They cannot walk away. In 2019, Arestovich already talked about joining NATO after UA victory over the Rus. He was excited and very specific, he said that the war would happen at the end of 2021 or in the beginning of 2022. However, he also talked about another war 2025-2027.
Rus needs to trash them now and properly. They were saved by the lenient Khrushchev and constant USA support. As long as USA can print monies, they will support neo-Bandera, like they supported proper Banderites for 80 years.
Can't print lower caste, "useless eaters" Ukies, true. But there are plenty of other cannon fodder available for monies. Other Russophobic Slavs, Balts, then lots of all sorts of mercs. I see lots of Colombians in the channels that track mercs. As long as there is money printing ability, I think they can find bodies to throw in. Eagerly waiting to see what are BRICS up to this year.
Banderites main point in life has been to fight judeo-communists. The cia/zionists captured the imagination of the greedy and stupid banderites and turned them into a tool and cannon fodder for Bankers’ war for full-spectrum dominance. The irony! Kolomojsky, the former president of the Jewish community of Ukraine and founder of four Nazi battalions (including the openly Nazi Azov battalion admired by Israelis and the American and British Jews) produced an excellent definition , “judeo-banderites.”
The best business to be in is in that of hosting diplomatic events. Expenses are high, meetings endless, and any affair can be stretched out into multiple engagements because nobody ever deals directly or says what they mean, so repeat business is guaranteed.
A far smaller business, and proportionally less profitable, than the main armaments supply business. But as we Scots say, "mony a mickle maks a muckle".
i could suggest same about the US...we got what we deserved in Biden for similar reasons as Ukrainians got with Ze... but most of us do NOT deserve it. The system is so designed to insulate its activities (which are massively against our interests) ; from the false choice of "candidates" fielded, to the career personnel/private enterprise with their own agenda (deep state). Short of overhaul of our system (starting with controlling $ pouring in to politics) we are trying to fight the tide with our bare hands. The Ukrainians are less politically/economically savvy than we are..they want a better life but have been raped and robbed by their govt's (and western powers) since the dissolution of the Soviet Union...and had little of the historical political experience that we had from which to inform.
Doesn't matter. He will be treated as a leader for as long as the Americans say he is.
Remember the Zaluzhnyii fiasco? People here were predicting a coup, the Americans stepped in, said that they were sticking with Zelenskii, Zaluzhnyii got shuffled off and that was that.
Russian prisons have notoriously bad conditions in them. At least it was like that 10 years ago when I've read about it but I don't think anything has improved all that much, though Covid has killed a lot of prisoners from what I can tell. Changing your small shit cell full of people that want to kill each other and shit food (that you know you'll have to stay in for YEARS) into something better will look promising for a lot of people.
COVID, a.k.a a bad cold, killing prisoners? I highly doubt that, possible if they are in just terrible physical condition already (co-morbidities) but please share a source. Maybe Pfizer or Moderna shipped over a bunch of unwanted vaxes for “testing.”
Sorry, I mixed up prisoners and inmates, disregard my comment. However, all the prison stats were made a state secret in 2023 so now we can't really tell how many POWs were transferred to prisons.
I disagree. Russian prisons aka prison camps are inherently better to prisoner cells like it's portrayed in US movies. You live in barracks and spend much time outside, hail endless, almost free land. There is notoriously bad Black Dolphin prison, but it's for really bad folk and there are camps at far north, like camp where Navalniy died, but overall, it's pretty much fine. Food/medical aid is decent and being monitored by outside orgs. It's not 90s, budget is there.
I recently watched a video of a class of new conscripts to the Ukrainian military. I guess this was their induction day. There were about 30 guts in the room. Every one of them looked to be in their 40s except for two who were clearly in their 50s. Now, convicts are being conscripted such is their lack of manpower. But don’t worry, anyone who has murdered more than two people is not eligible for this wonderful new opportunity.
Acquiescing to any communique issuing from the Lucerne Fundraiser Telethon would be like Russia beating England 5-1 in the Euros w/ 2-minutes stoppage to go, then suddenly giving up & telling the referee that they will cede the match to England. Like China's "brutal unprovoked" overcapacity, Russia's winning the war is an unfair advantage.
After my translation of the speech's transcript, I termed it a legal brief in my commentary to resolve the conflict and get onto the bigger issue of Eurasian security since the Euro-Atlantic system is clearly dead as the Outlaw US Empire has attacked and subjugated Europe and rules it via NATO/EU, an analysis that was echoed by Lavrov at the presser he held after the speech which is also translated at my substack.
Having finished, I'll add the following. Putin's move is in tandem with China's which has vowed to implement its Global Security Initiative this year, which is essentially the same plan Putin has in mind for Eurasia and the planet as a whole. As I wrote today, https://karlof1.substack.com/p/european-mutiny-arab-solidarity-illiberalism Ukraine needs to be solved so Palestine can be solved and thus Eurasia freed from active Outlaw US Empire hostile action and Zionist perfidy. And if China and Russia are acting in tandem then you can bet all their shared organizations are too.
The Petrodollar is history and soon the dollar as reserve currency will also pass away. But we mustn't forget the role Palestine plays in getting to the finish line of World Peace. IMO, it's a far harder problem than Ukraine.
'In philosophical terms, the SCO can reasonably be said to still believe in the idea and practice of the ‘multi-polar world’. However, following the economic decline seen in China through its Covid years, and the increased political cohesion between the U.S. and its key security alliance partners in the West and East after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Beijing is aware that it must tread lightly in any attempts to challenge the U.S. and the West directly, as also analysed in full in my new book on the new global oil market order. The idea that China will overtake the U.S. as the world’s leading economy by GDP in the next ten years or so now looks increasingly fanciful. Militarily, China also knows that the U.S. has been an economic superpower for well over 100 years, which means that Washington has been spending a lot more money on a lot of things that matter militarily – personnel, technology, communications, global political connections - for a lot longer than Beijing. It has also fought many more wars, giving it much greater operational awareness than China and a command and communications coordination capability far greater than that of either Beijing or Moscow. Even now, the U.S.’s military spending per annum is more than three times that of China’s, at over US$916 billion. In sum, in a direct non-nuclear confrontation with the U.S., the high likelihood is that Beijing would lose, and would lose quickly. Moreover, the ability to date of the U.S. and its allies to leverage their influence in key Middle Eastern states to stop the Israel-Hamas War from escalating across the region – at the same time as supporting Ukraine in its fight against Russia - still shows that the Western alliance can deal with at least two ongoing wars simultaneously. It does not appear out of the question that the alliance could even deal with three such conflicts should China indeed try to invade Taiwan by 2027.'
It depends what kind of war and where it is fought BUT your points are good ones. This is why there needs to be a campaign to define a new order with the aim of winning opinion in 'the west'. I have been inspired by the level and sophistication of the US anti-war movement and of the developing understanding of how 'modern' imperialism works throughout the world. As yet there is no presence at all in political arties in Europe and the USA. Here in the UK there is a General Election on and no discussion among the main political parties about UK Foreign Policy - BUT Gaza is kicking itself onto the agenda, and Ukraine will.
I agree, the GE in the UK is a bizarre parade of nonentities discussing irrelevancies. There is literally zero discussion of an alternative to the UK’s place in the world, it is just an accepted fact the we are a vassal colony of the US elite. All the leading politicians are simply treacherous sellouts with no stake in the country.
I believe that a number of anti war candidates will get elected in the UK based on opposition to the Israelis genocide in Gaza. Ukraine is a complete non issue.
> the increased political cohesion between the U.S. and its key security alliance partners in the West and East
Huh? Increased political cohesion is a mirage, window dressing. Look at Hungary and Czechia, the UK's PM wanting no part of it, perhaps even Macron going down that path.
> The idea that China will overtake the U.S. as the world’s leading economy by GDP in the next ten years or so now looks increasingly fanciful.
What !!?? China's economy on a PPP basis — a more realistic indicator than a nominal figure — at $35 trillion is already bigger, by far, than the U.S.'s $27 trillion, as per the World Bank latest report. So what are you referring to?
> ... the high likelihood is that Beijing would lose, and would lose quickly.
Unless Russia steps in, which carries a high likelihood given that Russia would not want to border the U.S. in the East.
> the ability to date of the U.S. and its allies to leverage their influence in key Middle Eastern states to stop the Israel-Hamas War from escalating
Really? So, why haven't they done so? Heck, they cannot even defeat the Houthis anymore.
> the Western alliance can deal with at least two ongoing wars simultaneously.
Only in the sense of supplying weapons, money and propaganda. There is no way the could deal with a direct confrontation with peer foes in 2 wars, never mind 3 wars.
To be fair to the author the US has whipped a number of East Asian countries into greater degrees of subservience
And there is a lot of submissiveness being practiced in Europe, not universal but much -the UK was always subservient, now it's well what's the word for much more than subservient? ......craven?
The author was once a hardbitten (brit I think) middle eastern based commenter - wrote a lot of fact filled and sensible articles about the oil industry economics and political dynamics
Since the outbreak of war has steadily drifted into this parody position
For a realistic assessment of the size of China's economy see Han Feizi - it's all a very much more complicated matter than it is made to seem, once again East and West have very different attitudes
I gave the link! and referred to the publication by name! and put quotes commas!
