Last Sunday Russia launched a large-scale drone attack that was again described as the “largest ever” with some sources counting 805 total drones and decoys launched:
Well done Victor, you probably beat the record for commenting the latest Simplicius publication in the blink of an eye - which I guess is what your choice of emoji was meant to convey.
Now, my very important comment. Dear Simplicius, while your knowledge of drones is unmatched, I think you are mistaken regarding the type of construction on which the tapered drone model (which reminds me of my modest childhood achievements trying to assemble and paint plastic models of WWII planes) was artistically placed.
In fact, I would submit that the "chicken coop" is most probably a rabbit coop, as evidenced by the separate cages (rabbits tend to fight if kept together) and the water bottle dispensers which are typical rabbit, not chicken style. So much for my modest contribution to the search for the truth in this implacable information war.
🇺🇦💥🇷🇺Massive enemy attack on the Leningrad region: fire at a tanker and pumping station in Primorsk.
"Open fire on the vessel in the port of Primorsk has been extinguished. There is no threat of flooding or oil spill. The fire at the pumping station has also been put out. No casualties," reported Governor Drozdenko.
🛢Primorsk is the main oil loading port in the Gulf of Finland, located at the end of the pipeline system.
Air defense forces destroyed 30 UAVs over the southwest of the Leningrad region at night, the regional governor previously reported.
The "Carpet" plan was implemented at Pulkovo airport, delaying and canceling several flights.
And to think there are news agencies and local newspapers in Leningrad that don't cover it, forcing you to rummage through trash cans to find out the current weather where you are.
+2,000 km away, my friend. Soon, Ukrops intercontinental drones, hahahaha.
As I've said before.... GM is likely used by a group of paid trolls. The ship sinking thing is a relatively new type of posting that just rehashes made-up stuff from the Uke side without much substance. That's a pretty low standard of posting by 'his' standards, so either a newbie on the job, or the cut in USAID funds have finally started to decimate the GM ranks.
It sunk because of a accidental fire onboard which quickly spread and led to a detonation, which caused enough damage for the ship to be abandoned and later sink.
Russian Navy Project MPSV07 guarding the entrance to the port of Novorossiysk had an "ACCIDENT" yesterday. The bridge of the $60 million 240-foot long ship accidentally collided with a drone and went BOOM.
it is called gasping for the straws.. using something irrelevant to "prove" something completely different . Do you know how many warboats RU launches a year? in 2021 numbers I saw written down, it was 34. since then at least as much as all RU sources (newsletters, etc) report 'significant program of re-arming of RU navy (with major emphasis on the Northern (Arctic) fleet and Pacific ones). Black Sea 'puddle' is not even on the map in terms of major needs, they get missile boats which were primarily Kalibr (now Onyx) carriers and even that is less priority since you can deploy Iskander on land in Crimea much easier, simpler, and in much larger quantities and nothing sails into Black Sea without your permission anyway. How is the 'huge Ukrainian victory of defeating Black Sea Fleet' relevant hear? GM is a troll, likely UA paid one given the amount of lies and propaganda. Look up facts , trust nobody , and verify always.
Thank you, SG. I appreciate the flag. His two posts that I read earlier, and now his condescending non-answer to my question, showed that he is a baiter.
NATO can only win on the Moon because it won't face any force there. Well, now kyiv, with its geniuses, must build spaceships to go and wage war there. Need we remind you? China's best customer for toilet paper is NATO, millions of rolls per week.
>Four years later the Zapad 2025 series is kicking off, and it has been chattered about since last year, with various rumors and predictions about Russia potentially launching another massive Kiev assault from within Belarus under the exercise’s cover.
Simply not happening, unless it is guaranteed to result in the total take over of all of Ukraine. But I have hard time seeing how that would be possible with the current posture.
Lukashenko is no fool, and unlike the traitors in the Kremlin, he does care about his people, which he has generally a solid record of for the last 30 years (minus the COVID response).
Meanwhile Putin destroyed all deterrence with his cowardice and suspect loyalties and as a result anyone who feels like it is free to bomb whatever and whenever they want inside Russia. This in turn means that if another invasion is launched from Belarus, and it does not succeed quickly but gets bogged down the same way the Volchansk and Sumy fiascos of last and this year did, then Belarus will be open to 24/7 drone and missile strikes the same way Russia is now.
I highly doubt Lukashenko is willing to sign up for that.
Also, Russia doesn't even need Belarus to finish off Ukraine. It can be done quickly and to full completion without any involvement from Belarus, all that is needed is for the botox midget to be removed and replaced by someone who is loyal to Russia and not various other interests and who will remove the current veto on striking anything that will actually result in the collapse of the AFU.
I agree. I highly doubt Russia will be fighting a two front war - and I suspect Luka doesnt want Russian troops on his soil again (which is why there was no second strike on Kiev or on Lvov), because Putler showed weakness by jot finishing off Ukraine
Luka seems to be the type of guy who is on the side of the strong/winner - he is already making overtures to the US, which is not a good sign
Belarus is a member of the union state of Russia and Belarus. It's a union dedicated to eventual anschluss between the two countries. It's not a trade association, it's a "union", like the word means in a Webster dictionary.
Lukashenko has made Russian the state language, taking the old Belarus dialect completely out of schools and the public spaces in Belarus.
As soon as the SMO is concluded the complete long awaited unification of the two states is likely to occur forthwith.
Trump is totally ignorant of all of this. He's clueless and cannot even be told, it won't sink in anyway. To him, everything's a business deal.
He compliments Lukashenko on social media and thinks that will drive a wedge in between Belarus and Russia. Like all he has to do is offer more money to Lukashenko than Putin will.
Not gonna happen. Putin keeps Lukashenko on a very tight leash, any rapprochement between the West and Belarus has got to be on Moscow's orders. The Zapad is supposed to demonstrate to the West how well integrated Belarus and Russia are militarily.
If you notice, Belarus has no foreign policy or foreign engagements. Western MSM say it's because Belarus is anathema to the West, because of disputed elections.
It's really because Russia won't let Minsk have an independent foreign policy. Russian foreign policy is Belarus foreign policy. They are in the last phase of anschluss.
Yes, Lukashenko fantasizes he'll hang in until he dies. But he's only in Minsk as long as Moscow wants him there, and he knows it.
I guess it's only fair. Although do you think Russia wants to deal with those crazy Nazis in Western Ukraine? I'd say give them to Poland and also give a big chunk of Western Ukraine to Hungary.
In the West we're gonna have Greenland and most of Canada united with the US.... with Panama as a nice territory.
Maybe unite Maine with Quebec, strictly as a territory. They're too lunatic and they all want to speak French. Pourquoi pas?
We'd give Puerto Rico away, but they currently make good rum. Maybe we'll take over Cuba and Venezuela. Brazil also needs some cleansing of those Leftist judges.
What was wrong with Lukashenko's COVID response? Genuinely curious, as the only thing I remember about Belarus and COVID, was that Belarus football peaked, as it was the only league that was not closed down. Did Lukashenko change his mind and force-feed his citizens with Pfizer boosters? Or what did he do wrong?
Apart from that I agree that Lukashenko care about his people. Highly respect the man.
Lukashenko let it rip from the start with zero effort to contain it.
As a result more than 100,000 people died out of 9M population, one of the worst outcomes in the world (together with Russia's -- they lost a million and a half, including some key people that would have been very useful once the SMO started, but were dead -- and a few other countries in Eastern Europe).
Now keep in mind that Belarus is the most Soviet of the post-Soviet Republic -- it retains most of the state ownership of key industries structure from the Belarussian SSR, as well as the healthcare system. You would have expected them to try to contain it aggressively given that legacy, because if there was one thing communists didn't mess around with, it was infectious disease, both for scientific and ideological reasons. The Chinese and the Vietnamese responses initially were exemplary, so was Cuba's, and they were so precisely because of the ideological background. Eventually everyone let it rip because the West forced them to, but those who let it rip later had vaccines and treatments that those who let it rip early did not. Lukashenko has an excuse only if it was clear to him everyone would let it rip and he had no choice (which is true in terms of what happened), but he certainly never communicated anything like that line of thinking to the people.
Big Pharma didn't deliver 'vaccines' but MRNA gene therapy, while corrupt Fauci and college drop-out Bill Gates, WHO's biggest donor and the guy who controls it, delivered the lab-manufactured virus. These guys made billions. Far more people died and were injured from these fake vaccines than from covid. Read Dr. Peter McCullough. https://mcculloughfnd.org
When you say "it," I assume you mean the seasonal flu, which as we know, went down epidemiologically in lockstep with "covid's" increase.
You will remember that the 100,000 who according to you died, were made up of every form of mortality, eg slipping on the front step whilst venturing outside to either bang a cooking pot for the NHS, or collect the mail from the front gate.
"one of the worst outcomes in the world (together with Russia's -- they lost a million and a half, including some key people that would have been very useful once the SMO started, but were dead" Pure bullshit - vintage GM.
Pick another line of BS, Russia had the tenth-highest number of confirmed cases in the world, after the United States, and if you believe the US numbers, I have a great deal on a bridge to sell you
Lukashenko's response to covid was the best in the entire workd. He explained how he rejected a 1 billion bribe. He simply ignored the scam and nobody died in Belarus. I didnt know you were a covid dictatorship fan. But everything matches now.
it was a plague, a pandemic, caused by a man made virus with seriously diminishing lethal power, treated by a vaccine with constant, lesser but not neglectable lethal potential,
Each wave of COVID was less and less dangerous, and vaccines kept their lethal potential constant, so the relation between positive and negative effects of vaccination changed through time.
Negative effects of vaccination were completely unknown at the beginning, but in time more and more information on unwanted effects arrived.
By the time virus arrived in Europe, and Belarus, it was not lethal for children, young, healthy, de facto working population.
Virus killed a significant number of elderly, overweight, diabetic, hypertensive people who had not been vaccinated in most European countries.
There were very few deaths from the virus in children, and young people. There were recorded deaths from vaccine in young, mechanisms different in men and women.
In short
some young people died from vaccine who would have not died from virus,
many old people died from virus who would not have died if they were vaccinated.
Now, one can add a lot of probably, mostly, seem to, suggested by evidence...but this is the story.
While it looks suspiciously so, there is still no definitive proof that it was a man made virus, what you are saying about it's course and the vaccines against it is typical of all epidemics and vaccines to varying extents. The lethality of any virus diminish as herd immunity increases or the weaker members of a population are removed and no vaccines are 100% effective and have a certain percentage of adverse effects, some lethal, that's just a fact of biology and something we must accept, while trying to reduce the negative effect as much as possible.
agree, but what I wanted to stress is evolutionary biology; viruses in the wild, human viruses in pandemic, behave by obeying evolutionary laws, those that are more infectious, and less deadly propagate and dominate, and this is a separate cause of lessening lethality, in addition to herd immunity and elimination of the most vulnerable segment of the population.
it is politically incorrect to say it publicly, but forensic evidence, scientific correspondence, shows a clear trail. A name of the chief scientist, institution where the project originated, grant application, first iteration of creating a common cold virus with added capabilities, stemming from bat virus segment added to common cold virus, scientific study describing results published in peer reviewed journal, further investigations, further grant applications, performed in Wuhan Virology Laboratory...
all is available, public, but few people have interest to pursue the subject today...
US scientists planned, financed and outsourced the experiment, Chinese let the virus escape...
Chinese are our allies, but we can reasonably guess that Wuhan Virology Institute probably has a section that performs experiments
outsourced by US scientists, a further Chinese section where interesting foreign experiments are repeated, enlarged, modified, investigated further, and a third section that belongs to CHINA military that is interested in all that could be used as bioweapon against China....
We do not know which section let the virus escape...
Chinese probably know,
Among serious people there is not a doubt about the origin of the virus.
Imagine the lunatic who hates Putin and blames him for everything wrong in the entire world. (he actually sounds like an EU politician) and then he shows his true colors and MSM stooge by swearing COVID was "stopped" by good governance. That just absolutely made my day. When you believe someone is a "---" and then they prove it
yes..He talks exactly like those Gestapo MSM dogs. It was revealing of who is behind those GM initials. Now I understand why he pushes for a Russian nuclear response on Europe and the US. In fact, this is the only Ukranian hope to win the war... To destroy the entire world. In short, an Ukranian supporter to the banderite zionist junta in Kiev pretending he is a concerned Russian patriot. And he/she acts with side profiles. Infiltration and sabotage is inevitable in a war.
Fun Fact: I have heard Ukrainian Minister of Defense Denys Shmygal's family name pronounced as Smeagol, and assume that is the correct pronunciation. Gollum, Gollum!
Otherwise the pathetic fake drone incursion is another false flag nothing burger.
Jewish Denys Schmygal replaced the Turk Umerov. Completing the reshuffling of Andriy Yermak's cabinet. Yermak is the real boss of Ukraine, Zelensky is just the underboss, or street boss.
Denys Schmygal is a jew, and a member of the nearly all Jewish Ukrainian cabinet.
As the 404 enters the fuhrerbunker phase, the Yermak/ Zelensky team gather around them those whom it can trust, for mutual survival.
That way going forward, there's only two planes needed to flee to Tel Aviv. One for the Bankova Street crew, and one for the loot.
As Simplicius says, the obvious thing for Ukraine to do would be to collect up all the ones which will have crash landed over the past few years, and duct tape them up, and then use them in a FF.
Not very convincing.
Especially as you don't send decoy and observation drones to destroy targets, being as none of them have explosives on board.
Having said that, they might be lethal to a chicken if they land directly on top of one.
The RF missed a beauty there, as they could have asked that Ukraine publish photos of the unexploded warheads.
Crickets.
My own hypothesis is that Shmygal's group were using them to search for the Ring of Power, under the cloak of the SMO.
The story is different: the Russian army's purchasing department had ordered eggs from this farmer, and he sent a drone to pick up the order. You can imagine that if it had been an order for mortadella, the drone would have landed on the roof of the donkey stable, the Prime Minister's office.
If Shmygal is involved the drones were being used to smuggle amber from the western Ukraine province called Rivne. It is an outlaw region run by heavy dudes mining amber.
Can't seem to vote but unless you have specific SMO/Ukraine insight, I would stay away from the crowded conversation on the assassination.
Your expertise is evident in your Russian insight that is hard to get easily without bias. I like technical experts like you, and Black Mountain and Reminiscence of Future. Prefer nuts and bolts data driven blogs, not rhetoric.
Btw, I absolutely hate needing to authenticate to post. Get me out of here...
Right! Unless there is some particular take that can be offered from the Euro/Ukraine/Russia point of view that would not otherwise be available to readers, I say let others handle the Kirk assassination especially as it is still developing.
After watching "Russians at War", one realizes why Russia is having so much trouble with Ukraine - the Russian Army is a mess and I doubt it got significantly better.
If the situation was so critical for the AFU it would capitulate/Pokrovsk would fall. But tfhere has been no movement by Pokrovsk for a long while
The Ukie military is being systematically destroyed. It has little to do with 'territorial' gains. The Ukies are not capitulating because they are fierce fighters and present strong defenses, even with diminishing levels of personnel. The formidable defensive line of Ukraine has been built up over a period of a decade and presents stiff resistance to any offensive moves. But the end is inevitable - they will be destroyed. The Russians are in no hurry.
How do we know they are being destroyed? I see no evidence for this. They continue to hold Russia along the entire front and there are no significant breaches in the front line positions.
