A few weeks ago, I stated that Russia must warn and set consequences for the increasing US-led Ukrainian attacks (15 in August alone) on its oil refineries, as it would start to adversely bite into its economy.
Nothing was done. So what happened?
Yesterday, a major oil and petrochemical facility was struck. (again)
"At least ten separate Russian refineries have come under cross-border drone attack from Ukraine since only early August, which has served to reduce nationwide refining output by nearly 20% - or roughly 1.1 million barrels per day - and wholesale oil prices in Russia have risen sharply". Inflation, close to 10% is restricting consumer spending, who must deal with fuel shortages, rationing, long lines and record prices jumping over 54%. I suspect that the military is nearing the point of having to ration its own fuel consumption, preventing it from conducting any large-scale operation needed to force a surrender and resorting to imported camels from Egypt for transportation. Giddyup camels. 😂
Russia's lollygagging methodical approach may have won the attrition rate over AFU forces, but, in doing so, it also bought time for the US proxy to weaken Russia's economy and prevent its army from doing what it should have done long ago, take out Ukraine's command and control centers, destroy supply lines and force a surrender with aggressive attacks long ago Mike Tyson style (one round knock out).
I conclude that Russia was and is too soft. It should have retaliated by blocking the Strait of Hormuz and Suez by sinking oil carriers at key locations and then sinking every oil and natural gas ship feeding Europe from the US. This would be a fair response to the US, which has led and initiated AFU war operations and its attack on Russian refineries, destroyed Nordstream, and is sabotaging 300 billion inRussian assets. All that the NEOs understand is Might is Right. Diplomacy and treaties are for manpussies. lol
Finally, listen to this insightful video about Russia, even if they understand the type of psychopaths they're dealing with, are they willing to face up to what that means in terms of what they have to do next...Now, giddyup, camel. We got us an SMO to win. (honk honk)https://youtu.be/3AoXL_xQRXI?t=389
Putin is likely the world's best peacetime leader, but I think Medvedev would be a better wartime president. This war in Ukraine has gone well beyond the SMO. Russia is in a larger war now, and it needs to adjust accordingly.
And woe betide Putin if something happens to him while he's at the top.
Although there are still some hardliners among the successors, and the voices of the Russian people are growing louder to end it all in one fell swoop, to show NATO where they stand as vassals of the US...right at the very bottom, empty-handed.
But the Georgia operation was something Putin never did.
The Chechen situation is different because that was an internal affair. Putin is big on maintaining internal "stability", meanwhile Russia was taking one major geopolitical L after another, as a result of which everything even in the former USSR near abroad has been lost except for Belarus.
Had Ukraine been dealt with in 2014 the same way Georgia was in 2008 we would not be in this situation now.
One thing that needs to be recognized- you don't talk shit about Mother Russia with a nickname of yours in particular. Unless you as a person was confronted in a very public settings about beautiful Georgia. The state or the country.
I would let the leadership do their job. They are obviously learning as WW3 is something new. We are at the birth of a new order. ABSOLUTELY NOBODY has experience in what is afoot currently. Best to be patient, hold off on proscriptions and see who has which cards in the final showdown. We have about 10 years to wait IMHO.
By end of this year, Ukraine will be settled. By end of next year most of Europe /UK will be a backwater.. no energy = no gdp. America is getting dragged into Iran one way or another, so they (and Israel) will get another spanking. I fully expect gold to be at least 10X the price by year-end... and who knows how much higher by end-2026.
Medvedev says what Putin cannot say, he is perfect for this open backchannnel communication - the West must be somehow deterred, and Medvedev is doing a great job. (Someone has to do this when you have to deal with Western idiots who lost touch with reality and keep forgetting basic facts on the ground.)
Russia is not being soft, it is being wise. Putin and Medvedev are both okay. Note how the West keeps provoking Russia to attack EU - they wish to get an excuse to attack Russia big time, and this would soon lead to nuclear exchange.
Western elites care about Europeans as much as they care about Ukrainians. They themselves count on their undeground luxury shelters and AGI/supperintelligence to replace "plebs", we are too much fuss for them, we keep protesting and resisting. Anyway, Russia is fine with her leadership, EU countries are doomed if we don't get rid of those psychos soon! They'll catch our lads like dogs for cannonfodder...
This is war. You take losses. It can't be avoided. I am frankly surprised that Russia hasn't suffer far more than they have to date, considering they are up against a very strong Ukrainian force, a force far greater than anything NATO has to offer. Indeed, NATO is lucky that Ukr force has not been turned against them - they would suffer far more than Russia has.
People seem to forget that the money and equipment the Allies gave the Sovie Union to stop 200 German SS and Army division in WW2 is the same amount the US gave Ukraine to stop Russia.
I can hardly believe that. In fact I know that only a few privileged insiders have an idea on the true size of Lend-Lease and they know it is best for them to shut up. The data that they are feeding us for consumption is a pile of BS.
You need to take into account the different nature of war today, i.e. ISR does not count anywhere as material aid, but has been a decisive factor.
But even just materiel -- the number of armored vehicles that have been supplied to Ukraine is well over 10,000 between various tanks, IFVs and APCS, plus thousands of pieces of artillery, many millions shells, etc. etc. -- is certainly on a comparable scale to WWII Lend-Lease.
P.S. The bulk of materiel on the Eastern Front the USSR produced itself, Lend-Lease was not in any way decisive, and in fact the USSR would have been much better off if the US stayed out of the war altogther. Then the Red Army would have reached the Atlantic, all of Europe would have been communist, and we would live in a very different world today.
Instead the US came to rescue the Nazis in 1943-44 with the Italy invasion and D-Day.
‘Then the Red Army would have reached the Atlantic, all of Europe would have been communist, and we would live in a very different world today.’
You are truly exposing a deranged mind there, thanks.
WWII cannot be compared to the Ukraine war today. WWII played out on a planetary scale, with dozens of nations involved, one way or another.
What makes you think Lend-Lease was not decisive during WWII when you do not know the size of the act? The fact is that the US government has performed a stellar act – including sanitizing the Library of Congress from information – to cover up the reality. They have a clear accounting from every ton of raw steel to the last airplane but they collected all primary sources accessible. A similar action was performed in the commie bloc after Chernobyl in 1986: The commies collected every single Geiger-Muller counter from East Berlin to the Ural Mountains from places accessible by the general public.
What can be the reason after 80 years? The general public’s backlash on a planetary scale is what they are trying to avoid. They saved the Judeo-Bolshevik Monster and it is time to stand up and take credit for the act. For an opening, all I am asking is for the release of the thousands of telegrams exchanged between the US State Department and the Embassy in Moscow, 1939 to 1946. One of those telegrams will tell us that by the end of 1941 they had flown 10,000 mixed use airplanes from Alaska to the Soviets. I would be also interested to see the records of all US ships crossing the Panama and Suez canals from 1939 to 1946. Dozens of those telegrams are talking about long lines of ships waiting outside the Iranian harbors because they did not fit in, the locals were unable to unload them fast enough. They were concerned about German U-boats.
@GM - What "1939 telegrams" are you are talking? There was nothing supplied by Lend-Lease - in 1941- in such a tragic and crucial year. In another most crucial 1942 - just 30% of what's promised. Lend-Lease shipments picked up when it was clear who's winning and most of Lend-Lease help went to Britain, anyway. Soviets used to call SPAM "the second front" - which, wasn't opened either till Jun 1944, when the outcome of the war was greatly predetermined and not only the Red Army kicked the Germans from own territory but was pushing towards Berlin.
The USSR never got anything even compared to what Ukraine got from all the 30 countries combined in the % of their GDP - it's surreal.
Correct. But if with that backing the Ukies had at some point turned against NATO, NATO would have been defeated. What I am saying is that the Ukies are smarter and possess more advanced military strategy and operations having inherited that from the Soviets.
NO, you're not exaggerating. Because if Ukraine were to turn against NATO, 99.9% of the time Russia would be with them.
Viewed that way, NATO, including the USA, would quickly come to an end.
Russian technology against which NATO has NOTHING, so a USA without aircraft carriers is an island force without supplies.
Which, by the way, would explain why a Trump actually ONLY does a constant EGG dance...
But it could also be that it was agreed in Alaska... You, Putin, leave Israel alone, I, Trump, am doing my best to leave you alone without bringing myself down!!
Enough imagination... Russia together with its Russian allies is enough for NATO in Europe. In the face of hypersonics, a Trump will sacrifice neither Boston nor New York for Warsaw, or Berlin for Paris. The British, on the other hand, would be more likely to defect, because they couldn't endure a blockade of their island again like in 1943-44, given the new technologies in which the Russians are about 15 years ahead of the West.
>This is war. You take losses. It can't be avoided.
Yes, it can, if you destroy your enemy before he can inflict those losses.
Something that Putin had the military-technical capability to do on Day 1 of the war, and still does (though not clear for how much longer), but stubbornly still refuses to do.
>NATO is lucky that Ukr force has not been turned against them - they would suffer far more than Russia has.
No, they wouldn't. NATO also has the military-technical capability put an end to this problem quickly and they would exercise it.
"NATO also has the military-technical capability put an end to this problem quickly and they would exercise it."
No they have not. Currently they could bring 50.000 men up to combat but could not even sustain that because they lack manpower for rotation, logistics and to replace the lost material. If you count in the US, the picture would be different, it's just that the USA is crazy but not that stupid, that they don't know they are not untouchable anymore. Add to that the fact that it is hard for airplanes to have no flight basis left to return to, then you'll understand that your statement is simply nonsense.
Please stop wasting my time with dumb statements, wrapped as the Lords own words.
>Currently they could bring 50.000 men up to combat but could not even sustain that because they lack manpower for rotation, logistics and to replace the lost material
They would, of course, not be the same idiots as the Russians, and would not be dragged into a protracted ground war.
They would do decapitation combined with proper isolation of the battlefield, i.e. what Putin refuses to do for four years now for reasons he has never bothered to explain.
Sure and your point is? How exactly would they achieve that? With Airplanes that get shot down or have no airfields left to return to? Missiles that the layered Russian Air defense Systems is probably able to handle well? NATO is running this war already, in the headquarter in Wiesbaden, Germany.
I think you misunderstand - were NATO running the war on behalf of Russia, things would look very different.
Start with an relentless SEAD campaign. As it were, the RuAF started this war often flying without SEAD loadouts, as they did not expect anyone to shoot back.
The day is still young - I won't be surprised at what Ukraine might do to the EU when the dust settles and Ukrainians realize how brutally and cynically they're defrauded.