But do not worry - it's easy to quick read - as for the GPP GDP I have a new comment with the text of the Han Feizi author, this is a pseudonym, he's diaspora US Chinese who returned to bank in HK then to China proper, and he has a very keen insight and very mischevious prose - well worth reading all his articles in Asia Times
He is good ! I read an early one where he explained about China EVs, he said growing up in the States he was a car enthusiast, could recognise every make and model from the tail lights , to let the reader know he was crazy
My Chinese high school students in Beijing all want to go to Western universities. His "Open Letter to Chinese-American Students" was eye-opening. Total cost of 4-year education at top-ranked Chinese universities like Tsinghua and Beida: USD $17,000!
I don't know what type of narcotics you use as your preferred choice, that's your business. But they're seriously effecting your brain function. You're having a serious problem of seperating facts from fiction. By the way you've worded your comments. It seems to me you're trying to say America & it's vassels are being successful, in the middle east & in Ukraine. Stating they're coping with & running both conflicts & managing them without problems. Do you actually research what you're stating or do you just repeat what Western media are stating? I also hope that you know starting in 2001, with Politico articles followed by business insider. Every single year since, they've made us all aware of the coming collapse of the Chinese economy. Yet here we are 23 years later & every dingle one of those years. The Chinese economies growth has far exceeded the US economy. You do know the levels of national debt the American economy is in don't you? This makes the American economy a hairs breath from total disaster. Continuing to just print more & more money to hide the fact the American economy is a complete shit show. Doesn't result in a healthy good economy that is resilient. What does America manufacture? The Chinese & Russian economies are built on real commodities. Not financial wizardry like multi trillion dollar derivatives markets & all other manner of financial nonsense. You see the world as a whole has figured this out. There's only 1 single thing that is keeping the American economy alive. That is the dollars reserve status or petrodollar. Without it it's the end of the US financial system. I've got some news for you, it won't happen suddenly or over night. But it is being actively reduced globally right now. The dollar is backed by nothing it's a paper & ink con job. As for coping with these 2 conflicts, if you hadn't noticed Ukraine is being decimated, the Houthi's have chased the mighty US navy out of the Red Sea & Hezbolah are giving the Israelis nightmares. Fo you know what's happening to the Israeli war cabinet? There isn't one right now, did you know Israel had had to call up another 50 thousand reservists? Why would that be? Your comments aren't based on any realities whatsoever. All you've done is repeat Western media propaganda. What's just happened with the US vassels in the EU parliament vote? You've even stated America with the worst record in fighting conflicts in the world could defeat China in its backyard quickly. Why didn't they do that to the Taliban, Vietnam or Korea? I could say a lot more but yours clearly delusional. I would suggest doing a bit more research as it's obvious youve done none at all.
The author from Oil Price Com has been around a lot longer than any of us - he's (it sounds as if he's) one of those old time brits from back when
You can not remind him he's late to the party - he knows that- maybe he's atoning for some mistake, or maybe he has found 'salvation' but he's changed a great deal from pre Ukraine war
He's to be taken seriously in the sense his column for the premier oil ind reporter is presumably a fair reflection of of industry sentiment, both Gulf and US
I think previous commentators have adequately debunked the authors travesties of facts exposing a skeletal structure of wishful thinking constructed by the hyper warfare apparatchiks in M16 whose reach is all
That America has lost every war since WW2 has me wondering if winning/success was ever the point. Most, if not all, the wars since 1945 appear to have been unnecessary, perhaps even a money making scheme.
You do realise that HSBC is a Chinese run bank?… and that the biggest hold on gold is chinese… and that the debt the west pay is really being collected by a super power in the east… the dollar is worthless … swallow the red pill … we are stuffed … the long game started some time ago.. and we already lost .. that’s why the new world order is being pushed… Covid is nothing to what’s about to unleash.
Pretty much all western MSM is propoganda and lies - but Oil Price com generally takes the temperature in the Gulf fairly accurately, as well as hosting reports from the usual US Central Asia CIA ops
Simon Watkins used to be valuable for his factually accurate reports, he's now more valuable as a propogandist
I understand that China will build its nuclear deterrent up to 1000 nukes, a kind of parity with the US and Russia but more modern, and they are ahead of the US in missiles. Given the economics of sanctions so similar to driving Japan to war with the US, it seems nuclear war is inevitable. Actually, I think Gaza and Netanyahu will be over before the Ukraine, but also Taiwan, and now the Koreas. The job of the security state under the Wolfowitz doctrine is to stop Russia and China no matter what.
Straussians are lunatics ready to push the morally feeble US to commit all kinds of stupidities up to the suicidal ones. Look at the genocide in Gaza and listen to jewish fascist in the jewish state and diaspora: they are possessed by their supremacist idiocy and burning hatred. The horror is the supremacist idiots own US congress where each member has an AIPAC handler directing his/her actions. The metastatic cancer of zionizm, combined with the triumphant war profiteering of fascist mega corporations, does constitute a mortal threat to humanity. As was predicted by Voltaire.
Capitalism is always a threat, especially in this faltering bankrupt present version of EUUS capitalism
But you should not use language that paints it's practioners as insane, monsters, ill, etc
- for at least two centuries or more this class and this system has very efficiently served it's own needs and submitted you the people to it's command
-that it is collapsing currently is sure - but one should analyse this and study the weaknesses and take advantage, in your own capitalist countries, to exploit this collapse
Just as VVP and Xi Jingping have - and formulate a policy of resistance
You the people are responsible for taking direct action - forget the madman talk, else you are merely being fooled all the time
Of course NATO can start a nuclear war, but mostly I see the situation differently. First, tactical nukes have been used lots of times, and the most likely state to start the war is the terrorist state with nuke Zion - the Sampson option, because their control of the Holy Land is part of the plan for world hegemony. The US and its constitution are "exceptional" and we can not let any other nation threaten its hegemony as we are the chosen of the gods. It is like the last scene of Dr. Strangelove.
There are some who say that Boeing is deliberately being crashed or perhaps the correct word is 'decolonised'
- that such incompetence and corruption can not be haphazard, even with the degraded capitalist practices prevailing
That more and easier money is to be made this way, asset stripping and asset confiscation, raw materials plundering, pitching civil war between the constituent parts, than by restoring it to profit, which would require a lot of hard work and hard cash invested
Seriously – the first country that suffers from US policies is always the US
Maybe-- noted you didn't mention the Taiwan/China/US possible new front. China is still the main competitor to the US being the largest consumer nation. That scares the shit out of the US. If I had a Ruble for every time someone mentions the imminent death of the US $ ... 🙄 Please remember the US still has the largest consumer market in the world. If any country wants to sell to the US they will need US $'s. Will countries need to use US $ to trade amongst themselves-- no-- and that is great for them (not as good for US banks).
Why do you think that Davos (ie old European money/City of London) is trying to implode the US through their influence of Biden, Obama et al. (which is why it looks like the US is committing suicide). Make an alliance with the Neo-Cons (ie hate all Russians- Wiken Blinken and Nod) to do the dirty parts. They want to replace the US hegemony with the EU in the guise of Schwab and crew (I know it's laughable but). It's all about money and power-- which the EU needs to survive as Singapore and China continue to grow as financial centres.
BTW Saudi Arabia and the Middle East already sell their oil in other currencies. Remember Canada and Venezuela still trade their oil in US $ (#2 and #3 in production) . This is a nuanced (and welcome) change to the US $ world use.
Also you don't even mention the supply changes in the US $!! Powell has for 2 years been sucking up all those excess US$ floating around the world being used to usurp US monetary and frankly fiscal policy (Sam Bankman Fried anyone?) NGO's like Soros and Gates -- their funding is now MUCH more expensive. Recall that Soros JR. cut NGO staff by 40%. What will BLM do and how will Soros fund all those DA elections in the US?
World peace? maybe, lets hope so but I don't believe it will be as straight forward (linear) as you believe.
I didn't say the dollar would die. That won't happen until the USA implodes and a whole new system is installed with possibly a currency with a new name. My comment wasn't supposed to be a complete analytical breakdown of the US or global economy; it's related to the main issues Simplicius raises in his text.
After 1991 & the *end of history,* the only path to peace lay in a schema of European collective security which of course included the Russian Federation--and an alliance already existed for this, OTAN, but instead of providing for Russia either within or alongside the alliance, European security languished. Lazy under OTAN's militarism, Europe neglected to create a comprehensive peace regimen which covered the entire continent.
The concept of Pax Eurasia from Lisbon to Vladivostok disallowed the Atlanticist powerplays of a hegemonic U.S. hellbent on global dominion. A hegemon cannot have normal r'ships, that is to say *equal* ones. Those who dominate see only a zero sum outcome. Having ended history, the U.S. damn well meant to reign over it
Instead of blooming into Pax Eurasia, the EU supplied the political & economic fuel for OTAN's war engine, which thrums insidiously now. Wherever there is OTAN, there will be war.
"the fact of the matter is: even if Russia were to walk away from the war with its current gains, it would have been more than worth it, and Russia would have still won an inordinate prize. Crimea, the entire Donbass region and its vast riches, millions upon millions of new citizens, a land corridor to Crimea and control over the Azov Sea, etc.". Something like that will happen. I just can't evaluate so positively. Just a prelude to another future war, hostile Ukraine intact, many dead and disabled Slavs, fantastic costs for Donbass restoration, Nato expanded, ties between Russia and Europe cut for a long time (and Russians have European mentality).
Yes, huge costs, but they wont be borne by Russia as the resource wealth of the new territories will pay the costs, with plenty left over for the Russian treasury. Prior to the SMO the resources went to the west, now Russia has them.
