines and finding allies.
It needs warlike commitments from its allies.
And it needs to start making warlike actions on america's allies.
America and the west can bring down Russia.
But so can Russia and its allies, however few and weak they are, bring down america.
For it is america that has the least. It has a massive front of propaganda and bluster but it has f*** all military supremacy and it has a totally rotten economic background, underpinning that relies solely on the world dumbly accepting newly printed american dollars as worthwhile currency. and dumb slavish acceptance by all lackeys of america's 'sanctions' regimes. All that could fail overnight.
Overnight america could be stripped of its lackeys and the worth of its paper and 'might' of its sanctions. Its an emperor with no clothes.
Russia needs to hang in long enough to get some of these fence sitters on side and while it is doing it russia needs to proclaim to the world that america has no clothes.
Forget 'Ukraine'. It's not ' Ukraine' anyway. It is "Kiev Ukraine' which means Ukraine minus 10 million Donbas Ukrainians. And it's no even that for how many Kiev Ukrainians want to die in this war? No. It's not 'Ukraine' at all. It is a lunatic Kiev regime, fronting for the usa.
Ukraine has nothing to do with it. It is all usa and russia.
Russia has to call it what it is and Russia has to show this 'emperor' is naked and Russia needs to start fighting and hurting this 'emperor'. And I don't know how they can do any of that. Fortunately they're smarter than me.
"Ukraine has nothing to do with it. It is all usa and russia."
^^^THIS^^^
A one sentence CliffsNotes to summarize the shit-show the Americans are sponsoring. The USA! USA! USA! couldn't beat the Vietnamese or Afghans but will somehow win against the Russians in their own back yard? A resounding FUCK NO.
Despite your histrionic shouting and swearing the fact is that america is to date winning inasmuch as it has profited massively while Russia is, of course, losing money all the time.
It is not 'in their own back yard' at all. It is a global conflict with global ramifications and repercussions. Syria was/is part of this. Gaza was/is part of this. Because for instance relations with Israel are part of Russia's political stance and essential fibre.
Now the latest sanctions raise the cost of transporting russian fuel to where china and india do not buy russian fuel. that is very damaging to Russia.
America did not lose in vietnam any more than it loses in Cuba.
America destroys Vietnam and Cuba via sanctions, impoverishes, beggars these places. Causes generations of hardship, pain and suffering via sanctions to nations while itself pursuing its course unconcerned and unhurt - the investors and workers and owners of the military industrial complex businesses all fat and happy.
That's a victory, son, a victory, in the inhuman bean counter terms, methods of measurement. that's why they keep doing it.
America loses in human terms, sure enough, in spiritual terms it is blackened and blighted. The heart and soul of the nation becomes a deformed and inhuman thing.
But that's not the kind of victory or loss you are talking about. You are talking purely military victory: well America wins.
You don't think it does because a military victory to you is a tank standing in the main square of some town/village/city/nation and remaining there as representative of 'victory' and overlordship of that place.
You're a bit simplistic and slow in your comprehension. The tank leaves, the plunder having been taken, the city sacked, and the 'caravan' moves on to sack another town/village/city/nation elsewhere.
That's what military victories truly are: politics by other means and what are politics in america? business by other means. and what is business? profit. And american business profits all over the world by fomenting wars and strife and by oppressing people.
America is a fat leech sucking the blood of the world and while a leech is alive and sucking blood it is 'victorious', see?
And america for three years has sucked the blood of Ukrainians and Russians alike.
For Russia to call a spade a spade it needs less cautious leadership in the Kremlin. The conduct of this war in the Ukraine has been an example of Russian patience and caution. That may have worked for a time. But the west is intent on defeating and destroying Russia. The Russians and Chinese and Iranians must have the same mindset too in regards to bringing down the west. Perhaps they are looking at doing it via peaceful means only. If so, that's commendable up to a point. But the west needs at least a strong smack in the face to remind them that they are not dealing with another Libya or Iraq. We have not seen such a geopolitical smack yet.
'The west' is not intent on defeating and destroying russia. 'The West' is nearly a billion people who just want peace. The lunatic overlords of the west they are intent on plundering Russia. They are. Not the people. And the west IS the people despite this centuries old habit of describing nations, talking of nations, plotting the course of nations, predicting the actions of nations, as though they were living entities of their own and using the actions, thoughts, motivations of various gangs of 'elites' and despotic rulers for data.
2025. Internet. AI. Time for people to begin to manifest and take over. Inherit their own kingdom.
When you start giving any of your time to listen to the likes of Kallas you need to realise you're wasting your time. It doesn't matter if it's her Baerbock or Von De Liar. Word for word they repeat their script from one of Soros sponsored script writing NGO's. Haven't you realised talk is cheap? Who's going to be the next country stupid enough to sacrifice itself for this globalist extremism? Kallas will repeat anything the highest bidder tells her to say. What do her Baerbock & Von De Liar have in common? A severe lack of intelligence, a failed political career & no interest in doing what's best for any EU citizens.
People who fails listening are those who runs around ignorant of what is being played before their eyes. There is no script from Soros, these woman in power are reading from. They believe in this shit and are acting accordingly. Not listen to what they are saying is just stupid.
Sadly! They really believe in this sh##t. And there is a very simple explanation, Main Stream Media, where you read how things should be, but not the facts.
"Main Stream Media, where you read how things should be?" I would say the straight bluff and lies have nothing to do with "how things should be." Should be where and for whom?
Ya'all realize BIG changes are coming to EU & NATO [and Ukraine] as all foreign aid and NGO funding has now STOPPED, and audits begin ... forensic audits, I might add ... with Russian intelligence services assisting the new Trump administration. A lot of people want to see those pesky bioweapons labs eliminated ... forever. Military aid to Ukraine is going, going ... GONE. Trump is giving Putin TIME to taķe beyond the Dnieper down to Odessa. Lvov may be the new Capital of what's left of Ukraine. Hungary, Poland and Slovakia are researching their historic claims to areas of Western Ukraine. A 300-mile buffer zone, policed by Wagner and Russia, will fan out from the new borders of "NovoRusia". Eventually, new territories will be offered referendums ... like Crimea, like Donbass. Hopefully we are seeing the birth of a multipolar 'harmonious' Central Europe .... and a permanent end to nazification and fascism. The British Remnant is going to endure a slow and painful death ... karma for the centuries they have perpetrated brutal colonialism and war profiteering upon the world (INCLUDING America since 1778). The Perfidious Albions, Anglo-Saxon ELites, flesh-eating vampires are history. GoBearsZ and Hooray for a reconstituted, rehabilitated American Republic.
That's not at all for sure at this time. Trump's cabinet is all warhawks. Trump's backers are all plutocrats obsessed with control and money. Trump himself talks like a bully right now: I'll take this, I'll take that, we'll rename this and we'll rename that...
I think there's a good chance this regime will outperform even Biden's in inhuman destructive lunacy. Even perhaps to where it finally goads the whole world into turning on america finally and putting it back in its box.
The fact is that the EU wants this war. If they have been at all dragged in, it has been by London. Sure the US is in it but because Ukraine is a globalist project to neuter Russia. I think this will become more obvious when the US moves to pull back. London and the EU will scream bloody murder. Ha.
Yes.The Brexit, non EU state, Little Britain managed to drag the entire EU into the War. You had fanatical Poles and Suedes drooling about Revenge before that but anyone could see that Germany and Scholtz was reluctant. So was Macron and France until Putin told the Dwarf he was a p***y (and killed some French Legion soldiers in Ukraine).
The Woman on top, von der Leyen, is only doing some opportunistic Only-fan-job for her own sake of becoming a Historic…………..failure.
"The first scenario you choosed as the good one is exactly the deranged points that surfaced as the Trump plan. It is in no way a Peace or a development that bode well for the future."
Yeah...I just...I just want the war to end lol. I know it's not gonna happen but then again I still thought Israelis would be obliterating palestinian schools right now, a man can dream. I always hoped Ukranians would "rise up" against Zelenksy and say "no more" but unfortunately like their ideological forefather Nazis berlin will be burning around their heads and still saying "heil zelensky"
And the saddest part is that schoolkids all over Europe has learned the
”Holocaust gospel” of ”never again” transforming WW2 to a question of jewish existence instead of what it was, a totally unnecessary War as Pat Buchanan described it in his book.
Ukraine became independent in the 90-ties and those dying know were born without communism or just kids.
But as you say, these Nazi ideology, was never uprooted.
As far as I know, the USA has always prospered at the expense of European wars, first with the Napoleonic Wars, which gave it time to consolidate and obtain an incredible amount of territory (which was splitting the current country in half) at a ridiculous price. And then, of course, the first and second world wars. Let's say that Europeans are not very good students of history, and those from the USA are
I disagree with your analysis that the war should be stopped to save Ukrainians for humanitarian reasons. Ukrainians are pawns being manipulated by Polish and Lithuanian nationalists who want to resurrect the Polish-Lithuanian Empire from the 17th century. These resurgent imperialists want color revolutions, EU expansion, and a creeping political takeover of the EU by the EU eastern flank countries(including Estonia). The rise of Kaja Kallas is evidence their plan has made substantial progress.
Ukrainians, lured by manipulative promises, chose pawnhood and consequently, their future is out of their control. Allowing Ukraine to join the EU would play into the hands of the Polish-Lithuanian imperialists, and it wouldn't take long for them to attempt another color revolution in Belarus. Russia will never be secure as long as the Poles and Lithuanians believe they can bring back their empire at Russia's expense.
There's no such thing like Polish-Lithuanian nationalistic alliance. If it were, there would be at least some sense in it. Lithuania is not only anty-Russian, but also anti-Polish, in very similar way like the Banderite regime is. Lithuania is stripping Polish minorities of rights to use Polish language and keep Polish schools. In Poland no major political force is treating Lithuania seriously. It's erringly strange that in Poland we hardly have any news from Lithuania at all. If we have any, is about Lithuania blocking rail access to rafinery own by Polish Orlen or about closing yet another Polish school. Or about a politician fantasizing on destroying Russia. Both Lithuania and Poland support Banderites, because they are perceived as a tool to weaken Russia. There's no strong cooperation of PL and Lithuania, and a lot of animosities. Way more strong ties are withing the group of PL, CZ, HU and SK (yet it's almost halted since the start of the SMO).
