The China-flagged crude/oil tanker fleet is relatively small compared with flags like Panama, Liberia or Singapore, but they do exist. Flagging is largely a financial matter, the popular choices are cheap and easy. If one 'Singapore' flagged tanker is stopped, heaps of operators will switch their flag to the one with a credible navy - that could happen overnight.
Have another look. China has a pretty impressive navy, the largest in the world by vessel count and is a very lethal force. They savagly beat the USA in Korea and Vietnam in those proxy wars before modernizing their military. When or if China decides to act, I honestly don't think the USA will have a prayer. North Korea has 80 subs, China about the same and don't forget for a microsecond that when the shit hits the fan, Russia will show up aligned with China. Who is going to have Americas back ? The USA is bankrupt now in any event.
Anybody? For starters, Russia and North Korea have.
The operation in Venezuela was mainly directed against China, now we just don't know what will her answer could be to the blockade of their imports from the Gulf.
Up to now, the Chinese strategy has been to avoid any conflict, because their leadership thinks that they are getting stronger while the US is in crisis. Time runs in their favour
That fabian strategy will change when the risk of doing nothing is more acute than the risk of responding.
Finally one must not fall in the common mistake of
comparing navies.
One does not need an aircraft carrier to fight an aircraft carrier or any surface vessel.
The game is know aircraft carriers and other surface vessels against observation satellites and flights of long range aviation shooting salvos of missiles. Also antiship missiles launched from submarines.
I do not forsee a naval battle however.
May be the answer will be in the realm of finances and the economy.
"The People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) operates over 787 ships, making it the largest navy in the world by the number of vessels. This fleet includes various types of ships such as aircraft carriers, destroyers, frigates, and submarines"
It can build a ship in months, not the US years or even decades.
Also, Iran has meaningful control over the Hormuz only as long as there is an active war.
People are talking about this without knowing the basic facts.
There is a pipeline across Saudi Arabia with 7M bpd capacity, i.e. practically all of Saudi exports, that goes to Yanbu on the Red Sea. Guess why it was built?
And there is a pipeline across the UAE to Fujarah on the Gulf of Oman. Guess why that one was bult too...
This leaves only Kuwaiti, Iraqi and Qatari exports as truly stranded.
But more pipelines will be built if necessary, and then Qatari LNG and fertilizers are the only things left stranded inside the Persian Gulf.
Iran controlling the Hormuz gives them leverage only as long as the war continues and they and the Houthis can keep striking at the pipelines and the production facilities. Once there is somewhat stable peace it will be all bypassed and they will be left with just the destruction on their own territory and little in terms of tolls to pay for it.
In theory the Iranians and Houthis should be able to hit these pipelines, and also disrupt energy resources in the Mediterranean (e.g. Israeli offshore drilling), as well as Azerbaijan and Turkey.
If Iran and Russia were both serious about defending themselves against the West they would jointly take over Azerbaijan to ensure the flow of energy to Asia and to strengthen their partnership. And Russia would be refusing to sell energy to Europe and maybe even blowing up a pipeline or two.
The pipeline capacity is 7 MBPD. The loading terminal at Yanbu has a max capacity of 4.5 MBP. Saudi's normal oil export is around 10 MBPD. So at best, Saudi revenues are 40% of normal and their budget needs 105%.
You wrote that the Saudi's can ship 7 MBPD using the pipeline to Yanbu. I'm just pointing out that the number of barrels they can actually export is limited by the loading capacity of the terminal, which is 4.5 MBPD.
No doubt work will occur to expand the terminals capacity, but I would expect that to be an effort of at least months not days.
But your point about 7 MBPD is well taken. After checking, 7-7.5 MBPD is their actual export capacity, so if Yanbu is actually able to load 4.5 MBPD it represents 60%+ of normal. Maybe with higher prices it even gets their budget close to balance ?
I wasn't contradicting your point about the Yanbu export capacity, I wasn't aware of that. I always assumed if they built a 7M bpd pipeline, then there is also the capacity to export it on the other side. Good to know.
I have to say, Iran should be insisting these negotiations to be held with israel, not the US. It is, and always has been, that the US has to run to israel for instruction. The US should be ignored as they hold no negotiating power.
A Jewish demon, although Jewish lore would have them disembodied souls. It is the idea of the dybukk that counts here, though, not its source, the idea that a kind of Israeli inspired malice is inhabiting the White House empty suits.
"It supposedly leaves the host body once it has accomplished its goal, sometimes after being exorcised," according to various sources cited in Wikipedia.
Instead of blaming Kushner of all the bad things the US President, Congress and Administration manages to walk into, one should ask the question if US has turned to a giant Golem.
Dybbuk is an unquiet Jewish ghost with a message or something it wants to accomplish still in the physical world that hangs around instead of moving on to heaven, hell, reincarnation or whatever.
A dybbuk possesses people and speaks through them in order to get something it couldn't finish in life done, like a Jewish spieler that won't quit after end of business hours.
This kind of possession would explain Trump's wild fulmination & rambling about as well as schizophrenia, Adderall + Xanax abuse and senior dementia.
Between Shem trying to sodomize the hedgehog and Taco thinking he's Christ... So, if Shem sodomized the hedgehog, are the 12 Jewish tribes 12 tribes of hedgehogs? I don't like hedgehogs, I'm discovering I'm anti-Semitic. I'm also discovering that the father of LGBTQ+ rights and bestiality is this same Shem.
Even simpler, take out those who established it as essentially their private country & peopled it with those whom they'd traumatized by their fully-intentional holocaust.
And I agree with you - destroy israel first and then Trump and his genocidal maniacs won't have anything to fight for and peace would break out all over the world.
Israel is America's proxy. The American Oligarchy is really who Iran needs to negotiate with -- except they have determined that they will be satisfied only with Iran's complete destruction.
I guess a molotov cocktail was hurled at one billionaires home. I wonder if it might have been a false flag to provide a better narrative for ICE. Like the Reichstag fire.
You think the "Public State" is in charge. You have no idea who the Rothschilds are and how Epstein was their agent. You don't have any grasp at all of the true nature of Capitalism.
If you like, I'll grant that the "Epstein Class" controls both the US and Israel. I'll even throw in the EU, Japan, SE Asia, Australia, NZ
But the tail does not wag the dog.
Just how many times do I have to point you to Aaron Good before you finally check him out so you can understand the players?
The Rothschilds were responsible for the establishment of isarel using zionism with an ultimate goal of controlling ME energy resources. They put America under the control of zionists at all levels to make sure that America, being the strong arm of the world, would insure that israel was protected.
I'm dismembered. I misspoke, my apologies. Send him to the hospital, dismembered, or disabled, if you prefer. If I were American, I wouldn't be here anymore, I would have committed suicide at age 4. No, I'm from the old world, decrepit.
Their system that gives them so much power over the world needs to be destroyed. The process is underway but its a long slow grind. I think Iran should have focused more on destroying infrastructure of Israel over Gulf states though I understand that most attacks were meant to hurt US/globalist investments. Unfortunately Israel seems to retain all its offensive airpower. Were their jets and ammunition storage even targeted? There's no use negotiating with either.
For such a small country their air force is massive. Yes, Several of their ammunition dumps, jet fuel storage tanks airports, planes and major command/control centres lost. Plus huge other damage. Frankly, I don't know how they are still able to attack on multiple fronts. When the child-killers start bombing again, I think Iran is prepared to inflict even more damage, perhaps even to the point severely crippling the regime.
As for the Gulf states, they brought it on themselves - they allowed the Americans bases and flyovers and encouraged them to attack. These are "royal" regimes that act against the interests of their people and most are hated by them - this might even result in their removal from power.
Now it is dead serious and very ugly. Trump is acting exactly like the second coming of Hitler, and somehow only Mearsheimer dares bring that up.
For the alt-media there is an explanation -- their business model was based for so many years on carrying water for Trump as some kind of an "alternative", if they were to turn around and call him out for being the new Hitler, they would lose subscribers and views, and that is bad for business. Mearsheimer doesn't depend on such revenue streams so he can speak his mind. Thus you see many people twisting themselves into pretzels trying to explain how Trump really isn't that bad and wasn't always like that, it is the people who are influencing him that are responsible. But that is not an excuse.
Nazis tried to keep the genocides (of Ashkenazs, of Russians, of etc) under a carpet, they removed some evidence, they didn't make public their goal. Israel do, beasts like Smotrich openly boast of exterminating populations.
I would qualify that by noting that Churchill presided over the Bengali famine of 1943 which led to the deaths of 3 million so I would say he was a genocidal maniac like Trump.
Any thoughts about Yagoda (Yenokh Iyeguda), Kaganovich, Zemlyachka (Rozalia Zalkind), Goloschyokin (Shaya Itsikovich) and similar jewish mass murderers whose exploits sill are not widely known in the collective west?
These supremacist genociders were set on destroying the Russian civilization by murdering en masse the best and brightest among people of the Russian Empire.
A sample: "Goloschokin played a deadly role in the Kazakh famine [Goloschokin genocide] of 1932–1933, in which 1.5 million people died, of whom 1.3 million were ethnic Kazakhs."
Another sample: "Ms. Zemlyachka (Rozalia Zalkind) was a merciless and power-crazy woman who worked as a Chekist in the Crimea together with two other Jewish serial killers, Bela Kun and Boris Feldman... 
Leon Trotsky (Bronstein) personally gave Bela Kun orders to shoot 40,000 captured officers in the Crimea (this is confirmed by historic documents republished by Dagens Nyheter in November 1993)."
1) If the Russian Empire was such a great place, it wouldn't have collapsed, and there would have been no revolutionary movement
2) Collectivization and industrialization were an absolute necessity, and there was no time left to do them gradually. Stalin was willing to pay the cost of doing it by force, and was proven right -- in 1929 he said "we have a decade to make up what we lag behind by a century, or we will be destroyed in the coming war".
3) The purges were also a necessity as part of the preparation for the war.
You saw none of the kind of shit that has been happening inside Iran in the last few years during the GPW in the USSR, because all unreliable elements had been purged. With a lot of collateral damage, but again, that was a price Stalin was willing to pay.
Meanwhile what did Putin do knowing that another big war is coming and he had to similarly prepare for it? Nothing
One more time, do you have any thoughts about Yagoda (Yenokh Iyeguda), Kaganovich, Zemlyachka (Rozalia Zalkind), Goloschyokin (Shaya Itsikovich) and similar jewish mass murderers whose exploits sill are not widely known in the collective west?
Yes ,Stalin was right regarding the industrialisation of the country and things need to be further contextualised vis-a-vis hostile environment, they were invaded after all.
However, if you measure in terms of fatalities, Stalin is nowhere near Putin. And he did no have to deal with crazies with nukes. Lets not forget about that.
Also, Putin did not get boinked by Anglos and is cleaning Stalin's and Khrushchev's poop, since they did not handle Banderites properly.
But they remain extremely powerful and mischievous in the western intelligence network, always working in the background to cause trouble between countries.
We are not called "Perfidious Albion" for nothing.
British strategy is to stir up trouble so that the Americans will get involved and then the british can show the Americans who their loyalest little bitch is, standing shoulder to kneecap with the Americans all stirring and brave.
Alastair Crooke former mI6 expert on Iran and Shia and Sunni Muslims now living in Italy -very well worth listening to for the straight scoop- his wife translates the Israeli papers from Hebrew for a more complete picture from there to assist him.
Jiang Xueqin the game theory guy is also worth reading and interesting.
The ex CIA Larry Johnson, voted for Trump as did Napolitano - they parse old DJT’s words like words from on high - like reading tea leaves looking for some sort of wisdom or sense. They are pundits who have lost their way and have become celebrities. While DJT is frittering away your/our retirement and your children’s futures.
We are a vassal state for Israel. There will be great blowback from losing control of the ME GCC- it will take years to repair and many countries, possibly including the US, will suffer greatly - Trump is 79 he won’t survive to see his actions rectified in his lifetime.What legacy? Infamy of Trump.