Or maybe the costs of restoration are secondary-- given these are Russians ethically in these areas. Sorry why does it matter to Russia about resources? They have more than anyone-- hence the need for the City of London, its US toadies and EU to take them, ie push a ridiculous Ukraine war killing hundreds of thousands of people.
And when all of the resources goes to the West, that equals 100% loss for the Russian people. With huge polution that would be left behind as additional burden.
Every NATO expansion is in fact a weakening for NATO countries
As the RoW shifts to the East as do advances in politics and in society, as in alliances and associations of countries, as in economics as the advances in technology
So Russia does as well - see the SPIEF debate with Karaganov - the west looking 'liberal' élites are still present, but the shift to the East is general and inevitable
just saying...it does seem inevitable now. But Russia always traded with West, exported raw materials and imported technology. It was not exactly desired that break happened; Russians did not choose shift to the East, somebody else made choice for them.
In a different word, Russia was blocked from expanding its influence to the West, and, in the same time, was accepted as an ally by the East. The resulting vector seemingly points Eastward, but it is actually the result of Russian growing power. When Western resistance dwindle, Russia will inevitably start to expand influence both ways until equilibrium is reached. It will be measured more by the depth of Western downfall than by Russian growing strength.
It seems quite obvious that Russia knew well ahead of time that sanctions would be one result of the SMO. Their financial wizards already had procedures mapped out for when they arrived. Thus, I'd say they had already made the POV shift to the East long before the first RF soldier crossed the Uke border. And besides, Russian-US trade is not completely cutoff. The US is still buying their uranium and likely many other products.
OTAN is diluting itself, in expanding--also becoming more bureaucratically bloated. OTAN includes beaucoup bookkeeping now, which certainly takes the spring out of its step: zilch for vigor, no vision, death-spiraling .
Sweden is voting this week I believe on the Defense Cooperation Act, which will permit the U.S. to access the country's 17 military bases & other training grounds for the storage of weapons, ammunition & military equipment. Critics worry that this will lead to the deployment of nuclear weapons & also to permanent U.S. military bases in Sweden. In that this agreement has "no limits," which is how the U.S. likes things, it's difficult to see how Sweden can retain any agency after voting for this.
Sounds like Sweden's Defense Cooperation Act is tweaked differently from Norway's. Norway's pact, like Denmark's & Iceland's, does not contain a *slippery slope* [like staging nuclear warheads there] but Sweden's pact seems to permit extracurricular *fun,* like the possibility of permanent U.S. bases in Sweden--thus critics are criticizing.
The Swedes have been shooting themselves in the feet for decades now, so not so surprising. Beautiful country, but the people are, well putting it politely, "reserved". Spending time with them more than 20 years ago, I realized why then (and still?) they had the highest suicide rate in the world. Of course, the long winter nights don't help either.
Not only that, but the remaining Ukrainian territories are flat broke, and no prospect for the future . Very soon would look with envies, to the Russian incorporated provinces where is, explosive reconstruction will take place. Very likely that some of the neighboring regions would be tempted, to join the winning team. Just over this past weekend in the capitol city of Ukraina
the authorities allowed to hold a pried parade in Kiev, like that is the most important need in a destroyed country . It is curious, how come the recruiters didn't show up to catch some of the parading "man", and take them to the front line? They could muster all the pried they have and parade from south to north, holding a thousand mile gay parade . that would be the biggest and baddest gay parade ever . All of they western "partners" could join them, the Russians would give them a welcome treat .
However, I read that the authorities limited their celebration/parade to less than an hour and it was broken up prematurely by citizens in opposition to their POV. Rather hilarious actually.
Were you intentionally spelling pride as pried? Or did the spell-checker let you down?
The cost of subservience to the US is already prohibitive for Europeans. It will be exponentially worse unless the compradors (opportunistic traitors) are weeded out and expelled from the European governments. The European nations need to restore the mutually beneficial collaboration with the East or they will be crushed by the usual suspects. The private banking cartel always wants more pounds of flesh.
Every time Australia attempts to mend things with China the US steps in (or its local "agents") to create new problems. The latest being a forced sale by Chinese interests in Australian rare earths.
VVP has "parleyed with an assemblage of new faces" on the world stage for decades; he remains a constant, like the fixed point of a compass.
A contemporary Westphalian Peace is desirable--but a transcendent geopolitical phase change would have to come about before VVP or Xi Jinping could rely on an *agreement incapable* hegemon & his vassalized ankle-biters--not to mention "their masters in the cabal."
Dear Simplicius, why not mention the elephant riding on the 2024 election merry go round? Are you trying to avoid accusations of election interference or you think the replacement of a well meaning elderly man with a poor memory by an elder statesman fit enough to stand trial is a zero sum game?
Do you seriously think that a new nominal figurehead would change anything? As long as the US are run by the cabal, they can appoint a talking toaster for all I care.
This was certainly a comprehensive summary and analysis of events, but I feel like something is missing. Too much is riding on Putin (supposedly) crafting a new world order. Getting some major Ghenghis Khan vibes here - the world shifts while he's alive and can herd everyone together but it falls to shit when he's gone.
Who's gonna take up the mantle to build this new world order? Farage? Le Pen? MBS and Xiping? Whatever joker is at the head of the AfD? I don't think so. Orban in Hungary? Fico? No way. Say what you want about the Rutte-Sunak-BJ-Macron-Ursula VDL-Sanchez-Borrell aka Trilateral/ClubofRome/Bilderberg side of things, but at least they're always on message.
Only way things are truly going to change is when a few tens of millions of people starve to death. The rest is just fantasy talk.
"the world shifts while he's alive and can herd everyone together but it falls to shit when he's gone." Many of the world's great changes have happened as the result of a single person's ability to lead. For example, your quote applies perfectly to Alexander the Great's life and legacy. While he was alive he changed the Mediterranean, North African, and Western Asian world. When he died that world split up into states run by Alexander's successors.
Putin has exceptional skills in governing the notoriously ungovernable and wildly diverse population of Russia, but he's not the only leader steering Russia. I think there's a solid consensus that's built up over decades within Russia on what needs to happen in terms of new security architectures, and that consensus is shared with very influential other countries, like China. It basically boils down to the rest of the world saying "no" to the former colonial empires of the West continuing to try to dominate the world through military power. That people in the West are often completely unaware of the very deep and broad collection of strong, effective, intelligent, and determined leaders and patriots in the Rest of the World doesn't mean they don't exist. They do, and collectively they have a far more powerful influence on how real life plays out than the on-message imbeciles at the head of increasingly less relevant EU states. If Putin dies tomorrow that process will continue, both in Russia and in the far larger setting of the entire rest of the world.
"Only way things are truly going to change is when a few tens of millions of people starve to death. " Respectfully disagree. That's one of the ways things can truly change, as is a billion people burning to death in nuclear war. But it's not the only way nor do I think it is a likely way.
Instead, I think it far more likely that the current process which has already started and is gathering momentum will continue to play out. What happened in Switzerland was very interesting because it's the first time that the Global South turned out in force in a classic Western "all you non-whites have to fly in to take orders from us" session and together the Global Southerners collectively said "screw you" to the EU and the US. I can't recall any time that's happened before in such a clear "screw you" way.
At the same time, the "screw you" message was not only delivered in an almost deliberately insulting way, like how the Saudi foreign minister very explicitly told the West they were being idiots and the Saudis would have no part of that, but it was also followed up with actions in the form of even more countries applying to join BRICS, like Malaysia, or saying they've had enough of the EU and will look at BRICS now, like Turkey.
Those are changes, as is the extremely real move to de-dollarization that's going on in most of the world. That may not have the suddenness of a bunch of Great Powers getting together in Vienna to carve up Europe between them, but the process will result in a very new world order in a remarkably short time, a matter of only a few decades.
As for the screw you, there have been previous occasions, at the UN notably, when concerned with the reparations vote at the GA 14 Nov 2022 Res N° ES-11/5
Most of the RoW reminded the US of the foolishness of raising the issue of reparations - which could/would include demands for repartions for slavery, for...well you name it
The RoW is rather like the RF, they voted on legal grounds to condemn the invasion of the Ukraine, but also on legal grounds when the subject was a vote as to reparations for one country over one subject only
There are a lot of blood thirsty people out there...I could not reply to them as equably as you do, bravo
Agree, but screw you is maybe not the first time? E.g. In the vote on lifting sanctions Cuba, the US was also completely alone and also with a veto in the UN over Gaza. The internet has increased the reach of Russia and China and the translate programs have solved the Babylonian speech confusion.
I agree the rest of the world has from time to time made symbolic gestures in the UN. But the General Assembly in the UN has long ago became such an irrelevant gathering that what goes on there doesn't really matter either in the halls of real power or outside in the real world. It's mostly just a bunch of talk shop careerists playing pointless roles so they can continue enjoying their New York lifestyles.
The situation is very different in gatherings like Switzerland, where EU prime ministers and presidents put their personal careers and gravitas directly on the line.
A face to face rebuke by the Saudis to Macron, Rutte, and the other EU and NATO imbeciles, with those imbeciles having to sit through a series of dressing-downs by the Global South is not something the G7 racial masters of the Universe are used to. Such face to face action is an entirely more public and explicit "screw you" than yet another irrelevant vote between distant diplomatic underlings.
"...the current process which has already started and is gathering momentum will continue to play out..."
Agreeing w/ that.
