Normally I don't mind people sharing their own work here, but you don't even appear to be a Subscriber, nor--as far as I can see--have ever interacted here before. Thus dumping one's own links in such a manner is considered a little inappropriate.
As a side note, Andy Schectman says he has information that BRICS will introduce a new currency called the "Unit" at its annual meeting later this month. The "Unit" will be backed by 40% in gold and the rest in currencies. I can't confirm what Andy is saying here so we'll see. But, if BRICS backs its currency by 40% gold, That, my friends, would be a sign of a much weaker USD in the not-too-distant future. I wouldn't be trading against the Fed just yet though. lol But if Andy is right, the US hegemon's military and debt-backed USD took this one fast and straight to the balls. Under such a scenario I would expect the USD to decline slowly and then "suddenly". Could it be the catalyst that propels gold prices to sustain its upward trajectory?
It reminds me of a story I saw about some shady operator who was shilling software that could pick winners at the racetrack. Before I sit through all the sales pitch guff I have to ask, If this actually works then why are you selling it to ME? Won't that reduce YOUR payout?
You're not comparing like with like. Selling a story of a gold-backed currency is meant as an encouragement to buy gold, thus pushing up its price, thus lining Andy's pockets as well as those of the other investors.
Selling a an app by your shady operator will only line his pocket, not yours.
Gold is a commodity, that winner-picking app is not.
So if you're a gold bull, some day theoretically you trade gold for fiat paper since buying a 6-pak of Duff beer at the store, with gold, is a non-starter. And, when people start selling, doesn't that reduce the supposed value/price of gold? (Supply/demand story) Is anyone actually required to buy the gold you're trying to sell? Ever? What "price" leverage does one have, when trying to sell their gold? Serious question. I confess, I don't begin to understand the "value" of Bitcoin and the like...so there's that?! I personally have found that resisting the urge to buy crap is the best store of value overall. " A penny saved is a penny earned..."
Except your pennies are losing their value ... rapidly.
BTW, gold is not an exchange medium, it is a store of value. As the value of currencies drop, so the value of gold rises. So, those gold bars you bought can be exchanged against ever more e.g. $ in line with the $'s devaluation.
Yes, when people sell gold its price goes down (well spotted!) and when they buy it goes up 😉
I have no idea what you mean by "What "price" leverage does one have, when trying to sell their gold?"
I mean, you sell at what the market will bear if everyone sells in a hurry or more or less at the same time. You’re trying to ‘stop a falling knife’. A basement stocked with canned beans or pallets of TP is also a store of value. Also, any government can make gold sales illegal or subject to an onerous transaction tax.
Especially since the government can follow the paper trail associated with precious metal sales. Ask Sen Robert Menendez how safe it is to stash gold booty in the closet. Not very, I would submit. I appreciate your response to my post. Thanks!
Not necessarily, gold could be used for purchases. At check out instead of a scanner or paper money small pellets of gold will be weighed. It is also possible to simply weigh out a fixed amount (say an ounce) and put credit onto a card or chits (fiat) for down the road purchased.
If this was California in 1852 this might work. Leave the mine and go trade your gold pellets for a pair of Levis or a few ounces of coffee or flour at the general store. In modern America where everyone is wound up, there’d be no patience for the the gold for goods suggestion. I get that you’re probably being sarcastic.
No, it's the same problem, The Principal-Agent problem.
If you employ someone to give you advice on the markets then they should be working for your best interests you play them a set fee or %. The agent is not permitted to give advice that works to his advantage but the principals' disadvantage.
Politicians are not allowed to award public contracts to companies they have a stake in, athletes may not place a bet on a game they are playing in.
You could hire a magician or fortune teller to give you the Lotto numbers only if they don't buy any tickets themselves.
Absolutely true, but it is irrelevant. Schectman has not been employed to give the viewers advice, he has been employed to give his view of the market.
His view is NOT a commodity whose price is determined by supply and demand, as gold is.
This is not particularly recent news that Andy Schectman is reporting. In any case what he's describingi s not a "currency" in the usual sense of the word but an accounting and settlement unit that can be used among trading nations operating outside the dollar reserve system. This report is pretty credible because it is known that such a scheme has been under development for some time. The trading platform itself seems to be modeled after the mBRIDGE System developed by the bank for international settlements (BIS).
On October 9, 2009, after the GFC, PBOC Governor Zhou Xiaochuan announced, "The world needs an international reserve currency that is disconnected from individual nations and able to remain stable in the long run, removing the inherent deficiencies caused by using credit-based national currencies”.
But the first step, he said, would be creating the capacity for trading in domestic e-currencies and bypassing intermediate currencies like the dollar.
The PBOC released the e-Yuan in April, 2021. Public servants who elected to be paid in the traceable e-currency were celebrated for their commitment to transparency and the wild rumpus began.
Russia, China and BIS, the Bank for International Settlements, were development partners with Hong Kong as their headquarters. Thailand has been paying UAE for its oil imports in e-baht for two years, and UAE oil exporters get paid in e-dirham. In 3 seconds, for 11¢. BRICS will start using the platform on January 1, I expect.
The reserve currency will probably wait until 2030.
It's a much bigger deal, for it means the end of the dollar's exorbitant privilege and, therefore, the end of the USA as we know and love it.
I wonder if the US would retaliate by calling the new BRICS currency a financial force majeure? Allowing the US and a lot of the west to declare all outstanding derivatives null and void.
That would get the West off the hook for about a bazillion dollars at last count. Then nothing left to do but declare the bonds held by China null and void as well using the same rationale.
Then, Voila! The US is nearly debt free! How exciting!! What would come next is the real question....
Well, if they do that, who will buy government bonds from the FED anymore? How will you print money after that? If you do that, you have to implement some other instruments, for example an CDBC, then it gets interesting, because imho, most old people and many lets call them libertarians won't accept this new currency and probably will change to Cryptocurrencies, Silver or Gold or some form of exchange trade economy. That will break the neck of this new construct in a very short time. There is no public consensus for doing that, the Elites will even loose more after that. Its then the collapse of the old Elites, even if they have diversified enough, which they have since 2008, they will loose power big time, because a large faction of them, lives off of the money printing spiel.
The Fed would now be debt free, might not see a need to sell bonds anymore.
Crashing a currency doesn't end the use of a currency internally, it just means inflation is through the roof at home, and the currency is near worthless abroad. But I think they would not continue to use the dollar anywhere.
I think they would go the same route that Roosevelt did, remember he shut all the banks, then ONLY reopened the banks that were tied to the central banks.
ALL the independent banks, most in the south and mid-west were never allowed to reopen, all their depositors lost they money, the banks that took over their banks got their cash. AND the people were still on the hook for their mortgages which they now owed to the same big banks that took over the closed independents.
Soil erosion wasn't the only cause of the Dust Bowl and the Great Depression, not by a long shot. Roosevelt was NOT a nice guy.
Now today, using the same tactics to reduce people to poverty they could put in not a new currency for citizens but a debit card tied to a social score....you know the rest.
Corporations would use a CDBC as their currency. They would see their cash converted into CDBCs so they would lose nothing. But they would be enslaved as well just by a different method and be held to a credit score set up as well.
“ . . . . That is, instead of the 144TWh per year used by Bitcoin, CBDCs would consume some 7,056TWh – more than three times the UK’s total 2019 energy consumption of 2,185TWh… In an increasingly energy-constrained global economy, it should – but likely won’t – be clear that programmable CBDCs are a non-starter… a solution looking for a problem to solve indeed! “?
Our grubby Aristocracy has made it clear that all the energy in the World will be needed to operate their Data/Cloud Centers where they can record your every thought and utterance.
The Data Center(s) Burning will make the old days of book burning look like a child's party.
I think AI's energy needs will dwarf that of digital currencies. Note the recent flurry of interest, activity and articles promoting a return to building nuclear energy facilities. Microsoft, for example, promising to buy ALL the power a restored Three Mile Island can produce. Really the only thing in the way of expanding nuclear power is all the volumes of regulations that take several years to comply with. Probably a lot of those regulations do not even apply to the newest nuke plant technologies. However, with a continued Biden-Harris admin, nothing will be done in that regard. Nothing positive anyway.
If the info is correct, then we should be looking into moving our ass onto enough acreage to feed our families & located far enough away from large cities that starving people can't walk up to our door before keeling over.
Presently about $5,000/acre for agricultural land around where I'm sitting (on 75 acres of same). Development cost is up to you-
BUT!
Keep at it for 5 years in the Russian far East & the acreage (Hectarage?) is free! Get a group of 20 people/families to take their "Hectare law" allotments together and the government will provide basic infrastructure (clear a roadway and run electric service). And they have dropped the requirement to speak/read Russian IF you claim to be a political/ideological refugee?
Downsides include: Siberian tiger & brown bear may visit. Far Eastern Russian WINTER, makes MN seem semi tropical. Literally at the ass end of nowhere.
Neither will fossil fuels. The only change would be extraction costs. The cheap extraction has been done. The solutions the alternative energy crowd is pushing is far too expensive and inefficient to drive a modern economy and still requires fossil fuels to run it and for back up when the wind doesn't blow and the sun doesn't shine. It's called Idiocracy. We are in an era of the great scramble for scarce resources. This is the oldest axiom of economics much like guns and butter and the West is opting for guns.
I have come a long way in my appreciation of what society is all about. I don't want to put a %-age on it, but a lot, a heck of a lot, we have been taught and other wise told is bunk, BS, lies.
Oil, like metals and minerals, does not run out, only the extraction costs change: up as reserves decline, down as new technology allows us to extract what was hitherto uneconomic or became uneconomic.
In a similar vein is the narrative about Climate Change, which is as old as Mother Earth, and the climate will continue to change. And it is certainly NOT the carbon dioxide that is driving it; in fact, we are almost at an all time low if you look at it over the past 600 million years – https://youtu.be/A24fWmNA6lM.
However, man does have an influence on climate, but through a different, nefarious route: geoengineering, as witnessed by those white crisscrossing streaks in the sky. Bill Gates loves it as it reduces the Sun's brightness.
There are many more such topics, some related to Klaws Schwab's Great Reset, others are not.
We are all manipulated, and I only started to find out over the past 11 years since my retirement.
Atmospheric concentration of methane is up 160% since the start of the industrial revolution. Methane has about 30X the effect as CO2 in trapping solar radiation as heat, it is estimated that still relatively tiny % of methane is responsible for about 1/4 of the total anthropogenic warning effects. Yet the legacy mass media seldom browbeats & belabors us over methane? I wonder why.
BTW, this place IS getting hotter and the oceans are rising, no matter what you want to believe about causes.
> BTW, this place IS getting hotter and the oceans are rising, no matter what you want to believe about causes.
Sure Billy boy, you can ignore the causes and fix it the way the Climate Change Liars want you to fix it, thus helping to improve their already fat bank balances, but not the climate. Keep up the good work!
Cosmo; Note how Russia never backed off on nuclear power. Kinda like the wisdom of not sending all their manufacturing infrastructure to China for scrap or reuse. Go to Youngstown Ohio and find the blast furnaces that fueled ww2. You might find a concrete slab intact. The gear and the knowledge base. Gone! Those dears couldn't cobble together a rainbow flag.
Observed while watching Russia in Syria around 2017. Every day that passes the West gets weaker and the Rest figure out how to survive. Remember the Assad must go meme? Now on the other hand, if he had put on a skirt and some makeup, his mom probably would have killed him.
The petro dollar is in a long slow death spin. The rest want us to land softly, too bad our leaders can only play chicken.
Not being a fly on the wall, can't answer your question.
But the BRICs have been at this for years.
Will they succeed?
If it is a common trading "currency" arrangement between BRICS member, then yes, most likely.
When Charles DeGaulle forced Nixon to depeg the USD from gold, it was the first crack in the dam. And here we are. An untethered (to reality) exorbitant privilege abused by the DC WarMongers, drunk on their hubris.
Yes. I've long thought that this next summit is of extreme importance to BRICS and in particular, China and Russia.
Just my theory, but I suspect Russia "asking" Iran not to retaliate against Israel was all about preventing a major regional war, which could undermine the summit.
To me Kazan is of more importance to the corrupt vaudeville aka the US "election".
Such a scenario (a gold backed BRICS currency unit) also consistent with the unusual hoarding of gold by major BRICS actors in the last 2 years.
If I'm right, expect the next weeks to October 22 to be extremely volatile and dangerous ones. The US will do everything they can to stop that summit.
The problem, Billy boy, is that I don't have an ex, so I will take your texts seriously for what they are: pure drivel, BS. Keep up the entertainment, Billy boy, that's all you can do.
BRICS will introduce a new international payments mechanism, with a medium of exchange something other than the USD, yes. But not "this month" or even next month.
It takes time for all trading partners to establish reserves in the new medium before the equivalent of the SWIFT system can go live. IMHO it's not as difficult as some experts allege ("years"), but it isn't as easy as just announcing a new unit, either. My semi-informed guess would be something like 6 months to a year from now.
You say "Under such a scenario I would expect the USD to decline slowly and then "suddenly". That would only work if the US stopped taking its own dollar for foreign purchases. 350 million plus fairly affluent (world standards) consumers talk, BS walks.
Ah gold bugs🙄 Think why the BRICS (wisely) have only 40% gold backing of the UNIT? Gold is a safe haven NOT a currency. All power to BRICS --love them, breaking the chains of trade slavery etc. They can teach us all something. Maybe even some people basic finance/economics
You say " Could it be the catalyst that propels gold prices to sustain its upward trajectory?
"You say "Under such a scenario I would expect the USD to decline slowly and then "suddenly". That would only work if the US stopped taking its own dollar for foreign purchases."
Or if the United States suffered a sovereign debt default.
..This is long overdue.. As an African I ask why must African countries for instance, trade in currencies they don't have, or have no say over in the first place? I know other countries are in the same boat.. This is one big decades-old failure on the part of African elites and liberation stalwarts..
OMG! Your actually analyzing and using easily faked public sat images. Does one really believe in the garbage that can be manipulated just as easily as your daily dosage of news from CNN. Com'on!?
ReynMeLi, is a problem worth discussing. Do CNN and legacy media manipulate ? Yes. Can CNN and legacy media lie directly, e.g. manipulate public sat images? No.
Why? They will be exposed, and their reliability would sink lower until it disappears completely.
Outright lies are used infrequently, sparingly. Manipulation is done through bias, shifting accent,
Clouds covering bases, yes. Manipulating actual images, no, - only if officially supplied by Israel
I disagree. They have been "exposed" lying outright countless times, yet most of their audience couldn't care less. Lying is the MSM's main line of business, they are not coy with it. They wouldn't think twice about altering images, reliability be damned, especially for the overriding sake of Israel---guess who owns these media.
It is called marketing in the West, was called propaganda in communist countries, but is the same art, influencing populations through media.
