It matters not anymore what the little green gremlin thinks as Russia commands the entire field of battle. Mission accomplished.
The sinister NEOs got Mike Tysoned. (one shot knock-out)
The NEOs and nutsy NATOs dug themselves so deep into the mineshaft there's no evacuation plan and no way out. Not only has NUTSO NATO and friends lost militarily but also they are a whole lot poorer because of it. Capturing the 4 Oblasts alone Russia will add many trillions in cash to its books over time, and the valuable repurposed land will add to its already geo-physical corpulence making it an even bigger biggest country in the world. lol One could say NATO paid the whole bill patriotically billed to us the taxpayers for every nickle spent on this conflict when it would have been so much cheaper and wiser just not to fuck with the Minsk Accord.
Mike, could you explain to the NEO-NUTSOs when you say everyone got a plan till you punch them in the face? Thanks, Big Mike.https://youtu.be/qSuMgOu8QPo?t=41
After War, another 4th Horsemen from the Satanic Phoenician Mega Trillionaires... Since 1976 with Cloud seeding with Silver iodide, with HAARP microwave heating of the upper atmosphere to create an atmospheric dome to manage the jet stream, to create an area of intolerable heat underneath. Doppler radar to steer hurricane systems. Trillion watt lasers to further steer weather systems from space. Nano Aluminium, Strontium, Barium sprays of hundreds of thousands of tons yearly from planes Worldwide to supposedly block off the heating of the sun to stop global warming but instead has the effect of destroying the ozone layer having exactly the opposite effect of increasing the heat of the planet! Nano Aluminium, Strontium, Barium sprays of hundreds of thousands of tons yearly from planes Worldwide is having the effect also of increasing the PH of the soil killing the trees, destroying the crowns, destroying their root systems, making trees fall over, destroying trees worldwide - Acid Rain…
Nano Aluminium, Strontium, Barium sprays of hundreds of thousands of tons yearly from planes Worldwide is having the effect also of attacking the respiration of people so that deaths from the lungs, asthma, lung cancer, difficulty in breathing is increasing.
Nano Aluminium, Strontium, Barium sprays of hundreds of thousands of tons yearly from planes Worldwide is having the effect also of killing the bees, killing insects killing pollination. 80% of all insects have died worldwide!
Nano Aluminium, Strontium, Barium sprays of hundreds of thousands of tons yearly from planes Worldwide is having the effect also of killing all vegetation, all flowers, killing the crops, decreasing their yield. Monsatan is creating aluminium resistant Frankenstein seeds which in future will be the only thing which grows.
Pathogens in the Sky: A Controversial Connection - We own an audio of him at geoengineeringwatch.org stating, in his words, what he did for the DoD, designed methods of spraying virus and biological pathogens into clouds to infect the populations below. Think about that. And now we have pathogens showing up in the case of CV-19. We had 85 countries infected in three days. That's indicative of an airborne dispersion. We have Italian scientists that say they have found CV-19 attached to airborne particulates. Do these dots connect? So the bottom line is, again, we can hide from forms of medical procedures that we don't want, the injections. We cannot hide from what they're spraying in our skies. And at any moment of their choosing, Because we have polymer fibers and graphene in our rain. That's in our lab tests.
agreed. And they have said it will be immediate and 10 times worse ( my calculation ) than the previous. I guess its the only way to get rid of Israel - which definitely has to happen - but this is a great interview - https://youtu.be/u7J2SA8U7Fk
The US and other countries are trying to convince Israel not to attack nuclear or oil facilities in Iran. Israel has recently said that when it attacks, Iran will not know what happened but will see the result. That little riddle tells me that the zionists will most likely hit Iran’s electric power generating systems. They won’t know what happened because the electricity will be off. But they will see the results because the lights are out.
Hopefully, Iran’s defence network runs off its own independent power generating sources not tied to the civilian grid. And hopefully, they then immediately wipe out the zionists’ infrastructure, giving them a taste of Gaza.
Yeah that what I reckon too. Maybe some kinda 'non kinetic' attack on the power grid like what happend in Venuezala a few year back-Russia helped get it back up but it took a bit. Maybe communications too. Very clear that Iran is riddled with Mossad agents-look at all those scientists assassinated. Plus clear that Hezb is fucked now, totally riddled with spies. If Israel can ge the commanders they can get the arms bunkers and the HQ strike showed what they can do to Hezb's best bunker. Why is Hammas NOT tell Hezb in advance of thier pans for Oct 7? Cause they KNOW Hezb are riddled with spies and also that they are NOT a serious fighting force despite all the rah rah rah. In 12 month or so what did Hezb achieve? Didn't take out the fuel temrinals or storages despite 'all the sophisticated weapons' they are sia dot have...full of shit. Iran is using Hezb as a bargaining chip to get sanctions releif -Irans back off on Hezb support and Iran get relief. Only they fucked up on the calcuations-the Israel and US saw the 'mass attack' reprisal for what it was.Weakness on Irans part. Not serious about Palestine at all just using the 'cause for Irans benefit and Lebanse get bled out. I reckong Israel will fuck up Heb big time and then push the Leb people to rise up against the fuckers.
Always a joy to read your reports. You wrote long ago that West would try to freeze the War on the ground if things got worse for Ukraine. And now we see the signs of such development. Biden is too tired to bother anymore and the biggest headache is Israel doing massacres each day.
But. I would say that IF West&Ukraine manage to freeze the ”conflict” as of now it would indeed be a victory for the them. I cant see any positives for Russia doing such a stupid thing and if they do you can be certain that the situation is also dire on the Russian side.
Ukraines stubbornness and the criminals minds of Zelensky&Yermak has cacthed the ukrainians AND the West in a cul de sac. But one can also say that Russia has fewer alternatives that one may think. If they agree to a ceasefire they would be seen as losers. If they instead continue the War, declining every ”peace offer”, and the advance goes as slow as now they will be seen as coldhearted warmongers. And if the front and Ukraines resistance suddenly collapse, and Russia storms the banks of Dnieper river, the scare will be whipped up in the West for the ”bloodthirsty imperialist Red Army”. I cant see Russia having any alternative other then take whole of Ukraine and then negotiating a West-Ukraine state with Lvov as a center.
I agree with the Swiss general. Perception of winning through losing is the only option for US as of now. But then we better hope for Kamala as president…
I am sure Trump will do something stupid if elected President.
>But. I would say that IF West&Ukraine manage to freeze the ”conflict” as of now it would indeed be a victory for the them. I cant see any positives for Russia doing such a stupid thing and if they do you can be certain that the situation is also dire on the Russian side.
Simple question -- would Hitler have won if WWII was frozen in late 1941? Or even mid-1943? And then allowed to consolidate control with ethnic cleansing, brainwashing of the remaining population over many decades, etc. etc.
Most people would see it as a massive win.
Well, it is the exact same situation right now -- the literal descendants of the Nazis are in control of territory that is not that much different from where the front lines were in mid-1943.
Any Russian leader that does not see it that way has to be removed from office and immediately replaced by someone who does.
Balitsky is 100% correct in what he said.
But will he be listened to?
Remember that Stremousov, who was speaking in those same terms all the time, died on the day Kherson was surrendered and it is not at all clear it was the SBU/GUR's doing rather than an order from the Kremlin in order to keep overtly patriotic loudmouths like him in check...
“If Russia is defeated in Ukraine, European submission to the Americans will be prolonged for a century. If, as I believe, the United States is defeated, NATO will disintegrate and Europe will be left free. The psychological shock awaiting Europeans will be to realize that NATO does not exist to protect us but to control us,” so historian Emmanuel Todd told an interviewer w/ Italy’s Corriere di Bologna on 9 October.
Todd shed unique light on Germany’s historic r’ship w/ VVP: “During the Iraq war, Putin, Schröder and Chirac held joint press conferences. This terrified Washington. It seemed that America could be expelled from the European continent. Russia's separation from Germany thus became a priority for American strategists. Making the situation in Ukraine worse served this purpose. Forcing the Russians into war to prevent Ukraine's de facto integration into NATO was, initially, a major diplomatic success for Washington."
Todd described Germany's general paralysis in 2022 as the shock of the SMO set in, a period which "allowed the Americans, amid the general confusion in Europe, to blow up the NordStream pipeline, a symbol of the economic understanding between Germany and Russia."
In Todd's view, the war is in its second phase: that of American defeat.
"U.S. control over Europe will be pulverized," Todd told his interviewer. "Germany and Russia will meet again. This conflict is in a sense artificial. The natural thing, in a low-fertility Europe, with its aging population, is the complementarity between German industry and Russian energy and mineral resources.”
In all of Project Ukraine’s dimensions, Germany has paid the highest price for loser-ship status--from the loss of cheap natural gas to the neutering of its industrial might. It is undoubtedly a generational knee-capping.
Todd’s insights offer a fresh spin amid the increasingly archaic vitriol emanating from Brussels, via Mark Rutte, for instance, OTAN’s new chief, who said on 9 October: “If Putin gets his way in Ukraine, that would have serious security implications for all of us” in the Alliance.
I mean, can you find a more boilerplated & regressive statement than that--?!!?
"Putin" already got his way.
Russia's security matters. The critical importance of Russia's security will now of course involve OTAN massively, just not the way groupthink Rutte believes. Ukraine's capitulation will be OTAN's capitulation.