Again! The Dnieper is not a barrier; this river is connecting people and the economy. In all the wars that were fought in Ukraine from the Ottomans to the Poles, the Swedes, and the Austrians and Germans, no one ever successfully used the Dnieper as a barrier.
eh...there's a reason russians crossed out of kherson - with those bridges cut logistics would have been hellish for russia, would they have held, sure, especially if they chucked a few tac nukes, which they considered doing, but ukraine would have fought on the advantage there, russia always seems to seek the advantage both tactically and strategically so that means "staying behind the river" in this case
the advent of mass drone warfare i think makes traditional river crossing tactics hellish - pontoon bridges, landing craft, beachhead bases, all these things would be swarmed with such a terrifying amount of drones it makes my skin crawl to think about it. Keep in mind that the Dnieper circles ukraines "core" so they really could flood thousands of drones at any russian landing party - russia has not meaningfully attrited ukraines drone pilot corp, arguably the best in the world, or its insane drone production "meth lab" factories no doubt seeded all around the country
to a certain extent, this "river crossing battle" has already been fought, but in reverse - Ukraine's "Operation Krynky" was a small version of crossing the Dnieper - it ended so, so horribly for Ukraine. The russians basically killed everyone that crossed the river.
i think if russia crosses the dnieper to take Odessa, it will only happen if the Ukraine army has already been functionally destroyed and ukraine put to flight around the entire battlefield
The retreat was done because the Ukrainians could generate floodings and wash away any logistics. There are some other dams, but not one is as massive as the destroyed one. And all historic river crossing were done north of Zaporoshie. Krynky ended as horrible as any attac by the Ukrainians, you can not attac against an enemy with massive artillery supriority, the same story as in the Kursk area.
Your best case scenario is a non starter for Russia. They would still be under the constant threat from drone attacks that they are experiencing now. They are going to have to take all of Ukraine now or otherwise "control" the western rump in such a manner that their safety is assured. Anything less will be a defeat for Putin and the Russian State and her people... Chip
Probably Ukraine tries to earn Trump's favor with all his talks about bringing the oil prices to $45. Ukrainians were/are traditionally very very good in sabotage & guerrilla warfare, as proven in WW2, for the right cause when as "partizani", they're exploding the German's trains, airdromes, warehouses, etc., and after WW2, for the Banderites' nefarious causes, all the way to mid -1950s, when the OUN were gutting out the entire villages in the Western Ukraine.
Probably tons of "moles" were sent to Russia when so many Ukrainians moved to Russia after 2014 & Feb 2022. Clearly, Russia could do a better job of protecting its huge refineries, but the damage is unavoidable. It's very hard to defend against such kind of war, and it might go on for at least a few years, even when this war is "settled."
The war is only going to get more dangerous as Russia advances. I would expect a ton of assymetric warefare coming from the west ie terrorist attacks, attacks on shipping lanes, Russians assests fully seized.
The west is far to invested just to let ukraine roll over and die without trying to inflict as much damage as it can on Russia. The reality is WW3 is just a matchstick away from truly popping off. I'd expect things to get really crazy over the next couple of months.
Baba Vanga, prior to her death in 1996 predicted that Damascus would fall 'In the year of the dragon.' That didn't happen in 2000 or 2012, but it did happen in 2024, so that 12:1 bet paid off. She also predicted was a great war in the east leaving Europe ruined and Russia victorious. I'm all for peace, but Baba Vanga's words are unforgettable.
Unfortunately, unlike Nostradamus, there is no trustworthy book, she was blind and didn't write. Some of the predictions claimed by followers have been called hoaxes. But the 'year of the dragon' pick for the fall of Damascus has been around for a long time. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baba_Vanga
The prime minister of Denmark wasn’t shy about making a big noisy fuss about DJT’s phone call w/ her, 45-minutes of rudeness & aggression which left her aggrieved. President Petro was not ‘calm’ in his response to DJT’s demand that Columbia accept deportation flights of Columbia’s very own criminally-charged citizens, who entered the U.S. illegally: “the worst first,” in Larry Homan’s parlance.
DJT has not called VVP, though he asserted several times both before his inauguration & after that he would “immediately” do so. Is VVP waiting by the phone, drumming his fingertips on the desk—? No.
DJT’s *pause* of further diplomatic action @ this point w/ Russia may signal a recognition on his team’s part that they do *not* in fact have leverage, regardless of the CIA talking points they have recycled from Collective Biden. For years, Joe’s State Department blathered on & on about fortifying the AFU to such an extent that Ukraine would be able to sit down @ the negotiating table in a position of strength. But strengthening the AFU was never ultimately realistic.
Obviously the blather emanating from Joe’s State Department was a fig-leaf for the U.S. itself attempting against all odds to eke out some modicum of an advantage that would allow it, the U.S., to boldly seat its proxy @ the negotiating table w/ an upper hand.
Which never happened and now cannot happen.
Arguing compellingly for peace when one is, directly or by proxy, losing a war is a delusional gambit.
DJT’s surly tweet about VVP “destroying Russia” coupled w/ his threat of tariffs if Russia did not end “this ridiculous war” failed to garner a hyperbolic chicken-with-its-head cut off response from VVP. Or any response. What’s clear: dealing w/ the Russian team will require more skill, finesse & seriousness than dealing w/ Columbia’s president or Denmark’s prime minister.
You can’t hurry love, as Diana Ross & the Supremes said.
I think Trumps priority now is to get his Ministers in place and then clean out the Administration. He must first control US and be sure he has the apparatus behind him. Nothing else matters more.
Meantime he is throwing around Molotovs-coctqils, part as intimidation, part as indicators of what comes next.
And can Trump throw around his Molotov-cocktails in a more dignifying manner? Every time he opens his mouth, either my jaw drops or my eyes roll up. Like, really?!
Well this is the classical outcome when a force advertise and marketed as unstoppable runs squarely into an object that is actually immovable. There will not be an unlimited discharge of energy but more like a crash, crumble and derailed end of marketing over reality.
Putin can't end the war because usa will keep it going. Only the usa can end the war simply by stopping funding it and actually doing it. Russia would not then keep going. Maybe to the borders of the new russian oblasts but that's all. I think. Though maybe after all this they're a bit angrier than that and would go for an overland bridge to Odessa.
The Country is called Colombia not Columbia. It's like saying "United STATE of America". I saw this so many times i worry for the literacy of americans.
The attacks on the refineries and NPPs are presumably carried out by specialised drones that cannot be built in garage workshops. It would be useful to publish some details on the types of long-range drones that are being used, unless these are small drones being launched within Russia.
Look at the planes of this company: Aeroprakt. This stuff can be built in a garage. By the way, before the war, you could order these "planes" in parts, delivered on palettes, and then build it in your garden.
Infiltrated short range drones launched inside RF territory? Satellite guidance, hopefully not Starlink?
If guidance links are provided through US satellite or aerial systems by whatever means ( as I suspect) eventually they may trigger an RF direct response. Are there still enough crazy fuckers in chain of command with DOD/CIA/MIC who think open warfare with RF is a good idea?
Not likely. Russia is ready to talk. It is Ukraine and its puppet-masters who refuse to talk at this point and as Russia points out, there is no one who can legitimately sign a document available.
If Trump does put enough sanctions on Russia that causes harm to its economy will Russia finally stop selling oil,gas and uranium to America? This would hamper Trump’s economic recovery and put a damper on his promise to stabilize the economy.
Again I don’t understand why Russia has continued to supply its enemies.
Partly at least because Putin is determined to show that he’s acting in good faith - by which I mean that his only beef is NATO and that he otherwise has no quarrel with the west.
More rumblings recently that the russian economy is starting to face real problems. The Ukrainians drone campaign is getting bigger, as I expected, and in fact if the Ukrainians so choose they can make life hell in Russia if they use them in a terror campaign.
Trump has seemingly cooled on kicking things off with Putin - which makes sense because he is probably realising that the war is great for the US.
We go back to some foundational concepts, that biggest losers in the war are Ukraine, Europe and Russia and the biggest winners are the US, China and India. In the fine words of the Durans guest yesterday, Europe and Russia both found a tiger in the jungle, and just because Russia is outrunning Europe doesn't mean its still not being chased by a tiger
"The Ukrainians drone campaign is getting bigger, as I expected, and in fact if the Ukrainians so choose they can make life hell in Russia if they use them in a terror campaign."
They are losing on the battlefield but sufficiently slowing russia that it still has not taken pokrovsk. It just needs to delay and degrade Russian economy and it wins.
Just how weak do you think the Russian determination to win is ? The figures that Western pundits are spruiking as leading to an imminent collapse serious enough to bring Russia to the table are a 2% budget deficit, 10% inflation rate and a 9.2% fall of the ruble against the US dollar over the course of the last year. That's nothing for a country under concerted economic attack while engaged in a major war. Take a broader perspective and look at some historical examples. The UK spent enough in WWI to go from 20% debt to GDP in 1914 to 130% in 1919 with inflation peaking at 25%. Same again in WWII - 130% debt to GDP in 1940, 250% in 1949, inflation held abey by wage and price controls but hitting 20% when they were released after the war. It's pure wishcasting to expect that the Russians will throw in the towel at the mere first inklings of economic distress.
Russia's economy is not sinking. Not like Europe. But the headwinds are getting stronger and the nonstop pinpricks from Ukraine can and will add up.
As for US being a winner - lets see - EU wholesale switching of purchasing minerals and energy from Russia to US, vast increase in military spending (which primarily goes to US arms manufacturers), and so on. Lets be frank - India and China are getting pretty good deals from Russia at the moment, and the US is dictating terms to Europe and I would say a good 0.5-1% of US GDP growth has been on Europe's back over the last 2 years
Lol 😂😂😂😂 you guys will soon how the USA will be a papertiger. Three years you kept saying that it was the end for Russia. Now Russia has acquired a trillion dollars worth of land from Ukraine. Russia winning means a huge black eye to NATO , Europe and the usa
2 points: I don't think the Americans give a rats ass about Europe or Europeans. They are useful idiots to them. 2nd, American exceptionalism remains a powerful zeitgeist and they really do believe they are the chosen nation.
India and China seem to be fairweather friends. I hope there was something genuine in that elaborately over the top welcome China gave Putin and if there was this is about the time to start delivering.
Really? It seems pretty simple to me. Look at the price of USA MIC stocks. Look at employment in MIC states and how that promotes the govts there. Look at the fact it hasn't cost a single (official) american life. Look at how it destroyed German competitiveness. Look at how Europe now depends upon american overpriced LNG. Name me one single way in which the USA has lost anything is more to the point.
Yes. I was wondering if he'd come back with suchlike suggestions. Yes, America has lost massively in status around the world and integrity within the country. Made itself heartsick I should imagine. Thousands, millions perhaps (I don't know how many are at all aware) of americans will be sick to the stomach at what's happening to their country and what their country is doing in their name overseas. That's dimmed the light in the eyes of many a man and woman in the country. Homes where mum and dad are no longer as happy as once were and that family the poorer for it, the kids saddened, joy diminished.
America was a Norman Rockwell painting wasn't it, to take a somewhat romanticized view, an optimum, an aim, a goal, a desire - well now, since LBJ it is a though that family in that Rockwell painting have found a steaming turd in the middle of their lounge room.
It'll take a long time to get that filth out and erase all memory.
That's if they ever get started on it.... Is there the heart and the wit left to do that...?
Their most important allies are in the economic doldrums. Europe is now as effective an ally as Mussolini's Italy. Not only that, but even in central Europe, American prestige and popularity is in a tail spin.
The world is de-dollarising. That's incredibly serious. I know you love your military, but Bretton Woods has been the real source of your strength for decades.
The State Department's Ukraine Project is in tatters. After Afghanistan how can any potential ally not trust you to "cut and run".
Your slavish support of Israel has destroyed any moral authority you used to have.
Western weaponry clearly isn't as effective as we were led to believe.
The Houthis beat The US Navy.
