As mentioned last time, in the post-Trump election victory all the powers-that-be in the world continue scrambling and jockeying to position themselves at the foot of the incoming administration’s throne.
Our only hope is if Trump Jr convinces the old man of the PR status of posing for a picture with Ayatollah Khamenei after a successful renegotiation of JCPOA, as Alistair Crook hinted at the other day. :-)
I find it interesting that the biography "Citizen Cohn" by Nicholas Von Hoffman seems to be available only as used/remaindered dead tree books, no PDF, Kindle or other electronic editions are available?
I guess anti semitic tropes were not popular but you dig them
Up enthusiastically
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Please DO elucidate exactly what you meant by this? And explain what relation you believe it may have to my comment re: A particular Roy Cohn biography availability?
(Edit)
Oh. Took a quick look at your substack, perhaps criticism of Roy Cohn = antisemitism to you? You have never read the book I mentioned either, of course! I have at least glanced at YOUR literary output:
I was typing my comment below while yours appeared. As the song goes, "Meet the new boss; same as the old boss."
What serious person would appoint Marco Rubio as Secretary of State. The guy was a zoning law lawyer whose crown achievement prior to coming to the Senate was approving a new sewage plant in some Florida town. Waltz was literally a defense contractor. So ridiculous.
If Tucker interviewed him, he is going through correct channels, isn't he? I don't know how the others in. Does Trump know these people and their views personally? He has always been a jerk, but we needed a change, so we get the same thing over. Where's Tulsi? She has always been against the war with Iran. That is her calling card.
Trump and the Palantir faction have to first break the Neocon grip, that is, take over their Intelligence weapons. They don't intend to take them to get rid of them, but to use them themselves, to usurp rather than eliminate the neocons.
Israel and Ukraine, even as rump states, will remain in some form. Both pirate dens might have been escape hatches, but both are overwhelmed as such. Instead, they will revert to their original purpose: as key gateways on the northern and southern legs of the Silk Road, as they were in the past.
Israel is only contending with Persia as a competitor for that position, as Persia was historically the key gateway. Israel wants to up the fees on maritime and pipeline routes, what they were once positioned to do on the Mackinder railroad and Arabian/Red Sea routes of the Great Game, when steam power was converting from coal to oil boilers.
Mercantile war is simply a price negotiation paid for in blood, not territory, as war used to be. Well, with migration, I see the Merchants have brought that one roaring back as well. So what do our newly-appointed war hawks portend in regards to the Immivasion of the White West?
Putting aside rumours which could turn out to be MSM bs, his confirmed picks to date do not fill me with confidence. That said, I still think Trump's victory is the better outcome if only because the instability caused by constant changing of administrations accelerates the decline of the empire.
Yep. The new swamp, just like the old one but totally different. Has anyone one noticed the movement in Tesla and Palantir's stock price since the election? The fact that two of the most over valued stocks became vastly more overvalued when their founders' candidate won the election shows that the asset managers are clear about who's going to be running the new 'Deep State.'
To complement Ukrainian diplomacy here is the kernel of US diplomacy
2019 with reference to whether there were to be any diplomatic discussions with the RF with regards to the situation in Syria
« Ambassador to Russia and Deep State mouthpiece John Huntsman said of two aircraft carrier groups in the Mediterranean, “When you have 200,000 tons of diplomacy that is cruising in the Mediterranean, this is forward-operating diplomacy — nothing else need [sic] to be said.”
Nope. If anything there will be more and more mycotoxins in your cheaper foodstuffs. Peanuts, beans, grains that get wet. Mould grows in it, and it produces mycotoxins like Aflatoxin, Citricine and whole bunch more. Lockdown also exposed many people to mould toxins.
Go read up on it, if you're freaked out by mRNA spike proteins and vaccines - this is real hard science, and it is whole lot more scary. It will also explain a whole range of symptoms people acquired and are flustered about.
Obviously the not so deep state, big mouth puppet had not reckoned with the fun loving Houthi brothers and their wonderful resistance to all things angloZionaZi. Z.
Because you read and even worse trust the same "rags" that lie about everything. Because you hate Trump you believe every negative thing written. My fellow Americans and other westerners just prove on a daily basis how easy it is for Govt. to manufacture consent for literally anything. You guys are great for my early morning coffee
Exactly! People forget that Trump didn't take the usual 300M plus for his transition team from the US govt. Their money their rules re: how done, what criteria they have to meet etc. So he funded it privately (has been since the summer)-- his own money-- saved the US taxpayers over $300million. They are freaking no control, no pipeline to who he is picking etc. It's driving them nuts, so like WaPo they make up stories and unfortunately some Simp posters fall for it.
1. Since he nearly had his head blown off, Trump has found religion.
2. He cottoned to his favorite daughter's religion because it is a war religion, with the certainty of a war religion.
Just as Reagan was forced into a tradeoff with the Usual Suspects in order to end the Cold War, Trump has made a deal with the devil in order to take on the current Deep State. One needs powerful allies to attempt either goal, and they aren't going away anytime soon.
Everyone on a mission is fired by Belief; belief is what enables us to accept both hardships and self-sacrifice. This is why headwinds make belief stronger, it is self-proofing that our cause is righteous. Belief is like muscle.
I wouldn't know, because I wouldn't click his links, not even by mistake.
As for comments - if you like banalities and platitudes. He just is the person who HAS TO HAVE an opinion regarding everything and share it; some would call this narcissism.
Too bad, it's one of the most valuable standalone pieces here on Substack. I don't agree with everything, but he gets a lot right in a very thought-out fashion, and what's most important, he implores people to think, which I hold at the highest esteem. So credit is due. Comments are a reasonable way to expand the channel, they're not abrasive and you're free to scroll them by.
>But there is no indication of that given that Russia continues signaling maximalist intentions of achieving all stated SMO goals, which includes the liberation of Zaporozhye and Kherson in their entirety—capital cities included.
That is not maximalist intentions.
It is utter and complete betrayal of Russia by the traitors in the Kremlin, for which they should hang from trees.
Nothing short of going very, very far west of Kiev suffices as the *minimum* requirement for successful completion of the SMO.
"Maximalist goals" would mean no US bases anywhere in Eurasia.
Never has the Russian government expressed a goal of anything beyond the four new territories. Where do you get this fiction?
That is not to say that the other traditionally Russian territories might not fall into their hands, but that is certainly not a "stated" goal, nor has it ever been.
>Never has the Russian government expressed a goal of anything beyond the four new territories. Where do you get this fiction?
Where do you get the fiction that the Russian government started this with the goal of acquiring those four territories?
The original goals were denazification and demilitarization, there was absolutely nothing about territory there.
Not only that, but then in Istanbul Putin once again tried to shove the DNR and the LNR back into Ukraine and even put Crimea on the table. For the latter alone he should be put on trial and shot for grand treason.
The four territories ended up being "the goal" simply because that is how far Russia forces got.
Had someone bothered to:
1) Organize a proper offensive in Nikolaev, with sufficient forces allocated for it, instead of the shit show we actually got (a symbolic smattering of armor and soldiers that showed up there expecting to be handed the keys to the city)
2) Actually carry out a proper initial strike that would have knee capped the AFU for good, instead of the absolute shit show we got of inexplicable restrictions on targeting
3) Followed basic warfare 101 and isolated the battlefield by destroying the AFUs logistics and the transport links with Europe instead of allowing all of that to function largely without obstacles to this day (because Ukrainian oligarchs are best buddies with Russian oligarchs, and both groups have serious influence on the Kremlin, thus nobody dared hurt their business interests by taking out the transport network)
4) Done a proper mobilization of manpower and the economy when it became clear it is urgently needed (which was in March 2022)
5) Not do a series of "goodwill gestures" (i.e. yet more grand treason)
Then the Russian army would have been occupying a lot more than what it did in September 2022
And we would not be talking about "four new territories", but something else altogether.
These four territories were never the goal on their own. And they can't be, because taking them doesn't solve anything
The war started because of the threat of Ukrainian territory being used as a staging point for a land invasion and missile attacks into Russia. Well, guess what -- the most relevant territories with respect to that threat are not the Donbass, Kherson and the Zaporozhye, but Chernigov, Sumy and Kharkov (you can add Kiev and Poltava too). You know, the ones that Putin has stubbornly refused to recover for a third year running now. So what he got was both a land invasion and missile attacks from those territories. What a surprise...
With much worse to come.
More generally, the goals of "demilitarization and denazification" still stand.
But you can never achieve these without actually physically occupying the whole of Ukraine.
Further, you can never achieve "denazification" without ending Ukrainian statehood and then ending the very idea of "Ukraine" as something separate.
Because by this point it is not possible to separate "Ukrainianness" from Nazism. Those things were already tightly linked by the history of WWI and WWII, now with this war they have become irreversibly inseparable.
Again, the "four new territories" does not solve absolutely anything. Worse, leaving things at that creates a lot of very serious new problems that didn't exist before the SMO.
Either Putin finds the courage to solve those problems, or he has to go and then hang.
All good points, but that's why this conflict is 'special', not an actual war. Makes you question the motives of all involved and how the world order really works.
The goal of liberating Russian-speaking territories for the purpose of allowing those inhabitants their Human Rights of Self-Determination in choosing which country to join (or to be independent) is different than the goal of de-nazification, "de-NATO-ization" or removing the military danger posed to Russia, or whatever one wants to label it.
One goal may or my not geographically coincide with the other goal.
And there is also the goal of removing the weaponization (and Russophobia) of the political and educational systems of "Ukraine" (exemplified by the criminalization of speaking the Russian language) and restoring Freedoms of Speech, Press and Religion. The alternative is allowing rump Ukraine to become a Baltic-style viper's nest of Western-directed covert anti-Russian agitation and hostility - an "Estonia" on steroids, with a big army.
>One interesting thing mentioned was that if the winter happens to be a ‘mild one’ then Ukraine could manage without too many devastating blackouts. And as I hear it from meteorologists, Russia has been slated to have a very ‘mild’ winter, which we can only assume will reflect somewhat in Ukraine as well.
Don't get angry so quickly. Half of the commenters on this platform are 65 and older, and the other half seem to have significant problems with logical reasoning
Shut the fuck up. You are a goddamn spoiled Frenchman who despises Russia and supports Nazis in Ukraine, while your shitty country is ruled by a bad Napoleon impersonator and is overrun by third world trash. How are those colonies in Africa? Any new fires in Paris?
And here you are, caught up in another imaginary debate. You think I’m French, that I despise Russia, and that I support Ukraine. All three assumptions are false. You’re fighting with a person that doesn’t exist, a figment of your imagination. You should really consider seeing a doctor sometime. Or at the very least, stop commenting without proper thought. You’re ruining the experience for everyone else.
Or you are a bona fide troll, constantly repeating the same points over and over. Please step aside and let normal people communicate please!!!!!!!!
I'm fighting with a troll who attacked me - totally unsolicited - yesterday and bragged about his military "service" and work in some factory and then proceeded to go on a tirade about how shitty Russia is and how great the west is, despite never having been to the US and probably never having been to Russia. Fuck you troll.
There are no centuries of evidence. Zero, nill, nada. There are dozens of models, who are now all proven wrong. Show me one model which predicted a temperature rise and I show you a failed model. Models are always just deviations of reality.
Climate is a chaotic system, as is weather. And like Axel said, we can't even really predict 1-2 weeks in to the future, how do you expect someone to create a model which is capable of predicting temperature rises 10, 20 or even 30 years ahead? You can't, simple.
And in this discussion thread I haven't seen one reference to HAARP or any other weather modification technology which is being used extensively nowadays.
Climate change is complex, and now there is acknowledgement that the activity of the Sun is far more consequential than any unfounded notions (it is socio/politically driven) of anthropomorphic CO2 caused factors.
