The Black sea fleet is the weakest link. They get dunked on repeatedly. It's kind of embarrassing Russia keeps allowing nato to crap all over crimea and the black sea fleet. They literally can't stop it
He can't really remove the black sea fleet, otherwise NATO MIGHT be able to operate warships in that area without contest. Yes, turkey currently opposes NATO warships there, but it's never a good idea to rely on the mercy of the Turks. IF NATO were to send in warships to "protect the grain corridor", the fleet would be imperative to engage them.
At the same time, Ukraine no longer has a surface fleet, so there isn't exactly anything for the black sea fleet to engage right now. Sure, they could launch Kalibr missiles at targets, but it's cheaper and faster to just launch them from airfields now.
So it's not exactly the black sea fleets fault, but they don't really have a role now except being there in case there MIGHT be a role for them later. Removing them via that canals means it'll be quite slow and tedious to get them back if and when you need them.
NATO(US) covets and has coveted the Black Sea ports forever, it is a wet dream for Washington. And the current setof lunatics directing our policy toward Russia think somehow they can pull it off, just snatch it from Russia, nyah nyah. What fools we have running our governments -- straight to hell.
IF President Putin was not as careful and conservative in his approach, I think our "idiots" in DC would have us in a direct conflict. Media keeps talking about regime change in Russia and I think they truly are lunatics. The chance of Russia's next leader taking a harder line seems great. I am not any kind of expert, just observing the general mood. I think the world knows and strongly believes Russia is on the right side of this conflict and world politics in general. When the people believe the government is representing the will of most Russians they will support it much more than for example Americans
I agree. Not to forget that the British MoD seems to want to refight the Crimean War in the Black Sea if it can find any ships that actually work. Stopping Russia from sailing its ships out of the the straits into the Mediterranean (a kind of British lake in the days of the empire) was a preoccupation of the empire right through the nineteenth century.
yes, the Dardanelles. Turkey is lucky it controls the Straits because otherwise the US would put Turkey on its enemy list for treason to America. Everybody bent on some dastardly deed or war wants America to arm him and back him up, but none of such are worthy allies. Too bad. It seems it is the only kind of ally the US has anymore.
If the. Ammo on the ship was destined for Syria, it could imply the U.S.and it's allies in the Levant are going to turn east and secure Israel's borders with Lebanon and Syria as the IDF crushes Hamas and Hezbollah.
Deals? There's lots of people going round saying they want this and they want that, and they can raise this or that money, er 'funds' - but, greedy as these fools are, they have people who tell them how tiny the chance Ukraine has of being able to deliver anything
They're like the US EU they'll loan money at bad rates, maybe
Is any one, apart from the Council of Europe, desperate enough to bid on Lithium mining rights in the Donbass?
I wonder why the ship was loaded with ammo and where it was headed. Given it's normal role of supplying Russian forces in Syria, I'd assume that it would have been taking the munitions to Syria and the Levant has, eh, some interesting things going on. If so, there are other actors interested in it's destruction. That doesn't necessarily mean Israel or United States necessarily got their hands dirty, but they do have good contacts in Ukrainian high command that they can control presumably.
Hard to say. It might not have been loaded with ammo at all. I like to stick to facts or at least point out when we're speculating. Everything known about the destruction is 100% speculation. The ammo may have very well been sitting on the dock next to the ship and exploded. No one truly knows.
However, if the ship *was* loaded with ammo then it was very unprofessional and irresponsible given that we have satellite proof the ship was there for at least the previous day if not longer, which means it would have been sitting there unloaded, full of ammo, for potentially days--which should be a huge red flag. The ammo should be offloaded immediately on principle.
But once again--we're just guessing here, we don't know for a fact. For all we know ammo wasn't even involved in any way and the large explosion seen was in fact just oil/gas tankers on the dock.
There are endless factors to it and only the pro-UA side jumps to conclusions with zero informational hygiene because they're desperate for any win they can cling to.
This strike more than the previous ones is a bit mysterious due to the lack of verifiable information, perhaps partly owing to the fact it happened at 3am while some of the others were during daytime.
I disagree. This was a militarily insignificant attack. Like V1 and V2 attacks on London while the Reich was under siege. If it keeps morale up, great, but it does nothing to help them win and probably makes things worse.
As for shells or no shells, Russia makes enough to again not be significant. These things happen in war.
you didnt take in consideration 3rd and IMO most likely scenario
so there wasnt any salvo. and huge land to pass through. its very strange and weird
cause its huge salvo usually. plus its sus report about shot down ukie planes and there is NO evidence of flying by rockets. and people HAD to see or capture if 4-8 cruise missile fly by above their heads and cities.. there is no evidence of shot down rocket no photo etc. they didnt show it. as they usually do. so was it 1 single rocket?
or what possible scenario is so bad that you need to create this sus missle attack.
what kind of bad scenrio?
fpv drone on a spot? no. so what is it
i see 2 scenarios only that happen.
1) inaccurate operation with munition and detonation.
2) internal sabotage. this is worst scenario that is so bad so you need to create unexistent ukraine rocket attack. cause army reputation would be terrible if ppl will start talking that ru soldiers blowing up own ships.
i think one of these 2 scenarios happen. cause no flying by missiles. no working anti air. no shot down missiles. if they had 4-8 (1 plane can carry up yo 4 missiles) they should show at least some of them shot down or people should hear and record this.
the US hands are on everything in Ukraine, take it to the bank. War criminals, we are, cowering behind those stupid enough to die for our military-industrial complex sales charts and murdering right and left. And mouthing empty pieties that pretty much nobody buys anymore except for the dummies in the US Uniparty.
AFAIK Turkyie doesn't let any warships through Bosphorus. I don't know how Russia is supplying Tartarus. Perhaps they're sending ships from St. Petersburg?
I know you read this because you cited Putin's meeting with Shoigu in the frigate's wardroom:
Putin: "Indeed, there are at least two positive effects here. The first is that we are moving the enemy's combat units away from Donetsk. And secondly, by breaking into this fortified area, which the enemy has been building since 2014, in fact, built a significant number of reinforced concrete fortifications and communication passages there, ***by breaking into this fortified area, our troops are able to reach a wider operational space***. This is, of course, a matter for local commanders, specialists of the General Staff and the Ministry of Defense, but it is a separate issue. But, in any case, ***such an opportunity appears on this site"***. https://karlof1.substack.com/p/our-christmas-is-ordinary-work-day
My comment is the battlefield's now being shaped while Ukie lines shrink in size and manpower. The initial, 8-9+ year FEBA is finally being broken at great cost to Ukies. The scene at Maryinka is one of utter devastation, making Shoigu's description accurate. And IMO, the new major is a testimony to the survivability of Russian armor. No respite after Maryinka is also a sign.
The fact that Russia is able to muster a hammer with which to shatter the defenses that Ukraine has been building up and planning a war in for a decade should be a grave warning to Ukrainians who think there is a way for them to "win" in their newly built, untested, and perhaps shoddily and hastily built trenches and bunkers wherever they are building them behind the current lines.
As Russia advances beyond the FEBA, the tree lines in will encounter won't all be manned and fortified making advancement painful in both speed and casualties. Same with the ability of the remaining Ukie artillery to slow or halt advances as they too will be retreating leaving them exposed to drone attacks. One key is to force Ukies to employ whatever reserves remain and thus empty that resource, which is why the constant press forward must continue. Once the initiative is acquired by one side, it must take advantage for to pause allows it to be lost, and it's difficult to regain. The next urban battleground appears to be Chasiv Yar, although it's not the only one. Avdeevka looks like it will become a cauldron perhaps as soon as New Year's Day, but we shall see.
Thank you for the article and best wishes to you for Christmas and the New Year Simplicius. I do not think the strike on the ship was effected by the scalp missiles but agree with you that either sabotage or nearby launched drone strike was the cause. It has eerie similarities to the Moskova. However, we wait and see. The Russian Mod does an expert job on being "quiet" in these situations and there maybe some foul play behind the scenes. Or a total screw up in AD, which does not fit recent history.
One of the reasons it's a bit more mysterious is it happened in the dead of night at 3am, while some of the other strikes, like the Askold last month, were during the day allowing more camera footage, etc. However we do have *some* footage of the strike and there's no indication of any missiles of any type, including Russian AD active, which is quite strange. The port is cordoned off with water barricades so no naval drone could have gotten in either, so the only other culprit would be local FPV drone sabotage. But that raises the question why would Russian MOD then lie about missiles, etc., so there are many questions.
It just happened and everybody is just guessing , including the Russian MOD . False assumption is not necessarily a lie . The opportunistic attack with FPV drone is more likely just when refueling . If it is a coordinated attack with satellites , that is preplanned way ahead , and how the planners know what sort of ship will park there any given time . Or if they have an observed pattern where and what kind of ship parking where , then why they wouldn't target a militarily more valuable missile cruiser ?
