The most exigent matter on the table is once again the brewing Zaporozhye plant showdown. It’s now believed by some that Zelensky is planning to carry out the ZNPP falseflag in the next few days on the eve of the big NATO summit in Vilnius, which is on July 12. The purpose would be to galvanize the NATO members and shape the entire policy discussion of the summit around Ukraine and the “nuclear disaster”.
Extreme desperation really dull a man's senses. It seems the Russians know exactly what the Ukrainians will do well in advance. Sure, they will dump some radioactive waste and NATO MSM will go into massive propaganda action. They will rattle in their cages, trying to trick a world that is fully awake and aware of these antics. The Russians will likely stop most if not all the attack. Then what? This is not going to move the needle in any way. Inevitability will rear its pristine, clean shaven head again.
thanks simplicius... i am not sure the false flag is going to pan out.. i kind of doubt it.. not much has panned out for the neo nazis who run and support ukraine at this point.. eventually they are going to run out of scare tactics and their nato friends are going to have to walk away from this mess they have created for themselves and everyone else..
The nuclear threat has come and gone, but the SMO show continues to ratchet things up. No great climax comes without plenty of buildup, and so we wait to see how things pan out.
While in most cases it is recommended to provide closure to storylines, the tenterhooks are there to tide us over while the props and special effects department do their work.
I've said this here before and been attacked, but I'm going to say it again: Russia should've pushed the Ukuleles much further west, as far away from the nuclear plant as possible. This way, the Ukus would have to act much more conspicuously, with much larger, longer-range missiles, to hit it.
It's another result of Russia going too slowly; the Ukuleles are still way too close to the nuclear plant and in a position to do something sneaky that they can blame on the Russians.
The longer Russia takes, the more time and opportunity they've given NATO/US/Ukulele to cause havoc with small strikes that do big damage, such as the dam, as well as give them grist for their propaganda mills. This is regardless of how many Ukulele soldiers and NATO equipment the Russians have taken out - I don't want to hear "the Russians are grinding them down!" argument anymore.
It seems to me the true goal is to deprive the Russians of the valuable power produced by the plant. This shows that the Ukrs have given up on ever retaking the place. It implies they might also destroy oil refineries and so forth.
on manufacturing stinger manpads more than 20 years ‘out of production’. Some observations:
that would be 4 or 5 generations of chip set!
why not manufacture one of the past 3 generation stinger?
production difficulties: where buy chips? where are the fabrication machines, tools, jigs, and process sheets, where are skilled techs, and where are testers to assure quality?
I think stinger is not useful in any order of battle, nato or other
One of the issues with allowing conflicts to last a long time are "board clearing" moves or reshuffling the deck midgame. It's pretty clear that the AFU doesn't have a winning hand so the plan is to stall the game until NATO can force a reshuffle of the cards and hope for a better hand. This spy thriller novel action at the power plant is an attempt at that. I'd be shocked if Russia hasn't already taken steps or has a response waiting. As for a Russian offensive, Kharkov and Sumy make sense as from a Russia VS NATO perspective pushing the Ukraine border away from Moscow would be priority 1 with a second priority being Denying NATO access to the black sea. Which would mean taking Odessa.
Military aged men in the propaganda photos!! I smell a White Helmet Production courtesy of MI-6. I imagine a great density of AD is in proximity to ZNPP. And if Zelensky/CIA/MI-6 did such a thing, how safe would the NATO meeting in Vilnius be? Russia has said it will respond to any such nuclear terrorism decisively. Russia recently launched more ISR type satellites and would have as many "eyes" open as it can. The RoW will know who to believe. Plus, NATO's already at war with Russia, so NATO better understand what it might get as a result.
Wagner was Nationalized, and many Russians have applauded that move. I recently wrote about Natural Monopolies, National Security being one that clearly isn't in NATO and most other nations. Even Russia isn't 100% in that regard. IMO, ALL natural monopolies ought to be Public Utilities, and that includes almost everything related to what human society needs to operate. Once upon a time in human history, that's the way it was. One of the reasons the world's so fucked-up is due to that mode of social organization being usurped. But that's a subject for me to write about once I get my Substack organized. It will be named Karlof1"s Geopolitical Gymnasium and is very unlikely to discuss Russia's SMO like Simplicius does. It'll deal with Big Picture issues as the Multipolar World comes into focus.
Psychopaths are pushing for nuclear war. Pray that they fail and people see through the false narrative.
Skimmed through the post. No mention AFU are still occupying that position at the left side of the Antonov bridge, even after the missile strike.
