Line up a battalion of tanks and SPH on the other shore across the ZNPP.
Rush a battalion across in BMP2/MTLB/BV206S/CV90 in a staggered fashion, identified targets are blasted by direct fire. Fire some mine snakes. Could work.
Of course this is pure speculation but having the approach pre-registered with artillery units...ATGMs on the (former) shore and Aligators laying in wait might deter such a rush....
I've been on a drained reservoir bottom in an agricultural area. The silt that settles after running off the fields/out of feed lots & etc. is a malodorous, often "thixotropic" gumbo. Wheeled or tracked vehicles are not passing easily if at all. Troops on foot may not even need to be buried.
Fast attack hovercraft or balloon tire amphibious ATVs are the only effective transport over such surfaces and the ATV is too slow/unarmored .
Mud from an extended rainy season is one thing. But mud from being submerged under water for decades is quite another. The ground is literally saturated, meters down. Bigfoot might make it across, but maybe not.
Lots of people with no practical experience in various soil types with tracked vehicles. The Total Weight over the track contact to the ground (pounds per square inch) and grouser type (self cleaning or bog cloggers) determine whether (if) you get to move, at all.
It would be unusually dumb to try to cross the wet, bog reservoir bed without understanding what the ground would support. But, fair enough, Ukraine was dumb enough to get egged on by the USSA to pick a fight with Mike Tyson in his prime.
Only the very lightest Low Ground Pressure tracked vehicles would possibly travel over the silt of a drained Reservoir. 100 stuck tracked APC's would be a mass execution.
Yes. Tracked vehicles get stuck on silt, clay, sand, even gravel.
Assuming the Russians wish to defend the ZNPP, they have reinforced the area. It's very unlikely an assault across an open expanse - down into the river bottom and back up the slope - even at night is going to succeed.
The Russians are no doubt busy preregistering all the reasonable lanes of approach. It would be an ideal place to use thermobaric/flamethrower systems which work just as well against armor as they do against squishy things.
My current hypothesis is that all the brigades formed for the grand offensive are actually undermanned, perhaps significantly. The dam had to go because if the VSU drew on forces from Kherson/Nikolaev to reinforce the offensive, then Kherson would be very vulnerable to a Russian counter. (Whether the destruction was explosive or purposely overtopping the weakened structure is immaterial.) As noted in the post there was a lot of movement, and it was almost immediately after the dam failed.
I don’t see Kiev or DC being bothered by the idea of clearing minefields with conscript infantry, so I suspect that if it was available in human wave quantities, they would do it. This is a big deal because a victory is desperately needed.
I am not suggesting there’s no reserves nor that the offensive won’t have successes. They’re desperately needed. Only that Kiev and DC lie, they’re probably lying badly about how many troops there are, western trained, etc. and especially when it comes to effectiveness. 30,000 dudes grabbed off the street and given half-assed, accelerated training in Europe is not - necessarily - an effective fighting force.
All of the convicts that have finished training so far have been recruited to Wagners, which has its own training regimen that is much shorter (I think 4 weeks) compared to regular army. Wagners uses a system of on-going training in short stretches. The new convicts signing contracts to the regular Russian Army will undergo normal training - same as all other soldiers. The exact length will depend on if the convict had finished their conscript (1-year) service previously, and how much time has elapsed since they were discharged from their last conscript/contract service (same as anyone else).
Recruited to Wagners, or made to go to Wagners? If they finish out the military contract are they free to go back into society? Are their criminal charges expunged? I know zero about any of it, but find it interesting.
Recruited. Half-year contract, and then you are free to go home. There was some fun video in Russian criminal news about some ex-convict dude who came (or was in transit to) home after doing it and was robbed blind by some whores while being dead drunk in sauna or smth. :)
No, their charges are not expunged, they are commuted. It is not normal to do criminal background checks like in the west, they are bureaucratic and must be done in person (likely involving lines to wait in and multiple trips). Only companies that are state connected do it, and maybe larger manufacturers.
Russia has much stricter laws in some ways than western countries. Assault attaches to both parties - if someone punches you and you punch them back, you are both equally guilty of assault, and it is often charged if it doesn't end before police arrive. The effect is that there is no beating someone half to death or kicking them after they've fallen like in a fight in the U.S., and people in fights usually don't try to cause physical damage that will bring police to the hospital.
Russia is very strict on drunk driving - you cannot drive the same day you drink alcohol, if you have a beer at lunch you cannot drive that evening, and it is enforced. If you are in an accident that injures someone, your blood is drawn at the hospital. If you test positive for THC (marijuana) it's the same as being under the influence.
Russia has a duty of care. I knew someone who went to prison for manslaughter. He and his friend were both very drunk, and he drove both of them between villages (so dirt road through fields in a very rural area). The two friends in the story got into a drunken argument and the one driving stopped the car and forced the other one out. It was below freezing, and the one forced out of the car died from hypothermia.
A large portion (maybe the majority) of prisoners in Russia are Central Asians (mostly Uzbeks). Russian drug laws are very strict although many men have tried marijuana. There is a large population of Uzbeks (and other people from Central Asia) in large Russian cities. It is very tempting for them to bring in drugs, and it used to be that that the groups selling them were often Central Asian. They are also often involved in theft rings and the like. Wages in the Central Asian countries are very low and they are allowed to stay in Russia six months of each calendar year without a visa.
yep seen vids they collecting junkies at the parks and stuff to fill the cannon orders . not exactly who you want to be covering your back but these be the 4 hr soldiers
See, that is the thing. The whole fodder thing is horrific regardless of side. It isn't like it hasn't gone on since the dawn of time, it what happens in war, but it is sick especially since the fat cat elites will never, ever experience the fear or helplessness.
I thought the same after the dam incident and reading that Forces are transferred from those locations.
Ukr might have realized not enough troops at disposal for all sectors of the front, let alone the especially well fortified Kherson region. The Dam gave them the opportunity to redeploy troops without fear of Russia exploiting it for a countermove.
Jun 16, 2023·edited Jun 16, 2023Liked by Simplicius
There are two kinds of soldiers in the Russian Army, volunteers (also called contract soldiers, because they have to sign a contract to join rather than being drafted) and conscripts. Russian men are required to serve one year, starting when they are 21 (it was 19 before this year). If they are deferred (medical, in university, or manage to evade) until they are 30 (was 27 before this year), their obligation for conscription is discharged.
Generally, volunteer/contract soldiers already have completed a year of service as conscripts. So the statement in the article that "volunteers in the VDV (airborne) unit doesn't make sense" is incorrect - it is exactly volunteer/contract soldiers who serve in the VDV. The special units doesn't take green recruits. There are rules about what training someone who goes on a contract with no military experience, vs. someone with a short period of time out between their conscript period and signing a contract, vs. a longer period out has to take. Foreign training is evaluated - if someone is Syrian Army, they probably are put through a shortened basic training designed for people with between one and three years out or something from their conscript or last volunteer service, and then job-specific advanced training.
