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“The leaks are probably part of the process to prepare the US public for abandoning Ukraine”.

None of the commenters I read have suggested this but to me it’s the explanation that makes the most sense.

The offensive will happen (*) and it’s going to be a catastrophe, impossible to sweep under the carpet. The optics are going to be even worse that the retreat from Afghanistan.

At least that didn’t happen as a result of a single military event, one day the US were there, the next they weren’t and the US trained Afghan army disappeared without a fight. But this…is going to be more dramatic and provide hundreds of images of very expensive, burnt western materiel. The public has to be put on notice.

* or, as some are saying, it’s a way to help the US wash their hands off the offensive and start wrapping up the whole circus.

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