Without a look at the damage to the hull, determining if the attack was air or water born is impossible. But:
Considering the lack of EW interception or AA launch before that ship strike at the dock, a likely scenario is an underwater attack.
Too big an explosion for swimmers, IMHO.Most likely a submarine drone, they're fairly well defended against the surface drones now.
Possibilities for an airborne attack that "strike" me are, they've either been desperate/stupid enough to deploy an F117 (and a western pilot!) in theater with a large glide bomb, or have "stealthed" some subsonic cruise/anti ship missiles. Carrying out the attack @ 03:00 suggests that whatever was used might have been visible to human eyeballs or loud enough for people to hear and notice, even if RADAR/SONAR were blind to the incoming munition.
I note that all though the F117 is "retired", they are not totally inactive, in fact, they are being flown occasionally, maintained & some have even been refurbished. Surely they haven't been training some Ukrainians to FLY them?!
If so, I feel sorry for them. Mainly because the F-117 is *observable* at this point and also lacks much in the way of defensive capability or agility to get out of the situation.
We'd be better off sending them just regular fighters.
A clever Russian programmer figured out how to spot them very early on- Tasked a computer to find rapidly moving BLANK "bubble" anomalys in the RADAR return, zones with no normal background of static & etc. rather than looking for reflected returns as is conventionally done. Because the F117 is not transparent to the background noise radiating from whatever is behind it...
My money is still on a submarine drone, possibly piggybacked into the Caspian by a grain ship.
I didn't know that, but it makes sense. The Serbs shot one down with a SA-3. The presumption was that actual Russian radars with 60+ years of enhancement would get them even more easily.
The Serbs made use of two things to down that infamous F117, the fact that the F117 loses "stealth" from some aspects when the weapons bay is opened and the idiocy of USAF pilots in using the same approach vector and flight profile to a targeted area repeatedly. They set up on the repeatedly used vector, waited for the next attack, strobed the RADAR and fired when the plane obligingly opened its bay and allowed an ordinary RADAR to lock on with their Soviet era AA system RIGHT where they expected it might.
Even stealth aircraft aren't INVISIBLE. And you can't count on ALL your opponent being less imaginative, observant & intelligent than your own flying officers.
Sad. During WWII they drilled the pilots flying ground attack missions in Europe NOT to EVER immediately turn and take a second pass, NOT use the same approach vector if going back to a target the next day & etc.. Because someone will damn well lay a gun on your expected approach vector and WAIT for you to return if you let them.
You know Simplicius, it’s really time for Russia to up the ante on the vile U.S Warmongers and their always willing and ever so compliant English public school, bum chum’s.
Time long overdue Vladimir Putin on behalf of his nation advise directly to the U.S, U.K, the stuttering, doddering, hand waving fool, Doltenberg, his trusty side kicks, the despicable and truly odious, Ursula “Can Always am a” Liar and “Jungle” Josep Borrell, as well as that true dropkick lame and shitzen for brains, new U.K Defence Minister, that if they persist in having personnel in a theatre of war, whilst insisting they are not in Direct Conflict with Russia, well they are now all targets, Russia has a bounty on the heads of all non Ukrainian combatants in the theatre, as for International Law, breaking the so called Rules of Engagement, well I’m sure many Russians as well as those of us around the World have a large middle index finger, we can rightly show them in response, further, any attacks on the homeland of Russia, will be treated as an act of overt aggression against the Russian State that will reserve the right to respond in kind on the homeland and cities or towns of equal size as that subject to such filth and attack.
High time this nuanced dance on a pinhead stopped, got stopped dead in its tracks, there will never ever be a better time to call these cowards out, all Russia needs to is present it’s evidence of U.S, U.K, Foreign involvement in the theatre before a special meeting of the UNSC and to make its declaration.
Then we can see them truly shitzen themselves, literally, there is no way they can respond to such a declaration, they are spent, they’ve all gotten off, shot their loads so to speak in this group orgy of unmitigated lies, death and destruction they have perpetuated, makes my blood boil, I’m heartily sick of the deceit, the lies, derision, maligning, mocking, denigrating a wonderful nation state, no worse than any other, indeed despite any shortcomings, it stacks up much better than those spreading freedom, democracy, western liberal values, the LGBTQ+, Homo, Pedophile, Transgender sex change available on 6 month olds who know for sure if they are the wrong gender, the Pedophile centric agenda underscored Gavin Newsom, California Governor legislating it’s OK, LAWFUL IN Ca, for pedophiles, actually MAPS - Minor Attracted Persons Sexually, as they’ve been redefined, rebranded, to have sex with minors just so long as the age difference isn’t greater than 10 or 11 years, truly sick and makes you wonder just what constituent base is he appealing to enacting such filth, just as bad the pre Roe v Wade precedent overturn in the SCOTUS, whereby Newsom, New York and a handful of other truly enlightened States had enacted amendments to their abortion legislation enabling abortion to include up to but not exceeding 28 days post delivery… now that is truly appeasement to Moloch, to Baal, pure evil…
Nope, time to put an end to this crap, to the greed and avarice driven billionaires who literally do “get off” fomenting, planning, coercing government into these Wars and Conflicts, wreaking chaos, death, destruction, injury, misery upon their own service men and women as well as their proxies doing the fighting on their behalf…
Either that I say or fornicate them fiscally, establish the gold backed Ruble, the Gold Backed BRICS+ SCO, EEAU trading currency, at once, hit them where it hurts most, fiscally, sure financial chaos in the west will ensue, par for the course, but this has been gamed, Russia, China, Turkey, Saudi, UAE, Brazil, South Africa, Iran, Mexico, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, Brunei, along with many second tier Nations,, who will as a result eventually from the detritus resulting of such a move emerge and rightfully, victorious, as dominant economic powers taking with them many in the global south, the rest of the globe, who have had their economies manipulated through the contrived boom, bust cycles that has littered their collective economic history thus far, who have been buying the yellow stuff by the tonne, whilst the West, Europe, will sink under the weight of their debt, talk about a dichotomy, tipping it upside down, about time I say, let’s see how they manage a contrived, orchestrated economic attack, ruin, just as they enjoy subjecting the aforementioned nations to… bring it on, gloves off, never a better moment, you have to pick your moments in history to act, this is just such a moment…. everything to gain, nothing to lose… let’s watch these arses truly squirm, destroyed as they will be upon the altar of lies, debt, greed, avarice, death, war, conflict, lies, fraud and propaganda, their entire edifice built on sand, NATO weak, showen up and found out, really found out, a toothless tiger, the U.S a paper tiger, only good at bombing innocents, woman, children, wedding and funeral parties, believing their own hubris in doing so that they are exceptional…. Haha hardly, time to get real I say and put an end to this and Russia again to regain its. Place as a true superpower, the U.S, U.K, NATO choking on their gum as they walk, try to spin their way out of this mess they have perpetuated… yes sirree, bring it on, no fear, nothing to fear… Kia Kaha from New Zealand
The Russians first target should be the Buckingham palace , with none nuclear warhead . England is richly deserve it . Just to send the only message that they understand . Otherwise when will , this mean sneaky assassination campaign stops ? If they want to escalate which is the plan anyway , then do it before they are more prepared . When the NATO start deploying missiles against Russia In the new member states , Finland , Sweden then the Russians are up against an uphill battle . Why wait until they are more deadly . ? Sometimes I am wandering if the whole game is rigged ? Just don't make sense not to respond to direct attack , because it is simply invite more and more .
Britain isn't a monarchy, it's been a republic since 1688. It has an executive president called the Prime Minister and has a unicameral legislature called the House of Commons. Best not to confuse shadow with substance.
all I can say as a former diplomat with only very modest military knowledge, Russia is a slow-moving giant. Its industry was in a semi-dormant state these years of false peace with the west. It is now awake, moving, developing with a massive infusion of investment. When the beast hits its stride, woe betide. The US is simply a disaster zone today, in all respects. And we try our best to spread the anarchy and destruction.
Not if they have no money to pay the bills. Because proverbial lights may go off without Russia's input. Plus sweet sweet deniability in case of civilian deaths caused by blackouts.
Russia keeps letting nato 💩 all over crimea and their black sea fleet. This was done to hurt Syria. Its frustrating how they just let nato terrorists get away with it over and over again.
All the Russians really need to do is NOT fuck up. Time is most definitely on their side. That 500k mobilization campaign makes me sick. Can’t imagine what it must be like living over there. Good Lord one would have to think some Ukrainians are in the mood to take that “join forces” guy seriously.
I believe Russia, China, BRICS etc are working out of the same playbook. It’s a series of Death by a Thousand Cuts strategy. They’re going to keep finding ways to engage the US in lower intensity conflicts. This to minimize large escalations I assume where neocons might panic. Keep the US spending more money as we head into this buzzsaw of an election cycle.
The events in Yemen are getting very interesting. I don’t say that with any amusement. At some point the combined cuts could very well find their way into an artery and the bloodletting in America will begin. We are sitting atop of a financial house of cards. This hegemony must retain 2 things to stay afloat. One would be unquestioned military dominance. Two would be the unrivaled economic supreme leader. It doesn’t fly without those 2 things IMHO.