There is a special program set up for foreigners to volunteer in the Russian Army. They receive the same pay as contract soldiers with citizenship (I'm not sure if they qualify for the enlistment bonus, which is substantial now). They have a special route by law to citizenship after they finish their first one year contract - they can pass at a lower level of language proficiency, and they're helped with permanent registration (generally meaning they don't have to own their own house/apartment, I think they're given military housing indefinitely). The VDV still has its own requirements for admission to their unit - there's no reason that a Syrian volunteer couldn't meet it.
I think the confusion stems from the fact that volunteers typically have gone into special 'volunteer battalions' and standard enlistment is not typically called 'volunteering'. That's just called enlisting in the service. So in Russian military parlance 'volunteers' are usually specifically referring to volunteer battalions however I do concede it's a bit of a semantic issue. I'm just saying that in most countries that's not how it works. If someone in the U.S. walks into an Army office and says I want to sign up, that's called enlisting in the service not "becoming a volunteer fighter".
There are much different standards for volunteer fighters and battalions in the Russian armed forces.
So no, the VDV don't have any "volunteer units" amongst them. But can someone 'enlist into the VDV'--well, yeah generally that's how you get into any service is by enlisting. Typically, conscripts serve their conscription and many of them decide they want a military career then choose to enlist for a contract at the end of their conscription.
The other big difference is that to officially ENLIST in the Russian armed forces you have to be a citizen of the country. Whereas you can 'volunteer' into a volunteer battalion in the Donbass somewhere as a foreigner. If those Syrians don't have Russian passports then I don't see how they can be volunteers in the VDV, to me that's not really possible--but who knows, I've been wrong before.
Also, I should say that the proof to what I say is the fact that Putin just signed the new law as everyone knows, which obliges all 'volunteer fighters' to sign a contract with the Russian MOD, i.e. to officially be 'enlisted'. This proves that "volunteer fighters" and "enlisted fighters" is not the same thing and doesn't have the same standard. Volunteer fighters are NOT officially part of the Russian Armed Forces, at least previously. Now as per Putin's new law they are forced to sign the contract and officially enlist but it's happening gradually to my knowledge and they've only just begun signing a few days ago.
Also worth mentioning that a "convict" is someone convicted of a crime while an "inmate" is someone who is currently being incarcerated, so you can't have an "inmate" fighting in an army, only a convict :)
It does seem like the rules/laws are changing rapidly and I had forgotten about the distinction of "volunteer units" (as a unit designation, and probably commanded by regular army officers). My understanding is that you can now sign a contract for service in the regular army without needing a Russian passport and be assigned to a regular unit - there is a procedure for it. I know a Syrian who has done it, he was a university student and had reasons to not go back home.
The VDV guys have a reputation for being... rowdy. They have their own public holiday and the police give their veterans a lot of leash. To the best of my knowledge, they select who they take into their unit - you have to apply from a different unit and it's both training and unit assignment. It's different than the U.S. Army where anyone can take airborne training and return / go to an arbitrary unit (airborne tab isn't connected to being in an airborne unit).
I think you're correct on your follow-up comment. Originally there were foreign legion units that were self-declared, self-organized, and just showed up on the territory of Donbass looking for a mission. The new law regularizes all of that and makes them actually useful, rather than being just suitable maybe for territorial defense.
It's wild sometimes how "alternative" journalists/analysts can get inundated with so much 4chan craziness in the comments. Sucks you are forced to deal with that. As always I appreciate the work and detail you put into these posts. With so much lying, rumors, and propaganda I really appreciate how you lay out the data and add your conviction levels on the info.
I was curious if there was any more noise about the NATO Air exercise. That kicked off recently correct?
The "neural network" (ML is the more popular term) thing is not a surprise. It does not require huge processing power, for example lookup image recognition tutorials featuring measly Raspberry PI single board computers. What it does require is lots of real world training data and they sure got those in the past year. The danger with this kind of technology is false positives.
With ML each object identified is given a confidence value, therefore you reduce the number of false positives drastically the higher the threshold is set. Setting it to 100% would only work if the target was in the open, perfectly aligned and in good visibility, so useless as a threshold in the practical sense. It will be trail and error as to the best threshold to set.
Also with ML, you can determine the orientation of the object being detected, therefore if you know the weak spot of said object, then the drone can change its course for an ideal hit.
Yes: Training the network is what takes a lot of computer power as the calculation of the neural nets weights and biases are mostly done through iterative back propagation i.e. you show the computer a picture you tell it what is is (it's class) and the computer calculates the values within the network to give the correct class for that picture. You just repeat this thousands of times with different pictures for different classes. The actual neural that does the recognition is loaded with the calculatesd weights and biases and voila; it "thinks".
The calculations of the final NN are simple calculations with no iterations, so the computer power required is not that great.
"new idea is to gather up large amounts of old M60s and Israeli Merkavas for Ukraine’s future replenishment fund"
The latter seems unlikely as today's report is only that Israel will export older Merkava 2 and 3 models for the first time to two unnamed countries. The IDF uses only Merkava 4 models, the only ones equipped with Trophy active defense.
Were there a real Western desire to flood Ukraine with modern tanks, the US Marines just completed a reorganization that released all 500+ of their M1 tanks to storage. There would be no need for more exotic approaches.
It's doubtful there is much enthusiasm in Israel to send weapons to Ukraine, given the events of the last 400 years. Certainly nothing like the enthusiasm seen (on YouTube) at annual performances of the Red Army Choir in Jerusalem and Tel-Aviv singing both Russian and Hebrew songs, including Katyusha. Israel is the only Western country that celebrates VE Day on May 9.
Doesn't make much sense: with all the internal turmoil and demonstrations in Iran (60% of Iranians now below the poverty line), a surgical strike against bottlenecks in Iran's nuclear program seems the most effective approach.
Very successful against Iraq's Osirak nuclear reactor in 1981.
Leaving for now the logistical issues, somewhat like Syria and Iraq, Israel objects, not so much to any supposed nuclear program, but to the fact that Iran exists.
Actually Israel had excellent relations with Iran during the Shah and that has continued with the Iranian opposition in exile and continues to recognize Iran in its current borders to this day.
Then here are a few others, all deriving from official Iranian statistics (Ministry of Cooperatives, Labor, Social Welfare), about the poverty rate in Iran:
But perhaps Iran's official statistics are wrong and all Iranians are living the life of millionaires, as I'm repeatedly told is the case in Cuba today?
I definitely remember seeing footage (maybe 2 years ago, R&U video) of Russian VDV instructors training Syrians in airborne operations. They were practicing jumps out of Mil Mi-8s. Russians training an air mobile ready reaction force was an important part of rebuilding the Syrian army.