I never looked into Alastair's background, just blindly accepting the common description of his background as a former British diplomat - it seems 'diplomat' is a truly misleading label. Now I wonder if he still is affiliated with MI6 - you know what they say - once an intelligence officer, always an intelligence officer.
I have watched Jiang several times, and though he approaches things from a different direction, I haven't really heard anything from him that most of us had already predicted. OTOH, perhaps I missed something - I've been known to do that (quite often, if I cared to admit it).
If you carefully listen to what he says, he has no clue what is going on.
His technical details are laughably wrong a lot of the time, and when someone is so bad on the technical details, you just can't take him seriously on anything else, regardless of what mythical "sources" he might be having access to.
A lot of the "experts" are like that. Larry Johnson is another one, though not as bad, because he does seem to know the stuff he himself was doing with special ops. But outside of that, i.e. when it comes to Russian and Iranian military technology, he is completely clueless.
At some point people spend so much time doing podcasts that they no longer have any time informing themselves about what they are talking about.
Johnson was a "terrorist hunter" during his tenure at CIA, at least for part of it.
a "terror threat" that was totally manufactured by the UK / US intelligence community
Johnson HATES trump and it is obvious - he is totally biased and resorts to standard propaganda tactics constantly on his site and in his "dialogues" and podcasts... his shit is pathetically weak and his followers pathetically weak-minded children, either middle-aged democrats or teenagers.
I've just cancelled my free substack subscription to Mr Johnson. I can't comment on it anymore because one has to be a paid subscriber. I followed him because I liked his Ukraine commentary. But on Iran he seems a bit slanted. Always believes everything coming out of Iran while taking every opportunity to slam President Trump. At times I think he appears fascinated that the US Govt and Armed Forces haven't told them all their plans.
I was running some data on one of the Chinese AIs, Dola, and I came across some info that he was involved in the creation of a mujahideen pipeline from Afghanistan to Chechnya, before the first Chechen war. Under the cover of "European envoy" and there was another CIA dude that was using the OSCE cover.
Info supposedly from some declassified FSB file or part of the file, but I cannot find the file.
o Confirms U.S. CIA, British MI6, and Turkish MIT ran a joint program to replace Sufi Chechen nationalism with Salafi jihadism.
o Documents the smuggling of Arab Salafi volunteers (from Afghanistan, Saudi Arabia, Jordan) via Georgia (Pankisi Gorge) and Azerbaijan.
o Names key handlers: CIA officer Michael Springate (cover: OSCE) and MI6 agent Alastair Crooke (cover: EU envoy) who coordinated with Saudi intelligence to bring in Khattab (Habib Abdurrahman) and Abu al Valid (Aziz al Gamdi).
o Explicit goal: “Radicalize the insurgency, provoke Russia into over reaction, and split Chechen society along Sufi Salafi lines.”
Translated from Chinese into English.
Checked some archives but cannot find this document. Maybe Russian friends could help. wink, wink
FWIW, you might find Aaron Good's interviews with Gary Vogler on the secret pipeline that went from Iraq to Haifa interesting. It seems that was the objective of Bush's war with Iraq.
There's a YouTube, about 30 minutes long, debunking Xueqin's credentials. I don't find his theory credible, but mostly because he's boring.
Johnson and Napolitano haven't been "parsing" DJT for some time now. But Kraiiner finally abandoned ship last week.
The USA is NOT a vassal state for Israel. But the full explanation of the relationship is very complicated so unless one recognized the power of the "man behind the curtain" which is the Epstein class, the king, which controls the US government, the queen, one might think that Israel, a castle, is the more powerful.
The Krapivnik video I posted has some insights into how this works.
Actually, all this talk of a vassal state relationship between the US and Israel, and vice versa, is nonsense. It's much simpler: the donors are mostly Jewish. You're taking their money; it's not free.
"Jiang Xueqin the game theory guy is also worth reading and interesting."
The fake "professor" knows how to pander to a select audience in order to maximize views and channel monetization. That is the only game theory at play there.
GM, you bring up a valid point about the influencers around Trump. Candace Owens said that some of them are "certifiable lunatics", and then put a spotlight on Laura Loomer. Here Candace talks about her, and shows a clip of Loomer's podcast:
I in no way make any excuse for DJT's abhorrent words and loco actions...with people like Loomer whispering into his ear, it's like pouring gasoline onto a wildfire.
Nobody else has combined an actually acted on quest for global dominance with a supermacist theory and genocidal intent. You only get that with Hitler as an individual leader. Sure, the British and the Americans were doing that too long before Hitler, but it was stretched out over time and not concentrated in the same way.
The Trump/Netanyahu combo is the first time we have it in a similar form since Hitler, so it's a perfectly valid comparison
the brits created and financed the Bolsheviks, too. Along with american financiers
the British embassy in Moscow was a hotbed of revolutionary activity before the revolution happened, as reported by the wife of one of the czar's Grand Duke brothers... just as they incited and supported the revolutionaries in France as reported by Thomas Jefferson who was american ambassador to france at the time.
read "How the British created Communism and blamed it on the jews..." very enlightening. author: Richard Poe
Is it so complicated to recognize that someone is suffering from alienation and dementia? I suggest you visit an asylum and find an alibi for every lunatic you see there.
Stop the Hitler crap. No brown shirts on the streets but Antifa and they are communists. Hitler would not have allowed that. People in the streets for No Kings when A king would not allow that.
I love Simp but I think he has the right idea but is thinking too small.
In Trumps mind maga is about America first. In Trumps mind, getting tossed out of NATO is a massive win and hard for the incoming Democratic party to undo. He will probably burn down the bases in Europe if someone else does not do it first. The middle eastern bases are already torched.
Want Europe and the Gulf Countries to pick up their own defense? Get Iran to burn it all down and leave the Pakistani, Saudi, Kuwaiti, Irani and the Israeli to all battle it out.
Does anyone really believe aircraft carriers are the future of warfare when you can send drones and rockets in such large numbers, even Yemen can do it? So he is using up his stock of horses and cavalry so he can build up industry to a war footing.
Just look at a photo of all those empty tankers flooding into the Gulf of Mexico/America. Look at Chubb selling maritime insurance and moving into Londons monopoly.
Lets see what global trade looks like in two years. It will not be the same.
War has changed and Trump just kicked out the table. Just imagine Trump with a folding chair swinging it at some wrestler. This is going to be wild.
I dont understand why asia and europe are just sitting there letting this happen. Their economies are going to really get the worst of this, and they appear willing to allow american perfidity and imperialism to set the table.
Well, do you HONESTLY think that all those American military bases in those countries are actually to defend them?
Let alone the $Bns spent every year to interfere in their elections, and bring the Empire loyalists to power, like Kid Starver, Sholtz & Shmertz, Micron, and all the other vassals who cannot stray 1cm?
The US Empire assassinates like it is always claiming "Pootin" or China does. Except the USA does it for real.
And that's why the US vassal states don't step out of line.
because, "of course", coming from the BBC. however, billionaire's in-fighting is already happening: while Soros, Jr. stated on X that "...the people of Hungary 'have taken back their country', [...] Musk (also on X, naturally) replied that "... 'The organization of the merchant and financier George Soros has seized power in Hungary'..." - https://fakti.bg/en/world/1047857-elon-musk-soros-has-seized-power-in-hungary
perhaps not for Hungarians, although now they'll get Soros-funded policies: out of the frying pan, into the fire. while Orbán's stubbornness made him rather likable to many Europeans, trying to address the ever-tightening, undemocratic EU policies and Von der Leyen's idiot decrees, Brussels will be much happier too.
The new guy stated he doesn't support Ukraine entry into the EU. I wonder about approving the $90 billion to Ukraine? Which would likely just prolong the misery for Ukainians.
Surprising that did not get a mention by Simplicius. A major kick in the balls for Russia/Putin. Orban was the only serious opposition to the Eurocrats in Brussels. If Russia loses Belarus as an ally in the next election the "buffer zone" will be gone.
False, they exercised a veto over more EU funding of Ukraine, they opposed mass Muslim immigration, they purchased Russian oil/gas, they had similar conservative values.
They would bypass it anyway. Situations like this with this veto are manna for VdL to grab more power and federalise EU.
Dont know where you are from, but where I come from many people were propely for kicking Hungary out of EU.
But anyway, 90 billion won't achieve much in Ukraine. After four years and all those billions already dropped, doesnt matter.
Have you watched a movie 'A day without a Mexican'? Big trouble for Americans, but a day or month or longer period without a Hungarian wouldnt make a difference to Rus.
Russia can push their own values, doesn't need Hungary's support. Hungarians are quite russophobic, btw. GM wrote a good post on this elsewhere on this comments section.
Oil and gas to Hungary were important for Hungary. Asians need lots of both now.
‘Hungary just got its first full-on NWO acolyte winning the elections.’
Just watch that creature bumping his head into a brick wall in two years as soon as reality checks in. I am anticipating a limited future for the freak.
apparently there's a Soros connection: "Soros Organization has taken over Hungary," Musk wrote on X in response to comments by the financier’s son, Alex Soros, who said the Hungarian people had "taken back" their country...." - https://tass.com/world/2115827
Soros, EU/NATO were dumping money by the truckload literally to trigger this change. During the two year lifespan of the Tisza Party they had to buy thousands of people with graduate education and in various positions to side with them. There were hundreds of millions of dollars, Euros and gold bars transported from Austrian and German banks under Ukraine supervision and Orban had an opportunity to lock up these gangs but he did not do it. Peter Magyar, Brussels’ agent is a drunkard, a drug addicted freak who was climbing under the skirts of teenage girls at discos. One time he grabbed a phone from a man who was recording him and threw it into the river. He also recorded his own wife Judit Varga to ‘expose her’. She was Justice Minister under Orban, a talented young woman who speaks perfectly many languages. Varga lost her position in the FIDESZ government, stayed home with her kids and started a woodworking shop.
The US and NATO are arguing on the surface and they are quietly coordinating for wars against China and Russia. The US and Germany are already operating/preparing military enlistment programs and are doing their best to keep them from the general public.
Poland and any pro-war NATO nations are not an option. At the moment things turn hot they will extradite Germans, etc. back to their homelands and call them traitors.
They are not even extraditing cannon fodder Banderites on mass, that publicly celebrate Bandera and OUN-UPA atrocities. There were few cases, but that is a drop in the ocean.
Germans, or W Europeans in general, will first push E Europeans into slaughter.
Heck, Poles are perfectly fine fighting themselves:
"So if you're fighting the general territorial defense, a lot of them would be forcibly mobilized. But then, of course, sprinkled within that, you'll have Polish mercenaries, especially in the Kupiansk area."
From a guy fighting in Kupyansk area. Rumor has it Poles suffered highest mercs casualties of them all.
Trying to reintroduce conscription is one thing, being able to successfully doing it is a different, more difficult one. One party alone cannot introduce the necessary legislation. It would need that all main parties act together. Then, if a marginal party opposes the legislation, there would be a political earthquake because the matter would become the central point in any election. Last, creating true soldiers ready to fight and die out of conscripted individuals would be nearly impossible in the present circumstances.
Of the most populated European countries only, may be, I repeat may be, the Poles would accept to sacrifice their lives in an offensive war against Russia.
Even Germans, famously prone to blind obedience would not follow.
French, Italian or Spanish conscripts to the Ostfront? No way.
I watched that convo with Diesen and I disagree here with him that elites need slaves, robots will be fine in the future. What worries me more is that they need spare parts.
I am also joyfully anticipating a major circus as soon as it sinks in with the German and US populations that the males are counted to be dragged to the nearest butchering station. Right now the initiations are well covered by cooperative shut up by the media and government but this is not the early 20th century anymore. They kicked the nation-state values out of the population and now the oligarchs and the homicidal maniacs are accepting the people to sing and march off toward self-destruction.::))))
the germans are going to make it impossible for young men to leave the country for more than 90 days without permission.
Because they saw what happened in Ukraine recently
germany was flooded with "draft evaders" from Ukraine, and a lot from russia as well - people who always wanted to get out of russia, and used the war as an excuse to claim asylum
Judging from the fact that you are completely disoriented you might be the one feeding on some magic mushrooms. Surely not me. I am scanning the news multiple times daily; this item is grossly underreported and mostly misrepresented in a calculated manner.