The same principles that govern selling CocaCola govern selling political choices. It is subliminal, mainly influencing emotions, bellow the level of consciousness.
Logic is not the most important part, neither the truth.
Manipulation is on another level, choosing the news, and presenting it.
Not owning any spy satellites really sux, all you can do is look at what is put out by those satellite owners of multiple competing interests and try to interpret their BS.
Please refer us to ANY previous article where Simplicus intentionally lied to or misled us. His accuracy from the begining gets him the benefit of the doubt every time as far as I'm concerned. How many times has he been wrong? Please provided some examples.
Iran's strikes didn't deter the zionists one bit. If anything their attacks are worse. They even cooked a Russian airfield/warehouse in Syria. Will Russia, or anyone do anything about it?
Dunno, lol. Many ignorant people are nice. But I actually think he's a troll and therefore knows better. So maybe not nice. Nice people don't set out to deceive.....
I understand that yesterday Israel struck a Russian ammo depot and Ukraine hit a nuclear reactor deep in Russia, but no radiation leak. This shows these are the same wars and the West wants war and Israel needs war.
Hey, I saw videos and pics... I heard people talk about the nuclear reactor deep in Russian. I heard and saw a gas platform offshore go up in flames. I saw the box in the field that started Simplicius' essay explode with an exact hit. There is much more happening in the field and in reality that the Western media is not covering, and that is a problem. I never expected the number or the efficacy of this attack, but it is so sensitive, no one wants to talk about it lest WWIII. Watch Dr. Strangelove lately? Great movie.
Well it looks like Isreal is, literally done for now and forever, they do not have any other solution than carry out more wars. And the worst they can do is to finally pulling out their last own card, by announcing their Messiah is here in the Jerusalem already. However, the problem with such move is that, it will make the Muslim in whole Arabia up to the mountain of Pasthunistan going ecstatic, because this is also what they have been longing for, put the final blow to the Zionist Isreal!
indeed and when the western world realises that said "messiah" is best described as "anti-christ" they might finally wake up..
The current program in the insanity of the "jew" is to establish a sufficient area for the "moschiach ben david" aka "dajjal" or false prophet aka "anti-christ" to rest its ugly butt circa 2027, thus if things continue this is just the begining...
If, If the majority of the world realised that the "jew" is attempting to raise an actual demonic entity in physical form this would all be over... pronto..
However circa 150 million rabid zionist fundamental christian usefull idiots in the world`s largest illegaly occupied territory keep backing those that seek their destruction (we are all amalek).
Perhaps, just maybe the Obama camps solution to what is now rapidly appearing to be the compromise/take over of one of the world largest military forces is to pull the plug on what feeds it....?
As they said "leave the world behind" as sponsored by barrack and "big mike"...
If this is the case, whilst being preferable to all out armageddon it puts entire swathes of the world back into the middle ages.
If current reports re the goings on in the areas affected by the hurricane "helene" are anything to go by the good will of humans is short lived and only the strong survive, such contrast from our formerly comfy existences?
When considering "satanism" and its now overtly obvious theatre affecting All of Our Lives its pertinent to understand that those who orchestrated pushing the flase narrative of "one true god" over the last 2000 years did so by consigning All the Old Gods into one convenient parcel to be feared (some justifiably) and loathed, when in reality the "one true god" was merely one of the same but with..., "aspirations"
Its time for humanity to lay this outmoded fucked up way of thinking to the trash once and for all, "yahweh/jehovah" the one who was once called "janus" aka "the two faced god".
In contravention of numerous treaties with Indian tribes, still on record in the LoC. Acc. the US constitution, ratified treaties are law of the land on par with the constitution itself, so yes, illegally.
What does LoC. Acc. mean? Your statement is incorrect:
This from the Indian affairs website: "Between 1778, when the first treaty was made with the Delawares, to 1871, when Congress ended the treaty-making period, the United States Senate ratified 370 treaties. At least 45 others were negotiated with tribes but were never ratified by the Senate.
The treaties that were made often contain commitments that have either been fulfilled or subsequently superseded by Congressional legislation."
According to the national archives, there were 313,712 Native Americans resident in the USA in 1870. There are currently 4.9 million American Indians resident in the USA. The Native American pop in this country is prospering and growing. Yes there are problems (same as anglos and african americans etc.) (see Fentanyl, Meth, crack etc...) but vast majority are patriotic Americans first and American Indians next. They are well assimilated, and except for a few radicals (very few) they do not consider the USA illegal in any way. Ask me how I know...
Well, yeah, after 90% of the Americas' native population was wiped out by wars and sickness. Plenty of estimates that there were a LOT more than 4.9M when Cristobal arrived. So, what's your point?
You pretend to simp for the American Indians! LOL! They know you don't care for them and are only trying to discredit THEIR country. They are against propaganda put forth by people like you! Your propaganda has ZERO support amongst the AMINDIANS. AMINDIANS are by and large PROUD citizens of the USA. Ask me how I know...
Naw, the USA is WAY more complicated and nuanced than you can comprehend. Zog is just NY and Wash DC. East coast, right up on the water. Everyone else has different ideas. You will see soon...
This is your response to all of the data I just dropped? You can't refute one point? LOL! The one who resorts to ad hominem first is the loser by definition! LOL! :D
what data? the indians were jus sub-human fauna - now they drink shampoo and lean their land to jews to run casinos. They are fortunate they were not exterminated as they should have been.
You think AMINDIANS are sub-human fauna? Shame on you sir! If I was in your presence and you said something like that, I would consider those fighting words...
“ For instance, some clearly came down extremely fast, at near hypersonic speeds, as I highlighted last time, while many others appear to come down at fairly middling speeds.”
Video where one rocket come faster than others (you post video in previous article) is because that rocket is much closer to the viewer than other three rockets that are far away (so they seems slower)!
I like how the missiles are called ,Fatter' . "We have a new missile for you O Supreme Leader" "Oh what is it called and is it pointy?" "Yes Supreme Leader the most pointy, but we don't have a name yet, we hoped you could enlighten us" "Call it Fattah! It is a clever play on words. These Americans obviously respect the Fat and Israel is like an American ranch in our deserts" "Yes o supreme leader. The Fatter rocket it shall be. Your wisdom knowd no bounds etc etc"
i like this Mr Frank, but fatah is pronounced like fet as in vet and tah as in the ta in tada - the word Fattah is victory in arabic, but your way with words is really cool :)
You cite Patarames' YouTube. Good stuff. Find his X account excellent for technical stuff as things unfold. Also, really like MenchOsint's X for following current Hezbollah Ops. Here are links for all who might be interested. https://x.com/Pataramesh. https://x.com/MenchOsint
Well, we know for a fact Iran utilizes at least three different types of MaRVS (maneuverable re-entry vehicles).
1. Hypersonic glider (Fattah-2)
2. Regular detached warhead with fin control maneuver (Kheibar Shekan)
3. Warhead with its own thrust engine (Fattah-1)
Furthermore there is regular conical and triconic MaRV design. Triconic has more stability for terminal maneuvers, but produces more drag and can be slower.
The glider just glides, bleeding velocity via drag. The self-propelling thrust engine can maintain active thrust and higher terminal speed.
In short, as you can see there are half a dozen or more velocity profiles, and combinations thereof (between the thrust/shape of MaRV etc.) which means it's quite feasible that they all have varying re-entry/terminal velocities.
(Actually there's even way more to it, including FOBs vs. ballistic arc trajectory (or shallow vs. high arc) which determines terminal speed, but that's getting in the weeds)
Don't worry I am far from a zionist and just actually really thought the names were cool. Better than pompous sounding Minuteman and what not. I really do think the Brits should have named that warship Boaty McBoatFace
again mr Frank, i love your way with words, must be of english or british stock i suppose - please prove me correct? anyways , some more informaion on islamic words, Kheibar or khaybar is actually a town just north of medina in saudi arabia, in islamic history, the 3 jewish tribes of medinah did treason like 4 times against all the treaties with the prophet and were exiled to khayber, then in khayber, they broke more treaties and were eventually conquered, but they being very hard working and smart, kept thier own lands on a land tneure system with the prophet. afther the prophets death and then the conquest of jerusalem by Omar and Khalid, the arab muslims found no jews in jerusalem and hence ordered about 80 jewish clans from khayber to resettle in jerusalem - os in essence it was the muslims and the arabs which brought the jews back to jerusalem after the romans kicked them out - funny hey that the iranians named a missile with that towns name
Thanks for that. I enjoy learning new things. Tribes, history, identity, in-group, out-group, social behaviour of humans, it’s all fascinating. I can understand that there are historical perceptions, but I feel that the real problem we have had the last few decades is a malevolent West that keeps the Middle East in a state of tension and friction and exploits the divisions there and amplifies them. I think with luck we will have a new USA beginning with Trump , where the USA reigns in its neocon extremists and military expansionists, and starts to focus on domestic production. I see it as a great positive that Saudi Arabia and Iran are starting to mend their relationship, and I wish nothing but the best for all the people of that region, and hope that a brighter, positive future can be achieved without being a football for foreign superpowers. I think solar energy and technology is one way forward but it needs stability and peace. Israel is without doubt the aggressor at this time, but I see this as partially a personal project of Netanyahu’s with respect to his political decline.
i can blame the west to be honest, see, I am a south african, and from here in SA, we have a saying, follow the money in polictis and in the western world, the looby groups and the deep states of each western country contorl the narratives. So these are your MIC, big pharma, legacy media, finance houses, zionist and armenian lobby groups, intelligence groups and they as a tribe are very pro war party for and on behalf of israel - it is what it is, the strong do what they must and the weak must perservere and show the world their hypocrasy. In my country, we have an opposiion party called the Democratic alliance and they are funded a lot by pro Zionists groups, but they have so many Muslims in their party, that they all boycotted the leadership and if it was not for the uselessness of the anc, they the DA would have lost even more. I think the pro Zionist parties spent like over 10million SD on these last elections in south afria for no showing at the polls, what a waste of money - could have been put to show much better use and that is the problem with lobby groups, the return of investments on this dead horse aka the unconditional support of Israel has not reached a level yet, where its bankrupting them...as long as this exists...there will be no foreign policy change, not with trump or anyone else...I mean, other than double crossing the USA with the Islamic revolution in iran around 1980 - why is iran an enemy - same goes for so many other countries - there is no logical sense to go to war with them
Trump has to reign in Neocons, AIPAC, DoJ, FBI, CIA, Brits, WHO, small Z, the Internet Monopolies, the Controlled Media, while exterminating the bugs infested in D.C.
But he could start by telling Jared to commit Seppukku.
My video edit of the strike clearly shows the diff... and not just by perspective. It's titled "Iran Strike on Airbases October 1st" on the Duran main page. regards
The Israeli play is a rinse&repeat of the 2001 neo-con playbook, where 9/11 was levered into wars of choice against Afghanistan, Iraq, War On Terror, etc. Bush Jr and his buddies had political capital and spent it for 6 years
The same is happening now. Bibi has 7/10 capital, and I'd say a good 65% of the political class in the US are clapping seals who will literally anything he says. So, what's his wish list? Well, lets look around - Lebanon is a failed state, Syria is a very weak country, Jordan and Egypt are castrated, Saudi/UAE and the other Gulf states have moved on - Only Iran stands as a regional adversary with a real military. But the Israelis know that Iran cannot be defeated in a 1-1 fight; there are entire countries in between and an air campaign will do limited damage. What they need is the US to step in, and fight Iran directly. Can the US defeat Iran militarily? Probably yes - at great, great cost. Which the Israelis are willing to make them pay.
My guess is the Israelis are trying their best now to arrange a significant US casualty event (20+ KIA) in the Middle East somewhere, as that would galvanize DC and US public opinion. Sinking a US vessel would be my best bet as most of the evidence would be destroyed. Hitting a US base would leave too many bomb fragments and guidance parts lying around.
Trump, for all his rhetoric, is smart enough to tell the Joint Chiefs to suck wind and not actually send thousands of American boys to their deaths. Harris will sign off like she is ordering coffee
Trump is as dumb as a box of hammers. Given that he's likely NEVER read a book
or studied history/geography, he'll do exactly what his ZOG minders tell him to do. A man of thin learning, he's totally reliant on the staff he assembles. (or is provided to him) Remember Bolton and Pompeo? Nice work there Don, draining the swamp. We'll have another, thanks. If he walks like a neo-con...talks like a neo-con...it's pretty likely he's a neo-con. While China and Russia have serious, competent leadership, we in the U$$A have these ridiculous clown car maroons.
First time you burn us shame on you...second time we are fugged, shame on us.
I was under the impression that the executive branch remains within pre-defined parameters, lest it succumb to the Kennedy treatment. But heck, I'm just a critical thinker, not an expert....
Better still, don't vote at all. By voting you give legitimacy to a corrupt, illegitimate system that is there to keep the plebs in a slave-like relationship. They don't care about the common man and woman, all they care about is their bank account and the interests of their donors – remember, there is no such thing as a free lunch.
Basically, we have two entrances to the slaughterhouse, but we are free to pick the left door or the right door, so we can't say we never were given a choice.....
OTOH, when it will have converted the genocidal sewer into a 20,000 km2 parking lot, there will be plenty of room for the oil sheikhs to park Mercedes S600's, AND the region will return to normalcy, to peace, after a century of Jew-instigated death and destruction.
How exactly could the US defeat Iran even at great cost? Iran is the size of western Europe desert, swamp and mountains. With a land border with Afghanistan, recent reports are that the Taliban are now restless sitting behind desks after years of fighting the west, the enemy of my enemy is my friend. Iran also shares a border across the Caspian with Russia, considering how the Russian MIC is churning out equipment they will need a market for those military equipment after they finish off Ukraine. Also, all those Russian soldiers, Chechens, South Osetians and Donbas Militia fighter who have known nothing but slaughter for a decade won't be easily integrated into Russian civil society. They would need somewhere to do what they have learned to do best. The US owe Russia hundreds of thousands of lives, Russia is going to eventually want to collect. So there are also numerous militia groups, radical extremist groups etc just eagerly waiting for a Western involvement in a conflict. This will not be a tiny Grenada or Panama or an isolated desert Iraq with only 15% of the Iraqi army fighting, it will be a real fight and the dogs are waiting.
2 scenarios really. Either an unfavorable peace like 1988, or a "victory" like how the north Vietnamese eventually won, at the cost of millions of their own and the destruction of half the country. American wars remain far flung affairs, and to my knowledge Iran can't bring the fight home
Well though the 9/11 scenario is still debatable. Is it not still a possibility especially if orchestrated by a major state actor or was that not home enough?
Everything is possible, not gonna pretend I know one way or another. It's possible there are sleepers within the US ready to fly thousands of drones into critical targets. Or not.
There was an Industrial Giant, the U.S. in the 1930s to 1960s, then the Money Skimmers and Churners, insanely greedy and self-certain, killed the source of their wealth by outsourcing to cheap/slave labor.