It's highly likely that some of those men would want to be in on the big game, finally play in the Super Bowl as it were. So Syrian volunteers but also Russian trained paratroopers is a real possibility.
As for wider Syrian involvement I doubt we will see a formal announcement which would bring in unnecessary political complications but something at the level of the PMCs seems likely. Tiger Force veterans have done urban assaults but they also know tanks and heavy artillery which could be useful additions to "The Orchestra".
As for Assad's and Damascus' actual political movements, Washington has shown it can put pressure on Moscow by moving forces into Syria through the Gray Zone but Damascus also has that option too by moving forces into Ukraine.
Damn this 5D chess ! This game has angles that not even Pythagoras could calculate !
Yeah this might be one of them, I was actually trying to insert the video into the article but was having technical issues with it: https://www.bitchute.com/video/R3ABRaF2gsc2/
It's true I use "we" often because for some reason it feels more formal and "I" feels almost pretentious at times. I.e. when I say "My blog here was the first to discover..." as opposed to 'our blog here' feels more inclusive and less about "me me me". I don't know if that makes sense.
i sit amazed at the recent events , i never thought in this world we would ever be so candid in refering to ukro nazis . we all grew up with nazis being the worst thing in the world but here we are 80 odd years later and they are the pinnacle of western values we are told
Now they're called "controversial" instead, as in the controversial Azov Movement.
But for good measure, New York Times photographers ask them to remove those insignia before taking their picture for the paper. They still call that "All the news that's fit to print".
Have you ever seen the movie The Dirty Dozen? Great movie. Somehow I am not sure many of the inmates will become reformed, providing they survive. A psychopath is a psychopath, is a psychopath. I imagine once done w/their tour of duty so to speak they will return to their criminal crazy ways if given their freedom back. Not sure how that works in terms of a contract.
Not saying all prisoners are psychopaths, some are innocent people wrong time, wrong place, some are non-violent criminals, but them coming out reformed if they are of the psychotic nature, as better people? I don't know. I think that is a stretch. If you need cannon fodder using inmates is certainly a solution. How do you keep them from going AWOL? How do you trust them? I would guess the frontline is better than prison so they don't do stupid things. It would be an interesting study, no clue how you would collect the data or get interviews. I would like to hear from the prisoners and know their stories. Someone needs to write a book.
I love Patrick L. He is an amazing man to do what he has been doing for so long. I always worry for his safety. Yesterday's video was excellent. The man in the window was great.
Hardened prisoners make lousy soldiers. There is a high degree of conformity in the military. Most hardened prisoners are strong nonconformists. And psychopaths are by nature antisocial. War has a way of stripping social values away. It is important to maintain rituals of humanity and quite harmful to have someone who lives to manipulate or throw away such rituals.
The worst place for a psychopath is the battlefield. True psychopaths prey on their own as well as the enemy. Worse, if given any influence they tend to lead people down the path of psychosis.
War is bad enough. It is a hell made worse by the psychopaths.
There it is. You put my searching thoughts together for me, thanks. Psychopaths and narcissists are the most dangerous people out there, they destroy lives.
Was gonna say...they gravitate toward positions where they can manipulate people. Additionally they seem to want others to become more like them in order to justify their existence
Yup. That is a fact. Psychs and Narcs do travel w/in the military systems, actually they travel in all walks of life. It is best to recognize them asap, and either squash them or move on quickly. We have failed horribly w/the gov't., they tend to recycle themselves over and over to various positions and never go away.
True, unfortunately the actual psychopaths are promoted to political & military leadership, where they infect whole nations, Ukraine & Deutschland being just 2 examples.
Government is infested with psychopaths. Ironically, in the West, senior leaders in the military are political animals hell bent on pleasing civilian psychopaths. They have no moral backbone. That's not necessarily better. Senior military leaders are cowards, in search of power and willing to support the will of the MIC to get it. Perhaps that is a strain of psychopathy or something worse.
I don’t know how true this is but probably true Psychopathy is extremely rare and in military training that is professionally monitored it’d show pretty quickly without anyone having to point fingers. The nature of the communal lifestyle would be unforgiving.
I think jails everywhere are full of people who ended there because their unhealthy social environments overwhelmed them and recognise their behaviour is not up to scratch. By the same token a more fraternal environment guided by mature men and a clearly defined and idealist objective can reorient otherwise regular individuals who’ve done illegal stuff.
War is terrible but can give rise to truly altruistic and loving attitudes too.
I saw an Ukrainian video in Donbass Devushka in which a medic applied himself to employing tourniquets on all four limbs of a very badly (dying even) soldier. The calmness, the doggedness (you could hear the shells whistling over). Everybody in the comments dropped their silly tasteless “khokhols” rubbish to praise this man.
In short, if you experience love and you’re being cared for, however roughly, that’s a transformative experience. People are joining in after a very serious off-putting pep talk as seen in a video of Prigozhin months ago, he painted service in Wagner in very grim colours, the prisoners know what they want out of the experience.
This is spot on. Most people in prison are not psychopaths, and war is a better environment than prison (even if statistically more dangerous) for the reasons you talk about. It gives purpose and meaning.
Many inmates are drug addicts or mentally ill, the drug addicts once clean would make the best soldier, they are the ones that would get purpose and meaning out of it. White collar crime types might, but not sure they have the core hardiness it takes to do the frontlines, they would be good doing admin, but they would have to be watched closely, unless you go back to the fodder issue. Some people are genius at shuffling paperwork skimming and such. The mentally ill, not sure where they would fit in the best, depends on the illness. I wouldn't want a schizophrenic on the front line. Someone needs to do a documentary.
About 1.2% of U.S. adult men and 0.3% to 0.7% of U.S. adult women are considered to have clinically significant levels of psychopathic traits. Those numbers rise exponentially in prison, where 15% to 25% of inmates show these characteristics (Burton, B., & Saleh, F. M., Psychiatric Times, Vol. 37, No. 10, 2020).
I recently read “ The death of Psychiatry “ E Fuller Torrey MD 1974. His premise is that the whole premise is complete bunk. Some interesting points. Pregnancies are never a danger to a woman’s health. The bottom line in normal medicine drugs cure the disease which can be demonstrated by data. Not so in mental disease. Temporary insanity could be applied to any criminal but it became popular so the wealthy or connected can evade the electric chair. These so called doctors decided to use their influence to alter natural behavior to fit their definition of normal. Our whole society has become smoke and mirrors which will only change when true suffering and chaos ravages the country.
Simply not true. "Pregnancies are never a danger to a woman’s health." Here recently there have been numerous pregnant women dying during childbirth due to complications. I won't go down that rabbit hole as to the reason why.
Psychopathy is NOT extremely rare: contra to Natasha's figures (below) some of the other books e.g. Martha Stout's the Psychopath Next Door quote 2-4% of the population. Which means 1 in 50 to 1 in 25: that is *every one of you knows a psychopath*.
