No, against Iran and any other adversary in Asia, that including China.
Iran will be nuked by Israel in 45 days - that after false flag attack on Israeli nuclear facility.
China will defend Iran, according to the latest strong agreement, and it will be attacked by America. First by closing Malacca Strait and the other waterways. Soon fast and deadly development, including armadas and nukes in the Middle Pacific.
Lavrov the foreign minister, has passed message from Putin, that retaliation is coming.
He mentioned Ukrainian military targets, but it well might mean, that this time also objects outside Ukraine are targeted. And it doesn't have to be a military strike with a loud boom on them - assymetrical response, a fire, cyber attack and hundred other means can be played.
As a foreign minister he is once again warning his counterparts. It wasn't a message passed through the ministry of defence.
It's difficult to interpret the other way.
As Israel/USA are talking about nuclear deterrence in the Middle East and likelihood of it happening after conventional means failed, Russia will have the right to use their tactical nukes on deep Ukrainian military bunkers, which can't taken by any missiles.
Bearing in mind, that Trump gave up on Zelensky and his entire clique and they might be gone whether by decapitation strike, assassination or jailed for corruption. Ukrainians killing Ukrainians, that's direction Russia would be supporting.
Russia never wanted to escalate, they have build 1000 km Surovikin defence line and stopped offensive in 2023, eliminating a lot of NATO equipment and personnel. They have squashed mercenary lead Kursk incursion in 2024, again with over 60 000 attackers eliminated.
But each provocation against Russia rises popular support for the next stage, which might mean decapitation strikes. Russia doesn't need to conduct mobilisation, it has surplus soldiers on front line and citizens do volunteer to join army for a limited time. Each such dramatic act from Ukrainians on civilians, like the last month school dormitory attack or yesterdays attack on Moscow tower blocks, do send tens of thousands volunteers to military ranks. Most male in Russia are already militarily trained at basic levels.
Yes, they will be free to use it on Ukraine deep bunkers, as soon as Israel nukes Bushehr nuclear power plant and other nuclear facilities in Iran. Which will be pretty soon, sometimes shortly after the Football Cup ends on 19th July. So some 45 days nuke free world left to us.
After that hell on hell for the majority of us, depending from which direction wind blows. If you don't have a bunker in New Zealand, Australia you are pretty much half-dead
It's you, who was/is Pentagon employee in development of weapons of mass destruction. It's your organisation made Hiroshima and Nagasaki and since then murdered 27 000 000 civilians around the world. Including 5 000 000 in the Middle East.
I assume you’re referring to the only option Russia has: sending nuclear weapons toward the West. I understand that you are already looking forward to that, but not everyone shares that perspective. I am glad that people like you, fortunately, have no chance of making such decisions, due to their clear lack of competence.
Russia is counting on regime change in Kiev, but decapitation strike might speed up that process at the late times, when there is political alternative to Zelensky.
Civil war will split Ukraine into 2-3 territories. With largest chunk associated with Russia. So far Russia has 20% of Ukraine plus Crimea. They will take corridor to Odessa and to Hungary, to sell fuels directly to Balkans. Ukraine will be cut from sea which means losing economic independence, as rail and road transit to the world is not big enough and will rely on bans and taxes to European Union.
If Russian advances don't accelate SIGNIFICANTLY, this remains wishful thinking. I feel that Russia will end this campaign as soon as the entire Donbass has been liberated. But even then, without a lasting peace, the Donbass and Crimea will remain und cinstant attacks by drones.
Nobody will leave Odessa to Brits. Kharkov is reuniting as well, Whole left bank Dnepr essentially.
At least Slavyansk - Konstantinovka agglomeration will be wrapped up this year. Unless they go for some godly cauldron of the whole agglomeration, from the West.
Konstantinovka is ad acta, Krasni Lyman is ad acta They are 10km from Slavyansk from the East. Something similar with Kramatorsk. They will assault both at the same time.
They did something to drone operators in Konstantinovka. I have a feeling it will be the same in Slavyansk and Kramatorsk.
I agree with all of this, except taking everything east of the Dnjepr and Odessa. At the current pace these important goals cannot be achieved. It would take either the breakdown of Ukraine's resistance or a full escalation on the part of Russia. I don't see these developments more than I saw then 2 years ago. Without the achievement of these goals, however I can't picture a lasting peace or NATO getting out of Ukraine.
There is no need to capture Odesa; it suffices to strangle it by cutting off its supplies by sea and land. It is the siege tactic—one that dates back to early antiquity.
Russia does not fear Kyiv in the slightest; rather, it is fighting the European "dwarfs"—the European forces within NATO. The goal is the wholesale demilitarization of NATO—stripping it to the bone, including the US—a process that is already well underway.
It's getting ridiculous.Russia is issuing yet another 3,717 serious warning. Why Lavrov needs to "pass message from Putin?" By now, everybody got the "message" many times over. It's not the message, it's actions what's needed. Look at Iran- if nothing else it shows what decisive measures look like.
That is rule of a civilised war. You warn an opponent not to escalate as it inevitably leads to spiral and they can't argue much with 3500 already deployed nukes on very precise intercontinental missiles.
Same as Iran was warning Israel and Americans yet before it was attacked that retaliation will be fast and strong.
That's why 12 days war was that short and why the present war lasted 42 days.
Russia has chance to end Ukrainian war fast, but with devastating effect to Europe - instant multi-million migration causing civil war in countries, where Ukrainian saturation is over 30%.
It is war—the Western way. That is how they have always fought. This is the first conflict where military casualties vastly outnumber civilian ones. Just imagine Russia fighting according to Western norms. In fact, Russia has warned that a war with the Europeans would be different.
There is nothing to say this is a warning. It might just be a ploy to fool the "idiots" (Europeans). If I wanted to eliminate a competitor, I would complain about these actions and tip them off about my intended responses; that way, feeling emboldened, they would do even more—exhausting all their resources until they imploded on their own. Memory is precious: demilitarize NATO and secure long-term peace—or even see the alliance disappear entirely.
There is no need for nuclear weapons; you’re fixated on that. Open your mind and picture the first- and second-echelon forces—along with logistics—currently concentrated in the Donbas splitting in two: one part heading south and the other north to reinforce the troops already there after the capture of the last two cities. The effect is the same as a bomb.
Oh, so you’re not even aware of that alternative. Your opinion is completely clear to me now. What do you think will happen when the West is backed into a corner? Will it accept defeat? If Hitler had nuclear weapons, do you think he would have used them?
oh, wow "not even aware of that alternative" - one hope is left for me that you'd mansplain it to me in all possible detail, because I probably can't even read?
I understand that instead of another warning, you would prefer Russia to send a nuclear weapon to the West. That is exactly what you wrote—that it is necessary because kids are dying. Or do you have another alternative instead of warnings? I would be happy to learn.
I think you need to stop fantasizing. If Hitler, if Napoleon, if Antony, if Darius, if the Neanderthal—in short, if, if, if, if. Yours is an interesting neurological case.
"Which can't be taken out by any missiles"? Really? A tactical weapon isn't used to smash through a bunker; since it isn't a ballistic weapon, its kinetic energy is low. It is designed to devastate forces over a very wide area, using an airburst to cover that extensive perimeter.
It is worth recalling Putin's statements regarding the recent use of the Oreshnik; if true, the potential targets for its deployment have already been designated—or are currently being selected.
For forty years USSR build in Ukraine hundreds of nuclear shelters, able to withstand medium sized detonations. They are up to 100 metres underground. Or hundreds meters in disused coal and salt mines.
The propaganda Great Statesman Putin (as potrayed by alternative media) is simply incompetent or for whatever reasons to allow this war to drag on for 4-5 years. He should have ended it a long time ago with Russia’s superpower military might. 🤔
War of attrition works for Russia, doesn't work for NATO. Can last long, as long as Russia want's it to last.
They have 750 000 on front line on good rotation against at least same on Ukrainian side, which fight without any leave for many years. Yet they are advancing with minimal loses. Yesterday body exchange was 37/522.
Since the beginning of 2025 tally is 500/20 000.
Body count shows that Russia is winning and advancing fast, that Ukrainians don't have time to collect their heavy wounded and dead. Russia has 10 x more of POWs, most of them don't want to go back on front lines to meat grinder.
Lol you do realize NATO has more men, resources and a untouched rear while Russian rear and logistics is constantly being attacked? Thats why we call for strikes on NATO here, otherwise Russia wont win
Not counting Americans and Turks, how many soldiers and armaments are left in NATO? Americans don't want to sacrifice themselves for Ukraine. Turks have Israelis coming on them and they will be forced to leave NATO and ask Russia for nuclear umbrella.
Do they match 2.5 mln in Russia and some 3500 nukes on undestructible missiles?
Please elaborate on their "more men" and "more resources". All NATO countries support relatively small armies (due to lack of funds and people willing to join in a war on Russia). Where are those "more resources"? You mean more resources than Russia? Are you kidding? Please explain. They have crippled their industrial base through self-inflicting sanctions denying themselves cheap energy. They are all running deficit economies. Their military hardware has been shown to be substantially inferior to Russian weaponry and far more expensive. Their ability to replace equipment and ammo is severely limited. Their most effective asset is PR which constantly spews hubris and threats by weak, ineffective and hated leaders whom the various populations see are driving them to destruction.
Who has larger economies, Russia or the combined EU, (not even mentioning NATO)? Under a capitalist system (with Russia emulating western capitalism for the past 34 years) the size of the economy matters when it comes to war
Who has a larger population (aka a larger mobilization base)?
Also, you do realize that the EU is able entirely bankroll Ukraine so that it can take more people out of the economy for war without the negative consequences any other country would experience?
Add to that the Kremlins obsession with ensuring that the war does not affect regular peoples lives (it is), they are able to draw only from a limited resource pool meaning that Ukraine/EU can draw a comparable amount of men?
Thats also not mentioning that lack of Russian response means that it looks weak and the EU has no consequences for its actions towards Russia?
Also, if Northern Ireland is any indicator, the only people young European men want to take up arms against are the illegal foreign invaders in their own countries and the treasonous EU usurpers in their own governments who brought them in.
I understand that, given your “education” and overall “intelligence,” you can’t really judge what might trigger a nuclear war, but at least you’re still able to comment on it.
I am just saying Putin must have the balls and guts to finally end this, not just more rhetoric and threats and so many years of Russian propaganda that Russia is great 🤦🏻♀️. They are attacking capital Moscow now. WTF!
It is not a all a certain fact that NATO does have more men who would fight in this war. Start counting: zero French, zero Italians, zero Hungarians, zero Slovaks, zero Spaniards, zero Germans, zero Bulgarians, zero Romanians...
What I am saying is that Russia could have controlled Ukraine within 50 days instead of this never-ending attritional WW1 style slow advancing positional warfare, costly in lives and material, draining the economy, and wearing out the patience of the citizens through war fatigue. 5 gruelling years of war and Ukraine remains a threat not only on Russia's Western front but also well behind its frontlines.
One commenter writes: This is becoming a recurring issue; Ukraine does this daily because it has many factories in Europe manufacturing drones, and they will increase the attacks. Russia let NATO cross all the red lines and is in a dead end.
Now, getting back to the critical first 50 days of the SMO.
Russia could have succeeded in controlling Ukraine by laying siege to Kyiv while pushing forward, encircling AFU strongholds, preventing them from retreating or resupplying and forcing them to surrender en masse along its entire Western front. The proof lies in the subtle notion that Russia fixing maneuver managed to advance within kilometres of Kiev with only about 40,000 soldiers. So a force of about 160,000 soldiers could have sealed the deal by laying the proper siege to Kiev where nothing goes in or out without being destroyed. In other words, Russia should have gone all in for Kiev instead of a fixing manoeuvre followed by a hasty retreat, leaving equipment behind because the roads were all jammed and troops were left stranded.
The SMO started with an assault on Kiev as a fixing maneuver to freeze AFU forces while it overtook the Donbas and south of it. And guess what?
The plan worked briefly.
But the critical mistake was that it had no intentions of controlling Ukraine. It only wanted 4 Oblasts, thinking it would get an easy peace deal, and that would be it. The problem was that there was no peace deal, and that was not it.
Russia underestimated Ukraine's strength, and it lacked the will to make a determined attack to control Ukraine. Instead, Russia inherited the need for a lengthy and costly forever attrition war, which allowed Ukraine to fight on to the point of delivering expensive losses way behind Russian lines, like we see today. Russia went into a gunfight with bows and arrows. It should have known better. Some of us here knew what had to be done. No messing around. Think of what the US would have done in Russian shoes.
Sooner or later, Russia will be forced to control Ukraine as an existential threat before Europe supplies new armies to reinforce it, which sets the stage for a much bigger war at Russia's border. (something the SMO was supposed to prevent from happening.
Never, never underestimate the enemy, especially when they sit at your border.
Russia underestimated, so winning will be a much more costly affair. If only it had the will to execute an all-out plan in the first 50 days.
The 5-year war and counting could have been done in a few months.
Within the first days of war, Ukrainians begged for peace negotiations. First meeting in Belorus, in Beloveza, under Bennet, the Israeli prime minister. Later in Istambul, under Erdogan.
Preliminary agreements were signed by all sides and awaited signatures by presidents and parliaments.
One of conditions was Russia withdrawal from Kiev suburbs. Russian army was in the centre of Kiev since the beginning of war, within 500 metres from Maidan Square.
Then provocation in Bucha came, with hundreds pro-Russian citizens murdered by the Safari Unit of the Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs.
That was blamed on the withdrawing Russian army, which left Bucha 3 days before this mass murder.
You can see them here entering Bucha, with no any civilian bodies on the streets. Some Ukrainians wellcoming them with smile on their faces, mentioning Russian previous positions, but never mentioning any civilian bodies.
Titled "Special forces of the National Police are clearing the city of Bucha"
"On April 2, special units of the National Police of Ukraine had begun clearing the area of saboteurs and accomplices of russian troops in the liberated city of Bucha, Kyiv Oblast. Specialists of the Explosive Ordnance Disposal Service inspect the sites of the russian federation’s war crimes and seize explosives and unexploded ordnance."
Mind, that those police and many civilians speak not Ukrainian, but Russian language or they speak mixed languages.
Begging for peace was not an excuse if Russia had been determined to win right from the outset of the SMO. You don't get participation points for excuses. Victory knows no compromise.