This is what our adversaries are trying to exploit. They know that optimal slippage of either would be monumental in our unraveling. A death spiral that would accelerate very fast if it were suddenly to be revealed. This is a big reason for the endless propaganda we see. Shit never ends and understandably so. It’s a civilization game changer if not ender I suspect.
Israel appears to be a direct extension of that conundrum. I suspect those in the Global South know if they can embarrass them it would be a deep blow to the heart of the GAE. Same assholes run both.
This is what I think the plan is. The GS no doubt understands what the Western Elites had/have in mind for the world. They also understand all of the friction these elites have caused domestically with their migrant dumping and clown world bullshit. When the paper tiger slips the big war will most likely be right here between us citizens. No need for our adversaries to fire a shot.
As a NON-US citizen, I'm curious what would happen if, just before the election season started, Donald Trump is found to have been assassinated by a "disaffected ex-trump supporter", who also kills himself.
Do people simply rally around another establishment Republican, like Nikki Haley, or does all hell break loose.
That’s funny because you could almost consider me a disaffected Trump supporter lol. However I must admit if shit goes south I would much rather take my chances with Trump. And the very worst of America hates his guts. So for those two reasons alone I will not abandon him. He’s a true enigma tho.
To answer your hypothetical scenario I can say the answer is a resounding NO. There were be some that might but I would say 60% would sit it out. That includes DeSantis as well. Probably wouldn’t matter tho. Haley would lose in a “very tight contested race.” That would be the story I suspect.
Have war gamed this myself because it is a very real possibility. Trump’s security detail that he had prior to entering politics is probably the only reason he’s alive. And if “they” did do him I am certain they wouldn’t even try and hide it at this point just to rub it in.
The real question is what would happen if that happened. To be honest I can tell you probably nothing. I hate to say it but it’s hard to call especially with the propaganda/punishment machine standing up. The people need a leader to coalesce around. This is exactly why “they” hate Trump. It’s not him per say but the movement is organic unlike the ones from the left. Those types of movements can get very dangerous for governments to deal with; especially heavily armed ones.
You know what scares me most? If they just let Trump back in there without much commotion. Lol what would really freak me out. Whatever happens I am preparing for a crazy ass year. I will be very surprised if Christmas 2024 looks anything like those of the past. Seems the “elites” are prepping the masses for it right now. See that Civil War trailer that is to be released 2024.
Vivek Ramaswamy seems to be a wild card. Zionist Trump is dangerous as a pissed-off Honey Badger! He would have boots on the ground in the Middle East as fast as he could fuel up.
Stock up on beer, wine, essentials and snacks and stay safe.
2024 looks to be a wild one for the NAU. Multi-state secession is about the only option right now, sort out local governance and form new alliances.
That’s the part about Trump that has been hard for me to swallow. All these Zionists in these high level positions and no one mutters a word. Then you think what would happen if they were Chinese or Russians instead. I don’t trust Vivek either. He’s taking bribes from the money changers too.
Still they absolutely hate Trump. It’s well past the point of simply theatrics. “Their” media has been on him from day 1. Like i mentioned before it may have little to do with DT himself. It may have everything to do with trying to stifle the MAGA movement getting out of their control.
In the end I look at it like this. If I ever had to defend myself against those with certain backgrounds and/or genders I would want Trump in there. Not saying he would help but he’s the only I would somewhat hope might stick up for me if I was clearly in the right. And maybe there’s a chance Trump loses his shit and decides to cross the Rubicon at this point. It’s not likely but it’s impossible with any of the others.
Check this out from a Muslim dude. This is a guest post on The Tree of Woe. I chatted with him briefly last night on his substack (linked).
"That’s the part about Trump that has been hard for me to swallow. All these Zionists in these high level positions and no one mutters a word."
Exactly.
Trump is a mirror gazing Zionist who likely never read a book. Probably
couldn't locate Argentina on a map. Trump spent most of his horny youth boinking starlets and working overtime to get on the Society pages. Now we take him seriously?! If you have no background in geo-political realities or historical knowledge, you're entirely dependent on others to nudge you down the path. Those handlers are generously coughed up by the permanent REAL gubmint. That is the ivy league smarty pants-Skull and Bones creeps. New bosses same as the old bosses. The ones Halberstam wrote about in The Best and Brightest. If anyone different or interesting got close to the WH, they'd get the JFK-Dallas haircut--just a little off the top thanks. Nutty-Yahoo and his guys run the country-that is the USA. FJB went to the occupied place to give a wet kiss and hug to Bibi so the USA would be tied even more directly to the genocide. A bromance stamp of approval. Disgusting.
This bromance with Trump is another wrong turn on the path. It reminds me of the high school freshman who thinks the pretty girl who smiled at him on the way to biology class must REALLY, REALLY love him. Bigly SAD.
Strategically, the best outcome for the election at this point would be 4 more years of the ineffectual Brandon, countered by the narrow but divided Republican majority in congress, to assure the uni-party is effectively hamstrung as much as possible, as far as being able to agree on much of anything. The worst possible outcome would be either party achieving a legislative majority that could end up foaming the runway for a completely unrestrained military buildup and global war. Either Nikki Haley or Genocide Joe, with a congressional majority would unleash absolute hell on earth.
Not going to disagree with anything you just said but in the end I have to pull the lever for somebody. Give you a few good reasons why:
—I have to certainly to vote local anyway. Those races are harder to fix especially in red places. You don’t want your county/township infiltrated by Soros filth. Especially should the need arise to defend oneself. I might as well pull the lever for Trump when I am there.
—The cheating is going to be widespread and probably even worse than 2020. Fine, I say make them do it. Kudos to Trump for not letting them memory hole the shit. Every other R went right along with it….”nothing to see here.” I don’t care what DT’s reasons are (ego) but the cheating was off the charts bad. I watched those fuckers stop the vote cold in 6 states on election night. Was crazy as the lies the media went along with were on par with covid, Ukraine, Israel is good, etc. The Public must see this with their own eyes. Maybe this time they do. Once the normies lose faith in our systems/institutions they cease to function in the shadows. Then the elites must go full totalitarian.
—He literally may force The Left/Elite to meltdown and start the war. Just as they massaged the way in late 2020 for the election sham by telling us how it might appear Trump was way out on top yada bullshit; now they are conditioning the masses for Civil War (see new movie trailer).
Those are 3 solid reasons to vote for the SOB. It’s really nothing to lose at this point and a miracle could happen. I honestly can’t think of any negative reasons not to vote for him based on everything we just discussed. You can say your NOT going to just to make a point but those goddamn money changers will love that and normies will have no clue when it shows the race was tight but he lost.
I’m not voting for him to fix anything. We are long past that point IMO. The Republicans have done nothing to combat election fraud. I’m voting for him to be my own personal hand grenade.
I agree with most comments about Trump's weaknesses and political errors. No need to repeat.
BUT. Trump, with some seed money from his father, did build a business, worked his way through failures, and by any reasoned account was a successful Billionaire, long before Printed Money/Credit made most our current Billionaires.
And anyone who has ever built a building knows a few things about reality on the ground.
Biden? Who is next on the list for the Cabal? Oprah?
Nope don't think he would have boots on the ground. If he can resist the pushing by Pompeo, Bolton et al to go into Iran-- this is not one he will put boots in.
You might be right but we’re going to get it regardless I’m afraid. De dollarization and loss of military prowess to a fractured society at home; take your pick. And after J6 am not so certain Americans would do anything. They would certainly need a leader to step forward and fast (then they might). Trumps best move now would be to surround himself with men who would snap back and not be afraid to hit hard. Of course we know who he surrounded himself with last time.
It wouldn't happen, because as a result of his own buffoonery, Trump was the least consequential populist leader the US could have. Under Trump, the White House would not really control the actions of the state- just as today Biden himself is just led around by the hand and doesn't actually control anything.
Genuine question, do you think there is anyone in today's lineup presidential candidates that COULD control the actions of the state, or is this going to be the norm from now on?
I'd say, there is not. Not among the current choices.
It would take not only an extraordinary president (compared to what the political system generally produces), but also a strong, united (i.e. fat majority in both houses) and motivated Congress, at the same time.
So then you will write paragraphs, repeating all the media talking points about Trump and yet you admit there is no solution to the DC problem. I guess you are telling me without telling me that you are a true Democrat and everything is just how you like it as long as Trump is out?? Weird but OK
Presidents have marginal control of the situation. It's Congress that really matters. That's why FDR could get things done -- he had a big congressional majority.