I would argue that "hidden" and "rewarded" psychopathy is higher than that: just look how politicians gain huge rewards for psychopathic behaviour - lying, cheating, callously hurting people. I would also argue that 100% of the current US government ministers show psychopathic behaviour.
Psychopathy is a spectrum disorder that can be diagnosed using the 20-item Hare Psychopathy Checklist, which has to be administered by a trained professional psychiatrist which yields the "1.2% of U.S. adult men and 0.3% to 0.7% of U.S. adult women" figure.
However, Martha Stout's (a therapist) book "The Sociopath Next Door" specifically doesn't use Hare Psychopathy Checklist data, instead quoting "Antisocial Personality Disorder" data correctly as occurring in 2%-4% of the population.
Antisocial personality disorder overlaps with psychopathy, but is not the same condition. A person can meet the criteria for antisocial personality disorder, which focus largely on antisocial behaviours, without showing core traits associated with psychopathy.
The terms “psychopath” and “sociopath” are often used interchangeably, but a “sociopath” refers to a person with antisocial tendencies that are ascribed to social or environmental factors, whereas psychopathic traits are thought to be more innate.
so you can abuse people up to the point of somehow affecting their behaviour to your gain, without beating or raping them? that's still a psycho, just one that doesn't want to go to prison.
spare us the psychiatric shite please, we know what we think of that "medicine".
Sociopaths? I am a sociopath, it was never my starting, nor end point in life, but society has become soooo narcissistic i want nothing to do with it. That does not want I want them dead, NB.
so am i non-psycho antisocial disorder?
spare us the crap from snake worshipper quacks.
western culture is all out 1000% "narcissto" these days, don't excuse it, and especially do not underestimate its effect on us all. especially when your 4% are running the show, and 50% of the population are paid by them.
"so you can abuse people up to the point of somehow affecting their behaviour to your gain, without beating or raping them? that's still a psycho, just one that doesn't want to go to prison." Happens all the time.
cannon fodder for dirty work, that is the psycho-contingent. or not?
unfortunately, psychos and their lesser counterparts, have MASSIVE self preservation tools/plans/behaviour. this may well prove a problem for Rus.
in context tho', did the west not reckon 75% of front line troops did nothing in WW2, other than act the part, but there is always a 10% psycho element that can carry the day, or get them all killed? plus the the other 15% who have motivation??
a lot of those prisoners were probably there for stupid stuff and not-life sentences, they'll be the volunteers, reducing sentence. the real psychos are happy in prison, just read "Kolyma tales", Shalamov.
Some of them will probably get a job with the WHO, ; )
Patrick Lancaster? i am not disrespecting the guy, he's been there since the start... but, but
listen to his wording sometimes... mmm, and can he not stop acting like an over-excited schoolboy in a warzone?? just saying, hats off Pat, you are there and I am not, carry on dude.
People often complain about Patrick's over-excited traits. I have no idea, I have never met him, he does well in interviews as calm, cool, and collected. Maybe it is just adrenals rushing in overdrive, or maybe it is he is a trained veteran and wants to jump into the fight so badly he can't stand it so that energy is part of who he is when he is out there tracking the war. He is going on ten years now of doing this work. He has HEART even w/everything he has experienced and seen.
I don't believe that most inmates are psychopaths, not even in the general sense of the term. Many just ended up in prison because of unfortunate circumstances. I think prison inmates tend to form communities with their own code of conduct not unlike military units. Many went into crime because of a lack of guidance. It would be interesting to study if the kind of guidance provided by strict military rules can have a beneficial effect on prison inmates. After all, the French foreign legion consisted largely of criminals from different countries. It isn't known that this had a negative effect on the effectiveness of the foreign legion.
Here is a perfect example of spam: the exact same post in at least 4 different threads.
Indeed, I commented on his "Nuclear Scam" post, then I realized he was just spammer wrapped in tinfoil.
Personally I would ban such posters on sight.
100 tracked APCs in a mad zerg would easily do it since there's no minefield anymore.
A fantastic PR victory on a nuclear plant.
Well done Nazis. You don't need a PHD to do it.
Line up a battalion of tanks and SPH on the other shore across the ZNPP.
Rush a battalion across in BMP2/MTLB/BV206S/CV90 in a staggered fashion, identified targets are blasted by direct fire. Fire some mine snakes. Could work.
Russia can lay a minefield a kilometer wide in about 2 minutes.
Of course this is pure speculation but having the approach pre-registered with artillery units...ATGMs on the (former) shore and Aligators laying in wait might deter such a rush....
Your speculation is near enough to what RU will do i think.
Are you sure the mud isn't more than 10 feet deep?
Then the mad zerg would be the equivalent of lemmings running into the La Brea tar pits.
I've been on a drained reservoir bottom in an agricultural area. The silt that settles after running off the fields/out of feed lots & etc. is a malodorous, often "thixotropic" gumbo. Wheeled or tracked vehicles are not passing easily if at all. Troops on foot may not even need to be buried.
Fast attack hovercraft or balloon tire amphibious ATVs are the only effective transport over such surfaces and the ATV is too slow/unarmored .
Mud from an extended rainy season is one thing. But mud from being submerged under water for decades is quite another. The ground is literally saturated, meters down. Bigfoot might make it across, but maybe not.
Lots of people with no practical experience in various soil types with tracked vehicles. The Total Weight over the track contact to the ground (pounds per square inch) and grouser type (self cleaning or bog cloggers) determine whether (if) you get to move, at all.
It would be unusually dumb to try to cross the wet, bog reservoir bed without understanding what the ground would support. But, fair enough, Ukraine was dumb enough to get egged on by the USSA to pick a fight with Mike Tyson in his prime.
Indeed.
I have collected shellfish from a mud bank in a reservoir that is normally 25 feet underwater; the experience even on foot was quite disheartening.
To do so with a multi-ton vehicle seems...contraindicated hence my query.
Send in the Caspian SeaMonster!!
Too bad it's in the Caspian.
But that would be something!
Only the very lightest Low Ground Pressure tracked vehicles would possibly travel over the silt of a drained Reservoir. 100 stuck tracked APC's would be a mass execution.
Yes. Tracked vehicles get stuck on silt, clay, sand, even gravel.
MudWrestling with artillery...
I think using artillery in mud wrestling is against the rules
Assuming the Russians wish to defend the ZNPP, they have reinforced the area. It's very unlikely an assault across an open expanse - down into the river bottom and back up the slope - even at night is going to succeed.
The Russians are no doubt busy preregistering all the reasonable lanes of approach. It would be an ideal place to use thermobaric/flamethrower systems which work just as well against armor as they do against squishy things.
They can remote mine the place. They also just blow dam upstream and re flood it. My understanding is this was marsh before the dam was built.