Today's U.S./Dual Citizen captured state is a belligerent, mouthy skeleton of what it once was.
Always at the ready to compromise engineering (I give you the F35, and Boeing) yet never ready to compromise with other nations.
Iraq is the archetypical tank country: flat desert ideal for tracked and even 4WD movement, laid out all open to air surveillance and attack.
Iran is mostly mountains. Think Afghanistan, but with population on match with the US, modern developed science and industry and a well equipped, modern military. And a motivated population as inured to hardship as the Russians. And half a world away from the US.
The difference between Iraq and Iran as a military force is night and day. Iran is a peer level force whose members are, unlike the Iraqi military, well trained, better equipped and highly motivated with logistical chains that reach all the way to China and Russia.
First you have to get there though. Where would you assemble, and from where would you launch? Turkey? Don't think so. Saudi Arabia's not likely to cooperate, and the minute you set foot in Iraq you'd be attacked. Everywhere else is out of the question so a ground invasion seems like a complete non-starter to me.
I think this is distinct reality, however it may eventually unfold.
Once the scenario leaves "skirmish level" conflicts and the gloves are removed it will be imperative to strike hard, accurately and most of all: make it count. What is different now is that the ROW has had decades to prepare is unlikely to be caught on the back foot.
How would the US defeat Iran from the air? You don't seriously think they can put boots on the ground?
They can do a lot of damage from the air, but so can Iran. And Israel has a population half the size of Tehran situated in relatively few enclaves. Most the country is desert. And of course the Palestinians won't be sitting on their hands. And neither will the resistance on the borders. A perfect storm is brewing. Could spiral out of control very quickly.
The colonial project known as Israel has gone off the deep end, taking advantage of a Washington controlled by puppets of the US MIC. The Israeli display of depravity in Gaza is unmatched. Israel is now doing to Lebanon what it did in Gaza. Sad times for everyone with a shred of empathy. Not, however, if you think that your particular tribe is superior and can do no wrong.
The only winning play is to pogrom the Jews. There is a reason we have a word in Western Civilization for taking our country back from Jews. It is an old word and your ancestors are heroes for punishing the Jews and fighting off their debt slavery. Pogromming Jews is as natural as warfare.
We're all aware that they have the ability- there's no need to demonstrate of what they are capable of.
Do you think that the Israeli's would have stopped if the roles were reversed - You should know the answer to that one.
The Israeli's have been very busy assassinating one high profile figure after another - Most of the senior leaders of Hezbollah have been eliminated - they've even bombed 4 nations in a single day with complete impunity. - to take out M's head quarters in one fell swoop deals with the problem for once and for all.
I don't see the logic of going through all that trouble of actually having a golden opportunity and then deliberately miss the target just to send a message - no my friend - It was a miss.
I'll give you another reason why it would make sense not to miss the intended target.
Mossad had a mole in Iran - the Head of Iranian unit countering Mossad was an Israeli agent.
Early reports said it was obliterated. I give them more credence than the later reports. And has any proof emerged showing the MOSSAD rat's nest still intact?
Yes the real lesson wrt the US invasion and occupation of Iraq since 2003 is that if a nation *really does* have nukes, it won't get attacked, invaded, and occupied by the former United States, or by its belligerent handler the Bullshit State, ie "Israel"...
The RF could have simply provided them with a few samples at any time of the past few decades. One might consider it prudent to do so given the circumstances.
How will Russia react to Trumps support against Iran.
Russia will support Iran over Trump until the end .
Why because the west is two faced and cant be trusted and also because the us started the war in ookraine and Russia will never forget yenta nuland and blinken in a hurry or any other skullcap in a hurry all that blood in Ookraine is their doing , once they get in government eveything collapses as its doing on cue.
Hence any escalation will be answered likewise .
I would keep a slow boil at israel for decades and take a hint from the Yezidis they hide their leaders in amongst the common people and put common people as their leaders for outsiders, makes sense having lifetime actors as leaders is what all the western leaders are , they are sock puppets for the puppet masters.
Another reason of the collapse in the west is that underlying the fabric of society was Christianity which to some extent held the countries together ,once the west went material nihilism , there is nothing to keep the society together and skin color became a defining characteristic or being gay, a satanist, or the state became the new god and which party you supported the new denomination. Worst of all the family unit was attacked a velvet cultural marxist revolution in the west occurred.
Personally, I blame Thatcher and Reagan for discovering the strategy to make their jobs far easier by selling off government responsibilities to the private banks and corporations. A practise that was immediately embraced by all western governments because who doesn't like doing less and less, especially when their wages increase more and more?
As a consequence however, the people supposedly running the Western countries now no longer need to be skilled at actually running anything, because it is all handled by private banks and corporations!
Add to that the whole, very questionable, idea of global warming, which was seized upon by our bored governments as a way for them to look busy between elections, along with all the other social wokeness that they occupy their time with now.
Lately I am convinced the whole climate change thing was invented, or at least heavily promoted, by the private banks so they had a noble excuse to replace manufacturing and real productive economies with economies consisting of services paid for with debt, which is ultimately attached to house prices.
Yes but the Wall Street bankers are doing a horrible job. All they know is graft corruption and thievery which is why most are zio [fact - not a "trope"]
"Add to that the whole, very questionable, idea of global warming,"
If one even assumes that humans can mitigate "climate change" there's not the collective intelligence, discipline or consensus to effect change. If an attempt was actually made, all wars would stop and all disputes would be settled by talk and peaceful resolution. The MIC won't have that. The U$$A can't even fix health care or the border issues so we're supposed to believe they'll "fix the climate"?! Not very freakin' likely. The climate biz along with "the border" and "abortion" are talking points to trot out and massage in service of the election cycle. That Americans give two shits about the fate of a fetus ('scuse me-a BABY!) while murdering peeps around the world, gratuitously, does not pass the sniff test. Laughable, actually...
"Worst of all the family unit was attacked a velvet cultural marxist revolution in the west occurred." The fact of the attack of the family unit is right but....
I can tell you after such a sentense that you have never read a letter of Karl Marx work and simply repeating talking points that you have heard from somewhere/someone. Sorry to say so but as long as you and others in the west repeat that nonsense of your masters, you are doomed. Must be nice to feel such certainty in ignorance, it just helps no one.
Spot on. So many intelligent North Americans seem to be particularly affected by this massive blind spot - it irritatingly detracts from what is otherwise often insightful analysis
What I meant by that is that the factions supporting each of the candidates are likely to put the well being of said state before that of the USA.
As far as slow boil, perhaps but therre is tha matter of face saving after the most recent missile strike. If isreal does strike back, they are most likely going to receive another walloping, which they can ill-afford. Then there is the matter of their botched northward incursion....
Full BDA won't be finished for several days. One thing that's certain is the intercept rate was very low, between 10-20%. The Iran-Saudi civil meeting was to be expected with them both in BRICS and the Outlaw US Empire once again reminding the world just how ugly its policy is always been.
I came across an interesting testimony I didn't know of: an eyewitness report of the very secret meeting between FDR and King Saud that can be read or downloaded here, https://archive.org/details/FDRMEETSIBNSAUD
The short talk between FDR and King Saud about the Jews and Palestine is very enlightening as is FDR's promise to the King. All that's relayed in the last fourth of the book. There's other info for historians and other interested people.
Since the Pale of the Settlement region had historically been Ashkenazi since the time of Catherine the Great, it is esp remarkable that that geographic area was not selected for a Jewish homeland.
But the British Empire needed to clean up some business in the area stretching from what is today Pakistan to the Mediterranean, divvying up British Mandate areas, like Iraq, and French Mandate areas like Syria.
Check out the movie "Valley of the Wolves Filistin" (2011) much better than "Escape from Afghanistan". Anyway the Palestine movie predicted precisely what's happening today, to a 'T', and what you wrote.
I just read it. A charming and fascinating account. So sad at all that has come to pass since then. So sad as well that the Saudis and other Arab states viewed the USA in 1945 as liberators or allies from European colonizers -- compared with the carnage and destruction the US has wrought.
By the time Col Eddy wrote this account in 1954, US had already couped Mossadegh in Iran and installed the Shah.
I think the nondollar ought to be called a Womanity. With pictures of great women and men. Like my mother will be a good unit of exchange....moving towards sovereignty, freedom, and community under God, not the fucking devil and death dealing dope head despots....
Trump's biggest financial backers in 2016 were the Neocon Uber-Zionists Sheldon and Miriam Adelson. It was Adelson who wanted Trump "to nuke Iran back to the stone age". He did not get his wish, only a few symbolic items, like moving the US embassy to Jerusalem.
The Adelsons did not provide the same support in 2020, perhaps because Sheldon was dying, but more likely because Trump had not delivered value for donated money.
For the 2024 election cycle, Miriam Adelson has again pledged $100mm to Trump's campaign. One has to wonder what happens to Iran if Trump delivers on whatever he promised this time. Also, what happens to Trump if he doesn't deliver on his promises.
Interesting. MBS has allegedly stated in the not too distant past that he does not care if Palestinians die, and the whole issue of Palestine is of little concern to him. Now it seems he changes his tune. I'm sure he slowly comes to understand that the US / Israel hegemon in the region is about to change irrevocably. Best to be on the winning side (which for once is the righteous one).
On the Iranian strike, I am convinced that plenty of advanced notice was given - Iran playing nice, but not next time. I believe that Iran spared Mossad headquarters on purpose, as a kind of gentleman's final warning to let Israel know 'We can strike you and completely destroy you, and we let you go this time only. Next time we raise your cities to the ground.'
Yes pure theatre, but let us keep mindful of the huge number of casualties. When this is sorted out, one will expect tribunals to prosecute and punish those guilty of crimes against humanity / war crimes; from Israel, US, EU and the Ukraine conflicts.
No tribunal. And keep in mind that most formidable Israel weapon is US Israel lobby that controls US politicians more or less directly, by a phone call, and US public indirectly, through uS media.
Message that gets to US public is what is important.
Thank you for this, but there are two important comments I'd like to make.
1) Iran's government is not identical to that of the United States. The president is NOT the commander-in-chief of the military. Therefore, it is not necessary for him to authorize stuff like the missile strike on Israel.
2) Similarly, the REAL commander-in-chief of the country is Seyyed Ali Hosseini Khamenei, more commonly known as Ayatollah Khamenei. His position is officially the "Supreme Leader" of Iran. And HE issued a fatwah (religious order) that banned Iran from ever using nuclear weapons.
This man's power literally cannot be abridged in Iran, so anyone telling you that Iran is working on some kind of nuclear weapon is lying to you. The fatwah specifically states that Iran can use nuclear ONLY for peaceful civilian purposes (i.e. energy generation).
On point! This has been the real story of Iran's nuclear program (purely civilian) for years. The nuke thing is Israeli fear-mongering. Fortunately, Iran doesn't need nukes. It can erase Israel conventionally, and can also crash the world's economy by shutting down the Middle East's oil. And you will never see deliberate mass civilian casualties inflicted by Iran (or Hezbollah for that matter). It may be incomprehensible in the West, but they act within a religious ethical framework.
Respectfully disagree. Consider "banned Iran from ever using nuclear weapons."
It's always risky to highlight details in translations, but "using" seems to be the operative word in the Fatwah. Developing nuclear weapons is not the same as using them. In fact, reading his commentary (in translation) on nuclear weapons highlights the terroristic, anti-civilian nature of them as the key reason a Muslim should not use them.
But that wouldn't apply at all to micronukes, like the US's Davy Crockett or 155mm nuclear artillery rounds, which had (or may still have if some have been mothballed) a yield of 1/10th of a kiloton or less. That's only 100 tons of TNT equivalent. The Fatwah also wouldn't apply to acquiring a complete mastery of nuclear weapons for defensive purposes, for example, to know exactly where in a complex chain of materials, manufacturing, and custody Iran might be able to strike with conventional war to negate Israel's nuclear arsenal.
Iran's enrichment programs also - according to Iran itself - have enriched uranium to levels that do not make sense for anything but weapons. Iran itself has declared enrichment to greater than 20%. That's far beyond what is necessary for peaceful power production or research. Yes, there are some research reactors that operate at weapons grade uranium enrichment, but those are rare and they use high enriched uranium mainly because it is available as a result of production for weapons. If weapons weren't being produced the same research aims could be achieved with low enriched uranium.
The one case where weapons grade enriched uranium makes sense to use in reactors is in military nuclear submarines, because it makes possible very compact reactors that fit within the confines of a sub and which can run a long time between refuelings. Such reactors are also used to power nuclear aircraft carriers. Carriers could easily use non-weapons grade reactors given their size but they use weapons grade since, again, it's already available as a result of production for weapons.
But Iran has no pretentions to being a world naval power. It doesn't have the resources or military need to maintain aircraft carriers of the scale they require nuclear power. Those are only required for would-be global hegemons who want to bully smaller, less developed countries with huge carriers that are sitting duck targets for developed countries.
Iran also has no military case for nuclear powered submarines. You only need those to maintain a nuclear-armed SLBM force or a hunter-killer force to attack SLBMs. Diesel-electric subs are actually more stealthy for regional attack operations not too far from a country's harbors. So talk of weapons grade enrichment for submarine reactors is not convincing.
What you do get from 20%+ enrichment is the ability to make a nuke immediately. You *can* make a nuke, albeit an inefficient one, using 20% enriched uranium. According to declassified US documents about half the uranium in the Hiroshima device was only 20% enriched. The other half was high enriched so the average enrichment was over 80%. The Hiroshima device is not much of a nuke by modern standards but it's enough to level Tel Aviv or Haifa.
What 20% enrichment also gets you is the ability to get to 90% enrichment within a week or two. Perhaps that's the source of the "week or two" breakout time span so often quoted.
Anyone who wants to read up on nuclear weapons can do so. It turns out there's a lot to read and it doesn't require much science education to grasp the essential points.
The first and most important point is that making simple nukes of Hiroshima class or up to about three or four times as strong is really easy. It's so easy that if you have the material, the uranium, it's almost impossible not to get it right. The Hiroshima bomb was a sawed off piece of a naval cannon that fired a cylinder of uranium with a hollow spot in the middle onto a target of uranium that filled the hollow spot. That's it. If you take two pieces of uranium where each is less than a critical mass and you put them together so together they are larger than a critical mass, it blows up. There's no rocket science to it at all. A nation like Iran that can develop ballistic missiles with hypersonic maneuverable glide warheads can easily do it.
Given the threats against it by Israel and the US, Iran would have to be insane not to have put together a few Hiroshima class devices, just in case. After all, a fatwah can be retracted or modified just as easily as it was made.
The second essential point about nukes is that *everybody* who has gone nuclear since the US, with the exception of South Africa, believed nukes were simple enough to do that they skipped primitive Hiroshima type devices and went straight to Nagasaki style implosion devices, which are more efficient: bigger bang using less uranium. Iran is far beyond the level of technology required for that, in particular being ahead of the USSR in the late 1940's, the UK and France when they created their first devices, and ahead of China, India, and Pakistan way back in the prior century.
