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deletedFeb 25
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deletedFeb 26
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deletedFeb 26
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LOL troll alert.

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Yeah, sure, pal. Keep convincing yourself.

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That the only response is wishful thinking and dumb insult is quite telling.

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deletedFeb 26
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Wow, profound. Not to mention it says more about you than anyone else.

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lol.

37 plus years dealing with Russian leadership in some way shape or form in DoD.

They start with a mercenary army of rapists and then released a bunch of psychopaths on Ukrainian civilians.

They kidnapped children and took them into Russia after butchering their parents.

You figure it out.

Your support says all any civilized human needs to know about you -

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Yep Johns, woteva the troll states is the truth, the troll truth, and nothing but the troll truth!

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Any sane person with a similar military serivce record would never ever tarnish oneself with parroting ludcrious nonsencial claims that are repeated all around western MSM.

I assume you never tried to think things over more thoughtfully, aren't you?

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Look up Lord Posonby's Ten Commandments of Wartime Propaganda. You exhibit them.

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;)

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25 Feb 2025 The difference between West and the RF

Re. phone aps for the masses for the sighting of enemy drones

The subject came up during the People’s Front meeting held by President Putin with defence industry workers in Tula

Everything is discussed, from wages, to benefits, to the Family programs, to work, the Crimea, to workers’ ideas – from which it may be see that Putin is interested to learn what he does not know, and remedy the malfunctions or grievances he can

And this from a defence worker – all you need to know about how the East is different

‘Recently, we came across a similar app in Ukraine and found a very interesting feature. Unlike us, they first need to watch three commercials before sending a signal about a drone, and only then will they be able to report it. Yes, there are all sorts of casinos advertising and so on. Nightmare. A very significant difference, of course.”

https://karlof1.substack.com/p/meeting-with-active-participants

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That is interesting, do you know what network is carrying the phone signal, is it a Ukraine or US source? Sincere question.

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Sorry, no idea, but one might say - same difference

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I have to say, you are the best at analysis Simplicius. Thank you!

A Skeptic War Reports

https://askeptic.substack.com/p/war-reports-2024-02-24

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Feb 25·edited Feb 25

A smart Zionist looks at Ukraine and makes travel arrangements to flee Israel.

An intelligent Zionist looks at Ukraine and makes travel arrangements for a retreat where they can have a personal introspection of their beliefs, values, and ideology, realizing the error of their ways and walks away from Zionism like their hair is on fire.

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Many thanks sir. May your words of truth reach the ears of those that have not heard.

May the deceived awaken and rebuke the satanic western controllers.

Blessed be your work Simplicius.

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I read this on a fb page - usually has good information - but haven't heard anything else about it -

Regarding the loss of the second A-50U from the Russian Aerospace Forces and the urgent issue of “friendly fire” from air defense

On February 23, 2024, the Russian Aerospace Forces suffered the loss of an A-50U long-range radar detection aircraft, marking the second such loss this year.

📍Despite investigators already working with the S-400 air defense crew, who may have launched the A-50U, as well as the control center, there is still no final clarity, only various theories:

▪️ The Russian air defense crew engaged two enemy missiles launched from the Dnieper direction, failing to respond to the second. This explanation is likely to be included in the upcoming report since stories of “Patriot in Ambush” are commonly featured.

▪️ The Russian air defense crew may have been misled by enemy missiles, leading to accidental targeting of the A-50U. From a purely technical standpoint, it is impossible to rule out the deliberate launch of anti-aircraft missiles by the enemy (such as a modified S-200 Vega) towards our aircraft to provoke Russian air defense into returning fire.

▪️ The Russian air defense crew mistakenly identified the A-50U as an enemy target and engaged it (this explanation is more credible due to the presumption of guilt on the part of the Russian air defense and past incidents of misidentification).

📌The Russian Ministry of Defense is unlikely to provide an official explanation, despite the significance of losing the A-50U for the Russian Aerospace Forces and the Russian Armed Forces as a whole.

The truth may remain elusive: moreover, Ukrainians may benefit from attributing all our downed aircraft to their strikes and labeling the Russian air defense crossbow theory as “psychological operations by Russian military personnel unwilling to acknowledge Ukrainian involvement.”