My current hypothesis is that all the brigades formed for the grand offensive are actually undermanned, perhaps significantly. The dam had to go because if the VSU drew on forces from Kherson/Nikolaev to reinforce the offensive, then Kherson would be very vulnerable to a Russian counter. (Whether the destruction was explosive or purposely overtopping the weakened structure is immaterial.) As noted in the post there was a lot of movement, and it was almost immediately after the dam failed.
I don’t see Kiev or DC being bothered by the idea of clearing minefields with conscript infantry, so I suspect that if it was available in human wave quantities, they would do it. This is a big deal because a victory is desperately needed.
I am not suggesting there’s no reserves nor that the offensive won’t have successes. They’re desperately needed. Only that Kiev and DC lie, they’re probably lying badly about how many troops there are, western trained, etc. and especially when it comes to effectiveness. 30,000 dudes grabbed off the street and given half-assed, accelerated training in Europe is not - necessarily - an effective fighting force.
This is indeed some genuine authentic frontier gibberish!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DNC3OciAF3w
How long and how much do the inmates get for training?
All of the convicts that have finished training so far have been recruited to Wagners, which has its own training regimen that is much shorter (I think 4 weeks) compared to regular army. Wagners uses a system of on-going training in short stretches. The new convicts signing contracts to the regular Russian Army will undergo normal training - same as all other soldiers. The exact length will depend on if the convict had finished their conscript (1-year) service previously, and how much time has elapsed since they were discharged from their last conscript/contract service (same as anyone else).
Recruited to Wagners, or made to go to Wagners? If they finish out the military contract are they free to go back into society? Are their criminal charges expunged? I know zero about any of it, but find it interesting.
Lies.
1) Eike is a known accelerated-climate-change denial organization.
2) Factually wrong. Winsor either didn't know (as an early nuclear scientist) or downplayed the risks of his beloved field of study.
Co2 the gas of life,
Very intriguing video thanks
So bozos drink the climate change scam...scams keep getting exposed under the roto rooter effects of Pluto
Recruited. Half-year contract, and then you are free to go home. There was some fun video in Russian criminal news about some ex-convict dude who came (or was in transit to) home after doing it and was robbed blind by some whores while being dead drunk in sauna or smth. :)
That is a fine howdy do. Wonder if he learned anything from the experience? Dang women. 😂
T-Rex, do you know the answer to ACintheW's question; I know they have their sentences commuted, but are their criminal records expunged as also?
Well, AFAIK, after the contract, you are being pardoned, and that's all
As for the criminal records, there are 2 possibilities in accordance with the law:
1. your pardon includes expungement
2. your record will be expunged iin accordance with an article 86 of The Criminal Code - it's either 3 or 8 years, depending on severity of the crime.
Prigozhin once said it's number 1 that's implemented, but there's little to no information about exact terms, so who knows
I posted a reply to the question to ACintheW. Short answer, no, they are not expunged, they are commuted.
No, their charges are not expunged, they are commuted. It is not normal to do criminal background checks like in the west, they are bureaucratic and must be done in person (likely involving lines to wait in and multiple trips). Only companies that are state connected do it, and maybe larger manufacturers.
Russia has much stricter laws in some ways than western countries. Assault attaches to both parties - if someone punches you and you punch them back, you are both equally guilty of assault, and it is often charged if it doesn't end before police arrive. The effect is that there is no beating someone half to death or kicking them after they've fallen like in a fight in the U.S., and people in fights usually don't try to cause physical damage that will bring police to the hospital.
Russia is very strict on drunk driving - you cannot drive the same day you drink alcohol, if you have a beer at lunch you cannot drive that evening, and it is enforced. If you are in an accident that injures someone, your blood is drawn at the hospital. If you test positive for THC (marijuana) it's the same as being under the influence.
Russia has a duty of care. I knew someone who went to prison for manslaughter. He and his friend were both very drunk, and he drove both of them between villages (so dirt road through fields in a very rural area). The two friends in the story got into a drunken argument and the one driving stopped the car and forced the other one out. It was below freezing, and the one forced out of the car died from hypothermia.
A large portion (maybe the majority) of prisoners in Russia are Central Asians (mostly Uzbeks). Russian drug laws are very strict although many men have tried marijuana. There is a large population of Uzbeks (and other people from Central Asia) in large Russian cities. It is very tempting for them to bring in drugs, and it used to be that that the groups selling them were often Central Asian. They are also often involved in theft rings and the like. Wages in the Central Asian countries are very low and they are allowed to stay in Russia six months of each calendar year without a visa.
Interesting!
when inmates run out hizbolah and hamas have tens of thousands of already trained fighters who can need on the job training killing ukranazis....
yep seen vids they collecting junkies at the parks and stuff to fill the cannon orders . not exactly who you want to be covering your back but these be the 4 hr soldiers
See, that is the thing. The whole fodder thing is horrific regardless of side. It isn't like it hasn't gone on since the dawn of time, it what happens in war, but it is sick especially since the fat cat elites will never, ever experience the fear or helplessness.
PRINCE, ...But tell me, Jack, whose fellows are these that come after?
FALSTAFF, Mine, Hal, mine.
PRINCE, I did never see such pitiful rascals.
FALSTAFF, Tut, tut, good enough to toss; food for powder, food for powder. They’ll fill a pit as well as better. Tush, man, mortal men, mortal men.
Henry IV part 1, Act 4 Scene 2
William Shakespeare
Is there anything Shakespeare hasn’t touched on?
I thought the same after the dam incident and reading that Forces are transferred from those locations.
Ukr might have realized not enough troops at disposal for all sectors of the front, let alone the especially well fortified Kherson region. The Dam gave them the opportunity to redeploy troops without fear of Russia exploiting it for a countermove.
a short term solution to a long term problem,sooo western planning.
There are two kinds of soldiers in the Russian Army, volunteers (also called contract soldiers, because they have to sign a contract to join rather than being drafted) and conscripts. Russian men are required to serve one year, starting when they are 21 (it was 19 before this year). If they are deferred (medical, in university, or manage to evade) until they are 30 (was 27 before this year), their obligation for conscription is discharged.
Generally, volunteer/contract soldiers already have completed a year of service as conscripts. So the statement in the article that "volunteers in the VDV (airborne) unit doesn't make sense" is incorrect - it is exactly volunteer/contract soldiers who serve in the VDV. The special units doesn't take green recruits. There are rules about what training someone who goes on a contract with no military experience, vs. someone with a short period of time out between their conscript period and signing a contract, vs. a longer period out has to take. Foreign training is evaluated - if someone is Syrian Army, they probably are put through a shortened basic training designed for people with between one and three years out or something from their conscript or last volunteer service, and then job-specific advanced training.
