I had been slowing working on a much longer piece which was set to release today. But I must interrupt it briefly for an urgent, quicker update. Today it has been confirmed by reputable sources that the AFU has attacked Belarusian soil—specifically a drone attack on a Russian early warning A-50U Beriev plane parked in Machulishchi airbase, just outside of Minsk. The UA side claims the A-50U was damaged, while there is no confirmation from the Russian side.
That last af is brilliant! Hard to believe that there are still men available in Ukraine at this point.
The Belarusian development is nasty. Who knows what can of worms that will open.
My personal opinion, I don’t think NATO will or can attach Russia before Ukraine is levelled. NATO, like most of the West. Has been hollowed out by years of bureaucracy This doesn’t make them weak or without teeth, however
Thank God for Russia, thank God for Wagner, may He be with us all in these dark days.
Feb 26, 2023·edited Feb 26, 2023Liked by Simplicius
I wish for a magic wand to wave and place Zelensky & company along with Biden and his crew of morons into combat kits and send them off to the front lines and let everyone else go home . . . . . . . but not until open season is declared on the former political groups . . . . and can I make additions to the Biden crew of morons? The entire upper management ranks of Wall Street Banks and ALL of the Weapons Corporations.
Just the other day someone in the comments was saying x airfield was hit and blah blah and it was all over the news. And nothing actually happened. The only thing ukies are good at is making crap up.
The Westie boys are peeing their pants with the thought they will have to soon go up against the combined might of not only Russia, but China, Iran and North Korea. Unfortunately for them, the Ukranian cannon fodder is running out.
To make matters even worse, it seems like Iran has hypersonic cruise missiles too!!! That was fast!!!
Actually the Resistance has been coordinating their attack against the vile West for years...we're just all seeing it come to fruition now. I heard a few years ago in fact that Russia and Iran were exchanging military technology secrets that the West has even no clue of. Iran has supposedly 2.200 kms of underground bases!!! This can be read today on The Intel Drop. Link: https://www.theinteldrop.org/2023/02/25/iran-establishes-2200-km-of-strategic-underground-cities-irgc/
I estimate that it costs the Russians more than $20,000 per dead or seriously injured Ukrainian soldier.
Recently, before 24/02/22, I spent two years in Ukraine. I believe that if the Russians were to offer a reward of $10,000 to each Ukrainian soldier who surrenders, entire battalions would do so. With $10,000 an ordinary Ukrainian can set himself up and get married and settle down. Those who are already married would happily use the money to look after their kids.
There is a massive failure of imagination on the Russian side.
This is clearly another asymmetrical Ukrainian terrorist attack on Russia, via Belarus. These events are good for one or two attacks and then they are sealed tight by Russia. Its a provocation designed to trigger Belarus to cross the border, and hereby give NATO an excuse to escalate via Poland. Seriously doubt Belarus and Russia will fall for this trick, but they will respond via other means. This is also a distraction from the imminent fall of Bahkmut. Russia cannot park any serious air force assets anywhere without having an airtight, large perimeter. They seem slow to learn the lesson. Meanwhile, Russia continues to bomb specific regions daily and making good progress across the front.
Macgregor recently talked about +- 700k 'losses' for UA.I suppose he still has good friends in the Pentagon?
As follow: 350 kia+mia, rest being wia (at various levels) + pow (15k).
Trump is attacking ZE now in frontal, calling Nuland and co 'warmongers' who should resign.
That Biden will start WWIII. With him this war would have never happened and it would have saved thousands of lifes...If reelected he will stop the war in 24h..potus 2024 election will be focussed on ukraine, Trump betting on a coming 'ukraine neocons biden adventure' to collapse.
I'm not sure how reliable Belarusian forces are ? I know almost nothing about Belarus ? How reliable is the Army. What are the sentiments of the people ? I'm not sure the Russians in Belarus or Belarusians have any intention of being drawn in by Ukrainian provocations if it is contrary to plans. Belarus main role seems to be to act as a buffer between Nato and Russia. Getting dragged into the conflict directly would seem to undermine that value.
1. I don t think that Poland(NATO) will intervine în any case. They saw what hell is în Ukraine. How would the oolish people react whem after 2 months 25k polish soldiers come în body bags? Plus NATO doesn t have the ammo to sustain the fight. Plus Russia will have the legal justificative to attack Poland s infrastructure. Warsaw în the dark? Plus what does MATO think they will achieve? What happens if the nukes start flying? Big no no.
2. The attack on Transnistria. No way the ukranians have 25k troops there. They don t have suficient troops în the Harkov region. Plus what is the Point în attacking Transnistria? The ammo depot there is allready mined, if the ukranians come even close to it goes kabooom. Plus Transnistria has a pooulation of half a million, 20k soldiers plus at least 80k adult males who can take up arms. 100k to protect a small country, that is going to be a cluster fuck for the Kiev regime.That small region is well known to be packed full of weapons. It would be imposibile for the ukranians to get even close to Tiraspol.
