Today, Zelensky reportedly backed off on his hostile takeover of “Ukrainian” corruption agencies by submitting a new amended bill that alleges to return “independence” to them.
Agree that German Nazi were honorable people as compared to jewish thugs and thieves called zionists, who have been trying to emulate fascists since 1930s.
The Ukraine rabbis have been blessing the banderites nonstop:
"At a banquet held at Kyiv's central synagogue, Lieutenant General Kyrylo Budanov, head of Ukraine's Defense Intelligence, lit the second Hanukkah candle on the menorah alongside the Chief Rabbi Yonatan Markovitch and the Israeli ambassador.
Budanov stated, "The flame of this candle will illuminate our future victory – both ours and that of the State of Israel."
"Rabbi Moshe Reuven Asman announced this on Facebook: On the eve of the great and holy day of Yom Kippur (Day of Atonement). I had the honor to bless for a good, sweet, and victorious year – the legendary person, head of the GUR, Kyrylo Oleksiyovych Budanov."
While the Orthodox Christian Churches in Ukraine were harassed and looted by the Kievan Junta, the monstrous synagogue "menorah" in Dnipropetrovsk was fine.
More: "Ukraine’s Jewish president, Volodymyr Zelensky, lit candles with the country’s Chabad rabbis. ... Zelensky was flanked by 11 rabbis, emissaries of the Chabad-Lubavitch Hasidic movement who are the main purveyors of Jewish leadership in Ukraine. ... A rabbi presented Zelensky with a large menorah emblazoned with an image of the ancient Temple in Jerusalem [the menorah had been given to the rabbi by Javier Milei, the president of Argentina].
Early in the war, Zelensky earned comparisons to the Maccabees, the ancient Jews and heroes of the Hanukkah story who, though outflanked in every way, fended off the efforts of foreign fighters, directed by a power-hungry ruler, to quash their independence and culture."
Some important questions: What "culture?" What this Semitic tribe is doing in the Slavic lands?
The coin was minted by a jewish organization looking to curry favour in the discussions about the "Transfer Agreement" taking place between international jewry and the German government. The National Socialists had NOTHING to do with it. NOTHING!
You are deeply mistaken. Zelensky (jewish) is a creature of Kolomojsky, the former president of the jewish community of Ukraine. Kolomojsky also founded and funded four openly Nazi battalions, including the Azov, Aidar, and Dnipro I and Dnipro II battalions. The zionist state of Israel has aligned itself with Ukrainian neo-Nazi.
The whole Ukrainian affair, which cost millions of the Slavic lives, was promoted by American ziocons such as the Kagans' clan, Gershman (NED), Blinken, the ADL, and the likes. All jewish members of US Congress have been supporting the arming and financing the banderite (neo-Nazi) regime in Kiev.
And yet Putin is best buddies (or he thinks he is) with Netanyahu and is surrounded by Jewisn oligarchs and some very suspicious rabbis.
Isn't it time for someone in Russia to start seriously looking into that tiny little insignificant potential problem before it is too late?
And doesn't that association explain a lot of otherwise rather mysterious aspects of the way the war is (not) fought, that are currently rationalized away with convoluted posthoc arguments about "muh attrition" and other such nonsense?
The snake is dangerous and must be under constant observation.
The death cult of judaism has no moral principles. Currently, the zionist state is dense with the most sadistic abusers of children. The cult is run by merciless degenerates who, as Voltaire predicted, have become a danger to mankind.
Did you notice how most of them were women? The men have already been taken. One tell-tale sign is when the crowd is shouting out the tone of the sound is distinctly female - higher pitch - tells you there are not many male voices in that crowd.
Yawn....all smoke, no fire...At some point, this war will turn into a rout, but there's no guessing when that will be...My guess, however, is next spring...
You and Mr Ursu should form a club, you can look at things through your “analysis is boring” lens and he can use his confusion lens. Should work well for both of you.
A wartime leader challenged by the general population will never be the same again. He was given a taste of what can come and he will have to always calculate that in before he acts. There is obviously a hard inner core of the UAF, heavily invested in years of fighting and their leadership surely well compensated. NATO/US is unlikely to make a move to dispose of Zelensky as the possible outcomes cannot be calculated. That would leave Russia as a deciding factor but Russia could have terminated him in the last three years if they really wanted to. And that means the ‘humorist with limited talent’ stays where he is unless an insider group around him rises to the occasion.
>A wartime leader challenged by the general population will never be the same again.
This is the most obviously fake protest ever. Hold your horses.
Ukrainians spent three years being literally hunted on the streets to be sent to the front for slaughter, a million of them are dead and maimed, and nobody dares protest, but the moment NABU (which few people know what that even is) is touched there is a massive outpouring of angry citizens?
Ukraine has long had a problem with overproduction of elites, and the NGO network was a convenient and relatively cheap way to buy off and co-opt those surplus elites.
‘massive outpouring of angry citizens?’ That is how it often happens. The majority of the Ukraine civilians are thinking and they see hopeless, endless suffering waiting for them unless they put the brakes on the No. 1 Piano Player of the country. Their evaluation is: If they submit to the Russian forces most of them will survive. If they keep fighting anything can happen. They base this logic on the fact that although Russia clearly has the means, they did not cause mass-casualties by attacking Kiev or other mostly Ukrainian cities during the war.
Doesn't surprise me a bit. The whole point of the war was to gain admission to The Club.
Dismantling NGOs is not going to smooth admission to The Club. Moreover, Ukraine has long had a problem with overproduction of elites, and the NGO network was a convenient and relatively cheap way to buy off and co-opt those surplus elites.
Is this really how a Rent a Gang looks and sounds like? I think this whole theory of a giant Rent a Gang creating this nationwide demonstration wave is surrealistic. Just to make a statement they even burned the picture of their beloved No. 1 Piano Master. This happened last night, 7/24/25 in Kiev.
‘MASKS AND SMOKE: SHOCK PROTEST AGAINST ZELENSKY ERUPTS AT PRO-NABU RALLY** **Soldiers in uniform among crowds, masked journalists, and ignored curfew – the signal that Kyiv is on the brink of a legitimacy crisis**’
**Soldiers in combat gear** *"Zelensky = Dictator"*, *"Yermak New Rasputin"*, *"Free NABU or the War Is Pointless"*.
Something was started there I would not underestimate. There are endless numbers of historical examples where major changes were triggered by similar acts. The East German, Polish, Hungarian revolts of the 1950s and the Czechoslovakian halfhearted rebellion in 1968, they all started with street demonstrations. The Hungarian Revolution in October of 1956 became a major act with shocking worldwide consequences for the communist world. Otto von Habsburg characterized it as ‘The Stalingrad of communism.’
these real people are protesting in the same country,
where armed people can grab any male on the street, beat him violently if he resists, shove him into the van and send him to the front
where really opposing people e.g. willing to continue speaking their mother tongue Russian, can be shot at, burned alive in a building, attacked inside a church
protesters you describe are real people, and they have real emotions,
but they are under protection of. the West
and everybody, including police, protesters themselves knows, they will not be harmed
this R.D. Laing like I know you know I know we all know is what I call luxury protest
Americans: if you have stolen hundred millions of our money you should at least listen, and obey
Ukrainian leader: you gave money because we did something for you, I took it because it was good for me, and good for Ukraine. I am not going to obey. I will continue taking money for Ukraine and me.
Americans: if you will not obey I will regime change you, accusing you of corruption
Ukrainian leader: just try, everybody is corrupted here, people will just laugh at you, I will resist, and tell people your agents are Russian agents. There are very few people in Ukraine willing to work with you.
I think you are right; there is something. In Corona times I saw the difference between some NGO protests (meaning government-funded) and real protests. The videos from Kyiv and other places give me the impression of real protests; maybe there is some help from some embassy stuff, maybe some foreign money is involved, but I see old and young, and I see a lot of women. Of course no children, but I think this is due to the shown brutality of the regime; again, like the Corona protests, whereinmost places families could take part, but, e.g., in Berlin they used water cannons (on a really cold day) against children and elderly people.
The overwhelming majority of these protesters were angry White Women. They simply had enough and they knew they were the most likely social segment who could get away with this act without being punished. It was a nasty job but somebody had to do it.
In 2014, in Ukraine, Nuland-Kagan had began an open phase of jewish "fascism on the march" in the Slavic world.
Maurice Samuel words come to mind:
"We Jews, we, the destroyers, will remain the destroyers forever. Nothing that you will do will meet our needs and demands. We will forever destroy because we need a world of our own, a God-world, which it is not in your nature to build."
It is long overdue to show the door to the likes of Kagans, Wexner, Karp, Adelson, Blinken et al. -- move out of the western civilization, anti-gentile jews! All these militant supremacist jews must learn how to co-exist with their Semitic relatives in the Middle East, in situ.
All jewish organizations in the western world -- from jewish federations to the ADL, AIPAC, holobiz museums, and such -- must be banned.
Jews were never able to build their own civilization due to their (indoctrinated) mental defect which can be described as 'supremacist leeching.'
Maurice Samuel explained pretty well the jewish mentality and goals:
"There are two life-forces in the world I know: Jewish and gentile, ours and yours... I do not believe that this primal difference between gentile and Jew is reconcilable. You and we may come to an understanding, never to a reconciliation. There will be irritation between us as long as we are in intimate contact. For nature and constitution and vision divide us from all of you forever."
Move out of the western civilization, anti-gentile jews! Learn how to co-exist with your Semitic relatives in the Middle East.