According to GlobalPetrolPrices.com, over the last eight weeks the price of high octane car gas in Russia rose from 61.5 rubles/L to 63.5 rubles/L - not insignificant, but certainly not indicative of a shortage. The same source says gas has risen by 8% in the last year in Russia. This is almost exactly in line with the current rate of inflation.
If nothing else, it's good for a laugh - I do look at it pretty regularly, but when it comes to anything important, if it only has Tyler's byline and he quotes western media (as in your linked article), then no, it ain't reliable...
The refineries are hit but refineries are built in such a way that they are mostly storage tanks separated to minimise damage if one is caught fire. So yes, they are hit but usually it has minimal impact on refinery operations - there is a lot of redundancy built into a plant. It might have limited production in some of them but not enough to seriously impact prices.
I said before that BRICS without Russia was BICS, and the US was going to light them up one flick at a time. Here's my point. What has BICS done to help Russia in any significant way? Nothing, absolutely nothing. The BICS should have made a united stand along with Russia during this SMO turned into a real war. The NEOS rightly saw this as a weakness to capitalize on. So now there are economic and political pressures put on the BICS by the US to stand down and back off from their dealings with Russia. The only BICS country with any real clout is China, and they've done pretty well nothing to help Russia. BICS let Russia down no matter how you see it. That sets the stage for the perfect divide and conquer which the NEOS excel at, and it may explain why the Russians have been so reserved in their SMO. Russia fights alone and absorbs all the costs of the SMO while China builds its country and can't even contribute a measly 50 billion dollars to support Russia. China is too cheap and self-absorbed. The Russians know it so they're more careful and hesitant when logic dictates they must be more aggressive in its SMO. Screw BICS for making Russia do all the dirty work.
I think you've jumped the gun, Denis. The BRICS currently seem very cohesive thanks to the Trump Trade Tariffs. Didn't they just pull in Indonesia? I suggest you duck-duck-go a chart for projected relative economic size 2035. It may shock you. At the moment the Chinese are stomping all over the US. It's hard to watch, and I'm not US lover.
I was expecting Modi to blink when the new tariffs came in, and Brazil to cave. These were the two least committed members in my opinion, but all BRICS seems to be holding up under US pressure.
Sorry to say so but you fit exactly the kind of people that A. Martyanov frequently talks about. No clue about war, no clue about military strategy, tactics let alone operational level. Here you add being clueless about the structure and function of BRICS and SCO. Of course everyone is entitled to have an opinion. Fact of the matter is, every opinion that's not based on profound knowledge is in the end BS. To come up with 'Zerohedge', who is controlled opposition and kind of libertarian anyway, tells more than what you say. To summarize: The added value of your comments is filling Simplicius' comment section and wasting other peoples time.
Frank, you're a little woke wiesel who cries like a little girl when you don't get to hear what you want to hear instead of discussing issues as adults do. If you don't like what I say, skip over instead of acting like a fairy drama queen.
And I would add the Great Moron bunch is flooding and occupying the comment sections, especially the oldest comments since statistically, are the more read. This is an important chat, with good insiders like Karl Sanchez commenting here. The NAFO bunch need to spoil it.
>Sorry to say so but you fit exactly the kind of people that A. Martyanov frequently talks about. No clue about war, no clue about military strategy, tactics let alone operational level.
How much of a clue does A. Martyanov have?
It's not as if we have four years of a track record on that question or anything...
Some of us are old enough to remember what Martyanov was saying back in 2022, keep that in mind.
The other question that follows is why is it that you do not remember it and have not revisited your assessment on who is a reliable source and who is not?
Iran provided Russia with drones initially, then diverted US attention with the 12 day war. Re-arming Israel and restocking their own forces drains munitions that could have gone to Ukraine. Trump is not focused on Ukraine any more.
Don't forget wars have an equally important economic section. The Chinese sanctions on rare earths and magnets must impact the US MIC. De-dollarization is increasing. Chinese weapons are being used in Pakistan, now allied with Saudi Arabia, and in Egypt now. All alarming for Israel, which will divert US funding and weapons.
The pivot to Iran and further down the line, China was in the US strategic review covered by Brian Berletic. Trump views China as the main enemy and Russia as a sideshow.
Sadly, many agree with your assessments of the situation.
Jim Jatras on Jamali - said it well 'Putin's deranged smo is to kill as many Ukrainians as possible, to force an agreement with your enemy, rather than break your enemies will or ability to war.' All the Ukrainian leaders are galloping around and EU leaders party in Kiev, while Israel and US decapitate 'enemy' countries leaders. Russia still has this deranged illusion that it can negotiate with an entity that despises its very existence.
Fact is, Russia isn't really calling any of the shots, NATO still surrounds it, inflow of weapons are non-stop. Every 'inaction' by Russia encourages further 'action' by the US&EU puppets, in essence Russia is enabling its enemies. There is no respect for Russia in the west and semi-east. Another western terrorist attack is already in the pipes deep within Russia. Putin is afraid of a fictional Article 5, which is at most a delusional guarantee. We live in a deranged world where the aggressors do as they please. While the rest of the world is further in flames, the Russians are occupied fighting their neighbour for the next 100years.
>Jim Jatras on Jamali - said it well 'Putin's deranged smo is to kill as many Ukrainians as possible, to force an agreement with your enemy, rather than break your enemies will or ability to war.'
I saw that too. One of the few sane voices in this mess.
>A big war, millions of dead, displaced people, crippled people drinking foul water, death and destruction all over the place.
What war have you been watching the last four years?
It could have been won with Ukraine recovered in full and fully intact and with absolutely minimal causalties on the Russian side had Putin done what had to be done early on.
He didn't do it because that would have hurt the interests of Russian (and Ukrainian) oligarchs and those have priority to this day which is why it still hasn't been done.
So we got the huge casulaties, the displaced, the maimed and the contaminated and destroyed land. On Russian territory.
So... compare these numbers with your own countries.
Germany, for example, has two larger refineries and two that primarily produce kerosene.
BY THE WAY: Since yesterday, no planes have been able to refuel in Hamburg due to a shortage of kerosene!
Regarding Russia:
Russia has a total of around 32 large and around 80 smaller oil refineries. However, Ukraine has attacked at least 13 of these refineries since the beginning of 2024, causing significant damage and disrupting Russia's fuel supply.
.
13 out of a total of 112 refineries + imports from India.
So it's up to you to decide who will soon have problems if a Trump or von der Leyen prevails and imports oil and petrol from India, as well as petrol and oil from Turkey, and diesel + gas from Russia (there are many cars in the EU that run on gas)
so who will soon have huge problems, or at least in the range of utopian prices!
Denis counter balancing the good news for Russia. Russia is too soft... Thats (fake) 6 columnism. In fact, Ukrainian prop... Russia is weak, Russia is losing...
Spot on Denis. Again and again you challenge the ”narrative” that is ruling in the Russian Camp. And it is good because Victory is not seen anytime soon, maybe over the horizon.
However, I dont think sinking Oiltankers in Hormuz and Suez would be appropiate actions from the Russian. It would fit the western narrative of ”crazy, evil, aggressive Russians”.
Putin has his style and it is part of the problem. Toppling him now would create even more problems and probably defeat. But he must find ways where Russia can instill more fear in the West. Fear of a total War, fear of destruction.
This report from Simplicius was as usual good but without ”bites”.
And was a bit confused about this: ” Now in the past week Russian forces have again been picking up the pace in territorial captures on a number of fronts”
If this SMO is a non-territorial war but more a War of attrition - why is territorial gains then important. Of course operational manouvers which strains the enemys forces is the fundametal in the Art if War - so we need more fronts opened up. Or?
If Russia now have 700 000 men in Ukraine and Zelenssky says they are 900 000 - how come the front is so thin with Afu-soldiers. The Ukrainian disinfo about 7:1 is a trick to lure the Russians out. And then kill them. So Russia is doing this slo-mo over and over again and trickling soldiers behind enemy lines. They have no other way because the AFU have enough weapons and ammo to kill large formations. And why?
As you wrote about stopping the supply routes - we now can read Uki sources saying that Russia has started bombing railway lines. Medvedev would have done it during the first year.
Simplicius had this comment from Uki-sources:
” At the same time it's clear that Russia failed to reach clear operational success over the summer campaign season.”
True.
I dont think UK/EU will stop provocating a Full War or take a step back and think over the realitys on the ground. They work like a clockwork in a time-fused bomb.
And I think the only way is to surprise and make them wake up trembling. Otherwise we are sleep-walking into WW3.
Thanks for balancing out my exaggerated thoughts about sinking all the oil and gas cargo vessels, Mikey. It sounded good at the moment, but it's not the time for that yet. But it could be used as a future threat in a WW3 scenario if all the gloves come off. Your comment is well said and balanced as usual. Best wishes, friend.
The Russians have stated very clearly their desire to "liberate" the Donbass. Not sure where you got the idea this isn't, partly at least, about territory. The 4 oblasts and Crimea are certainly territorial entities, and there's a lot of gold in them there hills!
Also Russia would certainly not be looking to instill fear in the West. I'm sure the primary goal is to defeat NATO while at the same time preventing the general mobilisation of European populations against Russia. At the moment I think there is little desire for war in the West (elites excluded) and the Russians want it to stay that way.
Your assumption regarding my views is odd. Russia has, and always had, 2 main strategic goals in their SMO. One is to keep NATO from controlling Ukraine and reaching some modus vivendi for future cohabitation of the European zone. Second was/is to protect ethnic Russians who came under attack following the 2014 coup. They tried with the Minsk Agreements and failed. Their only recourse was/is to take control of the territory.
Both these goals need to be achieved through operational and tactical means. This is where their attrition methodology comes in. They are definitely fighting a war of attrition but the strategic goal is to control territory. Remember all the talk of a buffer zone? The 4 new oblasts into the Russian constitution? Crimea? Their security from the NATO threat and their protection of ethnic Russians requires control of these territories.
>As you wrote about stopping the supply routes - we now can read Uki sources saying that Russia has started bombing railway lines. Medvedev would have done it during the first year.
They are bombing them, but it is the same shitshow as the energy campaign previously.
How many hundreds of cruise missiles were wasted on hitting transformers and yet the grid was never brought down because there was a political veto on taking that final step? There were some blackouts here and there, and that was the end of it.
Same situation now with the trains -- there are strikes, but nothing decisive, so while there are some delays of trains here and there, overall there are no operationally significant disruptions.
P.S. Notice another pattern -- every time such a move is made on the Russian side, but of course not taken to completion, all it does is open Russia to more attacks, which are then not answered.