The Sino-Russian alliance is stronger than any realistic alliance America can muster.
Small countries are asking you to remove your military bases.
the sino-russian alliance is so strong that when sanctions raise the price of russian oil china stops buying it.
i personally believe america the notion, the norman rockwell, loses continually as it has since at last LBJ.
my post was meant to illustrate how anyone could say that america was winning and it did so. not only can 'any' someone say that america is winning but the whole cabal of directors of america, the owners of the place, the manipulators of the place, the leeches of the place, they see it as 'winning'.
so happy with it they even take time out to bring down Syria whilst doing it and at the same time promoting the genocide of Palestinians.
they are rolling around laughing and joyous at their victory and their stock markets reflect the fact for what little that matters.
That's the point. That's the real significant point to such an extent that it alone predicts future american strategy: more power, more war and we see already this 'pacifist' Trump threatening everyone in sight. AND kissing Jewish ass fervently. What does that tell you?
Yes America loses all over the place in other areas, from other POV's but that is not, was not, the point.
To reiterate the point was 'how can anyone say that america is winning in Ukraine' and that's how. They not only can do it they do it. They not only do it but they flourish the proof, throw the money around, stand up in congress and talk of the full employment etc.
Next time try harder to stick to the point and make valid comparisons perhaps.
Ukraine has no chance of defeating Russia, but instead of making the best deal possible, they are guaranteeing the worst outcome.
The West is not coming to their defense. Russia won't agree to "peacekeepers" or any other loopholes for Western boots on the ground. If the West does try anything so foolish as removing the "proxy" from this war to a real war, Russia has very powerful weapons, and allies.
That means if it comes to a knock down drag out war, it will be between parts of Europe and the US against Russia, China, Iran, NK, and probably even more. Not good odds, and the West knows it.
If Ukraine doesn't come to its senses and fold, Russia has no choice but to take the whole country. They can do it. Time is an advantage for Russia, as it watches the West sink further the longer this goes on. Ukraine will cease to exist, and parts that are too hard to assimilate will be ruled over by Russian appointed governors and military.
At this point, with no real peace in sight from Ukraine and the West, Russia will go all the way, in it's patient, methodical fashion.
"If Ukraine doesn't come to its senses and fold, Russia has no choice but to take the whole country." SPOT ON. And when looking at Russian weapons production it appears that they are preparing for it now. NATO and the collective west are on their back foot and too late to do anything about it short of nuclear war... Chip
The west's umbrella strategy is to weaken Russia, by causing real hardship and politically divide the nation, then hope the population will fall for another 5th columnist "revolutionary" or "reformer" like Lenin or Gorbachev. The fact that it hasn't happened yet, doesn't mean it can't or won't.
Is this Putin's last term? Still no signs of a clear succession plan. If it is a sudden transition with multiple contenders it could get ugly and divisive very fast. The west would encourage that.
It is not just Russia and China that are playing the long game.
Ukraine can’t regain through negotiations what has already been lost on the battlefield. Although civilians have fled their war torn country for Europe, a sizable percentage of citizens have also fled their war torn country for Russia. I’m additionally familiar, anecdotally, w/ Germans who have fled Germany for Crimea, too. The migratory patterns have been novel.
Seriously persecuted in the build-up to Euromaidan, Russian speakers in Ukraine were killed by the thousands during the civil war that followed hard on the heels of the U.S.-bolstered coup in 2014. Many citizens on the peninsula, who voted to *return* Crimea to Russia, did so because they were in essence ‘fleeing’—via their referendum vote—a repressive government which already disdained Russophones and Russian ethnics: Euromaidan worsened the abuse. A pogrom broke out in Odessa 6 weeks after Crimea *returned* itself to Russia—just as the civil war in Donbas commenced.
An entire peninsula of people *fled* Ukraine by vote alone. Let that sink in.
Collective Biden peddled the notion that the war in Ukraine was fantastic for OTAN unity—but a number of OTAN members are at odds w/ the conflict. It’s a heartless tough sell to boast that a war which has so gutted Ukraine and destroyed a generation of men in a smallish country has benefited a military bloc.
Russia is looking for a Big Picture solution to the security issues in Europe, including how to address the security issues spawned by OTAN’s very existence & its expansionist mission, not to mention OTAN’s relentless push to collar non-OTAN sovereign nations like Russia.
Everything from 2014 forward, if not from 2004 forward (Orange Revolution,) *proves* that Ukraine can never have a standing military, whether independently or a military integrated w/ OTAN or any Western entities hostile to Russia.
Now that Collective Biden is gone, there is no reason to perpetuate lies about pie-in-the-sky ceasefires & unworkable armistices & capitulations masquerading as peace plans—or bringing Russia to her knees.
In fact, now that Collective Biden is gone, there is no reason not to expose the subcurrent of lies about Project Ukraine, the delusions, the bogus aims, the aimless tactics, the money-pit. Nobody needs to stage manage the trajectory of Project Ukraine to dovetail w/ the next Ramstein Summit or the next OTAN meeting or a random G7 meet-up or any significant date on the Western calendar. Nobody in DJT’s admin has to nurse Project Ukraine along, feeding all the false narratives, so as not to lose the next election. A kinetic war that has been a consistent & convincing debacle will not magically cease being a debacle.
The war is taking place in Russia’s sphere of influence. There is nothing for the U.S. to ‘win’ in eastern Ukraine. The Russian military does not need the U.S.’ help to end the war.
They are still there. In the Boardroom of Lookheed, in the Congress, in Pentagon, in the Think-tanks, in the Administration and all over govermental US.
The major consequence of a US defeat in Ukraine, no matter what anyone believes this will be percieved by the vast majority of the world as a US defeat. What will the US have to force the dollar unto the world as money? With BRICS creating a very lucrative alternative to the western financial system and Russia providing the military destruction of US invulnerability. In the words of Marco Rubio "If they start trading in their own currencies we will not be able to sanction them"
The US could save the dollar simply by lifting sanctions on countries and ending dollar warfare. The dollar could continue being a dominant currency if the US were more interested in honest trading with partners instead of being a bully all over the world stage... Chip
The reality is, it is just more feasible for countries to trade in local currencies. The sanctioning, bullying and dishonesty in trade is just convincing nations to seek about self interest rather than sticking to a financial system that is not in the best interest of prosperity.
The point is that the rest of the world watches how Russia is wiping the floor with NATO/US in Ukraine, and 'the major consequence of a US defeat in Ukraine,' are not obvious at all to the majority of Americans. How CNN used to brag about the war in Vietnam "the war will be over, when CNN says it's over."
"There is nothing for the U.S. to ‘win’ in eastern Ukraine." For the U.S, as a country - no, but for a small group of the heavily invested in Ukraine individuals/funds with property/land, etc. there, I bet there is a lot to 'win' in the eastern Ukraine.
Looking at the big picture, these drone attacks make the strategic position worse for Ukraine. Russia's main options now are (1) an early peace deal along vaguely current positions allowing Ukraine to re-arm and a future SMO2, or (2) take advantage of the battlefield and political situation and continue until Ukraine represents no possible threat - probably it being dismantled and partitioned. By showing that it can launch dangerous drone attacks now and on strategic targets, Ukraine simply demonstrates in future that it will enhance its capabilities and thus threat. So do you as Russia let that threat grow, or do you extinguish it permanently? Russia cannot create security for itself until Ukraine ceases to exist.
Ukrainians are returning to Ukraine, surprisingly so. My brother's in-laws returned to Ukraine from Canada. My friend's cousin returned to Ukraine from Prague with her 17 yo son (crazy!) about 1 year ago, but she'd have lost her job in Ukraine, if not returned...
I have a friend who is Ukrainian. Her mother is in Zaporizhzhia. I told her in fall of '22 not to put her hopes on the US. It's sad. I talked to her the other day, and towards the end of the conversation she was telling me of the hardships; the intermittent light and heat, the falling plaster and broken windows. The city itself hasn't been bombed that heavily either.
A pox on the arrogant assholes that kill for profit.
This to me begs the question what if the surviving, very angry, very hurt and aggrieved Ukies, realising they've been had all along turn on the perps wherever and whenever possible. Plenty of weapons and explosive materials sloshing around to do a lot of damage in the likes of Germany, France and the UK who have egged them on to put their lives and livelihoods on the line but done nothing to risk their own safety and we'll being. Even selling them out of date crap for top $. This aspect is barely mentioned but my guess is there's a lot of repressed anger that could well go boom.
There's their own kind too, the likes of the Psychiatrist (was it) with 4 Beamers and a cool Million in his house and all the others who have done rather well with enough money to pay for the luxury life in Berlin, Marbella and along the Cote d'Azur. Oh and those TCC fellas etc. Finally, any dreams that the gaff is going to get flooded in €'s to fix all the damage, well it ain't going to happen.
Same. I told my friends and family in Ukraine not to expect the US "be all and end all" for Ukraine, but some couldn't even grasp it. An old classmate with a draftable age hubby, disappeared for many months into an electronic "nowhere," they're forced to upload this dia app, by which they get military drafts, being traced, etc., but she surfaced this month to just let me know that the things are really bad, and she doesn't communicate to simply not dump her misery on her friends. My friend is a very upbeat person, and had no illusions about this war from the start, and luckily was able to get her son out just before the war started, but didn't want to leave the country, since her husband couldn't.
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34th
Eleventeenth
358th. Oh the shame!😥
Thx Simplicius! After being suspended from X for following you and other gentlemens these articles are the highlight of the week.
Will read it with joy!
After reading it I can conclude that the first half was material from your X flow - have missed a couple of days. Hopefully your longer, in-depth, articles will resurge when things start to evolve around Trumps ”peace plan”.
Good that you dont underestimate the threat from Ukraines drone campaign causing severe damage and costs in Russia. Although Russia can replace and repair the structural damages there is no way they can do it in days. Refinerys burn and there is a lot to replace for sure.
Trumps threats of sanctions was ridiculed at first but if China and India cease to import fuel from Russia it will affect Russian economy massively. But it is, as you state, desperation in Ukraine and West as the reality of the War has sunk in.
Which makes me wonder where these large, more complex, longer range UAVs are being produced in Ukraine - certainly not by children in schools. I'm somewhat surprised that Russia hasn't found the locations yet - but then, Ukraine is a large country and it's people, whilst ruled by nazis, are very clever, as most slavs are.
We can wonder but as you say, there are clever people (cunning) in Ukraine and elsewhere. War is a perfect way to make people do the most for their country.
Those UAVs are not produced in Ukraine and attakcing Ukrainian infrastructure is pointless.
Why exactly?
Because Ukraine produces nothing of value to the war effort other than warm live bodies.
Lol 😂😂😂😂 you guys will soon how the USA will be a papertiger. Three years you kept saying that it was the end for Russia.
Trumps understanding of the elasticity of supply and demand in the oil and gas business is that of a toddler.
Saudi Arabia is supposed to increase oil supply, lower prices and .... What.? Fund the Saudi Economy from retained earnings? How is S.A. going to invest $500 Billion to $1 Trillion into the U.S while losing hundreds of billions pumping oil to replace Russian oil.