Exactly, which is why it is so important that Moscow and Beijing take decisive action to support Iran. The fall of Iran will bring open war with the US that much closer.
1) Europe and much of Asia are obedient US vassals.
2) The decision making is not made by the countries. The decision making is made by the people ruling those countries. And it is made in the interests of those people not the countries as a whole. The calculation is simple -- if you rebel against the imperial center you are going to risk losing your position as a local vassal. It is much better for you to destroy the country, but to remain its local ruler than to play independence games. You yourself might be slightly worse off than if you had real independence, but only slightly. While if you rebel, and you do not succeed, you may lose everything.
3) This is, unfortunately, the calculation being made even in those places that are not yet obedient vassals. Russian elites are very much making that exact calculation, which explains why Kiril Dmitriev was again in Florida this week.
The adequate policy in defense of national interests should be for Russia, China, North Korea, Iran, Belarus, the Houthis and Hezbollah, as a start, with others perhaps joining as the success of the policy becomes apparent, to declare that no US military presence will be allowed outside the Western hemisphere. All bases will be destroyed, all planes who try to enter into Eurasia will be shot down, all ships and submarines will be sunk. Let them try to counter it -- in an all out naval war the US fleet will be sunk too even if the whole Russian and Chinese fleets are sunk too, but the US has lost shipbuilding capacity to an impossible to recover from extent, and the Chinese with their 200:1 shipbuilding capacity advantage will very quickly recover and begin to lord over the seas.
But that policy carries risks that elites might suffer, and if your "strategy" is loss minimization, you don't take such risks. And naturally end up losing in the long term...
"declare that no US military presence will be allowed outside the Western hemisphere. All bases will be destroyed, all planes who try to enter into Eurasia will be shot down, all ships and submarines will be sunk."
you live in a fantasy world... how old are you? My guess is 18 or 19
This step would be too much for Chinese and Russian elites.
But these elites are deeply scared. They do not even dare to sell weapons to Iran. That is why any resistance to US hegemon is futile. Iran shall be bombed with N weapons soon.
Trump has stated that "ships who have paid the toll will be interdicted".
Iranian, Chinese and Iraqi vessels aren't being charged a toll. So he is converting the U.S. Navy to pirates to f*ck with U.S. allies like South Korea, Japan and Australia. Stable genius indeed.
Kenneth is mocking Trump's words. No, Trump's exact wording isn't a legal contract but yes, Trump's exact wording plays a role in diminishing the US in the eyes of the world. Such diminishment is part of how the world decides to move on from using dollars as the reserve currency, being unwilling to host US military bases on their territory, and how the US's hegemonic dominance contracts to a smaller and smaller circle of pathetic 'yes man' states like Argentina.
All ships will be stopped, regardless. Islamabad was not the beginning of the end, it was the end of the beginning of a superior phase in this WWIII, where Russia has been effectively checked and chocked by the Europeans in the Ukranian front, and China is being increasingly locked too. Brian Berletic views proved right again. The US is grabbing the worlds oil and the same time choking its competitors expecting that the empire will be preserved, multipolarity destroyed, and Russia and China locked and eventually crushed. Now, do they have the means to carry out this long prepared plan? Thats the point.
You people that worship Berletic must have the same IQ of the Trump supporters. Brian has a view that a 10 year old has in a schoolyard. He is terrified of the US therefore he thinks the US is all powerful. Meanwhile we are seeing countries with long term strategies countering the US. The US is not some perfectly run machine even Brian's favorite policy paper had a time frame attached but brian never mentions any of this, he has a narrative so anything that happens fits in with his view. Yes, the US is not attempting to live in a multipolar world, but it has thousands of ego's and many special interests pushing and pulling in all directions. IF you are going to fight a world war with the planners in the Pentagon you will lose 100% of the time.
Agree. I doubt anyone, even given access to all the classified information in the world, could get a very accurate take on even next weeks events. Credit to Brian though, he does a solid job, as do many others. But nobody really knows and even if they did they wouldn't get many followers on the Interwebs. Simplicity rules, most people switch off when things get complicated. All we really know is the US is in terminal decline and looks desperate, trying to do as much damage as possible while it still can.
I noticed that he is indeed on a thoughtrain that differs from let's say Durans . I'm really curious who will be right but we will see soon , things are evolving quicker nowdays , everyone is getting to the end of their ropes from debt to resources to patience .
There is plenty in terms of realized outcomes on past predictions to evaluate who has been right so far. And it is Berletic, not the Durans.
Though he too was explaining back in the days how Russia will win the war of attrition, then stopped doing it as it became clear that it isn't winning it. So he isn't 100% right.
But that was more of short-term analysis.
On the long-term objectives and strategies employed he is right on the money in a way the others are absolutely hopeless.
The most messed up thing is that The Duran have interviewed him many times, i.e. what is happening has been explained to them in their faces, and yet they persist with their "analysis" that assumes Trump has good intentions but is led astray by bad influences, while primarily asking the question how to save Trump from his bad decisions instead of asking the much more valid and important question of how to save the world from US aggression. They barely even acknowledge US aggression as such...
Yes, he does indeed read them, but in fact anyone can. The incredible fact is that they actually get publishe. Brian always mentions that and even sets links. The reason we would not find them without (his) help is that we do not know where to look and the titles of these reports.
When one knows the title, it is for example easy to find WHICH WAY TO PERSIA (170 pages), and even the paper on how to cut off China from its oil suppliers via a blockade can be found and read by everyone (it is 26 pages). These papers are in fact available online!
He begs to differ - does not share your whining opinion.
"A strategist will be successful if he correctly evaluates the nature of a war, which depends on different economic, social, geographic, administrative
But like Russia, China newer shows aggression. They are concentrated on their economy, the government does not want to anger their greedy middle class, like in Russia.
To me, it is unclear if they would really ever confront US with military means.
Berletic's research is impeccable. His long term view of events, solid. He doesn't flitter around like a butterfly picking and choosing which politician to believe today. He's equally anti-Trump and anti-Democrat because his "continuity of agenda" theory is continuously proven to be right. He knows that the "Epstein Class" always has a Plan B if Plan A fails.
So many are celebrating Trump's idiocy without knowing that he's just the front man, the thug hired to implement the plot to control the world. You laugh at Trump's goofs while still thinking Obama was a great statesmen when he was just another cog in the machine.
Executives hired to achieve an outcome. How they do it, the shareholders don't care.
Are you one of those closet capitalists who can't see the forest for the trees?
Berletic explains the motivations behind Trump's blockade of Iran. He sees the big picture immediately. You still haven't pulled up your underpants.
Berletic also always points out he doesn't monetize anything. He gets donations, but he is not getting income from views.
That is very important and a very overlooked aspect of the situation with the alternative media. Everybody knows that the mainstream media depends on corporations and billionaires for its income so it caters to their interests and lies and distors reality accordingly. But the same is true about the alternative media - it depends on clicks, views, and subsciprtions for its income so it caters to its target audience so that they keep coming back to generate more clicks and views and subscriptions, distorting reality accordingly and avoiding bad news and unpleasant truths that would turn off people.
If I gave a shit what that retard has to say I'd be at his site instead. Why do you dumbfucks keep coming here posting such garbage? We came here because we want to hear what Simplicus has to say, not to hear some retard spout off about some other retard. If you have such a crush on Brian why don't you just stay on his site permanently and stop polluting these threads?
I would agree that Berletic is giving US power to much credit, but there is a real danger here, that the powers that represent the multipolar world are too late realising that they really need to combine their abilities and resources to decicevly defeat the USA. Russia, Iran and especially China seem very reluctant to commit themselves and tend to hide behind 'international law', security council shenanigans and bilateral negotiations. If they are not going to wake up soon, they really run the risk to get divided and defeated separately. US soft power is additionally something you underestimate only once... Berletic is definitely right in that regard.
The likes as Arnaud Bertrand, as much and as often I enjoy their analysis, strike me more as salesmen and diggers, who are promoting the possibility that there somehow could be a genuine and lasting understanding between the USA and its ideological, economical and military rivals, but that is NOT how imperialism works. It is utterly naive, but it is what they have set their bet on as they hope to be on the forefront of a new goldrush, it is wishful thinking, nothing more.
All the 'gotcha' moments they enjoy so much, actually are proving exactly nothing, just because a plan or a part of it did not work out as presumed, does not mean that the intention behind the plan is not real - to assume as much is just plainly stupid.
It is true that there are somehow conflicting interests in the USA just as in every other country, different fractions of capital, that may prefer different approaches, priorities or timelines (thats the difference between Obama and Trump), but ultimately all there interests converge on one single point and that is the presevation if not expansion of the American Empire. To deny this, is to concede a fundamental lack of understanding how Capitalism functions...
I hope the hint on not meeting the ascribed timeframe is not meant as a serious argument?
Bertrand appears to be and certainly is very knowledgeable, even though I sometimes have my doubts about the authenticity and depth of his knowledge - it at times is a tad too anecdotal - but one thing he is definitely not: a Marxist-Leninist, Communist or Anti-imperialist. Therefore it is impossible to describe his standpoint as "Pro-China". He is in the same way "pro-chinese" as a bookie is "anti-racist", who has his money on the new hot African-American fighter in town: he wants him to beat the old Caucasian Top Dog, but for all the wrong reasons. And the fighting and betting and money-making should pretty please stay all the same...
Hopefully the CPC stays on course and is wiser and more alert than the CPSU, because these people will turn in no time into a fifth column and a Chinese Krushchev or Gorbachev would put them to good use...
Berletics reach is significantly bigger than Simplicius'. He has active channels in X, Rumble, and Youtube (300k subscribers) and his own website, the New Atlas. He is regularly interviewed by top analysts like the Duran, Haiphong, and Nima. His messages are not fit for you. Keep in your dark cave of stupidity.
I highly recommend for everyone to read WHICH WAY TO PERSIA from 2009, which is what Yoni is referring to. It is rather easy to find, the name + PDF and there it is. I printed it (can't read on an iPad or other device, am accustomed to paper 🙂) and have finished part I and II. Am just starting with part III. The "great" thing is that it is actually an easy read. Nothing complicated, very matter-of-fact, easy language (well, for politicians ... lol).
The most important part for the moment is of course II/5, "Leave it to Bibi", it is jawdropping how detailed they already planned even the people they'd use in Israel for that. 🤮 I am convinced it is THE playbook. The US-leadership hates Iran since the late 1940ies/early 1950ies, it was the 2nd country where the couped the (democratic!) Government (Syria was the first) and the US will never "forgive" the "Mullahs" for kicking them out in 1979. So this was decades in the making. The amazing thing is how boldly they even put into writing what they were going to do. Do they really think people in Persia/Iran can't read??? Thanx God they prepared well and have the help of good friends.
As for the disclaimer, forget about them (always). How "high" is the chance that 6 (!) people with the same perverse interest in overthrowing another Government just meet by accident and decide, over a few drinks, to write such a paper, containing detailed planning how to achieve this goal? Behind such papers are always massive geopolitical interests ("wars are never fought for human rights, but always for propergy rights" = to exploit other countries' valueables), they get the funding they need and then all subsequent US Governments follow them to their "best abilities", regardless which party is in charge (the west' motivation is easy to see: greed, a deadly sin in all religions, just btw).
It's disgusting, however this time they bite much more than they can chew. Iran can read, is technically advanced and has enough "strategic depth" to handle such an assault, at least as long as it does not get nuclear, and even with nuclear bombs it would take a few hundred (!!!) to "bomb them back into stone age". Even the dumbest analyst will realize that the non-West will not sit still and let it happen, should that really be tried some day.
Sorry for the length. I know you know, but I wanted to sum up anyway. 👍
Yes, another "famous" one, (not only) Russia read this with great attention. They put in writing 2019 what they had been following since the millennium (at least).