Russia was uniquely positioned w/ just the right amount of ability, stamina & impetus to stand alone initially & implement the vision while vitriol rained down from the West. The RoW looked on, seeing the success, comprehending the method, discerning a pathway forward. The more the RoW can recognize the favorable outcome, the victory, the better positioned they will be to implement at will.
"It basically boils down to the rest of the world saying "no" to the former colonial empires of the West continuing to try to dominate the world through military power." It's the post WWII variant of neo-colonialism a mutation of the previous direct rule model. The modern variant of debt enslavement, overseer elites, etc. What's changed is that China and Russia have the science, technology, and industry to make a better offer. The icing on the cake will be the removal of the need for a "reserve" currency which is what's behind the likes of the UNIT proposal. I had to find a URL via Pepe Escobar at Sputnik/Cradle as my search engine obfuscated without providing any direct link: https://unitfoundation.org/
He is the Russian pit bull, you never know what he is going to say when he goes off on the retards running the west. It's shocking how stupid they all are, and how they still believe that everything is going to stay the same as it has been for the last 80 years.
It's over, GAE retards. Your ship is sinking, but you are too blind and dumb to even realize it. 🙄
If they had had half a brain, the morons running things would have realized this a long time ago and taken steps to prepare for it by re-industrializing America, and shifting it's education system to teach useful skills for careers in manufacturing and other real industries. Instead, they pissed away 200 billion on Ukraine, and the schools just shit out endless numbers of woke retards.
Well, good riddance to this rotten shit empire. Its final fall cannot come fast enough. 🧐
The US empire’s owners abhor meritocracy because the intelligent, honorable, and patriotic people are bad for the owners’ business. The owners’ hatred and fear of American patriots explains the spectacular mediocrity of all members of the Knesset on Potomac and the so-called “presidents and vice presidents of the USA.” The parasite is driving its host to the ground by extracting life juices from the hapless giant.
100% !!!!!! What? people being creative and setting up businesses? Oh no we MUST adhere to the long standing "club like" business mentality of the elite financial doyens of the UK (formerly the Netherlands, and before that Venice). Thats the way it's always been done!🙄🙄🙄 Pay us our rents for being us -- right Europe?
Which empire-- the barely alive one of the UK? (mostly in the financial world run by City of London) or the military bully world (US) or the wannabe empire (EU/NATO)?
You are right to emphasise that Russia aims for a lasting peace through collective security. It was not just for Europe, but for Eurasia, and it has the long-term goal of removing US forces from Eurasia... Europe, West Pacific, West Asia, SE Asia. Also on Odessa, it seems to me Medvedev's comment implies that Russia aims to gain Odessa through a post-conflict ballot rather than a destructive battle.
Even if Russia were to end hostilities w/ its current gains, as Simp says, the SMO of course would have been *worth it.* The experience of these 28 months has swept a lighthouse beam of discovery across the geopolitical wreckage of Europe. Had the SMO not commenced when it did, the citizens of Donetsk would have been destroyed under a snap liquidation--seemingly run amok & spontaneous after 8 years of hostilities but actually well-planned for some time by the OTAN-amped UFA .
So the SMO preserved the lives & dignity of ordinary people ensnared in what seemed a civil war, a localized conflict among regions in Ukraine, but really had morphed into a covert proxy war OTAN was waging against Russia.
Had the SMO not commenced, the world would not have comprehended the insidiously lengthy involvement & investment the U.S. had made in weaponizing & OTANizing Ukraine.
Had there been no SMO, there would have been no clandestine way to sabotage the NordStream pipeline & fig-leaf the saboteurs beneath enough fog of war--or Baltic Mist--to make it impossible to investigate the sabotage itself.
*Mistakes were made. A sabotage happened.*
The inability to inquire into this & search for answers spoke volumes about the actual r'ship between the hegemonic U.S. & its EU vassals--and that was something the SMO unexpectedly laid bare for the RoW to see.
Well said. About this: "the citizens of Donetsk would have been destroyed under a snap liquidation" - just like the citizens of Gaza are being liquidated now by the US and Israel.
Russia's intervention saved Donetsk from becoming Gaza on an even larger scale. Russia's action was the shot heard 'round the world to announce that battle had finally been joined in ending the old world order where colonial powers could destroy the nations and people who refused to kowtow to those powers.
I'd like to write that first shot has ushered in an era with no more invasions of Vietnam, Libya, Afghanistan, Syria and other countries by Western colonial powers who kill millions without any fear of retribution, but with the genocide in Gaza it's clear that a nuclear armed US and a nuclear armed Israel still feel able to commit genocide without fear of reprisals. But at least Russia's rescue of the people of Donbass has made it clear that the West does not always get its murderous way. That's a beginning.
If an esteemed ally of the West *genocides-fast,* there will be some tsk-tsking & "tragic mistake" types of apologia--but the ally will nonetheless have the West's implicit blessing to chive-on.
Israel's genocide did not go fast enough--and the world beyond the West has convulsed in horror. [Also people in the West, to be fair--but not the leadership publicly.] Even DJT's criticism of Bibi was that "he took too long."
Clearly, in the West, if the genocide is lickety-split you can cover for it more easily. Now that we're seeing the template in Gaza, we know exactly what lay in store for Donbass in February 2022. The heavy bombardment, the civilians crushed under pulverized high-rises, the Dresdenization of Donbass, the slaughter, the justifications, the complicity...
The use of white phosphorus by Jewish fascists made the ongoing war on Gaza civilians into the Real Holocaust versus the profitable concoction of shoah business by the Mussolini friend Nahum Goldmann, a president of the Zionist Congress and principal organizer of the extraction schema of “reparations”. The incredible indecency of the ’ holohoax memes was their concurrence with the zionists’ looting and massacres of the native Palestinians. The Jewish state presents the most powerful evidence of the anti-human and dishonorable nature of Judaism. Supremacism leads to genocide. See all major Jewish organizations’ enthusiastic support of Israel and all Israeli actions despite the ongoing mass slaughter of the Palestinian children and women.
Russia walking away now with all the forward momentum they have would be equivalent to surrender. It could well be its biggest historical blunder. lol
They cannot walk away. In 2019, Arestovich already talked about joining NATO after UA victory over the Rus. He was excited and very specific, he said that the war would happen at the end of 2021 or in the beginning of 2022. However, he also talked about another war 2025-2027.
Rus needs to trash them now and properly. They were saved by the lenient Khrushchev and constant USA support. As long as USA can print monies, they will support neo-Bandera, like they supported proper Banderites for 80 years.
Can't print lower caste, "useless eaters" Ukies, true. But there are plenty of other cannon fodder available for monies. Other Russophobic Slavs, Balts, then lots of all sorts of mercs. I see lots of Colombians in the channels that track mercs. As long as there is money printing ability, I think they can find bodies to throw in. Eagerly waiting to see what are BRICS up to this year.
Banderites main point in life has been to fight judeo-communists. The cia/zionists captured the imagination of the greedy and stupid banderites and turned them into a tool and cannon fodder for Bankers’ war for full-spectrum dominance. The irony! Kolomojsky, the former president of the Jewish community of Ukraine and founder of four Nazi battalions (including the openly Nazi Azov battalion admired by Israelis and the American and British Jews) produced an excellent definition , “judeo-banderites.”
The best business to be in is in that of hosting diplomatic events. Expenses are high, meetings endless, and any affair can be stretched out into multiple engagements because nobody ever deals directly or says what they mean, so repeat business is guaranteed.
A far smaller business, and proportionally less profitable, than the main armaments supply business. But as we Scots say, "mony a mickle maks a muckle".
Crosses over nicely into corporate events as well, so you get to hobnob with everybody with too much money to throw around. Also.
Tom Welsh
We Scots
heh
Don't you mean "vampire" balls/parties 😉 An excuse to use tax payer monies to make them feel important.
Yep, definitely a bit of gloating and getting eyes on you there. I couldn’t do it, but I’m sure a lot of people would want to.
https://argomend.substack.com/p/vampire-society
It’s the same all the way up, after all.
Zelensky has always been a puppet; now he is an illegitimate puppet.
"the expired Jew"
Zelensky was always illegitimate, IMO, does anyone think that Ukrainian elections are legitimate? But now it's official...
Many Ukrainians viewed him as their leader, there's a modicum of legitimacy there.
Yes, when he was promising peace as an election candidate.
Well then they deserve what they got.
i could suggest same about the US...we got what we deserved in Biden for similar reasons as Ukrainians got with Ze... but most of us do NOT deserve it. The system is so designed to insulate its activities (which are massively against our interests) ; from the false choice of "candidates" fielded, to the career personnel/private enterprise with their own agenda (deep state). Short of overhaul of our system (starting with controlling $ pouring in to politics) we are trying to fight the tide with our bare hands. The Ukrainians are less politically/economically savvy than we are..they want a better life but have been raped and robbed by their govt's (and western powers) since the dissolution of the Soviet Union...and had little of the historical political experience that we had from which to inform.
The USA is fat, lazy and stupid, so we do deserve it.
To maintain your country you must always be vigilant and we were not, we ignored the creep of those currently in power.
Exactly-- great post!
Nobody cares what Ukrainians think or want.
You think that the farmer asks his veal calves their opinions?
Idiot - the RF does - f off Cia moron
shelf-stable Ladimir, the Usurper of Kiev
Doesn't matter. He will be treated as a leader for as long as the Americans say he is.