Moreover, since all wars are bankers' wars--a phrase I just coined--the money-launderers-in-chief, the kleptocrats in Brussels, want to legitimatize their theft & grift operation by going into the banking business.
Rutte et al want to set up an OTAN Bank—security funding specifically earmarked for financing Project Ukraine. OTAN'$ member states will pay money from subscriptions so they can fund the OTAN Bank; this is over & above the 2% already expected from member states to keep OTAN afloat.
Europe will soon be little more than the most touristy military spending place on earth: a Trevi Fountain w/ Tomahawk missiles.
Meanwhile, Ukrainians get used to losing a village every day.
Well in reality Russian energy, commodities and food resources will probably now be coupled with Chinese industrial manufacturing and building Chinese infrastructure, well in reality possibly Asia as a whole. Why would the Russians be dumb enough to revive relations with a Europe that hates them to the point of many attempts to annihilate them as a people? From Napoleon's attempt to liberate Russia to Hitler's attempt to exterminate Russians needing resources and "liebenstraum". Why now would Russia subordinate itself to a hateful west when they can lead a grateful global majority?
If you look at geography the possible BRICS expansion will control every strategic choke point in global movement of goods. Russia controls the North sea route having the largest fleet of nuclear icre breakers; Egypt controls the Suez canal; Iran and Saudi Arabia control the straits of Hormuz; The Chinese pioneering over land routes with the BRI. Then going forward looking for Malaysia Indonesia and a possible invite to Singapore to control the Malacca strait; Thailand for their development of an alternate route bypassing Malacca; Then Yemen for the control of the Bab Al Manbab; Turkiye for control of the Basborous and the Dardanelles and Nicruagua in South America for the new canal being built by a "Chinese businessman". BRICS is basically a major paradigm shift in global geopolitics.
I think China's BRI/CMEC investment in Myanmar is to bypass the Malacca straits. You are right about Malaysia/Indonesia/Thailand and Vietnam entry being a game changer as these are the strongest ASEAN members.
Here is an unpopular opinion -- Russia's resources, contrary to popular belief, are not infinite, and are therefore best kept inside the country, for the benefit of future Russian generations, rather than being sold for pennies on the dollar of their real worth, whether to Westerners or to Chinese.
Let the Westerners and the Chinese try to develop without resources, keep your resources to yourself, and invest in local development.
Makes sense, right?
Except that if you do that, the present arrangement according to which the current Russian oligarchy gets a percentage on the loot and that is the basis of its power falls apart. And that oligarchy largely controls the Kremlin. There are other forces pushing for an alternative path, but the internal conflict has not been resolved in their favor. Thus the SMO not-war format and all the other self-defeating (non)-actions that make absolutely no sense if one naively assumes that the people who rule Russia do so in Russia's interest rather their personal interest.
Well it is your perspective, the only thing that would make it unpopular is what exactly clouds the lens through which you see the world. Yes, totally agree with the thought that Russian resources should belong to Russians and not be sold to Chinese or westerners for pennies. Yet I would think Russians would not want to be a hermit state totally isolated from international trade. I don't know how you discerned how finite Russian resources are to start hoarding their exports.
Well from lots of reading on the state of Russian leadership I conclude it is led by one man Vladimir Putin and a beuracracy of his creation, for the last 24 years. It is fair to consider him a "prisoner of power" with that said what possible self interest would the Russian president have at his age, money? The reality is money creates the illusion of power, so what value would it be to a man that encompass the definition of global power? Possibly his greatest ambition is to rule a great Russia and leave that as his legacy.
"Here is an unpopular opinion ... rather than being sold for pennies on the dollar of their real worth, whether to Westerners or to Chinese."
Respectfully, that's not an "unpopular" opinion, it's just an inaccurate opinion. Your premise is false. Russian resources are *not* being sold for pennies on the dollar of their real worth, not to the Chinese, and not to anyone.
On the contrary, Russia is getting top dollar for its resources, and it's doing so as a matter of very wise investment. It's selling resources it cannot at present use as a means of funding development that will allow Russia to grow even faster. It would be intensely stupid for Russia not to take advantage of resources that help Russia develop.
"that oligarchy largely controls the Kremlin" Ad-hominem labels don't explain reality: they obfuscate reality. In every developed country in the world elites control the government. It's been that way in human societies for thousands of years. The only question is how the interests of such elites align to the interests of the society at large.
Russians today have become fervent believers in capitalism because Russia's abandonment of communism and socialism in favor of a switch to capitalism has led to the creative and entrepreneurial energies of the Russian population being unleashed, with dramatically increased living standards, longer life expectancies, reduced infant mortality and dramatically increased personal freedoms. Today's "oligarchs" (that is, wealthy people and business leaders) have morphed from the opportunistic looters of the 90's into genuine entrepreneurs, like Russia's richest woman, Tanya Kim, the founder of Wildberries, a hugely successful Russian Internet shopping platform, akin to Amazon.
Russians tend to *like* the idea that business leaders and entrepreneurs have influence in government. They much prefer that to bureaucrats and socialist party apparatchiks controlling government. They know that entrepreneurs like Tanya Kim want to see Russia expand and everybody making more money because then their businesses will make more money too.
"if one naively assumes that the people who rule Russia do so in Russia's interest rather their personal interest." On the contrary, what's naive is believing socialist propaganda for morons that being interested in success is a zero sum proposition. It never fails to amuse how Communists have a huge blind spot in their belief that Communism is best because deep down inside people will nobly work for nothing to support others, but when confronted with the reality that people really do want something for themselves they say capitalism can't possibly work because deep down inside people are evil and think only about themselves.
In reality, people are social animals and have the intrinsic social skill to understand that it is in their own best interest to live in successful communities, and that putting their own interests forward is most successfully done by fair trading that benefits others as well. The most successful businesspeople in the long term are those who love their customers and who thrive because they build win-win propositions for their customers.
The people who rule Russia do so in Russia's interest as well as in their own personal interest because their personal interests are aligned with Russia's interests. A strong, successful, prosperous Russia is very much in the interests of the intellectual, political, and business elites that run Russia. It's intensely naive to believe otherwise.
Agree fully with you. Emmanuel Todd is a peculiar guy that I will call genius. He forecasted the fall of USSR as young and his Apres lémpire (After the Empire)he forecasted the demise of US. His latest book Defeat of the West (La Défaite de l’Occident) is a gem. Read it with pleasure. In my country he is non-grata and seen as an extremist but all he says is true and noteworthy.
As for the new rotten head of NATO I only expect evilness. And we 850 million people in Europe is keeping our mouths shut when non-elected Rutte talk about Europes future?
Was not NATO a defense coalition - not a geopolitical movement with its own agenda?
And we let von der Leyen speak for all countries in Europe without having any mandate what so ever of conducting each sovereign Nations foregin policy. The silence in Europe is the most frightening I have experienced. People letting those powergrabbers doing crimes each day by letting EU-money leaving EU to a non-EU state in War!
Thx C for the Todd input. Simplicius readers should get deeper into his books.
Yeah, but what really can we do? I talk of Europeans who are conscientious of the lies and bs our Elites spread? Reality is, if I talk of von Der Lying as the lying, corrupt fraud she is, I would be probably criminally charged, and I would definitely loose my job (I work in some capacity for the state). So many say nothing, many others believe the bs and lies, because they sleep mostly, and many simply don't care.
I think we are in the cycle of downfall, its always the same, the first generation builds up its wealth, the second generation retains it and the third generation wastes it. And we are in the 3rd cycle, the waste cycle.
There is not much we can do, I said it here a couple of times, the Politicians like Von der Leyen, Rutte, Schröder, Starmer, Johnson, etc. etc., are just a small portion of the smear theater we are witnessing, behind them are hundreds of thousands of second and third rate Politicians, Administrator, NGOs, Think Tanks, Technocrats, small/middle/big corporations, state media, private media (they get money all the time from the Pentagon, state funds, etc.) who benefit of all the corruption and lies. Its like a sewage plant, you see the piles of shite at the top at the sewage sea (Elite Politicians), you don't see the countless little pieces of shite below it...
I can't remember the reference, but an interesting interview stated that Europe would try to double down on NATO, in the event of a defeat. The rational being that relying on the US military frees European countries from dealing with each other. If Germany rearms for defensive purposes, then Denmark, Belgium, France, Poland, etc will need to, as defensive weapons can be used offensively.
The Politico assessment is actually on a 1 to 5 scale ("evaluations are given on a five-point scale (maximum 5 points)"). So "In the article "Five Questions Zelensky Is Asking in His European Tour (and the Likelihood He'll Get Them)" (there are actually 6 questions there) Politico's assessment is that 4 questions are straight out cloud cuckoo land, deserving a full 1 out of 5 mark... Some people are having trouble with maths today.
In every peace talk the enemy also gets a say - and the Russians are going to say nyet to anything that’s left of Ukraine from joining NATO. That was their chief complaint before this Donnybrook got started.
The only possible terms that Russia is going to accept is the unconditional surrender of Kiev. The only choice Kiev has is if it will be de jore or d facto.
WTH did they get that number? Reached into and pulled it out from their a$$?
BTW, this is not really an "American" defeat, it's not about the US, it's about the UK imperialists -globalist oligarchs and bankers- who took over the polity of the US after WWII.
An "American defeat" is actually a defeat of the UK based colonialists. Something good for us in the US, actually, and the whole World.