The "energy campaign" was followed by the first wave of attacks on Russian refineries. Then early this year Putin supposedly agreed to halt strikes on energy infrastructure, and indeed, the electric grid has not been touched since then, only gas facilities. But are Russian refineries blowing up daily? You bet. So who ended up at a net loss here?
Similarly with the "buffer zone". Putin entered in Kharkov last year, once again with insufficient forces, and all that move achieved was to allow the US to give itself permission to launch HIMARS strikes into official Russian territory. Fast forward 18 months, the HIMARS strikes into Bryansk, Kursk and Belgorod (not just Belgorod) are the new daily normal, but there is no meaningful buffer zone along the border whatsoever. Who came out at a net loss?
Etc. etc. etc.
The railway strikes will likely end up the same way -- the West will pressure Putin to halt them, Putin will oblige once again, but the strikes on Russian railways (which have been a thing for a while now) will not stop.
>I conclude that Russia was and is too soft. It should have retaliated by blocking the Strait of Hormuz and Suez by sinking oil carriers at key locations and then sinking every oil and natural gas ship feeding Europe from the US
Gerans should have been flown from container ships at the refineries along the US Gulf coast. This would have been a proper response -- take out 30% of US refining and grab some popcorn to watch the shit show.
Attacks on Russian refineries would stop immediately.
Russia is bleeding NATO militarily, while NATO bleeds themself economically and culturally. In the meantime Russia and her allies build up themselves militarily while gaining manpower and equipment live combat testing and experience. Throw NK into that. The east is also deepening their economic options. Seems to me Russia knows what it is doing, all facets of the conflict are being addressed. Terrorism, wishful thinking and propaganda are insufficient to defeat Russian and allied COFM.
If you read the local press where these refineries are located, you would be close to the truth. The alleged fuel shortage in Russia is nothing less than a seasonal situation that occurs every year, during the summer, and this in all countries. Regarding the inflation rate, you would do well to check the level of salary increases, but also pensions, which are almost close to this rate or even higher. All information coming from the West was developed in kyiv. I hope the fodder in kyiv is of good quality, cattle.
You're all forgetting that Belarus, which covered almost 15% of gasoline consumption in the EU until 2023, is now being sanctioned, even though this gasoline export to the EU is also partially circumvented.
But this gasoline is now almost entirely exported to Russia, and imports of Russian oil to Belarus have increased almost fivefold since 2024. Why, I wonder...safe refineries?
Apart from that, there are 124 refineries in Russia, 14 of which were attacked. Of these 14, 9 specialized in gasoline production, 2 specialized in fuel oil and diesel, and 1 is known for its chemical refinery.
NONE, however, for kerosene, and by the way, 85% of all military vehicles are diesel...so what effect could these senseless attacks have on the army, and a large portion of gasoline consumption is covered by Belarus. If necessary, there's India, which currently covers about 12% of the EU's demand, and the trend is rising.
Note: There is currently a shortage of asphalt in Germany (why is that?), and cement, which requires a lot of gas to produce, is barely affordable.
THIS
Is still relevant after three days:
"The airlines at Hamburg Airport are currently affected by an unforeseen kerosene supply shortage from the Heide refinery," said an airport spokeswoman. "The airlines and their suppliers/contract partners are working hard on a solution.
No departures or arrivals with passengers are possible all day today. Passengers are asked not to come to the airport and to contact their airline.
"Inflation, close to 10% is restricting consumer spending, who must deal with fuel shortages, rationing, long lines and record prices jumping over 54%." That is pure bullshit. I live in Russia and there are no fuel shortages, long lines or record prices jumping over 54%.
The Baltics are laughable facsimiles of real states. Their appetite for war far exceeds their digestive capacities. But, let them eat. They'll shit themselves when real war comes to their borders. Soon, the Baltics will realize that speaking Russian is preferable to not existing.
Neutrality was their best protection, their guarantee of survival.
How could a dwarf be so stupid as to ally himself with a bankrupt neighbor on the doorstep of a giant who doesn't even want or can't offer the dwarf new markets?
They've been absorbed by the dominant power several times; there is no angle for them in doing anything but making a lot of noise, really, as long as they believe that is not imminent. When they shut up, you'll know it's imminent.
Puppets are always a problem, Octavia, like the little squirt hiding under the coat tails of his big brother, peeking out to lob insults and imprecations, and then diving back under that cloak. What does he/she do when the cloak of a long night vanishes in the light of a new dawn and he is found naked and shivering in the dirt. He had better hope for some Russian magnanimity in victory.
It was a mistake to allow the Polish and Baltic warmongers into the EU and the NATO. I am sure that not everybody in those countries shares the belligerence of their politicians and journalists, but the majority of them apparently does.
Russia is not going to collapse in a catastrophic manner. The problem is demographic implosion and can only occurr in the middle term. Of course the same development is threatening all European States.
If the Russian State would crumble, the Western oligarchy would not get to control any new resources. On the contrary, they would have to spend a lot in the defense of the Sino-Polish border as the joke went in Moscow in the final Soviet years.
I doubt it again, if they do, they'll go back to the Russian Empire and all the Nazis there will flee to the rest of the EU.
And I assure you of one thing:
They openly worship their Nazis in Waffen SS cemeteries and many monuments. A US soldier back then wouldn't believe what was being maintained there, what his comrades died for. Oh yes, they had the freedom that the Russians tolerated for over 70 years... and they were also their best trading partner. Today, you won't find a single one of their products in a Western supermarket... the "friendship" between the EU and NATO probably doesn't go that far; no one allows their products onto the market.
Baltic states live off the fantasy that USA will protect them, if Russia ever retaliates against any of their provocations. But that won't ever happen, because USA can't do that against a powerful and nuclear country like Russia. USA would be wiped out from existence and if there's anything the supremacist, egomaniacs, that think they are better than everyone else in USA don't want, is to die. And as the Ukraine war has showed, the entire NATO cannot sustain long conventional wars. Its only "choice" would be to go nuclear, but as I mentioned above, that means their destruction too.
The typical representation of the baltic states as small dogs that bark a lot all the time, is the best one. Not to mention that baltic states are rabid nazis / fascists, so whatever they say, should be ignored 100% of the times.
They will switch back to the Russian side before the Russians have a chance to kill any of them..This s the Balts "superpower" , the ability to overwhelm an enemy by switching sides so fast a war never actually takes place. BTW they yap constantly against Russia in public, but among themselves they are constantly bitching about their NATO "allies"
Between Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania, there are somewhere between 750,000 - 1,000,000 ethnic Russians. Notwithstanding the Balts infamous ideas on hospitality, their cultural ties to Russia will make the socio-political realignment an unavoidable reality.
I see the Israelis took the neutering for a generation to the extreme of destroying fertility clinics and banks of donor eggs/sperms etc. I suspect the Russians wouldn't go that far to neuter the Ukrainians.
Indeed and that's the russian strategy since the real start of the war, around the middle of 2022. Western media and governments like to cling on to the fantasy that russian advances don't exist or are slow, but Russia's main objectives, stated since the start of the SMO, was enever to capture territory, but to "demilitarize" and "denazify" Ukraine. While denazification will take more than the SMO, because Ukraine is infested with nazis to its core, e.g. they are not just in the military, the demilitarizing part is working very well, with a massive disparity in casualties, between both countries, heavily favoring Russia.
Tickled me too Dave. Two teenage kids buy a 40 quid fpv from Temu and decide to pull a stunt to post on social media or whatever. Then their World caves in big time !
How exactly is Estonia going to shoot down Russian aircraft? There entire combat airforce consists of two Albatross trainers and their most effective fielded airdefence is the Mistral 2. Classic chihuahua move all bark no bite. Also they dont have any ballistic missiles to launch at St. Petersburg.
The barking about the planes is misdirection, the real target is getting a false flag going in order to ethnically cleanse over a million Baltic Russians..
MIG-31s are rather fast planes; they can do around 1,800 mph. If three of those planes spent 12 minutes over Estonia there is only one logical explanation for this act; they were looking for Kaja Kallas. Actually, those planes did not even have to fly full speed to cross Estonia from East to West in 12 minutes.
Even mach 2+ fighters don't fly around on afterburner (or even supersonic) without a good reason, SS increases fuel burn/cuts range too exponentially. Only a few SS capable planes spend a majority of their flight time SS: Blackbirds, SSTs and such.
Well Zelenski basically mocked Poland's inability to exaggerate the effectiveness of NATO air defenses. Poland is yet to learn the art of promoting alternative facts as well as Ukraine.
There a some commentators who think the know better than the Russian leadership. Good luck to them I say, find a superpower and take control, then you can do as you please.
Nice action Simplicius!! Just because you and I may disagree on some things doesn't mean I don't think you're a great analyst, especially of the Russo-Ukraine War. And I won't puss out and cancel my subscription as suggested by some over my comments from the other night. Keep you analysis coming!!
I was confused reading the Ukrainian analysts claims when he or she referred to "The occupier". Silly me, but I thought it was obvious that these Ukrainian forces in the Donbas et al were the result of an invasion in 2014 and are the real occupiers.
As the supremacists they are, nazis always think they are right and everyone else is wrong - funny how similar USA people are with nazis - and thus all their wrong doings are always justified or weren't wrong doings at all.
This is also why it's impossible to negotiate with extremists such as nazis, USA people, israelis, europeans, as their only position is "they are right, everyone else is wrong and must submit to their will"
Indeed, but I would say USA is far, far worse than USSR ever was. I never read about the USSR doing what just Trump did in the past 6 months. Support of nazis, trying to / killing world leaders, threaten countries to stop doing what the USA doesn't want them to, etc etc. USA wants to be the world dictator and does things that prove it. I also didn't get the idea that people in the USSR were supremacists, that think they are gods (I'm talking about regular people). USA people in general, do, plus they suffer from many, many mental illnesses (USA has a huge rate of mental illnesses, one of the highest in the world) which makes them psychopathic and very dangerous. Again, not something I ever read about people in the USSR, with perhaps the ukrainians nazis as the exception...which are still a problem today...although there's 1+ million less of those.
And what makes you think the Soviet leadership were "supremacists"? That makes no sense to me; rather they were patriotic communists trying to build a socialist state.
I didn't say that. I simply replied to the comparison by saying that indeed USA of today resembles USSR of many decades ago, in the sense that both "governments" were power hungry, but as I stated also, I think USA is much, much worse than USSR ever was. And I also specifically talked about the population, how I never read anything about USSR peoples being supremacists or bad people in general (ukrainian nazis excluded). One cannot say the same about USA people in general, that are supreacists, that do think they are better than everyone else and look down on them.