❗️However, since the start of 2024, five aircraft have been lost (although one damaged IL-20 did land).

📍We will not baselessly claim that all of these losses were due to Russian air defense actions. For the Il-76 transporting Ukrainian prisoners of war, there are virtually no doubts.

The Russian defense department should address these questions if they choose to clarify who is responsible (most likely citing the Patriot air defense system as the cause).

❗️The issue of coordination between air defense and various types of aviation is not just overdue; it has now escalated to the point of criminal negligence, undermining the combat readiness of specific military branches and units. And evidently, no one is willing to address this problem by ignoring it.

We witnessed a similar situation with the Black Sea Fleet, which eventually suffered significant losses despite its initial bravado. Eventually, the decision was made to replace the commander and closely monitor the fleet's activities. But at what cost?

Rest in peace, fallen Russian soldiers.

High-resolution infographics

English version

also this was posted prior -

After Ukraine has shot down the $300 million Russian A-50 AWACS over the Sea of Azov, only 1 serviceable A-50 aircraft remains to the Russian Aerospace Forces.

Meanwhile, keep updated

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As I understand it, there has been no official MOD confirmation that the first A50 was lost, let alone this second one.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but as I recall credible evidence exists that the photos being spread by pro-Uke sources to prove the loss of the first A50 are fake/misleading.

As for this new alleged lost A50, there's virtually zero credible evidence that I have seen to back up the Uke claim. The images of the crash site don't appear to be consistent with avdestroyed A50, but are consistent with a destroyed UAV.

Again I'm not saying either incident didn't happen, but to date I'm not convinced by the evidence put forward, that either did.

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oh that's great news. yeah - makes sense. thank you

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Feb 25·edited Feb 25

yeah i havent seen any details on either A-50, im fairly sure its ukie bs. Pretty soon Russia will have lost ten more than they had to start with.

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Simp said the first A-50 was not lost at all, as another identical plane was seen literally the next day in the same place which means it's most likely the same one. Besides, the Russians never confirmed the first one was lost at all.

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I missed Simplicius talking about that....great news. thanks

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I've seen these reports as well, mostly over at Moon of Alabama from pro-ClownWorld types or posters well-known for their sixth-column sentiments. They're now crowing how Russia has only four A-50's left to defend the entire Russian Federation - the implication being that St. Petersburg, Moscow and other places - even east of the Urals - will soon be saturated with F-16 bombing runs from the white-knights of NATO. Thus the Great Rainbow Empire enjoys a nice 'Deus ex machina' finale for their New-Khazaria project. Ze can play a whole concerto with no hands in celebration.

Simplicius already debunked the earlier claim from last month of the A-50 down near the Sea of Azov. With the caveat that errors happen and things can now and again get through to cause damage in any war, this strikes me as more western-generated copium to help alleviate the pain of losing the massive fortress of Avdeyevka to "Putin's horde of orcs".

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I am hardly "pro-clown world" but I also don't believe in wishful thinking and dumb insult as a strategy.

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As a former army intel analyst, it's quite striking that they keep on characterizing Russian offensives as clunky, suicidal waves of humans and vehicles that only succeed because of the sheer weight of numbers and big explosions.

I suppose it's working though. In casual conversation with regular people that I interact with, their perception is that Russia is incompetent, and can only win through brutality.

I've gently tried to explain that the combat videos they've primarily been exposed to have been pushed to them because it's GoPro footage of Ukrainian special forces guys going up against Russian conscripts in trench warfare where there's no artillery raining down.

For those not aware, it means they're sending hardcore vets into low-activity sectors where neither side is staging an offensive or has any kind of troop buildup, so the trenches will be manned by conscripts, because one of the only things you can reliably ask a fresh out of boot conscript to do is please point their gun towards the enemy and pull the trigger if they see someone. Hell, maybe they'll even hit what they're aiming at, especially if they're shooting at conscripts from the other side.