I used to wonder why the UK was so involved in Ukraine? It seemed like they were the tail wagging the dog... but nooo, instead they are the loud chihuahua making noises. Time to get rid of them.
The Western Polities are ALL controlled by the money men in London.
They are the colonialists that renamed the British Empire into the American Empire... primarily for their own benefit and using the US Taxpayers to foot their frickin' bill.
Even the English politicos are controlled by them.
If you read carefully what I write -that goes for Alec Green- you will notice that I don't blame "the UK" per se, I blame the globalist oligarchs and bankers, which for 400 years have been based in London.
As a "money man" in London I can absolutely say that that is complete and utter horseshit pushed by tinfoil hat wearing loons. The money men behind the Federal Reserve are the ones who currently are pulling all the levers.
I'm sure that the solvency of European banks without Fed money printing has nothing to do with European and British support for whatever the neoziocons in the U.S. decide. (That is sarcasm, BTW).
The only tail wagging the U.S. dog is Israel. In fact, I would go so far to argue that this entire Ukraine fiasco is the direct result of Russian intervention in Syria, which prevented the Neoziocons from effecting their regime change there. The usual crew of the Kagan clan, Kristol, and their gentile sycophants like Bolton and Pompeo decided that to finish implementing the plan that Kagan, Kristol, and the other Neoziocons laid out in the 90s for remaking the Middle East Russia would have to be either 1) regimed changed 2) broken apart 3) tied up in a long-term conflict such that it could not offer any support to its regional allies in the Middle East. Hence, Maidan and all that followed.
With this in mind, one can see that Nov. 7th 2023 and all that ensued in its wake is directly related to Ukraine. It became apparent to the Kristols and Kagans that option 3 from above was the only viable option and that Israel had to act quickly, because "long-term" was beginning to look like no more than a couple of years.
I have no dog in this hunt. I don't live in the U.S., UK, Russia, Ukraine, or Israel. I just call them like I see them.
Look... I am well-aware of the history of U.S. foreign policy. U.S. history was a minor field for my candidacy exams many years ago. I know about the Dole Fruit Company, Sullivan and Cromwell and their manipulations of South American governments to benefit multinationals, the Dulles' brothers merger of Wall Street, the CIA, and the State Department, and so forth. I know about the bankruptcy of the U.S. in 1972, owing to the carry trade in gold reserves, and the alliance with Saudi Arabia to replace oil with gold as the commodity backing the USD.
I get all that, but nothing that the U.S. has done in the past 30 years makes any sense from a purely "rational actor" in its own best interests perspective on geostrategy. Prior to the emergence of the neoziocons, absolutely, one can see many elements of a "rational actor, self-interest" model for U.S. foreign policy. If Kagan, Kristol, and their ilk (which includes Nuland who is married to the clan) did not "hijack" U.S. foreign policy, you explain to me what happened. Please include in your explanation how these same group of people manage to appear in every U.S. executive branch from Clinton forward, including Trump and Obama.
Is it possible to block users on substack? I thought this boring bastard Dhdh had been banned but unfortunately he's back to derail yet another comment section.
The USA is the number 1 imperialist capitalist country in the world, and is in charge. All other countries are the followers. Stop scapegoating. Your country is not a mislead, or hijacked nation.
Well... there is the issue of Kagan, Kristol, and all their friends (who now have an iron hold on U.S. foreign policy). They have hijacked U.S. foreign policy. I am certain that the average American, whether from New York City or Sioux City, could not find Ukraine on a map and could care less what happens there.
Hijacked US foreign policy, you mean the imperialist aggressive Foreign policy that is over a century old?
So hijacked in the sense that it is exactly t he same as before? Make it make sense. There is no hijacking at play, it is just how the imperialist capitalist USA is. One based on colonialization and aggression since the foundation.
Don't argue, the overwhelming majority of both countries the UK and the US have nothing to with that shiteshow! And the Elites in those countries work together, they see themselves as an international Elite which couldn't give a rat's a$$ about the people in the US, UK or Ukraine!
I thought UK war mongering was a consequence of BREXIT. The UK needs to prove they are more European than the EU, trying to earn brownie points for a future reintegration into the EU again.
"I used to wonder why the UK was so involved in Ukraine? " The UK have been Russophobes since the end of the 18th century. They didn't like the idea of a new empire appearing on the world stage that could threaten the British Empire. Russia's defeat of Napoleon really shook them up, so ever since then the UK has sought to tear the Russian Empire apart. They still haven't adapted to the idea that it's foolish for a former Empire now reduced to Chihuahua status to bite a Russia that has become stronger and more powerful than ever.
With half the world's population depending on Russian food or food-growing resources for their food security, with every first world or would-be first world country except the US depending on Russian energy and resources to maintain first world status, and with the world's most industrially productive country counting on an expanding Russian economy as a key offset to unreliable other partners, perhaps for the first time in world history Russia may well have the most durable economy on earth. Add Russia's extraordinarily combat-capable military and all that really annoys the UK Chihuahua.
I'd actually challenge you on that 18th century part because I can relatively easily trace it to 16th and Richard Chancellor's landing. UK is the primary seed of discord on this planet, particularly regarding Russia which it will forever try to destroy for the same reason it destroyed Imperial China with opium - there can be no independent self-reliable nation on Earth because it will inevitably outtrade the Brits.
Even the proxies have proxies now: Ukraine’s military intelligence service has been sharing drone warfare techniques with Tuareg rebels in Mali to help them kill Russian security contractors fighting for the African country’s military-led government, per French newspaper Le Monde. Andrey Yusov, the chief of Ukraine’s HUR, its military intel wing, confirmed the r’ship, acknowledged it as a diplomatic error but said simply “there’s no going back.” The Ukrainian agency is committed to hunting down Wagnerians “wherever they are.” Next up for Ukraine-trained rebels: Sudan.
Mali has accused the U.S. of being behind the Ukrainian support for the Tuareg rebels, as have Niger and Burkina Faso. Illustrating the long arm of Ukraine—and its longterm usefulness—the U.S. has found a side-hustle for the scrappy little determined proxy, an escapade in Africa which will maintain its fighters in a permanent state of war. Punching above its weight, Ukraine first tried to weaken Russia, and then, emboldened by the sheer moxie of such derring-do, has branched out to destabilize the Sahel.
It's a 'don't look here where Ukraine is being wiped out'- but over there where plucky Ukrainians are fighting a brave fight for the glorious west. Expect more of this, especially since the ME projection of western power is not going so well (to put it mildly). It is another device for threatening the global south with local wars coming to you guys if you do not back us.... blah. The antidote is BRICS.The only solution is to turn western dollars to dust. And then watch it all implode.
This is the ISIS-ization of the West. They stared so long into the abyss that, as in an act of osmosis, the mass of what lay torpid in those depths wicked itself upward & found reanimation within them.
Ukraine flattered Macron by claiming it could be his attack dog in Africa. Macron liked the idea, especially since he had no home grown troops who wanted to do anything other than fight him. But Ukraine is wreaking such havoc out there it is destroying whatever last vestige of credibility the west continued to enjoy. The global south has sat back with the popcorn, on the principle that you do not interrupt your enemy while he is making a mistake.
I think we can expect a lot more of that from various Ukrainian groups, even after a ceasefire/armistice.
the Neo-Nazi Banderites types will have no place in a nation at peace and no place at all in the eastern provinces. Due to their ideology, a life as soldiers of fortune seems likely. Bandera himself never stopped and there were ex-SS men fighting in Indo-China as late as the 60s and 70s.
On a slightly related note, how do you think Bandera REALLY died?
Thank you for yet another extremely comprehensive and thorough analysis.
Just two comments:
1) Handwritten on those Russian bombs are the words "For the children of Crimea" (closest one to camera) and "terrorists will not be taken prisoner."
2) So far, October has been balmy in Ukraine, but all that changes tomorrow (Oct 12) as the autumn cold and rains are set to sock in for at least a week. Today or tomorrow (for the easternmost regions) will be the last day of the year for wearing T-shirts in the afternoon, although it'll be a while yet before any risk of snow. But yah, the MUD IS COMING.
Designing some WW2 East Front wargames some time back, a key feature is obviously weather. I recall (confirmed by this link) that certainly the South is almost maritime in climate terms, getting more and more "typical Russian steppe" as you head north. In games design you need to try to model the impact of weather on operations. And as you say mud is coming, but I dare say will have a bigger impact the further north than in the south, and in fighting/operations outside built up areas. This might point to where we might see fighting intensify during the Raputitsa. Of course both the Russians and Ukraine militaries developed training, equipment and doctrine for bad weather including mud, but it is certain that it slows things down. It is also certain that western equipment is not designed for these conditions, particularly areospace and electronic stuff - and it is arguable that western "advisors" might not fully appreciate the impact on conditions. However given that the UAF now seems to be turning into a scratch light infantry force with limited heavy weapons, this might not have such an impact. However having older unfit and untrained conscripts sitting in a cold trench full of water will not do much for morale.