Russia has offered to Biden several agreements before war, the last were in August 2021 in Switzerland and in December 2021 at UN Security Council.
Russia didn't want to go to war knowing, that escalation will inevitably lead to 3 WW.
It never wanted to conquer Ukraine, just to stop them joining NATO. That is why only SMO with some 100 000 troops entering Ukraine towards Kiev and taking over 25% of Ukrainian territory.
Poor FF is unable/unwilling to admit to see apparent & evident trajectories. You display a childish stamina in perpetuating a fantastic narrative - all RU goals shoulda been achieved immediately - while weakly Strawmanning every1.
No they would not have, because they would not have destroyed the Ukrainian army. Had they followed this stupid advice, then they and whatever puppet government they installed would have been subject to relentless guerrilla warfare, the same way the US was when it bribed the Iraqi army off the field instead of destroying it in 2003
For an active insurgency, I'd agree. Passive, not so much. People who have nothing to lose will do things they ordinarily would not, like fighting back against the press gangs (or going after individuals who are part of them one at a time). Alternatively, there was an SF novel by Eric Frank Russell called The Great Explosion. In the last vignette the ship landed on a planet Gand -- devotees of Ghandi. They couldn't force the locals to do anything. They wouldn't fight back, they just wouldn't comply.
"...this never-ending attritional WW1 style slow advancing positional warfare, costly in lives and material, draining the economy, and wearing out the patience of the citizens through war fatigue...." . Congrats, Pea Soup, you've documented our Atlantic-World plight.
Akin to "Any day now, F F will display integrity and courage in discussion - rather than a flawed Socratic dialectic"...It IS working, obviously not to the level of sublime, fantastic immediacy you expect, but working nevertheless.
Aren't you tired of this braindead, 1 cell organism "analysis"? Instant gratification culture, I swear. It will go on, however long it needs to go on. Physical survival of a nation is a at stake. Something you will never understand.
I agree. NATO thought it would be a quick war with Russia collapsing from sanctions "the ruble will be rubble", but there is only a single quote incorrectly attributed to Putin that Russia thought this would be a quick war. This war will be 20 years, so be patient.
Imagine this crowd following the war in Afghanistan. "Come on Taliban, kick the Americans out already. Not enough action - where is the Blitzkrieg and big arrow offensives?"
Zelensky’s Drone attack on Moscow I must give it to him, except he should be able to repeat this for days, months, years? I give him all the honour he deserves, knowing that these attacks will not stop even when Kiev and Ukraine has been conquered or obliterated years after.It’s the same scenario in Israel, attacks on Beirut will continue even when Israel has been erased from the map, ask Bibi, Gvir or Smotrich or ask Zelensky, Kaja, Starmer, Merz these people will never stop even when they’re defeated or destroyed.
It's not Putin, it's still Small Military Operation, with all legal implications on conducting it.
If Duma votes on full war act, army would lose constraints on deploying conscripts near front line. They have spare 750 000 scattered around the country, mainly border protection. Another 1 mln can be on call for short time deployments.
Total Russian army is 2,5 mln. And all have more than enough armaments.
Why should I die for Russia when its leader has no balls and I am not even a Russian, you idiot! THIS IS WHY I HAVE STOPPED WATCHING ANY ANALYSES ABOUT THIS WAR. As an unrelated observer, I suspect Putin did not act decisively because he's pro Russia oligarchs like in the US. That US Stanford educated Russian is part of Putin inner circle advisors. Foreign Minister Lavrov offered dissenting position. There is factional politics in Russia just like anywhere else.
You're learning nothing from the slop you're watching - Ritters, Diesens and all those other slop merchants for the guillible. StT actually still thinks for himself.
Calm down. As you should realize by now that Russians had to play pussy so far, 'cause there are Russians on these territories. Do you think that US would bomb freely Iran knowing that there are for some reason US citizens around 30 % of population? Use your brains.
Two weeks? By the time NATO publicly declares it can no longer—or no longer wants to—support Kyiv, the fighters in Ukraine will be watching the announcement on TV from the comfort of their own homes. A week prior, the news will have leaked to the media; the "goblin's" troupe of troubadours, along with the entire political class—from the Rada to local mayors, institutions, and the military high command (including senior field officers and TCC personnel)—will have already fled abroad four or five days earlier.
That would be already after the hot phase of 3 WW has ended.
There would be a neutral and neutralised East Flank, mainly Orthodox Christians (Greece, Bulgaria, Romania, Ukraine, Slovakia, Czechs, Poland and Serbia and some other Balkans for a good measure). East Baltics left for their own fate.
Southern and Northern European Blocks.
Turkey under Russian nuclear umbrella.
So many independent identities. They would be in ideological and border conflict with each other.
No, this is how we get to WWIII. Either that, or Putin will allow Russia to be destroyed because he is too much of a humanitarian to fight back.
Had he finished the war within a couple months, as was entirely in his power in early 2022, never mind 2014, there would be no further escalation after that and no threat of WWIII.
There is no shortage of options for igniting, or re-igniting, WW III. For instance, now apparently Is-ra-el and India are bestest buddies, since the pivot to China was banjaxed, and there's plenty of aggro to go around in south Asia, too.
Wrong, Putin wanted to stop even after 2 weeks, Zelensky agreeing but US NATO, CIA and M16 said NJET.
There will never be a WWIII PUTIN will drown the fish, even when some nuclear midget bombs have to be dropped on Germany first, NATO cannot retaliate it will be gone to smithereens and that is already happening without a nuclear deterrence. Sorry for squeezing the never to be WW in the bud.
Ukraine has to be ended. Completely. There is no other acceptable outcome for Russia.
Annex, occupy, de-Ukrainize.
No other option.
The alternative is what you see now -- any territory the Banderites and the West hold will be used as a platform for attack on Russia -- and it will get much worse.
And obviously the earlier that had been done, the easier it would have been
No it wasn’t surrender it was returning to Ukraine as a neutral state, but that was impossible for NATO’s expansion politics, and another point Putin had no plans whatsoever to annex Ukraine except for the same condition. I see a similarity between the Gulf was open before the war and let us hope, it will reopen(?) after the war. Ukraine was sovereign!!!
Putin gave an extra dimension to stop Ukraine from being part of NATO, it was obvious that there were large groups of Nazi sympathies, and if some nation is going to pay the price for this Nazi legacy than its Germany. Forget all EU nations, without the (now ex) economic powerhouse Germany, scientific knowhow, military hightech and “immer Kämpfen und Sturmen” mentality, for a third time Germany is the greatest threat for the survival of Russia, its out of the question that they will again be the greatest military power in the EU and I wouldn’t bet on the globe.
NATO was prepared for Russia occupying Ukraine. Instead of a conventional war, it would be an insurgency war, with a very hostile Western Ukraine launching plenty of attacks against Russian soldiers. Think USSR occupation of Afghanistan or US in Iraq but worse. This war, Russia is liberating territory that voted to join Russia, and the majority of the population support Russia. There is no easy solution to this war, just a long toil to financial exhaustion of the West.
Ah, yes, it's so much worse to have an insurgency than to have a thousand drones and a dozen missiles flying to Moscow in a day.
So much worse...
Also, we are still in the 1940s and there is absolutely no digital surveillance, making it impossible to identify, round up, and shoot all Banderites. Totally impossible.
General moron is totally ignorant and a western anti-Putin shill as usual. He is totally ignorant of what it really takes to grind down almost a 2 million man army heavily financed, trained and integrated into NATO.
Ok. This is your new super smart theory. Russia has already lost but it is not allowed to declare they have lost. Putin was dying to capitulate in Istambul, despite he proudly displaying Zelensky's signature agreeing to all Russian terms. BUT, as Ukraine could not be allowed to win, Boris Johnson rushed to Kiev pants down begging the nazis to keep allowing Russia lose as long as Ukraine is not winning and ordered them to murder the Ukranian Istambul negotiators who had allowed Putin capitulate. Interesting... Have you tried a career in comedy? Now I know what GM stands for... Groucho Marx.
Back in 2022 just another 100,000 men would have won it.
The war was lost when the battle of Nikolaev failed. Which it naturally did given that a single BTG was sent to capture a city of half a million.
This, of course, goes back further -- had he not surrendered Mariupol because Rinat Akhmetov asked him to back in 2015 and so that he could sign Minsk, there would have been no battle of Mariupol in 2022, and those forces would have been sent to capture Nikolaev.
But as it is in 2022, just a little bit more effort would have done it.
Also, Chernigov was sieged and was a matter of time. Then he pulled out. Sumy was nearly encircled, same thing.
Had Nikolaev fallen, Odessa would have too. And that takes away the Black Sea coast and with Chernigov taken and Kiev, Sumy and Kharkov blockaded, some ten million men in mobilization resource would have been taken off the table.
Had all this been combined with proper decapitation strikes of all the oligarchy, all the military and all the political leadership, it would have been a very rapid collapse after that.
If you are asking how the war can be won in two months now, in 2026, the answer is it can't. But it can be won in about four to six. The key thing is to isolate Ukraine from NATO so that it cannot be resupplied. So:
Step 1. Russian mobilization. Another million men are needed. Tanks to go with them are not, this is an occupation and clean up force. The current force is not sufficient for the task
Step 2. Total blockade of Odessa. Sink everything that enters the waters north of the Danube river delta
Step 3. Bunker buster tactical nukes on all the border crossings, so that they are completely blocked. Not at the small settlements there, but in the empty from people stretches of road and railway just inside Ukraine, where it won't kill anyone. A 50-kt nuke excavates millions of tons of earth and makes for a hundreds of meters-wide crater. Good luck restoring the connection quickly.
Step 4. Keep striking if they try to build new roads and railways around the craters.
Step 5. Strategic nukes on Europe if they try to organize airlifts into Ukraine, launch direct NATO strikes on Russia etc,. for total annihilation. But again, you need to have the men ready to then move in and occupy the land permanently.
With Ukraine cut off from supplies, it can then be finished off. It's not going to be quick, because it has already been pumped with so much stuff -- it will take a while for that materiel to be exhausted. But there is no other way.
That is the price you pay for not handling business properly and in time -- you then have to take much more extreme measures.
Why are you still trying to argue with those western imb...les? They know nothing about our history, our convictions and our determination. A bunch of Putin apologists, that'll never fathom anything regarding eastern europe.
I've pointed this out many times here -- the racism and Russophobia that Western politicians are very open about are present in the Western Putin fanboys too, just subdued and implicit.
But when you look at their callous attitude towards Russian military casulaties, civilian deaths and injuries, and damage to infrastructure, it all becomes immediately clear. They are indeed little different. Russian lives don't matter to either side in the West, and Putin is just a tool to use in their internal political crusade.
1) Of course it tenable. More importantly, it is what the official Russian doctrine stipulates
2) There is no other way, with one exception. The ship has sailed in terms of conventional measures. You have to seal the borders, and by this point Ukraine is too strong and has too many drones for that to be feasible without nukes.
The exception is if China was to enter the war on Russia's side, stop supplying Ukraine with drones, and turn the factories on to the max to pump up drones and missiles for Russia. Then the problem can be solved without nukes.
China doesn't want to do it, and it doesn't look like that will change, so here we are.
For the culture of Western colonial raids against weaker nations this is incomprehensible, I know. This is lack of imagination on your part, not Russia's failure who stoods up to 1 bln Collective West.
Not even to Ukraine -- "Ukraine" hasn't been touched in five years.
Regular ethnic Russians inside Ukraine are instead being genocided because the non-ethnic Russian Ukrainian elite is much more dear to Putin's heart that the working class schmucks sent to the trenches to be torn apart by drones.
This is absolutely consistent. Yes, Russia hasn't stood up to anyone, and, I am not sure what "support" means (cheerlead?). I am not sending them money lol, I think it would be wasted and stolen as quickly as in Ukraine.
The West believed Putin to be bluffing we he said that NATO membership of Ukraine was a red flag. Imagine the consequences of not going to war with NATO - Ukraine part of NATO, and Sevastopol a US naval base.
This is a good point. Russia, rightly or wrongly, has decided to meet its objectives in a particular manner (uncomfortable to many on this site) and is steadily pushing towards those objectives. What is being overlooked is the other side of that picture - how are NATO's objectives being met? NATO wanted a military presence on the border of Russia to bleed Russia dry, quickly destroy their economy, deny them the European market, and eventually break Russia into manageable pieces. It was NATO that thought the war would be over in a matter of weeks, not Russia.
How has all that worked out for NATO? Not well at all. Russia is not depleted. Its economy is both supporting the war and a relatively prosperous civilian economy. There are no NATO military bases in Ukraine. Sevastopol is firmly in Russian hands. The European economy is a shambles - they have lost their industrial base by denying themselves cheap Russian energy, seeing their energy-intensive industries being shut down or transferred to other countries like the US. They are now more dependent on US markets than ever which is seriously driving up their costs. They are becoming far more politically unstable as their people are waking up to the mess their leaders have made to the economy and their lives. Their armies are running on fumes, most of them significantly under-funded with little hope of recovery due to budget constraints. Were it not for US support, their military capacity would be on the same level as Ukraine's without NATO support.
So whose objectives are really being played out here? It damn sure isn't the West's.
Interesting take. It is true, the Russian glass may not be full, but the NATO glass isn't either - something we tend to forget. The SMO "cockblocked" this, to use the word of the first commenter.
Actually, at the risk of seeming to peer out of rose-coloured glasses, I would say Russia's glass is overflowing. Their economy has supported simultaneously a civilian economy and a war one. They have implemented huge modern infrastructure projects across the country putting in modern airports, upgrading seaports, building roads and bridges, improving international trade logistics, implementing a very successful import substitution project. Their cities are gleaming with new structures, improved roads, businesses booming and wages increasing. Russia is encouraging many trade agreements with multiple international partners. And whilst the war is having an understandably negative impact on economic growth, it is certainly not destroying it.
As for military capability, Russia and its people clearly recognise that this is not a war with Ukraine but with the West. It's war of attrition is not only to drain Ukraine but also the West, not only of military hardware and ammo, but of its economies and political stability. Russia has used it time of attrition warfare not only to drain Ukraine and the West but to hugely build up its military manpower, reorganise and develop strategies that fit with its overall objectives, restart its war-related factories, produce an immense inventory of weaponry and ammo, create new weapons based on new technologies that the West can only dream of, and lastly to prepare itself for the coming inevitable European war. As Putin stated recently, if Europe wants a war with Russia, Russia is now ready, so go for it.