There is a special program set up for foreigners to volunteer in the Russian Army. They receive the same pay as contract soldiers with citizenship (I'm not sure if they qualify for the enlistment bonus, which is substantial now). They have a special route by law to citizenship after they finish their first one year contract - they can pass at a lower level of language proficiency, and they're helped with permanent registration (generally meaning they don't have to own their own house/apartment, I think they're given military housing indefinitely). The VDV still has its own requirements for admission to their unit - there's no reason that a Syrian volunteer couldn't meet it.
I think the confusion stems from the fact that volunteers typically have gone into special 'volunteer battalions' and standard enlistment is not typically called 'volunteering'. That's just called enlisting in the service. So in Russian military parlance 'volunteers' are usually specifically referring to volunteer battalions however I do concede it's a bit of a semantic issue. I'm just saying that in most countries that's not how it works. If someone in the U.S. walks into an Army office and says I want to sign up, that's called enlisting in the service not "becoming a volunteer fighter".
There are much different standards for volunteer fighters and battalions in the Russian armed forces.
So no, the VDV don't have any "volunteer units" amongst them. But can someone 'enlist into the VDV'--well, yeah generally that's how you get into any service is by enlisting. Typically, conscripts serve their conscription and many of them decide they want a military career then choose to enlist for a contract at the end of their conscription.
The other big difference is that to officially ENLIST in the Russian armed forces you have to be a citizen of the country. Whereas you can 'volunteer' into a volunteer battalion in the Donbass somewhere as a foreigner. If those Syrians don't have Russian passports then I don't see how they can be volunteers in the VDV, to me that's not really possible--but who knows, I've been wrong before.
Also, I should say that the proof to what I say is the fact that Putin just signed the new law as everyone knows, which obliges all 'volunteer fighters' to sign a contract with the Russian MOD, i.e. to officially be 'enlisted'. This proves that "volunteer fighters" and "enlisted fighters" is not the same thing and doesn't have the same standard. Volunteer fighters are NOT officially part of the Russian Armed Forces, at least previously. Now as per Putin's new law they are forced to sign the contract and officially enlist but it's happening gradually to my knowledge and they've only just begun signing a few days ago.
Also worth mentioning that a "convict" is someone convicted of a crime while an "inmate" is someone who is currently being incarcerated, so you can't have an "inmate" fighting in an army, only a convict :)
i would add that upon joining the military they become ex-convicts.
It does seem like the rules/laws are changing rapidly and I had forgotten about the distinction of "volunteer units" (as a unit designation, and probably commanded by regular army officers). My understanding is that you can now sign a contract for service in the regular army without needing a Russian passport and be assigned to a regular unit - there is a procedure for it. I know a Syrian who has done it, he was a university student and had reasons to not go back home.
The VDV guys have a reputation for being... rowdy. They have their own public holiday and the police give their veterans a lot of leash. To the best of my knowledge, they select who they take into their unit - you have to apply from a different unit and it's both training and unit assignment. It's different than the U.S. Army where anyone can take airborne training and return / go to an arbitrary unit (airborne tab isn't connected to being in an airborne unit).
I think you're correct on your follow-up comment. Originally there were foreign legion units that were self-declared, self-organized, and just showed up on the territory of Donbass looking for a mission. The new law regularizes all of that and makes them actually useful, rather than being just suitable maybe for territorial defense.
https://www.facebook.com/MilitaryForcesXXICentury/videos/399696194493058
Holy shiiit
Your content is invaluable Sir
What on earth is a Simplicius if I may ask
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simplicius_of_Cilicia
I first thought of this Simplicius
https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Der_abenteuerliche_Simplicissimus
It's wild sometimes how "alternative" journalists/analysts can get inundated with so much 4chan craziness in the comments. Sucks you are forced to deal with that. As always I appreciate the work and detail you put into these posts. With so much lying, rumors, and propaganda I really appreciate how you lay out the data and add your conviction levels on the info.
I was curious if there was any more noise about the NATO Air exercise. That kicked off recently correct?
doubt nato is dumb enough to try anything
The "neural network" (ML is the more popular term) thing is not a surprise. It does not require huge processing power, for example lookup image recognition tutorials featuring measly Raspberry PI single board computers. What it does require is lots of real world training data and they sure got those in the past year. The danger with this kind of technology is false positives.
With ML each object identified is given a confidence value, therefore you reduce the number of false positives drastically the higher the threshold is set. Setting it to 100% would only work if the target was in the open, perfectly aligned and in good visibility, so useless as a threshold in the practical sense. It will be trail and error as to the best threshold to set.
Also with ML, you can determine the orientation of the object being detected, therefore if you know the weak spot of said object, then the drone can change its course for an ideal hit.
Yes: Training the network is what takes a lot of computer power as the calculation of the neural nets weights and biases are mostly done through iterative back propagation i.e. you show the computer a picture you tell it what is is (it's class) and the computer calculates the values within the network to give the correct class for that picture. You just repeat this thousands of times with different pictures for different classes. The actual neural that does the recognition is loaded with the calculatesd weights and biases and voila; it "thinks".
The calculations of the final NN are simple calculations with no iterations, so the computer power required is not that great.
"new idea is to gather up large amounts of old M60s and Israeli Merkavas for Ukraine’s future replenishment fund"
The latter seems unlikely as today's report is only that Israel will export older Merkava 2 and 3 models for the first time to two unnamed countries. The IDF uses only Merkava 4 models, the only ones equipped with Trophy active defense.
https://www.ynetnews.com/article/hj7ygeyvn#autoplay
Were there a real Western desire to flood Ukraine with modern tanks, the US Marines just completed a reorganization that released all 500+ of their M1 tanks to storage. There would be no need for more exotic approaches.
It's doubtful there is much enthusiasm in Israel to send weapons to Ukraine, given the events of the last 400 years. Certainly nothing like the enthusiasm seen (on YouTube) at annual performances of the Red Army Choir in Jerusalem and Tel-Aviv singing both Russian and Hebrew songs, including Katyusha. Israel is the only Western country that celebrates VE Day on May 9.
https://www.jpost.com/Diplomacy-and-Politics/Putin-Peres-unveil-Netanya-memorial-honoring-Red-Army
Could be part of the quid pro quo for the war on Iran that Israel so craves.
Especially as part of the cope was that the US didn't want M-1s to fall into Russian hands.
Doesn't make much sense: with all the internal turmoil and demonstrations in Iran (60% of Iranians now below the poverty line), a surgical strike against bottlenecks in Iran's nuclear program seems the most effective approach.
Very successful against Iraq's Osirak nuclear reactor in 1981.
https://iranfocus.com/economy/49299-irans-population-is-poor/
Leaving for now the logistical issues, somewhat like Syria and Iraq, Israel objects, not so much to any supposed nuclear program, but to the fact that Iran exists.
Actually Israel had excellent relations with Iran during the Shah and that has continued with the Iranian opposition in exile and continues to recognize Iran in its current borders to this day.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/son-of-last-iranian-shah-to-visit-israel-in-bid-to-renew-ancient-bond/
Israel also had less blanket US support during the time of the Shah.