The Neanderthals are crying back the rather lengthy 400,000 year period when they were ruling Eurasia with sticks and stones. From the Romans to Stalin and Hitler and present day Populists all came to the same conclusion: Separation is the only solution.
"For their part, the EU politburo released a “cautious” statement that expresses approval for steps taken ‘so far’ in ameliorating the situation, but shows that the EU is not yet fully convinced of Zelensky’s sincerity:" Their biggest question, is he a loyal Nazi or not?
Leadership has turned into a parody. Trump shows us the confusion amongst our masters by enthusiastically embracing all the conflicting ideology at the same time. As if to say, don't blame me, I can only give orders, the real power lies elsewhere. Isn't that obvious to you idiots yet?
Our elections are a grand show, our democracy, an empty shadow of the distant past.
Its not about how much territory or population captured, its attrition, the erosion of the enemy’s ability to continue fighting. But if you are interested in territory, look at this site which does map time lapses of Russian progress:
I also find the maps here very difficult to follow, often with no clue which town is significant for which objective or why some obscure village is important.
I guess I would have to look elsewhere to get a broad overview of the whole front.
There are reports giving useful snapshots of the war. Here is a nice map from the UK Ministry of Defense, 16 May 2025. It shows Russia’s gains in the context of the overall region - and even has a scale. It’s just a snapshot, giving one perspective on a complex situation.
Meaningful context would be recognising when the front breaks, and static WW1 war turns into WW1 of the autumn 1918, or into end stage WW2.
Right now, expectations of Russian economic collapse run parallel with expectations of Ukrainian manpower collapse.
An asymmetric attritional war. Very few historical examples.
The war is a world war, because all around the globe forces are mobilising, positions are shifting, a world war of allies, providing help, money, weapons, soldiers.
A world war, with only one rule, let's not start nuclear war.
1/ As many military historians have said, many of the larger dynamics of this war are quite old school. Martin van Crevald said at the very start of this war that it would be decided by attrition. The gee-wiz insta-experts laughed at him.
2/ If you are only interested in that big picture stuff, you probably ignore Simplicius’ detailed reports of the front lines moving. So you won’t be interested in my comment.
One can rarely, almost never put all what one thinks in a single comment, and there is always a risk of misuderstanding.
Just a clarification; I do not look at detailed reports of the front lines moving as unimportant, or not interesting.
Why?
War is asymmetric, but frontline is real, the truth. Analysts, professionals, working for CIA; MI6; Ukrainian, Chinese or Russian services can be analysing thousands of informations, and reaching conclusions about the future.
As an amateur I can only look at the frontline, and make my conclusions.
So yes, I follow front line information, as the only reliable indicator of truth, of true balance or misbalance of power.
Which is exactly the point of my original comment. I suggested a simple way to make Simplicius’ battlefield reports more useful. Yikes - maps without scales?
That this provoked such big conceptual replies is hilarious.
Are you kidding us? We read the news because nobody has time to do original research on the scores of significant global events, even for those issues about which we have some expertise.
Let’s replay your statement in context: ‘There is no need to include a scale on maps showing changes in Ukraine fronts, or give the populations of cities mentioned - because Telegram can help, and each reader must do it himself. Because too much is at stake.’
I have written about America’s mad wars for a quarter century, working with some A-class military experts in the US and elsewhere. I have a broad if amateur’s knowledge of military history.
My answer: the “fog of war” rules everywhere and always. Wars are started based on gross misinformation and flawed analysis. When leaders are given sound insights, they ignore them.
* Japan’s Total War Institute accurately predicted the course of WW2.
* A US Army Survey team accurately predicted the course of our adventure in Vietnam (1958?).
* Pentagon War games in 1964 accurately predicted the course of the war.
During wars, the public is fed lies. Reporters combine the lies with ignorance to produce “news.” Even with fragments of accurate information, leaders often cannot form accurate pictures of events.
Using theory, not data, accurate long predictions are sometimes possible. Greats like Martin van Creveld, William Lind, and Chet Richards (plus lessor lights, like me) used 4GW theory to successfully predict the outcome of our occupations of Iraq and Afghanistan.
Trivia sidenote - My reaction to the obvious lies about Afghanistan and Iraq led to my recruitment as a voluntary analyst by the team running the Defense and National Interest website. When that closed, we started the Fabius Maximus website - producing some amazingly accurate predictions.
Disclosure - “Fog of war” was coined by Clausewitz.
Correction: General Ridgeway and President Ike read the Army Survey report and resisted the pressure to jump into Vietnam. Johnson and his generals put it down the memory hole.
It seems Hussein Hopper replied to my comment, but blocked me so that I cannot see or reply to it. By the magic of tech, here is a reply.
1/ So you are the comment police, telling people where to post comments. You have a “vastly inflated sense of your ability.” Consider the ancient adage “When you point at someone with one finger, there are 3 fingers pointing back at you.”
2/ I answered the question asked, explaining why experts, leaders, and amateurs find giving good analysis of wars so difficult.
3/ My statements about the Fabius Maximus website were about facts - all easily checked by spending a few minutes looking at the site’s Authors page, Hits page, and Smackdown/Misses page.
Your comments such as they are amount to boasting. Eg,. “ worked with A class military experts”, “ amazingly accurate predictions about wars” etc etc.
You are obviously somewhat lacking in the self awareness department as you come across as an opinionated, pompous git, with a vastly inflated sense of your ability (which seems limited to self promotion.
Well, that may be so but he would have believed the lies he was told about them and thought he was doing good work.
There are plenty of people still living who knew what they were doing when the pushed this poison, so why not focus on them and leave the memory of Ozzy out of this?
Interesting that Zaluzhny expressed those badly disguised wishful thoughts of continuing the War until 2034. By 2034 he hopes EU/NATO has done the re-armament of all forces and will be prepared to attack Russia in full?
Or what do he thinks will change by 2034? No more men and girls to throw in the meatgrinder?
Military men always wants to fight wars, it is their breath of life…
>By 2034 he hopes EU/NATO has done the re-armament of all forces and will be prepared to attack Russia in full?
What exactly would that preparation be?
They will attack and then what? And how?
Missiles will be fired from Germany and Poland towards Moscow, and perhaps deeper but long before they have crossed the Urals nukes will be flying towards Europe from Siberia and the SSBNs, and then what?
It makes no sense. Or maybe it does make some sense but in a different way.
We saw how Israel having nukes and Iran likely having them too did not in any way stop Israel from attacking Iran or Iran from firing back. Same story with India and Pakistan, who have gone to war on numerous occasions since both had nukes.
It looks like the mutually assured destruction calculus does not prevent a limited conventional war, and over time the scope of what "limited conventional war" means can expand.
It was pretty serious when Israel attacked Iran, and had they managed to kill the ayatollah and a few more key people, then who knows, they may well have carried out a successful regime change operation.
So it might be that this is what Europe will be preparing for. Because right now there is no mutually assured destruction between Europe and Russia. Russia can wipe out Europe with zero consequences for it as long as France is left untouched. But by 2034 that might not be the case.
Few people noticed it, but just before June 12th the Iranians released a bunch of documents related to the Israeli nuclear program, and one of the revelations was that Israel has been helping a "European country" develop nukes. It was not specified which country that was, but the prime suspects are Germany and Poland, and perhaps even Ukraine.
Thus we can easily imagine how a few years from now Germany, Poland and the rest will be armed to the teeth with nukes and ballistic missiles, and Moscow won't be able to do anything strategically. Yet they will still attack and it will be a perpetual war, in which the Europeans are to play the same kamikaze role Ukraine is playing now, draining Russia of its human and economic resources.
Karaganov has this correct -- the spine of the Euros must be crushed once and for all, and that has to be done now, not at some point later in the future. But Putin is the king of missing windows of opportunity, creating a much bigger mess to be resolved later on as a result, and then not dealing with that mess decisively either, making the problem even larger, and so on...
Yes. My question was rhetorical because the statement from Zaluzhny lacked the obvious conclusion of ”what then?”. If the War will be over in 2034 because of exhaustion then why dont they settle the fight right now?
We do know that Rotten in NATO HQ and EU-leaders has expressed that Russia will go to War against European countries before 2030 and that EU need 10 years of re-arming.
And I share your thoughts about the MAD doctrine. It is of no use right now. People dont fear it anymore. They long for it.
Destruction of western currencies would do the thing.
A well-constructed personal endangerment to the banking dynasties and BlackRock & Palantir' war profiteers would help. Namely, a detailed map of bunkers for the main "deciders" would be a beautiful fact on (under) the ground.
>Destruction of western currencies would do the thing.
1) On what time scale relative to the time scale of hot war?
2) Currency strength is a function of military strength, not the other way around. What backs the dollar is the threat that the US military will bomb the shit out of you if you don't hand over your real valuables in exchange for green pieces of paper (or, increasingly these days, symbols on a screen).
As long as nobody destroys that US ability to bomb the shit out of others, the dollar will remain strong.
It is that simple.
But the delusional multipolidiots can't understand it.
>Karaganov is correct in the sense that one has to crush the spine of antiRUssian Europe
>but it cannot be done by nuclear weapon
And how will it be done without it, pray tell?
> Russia has to survive, thrive, develop, get stronger, and win in conventional war,
The last conventional war Russia "won" it never recovered from, and lost what it had fought for three centuries prior to that for without a fight in just a few years eventually.
The outcome of the current conventional war will be that it will lose what it fought for another two centuries further back in time, unless radical measures are taken.