In addition, they opened the borders for the 18-22 y.o. cohort - a country doesnt do that when its situation is dire
They are not "holding Russia along the entire front" - Russia has no need to advance whilst there are Ukrainian troops willing to be destroyed. You fail to look at the statistics brought forward even by the Ukrainians themselves over the numbers of troops killed or seriously injured - approximately 1.7 million and rising daily as the Ukies lose 1200-1500 soldiers a day. The 18-22 year olds are being allowed out of the country for political reasons as the Ukrainian population is absolutely against using their youngest in this failing effort.
The Russians are fully aware of the optics but also recognise the need to complete the mission objectives - de-militarisation of the Ukrainian military. As for drain on the men and treasure, Russians consider this effort existential and are more than willing to sacrifice time and treasure on its success. Totally agree that the faster it ends the better, but only given success in its objectives.
It is better to rapidly take Ukraine and do a mop up operation afterwards (as the NKVD did in Western Ukraine well into the 60s) than have what we have now. This only makes Russia looks weak and Europe/US more bellirgent
Not a country, but a morally corrupt and intellectually bankrupt, poisonous dwarf made this decision as an act of political desperation after alienating the youth when he tried eliminating the anti-corruption prosecutor's office. Note: I am well aware that the use of anti-corruption and Ukraine in the same sentence is the textbook definition of an oxymoron.
I agree with the political desperation and expedience. At the time I did ponder the actual effectiveness beyond optics and posture. Figuring that young males with the means ie: Bank of Mummy & Daddy or supportive relatives abroad would have bailed out long ago. Those remaining youths wishing to leave will need a welcoming destination and the requisite funds. As I said before; a pocketful of Hyrivnas won't get them very far.
I would not say that Gerasimov follows the Fabian Strategy. Kutuzov did and so did Zhukov, but Gerasimov is not. It is time for a Hannibal or a Scipio, not a Fabian
>The Ukie military is being systematically destroyed.
And yet Ukraine is much more capable now than it was four years ago while Russia security is completely destroyed because every couple hours something somewhere in the rear explodes as a result of a NATO air strike.
There is no fundamental difference between a drone and a cruise missile, and it has always been that way -- the very first operational CM was the V-1 and it had very obvious drone-like characteristics too.
2) The trend is for heavy missiles to be launched soon too. Because there was no reaction to the light one, so why not?
3) Yes, they are from NATO. First, would Ukraine be able to launch them without NATO? Second, where are they made?
Russia has itd own Soviet era shells. But if we read Two Majors (large pro-Russian channels), a significant compliant recently slipped through - they write that the highest shells are Soviet made, Iranian shells have sone defects and are broadly okay. North Korean shells frequebtly overfire the target but that this can be adjusted for. Shells made in the RF however, are very low quality and lack quality control and will either overfire or underfire and are impossible to adjust for. This fauses artillery quality to go down, the commanders blame the artillerymen for poor performance and then send them to assualt squads where they die and Russia loses experienced arillerymen.
True except for this: "The Ukies are not capitulating because they are fierce fighters and present strong defenses"
For the most part Kiev's forces have been dragooned into service and don't want to be on the front line. If they try to run or surrender their officers shoot them. The primary effect is from hundreds of billions of dollars in Western money and weapons that have been invested into extremely strong fortifications and from a willingness by the Kiev regime to kill anybody who wavers. A secondary effect is the presence of a fanatic nazi minority that kills, often with torture first, anybody who wavers, and who enforce discipline with threats against family that guys at the front have at home.
Same old tired propaganda even after 31/2 years. Although Russia's primary goal is to eliminate Ukraine as a threat to Russian security through a war of attrition while taking a cautious offensive approach to minimize casualties, Russia has liberated over 3,500 square kilometers since January 2025, and the momentum continues without slowing down.
>Russia has liberated over 3,500 square kilometers since January 2025 and the momentum continues without slowing down.
At which rate Ukraine will be liberated somewhere around the year 2132.
Sure, attritional warfare is not linerar, but let's not pretend the current tempo is anytihng to be happy about. And let's not kid ourselves that it is rapidly accelerating, it is not.
For comparison, the Red Army:
1) Went from Grozny, Elista and Stalingrad to the Donbass in December 1942 and January 1943
2) Took Lugansk in early February 1943
3) Took Kharkov in August 1943
4) Took Kiev in November 1943
5) Took Rovno in February 1944
6) Finished the liberation of all of Ukraine by August 1944 with Lvov and Odessa
So in 20 months it recovered it all.
This while facing the best military machine the world has ever seen, while also fighting all the way from Ukraine to Murmansk, and while not having nukes and all the other highly advanced gadgetry the USSR legacy has blessed Russia with.
Also, notice that the start of the SMO mirrors the start of Operation Bagration in Ukraine as well.
But as they say:
"Something went wrong"
Also, to add to what you said - then, like now, the Red Army fought not just Germany but all of Europe - as the industrial might of Europe was working for the Germans
they are a team. Good sign Simplicius delivers meaningful information and worries them. But they lost credibility. Increasingly nonsense. Too evident now.
In comparison, the Soviet Union suffered 27 million deaths at the hands of the WWII Germans, creating a demographic setback that still affects Russia to this day.
Compare it to the SMO's 1.8 million plus Ukrainian KIAs, versus 120,000 Russian KIAs.
The slow way is the best way.
Plus this is quite the ad hominem line of inquiry: it's not Russia trying to conquer Ukraine but Ukraine trying to reconquer the four seceded regions. Kiev has repeatedly said the war is not over until they get their meat hooks on the four regions, plus Crimea.
They want to drag the people they shelled since 2014 back to Kiev.
>Compare it to the SMO's 1.8 million plus Ukrainian KIAs, versus 120,000 Russian KIAs.
>The slow way is the best way.
Compare it to the 10-20K dead maxmum it would have cost to take over the whole of Ukraine back in 2022 with no veto on striking the actual keys targets...
Why do you have to do attrition that has cost you 120K dead and counting when you can do it quickly with 10-20K dead and no cruise missile strikes all the way to Izhevsk (so far)?
Because if Putin had not sabotaged the SMO from the start by having practically everything the destruction of which would cause a quick AFU collapse off-limits for missile strikes, that is how much KIAs it would have cost to take over the whole of Ukraine.
There is a long list of objects and individuals that are such obvious targets but have not been hit at all for four years now, and yet people continue to parrot the line about muh attrition...
Putins strategy has proved correct. The goal was never to take all Ukraine. You know it and you willingly slander the RUAF and its merit fighting against all NATO. And again, calling Putin a traitor is a crime.
How has it proven correct when there are 100-200 light cruise missiles flying deep into Russia all the way to the Urals every day, something somewhere is being destroyed as a result of those no matter how good Russian AD is, all deterrence has been completely destroyed, the country is a laughing stock of the whole world, and is suffering one catastrophic geopolitical defeat after another as a direct result of being bogged down in Ukraine?
Russia is not a laughing stock to the world. You are the laughing stock to Simplicius readers. 100.000 covid deaths in Belarus... Are these your INDISPUTABLE facts? 😅
100,000 COVID deaths in Belarus is indeed an indisputable fact.
As are the 1.5M in Russia.
Both governments tried to hide it in the official numbers, which itself is an utterly despicable thing to do, in Russia by under reporting by a factor of 3.5, in Belarus by not reporting at all.
Excess mortality is there for all to see though.
What few realize is that COVID and the SMO are in fact directly related. How do you expect someone who killed 1.5M Russians in order to defend oligarch interests (because that is the real story of COVID -- it could have been fully contained, but it required the oligarchy in each country to pay for the containment effort and they would much rather mass murder millions and brainwash the survivors into thinking there is no alternative or there is no serious threat at all than threaten the foundations of the system that benefits them by doing something for the common good) to then defend those same people from NATO artillery, drone and air strikes?
After all, that same person had just proven that he does not care about whether 1.5M Russian would die, he just let them die. While he himself had layers and layers of testing and masking to protect the finest representative sample of a higher form of human being that he is from COVID. Which, BTW continues to this day -- in Vladivostok they were requiring PCR tests to even get in there, and presumably additional tests on site to approach the leaders; they certainly had those additional tests in Kazan last year. So this is what the leaders whose immortal greatness you are slurping on think about the threat from COVID, six years into it -- it is something to protect themselves from at a rather significant cost (while not telling you that they are doing it). Meanwhile you were tricked into thinking it is a scam, together with much of the population those leaders are supposedly protecting.
But what are a few tens of thousands of dead due to NATO aggression babushkas in Kursk, Belgorod, and especially the Donbass in comparison to 1.5M dead a coupe years prior? It's rather insignificant, isn't it? The precedent was set already in a much more major way.
And if 1.5M Russians were a price worth paying in order to preserve the privileges of the Russian oligarchy, then those thousands of dead in the Donbass and the border regions are certainly also a perfectly fine price to pay while the Kremlin is stalling for time looking for some kind of a deal with the West that will preserve the privileges of the Russian oligarchy. Because winning the war the way the GPW was won and preserving the privileges of the Russian oligarchy are two fundamentally incompatible things. And currently it is quite clear which one the priority is.
Clear for those with the eyes to see, that is...
If there was justice, Putin would meet fate worse than Nicholas II. Nicholas II got what he deserved, Putin deserves much worse -- Nicholas II certainly cared more about Russian people than Putin does, he was just too incompetent to even do the bare minimum to stay in power. Even that redeeming aspect is not there with Putin. So he deserves not just being shot but elaborately tortured prior to it too.
Military campaigns can proceed in different ways, and what Russia is betting the farm on is that a critical moment will arrive, when the UAF collapses utterly - and we are close to that point now.
Thenceforth, the territorial gains are exponential.
The differences between what the Red Army achieved, and what the Russian army is achieving, are personified in two names - Stalin and Putin.
Try not to forget in making your case, what the death toll for the Red Army was, whilst making these rapid advances.
Why does it have to bet on the AFU collapsing some day in the indefinite future when it can directly cause that collapse at any moment by hitting what the Russian military has not been allowed to hit?
This is what you post-hoc rationalizers of catastrophic failure still cannot accept as a fact -- that there is a political veto on a long list of targets that continue to be off limits for strikes, and it is precisely those targets that the destruction of would cause a quick and total AFU collapse. It simply doesn't feature in your thinking. Meanwhile I can give you a detailed breakdown of that list and how it would cause quick AFU collapse.
Russian Army has always been a mess and that’s their strength. German army utmost disciplined and organised in WWII, still they bite the dust. How to win from NATO and US ordered armies? Forget strategies and think tanks, just adapt to the situation at the front, period.
The Russian army entered the war not having fought a serious land war since WWII. Of course there were lots of issues to fix.
But that is not the reason why the war continues to be a stalemate four years into this -- the rules of engagement imposed by the Kremlin are the reason.
They were also the reason for the initial failure too -- how can you enter enemy territory with strict orders not to fire until fired upon and expect it to go well?
Russia fought multiple land wars - Korea (arguably), Vietnam (air support), Afghanistan and Chechnya. It was also fighting a low level war for 8 years in Donbass. Plenty of time to experiment with new tactics. Instead it decided the BTG was a good idea and had no idea of Ukrainian rearmament and retraining efforts.
The problem wasn't the BTGs, the problems were that:
1) There were no second and third echelons to exploit breakthroughs. A political issue
2) There was no mobilization in March 2022. Another political issue
3) There was a veto on striking anything that would have taken Ukraine out of the war. Another political issue. Which is still in effect to this day.
4) The goodwill gestures (political issue again) rolled back without a fight progress that right now it is a pipe dream to hope can be achieved again this decade.
Just another 20-30K being sent in the direction of Nikolaev would have won the war in March 2022.
Yeah thats true, 190k was not sufficient. My suspicion was that Putler was planning a quick "in and out" operation, but it didn't work out. That was a failure of the FSB, as it lost KGB institutional knowhow.
While mass mobilization in 2022, I am not sure if Russian society would have taken it. Remember how much resistance there was to the start of the war itself. Now imagine adding mobilization on top of that. I agree it was necessary - throwing a million men at Ukraine would have caused it to buckle quickly. But the true political issue was the FSB doing who knows what all those years, rather than finding out what was going on in Ukraine and how to prepare for a war.
Yeah the roll back from Kiev was a travesty. It could've tied up more than 30k Ukrainian troops (and probably more by now) in Kiev region. Now getting there from Belarus (or getting Belarus to agree) will be difficult.
>My suspicion was that Putler was planning a quick "in and out" operation, but it didn't work out
Which leaves two and only two options:
1) He is a certified imbecile
2) He is a traitor
No other possibility.
Because it was obvious to anyone with a brain that if you invade, given what has happened inside Ukraine since 1991 and especially since 2014, you would have to take over the whole territory and do it quickly, or you are going to sink in the morass of a major interminable war, because the rest of the territory would fight you till the last Ukrainian.
Thus he had to go all in, no kid gloves, in the first days, and solve the problem decisively.
>While mass mobilization in 2022, I am not sure if Russian society would have taken it. Remember how much resistance there was to the start of the war itself. Now imagine adding mobilization on top of that.
Whose job was it to prepare Russian society for war?
It was known there will be a major war since when exactly? Since 2014 certainly and beyond any doubt. Since 2005 (the first Western coup there) also quite certainly. But you can also find a TV appearance by Anatoly Sobchak from 1991:
Interesting video. Thanks for sending. I had not seen it before, but Sobchak was eerily prophetic in what he said.
You are right - Putler should have prepared Russian society for war since 1999/2000, when he came to power - it was evident even then that the US did not see Russia as a partner as it continued financing Chechen Separatist and Wahhabis through the Saudi's. Instead, he did not close the Yeltsin era floodgates to Western/US cultural influence, and much of Russian youth grew up on Western movies/shows/cartoons and culture in general. He sought Western integration. And so when it came time to break with the West in 2022/23, it became impossible because:
1) ideology is banned by Russian Constitution (that American lawyers wrote btw and Putler never bothered to change, instead upholding it)
2) it was unfathomable for most younger Russians to go against the West because they saw themselves as more Western than Russian.
By the same logic one could ask, "if the Ukrainians were so bad off, then why haven't they capitulated?".
I guess because Yermak/Zelensky would rather waste their whole country (half in diaspora) and sacrifice 1.8 million Kia's in order to reconquer the Donbass people, who don't want him.
It's not Russia trying to conquer Ukraine, it's Ukraine trying to reconquer the four annexed regions.
They Ukrainians could theoretically conscript the 4.5 million estimated able bodied women in Ukraine. They've already been conscripting the younger, stronger ones.
That may be why Ukrainian women look like they're starving themselves rail thin, anorexic, to avoid the conscription agents. I'd wager it.
I guess because Yermak/ Zelensky have no pity for their own people's lives.
In WWI, Germany capitulated. Not because it was technically defeated, but because it couldn't win, and continuing the war would only lead to millions more Germans dead. They valued their people's lives over 'winning'.
Zelensky must not have studied history, but he excelled in drama class. Conversely he has no compassion for Slavic people. Neither do the West, as they've shown.
Perhaps you haven't kept up. After the Ukrainians reinforced the Pokrovsk front the Russians broke through in Kupiansk and now control more than half the city. They crossed the river at Shandrylova and dug in for a push to the Oskil. They pushed the Ukrainian nationalist out of Serabrianka Forest They have taken Torskye and Zarichne and have open ground to Yampil and Lyman. The bridgehead north east of Siversk has solidified. They progressively move West in the South Donetsk region They have pushed the Ukrainians out of the east of Konstantinivkha. They have pushed up the Dnieper to Stepnogorsk? They have taken Udachne and are pushing north towards the lithium mine. It's been a busy few weeks for the bumbling Russian general staff.