In fact, the baseline level of science and technology in nuclear science and related fields like explosives, detonators, electronics and such is now so much greater than it was in the 1950's that everybody who has gone nuclear since China (with the exception of South Africa), including Israel, has gone straight to boosted devices that use thermonuclear reactions to boost the yield and to reduce the size of the warhead.
Given the grim calculus of deterrence, just having a few nukes doesn't get you much as a nation state. You have to have enough to be sure you can survive a US or Israeli first strike with enough nukes to inflict unacceptable damage on your attacker. For that you need an arsenal of 50 or more reasonably modern nukes, so that's what everybody goes for, North Korea being the most public example.
Given all the above I think Iran is just buying time until it has assembled a modern arsenal of 100+ boosted and/or thermonuclear warheads it can deliver covertly, by sea, by air using fighter bombers, or by ballistic missile. That's why it is eating crow publicly. It knows that after a short period of doing that it will be forever invincible.
I don't think the Fatwah is dishonest. What it says about nuclear weapons is true and it could reflect a genuine religious aspiration to never use nukes. But when it comes down to the survival of Iran and, even, of Islam, it could be modified to allow their use against a Satanic adversary which clearly is bent on allowing no place for Islam in some of Islam's holiest places.
I too see the Fatwah as legit. A thought is that secular elements within Iran's leadership structure may take ownership, so to speak, of the nuclear doctrine & make policy decisions about the deployment of such weapons apart from the Supreme Leader--not to undermine the strength of the Fatwah or the dominion of the Supreme Leader but to work in tandem w/ both, fortifying them, against an anomalous adversary.
A quality take, as expected. This is indeed where "a week" comes from. That said, I still think that Iran is conscious enough to allow itself to have nukes only after Israel hits it with their own. And a demonstration of reliable delivery means goes a long way to ensure it doesn't happen.
The question to me is does Iran have a secure enough space to put the final touches on a nuke that Israel's several dozen tons of bunker busting bombs can't damage? Furthermore, given the apparent broken security Hezbollah seems to have, is it not logical that Israeli agents are deeply embedded in Iranian military and leadership? Methinks they don't have two weeks time to prepare a nuke, they need it ready to go now.
It's essential to keep in mind the difference between interim, quick and very simple Hiroshima devices and more sophisticated everything else destined for a long term arsenal.
Respectfully, comments like this seem not to acknowledge that essential difference: "does Iran have a secure enough space to put the final touches on a nuke "
If you have sufficiently enriched uranium, all you need is a garage, almost anywhere, to build a simple nuke. There are no "final touches" of any sophistication required.
Years ago I read a book that included some commentary from a former US nuclear weapons designer who was crusading for stronger controls on proliferation. He had been criticizing US military help to Pakistan, which at the time was not yet a nuclear power, and he was saying the government's contention it could give billions to Pakistan without fear they would create nukes was nuts, that building a simple nuke was so easy there wasn't any real effort to it at all. Unfortunately, I don't remember the name of the book, but I think there is plenty of similar commentary out there.
Here's what he said was the bare minimum you need to build the simplest possible, primitive nuke: Get two chunks of enriched uranium that each are shaped like half of a small grapefruit or large orange, each of which weighs about 95% of a critical mass. Keep them apart from each other until you want an explosion.
To get ready for an explosion, unless you work out a lot and have strong arms, put them both on the edge of a table so you can shove them together rapidly without trying to carry one half in each arm. When you want an explosion, reach out with your left hand to one half and with your right hand to the other half, and as quickly as you can shove the two halves together to form a complete sphere. As you do that, quickly hunch down over the sphere to hug it with your body, pulling the completed sphere off the table into your hug so most of it is surrounded by your body.
The sphere of uranium will explode. You don't need any initiators, neutron sources or anything like that. You don't need any electronics or mechanical mechanisms or explosives. Just put the two halves together and they explode all on their own. You can't stop it from exploding.
It might start exploding before you get both halves fully together, or before you can hug it, or there's a very small chance you might be able to get the two halves together and hug the thing and still have time to wonder, "WTF? How come it didn't explode..." before a really big bang happens.
The complete sphere will be over two critical masses [critical mass depends on shape, and a mass of uranium which would be above a critical mass when shaped as a sphere will be significantly less than a critical mass when shaped as a hemisphere, so you can have two hemispheres each of which is less than one critical mass for their shape that will add up to more than two critical masses for a sphere], which will be enough to sustain an uncontrolled, explosive chain reaction just as soon as a stray neutron kicks it off. The water in your body will serve as a neutron reflector to help keep more neutrons in the sphere to help the reaction build quicker. Exactly what yield you get will depend on when that stray neutron starts the reaction, so you get a bell curve that's mostly between a low of about a twentieth of a kiloton to a high of several kilotons with a median value of a couple of kilotons.
If you want a bigger bang, get a local machine shop to make an outer shell in two halves to go around the uranium half-spheres, so when they are put together into a complete shell they are surrounded with a shell of metal about 2-3 centimeters (around an inch) thick. The shell will reflect neutrons, better than the water in your body, back into the reacting sphere to give it an extra kick as the chain reaction gets going. Beryllium works great, but if you don't have that you can use steel, or, better, tungsten.
If you don't want to die to set off the explosion by hand, you can rig up some simple device to put the two halves of uranium together for you. You could stick both halves on cylinders of steel and then put both of them in the opposite ends of a section of steel drainage pipe with some gunpower behind them. When the gunpowder is fired it shoves both halves at each other to form a complete sphere. The quicker you can do that, the better odds you have that a stray neutron won't come flying through to start the chain reaction before both halves of the uranium are put together.
During WWII the US had plenty of military gear so instead of using a section of steel drainage pipe it used a sawed off piece of naval cannon to shove one half the uranium into the other half. The US wanted to make sure the two halves of uranium got put together as fast as a naval cannon could fire a shell.
There are a few other tricks you can do to increase the yield, none of which are complicated. For example, instead of two chunks that are both half spheres you can make one of them like a sphere that has a big cylindrical section missing from the middle. When you shoot the missing cylinder into it that forms a complete sphere. That works because the critical mass for a sphere with a big chunk missing from the middle is bigger, and you can assemble a complete sphere with even three critical masses in it. The more critical masses it has when a stray neutron comes along, the faster the chain reaction builds and the bigger the blast before it all blows apart.
One last thing: you don't have to wait for a stray neutron to start the chain reaction. You can go down to your local WalMart and buy some smoke detectors that have a tiny Americium 241 radiation source (just a speck, so it's not controlled) in them. Buy about a hundred and carefully scrape off the tiny bit of Am241 source in them to make a bigger speck. Glue that to the middle of one half of your uranium and glue some beryllium foil (sold online) to the other half, so when the two uranium halves come together the Am241 is slammed into the beryllium foil. The alpha rays from the Am241 will strike beryllium nuclei and cause them to emit a shower of neutrons. For extra points, machine some roughness, like teeth and socket, into the middle of your uranium halves so the Am241 and the beryllium get well shredded and mixed together, to produce lots and lots of neutrons. Kicking off the chain reaction with lots of neutrons when both halves come together will help it build quicker. Do all the above and you can get your expected yield well above 10 kilotons, maybe even to 15 or 20 kilotons.
The point of all that is that none of it requires "final touches." You build a few simple pieces in advance in a one-car garage and then you put them together in a one-car garage in less than half hour. Heck, Iran could do all that in the middle of Tel Aviv, smuggling in the uranium just before use.
The Iranians have industrial facilities the size of entire towns underground. If Israel hasn't blown them up by now it's too late: they've already done their job producing the weapons grade uranium Iran needs.
Now, for more advanced devices that are part of a regular arsenal and are not ultra simple interim devices, it certainly becomes more difficult to protect from bunker busting bombs the labs and production facilities Iran needs for those. But Israel doesn't have enough bunker busters to get all those facilities if Iran distributes them (as it has). At some point, Israel's network of agents within Iran will end up helping Iran by telling Isael, "You're too late. They can nail Tel Aviv and the other cities no matter what you do."
One last thing: education has gotten so terrible in the West that if you write a few baby talk simple things about nuclear weapons you get a reaction like cave men being astonished by a cigarette lighter creating fire on demand. Let's not have any of that in the Lyceum. Anybody who's interested in discussing the very simple technical matters involved in whether and how quickly Iran or other countries can go nuclear can read up on all that online and learn way more about that than me. The only thing that's more amazing than how much you can learn by reading a few good books is how few Americans bother to do that.
Iran is, and has been, working on the capacity to build a nuclear bomb quickly. They have everything that they need to slap one together in a couple of weeks. And they've had that capability for years.
The logic is that any war would take more than a few weeks, and their capability to make one is functionally equivalent to a nuclear deterrent in the event of war, but without the geopolitical costs of being a rogue nuclear country. It's actually a very smart strategy.
Normally I don't mind people sharing their own work here, but you don't even appear to be a Subscriber, nor--as far as I can see--have ever interacted here before. Thus dumping one's own links in such a manner is considered a little inappropriate.
Thank you. The Sun rises in the East; settling, low, yet lower in the West. God will guide, family. ❤️🐈⬛
As a side note, Andy Schectman says he has information that BRICS will introduce a new currency called the "Unit" at its annual meeting later this month. The "Unit" will be backed by 40% in gold and the rest in currencies. I can't confirm what Andy is saying here so we'll see. But, if BRICS backs its currency by 40% gold, That, my friends, would be a sign of a much weaker USD in the not-too-distant future. I wouldn't be trading against the Fed just yet though. lol But if Andy is right, the US hegemon's military and debt-backed USD took this one fast and straight to the balls. Under such a scenario I would expect the USD to decline slowly and then "suddenly". Could it be the catalyst that propels gold prices to sustain its upward trajectory?
well goddamn, if a guy shilling gold for a living says it's true, i guess it must be! LOL
lol, Sam. Yea, but at least I can call him a flaming liar if the info is false.
Schectman will just more on to the next shill.
Very good point.
It reminds me of a story I saw about some shady operator who was shilling software that could pick winners at the racetrack. Before I sit through all the sales pitch guff I have to ask, If this actually works then why are you selling it to ME? Won't that reduce YOUR payout?
You're not comparing like with like. Selling a story of a gold-backed currency is meant as an encouragement to buy gold, thus pushing up its price, thus lining Andy's pockets as well as those of the other investors.
Selling a an app by your shady operator will only line his pocket, not yours.
Gold is a commodity, that winner-picking app is not.
So if you're a gold bull, some day theoretically you trade gold for fiat paper since buying a 6-pak of Duff beer at the store, with gold, is a non-starter. And, when people start selling, doesn't that reduce the supposed value/price of gold? (Supply/demand story) Is anyone actually required to buy the gold you're trying to sell? Ever? What "price" leverage does one have, when trying to sell their gold? Serious question. I confess, I don't begin to understand the "value" of Bitcoin and the like...so there's that?! I personally have found that resisting the urge to buy crap is the best store of value overall. " A penny saved is a penny earned..."
DuffMan Approves of the MEssage
Except your pennies are losing their value ... rapidly.
BTW, gold is not an exchange medium, it is a store of value. As the value of currencies drop, so the value of gold rises. So, those gold bars you bought can be exchanged against ever more e.g. $ in line with the $'s devaluation.
Yes, when people sell gold its price goes down (well spotted!) and when they buy it goes up 😉
I have no idea what you mean by "What "price" leverage does one have, when trying to sell their gold?"
I mean, you sell at what the market will bear if everyone sells in a hurry or more or less at the same time. You’re trying to ‘stop a falling knife’. A basement stocked with canned beans or pallets of TP is also a store of value. Also, any government can make gold sales illegal or subject to an onerous transaction tax.
Especially since the government can follow the paper trail associated with precious metal sales. Ask Sen Robert Menendez how safe it is to stash gold booty in the closet. Not very, I would submit. I appreciate your response to my post. Thanks!
Not necessarily, gold could be used for purchases. At check out instead of a scanner or paper money small pellets of gold will be weighed. It is also possible to simply weigh out a fixed amount (say an ounce) and put credit onto a card or chits (fiat) for down the road purchased.
https://www.apmex.com/product/22778/1-oz-gold-grain-shot-9999-fine-order-by-the-ounce
If this was California in 1852 this might work. Leave the mine and go trade your gold pellets for a pair of Levis or a few ounces of coffee or flour at the general store. In modern America where everyone is wound up, there’d be no patience for the the gold for goods suggestion. I get that you’re probably being sarcastic.
100%
No, it's the same problem, The Principal-Agent problem.
If you employ someone to give you advice on the markets then they should be working for your best interests you play them a set fee or %. The agent is not permitted to give advice that works to his advantage but the principals' disadvantage.
Politicians are not allowed to award public contracts to companies they have a stake in, athletes may not place a bet on a game they are playing in.
You could hire a magician or fortune teller to give you the Lotto numbers only if they don't buy any tickets themselves.
Absolutely true, but it is irrelevant. Schectman has not been employed to give the viewers advice, he has been employed to give his view of the market.
His view is NOT a commodity whose price is determined by supply and demand, as gold is.
EXACTLY
This is not particularly recent news that Andy Schectman is reporting. In any case what he's describingi s not a "currency" in the usual sense of the word but an accounting and settlement unit that can be used among trading nations operating outside the dollar reserve system. This report is pretty credible because it is known that such a scheme has been under development for some time. The trading platform itself seems to be modeled after the mBRIDGE System developed by the bank for international settlements (BIS).
On October 9, 2009, after the GFC, PBOC Governor Zhou Xiaochuan announced, "The world needs an international reserve currency that is disconnected from individual nations and able to remain stable in the long run, removing the inherent deficiencies caused by using credit-based national currencies”.
But the first step, he said, would be creating the capacity for trading in domestic e-currencies and bypassing intermediate currencies like the dollar.
The PBOC released the e-Yuan in April, 2021. Public servants who elected to be paid in the traceable e-currency were celebrated for their commitment to transparency and the wild rumpus began.
Russia, China and BIS, the Bank for International Settlements, were development partners with Hong Kong as their headquarters. Thailand has been paying UAE for its oil imports in e-baht for two years, and UAE oil exporters get paid in e-dirham. In 3 seconds, for 11¢. BRICS will start using the platform on January 1, I expect.
The reserve currency will probably wait until 2030.
It's a much bigger deal, for it means the end of the dollar's exorbitant privilege and, therefore, the end of the USA as we know and love it.
I wonder if the US would retaliate by calling the new BRICS currency a financial force majeure? Allowing the US and a lot of the west to declare all outstanding derivatives null and void.
That would get the West off the hook for about a bazillion dollars at last count. Then nothing left to do but declare the bonds held by China null and void as well using the same rationale.
Then, Voila! The US is nearly debt free! How exciting!! What would come next is the real question....