>and develop a network of allies and friends
In the real world power speaks. And so does weakness.
What do we have empirically? Has Russia been gaining or losing allies? Honest answer. How many actual allies can you list?
Europe is a dead man walking already. Financial collapse is in the cards to be dealt at a yet unknown future date. That's why the 5% GDP on defense spending is unicorn fantasy... Chip
Backwards Serbian here: "...Russia can wipe out Europe with zero consequences for it as long as France is left untouched..." - why France should be left untouched? Croissants? Wine? Cheese? Chez Maxim?
Little by little, then all at once. The accumulation of permanent strategic advantages is key.
Leg kicks in combat sports, to draw an analogy, are rarely flashy. They sting more than they incapacitate. With sufficient volume, however, the accumulated damage leaves fighters stumbling, unable to move, unable to attack, unable to defend and, with time, unable to stand altogether. The end in such fights arrives suddenly. A fighter simply crumbles in a heap, in pain, unable to resist the imminent onslaught.
Russia's war strategy is the same. The war will end unremarkably with Ukraine on its knees.
>Little by little, then all at once. The accumulation of permanent strategic advantages is key.
We have been hoping for that for three years now, yet that day is still not coming.
They will lose Pokrovsk, but that will still take another month at least, then what? Nothing strategic will happen until Kiev is under siege, and that isn't even in the Kremlin's plans now.
As a reminder, Pokrovsk and Myrnograd are respectively the 69th and 86th largest cities in Ukraine.
And of the 89 cities with population over 50,000 Russia currently holds 27, but of these 27 it held 19 already back in 2015, took 7 in the first three months of the war, and Bakmut in May 2023. Since then it has taken zero such cities. In 26 months...
Which is because absolutely zero moves have been made towards solving the strategic problem of isolating the battlefield and cutting Ukraine off from NATO, even though that can be accomplished within less than an hour of Putin finally remembering that he personally has balls and that the country he is the president of has the most firepower on the planet.
"Russia is using a tactic of positional attrition - not to advance, but to destroy the Ukrainian army." So Ukraine will not be cut off from NATO at all. This could be the forever war until 2034 that Zanulhny talks about. lol
attacking with all might in 2014 would have probably led to a better battlefield result,
that would be significantly more difficult to keep and defend
And,
it would have exposed Russian Federation to the risk of defeat and regime change, and subsequently partition, destruction.
In the years between 2014 and 2022
Russia was getting better prepared, but Ukraine was getting stronger too, through NATO training, creation of a large reserve force..
There is never a perfect moment, and. starting a war that may require hundreds thousands lives, and potentially escalation to nuclear war is a serious decision.
We know now, West has never been serious, and will not stop aggression on Russia until defeated resolutely, we know now Ukrainian nationalists are so obsessed with fear that independent but neutral Ukraine might end up speaking Russian that they prefer to fight a war, and lose million men than risk neutral Ukraine.
But Russian society was not ready in 2014. A hope that reason might prevail, either in Ukraine or in US, or in Europe, and that peaceful solution of neutral Ukraine will be chosen was not unreasonable - at the time.
But there is no place for hope in dealing with hostile powers.
Now, it is obvious, this is an existential war, and demands great sacrifices.
Russia has won wars against Swedes, Napoleon, Hitler, and I have no doubts that Russo-Ukrainian war will end with victory for Russia.
Europe will not start a nuclear war, but it is possible/likely/probable that, at the moment of Ukrainian collapse, conventional forces will enter Ukraine.
>attacking with all might in 2014 would have probably led to a better battlefield result, that would be significantly more difficult to keep and defend
Absolute nonsense.
Back in 2014 Ukraine was nowhere near as Nazified.
As a small, but important example, there was an attempt to create of Kharkov People's Republic in 2014, ultimately crushed, but by 2022 we know what reception the Russian army received there.
In 2014 Putin could have walked to Kiev and then to the Polish border, cleaned out the Nazis, annexed the whole country if he wanted to, and there wouldn't have been much of a challenge.
>But Russian society was not ready in 2014
That is true, but:
1) Not in the way you think
2) Whose job was it to have it ready? It had only been known the West is doing a slow-motion Operation Barbarossa V.2 since what, 1994 or so? And Ukraine had already been couped a decade prior, hadn't it?
3) Russian society wasn't ready in 2022 either, because again, whose job was it to have it ready and who didn't do that job?
There was a jew Jacob Beser who participated, with joy, in the bombings of two Japanese cities filled with civilians. He went to boast about his achievements.
Jacob Beser became a head of the HIAS - the Hebrew Immigrant Aid Society in New York City (see the illegal immigration to the US). This jewish pest and major war criminal preferred to live within western civilization, away from the zionist state.
Not if it can be avoided, yes if it cannot be, firmly not in Ukraine itself.
The first step would be to nuke the border crossings with the standard Russian 75-kt tactical warhead but on bunker buster missiles, so that craters of 300-400 m width and 100 m depth are excavated, completely severing all tranpost connection.
That can be done with practically zero civilian casualties.
And should have been done back in 2022 already.
And was considered, which we know because members of the State Duma defense comittee talked about it in public back in 2023.
The need to keep the war going at all costs is a sickening reflection of our sadistic ruling elite but is not surprising when one looks back over the last couple of hundred years. What is surprising is the sheer desperation and lack of cohesion in their efforts. It's hard to fathom how batshit crazy our western world is sometimes and rather worryingly, how crazier it might get. The war may last till 2034 sort of tells you how far our lunatics are willing to go with this.
It seemed a bold, even crazy prediction 10 years ago, but the place is completely ungovernable and if it limps along much longer, it will just splat harder.
The US must outlast the EU. That's the only service it can offer Western Civilization after the mess it made.
at the times of a crisis, only a rule of true patriots can save a country.
The USA is infected, infested, devoured, demoralized, and corrupted to the bones by a foreign agent (global jewry) and compradors (the bribed and blackmailed persons in positions of power, who act against the interests of the citizenry at large).
The greatest danger to the USA is the destruction of mechanisms of feedback. When the "head" does not react to the critical needs of the "body" the whole organism perishes.
Don't lie to yourself. The Anglo-American WASP ruling class is so intertwined with the Jews I would never venture to guess if it's the malthusians or the small hats running the show from external evidence alone. As much as anyone is in control of the run away train.
I am far more concerned of (((those))) who reduced the White population in America from 90.5% (1950) to 45% (2025) than any of those dozen Nazis who protest the same in America.
Interesting that the British, who want to extend the war by whatever means necessary, have selected (democratically, of course) Ze's replacement, who coincidentally feels the war will last until 2034.
It is shocking how clearly 20th century Populists verbalized the budding problem of forever wars. Charles A Lindbergh, Jr. wrote: ‘Our nation has been led to war with promises of peace. It is now being led toward dictatorship with promises of democracy.’
Re: our ruling Elites Eoin. It seems to me that "robbery with violence" has been their MO and the source of their power and wealth for the past 500 years, if not longer. Now, the tide has turned, albeit slowly, but nonetheless many of its former victims and vassals are prepared to put up with it any longer. Niger, Chad, Senegal and Burkina Faso are examples of this turning of the tables. They can see the writing on the wall as clear as Belchazzar could, they cannot, will not and dare not tell their citizens the truth and so are driven to a desperate cocktail of lies, propaganda, impotence, and the persecution of the populace that dares speak out, creating and sustaining a feedback loop of hatred and distrust both at home and abroad.
I don't think it will last that long. They talk a lot of complete and utter shite. That's all they have really… Talk and bluster. They live in their own little fantasy world, which is definitely frightening. Let's just hope these freaks get smacked off own somehow. They need to be locked up for the rest of their miserable life's.
Of course the protests won't stop despite Zelensky's backtrack. Now the wheel is spinning (against Zelensky) and it won't stop. For those interested, here is my analysis of the bigger picture beyond Ukraine and the Middle East, with focus on the Caucasus: https://open.substack.com/pub/geopolitiq/p/iran-russia-china-trilateral-talks
At this point Ukraine is almost irrelevant. NATO's best proxy ever is losing and will continue to lose until they no longer have the forces and means to resist.
The real elephant in the room is whether the western moneymen are willing to accept the coming collapse of their 81 year old Bretton Woods system for ruling the world. (Clinton, W Bush, Trump, and Biden are all about the same age as Bretton Woods and none is looking particularly virile.)
Or, have the financiers decided to have a Wagnerian end and keep poking the bear even after Ukraine is done, until Russia has no choice other than a strategic response? Twilight of the (Money) Gods indeed. Or was T. S Eliot right a century ago, "This is the way the world ends, Not with a bang but a whimper."
Can a country stand after losing half of its population, only old people left, no money to pay for pensions, no birth and no young kids to work or fight?
Ukraine only has old people left, waiting for their pensions every month. The rest is police, public servant, military, etc. Exactly what if left of Ukraine economy, apart from farm long?
The minute money stops being pumped and pensions don’t get paid, the house of cards collapses
Zaluzhny , based on that video, comes across as even less competent than the Goblin and seems noticeably even more nervous. Maybe he knows his time is coming, and given what will happen to his predecessor, why wouldn’t he be nervous.
I wish you were right but I can not see it, Jeannie.
Anti communist and with that anti Russian sentiment in the West is given with their mothers milk for generations and this propaganda is deeply ingrained.
The powers that be will blame Russia for the declining wealth since there is "no alternative for a democracy" other than to help Ukraine to fight against the evil Russia.
