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Mike Hampton's avatar

Director of the Foreign Intelligence Service Sergei Naryshkin:

"Mr President, colleagues.

According to information provided to the service by several sources, officials in Warsaw are gradually coming to an understanding that no kind of Western assistance to Kiev can support Ukraine in reaching the goals of this assistance. Moreover, they are beginning to understand that Ukraine will be defeated in only the matter of time.

In this regard, the Polish authorities are getting more intent on taking the western parts of Ukraine under control by deploying their troops there. There are plans to present this measure as the fulfillment of allied obligations within the Polish-Lithuanian-Ukrainian security initiative, the so-called Lublin Triangle.

We see that plans also call for significantly increasing the number of personnel of the combined Lithuanian-Polish-Ukrainian brigade, which operates under the auspices of this so-called Lublin Triangle.

We believe that it is necessary to keep a close eye on these dangerous plans of the Polish authorities."

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Richard V's avatar

Stelkov is a bump in the road—significantly insignificant. What matters is how Russia does over the next 6 months—little else. And what matters, too, is Washington's assessment of the war. Will they apply a tourniquet or encourage bleed-out? If it's bleed out, proxies will bleed--particularly those next in line—the Poles and the Lithuanians. And would expect truly horrific terrorist attacks on Mother Russia. The main threat of a push toward recklessness is not nutty Strelkov and his group, it is the prospect of major terror attacks in Russia. The outrage will be well nigh impossible to bottle up. Terror (and economics) has always been The Empire's trump card in international affairs. The slaughter of innocents plays to The Hegemon's interest--provoking a reckless response. Kremlin, forewarned is forearmed. This path would be standard operating procedure if not for...yes...China. Shoot your wad with Russia, oops, now how do we screw with China? Perhaps The Empire will see that cut and run—“oh well, we tried”—is advantageous. Then the tap goes dry for Ukraine and the terror option is turned off. We'll see.

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