Thanks again Simplicius for the real granular detail which only you can make so interesting. Hubby is Dutch and mostly a normie and believes the anti Russian propaganda. I predicted when the SMO started that Russia would win easily and he laughed heartily, explaining how small their GDP was and how they would be crippled by sanctions and Putin had terminal rabies, you know the catchlines. I said, what nonsense, they are a superpower and have a massive nuclear arsenal and I gave a caveat that only a world war by the west could perhaps beat the bear. It’s fascinating how this SMO has become a world war from almost the start/before the start and STILL Russia is winning, is flourishing, is proud and is fighting as humanely as possible. Honestly I could see myself leaving the prison island down under and fleeing to mother Russia. St Michael defend us in battle against the evil ones⚔️⚔️
I hear you, it can be infuriating at times. I don’t know what makes him so gullible about Europe and The West in particular but he always loved the idea of the EU. He is an optimist and thinks most people are good, I am a pessimist and believe all of us are fallen without Jesus’ love and forgiveness. We are both believing Catholics though and he can recognise that Russia is much more sane in its anti woke, pro family policies. Essentially he believes that people/ media tell the truth in spite of all the examples of gross lies and horrible atrocities
Brace yourself. Thanksgiving is just around the corner. You'll be the only one at the table who isn't less ignorant than the turkey being carved.
I've gotten used to an Iron Curtain of delusion being dropped by my Western acquaintances and family. By the way, the term "Iron Curtain" wasn't coined by Winston Churchill in a speech he gave in the US. It was coined decades earlier, in the 1920's I believe, by a Western visitor to a Russia in the throes of a Bolshevik takeover who was commenting on the total propaganda and lies *from Western media and governments* about what was going on in Russia.
I don't say Western "friends" because I can't say I have any of those anymore. They've all been so marinated in 24/7 lies that when I tell the truth about what I see in Russia (I'm an American living here in Russia) they claim I've been turned into a Putin bot.
Thanks John, he is a loving hubby and father and a really intelligent cardiologist. Very dedicated to his patients. I don’t think IQ is at all part of the equation at all. It’s some kind of inherent scepticism, maybe a previous bad experience with the machine, something I can’t quite put my finger on…that allows those of us to see through the propaganda
I had a similar argument with my sister, who insisted the Russian economy was smaller than the Italian. Recently I pointed out Russia has a larger economy measured by GDP PPP according to the World Bank. She didn't blink, making me wonder whether she still remembers her earlier argument. Sometimes, I feel like Winston in 1984, wondering whether people can remember the past, or just agree with the latest MSM stories.
She probably didn’t blink because what you said went straight over her head and didn’t land at all. The delulu is so strong that it cannot be countered by reason
I made the mistake of reading some comments from some main-stream media publication the other day about Ukraine. The level of ignorance was staggering. Even the blue-haired male-hating heifers in the U.S. have a better grasp on reality.
Laura, thanks for sharing. I have a similar thing with my Dutch in-laws. Especially my father-in-law, who used to be full on 'Crimea will be returned' deluded, and still mentions to me about how Putin is poisoning the rivers, etc, etc. I do not have the energy to get deep into the topic with an elderly person, so I usually just express doubt about what the newspapers report and advise that they will accuse Russians of anything; and we kind of end the discussion there.
What has amazed me in the past couple of years, is that none of my Dutch family/acquaintances have ever asked me for my opinion about the Ukraine conflict. One time my wife read out the news headline 'Russia bombs Europe!' when that Ukrainian missile killed the Polish farmer, but I just expressed doubt and advised her to wait until next morning for more details to emerge. And a couple hours later there was a different headline. Now, I am known to my family/friends as being someone with 'radical political views' - i.e. someone who has always hated the American & 'my own' British empire, and they are always happy to ask for my opinions about Scottish independence or Dutch politics or the latest American presidential election. But they NEVER dare to talk about Russia/Putin with me. It's so odd. Like they're scared of being forced to face up to the likely fact that I'm on Russia's side.
So we are back to western trainers being sent in. It is as if we have a constellation of narratives that orbit this theatre of war on their own trajectories, an air display designed to take public attention away from the brutal fact of defeat on the ground.
Russia has a simple battle plan. If the west crosses certain lines that have now been well drawn Ukraine will take such a devastating nationwide punch that western Europe will collapse under the weight of refugees. Russia does not have to threaten nuclear weapons or a strike on Berlin. This human tide will be enough to bring chaos to the west and the downfall of those governments who connived for this war. So they are between a rock and a hard place and the US has taken its profit and lost interest. Probably best to just allow Russia make all the moves while western talking heads talk themselves to a standstill. Wind down media coverage and allow the denouement to take place away from western public gaze.
The U.S. will maintain prestige by demonstrating the degree to which it can palm off on Europe the management & maintenance of Project Ukraine. Just. Like. That.
In delegating the upkeep & aftercare of Ukraine to Europe, the U.S. can sit back, like a boss, patting itself on the back for a job well done, footloose & fancy free--and begin surveying the prospects for chaos in China.
The U.S.'s status increases in direct proportion to the degree it can get its vassals to turn on a dime.
Tom Sawyer got the other boys to whitewash the fence, after all, while he sat back back jiggling his foot.
One of the most foundational aims of the U.S.'s Founding Fathers was to be members of the landed gentry, able to hire others to do the work.
"If Iran cannot prevent this strike, then it must launch a simultaneous counter-retaliatory strike at the moment when Israeli and US aircraft take off en masse. If Iran misses this strike, it may no longer have the opportunity to launch a retaliatory strike." A broadcast from another planet? Here's a different take on such a strike and Iran's capacity to respond from Andrei Martyanov and Scott Ritter. Wanders afield now and again but delightfully thorough and in-depth. A treat from two experts. Ritter launches into a wonderful history lesson at about 11:30. Tomorrow? We can only hope. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x8v5rX22qzM&t=3592s
Both Moscow and Tehran announced that VVP and Pezeshkian are visiting Ashgabat, Turkmenistan on 11 October to attend a ceremony marking the 300th birth anniversary of the Turkmen poet and thinker Magtymguly Pyragy.
Moscow and Tehran may want to bring forward the formal inking of the Russian-Iranian defense pact, which was originally scheduled to take place in Kazan in two weeks. If 16 American tankers are simultaneously taking off from the Qatar airstrip as VVP and Pezeshkian confab in Ashgabat, then I hope both presidents will hasten their praise about the poet Pyragy and have pens in hand, ready to sign.
The Kremlin is making it clear to Washington and Tel Aviv that Moscow is irrevocably aligned with Tehran and will help the latter no matter what it takes. The “Murmansk-BN” system, which Russia has reportedly supplied to Iran, epitomizes this commitment.
The Murmansk-BN is a powerful EW system, which can jam and intercept enemy radio signals, GPS, communications, satellites, and other electronic systems up to 5,000 kms away and neutralize “smart” munitions and drone systems — and it is capable of disrupting high-frequency satellite communication systems owned by the US and OTAN.
Commentators/analysts often forget that Iranians are no slouches when it comes to EW. The arms embargo probably helped a lot with that as well. In any case, US drones should be advised to stay at home, unless they're ready to switch sides 😂
>The Murmansk-BN is a powerful EW system, which can jam and intercept enemy radio signals, GPS, communications, satellites, and other electronic systems up to 5,000 kms away and neutralize “smart” munitions and drone systems — and it is capable of disrupting high-frequency satellite communication systems owned by the US and OTAN.
Which sounds amazing on paper, but where is that system in action in the SMO?
Because NATO satellites and Ukrainian drones and missiles are doing whatever and going wherever they want. What is Murmansk-BN doing to stop it, and why is it not stopping it?
It matters not anymore what the little green gremlin thinks as Russia commands the entire field of battle. Mission accomplished.
The sinister NEOs got Mike Tysoned. (one shot knock-out)
The NEOs and nutsy NATOs dug themselves so deep into the mineshaft there's no evacuation plan and no way out. Not only has NUTSO NATO and friends lost militarily but also they are a whole lot poorer because of it. Capturing the 4 Oblasts alone Russia will add many trillions in cash to its books over time, and the valuable repurposed land will add to its already geo-physical corpulence making it an even bigger biggest country in the world. lol One could say NATO paid the whole bill patriotically billed to us the taxpayers for every nickle spent on this conflict when it would have been so much cheaper and wiser just not to fuck with the Minsk Accord.
Mike, could you explain to the NEO-NUTSOs when you say everyone got a plan till you punch them in the face? Thanks, Big Mike.https://youtu.be/qSuMgOu8QPo?t=41
whoop, whoop
After War, another 4th Horsemen from the Satanic Phoenician Mega Trillionaires... Since 1976 with Cloud seeding with Silver iodide, with HAARP microwave heating of the upper atmosphere to create an atmospheric dome to manage the jet stream, to create an area of intolerable heat underneath. Doppler radar to steer hurricane systems. Trillion watt lasers to further steer weather systems from space. Nano Aluminium, Strontium, Barium sprays of hundreds of thousands of tons yearly from planes Worldwide to supposedly block off the heating of the sun to stop global warming but instead has the effect of destroying the ozone layer having exactly the opposite effect of increasing the heat of the planet! Nano Aluminium, Strontium, Barium sprays of hundreds of thousands of tons yearly from planes Worldwide is having the effect also of increasing the PH of the soil killing the trees, destroying the crowns, destroying their root systems, making trees fall over, destroying trees worldwide - Acid Rain…
Nano Aluminium, Strontium, Barium sprays of hundreds of thousands of tons yearly from planes Worldwide is having the effect also of attacking the respiration of people so that deaths from the lungs, asthma, lung cancer, difficulty in breathing is increasing.