Iran Focus is a UK-based propaganda outfit with ties to the terrorist organization "MEK". They're as credible as the Kyiv Independent.
Then here are a few others, all deriving from official Iranian statistics (Ministry of Cooperatives, Labor, Social Welfare), about the poverty rate in Iran:
https://kayhanlife.com/special-reports/analysis-twenty-six-million-iranians-live-in-extreme-poverty/
https://financialtribune.com/articles/domestic-economy/115703/whither-absolute-poverty-in-iran
https://www.iranintl.com/en/202301025682
But perhaps Iran's official statistics are wrong and all Iranians are living the life of millionaires, as I'm repeatedly told is the case in Cuba today?
I was following a lot of posts after the beginning of this SMO…..now, I just look at some……this one is one of those few…. Thank you, Simplicius.
yes the wheat from the chaff. simplicicus76 is gold
Comments is like gardening, it requires weeding.
Great blog with amazing detailed content! Thanks for taking the time to create the posts.
Re. The Syrians,
I definitely remember seeing footage (maybe 2 years ago, R&U video) of Russian VDV instructors training Syrians in airborne operations. They were practicing jumps out of Mil Mi-8s. Russians training an air mobile ready reaction force was an important part of rebuilding the Syrian army.
It's highly likely that some of those men would want to be in on the big game, finally play in the Super Bowl as it were. So Syrian volunteers but also Russian trained paratroopers is a real possibility.
As for wider Syrian involvement I doubt we will see a formal announcement which would bring in unnecessary political complications but something at the level of the PMCs seems likely. Tiger Force veterans have done urban assaults but they also know tanks and heavy artillery which could be useful additions to "The Orchestra".
As for Assad's and Damascus' actual political movements, Washington has shown it can put pressure on Moscow by moving forces into Syria through the Gray Zone but Damascus also has that option too by moving forces into Ukraine.
Damn this 5D chess ! This game has angles that not even Pythagoras could calculate !
Yeah this might be one of them, I was actually trying to insert the video into the article but was having technical issues with it: https://www.bitchute.com/video/R3ABRaF2gsc2/
Yeah that's it. So you knew it, found it and linked it all in about 5 minutes.
Maybe you really are an A.I. !
He did go from I to We, who is the We?
It's true I use "we" often because for some reason it feels more formal and "I" feels almost pretentious at times. I.e. when I say "My blog here was the first to discover..." as opposed to 'our blog here' feels more inclusive and less about "me me me". I don't know if that makes sense.
I had a feeling that would be the reason, I know exactly what you are saying. I always visualized you being solo, but then again, one never knows. 🙂
If there is any justice, Simplicious alone with the US MIC shareholders will end this war a much wealthier person.
So 'solo' no more? ;)
Dreizin makes sure everyone knows it's his blog and Manny helps. I enjoy both.
A side note; did you read Dreizin's previous twelve thousand word long rules for posting in the comments?
Nope, wish I did though, must have been funny
i get that, saying "I" or worse "me",
mmm, not the right tone at all. serious cringe for those of us with a healthy ego ; )
But maybe you really are a russki AI? a happy balanced one, lol
I guess you like to include the readers of the blog into a community, hence the "we". As we comment and participate, we feel the blog is ours..!
i sit amazed at the recent events , i never thought in this world we would ever be so candid in refering to ukro nazis . we all grew up with nazis being the worst thing in the world but here we are 80 odd years later and they are the pinnacle of western values we are told
Now they're called "controversial" instead, as in the controversial Azov Movement.
But for good measure, New York Times photographers ask them to remove those insignia before taking their picture for the paper. They still call that "All the news that's fit to print".
https://www.racket.news/p/cover-those-nazi-symbols-please
Have you ever seen the movie The Dirty Dozen? Great movie. Somehow I am not sure many of the inmates will become reformed, providing they survive. A psychopath is a psychopath, is a psychopath. I imagine once done w/their tour of duty so to speak they will return to their criminal crazy ways if given their freedom back. Not sure how that works in terms of a contract.
Not saying all prisoners are psychopaths, some are innocent people wrong time, wrong place, some are non-violent criminals, but them coming out reformed if they are of the psychotic nature, as better people? I don't know. I think that is a stretch. If you need cannon fodder using inmates is certainly a solution. How do you keep them from going AWOL? How do you trust them? I would guess the frontline is better than prison so they don't do stupid things. It would be an interesting study, no clue how you would collect the data or get interviews. I would like to hear from the prisoners and know their stories. Someone needs to write a book.
I love Patrick L. He is an amazing man to do what he has been doing for so long. I always worry for his safety. Yesterday's video was excellent. The man in the window was great.
I believe I read somewhere that they don't take just any prisoner - the hardened ones they leave in their cells.
Hardened prisoners make lousy soldiers. There is a high degree of conformity in the military. Most hardened prisoners are strong nonconformists. And psychopaths are by nature antisocial. War has a way of stripping social values away. It is important to maintain rituals of humanity and quite harmful to have someone who lives to manipulate or throw away such rituals.
The worst place for a psychopath is the battlefield. True psychopaths prey on their own as well as the enemy. Worse, if given any influence they tend to lead people down the path of psychosis.
War is bad enough. It is a hell made worse by the psychopaths.
There it is. You put my searching thoughts together for me, thanks. Psychopaths and narcissists are the most dangerous people out there, they destroy lives.
You're welcome
Unfortuantely, those are the people running most of our governments.
Was gonna say...they gravitate toward positions where they can manipulate people. Additionally they seem to want others to become more like them in order to justify their existence
Government attracts psychopaths. Government is by definition an organization based on control. Psychopaths cannot resist.
Yup. That is a fact. Psychs and Narcs do travel w/in the military systems, actually they travel in all walks of life. It is best to recognize them asap, and either squash them or move on quickly. We have failed horribly w/the gov't., they tend to recycle themselves over and over to various positions and never go away.
True, unfortunately the actual psychopaths are promoted to political & military leadership, where they infect whole nations, Ukraine & Deutschland being just 2 examples.
Government is infested with psychopaths. Ironically, in the West, senior leaders in the military are political animals hell bent on pleasing civilian psychopaths. They have no moral backbone. That's not necessarily better. Senior military leaders are cowards, in search of power and willing to support the will of the MIC to get it. Perhaps that is a strain of psychopathy or something worse.
I don’t know how true this is but probably true Psychopathy is extremely rare and in military training that is professionally monitored it’d show pretty quickly without anyone having to point fingers. The nature of the communal lifestyle would be unforgiving.
I think jails everywhere are full of people who ended there because their unhealthy social environments overwhelmed them and recognise their behaviour is not up to scratch. By the same token a more fraternal environment guided by mature men and a clearly defined and idealist objective can reorient otherwise regular individuals who’ve done illegal stuff.