Other planets in our Solar system are experiencing slight elevations in temperature - let's legislate to stop that!
They've adjusted the numbers to make it look catastrophic. See Tom Nelson channel on YouTube and watch at least a few minutes of the video with Frank G. Lasee from 3 weeks ago. He specifically pulls apart the real data and compares it to their "adjusted" data. You could watch thousands of hours of this caliber of debunking, though no one should need to.
The last several odd winters and summers are most likely the consequence of the subsea volcanic explosion in the Tonga area back in 2022 which put 40 billion gallons of vaporized water (the most potent greenhouse gas) into the atmosphere. This year is probably the peak year for those effects.
Also, they no longer call it "global warming", it's now called "climate change" because most of the model predictions have failed.
The whole global cooling thing was by and large a farce perpetrated by one article from Time magazine in the late 70's. If one read the research papers on climate from the 60's and 70's it is clear that the little blip of cooling was brought on by WWII and industrial emissions that were quickly overwhelmed by greenhouse gasses. Climate change is one of the reasons I'd say everyone in the West is stupid, not just the Neo-Libs.
Global warming is an absurd canard pushed by criminals who want to fill the world with toxic trash and pollute at will. If you were serious about environmentally friendly, low cost energy, there are a dozen alternatives that will scale, and dozens more suited to site use, not grid distribution.
No it's not warming. In 1989, 98% of the world's climate scientists signed a letter stating that if we didn't stop emitting CO2 all coastal cities would be underwater by year 2000. To make a prediction that far off is inexcusable for a "science". BTW, they're still building high rises in Miami so banks and insurance companies see clear sailing ahead.
You have to differentiate between propaganda and actual science.
"Scientists" jumping on hype train funded by people who have business/political interests in derailing the status quo, are perhaps doing science, but are not acting according to it themselves.
Meanwhile, the real science is correct: measured average temperatures on the planet are rising. That's all for global warming. It doesn't say temperatures are rising everywhere. It says the planet on average is getting warmer.
The same for "climate change". It doesn't say you're about to drown and boil in 20 years. It says the climate is getting more extreme, in large part due to warming - which is observably true and we're seeing the effects ourselves. It doesn't even say it's man-made. It just says mankind is partially responsible, but the size of that part is not easy to quantify.
All the rest of the rhetoric about global warming and climate change come from some interest groups, some more benign than others.
Nope. The same twit who got famous predicting that Y2K would make all the computers shut down started promoting AGW when his original schtick didn't pan out. John "H"-something...Hanford?
Al Gore's professor who taught AGW originally worked for the National Weather Service, and wanted to get a bigger budget for more weather balloons, so he submitted a proposal which lead to his own career of self-promotion.
Washington Post headlines in 1922 (!): The Arctic icecaps are disappearing, the Bering Strait seals and whitefish are doomed to extinction. The Arctic will be ice-free by 1930.
Who in this audience has even heard of Maurice Strong, CEO of PetroCanada, progenitor of the Green Revolution?
There is such a long history of political and propaganda chicanery behind the oil spies of the Great Game it would take volumes to fill. You are looking at the subterranean maneuvers of resource oligarchs.
That isn't true, try reading some of the research, this is yet another strawman and not a very smart one at that. 2030 is when it was predicted sea-level rise would begin inundating coastal cities.
No, no, the headline clips from 1989 describing the sea-level rise of 2000 are readily available. I remember them fondly, it was all the rage. We were only ten years on from the 'odd-even' days of the 1979 gas rationing under Carter.
Let’s say the theory is wrong - nothing to worry about. Let’s say the theory is right. It’s too late to change the sea level rise by ceasing co2 output. It’ll take a couple hundred years for that to have an effect. We need a solar shield or particulates in the atmosphere.
Either way there is nothing to do and nothing to worry about. You can continue your futile whining and cursing at people, but you’re irrelevant.
Calm down. State your argument, but do just quit the personal angle. Yes, there is a very observable difference in the climate, and yes we are using a hell of a lot of hydrocarbons a day - 100 million barrels of oil/day, add coal to that, gas. On top of that we added yet another 80 million humans, like you and me, to this earth and we all need diesel - it makes this shitty old world turn around. Gets the food to you from the farm to the shop where you and I buy it all nicely wrapped in see through plastic on a polystyrene punnet.
So, the earth is getting hotter....
Finally getting to the point. There is water on this earth, quite a lot of salty water and when it gets hot, at the surface the molecules get excited and evaporate. This is a proven scientific fact. That means that a lot more water ends up in the atmosphere, and when it eventually condenses it will rain a lot more too.
But, evaporation causes cooling of the main body of water/earth equilibrium and so the planet 'saves' itself.
Now whether this equilibrium shift is big or small or quick and nasty or drawn out and boring is anyone's guess.
Whether it is going to take the 8 billion fleas going round and round into account is also debatable.
And if you've read up to here, the terrible fucking news is - 99% of everything that has ever lived on earth has become extinct. Humans or no humans. So don't treat people and their use of diesel as a sin. Oil has only used for about 100 years now, and I promise you, it's the reason you and I can communicate. So choose your words wisely they fuck up the atmosphere.
How old are you? I remember when they were pulling their hair out over "the new ice age" back in the 1970s. They were actually more hysterical then they are now. Nothing to worry about. We should be celebrating the milder weather and increased plant growth. The levels are rising rapidly but diatom algae are converting CO2 into limestone. We'll have run out of hydrocarbons and minerals and nuked ourselves over that long before the levels could even reach a climate altering level. I remember when medical scientists and doctors unanimously wanted to ban breast feeding from 1960 until 1981 (when mothers put their foot down). Big brains are always stupid in at least one area, especially when there's a paycheck in it.
Never happened, yours is a strawman argument. This was spun off of one Time article. If you read the research from the 60's and 70's, nobody was predicting an ice-age.
About 10,000 years ago there was a glacier a mile thick where NYC was, and 20,000 years ago the sea level was down about 440 ft. 40,000 years ago you could walk on dry land from London to Denmark. So yes, climate has been changing, and will continue to change. And there is nothing you or I or anyone else can do about it.
I have to correct you here. First drilling for oil 1859, formalized by Rockefeller 1877 into selling the stuff not for cars, planes, trucks, tractors. Nope - lampoil, to light lamps. It didn't really become popular until machines got rolled out inbetween the two world wars. The last one ended 80 years ago, so we have only intensively started using oil for 80 years, maybe a century. Same with electricity- coal was burnt but obviously as a source of heat at home.
Yeah, but the weather is better then it's ever been in human history and getting better all the time. Extreme weather events are at an all time low. Some people just like to worry.
It really is, in a big way. Hurricanes, the kind not amplified by GE/DoD's Atmospheric Research Bureau, impact tropical zones because everybody wants to build by the coast. Long Island and Coney Island used to to have long stretches of sand dunes because everybody knew storms happened.
Hurricane Helene was like Hiroshima...it was the unveiling of a superweapon (directed hurricanes), just as Lahaina was a taste of DEW.
They're letting us know they can ruin us with a drought, a forest fire, or flooding whenever they want something under our land, magnifying our feeling of helplessness and their sense of power.
1. CO2 is food for vegetation. The 280 ppm in 1880 was times with severe starving in Europe- they migrated to US…We now have 430 ppm, thanks to our emissions of CO2. In a greenhouse you need 1000-2000ppm.
2. The Electricity Hoax will not save the Climate Hoax. There is no way you can build so many batteries without other problems to surface.
3. Getting rid of Meat will not hinder an eventual evolution with new Ice Age or Warming.
4. Why dont you engage in things that matters? Over-consumtion, all these girls using ”beauty products” with Palm Oil (destroying real forest), the 1% billionaries buying yacht and private islands. The pollution of air, rivers, land and seas of multiple chemicals…
And…why not discuss the topics int this article instead of virtue-signalling?
There's no point in trying to have a civilized conversation with something as uncivilized as "SharKid". Whether it's a bot or just a neurotic human, it's clearly unhinged and unable to have a discussion on technical matters.
We know temps rise and fall fast, e.g. Younger Dryas where it dropped 10C in decades. What we don't have is 100 year granularity about things a million years ago or more.
Winters have become noticeably colder here over the past 40 years. Is some other part of the globe stealing our heat? The 5 to 10 days of 70F or above in January have gradually dropped to 0 or 1 in current years. That's been an easy metric to follow, and it's doing "global warming" no favors.
In Toronto, the last 11 winters have been really mild and the summers much less hot. I work in a aluminum casting plant and 10 - 25 years ago we were dying in here in the summer. The last ten summers are the coolest in a century yet most people are freaking out about how hot it is. And everybody has air conditioning in their cars and homes now. I don't have either because I don't need it but you'd think I'd know about the weather.
I like how Obama got his Mansion right on the ocean for when it rises. Watch out for that glacier melt, wait a minute, it had the largest growth recorded since being recorded only two years ago. The United States has had the coldest winters on record in the last decade, snow so bad in Texas that it failed their entire energy grid. You are full of shit.
The Antarctic has nearly doubled in size, Greenland's ice cap is larger than it has been in centuries, the Arctic is growing again...it opened up for a spell recently, just as it had during the Colonial period when Hudson's Bay was founded.
Turns out Mann's infamous 'hockeystick' of the East Anglia scandal wasn't even based on a single slope of trees, it was based on the rings of one- one!- tree.
Now as to the effects of vehicular carbon emission, cargo ships run on 'bunker oil', that is, used (dirty) oil. 15 cargo ships put out the equivalent carbon monoxide of all automotive traffic on earth...there are 55,000 cargo ships currently in operation. Yet the Green lunatics want us all to get hypertoxic solar and wind junk shipped from a rampantly polluted China.
Green means lithium and cobalt pit mines the size of Ohio.
Plus, the armies of diesel fueled equipment to dig them, which needs coal-powered foundries to build them, which needs more mining to get the iron ore to make those, which means...
Could the hundreds of thousands of explosions taking place have anything to do with the temperature rise in Kiev, I wonder? Is anyone studying this? The effects of war on so-called "climate change"?
Please stop this discussion about global warming. This is a discussion about the war in Ukraine and the fact that people expect a warm winter. Whether global warming plays a role and whether it exists at all is just not relevant here.
Winters have become colder on this part of the California coast over the past 40 years. The 5 to 10 days of 70F in January have dropped to 0 or 1 at present. Is it really getting hotter elsewhere?
Yeah it does get hotter elsewhere. I live near the geographic center of Europe.
A typical February 30 years ago had 0 nights over freezing point and during the day temperatures over 5C (40F) were considered unusually hot.
Last February, it was exactly 0 nights freezing (the town where I live had only a few days with temps lower than freezing point in the entire winter), we had a week of daily maximums over 25C (77F) and a day with over 30C (86F). In February.
Summer temperatures over 32C were considered rare and dangerous 30 years ago. Today, 40+ is not unusual.
2-3 months of permanent snow cover used to be a normal thing. These days I go to Alps to see snow.
And long-term, this is supposed to be the 4th coldest country on the planet.
Global warming is totally nonsense but the climate is changing. On every planet in the solar the system the weather is getting milder. Less cold in the cold season and less hot in the hot season. See YouTube channels CDN or Tom Nelson for wall to wall experts on the global warming scam.
Its not even a question of mild winter but Russia not finishing the job on Ukrainian energy infrastructure which is immensely frustrating. They just raised a few bombers a few days back and got Ukraine to shut down its own electricity (lol) but didn't do anything after. It seems like Putin is negotiating with Kiev again. The man loves his deals way too much and should stop getting in the way of the military.
I read somewhere that the military was frustrated from 2022 due to political interference that didn't let them fight the war as they pleased.