Nano Aluminium, Strontium, Barium sprays of hundreds of thousands of tons yearly from planes Worldwide is having the effect also of killing the bees, killing insects killing pollination. 80% of all insects have died worldwide!
Nano Aluminium, Strontium, Barium sprays of hundreds of thousands of tons yearly from planes Worldwide is having the effect also of killing all vegetation, all flowers, killing the crops, decreasing their yield. Monsatan is creating aluminium resistant Frankenstein seeds which in future will be the only thing which grows.
Pathogens in the Sky: A Controversial Connection - We own an audio of him at geoengineeringwatch.org stating, in his words, what he did for the DoD, designed methods of spraying virus and biological pathogens into clouds to infect the populations below. Think about that. And now we have pathogens showing up in the case of CV-19. We had 85 countries infected in three days. That's indicative of an airborne dispersion. We have Italian scientists that say they have found CV-19 attached to airborne particulates. Do these dots connect? So the bottom line is, again, we can hide from forms of medical procedures that we don't want, the injections. We cannot hide from what they're spraying in our skies. And at any moment of their choosing, Because we have polymer fibers and graphene in our rain. That's in our lab tests.
https://satchidanand.substack.com/p/scientists-confirm-weather-weapons
"gripped tight by his ‘piano hand’." Coffee through the nose. I should know better.
Heeheehee
Then a second time –
"compelling Zelensky .. like a fly prancing from one turd to another."
In our language, this is much more colorfully expressed "Like when a fly flies from one piece of shit to another piece of shit!" :)
Send the mutt meat. The Russians can grind it and give it to the Chinese after it's properly tenderized.
Then send the US the bill in flag-draped coffins.
Last sentence ( about Iran missing the retaliatory stike timing ) hopefully that's not the case... I agree.
IMHO it’s laughable to think Israel could eliminate Iran’s ability to retaliate in one strike.
It would be the absolute best timing for Iran to strike as well though.
agreed. And they have said it will be immediate and 10 times worse ( my calculation ) than the previous. I guess its the only way to get rid of Israel - which definitely has to happen - but this is a great interview - https://youtu.be/u7J2SA8U7Fk
The US and other countries are trying to convince Israel not to attack nuclear or oil facilities in Iran. Israel has recently said that when it attacks, Iran will not know what happened but will see the result. That little riddle tells me that the zionists will most likely hit Iran’s electric power generating systems. They won’t know what happened because the electricity will be off. But they will see the results because the lights are out.
Hopefully, Iran’s defence network runs off its own independent power generating sources not tied to the civilian grid. And hopefully, they then immediately wipe out the zionists’ infrastructure, giving them a taste of Gaza.
Yeah that what I reckon too. Maybe some kinda 'non kinetic' attack on the power grid like what happend in Venuezala a few year back-Russia helped get it back up but it took a bit. Maybe communications too. Very clear that Iran is riddled with Mossad agents-look at all those scientists assassinated. Plus clear that Hezb is fucked now, totally riddled with spies. If Israel can ge the commanders they can get the arms bunkers and the HQ strike showed what they can do to Hezb's best bunker. Why is Hammas NOT tell Hezb in advance of thier pans for Oct 7? Cause they KNOW Hezb are riddled with spies and also that they are NOT a serious fighting force despite all the rah rah rah. In 12 month or so what did Hezb achieve? Didn't take out the fuel temrinals or storages despite 'all the sophisticated weapons' they are sia dot have...full of shit. Iran is using Hezb as a bargaining chip to get sanctions releif -Irans back off on Hezb support and Iran get relief. Only they fucked up on the calcuations-the Israel and US saw the 'mass attack' reprisal for what it was.Weakness on Irans part. Not serious about Palestine at all just using the 'cause for Irans benefit and Lebanse get bled out. I reckong Israel will fuck up Heb big time and then push the Leb people to rise up against the fuckers.
War; when hate wins
Splendid Simplicius!
Always a joy to read your reports. You wrote long ago that West would try to freeze the War on the ground if things got worse for Ukraine. And now we see the signs of such development. Biden is too tired to bother anymore and the biggest headache is Israel doing massacres each day.
But. I would say that IF West&Ukraine manage to freeze the ”conflict” as of now it would indeed be a victory for the them. I cant see any positives for Russia doing such a stupid thing and if they do you can be certain that the situation is also dire on the Russian side.
Ukraines stubbornness and the criminals minds of Zelensky&Yermak has cacthed the ukrainians AND the West in a cul de sac. But one can also say that Russia has fewer alternatives that one may think. If they agree to a ceasefire they would be seen as losers. If they instead continue the War, declining every ”peace offer”, and the advance goes as slow as now they will be seen as coldhearted warmongers. And if the front and Ukraines resistance suddenly collapse, and Russia storms the banks of Dnieper river, the scare will be whipped up in the West for the ”bloodthirsty imperialist Red Army”. I cant see Russia having any alternative other then take whole of Ukraine and then negotiating a West-Ukraine state with Lvov as a center.
I agree with the Swiss general. Perception of winning through losing is the only option for US as of now. But then we better hope for Kamala as president…
I am sure Trump will do something stupid if elected President.
>But. I would say that IF West&Ukraine manage to freeze the ”conflict” as of now it would indeed be a victory for the them. I cant see any positives for Russia doing such a stupid thing and if they do you can be certain that the situation is also dire on the Russian side.
Simple question -- would Hitler have won if WWII was frozen in late 1941? Or even mid-1943? And then allowed to consolidate control with ethnic cleansing, brainwashing of the remaining population over many decades, etc. etc.
Most people would see it as a massive win.
Well, it is the exact same situation right now -- the literal descendants of the Nazis are in control of territory that is not that much different from where the front lines were in mid-1943.
Any Russian leader that does not see it that way has to be removed from office and immediately replaced by someone who does.
Balitsky is 100% correct in what he said.
But will he be listened to?
Remember that Stremousov, who was speaking in those same terms all the time, died on the day Kherson was surrendered and it is not at all clear it was the SBU/GUR's doing rather than an order from the Kremlin in order to keep overtly patriotic loudmouths like him in check...
Could not have said it better.
“If Russia is defeated in Ukraine, European submission to the Americans will be prolonged for a century. If, as I believe, the United States is defeated, NATO will disintegrate and Europe will be left free. The psychological shock awaiting Europeans will be to realize that NATO does not exist to protect us but to control us,” so historian Emmanuel Todd told an interviewer w/ Italy’s Corriere di Bologna on 9 October.
Todd shed unique light on Germany’s historic r’ship w/ VVP: “During the Iraq war, Putin, Schröder and Chirac held joint press conferences. This terrified Washington. It seemed that America could be expelled from the European continent. Russia's separation from Germany thus became a priority for American strategists. Making the situation in Ukraine worse served this purpose. Forcing the Russians into war to prevent Ukraine's de facto integration into NATO was, initially, a major diplomatic success for Washington."
Todd described Germany's general paralysis in 2022 as the shock of the SMO set in, a period which "allowed the Americans, amid the general confusion in Europe, to blow up the NordStream pipeline, a symbol of the economic understanding between Germany and Russia."
In Todd's view, the war is in its second phase: that of American defeat.
"U.S. control over Europe will be pulverized," Todd told his interviewer. "Germany and Russia will meet again. This conflict is in a sense artificial. The natural thing, in a low-fertility Europe, with its aging population, is the complementarity between German industry and Russian energy and mineral resources.”
In all of Project Ukraine’s dimensions, Germany has paid the highest price for loser-ship status--from the loss of cheap natural gas to the neutering of its industrial might. It is undoubtedly a generational knee-capping.
Todd’s insights offer a fresh spin amid the increasingly archaic vitriol emanating from Brussels, via Mark Rutte, for instance, OTAN’s new chief, who said on 9 October: “If Putin gets his way in Ukraine, that would have serious security implications for all of us” in the Alliance.
I mean, can you find a more boilerplated & regressive statement than that--?!!?
"Putin" already got his way.
Russia's security matters. The critical importance of Russia's security will now of course involve OTAN massively, just not the way groupthink Rutte believes. Ukraine's capitulation will be OTAN's capitulation.
Moreover, since all wars are bankers' wars--a phrase I just coined--the money-launderers-in-chief, the kleptocrats in Brussels, want to legitimatize their theft & grift operation by going into the banking business.
Rutte et al want to set up an OTAN Bank—security funding specifically earmarked for financing Project Ukraine. OTAN'$ member states will pay money from subscriptions so they can fund the OTAN Bank; this is over & above the 2% already expected from member states to keep OTAN afloat.
Europe will soon be little more than the most touristy military spending place on earth: a Trevi Fountain w/ Tomahawk missiles.
Meanwhile, Ukrainians get used to losing a village every day.
Well in reality Russian energy, commodities and food resources will probably now be coupled with Chinese industrial manufacturing and building Chinese infrastructure, well in reality possibly Asia as a whole. Why would the Russians be dumb enough to revive relations with a Europe that hates them to the point of many attempts to annihilate them as a people? From Napoleon's attempt to liberate Russia to Hitler's attempt to exterminate Russians needing resources and "liebenstraum". Why now would Russia subordinate itself to a hateful west when they can lead a grateful global majority?
Curiously, the original BRICS nations form the geographic pillars of a multi-nodal order, anchoring the salient global regions:
Brazil keeps it real in the Americas,
India straddles the subcontinent,
South Africa presides over a sub-equatorial blossoming,
Russia & China--back to back--their shoulder blades touching, gaze upon Europe to the west & Asia to the east.