The Q-anon psyop best characterizes the whole Trump phenomenon in U.S. politics. In fact, it seems that it was the CIA or DIA trolling the Tumptards. "Trust the plan." "Don't do anything dramatic as your every last right, including the right to leave your home is taken away." "A group of white hats has it under control, and Trump is coming to your rescue with a double-super-secret plan." All these Trumpers still still believe this same Q-anon psyop (even as they scurry away from the particular name Q-anon). Despite the entire Trump administration being comprised exclusively of Wall-Street bankers and rehashed former government failures from the Bush administration (whom the modern class of idiot Republicans insist they hate), despite Trump's half-assed attorneys (like drunken Giuliani and that crazy "Kraken" woman) discrediting his (otherwise valid) questions about the last election, depsite Trump's abandoning all his supporters who are now incarcerated following his stupid J6 protest (including making no efforts to raise funds for their legal defense or even utter one word questioning why his supporters are in jail), and despite Trump only ever talking about how bad things are for billionaire Trump (whereas every white and Asian male in the country is subject to an endless stream of discrimination from the legal system that is more lenient to blacks and takes away their children, to the university system that runs them out and teaches everyone to hate them, or to the job market where again they suffer discrimination), all these Trumpettes continue to support this useless, worse-than-useless, so-called candidate.
''It’s a series of Death by a Thousand Cuts strategy.'' - I 100% agree and it has been decades in the planning. If you look at the entire history of BRICS you can see the start.
I would like to recommend to you a watch of some of this womans videos. International finance and she is clear about what is happening and what will happen : https://www.youtube.com/@lenapetrova
Australia & Spain have just middle fingered Yankeeland over military support in the Red Sea.
The E.U. And NATO are both fracturing.
I would hate to be a Yank at the moment given all the crap that is about to start happening internally. It will be a severe Winter,(global warming and all). I hope you have woolly blankets.
You forgot the main part-- good luck to Europe--no gas, worse winter and economy (esp Germany) imploding. Add the Red Sea/canal as a hot zone (major importer/exporter of European goods/oil) and heh as a Canadian I would take a US "winter" WAY over that.
BTW no snow here in Toronto or even more telling Montreal. Helps with the gas bill 😊
If you hadn't realised it, the Houthi's have totally exposed the fact that American military might has been totally lost. They're not scared of a multi billion dollar carrier group one bit. We are talking about the Houthi's, not Iran or a peer equal like Russia or China. Or even one of the most heavily armed countries on the planet N.Korea. If the US tries something stupid against Iran. It will start WW3. Simply because Iran will decimate any US or NATO forces in their region. Leaving the US no option but to play the nuclear card. The US military has lost its fear factor massively. On your 2nd point, the only thing keeping the US financial show on the road is the dollars status as the world's reserve. The BRICS countries might take a decade to destroy that position. But it's started in a huge way already. If the US ruling administration does what it's done every time US financial experts tell them not to do a certain move against Russia (sanctions, oil price cap). They go ahead & do it anyway, they will most likely do the most stupid move of all & steel the Russian assets in western banks. Every single country will think straight away, if we don't get our money out of these western banks we'll be next. The US isn't the most reliable partner is it? Doing that move will accelerate every BRICS country in their moves to steer well clear of the dollar & the US financial system. The US will lose the ability to just print its way out of the mess it's in financially. Unless there's a dramatic change in US foreign policy, I'm sorry to say the whole of the western financial system will collapse. Not just the US.
Could it even be possible that the ship exploded because of something that happened ON THE SHIP? Something such as accidental mishandling of ammunition?
“ The fact that the AD could not somehow cope with that number of missiles is a pretty damning indication of something going critically wrong with Russian planning in this sector.”
Or maybe Ukraine was right when they claimed, few months ago, that they hit many S-300/400 sites and destroy parts of the systems…
It's as plausible as Ukrainian claim that Russia is out of tanks. Russia have ungodly amounts of S-300 since forever. Simplest explanation is they are fucked up and missed an attack
“ All these anti-aircraft missiles had been detected and identified in advance by American and British RQ-4B "Global Hawk" strategic radar reconnaissance UAVs barreling over the Black Sea 24 hours earlier.”
Does Russians Mig-31 still fly 24h over Black see with Khinzals?
Can Russia military use their radars to detect Storm Shadows and other plains…?
Imagine a scenario where a full complement of NATO tomahawk missiles and other long range strike platforms are deployed. They will be devastating. I understand what Putin meant now when he said they need to work on AD
I do not need to imagine that, I live in Serbia and I have vivid memories about NATO striking for 72 days…
But I also know how NATO for 72 days of air superiority manage to destroy 7 out of 300 tanks at Kosovo and Metohija and manage to kill more than 3000 civilians and 1005 soldiers.
Nasty American Terrorist Organisation that SHOULD have ceased to exist after Glasnost but Yankeeland got loose and free with the threats and intimidation to keep and expand it
Basically Western Europe has been under Yankee occupation and control for 78 years now.
USSR airforce was comparable or greater than than of all NATO combined. So there is a possibility that Russia will reach the same potential in time. However I think their goal now is to use highly advanced and numerous ground IAD with airfoce.
I seem to remember NATO war planning being contingent on eliminating a lot of the USSR air force in the early days of a fight. An unrealistic culling, in my view. It was dependent on things like the F-15 being superior to Soviet interceptors and such. Today, what is that, the F-22? And exactly how many do we have? (precisely 187 in toto)
Illustrative of the bankruptcy of NATO war planning.
This is incorrect. Russia never deemed surface navy and air power as lynchpin of their strategy. They always prioritized air defence over planes and submarines over surface navy. Guess what, if you brisk over current parity between choices, they were correct. Aircraft carriers are just large coffins and aircraft is AD fodder. It's simple. Bigger bang for a buck
Aircraft carriers are large coffins? How many aircraft carriers have been hit - let alone sunk - in the last 50 years? And please don't play armchair admiral. Air power and aircraft carriers have allowed the US to put the majority of the earth within range of strike aircraft with conventional munitions, a feat that no other nation can claim.
Best not to be guilty of hubris, ya? That's what torpedoed the so called Western coalition against Ru now. But this war ain't over by a long shot and there's plenty of stupid shit the likes of Biden, Sunak, Scholz, and the rest of them can do
It isn't even my words. That what many prominent admirals said in past 50 years. If you think that aircraft carrier will survive a modest salvo of modern hypersonic missiles (which outrange carrier group reach at least 5 times), you are moron and should lay away this western hurrah cool aid you guzzling on
Many prominent everything have said all kinds of nonsense that proved to be laughably untrue, namely against Russia. And you can drop dead with your moron name calling, asshole. Everyone's a tough guy on the Internet.
“ And even in the event that the surveillance radars of individual SAMs near Ordzhonikidze and Koktebel were able to detect SCALP-EG SAMs flying towards Feodosia, there was very little time left for tying up their path, capturing and intercepting them before they were hidden behind the ridges of the mountains again.”
And last note: we saw few months ago on your blog how Russians using Pantsir destroy Storm Shadow although they detect it only few km away… it was same situation wheh Storm Shadow was hidden by terrain.
The Black sea fleet is the weakest link. They get dunked on repeatedly. It's kind of embarrassing Russia keeps allowing nato to crap all over crimea and the black sea fleet. They literally can't stop it
He can't really remove the black sea fleet, otherwise NATO MIGHT be able to operate warships in that area without contest. Yes, turkey currently opposes NATO warships there, but it's never a good idea to rely on the mercy of the Turks. IF NATO were to send in warships to "protect the grain corridor", the fleet would be imperative to engage them.
At the same time, Ukraine no longer has a surface fleet, so there isn't exactly anything for the black sea fleet to engage right now. Sure, they could launch Kalibr missiles at targets, but it's cheaper and faster to just launch them from airfields now.
So it's not exactly the black sea fleets fault, but they don't really have a role now except being there in case there MIGHT be a role for them later. Removing them via that canals means it'll be quite slow and tedious to get them back if and when you need them.
NATO(US) covets and has coveted the Black Sea ports forever, it is a wet dream for Washington. And the current setof lunatics directing our policy toward Russia think somehow they can pull it off, just snatch it from Russia, nyah nyah. What fools we have running our governments -- straight to hell.
IF President Putin was not as careful and conservative in his approach, I think our "idiots" in DC would have us in a direct conflict. Media keeps talking about regime change in Russia and I think they truly are lunatics. The chance of Russia's next leader taking a harder line seems great. I am not any kind of expert, just observing the general mood. I think the world knows and strongly believes Russia is on the right side of this conflict and world politics in general. When the people believe the government is representing the will of most Russians they will support it much more than for example Americans
I agree. Not to forget that the British MoD seems to want to refight the Crimean War in the Black Sea if it can find any ships that actually work. Stopping Russia from sailing its ships out of the the straits into the Mediterranean (a kind of British lake in the days of the empire) was a preoccupation of the empire right through the nineteenth century.
yes, the Dardanelles. Turkey is lucky it controls the Straits because otherwise the US would put Turkey on its enemy list for treason to America. Everybody bent on some dastardly deed or war wants America to arm him and back him up, but none of such are worthy allies. Too bad. It seems it is the only kind of ally the US has anymore.