In what way exactly? The fight for Kupyansk is ongoing and should not be taking so long considering that Ukraine is using a token force to hold it.
Also look at Siversk - Russia cannot take Siversk for well nigh on 4 years now and has made no moves towards Nikolaev since the failed initial thrust since 2022 - these directions are far more important than Kupyansk
Attritional warfare also defeats you. See what happened to the Byzantines and Persians when they fought attritional war with each other - Byzantium ceased to exist and Persia became Islamic
"After watching "Russians at War", one realizes why Russia is having so much trouble with Ukraine - the Russian Army is a mess and I doubt it got significantly better." Total nonsense, propaganda for morons. The Russian army is by far the most combat capable army in the world today.
Nothing about watching a leftist, anti-war film in any way is a factual basis for your propaganda for morons. The Russian army is not a mess and it's not having trouble with Ukraine. Russia is fighting exactly the war it wants to fight, totally defeating the US and its stooges in Ukraine, all while dramatically growing the Russian economy and building a multipolar economic and political counterweight with the Global Majority to the foul and collapsing US-dominated West. Come visit Crimea, if you can visit without being arrested for being a nazi stooge, and you'll see how that works. Doh.
I'd leave Kirk alone. There're so many other deserving topics to explore. The Balkans for example were the center of attention for Lavrov. Or the Arab proxies having a first ever Summit with Russia on 15 October. Or Venezuela's military capabilities. Or the situation in Nepal and its potential effect on Chinese-Indian relations. Or what US MIC corps are telling their stockholders about expansion plans or the lack thereof. As for me, I'll be translating Putin's chat with the director of Russia's Agency for Strategic Initiatives and whatever might present itself Friday.
The same day Charlie Kirk was killed, at least 72 Palestinians were killed in the genocide he supported. The Palestinians killed in Gaza on that day collectively mattered at least 72 times more than Charlie Kirk, but his death received many orders of magnitude more attention from the mainstream press and from western political discourse. Westerners do not regard Palestinians as fully human.
> Westerners do not regard Palestinians as fully human.
Nor do they regard Russians as fully human. Especially in Donetsk, where Western media have been deliberately ignoring victims of Kiev war crimes since 2014.
Charlie Kirk was fast changing his view on Israel. Most of us used to support Israel and most of us have slowly shifted views as we discovered the extent of the abuse, especially since the Gaza genocide started taking place.
CK was an incredible young man, with unmatched skills. Not only does he deserve to be spoken about but he was more influential than almost everyone else in the USA.
That last interview (2 days before his death) of Charlie Kirk with Ben Shapiro (the master Bibi butt-licker) demonstrated that Kirk was drifting away from the official narratives on Gaza. He tiptoed up to the line and just stopped short of calling Oct 7th a false flag to Shapiro's face.
He was. Kirk was created and grown with Zionist money.
But he was becoming disillusioned very quickly, especially seeing first hand the power Israel wields over US politics, and attempt to control him personally (he referred to Netanyahu as 'a bully').
In July he hosted a TPUSA summit that shat on Israel pretty hard - with Tucker and others bringing up Epstein, Iran, AIPAC, Gaza etc.
Apparently Kirk's Jewish financiers were furious. And now he's dead and replaced by Shapiro.
Kirk has recently become more vocal about the murder of innocent civilians in Gaza by the IDF. He went as far as hosting a debate with a ultra Zionist apologist Josh Hammer (Zionist) and Dave Smith (comedian), by all accounts Smith destroyed Hammer's talking points one by one.
Larry Johnson wrote about this on his Sonar 21 blog post. In doing this Charlie has angered the Zionists (both Jewish and Non-Jewish camps). These people are EXTREMELY powerful and do not tolerate any criticism of whatever they do to "non-Jews", particularly in the name of "protecting Israel". MOSSAD has killed people before for a lot less!
I think this is significant as the "old" CK would have never done this. I say this, because I too was one of the most ardent supporters of "Israel" not that long ago. I could have been classed as a "Christian Zionist", just like CK. I know that hearts and minds can be changed, it happened to me. Why not CK? That is a fair Question?
I think that the interest for everyone of following the circumstances and reactions to the killing of Mr. Kirk does not depend on the magnitude of the tragedy. Of course, many more Palestinians are killed every day.
Also less interesting the question whether he was a moral, intelligent person or a bas character.
The important question is the possible effect of such killing in the domestic political process in the USA.
Also, what the public reactions to that killing mean as a symptom of the mood of the wide masses in that country.
As to the arab vassals. AI ranslated from mpr21.info:
The airstrike was carried out by approximately fifteen warplanes that crossed the airspace of Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and Bahrain. The aircraft were refueled in flight by US and British tanker aircraft that took off from the Al Udaid military base in Qatar and then landed at the same base.
McDonnell Douglas F-15 Eagle fighter jets of the United Arab Emirates Air Force roamed the skies, but their mission appeared to be to trace sinuous and mysterious lines to mislead flight-tracking software applications.
Qatar has state-of-the-art air defense systems and a large number of cutting-edge Western fighter jets (Eurofighter Typhoon, Dassault Rafale, F-15). During the 12-Day War, they were able to intercept Iranian missiles targeting the US Al Udaid base.
On Tuesday, the anti-aircraft paraphernalia was of no use. The "experts" say the Israeli planes used an advanced neutralization system. This isn't true. The air defense systems of Qatar and other Gulf countries are controlled by the Americans, who turned a blind eye: they disabled the air defenses before and during the attack.
The Gulf countries are under US occupation, which has guaranteed their survival… at least until Tuesday. The satraps are forced to sign large-scale arms procurement contracts with the US military-industrial complex and other Western countries, not for their own defense needs, but to pay a price: to enrich the big arms companies.
The qatari foreign minister energically protested ... They are learning theatre. The western civilisation is above all about their rich tradition in theatre from Shakespeare to Moliere to Lope de Vega to Hollywood whereas the islamic world, well, they dont have it. This is a technological tool. But some of them like Erdogan or the Gulf satrapies are learning...
IFF, you can dig up some evidence that Kirk was killed in a false-flag because he was changing his position on the genocide, that might be useful. But I don't think we need another long boring 30+ minute lecture like the one Glenn Greenwald gave on how people are awful to celebrate Kirk's death.
Such sniper attacks on people who are suppose to be on your side are quite common in "Color Revolutions". Is the USA now suffering from a "Color Revolution"?
Caitlin sums Kirk up nicely until her last paragraph. (which is the dancing on graves Greenwald was droning on about.) She should have left that one out.
Scott Ritter says Kirk was a gifted speaker who made his points well. (I wouldn't know. I didn't know of Kirk until yesterday.) The solution was more speech, not murder.
The comments on Caitlin's article greatly favor "false flag".
Zelensky the Ultimate Proxy, The King of All Proxies was searching for his own Proxy in Poland already in November of 2022. As Andrzej Duda revealed in an interview that was the time when a missile coming from Ukraine crossed into Poland. Duda evaluated the situation at the time as a false flag from Ukraine and refused to swallow the bait. Almost three years later, Ukraine’s internal and military stability gone, Zelensky would do anything to drag US/NATO into the war. With Trump’s words: He is playing with WWIII. BUT Trump is doing the exact same thing. He released a few words after the drones arrived in Poland like ‘There we go’ or something like that that was interpreted by the stock market as a possible call for military action against Russia. If any attack on a NATO nation really takes place the No.1 suspect should be Ukraine.
It is also suspicious that some of those small plastic drones flew very deep into Poland; they hardly have the range to make this flight from Russia, a distance of close to 500 miles. (Zelensky will probably state at his next interview that Evil-Putin worked out the details for in-flight refueling for his Evil-Drones.)
But Polish cooperation was essencial. This is a NATO play, not Ukrainian or Polish, what makes me think they dont do things for nothing. NATO boots on the ground has already been decided and is inminent. They know they could lose all Ukraine is the regime collpases, but I doubt they cross the Dnipr.
Agree but the pressure? The uplifts will be large and the financial pressures at home difficult to fend off, the promise of glory, the adrenaline rush, the propaganda, the fear, the guilt...all of it play into testosterone (however many men remain that haven't been blunted by the chemical industrial complex). I personally know women that would be 'proud' if their son enlist because the scales have not been removed from their eyes.
While I say these things, I know nothing of the future and if I did I wouldn't be commenting.
The duct tape on the one drone kinda told the story. I use a lot of duct tape 'round the 'ol homestead, but I'd hate to look out of a plane I'm on and see duct tape.
"That is to say that as a general threat, Russia is increasingly considered as a kind of terrifyingly unmatched drone superpower in the eyes of the hapless and helpless NATO munchkin-states."
Let's not forget that the Russian proxy war was an obvious precursor to the China proxy war, and if Russia is now a powerhouse of drone tech in just 3 years during active combat, imagine what kind of drone tech capability China will already have, before active combat.
The West really needs to stop. After 25 years of thinly-veiled attempts at implementing the WEF Green Socialist Utopia, they need to leave it alone, and start getting back to work doing useful stuff - the stuff they were once so good at doing, or the western empire is done.
It’s done or should I say drone(d), all the President (Macron’s) men cannot keep the sinking ship afloat. French Cabal already has premature ejac. Poland’s NATO has been hit by Putin’s drones, nothing can stop the war now.
well, theyre not fascist. Capitalists pay fascists, yihaddis, narcos and socialists alike. The USSR and maoist China were trading with the empire big time.
Weird that you made a poll to ask whether to write about Charlie Kirk's assassination. Are you afraid of the haters? I disagreed with Charlie Kirk on his support for Israel, but come on, he was a wonderful and brave human being. His assassination was a despicable act of cowardice by the insane woke left. This is my favorite blog, and I hope you will provide your analysis soon.
Charlie Kirk was chosen as a highly visible, strategic target, an organic part of the political turnaround triggered by the Trump election. He was very much integrated into the upper circles of Trump. He was also killed at the start of another major drive into the libtard USA college world. Charlie Kirk had the ability to talk a woke woman screaming for abortion rights into delivering twins. Not a minor achievement.
No, just something I happened to be waffling on myself and was curious which way the wind blew with the readership. If you have been here from the beginning, you may recall I used to do such polls all the time for gauging readers' interests in a particular topic simply as an optimization tool of sorts.
IMO there's enough discussion about Kirk elsewhere - everywhere, in fact - and will be for some time. This is where I come to read good military and geopolitical analysis, FWIW.
I'd say yes but when the dust has settled down a bit. Tactical details of the crime, the weapon, the scene, the suspect are all moving fast and are being covered in depth elsewhere.
The story is now moving to the second order effects, who said what, which factions will move in what direction etc.
The Charlie Kirk issue, deep like the Mariana Trench (35,876 feet deep) in the Western Pacific Ocean, is going to be a major turning point in US domestic politics. On scale with the Huey Long murder and the kidnapping/murder of the Lindbergh Baby. Your facts oriented deep digging style will be successful there. This single killing by a member of woke society will be on the mind of the whole nation as it is pushing the already absurd level of polarization another notch up.
“This single killing by a member of woke society….”
Oh, I see. You know who did it, yes? Maybe you can enlighten all of us to their identity. Perhaps it was a fat, pink-haired trans man with a degree in gender studies who took that single, deadly shot from long range? 😂
‘Perhaps it was a fat, pink-haired trans man with a degree in gender studies who took that single, deadly shot from long range?’
At the time of my posting the rifle with the marked, engraved bullets was already found. The engravings were crystal clear indications of woke ideology of the worst kind. As far as the 150 yards range, I would not call it ‘long range’. For a rifle with a good scope it is achievable for even a crazy woke commie. I would say ‘long range’ starts at some place above 500 yards.
From Anarcasper: “ The public reaction to Charlie Kirk’s assassination reveals more about the architecture of power than the act itself. Through the Coordination as Power lens, it becomes clear that the threads surrounding Kirk’s death were pre-positioned for maximum amplification. Conservative media ecosystems, political elites, and sympathetic news cycles coordinated almost instantly, turning the killing into a national event.
This is not simply a matter of narrative bias but of thread visibility. Some lives and deaths sit inside powerful threadplexes that can saturate the public field, while others do not. Hundreds of mass shootings have targeted Black churches, immigrant neighborhoods, queer clubs, and synagogues, yet most pass without federal task forces, visa threats, or days of wall-to-wall coverage. This is scope friction operating along racial lines, expanding the field of coordination when white conservative figures are attacked, and keeping it narrow when marginalized people are harmed.
The emotional shock so many have so far expressed shows how internalization architectures have normalized the idea that certain figures are entitled to safety and platform. When this expectation is broken, it feels like an emergency. The same violence against those outside the dominant frame is treated as background noise.
What emerges is Power Through that is quickly captured and directed into Power Over: the outcry becomes justification for new surveillance, securitization, and criminalization of dissent. Instead of rupturing the order, the event re-stitches it more tightly.
The risk is that this act will be used to attribute violence to entire movements (almost certainly focused on the left), delegitimizing opposition and deepening repression. Seeing this through Coordination as Power reminds us that outrage is not neutral. It is itself a coordinated force, and when its amplification is racially selective, it strengthens the very hierarchies that make some lives grievable and others disposable.”
Considering the fact that Charlie Kirk was breaking away from Trump because he was unable to swallow the Gaza mass murders as justifiable acts, you just might turn out to be correct. He was also kicking off a major drive to visit dozens of universities and had the potential to turn the political right there against the (((Baby killers))).
Stay out of Kirk until something significant happens around or because of that event. If things starts to turn ugly in US , its reason to write about it.
They already have fairly good images on this guy. He has to be a real Houdini to get away with this. They also have his rifle, very likely together with his DNA. And that spells the death penalty.
Still off-topic. The guy was filmed running and then jumping of a roof. The height was 3-4 meters and you could clearly see he damaged is right knee or ankle on impact. In another video he is seen limping along the street with a backpack. Same guy. He cant limp too long until being found…
Questions:
1. Where the f’’k is the Rifle? Did it levitate to the nearby Forest? Or did he just throw it from the roof along with the ”engraved” bullets?
2. Kirk is said to been shot from a frontal position from the roof. Still you can see that he is slumped to his left side. Its JFK all over again.
3. Why was the white old male shouting ”Shoot me!” so the Police took him for the Shooter? Why did another guy bring an Air-rifle to the event?
4. 1 min after the shot it was up on X. 5 min later Netanyaho offered his condolences… that was suspicous fast.
To much to speculate on and I think Simplicius is doing right to stay off this story until it has any bearings on the Geopolitical game.
I can answer only No. 1: He walked from the building he jumped from through a patch of wooded area and dumped the rifle there, it was an 'imported Mauser .30-06 bolt-action rifle'. Markings on the shells left in the rifle explain the motivation.
I'm guessing here, but I think it's likely they already know who he is by now and are on his trail. His parent's attorney will likely be the one to call the police on him.
My actual view is that if you have some interesting perspective, I'd like to hear it. If you're waffling, maybe you do have something in mind. But otherwise, saying nothing is a fine choice.
Has it already been proven then that he was assassinated by the insane woke left?
Our elites/rulers in the meanwhile are celebrating: yes, we managed to keep people divided, we created another distraction to fuel the division. And now when they are not looking at us, lets move some more (stolen) tax billions to the Cayman islands! Win-Win situation!