And the U.S. Oil/Gas Corporations are to lower prices, and fund drilling and fracking? What, from borrowing?
Trumpologic is the new thing.
Regarding the midair collision near Reagan Airport. It would have been worse if the air traffic controllers, military flight crew, and civilian flight crew had not been fully vaccinated for Covid-19. Thank you Mr Warp Speed and Dr Fauci. We can't wait for Stargate Project.
As always: it would’ve been so much worse without the booster
FIFTEEN DAYS TO SLOW THE SPREAD!!!!
And only 2 weeks the fatten the curve!!
Hmm..
FLATTEN THE CURVE.
FATTEN certain wallets.
Oh, the curve was definitely fattened complete with strokes and heart attacks, as well as some turbo cancer to boot
What the hell is good enough for you lol? Just reinstated our service men with back pay. Released the J6 prisoner who would as political prisoners would have languished in prison forever. And all without help from tinfoil hatted nut jobs like you.
I know I know it’s all scripted and we are following some crazy Jew plan lol. You guys had me on the Jews for a bit just last year. Just sayin. That was until i realized how mentally unstable all of you really are lol. Let me tell you something, if the Jew shit is real you morons are their best friends.
Y’all gotta stop being fucking stupid if you want to win …..🤦♂️
Trump isn't loyal, he's transactional.
Why shouldn't the Public have the same attitude?
You are correct in noting Trump's "transactional nature". The last hopeful transactional candidate was Ross Perot. The rest (from Reagan onward were either soft or hard idealogues or puppets). Trump's nature is to exploit opportunities - exploitation and opportunism work in the "real" world as we all do it in our daily lives. Once the masses understand this then they will also understand that men like Trump also look at problems from the standpoint of "how to fix it". He is neither an idealogue not a puppet...
It's ok for Trump to be transactional, as far as his transaction value is adequate.
Good news for poor blackrock banks and the media conglomerates. January 2025, the U.S. Department of Commerce recognized Jew owned businesses as Minority Business Enterprises (MBEs). Trumps idea of DEI.
Trump talking about ethnically cleansing Gaza for his Jew so. In law and his tunnel Jew masters.
‘Our’ service men ? You mean the goyim the Jew needs to fight their wars ?
Toss you a couple of crumbs and you're back onside.
Notice I said not a word about conspiracies or Jews. Although, yeah, the Russian side does need to stop being fucking stupid if they want to win.
The Tribe may or may not be your enemy, but they will NEVER be your friend.
And against FAA rules, all pilots must be grounded for 12 months after taking an experimental 'drug'.
AND - In 2022 the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), changed the electrocardiogram (ECG) markers that measure the ‘PR interval’. This is the time it takes for an electrical impulse to travel from one part of heart to another and is an indicator of heart health. The new limit is 50 per cent longer than the previous limit, and means that if a pilot has developed a heart condition, it could slip past.
Correct, although read a report that the was no longer an upper limit?
I don't know about that, even 300 ms PR interval is a pretty severe First-degree atrioventricular block, likely to progress to second or third degree in time. I was appalled when that was normalised by the FAA, when 200 ms had been the upper limit to pass a flight physical for generations.
Yes it is scary, and that’s why I’m in no hurry to board a commercial aircraft.
My daughter is in the aviation industry and heard rumours that Qantas long haul flights now have an extra crew. Not confirmed though.
FAA also removed the reference to the individuals' age, to serve you better :-)
But, did not DEI supersede all skills and health requirements?
400 pound Cheeto Munchers of confused sex predilections clearly are superior pilots and aircraft controllers.
Training flight, perhaps. Deep condolences 😢
If only we had more black women and immigrants in the military this never would have happened
Gah I needed that, Cheryl 🤗
It seems like Ukrianian drone strikes are following Zaluzhnys docterine of more rockets and drones.
Ukraine special services are also waging a covert war against the Russian economy and shipping and interests worldwide. Quite recently a Russian oil tanker sank under mysterious circumstances - it seems that while losing on the battlefield, it is winning the "covert war". And Russia does nothing to "allied" shipping to put the pressure on the American economy in turn.
The question is - will Russia bend Ukraine before Ukraine collapses its economy?
What part of "UKRAINE IS WINNING THIS WAR" did you miss??
Are you trolling or being serious?
Doesn't matter they are loosing ground. They're still winning the war. Everyone important says so! So it should be true! /Sarc
Losing on the battlefield while winning the covert war, but how many leftovers will there be to claim that they won?
Does it matter? The covert war can win the war. You can't have one without the other.
Lol 😂😂😂😂 you guys will soon how the USA will be a papertiger. Three years you kept saying that it was the end for Russia.
Fuck off spammer.
You got a point in the situation that Russia doesn’t repost, but still this Ukrainian generation is totally broken, swept away even if all oil and gaz tankers are send to the bottom of the ocean. I never expect a final winner, only a Vietnam alike but in decades episodes.
Lol 😂😂😂😂 you guys will soon how the USA will be a papertiger. Three years you kept saying that it was the end for Russia.
It's been the best part of a year since Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy infrastructure started. But check out the websites that track world energy prices and you find that the ruble prices of petrol and diesel are up only around 10% yoy, this equalling the official general inflation rate. LPG is only up 2% yoy. Natural gas is near the cheapest in the world at less than a US cent per kWh. Electricity is also only a fraction of the cost in the West at under 10 US cents per kWh. All Ukraine's efforts to this point could be honestly said to have had zero visible effect on the internal Russian energy market.
no the question is the import of your first part: is america winning the covert war?
that's the point.
the whole point.
We don't need to give a dam about the battlefield war any more. Donetsk and Lunhansk and such as we have of Kherson and Zapho will do for the time being. It wasn't long ago that Putin was ready to let them go, remember?
Well no they don't have to be 'let go' but they don't have to be painfully won on the battlefield either. Political victory can include stipulation they go to Russia.
What matters is not the 'war with Ukraine' (meaning the Kiev regime) at all, as I see it. What matters is the war with America.
When are going to start calling a war, a war?
When are we going to start calling aggression, 'aggression'. America is an aggressor. America wages virtual open warfare against Russia.
We all know it.
I think America even declares it so from time to time doesn't it?
So we need no negotiations with Kiev. No peace treaties with Kiev. We need negotiations and peace treaties with Washingon.
I don't know how that works out but I reckon its what we need.
Time to call a spade a spade and murderous bunch of warmongering bandits what they are.
I think Russia has to start picking targets that hurt America.
Bring it on. There'll never be a better time, it's only going to get worse.
Everyone frightened to fight America because of the nuclear threat, in the end.
F**k it. They got to be stopped.
Just at least change the language and call a spade a spade: 'we are at war with America' and act accordingly.
p.s. or perhaps slightly better to point out; 'America is waging war on us' because they are the initiator after, the provoker, the maintainer.... the profiteer...
I just saw today an article naming Palantir and Unduril as places 'to invest' because of the success of their drones in attacking russia's oil refineries. Clear profit to America. Clear America at war with Russia. How much clearer does it need to be?
I realise of course that it is usual, normal and I suppose totally acceptable for a nation at war to be able to buy things from outside to help it in its struggle and those suppliers from outside are not actually held to be participating in the war, not active hostiles.
But when they sell only to one side and not the other?
When they sell on credit to a nation with nothing?
And when they provide targeting information?
And when they do the controlling of the flight?
And when they actually press the trigger even?
And when they mount aggressive acts on the other nation: sanctions etc ?
And when they propagandise endlessly about the other nation?
usa does all of that and more.
Does any sane person have any doubt at all?
America is waging war on Russia.
Let it be said, confessed to, stipulated, announced, broadcast, clearly...
And if your nation supports the usa then your nation too is attacking Russia.
The EU and London are parties to this war. Perhaps the major ones. America is supposed to supply the money and materials. If the EU and London didn’t want this war it would stop.
The perfidious Albion’ banking cartel needs desperately this war against Russia. Currently, British bankers took over the regulation of US “financial system.” The real owners of the collective west are becoming more visible.
@grape soda
yes, could be. who the major players are is a big mystery. for all our internet etc. we still know little. who was running america whilst biden sputtered?
we need a lot of air clearing solid facts and distinguishing of mechanisms and players.
perhaps the eu and uk promote the war as much as they can, alright. but it is/was the american congress that voted billions to ukraine and those billions kept it going.
so there's a mechanism and 'players' clearly identified so we can investigate that further and when we do we find vast Israeli influence in congress. some claim the whole congress is owned by israel in fact. so is that relevant? does that mean they directed the congress to vote that way? that they are/were the ones keeping it going.
traditionally we expect jews to be at the head of all big banking and munitions businesses. in fact at the head of the american nation. well big banking and big munitions are profiting mightily from this war. right there in usa, without needing any eu or uk urging.
Peace treaties with Washington? There will never be an outcome, the best an ongoing never ending Cold War, and very anecdotal and rare a Hot War.
@ givenroom
It seems most unlikely doesn't it? Yet that must be the goal. Peace between usa and russia. Do you remember in his first term or whilst campaigning Trump proposed it?
I think it possible. Russian people would allow it. We just need American people to wake up from their dream, throw off their chains, take control of their country and they'd probably allow it, too.
It is only our lunatic 'elite' (the must utterly un-elite I can imagine actually) that would not/will not ever stop their rapacious, greedy, homicidal conduct.
Not the people.
We are in the habit of confusing the lunatic 'elites' that run countries with the people themselves.
This is the tradition of historians and chroniclers, pundits and prophets: to speak of 'nations' and 'countries' as though they were actual living entities deliberately steering courses through history with their own motivations, destinies, desires, needs,, purposes, hereditary grudges et al.
Hence 'russia will never allow this' and 'france will never allow that' and 'china will always this' and so on.
There's libraries filled with books that talk like this. Big libraries. Massive libraries. It is THE way to talk of human history.
But it is not true, not valid and not human history. It is the history of ruling elite almost always vicious, brutal, selfish etc because stemming from animal origins/tribalism, dominance of the strong.
Let the people once emancipate themselves and perhaps have it filter into their dim consciousnesses what being a citizen of a democracy entails: understanding and participation - and then the courses plotted by nations could be radically different and could reflect the wishes and needs of people; be human courses.
A good start would be a mind meeting venue, a voice for people better and beyond and more suited and unarguably valid than the ad hoc voices presented by social media.
Something like:
DON'T WRITE TO CONGRESS
https://abrogard.com/blog/2023/12/25/dont-write-to-congress/
This is still not the way because it still belongs to govt. not the people and is still used only every few years -
but shows it could be done right NOW
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open-source_voting_system
a little more in depth:
https://abrogard.com/blog/2024/10/14/how-about-this-to-bring-truth-to-the-elections/
In WWII the German production plants were under permanent bombardment. Day by Day thousands of Allied planes were over Germany. But the peak production was in autumn of '44. Then the Germans had lost so much land with its resources that they could not maintain the production. Despite all the film evidence of burning plants, railway stations, and busted dams, the production went up and up and up, so do not overstate the pictures and videos of a burning "Russian Economy". One could ask, would the Allies have won the war earlier if they had not produced the big bombers but instead produced tanks, guns, and fighter-bombers?