@Frances Lynch
"I wonder if"...
Quick litmus test: Would Blackrock, The Goldman-Sachs et alia be better off? If so, affirmative.
The US acts on the guidance of such powers, so anything it does would likely be pre-approved by them.
My guess is they would be in on it, so yes.
Notice that China keeps reducing its US bond holdings slowly but surely. It hints at something.
Ya pretty obvious, who the hell wants to help the US fund a war against itself? 🤪
As Thomas Massie inadvertently stated "every Congressman has an Ape-Ax guy".
Insidiously, in the dark shadows and secure communications, the U.S. has been chemically castrated.
Odd thing in the United States Capitol D.C. that no U.S. Congressman has an "American Guy" whispering in his ear.
Ah an Israel focus guy-- my comment was about China
China couldn't believe the fable that (paraphrasing) Uncle Sam would fund the building of the rope to hang himself.
Now the question is, does China's rope quality meet the neck snapping test.
I think their concern is two fold:
The massive US debt is unlikely ever to be repaid by the US nor will the US be able to keep current with the interest payment and, t
the US has decided China is its new target. Why would you hold debt of someone who is hell bent on trying to kill you?
The other option for declaring force majeure is world war, which is what the US is working towards.
Yes, that would work as well. And there is more profit to be had, for war is the most profitable "industry" there is.
excellent point
I dont think anyone knows what happens when Uncle Schmuel throws all the toys out of the pram….
Same deal when you leave a dirty diaper on a baby for days.
Uncle Fester enters the chat...
The biggest problem when he does that is he doesn't just throw the toys, he throws the toys AT someone(s).
High explosive toys!!
Well, if they do that, who will buy government bonds from the FED anymore? How will you print money after that? If you do that, you have to implement some other instruments, for example an CDBC, then it gets interesting, because imho, most old people and many lets call them libertarians won't accept this new currency and probably will change to Cryptocurrencies, Silver or Gold or some form of exchange trade economy. That will break the neck of this new construct in a very short time. There is no public consensus for doing that, the Elites will even loose more after that. Its then the collapse of the old Elites, even if they have diversified enough, which they have since 2008, they will loose power big time, because a large faction of them, lives off of the money printing spiel.
The Fed would now be debt free, might not see a need to sell bonds anymore.
Crashing a currency doesn't end the use of a currency internally, it just means inflation is through the roof at home, and the currency is near worthless abroad. But I think they would not continue to use the dollar anywhere.
I think they would go the same route that Roosevelt did, remember he shut all the banks, then ONLY reopened the banks that were tied to the central banks.
ALL the independent banks, most in the south and mid-west were never allowed to reopen, all their depositors lost they money, the banks that took over their banks got their cash. AND the people were still on the hook for their mortgages which they now owed to the same big banks that took over the closed independents.
Soil erosion wasn't the only cause of the Dust Bowl and the Great Depression, not by a long shot. Roosevelt was NOT a nice guy.
Now today, using the same tactics to reduce people to poverty they could put in not a new currency for citizens but a debit card tied to a social score....you know the rest.
Corporations would use a CDBC as their currency. They would see their cash converted into CDBCs so they would lose nothing. But they would be enslaved as well just by a different method and be held to a credit score set up as well.
No ‘CBDC's’?
“ . . . . That is, instead of the 144TWh per year used by Bitcoin, CBDCs would consume some 7,056TWh – more than three times the UK’s total 2019 energy consumption of 2,185TWh… In an increasingly energy-constrained global economy, it should – but likely won’t – be clear that programmable CBDCs are a non-starter… a solution looking for a problem to solve indeed! “?
https://consciousnessofsheep.co.uk/2023/02/08/cbdc-bait-and-switch/?fbclid=IwAR0SiB_yriPZCOiFTmwAn8rv2Fz9IuvxOYTTRF6i2JCun21ow5JQqJQTGig
CBDC's for inter country transactions only
Our grubby Aristocracy has made it clear that all the energy in the World will be needed to operate their Data/Cloud Centers where they can record your every thought and utterance.
The Data Center(s) Burning will make the old days of book burning look like a child's party.
I think AI's energy needs will dwarf that of digital currencies. Note the recent flurry of interest, activity and articles promoting a return to building nuclear energy facilities. Microsoft, for example, promising to buy ALL the power a restored Three Mile Island can produce. Really the only thing in the way of expanding nuclear power is all the volumes of regulations that take several years to comply with. Probably a lot of those regulations do not even apply to the newest nuke plant technologies. However, with a continued Biden-Harris admin, nothing will be done in that regard. Nothing positive anyway.
Geez 🙄 and nothing has changed since 2009??
If the info is correct then we should immediately pilling up gold bar then before it's all gone.
@Richard Gusporta
If the info is correct, then we should be looking into moving our ass onto enough acreage to feed our families & located far enough away from large cities that starving people can't walk up to our door before keeling over.
Yeah, no problem. Maybe you should look into the prices of acreage and developing it first.
@Scott
Presently about $5,000/acre for agricultural land around where I'm sitting (on 75 acres of same). Development cost is up to you-
BUT!
Keep at it for 5 years in the Russian far East & the acreage (Hectarage?) is free! Get a group of 20 people/families to take their "Hectare law" allotments together and the government will provide basic infrastructure (clear a roadway and run electric service). And they have dropped the requirement to speak/read Russian IF you claim to be a political/ideological refugee?
Downsides include: Siberian tiger & brown bear may visit. Far Eastern Russian WINTER, makes MN seem semi tropical. Literally at the ass end of nowhere.
Another huge problem is the Russian mafia and crime gangs intimidating people for protection money as one example.
@Denis
Not much of that in the far East, Mafia needs a higher population density to be profitable.
The gold will never be gone: supply and demand forces 😉
Neither will fossil fuels. The only change would be extraction costs. The cheap extraction has been done. The solutions the alternative energy crowd is pushing is far too expensive and inefficient to drive a modern economy and still requires fossil fuels to run it and for back up when the wind doesn't blow and the sun doesn't shine. It's called Idiocracy. We are in an era of the great scramble for scarce resources. This is the oldest axiom of economics much like guns and butter and the West is opting for guns.
Good complement to my comment, Cosmo.
I have come a long way in my appreciation of what society is all about. I don't want to put a %-age on it, but a lot, a heck of a lot, we have been taught and other wise told is bunk, BS, lies.
Oil, like metals and minerals, does not run out, only the extraction costs change: up as reserves decline, down as new technology allows us to extract what was hitherto uneconomic or became uneconomic.
In a similar vein is the narrative about Climate Change, which is as old as Mother Earth, and the climate will continue to change. And it is certainly NOT the carbon dioxide that is driving it; in fact, we are almost at an all time low if you look at it over the past 600 million years – https://youtu.be/A24fWmNA6lM.
However, man does have an influence on climate, but through a different, nefarious route: geoengineering, as witnessed by those white crisscrossing streaks in the sky. Bill Gates loves it as it reduces the Sun's brightness.
There are many more such topics, some related to Klaws Schwab's Great Reset, others are not.
We are all manipulated, and I only started to find out over the past 11 years since my retirement.
@Ngungu
Atmospheric concentration of methane is up 160% since the start of the industrial revolution. Methane has about 30X the effect as CO2 in trapping solar radiation as heat, it is estimated that still relatively tiny % of methane is responsible for about 1/4 of the total anthropogenic warning effects. Yet the legacy mass media seldom browbeats & belabors us over methane? I wonder why.
BTW, this place IS getting hotter and the oceans are rising, no matter what you want to believe about causes.
> BTW, this place IS getting hotter and the oceans are rising, no matter what you want to believe about causes.
Sure Billy boy, you can ignore the causes and fix it the way the Climate Change Liars want you to fix it, thus helping to improve their already fat bank balances, but not the climate. Keep up the good work!
Cosmo; Note how Russia never backed off on nuclear power. Kinda like the wisdom of not sending all their manufacturing infrastructure to China for scrap or reuse. Go to Youngstown Ohio and find the blast furnaces that fueled ww2. You might find a concrete slab intact. The gear and the knowledge base. Gone! Those dears couldn't cobble together a rainbow flag.
Observed while watching Russia in Syria around 2017. Every day that passes the West gets weaker and the Rest figure out how to survive. Remember the Assad must go meme? Now on the other hand, if he had put on a skirt and some makeup, his mom probably would have killed him.
The petro dollar is in a long slow death spin. The rest want us to land softly, too bad our leaders can only play chicken.
I'm going to bet you an old fashioned paper dollar that the Unit isn't coming out later this month.
I'll see your bet, backing my anty with canned food or shotgun shells, your choice.
He'll need to buy the shotgun first.
What?! You dont have 5?
@Denis
I don't have much use for a shotgun, as Quigley said about pistols.
The Euro was birthed, backed by nothing, implied to be backed by Germany, so nothing is impossible.
True, but it took more than a month of planning.
Who is going to be the issuing central bank for the "Unit" or similar BRICs currency?
Not being a fly on the wall, can't answer your question.
But the BRICs have been at this for years.
Will they succeed?
If it is a common trading "currency" arrangement between BRICS member, then yes, most likely.
When Charles DeGaulle forced Nixon to depeg the USD from gold, it was the first crack in the dam. And here we are. An untethered (to reality) exorbitant privilege abused by the DC WarMongers, drunk on their hubris.
Yes. I've long thought that this next summit is of extreme importance to BRICS and in particular, China and Russia.
Just my theory, but I suspect Russia "asking" Iran not to retaliate against Israel was all about preventing a major regional war, which could undermine the summit.
To me Kazan is of more importance to the corrupt vaudeville aka the US "election".
Such a scenario (a gold backed BRICS currency unit) also consistent with the unusual hoarding of gold by major BRICS actors in the last 2 years.
If I'm right, expect the next weeks to October 22 to be extremely volatile and dangerous ones. The US will do everything they can to stop that summit.
@Scipio
What happened to your African anus?
(Edit)
AFRICANUS. Damned auto fill.
That's someone else Billy. I've always busy been Scipio.
Billy boy often tries to play the smart alec, which then backfires and he thus makes a fool of himself. Oh well, Billy boy the 🤡
Never go Full ClownWorld?
@ngungu
Don't take my texts serious. Take them how your ex took you, as a joke.
The problem, Billy boy, is that I don't have an ex, so I will take your texts seriously for what they are: pure drivel, BS. Keep up the entertainment, Billy boy, that's all you can do.
Good points.
BRICS will introduce a new international payments mechanism, with a medium of exchange something other than the USD, yes. But not "this month" or even next month.
It takes time for all trading partners to establish reserves in the new medium before the equivalent of the SWIFT system can go live. IMHO it's not as difficult as some experts allege ("years"), but it isn't as easy as just announcing a new unit, either. My semi-informed guess would be something like 6 months to a year from now.
You say "Under such a scenario I would expect the USD to decline slowly and then "suddenly". That would only work if the US stopped taking its own dollar for foreign purchases. 350 million plus fairly affluent (world standards) consumers talk, BS walks.
Ah gold bugs🙄 Think why the BRICS (wisely) have only 40% gold backing of the UNIT? Gold is a safe haven NOT a currency. All power to BRICS --love them, breaking the chains of trade slavery etc. They can teach us all something. Maybe even some people basic finance/economics
You say " Could it be the catalyst that propels gold prices to sustain its upward trajectory?
"You say "Under such a scenario I would expect the USD to decline slowly and then "suddenly". That would only work if the US stopped taking its own dollar for foreign purchases."
Or if the United States suffered a sovereign debt default.
Yes and how many times has that happened?- never. How many times the UK, France, etc.-- many.
..This is long overdue.. As an African I ask why must African countries for instance, trade in currencies they don't have, or have no say over in the first place? I know other countries are in the same boat.. This is one big decades-old failure on the part of African elites and liberation stalwarts..
The dollar could possibly get weaker? It's already moribund.
OMG! Your actually analyzing and using easily faked public sat images. Does one really believe in the garbage that can be manipulated just as easily as your daily dosage of news from CNN. Com'on!?
you're free to publish your own "real" sat images in rebuttal, friend
ReynMeLi, is a problem worth discussing. Do CNN and legacy media manipulate ? Yes. Can CNN and legacy media lie directly, e.g. manipulate public sat images? No.
Why? They will be exposed, and their reliability would sink lower until it disappears completely.
Outright lies are used infrequently, sparingly. Manipulation is done through bias, shifting accent,
Clouds covering bases, yes. Manipulating actual images, no, - only if officially supplied by Israel
I disagree. They have been "exposed" lying outright countless times, yet most of their audience couldn't care less. Lying is the MSM's main line of business, they are not coy with it. They wouldn't think twice about altering images, reliability be damned, especially for the overriding sake of Israel---guess who owns these media.
First impressions rule.
It is called marketing in the West, was called propaganda in communist countries, but is the same art, influencing populations through media.
The same principles that govern selling CocaCola govern selling political choices. It is subliminal, mainly influencing emotions, bellow the level of consciousness.
Logic is not the most important part, neither the truth.
Manipulation is on another level, choosing the news, and presenting it.
Edwuard Bernays enters the chat….
If they sing the Company Song, with enthusiasm, then they can collect their paychecks.
The MSM audience want to be lied to, and would be offended if the MSM were to suddenly start telling the truth.
Alt-media, BTW, is similar, but the audience wants to hear a different set of lies.
Er, remember the fake under fire report from Iraq with the office plants?
@ReynMeLo
Not owning any spy satellites really sux, all you can do is look at what is put out by those satellite owners of multiple competing interests and try to interpret their BS.
Hasbara
In the words of CIA director William Casey: “We’ll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American people believes is false.”
Belly on up to the bar Reyn m’Man! Now that unit 8200 has shaken off the chills you can hock your wares!!
Tell us all how it really is.
Please refer us to ANY previous article where Simplicus intentionally lied to or misled us. His accuracy from the begining gets him the benefit of the doubt every time as far as I'm concerned. How many times has he been wrong? Please provided some examples.
Wait, are you a Disney Star Wars self-shipper? I bet furries look down on you.
Iran's strikes didn't deter the zionists one bit. If anything their attacks are worse. They even cooked a Russian airfield/warehouse in Syria. Will Russia, or anyone do anything about it?
They hit one warehouse. Your schtik is old.
Jerm is a Zionist germ. A troll, a propaganda repeater and a total ZioNAZI cunt.
So he might not be a nice person?
Dunno, lol. Many ignorant people are nice. But I actually think he's a troll and therefore knows better. So maybe not nice. Nice people don't set out to deceive.....
Yet it pains him to have to write his schtick.
I imagine that nearby missile impact really spooked them. Not the uptick in ferocity displayed by the hasbara workers.
I understand that yesterday Israel struck a Russian ammo depot and Ukraine hit a nuclear reactor deep in Russia, but no radiation leak. This shows these are the same wars and the West wants war and Israel needs war.