Can be found here (if that does not work, just "extending russia" + pdf does it):
I am not aware of other countries doing that ... publishing their geopolitical intentions for everyone to read. 🤔 Well, the US always thought itself to be sth. special ... lol
Retarded take. Russia has already won in Ukraine. It controls all the economically relevant real estate and that land is never going back. The Europeans will be left to pick up the pieces of a rump Ukraine while Russia enjoys the fruits of strategic success.
Russia is being attacked on its territory on a daily basis, its fleet sunk, bogged down its nuclear deterrence denied, surrounded by land and sea, financially blocked, its allies destroyed one after the other. The Iranian succesful response showed that Putin went too soft. Ukraine is holding on despite de multiple attacks on the power grid and industrial facilitiies because its weapon production is now in Poland and the Baltics which Russia wont touch. Russia is figthting all NATO countries combined, its nuclear deterrence has been denied. Putin was succesful in stopping the Donbass masacre, the fifth column and the programmed partition of the country. He was too naif and realized too late. But in Ukraine thats not what victory looks like. If I were you I would be more respectful talking to people.
Pretty much all of that is incorrect. The Ukrainians managed a successful drone attack against petroleum infrastructure but that’s an annoyance more than anything else.
Russian economy is booming courtesy of inflated oil prices.
Russia has already defeated NATO, and it’s clear that the alliance will fracture and disintegrate over the next few years.
Russian allies are just fine. Iran has defeated the US and China is the emerging global superpower.
Why they did not sink Chinese ships delivering solar panels to Cuba? Why they did not sink Russian tankers? Why they did not sink Turkish power plant ship arriving to Cuba to generate electricity?
I don't understand the animosity toward Iran. It is a very well educated nation. Yes the head is a theocrat and his religion leans conservative, but what have they ever done to the USA? Nothing.
Faulting Iran for its support of Hezbollah and Hamas it like confessing that you support the Gaza genocide.
The USA was responsible for the 8 year war with Iraq. The US even supplied the mustard gas.
Yes a bunch of peaceful protestors were killed, but the protest was hijacked by Mossad agents doing the same thing that the Nazis did in Kiev. Difference was, Iran maintained its integrity and did not let the Mossad agents some to power.
Now you seem to be angry because Iran is "weeding out" the traitors. Gee, last time we were talking about this it was all Uyghur Genocide, where the NED sponsored ETIM was terrorizing Xinjiang. Now that the ETIM is gone, there's no genocide.
Perhaps you weren't around for the hostage situation in the late 70's after the Shah was deposed. Every night for over a year there was a program about it (which morphed into the show Nightline). I said this before in another thread, but if the Iranians had just kicked the US diplomats out nobody would have much cared. As it was, enmity towards Iran was burned deep into the US conciousness.
You are very much mistaken. Americans don’t care about what Iran does except for the propaganda of the “Epstein Class”. The MSM (the dark side) is strong. Americans are too illiterate to care about what happens in Iran. The phony justification about the suppression of women in Afghanistan should make that very clear. Now that the US abandoned it.
(Which explains the Oligarchies “Plan B” of moving to Ukraine.)
I’ve worked with Iranians. Nice guys. Iraqis, not so much. Saudis privileged. The one Turk I knew is probably a general now.
There’s got to be a better label for the evil forces we face than: Oligarch, Epstein Class, banksters, Elite, Deep state. It is an international cabal, but a fractious one that preys upon one another as much as it does people
I realize you believe that you can speak for all Americans. I submit that you are wrong. Most Americans have never met anyone from the middle East -- certainly not to the extent of knowing them -- and thus your impressions of them as people are moot. I was in my late teens during the 'hostage crisis' and my recollection is that that and inflation dominated the news cycle -- impressionable years. People say, ten years younger than myself up to five to ten years older are running the show now. I really don't think they've forgotten. Most Americans don't give affairs in the middle East much thought, but if Iran comes up that is what they remember. They won't shed any tears over Iran. Rightly or wrongly is irrelevant.
It is well known that the vast majority of Americans are stupid. Lead by the nose to participate in sham elections, the outcome of which is determined by the voting machines manufactured by corporations owned by the "Epstein Class". Of course they don't care about Iran.
I gave my -personal- experience with people from the Middle East. Why you seem to think that I tried to apply that experience to all Americans baffles me.
If the one thing you recall about Iran is the Hostage Crisis, then you are a pretty shallow thinker. I understand the terror that the USA inflicted on Iran. I support the removal of the US from Iranian space.
IOW, get over it. Your emotions are being manipulated by the criminal Oligarchy and you can't see it.
. Wesley Clark revealed that weeks after 9/11, he had been shown a classified Pentagon memo outlining plans to “take out seven countries in five years”: Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, and finishing off with Iran. The first six have since been destabilized or regime-changed. Iran, considered the ultimate prize for Middle East dominance and oil control, remains the last one standing.
Why those seven, and why was Iran the ultimate prize? Greg Palast’s 2013 article titled “Larry Summers and the Secret ‘End-Game’ Memo” supplied the missing financial logic. In 1999, the world was opened to unregulated derivatives trading, so that sovereign bonds, oil flows, shipping routes, and war-risk policies could all be collateralized, rehypothecated (pledged multiple times over), and gambled upon. The lynchpin was the 1997 WTO Financial Services Agreement (the Fifth Protocol to GATS), which became operational in 1999.
Leading this band of holdouts was Iran, which since its 1983 Law for Usury-Free Banking Operations has run the world’s only fully interest-free (riba-free) banking regime. Its banks use Sharia-compliant contracts — profit-sharing (musharakah), cost-plus financing (murabaha), and leasing (ijara) — instead of charging or paying interest. This banking model stands in direct contrast to the conventional Western model, which relies on interest as its primary revenue stream and underpins the global derivatives complex with collateralized, rehypothecated debt.
"US support" is not a thing. If you're lucky, you might be able to serve their ends for a time, but the GAE is a fickle beast, and you will be unceremoniously dumped at some future point.
Through jokes, primitive minds develop ideas about all Jewish people being bad. This in turn helps the most aggressive Israelis to play the victim card, something they are proven masters of.
Orban deserves everything bad coming his way, let's be real here.
Who was the biggest bootlicker of Trump and Netanyahu (i.e. the new Hitlers) in Europe? Orban.
People are blinded by Hungary following a somewhat sane policy with respect to Russia and think that just because Orban is "good" on that issue, he is good in general. Nothing of the sort. He turned Hungary into Chabad Central Europe.
For that alone he should fall.
And it's not as if he did anything meaningful to help Russia either, he was just extracting concessions from Europe before going along with all sanction packages and other Russophobic policies.
Also, it quickly turned out to be a total illusion that the Hungarian people are no longer the same Russophobic Nazis that sent the Second Army to pillage Voronezh and fight at Stalingrad. and then did the massacres in 1956, because today in Budapest they were chanting "ruskik haza" ("Russians go home"), i.e. what they were chanting in 1956.
The problem is that in real life the bad guys are not necessarily replace by good guys. More often than not they are replaced by even worse guys...
I agree, but I have to "protect" the Hungarian voters: they are not Nazis, but completely brainwashed idiots. They don't even know what "Nazi" means, nor what "Russians go home". I know, I live among them.
In 2010, Hungarian voters put Viktor Orbán, the leader of the (former SZDSZ) Szadesz worm party, on the throne. They did this because they were fed up with the corruption of the ruling party that lied to them as socialists. They thought that whoever they elected, it couldn't get any worse. They believed in the false promise of accountability. Orbán lured the common people in with benefits, and then gave them what it was all about. Many don't remember the land grabs, the corruption surrounding the construction of fences, the sales of iconic buildings in Budapest. The government connections of dubious figures, the secret service surveillance of the opposition and then the political discrediting. However, despite video recordings, there was never any impeachment, let alone an investigation. The manual control of the tax office. The deliberate destruction of public security. I won't go on, it's clear from this that it wasn't a government, but a mafia in power. Added to this is Hungary's discrediting in international politics with the UN votes against the Gaza ceasefire, which enabled further genocide. Twice. An unparalleled shame in the history of Hungarian statehood, as was the invitation of the internationally wanted head of a racist, genocidal regime. All this without any Hungarian interest being connected to it. We saw Hungarian disinterest in economic policy, which does not deserve this name. Selling out the country to foreign economic and foreign political interests. Just so that corruption can continue. The high school of peasant blindness is shadow boxing against Soros, Brussels or Ukraine, while these have not suffered any reduction in space in the Hungarian political space and receive serious financial support. I will not continue.
Yesterday the same thing happened as in 2010. One mafia gave way to another. The new ones have just as much right to steal, cheat and lie as the previous ones. So there's no need to worry, everything will go on.
The oldest, "least violent" choice in regime change CIA operations. Bring out a so-called scandal of large proportions in public, make it well-known and established, so people will even be scared to think of voting for a pedo or a compulsive rapist or someone who usurped large amounts of money, and you have the "well-thought-out" citizens on your side already. I think this is what happened in Hungary and can still happen anywhere in the EU, to say the least. Media control is extraordinary, and many people fall for this because they don't have much time to read alternative media. Many agents in the media will push such narratives to such an extent that it will be almost impossible to dispute with them, and even if you do, you will be slandered and stigmatised - or even worse- immediately.
But it is the little people we are talking about, or we were. You can play the card of the winning elites like Brian Berletic does, but what you say becomes tautological and uninteresting.
Look up the meaning of tautology. You could also try reading Wittgenstein who is good on what describes or purports to describe reality, and what does not. I know what you want to say. But what are you are saying is that the winners always win!
The ‘Ceasefire Flop’ was clearly a US engineered event. As the attacks on Iran increased so did the unreasonable demands to degrade a large powerful state. First it was a demand for their uranium enrichment programs, and then they were supposed to walk away from missile production and finally hand over their enriched uranium supplies. Iran really was left with no other choice but to revolt and take the Strait as a leverage in the struggle. I would even go as far as declare their fight against US bases in the area as justified self-defense.
Even the Pope sided with Iran. Based on the Just War Theory this war was anything but just.
They start a war. The weaker side - attacked unexpectedly - also defend themselves unexpectedly well.
So then the psychos demand that the VERY COUNTRY THEY ATTACKED WITHOUT WARNING, hand over all the successful defences they came up with.
And they do this with a straight face!
The malignant narcissistic psychopathology is off the scale.
Apparently the "Israelis" have a specific term for this behaviour, which is very prevalent in their national culture. I don't recall what it is now, it's not the yiddish "chutzpah" but an Israeli word.
Makes it so fucking obvious who is really ruling the USA.
Can say this for Trump - he really HAS already "Made Iran Great Again"!
'and finally hand over their enriched uranium supplies'
Vance in the video is running circles around the Lebanon issue not mentioning the enriched uranium stored some place by Iran. The fact is that the Uranium is their highest priority as it can be turned into a dozen entry level nuclear bombs in a month or two.
According to Alex Krainer, the US has been bombing the north / south rail line between Tehran and Xinjiang province.
This is going to really piss off the chinese, who spent a LOT of money and time building that line, and it is disastrous for iran because they were counting on that rail line for lots of revenue.
It is nothing but a bald-faced power play stalling tactic on behalf of the UK / US axis, which is still a maritime power (fully financed and executed by the US but partially on behalf of its british "ally")
UK? This is purely an American clusterfuck. The UK’s enthusiasm for the US has long gone. The polling shows the British public does not support this war of Netanyahu and Trump’s.
You must be a charming fellow to work with. I can imagine you bring much joy to many people blessed by your presence, your charisma, profound intellect and charm.
I'm sure as many people are impressed by your pompous inability to handle a few swear words like a mature adult could.
Oh, and btw, as a respected educator for some decades, I can also inform you that EVERY SINGLE STUDY has shown that those who regularly swear usually have a LARGER vocabulary than the average, and are more trusted in society than uptight sunday school style moralisers.
Because if you can't even find it in yourself to swear over the Epstein Saga and what it has revealed, let alone what is happening in Gaza fx... well, let's say that it's probably not those swearing about those events that are the real problem, tbh.
