There’s been a strong uptick in strikes on Crimea, as Ukraine shifts focus once again on providing some tangible media victory to crown Zelensky’s big North American tour. This is done to keep him from looking bad when put on the spot during his all-important and perhaps final alms circuit.
It would be like in the sagas of yore, as if the Ukraine would be led by Achilles after he slew Agamemnon/Zelensky the power-hungry meddler in single combat, and took his position as supreme general of the defending forces.
Like a Norman king, he is the most valiant and proud the nation can offer, and will lead and inspire his men to achieve great feats and they will follow him to the oblivion.
If the Su-24s are firing from over the Black Sea, immediately the question comes up where the hell the MiG-31s with the R-37Ms are?
The moment the Su-24s take off, the MiG-31s are supposed to go up, observe the whole landscape from way above, and shoot them down with the long-range AAMs. While they themselves are way out of range of any SAM Ukraine has.
But that is not happening for some mysterious reason...
Second issue - we all know why there are no A-50s (oligarchs spent the money on megayachts instead), but at least Russia could have invested into cheaper surveillance drones analogous to the US Global Hawks. Or bought them from China, which has done that.
That hasn't been/isn't being done for some reason either.
I live in SF killafornia and I can tell you it ain't all that. The lack of a societal safety net makes scAmerica a sick country.
Sad to hear nUkrania is recruiting children rather than capitulating, and sadder that a year and a half ago this war could have already been settled, until Boris the clown went to see the paid actor elenskies and gave him BorisVirus23.
They took me out of Russia, but they can't take the Russian outta me
Sep 26, 2023·edited Sep 26, 2023Liked by Simplicius
"I had forgotten to post this a while back. Ukrainian journalist Roman Revedzhuk who had previously run for office and was involved in Ukrainian politics for a long time revealed that he had received an insider report from the SBU that Ukraine had more than 310,000 KIA as of July"
In my comment on August 14, I wrote: "The minimum estimate of Ukrainian losses is ~330,000 "tarasiks" (the contemptuous name of the ukrainian nazis. From the common name Taras). Killed."
How bizarrely the deck is shuffled... Even filthy Ukrainian propagandists, through their teeth, are reluctantly forced to admit the minimum estimates of our Ministry of Defense.
Naturally, the number of Ukrainian corpses has long exceeded these figures, moreover, the Ukrainian authorities themselves will not be able to give the exact number of "soldiers" destroyed - they simply do not care and statistics are not actually kept.
The sense of Russians’ belief in victory is palpable. Couple that with determination, then consider the rapid advancement in military technology and real commitment to excellence. NATO / Ukraine can bother RF from time with flea bites, but as this war progresses, the outcome of a resounding Russian victory is inevitable. Maybe time to consider investments in Russian markets, because after this war is complete, and BRICs move to prominence, Russia will likely experience a renaissance and assume world leadership alongside China.
Still no confirmation if they indeed wiped out Black Sea command structure incl CIC.
UKR scored a big media hit yesterday, it was all over MSM. You would have thought that Russkies would either have only used the basement/shelter levels of this building or put a guided missile destroyer offshore to guard against sea-skimmers.
What is happening in Crimea is 1) literally what vicky nuland said would happen earlier this year (that crimea was a legit target and that the US would help attack 2) part of a "denial" strategy to make crimea "unviable" for the Russians. Presumably to make life miserable for the residents or something
Echoes of the blitz in ww2, when the Germans gave up on actually destroying Britain's air force and instead decided to hit London, and eventually with the first cruise missiles in history too
I'm going to keep saying it, I believe taking Odesa will end the war sooner than later as NATO will have lost the dream to control the Black Sea, and they will bow out.
I appreciate Simplicius' assessment how never before in human history has such advanced military design on multiple platforms & levels including the most advanced Artificial Intelligence as the missile, aircraft, defence & whole national military guidance core, ever been deployed by both sides in a conflict. This is a Military-Industrial Complex & computer conflict of the most frightening human & resource devastation. This war is western $$ Oligarchy orchestrated ALLIES grudge revenge 78 year later, against Ukraine's WW2 participation in the 12 nation AXIS, putting Russia in the role of destroying Ukraine as the Allied enemy.