In what way does the US resemble 1930's USSR? There we had a country struggling to industrialize in order to face genuine military threat from European fascism. Here we have a hegemony losing its stripes and threatening the whole world to keep its power.
As for the poles. Minister Pskov recently revealed a whooping 20.000 pole soldiers dead in action in Ukraine, which made him declare, for the first time, that Russia is fighting all NATO.
Concerning Sirsky, he should be condemned for war crimes, specially for the systematic execution of surrendering soldiers.
The drone provocation in Poland is announcing something. They never act randomly. Together with the Baltics declarations, there is going to be a second front opened soon in Kaliningrad to strech the RUAF capabilies and slow their pace in Ukraine, especially regarding the new very likely imperial wars against Iran and Venezuela. And Gaza... The Duma chairmans statements indicate they are aware of that. As a final note, Trump has definetely thrown the towell, assuming he meant to fight one day for peace and freedom.
"Trump has definetely thrown the towell, assuming he meant to fight one day for peace and freedom."
He never did. Trump is the worst warmonger this planet as ever seen, and he's made everything worse in every war right now, that was created by USA in the first place or that USA wants to create. Iran, Trump made it worse. Gaza, Trump made it worse. Ukraine, Trump made it worse, Yemen, Trump made it worse, Venezuela, Trump made it worse, China, Trump made it worse. There is nothing Trump has done for peace. He just says he did and dumb idiots believe him, but I'm not sure MAGA people have brains to do anything else.
Bang on ! His claims to have ended 7 or is it 8 wars in 6 months would be laughable were it not so tragic. Further, his announcement at Windsor of ending the the War between Aber daijan or some such confection, and Albania was particularly Bidenesque.
I am on record, both on my channel and in my comments, to consider Joe Biden the worst ever and that I could not imagine it being worse with anyone else and especially not so soon. I was wrong. Trump is so much worse than Biden in every way. Biden at least is a warmonger and proud of it. Trump however, claims to be a "peacemaker", then lures people in for negotiations and tries to kill them. Trump bragged about killing people from Iran's government and civilians. Trump bragged about killing civilians in Yemen. Trump claims to want the Ukraine war to end, and continues to supply weapons to Ukraine, even if at the expense of others. In other words, Trump is continuing to arm the nazis in Ukraine, thus prolonging the war he claims he wants to end, but gets more money from it...Even Biden, after floating the "idea" of displacing 2 million people in Gaza, backed down from it. Obviously that's what all of them wanted (USA, Israel, Europe), but publicly Biden backed off from such an "idea". Trump not only maintains and embraces that "idea", he also wants to make Gaza into a place he can profit from the tens of thousands he helped kill. Trump is the worst ever, the biggest, most disgusting psychopath to ever exist. I will no longer say that I cannot imagine someone from USA being worse than Trump, as I did with Biden...USA is a breeding ground for psychopaths, they can always be worse and worse....
I agree 100 percent. Just amazes me how stupid that a majority of Muricans are. There seems to be an awakening of some sort going on, but I don't have much hope for them. There are roughly 30 million evangelical zionists in this country, and as long as they hold the sway that they do with their absolute demonic belief system, then this country is doomed.
Trump was just another false flag to the US people just as this
"Yes we can" & "Change" mass murderer Obama. This has tradition, it's just that some less dishonest POTUS have been in between. The Bush clique never made a circus, they were about war and you knew it. Reagan was a war criminal as well, he just had a difficult time with public opinion in his time when the cold war ended. As long as the common US people believe in their exceptionalism, they'll support war, silently or active.
This country is a tumor, a dangerous entity amongst humanity, no less than that tiny shithole in west Asia that dreams of become big by slaughtering women, children at the thousands and everyone else that they consider not worth to walk the earth.
Not surprised. If I was a guessing man, I would say the majority of these men were not
"private grunt", but some sort of elite class of soldiers.
Big hit if true.
My opinion this has been a Nato west war from the start, just in the battleground land of the Ukraine. What is the % of non Ukies fighting/back line reserves, 30, 40, 50%?? A tight lip secret.
Side note in comparison. Here in Canada, Nato talking heads, say we have a fighting force of 70,000. I highly doubt it... Before the 2019 "big lie" The actual Government of Canada Defense website had the count approx around 45,000 total staff of all departments, with a recruitment drive to bring up count to around 52.000...With Indeed website, advertising "jobs" as one.
I am sure in Perm they are very happy about being bombed by NATO for the first time, which happened this week, and are extremely thankful to Putin for making it happen.
After all Perm has been completely off limits for external aggression only since.. checks notes... there has been a modern Russian state. It is so deep in the supposedly untouchable rear.
deep strikes across Russian territory, in coordination with on the ground operatives, exiled 5th columnists, remaining 6th columnists and NAFO plain or cover pawns are STILL intended to trigger a regime change revolution in Russia. Not only are we going to keep Ukraine in our hand but get all Russia too, which this time, will be inmediately chopped into 20+ republicthans. Sounds crazy, but what a spectacular power point presentation for Boris Johnson to present to Blackrocklike investors... So, its still the plan. Cheap, affordable, stunning. And without consequences for NATOs 9-5 daily routine in Ramstein and elsewhere.
Assuring the inner front was critical for Russia before the SMO could be launched. However, there are signs in the propaganda patterns in social media operatives indicating regime change by civil unrest is still the target.
😉
A few weeks ago, I stated that Russia must warn and set consequences for the increasing US-led Ukrainian attacks (15 in August alone) on its oil refineries, as it would start to adversely bite into its economy.
Nothing was done. So what happened?
Yesterday, a major oil and petrochemical facility was struck. (again)
"At least ten separate Russian refineries have come under cross-border drone attack from Ukraine since only early August, which has served to reduce nationwide refining output by nearly 20% - or roughly 1.1 million barrels per day - and wholesale oil prices in Russia have risen sharply". Inflation, close to 10% is restricting consumer spending, who must deal with fuel shortages, rationing, long lines and record prices jumping over 54%. I suspect that the military is nearing the point of having to ration its own fuel consumption, preventing it from conducting any large-scale operation needed to force a surrender and resorting to imported camels from Egypt for transportation. Giddyup camels. 😂
https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/ten-russian-refineries-have-been-hit-ukrainian-drones-early-august
Russia's lollygagging methodical approach may have won the attrition rate over AFU forces, but, in doing so, it also bought time for the US proxy to weaken Russia's economy and prevent its army from doing what it should have done long ago, take out Ukraine's command and control centers, destroy supply lines and force a surrender with aggressive attacks long ago Mike Tyson style (one round knock out).
I conclude that Russia was and is too soft. It should have retaliated by blocking the Strait of Hormuz and Suez by sinking oil carriers at key locations and then sinking every oil and natural gas ship feeding Europe from the US. This would be a fair response to the US, which has led and initiated AFU war operations and its attack on Russian refineries, destroyed Nordstream, and is sabotaging 300 billion inRussian assets. All that the NEOs understand is Might is Right. Diplomacy and treaties are for manpussies. lol
Finally, listen to this insightful video about Russia, even if they understand the type of psychopaths they're dealing with, are they willing to face up to what that means in terms of what they have to do next...Now, giddyup, camel. We got us an SMO to win. (honk honk)https://youtu.be/3AoXL_xQRXI?t=389
https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/ten-russian-refineries-have-been-hit-ukrainian-drones-early-august
Putin is likely the world's best peacetime leader, but I think Medvedev would be a better wartime president. This war in Ukraine has gone well beyond the SMO. Russia is in a larger war now, and it needs to adjust accordingly.
I would prefer Medvedev to lead during wartime.
Based on the detailed comment I made above which you completely dismissed and failed to read, simpleton. lol
Many have noted that Medvedev serves as the 'bad cop' to Putin's 'good cop'.
Thanks for the input, Tedder. It confirms my favour and bias for the bad cop right now.
And woe betide Putin if something happens to him while he's at the top.
Although there are still some hardliners among the successors, and the voices of the Russian people are growing louder to end it all in one fell swoop, to show NATO where they stand as vassals of the US...right at the very bottom, empty-handed.
Libya is a black stain indeed.
But the Georgia operation was something Putin never did.
The Chechen situation is different because that was an internal affair. Putin is big on maintaining internal "stability", meanwhile Russia was taking one major geopolitical L after another, as a result of which everything even in the former USSR near abroad has been lost except for Belarus.
Had Ukraine been dealt with in 2014 the same way Georgia was in 2008 we would not be in this situation now.
One thing that needs to be recognized- you don't talk shit about Mother Russia with a nickname of yours in particular. Unless you as a person was confronted in a very public settings about beautiful Georgia. The state or the country.
"Little tiny Georgia" can be very vicious, so you know.
Lol, the same Medvedev that lost Libya and Ukraine?
Who would you pick as an alternative, Alphabet? I have an open mind.
I would let the leadership do their job. They are obviously learning as WW3 is something new. We are at the birth of a new order. ABSOLUTELY NOBODY has experience in what is afoot currently. Best to be patient, hold off on proscriptions and see who has which cards in the final showdown. We have about 10 years to wait IMHO.
But sitting and watching would eliminate the need for a comment section. And if you don't use your mind, well, one might just lose it.
I don't always agree with you, Denis, but I always enjoy your perspective.
By end of this year, Ukraine will be settled. By end of next year most of Europe /UK will be a backwater.. no energy = no gdp. America is getting dragged into Iran one way or another, so they (and Israel) will get another spanking. I fully expect gold to be at least 10X the price by year-end... and who knows how much higher by end-2026.
Or the government will confiscate gold. Not the first time either.
Are you a nutcase or just a reality denier who has no idea about anything and doesn't recognize connections because of a lack of IQ?
I beg you pardon how can you possibly loose something that did not belong to you in the first place?
Lol, last time someone who felt conflicted on Dmitry Anatoljevich narrative sent nuclear submarine lonely hearts to make the point.
Medvedev says what Putin cannot say, he is perfect for this open backchannnel communication - the West must be somehow deterred, and Medvedev is doing a great job. (Someone has to do this when you have to deal with Western idiots who lost touch with reality and keep forgetting basic facts on the ground.)
Russia is not being soft, it is being wise. Putin and Medvedev are both okay. Note how the West keeps provoking Russia to attack EU - they wish to get an excuse to attack Russia big time, and this would soon lead to nuclear exchange.