Remember the Zaluzhnyii fiasco? People here were predicting a coup, the Americans stepped in, said that they were sticking with Zelenskii, Zaluzhnyii got shuffled off and that was that.
I saw a medevac UAV lifting a person off the ground, I wonder if it could be used for assault operations?
Also, glad to see prisoners being returned to their homes though for the Ukrainians they'll probably be thrown back into the grinder.
I hear many prisoners begged to stay.
The most amazing part is that some prisoners wanted to leave safety in Russia, knowing they will be sent to the front to be killed by Zelensky....
Some dumbfucks are beyond help; look at the clot shot heroes for examples of this, lining up for their 8th mRNA needle. Tragic.
Look on the bright side, the fewer "compliant citizens" the better.
Winners of the Darwin awards....
A misnomer if there ever was one. Most of those "winners" probably already procreated, so the stupid genes were not eliminated.
I think the movie Idiocracy covered that quite well.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sP2tUW0HDHA
Russian prisons have notoriously bad conditions in them. At least it was like that 10 years ago when I've read about it but I don't think anything has improved all that much, though Covid has killed a lot of prisoners from what I can tell. Changing your small shit cell full of people that want to kill each other and shit food (that you know you'll have to stay in for YEARS) into something better will look promising for a lot of people.
COVID, a.k.a a bad cold, killing prisoners? I highly doubt that, possible if they are in just terrible physical condition already (co-morbidities) but please share a source. Maybe Pfizer or Moderna shipped over a bunch of unwanted vaxes for “testing.”
The Russians used "Sputnik V" Adenovirus vector, similar to Astrazeneca
However it was not mandatory and there were other choices as well (told to me by a Russian)
Sorry, I mixed up prisoners and inmates, disregard my comment. However, all the prison stats were made a state secret in 2023 so now we can't really tell how many POWs were transferred to prisons.
You don't think years in a Russian penitentiary might just affect your immune system a bit?
POW camps are NOT Russian prisons.
I disagree. Russian prisons aka prison camps are inherently better to prisoner cells like it's portrayed in US movies. You live in barracks and spend much time outside, hail endless, almost free land. There is notoriously bad Black Dolphin prison, but it's for really bad folk and there are camps at far north, like camp where Navalniy died, but overall, it's pretty much fine. Food/medical aid is decent and being monitored by outside orgs. It's not 90s, budget is there.
Many Ukrainian soldiers surrender as soon as they can to the Russians, they know it's over.
I recently watched a video of a class of new conscripts to the Ukrainian military. I guess this was their induction day. There were about 30 guts in the room. Every one of them looked to be in their 40s except for two who were clearly in their 50s. Now, convicts are being conscripted such is their lack of manpower. But don’t worry, anyone who has murdered more than two people is not eligible for this wonderful new opportunity.
Ha, you'd think the 2+ murders would put them at the head of the line.
My thought exactly Scott. Not been many takers yet.
Acquiescing to any communique issuing from the Lucerne Fundraiser Telethon would be like Russia beating England 5-1 in the Euros w/ 2-minutes stoppage to go, then suddenly giving up & telling the referee that they will cede the match to England. Like China's "brutal unprovoked" overcapacity, Russia's winning the war is an unfair advantage.
After my translation of the speech's transcript, I termed it a legal brief in my commentary to resolve the conflict and get onto the bigger issue of Eurasian security since the Euro-Atlantic system is clearly dead as the Outlaw US Empire has attacked and subjugated Europe and rules it via NATO/EU, an analysis that was echoed by Lavrov at the presser he held after the speech which is also translated at my substack.
Having finished, I'll add the following. Putin's move is in tandem with China's which has vowed to implement its Global Security Initiative this year, which is essentially the same plan Putin has in mind for Eurasia and the planet as a whole. As I wrote today, https://karlof1.substack.com/p/european-mutiny-arab-solidarity-illiberalism Ukraine needs to be solved so Palestine can be solved and thus Eurasia freed from active Outlaw US Empire hostile action and Zionist perfidy. And if China and Russia are acting in tandem then you can bet all their shared organizations are too.
The Petrodollar is history and soon the dollar as reserve currency will also pass away. But we mustn't forget the role Palestine plays in getting to the finish line of World Peace. IMO, it's a far harder problem than Ukraine.
Thanks for this - the West is very upset about the China RF Joint Declaration, a turning point indeed for Eurasian and indeed RoW security structures
-No offical comments yet - it's when the West says nothing that you can tell it has nothing to say, otherwise it's mountains of propoganda
This piece in Oil Price dot com - the US oil industry paper- no mention of the JD
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Chinas-No-Limits-Friendship-with-Russia-is-Beginning-to-Crumble.html
'In philosophical terms, the SCO can reasonably be said to still believe in the idea and practice of the ‘multi-polar world’. However, following the economic decline seen in China through its Covid years, and the increased political cohesion between the U.S. and its key security alliance partners in the West and East after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Beijing is aware that it must tread lightly in any attempts to challenge the U.S. and the West directly, as also analysed in full in my new book on the new global oil market order. The idea that China will overtake the U.S. as the world’s leading economy by GDP in the next ten years or so now looks increasingly fanciful. Militarily, China also knows that the U.S. has been an economic superpower for well over 100 years, which means that Washington has been spending a lot more money on a lot of things that matter militarily – personnel, technology, communications, global political connections - for a lot longer than Beijing. It has also fought many more wars, giving it much greater operational awareness than China and a command and communications coordination capability far greater than that of either Beijing or Moscow. Even now, the U.S.’s military spending per annum is more than three times that of China’s, at over US$916 billion. In sum, in a direct non-nuclear confrontation with the U.S., the high likelihood is that Beijing would lose, and would lose quickly. Moreover, the ability to date of the U.S. and its allies to leverage their influence in key Middle Eastern states to stop the Israel-Hamas War from escalating across the region – at the same time as supporting Ukraine in its fight against Russia - still shows that the Western alliance can deal with at least two ongoing wars simultaneously. It does not appear out of the question that the alliance could even deal with three such conflicts should China indeed try to invade Taiwan by 2027.'
Yes, thanks for this
It depends what kind of war and where it is fought BUT your points are good ones. This is why there needs to be a campaign to define a new order with the aim of winning opinion in 'the west'. I have been inspired by the level and sophistication of the US anti-war movement and of the developing understanding of how 'modern' imperialism works throughout the world. As yet there is no presence at all in political arties in Europe and the USA. Here in the UK there is a General Election on and no discussion among the main political parties about UK Foreign Policy - BUT Gaza is kicking itself onto the agenda, and Ukraine will.
I agree, the GE in the UK is a bizarre parade of nonentities discussing irrelevancies. There is literally zero discussion of an alternative to the UK’s place in the world, it is just an accepted fact the we are a vassal colony of the US elite. All the leading politicians are simply treacherous sellouts with no stake in the country.
I believe that a number of anti war candidates will get elected in the UK based on opposition to the Israelis genocide in Gaza. Ukraine is a complete non issue.
> the increased political cohesion between the U.S. and its key security alliance partners in the West and East
Huh? Increased political cohesion is a mirage, window dressing. Look at Hungary and Czechia, the UK's PM wanting no part of it, perhaps even Macron going down that path.
> The idea that China will overtake the U.S. as the world’s leading economy by GDP in the next ten years or so now looks increasingly fanciful.
What !!?? China's economy on a PPP basis — a more realistic indicator than a nominal figure — at $35 trillion is already bigger, by far, than the U.S.'s $27 trillion, as per the World Bank latest report. So what are you referring to?
> ... the high likelihood is that Beijing would lose, and would lose quickly.
Unless Russia steps in, which carries a high likelihood given that Russia would not want to border the U.S. in the East.
> the ability to date of the U.S. and its allies to leverage their influence in key Middle Eastern states to stop the Israel-Hamas War from escalating
Really? So, why haven't they done so? Heck, they cannot even defeat the Houthis anymore.
> the Western alliance can deal with at least two ongoing wars simultaneously.
Only in the sense of supplying weapons, money and propaganda. There is no way the could deal with a direct confrontation with peer foes in 2 wars, never mind 3 wars.
To be fair to the author the US has whipped a number of East Asian countries into greater degrees of subservience
And there is a lot of submissiveness being practiced in Europe, not universal but much -the UK was always subservient, now it's well what's the word for much more than subservient? ......craven?
The author was once a hardbitten (brit I think) middle eastern based commenter - wrote a lot of fact filled and sensible articles about the oil industry economics and political dynamics
Since the outbreak of war has steadily drifted into this parody position
For a realistic assessment of the size of China's economy see Han Feizi - it's all a very much more complicated matter than it is made to seem, once again East and West have very different attitudes
https://asiatimes.com/author/han-feizi/
OK, I did not realize you were quoting someone else, I thought they were your thoughts, which I found surprising 😀
I gave the link! and referred to the publication by name! and put quotes commas!
But do not worry - it's easy to quick read - as for the GPP GDP I have a new comment with the text of the Han Feizi author, this is a pseudonym, he's diaspora US Chinese who returned to bank in HK then to China proper, and he has a very keen insight and very mischevious prose - well worth reading all his articles in Asia Times
I missed the single comma quotes, I always use double comma quotes.
Yes, I will read his stuff, thanks for showing that to me.
Thx for the Han Feizi link. Wicked prose! Loving it.