If you look at geography the possible BRICS expansion will control every strategic choke point in global movement of goods. Russia controls the North sea route having the largest fleet of nuclear icre breakers; Egypt controls the Suez canal; Iran and Saudi Arabia control the straits of Hormuz; The Chinese pioneering over land routes with the BRI. Then going forward looking for Malaysia Indonesia and a possible invite to Singapore to control the Malacca strait; Thailand for their development of an alternate route bypassing Malacca; Then Yemen for the control of the Bab Al Manbab; Turkiye for control of the Basborous and the Dardanelles and Nicruagua in South America for the new canal being built by a "Chinese businessman". BRICS is basically a major paradigm shift in global geopolitics.
And Palestine...from the river to the sea
I think China's BRI/CMEC investment in Myanmar is to bypass the Malacca straits. You are right about Malaysia/Indonesia/Thailand and Vietnam entry being a game changer as these are the strongest ASEAN members.
Berletic has piece on theat topic....
Here is an unpopular opinion -- Russia's resources, contrary to popular belief, are not infinite, and are therefore best kept inside the country, for the benefit of future Russian generations, rather than being sold for pennies on the dollar of their real worth, whether to Westerners or to Chinese.
Let the Westerners and the Chinese try to develop without resources, keep your resources to yourself, and invest in local development.
Makes sense, right?
Except that if you do that, the present arrangement according to which the current Russian oligarchy gets a percentage on the loot and that is the basis of its power falls apart. And that oligarchy largely controls the Kremlin. There are other forces pushing for an alternative path, but the internal conflict has not been resolved in their favor. Thus the SMO not-war format and all the other self-defeating (non)-actions that make absolutely no sense if one naively assumes that the people who rule Russia do so in Russia's interest rather their personal interest.
Well it is your perspective, the only thing that would make it unpopular is what exactly clouds the lens through which you see the world. Yes, totally agree with the thought that Russian resources should belong to Russians and not be sold to Chinese or westerners for pennies. Yet I would think Russians would not want to be a hermit state totally isolated from international trade. I don't know how you discerned how finite Russian resources are to start hoarding their exports.
Well from lots of reading on the state of Russian leadership I conclude it is led by one man Vladimir Putin and a beuracracy of his creation, for the last 24 years. It is fair to consider him a "prisoner of power" with that said what possible self interest would the Russian president have at his age, money? The reality is money creates the illusion of power, so what value would it be to a man that encompass the definition of global power? Possibly his greatest ambition is to rule a great Russia and leave that as his legacy.
"Here is an unpopular opinion ... rather than being sold for pennies on the dollar of their real worth, whether to Westerners or to Chinese."
Respectfully, that's not an "unpopular" opinion, it's just an inaccurate opinion. Your premise is false. Russian resources are *not* being sold for pennies on the dollar of their real worth, not to the Chinese, and not to anyone.
On the contrary, Russia is getting top dollar for its resources, and it's doing so as a matter of very wise investment. It's selling resources it cannot at present use as a means of funding development that will allow Russia to grow even faster. It would be intensely stupid for Russia not to take advantage of resources that help Russia develop.
"that oligarchy largely controls the Kremlin" Ad-hominem labels don't explain reality: they obfuscate reality. In every developed country in the world elites control the government. It's been that way in human societies for thousands of years. The only question is how the interests of such elites align to the interests of the society at large.
Russians today have become fervent believers in capitalism because Russia's abandonment of communism and socialism in favor of a switch to capitalism has led to the creative and entrepreneurial energies of the Russian population being unleashed, with dramatically increased living standards, longer life expectancies, reduced infant mortality and dramatically increased personal freedoms. Today's "oligarchs" (that is, wealthy people and business leaders) have morphed from the opportunistic looters of the 90's into genuine entrepreneurs, like Russia's richest woman, Tanya Kim, the founder of Wildberries, a hugely successful Russian Internet shopping platform, akin to Amazon.
Russians tend to *like* the idea that business leaders and entrepreneurs have influence in government. They much prefer that to bureaucrats and socialist party apparatchiks controlling government. They know that entrepreneurs like Tanya Kim want to see Russia expand and everybody making more money because then their businesses will make more money too.
"if one naively assumes that the people who rule Russia do so in Russia's interest rather their personal interest." On the contrary, what's naive is believing socialist propaganda for morons that being interested in success is a zero sum proposition. It never fails to amuse how Communists have a huge blind spot in their belief that Communism is best because deep down inside people will nobly work for nothing to support others, but when confronted with the reality that people really do want something for themselves they say capitalism can't possibly work because deep down inside people are evil and think only about themselves.
In reality, people are social animals and have the intrinsic social skill to understand that it is in their own best interest to live in successful communities, and that putting their own interests forward is most successfully done by fair trading that benefits others as well. The most successful businesspeople in the long term are those who love their customers and who thrive because they build win-win propositions for their customers.
The people who rule Russia do so in Russia's interest as well as in their own personal interest because their personal interests are aligned with Russia's interests. A strong, successful, prosperous Russia is very much in the interests of the intellectual, political, and business elites that run Russia. It's intensely naive to believe otherwise.
wow thats a lot of bullshit.
you are drinking your own koolaid my guy, you know nothing of former communist countries, you are just projecting your stupid views.
Excellent retort. At least we in the bleacher seats can see the truth in this!
Russians like Italian fashion, German beer, and French cheeses.
That’s the main reason.
OMG Cheeso! You actual can write great comments!
Agree fully with you. Emmanuel Todd is a peculiar guy that I will call genius. He forecasted the fall of USSR as young and his Apres lémpire (After the Empire)he forecasted the demise of US. His latest book Defeat of the West (La Défaite de l’Occident) is a gem. Read it with pleasure. In my country he is non-grata and seen as an extremist but all he says is true and noteworthy.
As for the new rotten head of NATO I only expect evilness. And we 850 million people in Europe is keeping our mouths shut when non-elected Rutte talk about Europes future?
Was not NATO a defense coalition - not a geopolitical movement with its own agenda?
And we let von der Leyen speak for all countries in Europe without having any mandate what so ever of conducting each sovereign Nations foregin policy. The silence in Europe is the most frightening I have experienced. People letting those powergrabbers doing crimes each day by letting EU-money leaving EU to a non-EU state in War!
Thx C for the Todd input. Simplicius readers should get deeper into his books.
Yeah, but what really can we do? I talk of Europeans who are conscientious of the lies and bs our Elites spread? Reality is, if I talk of von Der Lying as the lying, corrupt fraud she is, I would be probably criminally charged, and I would definitely loose my job (I work in some capacity for the state). So many say nothing, many others believe the bs and lies, because they sleep mostly, and many simply don't care.
I think we are in the cycle of downfall, its always the same, the first generation builds up its wealth, the second generation retains it and the third generation wastes it. And we are in the 3rd cycle, the waste cycle.
There is not much we can do, I said it here a couple of times, the Politicians like Von der Leyen, Rutte, Schröder, Starmer, Johnson, etc. etc., are just a small portion of the smear theater we are witnessing, behind them are hundreds of thousands of second and third rate Politicians, Administrator, NGOs, Think Tanks, Technocrats, small/middle/big corporations, state media, private media (they get money all the time from the Pentagon, state funds, etc.) who benefit of all the corruption and lies. Its like a sewage plant, you see the piles of shite at the top at the sewage sea (Elite Politicians), you don't see the countless little pieces of shite below it...
I can't remember the reference, but an interesting interview stated that Europe would try to double down on NATO, in the event of a defeat. The rational being that relying on the US military frees European countries from dealing with each other. If Germany rearms for defensive purposes, then Denmark, Belgium, France, Poland, etc will need to, as defensive weapons can be used offensively.
The Politico assessment is actually on a 1 to 5 scale ("evaluations are given on a five-point scale (maximum 5 points)"). So "In the article "Five Questions Zelensky Is Asking in His European Tour (and the Likelihood He'll Get Them)" (there are actually 6 questions there) Politico's assessment is that 4 questions are straight out cloud cuckoo land, deserving a full 1 out of 5 mark... Some people are having trouble with maths today.
In every peace talk the enemy also gets a say - and the Russians are going to say nyet to anything that’s left of Ukraine from joining NATO. That was their chief complaint before this Donnybrook got started.
The only possible terms that Russia is going to accept is the unconditional surrender of Kiev. The only choice Kiev has is if it will be de jore or d facto.
1000 Russian casualties a day?
WTH did they get that number? Reached into and pulled it out from their a$$?
BTW, this is not really an "American" defeat, it's not about the US, it's about the UK imperialists -globalist oligarchs and bankers- who took over the polity of the US after WWII.
An "American defeat" is actually a defeat of the UK based colonialists. Something good for us in the US, actually, and the whole World.
I used to wonder why the UK was so involved in Ukraine? It seemed like they were the tail wagging the dog... but nooo, instead they are the loud chihuahua making noises. Time to get rid of them.
Hopefully we can also get rid of AIPAC.
Blame shift into the UK you loony.
The war has caused by the USA and the USA alone.
Wrong. The British military/"security" services/and political are in it equally. And the EU poodles to a lesser extent.
The Western Polities are ALL controlled by the money men in London.