An excellent example of that is Ukraine itself, I already lost count of the number of missiles it received in its infrastructure, and it is still working.
The Russians are still being careful with the Ukrainian population, but I would be more careful with over-stinging the bear
@Hu Veja
Yep. It survives. How? If blowing up oil storage is effective surely Kiev Ukraine would be powerless by now?
I realise it does damage to Russia's economy and that doesn't apply to Kiev because they have no economy left, I think, anyway, they rely on money from america, but in pure physical terms: things the oil is used for: transport, industry. How does Kiev Ukraine keep going?
And it doesn't just keep going, despite the constant retreating in the Donbas it attacks fiercely all the time in Kursk.
And how much of Donbas retreat is strategic/political/pretence? For the Donbas is not their land anyway. It is what they invaded. It is clear now they are going to have to live without it in the future so why bust your guts trying to keep it?
The never ending litany of how depleted Kiev Ukraine is in every possible aspect has been running for two years now. I hear ridiculous things. A battalion, I think, down to 10 men. 'guarding', 'holding', the front assigned to a battalion. And so on. That kind of thing. If that were the case the Russian and Donbas forces would simply be walking across the country. Despite appearances that is not what they are doing. They are fighting.
It profits Kiev Ukraine greatly if everyone thinks they are in dire straits.
From what I read, Allied planes bombed the less risky residential area, since the production plants/military objects were well defended, and since workers' homes were destroyed and they had nowhere to go, they just slept/lived at their work place, worked longer hours, being more productive, hence the higher output.
That was the British strategy of "area bombing".
The Americans conducted precision bombing, largely because the British bomber aircraft could not surive over Germany during daylight while Americans could.
The fact remains.
The nordsen bomb sights despite being only second to the Manhattan project for cost so they used terrorist fire bombing of civilians. We're pure evil, in some ways worse than Hitler. Never forget, we refused Jewish refugees.
Canada refused as well.
British tried daylight bombing. Didn't work. Switched to nighttime. Wasn't good but was tolerable. Americans came in and said they'd do daylight precision bombing because they'd been practising incessantly and were shit hot. British warned them against it. It didn't work. Americans went to nighttime bombing too. Later in the war, America's Mustang fighter came along and was able to protect bombers deeper into Germany because it had bigger fuel tanks than the British fighters. Losses were still bad though. Then they put the British Merlin engine in the Mustang and suddenly the allies were able to dominate the sky over Germany even in daylight. The fact that Germany was being out produced in aircraft by the allies in the later part of the war was a big factor too.
@angelina
thanks for that. saved me the trouble of asking how the hell that could have been. so in essence the paradox of how production can increase while you smash the means of production is solved by the fact that you only pretend to smash the means while actually aiming at soft targets. What we might call the 'american' or 'israeli' tactic. We might and it fits but further comments remind me it was the british tactic too. well that figures. that country run by the same people as those two.
No, this is a myth. The not-needed persons (children, the old, mothers with children) were evacuated to secure zones; e.g., to Austria, my grandparents had to house such people. The German (and Czech!) workforce was relatively small; the remaining housing was more than enough. The major part of the low-level workforce was slave labor from Eastern Europe, and they lived in concentration camps, which were not bombed intentionally. Real qualified work was outsourced to the countryside; the plants were beneath the earth (mines or tunnels), and the German (and the other European) engineers lived in the small villages around. The German AA-defense was stationary around the cities; it did not matter if you attacked the production facilities or the living quarters. (I know, there are some exceptions, like the AA-towers in Vienna). In the academic/military circles they discuss, if the amount of AA-guns would have been better moved as AT-guns to the East, or if the AA ammunition would have been better produced as artillery shells, because it was sometimes more than half of the total production. This academic discussion brings us back to Ukraine: if all these resources for "strategic" targets were used for the frontlines, the situation might be better.
Ok, but explain if 'the not-needed persons (children, the old, mothers with children) were evacuated to secure zones; e.g., to Austria' who were comprising the volkssturm and hitlerjugend groups in 1945 in Berlin?
Most German cities were not part of the military production lines. There were no evacuations for non-military plants. These cities had huge losses in civilian life. Therefore, the civilian losses in the Ruhr, Linz, or Schweinfurt are minor, in Hamburg or Berlin very bad. You see the same picture in Italy; Livorno had very small losses in civilian life, opposite to Naples or Roma. And do not forget the refugees from the East; the most "successful" bombing raid was against Dresden, a city full of refugees—but these absurd things were British ideas. No wonder that the Germans (and Italians!) were willing to join the Volkssturm.
Dresden was leveled, horrible.
I understand re.: above, but still, in the war, the info people get is restricted to areas/knowledge/lore. My own family lines were on different sides @WW2, and some of the knowledge I sure 'knew' was true, turned out BS on close scrutiny.
Attacking fuel and transport infrastructure did prove damaging to the Nazi war machine.
Interesting, in the war against Japan, the biggest bang for the buck turned out to be naval mines.
The US could have bombed the Romanian refineries and the War would have been over soony but they chose ball bearings, stupidity has no boundaries.
Thank you, perhaps summer will see peace. It certainly would be a nice change.
Only the dead know the end of war.
As they say, "the war doesn't determine who is right, but only who is left"
Given the fact that Russia has conquered a great deal of Ukraine's natural resources in the Donbass, and will never give them up, I think Russia has already technically "won" the war - rare earths, farmland fisheries and ports, fuel, coal, coking chemicals, steel and various lower elemental ores, Russia has taken many trillions from Ukraine. Combined with Russia's population growth from the war - several million at least fled into Russia from Ukraine at the SMO's outset, I think Russia has already achieved "technical" victory.
I guess my point is, I wonder when "enough will be enough" - I would very much like the war to end just for humanitarian and stability reasons - as cynical as the Gaza "ceasefire" is, it's nice to not have the Palestinians not being bombed to splinters (as much). I want the same for Ukraine. I don't think Trump has any real leverage over Russia but he certainly has plenty over Ukraine - hopefully he can tard wrangle Zelensky and the rest into a victory-surrender.
My final prediction - best case scenario for Ukraine - the line freezes around here, Ukraine is demilitarized but quasi let into the European Union in some form, economic stabilization etc etc. Nato is off the table obviously - not even sure why Ukraine wants to be let into Nato at this point, aside from the United States there is no firepower in Nato, Nato should be asking to join Ukraine.
Worst case scenario for Ukraine - their army routs and cracks and falls all the way back to Zaporhiza city and Kiev and digs in like termites. Everything east of the Dnieper becomes russia or at least under heavy Russian dominion, everything west of the Dnieper becomes a failed state / refugee vortex that further destabilizes the EU. The US says "aw shucks" and goes and invades panama or something.
In other words, there's no "lose scenario" for Russia now - it's either win a lot with more bloodshed or when a significant amount with less bloodshed. I don't know which path will be chosen - I wish all these sanctions and tariffs on Russia would be lifted to lower the price of food, fuel and fertilizer globally but I guess "lowering the price of eggs" has already been forgotten as a campaign promise - sigh...
It is easy to trace your anguish as we all has been following this War for 3 years now.
WW2 lasted six years.
Sadly it doesnt matter if Russia has a technical win over Ukraine. Russia is under threat, a deadly one, as long as West is nurturing this War. And you can listen carefully when Karja Kallas call for the disintegration of the Russian Federation. She and others are firmly commited to forever War with Russia.
The first scenario you choosed as the good one is exactly the deranged points that surfaced as the Trump plan. It is in no way a Peace or a development that bode well for the future.
The second one means more killing and destruction but will create a more ”stable” border along Dniepr and cripple Ukraine for a long time. As such it is no Peace or a solution for the end of hostilities between West and Russia.
I doubt any of us can think in a realistic way and in the dark hours I think Europe needs a moment of insight. A moment so unspeakable horrorful that they finally reach awareness of how stupid they have been to let US exeptionalism start a big War, dragging in Europe as well, and risk the prosperity for generations to come.
Lol 😂😂😂😂 you guys will soon how the USA will be a papertiger. Three years you kept saying that it was the end for Russia.
There is always a Psych Ward missing a patient.
Yep. The fact is Russia is at war with America. Whether it likes it or not.
And it needs to put it plainly and clearly and start drawing up battle lines and finding allies.
It needs warlike commitments from its allies.
And it needs to start making warlike actions on america's allies.
America and the west can bring down Russia.
But so can Russia and its allies, however few and weak they are, bring down america.
For it is america that has the least. It has a massive front of propaganda and bluster but it has f*** all military supremacy and it has a totally rotten economic background, underpinning that relies solely on the world dumbly accepting newly printed american dollars as worthwhile currency. and dumb slavish acceptance by all lackeys of america's 'sanctions' regimes. All that could fail overnight.
Overnight america could be stripped of its lackeys and the worth of its paper and 'might' of its sanctions. Its an emperor with no clothes.
Russia needs to hang in long enough to get some of these fence sitters on side and while it is doing it russia needs to proclaim to the world that america has no clothes.
Forget 'Ukraine'. It's not ' Ukraine' anyway. It is "Kiev Ukraine' which means Ukraine minus 10 million Donbas Ukrainians. And it's no even that for how many Kiev Ukrainians want to die in this war? No. It's not 'Ukraine' at all. It is a lunatic Kiev regime, fronting for the usa.
Ukraine has nothing to do with it. It is all usa and russia.
Russia has to call it what it is and Russia has to show this 'emperor' is naked and Russia needs to start fighting and hurting this 'emperor'. And I don't know how they can do any of that. Fortunately they're smarter than me.
I hope they get onto it quick.
"Ukraine has nothing to do with it. It is all usa and russia."
^^^THIS^^^
A one sentence CliffsNotes to summarize the shit-show the Americans are sponsoring. The USA! USA! USA! couldn't beat the Vietnamese or Afghans but will somehow win against the Russians in their own back yard? A resounding FUCK NO.
@occamsrazorback22
Despite your histrionic shouting and swearing the fact is that america is to date winning inasmuch as it has profited massively while Russia is, of course, losing money all the time.
It is not 'in their own back yard' at all. It is a global conflict with global ramifications and repercussions. Syria was/is part of this. Gaza was/is part of this. Because for instance relations with Israel are part of Russia's political stance and essential fibre.
Now the latest sanctions raise the cost of transporting russian fuel to where china and india do not buy russian fuel. that is very damaging to Russia.
America did not lose in vietnam any more than it loses in Cuba.
America destroys Vietnam and Cuba via sanctions, impoverishes, beggars these places. Causes generations of hardship, pain and suffering via sanctions to nations while itself pursuing its course unconcerned and unhurt - the investors and workers and owners of the military industrial complex businesses all fat and happy.
That's a victory, son, a victory, in the inhuman bean counter terms, methods of measurement. that's why they keep doing it.
America loses in human terms, sure enough, in spiritual terms it is blackened and blighted. The heart and soul of the nation becomes a deformed and inhuman thing.
But that's not the kind of victory or loss you are talking about. You are talking purely military victory: well America wins.
You don't think it does because a military victory to you is a tank standing in the main square of some town/village/city/nation and remaining there as representative of 'victory' and overlordship of that place.