He is good ! I read an early one where he explained about China EVs, he said growing up in the States he was a car enthusiast, could recognise every make and model from the tail lights , to let the reader know he was crazy
My Chinese high school students in Beijing all want to go to Western universities. His "Open Letter to Chinese-American Students" was eye-opening. Total cost of 4-year education at top-ranked Chinese universities like Tsinghua and Beida: USD $17,000!
I don't know what type of narcotics you use as your preferred choice, that's your business. But they're seriously effecting your brain function. You're having a serious problem of seperating facts from fiction. By the way you've worded your comments. It seems to me you're trying to say America & it's vassels are being successful, in the middle east & in Ukraine. Stating they're coping with & running both conflicts & managing them without problems. Do you actually research what you're stating or do you just repeat what Western media are stating? I also hope that you know starting in 2001, with Politico articles followed by business insider. Every single year since, they've made us all aware of the coming collapse of the Chinese economy. Yet here we are 23 years later & every dingle one of those years. The Chinese economies growth has far exceeded the US economy. You do know the levels of national debt the American economy is in don't you? This makes the American economy a hairs breath from total disaster. Continuing to just print more & more money to hide the fact the American economy is a complete shit show. Doesn't result in a healthy good economy that is resilient. What does America manufacture? The Chinese & Russian economies are built on real commodities. Not financial wizardry like multi trillion dollar derivatives markets & all other manner of financial nonsense. You see the world as a whole has figured this out. There's only 1 single thing that is keeping the American economy alive. That is the dollars reserve status or petrodollar. Without it it's the end of the US financial system. I've got some news for you, it won't happen suddenly or over night. But it is being actively reduced globally right now. The dollar is backed by nothing it's a paper & ink con job. As for coping with these 2 conflicts, if you hadn't noticed Ukraine is being decimated, the Houthi's have chased the mighty US navy out of the Red Sea & Hezbolah are giving the Israelis nightmares. Fo you know what's happening to the Israeli war cabinet? There isn't one right now, did you know Israel had had to call up another 50 thousand reservists? Why would that be? Your comments aren't based on any realities whatsoever. All you've done is repeat Western media propaganda. What's just happened with the US vassels in the EU parliament vote? You've even stated America with the worst record in fighting conflicts in the world could defeat China in its backyard quickly. Why didn't they do that to the Taliban, Vietnam or Korea? I could say a lot more but yours clearly delusional. I would suggest doing a bit more research as it's obvious youve done none at all.
The author from Oil Price Com has been around a lot longer than any of us - he's (it sounds as if he's) one of those old time brits from back when
You can not remind him he's late to the party - he knows that- maybe he's atoning for some mistake, or maybe he has found 'salvation' but he's changed a great deal from pre Ukraine war
He's to be taken seriously in the sense his column for the premier oil ind reporter is presumably a fair reflection of of industry sentiment, both Gulf and US
I think previous commentators have adequately debunked the authors travesties of facts exposing a skeletal structure of wishful thinking constructed by the hyper warfare apparatchiks in M16 whose reach is all
You should read this more carefully
Simon Watkins used to be a valuable source of information to the Gulf and US oil industries
He broke the Iran Saudi peace plan
It is evident he is now more valuable to lend some weight to publishing propoganda
This is a sign of US desperation - the FT has followed a similar path over a longer period - the facts are now running hard against the US
Back then he would have commented on the so called Saudi Israel peace plan being push by the US - now not a word -
I'd say this made it more likely, or even confirmed, that this plan is bogus
That America has lost every war since WW2 has me wondering if winning/success was ever the point. Most, if not all, the wars since 1945 appear to have been unnecessary, perhaps even a money making scheme.
You do realise that HSBC is a Chinese run bank?… and that the biggest hold on gold is chinese… and that the debt the west pay is really being collected by a super power in the east… the dollar is worthless … swallow the red pill … we are stuffed … the long game started some time ago.. and we already lost .. that’s why the new world order is being pushed… Covid is nothing to what’s about to unleash.
Horse cah-cah... The oilprice quote... Chip
Pretty much all western MSM is propoganda and lies - but Oil Price com generally takes the temperature in the Gulf fairly accurately, as well as hosting reports from the usual US Central Asia CIA ops
Simon Watkins used to be valuable for his factually accurate reports, he's now more valuable as a propogandist
What does this tell you?
You are completely divorced from reality, mister White.
in what way or sense?
I understand that China will build its nuclear deterrent up to 1000 nukes, a kind of parity with the US and Russia but more modern, and they are ahead of the US in missiles. Given the economics of sanctions so similar to driving Japan to war with the US, it seems nuclear war is inevitable. Actually, I think Gaza and Netanyahu will be over before the Ukraine, but also Taiwan, and now the Koreas. The job of the security state under the Wolfowitz doctrine is to stop Russia and China no matter what.
There is no need to be this pessimistic
For a start nuclear war will not stop nobody - it is not a policy it is suicide
The US neo cons may think they can still adhere to the Wolfowitz doctrine, but the US military and economy can not
Straussians are lunatics ready to push the morally feeble US to commit all kinds of stupidities up to the suicidal ones. Look at the genocide in Gaza and listen to jewish fascist in the jewish state and diaspora: they are possessed by their supremacist idiocy and burning hatred. The horror is the supremacist idiots own US congress where each member has an AIPAC handler directing his/her actions. The metastatic cancer of zionizm, combined with the triumphant war profiteering of fascist mega corporations, does constitute a mortal threat to humanity. As was predicted by Voltaire.
Capitalism is always a threat, especially in this faltering bankrupt present version of EUUS capitalism
But you should not use language that paints it's practioners as insane, monsters, ill, etc
- for at least two centuries or more this class and this system has very efficiently served it's own needs and submitted you the people to it's command
-that it is collapsing currently is sure - but one should analyse this and study the weaknesses and take advantage, in your own capitalist countries, to exploit this collapse
Just as VVP and Xi Jingping have - and formulate a policy of resistance
You the people are responsible for taking direct action - forget the madman talk, else you are merely being fooled all the time
Of course NATO can start a nuclear war, but mostly I see the situation differently. First, tactical nukes have been used lots of times, and the most likely state to start the war is the terrorist state with nuke Zion - the Sampson option, because their control of the Holy Land is part of the plan for world hegemony. The US and its constitution are "exceptional" and we can not let any other nation threaten its hegemony as we are the chosen of the gods. It is like the last scene of Dr. Strangelove.
OIlprice.com often displays its utter ignorance of facts as it does in the above excerpt. That's the only worthy comment for such trash.
Boeings doing well!
There are some who say that Boeing is deliberately being crashed or perhaps the correct word is 'decolonised'
- that such incompetence and corruption can not be haphazard, even with the degraded capitalist practices prevailing
That more and easier money is to be made this way, asset stripping and asset confiscation, raw materials plundering, pitching civil war between the constituent parts, than by restoring it to profit, which would require a lot of hard work and hard cash invested
Seriously – the first country that suffers from US policies is always the US
Good theory..makes a lot of sense.
I think they have a different board of directors than before Biden and CV.
nope same old same old - the current CEO's been there long long time, and the ruling stockholders/banks ditto
Spot on. Let's make this happen.
Agree. You have good stuff, thank you.
Maybe-- noted you didn't mention the Taiwan/China/US possible new front. China is still the main competitor to the US being the largest consumer nation. That scares the shit out of the US. If I had a Ruble for every time someone mentions the imminent death of the US $ ... 🙄 Please remember the US still has the largest consumer market in the world. If any country wants to sell to the US they will need US $'s. Will countries need to use US $ to trade amongst themselves-- no-- and that is great for them (not as good for US banks).
Why do you think that Davos (ie old European money/City of London) is trying to implode the US through their influence of Biden, Obama et al. (which is why it looks like the US is committing suicide). Make an alliance with the Neo-Cons (ie hate all Russians- Wiken Blinken and Nod) to do the dirty parts. They want to replace the US hegemony with the EU in the guise of Schwab and crew (I know it's laughable but). It's all about money and power-- which the EU needs to survive as Singapore and China continue to grow as financial centres.
BTW Saudi Arabia and the Middle East already sell their oil in other currencies. Remember Canada and Venezuela still trade their oil in US $ (#2 and #3 in production) . This is a nuanced (and welcome) change to the US $ world use.
Also you don't even mention the supply changes in the US $!! Powell has for 2 years been sucking up all those excess US$ floating around the world being used to usurp US monetary and frankly fiscal policy (Sam Bankman Fried anyone?) NGO's like Soros and Gates -- their funding is now MUCH more expensive. Recall that Soros JR. cut NGO staff by 40%. What will BLM do and how will Soros fund all those DA elections in the US?
World peace? maybe, lets hope so but I don't believe it will be as straight forward (linear) as you believe.
I didn't say the dollar would die. That won't happen until the USA implodes and a whole new system is installed with possibly a currency with a new name. My comment wasn't supposed to be a complete analytical breakdown of the US or global economy; it's related to the main issues Simplicius raises in his text.
You were in an alliterative mode today, Simplicius. And very informative, as always. Thank you.
After 1991 & the *end of history,* the only path to peace lay in a schema of European collective security which of course included the Russian Federation--and an alliance already existed for this, OTAN, but instead of providing for Russia either within or alongside the alliance, European security languished. Lazy under OTAN's militarism, Europe neglected to create a comprehensive peace regimen which covered the entire continent.