As this crazy German General stated: ...the freedom to give up everything is true freedom"".
I wish he would start with giving up his position but this kind of crazy talk goes without any reaction, any push back and the people seem paralyzed, unorganized and caught in a never ending spiral of voting over and over again for the lunatics that mean no good.
I know they are trying to blame Russia, but the citizens are not ready to give up everything for Ukraine. Even though the propaganda and censorship is thick, people are suffering from the consequences, and the breaking point is near.
As far as voting, nobody votes for the EU bureaucrats, and as anti globalists parties rise, they get smacked down by outlawing them, arresting their leaders, or cancelling election results.
People are voting, but the neocons have to resort to authoritarianism. That's lifted the veil for many who aren't buying the narrative anymore. It's a big red flag.
Sorry, I cannot say. That is a name that would create a major revolt here. In reality several came up with and used the idea. Maybe some were simple repetitions.
Once again, despite a clear presentation of the facts, I have no idea what's going on.
Are the protests legitimate? Don't know. Are they being supported by a powerful faction inside Ukraine? No idea. Why hasn't Z sent in the SBU to clear out the squares? No clue. Who is really behind the Western push for "Z must go"? Haven't the foggiest idea. Is Russia making as much headway on the ground as it could? Shrug.
All I can say is wars are popping up all over the place. By my count, we've got: Myanmar vs. 10+ domestic groups heating up, FADRC vs M23 vs Wazalendo (Rwanda, DRC, and Burundi), Thailand vs. Cambodia, whatever tf is going on in S. Sudan w/r/t Uganda, Houthis v. Israel, Houthis v. UAE/SA, Israel v. all of Gaza AND the West Bank, the whole al-Suwaida thing in Syria plus Kurds in the north, explosions in Iraq (Irbil), Mali and BF vs. JNIM/CMA, some kind of craziness in Chad (involving Russia's Africa Corps), and god only knows what's happening in (regular) Sudan these days.
On the brink of breaking out again soon: Libya (GNA v. Haftar), Somalia vs Jubaland, Ethiopia v. Tigray/Eritrea, Venezuela v. Guyana (Essequibo), India vs. China (Arunachal Pradesh, esp with the new water issue), India v. Pakistan (esp J&K), and of course Israel v. Iran. Plus those dirty bastards in Azerbaijan are always up to no good.
Got to admit, not looking so good for poor old 2025. About the only positive news is that France, Germany, and the UK are rapidly running out of money so are increasingly unable to stir the pot in their usual high-handed way.
"France, Germany, and the UK are rapidly running out of money."
Are you ignoring the money laundered from drugs, weapons and human trafficking? The front men of these countries aren't calling the shots. They are well down the hierarchy.
Martin Armstrong is telling his clients to get their money out of Europe as when the war starts they won't be able to get their money out. Sounds to me if everyone got their money out of Europe they couldn't afford their war. So everyone, get your money out of Europe.
Zelinsky's "replacement" will be even worse. The UK (mainly the mi6) has been cultivating their own successor -- Ukrainian General Valery Zaluzhny (currently Ukraine's Ambassador to the UK). The UK wants war, direct involvement in Ukraine, and World War 3. Zaluzhny is their boy.
The really wild thing here is that Zelinsky replaced himself. The President of Ukraine, Volodymyr named his former Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Valery Zaluzhny as the Ambassador of Ukraine to the United Kingdom. Zelinsky was just following orders from the UK, I guess.
The rulers in britain have no priority other than the "Special Relationship", in getting the Americans embroiled in a million conflicts so that they can show the Americans just how loyal and indispensable they are.
We see a similar dynamic when the dog barks at the main carrier.
I'd say 2025 with the exception of Ukraine(US) v Russia and the blatant genocide (instead of the odd thousand or so Palestinians killed yearly) is pretty much on par with most of the 21st century. What's unique is our awareness of the hidden hand in every conflict, ie our little private banking cartel and the fact that these sadists are now at their most desperate and dangerous point, like a cornered rat.
"anti-Semitic"
LOL ashkeNAZI sub-human animals aren't Semites.
Those friends were chosen for him by Victoria Nuland and John McCain.
Just call them white supremacists..."antisemitic Nazi" is included under that group.
Both the terms 'Nazi' and 'antisemitic' have been so overused, that they've lost their sparkle, combining them makes it doubly dull.
just name the jew problem.
Victoria Nuland JEW
John McCain shabos goy controlled by the jew
>anti-Semitic Nazis
The current Ukrainian Nazis are not anti-semitic.
The Zhidobandera meme is so popular that Kolomoyski wore it on a T-shirt, proudly.
And they had Jews from Israel and Banderites literally hugging each other in Uman back in 2023 or so.
It depends on your understanding of what "Antisemitic" truly means...
explain.... why would anyone not be anti - jew as they are world problem - genocidal chicken swinger sin merchants
stop using "NAZI" it is just a slur word made up to attack NSDAP.
Because what did they ever do to piss anyone off?
Don't feed the troll.
Good point well made, FF.
Keep whining Jew.
Yes Jew. What did the NSDAP do that the ZOGs of USA UK or Soviet do ?
Had their capital occupied by enemy forces and their country partitioned because they lost a world war.
Ask me a harder one Adolf.
Now why don't you do us all a favour by following your leader's example and shooting yourself in the head?
Yes Jew. The point is NSDAP did nothing wrong. Germany fought honorably. Unlike The ZOGs
Agree that German Nazi were honorable people as compared to jewish thugs and thieves called zionists, who have been trying to emulate fascists since 1930s.
You are right.
The Ukraine rabbis have been blessing the banderites nonstop:
"At a banquet held at Kyiv's central synagogue, Lieutenant General Kyrylo Budanov, head of Ukraine's Defense Intelligence, lit the second Hanukkah candle on the menorah alongside the Chief Rabbi Yonatan Markovitch and the Israeli ambassador.
Budanov stated, "The flame of this candle will illuminate our future victory – both ours and that of the State of Israel."
"Rabbi Moshe Reuven Asman announced this on Facebook: On the eve of the great and holy day of Yom Kippur (Day of Atonement). I had the honor to bless for a good, sweet, and victorious year – the legendary person, head of the GUR, Kyrylo Oleksiyovych Budanov."
While the Orthodox Christian Churches in Ukraine were harassed and looted by the Kievan Junta, the monstrous synagogue "menorah" in Dnipropetrovsk was fine.
More: "Ukraine’s Jewish president, Volodymyr Zelensky, lit candles with the country’s Chabad rabbis. ... Zelensky was flanked by 11 rabbis, emissaries of the Chabad-Lubavitch Hasidic movement who are the main purveyors of Jewish leadership in Ukraine. ... A rabbi presented Zelensky with a large menorah emblazoned with an image of the ancient Temple in Jerusalem [the menorah had been given to the rabbi by Javier Milei, the president of Argentina].
Early in the war, Zelensky earned comparisons to the Maccabees, the ancient Jews and heroes of the Hanukkah story who, though outflanked in every way, fended off the efforts of foreign fighters, directed by a power-hungry ruler, to quash their independence and culture."
Some important questions: What "culture?" What this Semitic tribe is doing in the Slavic lands?
Not the first time Jews and Nazis buddied up in a common cause:
https://artsandculture.google.com/asset/commemorative-coin-with-a-swastika-and-star-of-david-owned-by-a-young-jewish-girl-who-fled-nazi-germany/qQGm1j29x-bWPg?hl=en
The coin was minted by a jewish organization looking to curry favour in the discussions about the "Transfer Agreement" taking place between international jewry and the German government. The National Socialists had NOTHING to do with it. NOTHING!
You are deeply mistaken. Zelensky (jewish) is a creature of Kolomojsky, the former president of the jewish community of Ukraine. Kolomojsky also founded and funded four openly Nazi battalions, including the Azov, Aidar, and Dnipro I and Dnipro II battalions. The zionist state of Israel has aligned itself with Ukrainian neo-Nazi.
The whole Ukrainian affair, which cost millions of the Slavic lives, was promoted by American ziocons such as the Kagans' clan, Gershman (NED), Blinken, the ADL, and the likes. All jewish members of US Congress have been supporting the arming and financing the banderite (neo-Nazi) regime in Kiev.
And yet Putin is best buddies (or he thinks he is) with Netanyahu and is surrounded by Jewisn oligarchs and some very suspicious rabbis.
Isn't it time for someone in Russia to start seriously looking into that tiny little insignificant potential problem before it is too late?
And doesn't that association explain a lot of otherwise rather mysterious aspects of the way the war is (not) fought, that are currently rationalized away with convoluted posthoc arguments about "muh attrition" and other such nonsense?
Very true.
The snake is dangerous and must be under constant observation.
The death cult of judaism has no moral principles. Currently, the zionist state is dense with the most sadistic abusers of children. The cult is run by merciless degenerates who, as Voltaire predicted, have become a danger to mankind.
Just when we thought things were getting crazy in Ukraine all hell breaks loose. Trump really has upset the apple cart.
I'm sure Zelinsky know that there is now blood in the water and the sharks have his ass targeted. I can't say I feel.sorry for him.
P.S. Thanks again Puss.
I surprised these protesters aren’t grabbed & sent to the front??
Hmmm, I can only guess the recruit kidnappers are afraid of getting killed.
They are the normal Open Society rent a flash mob "protest".
I could not count them all but it seems the majority were younger women.
Young men wearing skirts and wigs must be in the mix, I suppose..
chicks with dicks...