The weather here in Kansas seems to be the opposite of what is in for my friend a Russian farm lady. It's a semi-drought here, it's raining every day there. It's 100 degrees here throughout the summer, it's cool there. The planet balances itself...
Dumbass most record high temperatures are from the 30s. Those paying attention remember when this horse shit started these so called experts told us that we would all freeze to death by 1985 and the world would become an arctic desert. Notice they had to change it from global warming to climate change? Why is that Mr moron?
I suspect the deep state allowed Trump to win because he’s the most likely to start a war with Iran, and his personality is more likely to rally the American people for war, unlike Kamala
Im not too convinced. During the last trump administration, US-Russia relations worsened: Trump started arming the Ukrainians. Furthermore, Iran-US relations worsened during his administration, as he pulled out of the JCPOA.
Follow their actions, not their words. And pay close attention to who is appointed in the administration: that is what matters, not what trump thinks. Jared Kushner will be doing the hiring for the administration, and I think it will be full of Warhawks
Pulled out of the nuclear deal and, you know, killed Soleimani. Anyone cheering for Trump and thinking he's gonna right any of America's many wrongs is a retard plain and simple.
Yup, I can already hear the excuses. It's hard to make good excuses when Trump bragged about killing Soleimani, bragged about occupying Syria and stealing the oil, and other things. The only positive Trump brings is that he has as much contempt for certain US allies and leaders in Europe as he does for Iran and China, which makes him less likely to play the usual games the way a democrat would. But of course, he still loves Israel unconditionally.
They still make ICE cars bro. And he has Elon tailing him and Republicans have tried to make the cyber truck a symbol for them. Bargaining for Armageddon over battery powered crap? Talk about identity politics. Get a grip.
and dont forget he tried the Guaido coup in Venezuela too. However, Ukraine is different since it determined the Rusia Gate case. I think he may hit the Democratic party with that.
Not to excuse his past actions, but Trump indeed was saddled with "Russia, Russia, Russia," from the get go, and had to prove himself "tough on Russia." Even by now, you have no idea how many of my liberal colleagues still chant, "Trump is Putin's stooge, or Trump is in Putin's pocket," but when pressed for facts, they can offer none. Let's hope Trump learned from the past mistakes
I think Donald Trump Jr. is doing the cabinet selection vs. Ivanka & Jared.
That’s a very powerful argument, however I think it also goes to show some of the many tricks at the disposal of the Deep state: they can launch a propaganda campaign to make you appear “weak” on Iran, they can threaten to assassinate you, they can withdraw donations to you, and so on and so forth.
I have two versions of why the Democratic Party allowed Trump to win and did not challenge his victory, admitting their defeat. According to the first version, Trump and Harris are playing on the same team, so the Deep State does not care which of them becomes President of the country. According to the second version, Trump will be killed in the future, which will lead to revenge from his rivals.
"full of Warhawks" Amen. They'll just be warhawks trying to pretend they're sensible. For example:
Walz: "Russia is essentially a gas station with nukes." There you go, in a single line the man Trump picked as his national security advisor convinces everybody who knows Russia he's either a) dishonest, or b) knows so little about Russia he's going to "advise" Trump right into WW3.
We can debate ad infinitum about the USG and its moron percentage, but one thing I am thoroughly convinced of is that Donald Trump is not going to launch a nuclear strike unless told that the inbound strike on the US is 10 minutes out. It would be a total abandonment of everything about the world that he cares about and has demonstrated for 78 years.
No military tard or adviser is going to be able to talk him out of that.
I agree that Trump isn't going to wake up one morning and launch a first strike. But that's the easy scenario. The difficulty is that real life is not so clear cut. It's full of gray areas where suddenly one party or the other escalates out of gross miscalculation as to who the other party is or what they will do.
For example, a core fallacy that has powered US attacks on Russia is that Russia is fragile, just a gas station with nukes, so it would be easy to "bring Russia to its knees" (a bipartisan fallacy) through economic sanctions. Why, heck, bigtime support for Ukraine would be certain to cause regime change in Russia, so they told themselves.
The "gas station with nukes" talk is dangerous because it underestimates Russia's vast economic and social interests other than oil and gas. It leads to errors like "Well, we'll just blockade their ports and bomb a few more of their pipelines, like the gas lines to China. They can't do anything about that because they're just a gas station with nukes and they won't use nukes."
But then Russia could strike with conventional weapons and sink all of the US's aircraft carriers. The US would escalate from there.
There are many, many scenarios where the US, if it bases strategy on a foolish underestimation of Russia's capabilities or endurance, can cause an unexpectedly strong response from Russian. There are also cases where the actions of the US's deranged allies might attack Russian forces in a way that Russia responds with tactical nukes. The classic example would be NATO strikes on Kaliningrad. That will lead to open war, instantly, and once Russia uses even a single tactical nuke to strike the NATO bases or vessels from which such attacks were launched, it's got to wipe out the US nuclear weapons systems and nuclear weapons storage locations close enough to Russia for decapitation strikes. That means strikes on nuclear weapons sites in Poland, Germany, the Baltics, Netherlands, Italy, and possibly the UK.
And right about then is when the maximum Russophobes will be telling Trump that nuclear strikes against the US are 10 minutes out.
That's how a dolt like Walz could advise Trump into WW3. It won't be that he says, "Hey, Mr. President, what say we dust off the SIOP and empty all the silos at Russia today?" it will be "You have to show them you mean business, that you won't allow them to take Kiev, and that they have plenty to risk themselves, like Kaliningrad."
In retrospect, we should all have been scared shitless of (Dick) Cheney getting anywhere near the levers of power. He had made abundantly clear that he liked warfare before he got into a position with a weak President to facilitate it. During the first Iraq war, his time as White House Chief of Staff under Ford - I have to admit I didn't know enough about him at the time to be as fearful as I should have been. The guy is as shortsighted and foolish as Schleiffen was. And that guy even knew his plan was for shit and wouldn't work in practice.
The scenario you paint re: Waltz is not very believable to me. The guy (Trump) doesn't want to fight wars. He has no ambition to be a wartime President. . Trump is not personally weak like W was. I still can't believe we elected an alcoholic/addict as a President...it's a totally disqualifying element in a leader. I'm not even so sure about Barry given all his pot smoking.
Trump is undoubtedly an Alpha, which requires him to believe that his decisions are fundamentally his own. Waltz could talk till he is blue in the face and Trump is still not going to be willing to start a war. At most, he'd be willing to do something Soleimani-like, which was considered safe and turned out to be less so. But can you imagine Russia leaving an agent both as clearly flagged and unprotected as Soleimani was? I can't. I also can't see Putin responding to such an attack with a nuclear response, he's way more creative and sharp than that.
Attacking Kaliningrad is not on the menu for anyone. They know it's a sensitive spot for Russia and a sensitive spot in general (former East Prussia) so the threats are there. But if you think anyone in Poland is champing at the bit to be in direct war with Russia...
Still less I would expect attacks on the energy infrastructure of Russia. No, Waltz is talking about economic warfare. He even makes direct reference to that. These people understand their limitations and the "with nukes" part was vital there. That means we aren't attacking such a nation directly. These are sane people at least, unlike the current neocons in office.
I guess i'm saying your fears are _reasonable_ but not plausible based on my read of the situation. I don't blame you for being concerned given the last few years, though.
(edited to change sic Walz to Waltz - the second is the new designate for national security adviser, Walz was the bumbling MN governor running mate for Harris)
The vast majority on this site as well as most others is that they have chosen their champion and all things against that rule is bad. The is a whole lot of action between ally and nuke war.... but I don't think to many know that.
You're seeing internal politics, as you would with a formal Politburo.
There is a competitor elite backing Trump, the Thiel-Ellison-Musk technocrats who want to upend the Straussian neocons.
FDR set us up as a Soviet with his unConstitutional Agency system, so we're getting Politburo maneuvers.
Sundance over at Conservative Treehouse is putting out a series of excellent breakdowns of each position, it's a specialty of his. He has spent the last few studying the Committee and Agency "silo system" in depth.
Also, please understand no peasant revolution succeeds, nor succeeds without outside help, such as France's help in our Revolution or Tsarina Catherine's help in our War of 1812. Our competing factions are looking for allies, such as China, Israel, the Sunni Emirs, and India. We're getting into an Axis versus Allies scenario again.
I think that when the dust settles, you will find a Trump cabinet filled with Israel-firsters (Jewish and otherwise) and China-haters. This is not a mix positioned for peace in the world.
Plus, Trump is a Jew and a Kabbalist (his words, not mine). And he participated in the sloppiest assassination attempt in history. Make America's Acting Schools Great Again.
Talmudic eschatology is more important then anything else in current events. They have to kill every last goyim and get an unknown percentage of the population to become hermaphrodites before their messiah can come. The unknown part is what percentage of global or Israeli Jewry believe in this stuff?
If you think this sounds crazy, try to explain the extent and staying power of the transgender movement (verses other recent movements) and the eye watering aggression and hatefulness of Jews out on full display for the entire world to see. Revelation says they'll be hunted down in the desert again during the tribulation. They seem to be building up a mass of bad will on purpose.
They believe they are the only ones that can make it happen because they're the chosen ones (it's a long, long story) and the Kabbalah is a witchcraft book of tools to make it happen (alter things in heaven through their worldy actions).
(The Christians don't understand that their entire Book is a political chronicle of a race war, with each side eventually imagining itself and identifying as the other. The Habiru imagined they were conquest Aryans, the Puritans then imagined themselves to be conquest Jews.)
I completely agree in regards to the Talmudic messianic vision, this is the Sabbatean/Frankist branch at work. Since the Christians don't understand the esoteric style of Hebrew narrative, they don't understand that the coming of the anti-Messiah, the anti-Christ, is a political vision. The Mosiach is not some Carpathian Blofeld nor even a single person, it is a State, the body of which is the body of its people.
The Anti-Christ, their messiah come for the first time (since the Heretic showed up the last time), manifested physically in 1948.
All has proceeded accordingly; the immortal Tribe are sure to rule a world plantation of sex slaves, with Aryan Eve firmly captured by Semitic Adam; the Perfected World come at last as promised to the seeds of Abraham, since an Aryan Heaven is literally beyond their grasp.
The Hebrew God is not /our/ God, our Dyeus Pater, just as the Allah is not the El.
A single person with a keyboard won't reverse 30 years + of multinational corporate funded propaganda on a random comment section in the next 15 minutes. Especially when much of what you are responding to is automated and you are only made out of meat.
Reuters is is a hoax-mongering outlet, reliant on their "sources say" type of sources. The remarks attributed to Mike Waltz reinforce the troped-up mind-set: "Russia is a gas station w/ nukes," which S highlighted in the screenshot above.
Also this--according to Mike Waltz, or at least 'sources' heard Mike Waltz allegedly say this, "We have leverage, like taking the handcuffs off the long-range weapons we supplied Ukraine. That will get Putin to the table."
Erm, well actually, actually, hasn't Mike Waltz--this alleged Mike Waltz, that is--been privy to VVP's plans for retaliatory action on OTAN countries who supply Ukraine w/ the technical ability to fire Storm Shadows, ATACMS, etc. into pre-2014 Russia--?!!?
If I know the retaliatory action VVP would take against OTAN belligerents surely this troped-up stage actor Mike Waltz knows--?!!?
Bizarrely, too, if Russia "is a gas station w/ nukes,"what governmental lunatic would give a proxy permission to treat Population Centers like Moscow & Saint Petersburg like ducks on the pond--?!!?
Additionally, as S reports, it may well be that the U.S. State Department will find a Salome Zourabichvilli for Bankova, or @ least an inspiring Navalny figure: a West-obeisant candidate to run in the "State Department's" proposed--allegedly proposed, that is--presidential election.