Dr. Julie Gard Schnuelle, 59, a former professor of Large Animal Medicine at Auburn University’s College of Veterinary Medicine, and her killer Harold Rashad Dabney III.
"Investigators believe Dr. Schnuelle was walking her dog Saturday morning, September 6, when Dabney ambushed her along a park trail where he allegedly dragged her several hundred yards into the woods and stabbed her multiple times with a bladed object."
On the CK issue, there is only one thing to say- the west has publicly normalised-legitimised assassination as a valid political tool. And so we are where we are. The only question- who is next? Those who think that targeted assassinations are the way to go, like Ukraine and Israel, might ask themselves that.
Unfortunately, they don't illuminate so well over there.
To them, the United States is the world's hammer of justice--judge, jury, and executioner. They take pride in the United States's military, vaporizing the world's miscreants and wiping from the field any military that would dare oppose them.
The homoerotic dancer/turned churchill is guided by the same dregs of humanity, which have been maintaining arson attacks around the globe, namely, the banking dynasties and major war profiteers
May I suggest a hierarchy of “owners” where the financial capital (banking dynasties) represents the uppermost anti-humanity layer of profiteers on human misery and tragedies
This was a message to Trump. Two days earlier Kirk had expressed some doubts about Israel behaviour to Ben Shapiro. The truth is becoming the president of the US does not guarantee taking over power. There is a structural network foundation of corporate-banking-military-political and communicational operators that can block a meaningful alternative, and Trump is very aware of that. Just in case he forgets... Especially on the eve of 9-11.
The west has also normalized support for nazis and islamic terrorists. Non ukrainians with a swastika are labeled as nazis, ukrainians with swastikas doing a nazi salute and waving the nazi flag, became a "cultural manifestation that we cannot criticize".
As for supporting islamic terrorists, go no further than the ISIS terrorist currently the "president" of Syria. After many years beheading innocent civilians, the west decided to give him the presidency of a country they destroyed. Trump even said that ISIS filth he was a "good guy" and europeans flocked to shake his hand. There is no low that westerners do not reach.
These thuggish organizations exist at the pleasure of the City of London banking dynasties that have sprouted into fascist mega-corporations like BlackRock and the dishonorable MIC
The West has not changed, only each of us is getting older, accumulating experience and realising what the West does.
British did the same for a few centuries, Americans were supporting all types of dictators in the last century, and all other great powers from Germany to Japan, Turkey, including tsarist Russia, of the era, when given the chance behaved as imperialists - attempted to create/enlarge empires, killing, ethnically cleansing, robbing, Israel is peculiar because it is the last of the Empires, Israel is just doing what Britain, US did 2-3 centuries ago. Discussions that we hear from Israel, from BenGvir to Smotrich, have been heard in British parliament, in US Senate...and ancient Athens, Rome. Imperial politics.
When you see it once, you cannot unsee it. And you become a realist.
It means we start from this reality and hopefully create something better.
The strength of Russia, China, India, today is that they are not imperialist powers. And solid guarantee that the world of BRICS would really be different than the western world is the fact that both China and India are smart and wise enough to resolve their conflict in Himalayas fighting with sticks.
No, NATO can't fight any war that is more thanbombing helpless civilians and last more than a few days. This was indeed a provocation., but with the only intent to keep the grift going. More money for the nazis, more weapons for the nazis, etc etc. And all this means USA and european politicians get their pockets filled. Although of course, USA gets more money than everyone else, because they are the ones selling the weapons. Taking advantage of europeans is very easy, because europeans as a whole, are very, very dumb.
Sorry, but that's simply not the case. If europeans live in "democacies", then they are directly responsible for the scum they elect. If they don't, then they really should come down from their high horse, when they constantly claim to be better than everyone else in the world, because they are "democracies"
By now you have surely figured out that democracy as practiced is a fraud, sort of like those child seat with a steering wheel. Mom drives the car, the kid gets to pretend.
This never stopped europeans and Americans from preaching pious sermons.
And you have single-handedly turned Portugal around to your liking, right? Of course, the wishes of said populace are irrelevant to you because you are the truth and the light and all should bow before your superior morality and intellect. Also, by your logic, since Portugal is a democratic country and all inhabitants are equally guilty, you are as guilty and as evil as those you decry. It is a pity, because you do make reasoned arguments when you aren't on the everybody in the West is evil kick.
You can stop with the sarcasm, because it really doesn't work with me. What I wrote is clear as water, now and in our previous exchanges.
As I mentioned in those past exchanges, I am frustrated PRECISELY because alone I can't do much. With many more involved, it would be doable to turn Portugal around, not "to my liking" but to the actual improvement of the country. In Portugal, the number of people that actually try to know reality is absurdly tiny, while the number of people that believe whatever the TV tells them, is overwhelming, which is why we are one of the poorest in Europe, 3 bankruptcies in less than 50 years and one of the most corrupt countries in the world. And despite our tiny size, we also have one of the largest debts in the world. At one point, a few years ago, we had the 4th largest debt.
This is not accomplished by the minority. This is accomplished by the majority, that support this state of things, which in no rational person's brain, is considered "good".
I never said all inhabitants are equally guilty. Once more you are inventing words that I never wrote, which is the typical straw man "argument". What I did say is that the MAJORITY of people either support all the crap or don't care about it, which is the same as supporting it.
There are good people in every country. And by good I mean people that actually think about good living conditions, prosperous country, jobs for everyone and all that, and not just about their belly button...However, the number of people that ONLY think about their belly button is much, much larger.
Most westerners are evil. Either because they do support genocides, nazis, terrorists, pedophilia, slavery and all the crap in the world, or because they don't care that the people they "elect", support it.
The sooner you realize this, the sooner you understand the main reason for the western world decay.
It wasn't sarcasm. It was pointing out hypocrisy. "If europeans live in "democacies", then they are directly responsible for the scum they elect." You have written far worse but I don't have the time or inclination to search back through the many Lyceum posts to locate them. Notice that the word "MAJORITY" does not appear in what I quoted from you (from just a few comments up).
it has been proven beyond doubt, that most societies in most countries most of the history are based upon each individual thinking about his own belly button first, if given a chance,
but there has to be a frame, a set of rules, like in a football game, a consensus in the society about the rules of the game of life, because looking after your belly button cannot be the ultimate good.
Chinese communist party is using this method, successfully, communists define the rule of the game, and Chinese citizens look after their belly button. Rules are simple, more than 2 000 years old: Chinese elites (now - communist party) govern the country in the interest of Chinese nation.
US elites use this method, they define the rules, and Americans look after their belly button.
The problem is US is a global Empire, and uses soft power, secret services, military power to force all elites of all other countries in the world to obey American rules - Nepal, Ukraine, Venezuela, Iran, Qatar, Iraq, Libya...
and these rules sometimes described by less intelligent as "rules based order", have become self destructive
A. the do not serve interests of US citizens, or British, French, German citizens, as reflected in refusing to elect Kamal Harris, in Brexit, in Gilletes jaunts rebellion, in AfD rising
B. several major powers have arisen (China, Russia, India, ...) who are able to say no to US enforcement of the US "rules base order"
What is the problem.
Capitalism at its best, at its peak, in US, is capitalism on rampage, has eaten the core principles of regulating the capitalist game. If looking after your belly button is the ultimate good, it is inevitable that force, i.e. money will in the end bend all the rules. There has to be some other criteria in determining rules of the game of life.
And in this regard, all the anticapitalist commenters, all symphatizers of communism are correct. Capitalism has eaten itself.
Malaise felt in the west comes not because westerners, citizens of the western countries are evil, but because they are feeling the crisis, and find no one to understand, explain and find solution.
I agree. I cannot pretend to have a crystal ball that informs me, but I cannot believe anyone is stupid enough to willfully start a general war in Europe.
The uncertainties are too many.
1. The reaction of Western populations. Not many ready to die for King and Country.
2. The reactions of inmigrants, especially the Islamic communities.
3. The capability of the USA to send forces across the ocean. Convoys can no longer sail unnoticed.
4. China decides not to take part, or comes to the conclusion that they would be next if NATO wins.
5. Russia winning or crossing the nuclear threshold facing possible defeat.
Everything points to a dangerous game of brinkmanship and bluffing in the hope that Russia blinks first.
On the other hand, military tension justifies military expenses and those are the quickest way to enrich many unscrupulous leaders.
I agree overall, but some of what you highlighted are not uncertainties, at leas not anymore.
China for sure will not allow USA / NATO to win against Russia. Russia is able to do it on their own, but if something goes wrong, China will step in and help Russia more than just politically and economically. They have less to lose if they help Russia, than if they don't.
As for the nuclear question, the only danger of using such weapons, comes from the west. It's the only one that used them before and is the one with actual genocidal psychopaths in power, that think they are gods and can survive a post nuclear world.
USA sending whatever by sea or air, in an actual war, means it will be shot down or sunk, so there's no uncertainty there either, because it's USA doing the aggressive moves sending troops to other countries, not other countries sending troops to USA.
As for western populations, not sure what to say. If anything, western populations have shown to have the least working brain cells, as they support just about the most disgusting things ever, like nazis, genocieds, actual terrorist acts, etc, so not sure if they wouldn't do what ukrainians are doing - instead of revolting against their nazi regime - go die for their fascist regimes in USA and Europe.
I think that's also a characteristic of western people. They think about themselves and that's about it. They have no empathy and could care less if it doesn't affect them directly. But if it affects them directly, then it's the biggest problem ever and everyone should pay attention to them. In short, they do not unite on important causes and "unity" for them is putting a flag on their social media profiles.
😉
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Well done Victor, you probably beat the record for commenting the latest Simplicius publication in the blink of an eye - which I guess is what your choice of emoji was meant to convey.
Now, my very important comment. Dear Simplicius, while your knowledge of drones is unmatched, I think you are mistaken regarding the type of construction on which the tapered drone model (which reminds me of my modest childhood achievements trying to assemble and paint plastic models of WWII planes) was artistically placed.
In fact, I would submit that the "chicken coop" is most probably a rabbit coop, as evidenced by the separate cages (rabbits tend to fight if kept together) and the water bottle dispensers which are typical rabbit, not chicken style. So much for my modest contribution to the search for the truth in this implacable information war.
Genius
While we're talking about provocations in Poland, real NATO drones/missiles are sinking ships in Primorsk. North of St. Petersburg...
sbu fake news
Succinct and on target.
I have not read or heard a word about NATO sinking ships.
Could you share a link or two?
1) Where have you been since April 2022 (when the Mosvka was sunk by NATO directly)?
2) https://t.me/dva_majors/79298:
>Противник ночью организовал массированный налёт на Ленинградскую область. В порту Приморск - возгорание одного из судов.
🇺🇦💥🇷🇺Massive enemy attack on the Leningrad region: fire at a tanker and pumping station in Primorsk.
"Open fire on the vessel in the port of Primorsk has been extinguished. There is no threat of flooding or oil spill. The fire at the pumping station has also been put out. No casualties," reported Governor Drozdenko.
🛢Primorsk is the main oil loading port in the Gulf of Finland, located at the end of the pipeline system.
Air defense forces destroyed 30 UAVs over the southwest of the Leningrad region at night, the regional governor previously reported.
The "Carpet" plan was implemented at Pulkovo airport, delaying and canceling several flights.
@Slavyangrad
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/140830
And to think there are news agencies and local newspapers in Leningrad that don't cover it, forcing you to rummage through trash cans to find out the current weather where you are.
+2,000 km away, my friend. Soon, Ukrops intercontinental drones, hahahaha.
And the Mosvka was sunk yesterday in the Baltic Sea?
As I've said before.... GM is likely used by a group of paid trolls. The ship sinking thing is a relatively new type of posting that just rehashes made-up stuff from the Uke side without much substance. That's a pretty low standard of posting by 'his' standards, so either a newbie on the job, or the cut in USAID funds have finally started to decimate the GM ranks.
That the Ukrainians sunk it.
It sunk because of a accidental fire onboard which quickly spread and led to a detonation, which caused enough damage for the ship to be abandoned and later sink.
Totally. Just like all of those accidental window falls Russian executives and billionaires keep having.
Russian Navy Project MPSV07 guarding the entrance to the port of Novorossiysk had an "ACCIDENT" yesterday. The bridge of the $60 million 240-foot long ship accidentally collided with a drone and went BOOM.
it is called gasping for the straws.. using something irrelevant to "prove" something completely different . Do you know how many warboats RU launches a year? in 2021 numbers I saw written down, it was 34. since then at least as much as all RU sources (newsletters, etc) report 'significant program of re-arming of RU navy (with major emphasis on the Northern (Arctic) fleet and Pacific ones). Black Sea 'puddle' is not even on the map in terms of major needs, they get missile boats which were primarily Kalibr (now Onyx) carriers and even that is less priority since you can deploy Iskander on land in Crimea much easier, simpler, and in much larger quantities and nothing sails into Black Sea without your permission anyway. How is the 'huge Ukrainian victory of defeating Black Sea Fleet' relevant hear? GM is a troll, likely UA paid one given the amount of lies and propaganda. Look up facts , trust nobody , and verify always.
"Grasping" is the correct term for what you're doing. I could list 15 major sinkings over the last few years.
But sure, the not yet sunk black sea fleet relocated HQ to Novorossiysk for the better climate.
Thank you, SG. I appreciate the flag. His two posts that I read earlier, and now his condescending non-answer to my question, showed that he is a baiter.
"his condescending non-answer to my question, showed that he is a baiter" ......and hoping to achieve the rank of masterbaiter.
you think ukro-paid? I waver(ed) between 'not a useful idiot' or 'foreign asset' whenever GM writes here how 'Putin is soft'
When you're in the market, you need volume.
I did, but they were NATO.
He means off the coast of Venezuela but the map was upside down ;))
Well, its a new angle for you. Where else might NATO be winning that no one knows about?
Sounds like General Melschitt is hallucinating on the meds again
Great Moron
NATO can only win on the Moon because it won't face any force there. Well, now kyiv, with its geniuses, must build spaceships to go and wage war there. Need we remind you? China's best customer for toilet paper is NATO, millions of rolls per week.
Nepal perhaps?
I haven't checked my copy of Ukrainska Pravda yet. Will get back.
>Four years later the Zapad 2025 series is kicking off, and it has been chattered about since last year, with various rumors and predictions about Russia potentially launching another massive Kiev assault from within Belarus under the exercise’s cover.
Simply not happening, unless it is guaranteed to result in the total take over of all of Ukraine. But I have hard time seeing how that would be possible with the current posture.
Lukashenko is no fool, and unlike the traitors in the Kremlin, he does care about his people, which he has generally a solid record of for the last 30 years (minus the COVID response).
Meanwhile Putin destroyed all deterrence with his cowardice and suspect loyalties and as a result anyone who feels like it is free to bomb whatever and whenever they want inside Russia. This in turn means that if another invasion is launched from Belarus, and it does not succeed quickly but gets bogged down the same way the Volchansk and Sumy fiascos of last and this year did, then Belarus will be open to 24/7 drone and missile strikes the same way Russia is now.
I highly doubt Lukashenko is willing to sign up for that.
Also, Russia doesn't even need Belarus to finish off Ukraine. It can be done quickly and to full completion without any involvement from Belarus, all that is needed is for the botox midget to be removed and replaced by someone who is loyal to Russia and not various other interests and who will remove the current veto on striking anything that will actually result in the collapse of the AFU.