Hahaha.. Good to laugh.. It is said even in a funeral procession, we sometimes laugh out..
aka, whistling past the graveyard!
Here in Africa, people have been seen dancing with a coffin on their shoulders.. I guess in Ghana if you can google it..
Did you notice how most of them were women? The men have already been taken. One tell-tale sign is when the crowd is shouting out the tone of the sound is distinctly female - higher pitch - tells you there are not many male voices in that crowd.
Any man wearing a skirt would want to lie low..
They are ngo professional protesters and "activistas". Of course they aren't sent, they are owned by the EU and US. 🤔😁🤬
Yawn....all smoke, no fire...At some point, this war will turn into a rout, but there's no guessing when that will be...My guess, however, is next spring...
You and Mr Ursu should form a club, you can look at things through your “analysis is boring” lens and he can use his confusion lens. Should work well for both of you.
So what is your un-boring analysis and lack of confusion lens telling you?
Seemingly your sole criteria for things of value revolves around avoidance of boredom
A wartime leader challenged by the general population will never be the same again. He was given a taste of what can come and he will have to always calculate that in before he acts. There is obviously a hard inner core of the UAF, heavily invested in years of fighting and their leadership surely well compensated. NATO/US is unlikely to make a move to dispose of Zelensky as the possible outcomes cannot be calculated. That would leave Russia as a deciding factor but Russia could have terminated him in the last three years if they really wanted to. And that means the ‘humorist with limited talent’ stays where he is unless an insider group around him rises to the occasion.
>A wartime leader challenged by the general population will never be the same again.
This is the most obviously fake protest ever. Hold your horses.
Ukrainians spent three years being literally hunted on the streets to be sent to the front for slaughter, a million of them are dead and maimed, and nobody dares protest, but the moment NABU (which few people know what that even is) is touched there is a massive outpouring of angry citizens?
Please...
Forgive me for repeating myself:
Ukraine has long had a problem with overproduction of elites, and the NGO network was a convenient and relatively cheap way to buy off and co-opt those surplus elites.
‘massive outpouring of angry citizens?’ That is how it often happens. The majority of the Ukraine civilians are thinking and they see hopeless, endless suffering waiting for them unless they put the brakes on the No. 1 Piano Player of the country. Their evaluation is: If they submit to the Russian forces most of them will survive. If they keep fighting anything can happen. They base this logic on the fact that although Russia clearly has the means, they did not cause mass-casualties by attacking Kiev or other mostly Ukrainian cities during the war.
Piano player is waging war the same way he plays piano...
https://youtu.be/2leB6YHtBck?si=OaPoO3Ho5eCrP68u
GM
it is a luxury protest,
these protesters will not be shot at, grabbed and sent to the front...
these protesters have a luxury of western protection
So, yes, a fake protest
If ever comes a real protest
there will be blood on the streets, brutal violence,
there is absolutely no chance of peaceful change of regime
Hard core Ukrainian leadership is well in control,
so much has been invested in Zelensky
in a sense of public relations, he is now a valuable brand,
a puppet, ready to play whatever role has been prepared,
his controllers, a core of Ukrainian nationalists, in military and secret services,
would probably prefer to continue using Zelensky,
attack, pressure on Zelensky is an attempt of Trump's people to get some control over Ukrainians
hard core is using Zelensky as a negotiating chip,
We even gave you Zelensky, how dare you ask for more?
So, yes, there is readiness to sacrifice Zelensky, but at somewhat greater price
This is like testing a microphone, 1,2,3, testing, testing
Testing the mechanisms of fake protest, testing the mechanisms of media control...
Doesn't surprise me a bit. The whole point of the war was to gain admission to The Club.
Dismantling NGOs is not going to smooth admission to The Club. Moreover, Ukraine has long had a problem with overproduction of elites, and the NGO network was a convenient and relatively cheap way to buy off and co-opt those surplus elites.
Overproduction of jewish oligarchs since 1992? Accompanied by looting and corruption? - yes, this is a picture of a ripen Ukraine.
Oooooops!
Is this really how a Rent a Gang looks and sounds like? I think this whole theory of a giant Rent a Gang creating this nationwide demonstration wave is surrealistic. Just to make a statement they even burned the picture of their beloved No. 1 Piano Master. This happened last night, 7/24/25 in Kiev.
‘MASKS AND SMOKE: SHOCK PROTEST AGAINST ZELENSKY ERUPTS AT PRO-NABU RALLY** **Soldiers in uniform among crowds, masked journalists, and ignored curfew – the signal that Kyiv is on the brink of a legitimacy crisis**’
**Soldiers in combat gear** *"Zelensky = Dictator"*, *"Yermak New Rasputin"*, *"Free NABU or the War Is Pointless"*.
X.com @Marcorio61O
AND:
Protest erupts outside Ukrainian President Zelensky's office in Kyiv.
A huge gathering of people, way oversized even for Soros to pay for this....
X: Major Anthony Jones, @majorbrainpain
When the camera panned the crowd wasn't dense or deep. Need more cookies.
Something was started there I would not underestimate. There are endless numbers of historical examples where major changes were triggered by similar acts. The East German, Polish, Hungarian revolts of the 1950s and the Czechoslovakian halfhearted rebellion in 1968, they all started with street demonstrations. The Hungarian Revolution in October of 1956 became a major act with shocking worldwide consequences for the communist world. Otto von Habsburg characterized it as ‘The Stalingrad of communism.’
Luxury protesters cannot produce a major change
The videos showed real people with real emotions.
Well, Kennewick
these real people are protesting in the same country,
where armed people can grab any male on the street, beat him violently if he resists, shove him into the van and send him to the front
where really opposing people e.g. willing to continue speaking their mother tongue Russian, can be shot at, burned alive in a building, attacked inside a church
protesters you describe are real people, and they have real emotions,
but they are under protection of. the West
and everybody, including police, protesters themselves knows, they will not be harmed
this R.D. Laing like I know you know I know we all know is what I call luxury protest
Americans: if you have stolen hundred millions of our money you should at least listen, and obey
Ukrainian leader: you gave money because we did something for you, I took it because it was good for me, and good for Ukraine. I am not going to obey. I will continue taking money for Ukraine and me.
Americans: if you will not obey I will regime change you, accusing you of corruption
Ukrainian leader: just try, everybody is corrupted here, people will just laugh at you, I will resist, and tell people your agents are Russian agents. There are very few people in Ukraine willing to work with you.
I think you are right; there is something. In Corona times I saw the difference between some NGO protests (meaning government-funded) and real protests. The videos from Kyiv and other places give me the impression of real protests; maybe there is some help from some embassy stuff, maybe some foreign money is involved, but I see old and young, and I see a lot of women. Of course no children, but I think this is due to the shown brutality of the regime; again, like the Corona protests, whereinmost places families could take part, but, e.g., in Berlin they used water cannons (on a really cold day) against children and elderly people.
The overwhelming majority of these protesters were angry White Women. They simply had enough and they knew they were the most likely social segment who could get away with this act without being punished. It was a nasty job but somebody had to do it.
I’m sure Victoria could up her game by offering brownies with chocolate chips in them unfortunately she has already consumed most of them
In 2014, in Ukraine, Nuland-Kagan had began an open phase of jewish "fascism on the march" in the Slavic world.
Maurice Samuel words come to mind:
"We Jews, we, the destroyers, will remain the destroyers forever. Nothing that you will do will meet our needs and demands. We will forever destroy because we need a world of our own, a God-world, which it is not in your nature to build."
It is long overdue to show the door to the likes of Kagans, Wexner, Karp, Adelson, Blinken et al. -- move out of the western civilization, anti-gentile jews! All these militant supremacist jews must learn how to co-exist with their Semitic relatives in the Middle East, in situ.
All jewish organizations in the western world -- from jewish federations to the ADL, AIPAC, holobiz museums, and such -- must be banned.
Jews were never able to build their own civilization due to their (indoctrinated) mental defect which can be described as 'supremacist leeching.'
Maurice Samuel explained pretty well the jewish mentality and goals:
"There are two life-forces in the world I know: Jewish and gentile, ours and yours... I do not believe that this primal difference between gentile and Jew is reconcilable. You and we may come to an understanding, never to a reconciliation. There will be irritation between us as long as we are in intimate contact. For nature and constitution and vision divide us from all of you forever."
Move out of the western civilization, anti-gentile jews! Learn how to co-exist with your Semitic relatives in the Middle East.
The Neanderthals are crying back the rather lengthy 400,000 year period when they were ruling Eurasia with sticks and stones. From the Romans to Stalin and Hitler and present day Populists all came to the same conclusion: Separation is the only solution.
"For their part, the EU politburo released a “cautious” statement that expresses approval for steps taken ‘so far’ in ameliorating the situation, but shows that the EU is not yet fully convinced of Zelensky’s sincerity:" Their biggest question, is he a loyal Nazi or not?
Leadership has turned into a parody. Trump shows us the confusion amongst our masters by enthusiastically embracing all the conflicting ideology at the same time. As if to say, don't blame me, I can only give orders, the real power lies elsewhere. Isn't that obvious to you idiots yet?
Our elections are a grand show, our democracy, an empty shadow of the distant past.
The news on battlefield results are interesting, but lack meaningful context. The maps have no scale. The cities are just names.
What are the total changes over time in miles and population?
Its not about how much territory or population captured, its attrition, the erosion of the enemy’s ability to continue fighting. But if you are interested in territory, look at this site which does map time lapses of Russian progress:
https://m.youtube.com/@warmaps78
That’s talking about big picture stuff, difficult to measure and largely conceptual.