Anyways, these videos will show 2-4 guys who are clearly very good vets, because their weapons give it away. They're the guys with M4s with Surefire RC2 cans, Eotech optics, and ACOGs. The Ukrainian conscripts they're assisting are the guys with AK-74s, some M16A2, all with iron sights. So the vets methodically wipe out Russian conscripts, and then the video gets pushed out as an average day in the life of a normal Ukrainian soldier. They don't want you to know that the brought the GoPro because it was supposed to be an exhibition video. Dangerous, to be sure, but an exhibition none the less.

So westerners interested in combat footage with English narration are going to be fed videos like that, and they don't understand they're watching the equivalent of Ukrainian special forces soldiers playing duck hunt with Russian conscripts in an unimportant area of the battlefield.

They're not going to be led towards videos of Russian glide bombs and artillery raining down on Ukrainian fighting positions. So they're not going to understand that the Russians have completely rebuilt their formations and tactics since the war began.

They're certainly not going to understand that even if the Ukrainian aid got passed tomorrow, that our weapon manufacturers are simply incapable of meeting the demand on their own.

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Kiev also stages fake combat scenes. Yermak is a former movie producer and Zelensky an entertainment industry player. Very early on they took over movie and TV production personnel and infrastructure to generate disinformation on a mass scale using fully professional resources. They're very good at it.

Russia, by the way, doesn't use "conscripts" in the special op. That term is really something that applies only to the "everybody serves at age 18" intake of young people, or at least those who don't qualify for one of the many exceptions and deferments. But those people don't get anywhere near the front: they serve a year far from the conflict in what is really an extended training experience. I think that's cool because almost all men as a result in Russian society have some military experience. Everybody knows how to handle a Kalashnikov, for example.

The 300,000 men mobilized in autumn of 2022 to serve in the special military op were all drawn from Russia's active military reserve and they all had prior combat experience. They're semi-volunteers in that active military reserve status is something they signed onto at one point or another, being willing to serve in case of need. They all received very extensive refresher training before getting anywhere near combat and most have been playing supporting roles unless they specifically volunteered for direct combat roles.

The point of the spear, the guys in the trenches or storming the enemy's trenches, are "contract" troops, really, volunteers, who have enlisted to serve in the army and who have volunteered or otherwise deliberately joined active combat groups. Anybody remotely near contact with actual Ukrainian go-Pro wearing troops is in that category, and they're not befuddled "conscripts" but hard core warriors.

So just the juxtaposition of "professional" Ukrainian troops in a propaganda video facing befuddled conscripts is a "tell" that fakery is likely going on. In fact, the usual case of Ukrainian propaganda is they take what Russia is doing and then they present it as something they're doing. In reality, the situation really is reversed, with very experienced, professional Russian troops clearing out trenches full of very inexperienced Ukrainian conscripts.

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The videos of Ukrainian special forces clearing trenches pretty clearly show young, untrained young men who match the description and tactics of conscripts.

Unless it's all scripted, which I doubt most of those videos are.

While in general I favor the Russian side due to family ties there, it wouldn't make sense to not use some conscripts to man trenches in low priority areas where they don't expect assaults.

Like I said, the Ukrainians choose those locations specifically so they can make videos showing their "heroic" soldiers slaughtering Russians who had no reason to expect a serious attack.

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" pretty clearly show young, untrained young men who match the description and tactics of conscripts." Yes, which is a point of evidence that calls into question the authenticity of those videos.

Look, Russia in truth is not using young, untrained young men who match the description and tactics of conscripts in the war. Western talk of Russia's "conscript army" is simply a flat out lie. The 300,000 men who were mobilized in the autumn of 2022 - about the only people you might at all call "conscripts" - were all combat veterans, and they all received extensive training with careful rotation into combat zones in limited pulses to let them harden up. None of them were untrained young men.

As a chance result of connections through friends and being invited to some events where vets had gathered, I've met a lot of people who have fought or are fighting in the war. Some of them have become friends. The volunteers tend to be old guys in their 30's and 40's, not young men. Some of them have gruesome, very explicit stories from early on in the conflict.