I agree. I highly doubt Russia will be fighting a two front war - and I suspect Luka doesnt want Russian troops on his soil again (which is why there was no second strike on Kiev or on Lvov), because Putler showed weakness by jot finishing off Ukraine
Luka seems to be the type of guy who is on the side of the strong/winner - he is already making overtures to the US, which is not a good sign
Look up "Union State" on Wikipedia.
Belarus is a member of the union state of Russia and Belarus. It's a union dedicated to eventual anschluss between the two countries. It's not a trade association, it's a "union", like the word means in a Webster dictionary.
Lukashenko has made Russian the state language, taking the old Belarus dialect completely out of schools and the public spaces in Belarus.
As soon as the SMO is concluded the complete long awaited unification of the two states is likely to occur forthwith.
Trump is totally ignorant of all of this. He's clueless and cannot even be told, it won't sink in anyway. To him, everything's a business deal.
He compliments Lukashenko on social media and thinks that will drive a wedge in between Belarus and Russia. Like all he has to do is offer more money to Lukashenko than Putin will.
Not gonna happen. Putin keeps Lukashenko on a very tight leash, any rapprochement between the West and Belarus has got to be on Moscow's orders. The Zapad is supposed to demonstrate to the West how well integrated Belarus and Russia are militarily.
If you notice, Belarus has no foreign policy or foreign engagements. Western MSM say it's because Belarus is anathema to the West, because of disputed elections.
It's really because Russia won't let Minsk have an independent foreign policy. Russian foreign policy is Belarus foreign policy. They are in the last phase of anschluss.
Yes, Lukashenko fantasizes he'll hang in until he dies. But he's only in Minsk as long as Moscow wants him there, and he knows it.
Nice, then there will be a reunification of 3 countries, Russia, Ukraine and Belarus.
I guess it's only fair. Although do you think Russia wants to deal with those crazy Nazis in Western Ukraine? I'd say give them to Poland and also give a big chunk of Western Ukraine to Hungary.
In the West we're gonna have Greenland and most of Canada united with the US.... with Panama as a nice territory.
Maybe unite Maine with Quebec, strictly as a territory. They're too lunatic and they all want to speak French. Pourquoi pas?
We'd give Puerto Rico away, but they currently make good rum. Maybe we'll take over Cuba and Venezuela. Brazil also needs some cleansing of those Leftist judges.
What was wrong with Lukashenko's COVID response? Genuinely curious, as the only thing I remember about Belarus and COVID, was that Belarus football peaked, as it was the only league that was not closed down. Did Lukashenko change his mind and force-feed his citizens with Pfizer boosters? Or what did he do wrong?
Apart from that I agree that Lukashenko care about his people. Highly respect the man.
Lukashenko let it rip from the start with zero effort to contain it.
As a result more than 100,000 people died out of 9M population, one of the worst outcomes in the world (together with Russia's -- they lost a million and a half, including some key people that would have been very useful once the SMO started, but were dead -- and a few other countries in Eastern Europe).
Now keep in mind that Belarus is the most Soviet of the post-Soviet Republic -- it retains most of the state ownership of key industries structure from the Belarussian SSR, as well as the healthcare system. You would have expected them to try to contain it aggressively given that legacy, because if there was one thing communists didn't mess around with, it was infectious disease, both for scientific and ideological reasons. The Chinese and the Vietnamese responses initially were exemplary, so was Cuba's, and they were so precisely because of the ideological background. Eventually everyone let it rip because the West forced them to, but those who let it rip later had vaccines and treatments that those who let it rip early did not. Lukashenko has an excuse only if it was clear to him everyone would let it rip and he had no choice (which is true in terms of what happened), but he certainly never communicated anything like that line of thinking to the people.
lies and more lies
Big Pharma didn't deliver 'vaccines' but MRNA gene therapy, while corrupt Fauci and college drop-out Bill Gates, WHO's biggest donor and the guy who controls it, delivered the lab-manufactured virus. These guys made billions. Far more people died and were injured from these fake vaccines than from covid. Read Dr. Peter McCullough. https://mcculloughfnd.org
Amusing
but genique therapy based on warm sewer water
That's the kind of information you get from someone on magic mushrooms or LSD, or RFK jr.
When you say "it," I assume you mean the seasonal flu, which as we know, went down epidemiologically in lockstep with "covid's" increase.
You will remember that the 100,000 who according to you died, were made up of every form of mortality, eg slipping on the front step whilst venturing outside to either bang a cooking pot for the NHS, or collect the mail from the front gate.
Good lord, what a hilarious comment.
Russia! Russia! Russia!
New and improved with Covid! Covid! Covid!
And you're active on substack? So close to the truth, brother.
Nevermind. Looking at the rest of your comments, you're not worth debating with.
"one of the worst outcomes in the world (together with Russia's -- they lost a million and a half, including some key people that would have been very useful once the SMO started, but were dead" Pure bullshit - vintage GM.
Excess mortality in Russia was a million and a half the last time it could be reasonably calculated, which was in 2023 or so.
Objective fact.
Pick another line of BS, Russia had the tenth-highest number of confirmed cases in the world, after the United States, and if you believe the US numbers, I have a great deal on a bridge to sell you
Cases mean nothing, that depends on testing and reporting.
Excess mortality is the only objective metric.
The US and Russia both lost around 1.5M (and counting), but Russia has less than half of the population.
Even by excess mortality being the only objective metric, Russia only lost 300,000 according to Western ESTIMATES.
????
The excess death estimates are at 1.5M
It was more than 300,000 already in the first year
He's funny, too.
Always a plus in any ex-soviet administrator.
Lukashenko's response to covid was the best in the entire workd. He explained how he rejected a 1 billion bribe. He simply ignored the scam and nobody died in Belarus. I didnt know you were a covid dictatorship fan. But everything matches now.
"By their fruits ye shall know them."
The average Belarusian penis grew nearly 2 cm during COVID thanks to Lukashenko.
At least, it did not diminish
as it happened in many other countries.
I seriously doubt that no one died, that's a detached from reality as GM.
LaVerne
it was a plague, a pandemic, caused by a man made virus with seriously diminishing lethal power, treated by a vaccine with constant, lesser but not neglectable lethal potential,
Each wave of COVID was less and less dangerous, and vaccines kept their lethal potential constant, so the relation between positive and negative effects of vaccination changed through time.
Negative effects of vaccination were completely unknown at the beginning, but in time more and more information on unwanted effects arrived.
By the time virus arrived in Europe, and Belarus, it was not lethal for children, young, healthy, de facto working population.
Virus killed a significant number of elderly, overweight, diabetic, hypertensive people who had not been vaccinated in most European countries.
There were very few deaths from the virus in children, and young people. There were recorded deaths from vaccine in young, mechanisms different in men and women.
In short
some young people died from vaccine who would have not died from virus,
many old people died from virus who would not have died if they were vaccinated.
Now, one can add a lot of probably, mostly, seem to, suggested by evidence...but this is the story.
While it looks suspiciously so, there is still no definitive proof that it was a man made virus, what you are saying about it's course and the vaccines against it is typical of all epidemics and vaccines to varying extents. The lethality of any virus diminish as herd immunity increases or the weaker members of a population are removed and no vaccines are 100% effective and have a certain percentage of adverse effects, some lethal, that's just a fact of biology and something we must accept, while trying to reduce the negative effect as much as possible.
LaVerne
agree, but what I wanted to stress is evolutionary biology; viruses in the wild, human viruses in pandemic, behave by obeying evolutionary laws, those that are more infectious, and less deadly propagate and dominate, and this is a separate cause of lessening lethality, in addition to herd immunity and elimination of the most vulnerable segment of the population.
Regarding origin,
it is politically incorrect to say it publicly, but forensic evidence, scientific correspondence, shows a clear trail. A name of the chief scientist, institution where the project originated, grant application, first iteration of creating a common cold virus with added capabilities, stemming from bat virus segment added to common cold virus, scientific study describing results published in peer reviewed journal, further investigations, further grant applications, performed in Wuhan Virology Laboratory...
all is available, public, but few people have interest to pursue the subject today...
US scientists planned, financed and outsourced the experiment, Chinese let the virus escape...
Chinese are our allies, but we can reasonably guess that Wuhan Virology Institute probably has a section that performs experiments
outsourced by US scientists, a further Chinese section where interesting foreign experiments are repeated, enlarged, modified, investigated further, and a third section that belongs to CHINA military that is interested in all that could be used as bioweapon against China....
We do not know which section let the virus escape...
Chinese probably know,
Among serious people there is not a doubt about the origin of the virus.
Imagine the lunatic who hates Putin and blames him for everything wrong in the entire world. (he actually sounds like an EU politician) and then he shows his true colors and MSM stooge by swearing COVID was "stopped" by good governance. That just absolutely made my day. When you believe someone is a "---" and then they prove it
yes..He talks exactly like those Gestapo MSM dogs. It was revealing of who is behind those GM initials. Now I understand why he pushes for a Russian nuclear response on Europe and the US. In fact, this is the only Ukranian hope to win the war... To destroy the entire world. In short, an Ukranian supporter to the banderite zionist junta in Kiev pretending he is a concerned Russian patriot. And he/she acts with side profiles. Infiltration and sabotage is inevitable in a war.
Fun Fact: I have heard Ukrainian Minister of Defense Denys Shmygal's family name pronounced as Smeagol, and assume that is the correct pronunciation. Gollum, Gollum!
Otherwise the pathetic fake drone incursion is another false flag nothing burger.
Jewish Denys Schmygal replaced the Turk Umerov. Completing the reshuffling of Andriy Yermak's cabinet. Yermak is the real boss of Ukraine, Zelensky is just the underboss, or street boss.
Denys Schmygal is a jew, and a member of the nearly all Jewish Ukrainian cabinet.
As the 404 enters the fuhrerbunker phase, the Yermak/ Zelensky team gather around them those whom it can trust, for mutual survival.
That way going forward, there's only two planes needed to flee to Tel Aviv. One for the Bankova Street crew, and one for the loot.
I understand Zelensky is wiring millions to the Emirates weekly, so maybe only one plane needed?
Hopefully just in time for a Houthi missile barrage to plaster the airport ..
Hopefully just in time for a Houthi missile barrage to plaster the airport ..
I can see the US helicopters on the roof of Bankova even now in the imagination.
Shmygal is jewish.
As Simplicius says, the obvious thing for Ukraine to do would be to collect up all the ones which will have crash landed over the past few years, and duct tape them up, and then use them in a FF.
Not very convincing.
Especially as you don't send decoy and observation drones to destroy targets, being as none of them have explosives on board.
Having said that, they might be lethal to a chicken if they land directly on top of one.
The RF missed a beauty there, as they could have asked that Ukraine publish photos of the unexploded warheads.
Crickets.
My own hypothesis is that Shmygal's group were using them to search for the Ring of Power, under the cloak of the SMO.
The story is different: the Russian army's purchasing department had ordered eggs from this farmer, and he sent a drone to pick up the order. You can imagine that if it had been an order for mortadella, the drone would have landed on the roof of the donkey stable, the Prime Minister's office.
If Shmygal is involved the drones were being used to smuggle amber from the western Ukraine province called Rivne. It is an outlaw region run by heavy dudes mining amber.
Denys Shmyga. JEW.
Can't seem to vote but unless you have specific SMO/Ukraine insight, I would stay away from the crowded conversation on the assassination.
Your expertise is evident in your Russian insight that is hard to get easily without bias. I like technical experts like you, and Black Mountain and Reminiscence of Future. Prefer nuts and bolts data driven blogs, not rhetoric.
Btw, I absolutely hate needing to authenticate to post. Get me out of here...
Right! Unless there is some particular take that can be offered from the Euro/Ukraine/Russia point of view that would not otherwise be available to readers, I say let others handle the Kirk assassination especially as it is still developing.
Are Trump's cufflinks better or worse than Nuland's cookies?
In a similar vein of inquiry: does this mean Trump considers Lukashenko to be a sharp dressed man? Inquiring minds want to know..
I would check them for bugs…
Neither is as good as Zelensky's bags of powder.
After watching "Russians at War", one realizes why Russia is having so much trouble with Ukraine - the Russian Army is a mess and I doubt it got significantly better.
If the situation was so critical for the AFU it would capitulate/Pokrovsk would fall. But tfhere has been no movement by Pokrovsk for a long while
The Ukie military is being systematically destroyed. It has little to do with 'territorial' gains. The Ukies are not capitulating because they are fierce fighters and present strong defenses, even with diminishing levels of personnel. The formidable defensive line of Ukraine has been built up over a period of a decade and presents stiff resistance to any offensive moves. But the end is inevitable - they will be destroyed. The Russians are in no hurry.
How do we know they are being destroyed? I see no evidence for this. They continue to hold Russia along the entire front and there are no significant breaches in the front line positions.
In addition, they opened the borders for the 18-22 y.o. cohort - a country doesnt do that when its situation is dire
They are not "holding Russia along the entire front" - Russia has no need to advance whilst there are Ukrainian troops willing to be destroyed. You fail to look at the statistics brought forward even by the Ukrainians themselves over the numbers of troops killed or seriously injured - approximately 1.7 million and rising daily as the Ukies lose 1200-1500 soldiers a day. The 18-22 year olds are being allowed out of the country for political reasons as the Ukrainian population is absolutely against using their youngest in this failing effort.
There is always a reason to advance, beginning with optics and ending with the war being a drain on men and treasure. The faster it ends the better.
The Russians are fully aware of the optics but also recognise the need to complete the mission objectives - de-militarisation of the Ukrainian military. As for drain on the men and treasure, Russians consider this effort existential and are more than willing to sacrifice time and treasure on its success. Totally agree that the faster it ends the better, but only given success in its objectives.
It is better to rapidly take Ukraine and do a mop up operation afterwards (as the NKVD did in Western Ukraine well into the 60s) than have what we have now. This only makes Russia looks weak and Europe/US more bellirgent
Not a country, but a morally corrupt and intellectually bankrupt, poisonous dwarf made this decision as an act of political desperation after alienating the youth when he tried eliminating the anti-corruption prosecutor's office. Note: I am well aware that the use of anti-corruption and Ukraine in the same sentence is the textbook definition of an oxymoron.
I agree with the political desperation and expedience. At the time I did ponder the actual effectiveness beyond optics and posture. Figuring that young males with the means ie: Bank of Mummy & Daddy or supportive relatives abroad would have bailed out long ago. Those remaining youths wishing to leave will need a welcoming destination and the requisite funds. As I said before; a pocketful of Hyrivnas won't get them very far.
Probably those young persons will find that the buses are ready for them once they arrive at the border.
It's just easier to enroll them in the army if they all turn up together instead of having to hunt them down in the streets.
The Border Guard of Poland has recorded a huge increase in men aged 18 to 22 leaving Ukraine.
Only the Border Guard of the Podkarpackie Voivodeship recorded the arrival of 6,100 men aged 18 to 22 between August 28 and September 3.
https://t.me/zoka200/40187
Congrats Martin. You actually cited a source to back up your assertion.
You get a gold star.
Everyone else. Put on your dunce hats.
Scipio. You should ask Quintus Fabius Maximus Verrucosus how an attrition strategy works.
The Cunctator played as big a role in defeating Hannibal as you did.
I would not say that Gerasimov follows the Fabian Strategy. Kutuzov did and so did Zhukov, but Gerasimov is not. It is time for a Hannibal or a Scipio, not a Fabian
Not his tactics surely, but his strategy of denying the enemy what he wants and wearing him down, I would say so.
