Let’s start off today with one important thing that’s been in need of clearing up. A lot of Western press still mindlessly parrots the trope about Russia’s so-called ‘frozen funds’ and how ‘devastating’ this is supposed to be for Russia’s economy. At this point, they’re grasping at straws because they have very little ammunition left in the barrel for pushing the false narrative that Russia has been gravely affected by the ‘war.’
I have a list of analysts I follow. Yours is the one I drop everything to read. Excellent work sir!!
The so called siege of Sarajevo is one of the persistent distortions of history: Serbs lived in the suburbs, due to historical reasons (Ottoman rule). Sarajevo was never under actual blockade, there was a corridor that was passable and the airport was open all that time.
Thank you, Simplicious. Well, low and behold, the Russians are right now bombing the living daylights out of Ukraine, from east to west, and north to south. Massive missile and drone attacks, likely the largest yet hitting all regions tonight. Odessa has 10-15 explosions as an example. It sounds like the Russians a critical mass of western weapons were now juicy targets, as well as knocking out the rest of the energy infrastructure and AD systems. This attack seems like it is around 150 missiles and who knows how many drones. Epic. Russians will surround Vugledar and bomb it into oblivion - no need to travers dense minefields.
I appreciate the discursive nature of the discourse and the pleasant absence of snark and obsequious bloviating. Truly refreshing.
Twas looking forward to how the JDAMs would work after your article and watching the vids of planes catapulting into the sky to reach appropriate elev in order to reach Russian positions and not get shot down. Dudsville. The waste of NATO/USA hyper-technology and our tax dollars. Explosions in Kyiv and Lviv?
Russia's failures in Ugledar is a reminder how modern warfare has changed and why offensive's are so difficult to pull off. We have seen Ukraine's disastrous Kherson offensive that chewed up all its reserves and equipment. Kharkov was also very expensive for them. Russia took most of its losses in the early days of the SMO.
Back to Ugledar. It is obvious that Ukraine is pursuing a scorched earth policy. By entrenching in urban settings, it is forcing their destruction. Even when Ukraine withdrawals they have been seen to deliberately target infrastructure as they retreat. In the case of Ugledar, I think Russia had hoped to capture the city relatively in tact. It didn't work out.
I don't what Russia will do if they ever get close to big population cities such as Kharkov, Dnipro, Zaporozhye. Odessa is a beautiful city. To see it destroyed would be criminal. Ukraine doesn't want to leave Russia with anything. I hope that the Ukrainian Army can be defeated so that some cities can spared and surrendered unscathed.
Its become a theatre of the absurd hasn't it? The only thing more ridiculous than the Russians bombing their own pipeline (but leaving the Druzhba pipeline intact) is that a half dozen dudes and a doc rented a boat from luxuryyachts.com, ordered half a metric ton of high explosive off of amazon, shaped and waterproofed the charges in a garage, then did a quick google map search for the pipelines and went for a sunday swim at 70m depth. Then successfully remote detonated, and escaped. But wait, they didn't scuttle the boat because that would... ah... something.
The western propaganda leviathan on one hand produces epic psyops; you have to hand it to them. But sometimes its like they hand over a task to their DEI team and, well, you get this.
You should consider setting up a “Buy me a Coffee” for one time donations sir.
Looks like those greedy oligarchs, who dismantled the Soviet union with the Wests support, must be questioning their choices of having off-shore bank accounts now, and just how much they are actually worth to their CIA connections.
Great read as usual. How does anyone advance at all with all those mines? Seems like you couldn't move at all in combat and I'm amazed Russia moves as fast as they do.
About funds - I've seen reports that Russia could seize over 2 trillion in NATO related assets in Russia if they wanted as they are more invested in Russia than Russia in them... so whatever Russia wins on asset forfeiture too if they so choose. Still funny MSM has to lie about everything even reserves taken by an order of magnitude and it hurts them because when countries hear a huge amount like 350 billion they are less likely to leave their reserves out there for US to grab. Idiots.
I'm confused about the following quote: "Of course, the UA twittersphere claims this strike was on a ‘Russian trench position’. But it’s a tad odd that it’s being viewed by another Russian trench position with binoculars."
Since the LOC is about 1,000km, couldn't the 2 trenches just be somewhere along the line ?
Nordstream story is a huge own goal. It will provide Russia with all the justification it needs for continuing and stepping up the attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure. As of this morning, it's already happening. Added bonus will be that it will draw away air defense systems from the front lines.
Wellllll ... ‘pro-Ukrainian group’ ... could be used to describe anyone in the west providing support for, or cheering on, Ukraine. For example, the US or Norway ....
Great take on current events, as usual.
Love the West/Russian food comparison, serves them right.
Also, I cannot imagine the moral in the Ukroid army.
Glory to Russia