Here's the scorecard for Ukraine:
2004--Orangee Revolution
2014--Euromaidan coup [also known as Revolution of Dignity]
2022--hot proxy war w/ Russia
2025--puppet prez elevated & installed
Like the Visible V-8 toy showed us under a see-thru plastic framework the inner workings & pistons of the combustion engine, this is the Visible Regime Change: nothing hidden, everything laid out nakedly before us
I like this way of thinking and I know you must present Navalny as a possible 'icon of resistance'
But at the same time one must recognise that Navalny was early on picked out and trained by the CIA (the footprints of Burns are all over his sweet face)
And the very same will have busy been picking out and training UA equivalents
For Now this is the Time of Burns and he will succeed once again
Do you mean in the sense of him being a sado-masochistic homosexual?
You do know that was T. E. Lawrence's kink right?
Do you remember that whole scene where he got picked up by the Turkish security forces in an Arab town whilst trying to pass him self of as a Circassian? He gets beaten up, tied down, tortured and raped for a while and then they just let him go and he walks off.
That isn't what happens to foreign agents who get picked up by Turkish security forces. the torture and the rape sure, but they don't just let them walk off at the end of it.
That is the sexual adventurism of an English upper-class queer cruising the Kasbah for rough trade. He included it in his memoirs because he found it deliciously stimulating.
I'm not saying that the rest of the derring-do guerilla warfare, raids behind enemy lines stuff didn't happen. Just that T. E. Lawrence was one hell of an English queer.
The whole visibility of neoliberal machination issue is only apparent to those of us who are driven to LOOK at it. For the rest, there will always be SportzBall™, whatever some Kardashian or other are doing & etc..
I have to say that a lot of Americans are very confused here. They think a cease-fire is for the asking from Russia. I keep telling them no fucking way; Ukraine is toast, they need to get used to the idea. There are going to be a lot of shocked people when Putin doesn't meekly submit to Trump.
Talking with a neighbor Sunday, I was quite amused when he said Putin was looking for a way out of this war. I pointed out some of the errors in his thinking. Most here haven't ever heard of the Minsk agreements.
Some Americans would have trouble finding Canada on a map if it wasn't marked.
Hypnotised, brainwashed, individualist, careerist. No critical thinking skills. In a feminised Western society the girls are drunk on the Kool Aid. Hysterical mediocrity is how I'd put it - akin to the class of people Ayn Rand calls out in Atlas Shrugged.
I think much of it has to do with child-rearing practices. Here, in Latin America, some mothers (and fathers) have the tendency to dote on their male children to great excess, producing self-centered narcissists are incapable of having healthy human relationships their entire lives. In the U.S., it is the opposite, with everyone doting on the girls. No one expects anything from them, and they are commended for the most insipid activities. While spoiling of male children in Latin America is common, it is not pervasive. Treating every little girl in the U.S. like a little princess from the moment that she is born is ubiquitous in almost every family. DEI just throws buckets of aviation fuel on the bonfire of these little princesses' vanity.
I think you point to the nub of the problem with narcissism; male or female.
Rather than bringing up people to think of others, to collaborate, to interact and build trust, the neo liberal project began around 40 years ago to break solidarity and trust down, deliberately promoting self-centered, winner takes all, all against all, individual shit and careerist stuff.
I see what you're saying but the US is the driver of this shit. Having worked in both places North America is the progenitor of these ideas in collaboration with it's vassals; an insidious feedback loop. And if you think the UK is worse than Canada, you should spend some time there - not too long though, or you'll lose the will to live 😱😱
To tell you the truth, I never have been to Europe, despite teaching European history. Met a lot of Europeans at universities in the U.S. though. I will tell you more truth. When I was young, I thought that Germans were just the most wonderful people in the world: brilliant, diligent, methodical, and rigorous. I even learned German. Then I met a lot of German PhDs and grad students. Disappointment is not a strong enough word to describe my feelings.
Years ago, in Berlin, I met a delegation of Russians. Or rather, they found out to their surprise that I am an American cat. "But I thought all Americans are stupid?" meowed one of the Russians.
The Head Russian In Charge replied that not all Americans are morons. The true number is only 95%. In fact, there are people out there even more stupid than Americans.
Gets depressing being at the neutral point of the Trump Derangement Syndrome scale & seeing that the spectrum has a red range nearly symmetrical to the blue range, doesn't it?
They'll get their share of dopamine once Trump leaves it all on Europe and proclaims victory for the American taxpayer. And nothing else is going to matter.
Yeah it’s funny….a coworker made a remark to the effect that The Don would just call Bad Vlad and call it all off….the disconnect to anything resembling reality is off the charts. At this point if they are living in delusion let em fuggin just stay there and out of my way.
There is no carrot or stick that is going to get Ukraine off the hook that I can see. I await education on this point. I have enough humility to know that I don't possess all wisdom and maybe there's something I am not seeing, some 4D chess move.
If I were Trump I'd just say, "why is it my job to unf*** Biden and Zelensky's catastrophe, and deploy the US military to the southern border. If any democrats want to support Ukraine they can paypal Zelensky their life savings and volunteer to sit in rat filled trenches.
The best-kept secret of the western hemisphere is that it is not just the U.S. receiving all these migrants. Other countries are as well. Now, we can argue about whether U.S. sanctions or Communism are to blame, but that would miss the point. We have at least 3 Venezuelan families who moved to my small town, about 7000 km south of the U.S. Mexican border.
I'd go further: all these cunts in the Western media, politicians, celebrities et al send them all to the front line and see how fucking enthusiastic they are for war when they face it's reality.
Some, such as Lindsay Graham should be sent to the Yemen to have their bollocks sewn in their mouth.
It seems to me, having negotiated a number of deals myself, that the issue of trust is pretty much lethal to any negotiations between Russia and NATO..In the oil and gas business, if you once prove that you can't be trusted, you'll be shut out of any deals for years...And the US/NATO have repeatedly proven that they can't be trusted....and I doubt that Medvedev and the Security Council, or the Russian General Staff, would go along with any such wishful thinking...
Maybe we can get Nostradamus on this--? He has been fairly reliable. Also I think an episode of "The Simpsons" made a prediction. Could check w/ MGMGrand & our friends in the desert for the over/under?
I actually like the approach of "I tried, but those unreasonable ukr/eu/UK said no". In the end Trump needs to walk away, and this is a pathway to get there.
Anyone that expects much from Trump is likely to be very disappointed. We are talking about the Empire here. He isn't Ho or Lumumba.
No need for anything so crude. Trump is craven and cuckish on the one hand, and he craves flattery on the other.
Our only hope is if Trump Jr convinces the old man of the PR status of posing for a picture with Ayatollah Khamenei after a successful renegotiation of JCPOA, as Alistair Crook hinted at the other day. :-)
Let's hope you're not correct.
One could hope that Trump will cease all war, since has no need to be reelected with a warmongering attitude.
He'll do a Zionists war not because he needs relecting but because his cunt family and donors want it.
And they own his fat arse from way back to his first bankruptcy, and probably beyond. Ray Cohn anyone?
@grr
ROY Cohn.
But yeah, most likely.
I find it interesting that the biography "Citizen Cohn" by Nicholas Von Hoffman seems to be available only as used/remaindered dead tree books, no PDF, Kindle or other electronic editions are available?
Soz yeah Roy. I'll look for that book.
Cheers.
About as relevant as the anti-Nixon screeds of the past to the modern audience. Being a know-nothing is an asset, apparently
@HBI
The problems of our present have their roots in our past.
Being a "know nothing" is not a survival oriented trait, AFAICT.
I guess anti semitic tropes were not popular but you dig them
Up enthusiastically
@Nurit Steinfeld
(Quote)
I guess anti semitic tropes were not popular but you dig them
Up enthusiastically
----------
Please DO elucidate exactly what you meant by this? And explain what relation you believe it may have to my comment re: A particular Roy Cohn biography availability?
(Edit)
Oh. Took a quick look at your substack, perhaps criticism of Roy Cohn = antisemitism to you? You have never read the book I mentioned either, of course! I have at least glanced at YOUR literary output:
https://substack.com/home/post/p-149445955
---------
Describe what a Semite is, please.
The world doesn't revolve around your circumcised penis.
I was typing my comment below while yours appeared. As the song goes, "Meet the new boss; same as the old boss."
What serious person would appoint Marco Rubio as Secretary of State. The guy was a zoning law lawyer whose crown achievement prior to coming to the Senate was approving a new sewage plant in some Florida town. Waltz was literally a defense contractor. So ridiculous.
I watched TC interview with Elbridge Colby — he is NOT anti-China lunatic hawk - he is intelligent, informed and balanced.
If Tucker interviewed him, he is going through correct channels, isn't he? I don't know how the others in. Does Trump know these people and their views personally? He has always been a jerk, but we needed a change, so we get the same thing over. Where's Tulsi? She has always been against the war with Iran. That is her calling card.
Thank you ++ all are corrupted to their eyeballs: Will Biden pardon SBF? + What US and EU officials brought in diplomatic luggage from Kiev
Several interesting thoughts from Dmitry Orlov
Trump Declares Victory as Israel & Ukraine Collapsing – Nov 5
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pnpt3ackC5I
Trump and the Palantir faction have to first break the Neocon grip, that is, take over their Intelligence weapons. They don't intend to take them to get rid of them, but to use them themselves, to usurp rather than eliminate the neocons.
Israel and Ukraine, even as rump states, will remain in some form. Both pirate dens might have been escape hatches, but both are overwhelmed as such. Instead, they will revert to their original purpose: as key gateways on the northern and southern legs of the Silk Road, as they were in the past.
Israel is only contending with Persia as a competitor for that position, as Persia was historically the key gateway. Israel wants to up the fees on maritime and pipeline routes, what they were once positioned to do on the Mackinder railroad and Arabian/Red Sea routes of the Great Game, when steam power was converting from coal to oil boilers.
Mercantile war is simply a price negotiation paid for in blood, not territory, as war used to be. Well, with migration, I see the Merchants have brought that one roaring back as well. So what do our newly-appointed war hawks portend in regards to the Immivasion of the White West?
Putting aside rumours which could turn out to be MSM bs, his confirmed picks to date do not fill me with confidence. That said, I still think Trump's victory is the better outcome if only because the instability caused by constant changing of administrations accelerates the decline of the empire.
Why would we expect anything else? This is what the US and EU have become - bigots, grifters, and ignorant, strutting John Wayne "heroes".
Yep. The new swamp, just like the old one but totally different. Has anyone one noticed the movement in Tesla and Palantir's stock price since the election? The fact that two of the most over valued stocks became vastly more overvalued when their founders' candidate won the election shows that the asset managers are clear about who's going to be running the new 'Deep State.'
Well, at least they simply want to use us, rather than genocide us outright.
That's already been pretty much accomplished since the next generation is sterilized by the vaxxine, with more mRNA on the way.
To complement Ukrainian diplomacy here is the kernel of US diplomacy
2019 with reference to whether there were to be any diplomatic discussions with the RF with regards to the situation in Syria
« Ambassador to Russia and Deep State mouthpiece John Huntsman said of two aircraft carrier groups in the Mediterranean, “When you have 200,000 tons of diplomacy that is cruising in the Mediterranean, this is forward-operating diplomacy — nothing else need [sic] to be said.”
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2019/04/24/us-envoy-warns-russia-with-warship-diplomacy-a65366
Says it all.
Nope. If anything there will be more and more mycotoxins in your cheaper foodstuffs. Peanuts, beans, grains that get wet. Mould grows in it, and it produces mycotoxins like Aflatoxin, Citricine and whole bunch more. Lockdown also exposed many people to mould toxins.