And BTW, if it takes 550 drones (at least 500 of which were shot down) to hit a refinery located on the far outskirts of Moscow producing a relatively small fire already under control, then an objective person has to come to the conclusion that that's pretty pathetic.
Most people cant hold more than one perspective at a time in the head. And most people tend to forget whats happened a month ago.
So when we have a 12-year conflict and a 5-year War you can be sure that the majority just follows ”the latest narrative”.
In every conflict and War you have to keep multiple perspectives in the head and also transform and include all the historic lines in that complex picture.
In this case most of us here understands that US/NATO is fighting a death match with an attrition tactic. And Russia is being attrited. Those few TU-22 and Bears launching missiles into Ukraine is nothing Russia can depend on in a real War with west. Bears are obsolete in a real war and having lost 2/3 of the likewise obsolete TU-22 is of major concern. Russia has lost most of its KA-50 Alligators and thousands of tanks, BMP:s and other precious equipment. Sure they are building new ones but nevertless attrition on grand scale.
On the other hand US/NATO is weakened internally and morally. Most inventoriies are half empty but there is plenty of aircrafts left to launch devastating attacks if time comes. They have used up thousands of missiles against Russia and attrited their own AD down to minimum.
And yes both sides was surprised that the SMO didnt go as planned (Russia) and that the monumental counter-attack from the West didnt crumble Russia.
Yes, Russia is losing equipment - it's war. However, it is also producing like crazy and has far more inventory now than at the beginning of the conflict. As for the Tu-22s, true they are of limited supply, but not really needed anymore as both the Kinzhal and esp the Zircon have been fitted for fighter-bombers and now the enemy is faced not with a relatively easy large target like the Tu-22 but must deal with highly effective, accurate stealthy hypersonic missiles that can't be defended against and that can be launched from virtually any direction by multitudes of fighter-bombers that can't be defended against. Who needs the Tu-22? They will be used until they are gone and then no more will be produced.
And yes, you can do lots of damage, but you can't win a war by air even against a small country, much less a colossal like Russia. Europe will never learn.
Macron is Zelensky’s Twin brother and expand your view, the French legionaries are present in Ukr. even near Odessa since the beginning of the military op. Zion Macron and Zion France have very old ties with Ukr. through Rothschild as well with the financing of Israel, do the study
The oligarchs/ central banks want business deals with the west, so the military is not allowed to use overwhelming force. It could all be ended in a few days if Putin's hands were not tied.
1) Putin's hands are not tied. The military's hands are tied. By Putin. He has the power to end existence of the oligarchs and the central bank, but he refuses to use it because he is on their team
2) It could have been ended in a few days once upon a time. No longer. It will take several months at least now, because Ukraine was allowed to be pumped with so much weapons.
Agreed, Putin is on side with the globalist types and it is the military whose hands are tied. However, if allowed to use full force it could still be ended quickly. Russian soldiers pay the price of political games with their blood.
You have to wonder how much longer Russian soldiers will put up with this.
Which, BTW, is part of the Catch 22 of not being able to win under the SMO format and restrictions while refusing to relax those restrictions and to mobilize. The oligarchy refuses mobilization for economic reasons, but also because they fear another 1917.
Back then millions were mobilized and got to experience first-hand the wonders of the competence of later imperial Russia in a pointless war that Russia had absolutely no business being part of. It should have stayed out of it and swooped in at the end to pick up the pieces, but the shortsightedness and personal hubris of the existing at the time oligarchy decided otherwise.
Then those millions formed the backbone of the Red Army.
Well, we can't have such a threat now, can we?
Even more so given that Russian tanks entered Ukraine in February 2022 waving Soviet flags. Which must have sent chills down the spines of Putin and the oligarchs, and explains a lot about what followed.
Funny enough the Bolsheviks and the RKKA won the civil era precisely bc of these Imperial Officers and having more of them. I think they were just freed from incomoetent higher leadership like the Tsar and his immediate staff - similar to what would happen if the military was freed from the yoke of Gerasimov and Putin
One thing happening both in Iran and Russia is that all the people most likely to rebel - the young, male, fit and decisive - are being killed or otherwise occupied in fighting each other. All the oligarchs of the world want exactly this to keep happening, because as long as it does no one will look at them. Class war 101.
There is a view that as part of the controlled demolition of the Russian state that Putin is carrying out he is disposing of the elements likely to rebel against it by killing them off on the frontlines. It's why they are all volunteers
GM I appreciate your responses all over, but I think its falling on deaf ears. For example, I think it is fair to say Ukraine (and Russia) are BOTH militarily more powerful today than they were in 2022. But that absolutely does not fit in with the "Ukraine is collapsing" narrative. They aren't. They launch massive long range strikes, their aviation is active every day, they are amazing at drone warfare, their specops game is top notch, and so on. Russia is also fighting very hard but this is very much a peer game now. Yes, Ukraine would absolutely fall apart if its logistics & supply chain were not wholly supported by Europe, but so what? The practical reality is unlimited money, unmolested logistics, and basically 17 countries worth of production freely entering at 0 risk. Its a recipie for certain defeat
Are you asking seriously? We are defeated, on the G7 Macron sobered up the whole gang that in the first quarter of 2026 all the members were in debt to China for 98 billion, the 3 remaining quarters don’t promise any better. The first 4 banks in the top ten are Chinese all great friends of Putin.The war in the ME has depleted the west in a way that next time, Zelensky might hire a circus crew for the attraction and to just give a firework show the smoke following might be created artificially perhaps ventilating flower. Putin got them all on a row, because Banderites are growing thin, he might consider blasting Germans, Brits and 3 stars Michelin haute cuisine customers.
Half of uk in land area in Russian hands and millions of Russians in Russias oscillation. Ukraine= failed state poorer than Uganda.
‘What are you doing with that feather sir?’
‘Oh i am wearing away this hill since it blocks the Sunlight from shining on our house”
Just be patient , you arent going to change the Russian leadership , they have worked out the best course of action and the Russian oscillation is expanding whereas Ukrainian diminishing . The longer it goes the idea is to get ukrainians to see their Grand Mistake of The Century humiliating themselves by allying with the enemy of Russia. In fact im sure some are wanting this to drag out because of good business on both sides . About dead Civilians and soldiers , no one remembers 70 odd million dead in ww1 and ww2 except once a year, if that.
I understand you operate on a “act first, think later” mindset—for example, whether the West would use nuclear weapons or not. Apparently your approach of jumping in before checking if the water is deep enough works for you, but at least it lets you share your ideas on the internet.
According to Col. Macgregor and Simplicius, among others, Russia had to keep plenty of their resources and assets in reserve but on standby in the event FUSA/NATO forces decide to intervene directly.
Zelensky has always been good at PR stunts. But it's worth remembering that the EU and NATO will see what they want to see, and von der Leyden has been pushing her anti-Russian line since the conflict's beginning. If Zelensky provided the EU delegation with cocaine instead of a drone show, he'd probably get as good a response. -No, better.
How can you say that Putin "tolerate" this strike or even "accept" it ? This is war right ? Do you "accept" or "tolerate" that your enemy is attacking you ? No, because tolerance or accepting stuff have nothing to do with war. You fight anyway in a war. And you plan your way to long term effect, victory, objectives. Thus, how come people like you absolutely wants a public "tit for tat" strike with a clear message "This is for Moscow's strike !!" ? Russians doesn't fight for you or for optics. Ukrainians do fight for optics, because they need the money from the West. And a sale pitch of this war is intended to fool everyone's public in the West to give them the impression that this money will serve the Ukrainian's victory, a dubious claim to say the least. In fact, it's mostly grift money to some MIC.
Soviet Leader were in a different times so were the Tsar.
It's strange to glorify one of the Soviet's weakness : optics and their inability to assess properly the reality. Sure, it make a better spectacle. A defeating one nonetheless.
As for the plans the Russians have about NATO involvment and the rest, it's easy to say that they have none just beause they don't signify them to you in a obvious and flashy way, and maybe nuclear way. It has nothing to do with birthday wishes.
If Putin cut completly himself from speaking with Trump, would it advance further the victory for the Russian side ? It would maybe satisfy some hardliner, but that does nothing for the war in itself. Beside, it's not Zelensky's birthday. Even the Iranians speak to the murderers.
In short, stop confusing any diplomacy for surrender.
>How can you say that Putin "tolerate" this strike or even "accept" it ? This is war right ? Do you "accept" or "tolerate" that your enemy is attacking you ?
If you can make it stop within hours to days of deciding to, then yes, you are tolerating it
>If Putin cut completly himself from speaking with Trump
There is a big difference between speaking with Trump licking his ass in the most humiliating for the country way
"If you can make it stop within hours to days of deciding to, then yes, you are tolerating it"
And ... that involves what ? If you think Russian have a brillant plan that magically ends the war and NATO and all future threats just by saying so, sure, that's simple. In reality, it must come with a cost : you "tolerate" or "accept" other things : casualty, risks, economic instability, etc.
You cannot argue something that extreme without explaining the fine print of that brillant plan. Also, I don't think you're a Russian General, with all the inside info.
"There is a big difference between speaking with Trump licking his ass in the most humiliating for the country way".
Sure. I don't think that Putin have done that by wishing a happy birthday to Trump. What you describe imply real concession that affect the war or the like. Putin may be the only one in the Russian leadership that thinks that the American aren't that involved or commited in the Ukraine war. But that isn't "liking his ass". At most, it's a factual error. And Putin's view are not static either.
Neither would Ghengis Khan ! What's your point ? This is assuming we know what any historical figure would do in today's reality, with the requisite knowledge...Putin said that in the same spirit I say "Have a nice day" to arseholes in the street.
I understand that you’re looking forward to a nuclear war, but fortunately some of the people who actually have influence over the course of events are more sensible than that.
And Putin will give a stern 4 hour lecture covering the historical antecedents of this back to Peter the Great. And then launch a ferocious strike on the waste dump in a suburb of Kiev.
While Moscow burns. And a single Western decision hub in Ukraine full of NATO officers is never hit.
But fuck he’s safe in his bunker right? Best not to escalate. He still wants to be invited back to Berlin one day.
It's interesting to find other people who think Putin and his allies are Fxking the Russian war effort for some unknown reason The kicker being is If we can see this sure as hell a whole bunch of Russians are sensing the fact Putin is not serious about fighting and winning this war
Same MI6/Ukrainian pattern and so predictable for those who have been watching the SMO since the beginning. Don't know why Russia tolerates it but there you go. Wonder why the West thinks Russia is weak? A totally mystery to me. At this point, I'm so tired of seeing dead Russian civilians (besides the Palestinians and Lebanese) my mental health is at risk so I refuse to watch the self-inflicted suicide.
My desire to remain informed is in direct conflict with my desire to remain sane....Killing Russian civilians makes Russia more determined to succeed . At the top of the escalation ladder we all die.
On the contrary. He launched the SMO just to prevent these massacres. And he succeded big time. If it wasnt for Putin, the Donbass would be human sludge now, and you would be super happy.
Ideological imperative. They must believe. Because West is colonial by its very nature. They can't imagine a life without predatory subjugation of others. And Russia is the biggest prize there is: 120T in natural resources. Add the fact that Russia has successfuly resisted and them for centuries, an insult in itself. Russia's very existence is tangible proof that West isn't superior as they claim. Imagine the desire for revenge, greed, the hate.
OK, according to your "logic" all the younger farts are way smarter and not as bitter that Russia does not wish to start the WW3. Right? What does the age have to do with it?
What age has to do with it is that old farts are approaching or already exceeded their theoretical life expectancy and does not really matter if they burn now.
We have two very vocal specimens here that think that optimal population size is 100 and 500 million, respectively. That stone age is the way to go.
Younger pro escalation farts are usually some iteration of westerners that havent experienced much of anything they advocate for. So, it is too theoretical for them. Think all could be fine.
I have a friend fart like this who genuinely thinks Rus should let Donbass population get slaughtered, because it would have been good for PR and perception management. Dude is professor, btw.
Of course he is one iteration of Anglos. Never ever anything touches them. That is why i am all for glassing Anglos realms if poop hits the fan.
And you, the armchair general sitting on your mom’s couch, must know better than anyone. I’m tired of you polluting this discussion with the nonsense rattling around in your adolescent brain.
You should worship the yoni, instead of weaponizing it. It is the source of life and a universal archetype. Everybody was born from a yoni, except you who were born from a baboon ass.
Stupid comment. Too much CIA propaganda is filling your head. We are not suffering from some inferiority complex because we love Europe and consider her our homeland.
The more such attacks are permitted to be launched without an adequate response inside Ukraine, and beyond, the more fatal and devastating the attacks will inevitably become.
20 years of this? I don't think so. If this keeps up, by the end of next year thousands of drones will be launched into major Russian cities on a weekly basis, paralyzing the country.
Either Russia stops this now with devastating retribution -- without warnings or bluster -- or it will never stop.
Putin's pussyfooting is no longer acceptable. And, if Russia simply cannot muster the response necessary, then it must end the war.
>by the end of next year thousands of drones will be launched into major Russian cities on a weekly basis
Thousands of drones are being launched into major Russian cities on a weekly basis, the average is stably over 500 a day now.
But it will be tens of thousands soon and then AD will be overloaded. Today was a demo run on how to overload it in Moscow with a mass saturation attack
>And, if Russia simply cannot muster the response necessary, then it must end the war.
It will not be allowed to. They have smelled weakness and will go for the kill.
In WWII, the nazis destroyed Leningrad but the USSR won after all. This is a walk in the park in comparision. Go to the front GM. Russia just need a little of your push
1) The Nazis destroyed Leningrad because there was nothing Stalin could do to stop them. There is plenty Putin can do to win the war, he just doesn't want to do it
2) Stalin was fighting back with all he had from Day 1. Putin is not fighting back at all
You don't find Putin's actions to be acceptable. Well, I'll bet that will make him come to his senses and come to you, hat in hand, to ask how he should conduct military affairs.
Yes, they have mulitple systems to do that. And no, not one by one, as I am sure some moron will jump in to object about the logistical impossibility of doing it, all of them at once.
As usual, it hasn't been done because there is no order from the top.