>The Ukie military is being systematically destroyed.
And yet Ukraine is much more capable now than it was four years ago while Russia security is completely destroyed because every couple hours something somewhere in the rear explodes as a result of a NATO air strike.
Funny how that works...
Through the Looking-Glass and what Alice found there, lol.
I think you are probably confusing tactics with strategy.
Those aren't "airstrikes,' and they're not from NATO. If NATO started launching missiles, it wouldn't just be a few refineries exploding.
1) Yes, they are missiles, just light ones.
There is no fundamental difference between a drone and a cruise missile, and it has always been that way -- the very first operational CM was the V-1 and it had very obvious drone-like characteristics too.
2) The trend is for heavy missiles to be launched soon too. Because there was no reaction to the light one, so why not?
3) Yes, they are from NATO. First, would Ukraine be able to launch them without NATO? Second, where are they made?
Most of those booms inside Russia are from drones - most made in China. Some mcguyvered in Ukraine.
Would Russia be able to launch or fire much of anything without China, North Korea and Iran? "Under attack by NATO" is Z-world cope.
Russia has itd own Soviet era shells. But if we read Two Majors (large pro-Russian channels), a significant compliant recently slipped through - they write that the highest shells are Soviet made, Iranian shells have sone defects and are broadly okay. North Korean shells frequebtly overfire the target but that this can be adjusted for. Shells made in the RF however, are very low quality and lack quality control and will either overfire or underfire and are impossible to adjust for. This fauses artillery quality to go down, the commanders blame the artillerymen for poor performance and then send them to assualt squads where they die and Russia loses experienced arillerymen.
True except for this: "The Ukies are not capitulating because they are fierce fighters and present strong defenses"
For the most part Kiev's forces have been dragooned into service and don't want to be on the front line. If they try to run or surrender their officers shoot them. The primary effect is from hundreds of billions of dollars in Western money and weapons that have been invested into extremely strong fortifications and from a willingness by the Kiev regime to kill anybody who wavers. A secondary effect is the presence of a fanatic nazi minority that kills, often with torture first, anybody who wavers, and who enforce discipline with threats against family that guys at the front have at home.
Same old tired propaganda even after 31/2 years. Although Russia's primary goal is to eliminate Ukraine as a threat to Russian security through a war of attrition while taking a cautious offensive approach to minimize casualties, Russia has liberated over 3,500 square kilometers since January 2025, and the momentum continues without slowing down.
>Russia has liberated over 3,500 square kilometers since January 2025 and the momentum continues without slowing down.
At which rate Ukraine will be liberated somewhere around the year 2132.
Sure, attritional warfare is not linerar, but let's not pretend the current tempo is anytihng to be happy about. And let's not kid ourselves that it is rapidly accelerating, it is not.
For comparison, the Red Army:
1) Went from Grozny, Elista and Stalingrad to the Donbass in December 1942 and January 1943
2) Took Lugansk in early February 1943
3) Took Kharkov in August 1943
4) Took Kiev in November 1943
5) Took Rovno in February 1944
6) Finished the liberation of all of Ukraine by August 1944 with Lvov and Odessa
So in 20 months it recovered it all.
This while facing the best military machine the world has ever seen, while also fighting all the way from Ukraine to Murmansk, and while not having nukes and all the other highly advanced gadgetry the USSR legacy has blessed Russia with.
Also, notice that the start of the SMO mirrors the start of Operation Bagration in Ukraine as well.
But as they say:
"Something went wrong"
Also, to add to what you said - then, like now, the Red Army fought not just Germany but all of Europe - as the industrial might of Europe was working for the Germans
General Moron has a new friend, ScipioTheAnus.
ouch....
Ah yes, childish insults with no argument to substantiate it
How is the weather in Kiev?
they are a team. Good sign Simplicius delivers meaningful information and worries them. But they lost credibility. Increasingly nonsense. Too evident now.
In comparison, the Soviet Union suffered 27 million deaths at the hands of the WWII Germans, creating a demographic setback that still affects Russia to this day.
Compare it to the SMO's 1.8 million plus Ukrainian KIAs, versus 120,000 Russian KIAs.
The slow way is the best way.
Plus this is quite the ad hominem line of inquiry: it's not Russia trying to conquer Ukraine but Ukraine trying to reconquer the four seceded regions. Kiev has repeatedly said the war is not over until they get their meat hooks on the four regions, plus Crimea.
They want to drag the people they shelled since 2014 back to Kiev.
...and, no doubt, perhaps more importantly the assets beneath their feet.
>Compare it to the SMO's 1.8 million plus Ukrainian KIAs, versus 120,000 Russian KIAs.
>The slow way is the best way.
Compare it to the 10-20K dead maxmum it would have cost to take over the whole of Ukraine back in 2022 with no veto on striking the actual keys targets...
Not 1.8 million - It's 18 million Ukranian KIA.
Not 120K Russian KIA - It's only been 12K. I mean 1200. Yeah - that's it.
Back to the Charge of the Light Brigade view of military strategy. Look up attrition in dictionary. Cretin
Why do you have to do attrition that has cost you 120K dead and counting when you can do it quickly with 10-20K dead and no cruise missile strikes all the way to Izhevsk (so far)?
Because if Putin had not sabotaged the SMO from the start by having practically everything the destruction of which would cause a quick AFU collapse off-limits for missile strikes, that is how much KIAs it would have cost to take over the whole of Ukraine.
There is a long list of objects and individuals that are such obvious targets but have not been hit at all for four years now, and yet people continue to parrot the line about muh attrition...
Incoherent drivel , get a shrink
Putins strategy has proved correct. The goal was never to take all Ukraine. You know it and you willingly slander the RUAF and its merit fighting against all NATO. And again, calling Putin a traitor is a crime.
How has it proven correct when there are 100-200 light cruise missiles flying deep into Russia all the way to the Urals every day, something somewhere is being destroyed as a result of those no matter how good Russian AD is, all deterrence has been completely destroyed, the country is a laughing stock of the whole world, and is suffering one catastrophic geopolitical defeat after another as a direct result of being bogged down in Ukraine?
Russia is not a laughing stock to the world. You are the laughing stock to Simplicius readers. 100.000 covid deaths in Belarus... Are these your INDISPUTABLE facts? 😅
100,000 COVID deaths in Belarus is indeed an indisputable fact.
As are the 1.5M in Russia.
Both governments tried to hide it in the official numbers, which itself is an utterly despicable thing to do, in Russia by under reporting by a factor of 3.5, in Belarus by not reporting at all.
Excess mortality is there for all to see though.
What few realize is that COVID and the SMO are in fact directly related. How do you expect someone who killed 1.5M Russians in order to defend oligarch interests (because that is the real story of COVID -- it could have been fully contained, but it required the oligarchy in each country to pay for the containment effort and they would much rather mass murder millions and brainwash the survivors into thinking there is no alternative or there is no serious threat at all than threaten the foundations of the system that benefits them by doing something for the common good) to then defend those same people from NATO artillery, drone and air strikes?
After all, that same person had just proven that he does not care about whether 1.5M Russian would die, he just let them die. While he himself had layers and layers of testing and masking to protect the finest representative sample of a higher form of human being that he is from COVID. Which, BTW continues to this day -- in Vladivostok they were requiring PCR tests to even get in there, and presumably additional tests on site to approach the leaders; they certainly had those additional tests in Kazan last year. So this is what the leaders whose immortal greatness you are slurping on think about the threat from COVID, six years into it -- it is something to protect themselves from at a rather significant cost (while not telling you that they are doing it). Meanwhile you were tricked into thinking it is a scam, together with much of the population those leaders are supposedly protecting.
But what are a few tens of thousands of dead due to NATO aggression babushkas in Kursk, Belgorod, and especially the Donbass in comparison to 1.5M dead a coupe years prior? It's rather insignificant, isn't it? The precedent was set already in a much more major way.
And if 1.5M Russians were a price worth paying in order to preserve the privileges of the Russian oligarchy, then those thousands of dead in the Donbass and the border regions are certainly also a perfectly fine price to pay while the Kremlin is stalling for time looking for some kind of a deal with the West that will preserve the privileges of the Russian oligarchy. Because winning the war the way the GPW was won and preserving the privileges of the Russian oligarchy are two fundamentally incompatible things. And currently it is quite clear which one the priority is.
Clear for those with the eyes to see, that is...
If there was justice, Putin would meet fate worse than Nicholas II. Nicholas II got what he deserved, Putin deserves much worse -- Nicholas II certainly cared more about Russian people than Putin does, he was just too incompetent to even do the bare minimum to stay in power. Even that redeeming aspect is not there with Putin. So he deserves not just being shot but elaborately tortured prior to it too.
Birds aren't real!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GY1Ir5vOnJU&t=7
That's how you know you're getting the truth from Russian outlets.
Military campaigns can proceed in different ways, and what Russia is betting the farm on is that a critical moment will arrive, when the UAF collapses utterly - and we are close to that point now.
Thenceforth, the territorial gains are exponential.
The differences between what the Red Army achieved, and what the Russian army is achieving, are personified in two names - Stalin and Putin.
Try not to forget in making your case, what the death toll for the Red Army was, whilst making these rapid advances.
Why does it have to bet on the AFU collapsing some day in the indefinite future when it can directly cause that collapse at any moment by hitting what the Russian military has not been allowed to hit?
This is what you post-hoc rationalizers of catastrophic failure still cannot accept as a fact -- that there is a political veto on a long list of targets that continue to be off limits for strikes, and it is precisely those targets that the destruction of would cause a quick and total AFU collapse. It simply doesn't feature in your thinking. Meanwhile I can give you a detailed breakdown of that list and how it would cause quick AFU collapse.
Russian Army has always been a mess and that’s their strength. German army utmost disciplined and organised in WWII, still they bite the dust. How to win from NATO and US ordered armies? Forget strategies and think tanks, just adapt to the situation at the front, period.
Yeah. Every one from Charles XII, Frederick the Great, Napoleon to Hitler said the Russians were a dog's breakfast, but ended up choking on them.
The Kaiser didn't. They always forget about 1914-1917.
Also 1905 vs the Imperial Japanese.
Fair comment Skylar. If anything the Kaiser over-estimated the Russians and under-estimated the French.
The Russian army entered the war not having fought a serious land war since WWII. Of course there were lots of issues to fix.
But that is not the reason why the war continues to be a stalemate four years into this -- the rules of engagement imposed by the Kremlin are the reason.
They were also the reason for the initial failure too -- how can you enter enemy territory with strict orders not to fire until fired upon and expect it to go well?
Russia fought multiple land wars - Korea (arguably), Vietnam (air support), Afghanistan and Chechnya. It was also fighting a low level war for 8 years in Donbass. Plenty of time to experiment with new tactics. Instead it decided the BTG was a good idea and had no idea of Ukrainian rearmament and retraining efforts.
The problem wasn't the BTGs, the problems were that:
1) There were no second and third echelons to exploit breakthroughs. A political issue
2) There was no mobilization in March 2022. Another political issue
3) There was a veto on striking anything that would have taken Ukraine out of the war. Another political issue. Which is still in effect to this day.
4) The goodwill gestures (political issue again) rolled back without a fight progress that right now it is a pipe dream to hope can be achieved again this decade.
Just another 20-30K being sent in the direction of Nikolaev would have won the war in March 2022.
Yeah thats true, 190k was not sufficient. My suspicion was that Putler was planning a quick "in and out" operation, but it didn't work out. That was a failure of the FSB, as it lost KGB institutional knowhow.
While mass mobilization in 2022, I am not sure if Russian society would have taken it. Remember how much resistance there was to the start of the war itself. Now imagine adding mobilization on top of that. I agree it was necessary - throwing a million men at Ukraine would have caused it to buckle quickly. But the true political issue was the FSB doing who knows what all those years, rather than finding out what was going on in Ukraine and how to prepare for a war.
Yeah the roll back from Kiev was a travesty. It could've tied up more than 30k Ukrainian troops (and probably more by now) in Kiev region. Now getting there from Belarus (or getting Belarus to agree) will be difficult.
>My suspicion was that Putler was planning a quick "in and out" operation, but it didn't work out
Which leaves two and only two options:
1) He is a certified imbecile
2) He is a traitor
No other possibility.
Because it was obvious to anyone with a brain that if you invade, given what has happened inside Ukraine since 1991 and especially since 2014, you would have to take over the whole territory and do it quickly, or you are going to sink in the morass of a major interminable war, because the rest of the territory would fight you till the last Ukrainian.
Thus he had to go all in, no kid gloves, in the first days, and solve the problem decisively.
>While mass mobilization in 2022, I am not sure if Russian society would have taken it. Remember how much resistance there was to the start of the war itself. Now imagine adding mobilization on top of that.
Whose job was it to prepare Russian society for war?
It was known there will be a major war since when exactly? Since 2014 certainly and beyond any doubt. Since 2005 (the first Western coup there) also quite certainly. But you can also find a TV appearance by Anatoly Sobchak from 1991:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GumsQkCeJKg
In which he makes it clear there will be war with Ukraine one day and that Ukrainian nationalism is an existential threat.
And Sobchak had absolutely, really absolutely nothing do with Putin. Totally no connection.
Interesting video. Thanks for sending. I had not seen it before, but Sobchak was eerily prophetic in what he said.
You are right - Putler should have prepared Russian society for war since 1999/2000, when he came to power - it was evident even then that the US did not see Russia as a partner as it continued financing Chechen Separatist and Wahhabis through the Saudi's. Instead, he did not close the Yeltsin era floodgates to Western/US cultural influence, and much of Russian youth grew up on Western movies/shows/cartoons and culture in general. He sought Western integration. And so when it came time to break with the West in 2022/23, it became impossible because:
1) ideology is banned by Russian Constitution (that American lawyers wrote btw and Putler never bothered to change, instead upholding it)
2) it was unfathomable for most younger Russians to go against the West because they saw themselves as more Western than Russian.
Afghanistan was not a serious war? what to expect from such a serious commentator?
because covid was a lie.
nonsense
By the same logic one could ask, "if the Ukrainians were so bad off, then why haven't they capitulated?".
I guess because Yermak/Zelensky would rather waste their whole country (half in diaspora) and sacrifice 1.8 million Kia's in order to reconquer the Donbass people, who don't want him.
It's not Russia trying to conquer Ukraine, it's Ukraine trying to reconquer the four annexed regions.
They Ukrainians could theoretically conscript the 4.5 million estimated able bodied women in Ukraine. They've already been conscripting the younger, stronger ones.
That may be why Ukrainian women look like they're starving themselves rail thin, anorexic, to avoid the conscription agents. I'd wager it.
I guess because Yermak/ Zelensky have no pity for their own people's lives.
In WWI, Germany capitulated. Not because it was technically defeated, but because it couldn't win, and continuing the war would only lead to millions more Germans dead. They valued their people's lives over 'winning'.
Zelensky must not have studied history, but he excelled in drama class. Conversely he has no compassion for Slavic people. Neither do the West, as they've shown.
He's a Jew.
Khazarian.