3. This war will end when the russians will get feed up and launch a big ass avangard warhead without the nuclear payload. At 26mach it has a force of 2MT. It will create a giant hole în the centre of Kiev killing the clovn and all the army staff. That Ukraine will enter în anarchy mode. Then milions of people will Rush to Poland and the West will be în need shit. Than they will agree to stop the carnage.
VG update TY. On the basis of past Russian performance in Babyface Tsar's fake and Gay liddle War - s'cuse me, "Special Military Operation" (LOL) - Haxo expects Bakhmut to fall.....whenever. And then, after another whenever - again, based on past Russian performance - be suddenly evacuated by the Russians.
Feb 26, 2023·edited Feb 26, 2023Liked by Simplicius
Considering the psychological, spiritual, economic, conditions of all involved, I struggle to see other outcomes than Russia capitulating and being reduced to obedience to the same powers the EU obeys to, and China finding itself in the crosshairs of the Empire, or World WarIII happening.
In turn, if WWIII happens, I struggle to see any scenario where a combination, a massive one, of nuclear and biological weapons are not used.
Russia and China are, I think, striving to strike a third, different outcome. They want to avoid being conquered, but also world war. Will it be possible?...
My worry is that if you focus on daily briefs (which could be very interesting) we will miss out on the the more in-depth analysis like we were given in articles like "All Seeing Eye: Can Russia Break Through The West's ISR Overmatch?".
That article (and others like it) is why I subbed. It was detailed, well-researched, and easy to understand, but certainly not the kind of thing we can get every day.
It elaborated on a single aspect of the war that helps me understand this war more in general and helps me be more knowledgeable about these matters in general.
Thats my two cents. I have been impressed with your content and will continue to read regardless of what you choose.
If Belarus is forced to enter the SMO does this escalate to formal War?
I think this gives the Hyenas, sorry Polish, an excuse to nip at their mutual Border with Belarus, but at the same time putting troops into Galicia, Ukraine and thereafter gaining back that coveted land. They may even have a swipe at Kaliningrad.
And then there is the question of the Baltics? Will they also nibble away at the Belarus Border? Lithuana combine with the Hyenas and go at Kaliningrad too?
Yeah, Belarus has a lot to consider, their involvement will most likely trigger NATO involvement and we are into WW3 scenarios.
Scary times, unpredictable times, possible the end of times.
I would be happy to hear of thousands of captured soldiers rather than casualties in bakhmut.
Most of the men fighting on both sides... could be any of us. The scale of death is very upsetting
That last af is brilliant! Hard to believe that there are still men available in Ukraine at this point.
The Belarusian development is nasty. Who knows what can of worms that will open.
My personal opinion, I don’t think NATO will or can attach Russia before Ukraine is levelled. NATO, like most of the West. Has been hollowed out by years of bureaucracy This doesn’t make them weak or without teeth, however
Thank God for Russia, thank God for Wagner, may He be with us all in these dark days.
Klitschko is 2m tall, doubt that he can fit inside a tank.
I wish for a magic wand to wave and place Zelensky & company along with Biden and his crew of morons into combat kits and send them off to the front lines and let everyone else go home . . . . . . . but not until open season is declared on the former political groups . . . . and can I make additions to the Biden crew of morons? The entire upper management ranks of Wall Street Banks and ALL of the Weapons Corporations.
Just the other day someone in the comments was saying x airfield was hit and blah blah and it was all over the news. And nothing actually happened. The only thing ukies are good at is making crap up.
The Westie boys are peeing their pants with the thought they will have to soon go up against the combined might of not only Russia, but China, Iran and North Korea. Unfortunately for them, the Ukranian cannon fodder is running out.
To make matters even worse, it seems like Iran has hypersonic cruise missiles too!!! That was fast!!!
Actually the Resistance has been coordinating their attack against the vile West for years...we're just all seeing it come to fruition now. I heard a few years ago in fact that Russia and Iran were exchanging military technology secrets that the West has even no clue of. Iran has supposedly 2.200 kms of underground bases!!! This can be read today on The Intel Drop. Link: https://www.theinteldrop.org/2023/02/25/iran-establishes-2200-km-of-strategic-underground-cities-irgc/
I estimate that it costs the Russians more than $20,000 per dead or seriously injured Ukrainian soldier.
Recently, before 24/02/22, I spent two years in Ukraine. I believe that if the Russians were to offer a reward of $10,000 to each Ukrainian soldier who surrenders, entire battalions would do so. With $10,000 an ordinary Ukrainian can set himself up and get married and settle down. Those who are already married would happily use the money to look after their kids.
There is a massive failure of imagination on the Russian side.