For Brazil, Russia, India, China, South-Africa, Iran, Saudi-Arabia & aligned nations BRICS to more effectively engage the brutal intellectual cowardice of western Oligarchy is to culturally engage whole populations & by this means the $$ 'S'elected captured government representatives with Both-sides-now, Equal-time, Recorded & Published Dialogue. Formal responsibility to dialogue was a part of all humanity's worldwide 'indigenous' (Latin 'self-generating') COUNCIL PROCESS, once a dialectic-right to raise issues positive for agreement or for Conflict Resolution. https://sites.google.com/site/indigenecommunity/d-participatory-structure/1-both-sides-now-equal-time-recorded-dialogues
While Russia is duly & justifiably protecting the many 10s of millions of Russian speaking Ukrainians from slaughter with its SVO, it must recognize that the most productive investment going forward is direct engagement of human 'mind' ('caring'). i.e. Population submissive economic collusion with Oligarchy must be partially undone through mass cultural 'debate' (French 'de' = 'undo' + 'bate' = 'the-fight').
Mohandas Gandhi stated, "Non-violence springs from love, cowardice from hate. Non-violence always suffers, cowardice would always inflict suffering. Non-violence & cowardice go ill together. I can imagine a fully armed man to be at heart a COWARD." Gandhi is speaking here to the intelligent mind of the soldier as an active contributor to his or her community, society & ultimately to the international agent in conversation of war & peace. That portion of uncaptured Social Media today can afford to contribute to such liberation, if converted from Mono to Dialogue.
What happened? A couple of years ago I met Ukrainian business people at a trade fair in Johannesburg, South Africa. They came across as pretty decent fellows who wouldn't hurt a fly. Coming from their part of the world, they were comfortable giving information to a black person like myself. Sad to see Ukraine lacking the sense to see where it has been (mis)led to by those who don't have the welfare and interests of its people at heart... Many of us people of the south and others in the West, we pity Ukraine. At the same time we wonder why can't Ukraine see that it is being used.. much to the detriment of its people and possibly the world as a whole if the situation carries on like this...
Russia is clearly asymmetrically responding: a group of euro and zion spooks and some russian oligarchs drowned in Lago Maggiore some months ago and everybody knows it was not an accident (official cover is "a tempest" I do not know if it is a cope or an example of Russian weather weapons).
OMG Simp if they depose Zelensky and install Klitschko as president of Ukraine as you suggest, I would start worrying about Russian chances. Klitschko is a beast of a man carved out of granite, he will instil fighting spirit in the AFU https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9WvFVtK9uHg&pp=ygUZa2xpdHNjaGtvIHZzIGxlbm5veCBsZXdpcw%3D%3D
It would be like in the sagas of yore, as if the Ukraine would be led by Achilles after he slew Agamemnon/Zelensky the power-hungry meddler in single combat, and took his position as supreme general of the defending forces.
Like a Norman king, he is the most valiant and proud the nation can offer, and will lead and inspire his men to achieve great feats and they will follow him to the oblivion.
Great analysis as always sir!
https://askeptic.substack.com/p/russia-ukraine-reports-2023-09-25
If the Su-24s are firing from over the Black Sea, immediately the question comes up where the hell the MiG-31s with the R-37Ms are?
The moment the Su-24s take off, the MiG-31s are supposed to go up, observe the whole landscape from way above, and shoot them down with the long-range AAMs. While they themselves are way out of range of any SAM Ukraine has.
But that is not happening for some mysterious reason...
Second issue - we all know why there are no A-50s (oligarchs spent the money on megayachts instead), but at least Russia could have invested into cheaper surveillance drones analogous to the US Global Hawks. Or bought them from China, which has done that.
That hasn't been/isn't being done for some reason either.
I live in SF killafornia and I can tell you it ain't all that. The lack of a societal safety net makes scAmerica a sick country.
Sad to hear nUkrania is recruiting children rather than capitulating, and sadder that a year and a half ago this war could have already been settled, until Boris the clown went to see the paid actor elenskies and gave him BorisVirus23.
They took me out of Russia, but they can't take the Russian outta me
Always thanks for digging under the "headlines" and social-media-MSM-only "successes"....
A few notes.
i imagine the awacs or drone circling for hours is a good sign an attack is coming too.
That hotel looks wrecked.
I will never tire of seeing tank factory footage, especially them travelling by crane.
You need to drive a real tank to where you put the fake tank, tracks show easily.
Very good read, kept me up past my bedtime
"I had forgotten to post this a while back. Ukrainian journalist Roman Revedzhuk who had previously run for office and was involved in Ukrainian politics for a long time revealed that he had received an insider report from the SBU that Ukraine had more than 310,000 KIA as of July"
In my comment on August 14, I wrote: "The minimum estimate of Ukrainian losses is ~330,000 "tarasiks" (the contemptuous name of the ukrainian nazis. From the common name Taras). Killed."
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sitrep-81323-afu-struggles-for-symbolic/comment/22343985?utm_source=activity_item
How bizarrely the deck is shuffled... Even filthy Ukrainian propagandists, through their teeth, are reluctantly forced to admit the minimum estimates of our Ministry of Defense.