They are the colonialists that renamed the British Empire into the American Empire... primarily for their own benefit and using the US Taxpayers to foot their frickin' bill.
Even the English politicos are controlled by them.
If you read carefully what I write -that goes for Alec Green- you will notice that I don't blame "the UK" per se, I blame the globalist oligarchs and bankers, which for 400 years have been based in London.
TonyE.
We're absolute dicks and our political establishment has an absurd opinion of its own importance, but we aren't running the show.
Our influence on Ukraine has been a disaster, but we're only following orders. And those orders come from the State Dept.
As a "money man" in London I can absolutely say that that is complete and utter horseshit pushed by tinfoil hat wearing loons. The money men behind the Federal Reserve are the ones who currently are pulling all the levers.
I'm sure that the solvency of European banks without Fed money printing has nothing to do with European and British support for whatever the neoziocons in the U.S. decide. (That is sarcasm, BTW).
American conspiracy nut cases always seek to blame shift from their own country, onto someone else, cowardly behaviour.
The only tail wagging the U.S. dog is Israel. In fact, I would go so far to argue that this entire Ukraine fiasco is the direct result of Russian intervention in Syria, which prevented the Neoziocons from effecting their regime change there. The usual crew of the Kagan clan, Kristol, and their gentile sycophants like Bolton and Pompeo decided that to finish implementing the plan that Kagan, Kristol, and the other Neoziocons laid out in the 90s for remaking the Middle East Russia would have to be either 1) regimed changed 2) broken apart 3) tied up in a long-term conflict such that it could not offer any support to its regional allies in the Middle East. Hence, Maidan and all that followed.
With this in mind, one can see that Nov. 7th 2023 and all that ensued in its wake is directly related to Ukraine. It became apparent to the Kristols and Kagans that option 3 from above was the only viable option and that Israel had to act quickly, because "long-term" was beginning to look like no more than a couple of years.
Now someone blame shifts onto Israel, and the USA is just an innocent mislead bewitched victim.
LOLOL coward.
I have no dog in this hunt. I don't live in the U.S., UK, Russia, Ukraine, or Israel. I just call them like I see them.
Look... I am well-aware of the history of U.S. foreign policy. U.S. history was a minor field for my candidacy exams many years ago. I know about the Dole Fruit Company, Sullivan and Cromwell and their manipulations of South American governments to benefit multinationals, the Dulles' brothers merger of Wall Street, the CIA, and the State Department, and so forth. I know about the bankruptcy of the U.S. in 1972, owing to the carry trade in gold reserves, and the alliance with Saudi Arabia to replace oil with gold as the commodity backing the USD.
I get all that, but nothing that the U.S. has done in the past 30 years makes any sense from a purely "rational actor" in its own best interests perspective on geostrategy. Prior to the emergence of the neoziocons, absolutely, one can see many elements of a "rational actor, self-interest" model for U.S. foreign policy. If Kagan, Kristol, and their ilk (which includes Nuland who is married to the clan) did not "hijack" U.S. foreign policy, you explain to me what happened. Please include in your explanation how these same group of people manage to appear in every U.S. executive branch from Clinton forward, including Trump and Obama.
"The Western Polities are ALL controlled by the money men in London."
Nope, pure conspiracy theory.
Shut up jew Alec Green.
Is it possible to block users on substack? I thought this boring bastard Dhdh had been banned but unfortunately he's back to derail yet another comment section.
Does the name Rothschild mean anything to you?
https://risingtidefoundation.substack.com/p/sugar-and-spice-and-everything-vice
The USA is the number 1 imperialist capitalist country in the world, and is in charge. All other countries are the followers. Stop scapegoating. Your country is not a mislead, or hijacked nation.
Well... there is the issue of Kagan, Kristol, and all their friends (who now have an iron hold on U.S. foreign policy). They have hijacked U.S. foreign policy. I am certain that the average American, whether from New York City or Sioux City, could not find Ukraine on a map and could care less what happens there.
Hijacked US foreign policy, you mean the imperialist aggressive Foreign policy that is over a century old?
So hijacked in the sense that it is exactly t he same as before? Make it make sense. There is no hijacking at play, it is just how the imperialist capitalist USA is. One based on colonialization and aggression since the foundation.
because the JewSA is a colony of the Jew.
One thing is clear –
"It's a big club, and you and I ain't in it."
Nope the UK is a subordinate nation to the USA. They are willing lackies, but without the USA, they wouldn't dare do anything.
And the UK is probably even more Jew conttolled than the JewSA. the UK is just useless to the jew now as it is a joke in the military realm.
Don't argue, the overwhelming majority of both countries the UK and the US have nothing to with that shiteshow! And the Elites in those countries work together, they see themselves as an international Elite which couldn't give a rat's a$$ about the people in the US, UK or Ukraine!
I thought UK war mongering was a consequence of BREXIT. The UK needs to prove they are more European than the EU, trying to earn brownie points for a future reintegration into the EU again.
"I used to wonder why the UK was so involved in Ukraine? " The UK have been Russophobes since the end of the 18th century. They didn't like the idea of a new empire appearing on the world stage that could threaten the British Empire. Russia's defeat of Napoleon really shook them up, so ever since then the UK has sought to tear the Russian Empire apart. They still haven't adapted to the idea that it's foolish for a former Empire now reduced to Chihuahua status to bite a Russia that has become stronger and more powerful than ever.
With half the world's population depending on Russian food or food-growing resources for their food security, with every first world or would-be first world country except the US depending on Russian energy and resources to maintain first world status, and with the world's most industrially productive country counting on an expanding Russian economy as a key offset to unreliable other partners, perhaps for the first time in world history Russia may well have the most durable economy on earth. Add Russia's extraordinarily combat-capable military and all that really annoys the UK Chihuahua.
I'd actually challenge you on that 18th century part because I can relatively easily trace it to 16th and Richard Chancellor's landing. UK is the primary seed of discord on this planet, particularly regarding Russia which it will forever try to destroy for the same reason it destroyed Imperial China with opium - there can be no independent self-reliable nation on Earth because it will inevitably outtrade the Brits.
Even the proxies have proxies now: Ukraine’s military intelligence service has been sharing drone warfare techniques with Tuareg rebels in Mali to help them kill Russian security contractors fighting for the African country’s military-led government, per French newspaper Le Monde. Andrey Yusov, the chief of Ukraine’s HUR, its military intel wing, confirmed the r’ship, acknowledged it as a diplomatic error but said simply “there’s no going back.” The Ukrainian agency is committed to hunting down Wagnerians “wherever they are.” Next up for Ukraine-trained rebels: Sudan.
Mali has accused the U.S. of being behind the Ukrainian support for the Tuareg rebels, as have Niger and Burkina Faso. Illustrating the long arm of Ukraine—and its longterm usefulness—the U.S. has found a side-hustle for the scrappy little determined proxy, an escapade in Africa which will maintain its fighters in a permanent state of war. Punching above its weight, Ukraine first tried to weaken Russia, and then, emboldened by the sheer moxie of such derring-do, has branched out to destabilize the Sahel.
It's a 'don't look here where Ukraine is being wiped out'- but over there where plucky Ukrainians are fighting a brave fight for the glorious west. Expect more of this, especially since the ME projection of western power is not going so well (to put it mildly). It is another device for threatening the global south with local wars coming to you guys if you do not back us.... blah. The antidote is BRICS.The only solution is to turn western dollars to dust. And then watch it all implode.
This is the ISIS-ization of the West. They stared so long into the abyss that, as in an act of osmosis, the mass of what lay torpid in those depths wicked itself upward & found reanimation within them.
Ukraine flattered Macron by claiming it could be his attack dog in Africa. Macron liked the idea, especially since he had no home grown troops who wanted to do anything other than fight him. But Ukraine is wreaking such havoc out there it is destroying whatever last vestige of credibility the west continued to enjoy. The global south has sat back with the popcorn, on the principle that you do not interrupt your enemy while he is making a mistake.
I think we can expect a lot more of that from various Ukrainian groups, even after a ceasefire/armistice.
the Neo-Nazi Banderites types will have no place in a nation at peace and no place at all in the eastern provinces. Due to their ideology, a life as soldiers of fortune seems likely. Bandera himself never stopped and there were ex-SS men fighting in Indo-China as late as the 60s and 70s.
On a slightly related note, how do you think Bandera REALLY died?
A handful of Ukrainians in the sahel are just PR window dressing. The French and US run the "moderate" rebels there
Thank you for yet another extremely comprehensive and thorough analysis.
Just two comments:
1) Handwritten on those Russian bombs are the words "For the children of Crimea" (closest one to camera) and "terrorists will not be taken prisoner."
2) So far, October has been balmy in Ukraine, but all that changes tomorrow (Oct 12) as the autumn cold and rains are set to sock in for at least a week. Today or tomorrow (for the easternmost regions) will be the last day of the year for wearing T-shirts in the afternoon, although it'll be a while yet before any risk of snow. But yah, the MUD IS COMING.
https://www.bluegreenatlas.com/climate/ukraine_climate.html
Designing some WW2 East Front wargames some time back, a key feature is obviously weather. I recall (confirmed by this link) that certainly the South is almost maritime in climate terms, getting more and more "typical Russian steppe" as you head north. In games design you need to try to model the impact of weather on operations. And as you say mud is coming, but I dare say will have a bigger impact the further north than in the south, and in fighting/operations outside built up areas. This might point to where we might see fighting intensify during the Raputitsa. Of course both the Russians and Ukraine militaries developed training, equipment and doctrine for bad weather including mud, but it is certain that it slows things down. It is also certain that western equipment is not designed for these conditions, particularly areospace and electronic stuff - and it is arguable that western "advisors" might not fully appreciate the impact on conditions. However given that the UAF now seems to be turning into a scratch light infantry force with limited heavy weapons, this might not have such an impact. However having older unfit and untrained conscripts sitting in a cold trench full of water will not do much for morale.