This is clearly another asymmetrical Ukrainian terrorist attack on Russia, via Belarus. These events are good for one or two attacks and then they are sealed tight by Russia. Its a provocation designed to trigger Belarus to cross the border, and hereby give NATO an excuse to escalate via Poland. Seriously doubt Belarus and Russia will fall for this trick, but they will respond via other means. This is also a distraction from the imminent fall of Bahkmut. Russia cannot park any serious air force assets anywhere without having an airtight, large perimeter. They seem slow to learn the lesson. Meanwhile, Russia continues to bomb specific regions daily and making good progress across the front.
Macgregor recently talked about +- 700k 'losses' for UA.I suppose he still has good friends in the Pentagon?
As follow: 350 kia+mia, rest being wia (at various levels) + pow (15k).
Trump is attacking ZE now in frontal, calling Nuland and co 'warmongers' who should resign.
That Biden will start WWIII. With him this war would have never happened and it would have saved thousands of lifes...If reelected he will stop the war in 24h..potus 2024 election will be focussed on ukraine, Trump betting on a coming 'ukraine neocons biden adventure' to collapse.
From NE Poland and was always reminded that Ukrainians can be like the devil himself.
I'm not sure how reliable Belarusian forces are ? I know almost nothing about Belarus ? How reliable is the Army. What are the sentiments of the people ? I'm not sure the Russians in Belarus or Belarusians have any intention of being drawn in by Ukrainian provocations if it is contrary to plans. Belarus main role seems to be to act as a buffer between Nato and Russia. Getting dragged into the conflict directly would seem to undermine that value.
Great post.
1. I don t think that Poland(NATO) will intervine în any case. They saw what hell is în Ukraine. How would the oolish people react whem after 2 months 25k polish soldiers come în body bags? Plus NATO doesn t have the ammo to sustain the fight. Plus Russia will have the legal justificative to attack Poland s infrastructure. Warsaw în the dark? Plus what does MATO think they will achieve? What happens if the nukes start flying? Big no no.
2. The attack on Transnistria. No way the ukranians have 25k troops there. They don t have suficient troops în the Harkov region. Plus what is the Point în attacking Transnistria? The ammo depot there is allready mined, if the ukranians come even close to it goes kabooom. Plus Transnistria has a pooulation of half a million, 20k soldiers plus at least 80k adult males who can take up arms. 100k to protect a small country, that is going to be a cluster fuck for the Kiev regime.That small region is well known to be packed full of weapons. It would be imposibile for the ukranians to get even close to Tiraspol.
3. This war will end when the russians will get feed up and launch a big ass avangard warhead without the nuclear payload. At 26mach it has a force of 2MT. It will create a giant hole în the centre of Kiev killing the clovn and all the army staff. That Ukraine will enter în anarchy mode. Then milions of people will Rush to Poland and the West will be în need shit. Than they will agree to stop the carnage.
VG update TY. On the basis of past Russian performance in Babyface Tsar's fake and Gay liddle War - s'cuse me, "Special Military Operation" (LOL) - Haxo expects Bakhmut to fall.....whenever. And then, after another whenever - again, based on past Russian performance - be suddenly evacuated by the Russians.
Considering the psychological, spiritual, economic, conditions of all involved, I struggle to see other outcomes than Russia capitulating and being reduced to obedience to the same powers the EU obeys to, and China finding itself in the crosshairs of the Empire, or World WarIII happening.
In turn, if WWIII happens, I struggle to see any scenario where a combination, a massive one, of nuclear and biological weapons are not used.
Russia and China are, I think, striving to strike a third, different outcome. They want to avoid being conquered, but also world war. Will it be possible?...
My worry is that if you focus on daily briefs (which could be very interesting) we will miss out on the the more in-depth analysis like we were given in articles like "All Seeing Eye: Can Russia Break Through The West's ISR Overmatch?".
That article (and others like it) is why I subbed. It was detailed, well-researched, and easy to understand, but certainly not the kind of thing we can get every day.
It elaborated on a single aspect of the war that helps me understand this war more in general and helps me be more knowledgeable about these matters in general.
Thats my two cents. I have been impressed with your content and will continue to read regardless of what you choose.
If Belarus is forced to enter the SMO does this escalate to formal War?
I think this gives the Hyenas, sorry Polish, an excuse to nip at their mutual Border with Belarus, but at the same time putting troops into Galicia, Ukraine and thereafter gaining back that coveted land. They may even have a swipe at Kaliningrad.
And then there is the question of the Baltics? Will they also nibble away at the Belarus Border? Lithuana combine with the Hyenas and go at Kaliningrad too?
Yeah, Belarus has a lot to consider, their involvement will most likely trigger NATO involvement and we are into WW3 scenarios.
Scary times, unpredictable times, possible the end of times.