Managed to beat the Nazis tho, and they ran a reasonable army, up until they took on Russia
By a long time you mean a couple of weeks. Must be an attention span thing
Perhaps you haven't kept up. After the Ukrainians reinforced the Pokrovsk front the Russians broke through in Kupiansk and now control more than half the city. They crossed the river at Shandrylova and dug in for a push to the Oskil. They pushed the Ukrainian nationalist out of Serabrianka Forest They have taken Torskye and Zarichne and have open ground to Yampil and Lyman. The bridgehead north east of Siversk has solidified. They progressively move West in the South Donetsk region They have pushed the Ukrainians out of the east of Konstantinivkha. They have pushed up the Dnieper to Stepnogorsk? They have taken Udachne and are pushing north towards the lithium mine. It's been a busy few weeks for the bumbling Russian general staff.
Rumour has it that the Russian general staff fax machine is playing up. That explains a lot.
“Brike through”
In what way exactly? The fight for Kupyansk is ongoing and should not be taking so long considering that Ukraine is using a token force to hold it.
Also look at Siversk - Russia cannot take Siversk for well nigh on 4 years now and has made no moves towards Nikolaev since the failed initial thrust since 2022 - these directions are far more important than Kupyansk
Attritional warfare forces a beaten opponent to stay beat.
Attritional warfare also defeats you. See what happened to the Byzantines and Persians when they fought attritional war with each other - Byzantium ceased to exist and Persia became Islamic
"After watching "Russians at War", one realizes why Russia is having so much trouble with Ukraine - the Russian Army is a mess and I doubt it got significantly better." Total nonsense, propaganda for morons. The Russian army is by far the most combat capable army in the world today.
I suggest you go watch “Russians at War” then or even better “У Края Безды” (At the Edge of the Abyss), then you won't write such nonsense
Nothing about watching a leftist, anti-war film in any way is a factual basis for your propaganda for morons. The Russian army is not a mess and it's not having trouble with Ukraine. Russia is fighting exactly the war it wants to fight, totally defeating the US and its stooges in Ukraine, all while dramatically growing the Russian economy and building a multipolar economic and political counterweight with the Global Majority to the foul and collapsing US-dominated West. Come visit Crimea, if you can visit without being arrested for being a nazi stooge, and you'll see how that works. Doh.
Do you think I could single-handedly defeat the Tunisian army? I think so, following your delusions.
I'd rather you write about James T. Kirk, TBH.
I'd leave Kirk alone. There're so many other deserving topics to explore. The Balkans for example were the center of attention for Lavrov. Or the Arab proxies having a first ever Summit with Russia on 15 October. Or Venezuela's military capabilities. Or the situation in Nepal and its potential effect on Chinese-Indian relations. Or what US MIC corps are telling their stockholders about expansion plans or the lack thereof. As for me, I'll be translating Putin's chat with the director of Russia's Agency for Strategic Initiatives and whatever might present itself Friday.
Per Caitlin Johnstone:
https://www.caitlinjohnst.one/p/thoughts-on-the-assassination-of
The same day Charlie Kirk was killed, at least 72 Palestinians were killed in the genocide he supported. The Palestinians killed in Gaza on that day collectively mattered at least 72 times more than Charlie Kirk, but his death received many orders of magnitude more attention from the mainstream press and from western political discourse. Westerners do not regard Palestinians as fully human.
> Westerners do not regard Palestinians as fully human.
Nor do they regard Russians as fully human. Especially in Donetsk, where Western media have been deliberately ignoring victims of Kiev war crimes since 2014.
Charlie Kirk was fast changing his view on Israel. Most of us used to support Israel and most of us have slowly shifted views as we discovered the extent of the abuse, especially since the Gaza genocide started taking place.
CK was an incredible young man, with unmatched skills. Not only does he deserve to be spoken about but he was more influential than almost everyone else in the USA.
Shut up. Benjamin Netanyahu was his master and ‘friend’. Spit in Charlie Kirk
That last interview (2 days before his death) of Charlie Kirk with Ben Shapiro (the master Bibi butt-licker) demonstrated that Kirk was drifting away from the official narratives on Gaza. He tiptoed up to the line and just stopped short of calling Oct 7th a false flag to Shapiro's face.
Uh no. He tossed softballs so the Jew could hit them out of the park
He was. Kirk was created and grown with Zionist money.
But he was becoming disillusioned very quickly, especially seeing first hand the power Israel wields over US politics, and attempt to control him personally (he referred to Netanyahu as 'a bully').
In July he hosted a TPUSA summit that shat on Israel pretty hard - with Tucker and others bringing up Epstein, Iran, AIPAC, Gaza etc.
Apparently Kirk's Jewish financiers were furious. And now he's dead and replaced by Shapiro.
Hell of a coincidence.
well, I am good with anything that increases the hatred of the jew
One example and My thoughts.
Kirk has recently become more vocal about the murder of innocent civilians in Gaza by the IDF. He went as far as hosting a debate with a ultra Zionist apologist Josh Hammer (Zionist) and Dave Smith (comedian), by all accounts Smith destroyed Hammer's talking points one by one.
Larry Johnson wrote about this on his Sonar 21 blog post. In doing this Charlie has angered the Zionists (both Jewish and Non-Jewish camps). These people are EXTREMELY powerful and do not tolerate any criticism of whatever they do to "non-Jews", particularly in the name of "protecting Israel". MOSSAD has killed people before for a lot less!
I think this is significant as the "old" CK would have never done this. I say this, because I too was one of the most ardent supporters of "Israel" not that long ago. I could have been classed as a "Christian Zionist", just like CK. I know that hearts and minds can be changed, it happened to me. Why not CK? That is a fair Question?
I think that the interest for everyone of following the circumstances and reactions to the killing of Mr. Kirk does not depend on the magnitude of the tragedy. Of course, many more Palestinians are killed every day.
Also less interesting the question whether he was a moral, intelligent person or a bas character.
The important question is the possible effect of such killing in the domestic political process in the USA.
Also, what the public reactions to that killing mean as a symptom of the mood of the wide masses in that country.
Because of Jew media propaganda like Charlie Kirk.
Yes. Balkan would be great
Thanks Karl
As to the arab vassals. AI ranslated from mpr21.info:
The airstrike was carried out by approximately fifteen warplanes that crossed the airspace of Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and Bahrain. The aircraft were refueled in flight by US and British tanker aircraft that took off from the Al Udaid military base in Qatar and then landed at the same base.
McDonnell Douglas F-15 Eagle fighter jets of the United Arab Emirates Air Force roamed the skies, but their mission appeared to be to trace sinuous and mysterious lines to mislead flight-tracking software applications.
Qatar has state-of-the-art air defense systems and a large number of cutting-edge Western fighter jets (Eurofighter Typhoon, Dassault Rafale, F-15). During the 12-Day War, they were able to intercept Iranian missiles targeting the US Al Udaid base.
On Tuesday, the anti-aircraft paraphernalia was of no use. The "experts" say the Israeli planes used an advanced neutralization system. This isn't true. The air defense systems of Qatar and other Gulf countries are controlled by the Americans, who turned a blind eye: they disabled the air defenses before and during the attack.
The Gulf countries are under US occupation, which has guaranteed their survival… at least until Tuesday. The satraps are forced to sign large-scale arms procurement contracts with the US military-industrial complex and other Western countries, not for their own defense needs, but to pay a price: to enrich the big arms companies.
The arms contracts are part of petrodollar recycling. Thanks for your comment.
Very informative comment
The qatari foreign minister energically protested ... They are learning theatre. The western civilisation is above all about their rich tradition in theatre from Shakespeare to Moliere to Lope de Vega to Hollywood whereas the islamic world, well, they dont have it. This is a technological tool. But some of them like Erdogan or the Gulf satrapies are learning...
Balkan is the most complex issue in the last 100 years…
Stay out of it - its impossible to analyze.
Yup, and also the west's anti-democratic, coercive shenanigans in Moldova
It just blows me away how blatant it is, but true to form with massive hypocracy tho I guess. :(
IFF, you can dig up some evidence that Kirk was killed in a false-flag because he was changing his position on the genocide, that might be useful. But I don't think we need another long boring 30+ minute lecture like the one Glenn Greenwald gave on how people are awful to celebrate Kirk's death.
Such sniper attacks on people who are suppose to be on your side are quite common in "Color Revolutions". Is the USA now suffering from a "Color Revolution"?
Caitlin sums Kirk up nicely until her last paragraph. (which is the dancing on graves Greenwald was droning on about.) She should have left that one out.
Scott Ritter says Kirk was a gifted speaker who made his points well. (I wouldn't know. I didn't know of Kirk until yesterday.) The solution was more speech, not murder.
The comments on Caitlin's article greatly favor "false flag".
Leave Kirk alone. Unless you have a story of personal interaction with the man, don’t go there now.
Go away. Kirk was a Jew shill. Spit on Kirk.
https://open.substack.com/pub/warrenbalogh/p/charlie-kirk-in-his-own-words?r=1iico5&utm_medium=ios
First time I listened to him. Not very impressed.
That’s the point. He is just a Jew shill.
Zelensky the Ultimate Proxy, The King of All Proxies was searching for his own Proxy in Poland already in November of 2022. As Andrzej Duda revealed in an interview that was the time when a missile coming from Ukraine crossed into Poland. Duda evaluated the situation at the time as a false flag from Ukraine and refused to swallow the bait. Almost three years later, Ukraine’s internal and military stability gone, Zelensky would do anything to drag US/NATO into the war. With Trump’s words: He is playing with WWIII. BUT Trump is doing the exact same thing. He released a few words after the drones arrived in Poland like ‘There we go’ or something like that that was interpreted by the stock market as a possible call for military action against Russia. If any attack on a NATO nation really takes place the No.1 suspect should be Ukraine.
It is also suspicious that some of those small plastic drones flew very deep into Poland; they hardly have the range to make this flight from Russia, a distance of close to 500 miles. (Zelensky will probably state at his next interview that Evil-Putin worked out the details for in-flight refueling for his Evil-Drones.)
But Polish cooperation was essencial. This is a NATO play, not Ukrainian or Polish, what makes me think they dont do things for nothing. NATO boots on the ground has already been decided and is inminent. They know they could lose all Ukraine is the regime collpases, but I doubt they cross the Dnipr.
If they walk in there they will be hunted like bunnies in Australia. 20 or 30,000 body bags later no man with common sense will enroll to go there.
not necessarily. The decision is taken
The Russian response to Western troops in Ukraine will be ferocious and unrelenting
Agree but the pressure? The uplifts will be large and the financial pressures at home difficult to fend off, the promise of glory, the adrenaline rush, the propaganda, the fear, the guilt...all of it play into testosterone (however many men remain that haven't been blunted by the chemical industrial complex). I personally know women that would be 'proud' if their son enlist because the scales have not been removed from their eyes.
While I say these things, I know nothing of the future and if I did I wouldn't be commenting.
Always appreciate your perspective Kennewick.
No, the idea is for Westerners to stay west of Dnieper, and for Ukrainians to continue fighting east of Dnieper.
Westerners would not go in without air protection, and that would require a no fly zone first.
Drones are false flag to promote demand establishing a no fly zone. A bluff.
Will not happen.
Because it would mean the beginning of the Third World War.
And Russia, has demonstrated to all the world, they are serious.
The duct tape on the one drone kinda told the story. I use a lot of duct tape 'round the 'ol homestead, but I'd hate to look out of a plane I'm on and see duct tape.
I thought that these drones were not armed!
I did not see anything to point to armed drones either.
Thank you. Stick to what you do best. The other topic is speculative.
Agree
Agree unless a connection to Europe appears.
"That is to say that as a general threat, Russia is increasingly considered as a kind of terrifyingly unmatched drone superpower in the eyes of the hapless and helpless NATO munchkin-states."
Let's not forget that the Russian proxy war was an obvious precursor to the China proxy war, and if Russia is now a powerhouse of drone tech in just 3 years during active combat, imagine what kind of drone tech capability China will already have, before active combat.
The West really needs to stop. After 25 years of thinly-veiled attempts at implementing the WEF Green Socialist Utopia, they need to leave it alone, and start getting back to work doing useful stuff - the stuff they were once so good at doing, or the western empire is done.
It’s done or should I say drone(d), all the President (Macron’s) men cannot keep the sinking ship afloat. French Cabal already has premature ejac. Poland’s NATO has been hit by Putin’s drones, nothing can stop the war now.
The WEF may be authoritarian, but it's not remotely Socialist my American friend.
Yanks are clueless re socialism, communism. They call the Democratic party the left LOL.
What they actually have is far right and extreme far right. Fascists all.
well, theyre not fascist. Capitalists pay fascists, yihaddis, narcos and socialists alike. The USSR and maoist China were trading with the empire big time.
Yes but doesn’t fascism emerge from capitalism?
of course, just like colonialism.
As a friend says, "We used to make things. Now we make believe."
Oh I think we could convince them to stop if we really try
socialist dystopia
Here is a good simple clear explanation of whose provocation this was (Ukraine's!) and how it was accomplished.
Ritter’s Rant 051: Electronic Warfare
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=45v8YWxZrAM
Weird that you made a poll to ask whether to write about Charlie Kirk's assassination. Are you afraid of the haters? I disagreed with Charlie Kirk on his support for Israel, but come on, he was a wonderful and brave human being. His assassination was a despicable act of cowardice by the insane woke left. This is my favorite blog, and I hope you will provide your analysis soon.
Charlie Kirk was chosen as a highly visible, strategic target, an organic part of the political turnaround triggered by the Trump election. He was very much integrated into the upper circles of Trump. He was also killed at the start of another major drive into the libtard USA college world. Charlie Kirk had the ability to talk a woke woman screaming for abortion rights into delivering twins. Not a minor achievement.
No, just something I happened to be waffling on myself and was curious which way the wind blew with the readership. If you have been here from the beginning, you may recall I used to do such polls all the time for gauging readers' interests in a particular topic simply as an optimization tool of sorts.
IMO there's enough discussion about Kirk elsewhere - everywhere, in fact - and will be for some time. This is where I come to read good military and geopolitical analysis, FWIW.
I'd say yes but when the dust has settled down a bit. Tactical details of the crime, the weapon, the scene, the suspect are all moving fast and are being covered in depth elsewhere.
The story is now moving to the second order effects, who said what, which factions will move in what direction etc.
Give it a few more days.
The Charlie Kirk issue, deep like the Mariana Trench (35,876 feet deep) in the Western Pacific Ocean, is going to be a major turning point in US domestic politics. On scale with the Huey Long murder and the kidnapping/murder of the Lindbergh Baby. Your facts oriented deep digging style will be successful there. This single killing by a member of woke society will be on the mind of the whole nation as it is pushing the already absurd level of polarization another notch up.
Charlie Kirk's assassination was a black swan event . Throwing a lighted match into a room full of gunpowder .
lol. Most don’t care and many are glad that Kirk the Jew puppet got a little of what his masters do in Palestine every day x100
“This single killing by a member of woke society….”
Oh, I see. You know who did it, yes? Maybe you can enlighten all of us to their identity. Perhaps it was a fat, pink-haired trans man with a degree in gender studies who took that single, deadly shot from long range? 😂
‘Perhaps it was a fat, pink-haired trans man with a degree in gender studies who took that single, deadly shot from long range?’
At the time of my posting the rifle with the marked, engraved bullets was already found. The engravings were crystal clear indications of woke ideology of the worst kind. As far as the 150 yards range, I would not call it ‘long range’. For a rifle with a good scope it is achievable for even a crazy woke commie. I would say ‘long range’ starts at some place above 500 yards.