If the. Ammo on the ship was destined for Syria, it could imply the U.S.and it's allies in the Levant are going to turn east and secure Israel's borders with Lebanon and Syria as the IDF crushes Hamas and Hezbollah.
Good point and very good probability
Yeah, not too likely Russia is going to ship ammo via a troop transport.
Yep, in the Era of missiles and drones, it is very hard to keep surface ships intact in such a confined area.
Point defense systems designed for such things are in the pipeline, but not yet widely available. We will see if Russia can find a solution.
This is why Russia must take the entire coast line
Yep
Thought you decided to migrate over to Newseek war porn where the intellect level is more suited toward your limitations.
27 December 2023 FT The EU finds some Ukraine money
EU readies E20B plan to fund Ukraine
https://www.ft.com/content/7ef39cca-262d-4c52-8b59-1ac008ca7f56
Borrow the money, maybe by March…..this would be a loans, not a grant, so it’s win win for the EU, not so much for Ukraine, if it ever comes off
Even tho’ the EIU would prefer to get Hungary on board for the usual unanimous, this makes Plan B looks a little tentative
It’s also ‘a promise’
I thought deals had already been signed with Blackrock last October?
Deals? There's lots of people going round saying they want this and they want that, and they can raise this or that money, er 'funds' - but, greedy as these fools are, they have people who tell them how tiny the chance Ukraine has of being able to deliver anything
They're like the US EU they'll loan money at bad rates, maybe
Is any one, apart from the Council of Europe, desperate enough to bid on Lithium mining rights in the Donbass?
I wonder why the ship was loaded with ammo and where it was headed. Given it's normal role of supplying Russian forces in Syria, I'd assume that it would have been taking the munitions to Syria and the Levant has, eh, some interesting things going on. If so, there are other actors interested in it's destruction. That doesn't necessarily mean Israel or United States necessarily got their hands dirty, but they do have good contacts in Ukrainian high command that they can control presumably.
Hard to say. It might not have been loaded with ammo at all. I like to stick to facts or at least point out when we're speculating. Everything known about the destruction is 100% speculation. The ammo may have very well been sitting on the dock next to the ship and exploded. No one truly knows.
However, if the ship *was* loaded with ammo then it was very unprofessional and irresponsible given that we have satellite proof the ship was there for at least the previous day if not longer, which means it would have been sitting there unloaded, full of ammo, for potentially days--which should be a huge red flag. The ammo should be offloaded immediately on principle.
But once again--we're just guessing here, we don't know for a fact. For all we know ammo wasn't even involved in any way and the large explosion seen was in fact just oil/gas tankers on the dock.
There are endless factors to it and only the pro-UA side jumps to conclusions with zero informational hygiene because they're desperate for any win they can cling to.
This strike more than the previous ones is a bit mysterious due to the lack of verifiable information, perhaps partly owing to the fact it happened at 3am while some of the others were during daytime.
I disagree. This was a militarily insignificant attack. Like V1 and V2 attacks on London while the Reich was under siege. If it keeps morale up, great, but it does nothing to help them win and probably makes things worse.
As for shells or no shells, Russia makes enough to again not be significant. These things happen in war.
you didnt take in consideration 3rd and IMO most likely scenario
so there wasnt any salvo. and huge land to pass through. its very strange and weird
cause its huge salvo usually. plus its sus report about shot down ukie planes and there is NO evidence of flying by rockets. and people HAD to see or capture if 4-8 cruise missile fly by above their heads and cities.. there is no evidence of shot down rocket no photo etc. they didnt show it. as they usually do. so was it 1 single rocket?
or what possible scenario is so bad that you need to create this sus missle attack.
what kind of bad scenrio?
fpv drone on a spot? no. so what is it
i see 2 scenarios only that happen.
1) inaccurate operation with munition and detonation.
2) internal sabotage. this is worst scenario that is so bad so you need to create unexistent ukraine rocket attack. cause army reputation would be terrible if ppl will start talking that ru soldiers blowing up own ships.
i think one of these 2 scenarios happen. cause no flying by missiles. no working anti air. no shot down missiles. if they had 4-8 (1 plane can carry up yo 4 missiles) they should show at least some of them shot down or people should hear and record this.
all IMO
I would go with a dew strike similar to moskva
lol what? moskva had malfunction anti air rocket that exploded
Simp said he suspects a underwater drone
Like the nordstream was attacked by russia? And 9 11 was done by ayrabs?
the US hands are on everything in Ukraine, take it to the bank. War criminals, we are, cowering behind those stupid enough to die for our military-industrial complex sales charts and murdering right and left. And mouthing empty pieties that pretty much nobody buys anymore except for the dummies in the US Uniparty.
AFAIK Turkyie doesn't let any warships through Bosphorus. I don't know how Russia is supplying Tartarus. Perhaps they're sending ships from St. Petersburg?
I am presuming such also. I'm sure air transport is used quite a bit too.
or United States necessarily got their hands dirty
every attack planned by USA or NATO officers. Evrything in Ukieland under direct control of NATO
what do you mean doesnt mean
if it was rocket - its 100% US UK job
I know you read this because you cited Putin's meeting with Shoigu in the frigate's wardroom:
Putin: "Indeed, there are at least two positive effects here. The first is that we are moving the enemy's combat units away from Donetsk. And secondly, by breaking into this fortified area, which the enemy has been building since 2014, in fact, built a significant number of reinforced concrete fortifications and communication passages there, ***by breaking into this fortified area, our troops are able to reach a wider operational space***. This is, of course, a matter for local commanders, specialists of the General Staff and the Ministry of Defense, but it is a separate issue. But, in any case, ***such an opportunity appears on this site"***. https://karlof1.substack.com/p/our-christmas-is-ordinary-work-day
My comment is the battlefield's now being shaped while Ukie lines shrink in size and manpower. The initial, 8-9+ year FEBA is finally being broken at great cost to Ukies. The scene at Maryinka is one of utter devastation, making Shoigu's description accurate. And IMO, the new major is a testimony to the survivability of Russian armor. No respite after Maryinka is also a sign.
The fact that Russia is able to muster a hammer with which to shatter the defenses that Ukraine has been building up and planning a war in for a decade should be a grave warning to Ukrainians who think there is a way for them to "win" in their newly built, untested, and perhaps shoddily and hastily built trenches and bunkers wherever they are building them behind the current lines.
As Russia advances beyond the FEBA, the tree lines in will encounter won't all be manned and fortified making advancement painful in both speed and casualties. Same with the ability of the remaining Ukie artillery to slow or halt advances as they too will be retreating leaving them exposed to drone attacks. One key is to force Ukies to employ whatever reserves remain and thus empty that resource, which is why the constant press forward must continue. Once the initiative is acquired by one side, it must take advantage for to pause allows it to be lost, and it's difficult to regain. The next urban battleground appears to be Chasiv Yar, although it's not the only one. Avdeevka looks like it will become a cauldron perhaps as soon as New Year's Day, but we shall see.
Thank you for the article and best wishes to you for Christmas and the New Year Simplicius. I do not think the strike on the ship was effected by the scalp missiles but agree with you that either sabotage or nearby launched drone strike was the cause. It has eerie similarities to the Moskova. However, we wait and see. The Russian Mod does an expert job on being "quiet" in these situations and there maybe some foul play behind the scenes. Or a total screw up in AD, which does not fit recent history.
One of the reasons it's a bit more mysterious is it happened in the dead of night at 3am, while some of the other strikes, like the Askold last month, were during the day allowing more camera footage, etc. However we do have *some* footage of the strike and there's no indication of any missiles of any type, including Russian AD active, which is quite strange. The port is cordoned off with water barricades so no naval drone could have gotten in either, so the only other culprit would be local FPV drone sabotage. But that raises the question why would Russian MOD then lie about missiles, etc., so there are many questions.
It just happened and everybody is just guessing , including the Russian MOD . False assumption is not necessarily a lie . The opportunistic attack with FPV drone is more likely just when refueling . If it is a coordinated attack with satellites , that is preplanned way ahead , and how the planners know what sort of ship will park there any given time . Or if they have an observed pattern where and what kind of ship parking where , then why they wouldn't target a militarily more valuable missile cruiser ?
@Simplicius
Without a look at the damage to the hull, determining if the attack was air or water born is impossible. But:
Considering the lack of EW interception or AA launch before that ship strike at the dock, a likely scenario is an underwater attack.
Too big an explosion for swimmers, IMHO.Most likely a submarine drone, they're fairly well defended against the surface drones now.
Possibilities for an airborne attack that "strike" me are, they've either been desperate/stupid enough to deploy an F117 (and a western pilot!) in theater with a large glide bomb, or have "stealthed" some subsonic cruise/anti ship missiles. Carrying out the attack @ 03:00 suggests that whatever was used might have been visible to human eyeballs or loud enough for people to hear and notice, even if RADAR/SONAR were blind to the incoming munition.
I note that all though the F117 is "retired", they are not totally inactive, in fact, they are being flown occasionally, maintained & some have even been refurbished. Surely they haven't been training some Ukrainians to FLY them?!