War is terrible but can give rise to truly altruistic and loving attitudes too.
I saw an Ukrainian video in Donbass Devushka in which a medic applied himself to employing tourniquets on all four limbs of a very badly (dying even) soldier. The calmness, the doggedness (you could hear the shells whistling over). Everybody in the comments dropped their silly tasteless “khokhols” rubbish to praise this man.
In short, if you experience love and you’re being cared for, however roughly, that’s a transformative experience. People are joining in after a very serious off-putting pep talk as seen in a video of Prigozhin months ago, he painted service in Wagner in very grim colours, the prisoners know what they want out of the experience.
This is spot on. Most people in prison are not psychopaths, and war is a better environment than prison (even if statistically more dangerous) for the reasons you talk about. It gives purpose and meaning.
Many inmates are drug addicts or mentally ill, the drug addicts once clean would make the best soldier, they are the ones that would get purpose and meaning out of it. White collar crime types might, but not sure they have the core hardiness it takes to do the frontlines, they would be good doing admin, but they would have to be watched closely, unless you go back to the fodder issue. Some people are genius at shuffling paperwork skimming and such. The mentally ill, not sure where they would fit in the best, depends on the illness. I wouldn't want a schizophrenic on the front line. Someone needs to do a documentary.
About 1.2% of U.S. adult men and 0.3% to 0.7% of U.S. adult women are considered to have clinically significant levels of psychopathic traits. Those numbers rise exponentially in prison, where 15% to 25% of inmates show these characteristics (Burton, B., & Saleh, F. M., Psychiatric Times, Vol. 37, No. 10, 2020).
https://duckduckgo.com/?q=what+percentage+of+criminals+are+psychopaths&t=ftsa&ia=web
Thanks for that Natasha
I recently read “ The death of Psychiatry “ E Fuller Torrey MD 1974. His premise is that the whole premise is complete bunk. Some interesting points. Pregnancies are never a danger to a woman’s health. The bottom line in normal medicine drugs cure the disease which can be demonstrated by data. Not so in mental disease. Temporary insanity could be applied to any criminal but it became popular so the wealthy or connected can evade the electric chair. These so called doctors decided to use their influence to alter natural behavior to fit their definition of normal. Our whole society has become smoke and mirrors which will only change when true suffering and chaos ravages the country.
Simply not true. "Pregnancies are never a danger to a woman’s health." Here recently there have been numerous pregnant women dying during childbirth due to complications. I won't go down that rabbit hole as to the reason why.
Psychopathy is NOT extremely rare: contra to Natasha's figures (below) some of the other books e.g. Martha Stout's the Psychopath Next Door quote 2-4% of the population. Which means 1 in 50 to 1 in 25: that is *every one of you knows a psychopath*.
I would argue that "hidden" and "rewarded" psychopathy is higher than that: just look how politicians gain huge rewards for psychopathic behaviour - lying, cheating, callously hurting people. I would also argue that 100% of the current US government ministers show psychopathic behaviour.
Psychopathy is a spectrum disorder that can be diagnosed using the 20-item Hare Psychopathy Checklist, which has to be administered by a trained professional psychiatrist which yields the "1.2% of U.S. adult men and 0.3% to 0.7% of U.S. adult women" figure.
However, Martha Stout's (a therapist) book "The Sociopath Next Door" specifically doesn't use Hare Psychopathy Checklist data, instead quoting "Antisocial Personality Disorder" data correctly as occurring in 2%-4% of the population.
https://duckduckgo.com/?q=Martha+Stout%27s+the+sociopath+Next+Door+review+Antisocial+personality+disorder&t=ftsa&ia=web
Antisocial personality disorder overlaps with psychopathy, but is not the same condition. A person can meet the criteria for antisocial personality disorder, which focus largely on antisocial behaviours, without showing core traits associated with psychopathy.
The terms “psychopath” and “sociopath” are often used interchangeably, but a “sociopath” refers to a person with antisocial tendencies that are ascribed to social or environmental factors, whereas psychopathic traits are thought to be more innate.
https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/basics/psychopathy#psychopathy-sociopathy-and-aspd
narcissism? is that just non murdering psychos?
so you can abuse people up to the point of somehow affecting their behaviour to your gain, without beating or raping them? that's still a psycho, just one that doesn't want to go to prison.
spare us the psychiatric shite please, we know what we think of that "medicine".
Sociopaths? I am a sociopath, it was never my starting, nor end point in life, but society has become soooo narcissistic i want nothing to do with it. That does not want I want them dead, NB.
so am i non-psycho antisocial disorder?
spare us the crap from snake worshipper quacks.
western culture is all out 1000% "narcissto" these days, don't excuse it, and especially do not underestimate its effect on us all. especially when your 4% are running the show, and 50% of the population are paid by them.
"so you can abuse people up to the point of somehow affecting their behaviour to your gain, without beating or raping them? that's still a psycho, just one that doesn't want to go to prison." Happens all the time.
indeed, we call it society, or "culture".
cannon fodder for dirty work, that is the psycho-contingent. or not?
unfortunately, psychos and their lesser counterparts, have MASSIVE self preservation tools/plans/behaviour. this may well prove a problem for Rus.
in context tho', did the west not reckon 75% of front line troops did nothing in WW2, other than act the part, but there is always a 10% psycho element that can carry the day, or get them all killed? plus the the other 15% who have motivation??
a lot of those prisoners were probably there for stupid stuff and not-life sentences, they'll be the volunteers, reducing sentence. the real psychos are happy in prison, just read "Kolyma tales", Shalamov.
Some of them will probably get a job with the WHO, ; )
Patrick Lancaster? i am not disrespecting the guy, he's been there since the start... but, but
listen to his wording sometimes... mmm, and can he not stop acting like an over-excited schoolboy in a warzone?? just saying, hats off Pat, you are there and I am not, carry on dude.
People often complain about Patrick's over-excited traits. I have no idea, I have never met him, he does well in interviews as calm, cool, and collected. Maybe it is just adrenals rushing in overdrive, or maybe it is he is a trained veteran and wants to jump into the fight so badly he can't stand it so that energy is part of who he is when he is out there tracking the war. He is going on ten years now of doing this work. He has HEART even w/everything he has experienced and seen.
agreed, he means what he does despite his antics, easy for us to say in our chairs.
fair enough.
I don't believe that most inmates are psychopaths, not even in the general sense of the term. Many just ended up in prison because of unfortunate circumstances. I think prison inmates tend to form communities with their own code of conduct not unlike military units. Many went into crime because of a lack of guidance. It would be interesting to study if the kind of guidance provided by strict military rules can have a beneficial effect on prison inmates. After all, the French foreign legion consisted largely of criminals from different countries. It isn't known that this had a negative effect on the effectiveness of the foreign legion.
The options are slowly running out for the counter-offensive.
When we need a new washer, will we be able to get one of the Russian models?