What would be the point? Starlink launches new batches of satellites into orbit at least once a week. It would also mark a major escalation, and Russia's satellites are just as vulnerable. It's not worth it
1) The new batches would be destroted similarly, if they managed to get them up
2) They would in fact not be able to get any new batches up for the next 5-10 years because of Kesslerization
>Russia's satellites are just as vulnerable
3) Who has more satellites and benefits more from them now? So who would net gain from all satellites being disabled?
Which would not be the case, it would be this specific oribt.
BTW, Russia's Rassvet is in a higher orbit than Starlink. I can imagine a situation in which Russia gets a few hundred Rassvets up, then Kesslerizes Starlink, which would leave the US without Starlink, but keep Rassvet up. That would be funny.
I’m surprised that with your military and many other kinds of experience, you aren’t already running important combat operations. But of course you do run them—right after you sit down at your computer, once your mom has cooked you lunch. You’re very important.
Starlink has over 10k satellites in its constellation. The PLANET doesn't have enough ASAT weapons to destroy this constellation, let alone Russia, unless they used an EMP, which is a shit idea for obvious reasons
Starlink's low orbit requires active station keeping, meaning that atmospheric drag will force de-orbiting of any debris
Shooting down satellites of any kind is a serious matter. The resulting debris would be a danger to everything else orbiting at anywhere near the same level. In the worst case, it would make launching anything further too risky for months or years. I mean anything--no astronauts, no nothing.
Of course, GM hasn't thought of that or doesn't care, as their sole purpose in posting here is to stir up arguments and distraction.
Kesslerization is precisely how you shoot down Starlink.
There are very specific Russian projects for doing it with just a single rocket launch that will disperse a huge amount of shotgun pellet in the Stalink orbit to initiate the process.
The West gains a lot more from having satellites up than Russia would lose from the destruction of the Russian ones.
But more importantly, Starlink is a nuclear first-strike system. And thus must not be allowed to exist, as a matter of utmost importance for national security.
It is quite possible to destroy Starlink satellites, they are only about 300 to 340 miles up. There are about 10,000 Starlink satellites in orbit presently, so all the debris from Starlink plus destroyed Russian satellites in the inevitable escalating tit for tat exchanges would quickly fill low earth orbit with debris capable of wrecking other satellites and deny those very useful orbits to everyone for quite a while.
I'm impressed that Russia is prioritizing restablishing deterrence against pensioners in yachts rather than determined and cynical adversaries in a proxy's strategic rear.
Being pensioners they have not realised that their lives are in danger in collision with a warship which was stationary, without a chance to change course. They have missed multiple radio, flares and sound signals and were woken up only by shots over their heads. Probably they have saved their lives.
Back in the day, Russian Empire made a good faith effort to clear a perfidious British fishing fleet from the Dogger Banks in October of 1904. The Russian fleet pretended afterwards it was a case of mistaken identity, but we all KNOW the Kamchatka was just doing the right thing...
"Andrei Martynov is pretty confident that it’s going to be necessary for the Russians to drop an Oreshnik or three on the European power centers, as they did with Kiev last night, to convince them to stop playing poke the Bear.
NATO criminals are doing everything they can to censor any info coming out of destroyed sites, especially around Belaya Tserkov airfield complex which contained many things ranging from bunkers to aviation repair and “mad maxing” facilities for all kinds of flying means for strikes against Russia.
Next time it could be Berlin or Paris and they can do nothing about it.
It’s understandable that the Russians feel no need to save the Europeans from Clown World. After all, they had to save themselves, and if the nations of Europe are sovereign and healthy, they are a proven potential threat to Europe. But Clown World is the greater evil, and the Russians know perfectly well who is behind Ukraine and using it as a proxy to make war on them."
With the signing of the "MOU" it could indicate that the situation regarding WW3 could be changing. The wests logistics are under pressure and the willingness to keep fighting is draining from everyone but the epstein class . The UK is scraping the bottom of the budget barrel and is facing ponying up for its Ukraine guarantees. Germany is going to Canada, cap in hand for more oil , but the USA will need to refill its reserves and will probably get priority. It's also interesting that Trump is also lambasting NATO for its lack of help with the Iran fiasco. All of this has the caveat that everyone is spinning and lying . Thank you to Simplicius for providing verified information regarding the conflict .
You can try to spin it any way you want, the fact is that no Russian leader in history would have ever tolerated this for a second, while the current one sends birthday wishes to the people doing this to Russia.
Do you think or let me ask you, no matter the drones falling in Moscow and the frustration and the revengeful reactions, even the attack in Luhansk on a school with girls, teacher students the begging for retaliation, and after 2 weeks everything has passed and is forgotten, now do you think the majority of Russians and also the military are getting fed up with this war, they want it to end immediately, the same goes for the Ukrainian soldiers, fuck the independence fuck democracy they all want it to stop and return to normal life and go home.I’m gonna tell you more even Putin secretly and Trump wants it to end, the costs are too high on human and financial capital, but what is going on in essence, the NATO Eurocrats, the Zionazis, the Banderites, the Bank of England, the Rothschild’s and Wall Street, the military industrial complex and all their private corps do NOT want it to stop ever!
cockblocking first commenters.
You sneaky... sneaky thing....
Cheers!
Why are you trying to block discussion? I understand your position from your earlier posts, that you do support Ukraine.
My first comment, opposed to your views, is just here https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/zelensky-launches-mass-attack-on/comment/278817667
i was jokingly 'blocking' people who write nothing but 'first'.
and since im not a cheerleader i neither support ua nor ru, but i do support the abolishment of nato.
hahaha
@Alpacko
https://youtu.be/p9PiqCeLEmM?si=dqAlB9bdcJ6p6Og6
First commenters cock suckle.
Again!
‘NATO has been a paper tiger and a one-way street for too long. No more’ - Hegseth.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/166972
He well might mean nuclear option. Conventional arms don't work well for the USA
Do you really think the US would risk annihilation for the kyiv Reich or European midgets?
No, against Iran and any other adversary in Asia, that including China.
Iran will be nuked by Israel in 45 days - that after false flag attack on Israeli nuclear facility.
China will defend Iran, according to the latest strong agreement, and it will be attacked by America. First by closing Malacca Strait and the other waterways. Soon fast and deadly development, including armadas and nukes in the Middle Pacific.
So much certainty, so little knowledge.
Quit teasing us please.
"We gonna be by your side for as long as it takes," to utterly destroy our Nazi movement once and for all!
With all the closet psychos coming out this will take a while, but perfection is only quick in computer games, real plays out slowly.
Lavrov the foreign minister, has passed message from Putin, that retaliation is coming.
He mentioned Ukrainian military targets, but it well might mean, that this time also objects outside Ukraine are targeted. And it doesn't have to be a military strike with a loud boom on them - assymetrical response, a fire, cyber attack and hundred other means can be played.
As a foreign minister he is once again warning his counterparts. It wasn't a message passed through the ministry of defence.
It's difficult to interpret the other way.
As Israel/USA are talking about nuclear deterrence in the Middle East and likelihood of it happening after conventional means failed, Russia will have the right to use their tactical nukes on deep Ukrainian military bunkers, which can't taken by any missiles.
Bearing in mind, that Trump gave up on Zelensky and his entire clique and they might be gone whether by decapitation strike, assassination or jailed for corruption. Ukrainians killing Ukrainians, that's direction Russia would be supporting.
This would require an assertiveness that Russia has entirely lacked so far.
Russia never wanted to escalate, they have build 1000 km Surovikin defence line and stopped offensive in 2023, eliminating a lot of NATO equipment and personnel. They have squashed mercenary lead Kursk incursion in 2024, again with over 60 000 attackers eliminated.
But each provocation against Russia rises popular support for the next stage, which might mean decapitation strikes. Russia doesn't need to conduct mobilisation, it has surplus soldiers on front line and citizens do volunteer to join army for a limited time. Each such dramatic act from Ukrainians on civilians, like the last month school dormitory attack or yesterdays attack on Moscow tower blocks, do send tens of thousands volunteers to military ranks. Most male in Russia are already militarily trained at basic levels.
Yet it's the West and Ukraine that keep escalating.
Its worse than that, Jim. The 20k North Korean soldiers lost only 1.6k of their own when they slaughtered the 80k nazizionatostanis.
Impressive. Very Impressive.
- Darth Vader
The west has never been so exposed as weak before.
If attacking Moscowwith total impunity is "weakness", then i hate to see "strength ".
You'll likely never again see strength from the U.S. Maybe some insane acts of violence, but that would be flailing desperation, not strength.
When the tide turns, it is nearly imperceptible at first. But it has turned.
And yet those strikes happen. Wirh total impunity.
Stop kidding yourself. You've been kidding yourself for four years. Enough with the cognitive dissonance.
How have I been kidding myself for four years?
Do they even have a nuke ?
I ‘m beginning to wonder
Yes, they will be free to use it on Ukraine deep bunkers, as soon as Israel nukes Bushehr nuclear power plant and other nuclear facilities in Iran. Which will be pretty soon, sometimes shortly after the Football Cup ends on 19th July. So some 45 days nuke free world left to us.
After that hell on hell for the majority of us, depending from which direction wind blows. If you don't have a bunker in New Zealand, Australia you are pretty much half-dead
It's the "pacifist". 🤡
It's you, who was/is Pentagon employee in development of weapons of mass destruction. It's your organisation made Hiroshima and Nagasaki and since then murdered 27 000 000 civilians around the world. Including 5 000 000 in the Middle East.
And not me, a conscious objector.
"Conscious" objector? 🤡 How medicated are you?
You are a walking lawsuit target for defamation.
You should be banned for life from using the internet and spreading your violent libelous threats.
Yep, it's in your ass
I assume you’re referring to the only option Russia has: sending nuclear weapons toward the West. I understand that you are already looking forward to that, but not everyone shares that perspective. I am glad that people like you, fortunately, have no chance of making such decisions, due to their clear lack of competence.
Don't argue with strawmen.
The illogical broken-record Furry Finster trolls again !
AN option, not the ONLY option.
are you a part of the troll squad too?
Yeah sure whatever .
What is wrong with Russia ?
Russia is counting on regime change in Kiev, but decapitation strike might speed up that process at the late times, when there is political alternative to Zelensky.
Civil war will split Ukraine into 2-3 territories. With largest chunk associated with Russia. So far Russia has 20% of Ukraine plus Crimea. They will take corridor to Odessa and to Hungary, to sell fuels directly to Balkans. Ukraine will be cut from sea which means losing economic independence, as rail and road transit to the world is not big enough and will rely on bans and taxes to European Union.
If Russian advances don't accelate SIGNIFICANTLY, this remains wishful thinking. I feel that Russia will end this campaign as soon as the entire Donbass has been liberated. But even then, without a lasting peace, the Donbass and Crimea will remain und cinstant attacks by drones.
Nobody will leave Odessa to Brits. Kharkov is reuniting as well, Whole left bank Dnepr essentially.
At least Slavyansk - Konstantinovka agglomeration will be wrapped up this year. Unless they go for some godly cauldron of the whole agglomeration, from the West.
Konstantinovka is ad acta, Krasni Lyman is ad acta They are 10km from Slavyansk from the East. Something similar with Kramatorsk. They will assault both at the same time.
They did something to drone operators in Konstantinovka. I have a feeling it will be the same in Slavyansk and Kramatorsk.
I agree with all of this, except taking everything east of the Dnjepr and Odessa. At the current pace these important goals cannot be achieved. It would take either the breakdown of Ukraine's resistance or a full escalation on the part of Russia. I don't see these developments more than I saw then 2 years ago. Without the achievement of these goals, however I can't picture a lasting peace or NATO getting out of Ukraine.
Pace will change. See what is happening around Slavyansk, everything is much faster than before.
LOL!
There is no need to capture Odesa; it suffices to strangle it by cutting off its supplies by sea and land. It is the siege tactic—one that dates back to early antiquity.
"...the Donbass and Crimea will remain und cinstant attacks by drones."
You just explained to yourself precisely why the campaign will NOT end with Donbass liberation... Chip
Russia does not fear Kyiv in the slightest; rather, it is fighting the European "dwarfs"—the European forces within NATO. The goal is the wholesale demilitarization of NATO—stripping it to the bone, including the US—a process that is already well underway.
It's getting ridiculous.Russia is issuing yet another 3,717 serious warning. Why Lavrov needs to "pass message from Putin?" By now, everybody got the "message" many times over. It's not the message, it's actions what's needed. Look at Iran- if nothing else it shows what decisive measures look like.
That is rule of a civilised war. You warn an opponent not to escalate as it inevitably leads to spiral and they can't argue much with 3500 already deployed nukes on very precise intercontinental missiles.
Same as Iran was warning Israel and Americans yet before it was attacked that retaliation will be fast and strong.
That's why 12 days war was that short and why the present war lasted 42 days.
Russia has chance to end Ukrainian war fast, but with devastating effect to Europe - instant multi-million migration causing civil war in countries, where Ukrainian saturation is over 30%.
The question remains how many times you have to warn?
Keep them guessing how long is a piece of string and when hammer will come
people are dying civilians, kids
Russia will have free hands in Ukraine when China takes on Taiwan sometimes within the next 6 months.
Or when Israel nukes Iran.
Or when Lavrov stops passing messages from Putin because the army will do whatever they want to do.
Unavoidable in a war. Sadly
It is war—the Western way. That is how they have always fought. This is the first conflict where military casualties vastly outnumber civilian ones. Just imagine Russia fighting according to Western norms. In fact, Russia has warned that a war with the Europeans would be different.
There is nothing to say this is a warning. It might just be a ploy to fool the "idiots" (Europeans). If I wanted to eliminate a competitor, I would complain about these actions and tip them off about my intended responses; that way, feeling emboldened, they would do even more—exhausting all their resources until they imploded on their own. Memory is precious: demilitarize NATO and secure long-term peace—or even see the alliance disappear entirely.
There is no need for nuclear weapons; you’re fixated on that. Open your mind and picture the first- and second-echelon forces—along with logistics—currently concentrated in the Donbas splitting in two: one part heading south and the other north to reinforce the troops already there after the capture of the last two cities. The effect is the same as a bomb.
"Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov says US and NATO risk ‘a situation of direct armed confrontation of nuclear powers’.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/8/19/russias-lavrov-says-west-needs-continual-reminder-of-risks-of-nuclear-war
Why? Because some birdbrained people don’t realize that a nuclear war would kill them as well. Fortunately, a few adults still don’t want that war.