For example, in the chaotic early days, in March of 2022, volunteer battalions would get organized or volunteers would join the Donbass militias with at times very little preparation before going into combat. I know a guy who volunteered despite having no prior military experience. He went into combat with about 150 other volunteers and their first action was against an Azov Battalion group that had been at war in Donbass for years.

Azov cut them to pieces, with fewer than 90 of the volunteers left alive after their first day in combat against Azov. My friend told me how that evening about half of the survivors said "I can't take this" and picked up and left, leaving only about 45 men to hold their position for the next day.

I'm sure if any of the Azov guys had a bodycam running the action on that day would have showed what you describe. But it would have been against older guys, and it would have been two years ago against a force that is not remotely like what Russian forces are like today at the front. It was a purely volunteer group at a time when the Donbass militias weren't even part of Russia.

So, my guess is that either the video was staged (they're very good at that so it's not a surprise it is convincing, or that they make many of them), or it's a video from a long time ago, a rare and unusual incident against young volunteers at an early stage of the war that's falsely claimed to show the current situation. Kiev has done a lot of that, recycling video from long ago as current events.

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Great write up, Simplicius.

I can't see the Ukrainian line holding much longer. There are presumably some quality troops being held back, but the vast majority of this Uke 'army' apoear to be brave but badly trained conscripts, including older men, women and even disabled civilians, who are simply unable to cope under Russian fires and who will run away or surrender (confirmed in your report) - and who can blame them.

It would be fascinating to know at what capacity the Russian military is operating in Ukraine right now. Experts like Martyanov estimate that what are seeing now is just 15-20% of Russia's capacity. I suspect it's higher, but no more than 25-30%. Even if it's 40%, it's a frightening reminder into just how powerful Russia's military forces are in 2024.

You also mentioned that Putin may soon raise the possibility of a referendum in Transnistria. We will see. Interestingly, in a Q&A in April 2014 Putin said the following about Transnistria (link to transcript below) which in the current context seems almost prophetic:

''People there express pro-Russian sentiments and a large number of Russian citizens live in Transnistria. They have their own views on how to build their future and their fate. It would be nothing more than a display of democracy if we were to allow those people do as they wish.... In the long run, people should be allowed to decide their own destiny. This is what we and our partners are going to work on, taking into account the interests of the residents of Transnistria, of course.''

It would be also be a clever strategic move by the Kremlin to throw a Transnistria grenade into the Ukraine mix right now. Zelensky & Co have enough headaches to deal with on the front line, and a Transnistria distraction would presumably require diversion of time, energy and perhaps even military resources that Ukraine just can't afford right now.

Linked to that is the sudden escalation of subversion behind enemy lines in Ukraine, which I assume you'll be commenting on soon. There has been an uptick in assassinations & sabotage, particularly in and around Odessa. Activating these assets now to create mayhem behind the front line makes sense from Russia's perspective, and may dovetail into an overall strategy vis-a-vis intensified offensive ops across the line.

Anyway that's my 10 cents. Thanks again for all your hard work.

Putin's Transnistria comments : https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/transcript-vladimir-putins-april-17-qanda/2014/04/17/ff77b4a2-c635-11e3-8b9a-8e0977a24aeb_story.html

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Martyanov was saying the bulk of the forces are kept in reserve for a war with NATO. That Russia is leaving nothing to chance if NATO opens up another front.

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deletedFeb 25
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Goering's words on the subject are most instructive.

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They have Syria, the break away Georgian Republics, Kaliningrad, Barents sea, and their Pacific coast to defend. Russia is on a war footing. This isn't a war between Ukraine and Russia. It is war between NATO and Russia. Ukrainians are just NATO cannon fodder. This is another sticking point of the war. How does NATO get more cannon fodder. I think the only possibility is Poland. The whole change in gov was supposed to help this but the stomach for it isn't there

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I forgot Belarus too... they at least bring something to the table though

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You've forgotten, AJ, that Sweden has now joined NATO. Nato's offensive capabilities have been boosted a 1000-fold! :)

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I am thinking that Sweden and Finland will not be enthusiastic about becoming trip wires for NATO. A true RF war mobilization will mean the North Baltic states ports and airfields will be destroyed.