Go read up on it, if you're freaked out by mRNA spike proteins and vaccines - this is real hard science, and it is whole lot more scary. It will also explain a whole range of symptoms people acquired and are flustered about.
Yeah we know
Obviously the not so deep state, big mouth puppet had not reckoned with the fun loving Houthi brothers and their wonderful resistance to all things angloZionaZi. Z.
The adults are back in charge. Is it time to make a Downfall parody video for Zelenskyy? Here is the version for Harris: https://yuribezmenov.substack.com/p/downfall-kamala-2024-election
Yes; am thinking the same.
LOL-- sure you do🤣
Because you read and even worse trust the same "rags" that lie about everything. Because you hate Trump you believe every negative thing written. My fellow Americans and other westerners just prove on a daily basis how easy it is for Govt. to manufacture consent for literally anything. You guys are great for my early morning coffee
Exactly! People forget that Trump didn't take the usual 300M plus for his transition team from the US govt. Their money their rules re: how done, what criteria they have to meet etc. So he funded it privately (has been since the summer)-- his own money-- saved the US taxpayers over $300million. They are freaking no control, no pipeline to who he is picking etc. It's driving them nuts, so like WaPo they make up stories and unfortunately some Simp posters fall for it.
Same simp posters that got us here in the first place.
Myself, the MIGA candidates make me think:
1. Since he nearly had his head blown off, Trump has found religion.
2. He cottoned to his favorite daughter's religion because it is a war religion, with the certainty of a war religion.
Just as Reagan was forced into a tradeoff with the Usual Suspects in order to end the Cold War, Trump has made a deal with the devil in order to take on the current Deep State. One needs powerful allies to attempt either goal, and they aren't going away anytime soon.
Everyone on a mission is fired by Belief; belief is what enables us to accept both hardships and self-sacrifice. This is why headwinds make belief stronger, it is self-proofing that our cause is righteous. Belief is like muscle.
As for Trump negatives, 'there's a lot of material there'.
Great actor though.
It is a massive improvement over the potatos cabinet. I guess Pete Butplug is your idol?
... and here it is, omnipresent and omniscient Yuri, shamelessly advertising his channel...
Which he is good at, both channel and advertising, so I don't see a problem.
I wouldn't know, because I wouldn't click his links, not even by mistake.
As for comments - if you like banalities and platitudes. He just is the person who HAS TO HAVE an opinion regarding everything and share it; some would call this narcissism.
Too bad, it's one of the most valuable standalone pieces here on Substack. I don't agree with everything, but he gets a lot right in a very thought-out fashion, and what's most important, he implores people to think, which I hold at the highest esteem. So credit is due. Comments are a reasonable way to expand the channel, they're not abrasive and you're free to scroll them by.
Since you are so nice, I will take your advice - thank you :)...
If he was any good he wouldn't have to come here begging for readers.
Then you are as ignorant as he is. Trolling other stacks begging for readers is a big problem for anyone with a shred of integrity
A tad hackneyed already, what?
There are almost no adults left in the US, UK, or EU. Adults will not be in charge of those places until they collapse.
I thought the Trump team categorically disowned Lanza's BBC comments?
It was information from an unnamed aide. Must be the same aide who told Politico that Pompeo was on the Sec Def shortlist.
" the unnamed aide " trick -- geez people 🤣🤣
>But there is no indication of that given that Russia continues signaling maximalist intentions of achieving all stated SMO goals, which includes the liberation of Zaporozhye and Kherson in their entirety—capital cities included.
That is not maximalist intentions.
It is utter and complete betrayal of Russia by the traitors in the Kremlin, for which they should hang from trees.
Nothing short of going very, very far west of Kiev suffices as the *minimum* requirement for successful completion of the SMO.
"Maximalist goals" would mean no US bases anywhere in Eurasia.
Traitors in the Kremlin because of your fantasy minimum requirements of the SMO or 'your' SMO?
Utter and complete betrayal?
What utter and complete nonsense. Go find a tree, go to the Kremlin and get the traitors and hang them. I dare you. Let me know how it all goes down.
Never has the Russian government expressed a goal of anything beyond the four new territories. Where do you get this fiction?
That is not to say that the other traditionally Russian territories might not fall into their hands, but that is certainly not a "stated" goal, nor has it ever been.
You need to pinch yourself awake.
>Never has the Russian government expressed a goal of anything beyond the four new territories. Where do you get this fiction?
Where do you get the fiction that the Russian government started this with the goal of acquiring those four territories?
The original goals were denazification and demilitarization, there was absolutely nothing about territory there.
Not only that, but then in Istanbul Putin once again tried to shove the DNR and the LNR back into Ukraine and even put Crimea on the table. For the latter alone he should be put on trial and shot for grand treason.
The four territories ended up being "the goal" simply because that is how far Russia forces got.
Had someone bothered to:
1) Organize a proper offensive in Nikolaev, with sufficient forces allocated for it, instead of the shit show we actually got (a symbolic smattering of armor and soldiers that showed up there expecting to be handed the keys to the city)
2) Actually carry out a proper initial strike that would have knee capped the AFU for good, instead of the absolute shit show we got of inexplicable restrictions on targeting
3) Followed basic warfare 101 and isolated the battlefield by destroying the AFUs logistics and the transport links with Europe instead of allowing all of that to function largely without obstacles to this day (because Ukrainian oligarchs are best buddies with Russian oligarchs, and both groups have serious influence on the Kremlin, thus nobody dared hurt their business interests by taking out the transport network)
4) Done a proper mobilization of manpower and the economy when it became clear it is urgently needed (which was in March 2022)
5) Not do a series of "goodwill gestures" (i.e. yet more grand treason)
Then the Russian army would have been occupying a lot more than what it did in September 2022
And we would not be talking about "four new territories", but something else altogether.
These four territories were never the goal on their own. And they can't be, because taking them doesn't solve anything
The war started because of the threat of Ukrainian territory being used as a staging point for a land invasion and missile attacks into Russia. Well, guess what -- the most relevant territories with respect to that threat are not the Donbass, Kherson and the Zaporozhye, but Chernigov, Sumy and Kharkov (you can add Kiev and Poltava too). You know, the ones that Putin has stubbornly refused to recover for a third year running now. So what he got was both a land invasion and missile attacks from those territories. What a surprise...
With much worse to come.
More generally, the goals of "demilitarization and denazification" still stand.
But you can never achieve these without actually physically occupying the whole of Ukraine.
Further, you can never achieve "denazification" without ending Ukrainian statehood and then ending the very idea of "Ukraine" as something separate.
Because by this point it is not possible to separate "Ukrainianness" from Nazism. Those things were already tightly linked by the history of WWI and WWII, now with this war they have become irreversibly inseparable.
Again, the "four new territories" does not solve absolutely anything. Worse, leaving things at that creates a lot of very serious new problems that didn't exist before the SMO.
Either Putin finds the courage to solve those problems, or he has to go and then hang.
How about basic stuff, like sending aircraft with SEAD loadouts, rather than assuming that Ukrainian air defenses would somehow crumble?
All good points, but that's why this conflict is 'special', not an actual war. Makes you question the motives of all involved and how the world order really works.
The goal of liberating Russian-speaking territories for the purpose of allowing those inhabitants their Human Rights of Self-Determination in choosing which country to join (or to be independent) is different than the goal of de-nazification, "de-NATO-ization" or removing the military danger posed to Russia, or whatever one wants to label it.
One goal may or my not geographically coincide with the other goal.
And there is also the goal of removing the weaponization (and Russophobia) of the political and educational systems of "Ukraine" (exemplified by the criminalization of speaking the Russian language) and restoring Freedoms of Speech, Press and Religion. The alternative is allowing rump Ukraine to become a Baltic-style viper's nest of Western-directed covert anti-Russian agitation and hostility - an "Estonia" on steroids, with a big army.
Kiev is 85% Russian speaking
No way, it was more than that when I lived there.
Most of the land west of the Dnipro has far more Ukrainian nationalists. You'd either have to evict them or govern them.
1) Do you have any other choice?
2) What do you think "denazification" means in practice?
Since you very clearly lack the intelectual capacity to understand it I won't waste time trying to explain it to you
Or kill them
Said by a stupid little boy that's never put on a uniform. Go sign up and show them how it's done.
>One interesting thing mentioned was that if the winter happens to be a ‘mild one’ then Ukraine could manage without too many devastating blackouts. And as I hear it from meteorologists, Russia has been slated to have a very ‘mild’ winter, which we can only assume will reflect somewhat in Ukraine as well.
That is how many "mild winters" in a row now?
Wasn't global warming an evil globalist scam?
Global warming is total B.S. and no one has a clue if the winter will be mild or not.
Meteorologist cannot even predict the weather accurately there days early so imagine a month ahead.
Don't get angry so quickly. Half of the commenters on this platform are 65 and older, and the other half seem to have significant problems with logical reasoning
Shut the fuck up. You are a goddamn spoiled Frenchman who despises Russia and supports Nazis in Ukraine, while your shitty country is ruled by a bad Napoleon impersonator and is overrun by third world trash. How are those colonies in Africa? Any new fires in Paris?
And here you are, caught up in another imaginary debate. You think I’m French, that I despise Russia, and that I support Ukraine. All three assumptions are false. You’re fighting with a person that doesn’t exist, a figment of your imagination. You should really consider seeing a doctor sometime. Or at the very least, stop commenting without proper thought. You’re ruining the experience for everyone else.
Or you are a bona fide troll, constantly repeating the same points over and over. Please step aside and let normal people communicate please!!!!!!!!
I'm fighting with a troll who attacked me - totally unsolicited - yesterday and bragged about his military "service" and work in some factory and then proceeded to go on a tirade about how shitty Russia is and how great the west is, despite never having been to the US and probably never having been to Russia. Fuck you troll.
It’s scam!
Oh the name calling brainwashed teenage soy boy. You so cool!
There are no centuries of evidence. Zero, nill, nada. There are dozens of models, who are now all proven wrong. Show me one model which predicted a temperature rise and I show you a failed model. Models are always just deviations of reality.
Climate is a chaotic system, as is weather. And like Axel said, we can't even really predict 1-2 weeks in to the future, how do you expect someone to create a model which is capable of predicting temperature rises 10, 20 or even 30 years ahead? You can't, simple.
And in this discussion thread I haven't seen one reference to HAARP or any other weather modification technology which is being used extensively nowadays.
Climate change is complex, and now there is acknowledgement that the activity of the Sun is far more consequential than any unfounded notions (it is socio/politically driven) of anthropomorphic CO2 caused factors.
Other planets in our Solar system are experiencing slight elevations in temperature - let's legislate to stop that!
They've adjusted the numbers to make it look catastrophic. See Tom Nelson channel on YouTube and watch at least a few minutes of the video with Frank G. Lasee from 3 weeks ago. He specifically pulls apart the real data and compares it to their "adjusted" data. You could watch thousands of hours of this caliber of debunking, though no one should need to.
The centuries of evidence clearly prove its a scam. The fossil record very clearly shows us that it IS A SCAM.
The geologic record very clearly proves its a scam.
The last several odd winters and summers are most likely the consequence of the subsea volcanic explosion in the Tonga area back in 2022 which put 40 billion gallons of vaporized water (the most potent greenhouse gas) into the atmosphere. This year is probably the peak year for those effects.
Also, they no longer call it "global warming", it's now called "climate change" because most of the model predictions have failed.
The whole global cooling thing was by and large a farce perpetrated by one article from Time magazine in the late 70's. If one read the research papers on climate from the 60's and 70's it is clear that the little blip of cooling was brought on by WWII and industrial emissions that were quickly overwhelmed by greenhouse gasses. Climate change is one of the reasons I'd say everyone in the West is stupid, not just the Neo-Libs.