Who said anything about nukes?
Oh, so you’re not even aware of that alternative. Your opinion is completely clear to me now. What do you think will happen when the West is backed into a corner? Will it accept defeat? If Hitler had nuclear weapons, do you think he would have used them?
oh, wow "not even aware of that alternative" - one hope is left for me that you'd mansplain it to me in all possible detail, because I probably can't even read?
I understand that instead of another warning, you would prefer Russia to send a nuclear weapon to the West. That is exactly what you wrote—that it is necessary because kids are dying. Or do you have another alternative instead of warnings? I would be happy to learn.
I think you need to stop fantasizing. If Hitler, if Napoleon, if Antony, if Darius, if the Neanderthal—in short, if, if, if, if. Yours is an interesting neurological case.
Who? Always the same ones who fantasize about taking one up the ass for atomic pleasure.
Are you on some kind of industrial grade meds?
You can enlist and go yourself to the front to ditch the flood
Who says these messages aren't meant to entertain Western audiences—a ruse? Decisive measures will come soon; rest assured of that.
"Bearing in mind, that Trump gave up on Zelensky and his entire clique"?
Yes, he mentioned "You don't have any trump cards".
Zelensky was for always with Bidens, including RussianGate. Trump hates Zelensky
That's incorrect; it's just that he no longer has the means.
"Which can't be taken out by any missiles"? Really? A tactical weapon isn't used to smash through a bunker; since it isn't a ballistic weapon, its kinetic energy is low. It is designed to devastate forces over a very wide area, using an airburst to cover that extensive perimeter.
It is worth recalling Putin's statements regarding the recent use of the Oreshnik; if true, the potential targets for its deployment have already been designated—or are currently being selected.
For forty years USSR build in Ukraine hundreds of nuclear shelters, able to withstand medium sized detonations. They are up to 100 metres underground. Or hundreds meters in disused coal and salt mines.
The propaganda Great Statesman Putin (as potrayed by alternative media) is simply incompetent or for whatever reasons to allow this war to drag on for 4-5 years. He should have ended it a long time ago with Russia’s superpower military might. 🤔
War of attrition is a strategy which needs time to be successful. So far it works for Russia in disarming NATO.
And without NATO support Ukraine will fall down in 2 weeks.
Any day now, The Great Pumpkin will rise out of the pumpkin patch...
Face it, this "just the tip" warfare is not working.
No, not "any day now".
War of attrition works for Russia, doesn't work for NATO. Can last long, as long as Russia want's it to last.
They have 750 000 on front line on good rotation against at least same on Ukrainian side, which fight without any leave for many years. Yet they are advancing with minimal loses. Yesterday body exchange was 37/522.
Since the beginning of 2025 tally is 500/20 000.
Body count shows that Russia is winning and advancing fast, that Ukrainians don't have time to collect their heavy wounded and dead. Russia has 10 x more of POWs, most of them don't want to go back on front lines to meat grinder.
Lol you do realize NATO has more men, resources and a untouched rear while Russian rear and logistics is constantly being attacked? Thats why we call for strikes on NATO here, otherwise Russia wont win
Not counting Americans and Turks, how many soldiers and armaments are left in NATO? Americans don't want to sacrifice themselves for Ukraine. Turks have Israelis coming on them and they will be forced to leave NATO and ask Russia for nuclear umbrella.
Do they match 2.5 mln in Russia and some 3500 nukes on undestructible missiles?
Who are "we" calling on strikes on NATO?
It doesnt matter how many soldiers NATO has left. What matters is how many they can mobilize. The answer is 10x more
Please elaborate on their "more men" and "more resources". All NATO countries support relatively small armies (due to lack of funds and people willing to join in a war on Russia). Where are those "more resources"? You mean more resources than Russia? Are you kidding? Please explain. They have crippled their industrial base through self-inflicting sanctions denying themselves cheap energy. They are all running deficit economies. Their military hardware has been shown to be substantially inferior to Russian weaponry and far more expensive. Their ability to replace equipment and ammo is severely limited. Their most effective asset is PR which constantly spews hubris and threats by weak, ineffective and hated leaders whom the various populations see are driving them to destruction.
Please tell me where I am wrong.
Who has larger economies, Russia or the combined EU, (not even mentioning NATO)? Under a capitalist system (with Russia emulating western capitalism for the past 34 years) the size of the economy matters when it comes to war
Who has a larger population (aka a larger mobilization base)?
Also, you do realize that the EU is able entirely bankroll Ukraine so that it can take more people out of the economy for war without the negative consequences any other country would experience?
Add to that the Kremlins obsession with ensuring that the war does not affect regular peoples lives (it is), they are able to draw only from a limited resource pool meaning that Ukraine/EU can draw a comparable amount of men?
Thats also not mentioning that lack of Russian response means that it looks weak and the EU has no consequences for its actions towards Russia?
Men mean nothing if direct kinetic war between Russia and NATO breaks out.
It is not going to be marching war. lmao
But anyway, our NATO army is utter shit, even when compared to other NATO armies. Ukies are warfare gods for NATO.
Lmao Iran has no nukes but kt was not afraid to strike American bases directly. Nothing happened.
Nobody is going to start a nuclear war over striking a few depots in Germany/Romania/Poland
Also, if Northern Ireland is any indicator, the only people young European men want to take up arms against are the illegal foreign invaders in their own countries and the treasonous EU usurpers in their own governments who brought them in.
I understand that, given your “education” and overall “intelligence,” you can’t really judge what might trigger a nuclear war, but at least you’re still able to comment on it.
Nobody is going to start a nuclear war over Russia striking a few depots in Poland/Romania/Germany lmao
See Iran as proof
Let this attacks on capital Moscow continue then 🫢
https://substack.com/@steve170045/note/c-279390491?r=9go1c
Do you realize you're mentally deficient?
Another pro Russia troll here? 🤔
I am just saying Putin must have the balls and guts to finally end this, not just more rhetoric and threats and so many years of Russian propaganda that Russia is great 🤦🏻♀️. They are attacking capital Moscow now. WTF!
If OTAN can muster 20k mental deficients/laddies/grrrlies & furries (troops) to conduct a relevant play-exercise, I'd be surprised.
Who are the men that NATO is going to field? The Caucasian navel gazers or the Muslim and African immigrants?
It is not a all a certain fact that NATO does have more men who would fight in this war. Start counting: zero French, zero Italians, zero Hungarians, zero Slovaks, zero Spaniards, zero Germans, zero Bulgarians, zero Romanians...
They have 750,000 of them. No, in the first and second lines.
We've been hearing that for four years, but The Great Pumpkin never comes.
It/s been coming since 1999, maybe earlier. Where do YOU expect it to arrive ?
How did the Russian advance on Kiev ( a Bridge Too Short) lead to an SMO Too Long and Costly?
And how the SMO failed to seize a golden opportunity to control Ukraine in the first critical 50 days of operation?
Let me start by saying I am not disputing whether Russia is winning the SMO.
Clearly, Russia has made a near 20% territorial gain and is slowly gaining territory. That counts for something.
Dobropillia: Novyi Donbas & Stepy captured, 3km from T0514 — Slaviansk-Kramatorsk encirclement begins
🏙 Lyman: 80% captured, city cut into pieces
🏴 Konstantynivka: Final flags raised
🔥 Kharkiv: Kazachi Lopan 15% Russian, push toward Zolochiv
🔄 Dnipro: Breakthrough west of Novopavlivka
What I am saying is that Russia could have controlled Ukraine within 50 days instead of this never-ending attritional WW1 style slow advancing positional warfare, costly in lives and material, draining the economy, and wearing out the patience of the citizens through war fatigue. 5 gruelling years of war and Ukraine remains a threat not only on Russia's Western front but also well behind its frontlines.
https://x.com/Liveuamap/status/2067503280498819400/video/1
Moscow is on fire.
One commenter writes: This is becoming a recurring issue; Ukraine does this daily because it has many factories in Europe manufacturing drones, and they will increase the attacks. Russia let NATO cross all the red lines and is in a dead end.
Now, getting back to the critical first 50 days of the SMO.
Russia could have succeeded in controlling Ukraine by laying siege to Kyiv while pushing forward, encircling AFU strongholds, preventing them from retreating or resupplying and forcing them to surrender en masse along its entire Western front. The proof lies in the subtle notion that Russia fixing maneuver managed to advance within kilometres of Kiev with only about 40,000 soldiers. So a force of about 160,000 soldiers could have sealed the deal by laying the proper siege to Kiev where nothing goes in or out without being destroyed. In other words, Russia should have gone all in for Kiev instead of a fixing manoeuvre followed by a hasty retreat, leaving equipment behind because the roads were all jammed and troops were left stranded.
The SMO started with an assault on Kiev as a fixing maneuver to freeze AFU forces while it overtook the Donbas and south of it. And guess what?
The plan worked briefly.
But the critical mistake was that it had no intentions of controlling Ukraine. It only wanted 4 Oblasts, thinking it would get an easy peace deal, and that would be it. The problem was that there was no peace deal, and that was not it.
Russia underestimated Ukraine's strength, and it lacked the will to make a determined attack to control Ukraine. Instead, Russia inherited the need for a lengthy and costly forever attrition war, which allowed Ukraine to fight on to the point of delivering expensive losses way behind Russian lines, like we see today. Russia went into a gunfight with bows and arrows. It should have known better. Some of us here knew what had to be done. No messing around. Think of what the US would have done in Russian shoes.
Sooner or later, Russia will be forced to control Ukraine as an existential threat before Europe supplies new armies to reinforce it, which sets the stage for a much bigger war at Russia's border. (something the SMO was supposed to prevent from happening.
Never, never underestimate the enemy, especially when they sit at your border.
Russia underestimated, so winning will be a much more costly affair. If only it had the will to execute an all-out plan in the first 50 days.
The 5-year war and counting could have been done in a few months.
Within the first days of war, Ukrainians begged for peace negotiations. First meeting in Belorus, in Beloveza, under Bennet, the Israeli prime minister. Later in Istambul, under Erdogan.
Preliminary agreements were signed by all sides and awaited signatures by presidents and parliaments.
One of conditions was Russia withdrawal from Kiev suburbs. Russian army was in the centre of Kiev since the beginning of war, within 500 metres from Maidan Square.
Then provocation in Bucha came, with hundreds pro-Russian citizens murdered by the Safari Unit of the Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs.
That was blamed on the withdrawing Russian army, which left Bucha 3 days before this mass murder.
You can see them here entering Bucha, with no any civilian bodies on the streets. Some Ukrainians wellcoming them with smile on their faces, mentioning Russian previous positions, but never mentioning any civilian bodies.
Titled "Special forces of the National Police are clearing the city of Bucha"
"On April 2, special units of the National Police of Ukraine had begun clearing the area of saboteurs and accomplices of russian troops in the liberated city of Bucha, Kyiv Oblast. Specialists of the Explosive Ordnance Disposal Service inspect the sites of the russian federation’s war crimes and seize explosives and unexploded ordnance."
Mind, that those police and many civilians speak not Ukrainian, but Russian language or they speak mixed languages.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mnRl-1eX4LI
Begging for peace was not an excuse if Russia had been determined to win right from the outset of the SMO. You don't get participation points for excuses. Victory knows no compromise.
Russia has offered to Biden several agreements before war, the last were in August 2021 in Switzerland and in December 2021 at UN Security Council.
Russia didn't want to go to war knowing, that escalation will inevitably lead to 3 WW.
It never wanted to conquer Ukraine, just to stop them joining NATO. That is why only SMO with some 100 000 troops entering Ukraine towards Kiev and taking over 25% of Ukrainian territory.
Right Denis, They could have won with a finger snap... And then you wake up.
Coulda shoulda woulda.
Failed.
Poor FF is unable/unwilling to admit to see apparent & evident trajectories. You display a childish stamina in perpetuating a fantastic narrative - all RU goals shoulda been achieved immediately - while weakly Strawmanning every1.
No they would not have, because they would not have destroyed the Ukrainian army. Had they followed this stupid advice, then they and whatever puppet government they installed would have been subject to relentless guerrilla warfare, the same way the US was when it bribed the Iraqi army off the field instead of destroying it in 2003
There is a way.
I beg you and every other armchair general to read Clausewitz
Exactly. Dispatching you to the front. Everything will be solved before Putin puts on his pants.
The one thing every successful insurgency has in common is a young population. The median age in Yemen is 19.
The median age in Ukraine is over 40, and that from before the war.
"But guerrillas!" is just more cope.
For an active insurgency, I'd agree. Passive, not so much. People who have nothing to lose will do things they ordinarily would not, like fighting back against the press gangs (or going after individuals who are part of them one at a time). Alternatively, there was an SF novel by Eric Frank Russell called The Great Explosion. In the last vignette the ship landed on a planet Gand -- devotees of Ghandi. They couldn't force the locals to do anything. They wouldn't fight back, they just wouldn't comply.
Have you applied for a counselor post in the Kremlin?. I strongly encourage you to do so. Go for it Denis
I wouldn't accept less than the Chief of Staff missioned to defeat Ukraine.
I know how it could have been done.
Too late now.
LOL. We've all seen how well "what the US would have done" has worked out over the last 75 years.
"...this never-ending attritional WW1 style slow advancing positional warfare, costly in lives and material, draining the economy, and wearing out the patience of the citizens through war fatigue...." . Congrats, Pea Soup, you've documented our Atlantic-World plight.
RU strategy is not failing. Give yer head a shake.
Akin to "Any day now, F F will display integrity and courage in discussion - rather than a flawed Socratic dialectic"...It IS working, obviously not to the level of sublime, fantastic immediacy you expect, but working nevertheless.
4-5 years is more than enough for attrition warfare. Putin has no balls and guts to be decisive to end this once and for all
Aren't you tired of this braindead, 1 cell organism "analysis"? Instant gratification culture, I swear. It will go on, however long it needs to go on. Physical survival of a nation is a at stake. Something you will never understand.
Go watch Iron Man if you're bored.
I agree. NATO thought it would be a quick war with Russia collapsing from sanctions "the ruble will be rubble", but there is only a single quote incorrectly attributed to Putin that Russia thought this would be a quick war. This war will be 20 years, so be patient.