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/retired-f-117-nighthawks-may-fly-for-another-decade
If so, I feel sorry for them. Mainly because the F-117 is *observable* at this point and also lacks much in the way of defensive capability or agility to get out of the situation.
We'd be better off sending them just regular fighters.
@HBI
A clever Russian programmer figured out how to spot them very early on- Tasked a computer to find rapidly moving BLANK "bubble" anomalys in the RADAR return, zones with no normal background of static & etc. rather than looking for reflected returns as is conventionally done. Because the F117 is not transparent to the background noise radiating from whatever is behind it...
My money is still on a submarine drone, possibly piggybacked into the Caspian by a grain ship.
I didn't know that, but it makes sense. The Serbs shot one down with a SA-3. The presumption was that actual Russian radars with 60+ years of enhancement would get them even more easily.
@HBI
The Serbs made use of two things to down that infamous F117, the fact that the F117 loses "stealth" from some aspects when the weapons bay is opened and the idiocy of USAF pilots in using the same approach vector and flight profile to a targeted area repeatedly. They set up on the repeatedly used vector, waited for the next attack, strobed the RADAR and fired when the plane obligingly opened its bay and allowed an ordinary RADAR to lock on with their Soviet era AA system RIGHT where they expected it might.
Even stealth aircraft aren't INVISIBLE. And you can't count on ALL your opponent being less imaginative, observant & intelligent than your own flying officers.
Sad. During WWII they drilled the pilots flying ground attack missions in Europe NOT to EVER immediately turn and take a second pass, NOT use the same approach vector if going back to a target the next day & etc.. Because someone will damn well lay a gun on your expected approach vector and WAIT for you to return if you let them.
SA-3 is NATO reporting name, its actual name is S-125.
F117 got shot down by ancient S-125 missile, S-400 would have blown it out of the sky a hundred kilometers away.
How would a FPV drone destroy an entire ship?
Here's a revealing peice of MSM news "With the United States stretched thin by the wars in Ukraine and the Gaza Strip...." Full article here : https://www.smh.com.au/world/asia/japan-wants-a-stronger-military-but-where-will-it-find-the-troops-20231215-p5ervj.html
You know Simplicius, it’s really time for Russia to up the ante on the vile U.S Warmongers and their always willing and ever so compliant English public school, bum chum’s.
Time long overdue Vladimir Putin on behalf of his nation advise directly to the U.S, U.K, the stuttering, doddering, hand waving fool, Doltenberg, his trusty side kicks, the despicable and truly odious, Ursula “Can Always am a” Liar and “Jungle” Josep Borrell, as well as that true dropkick lame and shitzen for brains, new U.K Defence Minister, that if they persist in having personnel in a theatre of war, whilst insisting they are not in Direct Conflict with Russia, well they are now all targets, Russia has a bounty on the heads of all non Ukrainian combatants in the theatre, as for International Law, breaking the so called Rules of Engagement, well I’m sure many Russians as well as those of us around the World have a large middle index finger, we can rightly show them in response, further, any attacks on the homeland of Russia, will be treated as an act of overt aggression against the Russian State that will reserve the right to respond in kind on the homeland and cities or towns of equal size as that subject to such filth and attack.
High time this nuanced dance on a pinhead stopped, got stopped dead in its tracks, there will never ever be a better time to call these cowards out, all Russia needs to is present it’s evidence of U.S, U.K, Foreign involvement in the theatre before a special meeting of the UNSC and to make its declaration.
Then we can see them truly shitzen themselves, literally, there is no way they can respond to such a declaration, they are spent, they’ve all gotten off, shot their loads so to speak in this group orgy of unmitigated lies, death and destruction they have perpetuated, makes my blood boil, I’m heartily sick of the deceit, the lies, derision, maligning, mocking, denigrating a wonderful nation state, no worse than any other, indeed despite any shortcomings, it stacks up much better than those spreading freedom, democracy, western liberal values, the LGBTQ+, Homo, Pedophile, Transgender sex change available on 6 month olds who know for sure if they are the wrong gender, the Pedophile centric agenda underscored Gavin Newsom, California Governor legislating it’s OK, LAWFUL IN Ca, for pedophiles, actually MAPS - Minor Attracted Persons Sexually, as they’ve been redefined, rebranded, to have sex with minors just so long as the age difference isn’t greater than 10 or 11 years, truly sick and makes you wonder just what constituent base is he appealing to enacting such filth, just as bad the pre Roe v Wade precedent overturn in the SCOTUS, whereby Newsom, New York and a handful of other truly enlightened States had enacted amendments to their abortion legislation enabling abortion to include up to but not exceeding 28 days post delivery… now that is truly appeasement to Moloch, to Baal, pure evil…
Nope, time to put an end to this crap, to the greed and avarice driven billionaires who literally do “get off” fomenting, planning, coercing government into these Wars and Conflicts, wreaking chaos, death, destruction, injury, misery upon their own service men and women as well as their proxies doing the fighting on their behalf…
Either that I say or fornicate them fiscally, establish the gold backed Ruble, the Gold Backed BRICS+ SCO, EEAU trading currency, at once, hit them where it hurts most, fiscally, sure financial chaos in the west will ensue, par for the course, but this has been gamed, Russia, China, Turkey, Saudi, UAE, Brazil, South Africa, Iran, Mexico, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, Brunei, along with many second tier Nations,, who will as a result eventually from the detritus resulting of such a move emerge and rightfully, victorious, as dominant economic powers taking with them many in the global south, the rest of the globe, who have had their economies manipulated through the contrived boom, bust cycles that has littered their collective economic history thus far, who have been buying the yellow stuff by the tonne, whilst the West, Europe, will sink under the weight of their debt, talk about a dichotomy, tipping it upside down, about time I say, let’s see how they manage a contrived, orchestrated economic attack, ruin, just as they enjoy subjecting the aforementioned nations to… bring it on, gloves off, never a better moment, you have to pick your moments in history to act, this is just such a moment…. everything to gain, nothing to lose… let’s watch these arses truly squirm, destroyed as they will be upon the altar of lies, debt, greed, avarice, death, war, conflict, lies, fraud and propaganda, their entire edifice built on sand, NATO weak, showen up and found out, really found out, a toothless tiger, the U.S a paper tiger, only good at bombing innocents, woman, children, wedding and funeral parties, believing their own hubris in doing so that they are exceptional…. Haha hardly, time to get real I say and put an end to this and Russia again to regain its. Place as a true superpower, the U.S, U.K, NATO choking on their gum as they walk, try to spin their way out of this mess they have perpetuated… yes sirree, bring it on, no fear, nothing to fear… Kia Kaha from New Zealand
Mr. Putin started his war against Yankee hegemony decades ago before Glasnost with the FSB.
He has worked a long time on a level playing field multipolar international trading environment and that is closer every day.
Yankeelands knee-jerk of more sanctions yesterday : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D9gOeF4kWbY will only accelerate the process.
There WILL be a great reset - Just not the one the global communist planned for.
The Russians first target should be the Buckingham palace , with none nuclear warhead . England is richly deserve it . Just to send the only message that they understand . Otherwise when will , this mean sneaky assassination campaign stops ? If they want to escalate which is the plan anyway , then do it before they are more prepared . When the NATO start deploying missiles against Russia In the new member states , Finland , Sweden then the Russians are up against an uphill battle . Why wait until they are more deadly . ? Sometimes I am wandering if the whole game is rigged ? Just don't make sense not to respond to direct attack , because it is simply invite more and more .
I sympathize with your desire re: the UK Monarchy/Rothschild cabal. Be patient🥰
Britain isn't a monarchy, it's been a republic since 1688. It has an executive president called the Prime Minister and has a unicameral legislature called the House of Commons. Best not to confuse shadow with substance.
Thr shadow gov rules. The republics r just a facade
The republic isn't a democracy, it is the shadow govt.
all I can say as a former diplomat with only very modest military knowledge, Russia is a slow-moving giant. Its industry was in a semi-dormant state these years of false peace with the west. It is now awake, moving, developing with a massive infusion of investment. When the beast hits its stride, woe betide. The US is simply a disaster zone today, in all respects. And we try our best to spread the anarchy and destruction.
Oh i am ending them no worries. Expect good news spring 2024
Looks like Russia is not denergizing Ukraine this winter.
To be 100% clear, Ukraine is already importing electricity. Last year at this time, it was selling it (for huge profits).
Doesn't matter, as long as the proverbial lights stay on.
Not if they have no money to pay the bills. Because proverbial lights may go off without Russia's input. Plus sweet sweet deniability in case of civilian deaths caused by blackouts.
Well, the money is being arranged, so to speak.
Russia keeps letting nato 💩 all over crimea and their black sea fleet. This was done to hurt Syria. Its frustrating how they just let nato terrorists get away with it over and over again.
Well, I agree in part. But you will see that Russia will get the last laugh in the end, and it will be a big one.