Yes moron and once that idea failed they desperately switched it to climate change. You're as dumb as the potato in the white house.
Read "State of Fear" by Michael Crichton
Global warming is an absurd canard pushed by criminals who want to fill the world with toxic trash and pollute at will. If you were serious about environmentally friendly, low cost energy, there are a dozen alternatives that will scale, and dozens more suited to site use, not grid distribution.
No dumbass it's not. The warming period ended like it always has. That's why they dropped the warming lie and switched to climate change.
Global warming is not BS.
ANTHROPOGENIC global warming is.
No it's not warming. In 1989, 98% of the world's climate scientists signed a letter stating that if we didn't stop emitting CO2 all coastal cities would be underwater by year 2000. To make a prediction that far off is inexcusable for a "science". BTW, they're still building high rises in Miami so banks and insurance companies see clear sailing ahead.
You have to differentiate between propaganda and actual science.
"Scientists" jumping on hype train funded by people who have business/political interests in derailing the status quo, are perhaps doing science, but are not acting according to it themselves.
Meanwhile, the real science is correct: measured average temperatures on the planet are rising. That's all for global warming. It doesn't say temperatures are rising everywhere. It says the planet on average is getting warmer.
The same for "climate change". It doesn't say you're about to drown and boil in 20 years. It says the climate is getting more extreme, in large part due to warming - which is observably true and we're seeing the effects ourselves. It doesn't even say it's man-made. It just says mankind is partially responsible, but the size of that part is not easy to quantify.
All the rest of the rhetoric about global warming and climate change come from some interest groups, some more benign than others.
Nope. The same twit who got famous predicting that Y2K would make all the computers shut down started promoting AGW when his original schtick didn't pan out. John "H"-something...Hanford?
Al Gore's professor who taught AGW originally worked for the National Weather Service, and wanted to get a bigger budget for more weather balloons, so he submitted a proposal which lead to his own career of self-promotion.
Washington Post headlines in 1922 (!): The Arctic icecaps are disappearing, the Bering Strait seals and whitefish are doomed to extinction. The Arctic will be ice-free by 1930.
Who in this audience has even heard of Maurice Strong, CEO of PetroCanada, progenitor of the Green Revolution?
There is such a long history of political and propaganda chicanery behind the oil spies of the Great Game it would take volumes to fill. You are looking at the subterranean maneuvers of resource oligarchs.
You seem to have somehow responded to my comment by ignoring it in its entirety.
That isn't true, try reading some of the research, this is yet another strawman and not a very smart one at that. 2030 is when it was predicted sea-level rise would begin inundating coastal cities.
No, no, the headline clips from 1989 describing the sea-level rise of 2000 are readily available. I remember them fondly, it was all the rage. We were only ten years on from the 'odd-even' days of the 1979 gas rationing under Carter.
I am not sure you know how to read. The headline clips? I am talking about the actual research, who cares what the media says.
I sure miss Honolulu and South Beach.
Really, they should run...run, for higher ground!
(p.s.- the high-water mark posted by the Conquistadores in St. Augustine hasn't changed in 500 years.)
The absolute terror of farming wheat in the Yukon strikes again.
Was and is a scam. The Swiss keep finding things like old (4000 yr) forests remains as the glaciers recede. We've been here before.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/08/08/receding-swiss-glaciers-incoveniently-reveal-4000-year-old-forests-and-make-it-clear-that-glacier-retreat-is-nothing-new/
Let’s say the theory is wrong - nothing to worry about. Let’s say the theory is right. It’s too late to change the sea level rise by ceasing co2 output. It’ll take a couple hundred years for that to have an effect. We need a solar shield or particulates in the atmosphere.
Either way there is nothing to do and nothing to worry about. You can continue your futile whining and cursing at people, but you’re irrelevant.
Dear God, relax. The birth control is making you emotional.
Someone is lacking their transition drugs, xhi is probably melting breadwrappers to get xhir needed hormones.
Calm down. State your argument, but do just quit the personal angle. Yes, there is a very observable difference in the climate, and yes we are using a hell of a lot of hydrocarbons a day - 100 million barrels of oil/day, add coal to that, gas. On top of that we added yet another 80 million humans, like you and me, to this earth and we all need diesel - it makes this shitty old world turn around. Gets the food to you from the farm to the shop where you and I buy it all nicely wrapped in see through plastic on a polystyrene punnet.
So, the earth is getting hotter....
Finally getting to the point. There is water on this earth, quite a lot of salty water and when it gets hot, at the surface the molecules get excited and evaporate. This is a proven scientific fact. That means that a lot more water ends up in the atmosphere, and when it eventually condenses it will rain a lot more too.
But, evaporation causes cooling of the main body of water/earth equilibrium and so the planet 'saves' itself.
Now whether this equilibrium shift is big or small or quick and nasty or drawn out and boring is anyone's guess.
Whether it is going to take the 8 billion fleas going round and round into account is also debatable.
And if you've read up to here, the terrible fucking news is - 99% of everything that has ever lived on earth has become extinct. Humans or no humans. So don't treat people and their use of diesel as a sin. Oil has only used for about 100 years now, and I promise you, it's the reason you and I can communicate. So choose your words wisely they fuck up the atmosphere.
This is probably an intern for the same twit who's peddling research into a 'vaccine' to keep cows from farting.
Some stellar PR for the Green cause, I must say.
How old are you? I remember when they were pulling their hair out over "the new ice age" back in the 1970s. They were actually more hysterical then they are now. Nothing to worry about. We should be celebrating the milder weather and increased plant growth. The levels are rising rapidly but diatom algae are converting CO2 into limestone. We'll have run out of hydrocarbons and minerals and nuked ourselves over that long before the levels could even reach a climate altering level. I remember when medical scientists and doctors unanimously wanted to ban breast feeding from 1960 until 1981 (when mothers put their foot down). Big brains are always stupid in at least one area, especially when there's a paycheck in it.
Never happened, yours is a strawman argument. This was spun off of one Time article. If you read the research from the 60's and 70's, nobody was predicting an ice-age.
Ah Sharkid - would you ever relax boy
About 10,000 years ago there was a glacier a mile thick where NYC was, and 20,000 years ago the sea level was down about 440 ft. 40,000 years ago you could walk on dry land from London to Denmark. So yes, climate has been changing, and will continue to change. And there is nothing you or I or anyone else can do about it.
Totally false. 100+% false.
Plus stop cursing.
I have to correct you here. First drilling for oil 1859, formalized by Rockefeller 1877 into selling the stuff not for cars, planes, trucks, tractors. Nope - lampoil, to light lamps. It didn't really become popular until machines got rolled out inbetween the two world wars. The last one ended 80 years ago, so we have only intensively started using oil for 80 years, maybe a century. Same with electricity- coal was burnt but obviously as a source of heat at home.
Not centuries!
Rockefeller saved the whales!
We didn't need whale blubber oil for our lamps anymore.
Yeah, but the weather is better then it's ever been in human history and getting better all the time. Extreme weather events are at an all time low. Some people just like to worry.
It really is, in a big way. Hurricanes, the kind not amplified by GE/DoD's Atmospheric Research Bureau, impact tropical zones because everybody wants to build by the coast. Long Island and Coney Island used to to have long stretches of sand dunes because everybody knew storms happened.
Hurricane Helene was like Hiroshima...it was the unveiling of a superweapon (directed hurricanes), just as Lahaina was a taste of DEW.
They're letting us know they can ruin us with a drought, a forest fire, or flooding whenever they want something under our land, magnifying our feeling of helplessness and their sense of power.
There us no such thing as fossil fuel. That LIE was started by John Rockefeller.
We have a global warming. Good. A global cooling would be worse. And the warming has nothing to do with Climate Hoax.
Ok, kid…
What I mean with Climate Hoax is following:
1. CO2 is food for vegetation. The 280 ppm in 1880 was times with severe starving in Europe- they migrated to US…We now have 430 ppm, thanks to our emissions of CO2. In a greenhouse you need 1000-2000ppm.
2. The Electricity Hoax will not save the Climate Hoax. There is no way you can build so many batteries without other problems to surface.
3. Getting rid of Meat will not hinder an eventual evolution with new Ice Age or Warming.
4. Why dont you engage in things that matters? Over-consumtion, all these girls using ”beauty products” with Palm Oil (destroying real forest), the 1% billionaries buying yacht and private islands. The pollution of air, rivers, land and seas of multiple chemicals…
And…why not discuss the topics int this article instead of virtue-signalling?
There's no point in trying to have a civilized conversation with something as uncivilized as "SharKid". Whether it's a bot or just a neurotic human, it's clearly unhinged and unable to have a discussion on technical matters.
We know temps rise and fall fast, e.g. Younger Dryas where it dropped 10C in decades. What we don't have is 100 year granularity about things a million years ago or more.
Imagine not realizing that is exactly what you did. Do you care to show any data that proves nothing in the past moved as fast as current temps?
https://coldclimatechange.com/carbon-dioxide-is-a-cooling-gas-according-to-nasa/
Winters have become noticeably colder here over the past 40 years. Is some other part of the globe stealing our heat? The 5 to 10 days of 70F or above in January have gradually dropped to 0 or 1 in current years. That's been an easy metric to follow, and it's doing "global warming" no favors.
Is someone paying you to TROLL Simplicius' comment section, or are you having emotional problems?
In Toronto, the last 11 winters have been really mild and the summers much less hot. I work in a aluminum casting plant and 10 - 25 years ago we were dying in here in the summer. The last ten summers are the coolest in a century yet most people are freaking out about how hot it is. And everybody has air conditioning in their cars and homes now. I don't have either because I don't need it but you'd think I'd know about the weather.
Well, these are the same people that tell you heat is somehow 'hiding' in the deep oceans, as if heat were a thing and not a condition.
The oceans are about to boil over, I tells ya!
I like how Obama got his Mansion right on the ocean for when it rises. Watch out for that glacier melt, wait a minute, it had the largest growth recorded since being recorded only two years ago. The United States has had the coldest winters on record in the last decade, snow so bad in Texas that it failed their entire energy grid. You are full of shit.
The Antarctic has nearly doubled in size, Greenland's ice cap is larger than it has been in centuries, the Arctic is growing again...it opened up for a spell recently, just as it had during the Colonial period when Hudson's Bay was founded.
Don't worry, I'll find you.
Off-topic…
Not so many people then living close together.
Great link. Thanks!
Turns out Mann's infamous 'hockeystick' of the East Anglia scandal wasn't even based on a single slope of trees, it was based on the rings of one- one!- tree.
Now as to the effects of vehicular carbon emission, cargo ships run on 'bunker oil', that is, used (dirty) oil. 15 cargo ships put out the equivalent carbon monoxide of all automotive traffic on earth...there are 55,000 cargo ships currently in operation. Yet the Green lunatics want us all to get hypertoxic solar and wind junk shipped from a rampantly polluted China.
Green means lithium and cobalt pit mines the size of Ohio.
Plus, the armies of diesel fueled equipment to dig them, which needs coal-powered foundries to build them, which needs more mining to get the iron ore to make those, which means...
Its being very mild already. Its mid november and Kiev is still over zero degrees Celsius.
Could the hundreds of thousands of explosions taking place have anything to do with the temperature rise in Kiev, I wonder? Is anyone studying this? The effects of war on so-called "climate change"?
Please stop this discussion about global warming. This is a discussion about the war in Ukraine and the fact that people expect a warm winter. Whether global warming plays a role and whether it exists at all is just not relevant here.
Winters have become colder on this part of the California coast over the past 40 years. The 5 to 10 days of 70F in January have dropped to 0 or 1 at present. Is it really getting hotter elsewhere?