Imagine this crowd following the war in Afghanistan. "Come on Taliban, kick the Americans out already. Not enough action - where is the Blitzkrieg and big arrow offensives?"
Zelensky’s Drone attack on Moscow I must give it to him, except he should be able to repeat this for days, months, years? I give him all the honour he deserves, knowing that these attacks will not stop even when Kiev and Ukraine has been conquered or obliterated years after.It’s the same scenario in Israel, attacks on Beirut will continue even when Israel has been erased from the map, ask Bibi, Gvir or Smotrich or ask Zelensky, Kaja, Starmer, Merz these people will never stop even when they’re defeated or destroyed.
It's not Putin, it's still Small Military Operation, with all legal implications on conducting it.
If Duma votes on full war act, army would lose constraints on deploying conscripts near front line. They have spare 750 000 scattered around the country, mainly border protection. Another 1 mln can be on call for short time deployments.
Total Russian army is 2,5 mln. And all have more than enough armaments.
meh, there's something seriously off with Russian society, its government, culture and management. They're not winning this.
Why not 3 or 6-7? What is it based on?
How weird. I would have sworn its you who has no balls.
Why should I die for Russia when its leader has no balls and I am not even a Russian, you idiot! THIS IS WHY I HAVE STOPPED WATCHING ANY ANALYSES ABOUT THIS WAR. As an unrelated observer, I suspect Putin did not act decisively because he's pro Russia oligarchs like in the US. That US Stanford educated Russian is part of Putin inner circle advisors. Foreign Minister Lavrov offered dissenting position. There is factional politics in Russia just like anywhere else.
If you have stopped watching any analyses, well, don't let the door hit you on the way out. Or do you just prefer speaking from ignorance?
You're learning nothing from the slop you're watching - Ritters, Diesens and all those other slop merchants for the guillible. StT actually still thinks for himself.
Maybe Poutine is ballsy, gutsy & decisive enough to go for the Big-Win. Gots me, huh ?
That means Odessa should be prime target. Make Ukraine land locked, it is like removing teeth.
[JimMora] Odessa? You're asking about Odessa? Are you kidding me?[/]
Main goal should be not to lose the outskirts of Moscow and maintain air bridge with Petersburg (former proud Leningrad).
Those are the goals right now.
Calm down. As you should realize by now that Russians had to play pussy so far, 'cause there are Russians on these territories. Do you think that US would bomb freely Iran knowing that there are for some reason US citizens around 30 % of population? Use your brains.
Two weeks? By the time NATO publicly declares it can no longer—or no longer wants to—support Kyiv, the fighters in Ukraine will be watching the announcement on TV from the comfort of their own homes. A week prior, the news will have leaked to the media; the "goblin's" troupe of troubadours, along with the entire political class—from the Rada to local mayors, institutions, and the military high command (including senior field officers and TCC personnel)—will have already fled abroad four or five days earlier.
NATO has gotten rid of their old equipment inventory and very few bodies.
NATO members have learned the lessons of drone warfare and observed Russia's weak spots.
NATO has started producing drones in quantity and Russia cannot touch the production at distant locations.
In 2 years or less, the recent drone swarm on Moscow can be repeated by a factor of 10x.
Forget the past and look forward. You don't need a crystal ball to see where this is headed.
In 2 years NATO won't exist in the present form.
That would be already after the hot phase of 3 WW has ended.
There would be a neutral and neutralised East Flank, mainly Orthodox Christians (Greece, Bulgaria, Romania, Ukraine, Slovakia, Czechs, Poland and Serbia and some other Balkans for a good measure). East Baltics left for their own fate.
Southern and Northern European Blocks.
Turkey under Russian nuclear umbrella.
So many independent identities. They would be in ideological and border conflict with each other.
The USA would withdraw from all Europe.
NATO wasted their reserve weapons and haven't replaced it.
NATO sat in the corner while Russia expanded its military and got battle-hardened in real war.
NATO is behind Russia in drone quantity and quality. Once Russia scales its own Starlink sattellites, Ukraine will burn.
This is a cheerleading for a hot phase of WWIII.
Vampire Squid (banking cartel) and the MIC have great expectations for a war on Russia.
No, this is how we get to WWIII. Either that, or Putin will allow Russia to be destroyed because he is too much of a humanitarian to fight back.
Had he finished the war within a couple months, as was entirely in his power in early 2022, never mind 2014, there would be no further escalation after that and no threat of WWIII.
There is no shortage of options for igniting, or re-igniting, WW III. For instance, now apparently Is-ra-el and India are bestest buddies, since the pivot to China was banjaxed, and there's plenty of aggro to go around in south Asia, too.
Wrong, Putin wanted to stop even after 2 weeks, Zelensky agreeing but US NATO, CIA and M16 said NJET.
There will never be a WWIII PUTIN will drown the fish, even when some nuclear midget bombs have to be dropped on Germany first, NATO cannot retaliate it will be gone to smithereens and that is already happening without a nuclear deterrence. Sorry for squeezing the never to be WW in the bud.
Trying to stop after two weeks was surrender
Ukraine has to be ended. Completely. There is no other acceptable outcome for Russia.
Annex, occupy, de-Ukrainize.
No other option.
The alternative is what you see now -- any territory the Banderites and the West hold will be used as a platform for attack on Russia -- and it will get much worse.
And obviously the earlier that had been done, the easier it would have been
No it wasn’t surrender it was returning to Ukraine as a neutral state, but that was impossible for NATO’s expansion politics, and another point Putin had no plans whatsoever to annex Ukraine except for the same condition. I see a similarity between the Gulf was open before the war and let us hope, it will reopen(?) after the war. Ukraine was sovereign!!!
Putin gave an extra dimension to stop Ukraine from being part of NATO, it was obvious that there were large groups of Nazi sympathies, and if some nation is going to pay the price for this Nazi legacy than its Germany. Forget all EU nations, without the (now ex) economic powerhouse Germany, scientific knowhow, military hightech and “immer Kämpfen und Sturmen” mentality, for a third time Germany is the greatest threat for the survival of Russia, its out of the question that they will again be the greatest military power in the EU and I wouldn’t bet on the globe.
>No it wasn’t surrender it was returning to Ukraine as a neutral state
Anyone who seriously thought this was a possibility is a total imbecile.
Ukraine cannot exist in any other form but as an anti-Russia. It's fundamentally impossible.
Putin of all people, having published that long essay in mid-2021, should know that.
The only solution is for there to be no Ukraine.
NATO was prepared for Russia occupying Ukraine. Instead of a conventional war, it would be an insurgency war, with a very hostile Western Ukraine launching plenty of attacks against Russian soldiers. Think USSR occupation of Afghanistan or US in Iraq but worse. This war, Russia is liberating territory that voted to join Russia, and the majority of the population support Russia. There is no easy solution to this war, just a long toil to financial exhaustion of the West.
Ah, yes, it's so much worse to have an insurgency than to have a thousand drones and a dozen missiles flying to Moscow in a day.
So much worse...
Also, we are still in the 1940s and there is absolutely no digital surveillance, making it impossible to identify, round up, and shoot all Banderites. Totally impossible.
The troll squad flagship is back again
the only real solution is complete liberation of occupied palestine.
General moron is totally ignorant and a western anti-Putin shill as usual. He is totally ignorant of what it really takes to grind down almost a 2 million man army heavily financed, trained and integrated into NATO.
So why doesnt he just capitulate? He is dying for it, right?
????
He has been trying to capitulate every day since Istanbul.
They are just no allowing him that luxury.
The current Russian position is Brest-Litovsk, but made permanent, not a temporary setback to be soon reversed. How is that not a capitulation?
Ok. This is your new super smart theory. Russia has already lost but it is not allowed to declare they have lost. Putin was dying to capitulate in Istambul, despite he proudly displaying Zelensky's signature agreeing to all Russian terms. BUT, as Ukraine could not be allowed to win, Boris Johnson rushed to Kiev pants down begging the nazis to keep allowing Russia lose as long as Ukraine is not winning and ordered them to murder the Ukranian Istambul negotiators who had allowed Putin capitulate. Interesting... Have you tried a career in comedy? Now I know what GM stands for... Groucho Marx.
how exactly putin could have won war in a couple of months?
Back in 2022 just another 100,000 men would have won it.
The war was lost when the battle of Nikolaev failed. Which it naturally did given that a single BTG was sent to capture a city of half a million.
This, of course, goes back further -- had he not surrendered Mariupol because Rinat Akhmetov asked him to back in 2015 and so that he could sign Minsk, there would have been no battle of Mariupol in 2022, and those forces would have been sent to capture Nikolaev.
But as it is in 2022, just a little bit more effort would have done it.
Also, Chernigov was sieged and was a matter of time. Then he pulled out. Sumy was nearly encircled, same thing.
Had Nikolaev fallen, Odessa would have too. And that takes away the Black Sea coast and with Chernigov taken and Kiev, Sumy and Kharkov blockaded, some ten million men in mobilization resource would have been taken off the table.
Had all this been combined with proper decapitation strikes of all the oligarchy, all the military and all the political leadership, it would have been a very rapid collapse after that.
If you are asking how the war can be won in two months now, in 2026, the answer is it can't. But it can be won in about four to six. The key thing is to isolate Ukraine from NATO so that it cannot be resupplied. So:
Step 1. Russian mobilization. Another million men are needed. Tanks to go with them are not, this is an occupation and clean up force. The current force is not sufficient for the task
Step 2. Total blockade of Odessa. Sink everything that enters the waters north of the Danube river delta
Step 3. Bunker buster tactical nukes on all the border crossings, so that they are completely blocked. Not at the small settlements there, but in the empty from people stretches of road and railway just inside Ukraine, where it won't kill anyone. A 50-kt nuke excavates millions of tons of earth and makes for a hundreds of meters-wide crater. Good luck restoring the connection quickly.
Step 4. Keep striking if they try to build new roads and railways around the craters.
Step 5. Strategic nukes on Europe if they try to organize airlifts into Ukraine, launch direct NATO strikes on Russia etc,. for total annihilation. But again, you need to have the men ready to then move in and occupy the land permanently.
With Ukraine cut off from supplies, it can then be finished off. It's not going to be quick, because it has already been pumped with so much stuff -- it will take a while for that materiel to be exhausted. But there is no other way.
That is the price you pay for not handling business properly and in time -- you then have to take much more extreme measures.
Why are you still trying to argue with those western imb...les? They know nothing about our history, our convictions and our determination. A bunch of Putin apologists, that'll never fathom anything regarding eastern europe.
I've pointed this out many times here -- the racism and Russophobia that Western politicians are very open about are present in the Western Putin fanboys too, just subdued and implicit.
But when you look at their callous attitude towards Russian military casulaties, civilian deaths and injuries, and damage to infrastructure, it all becomes immediately clear. They are indeed little different. Russian lives don't matter to either side in the West, and Putin is just a tool to use in their internal political crusade.
sorry - but this nuclear stuff is just not tenable. do you have an answer otherwise?
1) Of course it tenable. More importantly, it is what the official Russian doctrine stipulates
2) There is no other way, with one exception. The ship has sailed in terms of conventional measures. You have to seal the borders, and by this point Ukraine is too strong and has too many drones for that to be feasible without nukes.
The exception is if China was to enter the war on Russia's side, stop supplying Ukraine with drones, and turn the factories on to the max to pump up drones and missiles for Russia. Then the problem can be solved without nukes.
China doesn't want to do it, and it doesn't look like that will change, so here we are.
"allow this war to drag on for 4-5 years"
For the culture of Western colonial raids against weaker nations this is incomprehensible, I know. This is lack of imagination on your part, not Russia's failure who stoods up to 1 bln Collective West.
Russia hasn't stood up to anyone.
Not even to Ukraine -- "Ukraine" hasn't been touched in five years.
Regular ethnic Russians inside Ukraine are instead being genocided because the non-ethnic Russian Ukrainian elite is much more dear to Putin's heart that the working class schmucks sent to the trenches to be torn apart by drones.
You need a fucking straightjacket.
Or better yet, a well deserved ban from this blog.
Truth hurts when it cuts through preconceived notions, huh.
I guess everyone who doesn't see it your way should be banned.
That's called an echo chamber for the insecure.
So you subscribe "Russia hasnt stood up to anyone". In another comment you mentioned you support Russia. Really? Or do you just pretend to do so?
This is absolutely consistent. Yes, Russia hasn't stood up to anyone, and, I am not sure what "support" means (cheerlead?). I am not sending them money lol, I think it would be wasted and stolen as quickly as in Ukraine.
taukey, there is a function on substack that allows you to block others.
You won't see the troll vomit.
No need to ban anyone.
I didn't know, thank you, I will use it
The West believed Putin to be bluffing we he said that NATO membership of Ukraine was a red flag. Imagine the consequences of not going to war with NATO - Ukraine part of NATO, and Sevastopol a US naval base.
This is a good point. Russia, rightly or wrongly, has decided to meet its objectives in a particular manner (uncomfortable to many on this site) and is steadily pushing towards those objectives. What is being overlooked is the other side of that picture - how are NATO's objectives being met? NATO wanted a military presence on the border of Russia to bleed Russia dry, quickly destroy their economy, deny them the European market, and eventually break Russia into manageable pieces. It was NATO that thought the war would be over in a matter of weeks, not Russia.
How has all that worked out for NATO? Not well at all. Russia is not depleted. Its economy is both supporting the war and a relatively prosperous civilian economy. There are no NATO military bases in Ukraine. Sevastopol is firmly in Russian hands. The European economy is a shambles - they have lost their industrial base by denying themselves cheap Russian energy, seeing their energy-intensive industries being shut down or transferred to other countries like the US. They are now more dependent on US markets than ever which is seriously driving up their costs. They are becoming far more politically unstable as their people are waking up to the mess their leaders have made to the economy and their lives. Their armies are running on fumes, most of them significantly under-funded with little hope of recovery due to budget constraints. Were it not for US support, their military capacity would be on the same level as Ukraine's without NATO support.
So whose objectives are really being played out here? It damn sure isn't the West's.
Interesting take. It is true, the Russian glass may not be full, but the NATO glass isn't either - something we tend to forget. The SMO "cockblocked" this, to use the word of the first commenter.