My comment was specific about the front line reports given here, about maps with advances and news of cities captured.
if you are not interested in this part of Simplicius’ articles, you can ignore my comment.
By the way, hard battlefield progress is just as important as that big-pic stuff. It takes many perspectives to understand a war
I also find the maps here very difficult to follow, often with no clue which town is significant for which objective or why some obscure village is important.
I guess I would have to look elsewhere to get a broad overview of the whole front.
Any recommendations are welcome...
There are reports giving useful snapshots of the war. Here is a nice map from the UK Ministry of Defense, 16 May 2025. It shows Russia’s gains in the context of the overall region - and even has a scale. It’s just a snapshot, giving one perspective on a complex situation.
https://x.com/DefenceHQ/status/1923301443907342411
Thanks, that's very helpful.
Try Military Summary Channel https://m.youtube.com/@militarysummary/videos
Or search Suriyak maps, ISW, UA livemap or Deepstate UA.
Changes in kms over time are much slower than a turtle can walk.
1/ Many wars have been decided by slow advances.
2/ If you’re uninterested in Simplicius’ reports of changes in the front lines, you won’t find of interest my comment about them.
Meaningful context would be recognising when the front breaks, and static WW1 war turns into WW1 of the autumn 1918, or into end stage WW2.
Right now, expectations of Russian economic collapse run parallel with expectations of Ukrainian manpower collapse.
An asymmetric attritional war. Very few historical examples.
The war is a world war, because all around the globe forces are mobilising, positions are shifting, a world war of allies, providing help, money, weapons, soldiers.
A world war, with only one rule, let's not start nuclear war.
1/ As many military historians have said, many of the larger dynamics of this war are quite old school. Martin van Crevald said at the very start of this war that it would be decided by attrition. The gee-wiz insta-experts laughed at him.
2/ If you are only interested in that big picture stuff, you probably ignore Simplicius’ detailed reports of the front lines moving. So you won’t be interested in my comment.
Irish-99
One can rarely, almost never put all what one thinks in a single comment, and there is always a risk of misuderstanding.
Just a clarification; I do not look at detailed reports of the front lines moving as unimportant, or not interesting.
Why?
War is asymmetric, but frontline is real, the truth. Analysts, professionals, working for CIA; MI6; Ukrainian, Chinese or Russian services can be analysing thousands of informations, and reaching conclusions about the future.
As an amateur I can only look at the frontline, and make my conclusions.
So yes, I follow front line information, as the only reliable indicator of truth, of true balance or misbalance of power.
Which is exactly the point of my original comment. I suggested a simple way to make Simplicius’ battlefield reports more useful. Yikes - maps without scales?
That this provoked such big conceptual replies is hilarious.
No comment
Telegram will help you. Nobody is going to do all the work for you. Too much at stake.
Are you kidding us? We read the news because nobody has time to do original research on the scores of significant global events, even for those issues about which we have some expertise.
Let’s replay your statement in context: ‘There is no need to include a scale on maps showing changes in Ukraine fronts, or give the populations of cities mentioned - because Telegram can help, and each reader must do it himself. Because too much is at stake.’
Well, ok then.
I pvt messaged you. Good analysis or solid context is super rare in this War. Ask yourself, why?
I have written about America’s mad wars for a quarter century, working with some A-class military experts in the US and elsewhere. I have a broad if amateur’s knowledge of military history.
My answer: the “fog of war” rules everywhere and always. Wars are started based on gross misinformation and flawed analysis. When leaders are given sound insights, they ignore them.
* Japan’s Total War Institute accurately predicted the course of WW2.
* A US Army Survey team accurately predicted the course of our adventure in Vietnam (1958?).
* Pentagon War games in 1964 accurately predicted the course of the war.
During wars, the public is fed lies. Reporters combine the lies with ignorance to produce “news.” Even with fragments of accurate information, leaders often cannot form accurate pictures of events.
Using theory, not data, accurate long predictions are sometimes possible. Greats like Martin van Creveld, William Lind, and Chet Richards (plus lessor lights, like me) used 4GW theory to successfully predict the outcome of our occupations of Iraq and Afghanistan.
Trivia sidenote - My reaction to the obvious lies about Afghanistan and Iraq led to my recruitment as a voluntary analyst by the team running the Defense and National Interest website. When that closed, we started the Fabius Maximus website - producing some amazingly accurate predictions.
Disclosure - “Fog of war” was coined by Clausewitz.
Correction: General Ridgeway and President Ike read the Army Survey report and resisted the pressure to jump into Vietnam. Johnson and his generals put it down the memory hole.
This did not age well for Creveld. He clearly does not understand this Ukrainian War. Few understand it. https://amac.us/newsline/national-security/military-historian-predicts-putin-has-lost-his-war-in-ukraine/
It seems Hussein Hopper replied to my comment, but blocked me so that I cannot see or reply to it. By the magic of tech, here is a reply.
1/ So you are the comment police, telling people where to post comments. You have a “vastly inflated sense of your ability.” Consider the ancient adage “When you point at someone with one finger, there are 3 fingers pointing back at you.”
2/ I answered the question asked, explaining why experts, leaders, and amateurs find giving good analysis of wars so difficult.
3/ My statements about the Fabius Maximus website were about facts - all easily checked by spending a few minutes looking at the site’s Authors page, Hits page, and Smackdown/Misses page.
https://fabiusmaximus.com/future/predictions/
https://fabiusmaximus.com/future/smackdowns/
4/ Perhaps you could do what everyone else on this thread does: discuss the situation and avoid the ad hominems.
Your comments such as they are amount to boasting. Eg,. “ worked with A class military experts”, “ amazingly accurate predictions about wars” etc etc.
You are obviously somewhat lacking in the self awareness department as you come across as an opinionated, pompous git, with a vastly inflated sense of your ability (which seems limited to self promotion.
Stick to LinkedIn or instagram.
War till 2035 wait a moment, I won’t be there anymore and probably Trump, Sell sorry Zel, Ursula, Merz, Putin, Stormer….?
Now you have a reason to live longer. lol
Thanks for the music that made my youth rebellious and free, Ozzy. You can play it out loud.
Be in peace.
https://youtu.be/G3LvhdFEOqs?t=6
https://youtu.be/0qanF-91aJo?t=2
Cvnt was a vaxtard and pushed the clot shots. Like many so called rebellious rock'n'rollers he was a complaint twat when "they" pushed the button.
I didn't know he was a vax pusher. If so, what an idiot.
'Osbourne appeared on national TV in the UK to promote the jabs during the vaccine roll out, saying that he felt “relieved” after receiving his first dose of the vaccine...' - https://thepeoplesvoice.tv/fully-vaccinated-ozzy-osbourne-who-promoted-covid-jabs-to-public-dies-aged-76/
Thanks, Mary-lou.
you're welcome
Thus hazing is demise. We are seeing this everywhere.
It was supposed to be hastening There’s no accounting for voice to text errors.
"Like many so called rebellious rock'n'rollers he was a complaint twat when "they" pushed the button."
I want my rock heroes to die with their guitars on. Cf Hendrix , Morrison et al. Refurbing to be a fusty old TV "star" is beyond disgusting.
Yes, to watch these old fools plastered in make-up and hair dye to be useful idiots is 🤢🤮
Well, that may be so but he would have believed the lies he was told about them and thought he was doing good work.
There are plenty of people still living who knew what they were doing when the pushed this poison, so why not focus on them and leave the memory of Ozzy out of this?
Why focus on Osbourne? Because he was a vaxtard pushing clot shots and any fans of his that were simple minded would have been influenced.
Never forget what the pushers of the clot shots and their willing celebrity helpers did to humanity.
Fuck him. Rot In Piss.
On tg today his pro vax social media was outed. He said he was so relieved to get his first (clot shot). What an utter twat.
good riddance jew..
https://morgthorak.substack.com/p/was-ozzy-osbourne-a-zionist
Thx, Simplicius!
All is well on the Western Front.
Interesting that Zaluzhny expressed those badly disguised wishful thoughts of continuing the War until 2034. By 2034 he hopes EU/NATO has done the re-armament of all forces and will be prepared to attack Russia in full?
Or what do he thinks will change by 2034? No more men and girls to throw in the meatgrinder?
Military men always wants to fight wars, it is their breath of life…
>By 2034 he hopes EU/NATO has done the re-armament of all forces and will be prepared to attack Russia in full?
What exactly would that preparation be?
They will attack and then what? And how?
Missiles will be fired from Germany and Poland towards Moscow, and perhaps deeper but long before they have crossed the Urals nukes will be flying towards Europe from Siberia and the SSBNs, and then what?
It makes no sense. Or maybe it does make some sense but in a different way.
We saw how Israel having nukes and Iran likely having them too did not in any way stop Israel from attacking Iran or Iran from firing back. Same story with India and Pakistan, who have gone to war on numerous occasions since both had nukes.
It looks like the mutually assured destruction calculus does not prevent a limited conventional war, and over time the scope of what "limited conventional war" means can expand.
It was pretty serious when Israel attacked Iran, and had they managed to kill the ayatollah and a few more key people, then who knows, they may well have carried out a successful regime change operation.
So it might be that this is what Europe will be preparing for. Because right now there is no mutually assured destruction between Europe and Russia. Russia can wipe out Europe with zero consequences for it as long as France is left untouched. But by 2034 that might not be the case.