Exactly-patience-- a less considered virtue here in the West unfortunately
All the Russians really need to do is NOT fuck up. Time is most definitely on their side. That 500k mobilization campaign makes me sick. Can’t imagine what it must be like living over there. Good Lord one would have to think some Ukrainians are in the mood to take that “join forces” guy seriously.
I believe Russia, China, BRICS etc are working out of the same playbook. It’s a series of Death by a Thousand Cuts strategy. They’re going to keep finding ways to engage the US in lower intensity conflicts. This to minimize large escalations I assume where neocons might panic. Keep the US spending more money as we head into this buzzsaw of an election cycle.
The events in Yemen are getting very interesting. I don’t say that with any amusement. At some point the combined cuts could very well find their way into an artery and the bloodletting in America will begin. We are sitting atop of a financial house of cards. This hegemony must retain 2 things to stay afloat. One would be unquestioned military dominance. Two would be the unrivaled economic supreme leader. It doesn’t fly without those 2 things IMHO.
This is what our adversaries are trying to exploit. They know that optimal slippage of either would be monumental in our unraveling. A death spiral that would accelerate very fast if it were suddenly to be revealed. This is a big reason for the endless propaganda we see. Shit never ends and understandably so. It’s a civilization game changer if not ender I suspect.
Israel appears to be a direct extension of that conundrum. I suspect those in the Global South know if they can embarrass them it would be a deep blow to the heart of the GAE. Same assholes run both.
This is what I think the plan is. The GS no doubt understands what the Western Elites had/have in mind for the world. They also understand all of the friction these elites have caused domestically with their migrant dumping and clown world bullshit. When the paper tiger slips the big war will most likely be right here between us citizens. No need for our adversaries to fire a shot.
As a NON-US citizen, I'm curious what would happen if, just before the election season started, Donald Trump is found to have been assassinated by a "disaffected ex-trump supporter", who also kills himself.
Do people simply rally around another establishment Republican, like Nikki Haley, or does all hell break loose.
That’s funny because you could almost consider me a disaffected Trump supporter lol. However I must admit if shit goes south I would much rather take my chances with Trump. And the very worst of America hates his guts. So for those two reasons alone I will not abandon him. He’s a true enigma tho.
To answer your hypothetical scenario I can say the answer is a resounding NO. There were be some that might but I would say 60% would sit it out. That includes DeSantis as well. Probably wouldn’t matter tho. Haley would lose in a “very tight contested race.” That would be the story I suspect.
Have war gamed this myself because it is a very real possibility. Trump’s security detail that he had prior to entering politics is probably the only reason he’s alive. And if “they” did do him I am certain they wouldn’t even try and hide it at this point just to rub it in.
The real question is what would happen if that happened. To be honest I can tell you probably nothing. I hate to say it but it’s hard to call especially with the propaganda/punishment machine standing up. The people need a leader to coalesce around. This is exactly why “they” hate Trump. It’s not him per say but the movement is organic unlike the ones from the left. Those types of movements can get very dangerous for governments to deal with; especially heavily armed ones.
You know what scares me most? If they just let Trump back in there without much commotion. Lol what would really freak me out. Whatever happens I am preparing for a crazy ass year. I will be very surprised if Christmas 2024 looks anything like those of the past. Seems the “elites” are prepping the masses for it right now. See that Civil War trailer that is to be released 2024.
Vivek Ramaswamy seems to be a wild card. Zionist Trump is dangerous as a pissed-off Honey Badger! He would have boots on the ground in the Middle East as fast as he could fuel up.
Stock up on beer, wine, essentials and snacks and stay safe.
2024 looks to be a wild one for the NAU. Multi-state secession is about the only option right now, sort out local governance and form new alliances.
That’s the part about Trump that has been hard for me to swallow. All these Zionists in these high level positions and no one mutters a word. Then you think what would happen if they were Chinese or Russians instead. I don’t trust Vivek either. He’s taking bribes from the money changers too.
Still they absolutely hate Trump. It’s well past the point of simply theatrics. “Their” media has been on him from day 1. Like i mentioned before it may have little to do with DT himself. It may have everything to do with trying to stifle the MAGA movement getting out of their control.
In the end I look at it like this. If I ever had to defend myself against those with certain backgrounds and/or genders I would want Trump in there. Not saying he would help but he’s the only I would somewhat hope might stick up for me if I was clearly in the right. And maybe there’s a chance Trump loses his shit and decides to cross the Rubicon at this point. It’s not likely but it’s impossible with any of the others.
Check this out from a Muslim dude. This is a guest post on The Tree of Woe. I chatted with him briefly last night on his substack (linked).
https://treeofwoe.substack.com/p/the-great-satan-and-the-last-man?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=99806&post_id=139944243&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=nvvvu&utm_medium=email
"That’s the part about Trump that has been hard for me to swallow. All these Zionists in these high level positions and no one mutters a word."
Exactly.
Trump is a mirror gazing Zionist who likely never read a book. Probably
couldn't locate Argentina on a map. Trump spent most of his horny youth boinking starlets and working overtime to get on the Society pages. Now we take him seriously?! If you have no background in geo-political realities or historical knowledge, you're entirely dependent on others to nudge you down the path. Those handlers are generously coughed up by the permanent REAL gubmint. That is the ivy league smarty pants-Skull and Bones creeps. New bosses same as the old bosses. The ones Halberstam wrote about in The Best and Brightest. If anyone different or interesting got close to the WH, they'd get the JFK-Dallas haircut--just a little off the top thanks. Nutty-Yahoo and his guys run the country-that is the USA. FJB went to the occupied place to give a wet kiss and hug to Bibi so the USA would be tied even more directly to the genocide. A bromance stamp of approval. Disgusting.
This bromance with Trump is another wrong turn on the path. It reminds me of the high school freshman who thinks the pretty girl who smiled at him on the way to biology class must REALLY, REALLY love him. Bigly SAD.
Strategically, the best outcome for the election at this point would be 4 more years of the ineffectual Brandon, countered by the narrow but divided Republican majority in congress, to assure the uni-party is effectively hamstrung as much as possible, as far as being able to agree on much of anything. The worst possible outcome would be either party achieving a legislative majority that could end up foaming the runway for a completely unrestrained military buildup and global war. Either Nikki Haley or Genocide Joe, with a congressional majority would unleash absolute hell on earth.
FJB?
Not going to disagree with anything you just said but in the end I have to pull the lever for somebody. Give you a few good reasons why:
—I have to certainly to vote local anyway. Those races are harder to fix especially in red places. You don’t want your county/township infiltrated by Soros filth. Especially should the need arise to defend oneself. I might as well pull the lever for Trump when I am there.
—The cheating is going to be widespread and probably even worse than 2020. Fine, I say make them do it. Kudos to Trump for not letting them memory hole the shit. Every other R went right along with it….”nothing to see here.” I don’t care what DT’s reasons are (ego) but the cheating was off the charts bad. I watched those fuckers stop the vote cold in 6 states on election night. Was crazy as the lies the media went along with were on par with covid, Ukraine, Israel is good, etc. The Public must see this with their own eyes. Maybe this time they do. Once the normies lose faith in our systems/institutions they cease to function in the shadows. Then the elites must go full totalitarian.
—He literally may force The Left/Elite to meltdown and start the war. Just as they massaged the way in late 2020 for the election sham by telling us how it might appear Trump was way out on top yada bullshit; now they are conditioning the masses for Civil War (see new movie trailer).
Those are 3 solid reasons to vote for the SOB. It’s really nothing to lose at this point and a miracle could happen. I honestly can’t think of any negative reasons not to vote for him based on everything we just discussed. You can say your NOT going to just to make a point but those goddamn money changers will love that and normies will have no clue when it shows the race was tight but he lost.
I’m not voting for him to fix anything. We are long past that point IMO. The Republicans have done nothing to combat election fraud. I’m voting for him to be my own personal hand grenade.
I agree with most comments about Trump's weaknesses and political errors. No need to repeat.
BUT. Trump, with some seed money from his father, did build a business, worked his way through failures, and by any reasoned account was a successful Billionaire, long before Printed Money/Credit made most our current Billionaires.
And anyone who has ever built a building knows a few things about reality on the ground.
Biden? Who is next on the list for the Cabal? Oprah?
🙄 spoken like my TDS relatives in NYC.
As a strategist facing the qabal forces, i am not relying solely on donald or vladimir or rfk jr. My lineup is more positional in chess checkmates.
Nope don't think he would have boots on the ground. If he can resist the pushing by Pompeo, Bolton et al to go into Iran-- this is not one he will put boots in.
How many "elites" would survive, even in their bunkers?
Killing Trump would be the wet bale of hay that broke America's back.
You might be right but we’re going to get it regardless I’m afraid. De dollarization and loss of military prowess to a fractured society at home; take your pick. And after J6 am not so certain Americans would do anything. They would certainly need a leader to step forward and fast (then they might). Trumps best move now would be to surround himself with men who would snap back and not be afraid to hit hard. Of course we know who he surrounded himself with last time.