Other thoughts, it will make more sense for them to drop the WEF/EU/NATO and join BRICS, which doesn't require fealty and through other BRICS members, directly connects them to China and India over land.

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No, I don't think Putin is too worried about SWE and FIN. Also, all it means in practice is that they will a) spend vast amounts beefing up their armed forces, and b) let themselves become US colonies. Those might be a good thing if you hate the globalists: they will almost certainly increase the chances of a populist backlash in those countries. Even we supine Euros don't want WW3.

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I look at NATO as being the military wing of the WEF.

All of NATO has been captured by the Globalists. The EU appears to be the Globalist neo-fascism beta test.

At least Europe has farmers and truckers at the barricades inconveniencing the Globalist supporters.

Am hoping truckers shut down DC and

NYC for a few days to make a point that the Blue Collar has more power than the corrupt politicos.

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I think that the US-Ukronazi troops should vote with their feet, while they still have them.

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Thank you.

At the same time, within short time, two Russian equivalent to AWACS surveillance planes were reportedly lost to supposedly friendly fire — critical to combat Ukraine’s new F16 planes….

These are very expensive specialized planes — what is happening?

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author

Thus far all available evidence points to both instances being a Ukrainian hoax.

The first claimed A-50: there is zero evidence any A-50 went down. The strongest counter-evidence is the fact that an Il-22 was shot down at the same time, and the full crew complement was released with obituaries and memorials. Yet nothing from A-50, why?

Second "new" A-50: the tail number was already seen in a video and initial reports 'confirmed' this tail number belongs to an Il-76TD. Keep in mind the A-50 is based on the Il-76 so they're similar, but the best *known* info at moment states it was an Il-76 shot down not A-50. Not a single shred of evidence exists for it being an A-50 other than Ukrainian channels echoing their intentional propaganda.

The problem is: the UA channels were already proven inaccurate as they initially took credit for the shoot down, yet we now have a new video showing a Russian SAM shooting toward the plane--whatever the plane was.

This proves Ukrainian sources already outright lied that they were involved in the shootdown, so clearly it follows that they would lie about it being an A-50 also.

In fact, the entire "A-50" story came from one single telegram user and the echochamber spread it outward after that. There is actually not a single shred of evidence any A-50 was involved anywhere, and any seemingly "authoritative" source like Fighterbomber who "confirmed" it was not actually the case, as they were merely reposting the same echochamber repetitions as the rest.

So, in terms of actual KNOWN data, the likelihood points to no A-50 being shot down in either case.

However, of course I'm still open to the *possibility* they were shot down, I'm merely highlighting what is known based on actual available facts rather than speculation. If it does at some point prove true that A-50s were shot down, then clearly it means there is a massive ongoing US-led program to target the A-50s specifically to hurt Russia. By "program" I mean, not just some strikes of "opportunity" from the AFU, but an actual fully-budgeted espionage department tasked with specifically taking out the A-50s as their main operational pursuit. Many such programs existed on both sides during the Cold War for various things like submarine warfare/sabotage, etc.

And if it proves to be the case, then it certainly is a major problem, but only vis a vis a future Russia/NATO war. Insofar as Ukraine is involved, it has no real bearing there as it will not affect Russia's mounting victory over the AFU.

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So Il-22 did not manage to land damaged? There were some photos circulating on TG.

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Seems, simplicius is mixing things up, the Il-22 was reported as having landed with one fatality (some claimed the pictures of the damaged Il-22 being old - I haven't found this claimed original source neither the incident itself). The crew that was given an official funeral was the one of the Il-76 with UA prisoners of war.

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Many thanks Simplicius for your thoughtful and extensive response

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I'm afraid Fighterbomber TG confirmed the A-50 on both occasions, and they are very reliable thus far

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Feb 26·edited Feb 26

he can no longer be considered "very reliable" as he was proven (and admitted himself) to entirely fabricating a hoax about a Russian VKS pilot being shot and killed by Ukrainian SBU at a bus stop in Russia with 7 bullets, etc. Fighterbomber pushed this story in his usual confident and "I have the inside scoop" manner, which however a day or two later turned out to be a complete hoax, just a fairy tale told by a woman with psychological issues, which he didn't even directly know (i.e. "friend of a friend" style).