I am very suspicious of people using capitals ... not a great look. As "a respected educator" you will be only too well aware that swearing in a classroom or (in my case a lecture theatre) generally gets you the sack. Swearing, particularly by someone like yourself claiming intellectual superiority, diminishes you. That is your choice.
I missed the deleted tweet by the Pakistani Prime Minister. It is also worth mentioning two other "mysterious"/interesting tweets by the Pakistani Defense Minister, Khawaja Muhammad Asif and his colleague Ishaq Dar, Pakistan’s Foreign Minister before the negotiations took place. For more details see my articles:
Yes Feral. Even now, two and a half years after watching the heartbreaking horrors of a live streamed genocide, still going on and being joined by many others.
It brings back the lyrics of a Pete Seeger song from long ago - "Oh When will you ever learn? Oh When will you ever learn?"
(Where have all the flowers gone? Long time passing......They've gone to graveyards every one...Graveyards, They're covered with flowers every one...)
I would say too many never learn. You've learned. I've learned. Countless people have learned. It takes a lot of work to throw off decades upon decades of conditioning and propaganda, esp in the US. Don't give up on the human race yet. To quote another great writer: "It was the best of times; it was the worst of times." If we didn't keep on keeping on we wouldn't be on these substacks.
It's like the cantina scene in 1977 Star Wars where Han Solo shot Greedo under the table. Except this time Trump is playing Han Solo and instead of shooting the Iranian negotiator with a laser blaster he used a water pistol.
It's more like the Return of the Jedi where two of the emperor's "finest legions" get their asses thoroughly kicked by a bunch of furry pot roasts with legs.
How many assassinations of US and Israeli politicians and oligarchs have we seen? None.
How many major US ships have they sunk? None.
The exchange ratio is not at all favorable to Iran at the moment, and the other side has 20 times more stuff to begin with.
And it's clear that Iran is still holding back, which is the most troubling part. Iran can fire a lot more and hit sensitive sites that have not been touched, but has not done it, meaning it is "managing escalation" long past the moment of no return. Which is how you lose. And is usually a sign of someone looking for a surrender deal, not victory...
And where is Iran's promised retaliation against US and Israeli schools? I also get the sense more gulf monarchies' hydrocarbon industry has been hit than Israeli industry. And Netanyahu has promised Israel will be the new center for Middle East energy exports.
I would think any long term Iranian victory would require a complete change of the Iraqi government. I haven't heard much in this regard even though Iraq just elected a new president. Although it's possible Western media is hiding information about Iraqi politics.
I did not say a symmetry of response. Sorry if my phrase implied it. The reaction is in value not in kind. Iran had fought asymmetrically, has had to, from the get go. Very effectively too.
People in a lock-down are physically safe, often far safer than they are under conditions of physical freedom. Physical safety is much overrated as any sort of aspiration. For elites, relevancy is the key. An elite can find itself floating free of its relevancy, which means power. We are watching this emerge in real time, as in the dwindling relevancy-power of europe as a bloc to the extent that who cares now that Orban lost? It presents nothing more than a new headache for broke europe- having Hungary cheerleading spending the EU cannot afford. Watch what happens to Israel as its relevancy fades.
Was Sam Altman's home bombed by a discontented American?
How can we be sure that the "unidentified suspect" wasn't hired by the FBI. Now the elite have another reason to support ICE.
As long as 40% of American Billionaires are Jews, Israel will always be relevant. How is it that they still have the weapons they need to commit the atrocities they do. How does their economy hold together. The Billionaire Jews (and for that matter all Billionaires, although they may not strongly support Israel) are pushing a "gang war", they've "gone to the mattresses."
"This" will not stop as long as Israel exists. Unless the GCC figures out that the petrodollar is dead, long live the petroyuan, and kicks the US out. And Iraq joins with Turkey (Turkey is suppose to be Israel's next victim) Israel will remain.
There's nothing to be gained by a "symmetrical" response at this time. Stop thinking you know better how to prosecute this campaign (or Ukraine) than the people making the decisions. The fact that jsarnak so easily dismisses Berletic shows you guys are failing to see the bigger picture.
I seem to have no problem integrating Berletic with Simplicius with Ritter with Stanislaw with Crooke. They're all looking at events in their own way.
The only one that I'll call out as "flat wrong" is MacGregor because of his insistence that Israel controls US policy. He has no concept of Good's tripartite state. He doesn't understand the power behind the throne(s). Berletic doesn't name that power, but they are the ones who finance the think tanks that Berletic reads and explains.
With that being said, the general consensus here seems to be that replacing Trump will matter. The war might stop, there might be a retreat to the Western Hemisphere, but the Epstein Class has a plan for that. There's a paper somewhere describing their next step.
If the Oligarchy is not removed, if the banksters are not imprisoned, it the billionaires don't have their wealth confiscated, if capitalism is allowed to continue -- there is no hope.
"Iran can fire a lot more and hit sensitive sites that have not been touched, but has not done it, meaning it is "managing escalation" long past the moment of no return. Which is how you lose. And is usually a sign of someone looking for a surrender deal, not victory..."
wow, you are quite the strategist - in your own mind
You don't know WHAT "iran can do" or can't, so why pretend that you know?
This was never untended as a serious negotiation. The WH Zio-controllers were unhappy with Vance's position on the Iran War.
So he was sent to be the face of failure in both Hungary and Pakistan. He fell for it and now has a "loser" tag on his forehead. Rubio will be the anointed one for 2028.
I love the symbolism of this going on during the 250th year anniversary of the nation. 250 is also the number historians say is the average age of countries and Empires.
In other news, Orban is gone, Germany will draft men up to aged 45, the EU wants to build more nukes, and the French Carrier in the Eastern Med is doing recon flights both for Ukraine and USIsrael. There is no evidence of any movement towards using the 25th Amendment in the US or decreasing the Epstein coalition's control of the US. El Pais published Amanda Ungaro's interview with all of the mentions of Melania's history and DJT's pedophilia redacted.
Yes! We are dealing with an energy war on a global footing. The last time was when the US denied the Japanese energy with an oil embargo...and we all know how that turned out.
Trump hated it that the rest of the world was ponying up to get their vessels through and did not care enough to get on board with his war. If he and his buddy Israel can't have free passage, no one can. It is school yard stuff. But with big bombs and missiles instead of footballs. Still, as he keeps finding out (who knew), those can travel both ways.
It's not schoolyard stuff, there are decades of planning behind these actions.
Never underestimate the enemy.
I am starting to increasingly see much of the alt-media as an elaborate psy-op installed to achieve exactly that effect in the countries the US has designated for destruction, because for some reason the Western alt-media does have influence there, especially in Russia. RT carries that kind of nonsense about how the Americans are some kind of doofuses all the time
Dear GM, you got it. In the US all of the ex-Fox stars who were ‘fired’ REMAIN on the payrolls of a Fox spinoff media company and are continuing to do the bidding of zio-nazi Rupert Murdoch. ALL of it FAKE…somehow people don’t get this. 99.5% of everything, to include this blog and manyl of the comments, are ‘informed’ by piles of steaming bullshit. WAKE UP - it’s 5th gen warfare.
Let's all agree that Trump is not playing 5-D chess. I prefer to think of him as the demented showman playing the role of some deformed and disfigured overweight minority tranny we see on the side of the screen interpreting for the deaf what the speaker is saying. Of course the crude hand gestures and pantomimes bear only an attenuated relationship to what is actually said and if a deaf person were forced to translate it back into English we would see what a sham the whole translation is. That said, the fact that Trump is not the actor does not mean that there is no geopolitical actor with a genuine strategy and Richard Medhurst does a remarkably good job at deciphering what at least part of the US long-range strategy appears to be. His account explains why Trump must block the Strait, why the USA need not rebuild the bases to dominate, and why the backyard (oil) imperialism may be the engine for a renewed petrodollar.
The Petrogas-Dollar: The Secret US Strategy Behind the Iran War
Wow, that Medhurst piece is extremely good, if very depressing. Just when you thought the Empire had made a terrible miscalculation for the benefit of The Zionist Entity alone, it turns out (at least on Medhurst's analysis, with which I find little to disagree) that it is all part of a much longer-term and wider plan which the US is currently winning hand over fist. And it's also clear that Trump and his band of incompetent Z bagmen are not the hands pulling the levers.
Sooner or later Russia and China have to do something about the situation, to avoid death by a thousand cuts. For Europe it's already far too late.
Unfortunately, I don't see it all ending other than by a major war.
Trump is the heel in wrestling, hired by wealthy owners to carry out a carefully constructed plan.
Greater Israel is the plan, and a world divided between East and west. A rising East will displace a falling West, even as the West (i.e. the U.S.) consolidates power in its sphere (e.g. controlling Venezuela). My prediction is many of the gulf monarchies, Iraq, India, Pakistan, South Korea, Japan, and others come under the Eastern sphere of influence. It makes more sense that this is Trump's plan rather than maintaining U.S. hegemony over these countries. The actions (and obvious results) speak louder than words.
Greater Israel is a secondary issue. The issue is the WEF and Krapivnik's explanation of the "Golden Billion". Why people object is beyond me. They've been telling you for generations that this was the goal.
Thank you M Green. I watched that recently and agree. It is very easy to see every point of conflict as a separate issue, whilst they are all connected with the common denominator being the US of A. This has been in the making for several decades now. Brian Berletic does a good job of rehashing the 21st century and giving an overview of US terrorism - which is essentially their strategy. https://youtu.be/NEvB7l-APBw?si=Oa0qOwROaIsqeBV2
Medhurst's analysis is absolutely spot on. He ties it together amazingly well. And his statement that China is the ultimate target absolutely supports Berletic. In fact, "Everybody" knows China is the threat being countered.
Ritter was optimistic a few days ago speaking how China was pressuring Iran for the ceasefire. After Medhurst, I think it wasn't "pressure" so much as an acknowledgement of what Medhurst is talking about and trying to determine a way to counter that thrust.
Let's be clear, Trump isn't an idiot but this is NOT Trump's plan. The "Public State" (Good's tripartite state) has been given a task to accomplish. Trump will remain in power as long as he is seen to be accomplishing that task. Medhurst's report says Trump is excelling.
The USA has been losing wars since WWII, but the "Epstein Class" (which includes the Rothschilds) doesn't care as long as they gain more and more control over the world's resources.
Trump isn't playing 5D chess, the Epstein Class is. Capital is winning. Unless Capital is destroyed, all is lost.
Here’s the compliment to Medhurst. It suggests the breakdown of the world’s economies. Krapivnik’s “Golden Billion” may be realized. The Oligarchy wants us dead.
China is not Venezuela. If the US is crazy/stupid enough to hijack or sink Chinese tankers, the response will be major and irreversible.
The China-flagged crude/oil tanker fleet is relatively small compared with flags like Panama, Liberia or Singapore, but they do exist. Flagging is largely a financial matter, the popular choices are cheap and easy. If one 'Singapore' flagged tanker is stopped, heaps of operators will switch their flag to the one with a credible navy - that could happen overnight.
Have another look. China has a pretty impressive navy, the largest in the world by vessel count and is a very lethal force. They savagly beat the USA in Korea and Vietnam in those proxy wars before modernizing their military. When or if China decides to act, I honestly don't think the USA will have a prayer. North Korea has 80 subs, China about the same and don't forget for a microsecond that when the shit hits the fan, Russia will show up aligned with China. Who is going to have Americas back ? The USA is bankrupt now in any event.
True the USA has tremendous debt, but watch the Medhurst video and you'll have to think otherwise about "bankrupt".
It is the "Average American" who is bankrupt.
Anybody? For starters, Russia and North Korea have.
The operation in Venezuela was mainly directed against China, now we just don't know what will her answer could be to the blockade of their imports from the Gulf.
Up to now, the Chinese strategy has been to avoid any conflict, because their leadership thinks that they are getting stronger while the US is in crisis. Time runs in their favour
That fabian strategy will change when the risk of doing nothing is more acute than the risk of responding.
Finally one must not fall in the common mistake of
comparing navies.
One does not need an aircraft carrier to fight an aircraft carrier or any surface vessel.