I heard that too, and once the dust settled both claims appear to have been exaggerated
Hey, I saw videos and pics... I heard people talk about the nuclear reactor deep in Russian. I heard and saw a gas platform offshore go up in flames. I saw the box in the field that started Simplicius' essay explode with an exact hit. There is much more happening in the field and in reality that the Western media is not covering, and that is a problem. I never expected the number or the efficacy of this attack, but it is so sensitive, no one wants to talk about it lest WWIII. Watch Dr. Strangelove lately? Great movie.
Well it looks like Isreal is, literally done for now and forever, they do not have any other solution than carry out more wars. And the worst they can do is to finally pulling out their last own card, by announcing their Messiah is here in the Jerusalem already. However, the problem with such move is that, it will make the Muslim in whole Arabia up to the mountain of Pasthunistan going ecstatic, because this is also what they have been longing for, put the final blow to the Zionist Isreal!
indeed and when the western world realises that said "messiah" is best described as "anti-christ" they might finally wake up..
The current program in the insanity of the "jew" is to establish a sufficient area for the "moschiach ben david" aka "dajjal" or false prophet aka "anti-christ" to rest its ugly butt circa 2027, thus if things continue this is just the begining...
If, If the majority of the world realised that the "jew" is attempting to raise an actual demonic entity in physical form this would all be over... pronto..
However circa 150 million rabid zionist fundamental christian usefull idiots in the world`s largest illegaly occupied territory keep backing those that seek their destruction (we are all amalek).
Perhaps, just maybe the Obama camps solution to what is now rapidly appearing to be the compromise/take over of one of the world largest military forces is to pull the plug on what feeds it....?
As they said "leave the world behind" as sponsored by barrack and "big mike"...
If this is the case, whilst being preferable to all out armageddon it puts entire swathes of the world back into the middle ages.
If current reports re the goings on in the areas affected by the hurricane "helene" are anything to go by the good will of humans is short lived and only the strong survive, such contrast from our formerly comfy existences?
When considering "satanism" and its now overtly obvious theatre affecting All of Our Lives its pertinent to understand that those who orchestrated pushing the flase narrative of "one true god" over the last 2000 years did so by consigning All the Old Gods into one convenient parcel to be feared (some justifiably) and loathed, when in reality the "one true god" was merely one of the same but with..., "aspirations"
Its time for humanity to lay this outmoded fucked up way of thinking to the trash once and for all, "yahweh/jehovah" the one who was once called "janus" aka "the two faced god".
"...world`s largest illegaly (sic) occupied territory..." How so? Please explain.
In contravention of numerous treaties with Indian tribes, still on record in the LoC. Acc. the US constitution, ratified treaties are law of the land on par with the constitution itself, so yes, illegally.
What does LoC. Acc. mean? Your statement is incorrect:
This from the Indian affairs website: "Between 1778, when the first treaty was made with the Delawares, to 1871, when Congress ended the treaty-making period, the United States Senate ratified 370 treaties. At least 45 others were negotiated with tribes but were never ratified by the Senate.
The treaties that were made often contain commitments that have either been fulfilled or subsequently superseded by Congressional legislation."
According to the national archives, there were 313,712 Native Americans resident in the USA in 1870. There are currently 4.9 million American Indians resident in the USA. The Native American pop in this country is prospering and growing. Yes there are problems (same as anglos and african americans etc.) (see Fentanyl, Meth, crack etc...) but vast majority are patriotic Americans first and American Indians next. They are well assimilated, and except for a few radicals (very few) they do not consider the USA illegal in any way. Ask me how I know...
Well, yeah, after 90% of the Americas' native population was wiped out by wars and sickness. Plenty of estimates that there were a LOT more than 4.9M when Cristobal arrived. So, what's your point?
You pretend to simp for the American Indians! LOL! They know you don't care for them and are only trying to discredit THEIR country. They are against propaganda put forth by people like you! Your propaganda has ZERO support amongst the AMINDIANS. AMINDIANS are by and large PROUD citizens of the USA. Ask me how I know...
Check the Nez Perce - honor the veterans of their fight against the US Army and those who served in it and other branches of the US military...
https://www.nezperce.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Veterans-2018.pdf
Occupied by the JEW - the USA is ZOG.
Naw, the USA is WAY more complicated and nuanced than you can comprehend. Zog is just NY and Wash DC. East coast, right up on the water. Everyone else has different ideas. You will see soon...
what will we see soon?
That everyone else (in the USA) has different ideas...
This is your response to all of the data I just dropped? You can't refute one point? LOL! The one who resorts to ad hominem first is the loser by definition! LOL! :D
what data? the indians were jus sub-human fauna - now they drink shampoo and lean their land to jews to run casinos. They are fortunate they were not exterminated as they should have been.
You think AMINDIANS are sub-human fauna? Shame on you sir! If I was in your presence and you said something like that, I would consider those fighting words...
None so blind as those who will not see...
read this writer, he will explain it in full:
https://jeanbaptisteguillory.substack.com/
thats not to infer laziness, but merely reference of which this man has made his lifes mission, good reading for those with open minds
Some consider Jared Kushner to be that Moshiach.
Israel/ (US participation included) is an ant attacking a much larger spider!
Joe Biden is Israel's Messiah, along with his bride FrankenKamala.
Gott must have a dark sense of humor about his chosen.
No, they'll do what they did in Iraq and Libya, which is to get their American thug and its loyal vassals to do the fighting for them.
“ For instance, some clearly came down extremely fast, at near hypersonic speeds, as I highlighted last time, while many others appear to come down at fairly middling speeds.”
Video where one rocket come faster than others (you post video in previous article) is because that rocket is much closer to the viewer than other three rockets that are far away (so they seems slower)!
No dude.... Both are mistaken. Watch and learn about Iran's ballistic missile technology.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9BMBDw724EI
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N9zzKwIBzas
You can make a point without ad hominem which takes away from a good point you make..
Agreed.... less demeaning it is.
I like how the missiles are called ,Fatter' . "We have a new missile for you O Supreme Leader" "Oh what is it called and is it pointy?" "Yes Supreme Leader the most pointy, but we don't have a name yet, we hoped you could enlighten us" "Call it Fattah! It is a clever play on words. These Americans obviously respect the Fat and Israel is like an American ranch in our deserts" "Yes o supreme leader. The Fatter rocket it shall be. Your wisdom knowd no bounds etc etc"
i like this Mr Frank, but fatah is pronounced like fet as in vet and tah as in the ta in tada - the word Fattah is victory in arabic, but your way with words is really cool :)
You cite Patarames' YouTube. Good stuff. Find his X account excellent for technical stuff as things unfold. Also, really like MenchOsint's X for following current Hezbollah Ops. Here are links for all who might be interested. https://x.com/Pataramesh. https://x.com/MenchOsint
Iran could have still used missiles of varying speed. Both statements can be true
Well, we know for a fact Iran utilizes at least three different types of MaRVS (maneuverable re-entry vehicles).
1. Hypersonic glider (Fattah-2)
2. Regular detached warhead with fin control maneuver (Kheibar Shekan)
3. Warhead with its own thrust engine (Fattah-1)
Furthermore there is regular conical and triconic MaRV design. Triconic has more stability for terminal maneuvers, but produces more drag and can be slower.
The glider just glides, bleeding velocity via drag. The self-propelling thrust engine can maintain active thrust and higher terminal speed.
In short, as you can see there are half a dozen or more velocity profiles, and combinations thereof (between the thrust/shape of MaRV etc.) which means it's quite feasible that they all have varying re-entry/terminal velocities.
(Actually there's even way more to it, including FOBs vs. ballistic arc trajectory (or shallow vs. high arc) which determines terminal speed, but that's getting in the weeds)
These names are so cool. Fatter 1 Fatter 2 and the Khaybar Shakin'. They'll be launching Funky Medinas next.
why are zio's always so annoying and arrogant? mother's side? father's? both sides? laugh. בתחבולות תעשה לך מלחמה
Chosen people mythology inculcated from birth, apparently
Smug. Like their special kosher Rabbit's Foot is going to protect them from their dirty deeds.
Don't worry I am far from a zionist and just actually really thought the names were cool. Better than pompous sounding Minuteman and what not. I really do think the Brits should have named that warship Boaty McBoatFace
Like the ancient Greeks etching "ouch" into their sling shot.
Whole new meaning to "let's do up a fatty" 😁
And also to "let's make a blunt" given they start off so pointy :-)
again mr Frank, i love your way with words, must be of english or british stock i suppose - please prove me correct? anyways , some more informaion on islamic words, Kheibar or khaybar is actually a town just north of medina in saudi arabia, in islamic history, the 3 jewish tribes of medinah did treason like 4 times against all the treaties with the prophet and were exiled to khayber, then in khayber, they broke more treaties and were eventually conquered, but they being very hard working and smart, kept thier own lands on a land tneure system with the prophet. afther the prophets death and then the conquest of jerusalem by Omar and Khalid, the arab muslims found no jews in jerusalem and hence ordered about 80 jewish clans from khayber to resettle in jerusalem - os in essence it was the muslims and the arabs which brought the jews back to jerusalem after the romans kicked them out - funny hey that the iranians named a missile with that towns name
Thanks for that. I enjoy learning new things. Tribes, history, identity, in-group, out-group, social behaviour of humans, it’s all fascinating. I can understand that there are historical perceptions, but I feel that the real problem we have had the last few decades is a malevolent West that keeps the Middle East in a state of tension and friction and exploits the divisions there and amplifies them. I think with luck we will have a new USA beginning with Trump , where the USA reigns in its neocon extremists and military expansionists, and starts to focus on domestic production. I see it as a great positive that Saudi Arabia and Iran are starting to mend their relationship, and I wish nothing but the best for all the people of that region, and hope that a brighter, positive future can be achieved without being a football for foreign superpowers. I think solar energy and technology is one way forward but it needs stability and peace. Israel is without doubt the aggressor at this time, but I see this as partially a personal project of Netanyahu’s with respect to his political decline.
i can blame the west to be honest, see, I am a south african, and from here in SA, we have a saying, follow the money in polictis and in the western world, the looby groups and the deep states of each western country contorl the narratives. So these are your MIC, big pharma, legacy media, finance houses, zionist and armenian lobby groups, intelligence groups and they as a tribe are very pro war party for and on behalf of israel - it is what it is, the strong do what they must and the weak must perservere and show the world their hypocrasy. In my country, we have an opposiion party called the Democratic alliance and they are funded a lot by pro Zionists groups, but they have so many Muslims in their party, that they all boycotted the leadership and if it was not for the uselessness of the anc, they the DA would have lost even more. I think the pro Zionist parties spent like over 10million SD on these last elections in south afria for no showing at the polls, what a waste of money - could have been put to show much better use and that is the problem with lobby groups, the return of investments on this dead horse aka the unconditional support of Israel has not reached a level yet, where its bankrupting them...as long as this exists...there will be no foreign policy change, not with trump or anyone else...I mean, other than double crossing the USA with the Islamic revolution in iran around 1980 - why is iran an enemy - same goes for so many other countries - there is no logical sense to go to war with them
Follow the money?
No. Arrest those who counterfeit money, via Public Debt, using your personal guarantee on their loans.
Trump has to reign in Neocons, AIPAC, DoJ, FBI, CIA, Brits, WHO, small Z, the Internet Monopolies, the Controlled Media, while exterminating the bugs infested in D.C.
But he could start by telling Jared to commit Seppukku.
Lol! Was just thinking that. Kheibar Shekan, like some prepubescent macho fantasy.
My video edit of the strike clearly shows the diff... and not just by perspective. It's titled "Iran Strike on Airbases October 1st" on the Duran main page. regards
I could see how purposely mixing warheads with different characteristics could play further hell with air defense systems and algorithms.
So there are some more information beside these videos of strikes?
How can you know for fact that Iran use three different type of MaRVS? Only from online videos od strikes?!?
The Israeli play is a rinse&repeat of the 2001 neo-con playbook, where 9/11 was levered into wars of choice against Afghanistan, Iraq, War On Terror, etc. Bush Jr and his buddies had political capital and spent it for 6 years
The same is happening now. Bibi has 7/10 capital, and I'd say a good 65% of the political class in the US are clapping seals who will literally anything he says. So, what's his wish list? Well, lets look around - Lebanon is a failed state, Syria is a very weak country, Jordan and Egypt are castrated, Saudi/UAE and the other Gulf states have moved on - Only Iran stands as a regional adversary with a real military. But the Israelis know that Iran cannot be defeated in a 1-1 fight; there are entire countries in between and an air campaign will do limited damage. What they need is the US to step in, and fight Iran directly. Can the US defeat Iran militarily? Probably yes - at great, great cost. Which the Israelis are willing to make them pay.
My guess is the Israelis are trying their best now to arrange a significant US casualty event (20+ KIA) in the Middle East somewhere, as that would galvanize DC and US public opinion. Sinking a US vessel would be my best bet as most of the evidence would be destroyed. Hitting a US base would leave too many bomb fragments and guidance parts lying around.
Would fit with the anti-Trump party's desire to scupper the upcoming election too.
Trump, for all his rhetoric, is smart enough to tell the Joint Chiefs to suck wind and not actually send thousands of American boys to their deaths. Harris will sign off like she is ordering coffee
oh come on... zion don will do what ever his likud masters tell him
Trump and smart is a contradiction in terms, an impossibility. As a newly converted Jew he'll be proud to show he is a good one, a real one.
A billionaire who has won the US presidency, or a random deluded guy on the internet? Gosh tough choice. Go touch grass or something
Sorry to hurt your sensitivities. Good luck getting your man into the WH, perhaps you can persuade the Dems not to rig the elections this time. 🤣
Helluva a choice, but Trump is the least dangerous pick.
Do you really, really think 4 more years of an Obama 4th term will make the world a better place?
Or...maybe that is the plan.
Trump is as dumb as a box of hammers. Given that he's likely NEVER read a book
or studied history/geography, he'll do exactly what his ZOG minders tell him to do. A man of thin learning, he's totally reliant on the staff he assembles. (or is provided to him) Remember Bolton and Pompeo? Nice work there Don, draining the swamp. We'll have another, thanks. If he walks like a neo-con...talks like a neo-con...it's pretty likely he's a neo-con. While China and Russia have serious, competent leadership, we in the U$$A have these ridiculous clown car maroons.
First time you burn us shame on you...second time we are fugged, shame on us.
I was under the impression that the executive branch remains within pre-defined parameters, lest it succumb to the Kennedy treatment. But heck, I'm just a critical thinker, not an expert....
Spot on.
Occ
While your emotions have some truth, you have ZERO idea how to navigate the Cesspool called Washington, D.C.
Trump is a fat blustering moron and Harris is a soulless whore. I guess I'll vote for the blustering moron.
The faction behind Karmella might be considered the greater of two evils.
