Things continue to both pick up pace and seemingly slow down at the same time. After making boisterous threats of immediate ground assault into Gaza, the IDF apparently has gotten cold feet and sobered up to the harsh reality that they would face inordinate losses and/or defeat. So now, they’re pretending to gather forces while re-evaluating the situation, and their chances. In the meantime, they’ve resorted to indiscriminately mass bombing civilians from the sky.
Regarding to Ukraine/Russia conflict I can use my own experience/history to judge or make my own opinions. But with Hamas/Israel mess I have no inside or any knowledge of the current situation. I bet I’m not only one but I’m relying on your detailed thorough updates. So far no disappointment at all. Keep us updated.
Avdeevka has been a festering problem for Ru for quite a while now. I was wondering when they would get around to making a move on it, and it seems they are trying now. A full surround and siege seems the best approach, not sure how feasible it is operationally. I would even go so far to say as it is the most important operational objective in the war, at the moment.
Of course getting reserve forces up to speed will take some time. Like many others here no doubt I was inactive reserve for six years after serving in the US Army and we all know after just a few years you would benefit from refresher training, and probably time to lose a few pounds; particularly for high intensity urban warfare. Also good to get to know your new teammates before real world ops. Smart for the Israelis to take their time preparing and then acting methodically once combat ops start. Hamas isn't going to be slaughtering defenseless civilians in the meantime, now that the Israelis are paying attention. Sounds like Israel is going to be rearming the civilian population as well.
A recent experience demonstrated how well past training may stick with you long after separation. I recently started carrying a modern polymer framed, striker fired sidearm with no external safety after having been trained using a military pistol with external safety (MOS 95B) and I found myself sweeping the nonexistent safety with my thumb reflexively before firing the new pistol after all those years. I had to put some time into training myself not to waste the time and effort (draw and press...that's all). Military induced "muscle memory" can be surprisingly durable.
It won't be very long until Congress critters will have amnesia about ever sending money to some place called "Ukraine." As JFK said, success has many fathers, but failure is an orphan....
Given that the Israeli Army has fared poorly against teenage militia in both Lebanon and the West Bank, maybe it should consider sticking to bombing women and children, which has been its forte in the past....
hamas was not working for Israel - maybe years ago they were ' created ' by Israel - but they are a
Palestinian militia group now. Why does everyone - on the one hand think ( finally ) that Israel might be stupid and then give them credit for controlling a bunch of Palestinian guys for years and years...who actually live in Palestine - how dum.
Israel has a real problem. Most of the middle east is siding with Russia. When the Ukraine conflict ends Russia's military industry will have immediate high volume customers in Iran, Syria, and possibly the Saudis. If Russia floods the region with exportable AD systems that could neuter Israel and US air assets in the region. That's not even to mention Hezbollah getting their hands on Russian drones. Dirt cheap, Mass produced, hand launched, tiny, highly effective drones could absolutely cripple IDF ground forces.
What if Russia offers the leftover parts of former Ukraine to Is rael, that can be called....Is rael Lite...
They can have their Jewish state, vacate the middle yeast, and stop speaking of destroying al aqsa and rebuilding the Temple where it stands, for the sake of God.
Everyone can declare Fictory and elenskies the stupid slut can get his freaking Is rael Lite Litte Russia.
There's been a lot of mention that "ukraine needs artillery while israel needs bombs, and later israel might need artillery". But israel is asking for interceptors - what's the overlap between the missiles iron dome and other israeli systems use, and the various systems ukraine is trying to get ammo for?
I was just thinking I need some Simplicius!
Great article Simply!
Regarding to Ukraine/Russia conflict I can use my own experience/history to judge or make my own opinions. But with Hamas/Israel mess I have no inside or any knowledge of the current situation. I bet I’m not only one but I’m relying on your detailed thorough updates. So far no disappointment at all. Keep us updated.
Avdeevka has been a festering problem for Ru for quite a while now. I was wondering when they would get around to making a move on it, and it seems they are trying now. A full surround and siege seems the best approach, not sure how feasible it is operationally. I would even go so far to say as it is the most important operational objective in the war, at the moment.
Sorry Ukraine America's old girlfriend is back and she needs the stuff the USA had gotten you now. Byeeee
Of course getting reserve forces up to speed will take some time. Like many others here no doubt I was inactive reserve for six years after serving in the US Army and we all know after just a few years you would benefit from refresher training, and probably time to lose a few pounds; particularly for high intensity urban warfare. Also good to get to know your new teammates before real world ops. Smart for the Israelis to take their time preparing and then acting methodically once combat ops start. Hamas isn't going to be slaughtering defenseless civilians in the meantime, now that the Israelis are paying attention. Sounds like Israel is going to be rearming the civilian population as well.
A recent experience demonstrated how well past training may stick with you long after separation. I recently started carrying a modern polymer framed, striker fired sidearm with no external safety after having been trained using a military pistol with external safety (MOS 95B) and I found myself sweeping the nonexistent safety with my thumb reflexively before firing the new pistol after all those years. I had to put some time into training myself not to waste the time and effort (draw and press...that's all). Military induced "muscle memory" can be surprisingly durable.
It won't be very long until Congress critters will have amnesia about ever sending money to some place called "Ukraine." As JFK said, success has many fathers, but failure is an orphan....
Oh FFS.
Given that the Israeli Army has fared poorly against teenage militia in both Lebanon and the West Bank, maybe it should consider sticking to bombing women and children, which has been its forte in the past....
Great article!
Russia-Ukraine Reports - 2023-10-11
https://askeptic.substack.com/p/russia-ukraine-reports-2023-10-11
hamas was not working for Israel - maybe years ago they were ' created ' by Israel - but they are a
Palestinian militia group now. Why does everyone - on the one hand think ( finally ) that Israel might be stupid and then give them credit for controlling a bunch of Palestinian guys for years and years...who actually live in Palestine - how dum.
Israel has a real problem. Most of the middle east is siding with Russia. When the Ukraine conflict ends Russia's military industry will have immediate high volume customers in Iran, Syria, and possibly the Saudis. If Russia floods the region with exportable AD systems that could neuter Israel and US air assets in the region. That's not even to mention Hezbollah getting their hands on Russian drones. Dirt cheap, Mass produced, hand launched, tiny, highly effective drones could absolutely cripple IDF ground forces.
What if Russia offers the leftover parts of former Ukraine to Is rael, that can be called....Is rael Lite...
They can have their Jewish state, vacate the middle yeast, and stop speaking of destroying al aqsa and rebuilding the Temple where it stands, for the sake of God.
Everyone can declare Fictory and elenskies the stupid slut can get his freaking Is rael Lite Litte Russia.
Harashoew
There's been a lot of mention that "ukraine needs artillery while israel needs bombs, and later israel might need artillery". But israel is asking for interceptors - what's the overlap between the missiles iron dome and other israeli systems use, and the various systems ukraine is trying to get ammo for?
I love the end and can't stand Scalise.
I was hoping for sanity from the Repukelicans and Jordan would be nominated with a large majority. Neocons, F@CK!
Next thing you tell me is that Nukes are a hoax too! ;)