The game is know aircraft carriers and other surface vessels against observation satellites and flights of long range aviation shooting salvos of missiles. Also antiship missiles launched from submarines.
I do not forsee a naval battle however.
May be the answer will be in the realm of finances and the economy.
"The People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) operates over 787 ships, making it the largest navy in the world by the number of vessels. This fleet includes various types of ships such as aircraft carriers, destroyers, frigates, and submarines"
It can build a ship in months, not the US years or even decades.
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/reboot/china-building-warships-faster-america-can-understand-189516
China will do not such thing, even if they could.
China just wants to sell things and make money.
Quite a few of dry and liquid haulers that transited during the last active phase of the war were China flagged, yeah.
IIRC, yes, at least some of these tankers are China-flagged.
There shall be no response.
Also, Iran has meaningful control over the Hormuz only as long as there is an active war.
People are talking about this without knowing the basic facts.
There is a pipeline across Saudi Arabia with 7M bpd capacity, i.e. practically all of Saudi exports, that goes to Yanbu on the Red Sea. Guess why it was built?
And there is a pipeline across the UAE to Fujarah on the Gulf of Oman. Guess why that one was bult too...
This leaves only Kuwaiti, Iraqi and Qatari exports as truly stranded.
But more pipelines will be built if necessary, and then Qatari LNG and fertilizers are the only things left stranded inside the Persian Gulf.
Iran controlling the Hormuz gives them leverage only as long as the war continues and they and the Houthis can keep striking at the pipelines and the production facilities. Once there is somewhat stable peace it will be all bypassed and they will be left with just the destruction on their own territory and little in terms of tolls to pay for it.
In theory the Iranians and Houthis should be able to hit these pipelines, and also disrupt energy resources in the Mediterranean (e.g. Israeli offshore drilling), as well as Azerbaijan and Turkey.
If Iran and Russia were both serious about defending themselves against the West they would jointly take over Azerbaijan to ensure the flow of energy to Asia and to strengthen their partnership. And Russia would be refusing to sell energy to Europe and maybe even blowing up a pipeline or two.
Yeah, but they are not doing that, are they...
I think they hit a Saudi pumping station on the 7mbpd pipeline but in general, no, they are not.
I was talking about your second paragraph
Azerbaijan likely assassinated Raisi. However, it is under Turkish protection, and making an enemy of Turkey would be costly.
The pipeline capacity is 7 MBPD. The loading terminal at Yanbu has a max capacity of 4.5 MBP. Saudi's normal oil export is around 10 MBPD. So at best, Saudi revenues are 40% of normal and their budget needs 105%.
Saudi production is 10M bpd.
Subtract internal consumption from that and you get 7M bpd left for export. The Saudis are not exactly frugal with their internal oil consumption
You wrote that the Saudi's can ship 7 MBPD using the pipeline to Yanbu. I'm just pointing out that the number of barrels they can actually export is limited by the loading capacity of the terminal, which is 4.5 MBPD.
No doubt work will occur to expand the terminals capacity, but I would expect that to be an effort of at least months not days.
But your point about 7 MBPD is well taken. After checking, 7-7.5 MBPD is their actual export capacity, so if Yanbu is actually able to load 4.5 MBPD it represents 60%+ of normal. Maybe with higher prices it even gets their budget close to balance ?
I wasn't contradicting your point about the Yanbu export capacity, I wasn't aware of that. I always assumed if they built a 7M bpd pipeline, then there is also the capacity to export it on the other side. Good to know.
Agree. It is more intentional than despair behind these measures.
The railroad is in place, but yeah, it can't carry the inventory ships do.
...
I have to say, Iran should be insisting these negotiations to be held with israel, not the US. It is, and always has been, that the US has to run to israel for instruction. The US should be ignored as they hold no negotiating power.
Victory!
And what is a dybbuk?
It means golem. It is also covid spelled backwards.
No, it is not a golem.
Close enough, Kushner is made of clay
they are simply obfuscating their actual simple moves at every step
covid spelled backwards.
LOL
not a golem. A golem is created by man
A Dybbuk is an evil spirit that can take over a body when the original owner dies
So Trump IS dead! I knew it!
A Jewish demon, although Jewish lore would have them disembodied souls. It is the idea of the dybukk that counts here, though, not its source, the idea that a kind of Israeli inspired malice is inhabiting the White House empty suits.
Yes, and its name is Trump.
My guess is Trump would be a sitting ducks for a dybbuk.
Him and the DOZENS of dual passport and Christian Zionists behind him... Chip
That's right. FYI, there is play of the same name that gets performed still from time-to-time, originally written during WW1:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Dybbuk
"It supposedly leaves the host body once it has accomplished its goal, sometimes after being exorcised," according to various sources cited in Wikipedia.
I had to look that one up also. It's a Jewish demon spirit that possesses Jews and can only be removed via an exorcism.
Like you, I almost always learn new words from Simplicius 😂
He's definately got a thesaurus at hand. Can you imagine having dinner or drinks with him ?
No problem, we'll ask GM, assisted by Denis, to perform this exorcism.
I went to wordhippo.com. A dybbuk is a devil, demon, fiend, hellhound.
Dybbuk is pronounced DIB-buk. Dyb pronounced just as you would say the word dib, and buk just as you would say the word buck.
Or 'fuck' if you are a rather trashy geezer like meself.
Some of us pronounce it "faaark"...
https://youtube.com/shorts/Ysl_hVMwdZs?si=La0nvcdS-NNS1e2B
Instead of blaming Kushner of all the bad things the US President, Congress and Administration manages to walk into, one should ask the question if US has turned to a giant Golem.
watch "A Serious Man" by the Coen brothers
I remember the main plot and character well but had completely forgot about that opening scene...
https://youtu.be/aFpn3Cv2CE4
Time for a rewatch.
You mean WHO is?
:)
@abcdefg
Dybbuk is an unquiet Jewish ghost with a message or something it wants to accomplish still in the physical world that hangs around instead of moving on to heaven, hell, reincarnation or whatever.
A dybbuk possesses people and speaks through them in order to get something it couldn't finish in life done, like a Jewish spieler that won't quit after end of business hours.
This kind of possession would explain Trump's wild fulmination & rambling about as well as schizophrenia, Adderall + Xanax abuse and senior dementia.
There is no point in 'talking' to either country. 1st blow Israel up then talk!
But...but...wouldn't that be anti-Semitic?!
Anti Zionist filth.
Stop holding back, tell us what you REALLY think.
Is it forbidden not to love Shem? Noah surely beat him; was he anti-Semitic?
@E H
Shem didn't listen when Noah explained to Ham why you can't bugger hedgehogs. That's why his foreskin was so damaged it needed to be amputated...
----------
Old Noah was mucking the Ark out one day,
When he heard a great shriek from the neighbouring stall.
Said he to poor Ham, who was hugging his loins,
"Ah, the hedgehog, my boy, can't be buggered at all."
"The humans are out, if you value your life:
It's incest, my son, since we're relatives all...
Unless you'd make love to your very own wife!
But the hedgehog can never be buggered at all.
Bestiality sure is a fun thing to do,
But I have to say this as a warning to you:
With almost all animals, you can have ball,
But the hedgehog can never be buggered at all."
"The spines on his back are too sharp for a man,
They'll give you a pain in the worst place they can.
The result I think you'll find will appal:
For the hedgehog can never be buggered at all."
You can sodomise goats, you can bugger a bull,
Or ream out the hole of a deer with your tool,
The ass in its stable, the ox in its stall,
But the hedgehog can never be buggered at all.
The sheep is a classic, as well you may find,
Of the donkey, be wary when standing behind.
You can bugger the cow, (I will not tell you how),
And the boar, the piglet, the shoat and the sow.
If you're feeling quite coarse, you can bugger the horse,
The pony, the mare, and the stallion of course.
You can bugger alpacas when chained to the wall,
But the hedgehog you never can bugger at all.
The spines on his back are so awfully thick,
You'll end up with naught but a pincushion prick.
He has an impregnable hole in a ball,
Hence the hedgehog can never be buggered at all!
Between Shem trying to sodomize the hedgehog and Taco thinking he's Christ... So, if Shem sodomized the hedgehog, are the 12 Jewish tribes 12 tribes of hedgehogs? I don't like hedgehogs, I'm discovering I'm anti-Semitic. I'm also discovering that the father of LGBTQ+ rights and bestiality is this same Shem.
Even simpler, take out those who established it as essentially their private country & peopled it with those whom they'd traumatized by their fully-intentional holocaust.
I do hope you recognised farce...
And I agree with you - destroy israel first and then Trump and his genocidal maniacs won't have anything to fight for and peace would break out all over the world.
Israel is America's proxy. The American Oligarchy is really who Iran needs to negotiate with -- except they have determined that they will be satisfied only with Iran's complete destruction.
I guess a molotov cocktail was hurled at one billionaires home. I wonder if it might have been a false flag to provide a better narrative for ICE. Like the Reichstag fire.
"Israel is America's proxy." It's the other way around... Chip
I am so damn tired of explaining this.
You think the "Public State" is in charge. You have no idea who the Rothschilds are and how Epstein was their agent. You don't have any grasp at all of the true nature of Capitalism.
If you like, I'll grant that the "Epstein Class" controls both the US and Israel. I'll even throw in the EU, Japan, SE Asia, Australia, NZ
But the tail does not wag the dog.
Just how many times do I have to point you to Aaron Good before you finally check him out so you can understand the players?
The Rothschilds were responsible for the establishment of isarel using zionism with an ultimate goal of controlling ME energy resources. They put America under the control of zionists at all levels to make sure that America, being the strong arm of the world, would insure that israel was protected.
Are you negotiating with the guy who's harassing you in the street? You don't negotiate, you respond and send him to the hospital.
Sure, if you're Clint Eastwood or that guys name I don't recall who starred in an abduction movie. Or maybe Mike from Better Call Saul.
But Mike has the patience. So...
Or you could buy yourself a set of testicles.
Then you are a bully. IF you can't talk then walk away.
Sending him to the hospital??
You must be an American.
I'm dismembered. I misspoke, my apologies. Send him to the hospital, dismembered, or disabled, if you prefer. If I were American, I wouldn't be here anymore, I would have committed suicide at age 4. No, I'm from the old world, decrepit.
Iran doesn't recognize Israel as a state.
Neither does the US have the power to negotiate. So what to do?
Continue the war, I think and destroy israel.
Their system that gives them so much power over the world needs to be destroyed. The process is underway but its a long slow grind. I think Iran should have focused more on destroying infrastructure of Israel over Gulf states though I understand that most attacks were meant to hurt US/globalist investments. Unfortunately Israel seems to retain all its offensive airpower. Were their jets and ammunition storage even targeted? There's no use negotiating with either.
For such a small country their air force is massive. Yes, Several of their ammunition dumps, jet fuel storage tanks airports, planes and major command/control centres lost. Plus huge other damage. Frankly, I don't know how they are still able to attack on multiple fronts. When the child-killers start bombing again, I think Iran is prepared to inflict even more damage, perhaps even to the point severely crippling the regime.
As for the Gulf states, they brought it on themselves - they allowed the Americans bases and flyovers and encouraged them to attack. These are "royal" regimes that act against the interests of their people and most are hated by them - this might even result in their removal from power.
Trump is such a doofus. It’d be funny if it wasn’t so sad.
No, it was funny during the first term.
Now it is dead serious and very ugly. Trump is acting exactly like the second coming of Hitler, and somehow only Mearsheimer dares bring that up.
For the alt-media there is an explanation -- their business model was based for so many years on carrying water for Trump as some kind of an "alternative", if they were to turn around and call him out for being the new Hitler, they would lose subscribers and views, and that is bad for business. Mearsheimer doesn't depend on such revenue streams so he can speak his mind. Thus you see many people twisting themselves into pretzels trying to explain how Trump really isn't that bad and wasn't always like that, it is the people who are influencing him that are responsible. But that is not an excuse.
More like Churchill than Hitler.
Churchill was a genocidal maniac, but not openly so.
With Hitler it was open.