Better still, don't vote at all. By voting you give legitimacy to a corrupt, illegitimate system that is there to keep the plebs in a slave-like relationship. They don't care about the common man and woman, all they care about is their bank account and the interests of their donors – remember, there is no such thing as a free lunch.
Trump is weak, stupid and easily manipulated.
Harris is simply The Will To Power personified.
Your faith in Trump is touching.
Grasping at straws. But what else is there?
That's much like an argument from consequences.
Basically, we have two entrances to the slaughterhouse, but we are free to pick the left door or the right door, so we can't say we never were given a choice.....
US can't defeat Iran but cld do a hell of a lot of damage.
Iran is simply too big to be defeated by a naval power. Besides, it has 91 million people. Simply too big.
A lot of damage, sure. But one has to ask who will suffer more damage? When the strait of Hormuz is closed, its all over for the economies world wide.
OTOH, when it will have converted the genocidal sewer into a 20,000 km2 parking lot, there will be plenty of room for the oil sheikhs to park Mercedes S600's, AND the region will return to normalcy, to peace, after a century of Jew-instigated death and destruction.
It would be nice to see that classic piece of mediterranean shore restored....
How exactly could the US defeat Iran even at great cost? Iran is the size of western Europe desert, swamp and mountains. With a land border with Afghanistan, recent reports are that the Taliban are now restless sitting behind desks after years of fighting the west, the enemy of my enemy is my friend. Iran also shares a border across the Caspian with Russia, considering how the Russian MIC is churning out equipment they will need a market for those military equipment after they finish off Ukraine. Also, all those Russian soldiers, Chechens, South Osetians and Donbas Militia fighter who have known nothing but slaughter for a decade won't be easily integrated into Russian civil society. They would need somewhere to do what they have learned to do best. The US owe Russia hundreds of thousands of lives, Russia is going to eventually want to collect. So there are also numerous militia groups, radical extremist groups etc just eagerly waiting for a Western involvement in a conflict. This will not be a tiny Grenada or Panama or an isolated desert Iraq with only 15% of the Iraqi army fighting, it will be a real fight and the dogs are waiting.
2 scenarios really. Either an unfavorable peace like 1988, or a "victory" like how the north Vietnamese eventually won, at the cost of millions of their own and the destruction of half the country. American wars remain far flung affairs, and to my knowledge Iran can't bring the fight home
Well though the 9/11 scenario is still debatable. Is it not still a possibility especially if orchestrated by a major state actor or was that not home enough?
No, 9/11 was symbolic in the end
Symbolism or not, is it still not a possibility that can be much worse? Especially in the light of a war with a state actor.
Everything is possible, not gonna pretend I know one way or another. It's possible there are sleepers within the US ready to fly thousands of drones into critical targets. Or not.
see dancing Israels
There was an Industrial Giant, the U.S. in the 1930s to 1960s, then the Money Skimmers and Churners, insanely greedy and self-certain, killed the source of their wealth by outsourcing to cheap/slave labor.
Today's U.S./Dual Citizen captured state is a belligerent, mouthy skeleton of what it once was.
Always at the ready to compromise engineering (I give you the F35, and Boeing) yet never ready to compromise with other nations.
A bad recipe, indeed.
Col Macgregor claims there's a large Hezbollah presence in Mexico. Many of whom have already jumped the border?
The US doesn't fight wars to win, they fight them to cause destruction and make money!
the JewSA fights wars to keep the jew safe from the world that hates them for the chicken swinging sin merchants they are.
Iraq is the archetypical tank country: flat desert ideal for tracked and even 4WD movement, laid out all open to air surveillance and attack.
Iran is mostly mountains. Think Afghanistan, but with population on match with the US, modern developed science and industry and a well equipped, modern military. And a motivated population as inured to hardship as the Russians. And half a world away from the US.
"....ideal for tracked and even 4WD movement, laid out all open to air surveillance and attack."
Coarse sand is not the best environment for tracked vehicles. Not so good for their engines either. Bring lots of spare parts.
Not the only problem likely to be encountered either.
https://www.technologyreview.com/2004/11/01/232152/how-technology-failed-in-iraq/
The difference between Iraq and Iran as a military force is night and day. Iran is a peer level force whose members are, unlike the Iraqi military, well trained, better equipped and highly motivated with logistical chains that reach all the way to China and Russia.
First you have to get there though. Where would you assemble, and from where would you launch? Turkey? Don't think so. Saudi Arabia's not likely to cooperate, and the minute you set foot in Iraq you'd be attacked. Everywhere else is out of the question so a ground invasion seems like a complete non-starter to me.
I think this is distinct reality, however it may eventually unfold.
Once the scenario leaves "skirmish level" conflicts and the gloves are removed it will be imperative to strike hard, accurately and most of all: make it count. What is different now is that the ROW has had decades to prepare is unlikely to be caught on the back foot.
Well, Israel has some experience attacking U.S. Navy boats. All they need to do is paint "Iran" on the sides of their F35's.
Some truth to this, but Netanyahu has much more support in the US than you think.
How would the US defeat Iran from the air? You don't seriously think they can put boots on the ground?
They can do a lot of damage from the air, but so can Iran. And Israel has a population half the size of Tehran situated in relatively few enclaves. Most the country is desert. And of course the Palestinians won't be sitting on their hands. And neither will the resistance on the borders. A perfect storm is brewing. Could spiral out of control very quickly.
The colonial project known as Israel has gone off the deep end, taking advantage of a Washington controlled by puppets of the US MIC. The Israeli display of depravity in Gaza is unmatched. Israel is now doing to Lebanon what it did in Gaza. Sad times for everyone with a shred of empathy. Not, however, if you think that your particular tribe is superior and can do no wrong.
It can do no wrong because it has recourse to the HollowHoax narrative and the concomitant "anti-Semite" accusation most people are so scared of.
The only winning play is to pogrom the Jews. There is a reason we have a word in Western Civilization for taking our country back from Jews. It is an old word and your ancestors are heroes for punishing the Jews and fighting off their debt slavery. Pogromming Jews is as natural as warfare.
I'm very much doubting that M's head quarters was deliberately missed.
After all they've done to the Iranians over the years - this was a golden opportunity with too many reasons not to.
Iran succeeded in demonstrating
capability to destroy Israel‘s most formidable weapon, air force, as well as
discipline and precision causing no civilian deaths.
Hitting Mossad is the next step, it would be premature now.
We're all aware that they have the ability- there's no need to demonstrate of what they are capable of.
Do you think that the Israeli's would have stopped if the roles were reversed - You should know the answer to that one.
The Israeli's have been very busy assassinating one high profile figure after another - Most of the senior leaders of Hezbollah have been eliminated - they've even bombed 4 nations in a single day with complete impunity. - to take out M's head quarters in one fell swoop deals with the problem for once and for all.
I don't see the logic of going through all that trouble of actually having a golden opportunity and then deliberately miss the target just to send a message - no my friend - It was a miss.
I'll give you another reason why it would make sense not to miss the intended target.
Mossad had a mole in Iran - the Head of Iranian unit countering Mossad was an Israeli agent.
Early reports said it was obliterated. I give them more credence than the later reports. And has any proof emerged showing the MOSSAD rat's nest still intact?
You're quite right - Just found a report posted by Pravda which claims it was leveled, they even posted a video https://news-pravda.com/world/2024/10/01/768802.html
I also think it was a miss. Russian satellite over that region needs calibrating.
The next barrage may be on target.
Can’t imagine Iran doesn’t already have the bomb.
Yes the real lesson wrt the US invasion and occupation of Iraq since 2003 is that if a nation *really does* have nukes, it won't get attacked, invaded, and occupied by the former United States, or by its belligerent handler the Bullshit State, ie "Israel"...
The RF could have simply provided them with a few samples at any time of the past few decades. One might consider it prudent to do so given the circumstances.
How will Russia react to Trumps support against Iran.
Russia will support Iran over Trump until the end .
Why because the west is two faced and cant be trusted and also because the us started the war in ookraine and Russia will never forget yenta nuland and blinken in a hurry or any other skullcap in a hurry all that blood in Ookraine is their doing , once they get in government eveything collapses as its doing on cue.
Hence any escalation will be answered likewise .
I would keep a slow boil at israel for decades and take a hint from the Yezidis they hide their leaders in amongst the common people and put common people as their leaders for outsiders, makes sense having lifetime actors as leaders is what all the western leaders are , they are sock puppets for the puppet masters.
Another reason of the collapse in the west is that underlying the fabric of society was Christianity which to some extent held the countries together ,once the west went material nihilism , there is nothing to keep the society together and skin color became a defining characteristic or being gay, a satanist, or the state became the new god and which party you supported the new denomination. Worst of all the family unit was attacked a velvet cultural marxist revolution in the west occurred.
The Emperess wears no Clothes.
100%
Personally, I blame Thatcher and Reagan for discovering the strategy to make their jobs far easier by selling off government responsibilities to the private banks and corporations. A practise that was immediately embraced by all western governments because who doesn't like doing less and less, especially when their wages increase more and more?
As a consequence however, the people supposedly running the Western countries now no longer need to be skilled at actually running anything, because it is all handled by private banks and corporations!
Add to that the whole, very questionable, idea of global warming, which was seized upon by our bored governments as a way for them to look busy between elections, along with all the other social wokeness that they occupy their time with now.
Lately I am convinced the whole climate change thing was invented, or at least heavily promoted, by the private banks so they had a noble excuse to replace manufacturing and real productive economies with economies consisting of services paid for with debt, which is ultimately attached to house prices.
Yes but the Wall Street bankers are doing a horrible job. All they know is graft corruption and thievery which is why most are zio [fact - not a "trope"]
"Add to that the whole, very questionable, idea of global warming,"
If one even assumes that humans can mitigate "climate change" there's not the collective intelligence, discipline or consensus to effect change. If an attempt was actually made, all wars would stop and all disputes would be settled by talk and peaceful resolution. The MIC won't have that. The U$$A can't even fix health care or the border issues so we're supposed to believe they'll "fix the climate"?! Not very freakin' likely. The climate biz along with "the border" and "abortion" are talking points to trot out and massage in service of the election cycle. That Americans give two shits about the fate of a fetus ('scuse me-a BABY!) while murdering peeps around the world, gratuitously, does not pass the sniff test. Laughable, actually...
"Worst of all the family unit was attacked a velvet cultural marxist revolution in the west occurred." The fact of the attack of the family unit is right but....
I can tell you after such a sentense that you have never read a letter of Karl Marx work and simply repeating talking points that you have heard from somewhere/someone. Sorry to say so but as long as you and others in the west repeat that nonsense of your masters, you are doomed. Must be nice to feel such certainty in ignorance, it just helps no one.
Spot on. So many intelligent North Americans seem to be particularly affected by this massive blind spot - it irritatingly detracts from what is otherwise often insightful analysis
Although I cannot provide anything useful about this I will say that both "choices" for the executive branch in the USA are likely isreal-first.
"....I will say that both "choices" for the executive branch in the USA are likely isreal-first."
Likely?
Honestly, I suspect that Ukraine will continue to be the first priority, as Gaza and Lebanon can be kept on slow boil for the foreseeable future.
What I meant by that is that the factions supporting each of the candidates are likely to put the well being of said state before that of the USA.
As far as slow boil, perhaps but therre is tha matter of face saving after the most recent missile strike. If isreal does strike back, they are most likely going to receive another walloping, which they can ill-afford. Then there is the matter of their botched northward incursion....
Israel will strike back, but the question of whether Israel will receive "another whalloping" remains to be seen.
I got 5 on 'yes they will'
Full BDA won't be finished for several days. One thing that's certain is the intercept rate was very low, between 10-20%. The Iran-Saudi civil meeting was to be expected with them both in BRICS and the Outlaw US Empire once again reminding the world just how ugly its policy is always been.
I came across an interesting testimony I didn't know of: an eyewitness report of the very secret meeting between FDR and King Saud that can be read or downloaded here, https://archive.org/details/FDRMEETSIBNSAUD
The short talk between FDR and King Saud about the Jews and Palestine is very enlightening as is FDR's promise to the King. All that's relayed in the last fourth of the book. There's other info for historians and other interested people.
Helmer covered this about a year ago and he said that Roosevelt always knew that Israel would expel every Palestinian from Palestine.
The king asked why the Jews didn’t take German territory since they were the ones who assaulted the Jews.
Genocide and ethnic cleansing was always the plan.
Since the Pale of the Settlement region had historically been Ashkenazi since the time of Catherine the Great, it is esp remarkable that that geographic area was not selected for a Jewish homeland.
But the British Empire needed to clean up some business in the area stretching from what is today Pakistan to the Mediterranean, divvying up British Mandate areas, like Iraq, and French Mandate areas like Syria.
Unending volatility resulted.
It's believed by many that the Roosevelt family stems from the Dutch Rosenfelt or Rosenfeld line
The Delino in FDR was the source of family wealth. He made two fortunes in the opium trade.
Check out the movie "Valley of the Wolves Filistin" (2011) much better than "Escape from Afghanistan". Anyway the Palestine movie predicted precisely what's happening today, to a 'T', and what you wrote.
I just read it. A charming and fascinating account. So sad at all that has come to pass since then. So sad as well that the Saudis and other Arab states viewed the USA in 1945 as liberators or allies from European colonizers -- compared with the carnage and destruction the US has wrought.
By the time Col Eddy wrote this account in 1954, US had already couped Mossadegh in Iran and installed the Shah.
I think the nondollar ought to be called a Womanity. With pictures of great women and men. Like my mother will be a good unit of exchange....moving towards sovereignty, freedom, and community under God, not the fucking devil and death dealing dope head despots....
Like Victoria or Madeleine or Hillary or Kamala
Trump's biggest financial backers in 2016 were the Neocon Uber-Zionists Sheldon and Miriam Adelson. It was Adelson who wanted Trump "to nuke Iran back to the stone age". He did not get his wish, only a few symbolic items, like moving the US embassy to Jerusalem.
The Adelsons did not provide the same support in 2020, perhaps because Sheldon was dying, but more likely because Trump had not delivered value for donated money.
For the 2024 election cycle, Miriam Adelson has again pledged $100mm to Trump's campaign. One has to wonder what happens to Iran if Trump delivers on whatever he promised this time. Also, what happens to Trump if he doesn't deliver on his promises.
Interesting. MBS has allegedly stated in the not too distant past that he does not care if Palestinians die, and the whole issue of Palestine is of little concern to him. Now it seems he changes his tune. I'm sure he slowly comes to understand that the US / Israel hegemon in the region is about to change irrevocably. Best to be on the winning side (which for once is the righteous one).
On the Iranian strike, I am convinced that plenty of advanced notice was given - Iran playing nice, but not next time. I believe that Iran spared Mossad headquarters on purpose, as a kind of gentleman's final warning to let Israel know 'We can strike you and completely destroy you, and we let you go this time only. Next time we raise your cities to the ground.'