Terrain movement costs doubled and action points reduced?
Thanks again Simplicius for the real granular detail which only you can make so interesting. Hubby is Dutch and mostly a normie and believes the anti Russian propaganda. I predicted when the SMO started that Russia would win easily and he laughed heartily, explaining how small their GDP was and how they would be crippled by sanctions and Putin had terminal rabies, you know the catchlines. I said, what nonsense, they are a superpower and have a massive nuclear arsenal and I gave a caveat that only a world war by the west could perhaps beat the bear. It’s fascinating how this SMO has become a world war from almost the start/before the start and STILL Russia is winning, is flourishing, is proud and is fighting as humanely as possible. Honestly I could see myself leaving the prison island down under and fleeing to mother Russia. St Michael defend us in battle against the evil ones⚔️⚔️
Hi Laura, no disrespect intended towards hubbie, but I have a question? How can you tolerate having an ignorant spouse?
If me, I wouldn't want that as it would be a trigger point for arguments.
I hear you, it can be infuriating at times. I don’t know what makes him so gullible about Europe and The West in particular but he always loved the idea of the EU. He is an optimist and thinks most people are good, I am a pessimist and believe all of us are fallen without Jesus’ love and forgiveness. We are both believing Catholics though and he can recognise that Russia is much more sane in its anti woke, pro family policies. Essentially he believes that people/ media tell the truth in spite of all the examples of gross lies and horrible atrocities
The first thing to do is to break their trust in the media.
Israel is helping. Lean on that.
I was almost evicted from a family wedding recently in Texas, for my Putin loving ways!!
Gal, take a victory lap. You know you're over the target when they're taking shots. Stay strong.
Ta cheetosSpring! I will stay strong and I do keep peppering my loved ones with redpilling Substack articles.
Brace yourself. Thanksgiving is just around the corner. You'll be the only one at the table who isn't less ignorant than the turkey being carved.
I've gotten used to an Iron Curtain of delusion being dropped by my Western acquaintances and family. By the way, the term "Iron Curtain" wasn't coined by Winston Churchill in a speech he gave in the US. It was coined decades earlier, in the 1920's I believe, by a Western visitor to a Russia in the throes of a Bolshevik takeover who was commenting on the total propaganda and lies *from Western media and governments* about what was going on in Russia.
I don't say Western "friends" because I can't say I have any of those anymore. They've all been so marinated in 24/7 lies that when I tell the truth about what I see in Russia (I'm an American living here in Russia) they claim I've been turned into a Putin bot.
On the subject of carved pumpkins, may I propose hammer and sickle design? That usually does the trick.
And to think that Texas is basically America's Russia. Shame on them.
Laura, I hope he's a good father and a kind man, because hubbie surely isn't the brightest bulb in the pack, is he?
Thanks John, he is a loving hubby and father and a really intelligent cardiologist. Very dedicated to his patients. I don’t think IQ is at all part of the equation at all. It’s some kind of inherent scepticism, maybe a previous bad experience with the machine, something I can’t quite put my finger on…that allows those of us to see through the propaganda
We each of us hang on to our comfort blanket of delusion, until finally for whatever reason or reasons we're ready to see its lack of utility.
I had a similar argument with my sister, who insisted the Russian economy was smaller than the Italian. Recently I pointed out Russia has a larger economy measured by GDP PPP according to the World Bank. She didn't blink, making me wonder whether she still remembers her earlier argument. Sometimes, I feel like Winston in 1984, wondering whether people can remember the past, or just agree with the latest MSM stories.
She probably didn’t blink because what you said went straight over her head and didn’t land at all. The delulu is so strong that it cannot be countered by reason
I made the mistake of reading some comments from some main-stream media publication the other day about Ukraine. The level of ignorance was staggering. Even the blue-haired male-hating heifers in the U.S. have a better grasp on reality.
Laura, thanks for sharing. I have a similar thing with my Dutch in-laws. Especially my father-in-law, who used to be full on 'Crimea will be returned' deluded, and still mentions to me about how Putin is poisoning the rivers, etc, etc. I do not have the energy to get deep into the topic with an elderly person, so I usually just express doubt about what the newspapers report and advise that they will accuse Russians of anything; and we kind of end the discussion there.
What has amazed me in the past couple of years, is that none of my Dutch family/acquaintances have ever asked me for my opinion about the Ukraine conflict. One time my wife read out the news headline 'Russia bombs Europe!' when that Ukrainian missile killed the Polish farmer, but I just expressed doubt and advised her to wait until next morning for more details to emerge. And a couple hours later there was a different headline. Now, I am known to my family/friends as being someone with 'radical political views' - i.e. someone who has always hated the American & 'my own' British empire, and they are always happy to ask for my opinions about Scottish independence or Dutch politics or the latest American presidential election. But they NEVER dare to talk about Russia/Putin with me. It's so odd. Like they're scared of being forced to face up to the likely fact that I'm on Russia's side.
So we are back to western trainers being sent in. It is as if we have a constellation of narratives that orbit this theatre of war on their own trajectories, an air display designed to take public attention away from the brutal fact of defeat on the ground.
Russia has a simple battle plan. If the west crosses certain lines that have now been well drawn Ukraine will take such a devastating nationwide punch that western Europe will collapse under the weight of refugees. Russia does not have to threaten nuclear weapons or a strike on Berlin. This human tide will be enough to bring chaos to the west and the downfall of those governments who connived for this war. So they are between a rock and a hard place and the US has taken its profit and lost interest. Probably best to just allow Russia make all the moves while western talking heads talk themselves to a standstill. Wind down media coverage and allow the denouement to take place away from western public gaze.
The U.S. will maintain prestige by demonstrating the degree to which it can palm off on Europe the management & maintenance of Project Ukraine. Just. Like. That.
In delegating the upkeep & aftercare of Ukraine to Europe, the U.S. can sit back, like a boss, patting itself on the back for a job well done, footloose & fancy free--and begin surveying the prospects for chaos in China.
The U.S.'s status increases in direct proportion to the degree it can get its vassals to turn on a dime.
Tom Sawyer got the other boys to whitewash the fence, after all, while he sat back back jiggling his foot.
One of the most foundational aims of the U.S.'s Founding Fathers was to be members of the landed gentry, able to hire others to do the work.
Excellent allusion. Meanwhile Tom was also kind, brave and resourceful, none of which the globalist freaks are.
"If Iran cannot prevent this strike, then it must launch a simultaneous counter-retaliatory strike at the moment when Israeli and US aircraft take off en masse. If Iran misses this strike, it may no longer have the opportunity to launch a retaliatory strike." A broadcast from another planet? Here's a different take on such a strike and Iran's capacity to respond from Andrei Martyanov and Scott Ritter. Wanders afield now and again but delightfully thorough and in-depth. A treat from two experts. Ritter launches into a wonderful history lesson at about 11:30. Tomorrow? We can only hope. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x8v5rX22qzM&t=3592s
Ritter has gone of the deep end - he sees Uncle A under his bed and thinks all germans are the SA.
Both Moscow and Tehran announced that VVP and Pezeshkian are visiting Ashgabat, Turkmenistan on 11 October to attend a ceremony marking the 300th birth anniversary of the Turkmen poet and thinker Magtymguly Pyragy.
Moscow and Tehran may want to bring forward the formal inking of the Russian-Iranian defense pact, which was originally scheduled to take place in Kazan in two weeks. If 16 American tankers are simultaneously taking off from the Qatar airstrip as VVP and Pezeshkian confab in Ashgabat, then I hope both presidents will hasten their praise about the poet Pyragy and have pens in hand, ready to sign.
The Kremlin is making it clear to Washington and Tel Aviv that Moscow is irrevocably aligned with Tehran and will help the latter no matter what it takes. The “Murmansk-BN” system, which Russia has reportedly supplied to Iran, epitomizes this commitment.
The Murmansk-BN is a powerful EW system, which can jam and intercept enemy radio signals, GPS, communications, satellites, and other electronic systems up to 5,000 kms away and neutralize “smart” munitions and drone systems — and it is capable of disrupting high-frequency satellite communication systems owned by the US and OTAN.
Iran's gonna give it a Crazy Workout shortly.
Commentators/analysts often forget that Iranians are no slouches when it comes to EW. The arms embargo probably helped a lot with that as well. In any case, US drones should be advised to stay at home, unless they're ready to switch sides 😂
>The Murmansk-BN is a powerful EW system, which can jam and intercept enemy radio signals, GPS, communications, satellites, and other electronic systems up to 5,000 kms away and neutralize “smart” munitions and drone systems — and it is capable of disrupting high-frequency satellite communication systems owned by the US and OTAN.
Which sounds amazing on paper, but where is that system in action in the SMO?
Because NATO satellites and Ukrainian drones and missiles are doing whatever and going wherever they want. What is Murmansk-BN doing to stop it, and why is it not stopping it?