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I see, thank you for the information. I don't quite follow their TG only hear about it from other sources. Still I don't think we have any other, more reliable liaison with the MoD out there ?

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not at the moment, no.

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lol

The fact you’d even answer this gives 100% credence it really happened.

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PS: Yet, the puzzle continues - see Sceptic's third paragraph:

https://askeptic.substack.com/p/war-reports-2024-02-25

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Thanks for the comment. I agree this is likely yet another lie from Kiev.

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Highly doubtful that either plane was lost.

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You sound like a "concern troll".

and surely you mean Ukraine's "ancient" F16 planes. Nothing new about them, and if they ever turn up they won't last long, with or without AWACS equivalents.

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Boris is well-known and hardly a concern troll.

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F-16s are phenomenal planes...when deployed correctly with well-trained pilots.

They will struggle against adversaries who have strong front-line AAA assets capable of hitting it. The Russians have such capabilities.

The F-16 Strike Eagle (it's the ground attack configuration) performed amazingly in Afghanistan and Iraq because it could loiter at altitudes far above the range of MANPADS.

For the Ukrainians, they'll need to reserve the F-16s for situations where they can attack Russian breakouts, when the front line shifts forward and the AAA bubble might lag behind. If they're smart and they do that, the planes can make a difference in blunting concentrated attacks.

If the Russians play their cards rights, they won't concentrate enough assets into a single offensive to allow the Ukrainians to leverage max value out of the capabilities of F-16s.

As an offensive weapon for the Ukrainians, the F-16 would be an extremely risky asset to use since the areas they'd need to hit are defended in-depth with the full range of anti-aircraft defenses from platoon-level to theater level defensive systems.

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Not only did the Afghans and Iraqis not have high quality AA, they did not have continuous ISR linked to highly accurate long range missiles able to obliterate airfields and aircraft 1,000 kms from the front line.

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they were phenomenal.. 50 years ago. now, they're museum pieces. they will get shot down in exactly the same one-sided manner as all other UKR planes, if ever deployed anywhere even a few hundred km from the front line.

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Let's be real here. The Russians aren't going to shoot expensive anti-air missiles at an agile fighter 100km+ away from the front line. It would be unlikely to succeed and the Ukrainians would be dropping a HIMARs rocket on the launcher immediately. You're thinking of their theater level air defense systems, which they're not going to use against F-16s unless those F-16s are trying to penetrate the battle space to strike Russian ground targets.

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huh, why not? shooting down expensive (x100+ vs the cost of the missile) fighters is basically the whole raison-d-etre of a high-end AA missile. and yes Russia has basically unlimited supplies of those. you could maybe argue that a long-range 40N6 and newer missiles will perhaps not get fired all that casually, but I'll argue that a Su-35 on patrol with A-50 long-range radar coverage of a high-value target like a F-16 will readily fire a R-37. which can and likely will shoot down the F-16 at 200+ km distance.

HIMARS can do nothing about either of those, and even if it could and were in range, would be in vastly more danger than the launch platforms of those.

F-16s are just props, toys to befuddle the Western electorate with. they're completely helpless and useless in this theater of war.

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200+km is a long time, even with a very fast missile, for the F-16 to react with countermeasures and evasive action.

The missiles you're speaking of require radar guidance, if the F-16 hits the deck and burns hard to the west, they'll be out of the threat area.

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A SU-35 can shoot it down with an air to air missile though

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At closer ranges, sure. The guy I was replying to seems to think the Russians can shoot down a fast fighter 200+ km from the front line. It's possible, but unlikely. The pilot would have to be exhibiting an extreme lack of awareness combined with poor training.

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I believe he was talking about firing missiles at the airbases, not individual flying aircraft. By the way, the Strike Eagle is the F-15E, not an F-16. No one has even mentioned supplying F-15s to the Ukraine.

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The Abrams video was absolutely hilarious. Shows tank driving around and firing. Shows results that are clearly edited in from a totally different location and from hits of what is obviously an artillery barrage and not fire from the Abrams. "wInNinG!"