Western elites care about Europeans as much as they care about Ukrainians. They themselves count on their undeground luxury shelters and AGI/supperintelligence to replace "plebs", we are too much fuss for them, we keep protesting and resisting. Anyway, Russia is fine with her leadership, EU countries are doomed if we don't get rid of those psychos soon! They'll catch our lads like dogs for cannonfodder...
Wise!
>Putin is likely the world's best peacetime leader
Wrong.
Putin's job as a peacetime leader was to prepare for war, and that he did not do properly either.
This is war. You take losses. It can't be avoided. I am frankly surprised that Russia hasn't suffer far more than they have to date, considering they are up against a very strong Ukrainian force, a force far greater than anything NATO has to offer. Indeed, NATO is lucky that Ukr force has not been turned against them - they would suffer far more than Russia has.
Without the US-led NATO backing Ukraine, the SMO would be over by now. lol.
People seem to forget that the money and equipment the Allies gave the Sovie Union to stop 200 German SS and Army division in WW2 is the same amount the US gave Ukraine to stop Russia.
I can hardly believe that. In fact I know that only a few privileged insiders have an idea on the true size of Lend-Lease and they know it is best for them to shut up. The data that they are feeding us for consumption is a pile of BS.
It is not an incorrect assessment.
You need to take into account the different nature of war today, i.e. ISR does not count anywhere as material aid, but has been a decisive factor.
But even just materiel -- the number of armored vehicles that have been supplied to Ukraine is well over 10,000 between various tanks, IFVs and APCS, plus thousands of pieces of artillery, many millions shells, etc. etc. -- is certainly on a comparable scale to WWII Lend-Lease.
P.S. The bulk of materiel on the Eastern Front the USSR produced itself, Lend-Lease was not in any way decisive, and in fact the USSR would have been much better off if the US stayed out of the war altogther. Then the Red Army would have reached the Atlantic, all of Europe would have been communist, and we would live in a very different world today.
Instead the US came to rescue the Nazis in 1943-44 with the Italy invasion and D-Day.
GM:
‘Then the Red Army would have reached the Atlantic, all of Europe would have been communist, and we would live in a very different world today.’
You are truly exposing a deranged mind there, thanks.
WWII cannot be compared to the Ukraine war today. WWII played out on a planetary scale, with dozens of nations involved, one way or another.
What makes you think Lend-Lease was not decisive during WWII when you do not know the size of the act? The fact is that the US government has performed a stellar act – including sanitizing the Library of Congress from information – to cover up the reality. They have a clear accounting from every ton of raw steel to the last airplane but they collected all primary sources accessible. A similar action was performed in the commie bloc after Chernobyl in 1986: The commies collected every single Geiger-Muller counter from East Berlin to the Ural Mountains from places accessible by the general public.
What can be the reason after 80 years? The general public’s backlash on a planetary scale is what they are trying to avoid. They saved the Judeo-Bolshevik Monster and it is time to stand up and take credit for the act. For an opening, all I am asking is for the release of the thousands of telegrams exchanged between the US State Department and the Embassy in Moscow, 1939 to 1946. One of those telegrams will tell us that by the end of 1941 they had flown 10,000 mixed use airplanes from Alaska to the Soviets. I would be also interested to see the records of all US ships crossing the Panama and Suez canals from 1939 to 1946. Dozens of those telegrams are talking about long lines of ships waiting outside the Iranian harbors because they did not fit in, the locals were unable to unload them fast enough. They were concerned about German U-boats.
@GM - What "1939 telegrams" are you are talking? There was nothing supplied by Lend-Lease - in 1941- in such a tragic and crucial year. In another most crucial 1942 - just 30% of what's promised. Lend-Lease shipments picked up when it was clear who's winning and most of Lend-Lease help went to Britain, anyway. Soviets used to call SPAM "the second front" - which, wasn't opened either till Jun 1944, when the outcome of the war was greatly predetermined and not only the Red Army kicked the Germans from own territory but was pushing towards Berlin.
The USSR never got anything even compared to what Ukraine got from all the 30 countries combined in the % of their GDP - it's surreal.
Correct. But if with that backing the Ukies had at some point turned against NATO, NATO would have been defeated. What I am saying is that the Ukies are smarter and possess more advanced military strategy and operations having inherited that from the Soviets.
Oh, I forgot....lol 😉
lol, Victor. That's why I like you so much.
Ukraine would defeat NATO, huh?
Hahahaha hehehehe,hooooo, oh my heart, hahaha, hohoho.
Peed myself laughing. Oh my.
That's the funniest thing I've ever heard, Victor.
Thanks, man. I give up, Victor, you win.
Well, perhaps I exaggerate a bit.
NO, you're not exaggerating. Because if Ukraine were to turn against NATO, 99.9% of the time Russia would be with them.
Viewed that way, NATO, including the USA, would quickly come to an end.
Russian technology against which NATO has NOTHING, so a USA without aircraft carriers is an island force without supplies.
Which, by the way, would explain why a Trump actually ONLY does a constant EGG dance...
But it could also be that it was agreed in Alaska... You, Putin, leave Israel alone, I, Trump, am doing my best to leave you alone without bringing myself down!!
Enough imagination... Russia together with its Russian allies is enough for NATO in Europe. In the face of hypersonics, a Trump will sacrifice neither Boston nor New York for Warsaw, or Berlin for Paris. The British, on the other hand, would be more likely to defect, because they couldn't endure a blockade of their island again like in 1943-44, given the new technologies in which the Russians are about 15 years ahead of the West.
Assuming NATO and Ukraine were exactly equal in the numbers of men, weapons, and materiel then Ukraine would absolutely defeat the soyboys in NATO.
the laughing profile
ooops wrong heading.
are they smarter? Who? The jewish junta? The nazis in the Rada? The body snatchers?
Not the jews - they don't know how to fight, only how to slaughter the defenseless, children and old people. I mean Ukie slavs.
>This is war. You take losses. It can't be avoided.
Yes, it can, if you destroy your enemy before he can inflict those losses.
Something that Putin had the military-technical capability to do on Day 1 of the war, and still does (though not clear for how much longer), but stubbornly still refuses to do.
>NATO is lucky that Ukr force has not been turned against them - they would suffer far more than Russia has.
No, they wouldn't. NATO also has the military-technical capability put an end to this problem quickly and they would exercise it.
"NATO also has the military-technical capability put an end to this problem quickly and they would exercise it."
No they have not. Currently they could bring 50.000 men up to combat but could not even sustain that because they lack manpower for rotation, logistics and to replace the lost material. If you count in the US, the picture would be different, it's just that the USA is crazy but not that stupid, that they don't know they are not untouchable anymore. Add to that the fact that it is hard for airplanes to have no flight basis left to return to, then you'll understand that your statement is simply nonsense.
Please stop wasting my time with dumb statements, wrapped as the Lords own words.
>Currently they could bring 50.000 men up to combat but could not even sustain that because they lack manpower for rotation, logistics and to replace the lost material
They would, of course, not be the same idiots as the Russians, and would not be dragged into a protracted ground war.
They would do decapitation combined with proper isolation of the battlefield, i.e. what Putin refuses to do for four years now for reasons he has never bothered to explain.
Were NATO running this war, there would not be a bridge left standing in Ukraine, nor a power plant, port, oil tank, etc..
Sure and your point is? How exactly would they achieve that? With Airplanes that get shot down or have no airfields left to return to? Missiles that the layered Russian Air defense Systems is probably able to handle well? NATO is running this war already, in the headquarter in Wiesbaden, Germany.
I think you misunderstand - were NATO running the war on behalf of Russia, things would look very different.
Start with an relentless SEAD campaign. As it were, the RuAF started this war often flying without SEAD loadouts, as they did not expect anyone to shoot back.
The day is still young - I won't be surprised at what Ukraine might do to the EU when the dust settles and Ukrainians realize how brutally and cynically they're defrauded.
Look at Poles int he West after WWII. They fell right in line.
Whose line, exactly?
We didn't see angry Poles carrying out terrorist attacks. The griped, but that was about it.
According to GlobalPetrolPrices.com, over the last eight weeks the price of high octane car gas in Russia rose from 61.5 rubles/L to 63.5 rubles/L - not insignificant, but certainly not indicative of a shortage. The same source says gas has risen by 8% in the last year in Russia. This is almost exactly in line with the current rate of inflation.
https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/ten-russian-refineries-have-been-hit-ukrainian-drones-early-august
ZH is *such* a reliable source, isn't it?
🙃
It depends on the author.
Hard to handle things not fitting your expectations, huh?
If nothing else, it's good for a laugh - I do look at it pretty regularly, but when it comes to anything important, if it only has Tyler's byline and he quotes western media (as in your linked article), then no, it ain't reliable...
Remember that Westerners know everything about Russia and the world but still do not know what happened to NS 1 and 2.
https://youtu.be/3AoXL_xQRXI?t=389
Would you doubt the quality of the fodder from the ZH farm? They raise beautiful cattle with this fodder from Ukraine.
The refineries are hit but refineries are built in such a way that they are mostly storage tanks separated to minimise damage if one is caught fire. So yes, they are hit but usually it has minimal impact on refinery operations - there is a lot of redundancy built into a plant. It might have limited production in some of them but not enough to seriously impact prices.
Not quite so.
Indeed refineries are designed to be resilient, but there are certain key elements in them that if hit will take them out for a long time.
P.S. Is the Haifa refinery in operation now?
And after a few days everything is repaired. The longest repair job, 4 days.
Oil refineries are primarily processing facilities, with storage being just one component.
It's the principle of the thing that matters.
It was an absolute must for the first attack on a refinery to be met with such a response that it would remain the last.
It was met with no response whatsoever, so here we are.
You mean what matters is your principle and the way the Russians wish to fight their war doesn't. It's hard to reconcile your viewpoint with reality.
Putin bad. Ukro prop
Another thing.
I said before that BRICS without Russia was BICS, and the US was going to light them up one flick at a time. Here's my point. What has BICS done to help Russia in any significant way? Nothing, absolutely nothing. The BICS should have made a united stand along with Russia during this SMO turned into a real war. The NEOS rightly saw this as a weakness to capitalize on. So now there are economic and political pressures put on the BICS by the US to stand down and back off from their dealings with Russia. The only BICS country with any real clout is China, and they've done pretty well nothing to help Russia. BICS let Russia down no matter how you see it. That sets the stage for the perfect divide and conquer which the NEOS excel at, and it may explain why the Russians have been so reserved in their SMO. Russia fights alone and absorbs all the costs of the SMO while China builds its country and can't even contribute a measly 50 billion dollars to support Russia. China is too cheap and self-absorbed. The Russians know it so they're more careful and hesitant when logic dictates they must be more aggressive in its SMO. Screw BICS for making Russia do all the dirty work.