Yeah it does get hotter elsewhere. I live near the geographic center of Europe.
A typical February 30 years ago had 0 nights over freezing point and during the day temperatures over 5C (40F) were considered unusually hot.
Last February, it was exactly 0 nights freezing (the town where I live had only a few days with temps lower than freezing point in the entire winter), we had a week of daily maximums over 25C (77F) and a day with over 30C (86F). In February.
Summer temperatures over 32C were considered rare and dangerous 30 years ago. Today, 40+ is not unusual.
2-3 months of permanent snow cover used to be a normal thing. These days I go to Alps to see snow.
And long-term, this is supposed to be the 4th coldest country on the planet.
Global warming is totally nonsense but the climate is changing. On every planet in the solar the system the weather is getting milder. Less cold in the cold season and less hot in the hot season. See YouTube channels CDN or Tom Nelson for wall to wall experts on the global warming scam.
Its not even a question of mild winter but Russia not finishing the job on Ukrainian energy infrastructure which is immensely frustrating. They just raised a few bombers a few days back and got Ukraine to shut down its own electricity (lol) but didn't do anything after. It seems like Putin is negotiating with Kiev again. The man loves his deals way too much and should stop getting in the way of the military.
I read somewhere that the military was frustrated from 2022 due to political interference that didn't let them fight the war as they pleased.
I think Putin, a moderate, is not exactly down with the idea of murdering his fellow Slavs.
That he can leave to us Americans and Brits, we're supposed to glorify our brother wars.
The weather here in Kansas seems to be the opposite of what is in for my friend a Russian farm lady. It's a semi-drought here, it's raining every day there. It's 100 degrees here throughout the summer, it's cool there. The planet balances itself...
Dumbass most record high temperatures are from the 30s. Those paying attention remember when this horse shit started these so called experts told us that we would all freeze to death by 1985 and the world would become an arctic desert. Notice they had to change it from global warming to climate change? Why is that Mr moron?
I suspect the deep state allowed Trump to win because he’s the most likely to start a war with Iran, and his personality is more likely to rally the American people for war, unlike Kamala
Trump will not start a war with anyone because he has a brain, unlike Kamala and Joe Biden.
Does it pay to be a foul mouthed shit agitator these days?
You are on notice….
Here comes the ban hammer
Trump Derangement Syndrome manifests in TDS(-) [the left], and TDS(+) [the conservative right]. Each as delusional as the other.
I'm eating my freeze dried rations waiting for Q to come save me. Don't call me delusional.
Im not too convinced. During the last trump administration, US-Russia relations worsened: Trump started arming the Ukrainians. Furthermore, Iran-US relations worsened during his administration, as he pulled out of the JCPOA.
Follow their actions, not their words. And pay close attention to who is appointed in the administration: that is what matters, not what trump thinks. Jared Kushner will be doing the hiring for the administration, and I think it will be full of Warhawks
Pulled out of the nuclear deal and, you know, killed Soleimani. Anyone cheering for Trump and thinking he's gonna right any of America's many wrongs is a retard plain and simple.
Yup, I can already hear the excuses. It's hard to make good excuses when Trump bragged about killing Soleimani, bragged about occupying Syria and stealing the oil, and other things. The only positive Trump brings is that he has as much contempt for certain US allies and leaders in Europe as he does for Iran and China, which makes him less likely to play the usual games the way a democrat would. But of course, he still loves Israel unconditionally.
In my book Trump can start Armageddon as long as he kills EVs and brings back ICE cars. I'm desperate for any hope at all.
They still make ICE cars bro. And he has Elon tailing him and Republicans have tried to make the cyber truck a symbol for them. Bargaining for Armageddon over battery powered crap? Talk about identity politics. Get a grip.
and dont forget he tried the Guaido coup in Venezuela too. However, Ukraine is different since it determined the Rusia Gate case. I think he may hit the Democratic party with that.
Trump was meek and compliant regarding Ukraine from 2016-2020, so I doublt anything will change.
Democrat party, but yeah
Not to excuse his past actions, but Trump indeed was saddled with "Russia, Russia, Russia," from the get go, and had to prove himself "tough on Russia." Even by now, you have no idea how many of my liberal colleagues still chant, "Trump is Putin's stooge, or Trump is in Putin's pocket," but when pressed for facts, they can offer none. Let's hope Trump learned from the past mistakes
I think Donald Trump Jr. is doing the cabinet selection vs. Ivanka & Jared.
That’s a very powerful argument, however I think it also goes to show some of the many tricks at the disposal of the Deep state: they can launch a propaganda campaign to make you appear “weak” on Iran, they can threaten to assassinate you, they can withdraw donations to you, and so on and so forth.
I have two versions of why the Democratic Party allowed Trump to win and did not challenge his victory, admitting their defeat. According to the first version, Trump and Harris are playing on the same team, so the Deep State does not care which of them becomes President of the country. According to the second version, Trump will be killed in the future, which will lead to revenge from his rivals.
The democratic party does as it's told by its handlers.
If the Democrars really wanted to win why would they have run Kamala and Walz, and on the issues of transgenderism and abortions?
They are on the same team, it's the side of capital. They just compete over what special capitalist interests to focus on.
"full of Warhawks" Amen. They'll just be warhawks trying to pretend they're sensible. For example:
Walz: "Russia is essentially a gas station with nukes." There you go, in a single line the man Trump picked as his national security advisor convinces everybody who knows Russia he's either a) dishonest, or b) knows so little about Russia he's going to "advise" Trump right into WW3.
We can debate ad infinitum about the USG and its moron percentage, but one thing I am thoroughly convinced of is that Donald Trump is not going to launch a nuclear strike unless told that the inbound strike on the US is 10 minutes out. It would be a total abandonment of everything about the world that he cares about and has demonstrated for 78 years.
No military tard or adviser is going to be able to talk him out of that.
I agree that Trump isn't going to wake up one morning and launch a first strike. But that's the easy scenario. The difficulty is that real life is not so clear cut. It's full of gray areas where suddenly one party or the other escalates out of gross miscalculation as to who the other party is or what they will do.
For example, a core fallacy that has powered US attacks on Russia is that Russia is fragile, just a gas station with nukes, so it would be easy to "bring Russia to its knees" (a bipartisan fallacy) through economic sanctions. Why, heck, bigtime support for Ukraine would be certain to cause regime change in Russia, so they told themselves.
The "gas station with nukes" talk is dangerous because it underestimates Russia's vast economic and social interests other than oil and gas. It leads to errors like "Well, we'll just blockade their ports and bomb a few more of their pipelines, like the gas lines to China. They can't do anything about that because they're just a gas station with nukes and they won't use nukes."
But then Russia could strike with conventional weapons and sink all of the US's aircraft carriers. The US would escalate from there.
There are many, many scenarios where the US, if it bases strategy on a foolish underestimation of Russia's capabilities or endurance, can cause an unexpectedly strong response from Russian. There are also cases where the actions of the US's deranged allies might attack Russian forces in a way that Russia responds with tactical nukes. The classic example would be NATO strikes on Kaliningrad. That will lead to open war, instantly, and once Russia uses even a single tactical nuke to strike the NATO bases or vessels from which such attacks were launched, it's got to wipe out the US nuclear weapons systems and nuclear weapons storage locations close enough to Russia for decapitation strikes. That means strikes on nuclear weapons sites in Poland, Germany, the Baltics, Netherlands, Italy, and possibly the UK.
And right about then is when the maximum Russophobes will be telling Trump that nuclear strikes against the US are 10 minutes out.
That's how a dolt like Walz could advise Trump into WW3. It won't be that he says, "Hey, Mr. President, what say we dust off the SIOP and empty all the silos at Russia today?" it will be "You have to show them you mean business, that you won't allow them to take Kiev, and that they have plenty to risk themselves, like Kaliningrad."
In retrospect, we should all have been scared shitless of (Dick) Cheney getting anywhere near the levers of power. He had made abundantly clear that he liked warfare before he got into a position with a weak President to facilitate it. During the first Iraq war, his time as White House Chief of Staff under Ford - I have to admit I didn't know enough about him at the time to be as fearful as I should have been. The guy is as shortsighted and foolish as Schleiffen was. And that guy even knew his plan was for shit and wouldn't work in practice.
The scenario you paint re: Waltz is not very believable to me. The guy (Trump) doesn't want to fight wars. He has no ambition to be a wartime President. . Trump is not personally weak like W was. I still can't believe we elected an alcoholic/addict as a President...it's a totally disqualifying element in a leader. I'm not even so sure about Barry given all his pot smoking.
Trump is undoubtedly an Alpha, which requires him to believe that his decisions are fundamentally his own. Waltz could talk till he is blue in the face and Trump is still not going to be willing to start a war. At most, he'd be willing to do something Soleimani-like, which was considered safe and turned out to be less so. But can you imagine Russia leaving an agent both as clearly flagged and unprotected as Soleimani was? I can't. I also can't see Putin responding to such an attack with a nuclear response, he's way more creative and sharp than that.
Attacking Kaliningrad is not on the menu for anyone. They know it's a sensitive spot for Russia and a sensitive spot in general (former East Prussia) so the threats are there. But if you think anyone in Poland is champing at the bit to be in direct war with Russia...
Still less I would expect attacks on the energy infrastructure of Russia. No, Waltz is talking about economic warfare. He even makes direct reference to that. These people understand their limitations and the "with nukes" part was vital there. That means we aren't attacking such a nation directly. These are sane people at least, unlike the current neocons in office.
I guess i'm saying your fears are _reasonable_ but not plausible based on my read of the situation. I don't blame you for being concerned given the last few years, though.
(edited to change sic Walz to Waltz - the second is the new designate for national security adviser, Walz was the bumbling MN governor running mate for Harris)
The vast majority on this site as well as most others is that they have chosen their champion and all things against that rule is bad. The is a whole lot of action between ally and nuke war.... but I don't think to many know that.
You're seeing internal politics, as you would with a formal Politburo.
There is a competitor elite backing Trump, the Thiel-Ellison-Musk technocrats who want to upend the Straussian neocons.
FDR set us up as a Soviet with his unConstitutional Agency system, so we're getting Politburo maneuvers.
Sundance over at Conservative Treehouse is putting out a series of excellent breakdowns of each position, it's a specialty of his. He has spent the last few studying the Committee and Agency "silo system" in depth.
Also, please understand no peasant revolution succeeds, nor succeeds without outside help, such as France's help in our Revolution or Tsarina Catherine's help in our War of 1812. Our competing factions are looking for allies, such as China, Israel, the Sunni Emirs, and India. We're getting into an Axis versus Allies scenario again.
Of course he has a brain, it's the amount of cells within it that is up for debate.
I think that when the dust settles, you will find a Trump cabinet filled with Israel-firsters (Jewish and otherwise) and China-haters. This is not a mix positioned for peace in the world.
Plus, Trump is a Jew and a Kabbalist (his words, not mine). And he participated in the sloppiest assassination attempt in history. Make America's Acting Schools Great Again.
Talmudic eschatology is more important then anything else in current events. They have to kill every last goyim and get an unknown percentage of the population to become hermaphrodites before their messiah can come. The unknown part is what percentage of global or Israeli Jewry believe in this stuff?
If you think this sounds crazy, try to explain the extent and staying power of the transgender movement (verses other recent movements) and the eye watering aggression and hatefulness of Jews out on full display for the entire world to see. Revelation says they'll be hunted down in the desert again during the tribulation. They seem to be building up a mass of bad will on purpose.
They believe they are the only ones that can make it happen because they're the chosen ones (it's a long, long story) and the Kabbalah is a witchcraft book of tools to make it happen (alter things in heaven through their worldy actions).
Yes, 'Tikkun Olam' does not mean "fix the world."