And so it is with Trump and the Israelis
Nazis tried to keep the genocides (of Ashkenazs, of Russians, of etc) under a carpet, they removed some evidence, they didn't make public their goal. Israel do, beasts like Smotrich openly boast of exterminating populations.
Racial supremacy was openly embraced though.
Here it is more of the inverse -- the genocide is openly embraced, the supermacist thinking underneath is kept more hidden
When was the "exceptionalism" of the "indispensable nation" pursuing its God-given "manifest destiny" ever hidden?
HolocaustHandbooks.com
Hellstorm The Movie
It was soviet Union in ww2 not Russia , though Russians were caught up in the war.
Genrikh Yagoda a jew murdered 10 million
I would qualify that by noting that Churchill presided over the Bengali famine of 1943 which led to the deaths of 3 million so I would say he was a genocidal maniac like Trump.
Any thoughts about Yagoda (Yenokh Iyeguda), Kaganovich, Zemlyachka (Rozalia Zalkind), Goloschyokin (Shaya Itsikovich) and similar jewish mass murderers whose exploits sill are not widely known in the collective west?
These supremacist genociders were set on destroying the Russian civilization by murdering en masse the best and brightest among people of the Russian Empire.
A sample: "Goloschokin played a deadly role in the Kazakh famine [Goloschokin genocide] of 1932–1933, in which 1.5 million people died, of whom 1.3 million were ethnic Kazakhs."
Another sample: "Ms. Zemlyachka (Rozalia Zalkind) was a merciless and power-crazy woman who worked as a Chekist in the Crimea together with two other Jewish serial killers, Bela Kun and Boris Feldman... 
Leon Trotsky (Bronstein) personally gave Bela Kun orders to shoot 40,000 captured officers in the Crimea (this is confirmed by historic documents republished by Dagens Nyheter in November 1993)."
1) If the Russian Empire was such a great place, it wouldn't have collapsed, and there would have been no revolutionary movement
2) Collectivization and industrialization were an absolute necessity, and there was no time left to do them gradually. Stalin was willing to pay the cost of doing it by force, and was proven right -- in 1929 he said "we have a decade to make up what we lag behind by a century, or we will be destroyed in the coming war".
3) The purges were also a necessity as part of the preparation for the war.
You saw none of the kind of shit that has been happening inside Iran in the last few years during the GPW in the USSR, because all unreliable elements had been purged. With a lot of collateral damage, but again, that was a price Stalin was willing to pay.
Meanwhile what did Putin do knowing that another big war is coming and he had to similarly prepare for it? Nothing
One more time, do you have any thoughts about Yagoda (Yenokh Iyeguda), Kaganovich, Zemlyachka (Rozalia Zalkind), Goloschyokin (Shaya Itsikovich) and similar jewish mass murderers whose exploits sill are not widely known in the collective west?
Here for you some useful educational material: https://www.unz.com/article/why-are-jews-exempt-from-being-called-to-account-for-the-crimes-of-the-bolsheviks/
Also, it is obvious you have never heard about "zemstvo" and Stolypin.
Yes ,Stalin was right regarding the industrialisation of the country and things need to be further contextualised vis-a-vis hostile environment, they were invaded after all.
However, if you measure in terms of fatalities, Stalin is nowhere near Putin. And he did no have to deal with crazies with nukes. Lets not forget about that.
Also, Putin did not get boinked by Anglos and is cleaning Stalin's and Khrushchev's poop, since they did not handle Banderites properly.
being a maritime power, britain always resorted to blockades
I am so fucking glad britain is finished as a great power
too bad it has managed to take the US down with it
But they remain extremely powerful and mischievous in the western intelligence network, always working in the background to cause trouble between countries.
We are not called "Perfidious Albion" for nothing.
I have been preaching that here and elsewhere for ages now.
And then we get clowns like "osman" talking shit about how "the brits have no effect any more, the british empire doesn't exist... bla bla bla."
56 members in the Commonwealth and 15 that recognize the king of england as their liege.
Symbolic only, there is no transfer of wealth or power.
Finance, banking, and MI6 is where they are still dangerous... Chip
British strategy is to stir up trouble so that the Americans will get involved and then the british can show the Americans who their loyalest little bitch is, standing shoulder to kneecap with the Americans all stirring and brave.
Britain is working behind every country still to cause chaos. It is still perfidious Albion.
Alastair Crooke former mI6 expert on Iran and Shia and Sunni Muslims now living in Italy -very well worth listening to for the straight scoop- his wife translates the Israeli papers from Hebrew for a more complete picture from there to assist him.
Jiang Xueqin the game theory guy is also worth reading and interesting.
The ex CIA Larry Johnson, voted for Trump as did Napolitano - they parse old DJT’s words like words from on high - like reading tea leaves looking for some sort of wisdom or sense. They are pundits who have lost their way and have become celebrities. While DJT is frittering away your/our retirement and your children’s futures.
We are a vassal state for Israel. There will be great blowback from losing control of the ME GCC- it will take years to repair and many countries, possibly including the US, will suffer greatly - Trump is 79 he won’t survive to see his actions rectified in his lifetime.What legacy? Infamy of Trump.
I never looked into Alastair's background, just blindly accepting the common description of his background as a former British diplomat - it seems 'diplomat' is a truly misleading label. Now I wonder if he still is affiliated with MI6 - you know what they say - once an intelligence officer, always an intelligence officer.
I have watched Jiang several times, and though he approaches things from a different direction, I haven't really heard anything from him that most of us had already predicted. OTOH, perhaps I missed something - I've been known to do that (quite often, if I cared to admit it).
If you carefully listen to what he says, he has no clue what is going on.
His technical details are laughably wrong a lot of the time, and when someone is so bad on the technical details, you just can't take him seriously on anything else, regardless of what mythical "sources" he might be having access to.
A lot of the "experts" are like that. Larry Johnson is another one, though not as bad, because he does seem to know the stuff he himself was doing with special ops. But outside of that, i.e. when it comes to Russian and Iranian military technology, he is completely clueless.
At some point people spend so much time doing podcasts that they no longer have any time informing themselves about what they are talking about.
Johnson was a "terrorist hunter" during his tenure at CIA, at least for part of it.
a "terror threat" that was totally manufactured by the UK / US intelligence community
Johnson HATES trump and it is obvious - he is totally biased and resorts to standard propaganda tactics constantly on his site and in his "dialogues" and podcasts... his shit is pathetically weak and his followers pathetically weak-minded children, either middle-aged democrats or teenagers.
I suspect Johnson is himself a closet democrat
He voted for Trump, like most of these American pundits. But then again, what was the alternative.
Kamala would escalate in Ukraine, he is escalating in Iran.
Thus, you think Mario Awful is a genius.
I've just cancelled my free substack subscription to Mr Johnson. I can't comment on it anymore because one has to be a paid subscriber. I followed him because I liked his Ukraine commentary. But on Iran he seems a bit slanted. Always believes everything coming out of Iran while taking every opportunity to slam President Trump. At times I think he appears fascinated that the US Govt and Armed Forces haven't told them all their plans.
I was running some data on one of the Chinese AIs, Dola, and I came across some info that he was involved in the creation of a mujahideen pipeline from Afghanistan to Chechnya, before the first Chechen war. Under the cover of "European envoy" and there was another CIA dude that was using the OSCE cover.
Info supposedly from some declassified FSB file or part of the file, but I cannot find the file.
"FSB Declassified Files: Directing Salafi Infiltration (1996–2000)
FSB Operational Report № 019/IS (1997, declassified 2013)
o Confirms U.S. CIA, British MI6, and Turkish MIT ran a joint program to replace Sufi Chechen nationalism with Salafi jihadism.
o Documents the smuggling of Arab Salafi volunteers (from Afghanistan, Saudi Arabia, Jordan) via Georgia (Pankisi Gorge) and Azerbaijan.
o Names key handlers: CIA officer Michael Springate (cover: OSCE) and MI6 agent Alastair Crooke (cover: EU envoy) who coordinated with Saudi intelligence to bring in Khattab (Habib Abdurrahman) and Abu al Valid (Aziz al Gamdi).
o Explicit goal: “Radicalize the insurgency, provoke Russia into over reaction, and split Chechen society along Sufi Salafi lines.”
Translated from Chinese into English.
Checked some archives but cannot find this document. Maybe Russian friends could help. wink, wink
FWIW, you might find Aaron Good's interviews with Gary Vogler on the secret pipeline that went from Iraq to Haifa interesting. It seems that was the objective of Bush's war with Iraq.
He got caught out once and I esteemed him so much. He wants Iran to lose.
An interesting 2009 article about Mr Crooke:
https://www.ft.com/content/99339144-d53f-11dd-b967-000077b07658
Seems to have a pay wall.
Hmmmmn, it doesn't for me.
What might that mean?
I don't subscribe to the Financial Times.
Crooke has interesting stuff.
There's a YouTube, about 30 minutes long, debunking Xueqin's credentials. I don't find his theory credible, but mostly because he's boring.
Johnson and Napolitano haven't been "parsing" DJT for some time now. But Kraiiner finally abandoned ship last week.
The USA is NOT a vassal state for Israel. But the full explanation of the relationship is very complicated so unless one recognized the power of the "man behind the curtain" which is the Epstein class, the king, which controls the US government, the queen, one might think that Israel, a castle, is the more powerful.
The Krapivnik video I posted has some insights into how this works.
Actually, all this talk of a vassal state relationship between the US and Israel, and vice versa, is nonsense. It's much simpler: the donors are mostly Jewish. You're taking their money; it's not free.
That's what I thought I said. :-)
"Jiang Xueqin the game theory guy is also worth reading and interesting."
The fake "professor" knows how to pander to a select audience in order to maximize views and channel monetization. That is the only game theory at play there.
Here's the video that seems to demolish Jiang Xueqin
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tSiS-8Msn1I
https://youtu.be/vTcL8-_uWcY?si=C1tyT7FoMcrrq8H0
Here is another good one.
GM, you bring up a valid point about the influencers around Trump. Candace Owens said that some of them are "certifiable lunatics", and then put a spotlight on Laura Loomer. Here Candace talks about her, and shows a clip of Loomer's podcast:
https://rumble.com/v78bxy4-an-open-letter-to-president-donald-trump-my-response-candace-ep-322.html?start=2130
I in no way make any excuse for DJT's abhorrent words and loco actions...with people like Loomer whispering into his ear, it's like pouring gasoline onto a wildfire.
"Trump is acting exactly like the second coming of Hitler"
yep because it ALWAYS has to default to WWII and Hitler
turn off the Fucking TV for god's sake
Nobody else has combined an actually acted on quest for global dominance with a supermacist theory and genocidal intent. You only get that with Hitler as an individual leader. Sure, the British and the Americans were doing that too long before Hitler, but it was stretched out over time and not concentrated in the same way.
The Trump/Netanyahu combo is the first time we have it in a similar form since Hitler, so it's a perfectly valid comparison
the british and americans CREATED and helped FINANCE Hitler!!!!
read some damned history and turn off the fucking History Channel even though it's Nazi week (again)
I don't disagree here -- the goal was to use the Nazis to destroy the Soviets. And it worked, though with a 50-year delay.
But that doesn't change the fact that the Nazis were Nazis.
the brits created and financed the Bolsheviks, too. Along with american financiers
the British embassy in Moscow was a hotbed of revolutionary activity before the revolution happened, as reported by the wife of one of the czar's Grand Duke brothers... just as they incited and supported the revolutionaries in France as reported by Thomas Jefferson who was american ambassador to france at the time.
read "How the British created Communism and blamed it on the jews..." very enlightening. author: Richard Poe
"alt-media"?
Is this some meaningless term like "liberal"?
Where the definition is arbitrary and the listener is free to choose whatever comes to mind?
We agree on something again! I guess on things where we disagree we're not in completely opposite corners... Chip
Is it so complicated to recognize that someone is suffering from alienation and dementia? I suggest you visit an asylum and find an alibi for every lunatic you see there.
Stop the Hitler crap. No brown shirts on the streets but Antifa and they are communists. Hitler would not have allowed that. People in the streets for No Kings when A king would not allow that.