Actually, at the risk of seeming to peer out of rose-coloured glasses, I would say Russia's glass is overflowing. Their economy has supported simultaneously a civilian economy and a war one. They have implemented huge modern infrastructure projects across the country putting in modern airports, upgrading seaports, building roads and bridges, improving international trade logistics, implementing a very successful import substitution project. Their cities are gleaming with new structures, improved roads, businesses booming and wages increasing. Russia is encouraging many trade agreements with multiple international partners. And whilst the war is having an understandably negative impact on economic growth, it is certainly not destroying it.
As for military capability, Russia and its people clearly recognise that this is not a war with Ukraine but with the West. It's war of attrition is not only to drain Ukraine but also the West, not only of military hardware and ammo, but of its economies and political stability. Russia has used it time of attrition warfare not only to drain Ukraine and the West but to hugely build up its military manpower, reorganise and develop strategies that fit with its overall objectives, restart its war-related factories, produce an immense inventory of weaponry and ammo, create new weapons based on new technologies that the West can only dream of, and lastly to prepare itself for the coming inevitable European war. As Putin stated recently, if Europe wants a war with Russia, Russia is now ready, so go for it.
And BTW, if it takes 550 drones (at least 500 of which were shot down) to hit a refinery located on the far outskirts of Moscow producing a relatively small fire already under control, then an objective person has to come to the conclusion that that's pretty pathetic.
Most people cant hold more than one perspective at a time in the head. And most people tend to forget whats happened a month ago.
So when we have a 12-year conflict and a 5-year War you can be sure that the majority just follows ”the latest narrative”.
In every conflict and War you have to keep multiple perspectives in the head and also transform and include all the historic lines in that complex picture.
In this case most of us here understands that US/NATO is fighting a death match with an attrition tactic. And Russia is being attrited. Those few TU-22 and Bears launching missiles into Ukraine is nothing Russia can depend on in a real War with west. Bears are obsolete in a real war and having lost 2/3 of the likewise obsolete TU-22 is of major concern. Russia has lost most of its KA-50 Alligators and thousands of tanks, BMP:s and other precious equipment. Sure they are building new ones but nevertless attrition on grand scale.
On the other hand US/NATO is weakened internally and morally. Most inventoriies are half empty but there is plenty of aircrafts left to launch devastating attacks if time comes. They have used up thousands of missiles against Russia and attrited their own AD down to minimum.
And yes both sides was surprised that the SMO didnt go as planned (Russia) and that the monumental counter-attack from the West didnt crumble Russia.
Meantime 2 million young men has perished…
Yes, Russia is losing equipment - it's war. However, it is also producing like crazy and has far more inventory now than at the beginning of the conflict. As for the Tu-22s, true they are of limited supply, but not really needed anymore as both the Kinzhal and esp the Zircon have been fitted for fighter-bombers and now the enemy is faced not with a relatively easy large target like the Tu-22 but must deal with highly effective, accurate stealthy hypersonic missiles that can't be defended against and that can be launched from virtually any direction by multitudes of fighter-bombers that can't be defended against. Who needs the Tu-22? They will be used until they are gone and then no more will be produced.
And yes, you can do lots of damage, but you can't win a war by air even against a small country, much less a colossal like Russia. Europe will never learn.
>Russia, rightly or wrongly, has decided to meet its objectives in a particular manner
And what are those objectives?
Because the current official Russian demands amount to total Russian defeat only just short of the immediate terminal destruction of the country.
So, we have been reading Simps reports for five years for nothing. Nothing has really happened and everything was a dream. Imbecile you said?
Feel free to join the Russian military and volunteer to march into drone territory.
You should see his record on Call of Duty.
hahaha
Why is the AFU allowed to have drones?
Why are Hezbollah?
They have to. Otherwise beasts from Israhell would kill them.
France opened some time ago 2 factories where they develop them and Zelensky may test them “à volonté”.
As far as I know, France is not located inside Ukraine, it is several countries over in fact.
So why are French drones allowed to enter Ukraine?
Macron is Zelensky’s Twin brother and expand your view, the French legionaries are present in Ukr. even near Odessa since the beginning of the military op. Zion Macron and Zion France have very old ties with Ukr. through Rothschild as well with the financing of Israel, do the study
So?
Can Russia physically blockade the Ukrainian borders? Yes, it can.
Why hasn't it been done?
Well, that is the secret to the whole SMO, isn't it?
Why are you asking these stupid questions, my Banderite friend?
Why are you asking these stupid questions?
They can hide them under their matresses, GM
I think he will be proved right. The world has turned, the West is falling faster than everyone else. I think we've seen our "Spanish Armada" sunk.
The oligarchs/ central banks want business deals with the west, so the military is not allowed to use overwhelming force. It could all be ended in a few days if Putin's hands were not tied.
A couple corrections:
1) Putin's hands are not tied. The military's hands are tied. By Putin. He has the power to end existence of the oligarchs and the central bank, but he refuses to use it because he is on their team
2) It could have been ended in a few days once upon a time. No longer. It will take several months at least now, because Ukraine was allowed to be pumped with so much weapons.
Agreed, Putin is on side with the globalist types and it is the military whose hands are tied. However, if allowed to use full force it could still be ended quickly. Russian soldiers pay the price of political games with their blood.
You have to wonder how much longer Russian soldiers will put up with this.
Which, BTW, is part of the Catch 22 of not being able to win under the SMO format and restrictions while refusing to relax those restrictions and to mobilize. The oligarchy refuses mobilization for economic reasons, but also because they fear another 1917.
Back then millions were mobilized and got to experience first-hand the wonders of the competence of later imperial Russia in a pointless war that Russia had absolutely no business being part of. It should have stayed out of it and swooped in at the end to pick up the pieces, but the shortsightedness and personal hubris of the existing at the time oligarchy decided otherwise.
Then those millions formed the backbone of the Red Army.
Well, we can't have such a threat now, can we?
Even more so given that Russian tanks entered Ukraine in February 2022 waving Soviet flags. Which must have sent chills down the spines of Putin and the oligarchs, and explains a lot about what followed.
Funny enough the Bolsheviks and the RKKA won the civil era precisely bc of these Imperial Officers and having more of them. I think they were just freed from incomoetent higher leadership like the Tsar and his immediate staff - similar to what would happen if the military was freed from the yoke of Gerasimov and Putin
Say hello to your Ukrainian supervisor. How many people does Budanov have deployed here?
You want more dead Russians?
You certainly do
One thing happening both in Iran and Russia is that all the people most likely to rebel - the young, male, fit and decisive - are being killed or otherwise occupied in fighting each other. All the oligarchs of the world want exactly this to keep happening, because as long as it does no one will look at them. Class war 101.
There is a view that as part of the controlled demolition of the Russian state that Putin is carrying out he is disposing of the elements likely to rebel against it by killing them off on the frontlines. It's why they are all volunteers
GM I appreciate your responses all over, but I think its falling on deaf ears. For example, I think it is fair to say Ukraine (and Russia) are BOTH militarily more powerful today than they were in 2022. But that absolutely does not fit in with the "Ukraine is collapsing" narrative. They aren't. They launch massive long range strikes, their aviation is active every day, they are amazing at drone warfare, their specops game is top notch, and so on. Russia is also fighting very hard but this is very much a peer game now. Yes, Ukraine would absolutely fall apart if its logistics & supply chain were not wholly supported by Europe, but so what? The practical reality is unlimited money, unmolested logistics, and basically 17 countries worth of production freely entering at 0 risk. Its a recipie for certain defeat
The certain defeat of who, exactly?
Are you asking seriously? We are defeated, on the G7 Macron sobered up the whole gang that in the first quarter of 2026 all the members were in debt to China for 98 billion, the 3 remaining quarters don’t promise any better. The first 4 banks in the top ten are Chinese all great friends of Putin.The war in the ME has depleted the west in a way that next time, Zelensky might hire a circus crew for the attraction and to just give a firework show the smoke following might be created artificially perhaps ventilating flower. Putin got them all on a row, because Banderites are growing thin, he might consider blasting Germans, Brits and 3 stars Michelin haute cuisine customers.
Exactly.
another member of the troll squad
Your Putin targeting is failing big
Half of uk in land area in Russian hands and millions of Russians in Russias oscillation. Ukraine= failed state poorer than Uganda.
‘What are you doing with that feather sir?’
‘Oh i am wearing away this hill since it blocks the Sunlight from shining on our house”
Just be patient , you arent going to change the Russian leadership , they have worked out the best course of action and the Russian oscillation is expanding whereas Ukrainian diminishing . The longer it goes the idea is to get ukrainians to see their Grand Mistake of The Century humiliating themselves by allying with the enemy of Russia. In fact im sure some are wanting this to drag out because of good business on both sides . About dead Civilians and soldiers , no one remembers 70 odd million dead in ww1 and ww2 except once a year, if that.
The human primate is a barbaric beast .
I’m beginning to wonder if Russia even has a nuclear device that still works
Works perfect all chips and detonators collected not only from washing machines but also old TV sets, keep praying.
Yep. It's in your ass. And it's coming.
I understand you operate on a “act first, think later” mindset—for example, whether the West would use nuclear weapons or not. Apparently your approach of jumping in before checking if the water is deep enough works for you, but at least it lets you share your ideas on the internet.
You can do it better. Put your superman suit on and fly to the front. They are waiting for you there
At your level, you can demonstrate the validity of your claims to us by joining a trench, for example.
Russia could have ended the war sooner, but it would have been at immensely greater cost in lives and treasure.
In contrast, the present strategy has:
1) Destroyed the myth of a wide range of Western military systems - from the F16 to the Patriot to the Abrams to any number of other ones
2) Depleted Western arsenals and treasuries
3) Caused the EU to implode its own economy
4) Shown that NATO is a paper tiger
If Russians want to fully mobilize and storm the rest of Ukraine - they should vote to do so.
Until then, concern trolling is a waste of time and accomplishes nothing but encourage Western propaganda.
The Russian Generals eagerly wait for your advice.
Russian generals already know what to do. The buck stops at Putin, the President.
https://substack.com/@steve170045/note/c-279390491?r=9go1c
According to Col. Macgregor and Simplicius, among others, Russia had to keep plenty of their resources and assets in reserve but on standby in the event FUSA/NATO forces decide to intervene directly.
Hear ya, with Medvedev it would have been a different story !!!!!
Indeed!
Unbelievable those slow moving things can’t be shot down. Not a good look for Moscow!
Do you realise how many of those "slow moving things" would hit a US city if 550 were fired? About 500. And 400 patriots fired to get those 50.
You've clearly never tried to fire in full 3D space (Ie, into the air) at a moving target.
Try it in a video game.
You DO realise that 'SDI' was a trillion dollar boondoggle that never hit anything even once?
There's no nation on Earth with a better capability against them than Russia already, even China has gone for a wide area EMP burst instead.
They launched hundreds not even just at Moscow but at one very specific point around the refinery. Plus several Flamingo missiles and jet drones.
It overloaded the AD, then more drones came in and hit.
Which illustrates the basic fundamental principle -- you can't win a war on the defensive, much less against an enemy with infinite resources.
You have to fight back actively.
You still have a chance. But I understand that it’s easier to be a hero from your mother’s couch.
Zelensky has always been good at PR stunts. But it's worth remembering that the EU and NATO will see what they want to see, and von der Leyden has been pushing her anti-Russian line since the conflict's beginning. If Zelensky provided the EU delegation with cocaine instead of a drone show, he'd probably get as good a response. -No, better.
1. The attack was entirely predictable. Russia was unable to stop it. Another Russian fuckup.
2. It is abundantly obvious that NATO is attacking Russia directly. What does Russia propose to do about it?
No, attacking Kiev will accomplish nothing other than give Ukraine a fundraising opportunity.
3. This was not done to impress Brussels but Washington. It seems to have worked.
No Soviet leader would have ever tolerated this for a second, neither would have the Tsars.
Putin not only accepts it, but is sending birthday wishes to the people responsible for it.
Chernenko would have made a great job. If someone could have awaken him...
How can you say that Putin "tolerate" this strike or even "accept" it ? This is war right ? Do you "accept" or "tolerate" that your enemy is attacking you ? No, because tolerance or accepting stuff have nothing to do with war. You fight anyway in a war. And you plan your way to long term effect, victory, objectives. Thus, how come people like you absolutely wants a public "tit for tat" strike with a clear message "This is for Moscow's strike !!" ? Russians doesn't fight for you or for optics. Ukrainians do fight for optics, because they need the money from the West. And a sale pitch of this war is intended to fool everyone's public in the West to give them the impression that this money will serve the Ukrainian's victory, a dubious claim to say the least. In fact, it's mostly grift money to some MIC.
Soviet Leader were in a different times so were the Tsar.
It's strange to glorify one of the Soviet's weakness : optics and their inability to assess properly the reality. Sure, it make a better spectacle. A defeating one nonetheless.
As for the plans the Russians have about NATO involvment and the rest, it's easy to say that they have none just beause they don't signify them to you in a obvious and flashy way, and maybe nuclear way. It has nothing to do with birthday wishes.
If Putin cut completly himself from speaking with Trump, would it advance further the victory for the Russian side ? It would maybe satisfy some hardliner, but that does nothing for the war in itself. Beside, it's not Zelensky's birthday. Even the Iranians speak to the murderers.
In short, stop confusing any diplomacy for surrender.
>How can you say that Putin "tolerate" this strike or even "accept" it ? This is war right ? Do you "accept" or "tolerate" that your enemy is attacking you ?
If you can make it stop within hours to days of deciding to, then yes, you are tolerating it
>If Putin cut completly himself from speaking with Trump
There is a big difference between speaking with Trump licking his ass in the most humiliating for the country way
"If you can make it stop within hours to days of deciding to, then yes, you are tolerating it"
And ... that involves what ? If you think Russian have a brillant plan that magically ends the war and NATO and all future threats just by saying so, sure, that's simple. In reality, it must come with a cost : you "tolerate" or "accept" other things : casualty, risks, economic instability, etc.
You cannot argue something that extreme without explaining the fine print of that brillant plan. Also, I don't think you're a Russian General, with all the inside info.
"There is a big difference between speaking with Trump licking his ass in the most humiliating for the country way".
Sure. I don't think that Putin have done that by wishing a happy birthday to Trump. What you describe imply real concession that affect the war or the like. Putin may be the only one in the Russian leadership that thinks that the American aren't that involved or commited in the Ukraine war. But that isn't "liking his ass". At most, it's a factual error. And Putin's view are not static either.