I think you've jumped the gun, Denis. The BRICS currently seem very cohesive thanks to the Trump Trade Tariffs. Didn't they just pull in Indonesia? I suggest you duck-duck-go a chart for projected relative economic size 2035. It may shock you. At the moment the Chinese are stomping all over the US. It's hard to watch, and I'm not US lover.
2035 won't matter after Agenda 2030 is implemented globally.
I hope you don't mind me calling you Alphabet as its easier than abcdefz.
Here is a 2030 forecast https://www.visualcapitalist.com/worlds-largest-10-economies-2030/
1,2,4 and 6 all BRICS members, and Turkey at 5 as a potential member.
Thanks for the info. much appreciated.
The Agenda 2030 that I refer to is of a different nature.
It relates to a one-world government through sustainable development.
It won't be pretty for humanity.
GDP, a fake measure. 60% virtual, 40% tangible. GDP, where the same dollar is counted in multiples
I was expecting Modi to blink when the new tariffs came in, and Brazil to cave. These were the two least committed members in my opinion, but all BRICS seems to be holding up under US pressure.
Me too. The chart above makes the case why though. By 2030, India is #2 and Brazil #4 in economic heft, if memory serves me well
Give it a bit. They'll fold.
Sorry to say so but you fit exactly the kind of people that A. Martyanov frequently talks about. No clue about war, no clue about military strategy, tactics let alone operational level. Here you add being clueless about the structure and function of BRICS and SCO. Of course everyone is entitled to have an opinion. Fact of the matter is, every opinion that's not based on profound knowledge is in the end BS. To come up with 'Zerohedge', who is controlled opposition and kind of libertarian anyway, tells more than what you say. To summarize: The added value of your comments is filling Simplicius' comment section and wasting other peoples time.
Trouble coping, Frank? lol
Frank, you're a little woke wiesel who cries like a little girl when you don't get to hear what you want to hear instead of discussing issues as adults do. If you don't like what I say, skip over instead of acting like a fairy drama queen.
what's a woke wiesel?
It's a Denis, a thing.
ah.... (still confused) ;-))
And I would add the Great Moron bunch is flooding and occupying the comment sections, especially the oldest comments since statistically, are the more read. This is an important chat, with good insiders like Karl Sanchez commenting here. The NAFO bunch need to spoil it.
Are you butthurt about something not going your way again?
>Sorry to say so but you fit exactly the kind of people that A. Martyanov frequently talks about. No clue about war, no clue about military strategy, tactics let alone operational level.
How much of a clue does A. Martyanov have?
It's not as if we have four years of a track record on that question or anything...
Some of us are old enough to remember what Martyanov was saying back in 2022, keep that in mind.
The other question that follows is why is it that you do not remember it and have not revisited your assessment on who is a reliable source and who is not?
I've read Martyanov's books and can see sense in what he's talking.
Not to forget his background education level.
Iam reading your comments and they do not make sense to me.
It's that easy.
I read Simplicius and it makes 90 % of the time sense to me.
Could it be that you are up against a league that you are not even part of, GM?
Martyanov wrong. Ukro prop
Iran provided Russia with drones initially, then diverted US attention with the 12 day war. Re-arming Israel and restocking their own forces drains munitions that could have gone to Ukraine. Trump is not focused on Ukraine any more.
Don't forget wars have an equally important economic section. The Chinese sanctions on rare earths and magnets must impact the US MIC. De-dollarization is increasing. Chinese weapons are being used in Pakistan, now allied with Saudi Arabia, and in Egypt now. All alarming for Israel, which will divert US funding and weapons.
>Iran provided Russia with drones initially, then diverted US attention with the 12 day war.
So Iran started the 12-day war?
The pivot to Iran and further down the line, China was in the US strategic review covered by Brian Berletic. Trump views China as the main enemy and Russia as a sideshow.
You bark a lot until a car runs you over.
your approach is very american... too bad others don't think like americans huh?? some of us see it diametrically opposite you..
The best way to defeat your enemy is never to fight them. Sun Tzu 2025
It seems you are keen on seeing World War III.
Sadly, many agree with your assessments of the situation.
Jim Jatras on Jamali - said it well 'Putin's deranged smo is to kill as many Ukrainians as possible, to force an agreement with your enemy, rather than break your enemies will or ability to war.' All the Ukrainian leaders are galloping around and EU leaders party in Kiev, while Israel and US decapitate 'enemy' countries leaders. Russia still has this deranged illusion that it can negotiate with an entity that despises its very existence.
Fact is, Russia isn't really calling any of the shots, NATO still surrounds it, inflow of weapons are non-stop. Every 'inaction' by Russia encourages further 'action' by the US&EU puppets, in essence Russia is enabling its enemies. There is no respect for Russia in the west and semi-east. Another western terrorist attack is already in the pipes deep within Russia. Putin is afraid of a fictional Article 5, which is at most a delusional guarantee. We live in a deranged world where the aggressors do as they please. While the rest of the world is further in flames, the Russians are occupied fighting their neighbour for the next 100years.
The only solution is, Putin must go.
"The only solution is, Putin must go. "
FFS General Moron has a carbon copy.
another profile inserted in simplicius... There are a lot. Maybe just one person handling...
There are many who oppose this so called 'SMO', we are the silent majority.
Putin must go.
"There are many who oppose this so called 'SMO', we are the silent majority."
Says who again?
Sure, especially in London. And in Kiev there are loads of them opposing the SMO.
Putin will go. Unto
everything there is a season.
Where is Tovarish GM?
There will be no enlightenment for any of us without his complaints and crying wolf, and disagreeing with anything Russian.
Darn...!
He is in a meeting in Ramstein...
Or he is getting some wisdom from his pal Zelensky.
Good one :)
>Jim Jatras on Jamali - said it well 'Putin's deranged smo is to kill as many Ukrainians as possible, to force an agreement with your enemy, rather than break your enemies will or ability to war.'
I saw that too. One of the few sane voices in this mess.
>The only solution is, Putin must go.
Necessary but not sufficient on its own.
Why don't you say what you really would like to see happen?
A big war, millions of dead, displaced people, crippled people drinking foul water, death and destruction all over the place.
Do me a favour and get some professional help, maybe together with GM?
>A big war, millions of dead, displaced people, crippled people drinking foul water, death and destruction all over the place.
What war have you been watching the last four years?
It could have been won with Ukraine recovered in full and fully intact and with absolutely minimal causalties on the Russian side had Putin done what had to be done early on.
He didn't do it because that would have hurt the interests of Russian (and Ukrainian) oligarchs and those have priority to this day which is why it still hasn't been done.
So we got the huge casulaties, the displaced, the maimed and the contaminated and destroyed land. On Russian territory.
So... compare these numbers with your own countries.
Germany, for example, has two larger refineries and two that primarily produce kerosene.
BY THE WAY: Since yesterday, no planes have been able to refuel in Hamburg due to a shortage of kerosene!
Regarding Russia:
Russia has a total of around 32 large and around 80 smaller oil refineries. However, Ukraine has attacked at least 13 of these refineries since the beginning of 2024, causing significant damage and disrupting Russia's fuel supply.
.
13 out of a total of 112 refineries + imports from India.
So it's up to you to decide who will soon have problems if a Trump or von der Leyen prevails and imports oil and petrol from India, as well as petrol and oil from Turkey, and diesel + gas from Russia (there are many cars in the EU that run on gas)
so who will soon have huge problems, or at least in the range of utopian prices!
Feedback geben
Denis counter balancing the good news for Russia. Russia is too soft... Thats (fake) 6 columnism. In fact, Ukrainian prop... Russia is weak, Russia is losing...
Not at all, Yoni. I don't think Russia is losing. I said they are winning the war of attrition.
Read carefully instead of fabricating a false perception. And yes, Russia is way too soft.
Of course they are too soft..They should Oreshnik the hell of you wherever you are.
Your feelings are easily hurt, grumpy.
Spot on Denis. Again and again you challenge the ”narrative” that is ruling in the Russian Camp. And it is good because Victory is not seen anytime soon, maybe over the horizon.
However, I dont think sinking Oiltankers in Hormuz and Suez would be appropiate actions from the Russian. It would fit the western narrative of ”crazy, evil, aggressive Russians”.
Putin has his style and it is part of the problem. Toppling him now would create even more problems and probably defeat. But he must find ways where Russia can instill more fear in the West. Fear of a total War, fear of destruction.
This report from Simplicius was as usual good but without ”bites”.
And was a bit confused about this: ” Now in the past week Russian forces have again been picking up the pace in territorial captures on a number of fronts”
If this SMO is a non-territorial war but more a War of attrition - why is territorial gains then important. Of course operational manouvers which strains the enemys forces is the fundametal in the Art if War - so we need more fronts opened up. Or?
If Russia now have 700 000 men in Ukraine and Zelenssky says they are 900 000 - how come the front is so thin with Afu-soldiers. The Ukrainian disinfo about 7:1 is a trick to lure the Russians out. And then kill them. So Russia is doing this slo-mo over and over again and trickling soldiers behind enemy lines. They have no other way because the AFU have enough weapons and ammo to kill large formations. And why?
As you wrote about stopping the supply routes - we now can read Uki sources saying that Russia has started bombing railway lines. Medvedev would have done it during the first year.
Simplicius had this comment from Uki-sources:
” At the same time it's clear that Russia failed to reach clear operational success over the summer campaign season.”
True.
I dont think UK/EU will stop provocating a Full War or take a step back and think over the realitys on the ground. They work like a clockwork in a time-fused bomb.
And I think the only way is to surprise and make them wake up trembling. Otherwise we are sleep-walking into WW3.
Thanks for balancing out my exaggerated thoughts about sinking all the oil and gas cargo vessels, Mikey. It sounded good at the moment, but it's not the time for that yet. But it could be used as a future threat in a WW3 scenario if all the gloves come off. Your comment is well said and balanced as usual. Best wishes, friend.
The Russians have stated very clearly their desire to "liberate" the Donbass. Not sure where you got the idea this isn't, partly at least, about territory. The 4 oblasts and Crimea are certainly territorial entities, and there's a lot of gold in them there hills!
Also Russia would certainly not be looking to instill fear in the West. I'm sure the primary goal is to defeat NATO while at the same time preventing the general mobilisation of European populations against Russia. At the moment I think there is little desire for war in the West (elites excluded) and the Russians want it to stay that way.