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It is interesting how so many from the Ukrainian side talk of the need for "total mobilization." Sure, it might be needed, but how can it be effected? Ukraine has pretty much zero money. It has pretty much zero equipment. It has pretty much zero productive capacity. How do you pay for training and how do you equip a massive "total mobilization" army? Even more basically, how do you even pay the government machinery necessary to actually find, notify, and mobilize all these people?

I posit that Ukraine - even if the manpower is available - isn't even capable of mobilizing its society, much less actually fielding a newly mobilized mass.

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deletedFeb 25
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Ghani is alive and well, and Saakashvili would be, if he had enough sense not to go back to Georgia.

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The Ukrainian ‘leaders’ are screaming for western money because they aren’t done stealing it. I do not believe one word of their blabber about total mobilization or ramping production or the rest.

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Feb 25·edited Feb 25

Simple equation. Multi $billion cash infusion from US = next round of mobilization in Ukraine = substantial profit for everyone in a position to take a cut.

Has to wait for the US Congress to squeeze an omnibus budget bill. The default outcome (a continuing resolution) saves the federal gov but leaves the Biden admin empty handed yet liable in the multiple international crises. So House Republicans actually have leverage. Likely Biden (i.e. Sullivan) will cave on the "border", prioritize Israel, and give Ukraine what they reckon is just enough to survive the year. Then, in UA, there will be a time lag before the money turns into minimally organized military resources. Plus Zelensky's own term runs out in May, so his domestic rivals will take another cut on that. The spring is set to be interesting.

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deletedFeb 26
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I see that Trump and Biden will be visiting the US southern border on the same day. It will be interesting to see how the ICE, US border patrol and Texas NG decide which events to attend, and with what protocols to greet the two arrivals.

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deletedFeb 27
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We will see, although I do think your suggestion of Niagara Falls instead may appeal to Team Biden :)

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And that mobilization almost by definition destroys what’s left of the Ukrainian economy. The only “solution” is mass deportation of Ukrainians from the EU.

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the people talking in support 'total mobilization' are outside of the country itself (so they can not be sent to die to the front lines) or Zelensky leadership team. I do not know of anyone real , in Ukraine, who is in support of this nation-suicide project.

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founding

Insightful Succinct Illuminating Presentation

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One of your best articles.

Quantitative changes inevitably lead to qualitative changes, and we're about to see Russia make that big leap in Ukraine. Maybe Westoids will finally understand how attrition warfare is supposed to work?

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Great analysis. Nice.

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There appears to be a secret agreement in the West to help Russia end the war. The US Congress is blocking a new aid package for Ukraine, Poland, with the help of strikers, has cut off supplies across its border. The Russian army has a window of opportunity of several months to carry out an offensive and liberate the territory. Perhaps the Russian government knows about Moldova’s plans to seize Transnistria with the help of the Ukrainian army, so it is preparing preventive recognition of this region as Russian in order to have diplomatic and legal leverage in the future.

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Rather than a "secret agreement" with the nephilim-human cabal ruling the west, let's consider that at the closing of Sukkot 2023 a Holy decree was enacted to bring an end to their imperial ambitions and control the territorial spirits have enjoyed for millennia.

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?

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The supposed elite AKA Team Evil, realize that their super awesome plan to rape and pillage Russia is a non starter. On to Plan B, the Blackrock/Clinton/Soros/etc., plan to "rebuild" Ukraine.

Blackrock has been made via a deal with Zelensky the ruler of the rebuilding of Ukraine. So the trillions allocated by the West, probably the seized Russian assets as well, will be solely controlled and distributed by Blackrock. Oversight of Blackrock will be provided by...Blackrock.

All vendors will be selected and paid solely by Blackrock. Oh, and the Clinton Foundation will be responsible for the children of Ukraine, let that one sink in. I pray to heaven that Putin takes control of all of Ukraine and prevents Team Evil ever setting up shop next door to Russia.

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Can you believe that bozo, Tom Cooper, wrote that Ukraine had “however, the ZSU also suffered DOZENS of losses” while retreating in Adiivka?!

When people call him a lunatic, he then delete post, ban people, change articles…

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