You're a bit simplistic and slow in your comprehension. The tank leaves, the plunder having been taken, the city sacked, and the 'caravan' moves on to sack another town/village/city/nation elsewhere.
That's what military victories truly are: politics by other means and what are politics in america? business by other means. and what is business? profit. And american business profits all over the world by fomenting wars and strife and by oppressing people.
America is a fat leech sucking the blood of the world and while a leech is alive and sucking blood it is 'victorious', see?
And america for three years has sucked the blood of Ukrainians and Russians alike.
For Russia to call a spade a spade it needs less cautious leadership in the Kremlin. The conduct of this war in the Ukraine has been an example of Russian patience and caution. That may have worked for a time. But the west is intent on defeating and destroying Russia. The Russians and Chinese and Iranians must have the same mindset too in regards to bringing down the west. Perhaps they are looking at doing it via peaceful means only. If so, that's commendable up to a point. But the west needs at least a strong smack in the face to remind them that they are not dealing with another Libya or Iraq. We have not seen such a geopolitical smack yet.
'The west' is not intent on defeating and destroying russia. 'The West' is nearly a billion people who just want peace. The lunatic overlords of the west they are intent on plundering Russia. They are. Not the people. And the west IS the people despite this centuries old habit of describing nations, talking of nations, plotting the course of nations, predicting the actions of nations, as though they were living entities of their own and using the actions, thoughts, motivations of various gangs of 'elites' and despotic rulers for data.
2025. Internet. AI. Time for people to begin to manifest and take over. Inherit their own kingdom.
When you start giving any of your time to listen to the likes of Kallas you need to realise you're wasting your time. It doesn't matter if it's her Baerbock or Von De Liar. Word for word they repeat their script from one of Soros sponsored script writing NGO's. Haven't you realised talk is cheap? Who's going to be the next country stupid enough to sacrifice itself for this globalist extremism? Kallas will repeat anything the highest bidder tells her to say. What do her Baerbock & Von De Liar have in common? A severe lack of intelligence, a failed political career & no interest in doing what's best for any EU citizens.
People who fails listening are those who runs around ignorant of what is being played before their eyes. There is no script from Soros, these woman in power are reading from. They believe in this shit and are acting accordingly. Not listen to what they are saying is just stupid.
Sadly! They really believe in this sh##t. And there is a very simple explanation, Main Stream Media, where you read how things should be, but not the facts.
"Main Stream Media, where you read how things should be?" I would say the straight bluff and lies have nothing to do with "how things should be." Should be where and for whom?
Ya'all realize BIG changes are coming to EU & NATO [and Ukraine] as all foreign aid and NGO funding has now STOPPED, and audits begin ... forensic audits, I might add ... with Russian intelligence services assisting the new Trump administration. A lot of people want to see those pesky bioweapons labs eliminated ... forever. Military aid to Ukraine is going, going ... GONE. Trump is giving Putin TIME to taķe beyond the Dnieper down to Odessa. Lvov may be the new Capital of what's left of Ukraine. Hungary, Poland and Slovakia are researching their historic claims to areas of Western Ukraine. A 300-mile buffer zone, policed by Wagner and Russia, will fan out from the new borders of "NovoRusia". Eventually, new territories will be offered referendums ... like Crimea, like Donbass. Hopefully we are seeing the birth of a multipolar 'harmonious' Central Europe .... and a permanent end to nazification and fascism. The British Remnant is going to endure a slow and painful death ... karma for the centuries they have perpetrated brutal colonialism and war profiteering upon the world (INCLUDING America since 1778). The Perfidious Albions, Anglo-Saxon ELites, flesh-eating vampires are history. GoBearsZ and Hooray for a reconstituted, rehabilitated American Republic.
That's not at all for sure at this time. Trump's cabinet is all warhawks. Trump's backers are all plutocrats obsessed with control and money. Trump himself talks like a bully right now: I'll take this, I'll take that, we'll rename this and we'll rename that...
I think there's a good chance this regime will outperform even Biden's in inhuman destructive lunacy. Even perhaps to where it finally goads the whole world into turning on america finally and putting it back in its box.
The fact is that the EU wants this war. If they have been at all dragged in, it has been by London. Sure the US is in it but because Ukraine is a globalist project to neuter Russia. I think this will become more obvious when the US moves to pull back. London and the EU will scream bloody murder. Ha.
Yes.The Brexit, non EU state, Little Britain managed to drag the entire EU into the War. You had fanatical Poles and Suedes drooling about Revenge before that but anyone could see that Germany and Scholtz was reluctant. So was Macron and France until Putin told the Dwarf he was a p***y (and killed some French Legion soldiers in Ukraine).
The Woman on top, von der Leyen, is only doing some opportunistic Only-fan-job for her own sake of becoming a Historic…………..failure.
"The first scenario you choosed as the good one is exactly the deranged points that surfaced as the Trump plan. It is in no way a Peace or a development that bode well for the future."
Yeah...I just...I just want the war to end lol. I know it's not gonna happen but then again I still thought Israelis would be obliterating palestinian schools right now, a man can dream. I always hoped Ukranians would "rise up" against Zelenksy and say "no more" but unfortunately like their ideological forefather Nazis berlin will be burning around their heads and still saying "heil zelensky"
I feel with you, man.
So tired of all these killings.
Totally meaningless.
And the saddest part is that schoolkids all over Europe has learned the
”Holocaust gospel” of ”never again” transforming WW2 to a question of jewish existence instead of what it was, a totally unnecessary War as Pat Buchanan described it in his book.
Ukraine became independent in the 90-ties and those dying know were born without communism or just kids.
But as you say, these Nazi ideology, was never uprooted.
As far as I know, the USA has always prospered at the expense of European wars, first with the Napoleonic Wars, which gave it time to consolidate and obtain an incredible amount of territory (which was splitting the current country in half) at a ridiculous price. And then, of course, the first and second world wars. Let's say that Europeans are not very good students of history, and those from the USA are
Indeed!
Jack is out the box and that hornets nest has been disturbed and the hornets are angry. The end may be the beginning of a whole new dangerous world.
I disagree with your analysis that the war should be stopped to save Ukrainians for humanitarian reasons. Ukrainians are pawns being manipulated by Polish and Lithuanian nationalists who want to resurrect the Polish-Lithuanian Empire from the 17th century. These resurgent imperialists want color revolutions, EU expansion, and a creeping political takeover of the EU by the EU eastern flank countries(including Estonia). The rise of Kaja Kallas is evidence their plan has made substantial progress.
Ukrainians, lured by manipulative promises, chose pawnhood and consequently, their future is out of their control. Allowing Ukraine to join the EU would play into the hands of the Polish-Lithuanian imperialists, and it wouldn't take long for them to attempt another color revolution in Belarus. Russia will never be secure as long as the Poles and Lithuanians believe they can bring back their empire at Russia's expense.
There's no such thing like Polish-Lithuanian nationalistic alliance. If it were, there would be at least some sense in it. Lithuania is not only anty-Russian, but also anti-Polish, in very similar way like the Banderite regime is. Lithuania is stripping Polish minorities of rights to use Polish language and keep Polish schools. In Poland no major political force is treating Lithuania seriously. It's erringly strange that in Poland we hardly have any news from Lithuania at all. If we have any, is about Lithuania blocking rail access to rafinery own by Polish Orlen or about closing yet another Polish school. Or about a politician fantasizing on destroying Russia. Both Lithuania and Poland support Banderites, because they are perceived as a tool to weaken Russia. There's no strong cooperation of PL and Lithuania, and a lot of animosities. Way more strong ties are withing the group of PL, CZ, HU and SK (yet it's almost halted since the start of the SMO).
Again! The Dnieper is not a barrier; this river is connecting people and the economy. In all the wars that were fought in Ukraine from the Ottomans to the Poles, the Swedes, and the Austrians and Germans, no one ever successfully used the Dnieper as a barrier.
eh...there's a reason russians crossed out of kherson - with those bridges cut logistics would have been hellish for russia, would they have held, sure, especially if they chucked a few tac nukes, which they considered doing, but ukraine would have fought on the advantage there, russia always seems to seek the advantage both tactically and strategically so that means "staying behind the river" in this case
the advent of mass drone warfare i think makes traditional river crossing tactics hellish - pontoon bridges, landing craft, beachhead bases, all these things would be swarmed with such a terrifying amount of drones it makes my skin crawl to think about it. Keep in mind that the Dnieper circles ukraines "core" so they really could flood thousands of drones at any russian landing party - russia has not meaningfully attrited ukraines drone pilot corp, arguably the best in the world, or its insane drone production "meth lab" factories no doubt seeded all around the country
to a certain extent, this "river crossing battle" has already been fought, but in reverse - Ukraine's "Operation Krynky" was a small version of crossing the Dnieper - it ended so, so horribly for Ukraine. The russians basically killed everyone that crossed the river.
i think if russia crosses the dnieper to take Odessa, it will only happen if the Ukraine army has already been functionally destroyed and ukraine put to flight around the entire battlefield
The retreat was done because the Ukrainians could generate floodings and wash away any logistics. There are some other dams, but not one is as massive as the destroyed one. And all historic river crossing were done north of Zaporoshie. Krynky ended as horrible as any attac by the Ukrainians, you can not attac against an enemy with massive artillery supriority, the same story as in the Kursk area.
Your best case scenario is a non starter for Russia. They would still be under the constant threat from drone attacks that they are experiencing now. They are going to have to take all of Ukraine now or otherwise "control" the western rump in such a manner that their safety is assured. Anything less will be a defeat for Putin and the Russian State and her people... Chip
Resources are irrelevant. Ukraine doesn't produce anything execpt warm live bodies, and the West has all the resources it needs to keep the war going.
Probably Ukraine tries to earn Trump's favor with all his talks about bringing the oil prices to $45. Ukrainians were/are traditionally very very good in sabotage & guerrilla warfare, as proven in WW2, for the right cause when as "partizani", they're exploding the German's trains, airdromes, warehouses, etc., and after WW2, for the Banderites' nefarious causes, all the way to mid -1950s, when the OUN were gutting out the entire villages in the Western Ukraine.
Probably tons of "moles" were sent to Russia when so many Ukrainians moved to Russia after 2014 & Feb 2022. Clearly, Russia could do a better job of protecting its huge refineries, but the damage is unavoidable. It's very hard to defend against such kind of war, and it might go on for at least a few years, even when this war is "settled."
Lol 😂😂😂😂 you guys will soon how the USA will be a papertiger. Three years you kept saying that it was the end for Russia.
The war is only going to get more dangerous as Russia advances. I would expect a ton of assymetric warefare coming from the west ie terrorist attacks, attacks on shipping lanes, Russians assests fully seized.
The west is far to invested just to let ukraine roll over and die without trying to inflict as much damage as it can on Russia. The reality is WW3 is just a matchstick away from truly popping off. I'd expect things to get really crazy over the next couple of months.
Baba Vanga, prior to her death in 1996 predicted that Damascus would fall 'In the year of the dragon.' That didn't happen in 2000 or 2012, but it did happen in 2024, so that 12:1 bet paid off. She also predicted was a great war in the east leaving Europe ruined and Russia victorious. I'm all for peace, but Baba Vanga's words are unforgettable.