Shagbark
Is this woke enough for you?
https://www.wionews.com/photos/did-tyler-robinson-killed-charlie-kirk-for-his-transgender-partner-here-s-what-fbi-has-to-say-1757798775589
https://substack.com/home/post/p-173518869
From Anarcasper: “ The public reaction to Charlie Kirk’s assassination reveals more about the architecture of power than the act itself. Through the Coordination as Power lens, it becomes clear that the threads surrounding Kirk’s death were pre-positioned for maximum amplification. Conservative media ecosystems, political elites, and sympathetic news cycles coordinated almost instantly, turning the killing into a national event.
This is not simply a matter of narrative bias but of thread visibility. Some lives and deaths sit inside powerful threadplexes that can saturate the public field, while others do not. Hundreds of mass shootings have targeted Black churches, immigrant neighborhoods, queer clubs, and synagogues, yet most pass without federal task forces, visa threats, or days of wall-to-wall coverage. This is scope friction operating along racial lines, expanding the field of coordination when white conservative figures are attacked, and keeping it narrow when marginalized people are harmed.
The emotional shock so many have so far expressed shows how internalization architectures have normalized the idea that certain figures are entitled to safety and platform. When this expectation is broken, it feels like an emergency. The same violence against those outside the dominant frame is treated as background noise.
What emerges is Power Through that is quickly captured and directed into Power Over: the outcry becomes justification for new surveillance, securitization, and criminalization of dissent. Instead of rupturing the order, the event re-stitches it more tightly.
The risk is that this act will be used to attribute violence to entire movements (almost certainly focused on the left), delegitimizing opposition and deepening repression. Seeing this through Coordination as Power reminds us that outrage is not neutral. It is itself a coordinated force, and when its amplification is racially selective, it strengthens the very hierarchies that make some lives grievable and others disposable.”
You just keep psychobabbling while carefully avoiding a substantial issue: https://www.wionews.com/photos/did-tyler-robinson-killed-charlie-kirk-for-his-transgender-partner-here-s-what-fbi-has-to-say-1757798775589/1757798775590
it was not a 'woke' assassination.
it has sense to turn your attentions to the cia/mossad thugs and their money-lending owners
Considering the fact that Charlie Kirk was breaking away from Trump because he was unable to swallow the Gaza mass murders as justifiable acts, you just might turn out to be correct. He was also kicking off a major drive to visit dozens of universities and had the potential to turn the political right there against the (((Baby killers))).
Stay out of Kirk until something significant happens around or because of that event. If things starts to turn ugly in US , its reason to write about it.
They already have fairly good images on this guy. He has to be a real Houdini to get away with this. They also have his rifle, very likely together with his DNA. And that spells the death penalty.
Still off-topic. The guy was filmed running and then jumping of a roof. The height was 3-4 meters and you could clearly see he damaged is right knee or ankle on impact. In another video he is seen limping along the street with a backpack. Same guy. He cant limp too long until being found…
Questions:
1. Where the f’’k is the Rifle? Did it levitate to the nearby Forest? Or did he just throw it from the roof along with the ”engraved” bullets?
2. Kirk is said to been shot from a frontal position from the roof. Still you can see that he is slumped to his left side. Its JFK all over again.
3. Why was the white old male shouting ”Shoot me!” so the Police took him for the Shooter? Why did another guy bring an Air-rifle to the event?
4. 1 min after the shot it was up on X. 5 min later Netanyaho offered his condolences… that was suspicous fast.
To much to speculate on and I think Simplicius is doing right to stay off this story until it has any bearings on the Geopolitical game.
5. diversion from Epstein saga.
I can answer only No. 1: He walked from the building he jumped from through a patch of wooded area and dumped the rifle there, it was an 'imported Mauser .30-06 bolt-action rifle'. Markings on the shells left in the rifle explain the motivation.
And where did you see that Mauser when he jumped of the roof. Look at the video plz.
Thanks for the synopsis, Mickey.
"JFK over again" indeed -- the preemptive act
If that rifle cannot be broken down easily and hidden in a backpack I am starting to see JFK again.
I'm guessing here, but I think it's likely they already know who he is by now and are on his trail. His parent's attorney will likely be the one to call the police on him.
I wondered if they’re letting him lead them back to a nest of accomplices/enablers
The poll offered a simple yes-no choice.
My actual view is that if you have some interesting perspective, I'd like to hear it. If you're waffling, maybe you do have something in mind. But otherwise, saying nothing is a fine choice.
https://open.substack.com/pub/warrenbalogh/p/charlie-kirk-in-his-own-words?r=1iico5&utm_medium=ios
Has it already been proven then that he was assassinated by the insane woke left?
Our elites/rulers in the meanwhile are celebrating: yes, we managed to keep people divided, we created another distraction to fuel the division. And now when they are not looking at us, lets move some more (stolen) tax billions to the Cayman islands! Win-Win situation!
Name the Jew.
Shut up. Kirk was a Jew shill. Spit on him.
Dr. Julie Gard Schnuelle, 59, a former professor of Large Animal Medicine at Auburn University’s College of Veterinary Medicine, and her killer Harold Rashad Dabney III.
"Investigators believe Dr. Schnuelle was walking her dog Saturday morning, September 6, when Dabney ambushed her along a park trail where he allegedly dragged her several hundred yards into the woods and stabbed her multiple times with a bladed object."
On the CK issue, there is only one thing to say- the west has publicly normalised-legitimised assassination as a valid political tool. And so we are where we are. The only question- who is next? Those who think that targeted assassinations are the way to go, like Ukraine and Israel, might ask themselves that.
An important point.
I tried to make the same point in the comments at National Review's website, but was not well received.
Wow, you're literally my hero. Braving the Neo-Con waters at NR to illuminate the truth. Kudos.
Unfortunately, they don't illuminate so well over there.
To them, the United States is the world's hammer of justice--judge, jury, and executioner. They take pride in the United States's military, vaporizing the world's miscreants and wiping from the field any military that would dare oppose them.
Gladio never went away.
Correct. See "Zelensky’s devious chicanery"
The homoerotic dancer/turned churchill is guided by the same dregs of humanity, which have been maintaining arson attacks around the globe, namely, the banking dynasties and major war profiteers
Ray McGovern introduced the very inclusive term MICIMATT: Military-Industrial-Congressional-Intelligence-Media-Academia-Think-Tank
probably Banking could be fumbled in there somewhere too ;-))
May I suggest a hierarchy of “owners” where the financial capital (banking dynasties) represents the uppermost anti-humanity layer of profiteers on human misery and tragedies
yes you may. the 'banking dynasties' is a clear concept. royalty gets married into it, a clever give-and-take.
This was a message to Trump. Two days earlier Kirk had expressed some doubts about Israel behaviour to Ben Shapiro. The truth is becoming the president of the US does not guarantee taking over power. There is a structural network foundation of corporate-banking-military-political and communicational operators that can block a meaningful alternative, and Trump is very aware of that. Just in case he forgets... Especially on the eve of 9-11.
Shapiro deserves a bullet to the face.
dont let the wicked make you lose your temper ☀️
B. Shapiro deserves to be shipped to his beloved fascist jewish state ASAP. He should take his extended family with him.
personally I'd vouch for karma doing its thing.
Too bad it wasn’t Ben Shapiro. Eliminating the Jew and their shills is the only way.
A better way would be not to murder anyone, whether Jewish or not.
Tell the Jew.
The west has also normalized support for nazis and islamic terrorists. Non ukrainians with a swastika are labeled as nazis, ukrainians with swastikas doing a nazi salute and waving the nazi flag, became a "cultural manifestation that we cannot criticize".
As for supporting islamic terrorists, go no further than the ISIS terrorist currently the "president" of Syria. After many years beheading innocent civilians, the west decided to give him the presidency of a country they destroyed. Trump even said that ISIS filth he was a "good guy" and europeans flocked to shake his hand. There is no low that westerners do not reach.
islamic terrorism is the cia/mossad/mi6 baby
These thuggish organizations exist at the pleasure of the City of London banking dynasties that have sprouted into fascist mega-corporations like BlackRock and the dishonorable MIC
The West has not changed, only each of us is getting older, accumulating experience and realising what the West does.
British did the same for a few centuries, Americans were supporting all types of dictators in the last century, and all other great powers from Germany to Japan, Turkey, including tsarist Russia, of the era, when given the chance behaved as imperialists - attempted to create/enlarge empires, killing, ethnically cleansing, robbing, Israel is peculiar because it is the last of the Empires, Israel is just doing what Britain, US did 2-3 centuries ago. Discussions that we hear from Israel, from BenGvir to Smotrich, have been heard in British parliament, in US Senate...and ancient Athens, Rome. Imperial politics.
When you see it once, you cannot unsee it. And you become a realist.
It means we start from this reality and hopefully create something better.
The strength of Russia, China, India, today is that they are not imperialist powers. And solid guarantee that the world of BRICS would really be different than the western world is the fact that both China and India are smart and wise enough to resolve their conflict in Himalayas fighting with sticks.
nothing better than a false flag attack to get WW3 started maybe ?
No, NATO can't fight any war that is more thanbombing helpless civilians and last more than a few days. This was indeed a provocation., but with the only intent to keep the grift going. More money for the nazis, more weapons for the nazis, etc etc. And all this means USA and european politicians get their pockets filled. Although of course, USA gets more money than everyone else, because they are the ones selling the weapons. Taking advantage of europeans is very easy, because europeans as a whole, are very, very dumb.
"because europeans as a whole, are very, very dumb"
Well, their leaders are. Or bribed/blackmailed, who knows.
Sorry, but that's simply not the case. If europeans live in "democacies", then they are directly responsible for the scum they elect. If they don't, then they really should come down from their high horse, when they constantly claim to be better than everyone else in the world, because they are "democracies"
By now you have surely figured out that democracy as practiced is a fraud, sort of like those child seat with a steering wheel. Mom drives the car, the kid gets to pretend.
This never stopped europeans and Americans from preaching pious sermons.
Indeed, but most westerners still didn't get that.
And you have single-handedly turned Portugal around to your liking, right? Of course, the wishes of said populace are irrelevant to you because you are the truth and the light and all should bow before your superior morality and intellect. Also, by your logic, since Portugal is a democratic country and all inhabitants are equally guilty, you are as guilty and as evil as those you decry. It is a pity, because you do make reasoned arguments when you aren't on the everybody in the West is evil kick.
You can stop with the sarcasm, because it really doesn't work with me. What I wrote is clear as water, now and in our previous exchanges.
As I mentioned in those past exchanges, I am frustrated PRECISELY because alone I can't do much. With many more involved, it would be doable to turn Portugal around, not "to my liking" but to the actual improvement of the country. In Portugal, the number of people that actually try to know reality is absurdly tiny, while the number of people that believe whatever the TV tells them, is overwhelming, which is why we are one of the poorest in Europe, 3 bankruptcies in less than 50 years and one of the most corrupt countries in the world. And despite our tiny size, we also have one of the largest debts in the world. At one point, a few years ago, we had the 4th largest debt.
This is not accomplished by the minority. This is accomplished by the majority, that support this state of things, which in no rational person's brain, is considered "good".
I never said all inhabitants are equally guilty. Once more you are inventing words that I never wrote, which is the typical straw man "argument". What I did say is that the MAJORITY of people either support all the crap or don't care about it, which is the same as supporting it.
There are good people in every country. And by good I mean people that actually think about good living conditions, prosperous country, jobs for everyone and all that, and not just about their belly button...However, the number of people that ONLY think about their belly button is much, much larger.
Most westerners are evil. Either because they do support genocides, nazis, terrorists, pedophilia, slavery and all the crap in the world, or because they don't care that the people they "elect", support it.
The sooner you realize this, the sooner you understand the main reason for the western world decay.
It wasn't sarcasm. It was pointing out hypocrisy. "If europeans live in "democacies", then they are directly responsible for the scum they elect." You have written far worse but I don't have the time or inclination to search back through the many Lyceum posts to locate them. Notice that the word "MAJORITY" does not appear in what I quoted from you (from just a few comments up).
Politigal,
it has been proven beyond doubt, that most societies in most countries most of the history are based upon each individual thinking about his own belly button first, if given a chance,
but there has to be a frame, a set of rules, like in a football game, a consensus in the society about the rules of the game of life, because looking after your belly button cannot be the ultimate good.
Chinese communist party is using this method, successfully, communists define the rule of the game, and Chinese citizens look after their belly button. Rules are simple, more than 2 000 years old: Chinese elites (now - communist party) govern the country in the interest of Chinese nation.
US elites use this method, they define the rules, and Americans look after their belly button.
The problem is US is a global Empire, and uses soft power, secret services, military power to force all elites of all other countries in the world to obey American rules - Nepal, Ukraine, Venezuela, Iran, Qatar, Iraq, Libya...
and these rules sometimes described by less intelligent as "rules based order", have become self destructive
A. the do not serve interests of US citizens, or British, French, German citizens, as reflected in refusing to elect Kamal Harris, in Brexit, in Gilletes jaunts rebellion, in AfD rising
B. several major powers have arisen (China, Russia, India, ...) who are able to say no to US enforcement of the US "rules base order"
What is the problem.
Capitalism at its best, at its peak, in US, is capitalism on rampage, has eaten the core principles of regulating the capitalist game. If looking after your belly button is the ultimate good, it is inevitable that force, i.e. money will in the end bend all the rules. There has to be some other criteria in determining rules of the game of life.
And in this regard, all the anticapitalist commenters, all symphatizers of communism are correct. Capitalism has eaten itself.
Malaise felt in the west comes not because westerners, citizens of the western countries are evil, but because they are feeling the crisis, and find no one to understand, explain and find solution.
I agree. I cannot pretend to have a crystal ball that informs me, but I cannot believe anyone is stupid enough to willfully start a general war in Europe.
The uncertainties are too many.
1. The reaction of Western populations. Not many ready to die for King and Country.
2. The reactions of inmigrants, especially the Islamic communities.
3. The capability of the USA to send forces across the ocean. Convoys can no longer sail unnoticed.
4. China decides not to take part, or comes to the conclusion that they would be next if NATO wins.
5. Russia winning or crossing the nuclear threshold facing possible defeat.
Everything points to a dangerous game of brinkmanship and bluffing in the hope that Russia blinks first.
On the other hand, military tension justifies military expenses and those are the quickest way to enrich many unscrupulous leaders.
I agree overall, but some of what you highlighted are not uncertainties, at leas not anymore.
China for sure will not allow USA / NATO to win against Russia. Russia is able to do it on their own, but if something goes wrong, China will step in and help Russia more than just politically and economically. They have less to lose if they help Russia, than if they don't.
As for the nuclear question, the only danger of using such weapons, comes from the west. It's the only one that used them before and is the one with actual genocidal psychopaths in power, that think they are gods and can survive a post nuclear world.
USA sending whatever by sea or air, in an actual war, means it will be shot down or sunk, so there's no uncertainty there either, because it's USA doing the aggressive moves sending troops to other countries, not other countries sending troops to USA.
As for western populations, not sure what to say. If anything, western populations have shown to have the least working brain cells, as they support just about the most disgusting things ever, like nazis, genocieds, actual terrorist acts, etc, so not sure if they wouldn't do what ukrainians are doing - instead of revolting against their nazi regime - go die for their fascist regimes in USA and Europe.
I think that's also a characteristic of western people. They think about themselves and that's about it. They have no empathy and could care less if it doesn't affect them directly. But if it affects them directly, then it's the biggest problem ever and everyone should pay attention to them. In short, they do not unite on important causes and "unity" for them is putting a flag on their social media profiles.