Naturally, the number of Ukrainian corpses has long exceeded these figures, moreover, the Ukrainian authorities themselves will not be able to give the exact number of "soldiers" destroyed - they simply do not care and statistics are not actually kept.
The sense of Russians’ belief in victory is palpable. Couple that with determination, then consider the rapid advancement in military technology and real commitment to excellence. NATO / Ukraine can bother RF from time with flea bites, but as this war progresses, the outcome of a resounding Russian victory is inevitable. Maybe time to consider investments in Russian markets, because after this war is complete, and BRICs move to prominence, Russia will likely experience a renaissance and assume world leadership alongside China.
Still no confirmation if they indeed wiped out Black Sea command structure incl CIC.
UKR scored a big media hit yesterday, it was all over MSM. You would have thought that Russkies would either have only used the basement/shelter levels of this building or put a guided missile destroyer offshore to guard against sea-skimmers.
Bad optics....Or dumb Admirals.
What is happening in Crimea is 1) literally what vicky nuland said would happen earlier this year (that crimea was a legit target and that the US would help attack 2) part of a "denial" strategy to make crimea "unviable" for the Russians. Presumably to make life miserable for the residents or something
Echoes of the blitz in ww2, when the Germans gave up on actually destroying Britain's air force and instead decided to hit London, and eventually with the first cruise missiles in history too
I'm going to keep saying it, I believe taking Odesa will end the war sooner than later as NATO will have lost the dream to control the Black Sea, and they will bow out.
I appreciate Simplicius' assessment how never before in human history has such advanced military design on multiple platforms & levels including the most advanced Artificial Intelligence as the missile, aircraft, defence & whole national military guidance core, ever been deployed by both sides in a conflict. This is a Military-Industrial Complex & computer conflict of the most frightening human & resource devastation. This war is western $$ Oligarchy orchestrated ALLIES grudge revenge 78 year later, against Ukraine's WW2 participation in the 12 nation AXIS, putting Russia in the role of destroying Ukraine as the Allied enemy.
For Brazil, Russia, India, China, South-Africa, Iran, Saudi-Arabia & aligned nations BRICS to more effectively engage the brutal intellectual cowardice of western Oligarchy is to culturally engage whole populations & by this means the $$ 'S'elected captured government representatives with Both-sides-now, Equal-time, Recorded & Published Dialogue. Formal responsibility to dialogue was a part of all humanity's worldwide 'indigenous' (Latin 'self-generating') COUNCIL PROCESS, once a dialectic-right to raise issues positive for agreement or for Conflict Resolution. https://sites.google.com/site/indigenecommunity/d-participatory-structure/1-both-sides-now-equal-time-recorded-dialogues
While Russia is duly & justifiably protecting the many 10s of millions of Russian speaking Ukrainians from slaughter with its SVO, it must recognize that the most productive investment going forward is direct engagement of human 'mind' ('caring'). i.e. Population submissive economic collusion with Oligarchy must be partially undone through mass cultural 'debate' (French 'de' = 'undo' + 'bate' = 'the-fight').
Mohandas Gandhi stated, "Non-violence springs from love, cowardice from hate. Non-violence always suffers, cowardice would always inflict suffering. Non-violence & cowardice go ill together. I can imagine a fully armed man to be at heart a COWARD." Gandhi is speaking here to the intelligent mind of the soldier as an active contributor to his or her community, society & ultimately to the international agent in conversation of war & peace. That portion of uncaptured Social Media today can afford to contribute to such liberation, if converted from Mono to Dialogue.
LIBYAN EXAMPLE: In retrospect, concerned western activists failed in our typical suppressed media monologues to stimulate such real in depth engaged public dialogue, around our travesty in Libya. https://sites.google.com/site/indigenecommunity/d-participatory-structure/1-communication-converting-social-media-from-mono-to-dialogue-libya
What happened? A couple of years ago I met Ukrainian business people at a trade fair in Johannesburg, South Africa. They came across as pretty decent fellows who wouldn't hurt a fly. Coming from their part of the world, they were comfortable giving information to a black person like myself. Sad to see Ukraine lacking the sense to see where it has been (mis)led to by those who don't have the welfare and interests of its people at heart... Many of us people of the south and others in the West, we pity Ukraine. At the same time we wonder why can't Ukraine see that it is being used.. much to the detriment of its people and possibly the world as a whole if the situation carries on like this...
Please Russianbros
Stop with the obscuring watermarks and Russian meme music
I'm trying to watch nazis blow up
Russia is clearly asymmetrically responding: a group of euro and zion spooks and some russian oligarchs drowned in Lago Maggiore some months ago and everybody knows it was not an accident (official cover is "a tempest" I do not know if it is a cope or an example of Russian weather weapons).