Its literal translations is "to change Reality."
(The Christians don't understand that their entire Book is a political chronicle of a race war, with each side eventually imagining itself and identifying as the other. The Habiru imagined they were conquest Aryans, the Puritans then imagined themselves to be conquest Jews.)
I completely agree in regards to the Talmudic messianic vision, this is the Sabbatean/Frankist branch at work. Since the Christians don't understand the esoteric style of Hebrew narrative, they don't understand that the coming of the anti-Messiah, the anti-Christ, is a political vision. The Mosiach is not some Carpathian Blofeld nor even a single person, it is a State, the body of which is the body of its people.
The Anti-Christ, their messiah come for the first time (since the Heretic showed up the last time), manifested physically in 1948.
All has proceeded accordingly; the immortal Tribe are sure to rule a world plantation of sex slaves, with Aryan Eve firmly captured by Semitic Adam; the Perfected World come at last as promised to the seeds of Abraham, since an Aryan Heaven is literally beyond their grasp.
The Hebrew God is not /our/ God, our Dyeus Pater, just as the Allah is not the El.
Thank you S for a gradual weaning off of Trump mainia he said this he did not he will he he will not
Back to the basics of the Ukraine war
No objective confirmation of NK troops in or near the theatre
Yet the propaganda continues
North Koreans in Kursk is just a hoax, just like global warming.
Not true.
@SharKid
A single person with a keyboard won't reverse 30 years + of multinational corporate funded propaganda on a random comment section in the next 15 minutes. Especially when much of what you are responding to is automated and you are only made out of meat.
Reuters is is a hoax-mongering outlet, reliant on their "sources say" type of sources. The remarks attributed to Mike Waltz reinforce the troped-up mind-set: "Russia is a gas station w/ nukes," which S highlighted in the screenshot above.
Also this--according to Mike Waltz, or at least 'sources' heard Mike Waltz allegedly say this, "We have leverage, like taking the handcuffs off the long-range weapons we supplied Ukraine. That will get Putin to the table."
Erm, well actually, actually, hasn't Mike Waltz--this alleged Mike Waltz, that is--been privy to VVP's plans for retaliatory action on OTAN countries who supply Ukraine w/ the technical ability to fire Storm Shadows, ATACMS, etc. into pre-2014 Russia--?!!?
If I know the retaliatory action VVP would take against OTAN belligerents surely this troped-up stage actor Mike Waltz knows--?!!?
Bizarrely, too, if Russia "is a gas station w/ nukes,"what governmental lunatic would give a proxy permission to treat Population Centers like Moscow & Saint Petersburg like ducks on the pond--?!!?
The thought process is nonexistent.
"Fake, distorted and manipulated info," as S says
Certainly the Dems revenge swishing the propaganda régime to full power
Additionally, as S reports, it may well be that the U.S. State Department will find a Salome Zourabichvilli for Bankova, or @ least an inspiring Navalny figure: a West-obeisant candidate to run in the "State Department's" proposed--allegedly proposed, that is--presidential election.
Here's the scorecard for Ukraine:
2004--Orangee Revolution
2014--Euromaidan coup [also known as Revolution of Dignity]
2022--hot proxy war w/ Russia
2025--puppet prez elevated & installed
Like the Visible V-8 toy showed us under a see-thru plastic framework the inner workings & pistons of the combustion engine, this is the Visible Regime Change: nothing hidden, everything laid out nakedly before us
No one finds this weird--?!!?
There's some intolerable dumbassery afoot.
I like this way of thinking and I know you must present Navalny as a possible 'icon of resistance'
But at the same time one must recognise that Navalny was early on picked out and trained by the CIA (the footprints of Burns are all over his sweet face)
And the very same will have busy been picking out and training UA equivalents
For Now this is the Time of Burns and he will succeed once again
As the Burns turns, G...
I'm 'all in' on Burns, and from now on will rely on you to watch and report on him like a hawk
And, If he succeeds in resettling his tribe to QTR, the world will recognise a new Prophet or Messiah
Burnsie has that T.E. Lawrence physiognomy, which in a Physiognomy-Is-Destiny sort of way may lead him additionally to do T.E. Lawrence things in QTR
Ok that's it
The film will be remade - he's got Blue Eyes like that brit?
He went to Oxford and he speaks fluent arabic?
He is the re incarnation then -even 4B's will be unable to resist him
Do you mean in the sense of him being a sado-masochistic homosexual?
You do know that was T. E. Lawrence's kink right?
Do you remember that whole scene where he got picked up by the Turkish security forces in an Arab town whilst trying to pass him self of as a Circassian? He gets beaten up, tied down, tortured and raped for a while and then they just let him go and he walks off.
That isn't what happens to foreign agents who get picked up by Turkish security forces. the torture and the rape sure, but they don't just let them walk off at the end of it.
That is the sexual adventurism of an English upper-class queer cruising the Kasbah for rough trade. He included it in his memoirs because he found it deliciously stimulating.
I'm not saying that the rest of the derring-do guerilla warfare, raids behind enemy lines stuff didn't happen. Just that T. E. Lawrence was one hell of an English queer.
@Gerrard White
Please disambiguate "QTR"?
Not so hard - it is secret code used to designate Qatar
@cheetosSpring
The whole visibility of neoliberal machination issue is only apparent to those of us who are driven to LOOK at it. For the rest, there will always be SportzBall™, whatever some Kardashian or other are doing & etc..
Nice respelling of SportsBall…..!!
" Otherwise, Americans are out of the way with Ukraine, and let them not expect that American soldiers will die for Zelensky's...."
Typical American exceptionalism on display, they will fight Russia to the last Ukrainian, but no US soldiers can be expected to die.
Right, those are reserved for the explosive escalation in the Middle East if/when….
I have to say that a lot of Americans are very confused here. They think a cease-fire is for the asking from Russia. I keep telling them no fucking way; Ukraine is toast, they need to get used to the idea. There are going to be a lot of shocked people when Putin doesn't meekly submit to Trump.
Talking with a neighbor Sunday, I was quite amused when he said Putin was looking for a way out of this war. I pointed out some of the errors in his thinking. Most here haven't ever heard of the Minsk agreements.
Some Americans would have trouble finding Canada on a map if it wasn't marked.
Hey now, that's Putler.
I taught U.S. undergraduates. You just have no idea, no one could have any idea, how truly stupid some of them are, especially the girls.
Hypnotised, brainwashed, individualist, careerist. No critical thinking skills. In a feminised Western society the girls are drunk on the Kool Aid. Hysterical mediocrity is how I'd put it - akin to the class of people Ayn Rand calls out in Atlas Shrugged.
Canada is off the charts in that regard.
I think much of it has to do with child-rearing practices. Here, in Latin America, some mothers (and fathers) have the tendency to dote on their male children to great excess, producing self-centered narcissists are incapable of having healthy human relationships their entire lives. In the U.S., it is the opposite, with everyone doting on the girls. No one expects anything from them, and they are commended for the most insipid activities. While spoiling of male children in Latin America is common, it is not pervasive. Treating every little girl in the U.S. like a little princess from the moment that she is born is ubiquitous in almost every family. DEI just throws buckets of aviation fuel on the bonfire of these little princesses' vanity.
Well put.
I think you point to the nub of the problem with narcissism; male or female.
Rather than bringing up people to think of others, to collaborate, to interact and build trust, the neo liberal project began around 40 years ago to break solidarity and trust down, deliberately promoting self-centered, winner takes all, all against all, individual shit and careerist stuff.
What could possibly go wrong?
Not as bad as the UK
I see what you're saying but the US is the driver of this shit. Having worked in both places North America is the progenitor of these ideas in collaboration with it's vassals; an insidious feedback loop. And if you think the UK is worse than Canada, you should spend some time there - not too long though, or you'll lose the will to live 😱😱
This.... THIS is mostly what we are. The US is no longer capable of producing statesmen and real diplomats.
True enough, but ever been to europe?
To tell you the truth, I never have been to Europe, despite teaching European history. Met a lot of Europeans at universities in the U.S. though. I will tell you more truth. When I was young, I thought that Germans were just the most wonderful people in the world: brilliant, diligent, methodical, and rigorous. I even learned German. Then I met a lot of German PhDs and grad students. Disappointment is not a strong enough word to describe my feelings.
Years ago, in Berlin, I met a delegation of Russians. Or rather, they found out to their surprise that I am an American cat. "But I thought all Americans are stupid?" meowed one of the Russians.
The Head Russian In Charge replied that not all Americans are morons. The true number is only 95%. In fact, there are people out there even more stupid than Americans.
"Really? Stupider than Americans? Who are they?"
"Europeans." came the response.
The Rancher/cattle metaphor is more accurate than not.
Ask your neighbor if he knows the word Goyims?
Gets depressing being at the neutral point of the Trump Derangement Syndrome scale & seeing that the spectrum has a red range nearly symmetrical to the blue range, doesn't it?
I think you're essentially saying people are stupid, regardless of their location or politics.
Waiting for the “love”… <sigh>
They'll get their share of dopamine once Trump leaves it all on Europe and proclaims victory for the American taxpayer. And nothing else is going to matter.
Yeah it’s funny….a coworker made a remark to the effect that The Don would just call Bad Vlad and call it all off….the disconnect to anything resembling reality is off the charts. At this point if they are living in delusion let em fuggin just stay there and out of my way.
There is no carrot or stick that is going to get Ukraine off the hook that I can see. I await education on this point. I have enough humility to know that I don't possess all wisdom and maybe there's something I am not seeing, some 4D chess move.
Likewise
Trump's cabinet is looking good already and will get better and better
No proof of Rubio being asked.
8200 seems to have nothing better to do….
LSD is clearly helping your analysis. Are you in mid-air at the moment?
If I were Trump I'd just say, "why is it my job to unf*** Biden and Zelensky's catastrophe, and deploy the US military to the southern border. If any democrats want to support Ukraine they can paypal Zelensky their life savings and volunteer to sit in rat filled trenches.
The best-kept secret of the western hemisphere is that it is not just the U.S. receiving all these migrants. Other countries are as well. Now, we can argue about whether U.S. sanctions or Communism are to blame, but that would miss the point. We have at least 3 Venezuelan families who moved to my small town, about 7000 km south of the U.S. Mexican border.
Nah the border should be closed like in every other country if you want to come to the US do it legally and bring something to offer.
Seems reasonable…..what happened?
Lindsey, too. Don't forget Lindsey!
Lady Lindsey was unable to be pulled off a pile of screaming twinks for comment….
Excellent idea. Many thanks.
I'd go further: all these cunts in the Western media, politicians, celebrities et al send them all to the front line and see how fucking enthusiastic they are for war when they face it's reality.
Some, such as Lindsay Graham should be sent to the Yemen to have their bollocks sewn in their mouth.
It seems to me, having negotiated a number of deals myself, that the issue of trust is pretty much lethal to any negotiations between Russia and NATO..In the oil and gas business, if you once prove that you can't be trusted, you'll be shut out of any deals for years...And the US/NATO have repeatedly proven that they can't be trusted....and I doubt that Medvedev and the Security Council, or the Russian General Staff, would go along with any such wishful thinking...
“Not agreement capable”?
Dear Sinplicus, no one knows whether the winter will be mild or not. The only thing we know, is the weather that has been.
There is autocorrelation, so usually if it started mild it will continue to be mild, but no one can predict weather accurately past a few days.
Maybe we can get Nostradamus on this--? He has been fairly reliable. Also I think an episode of "The Simpsons" made a prediction. Could check w/ MGMGrand & our friends in the desert for the over/under?
I actually like the approach of "I tried, but those unreasonable ukr/eu/UK said no". In the end Trump needs to walk away, and this is a pathway to get there.