Though it may slip under the radar, particularly due to the West’s obvious desire to keep it quiet, to me the actual most consequential news of the day is that we have a semblance of the first truly genuine, high level confirmation that Zaluzhny may in fact be kaput.
I'm pretty sure he's dead or a vegetable. Even if he was a vegetable they'd probably show a video in hospital of him "recovering" as proof he'll back in fighting shape in no time just like Ukraine. You can't keep a "good" nazi down and all that. The west is lready doing weekend at Bernies routines with the likes of Biden & Dianne Feinstein if they could do it Zaluzhnyi the would the fact they haven't means he's probably dead. I'm surprised they haven't claimed he's gone full Rambo and is fighting on holding Bahkmut by himself.
Stand with Russia -- it fights for all of us !
But I also have a concern: War effort is expensive, including for Russia. War should not go infinitely....
What are the best options for Russia??
Not that my opinion counts for jack sh*t but perrsonally I'm pretty sick of Prigozhin running his mouth at this point. I was sick of it a while ago. I thought it was maskirovka for a long time now I'm not sure I am sure he needs to STFU.
Dang if the Anya story doesn't bring the need for a Kleenex. I bet unlike in America 100 years from now that statue will still be there.
Your summary of casualty summary best defines my confusion. The glimmer of mathematical hope is in that French article which damages Ukrainian hope. It's ironic that the unnecessary slaughter, on both sides, of clerks, cashiers and other people like us, is the path to peace.
A 6hr, 6min and 6sec Oliver Stone movie is needed to tidy the mess that Prigozhin delivers.
Good info as always. And I'm sure some of the other people to whose Substacks I subscribe can see that I comment here and assume that I'm pro-war so long as it's anti-Empire. On that point, Simplicius, are 'major' Substack authors, presumably with access to better tools than the rest of us, able to see what your subscribers do elsewhere at Substack? I've always been curious based on some strange behavior from a few of the others after I started commenting on your page.
How touching the story about the little girl and the soldier reuniting at the statue. We need statues here in the US South of the soldiers and the people they interacted with when they liberated the Confederacy.
"He (Zelensky) got rid of the competition and prevented an unsuccessful counterattack by the Armed Forces of Ukraine"
Well, that's a hard sell, considering that out of the two, it's Zelensky who's making military decisions based on political / PR reasons instead of military ones. Considering the pullout order from Bakhmut was ordered back in February, and it was vetoed probably by someone on Zelensky's end. Same for the "Great Kherson Counteroffensive". If I recall correctly Zaluzhny was opposed to that as well, as it was just as unsound strategically. So I doubt it was Zaluzhny pushing for a counteroffensive.
But the internal assassination angle isn't implausible. It wouldn't be the first time, remember the crashed chopper "accident" that killed the entire leadership of the Ukraine Ministry of the Interior?
This is a suggestion for a future article: could you write something about the geography of Ukraine and surrounding areas? Frankly I don't know the area that well and get confused by all the town names that get mentioned. And also find it confusing that there are both Russian and Ukrainian names to the same place (for a long time I thought Artemivsk was a separate place from Bahkmut!). I also hear about the problems of mud, but I assume that in a country as large as Ukraine that some areas would have different terrain than other areas, and I know that different terrain pose different challenges.
I have to agree that Zaluzhny's either dead or severely disabled.
Given the pathetic performance of the AFU since his "disappearance", it seems babboons are currently running the Ukrainian army.
Looks like babboons are in the ascendant in Ukraine.
While I wrote several essays on the topic of the proxy war, the last one being "U.S. Russia War: 'The Gas Station' Strikes Back; Are the cracks and failures in the world's largest defense and security trade show of the West's weaponry, in the bloody, tragic war in Ukraine, signaling the beginning of the end of the war?" something bothers me—long before the SMO—and keeps niggling in my mind.
I am aware this might sound paradoxical, but what if, at some point, 'someone' in the military decides Putin is weak, meek, and too patient? After all, NATO creeps so close; Estonia and Latvia are NATO members on the border, now Finland. For two decades he wanted to be 'friends' with the West, despite all his serious warnings being totally dismissed by the same West. John McCain's smirk at him back in Munich, 2007, embodied the stance the West had and still has toward Putin and Russia.
War is insanely expensive and its costs cost a leg and an arm. There's no end in sight. And if it ends with Ukraine intact in the West, the danger would never stop. In a few days, I will publish a short article, "U.S. Russia War: 'As Long as it Takes'"; using the West's 'help' for a calculation--if someone spends $100 billion over one year, they would be spending approximately:
$273,972,602.74 per day,
$11,415,525.11 per hour,
$190,258.75 per minute, and
$3,171.53 per second.
This is how insane the costs are. Russia pays even higher price in the lives of her men and women and Ukraine is bleeding its people at a much higher rate.
But, what if someone in Russia, other than Putin, decides 'enough is enough' given the West will keep their 'As Long as it Takes' insanity and goes on the full path of destruction?
Because you've mentioned Martin Armstrong several times recently, here's some background info on his predictions you may find useful: https://armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com/
Budanov needs to be next
"The drills will include a massive deployment of aircraft from the US Air National Guard, which is tasked with defending the homeland but, according to Defense One, also maintains units for "prompt mobilization during war." "
The US Air National Guard - "weekend warriors" has even less training than regular air force. They are not a game changer. - missile fodder flying F16s
"Is NATO/West planning some devious action during upcoming mass exercises?"
i find this survey question a bit misleading. nato may be "planning" a devious action but that is a long way from executing a "devious" action. It goes w/o saying that they are planning something or other. :)