The concept of Pax Eurasia from Lisbon to Vladivostok disallowed the Atlanticist powerplays of a hegemonic U.S. hellbent on global dominion. A hegemon cannot have normal r'ships, that is to say *equal* ones. Those who dominate see only a zero sum outcome. Having ended history, the U.S. damn well meant to reign over it
Instead of blooming into Pax Eurasia, the EU supplied the political & economic fuel for OTAN's war engine, which thrums insidiously now. Wherever there is OTAN, there will be war.
"the fact of the matter is: even if Russia were to walk away from the war with its current gains, it would have been more than worth it, and Russia would have still won an inordinate prize. Crimea, the entire Donbass region and its vast riches, millions upon millions of new citizens, a land corridor to Crimea and control over the Azov Sea, etc.". Something like that will happen. I just can't evaluate so positively. Just a prelude to another future war, hostile Ukraine intact, many dead and disabled Slavs, fantastic costs for Donbass restoration, Nato expanded, ties between Russia and Europe cut for a long time (and Russians have European mentality).
"fantastic costs for Donbass restoration"
Yes, huge costs, but they wont be borne by Russia as the resource wealth of the new territories will pay the costs, with plenty left over for the Russian treasury. Prior to the SMO the resources went to the west, now Russia has them.
Or maybe the costs of restoration are secondary-- given these are Russians ethically in these areas. Sorry why does it matter to Russia about resources? They have more than anyone-- hence the need for the City of London, its US toadies and EU to take them, ie push a ridiculous Ukraine war killing hundreds of thousands of people.
And when all of the resources goes to the West, that equals 100% loss for the Russian people. With huge polution that would be left behind as additional burden.
Every NATO expansion is in fact a weakening for NATO countries
As the RoW shifts to the East as do advances in politics and in society, as in alliances and associations of countries, as in economics as the advances in technology
So Russia does as well - see the SPIEF debate with Karaganov - the west looking 'liberal' élites are still present, but the shift to the East is general and inevitable
just saying...it does seem inevitable now. But Russia always traded with West, exported raw materials and imported technology. It was not exactly desired that break happened; Russians did not choose shift to the East, somebody else made choice for them.
Russia shifted to the East after going to Paris in 1814 or was it 1815
Remember Napoleon?, there's another one impossible to negotiate with....
But RF is a big country, some part of it in Europe some part in Asia
Trading with Europe was logical and rational when Europe was the major economy
Now that everything, as it were, has shifted to the East, the RF pays more attention to the East than it does the West
RoW does too
What do you do? I'd say....shift
Russia shifted to the East after going to Paris in 1814 or was it 1815
Remember Napoleon?, there's another one impossible to negotiate with....
But RF is a big country, some part of it in Europe some part in Asia
Trading with Europe was logical and rational when Europe was the major economy
Now that everything, as it were, has shifted to the East, the RF pays more attention to the East than it does the West
RoW does too
What do you do? I'd say....shift
In a different word, Russia was blocked from expanding its influence to the West, and, in the same time, was accepted as an ally by the East. The resulting vector seemingly points Eastward, but it is actually the result of Russian growing power. When Western resistance dwindle, Russia will inevitably start to expand influence both ways until equilibrium is reached. It will be measured more by the depth of Western downfall than by Russian growing strength.
It seems quite obvious that Russia knew well ahead of time that sanctions would be one result of the SMO. Their financial wizards already had procedures mapped out for when they arrived. Thus, I'd say they had already made the POV shift to the East long before the first RF soldier crossed the Uke border. And besides, Russian-US trade is not completely cutoff. The US is still buying their uranium and likely many other products.
OTAN is diluting itself, in expanding--also becoming more bureaucratically bloated. OTAN includes beaucoup bookkeeping now, which certainly takes the spring out of its step: zilch for vigor, no vision, death-spiraling .
Exactly - the costs of incorporating NATO and conforming to NATO standards are getting higher and higher
It seems that the newbie countries have to spend billions on the lame duck F-35, as well
Especially in extra territoriality costs and impositions- as per in Norway
I've seen references to this, but no actually accounts of what and how
Have you?
Sweden is voting this week I believe on the Defense Cooperation Act, which will permit the U.S. to access the country's 17 military bases & other training grounds for the storage of weapons, ammunition & military equipment. Critics worry that this will lead to the deployment of nuclear weapons & also to permanent U.S. military bases in Sweden. In that this agreement has "no limits," which is how the U.S. likes things, it's difficult to see how Sweden can retain any agency after voting for this.
Pirate analogy: Sweden, you've been boarded.
Thanks for this information
Are the Swedish bases extra territorial as Norway's?
If not they'll soon become so
Talk about finding out the hard way quite how stupid your ruling class is
Sounds like Sweden's Defense Cooperation Act is tweaked differently from Norway's. Norway's pact, like Denmark's & Iceland's, does not contain a *slippery slope* [like staging nuclear warheads there] but Sweden's pact seems to permit extracurricular *fun,* like the possibility of permanent U.S. bases in Sweden--thus critics are criticizing.
The Swedes have been shooting themselves in the feet for decades now, so not so surprising. Beautiful country, but the people are, well putting it politely, "reserved". Spending time with them more than 20 years ago, I realized why then (and still?) they had the highest suicide rate in the world. Of course, the long winter nights don't help either.
Not only that, but the remaining Ukrainian territories are flat broke, and no prospect for the future . Very soon would look with envies, to the Russian incorporated provinces where is, explosive reconstruction will take place. Very likely that some of the neighboring regions would be tempted, to join the winning team. Just over this past weekend in the capitol city of Ukraina
the authorities allowed to hold a pried parade in Kiev, like that is the most important need in a destroyed country . It is curious, how come the recruiters didn't show up to catch some of the parading "man", and take them to the front line? They could muster all the pried they have and parade from south to north, holding a thousand mile gay parade . that would be the biggest and baddest gay parade ever . All of they western "partners" could join them, the Russians would give them a welcome treat .
Blackrock? Bio labs? Organ harvesting? etc etc
However, I read that the authorities limited their celebration/parade to less than an hour and it was broken up prematurely by citizens in opposition to their POV. Rather hilarious actually.
Were you intentionally spelling pride as pried? Or did the spell-checker let you down?
The cost of subservience to the US is already prohibitive for Europeans. It will be exponentially worse unless the compradors (opportunistic traitors) are weeded out and expelled from the European governments. The European nations need to restore the mutually beneficial collaboration with the East or they will be crushed by the usual suspects. The private banking cartel always wants more pounds of flesh.
How is this scenario specific to Europe-- its fits beautifully with every other country-- in Africa, Australia, Canada etc.
Every time Australia attempts to mend things with China the US steps in (or its local "agents") to create new problems. The latest being a forced sale by Chinese interests in Australian rare earths.
VVP has "parleyed with an assemblage of new faces" on the world stage for decades; he remains a constant, like the fixed point of a compass.
A contemporary Westphalian Peace is desirable--but a transcendent geopolitical phase change would have to come about before VVP or Xi Jinping could rely on an *agreement incapable* hegemon & his vassalized ankle-biters--not to mention "their masters in the cabal."
Dear Simplicius, why not mention the elephant riding on the 2024 election merry go round? Are you trying to avoid accusations of election interference or you think the replacement of a well meaning elderly man with a poor memory by an elder statesman fit enough to stand trial is a zero sum game?
Surely you're not referring to Drumpf as the statesman?
United Statesman.
Depends on whom you are comparing him to. Clearly you have made up your mind. Have fun with that.
I am not virulently anti or pro Trump. However what yardstick one uses he is not a statesman.
But one could form that impression when the two are standing side-by-side.
Can't wait for the first debate! (I tell myself, then I remember it's being run by CNN, ffs).
Do you seriously think that a new nominal figurehead would change anything? As long as the US are run by the cabal, they can appoint a talking toaster for all I care.
So their "Piss" Summit, just like everything else they organise, turned to shit.
This was certainly a comprehensive summary and analysis of events, but I feel like something is missing. Too much is riding on Putin (supposedly) crafting a new world order. Getting some major Ghenghis Khan vibes here - the world shifts while he's alive and can herd everyone together but it falls to shit when he's gone.
Who's gonna take up the mantle to build this new world order? Farage? Le Pen? MBS and Xiping? Whatever joker is at the head of the AfD? I don't think so. Orban in Hungary? Fico? No way. Say what you want about the Rutte-Sunak-BJ-Macron-Ursula VDL-Sanchez-Borrell aka Trilateral/ClubofRome/Bilderberg side of things, but at least they're always on message.
Only way things are truly going to change is when a few tens of millions of people starve to death. The rest is just fantasy talk.
"the world shifts while he's alive and can herd everyone together but it falls to shit when he's gone." Many of the world's great changes have happened as the result of a single person's ability to lead. For example, your quote applies perfectly to Alexander the Great's life and legacy. While he was alive he changed the Mediterranean, North African, and Western Asian world. When he died that world split up into states run by Alexander's successors.
Putin has exceptional skills in governing the notoriously ungovernable and wildly diverse population of Russia, but he's not the only leader steering Russia. I think there's a solid consensus that's built up over decades within Russia on what needs to happen in terms of new security architectures, and that consensus is shared with very influential other countries, like China. It basically boils down to the rest of the world saying "no" to the former colonial empires of the West continuing to try to dominate the world through military power. That people in the West are often completely unaware of the very deep and broad collection of strong, effective, intelligent, and determined leaders and patriots in the Rest of the World doesn't mean they don't exist. They do, and collectively they have a far more powerful influence on how real life plays out than the on-message imbeciles at the head of increasingly less relevant EU states. If Putin dies tomorrow that process will continue, both in Russia and in the far larger setting of the entire rest of the world.