Extreme desperation really dull a man's senses. It seems the Russians know exactly what the Ukrainians will do well in advance. Sure, they will dump some radioactive waste and NATO MSM will go into massive propaganda action. They will rattle in their cages, trying to trick a world that is fully awake and aware of these antics. The Russians will likely stop most if not all the attack. Then what? This is not going to move the needle in any way. Inevitability will rear its pristine, clean shaven head again.
Of course Ukraine is planning a false flag at ZNPP.
The question is - what does Russia propose to do about it?
I agree Feral. Is it likely Russia has no plan to derail the ZNPP plan?
thanks simplicius... i am not sure the false flag is going to pan out.. i kind of doubt it.. not much has panned out for the neo nazis who run and support ukraine at this point.. eventually they are going to run out of scare tactics and their nato friends are going to have to walk away from this mess they have created for themselves and everyone else..
The nuclear threat has come and gone, but the SMO show continues to ratchet things up. No great climax comes without plenty of buildup, and so we wait to see how things pan out.
While in most cases it is recommended to provide closure to storylines, the tenterhooks are there to tide us over while the props and special effects department do their work.
Flowers. How remarkably civilized.
The ZNPP wind forecast changes from blowing west until Friday to blowing south on Saturday.
Just putting that out there...
I've said this here before and been attacked, but I'm going to say it again: Russia should've pushed the Ukuleles much further west, as far away from the nuclear plant as possible. This way, the Ukus would have to act much more conspicuously, with much larger, longer-range missiles, to hit it.
It's another result of Russia going too slowly; the Ukuleles are still way too close to the nuclear plant and in a position to do something sneaky that they can blame on the Russians.
The longer Russia takes, the more time and opportunity they've given NATO/US/Ukulele to cause havoc with small strikes that do big damage, such as the dam, as well as give them grist for their propaganda mills. This is regardless of how many Ukulele soldiers and NATO equipment the Russians have taken out - I don't want to hear "the Russians are grinding them down!" argument anymore.
Russia needs to drop the hammer, pronto.
It seems to me the true goal is to deprive the Russians of the valuable power produced by the plant. This shows that the Ukrs have given up on ever retaking the place. It implies they might also destroy oil refineries and so forth.
on manufacturing stinger manpads more than 20 years ‘out of production’. Some observations:
that would be 4 or 5 generations of chip set!
why not manufacture one of the past 3 generation stinger?
production difficulties: where buy chips? where are the fabrication machines, tools, jigs, and process sheets, where are skilled techs, and where are testers to assure quality?
I think stinger is not useful in any order of battle, nato or other
Didn't Russia already say: "If you blow up the npp we'll nuke your ass"?
Edit: Lol Simplicius is definitely American as he uses m/d/y
One of the issues with allowing conflicts to last a long time are "board clearing" moves or reshuffling the deck midgame. It's pretty clear that the AFU doesn't have a winning hand so the plan is to stall the game until NATO can force a reshuffle of the cards and hope for a better hand. This spy thriller novel action at the power plant is an attempt at that. I'd be shocked if Russia hasn't already taken steps or has a response waiting. As for a Russian offensive, Kharkov and Sumy make sense as from a Russia VS NATO perspective pushing the Ukraine border away from Moscow would be priority 1 with a second priority being Denying NATO access to the black sea. Which would mean taking Odessa.
Military aged men in the propaganda photos!! I smell a White Helmet Production courtesy of MI-6. I imagine a great density of AD is in proximity to ZNPP. And if Zelensky/CIA/MI-6 did such a thing, how safe would the NATO meeting in Vilnius be? Russia has said it will respond to any such nuclear terrorism decisively. Russia recently launched more ISR type satellites and would have as many "eyes" open as it can. The RoW will know who to believe. Plus, NATO's already at war with Russia, so NATO better understand what it might get as a result.
Wagner was Nationalized, and many Russians have applauded that move. I recently wrote about Natural Monopolies, National Security being one that clearly isn't in NATO and most other nations. Even Russia isn't 100% in that regard. IMO, ALL natural monopolies ought to be Public Utilities, and that includes almost everything related to what human society needs to operate. Once upon a time in human history, that's the way it was. One of the reasons the world's so fucked-up is due to that mode of social organization being usurped. But that's a subject for me to write about once I get my Substack organized. It will be named Karlof1"s Geopolitical Gymnasium and is very unlikely to discuss Russia's SMO like Simplicius does. It'll deal with Big Picture issues as the Multipolar World comes into focus.