Few people noticed it, but just before June 12th the Iranians released a bunch of documents related to the Israeli nuclear program, and one of the revelations was that Israel has been helping a "European country" develop nukes. It was not specified which country that was, but the prime suspects are Germany and Poland, and perhaps even Ukraine.
Thus we can easily imagine how a few years from now Germany, Poland and the rest will be armed to the teeth with nukes and ballistic missiles, and Moscow won't be able to do anything strategically. Yet they will still attack and it will be a perpetual war, in which the Europeans are to play the same kamikaze role Ukraine is playing now, draining Russia of its human and economic resources.
Karaganov has this correct -- the spine of the Euros must be crushed once and for all, and that has to be done now, not at some point later in the future. But Putin is the king of missing windows of opportunity, creating a much bigger mess to be resolved later on as a result, and then not dealing with that mess decisively either, making the problem even larger, and so on...
Yes. My question was rhetorical because the statement from Zaluzhny lacked the obvious conclusion of ”what then?”. If the War will be over in 2034 because of exhaustion then why dont they settle the fight right now?
We do know that Rotten in NATO HQ and EU-leaders has expressed that Russia will go to War against European countries before 2030 and that EU need 10 years of re-arming.
And I share your thoughts about the MAD doctrine. It is of no use right now. People dont fear it anymore. They long for it.
mad as hell
“They long for it [nuclear war].” Right. Anything to be relieved of the burden of living. “Living, and partly living…” (Eliot)
Ukraine is a proxy
Europe is a proxy
Putin would have to attack America if problem is be solved
So, no, attacking anyone in Europe with nuclear weapons is not a good strategy
Karaganov is correct in the sense that one has to crush the spine of antiRUssian Europe
but it cannot be done by nuclear weapon
Russia has to survive, thrive, develop, get stronger,
and win in conventional war,
and develop a network of allies and friends
just destroy that illegal jew state.... send a food convoy to Palestine
Destruction of western currencies would do the thing.
A well-constructed personal endangerment to the banking dynasties and BlackRock & Palantir' war profiteers would help. Namely, a detailed map of bunkers for the main "deciders" would be a beautiful fact on (under) the ground.
>Destruction of western currencies would do the thing.
1) On what time scale relative to the time scale of hot war?
2) Currency strength is a function of military strength, not the other way around. What backs the dollar is the threat that the US military will bomb the shit out of you if you don't hand over your real valuables in exchange for green pieces of paper (or, increasingly these days, symbols on a screen).
As long as nobody destroys that US ability to bomb the shit out of others, the dollar will remain strong.
It is that simple.
But the delusional multipolidiots can't understand it.
>Karaganov is correct in the sense that one has to crush the spine of antiRUssian Europe
>but it cannot be done by nuclear weapon
And how will it be done without it, pray tell?
> Russia has to survive, thrive, develop, get stronger, and win in conventional war,
The last conventional war Russia "won" it never recovered from, and lost what it had fought for three centuries prior to that for without a fight in just a few years eventually.
The outcome of the current conventional war will be that it will lose what it fought for another two centuries further back in time, unless radical measures are taken.
>and develop a network of allies and friends
In the real world power speaks. And so does weakness.
What do we have empirically? Has Russia been gaining or losing allies? Honest answer. How many actual allies can you list?
Europe is a dead man walking already. Financial collapse is in the cards to be dealt at a yet unknown future date. That's why the 5% GDP on defense spending is unicorn fantasy... Chip
Backwards Serbian here: "...Russia can wipe out Europe with zero consequences for it as long as France is left untouched..." - why France should be left untouched? Croissants? Wine? Cheese? Chez Maxim?
You may have nailed it there, Mickey. Zaluzhny and the Brits are no doubt hatching plans for the next round in the NATO war against Russia.
Little by little, then all at once. The accumulation of permanent strategic advantages is key.
Leg kicks in combat sports, to draw an analogy, are rarely flashy. They sting more than they incapacitate. With sufficient volume, however, the accumulated damage leaves fighters stumbling, unable to move, unable to attack, unable to defend and, with time, unable to stand altogether. The end in such fights arrives suddenly. A fighter simply crumbles in a heap, in pain, unable to resist the imminent onslaught.
Russia's war strategy is the same. The war will end unremarkably with Ukraine on its knees.
Aldo v Faber. Lol
>Little by little, then all at once. The accumulation of permanent strategic advantages is key.
We have been hoping for that for three years now, yet that day is still not coming.
They will lose Pokrovsk, but that will still take another month at least, then what? Nothing strategic will happen until Kiev is under siege, and that isn't even in the Kremlin's plans now.
As a reminder, Pokrovsk and Myrnograd are respectively the 69th and 86th largest cities in Ukraine.
And of the 89 cities with population over 50,000 Russia currently holds 27, but of these 27 it held 19 already back in 2015, took 7 in the first three months of the war, and Bakmut in May 2023. Since then it has taken zero such cities. In 26 months...
Which is because absolutely zero moves have been made towards solving the strategic problem of isolating the battlefield and cutting Ukraine off from NATO, even though that can be accomplished within less than an hour of Putin finally remembering that he personally has balls and that the country he is the president of has the most firepower on the planet.
"Russia is using a tactic of positional attrition - not to advance, but to destroy the Ukrainian army." So Ukraine will not be cut off from NATO at all. This could be the forever war until 2034 that Zanulhny talks about. lol
Ah, yes. We know.
NUKE. EUROPE. NOW!
Get lost.
GM
attacking with all might in 2014 would have probably led to a better battlefield result,
that would be significantly more difficult to keep and defend
And,
it would have exposed Russian Federation to the risk of defeat and regime change, and subsequently partition, destruction.
In the years between 2014 and 2022
Russia was getting better prepared, but Ukraine was getting stronger too, through NATO training, creation of a large reserve force..
There is never a perfect moment, and. starting a war that may require hundreds thousands lives, and potentially escalation to nuclear war is a serious decision.
We know now, West has never been serious, and will not stop aggression on Russia until defeated resolutely, we know now Ukrainian nationalists are so obsessed with fear that independent but neutral Ukraine might end up speaking Russian that they prefer to fight a war, and lose million men than risk neutral Ukraine.
But Russian society was not ready in 2014. A hope that reason might prevail, either in Ukraine or in US, or in Europe, and that peaceful solution of neutral Ukraine will be chosen was not unreasonable - at the time.
But there is no place for hope in dealing with hostile powers.
Now, it is obvious, this is an existential war, and demands great sacrifices.
Russia has won wars against Swedes, Napoleon, Hitler, and I have no doubts that Russo-Ukrainian war will end with victory for Russia.
Europe will not start a nuclear war, but it is possible/likely/probable that, at the moment of Ukrainian collapse, conventional forces will enter Ukraine.
>attacking with all might in 2014 would have probably led to a better battlefield result, that would be significantly more difficult to keep and defend
Absolute nonsense.
Back in 2014 Ukraine was nowhere near as Nazified.
As a small, but important example, there was an attempt to create of Kharkov People's Republic in 2014, ultimately crushed, but by 2022 we know what reception the Russian army received there.
In 2014 Putin could have walked to Kiev and then to the Polish border, cleaned out the Nazis, annexed the whole country if he wanted to, and there wouldn't have been much of a challenge.
>But Russian society was not ready in 2014
That is true, but:
1) Not in the way you think
2) Whose job was it to have it ready? It had only been known the West is doing a slow-motion Operation Barbarossa V.2 since what, 1994 or so? And Ukraine had already been couped a decade prior, hadn't it?
3) Russian society wasn't ready in 2022 either, because again, whose job was it to have it ready and who didn't do that job?
Are you for nuclear bombing of civilians?
There was a jew Jacob Beser who participated, with joy, in the bombings of two Japanese cities filled with civilians. He went to boast about his achievements.
Jacob Beser became a head of the HIAS - the Hebrew Immigrant Aid Society in New York City (see the illegal immigration to the US). This jewish pest and major war criminal preferred to live within western civilization, away from the zionist state.
>Are you for nuclear bombing of civilians?
Not if it can be avoided, yes if it cannot be, firmly not in Ukraine itself.
The first step would be to nuke the border crossings with the standard Russian 75-kt tactical warhead but on bunker buster missiles, so that craters of 300-400 m width and 100 m depth are excavated, completely severing all tranpost connection.
That can be done with practically zero civilian casualties.
And should have been done back in 2022 already.
And was considered, which we know because members of the State Duma defense comittee talked about it in public back in 2023.
We can only guess who vetoed it.
The need to keep the war going at all costs is a sickening reflection of our sadistic ruling elite but is not surprising when one looks back over the last couple of hundred years. What is surprising is the sheer desperation and lack of cohesion in their efforts. It's hard to fathom how batshit crazy our western world is sometimes and rather worryingly, how crazier it might get. The war may last till 2034 sort of tells you how far our lunatics are willing to go with this.
It seemed a bold, even crazy prediction 10 years ago, but the place is completely ungovernable and if it limps along much longer, it will just splat harder.
The US must outlast the EU. That's the only service it can offer Western Civilization after the mess it made.
at the times of a crisis, only a rule of true patriots can save a country.
The USA is infected, infested, devoured, demoralized, and corrupted to the bones by a foreign agent (global jewry) and compradors (the bribed and blackmailed persons in positions of power, who act against the interests of the citizenry at large).
The greatest danger to the USA is the destruction of mechanisms of feedback. When the "head" does not react to the critical needs of the "body" the whole organism perishes.