"Only way things are truly going to change is when a few tens of millions of people starve to death. " Respectfully disagree. That's one of the ways things can truly change, as is a billion people burning to death in nuclear war. But it's not the only way nor do I think it is a likely way.
Instead, I think it far more likely that the current process which has already started and is gathering momentum will continue to play out. What happened in Switzerland was very interesting because it's the first time that the Global South turned out in force in a classic Western "all you non-whites have to fly in to take orders from us" session and together the Global Southerners collectively said "screw you" to the EU and the US. I can't recall any time that's happened before in such a clear "screw you" way.
At the same time, the "screw you" message was not only delivered in an almost deliberately insulting way, like how the Saudi foreign minister very explicitly told the West they were being idiots and the Saudis would have no part of that, but it was also followed up with actions in the form of even more countries applying to join BRICS, like Malaysia, or saying they've had enough of the EU and will look at BRICS now, like Turkey.
Those are changes, as is the extremely real move to de-dollarization that's going on in most of the world. That may not have the suddenness of a bunch of Great Powers getting together in Vienna to carve up Europe between them, but the process will result in a very new world order in a remarkably short time, a matter of only a few decades.
Thanks for this comment
As for the screw you, there have been previous occasions, at the UN notably, when concerned with the reparations vote at the GA 14 Nov 2022 Res N° ES-11/5
Most of the RoW reminded the US of the foolishness of raising the issue of reparations - which could/would include demands for repartions for slavery, for...well you name it
The RoW is rather like the RF, they voted on legal grounds to condemn the invasion of the Ukraine, but also on legal grounds when the subject was a vote as to reparations for one country over one subject only
There are a lot of blood thirsty people out there...I could not reply to them as equably as you do, bravo
Agree, but screw you is maybe not the first time? E.g. In the vote on lifting sanctions Cuba, the US was also completely alone and also with a veto in the UN over Gaza. The internet has increased the reach of Russia and China and the translate programs have solved the Babylonian speech confusion.
I agree the rest of the world has from time to time made symbolic gestures in the UN. But the General Assembly in the UN has long ago became such an irrelevant gathering that what goes on there doesn't really matter either in the halls of real power or outside in the real world. It's mostly just a bunch of talk shop careerists playing pointless roles so they can continue enjoying their New York lifestyles.
The situation is very different in gatherings like Switzerland, where EU prime ministers and presidents put their personal careers and gravitas directly on the line.
A face to face rebuke by the Saudis to Macron, Rutte, and the other EU and NATO imbeciles, with those imbeciles having to sit through a series of dressing-downs by the Global South is not something the G7 racial masters of the Universe are used to. Such face to face action is an entirely more public and explicit "screw you" than yet another irrelevant vote between distant diplomatic underlings.
"...the current process which has already started and is gathering momentum will continue to play out..."
Agreeing w/ that.
Russia was uniquely positioned w/ just the right amount of ability, stamina & impetus to stand alone initially & implement the vision while vitriol rained down from the West. The RoW looked on, seeing the success, comprehending the method, discerning a pathway forward. The more the RoW can recognize the favorable outcome, the victory, the better positioned they will be to implement at will.
"It basically boils down to the rest of the world saying "no" to the former colonial empires of the West continuing to try to dominate the world through military power." It's the post WWII variant of neo-colonialism a mutation of the previous direct rule model. The modern variant of debt enslavement, overseer elites, etc. What's changed is that China and Russia have the science, technology, and industry to make a better offer. The icing on the cake will be the removal of the need for a "reserve" currency which is what's behind the likes of the UNIT proposal. I had to find a URL via Pepe Escobar at Sputnik/Cradle as my search engine obfuscated without providing any direct link: https://unitfoundation.org/
How incredibly black pilled of you.
The Devil is always on message too - and I sure as hell wouldn't follow.
Medvedev kills me! 😂
He is the Russian pit bull, you never know what he is going to say when he goes off on the retards running the west. It's shocking how stupid they all are, and how they still believe that everything is going to stay the same as it has been for the last 80 years.
It's over, GAE retards. Your ship is sinking, but you are too blind and dumb to even realize it. 🙄
If they had had half a brain, the morons running things would have realized this a long time ago and taken steps to prepare for it by re-industrializing America, and shifting it's education system to teach useful skills for careers in manufacturing and other real industries. Instead, they pissed away 200 billion on Ukraine, and the schools just shit out endless numbers of woke retards.
Well, good riddance to this rotten shit empire. Its final fall cannot come fast enough. 🧐
"...they pissed away 200 billion on Ukraine"
I reckon it's at least 500 billion and more, if we count all money from at least five decades back.
Good point, I was probably too conservative.
Tommy Tuberville had his staff research the question of Ukro funding and they came back with over $300 billion in this century alone.
Most of it was funneled to fake corporations then redistributed, most likely to government officials and oligarchs.
The US empire’s owners abhor meritocracy because the intelligent, honorable, and patriotic people are bad for the owners’ business. The owners’ hatred and fear of American patriots explains the spectacular mediocrity of all members of the Knesset on Potomac and the so-called “presidents and vice presidents of the USA.” The parasite is driving its host to the ground by extracting life juices from the hapless giant.
Lackeys and timeservers are easier to control.
100% !!!!!! What? people being creative and setting up businesses? Oh no we MUST adhere to the long standing "club like" business mentality of the elite financial doyens of the UK (formerly the Netherlands, and before that Venice). Thats the way it's always been done!🙄🙄🙄 Pay us our rents for being us -- right Europe?
Which empire-- the barely alive one of the UK? (mostly in the financial world run by City of London) or the military bully world (US) or the wannabe empire (EU/NATO)?
You are right to emphasise that Russia aims for a lasting peace through collective security. It was not just for Europe, but for Eurasia, and it has the long-term goal of removing US forces from Eurasia... Europe, West Pacific, West Asia, SE Asia. Also on Odessa, it seems to me Medvedev's comment implies that Russia aims to gain Odessa through a post-conflict ballot rather than a destructive battle.
Even if Russia were to end hostilities w/ its current gains, as Simp says, the SMO of course would have been *worth it.* The experience of these 28 months has swept a lighthouse beam of discovery across the geopolitical wreckage of Europe. Had the SMO not commenced when it did, the citizens of Donetsk would have been destroyed under a snap liquidation--seemingly run amok & spontaneous after 8 years of hostilities but actually well-planned for some time by the OTAN-amped UFA .
So the SMO preserved the lives & dignity of ordinary people ensnared in what seemed a civil war, a localized conflict among regions in Ukraine, but really had morphed into a covert proxy war OTAN was waging against Russia.
Had the SMO not commenced, the world would not have comprehended the insidiously lengthy involvement & investment the U.S. had made in weaponizing & OTANizing Ukraine.
Had there been no SMO, there would have been no clandestine way to sabotage the NordStream pipeline & fig-leaf the saboteurs beneath enough fog of war--or Baltic Mist--to make it impossible to investigate the sabotage itself.
*Mistakes were made. A sabotage happened.*
The inability to inquire into this & search for answers spoke volumes about the actual r'ship between the hegemonic U.S. & its EU vassals--and that was something the SMO unexpectedly laid bare for the RoW to see.
And encouraged China and Africa and in West Asia to take the steps they have
Well said. About this: "the citizens of Donetsk would have been destroyed under a snap liquidation" - just like the citizens of Gaza are being liquidated now by the US and Israel.
Russia's intervention saved Donetsk from becoming Gaza on an even larger scale. Russia's action was the shot heard 'round the world to announce that battle had finally been joined in ending the old world order where colonial powers could destroy the nations and people who refused to kowtow to those powers.
I'd like to write that first shot has ushered in an era with no more invasions of Vietnam, Libya, Afghanistan, Syria and other countries by Western colonial powers who kill millions without any fear of retribution, but with the genocide in Gaza it's clear that a nuclear armed US and a nuclear armed Israel still feel able to commit genocide without fear of reprisals. But at least Russia's rescue of the people of Donbass has made it clear that the West does not always get its murderous way. That's a beginning.
If an esteemed ally of the West *genocides-fast,* there will be some tsk-tsking & "tragic mistake" types of apologia--but the ally will nonetheless have the West's implicit blessing to chive-on.
Israel's genocide did not go fast enough--and the world beyond the West has convulsed in horror. [Also people in the West, to be fair--but not the leadership publicly.] Even DJT's criticism of Bibi was that "he took too long."
Clearly, in the West, if the genocide is lickety-split you can cover for it more easily. Now that we're seeing the template in Gaza, we know exactly what lay in store for Donbass in February 2022. The heavy bombardment, the civilians crushed under pulverized high-rises, the Dresdenization of Donbass, the slaughter, the justifications, the complicity...
Russia rescued the people of Donbass, as you say
The use of white phosphorus by Jewish fascists made the ongoing war on Gaza civilians into the Real Holocaust versus the profitable concoction of shoah business by the Mussolini friend Nahum Goldmann, a president of the Zionist Congress and principal organizer of the extraction schema of “reparations”. The incredible indecency of the ’ holohoax memes was their concurrence with the zionists’ looting and massacres of the native Palestinians. The Jewish state presents the most powerful evidence of the anti-human and dishonorable nature of Judaism. Supremacism leads to genocide. See all major Jewish organizations’ enthusiastic support of Israel and all Israeli actions despite the ongoing mass slaughter of the Palestinian children and women.