More of the same this week: Ukraine has intensified its drone campaign to carry out some headline-grabbing strike or terror stunt to manage media perceptions and keep themselves looking viable and relevant. A new strike on Russia’s Kresti airfield near Pskov last night was the latest in these efforts, not to mention continual attacks on Bryansk, Donetsk, attempted landings on Crimea, and many other such stunts which have no military value whatsoever.
And if that came from Estonia, it is most definitely not meaningless either.
That is a probing action to see if Putin will not react to attacks from NATO territory.
Given the non-stop displays of pathetic weakness and outright treason since March 2022, there is a high chance the Kremlin will once again prefer to pretend nothing happened, which will only invite further such strikes.
In today’s interview Tucker Carlson stated that he would bet his house that Biden bipartisan War clique will start hot war with Russia -- that they have no longer other choice against Trump but to use War Act
Tucker Carlson on His Interview with Trump, FOX Firing & America's Future
Simplicius - can you comment on the Rabotino situation in a bit more detail? I know it is fluid, but Rabotino being "gray" zone vs. a temporary Ukraine presence vs. a partial Russian presence, etc is somewhat important. Also the talk about taking Tokmak.
As for mobilization: it is far from clear to me what good this would do. Unless the West empties out its armories even more - i.e. going into active reserve as opposed to inactive reserve or even less ready platforms - what exactly will these 200K, 300K, 500K additional Ukrainian soldiers have in terms of gear? AKs with a single clip each?
Another fine report as usual. Russian drones are causing so much more damage than Ukie drones, there's really no comparison, especially in the front line region. The small mostly silent grenade droppers are the worst. Every squad needs to have at least one drone guard/lookout on constant alert. And if you have a vehicle of any sort anywhere near the FEBA, you should anticipate being attacked by a drone. And drone density on the FEBA will only increase given their effectiveness. Even those cardboard drones are killers. The Donestk weather forecast for September looks good with little rain allowing for mobile warfare if Russia so decides. Rabotino looks like a caldron in the making.
Russia needs to step up its infrastructure attacks in the west of pookraine before winter, give the poles a few million more welfare recipients to support.
It also needs to arrange an accident for that italian ship if that was involved in the airport attacks, and then say "it wasnt us". Also, send wagners one by one on a european tour and arrange lots of accidental fires/explosions.
Hi! Long time reader, first time commenter. If I may ask a question... Col. Douglas McGregor puts Ukrainian manpower losses at 400k dead. How do you feel about that number, what would be your number, and how confident do you feel about that number?
I am very curious to see how things pan out in Robatino. They must truly believe they are on the verge of a breakthrough and that they have attrited Ru forces significantly. Otherwise this makes no sense.
“If you’re next to an airbase for instance, you can fly an FPV drone from the fence outside of the base right onto a plane and blow it up then leave by car long before authorities have figured out what even happened.”
You mean that security could be so lax around an air base, that one could just drive up next to its fence, fly a drone into an airplane on the base, and leisurely drive away without even being noticed? Lol, I don’t think I could even drive into the parking lot of a McDonald’s restaurant anywhere in the US without being noticed in a moment or recorded on camera!
Is it possible that the US is behind the coups in Africa?
But, we might ask, why would they do something that harms their ally, France? Well, we could ask the same question about the Nordstream pipelines and the harm that their demolition caused Germany. In both cases, they cut off Germany/France from needed resources (including energy), weakened their position as independent powers, rendered them more dependent on the US, thereby ensuring that their vassal status to the US empire will continue into the future. Add to that the depletion of weaponry sent to Ukraine, and the mass hysteria over the "Russia threat" that Europeans have been subjected to, and we end up with a thoroughly captured Europe who will do whatever the US demands...including getting in a trade/sanctions skirmish with China.
They might also be trying to lure Russia and/or China into a conflict in Africa, where the US can more readily project power. The Ukraine war shows that Russia cannot be beaten in its own neighborhood, while simulations suggest that China would readily defeat the US in a confrontation in the west Pacific. So the only way the US can challenge them is to draw them outside of their comfort zones, and Africa would make a perfect candidate. China has made inroads into Africa, and has big plans. Russia, too. So they have something to fight for...but it isn't clear that they will take the bait.
4 x IL-76 lost is anything but meaningless.
And if that came from Estonia, it is most definitely not meaningless either.
That is a probing action to see if Putin will not react to attacks from NATO territory.
Given the non-stop displays of pathetic weakness and outright treason since March 2022, there is a high chance the Kremlin will once again prefer to pretend nothing happened, which will only invite further such strikes.