The US was identified as an oligarchy in 2014.
Don't lie to yourself. The Anglo-American WASP ruling class is so intertwined with the Jews I would never venture to guess if it's the malthusians or the small hats running the show from external evidence alone. As much as anyone is in control of the run away train.
The US is the actual source of the problems that is undermining the very existence of the Western World.
No doubt. But if it goes away leaving their Brussels joint venture with the nazis and the colaborators in charge by default it will be even worse.
I am far more concerned of (((those))) who reduced the White population in America from 90.5% (1950) to 45% (2025) than any of those dozen Nazis who protest the same in America.
Interesting that the British, who want to extend the war by whatever means necessary, have selected (democratically, of course) Ze's replacement, who coincidentally feels the war will last until 2034.
Homicidal maniacs will find their true brothers and go to bed with them.
It is shocking how clearly 20th century Populists verbalized the budding problem of forever wars. Charles A Lindbergh, Jr. wrote: ‘Our nation has been led to war with promises of peace. It is now being led toward dictatorship with promises of democracy.’
Re: our ruling Elites Eoin. It seems to me that "robbery with violence" has been their MO and the source of their power and wealth for the past 500 years, if not longer. Now, the tide has turned, albeit slowly, but nonetheless many of its former victims and vassals are prepared to put up with it any longer. Niger, Chad, Senegal and Burkina Faso are examples of this turning of the tables. They can see the writing on the wall as clear as Belchazzar could, they cannot, will not and dare not tell their citizens the truth and so are driven to a desperate cocktail of lies, propaganda, impotence, and the persecution of the populace that dares speak out, creating and sustaining a feedback loop of hatred and distrust both at home and abroad.
I don't think it will last that long. They talk a lot of complete and utter shite. That's all they have really… Talk and bluster. They live in their own little fantasy world, which is definitely frightening. Let's just hope these freaks get smacked off own somehow. They need to be locked up for the rest of their miserable life's.
Of course the protests won't stop despite Zelensky's backtrack. Now the wheel is spinning (against Zelensky) and it won't stop. For those interested, here is my analysis of the bigger picture beyond Ukraine and the Middle East, with focus on the Caucasus: https://open.substack.com/pub/geopolitiq/p/iran-russia-china-trilateral-talks
At this point Ukraine is almost irrelevant. NATO's best proxy ever is losing and will continue to lose until they no longer have the forces and means to resist.
The real elephant in the room is whether the western moneymen are willing to accept the coming collapse of their 81 year old Bretton Woods system for ruling the world. (Clinton, W Bush, Trump, and Biden are all about the same age as Bretton Woods and none is looking particularly virile.)
Or, have the financiers decided to have a Wagnerian end and keep poking the bear even after Ukraine is done, until Russia has no choice other than a strategic response? Twilight of the (Money) Gods indeed. Or was T. S Eliot right a century ago, "This is the way the world ends, Not with a bang but a whimper."
Ukraine will still stand, Cheryl. That poses an ongoing future threat to Russia, leading to a forever war.
Can a country stand after losing half of its population, only old people left, no money to pay for pensions, no birth and no young kids to work or fight?
Ukraine only has old people left, waiting for their pensions every month. The rest is police, public servant, military, etc. Exactly what if left of Ukraine economy, apart from farm long?
The minute money stops being pumped and pensions don’t get paid, the house of cards collapses
“Living, and partly living…” (also Eliot)
Doubtful. They're already lining up the next European proxy.
And similar in the Pacific - SK, Australia, Japan - against China.
Bretton Woods collapsed in 1971 when Nixon exited the gold standard...
Zaluzhny can't be serious that this could last until 2034. With what money, what weapons?
Western tax payers will not tolerate this grifting black hole for much longer. It's getting close to torches, pitchforks and heads on pikes.
Zaluzhny , based on that video, comes across as even less competent than the Goblin and seems noticeably even more nervous. Maybe he knows his time is coming, and given what will happen to his predecessor, why wouldn’t he be nervous.
It is a poisoned chalice.
I wish you were right but I can not see it, Jeannie.
Anti communist and with that anti Russian sentiment in the West is given with their mothers milk for generations and this propaganda is deeply ingrained.
The powers that be will blame Russia for the declining wealth since there is "no alternative for a democracy" other than to help Ukraine to fight against the evil Russia.
As this crazy German General stated: ...the freedom to give up everything is true freedom"".
I wish he would start with giving up his position but this kind of crazy talk goes without any reaction, any push back and the people seem paralyzed, unorganized and caught in a never ending spiral of voting over and over again for the lunatics that mean no good.
As one Man wrote it in the 20th century: 'If voting could make any difference it would be outlawed.'
Mark Twain... Chip
I know they are trying to blame Russia, but the citizens are not ready to give up everything for Ukraine. Even though the propaganda and censorship is thick, people are suffering from the consequences, and the breaking point is near.
As far as voting, nobody votes for the EU bureaucrats, and as anti globalists parties rise, they get smacked down by outlawing them, arresting their leaders, or cancelling election results.
People are voting, but the neocons have to resort to authoritarianism. That's lifted the veil for many who aren't buying the narrative anymore. It's a big red flag.
The Evil Forces of Populism are already advancing on a global scale.
and which men...
Sorry, I cannot say. That is a name that would create a major revolt here. In reality several came up with and used the idea. Maybe some were simple repetitions.
Is there a longer video of the Pokrovsk ambush?
I have no video at all.
Get Telegram, you will learn much.
Here's a slightly longer version of the clip. In the final second you can see a third guy in the back who appears to be badly hurt:
https://t.me/CyberspecNews/87046
And here's two additional clips from a different pov regarding this incident:
https://t.me/kalibrated/23064
Once again, despite a clear presentation of the facts, I have no idea what's going on.
Are the protests legitimate? Don't know. Are they being supported by a powerful faction inside Ukraine? No idea. Why hasn't Z sent in the SBU to clear out the squares? No clue. Who is really behind the Western push for "Z must go"? Haven't the foggiest idea. Is Russia making as much headway on the ground as it could? Shrug.
All I can say is wars are popping up all over the place. By my count, we've got: Myanmar vs. 10+ domestic groups heating up, FADRC vs M23 vs Wazalendo (Rwanda, DRC, and Burundi), Thailand vs. Cambodia, whatever tf is going on in S. Sudan w/r/t Uganda, Houthis v. Israel, Houthis v. UAE/SA, Israel v. all of Gaza AND the West Bank, the whole al-Suwaida thing in Syria plus Kurds in the north, explosions in Iraq (Irbil), Mali and BF vs. JNIM/CMA, some kind of craziness in Chad (involving Russia's Africa Corps), and god only knows what's happening in (regular) Sudan these days.
On the brink of breaking out again soon: Libya (GNA v. Haftar), Somalia vs Jubaland, Ethiopia v. Tigray/Eritrea, Venezuela v. Guyana (Essequibo), India vs. China (Arunachal Pradesh, esp with the new water issue), India v. Pakistan (esp J&K), and of course Israel v. Iran. Plus those dirty bastards in Azerbaijan are always up to no good.
Got to admit, not looking so good for poor old 2025. About the only positive news is that France, Germany, and the UK are rapidly running out of money so are increasingly unable to stir the pot in their usual high-handed way.
Seems confusion is your default setting, so through that lens, yes things look confusing.
Why do you expect to know what is going on?
"France, Germany, and the UK are rapidly running out of money."
Are you ignoring the money laundered from drugs, weapons and human trafficking? The front men of these countries aren't calling the shots. They are well down the hierarchy.
They keep looking for new pots but they all cost money.
Martin Armstrong is telling his clients to get their money out of Europe as when the war starts they won't be able to get their money out. Sounds to me if everyone got their money out of Europe they couldn't afford their war. So everyone, get your money out of Europe.
"Are the protests legitimate?"
Think CIA and mi6.
Zelinsky's "replacement" will be even worse. The UK (mainly the mi6) has been cultivating their own successor -- Ukrainian General Valery Zaluzhny (currently Ukraine's Ambassador to the UK). The UK wants war, direct involvement in Ukraine, and World War 3. Zaluzhny is their boy.
The really wild thing here is that Zelinsky replaced himself. The President of Ukraine, Volodymyr named his former Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Valery Zaluzhny as the Ambassador of Ukraine to the United Kingdom. Zelinsky was just following orders from the UK, I guess.
Wars, and rumors of wars.
You missed Thailand vs Cambodia, which is a new thing as of yesterday.
The boss class in Britain are shite-stirring about 'unsustainable' pensions, the lying bastards.
The rulers in britain have no priority other than the "Special Relationship", in getting the Americans embroiled in a million conflicts so that they can show the Americans just how loyal and indispensable they are.
We see a similar dynamic when the dog barks at the main carrier.
Quite agree, the British boss class sold us to American Caesar after the Suez crime of 1956. Chief jackal suits them.
Buttboi. Something british elites are quite experienced in.
I understand that it's compulsory in the Brigade of Guards. ;O)
Major Sir Rupert Buggeringham-Handsworthy
What makes you think that France, Germany, and the UK are rapidly running out of money?
I'd say 2025 with the exception of Ukraine(US) v Russia and the blatant genocide (instead of the odd thousand or so Palestinians killed yearly) is pretty much on par with most of the 21st century. What's unique is our awareness of the hidden hand in every conflict, ie our little private banking cartel and the fact that these sadists are now at their most desperate and dangerous point, like a cornered rat.
That’s why we call it “WWIII”.