Who is this person? Do they have a book or anything?
Unfortunately, unlike Nostradamus, there is no trustworthy book, she was blind and didn't write. Some of the predictions claimed by followers have been called hoaxes. But the 'year of the dragon' pick for the fall of Damascus has been around for a long time. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baba_Vanga
She also predicted that I would meet the love of my life around 2020.
I'm still waiting.
Baba Vanga also allegedly predicted that the last American president would be black.
There are a lot of "alleged" and "supposed" Baba Vanga predictions out there, FWIW.
Agree. If it isnt a moment of insight anytime now, things will go out of hand.
Lol 😂😂😂😂 you guys will soon how the USA will be a papertiger. Three years you kept saying that it was the end for Russia.
sorry, responded to the wrong thread.
The prime minister of Denmark wasn’t shy about making a big noisy fuss about DJT’s phone call w/ her, 45-minutes of rudeness & aggression which left her aggrieved. President Petro was not ‘calm’ in his response to DJT’s demand that Columbia accept deportation flights of Columbia’s very own criminally-charged citizens, who entered the U.S. illegally: “the worst first,” in Larry Homan’s parlance.
DJT has not called VVP, though he asserted several times both before his inauguration & after that he would “immediately” do so. Is VVP waiting by the phone, drumming his fingertips on the desk—? No.
DJT’s *pause* of further diplomatic action @ this point w/ Russia may signal a recognition on his team’s part that they do *not* in fact have leverage, regardless of the CIA talking points they have recycled from Collective Biden. For years, Joe’s State Department blathered on & on about fortifying the AFU to such an extent that Ukraine would be able to sit down @ the negotiating table in a position of strength. But strengthening the AFU was never ultimately realistic.
Obviously the blather emanating from Joe’s State Department was a fig-leaf for the U.S. itself attempting against all odds to eke out some modicum of an advantage that would allow it, the U.S., to boldly seat its proxy @ the negotiating table w/ an upper hand.
Which never happened and now cannot happen.
Arguing compellingly for peace when one is, directly or by proxy, losing a war is a delusional gambit.
DJT’s surly tweet about VVP “destroying Russia” coupled w/ his threat of tariffs if Russia did not end “this ridiculous war” failed to garner a hyperbolic chicken-with-its-head cut off response from VVP. Or any response. What’s clear: dealing w/ the Russian team will require more skill, finesse & seriousness than dealing w/ Columbia’s president or Denmark’s prime minister.
You can’t hurry love, as Diana Ross & the Supremes said.
I think Trumps priority now is to get his Ministers in place and then clean out the Administration. He must first control US and be sure he has the apparatus behind him. Nothing else matters more.
Meantime he is throwing around Molotovs-coctqils, part as intimidation, part as indicators of what comes next.
And can Trump throw around his Molotov-cocktails in a more dignifying manner? Every time he opens his mouth, either my jaw drops or my eyes roll up. Like, really?!
Well this is the classical outcome when a force advertise and marketed as unstoppable runs squarely into an object that is actually immovable. There will not be an unlimited discharge of energy but more like a crash, crumble and derailed end of marketing over reality.
Putin can't end the war because usa will keep it going. Only the usa can end the war simply by stopping funding it and actually doing it. Russia would not then keep going. Maybe to the borders of the new russian oblasts but that's all. I think. Though maybe after all this they're a bit angrier than that and would go for an overland bridge to Odessa.
The Country is called Colombia not Columbia. It's like saying "United STATE of America". I saw this so many times i worry for the literacy of americans.
Partly ignorance, partly autocorrect. Plus more familiarity with "District of Columbia", Columbia the Gem of the Oceans".
Personally, I get het up over presidents who invent alternative pronunciations for "nuclear".
The attacks on the refineries and NPPs are presumably carried out by specialised drones that cannot be built in garage workshops. It would be useful to publish some details on the types of long-range drones that are being used, unless these are small drones being launched within Russia.
It would indeed. This article poses more questions than it answers. In that respect and others.
Look at the planes of this company: Aeroprakt. This stuff can be built in a garage. By the way, before the war, you could order these "planes" in parts, delivered on palettes, and then build it in your garden.
They can't publish details of the long range drones for fear our own liberals will start making them to attack our refineries.
AND I would add, specialized drones using USSA targeting information Ukie's are NOT doing this on their own... Chip
@Peter West
Need to know what the guidance technologies are.
Infiltrated short range drones launched inside RF territory? Satellite guidance, hopefully not Starlink?
If guidance links are provided through US satellite or aerial systems by whatever means ( as I suspect) eventually they may trigger an RF direct response. Are there still enough crazy fuckers in chain of command with DOD/CIA/MIC who think open warfare with RF is a good idea?
Simp do you think this might be enough to get Russia to negotiate? I have no idea but it seems to be the intended audience.
Not likely. Russia is ready to talk. It is Ukraine and its puppet-masters who refuse to talk at this point and as Russia points out, there is no one who can legitimately sign a document available.
If Trump does put enough sanctions on Russia that causes harm to its economy will Russia finally stop selling oil,gas and uranium to America? This would hamper Trump’s economic recovery and put a damper on his promise to stabilize the economy.
Again I don’t understand why Russia has continued to supply its enemies.
Partly at least because Putin is determined to show that he’s acting in good faith - by which I mean that his only beef is NATO and that he otherwise has no quarrel with the west.
Russia always complies with all contracts, as did the Soviets. This is what most of the business partners all over the world like.
More rumblings recently that the russian economy is starting to face real problems. The Ukrainians drone campaign is getting bigger, as I expected, and in fact if the Ukrainians so choose they can make life hell in Russia if they use them in a terror campaign.
Trump has seemingly cooled on kicking things off with Putin - which makes sense because he is probably realising that the war is great for the US.
We go back to some foundational concepts, that biggest losers in the war are Ukraine, Europe and Russia and the biggest winners are the US, China and India. In the fine words of the Durans guest yesterday, Europe and Russia both found a tiger in the jungle, and just because Russia is outrunning Europe doesn't mean its still not being chased by a tiger
>More rumblings recently that the russian economy is starting to face real problems.
Yeah, it's like Global Warming.
I stopped holding my breath over a decade ago.
Well said
You haven't been paying attention comrade... it is burps and farts that we have to hold in to fight climate change. Off to reeducation camp for you.
"The Ukrainians drone campaign is getting bigger, as I expected, and in fact if the Ukrainians so choose they can make life hell in Russia if they use them in a terror campaign."
Ukraine is winning!
They are not winning. But they are dragging Russia down with them. Which is expected, it is war and they are resisting.
Lol 😂😂😂😂 Russia just acquired trillion dollars of land from Ukraine. They are not being dragged down
Bash.
That doesn't make it so, mate.
They can't pretend the Ukrainians aren't losing significantly on the battlefield, even if they massively exaggerate Russian casualties.
So they hype up the fiction that Ukrainian asymmetrical attacks are sinking Russia's economy. There's no evidence that this is true.
How anyone can claim that the US is a winner in Ukraine is beyond me?
They are losing on the battlefield but sufficiently slowing russia that it still has not taken pokrovsk. It just needs to delay and degrade Russian economy and it wins.
Lol 😂😂😂😂 you guys will see soon how the USA will be a papertiger. Three years you kept saying that it was the end for Russia.
Just how weak do you think the Russian determination to win is ? The figures that Western pundits are spruiking as leading to an imminent collapse serious enough to bring Russia to the table are a 2% budget deficit, 10% inflation rate and a 9.2% fall of the ruble against the US dollar over the course of the last year. That's nothing for a country under concerted economic attack while engaged in a major war. Take a broader perspective and look at some historical examples. The UK spent enough in WWI to go from 20% debt to GDP in 1914 to 130% in 1919 with inflation peaking at 25%. Same again in WWII - 130% debt to GDP in 1940, 250% in 1949, inflation held abey by wage and price controls but hitting 20% when they were released after the war. It's pure wishcasting to expect that the Russians will throw in the towel at the mere first inklings of economic distress.
Russia's economy is not sinking. Not like Europe. But the headwinds are getting stronger and the nonstop pinpricks from Ukraine can and will add up.
As for US being a winner - lets see - EU wholesale switching of purchasing minerals and energy from Russia to US, vast increase in military spending (which primarily goes to US arms manufacturers), and so on. Lets be frank - India and China are getting pretty good deals from Russia at the moment, and the US is dictating terms to Europe and I would say a good 0.5-1% of US GDP growth has been on Europe's back over the last 2 years
Lol 😂😂😂😂 you guys will soon how the USA will be a papertiger. Three years you kept saying that it was the end for Russia. Now Russia has acquired a trillion dollars worth of land from Ukraine. Russia winning means a huge black eye to NATO , Europe and the usa
We both agree that Europe's economy is in a bad way and that short term the US is benefiting economically.
But since the Europeans are the strongest of America 's allies, weakening them isn't obviously a good strategy for The USA longer term.
The US and NATO together would struggle against a Eurasian Alliance, the Anglophone countries alone cannot realistically take it on.
I believe this war has strengthened Sino-Russian co-operation and weakened the Transatlantic alliance. I cannot see that as a win for the USA?
And I earnestly believe that Ukrainian pin pricks won't change anything fundamental before Ukraine runs out of soldiers.
2 points: I don't think the Americans give a rats ass about Europe or Europeans. They are useful idiots to them. 2nd, American exceptionalism remains a powerful zeitgeist and they really do believe they are the chosen nation.
I think yo mean Israel the USSA's master... Chip
India and China seem to be fairweather friends. I hope there was something genuine in that elaborately over the top welcome China gave Putin and if there was this is about the time to start delivering.
@ john osman
Really? It seems pretty simple to me. Look at the price of USA MIC stocks. Look at employment in MIC states and how that promotes the govts there. Look at the fact it hasn't cost a single (official) american life. Look at how it destroyed German competitiveness. Look at how Europe now depends upon american overpriced LNG. Name me one single way in which the USA has lost anything is more to the point.
@arthur brogard
Lost sanity by those clued in enough to understand and not amoral enough to overlook the lives destroyed?
Yes. I was wondering if he'd come back with suchlike suggestions. Yes, America has lost massively in status around the world and integrity within the country. Made itself heartsick I should imagine. Thousands, millions perhaps (I don't know how many are at all aware) of americans will be sick to the stomach at what's happening to their country and what their country is doing in their name overseas. That's dimmed the light in the eyes of many a man and woman in the country. Homes where mum and dad are no longer as happy as once were and that family the poorer for it, the kids saddened, joy diminished.
America was a Norman Rockwell painting wasn't it, to take a somewhat romanticized view, an optimum, an aim, a goal, a desire - well now, since LBJ it is a though that family in that Rockwell painting have found a steaming turd in the middle of their lounge room.
It'll take a long time to get that filth out and erase all memory.
That's if they ever get started on it.... Is there the heart and the wit left to do that...?
arthur,
Their most important allies are in the economic doldrums. Europe is now as effective an ally as Mussolini's Italy. Not only that, but even in central Europe, American prestige and popularity is in a tail spin.