So many comments about ”this is NOT a territorial War, its all about attrition” you cant have missed.
If you and some more now suddenly aknowledge this War is Territorial… Fine.
"If you and some more now suddenly aknowledge"
Your assumption regarding my views is odd. Russia has, and always had, 2 main strategic goals in their SMO. One is to keep NATO from controlling Ukraine and reaching some modus vivendi for future cohabitation of the European zone. Second was/is to protect ethnic Russians who came under attack following the 2014 coup. They tried with the Minsk Agreements and failed. Their only recourse was/is to take control of the territory.
Both these goals need to be achieved through operational and tactical means. This is where their attrition methodology comes in. They are definitely fighting a war of attrition but the strategic goal is to control territory. Remember all the talk of a buffer zone? The 4 new oblasts into the Russian constitution? Crimea? Their security from the NATO threat and their protection of ethnic Russians requires control of these territories.
Yeah, I remember. And what you write now is agreeable.
But the SMO is soon to be celebrating 4th year. The attrition and the territorial gains doesnt impress me.
>As you wrote about stopping the supply routes - we now can read Uki sources saying that Russia has started bombing railway lines. Medvedev would have done it during the first year.
They are bombing them, but it is the same shitshow as the energy campaign previously.
How many hundreds of cruise missiles were wasted on hitting transformers and yet the grid was never brought down because there was a political veto on taking that final step? There were some blackouts here and there, and that was the end of it.
Same situation now with the trains -- there are strikes, but nothing decisive, so while there are some delays of trains here and there, overall there are no operationally significant disruptions.
P.S. Notice another pattern -- every time such a move is made on the Russian side, but of course not taken to completion, all it does is open Russia to more attacks, which are then not answered.
The "energy campaign" was followed by the first wave of attacks on Russian refineries. Then early this year Putin supposedly agreed to halt strikes on energy infrastructure, and indeed, the electric grid has not been touched since then, only gas facilities. But are Russian refineries blowing up daily? You bet. So who ended up at a net loss here?
Similarly with the "buffer zone". Putin entered in Kharkov last year, once again with insufficient forces, and all that move achieved was to allow the US to give itself permission to launch HIMARS strikes into official Russian territory. Fast forward 18 months, the HIMARS strikes into Bryansk, Kursk and Belgorod (not just Belgorod) are the new daily normal, but there is no meaningful buffer zone along the border whatsoever. Who came out at a net loss?
Etc. etc. etc.
The railway strikes will likely end up the same way -- the West will pressure Putin to halt them, Putin will oblige once again, but the strikes on Russian railways (which have been a thing for a while now) will not stop.
In one word too little too late instead of very much pretty instantly.
>I conclude that Russia was and is too soft. It should have retaliated by blocking the Strait of Hormuz and Suez by sinking oil carriers at key locations and then sinking every oil and natural gas ship feeding Europe from the US
Gerans should have been flown from container ships at the refineries along the US Gulf coast. This would have been a proper response -- take out 30% of US refining and grab some popcorn to watch the shit show.
Attacks on Russian refineries would stop immediately.
Besides there wouldn't be a need for all that fuel with most of the world's cities glowing.
Russia is bleeding NATO militarily, while NATO bleeds themself economically and culturally. In the meantime Russia and her allies build up themselves militarily while gaining manpower and equipment live combat testing and experience. Throw NK into that. The east is also deepening their economic options. Seems to me Russia knows what it is doing, all facets of the conflict are being addressed. Terrorism, wishful thinking and propaganda are insufficient to defeat Russian and allied COFM.
well said, Jack. It's exactly as it is.
If you read the local press where these refineries are located, you would be close to the truth. The alleged fuel shortage in Russia is nothing less than a seasonal situation that occurs every year, during the summer, and this in all countries. Regarding the inflation rate, you would do well to check the level of salary increases, but also pensions, which are almost close to this rate or even higher. All information coming from the West was developed in kyiv. I hope the fodder in kyiv is of good quality, cattle.
Such panic!
You're all forgetting that Belarus, which covered almost 15% of gasoline consumption in the EU until 2023, is now being sanctioned, even though this gasoline export to the EU is also partially circumvented.
But this gasoline is now almost entirely exported to Russia, and imports of Russian oil to Belarus have increased almost fivefold since 2024. Why, I wonder...safe refineries?
Apart from that, there are 124 refineries in Russia, 14 of which were attacked. Of these 14, 9 specialized in gasoline production, 2 specialized in fuel oil and diesel, and 1 is known for its chemical refinery.
NONE, however, for kerosene, and by the way, 85% of all military vehicles are diesel...so what effect could these senseless attacks have on the army, and a large portion of gasoline consumption is covered by Belarus. If necessary, there's India, which currently covers about 12% of the EU's demand, and the trend is rising.
Note: There is currently a shortage of asphalt in Germany (why is that?), and cement, which requires a lot of gas to produce, is barely affordable.
THIS
Is still relevant after three days:
"The airlines at Hamburg Airport are currently affected by an unforeseen kerosene supply shortage from the Heide refinery," said an airport spokeswoman. "The airlines and their suppliers/contract partners are working hard on a solution.
No departures or arrivals with passengers are possible all day today. Passengers are asked not to come to the airport and to contact their airline.
"Inflation, close to 10% is restricting consumer spending, who must deal with fuel shortages, rationing, long lines and record prices jumping over 54%." That is pure bullshit. I live in Russia and there are no fuel shortages, long lines or record prices jumping over 54%.
The Baltics are laughable facsimiles of real states. Their appetite for war far exceeds their digestive capacities. But, let them eat. They'll shit themselves when real war comes to their borders. Soon, the Baltics will realize that speaking Russian is preferable to not existing.
Neutrality was their best protection, their guarantee of survival.
How could a dwarf be so stupid as to ally himself with a bankrupt neighbor on the doorstep of a giant who doesn't even want or can't offer the dwarf new markets?
They've been absorbed by the dominant power several times; there is no angle for them in doing anything but making a lot of noise, really, as long as they believe that is not imminent. When they shut up, you'll know it's imminent.
Puppets are always a problem, Octavia, like the little squirt hiding under the coat tails of his big brother, peeking out to lob insults and imprecations, and then diving back under that cloak. What does he/she do when the cloak of a long night vanishes in the light of a new dawn and he is found naked and shivering in the dirt. He had better hope for some Russian magnanimity in victory.
It was a mistake to allow the Polish and Baltic warmongers into the EU and the NATO. I am sure that not everybody in those countries shares the belligerence of their politicians and journalists, but the majority of them apparently does.
An increasing body of public opinion in Poland and certainly in Germany is against this war and becoming ever more loudly pro RF. Just saying.
That's good news. Thank you. What, for heaven's sake, can be wrong with peace in Europe and a good relationship with our Russian neighbor?
The situation where you collapse Russia and take all its wealth, Herman.
I don't understand what you mean, Jullianne. To be sure, I don't want to collapse Russia and take all its wealth, quite the opposite.
???
Russia is not going to collapse in a catastrophic manner. The problem is demographic implosion and can only occurr in the middle term. Of course the same development is threatening all European States.
If the Russian State would crumble, the Western oligarchy would not get to control any new resources. On the contrary, they would have to spend a lot in the defense of the Sino-Polish border as the joke went in Moscow in the final Soviet years.
Well, they had this generosity once... ONCE
I doubt it again, if they do, they'll go back to the Russian Empire and all the Nazis there will flee to the rest of the EU.
And I assure you of one thing:
They openly worship their Nazis in Waffen SS cemeteries and many monuments. A US soldier back then wouldn't believe what was being maintained there, what his comrades died for. Oh yes, they had the freedom that the Russians tolerated for over 70 years... and they were also their best trading partner. Today, you won't find a single one of their products in a Western supermarket... the "friendship" between the EU and NATO probably doesn't go that far; no one allows their products onto the market.
Baltic states live off the fantasy that USA will protect them, if Russia ever retaliates against any of their provocations. But that won't ever happen, because USA can't do that against a powerful and nuclear country like Russia. USA would be wiped out from existence and if there's anything the supremacist, egomaniacs, that think they are better than everyone else in USA don't want, is to die. And as the Ukraine war has showed, the entire NATO cannot sustain long conventional wars. Its only "choice" would be to go nuclear, but as I mentioned above, that means their destruction too.
The typical representation of the baltic states as small dogs that bark a lot all the time, is the best one. Not to mention that baltic states are rabid nazis / fascists, so whatever they say, should be ignored 100% of the times.
Kinda like the Poles faith in the British and French in 1939.
They will switch back to the Russian side before the Russians have a chance to kill any of them..This s the Balts "superpower" , the ability to overwhelm an enemy by switching sides so fast a war never actually takes place. BTW they yap constantly against Russia in public, but among themselves they are constantly bitching about their NATO "allies"
Indeed.
Between Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania, there are somewhere between 750,000 - 1,000,000 ethnic Russians. Notwithstanding the Balts infamous ideas on hospitality, their cultural ties to Russia will make the socio-political realignment an unavoidable reality.
Baltic elites envy Ukrainian elites for their success in amassing fabulous amounts of corruption money out of NATO support.
They just want to get a piece, not of the action, but of the money.
I attribute the slow progress to a deliberate strategy to kill as much Ukr as possible in order to neuter any possible resistance for a generation or more: https://no01.substack.com/p/the-casualties-we-cant-count
https://youtu.be/3AoXL_xQRXI?t=389
That goes for everyone else that is sending support. Anyone have some patriot ammo or 155mm Artillery to give?
I see the Israelis took the neutering for a generation to the extreme of destroying fertility clinics and banks of donor eggs/sperms etc. I suspect the Russians wouldn't go that far to neuter the Ukrainians.
Indeed, the fundamental difference is that Ru neuters the Ukr army. Whereas Israelis just kill anything that moves (or doesn’t move like olive trees).
Indeed and that's the russian strategy since the real start of the war, around the middle of 2022. Western media and governments like to cling on to the fantasy that russian advances don't exist or are slow, but Russia's main objectives, stated since the start of the SMO, was enever to capture territory, but to "demilitarize" and "denazify" Ukraine. While denazification will take more than the SMO, because Ukraine is infested with nazis to its core, e.g. they are not just in the military, the demilitarizing part is working very well, with a massive disparity in casualties, between both countries, heavily favoring Russia.
The incursion could be a tap on the shoulder to the EU warning them off the asset confiscation scheme that is once again being trotted out.
Putin put his combat fatigues again, so he definitely means business.
Suggest appointing Anders Aslund to work out the end of the conflict with GM.