Thanks for this
Wouldn't you hate to be Zelensky?
NATO a will soon announce a no fly zone for Ukraine and a naval blockade of Russia
Russia will not dare attack NATO
Ukraine will be back to its 1991 borders by Xmas and putin in The Hague by Xmas
Thank you !!
In today’s interview Tucker Carlson stated that he would bet his house that Biden bipartisan War clique will start hot war with Russia -- that they have no longer other choice against Trump but to use War Act
Tucker Carlson on His Interview with Trump, FOX Firing & America's Future
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q89Rzl9J5v4 --- Aug. 29 (1 hour)
Excellent writeup.
Simplicius - can you comment on the Rabotino situation in a bit more detail? I know it is fluid, but Rabotino being "gray" zone vs. a temporary Ukraine presence vs. a partial Russian presence, etc is somewhat important. Also the talk about taking Tokmak.
As for mobilization: it is far from clear to me what good this would do. Unless the West empties out its armories even more - i.e. going into active reserve as opposed to inactive reserve or even less ready platforms - what exactly will these 200K, 300K, 500K additional Ukrainian soldiers have in terms of gear? AKs with a single clip each?
thank you so much for delightful ending - Prigozhin - my favorite Russian Character of all time -
I hope he's not dead.
"Ukraine doesn't release its number of war casualties — at this cemetery, the real toll is on show"
Don't see this much in the MSM. Still not calling for peace talks though. Obviously not enough pain yet.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-08-30/russia-ukraine-war-krasnopilske-cemetery-show-invasion-toll/102734276
Another fine report as usual. Russian drones are causing so much more damage than Ukie drones, there's really no comparison, especially in the front line region. The small mostly silent grenade droppers are the worst. Every squad needs to have at least one drone guard/lookout on constant alert. And if you have a vehicle of any sort anywhere near the FEBA, you should anticipate being attacked by a drone. And drone density on the FEBA will only increase given their effectiveness. Even those cardboard drones are killers. The Donestk weather forecast for September looks good with little rain allowing for mobile warfare if Russia so decides. Rabotino looks like a caldron in the making.
Russia needs to step up its infrastructure attacks in the west of pookraine before winter, give the poles a few million more welfare recipients to support.
It also needs to arrange an accident for that italian ship if that was involved in the airport attacks, and then say "it wasnt us". Also, send wagners one by one on a european tour and arrange lots of accidental fires/explosions.
Hi! Long time reader, first time commenter. If I may ask a question... Col. Douglas McGregor puts Ukrainian manpower losses at 400k dead. How do you feel about that number, what would be your number, and how confident do you feel about that number?
I am very curious to see how things pan out in Robatino. They must truly believe they are on the verge of a breakthrough and that they have attrited Ru forces significantly. Otherwise this makes no sense.
“If you’re next to an airbase for instance, you can fly an FPV drone from the fence outside of the base right onto a plane and blow it up then leave by car long before authorities have figured out what even happened.”
You mean that security could be so lax around an air base, that one could just drive up next to its fence, fly a drone into an airplane on the base, and leisurely drive away without even being noticed? Lol, I don’t think I could even drive into the parking lot of a McDonald’s restaurant anywhere in the US without being noticed in a moment or recorded on camera!
Is it possible that the US is behind the coups in Africa?
But, we might ask, why would they do something that harms their ally, France? Well, we could ask the same question about the Nordstream pipelines and the harm that their demolition caused Germany. In both cases, they cut off Germany/France from needed resources (including energy), weakened their position as independent powers, rendered them more dependent on the US, thereby ensuring that their vassal status to the US empire will continue into the future. Add to that the depletion of weaponry sent to Ukraine, and the mass hysteria over the "Russia threat" that Europeans have been subjected to, and we end up with a thoroughly captured Europe who will do whatever the US demands...including getting in a trade/sanctions skirmish with China.
They might also be trying to lure Russia and/or China into a conflict in Africa, where the US can more readily project power. The Ukraine war shows that Russia cannot be beaten in its own neighborhood, while simulations suggest that China would readily defeat the US in a confrontation in the west Pacific. So the only way the US can challenge them is to draw them outside of their comfort zones, and Africa would make a perfect candidate. China has made inroads into Africa, and has big plans. Russia, too. So they have something to fight for...but it isn't clear that they will take the bait.
Anyways maybe a possibility...
So they flew a swarm of ~20 drones for 600km over Russian territory at ~100ft altitude and nobody heard them flying over?
Oh FFS. The Mittens video made me want to vomit.