The world is de-dollarising. That's incredibly serious. I know you love your military, but Bretton Woods has been the real source of your strength for decades.
The State Department's Ukraine Project is in tatters. After Afghanistan how can any potential ally not trust you to "cut and run".
Your slavish support of Israel has destroyed any moral authority you used to have.
Western weaponry clearly isn't as effective as we were led to believe.
The Houthis beat The US Navy.
The Sino-Russian alliance is stronger than any realistic alliance America can muster.
Small countries are asking you to remove your military bases.
Ask me a harder one next time.
@ john osman
the sino-russian alliance is so strong that when sanctions raise the price of russian oil china stops buying it.
i personally believe america the notion, the norman rockwell, loses continually as it has since at last LBJ.
my post was meant to illustrate how anyone could say that america was winning and it did so. not only can 'any' someone say that america is winning but the whole cabal of directors of america, the owners of the place, the manipulators of the place, the leeches of the place, they see it as 'winning'.
so happy with it they even take time out to bring down Syria whilst doing it and at the same time promoting the genocide of Palestinians.
they are rolling around laughing and joyous at their victory and their stock markets reflect the fact for what little that matters.
That's the point. That's the real significant point to such an extent that it alone predicts future american strategy: more power, more war and we see already this 'pacifist' Trump threatening everyone in sight. AND kissing Jewish ass fervently. What does that tell you?
Yes America loses all over the place in other areas, from other POV's but that is not, was not, the point.
To reiterate the point was 'how can anyone say that america is winning in Ukraine' and that's how. They not only can do it they do it. They not only do it but they flourish the proof, throw the money around, stand up in congress and talk of the full employment etc.
Next time try harder to stick to the point and make valid comparisons perhaps.
Lol 😂😂😂😂 you guys will soon how the USA will be a papertiger. Three years you kept saying that it was the end for Russia.
Point taken Julie. Do you, per chance, work at the Department of Redundancy Department?
Ukraine has no chance of defeating Russia, but instead of making the best deal possible, they are guaranteeing the worst outcome.
The West is not coming to their defense. Russia won't agree to "peacekeepers" or any other loopholes for Western boots on the ground. If the West does try anything so foolish as removing the "proxy" from this war to a real war, Russia has very powerful weapons, and allies.
That means if it comes to a knock down drag out war, it will be between parts of Europe and the US against Russia, China, Iran, NK, and probably even more. Not good odds, and the West knows it.
If Ukraine doesn't come to its senses and fold, Russia has no choice but to take the whole country. They can do it. Time is an advantage for Russia, as it watches the West sink further the longer this goes on. Ukraine will cease to exist, and parts that are too hard to assimilate will be ruled over by Russian appointed governors and military.
At this point, with no real peace in sight from Ukraine and the West, Russia will go all the way, in it's patient, methodical fashion.
"If Ukraine doesn't come to its senses and fold, Russia has no choice but to take the whole country." SPOT ON. And when looking at Russian weapons production it appears that they are preparing for it now. NATO and the collective west are on their back foot and too late to do anything about it short of nuclear war... Chip
The west's umbrella strategy is to weaken Russia, by causing real hardship and politically divide the nation, then hope the population will fall for another 5th columnist "revolutionary" or "reformer" like Lenin or Gorbachev. The fact that it hasn't happened yet, doesn't mean it can't or won't.
Is this Putin's last term? Still no signs of a clear succession plan. If it is a sudden transition with multiple contenders it could get ugly and divisive very fast. The west would encourage that.
It is not just Russia and China that are playing the long game.
Ukraine can’t regain through negotiations what has already been lost on the battlefield. Although civilians have fled their war torn country for Europe, a sizable percentage of citizens have also fled their war torn country for Russia. I’m additionally familiar, anecdotally, w/ Germans who have fled Germany for Crimea, too. The migratory patterns have been novel.
Seriously persecuted in the build-up to Euromaidan, Russian speakers in Ukraine were killed by the thousands during the civil war that followed hard on the heels of the U.S.-bolstered coup in 2014. Many citizens on the peninsula, who voted to *return* Crimea to Russia, did so because they were in essence ‘fleeing’—via their referendum vote—a repressive government which already disdained Russophones and Russian ethnics: Euromaidan worsened the abuse. A pogrom broke out in Odessa 6 weeks after Crimea *returned* itself to Russia—just as the civil war in Donbas commenced.
An entire peninsula of people *fled* Ukraine by vote alone. Let that sink in.
Collective Biden peddled the notion that the war in Ukraine was fantastic for OTAN unity—but a number of OTAN members are at odds w/ the conflict. It’s a heartless tough sell to boast that a war which has so gutted Ukraine and destroyed a generation of men in a smallish country has benefited a military bloc.
Russia is looking for a Big Picture solution to the security issues in Europe, including how to address the security issues spawned by OTAN’s very existence & its expansionist mission, not to mention OTAN’s relentless push to collar non-OTAN sovereign nations like Russia.
Everything from 2014 forward, if not from 2004 forward (Orange Revolution,) *proves* that Ukraine can never have a standing military, whether independently or a military integrated w/ OTAN or any Western entities hostile to Russia.
Now that Collective Biden is gone, there is no reason to perpetuate lies about pie-in-the-sky ceasefires & unworkable armistices & capitulations masquerading as peace plans—or bringing Russia to her knees.
In fact, now that Collective Biden is gone, there is no reason not to expose the subcurrent of lies about Project Ukraine, the delusions, the bogus aims, the aimless tactics, the money-pit. Nobody needs to stage manage the trajectory of Project Ukraine to dovetail w/ the next Ramstein Summit or the next OTAN meeting or a random G7 meet-up or any significant date on the Western calendar. Nobody in DJT’s admin has to nurse Project Ukraine along, feeding all the false narratives, so as not to lose the next election. A kinetic war that has been a consistent & convincing debacle will not magically cease being a debacle.
The war is taking place in Russia’s sphere of influence. There is nothing for the U.S. to ‘win’ in eastern Ukraine. The Russian military does not need the U.S.’ help to end the war.
I doubt the Collective part of Biden is gone.
They are still there. In the Boardroom of Lookheed, in the Congress, in Pentagon, in the Think-tanks, in the Administration and all over govermental US.
The major consequence of a US defeat in Ukraine, no matter what anyone believes this will be percieved by the vast majority of the world as a US defeat. What will the US have to force the dollar unto the world as money? With BRICS creating a very lucrative alternative to the western financial system and Russia providing the military destruction of US invulnerability. In the words of Marco Rubio "If they start trading in their own currencies we will not be able to sanction them"
The US could save the dollar simply by lifting sanctions on countries and ending dollar warfare. The dollar could continue being a dominant currency if the US were more interested in honest trading with partners instead of being a bully all over the world stage... Chip
The reality is, it is just more feasible for countries to trade in local currencies. The sanctioning, bullying and dishonesty in trade is just convincing nations to seek about self interest rather than sticking to a financial system that is not in the best interest of prosperity.
They love the dollar. They just don't love the US dollar policies. After sanctions of Russia in 2022 they are just using the dollar in another way.
https://youtu.be/eCjGU5TUC30?si=ul0v4AV-qtI06v7C
The point is that the rest of the world watches how Russia is wiping the floor with NATO/US in Ukraine, and 'the major consequence of a US defeat in Ukraine,' are not obvious at all to the majority of Americans. How CNN used to brag about the war in Vietnam "the war will be over, when CNN says it's over."
"There is nothing for the U.S. to ‘win’ in eastern Ukraine." For the U.S, as a country - no, but for a small group of the heavily invested in Ukraine individuals/funds with property/land, etc. there, I bet there is a lot to 'win' in the eastern Ukraine.
Looking at the big picture, these drone attacks make the strategic position worse for Ukraine. Russia's main options now are (1) an early peace deal along vaguely current positions allowing Ukraine to re-arm and a future SMO2, or (2) take advantage of the battlefield and political situation and continue until Ukraine represents no possible threat - probably it being dismantled and partitioned. By showing that it can launch dangerous drone attacks now and on strategic targets, Ukraine simply demonstrates in future that it will enhance its capabilities and thus threat. So do you as Russia let that threat grow, or do you extinguish it permanently? Russia cannot create security for itself until Ukraine ceases to exist.
"Russia cannot create security for itself until Ukraine ceases to exist."
That is the situation in a nutshell... Chip
Ukrainians are returning to Ukraine, surprisingly so. My brother's in-laws returned to Ukraine from Canada. My friend's cousin returned to Ukraine from Prague with her 17 yo son (crazy!) about 1 year ago, but she'd have lost her job in Ukraine, if not returned...
I have a friend who is Ukrainian. Her mother is in Zaporizhzhia. I told her in fall of '22 not to put her hopes on the US. It's sad. I talked to her the other day, and towards the end of the conversation she was telling me of the hardships; the intermittent light and heat, the falling plaster and broken windows. The city itself hasn't been bombed that heavily either.
A pox on the arrogant assholes that kill for profit.
Had basically the same conversation this week (at least in Kiev the electricity supply is a bit more reliable for the moment):
– "Why on earth did Ukrainians believe they could defeat a superpower on the battlefield?"
– "We were expecting support from the US and allies."
A more apt question to ask the brain dead Ukies is "Why on earth did Ukrainians feel the need to take on a superpower on the battlefield?"
Most didn't want to. We tend to forget 'elensky's presidential bid was run on a promise to end the attacks on the Donbass.
Anyway they have shit the bed and now are lying in their own filth.
This to me begs the question what if the surviving, very angry, very hurt and aggrieved Ukies, realising they've been had all along turn on the perps wherever and whenever possible. Plenty of weapons and explosive materials sloshing around to do a lot of damage in the likes of Germany, France and the UK who have egged them on to put their lives and livelihoods on the line but done nothing to risk their own safety and we'll being. Even selling them out of date crap for top $. This aspect is barely mentioned but my guess is there's a lot of repressed anger that could well go boom.
Yep, Ukie terrorism in London, Berlin, and Ontario, LOL. Russians be sitting back grinning like Cheshire cats.
There's their own kind too, the likes of the Psychiatrist (was it) with 4 Beamers and a cool Million in his house and all the others who have done rather well with enough money to pay for the luxury life in Berlin, Marbella and along the Cote d'Azur. Oh and those TCC fellas etc. Finally, any dreams that the gaff is going to get flooded in €'s to fix all the damage, well it ain't going to happen.
I dunno, how many times did the Americans betray their Kurdish patsies?
Yet the Kurds just keep on coming back for more.
Same. I told my friends and family in Ukraine not to expect the US "be all and end all" for Ukraine, but some couldn't even grasp it. An old classmate with a draftable age hubby, disappeared for many months into an electronic "nowhere," they're forced to upload this dia app, by which they get military drafts, being traced, etc., but she surfaced this month to just let me know that the things are really bad, and she doesn't communicate to simply not dump her misery on her friends. My friend is a very upbeat person, and had no illusions about this war from the start, and luckily was able to get her son out just before the war started, but didn't want to leave the country, since her husband couldn't.