It wouldn't happen, because as a result of his own buffoonery, Trump was the least consequential populist leader the US could have. Under Trump, the White House would not really control the actions of the state- just as today Biden himself is just led around by the hand and doesn't actually control anything.
Genuine question, do you think there is anyone in today's lineup presidential candidates that COULD control the actions of the state, or is this going to be the norm from now on?
It is impossible to control the deep dark state. They answer to bhaal belial pedos. Not to you or even me.
I'd say, there is not. Not among the current choices.
It would take not only an extraordinary president (compared to what the political system generally produces), but also a strong, united (i.e. fat majority in both houses) and motivated Congress, at the same time.
So then you will write paragraphs, repeating all the media talking points about Trump and yet you admit there is no solution to the DC problem. I guess you are telling me without telling me that you are a true Democrat and everything is just how you like it as long as Trump is out?? Weird but OK
Presidents have marginal control of the situation. It's Congress that really matters. That's why FDR could get things done -- he had a big congressional majority.
The Q-anon psyop best characterizes the whole Trump phenomenon in U.S. politics. In fact, it seems that it was the CIA or DIA trolling the Tumptards. "Trust the plan." "Don't do anything dramatic as your every last right, including the right to leave your home is taken away." "A group of white hats has it under control, and Trump is coming to your rescue with a double-super-secret plan." All these Trumpers still still believe this same Q-anon psyop (even as they scurry away from the particular name Q-anon). Despite the entire Trump administration being comprised exclusively of Wall-Street bankers and rehashed former government failures from the Bush administration (whom the modern class of idiot Republicans insist they hate), despite Trump's half-assed attorneys (like drunken Giuliani and that crazy "Kraken" woman) discrediting his (otherwise valid) questions about the last election, depsite Trump's abandoning all his supporters who are now incarcerated following his stupid J6 protest (including making no efforts to raise funds for their legal defense or even utter one word questioning why his supporters are in jail), and despite Trump only ever talking about how bad things are for billionaire Trump (whereas every white and Asian male in the country is subject to an endless stream of discrimination from the legal system that is more lenient to blacks and takes away their children, to the university system that runs them out and teaches everyone to hate them, or to the job market where again they suffer discrimination), all these Trumpettes continue to support this useless, worse-than-useless, so-called candidate.
The usa would break up and most states. Secede
''It’s a series of Death by a Thousand Cuts strategy.'' - I 100% agree and it has been decades in the planning. If you look at the entire history of BRICS you can see the start.
I would like to recommend to you a watch of some of this womans videos. International finance and she is clear about what is happening and what will happen : https://www.youtube.com/@lenapetrova
Australia & Spain have just middle fingered Yankeeland over military support in the Red Sea.
The E.U. And NATO are both fracturing.
I would hate to be a Yank at the moment given all the crap that is about to start happening internally. It will be a severe Winter,(global warming and all). I hope you have woolly blankets.
Thanks
You forgot the main part-- good luck to Europe--no gas, worse winter and economy (esp Germany) imploding. Add the Red Sea/canal as a hot zone (major importer/exporter of European goods/oil) and heh as a Canadian I would take a US "winter" WAY over that.
BTW no snow here in Toronto or even more telling Montreal. Helps with the gas bill 😊
Karma is real. Warmongers in nato will feel divine chastisement. The peaceful need not worry. Just dont stand near a warmonger ciry
Yup-- ignore the trolls and the false flag attempts to provoke.
Indeed that is my plan and the hiďsen hands of the divine counsel
If you hadn't realised it, the Houthi's have totally exposed the fact that American military might has been totally lost. They're not scared of a multi billion dollar carrier group one bit. We are talking about the Houthi's, not Iran or a peer equal like Russia or China. Or even one of the most heavily armed countries on the planet N.Korea. If the US tries something stupid against Iran. It will start WW3. Simply because Iran will decimate any US or NATO forces in their region. Leaving the US no option but to play the nuclear card. The US military has lost its fear factor massively. On your 2nd point, the only thing keeping the US financial show on the road is the dollars status as the world's reserve. The BRICS countries might take a decade to destroy that position. But it's started in a huge way already. If the US ruling administration does what it's done every time US financial experts tell them not to do a certain move against Russia (sanctions, oil price cap). They go ahead & do it anyway, they will most likely do the most stupid move of all & steel the Russian assets in western banks. Every single country will think straight away, if we don't get our money out of these western banks we'll be next. The US isn't the most reliable partner is it? Doing that move will accelerate every BRICS country in their moves to steer well clear of the dollar & the US financial system. The US will lose the ability to just print its way out of the mess it's in financially. Unless there's a dramatic change in US foreign policy, I'm sorry to say the whole of the western financial system will collapse. Not just the US.
There is a video of naval drone strike!!!
Not Storm Shadow missile!
Could it even be possible that the ship exploded because of something that happened ON THE SHIP? Something such as accidental mishandling of ammunition?
Exactly what I was thinking. Not everything has to be super complicated.
Stop kidding yourselves.
“ The fact that the AD could not somehow cope with that number of missiles is a pretty damning indication of something going critically wrong with Russian planning in this sector.”
Or maybe Ukraine was right when they claimed, few months ago, that they hit many S-300/400 sites and destroy parts of the systems…
It's as plausible as Ukrainian claim that Russia is out of tanks. Russia have ungodly amounts of S-300 since forever. Simplest explanation is they are fucked up and missed an attack
“ All these anti-aircraft missiles had been detected and identified in advance by American and British RQ-4B "Global Hawk" strategic radar reconnaissance UAVs barreling over the Black Sea 24 hours earlier.”
Does Russians Mig-31 still fly 24h over Black see with Khinzals?
Can Russia military use their radars to detect Storm Shadows and other plains…?
Imagine a scenario where a full complement of NATO tomahawk missiles and other long range strike platforms are deployed. They will be devastating. I understand what Putin meant now when he said they need to work on AD
I do not need to imagine that, I live in Serbia and I have vivid memories about NATO striking for 72 days…
But I also know how NATO for 72 days of air superiority manage to destroy 7 out of 300 tanks at Kosovo and Metohija and manage to kill more than 3000 civilians and 1005 soldiers.
Nasty American Terrorist Organisation that SHOULD have ceased to exist after Glasnost but Yankeeland got loose and free with the threats and intimidation to keep and expand it
Basically Western Europe has been under Yankee occupation and control for 78 years now.
True but the yanks are ruled by red shield khazars.
If that were to happen, you could kiss Ramstein AFB and Brussels goodbye.
Then Russia will make Poland disappear
Russia has never been an air power or a naval power. It is a land power, and always will be
That said, while Ukr seems to be taking heavy casualties, there is still a large amount of equipment which remains un-destroyed
This war has years to run
USSR airforce was comparable or greater than than of all NATO combined. So there is a possibility that Russia will reach the same potential in time. However I think their goal now is to use highly advanced and numerous ground IAD with airfoce.
What year do you live in 1955?
I seem to remember NATO war planning being contingent on eliminating a lot of the USSR air force in the early days of a fight. An unrealistic culling, in my view. It was dependent on things like the F-15 being superior to Soviet interceptors and such. Today, what is that, the F-22? And exactly how many do we have? (precisely 187 in toto)
Illustrative of the bankruptcy of NATO war planning.
This is incorrect. Russia never deemed surface navy and air power as lynchpin of their strategy. They always prioritized air defence over planes and submarines over surface navy. Guess what, if you brisk over current parity between choices, they were correct. Aircraft carriers are just large coffins and aircraft is AD fodder. It's simple. Bigger bang for a buck
Aircraft carriers are large coffins? How many aircraft carriers have been hit - let alone sunk - in the last 50 years? And please don't play armchair admiral. Air power and aircraft carriers have allowed the US to put the majority of the earth within range of strike aircraft with conventional munitions, a feat that no other nation can claim.
Best not to be guilty of hubris, ya? That's what torpedoed the so called Western coalition against Ru now. But this war ain't over by a long shot and there's plenty of stupid shit the likes of Biden, Sunak, Scholz, and the rest of them can do
It isn't even my words. That what many prominent admirals said in past 50 years. If you think that aircraft carrier will survive a modest salvo of modern hypersonic missiles (which outrange carrier group reach at least 5 times), you are moron and should lay away this western hurrah cool aid you guzzling on
Many prominent everything have said all kinds of nonsense that proved to be laughably untrue, namely against Russia. And you can drop dead with your moron name calling, asshole. Everyone's a tough guy on the Internet.
“ And even in the event that the surveillance radars of individual SAMs near Ordzhonikidze and Koktebel were able to detect SCALP-EG SAMs flying towards Feodosia, there was very little time left for tying up their path, capturing and intercepting them before they were hidden behind the ridges of the mountains again.”
And last note: we saw few months ago on your blog how Russians using Pantsir destroy Storm Shadow although they detect it only few km away… it was same situation wheh Storm Shadow was hidden by terrain.