>What you describe imply real concession that affect the war or the like.
In the vain hope of getting a deal they wasted 18 months in which Ukraine was armed to the teeth with long-range strike capabilities.
That is a huge real concession, an entirely unnecessary and unforced error
>And ... that involves what ?
https://www.mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/international_safety/1434131/
It involves following your own damn doctrine
"In the vain hope of getting a deal they wasted 18 months in which Ukraine was armed to the teeth with long-range strike capabilities.
That is a huge real concession, an entirely unnecessary and unforced error"
How come you can say they "wasted 18 months" ?
Russia has done nothing for 18 months ? You're speaking in absolute, that's the problem.
It's the same for the document. How can you be so sure that Russia has NOT followed its doctrine ?
Risk-assessment isn't a fixed science or fact.
Are you stating that in those "wasted 18 months" - pick any 18 month span of your choosing - Westworld including UKR became stronger relative to RU ?
Neither would Ghengis Khan ! What's your point ? This is assuming we know what any historical figure would do in today's reality, with the requisite knowledge...Putin said that in the same spirit I say "Have a nice day" to arseholes in the street.
I understand that you’re looking forward to a nuclear war, but fortunately some of the people who actually have influence over the course of events are more sensible than that.
Perhaps you can point to a post where I called for nuclear war?
I'd like to know, because if you find one, that means someone hacked my account.
Anyway, NATO has lost any fear of Russia.
Nope, NATO is not totally lacking of fear of RU.
Just enlist and go to the front. They need you
And Putin will give a stern 4 hour lecture covering the historical antecedents of this back to Peter the Great. And then launch a ferocious strike on the waste dump in a suburb of Kiev.
While Moscow burns. And a single Western decision hub in Ukraine full of NATO officers is never hit.
But fuck he’s safe in his bunker right? Best not to escalate. He still wants to be invited back to Berlin one day.
lol, Ernest.
I see that this discussion has already been completely taken over by Budanov’s employees.
It's interesting to find other people who think Putin and his allies are Fxking the Russian war effort for some unknown reason The kicker being is If we can see this sure as hell a whole bunch of Russians are sensing the fact Putin is not serious about fighting and winning this war
Same MI6/Ukrainian pattern and so predictable for those who have been watching the SMO since the beginning. Don't know why Russia tolerates it but there you go. Wonder why the West thinks Russia is weak? A totally mystery to me. At this point, I'm so tired of seeing dead Russian civilians (besides the Palestinians and Lebanese) my mental health is at risk so I refuse to watch the self-inflicted suicide.
My desire to remain informed is in direct conflict with my desire to remain sane....Killing Russian civilians makes Russia more determined to succeed . At the top of the escalation ladder we all die.
Russian civilians have been killed in ever increasing numbers for now the fifth years, plus the eihgt years before that in the Donbass.
Putin hasn't lifted a finger to stop it.
On the contrary. He launched the SMO just to prevent these massacres. And he succeded big time. If it wasnt for Putin, the Donbass would be human sludge now, and you would be super happy.
Such are the lies you consume daily.
https://t.me/s/dva_majors?q=%23%D0%A1%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BA%D0%B0+%D0%BD%D0%B0+%D1%83%D1%82%D1%80%D0%BE
"Wonder why the West thinks Russia is weak?"
Ideological imperative. They must believe. Because West is colonial by its very nature. They can't imagine a life without predatory subjugation of others. And Russia is the biggest prize there is: 120T in natural resources. Add the fact that Russia has successfuly resisted and them for centuries, an insult in itself. Russia's very existence is tangible proof that West isn't superior as they claim. Imagine the desire for revenge, greed, the hate.
The West thinks Russia is weak because objectively it is weak now.
Political weakness is the same as military weakness if it manifests itself in how the military operates.
Why you are so nervously desire for WW3. Despite all the killing Israel and America does is still not enough for you?
He is a bitter old fart that left Russia and is Western naturalized. He is just another iteration of Kozyrev. Ah, the irony.
All the biggest warmongers, whiners and gloaters here are bitter old farts.
I can't wait for Simp to reveal the age of the readers.
Also, the lowest percent in the answers were doomers, but if you read the comments section it is just them all over the place.
OK, according to your "logic" all the younger farts are way smarter and not as bitter that Russia does not wish to start the WW3. Right? What does the age have to do with it?
What age has to do with it is that old farts are approaching or already exceeded their theoretical life expectancy and does not really matter if they burn now.
We have two very vocal specimens here that think that optimal population size is 100 and 500 million, respectively. That stone age is the way to go.
Younger pro escalation farts are usually some iteration of westerners that havent experienced much of anything they advocate for. So, it is too theoretical for them. Think all could be fine.
I have a friend fart like this who genuinely thinks Rus should let Donbass population get slaughtered, because it would have been good for PR and perception management. Dude is professor, btw.
Of course he is one iteration of Anglos. Never ever anything touches them. That is why i am all for glassing Anglos realms if poop hits the fan.
Hopefully we do not get to that point.
And you, the armchair general sitting on your mom’s couch, must know better than anyone. I’m tired of you polluting this discussion with the nonsense rattling around in your adolescent brain.
On the contrary. The Ukranian collapse is near. Shove it up.
Dislike
Walking away from the cause of mental stress for a while will help restore balance, Nat.
Just saying.
especially if you hang yourself
Stupid bitch
glad to annoy you bitch
The pleasure is all mine. Do you know the meaning of the word Yoni? Bitch actually, or cunt.
Don't mind Yoni, Raquel.
He is from the lower end of the evolutionary scale, somewhere between ape and man. lol
You should worship the yoni, instead of weaponizing it. It is the source of life and a universal archetype. Everybody was born from a yoni, except you who were born from a baboon ass.
True
This suicide is logical. The Russians love the west. That is their lesser value complex,
Russians would rather die than hurt the wonderful west.
Russia is now begging for peace.
Stupid comment. Too much CIA propaganda is filling your head. We are not suffering from some inferiority complex because we love Europe and consider her our homeland.
He is one of the two old farts I mentioned earlier. Enjoy his comments. You already met the other one. ;)
They are both "Rambos" urging some escalation, but they both fled from their countries. Only to whine hard subsequently.
The more such attacks are permitted to be launched without an adequate response inside Ukraine, and beyond, the more fatal and devastating the attacks will inevitably become.
20 years of this? I don't think so. If this keeps up, by the end of next year thousands of drones will be launched into major Russian cities on a weekly basis, paralyzing the country.
Either Russia stops this now with devastating retribution -- without warnings or bluster -- or it will never stop.
Putin's pussyfooting is no longer acceptable. And, if Russia simply cannot muster the response necessary, then it must end the war.
>by the end of next year thousands of drones will be launched into major Russian cities on a weekly basis
Thousands of drones are being launched into major Russian cities on a weekly basis, the average is stably over 500 a day now.
But it will be tens of thousands soon and then AD will be overloaded. Today was a demo run on how to overload it in Moscow with a mass saturation attack
>And, if Russia simply cannot muster the response necessary, then it must end the war.
It will not be allowed to. They have smelled weakness and will go for the kill.
In WWII, the nazis destroyed Leningrad but the USSR won after all. This is a walk in the park in comparision. Go to the front GM. Russia just need a little of your push
Spot the differences.
1) The Nazis destroyed Leningrad because there was nothing Stalin could do to stop them. There is plenty Putin can do to win the war, he just doesn't want to do it
2) Stalin was fighting back with all he had from Day 1. Putin is not fighting back at all
You hate Putin, so what can you say?
You don't find Putin's actions to be acceptable. Well, I'll bet that will make him come to his senses and come to you, hat in hand, to ask how he should conduct military affairs.
Is it possible for Russia to shoot down the starlink satellites?
Yes, they have mulitple systems to do that. And no, not one by one, as I am sure some moron will jump in to object about the logistical impossibility of doing it, all of them at once.
As usual, it hasn't been done because there is no order from the top.
What would be the point? Starlink launches new batches of satellites into orbit at least once a week. It would also mark a major escalation, and Russia's satellites are just as vulnerable. It's not worth it
1) The new batches would be destroted similarly, if they managed to get them up
2) They would in fact not be able to get any new batches up for the next 5-10 years because of Kesslerization
>Russia's satellites are just as vulnerable
3) Who has more satellites and benefits more from them now? So who would net gain from all satellites being disabled?
Which would not be the case, it would be this specific oribt.
BTW, Russia's Rassvet is in a higher orbit than Starlink. I can imagine a situation in which Russia gets a few hundred Rassvets up, then Kesslerizes Starlink, which would leave the US without Starlink, but keep Rassvet up. That would be funny.
But with these people in the Kremlin, well...
I’m surprised that with your military and many other kinds of experience, you aren’t already running important combat operations. But of course you do run them—right after you sit down at your computer, once your mom has cooked you lunch. You’re very important.
Oh, they need you in the Kremlin. You could win the war in two weeks. 24 hours. Trump style.
Starlink has over 10k satellites in its constellation. The PLANET doesn't have enough ASAT weapons to destroy this constellation, let alone Russia, unless they used an EMP, which is a shit idea for obvious reasons
Starlink's low orbit requires active station keeping, meaning that atmospheric drag will force de-orbiting of any debris
Shooting down satellites of any kind is a serious matter. The resulting debris would be a danger to everything else orbiting at anywhere near the same level. In the worst case, it would make launching anything further too risky for months or years. I mean anything--no astronauts, no nothing.
Of course, GM hasn't thought of that or doesn't care, as their sole purpose in posting here is to stir up arguments and distraction.
Kesslerization is precisely how you shoot down Starlink.
There are very specific Russian projects for doing it with just a single rocket launch that will disperse a huge amount of shotgun pellet in the Stalink orbit to initiate the process.
The West gains a lot more from having satellites up than Russia would lose from the destruction of the Russian ones.
But more importantly, Starlink is a nuclear first-strike system. And thus must not be allowed to exist, as a matter of utmost importance for national security.
Just when you thought GM couldn't say anything stupider, he surprises you.
I see you’re quite the expert. You read that on the internet, didn’t you?
@Sam
With good reason, nobody wants to shoot first.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kessler_syndrome
It is quite possible to destroy Starlink satellites, they are only about 300 to 340 miles up. There are about 10,000 Starlink satellites in orbit presently, so all the debris from Starlink plus destroyed Russian satellites in the inevitable escalating tit for tat exchanges would quickly fill low earth orbit with debris capable of wrecking other satellites and deny those very useful orbits to everyone for quite a while.
I'm impressed that Russia is prioritizing restablishing deterrence against pensioners in yachts rather than determined and cynical adversaries in a proxy's strategic rear.
Being pensioners they have not realised that their lives are in danger in collision with a warship which was stationary, without a chance to change course. They have missed multiple radio, flares and sound signals and were woken up only by shots over their heads. Probably they have saved their lives.
@Clem Fandango
Sweeping limey British trash from the high seas has to start SOMEWHERE.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dogger_Bank_incident
Back in the day, Russian Empire made a good faith effort to clear a perfidious British fishing fleet from the Dogger Banks in October of 1904. The Russian fleet pretended afterwards it was a case of mistaken identity, but we all KNOW the Kamchatka was just doing the right thing...
https://youtu.be/9Mdi_Fh9_Ag?si=dNF7-92uI8G5VnGI
Why is DaNATO HDQT in Brussels still intact?
Can't upset the dear partners.
Must sell them gas and everything else they need for pennies on the dollar instead
If you had a brain, you would know that. Someone who does have a brain is not interested in burning in a nuclear war the way you are.
Don't need a brain to read this:
"Andrei Martynov is pretty confident that it’s going to be necessary for the Russians to drop an Oreshnik or three on the European power centers, as they did with Kiev last night, to convince them to stop playing poke the Bear.
NATO criminals are doing everything they can to censor any info coming out of destroyed sites, especially around Belaya Tserkov airfield complex which contained many things ranging from bunkers to aviation repair and “mad maxing” facilities for all kinds of flying means for strikes against Russia.
https://voxday.net/2026/05/24/kiev-meets-mr-hazel/
Next time it could be Berlin or Paris and they can do nothing about it.
It’s understandable that the Russians feel no need to save the Europeans from Clown World. After all, they had to save themselves, and if the nations of Europe are sovereign and healthy, they are a proven potential threat to Europe. But Clown World is the greater evil, and the Russians know perfectly well who is behind Ukraine and using it as a proxy to make war on them."
With the signing of the "MOU" it could indicate that the situation regarding WW3 could be changing. The wests logistics are under pressure and the willingness to keep fighting is draining from everyone but the epstein class . The UK is scraping the bottom of the budget barrel and is facing ponying up for its Ukraine guarantees. Germany is going to Canada, cap in hand for more oil , but the USA will need to refill its reserves and will probably get priority. It's also interesting that Trump is also lambasting NATO for its lack of help with the Iran fiasco. All of this has the caveat that everyone is spinning and lying . Thank you to Simplicius for providing verified information regarding the conflict .
You can try to spin it any way you want, the fact is that no Russian leader in history would have ever tolerated this for a second, while the current one sends birthday wishes to the people doing this to Russia.
No Russian leader? You mean no Soviet Union leader.
Well, he does worship Stalin....
Do you think Peter I would tolerate such behavior? How about Catherine, Elizabeth, Alexander I and II?
Do you think or let me ask you, no matter the drones falling in Moscow and the frustration and the revengeful reactions, even the attack in Luhansk on a school with girls, teacher students the begging for retaliation, and after 2 weeks everything has passed and is forgotten, now do you think the majority of Russians and also the military are getting fed up with this war, they want it to end immediately, the same goes for the Ukrainian soldiers, fuck the independence fuck democracy they all want it to stop and return to normal life and go home.I’m gonna tell you more even Putin secretly and Trump wants it to end, the costs are too high on human and financial capital, but what is going on in essence, the NATO Eurocrats, the Zionazis, the Banderites, the Bank of England, the Rothschild’s and Wall Street, the military industrial complex and all their private corps do NOT want it to stop ever!
How many more of these nonsense comments do you have to write before you’ve done your quota and get your few hryvnias?
sadly russian leaders of russia doesn't exist after ivan the terrible =)))
you surely mean german/ukrainian/georgian leaders of russia =))))
"Hell, even civilians got in on the action with their side arms"
Clearly an American tourist.
No way he hit and exploded that drone with a pistol. AI fakery.