It's certainly possible, but I give it a low probability chance. Like I said, the idea that such leaks could "lull the Russian MoD" into a false sense of security doesn't quite hew to logic due to the fact that Russia can easily verify all these things with its own advanced HUMINT/ISR capabilities. Anything in these documents are things …
It's certainly possible, but I give it a low probability chance. Like I said, the idea that such leaks could "lull the Russian MoD" into a false sense of security doesn't quite hew to logic due to the fact that Russia can easily verify all these things with its own advanced HUMINT/ISR capabilities. Anything in these documents are things well known already to Russian planners, so making the documents go 'public' would really do nothing at all, unless you REALLY have a low opinion of Russian general staff, etc., which could be understandable.
But like I said I'm not discounting the possibility. I'd put it at 20% chance fake and 80% real.
Also, I forgot to mention that the FULL leaks which are floating around (comprising a lot of other stuff that doesn't have to do with Ukraine) consist of over 100+ pages of heavily dense, very difficult to fake material. So it's very improbable that someone would go all that way in expending effort to craft hundreds of believable pages just for this purpose. They could have just leaked 1 or 2 pretend pages if it was a true pysop.
As other experts have chimed in, the pages are extremely genuine in terms of the military signage, and to have that vast amount of them is just over the top for a psyop.
It's certainly possible, but I give it a low probability chance. Like I said, the idea that such leaks could "lull the Russian MoD" into a false sense of security doesn't quite hew to logic due to the fact that Russia can easily verify all these things with its own advanced HUMINT/ISR capabilities. Anything in these documents are things well known already to Russian planners, so making the documents go 'public' would really do nothing at all, unless you REALLY have a low opinion of Russian general staff, etc., which could be understandable.
But like I said I'm not discounting the possibility. I'd put it at 20% chance fake and 80% real.
Also, I forgot to mention that the FULL leaks which are floating around (comprising a lot of other stuff that doesn't have to do with Ukraine) consist of over 100+ pages of heavily dense, very difficult to fake material. So it's very improbable that someone would go all that way in expending effort to craft hundreds of believable pages just for this purpose. They could have just leaked 1 or 2 pretend pages if it was a true pysop.
As other experts have chimed in, the pages are extremely genuine in terms of the military signage, and to have that vast amount of them is just over the top for a psyop.
Could it be a Chinese leak?
Do you know where I can find the full leak?
Will you give readers your resume, with commentary, or the whole leaks later?