Yes pure theatre, but let us keep mindful of the huge number of casualties. When this is sorted out, one will expect tribunals to prosecute and punish those guilty of crimes against humanity / war crimes; from Israel, US, EU and the Ukraine conflicts.
No tribunal. And keep in mind that most formidable Israel weapon is US Israel lobby that controls US politicians more or less directly, by a phone call, and US public indirectly, through uS media.
Message that gets to US public is what is important.
🎯
No tribunals. I'm still waiting for the COVID ones. So, nope. No tribunals.
Thank you for this, but there are two important comments I'd like to make.
1) Iran's government is not identical to that of the United States. The president is NOT the commander-in-chief of the military. Therefore, it is not necessary for him to authorize stuff like the missile strike on Israel.
2) Similarly, the REAL commander-in-chief of the country is Seyyed Ali Hosseini Khamenei, more commonly known as Ayatollah Khamenei. His position is officially the "Supreme Leader" of Iran. And HE issued a fatwah (religious order) that banned Iran from ever using nuclear weapons.
This man's power literally cannot be abridged in Iran, so anyone telling you that Iran is working on some kind of nuclear weapon is lying to you. The fatwah specifically states that Iran can use nuclear ONLY for peaceful civilian purposes (i.e. energy generation).
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ali_Khamenei%27s_fatwa_against_nuclear_weapons
This fatwah is on his official website, so anyone telling you Iran is "working on a nuclear bomb" is full of shit.
On point! This has been the real story of Iran's nuclear program (purely civilian) for years. The nuke thing is Israeli fear-mongering. Fortunately, Iran doesn't need nukes. It can erase Israel conventionally, and can also crash the world's economy by shutting down the Middle East's oil. And you will never see deliberate mass civilian casualties inflicted by Iran (or Hezbollah for that matter). It may be incomprehensible in the West, but they act within a religious ethical framework.
Respectfully disagree. Consider "banned Iran from ever using nuclear weapons."
It's always risky to highlight details in translations, but "using" seems to be the operative word in the Fatwah. Developing nuclear weapons is not the same as using them. In fact, reading his commentary (in translation) on nuclear weapons highlights the terroristic, anti-civilian nature of them as the key reason a Muslim should not use them.
But that wouldn't apply at all to micronukes, like the US's Davy Crockett or 155mm nuclear artillery rounds, which had (or may still have if some have been mothballed) a yield of 1/10th of a kiloton or less. That's only 100 tons of TNT equivalent. The Fatwah also wouldn't apply to acquiring a complete mastery of nuclear weapons for defensive purposes, for example, to know exactly where in a complex chain of materials, manufacturing, and custody Iran might be able to strike with conventional war to negate Israel's nuclear arsenal.
Iran's enrichment programs also - according to Iran itself - have enriched uranium to levels that do not make sense for anything but weapons. Iran itself has declared enrichment to greater than 20%. That's far beyond what is necessary for peaceful power production or research. Yes, there are some research reactors that operate at weapons grade uranium enrichment, but those are rare and they use high enriched uranium mainly because it is available as a result of production for weapons. If weapons weren't being produced the same research aims could be achieved with low enriched uranium.
The one case where weapons grade enriched uranium makes sense to use in reactors is in military nuclear submarines, because it makes possible very compact reactors that fit within the confines of a sub and which can run a long time between refuelings. Such reactors are also used to power nuclear aircraft carriers. Carriers could easily use non-weapons grade reactors given their size but they use weapons grade since, again, it's already available as a result of production for weapons.
But Iran has no pretentions to being a world naval power. It doesn't have the resources or military need to maintain aircraft carriers of the scale they require nuclear power. Those are only required for would-be global hegemons who want to bully smaller, less developed countries with huge carriers that are sitting duck targets for developed countries.
Iran also has no military case for nuclear powered submarines. You only need those to maintain a nuclear-armed SLBM force or a hunter-killer force to attack SLBMs. Diesel-electric subs are actually more stealthy for regional attack operations not too far from a country's harbors. So talk of weapons grade enrichment for submarine reactors is not convincing.
What you do get from 20%+ enrichment is the ability to make a nuke immediately. You *can* make a nuke, albeit an inefficient one, using 20% enriched uranium. According to declassified US documents about half the uranium in the Hiroshima device was only 20% enriched. The other half was high enriched so the average enrichment was over 80%. The Hiroshima device is not much of a nuke by modern standards but it's enough to level Tel Aviv or Haifa.
What 20% enrichment also gets you is the ability to get to 90% enrichment within a week or two. Perhaps that's the source of the "week or two" breakout time span so often quoted.
Anyone who wants to read up on nuclear weapons can do so. It turns out there's a lot to read and it doesn't require much science education to grasp the essential points.
The first and most important point is that making simple nukes of Hiroshima class or up to about three or four times as strong is really easy. It's so easy that if you have the material, the uranium, it's almost impossible not to get it right. The Hiroshima bomb was a sawed off piece of a naval cannon that fired a cylinder of uranium with a hollow spot in the middle onto a target of uranium that filled the hollow spot. That's it. If you take two pieces of uranium where each is less than a critical mass and you put them together so together they are larger than a critical mass, it blows up. There's no rocket science to it at all. A nation like Iran that can develop ballistic missiles with hypersonic maneuverable glide warheads can easily do it.
Given the threats against it by Israel and the US, Iran would have to be insane not to have put together a few Hiroshima class devices, just in case. After all, a fatwah can be retracted or modified just as easily as it was made.
The second essential point about nukes is that *everybody* who has gone nuclear since the US, with the exception of South Africa, believed nukes were simple enough to do that they skipped primitive Hiroshima type devices and went straight to Nagasaki style implosion devices, which are more efficient: bigger bang using less uranium. Iran is far beyond the level of technology required for that, in particular being ahead of the USSR in the late 1940's, the UK and France when they created their first devices, and ahead of China, India, and Pakistan way back in the prior century.
In fact, the baseline level of science and technology in nuclear science and related fields like explosives, detonators, electronics and such is now so much greater than it was in the 1950's that everybody who has gone nuclear since China (with the exception of South Africa), including Israel, has gone straight to boosted devices that use thermonuclear reactions to boost the yield and to reduce the size of the warhead.
Given the grim calculus of deterrence, just having a few nukes doesn't get you much as a nation state. You have to have enough to be sure you can survive a US or Israeli first strike with enough nukes to inflict unacceptable damage on your attacker. For that you need an arsenal of 50 or more reasonably modern nukes, so that's what everybody goes for, North Korea being the most public example.
Given all the above I think Iran is just buying time until it has assembled a modern arsenal of 100+ boosted and/or thermonuclear warheads it can deliver covertly, by sea, by air using fighter bombers, or by ballistic missile. That's why it is eating crow publicly. It knows that after a short period of doing that it will be forever invincible.
I don't think the Fatwah is dishonest. What it says about nuclear weapons is true and it could reflect a genuine religious aspiration to never use nukes. But when it comes down to the survival of Iran and, even, of Islam, it could be modified to allow their use against a Satanic adversary which clearly is bent on allowing no place for Islam in some of Islam's holiest places.
Strong.
I too see the Fatwah as legit. A thought is that secular elements within Iran's leadership structure may take ownership, so to speak, of the nuclear doctrine & make policy decisions about the deployment of such weapons apart from the Supreme Leader--not to undermine the strength of the Fatwah or the dominion of the Supreme Leader but to work in tandem w/ both, fortifying them, against an anomalous adversary.
Superb comment, thank you.
A quality take, as expected. This is indeed where "a week" comes from. That said, I still think that Iran is conscious enough to allow itself to have nukes only after Israel hits it with their own. And a demonstration of reliable delivery means goes a long way to ensure it doesn't happen.
I second that … excellent fantastic comment!
Good knowledgeable and unbiased.
Thanks.
excellent - isn't the supreme leader supposed to make a statement on this issue? hopefully to announce that Iran has deployable nuclear weapons now?
Israel hasn't done that, so why should he? The essential people who need to know, the Israelis and the US, already know what Iran has.
Thanks
The question to me is does Iran have a secure enough space to put the final touches on a nuke that Israel's several dozen tons of bunker busting bombs can't damage? Furthermore, given the apparent broken security Hezbollah seems to have, is it not logical that Israeli agents are deeply embedded in Iranian military and leadership? Methinks they don't have two weeks time to prepare a nuke, they need it ready to go now.
It's essential to keep in mind the difference between interim, quick and very simple Hiroshima devices and more sophisticated everything else destined for a long term arsenal.
Respectfully, comments like this seem not to acknowledge that essential difference: "does Iran have a secure enough space to put the final touches on a nuke "
If you have sufficiently enriched uranium, all you need is a garage, almost anywhere, to build a simple nuke. There are no "final touches" of any sophistication required.
Years ago I read a book that included some commentary from a former US nuclear weapons designer who was crusading for stronger controls on proliferation. He had been criticizing US military help to Pakistan, which at the time was not yet a nuclear power, and he was saying the government's contention it could give billions to Pakistan without fear they would create nukes was nuts, that building a simple nuke was so easy there wasn't any real effort to it at all. Unfortunately, I don't remember the name of the book, but I think there is plenty of similar commentary out there.
Here's what he said was the bare minimum you need to build the simplest possible, primitive nuke: Get two chunks of enriched uranium that each are shaped like half of a small grapefruit or large orange, each of which weighs about 95% of a critical mass. Keep them apart from each other until you want an explosion.
To get ready for an explosion, unless you work out a lot and have strong arms, put them both on the edge of a table so you can shove them together rapidly without trying to carry one half in each arm. When you want an explosion, reach out with your left hand to one half and with your right hand to the other half, and as quickly as you can shove the two halves together to form a complete sphere. As you do that, quickly hunch down over the sphere to hug it with your body, pulling the completed sphere off the table into your hug so most of it is surrounded by your body.
The sphere of uranium will explode. You don't need any initiators, neutron sources or anything like that. You don't need any electronics or mechanical mechanisms or explosives. Just put the two halves together and they explode all on their own. You can't stop it from exploding.
It might start exploding before you get both halves fully together, or before you can hug it, or there's a very small chance you might be able to get the two halves together and hug the thing and still have time to wonder, "WTF? How come it didn't explode..." before a really big bang happens.
The complete sphere will be over two critical masses [critical mass depends on shape, and a mass of uranium which would be above a critical mass when shaped as a sphere will be significantly less than a critical mass when shaped as a hemisphere, so you can have two hemispheres each of which is less than one critical mass for their shape that will add up to more than two critical masses for a sphere], which will be enough to sustain an uncontrolled, explosive chain reaction just as soon as a stray neutron kicks it off. The water in your body will serve as a neutron reflector to help keep more neutrons in the sphere to help the reaction build quicker. Exactly what yield you get will depend on when that stray neutron starts the reaction, so you get a bell curve that's mostly between a low of about a twentieth of a kiloton to a high of several kilotons with a median value of a couple of kilotons.
If you want a bigger bang, get a local machine shop to make an outer shell in two halves to go around the uranium half-spheres, so when they are put together into a complete shell they are surrounded with a shell of metal about 2-3 centimeters (around an inch) thick. The shell will reflect neutrons, better than the water in your body, back into the reacting sphere to give it an extra kick as the chain reaction gets going. Beryllium works great, but if you don't have that you can use steel, or, better, tungsten.
If you don't want to die to set off the explosion by hand, you can rig up some simple device to put the two halves of uranium together for you. You could stick both halves on cylinders of steel and then put both of them in the opposite ends of a section of steel drainage pipe with some gunpower behind them. When the gunpowder is fired it shoves both halves at each other to form a complete sphere. The quicker you can do that, the better odds you have that a stray neutron won't come flying through to start the chain reaction before both halves of the uranium are put together.
During WWII the US had plenty of military gear so instead of using a section of steel drainage pipe it used a sawed off piece of naval cannon to shove one half the uranium into the other half. The US wanted to make sure the two halves of uranium got put together as fast as a naval cannon could fire a shell.
There are a few other tricks you can do to increase the yield, none of which are complicated. For example, instead of two chunks that are both half spheres you can make one of them like a sphere that has a big cylindrical section missing from the middle. When you shoot the missing cylinder into it that forms a complete sphere. That works because the critical mass for a sphere with a big chunk missing from the middle is bigger, and you can assemble a complete sphere with even three critical masses in it. The more critical masses it has when a stray neutron comes along, the faster the chain reaction builds and the bigger the blast before it all blows apart.
One last thing: you don't have to wait for a stray neutron to start the chain reaction. You can go down to your local WalMart and buy some smoke detectors that have a tiny Americium 241 radiation source (just a speck, so it's not controlled) in them. Buy about a hundred and carefully scrape off the tiny bit of Am241 source in them to make a bigger speck. Glue that to the middle of one half of your uranium and glue some beryllium foil (sold online) to the other half, so when the two uranium halves come together the Am241 is slammed into the beryllium foil. The alpha rays from the Am241 will strike beryllium nuclei and cause them to emit a shower of neutrons. For extra points, machine some roughness, like teeth and socket, into the middle of your uranium halves so the Am241 and the beryllium get well shredded and mixed together, to produce lots and lots of neutrons. Kicking off the chain reaction with lots of neutrons when both halves come together will help it build quicker. Do all the above and you can get your expected yield well above 10 kilotons, maybe even to 15 or 20 kilotons.
The point of all that is that none of it requires "final touches." You build a few simple pieces in advance in a one-car garage and then you put them together in a one-car garage in less than half hour. Heck, Iran could do all that in the middle of Tel Aviv, smuggling in the uranium just before use.
The Iranians have industrial facilities the size of entire towns underground. If Israel hasn't blown them up by now it's too late: they've already done their job producing the weapons grade uranium Iran needs.
Now, for more advanced devices that are part of a regular arsenal and are not ultra simple interim devices, it certainly becomes more difficult to protect from bunker busting bombs the labs and production facilities Iran needs for those. But Israel doesn't have enough bunker busters to get all those facilities if Iran distributes them (as it has). At some point, Israel's network of agents within Iran will end up helping Iran by telling Isael, "You're too late. They can nail Tel Aviv and the other cities no matter what you do."
One last thing: education has gotten so terrible in the West that if you write a few baby talk simple things about nuclear weapons you get a reaction like cave men being astonished by a cigarette lighter creating fire on demand. Let's not have any of that in the Lyceum. Anybody who's interested in discussing the very simple technical matters involved in whether and how quickly Iran or other countries can go nuclear can read up on all that online and learn way more about that than me. The only thing that's more amazing than how much you can learn by reading a few good books is how few Americans bother to do that.
Iran is, and has been, working on the capacity to build a nuclear bomb quickly. They have everything that they need to slap one together in a couple of weeks. And they've had that capability for years.
The logic is that any war would take more than a few weeks, and their capability to make one is functionally equivalent to a nuclear deterrent in the event of war, but without the geopolitical costs of being a rogue nuclear country. It's actually a very smart strategy.
De