Major things are in motion. The night before last Russia launched a massive drone attack on all regions of Ukraine. It has been called by at least one source as the single largest drone attack of the entire SMO thus far, causing many people to speculate that Russia must now be producing Geran-2 drones at exponential rates as they have been using them at tremendous volumes of late. Every region has been hit and something very anomalous occurred in the capital city of Kiev.
Good. Now, Russia, don't stand around and wait for things to happen. Make things happen.
Has anyone a link to a reliable source re Lukashenko's alleged poisoning?
Simplicius you are, https://youtu.be/GC5E8ie2pdM
My country, the USA, is led by madmen. I am very concerned about the large NATO exercises in June. I believe the Ukrainian "offensive" is being delayed to coincide with those. With air/cruise missile strikes by NATO. I hope I am wrong.
Damage control implies there was damage. There has been a suspicious number of headlines praising the Patriot system the past 4 days e.g.
'Ukraine's success with US Patriot missiles stunned the Pentagon: analyst', 'Zelensky: US Patriot anti-missile systems ensure 100% interception', 'Ukraine’s Kinzhal intercepts should cool hypersonic hype'...
The launching of 4-5 satellites this year by Russia is impressive and really closes the ISR gap to virtually nil now. Russia is now launching missiles and drones with impunity, as the environment in the rear lines is very target rich with immense payback relative to usage cost. We keep hearing about the Geranium and Lancet drones daily, but I know Russia has been developing more advanced and powerful drone categories. They may be saving those for further NATO escalation. The damage Russia is inflicting now is massive and strategically incapacitates Ukraine. Ukraine also continues to lose 500-750 soldiers per day. Grind and pulverize. Escalation dominance. The Russians are crushing them like bugs, while only using a small % of their capacity. Kinda like making BBQ.
on storm shadow and su-24mr: the integration of a weapon [shadow storm or harm, etc] on an aircraft is not trivial. a dedicated engineering activity is needed by engineers with access to a large part of aircraft technical/engineering data (might be in old soviet union files), as well as a dedicated engineering activity to "optimize" the shadow storm to the new carrier. this implies uk has been directly involved. same for usa with respect to harm.... [yeah! i do not like the brits' name for a small cruise missile!]
as to patriot, we have not heard from ted postol on how unreliable propaganda about it hitting anything might be. also, the sole patriot missile that can engage cruise missiles is pac 3 mse, and it needs some linked sensors "lighting up" the cruise missile and continuous target fix updates..... that phased array radar is not turning meaning the battery needs several radars or is only look out an arc of 120 degrees. patriot is point defense and so expensive as to only be used in star wars!
on stryker, it is great for urban warfare where it can sneak up on terrorists. wheels do not give away the approach as do tracks!
western equipment including various rushed iterations of mrap [promaxx in belgorod] were not designed or quality manufactured for ease of repair or long times between maintenance. reliability was forfeit to cost over runs as were 'on equipment' repair plans! this applies to every weapon from himars to f-16!
as to ukr offensive look to rommel [montgomery figured him out and did not advance except by whole front] , kurak and what eisenhower did at the bulge: hold the shoulders and reinforce the shoulders....... then crush it!
According to Kelly Kiloton Index, earthquake of 3.4 magnitude is equivalent to 180 tons of TNT.
It’s easy to understand why Zelenskyy doesn’t want to spend much time in Kiev anymore. Thanks for another great explanation.
In this escalation scenario the idea is to be behind the escalation curve and escalation demanded by the citizenry. You let P play the nationalist saying, "You need to escalate more, you need to escalate more," so you have to put the hammer down. Maybe you allow yourself to lose a bit, and then the chorus says, "Escalate." I'm prepped, but not really. Why are all science fiction futures dystopian, including Simplicius'. Hey, we got to turn this around; where is the rainbow?
Budanov's latest video is chilling. The article suggests he is talking about an attack on Energodar NPP. I think it is bigger than that. The only possibility I can see is a bio-weapon attack. It's not like the SBU wasn't in the loop on U.S. bioweapons research in the country.
The Zaluzhny comments in the article don't account for his Telegram channel going silent April 14th, and eventually being deleted. He had a lot of followers (every soldier in the Ukrainian army). He posted often with lots of selfies. It's still not up - there's a new channel with simple text posts. How hard would it be to find a double to impersonate Zaluzhny for a thirty-second video?
The Russian UAV strikes which hit the air base of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Khmelnytsky region, are likely a testbed to destroy F-16's the same way.
Let's consider that the F-16's would need to operate from a NATO certified runway, and Khmelnytsky was NATO certified in 2021.
In addition, the Patriot missiles defending said future air base can be taken out by the same / similar UAV and missile combination which hit Khmelnytsky. That's precisely what the UAV strikes in Kiev show.
This means the Patriot system is worthless, as in giveaway worthless. In fact it's even a negative to receive a Patriot system because the system itself attracts UAV strikes due to it being sited to defend high value targets in the missile range. The radar signature emitted from the system is basically red meat for Russian UAV flies.
It costs huge amounts of money to purchase the Patriot system and associated missiles. The system provably doesn't work in an Air Defense capacity, and it also attracts unwanted attention from the Russian armed forces. Why would any country want to own such a system???
I don't know if you covered this before but Illia Ponomarenko actually served in Azov a few years ago.
This: "So, did he (Defense Minister Reznikov) give away the position of the secret British base or did Russia already know its location?"
The Ukie prostiticians really are amateurish fools. And we thank them very muchly.