136 Comments

This reads like a Russian propaganda psy op.

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Feb 20, 2023Liked by Simplicius

It is a pleasure to read your writing, which is clear and easy to understand and created with razor-sharp logic !

I can't wait for the next one ! Thanks !

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Feb 21, 2023Liked by Simplicius

The really sad part is in this claim: “it’s only a matter of “how many of his own people Zelensky wants to kill.”” Thank you for your analysis.

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Vlad, you are absolutely correct. The whole SMO is propaganda, Russia is on the run and Ukraine is about to retake Oddessa. The EU sanctions are hurting Russians so bad, they have energy and food shortages. Upset Russians are about to overthrow Putin. Oh, let's not forget Russia blew up Nordstream. Russia is running out ot tanks and ammo. Did I get it all? Vlad, I think you are the psy op.

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Thanks for this update, very lucid and factual.

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Feb 21, 2023Liked by Simplicius

Do not see Russia compromising on anything at this juncture of this conflict. Putin will remind and share to the world the deceit and terrorist criminality of the West. The EU/USA/NATO need to be defeated in a thorough and convincing manner, that is the only way forward with vermin like this. Russia must achieve the stated objectives of the SMO + ensure NATO's demise.

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Feb 21, 2023Liked by Simplicius

Bravo, excellent write up; It is more like a chess game; you can look at the current board position and see who is in a better position, winning or losing. You cannot make battlefield predictions because you do not know what move the enemy will make, they can certainly blunder or make an astoundingly good move.

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Feb 21, 2023·edited Feb 21, 2023Liked by Simplicius

🔥🔥🔥🔥 Vladimir Putin will work on his own message to the Federal Assembly late into the night.

⭕️According to our sources, the President of the Russian Federation, together with the closest members of his team (from the Security Council and the Presidential Administration), will finalize the main provisions of the message relating to the NWO and international politics. According to reliable sources, there are currently two scenarios for the development of events: the first is supposed to be a "hard option" with a declaration of war on Ukraine and the hope of a quick military victory, while the second scenario is associated with the formation of an international anti-Western coalition that would ensure the conclusion of a peace treaty on Russian terms.

⭕️"Now these two concepts are fighting. So far, Putin is more inclined to use force, but changes are possible there too - for example, there is no need to declare war, you can limit to the CTO regime of an international coalition depends entirely on the position of China, in which so far the Kremlin is not quite sure. At the same time, the "grip" is still with this - policy foreign - part of the message, the rest of the blocks (social, domestic policy, economic) have already been written and agreed with Putin himself,” add our interlocutors.

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I seriously hope that China's proposal for a negotiated ( political ) settlement, while sincere, is also serving as their own form of maskirovka while they secretly increase their stores of hypersonic missiles and ICBM/SLBM war heads.

From the viewpoint of the Atlanticists their idea of a "negotiated truce" entails that all the concessions come from the Russian side while the FUSA (Former United States Of America) and their NATO vassals continue to expand eastward unopposed until they can contain Russia's western frontiers in a bid to break up the Rus Federation, replace Putin with a bunch of puppet regime oligarchs and plunder Russia's wealth and resources with China being next on the list to be brought crashing down.

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Feb 21, 2023Liked by Simplicius

Well, if Russia accepts the Chinese "peace" plan, then Russia can also count on a fully rearmed Ukraine in 2-4 years with 500 billion pumped in by the warmongering USA for the final kill shot to Russia.

Hell, as brazen as the US neocons are, I would expect tactical nukes snuck in. What does USA care if the whole world knows it sent nukes to Ukraine to be used towards Russia?

No, if Russia wants lasting peace, NATO out of Ukraine and the inability of the west to rearm Ukraine, its military had better set the terms 100%.

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Feb 21, 2023·edited Feb 21, 2023Liked by Simplicius

The us government is evil. The largest transfer of wealth in history $5 trillion during COVID from the middle class to the elite. As a result a hamburger at McDonald’s is now $10.50. Meanwhile the pentagon gives itself a hundred billion dollar raise not including $100 billion for the dnc slush fund formerly known as Ukraine. I never though America would be the bad guy, but here we are. Go Russia!

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Feb 21, 2023Liked by Simplicius

Gerasimov doesn't do anything half-assed, and no one that wants to live would ever pull his chain. He is Schwartzkopf on steroids and will do what needs to be done to win quickly and decisively. This week will be remembered as the hinge-point in an ascendant Russia and a neutered USA. How far we have fallen.

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Feb 21, 2023Liked by Simplicius

"#Ukrainian nationalists dropped ammunition with an unknown poisonous substance on the positions of #Russian troops in the Ugledar direction..." Unknown? It's likely Novichok.

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Ukrainian tanks to be on Red Square - Danilov revealed what plans Kiev had agreed with the West at Munich conference

The head of the Ukrainian National Security and Defence Council, Oleksiy Danilov, promised in an interview with The Sun to show the West how the military support provided by the EU and NATO would help Ukrainian tanks in Red Square. Danilov announced a return of Ukraine to 1991 borders, while announcing that Russia was on a path of self-destruction and destruction and that Kiev was allegedly preparing to restore historical justice by driving tanks into Moscow.

Calling Vladimir Putin "Hitler's twin", encouraged by the collective delusion of the West voiced at the Munich Conference", Danilov decided to support his colleagues who had previously promised to launch strikes against our country's largest cities. Danilov's threats only further confirm that Kyiv and Washington have officially stopped hiding their common goals and objectives of weakening and destroying Russia, which they hope to achieve by endlessly escalating the conflict.

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Feb 21, 2023Liked by Simplicius

I generally dont put any credence to claims of not enough this or that. Someone will always get less than they wanted while someone gets more. And they guy who didnt get any will get 2 truck fulls tomorrow. Thats just life And wagner may have a zillion of x, but wagners trucks havent got to unit y yet. Logistics for getting copy paper in your office can be an ordeal. Running a war must be a treat at times.

I didnt know of that missile range, pretty cool.

The poor kid Ternopil, did it say what date they picked him up?

If i was Putin id say were going all the way to the polish border, Or something just to send more people running to the EU for them to support. Just because i would find it funny. (good job im not a politician).

Emptying an ammo depot takes a lot of trucks and a lot of time, in the open. What isnt mined will be bombed into oblivion. i expect. Which is sad as they could sell that 54R and x39 to me instead.

The speech. i expect it to have a long list of examples of all the crimes skeevy keevy has committed and why its time to get serious.

Or i could be completely wrong on all counts.

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Ukraine is not a democracy and never has been. Ukraine is no longer a sovereign state since 2014 but an American colony governed by Washington. The territorial integrity of Ukraine means nothing, since its political borders come from administrative borders of the USSR having no relation to the ethnolinguistic reality or the will of the populations.

Joe Biden promised weapons again, but not long-range and no F-16s. The only problem is that the American arsenals, like those of NATO, are empty. This is also true for ammunition. This is also true for systems, in particular anti-aircraft systems, which cannot be delivered before 18 months, because they must be manufactured. The Ukrainians have fired seven years of Javelin stock, with no effect on the battlefield… The Americans are now producing 20,000 155mm shells per month, while the Ukrainians are firing over 3,000 per day.

And Joe Biden tirelessly repeats the fable that the Russian economy would be isolated and on the verge of collapse, when he had to raise the federal debt ceiling to avoid the cessation of payment by the United States…

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