Perhaps the could meet in Alaska, on it's northern border, a little offshore, in a canoe.
Haha I'm sure GM would be delighted to oblige.
Great report, thanks Simplicius!
OMG that is the best "two Belarusian youths" with drones and it RUSSIA invasion force. HAHHAHAHA
I can just picture some old guy yelling, get those drones off my property!
Tickled me too Dave. Two teenage kids buy a 40 quid fpv from Temu and decide to pull a stunt to post on social media or whatever. Then their World caves in big time !
How exactly is Estonia going to shoot down Russian aircraft? There entire combat airforce consists of two Albatross trainers and their most effective fielded airdefence is the Mistral 2. Classic chihuahua move all bark no bite. Also they dont have any ballistic missiles to launch at St. Petersburg.
lol, good one.
The barking about the planes is misdirection, the real target is getting a false flag going in order to ethnically cleanse over a million Baltic Russians..
>How exactly is Estonia going to shoot down Russian aircraft?
It won't be Estonia, of course.
Been hard to focus on overseas events with so many interesting things going on in my own country. That’s why I subscribe to Simp.
A plug for you brother 😉
MIG-31s are rather fast planes; they can do around 1,800 mph. If three of those planes spent 12 minutes over Estonia there is only one logical explanation for this act; they were looking for Kaja Kallas. Actually, those planes did not even have to fly full speed to cross Estonia from East to West in 12 minutes.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/19/world/europe/russian-fighter-jets-estonia-nato.html
It's such an obvious lie. These EU states are such incompetents.
I guess, however the citizenry eats it up. I hear the baltic states are really grinding their ethnic Russian populations.
Even mach 2+ fighters don't fly around on afterburner (or even supersonic) without a good reason, SS increases fuel burn/cuts range too exponentially. Only a few SS capable planes spend a majority of their flight time SS: Blackbirds, SSTs and such.
In a Blackbird, blink and you might MISS Estonia.
Well Zelenski basically mocked Poland's inability to exaggerate the effectiveness of NATO air defenses. Poland is yet to learn the art of promoting alternative facts as well as Ukraine.
"alternative facts" ? You mean lies ? :)
There a some commentators who think the know better than the Russian leadership. Good luck to them I say, find a superpower and take control, then you can do as you please.
Then why have a comment section to express opinions?
You talked yourself into a dilemma, Alphabet.
I've read several of your opinions.
I get it. Only the opinions that you agree with are acceptable.
You are priceless, Amigo.
Nice action Simplicius!! Just because you and I may disagree on some things doesn't mean I don't think you're a great analyst, especially of the Russo-Ukraine War. And I won't puss out and cancel my subscription as suggested by some over my comments from the other night. Keep you analysis coming!!
Well said, Sodak. Nice to see you stay.
I’m a Leftist and don’t like his politics at all but his work on this war is par none.
I was confused reading the Ukrainian analysts claims when he or she referred to "The occupier". Silly me, but I thought it was obvious that these Ukrainian forces in the Donbas et al were the result of an invasion in 2014 and are the real occupiers.
As the supremacists they are, nazis always think they are right and everyone else is wrong - funny how similar USA people are with nazis - and thus all their wrong doings are always justified or weren't wrong doings at all.
This is also why it's impossible to negotiate with extremists such as nazis, USA people, israelis, europeans, as their only position is "they are right, everyone else is wrong and must submit to their will"
Interesting, the US now seems to me to resemble the USSR around 1930....
Indeed, but I would say USA is far, far worse than USSR ever was. I never read about the USSR doing what just Trump did in the past 6 months. Support of nazis, trying to / killing world leaders, threaten countries to stop doing what the USA doesn't want them to, etc etc. USA wants to be the world dictator and does things that prove it. I also didn't get the idea that people in the USSR were supremacists, that think they are gods (I'm talking about regular people). USA people in general, do, plus they suffer from many, many mental illnesses (USA has a huge rate of mental illnesses, one of the highest in the world) which makes them psychopathic and very dangerous. Again, not something I ever read about people in the USSR, with perhaps the ukrainians nazis as the exception...which are still a problem today...although there's 1+ million less of those.
I was thinking of the internal lawlessness of both countries.
And what makes you think the Soviet leadership were "supremacists"? That makes no sense to me; rather they were patriotic communists trying to build a socialist state.
I didn't say that. I simply replied to the comparison by saying that indeed USA of today resembles USSR of many decades ago, in the sense that both "governments" were power hungry, but as I stated also, I think USA is much, much worse than USSR ever was. And I also specifically talked about the population, how I never read anything about USSR peoples being supremacists or bad people in general (ukrainian nazis excluded). One cannot say the same about USA people in general, that are supreacists, that do think they are better than everyone else and look down on them.
Why do you claim the USSR was ‘power hungry’? There’s no evidence so but claims of anti-communist warmongers
In what way does the US resemble 1930's USSR? There we had a country struggling to industrialize in order to face genuine military threat from European fascism. Here we have a hegemony losing its stripes and threatening the whole world to keep its power.
The lawlessness of the boss class.
You are so right.
It was Gunsmith's Day in Russia so Putin went to Prem, toured a venerable factory and held a meeting about the Russian military's future, "Gunsmith's Day--Meeting of the Military-Industrial Commission," https://karlof1.substack.com/p/gunsmiths-day-meeting-of-the-military
As for the poles. Minister Pskov recently revealed a whooping 20.000 pole soldiers dead in action in Ukraine, which made him declare, for the first time, that Russia is fighting all NATO.
Concerning Sirsky, he should be condemned for war crimes, specially for the systematic execution of surrendering soldiers.
The drone provocation in Poland is announcing something. They never act randomly. Together with the Baltics declarations, there is going to be a second front opened soon in Kaliningrad to strech the RUAF capabilies and slow their pace in Ukraine, especially regarding the new very likely imperial wars against Iran and Venezuela. And Gaza... The Duma chairmans statements indicate they are aware of that. As a final note, Trump has definetely thrown the towell, assuming he meant to fight one day for peace and freedom.
"Trump has definetely thrown the towell, assuming he meant to fight one day for peace and freedom."
He never did. Trump is the worst warmonger this planet as ever seen, and he's made everything worse in every war right now, that was created by USA in the first place or that USA wants to create. Iran, Trump made it worse. Gaza, Trump made it worse. Ukraine, Trump made it worse, Yemen, Trump made it worse, Venezuela, Trump made it worse, China, Trump made it worse. There is nothing Trump has done for peace. He just says he did and dumb idiots believe him, but I'm not sure MAGA people have brains to do anything else.
Bang on ! His claims to have ended 7 or is it 8 wars in 6 months would be laughable were it not so tragic. Further, his announcement at Windsor of ending the the War between Aber daijan or some such confection, and Albania was particularly Bidenesque.
I am on record, both on my channel and in my comments, to consider Joe Biden the worst ever and that I could not imagine it being worse with anyone else and especially not so soon. I was wrong. Trump is so much worse than Biden in every way. Biden at least is a warmonger and proud of it. Trump however, claims to be a "peacemaker", then lures people in for negotiations and tries to kill them. Trump bragged about killing people from Iran's government and civilians. Trump bragged about killing civilians in Yemen. Trump claims to want the Ukraine war to end, and continues to supply weapons to Ukraine, even if at the expense of others. In other words, Trump is continuing to arm the nazis in Ukraine, thus prolonging the war he claims he wants to end, but gets more money from it...Even Biden, after floating the "idea" of displacing 2 million people in Gaza, backed down from it. Obviously that's what all of them wanted (USA, Israel, Europe), but publicly Biden backed off from such an "idea". Trump not only maintains and embraces that "idea", he also wants to make Gaza into a place he can profit from the tens of thousands he helped kill. Trump is the worst ever, the biggest, most disgusting psychopath to ever exist. I will no longer say that I cannot imagine someone from USA being worse than Trump, as I did with Biden...USA is a breeding ground for psychopaths, they can always be worse and worse....
I agree 100 percent. Just amazes me how stupid that a majority of Muricans are. There seems to be an awakening of some sort going on, but I don't have much hope for them. There are roughly 30 million evangelical zionists in this country, and as long as they hold the sway that they do with their absolute demonic belief system, then this country is doomed.
I 100% agree but this did not start with Trump.
Trump was just another false flag to the US people just as this
"Yes we can" & "Change" mass murderer Obama. This has tradition, it's just that some less dishonest POTUS have been in between. The Bush clique never made a circus, they were about war and you knew it. Reagan was a war criminal as well, he just had a difficult time with public opinion in his time when the cold war ended. As long as the common US people believe in their exceptionalism, they'll support war, silently or active.
This country is a tumor, a dangerous entity amongst humanity, no less than that tiny shithole in west Asia that dreams of become big by slaughtering women, children at the thousands and everyone else that they consider not worth to walk the earth.
"20.000 pole soldiers dead in action."
Not surprised. If I was a guessing man, I would say the majority of these men were not
"private grunt", but some sort of elite class of soldiers.
Big hit if true.
My opinion this has been a Nato west war from the start, just in the battleground land of the Ukraine. What is the % of non Ukies fighting/back line reserves, 30, 40, 50%?? A tight lip secret.
Side note in comparison. Here in Canada, Nato talking heads, say we have a fighting force of 70,000. I highly doubt it... Before the 2019 "big lie" The actual Government of Canada Defense website had the count approx around 45,000 total staff of all departments, with a recruitment drive to bring up count to around 52.000...With Indeed website, advertising "jobs" as one.
I am sure in Perm they are very happy about being bombed by NATO for the first time, which happened this week, and are extremely thankful to Putin for making it happen.
After all Perm has been completely off limits for external aggression only since.. checks notes... there has been a modern Russian state. It is so deep in the supposedly untouchable rear.
Ukro prop
deep strikes across Russian territory, in coordination with on the ground operatives, exiled 5th columnists, remaining 6th columnists and NAFO plain or cover pawns are STILL intended to trigger a regime change revolution in Russia. Not only are we going to keep Ukraine in our hand but get all Russia too, which this time, will be inmediately chopped into 20+ republicthans. Sounds crazy, but what a spectacular power point presentation for Boris Johnson to present to Blackrocklike investors... So, its still the plan. Cheap, affordable, stunning. And without consequences for NATOs 9-5 daily routine in Ramstein and elsewhere.
Have you examined the recent Russian election results? No color revolution is going to occur there as Russia is very united.
Assuring the inner front was critical for Russia before the SMO could be launched. However, there are signs in the propaganda patterns in social media operatives indicating regime change by civil unrest is still the target.