I love Simp but I think he has the right idea but is thinking too small.
In Trumps mind maga is about America first. In Trumps mind, getting tossed out of NATO is a massive win and hard for the incoming Democratic party to undo. He will probably burn down the bases in Europe if someone else does not do it first. The middle eastern bases are already torched.
Want Europe and the Gulf Countries to pick up their own defense? Get Iran to burn it all down and leave the Pakistani, Saudi, Kuwaiti, Irani and the Israeli to all battle it out.
Does anyone really believe aircraft carriers are the future of warfare when you can send drones and rockets in such large numbers, even Yemen can do it? So he is using up his stock of horses and cavalry so he can build up industry to a war footing.
Just look at a photo of all those empty tankers flooding into the Gulf of Mexico/America. Look at Chubb selling maritime insurance and moving into Londons monopoly.
Lets see what global trade looks like in two years. It will not be the same.
War has changed and Trump just kicked out the table. Just imagine Trump with a folding chair swinging it at some wrestler. This is going to be wild.
I dont understand why asia and europe are just sitting there letting this happen. Their economies are going to really get the worst of this, and they appear willing to allow american perfidity and imperialism to set the table.
Well, do you HONESTLY think that all those American military bases in those countries are actually to defend them?
Let alone the $Bns spent every year to interfere in their elections, and bring the Empire loyalists to power, like Kid Starver, Sholtz & Shmertz, Micron, and all the other vassals who cannot stray 1cm?
The US Empire assassinates like it is always claiming "Pootin" or China does. Except the USA does it for real.
And that's why the US vassal states don't step out of line.
Hungary just got its first full-on NWO acolyte winning the elections.
because, "of course", coming from the BBC. however, billionaire's in-fighting is already happening: while Soros, Jr. stated on X that "...the people of Hungary 'have taken back their country', [...] Musk (also on X, naturally) replied that "... 'The organization of the merchant and financier George Soros has seized power in Hungary'..." - https://fakti.bg/en/world/1047857-elon-musk-soros-has-seized-power-in-hungary
That’s a damned shame.
perhaps not for Hungarians, although now they'll get Soros-funded policies: out of the frying pan, into the fire. while Orbán's stubbornness made him rather likable to many Europeans, trying to address the ever-tightening, undemocratic EU policies and Von der Leyen's idiot decrees, Brussels will be much happier too.
The new guy stated he doesn't support Ukraine entry into the EU. I wonder about approving the $90 billion to Ukraine? Which would likely just prolong the misery for Ukainians.
Oh - and pad the bank accounts/tickle trunks of theie corrupted leaders.
Surprising that did not get a mention by Simplicius. A major kick in the balls for Russia/Putin. Orban was the only serious opposition to the Eurocrats in Brussels. If Russia loses Belarus as an ally in the next election the "buffer zone" will be gone.
Orban was non-entity for Russia. lmao
False, they exercised a veto over more EU funding of Ukraine, they opposed mass Muslim immigration, they purchased Russian oil/gas, they had similar conservative values.
They would bypass it anyway. Situations like this with this veto are manna for VdL to grab more power and federalise EU.
Dont know where you are from, but where I come from many people were propely for kicking Hungary out of EU.
But anyway, 90 billion won't achieve much in Ukraine. After four years and all those billions already dropped, doesnt matter.
Have you watched a movie 'A day without a Mexican'? Big trouble for Americans, but a day or month or longer period without a Hungarian wouldnt make a difference to Rus.
Russia can push their own values, doesn't need Hungary's support. Hungarians are quite russophobic, btw. GM wrote a good post on this elsewhere on this comments section.
Oil and gas to Hungary were important for Hungary. Asians need lots of both now.
‘Hungary just got its first full-on NWO acolyte winning the elections.’
Just watch that creature bumping his head into a brick wall in two years as soon as reality checks in. I am anticipating a limited future for the freak.
apparently there's a Soros connection: "Soros Organization has taken over Hungary," Musk wrote on X in response to comments by the financier’s son, Alex Soros, who said the Hungarian people had "taken back" their country...." - https://tass.com/world/2115827
Soros, EU/NATO were dumping money by the truckload literally to trigger this change. During the two year lifespan of the Tisza Party they had to buy thousands of people with graduate education and in various positions to side with them. There were hundreds of millions of dollars, Euros and gold bars transported from Austrian and German banks under Ukraine supervision and Orban had an opportunity to lock up these gangs but he did not do it. Peter Magyar, Brussels’ agent is a drunkard, a drug addicted freak who was climbing under the skirts of teenage girls at discos. One time he grabbed a phone from a man who was recording him and threw it into the river. He also recorded his own wife Judit Varga to ‘expose her’. She was Justice Minister under Orban, a talented young woman who speaks perfectly many languages. Varga lost her position in the FIDESZ government, stayed home with her kids and started a woodworking shop.
The US and NATO are arguing on the surface and they are quietly coordinating for wars against China and Russia. The US and Germany are already operating/preparing military enlistment programs and are doing their best to keep them from the general public.
https://www.fastcompany.com/91525086/u-s-military-draft-2026-automatic-registration-trump-iran-war-rumors-social-media-what-to-know
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/apr/05/uproar-germany-law-men-up-to-45-military-permission-long-stays-abroad
I do not really understand this German permission thingy, with open borders. ;)
That can be easily changed.
Yes, but as of now they are open. Also, who would report long stay abroad. Just go buy some gas to Poland or something, brb.
Poland and any pro-war NATO nations are not an option. At the moment things turn hot they will extradite Germans, etc. back to their homelands and call them traitors.
They are not even extraditing cannon fodder Banderites on mass, that publicly celebrate Bandera and OUN-UPA atrocities. There were few cases, but that is a drop in the ocean.
Germans, or W Europeans in general, will first push E Europeans into slaughter.
Heck, Poles are perfectly fine fighting themselves:
"So if you're fighting the general territorial defense, a lot of them would be forcibly mobilized. But then, of course, sprinkled within that, you'll have Polish mercenaries, especially in the Kupiansk area."
From a guy fighting in Kupyansk area. Rumor has it Poles suffered highest mercs casualties of them all.
Germany is not going to be launching a war on its own, it will be a EU army.
So where Germans are in the EU doesn't really matter.
And Germany is just the first country to do this, all of them will follow.
It does matter, it will not be Croatian or Slovakian or Slovenian commanders running Germans and Frenchies around, it will be the other way around.
Like in the WWI, where Germanic commanders were commanding untermenschen left and right.
Unbearable body bags and such trivialities.
But lets see about EU army.
It will be American and British commanders running all the continentals.
Fair enough, but they can do that with NATO as well. No need for some special EU army.
Trying to reintroduce conscription is one thing, being able to successfully doing it is a different, more difficult one. One party alone cannot introduce the necessary legislation. It would need that all main parties act together. Then, if a marginal party opposes the legislation, there would be a political earthquake because the matter would become the central point in any election. Last, creating true soldiers ready to fight and die out of conscripted individuals would be nearly impossible in the present circumstances.
Of the most populated European countries only, may be, I repeat may be, the Poles would accept to sacrifice their lives in an offensive war against Russia.
Even Germans, famously prone to blind obedience would not follow.
French, Italian or Spanish conscripts to the Ostfront? No way.
EU countries will do what they are ordered to do by the EU council
Krapivnik.
The Golden Billion need slaves. White Europeans will not submit. They will be eliminated. That's why all the refugees.
I watched that convo with Diesen and I disagree here with him that elites need slaves, robots will be fine in the future. What worries me more is that they need spare parts.
Are you kidding? Europeans like being slaves.
I am also joyfully anticipating a major circus as soon as it sinks in with the German and US populations that the males are counted to be dragged to the nearest butchering station. Right now the initiations are well covered by cooperative shut up by the media and government but this is not the early 20th century anymore. They kicked the nation-state values out of the population and now the oligarchs and the homicidal maniacs are accepting the people to sing and march off toward self-destruction.::))))
You are right. EU is going to attack Russia. Only Putin wants to trade with EU.
the germans are going to make it impossible for young men to leave the country for more than 90 days without permission.
Because they saw what happened in Ukraine recently
germany was flooded with "draft evaders" from Ukraine, and a lot from russia as well - people who always wanted to get out of russia, and used the war as an excuse to claim asylum
"Germany has approved just 349 of over 6,000 asylum requests from Russian men since the start of the full-scale war in Ukraine"
https://meduza.io/en/news/2025/05/14/germany-has-approved-just-349-of-over-6-000-asylum-requests-from-russian-men-since-the-start-of-the-full-scale-war-in-ukraine
Until Tschermans close the border all this means nothing. One can always leave for "couple of days", wink wink.
"The US and Germany are already operating/preparing military enlistment programs and are doing their best to keep them from the general public."
you must be high, they are not keeping anything away from the public, it's in the news almost daily
Judging from the fact that you are completely disoriented you might be the one feeding on some magic mushrooms. Surely not me. I am scanning the news multiple times daily; this item is grossly underreported and mostly misrepresented in a calculated manner.
The article at https://www.fastcompany.com/91525086/u-s-military-draft-2026-automatic-registration-trump-iran-war-rumors-social-media-what-to-know is watering down the issue like: ‘No, there are no signs America is about to start instituting a military draft, despite the upcoming automatic military draft registration system.’ :::)))) AND: ‘The new measure will simply make automatic military-draft registration uniform across the country.’ :::)))
A google news scan for Germany brings similar results. The Western (((Media))) is already in damage control mood concerning the issue.:::
Exactly, which is why it is so important that Moscow and Beijing take decisive action to support Iran. The fall of Iran will bring open war with the US that much closer.
1) Europe and much of Asia are obedient US vassals.
2) The decision making is not made by the countries. The decision making is made by the people ruling those countries. And it is made in the interests of those people not the countries as a whole. The calculation is simple -- if you rebel against the imperial center you are going to risk losing your position as a local vassal. It is much better for you to destroy the country, but to remain its local ruler than to play independence games. You yourself might be slightly worse off than if you had real independence, but only slightly. While if you rebel, and you do not succeed, you may lose everything.
3) This is, unfortunately, the calculation being made even in those places that are not yet obedient vassals. Russian elites are very much making that exact calculation, which explains why Kiril Dmitriev was again in Florida this week.
The adequate policy in defense of national interests should be for Russia, China, North Korea, Iran, Belarus, the Houthis and Hezbollah, as a start, with others perhaps joining as the success of the policy becomes apparent, to declare that no US military presence will be allowed outside the Western hemisphere. All bases will be destroyed, all planes who try to enter into Eurasia will be shot down, all ships and submarines will be sunk. Let them try to counter it -- in an all out naval war the US fleet will be sunk too even if the whole Russian and Chinese fleets are sunk too, but the US has lost shipbuilding capacity to an impossible to recover from extent, and the Chinese with their 200:1 shipbuilding capacity advantage will very quickly recover and begin to lord over the seas.
But that policy carries risks that elites might suffer, and if your "strategy" is loss minimization, you don't take such risks. And naturally end up losing in the long term...
"declare that no US military presence will be allowed outside the Western hemisphere. All bases will be destroyed, all planes who try to enter into Eurasia will be shot down, all ships and submarines will be sunk."
you live in a fantasy world... how old are you? My guess is 18 or 19
This step would be too much for Chinese and Russian elites.
But these elites are deeply scared. They do not even dare to sell weapons to Iran. That is why any resistance to US hegemon is futile. Iran shall be bombed with N weapons soon.
asia is just watching the US / UK axis destroy itself
europe is going through its own death throes and the general mood in europe is deteriorating on a daily basis
How ironic that a white male supremacist who would own slaves without a blink, has himself become a slave, blackmailed over his rapist tendencies.
Bob Dylan, of all people wrote a song titled "You Gotta Serve Somebody!"
Bob Vylan would probably do it better.. ;)
Trump has stated that "ships who have paid the toll will be interdicted".
Iranian, Chinese and Iraqi vessels aren't being charged a toll. So he is converting the U.S. Navy to pirates to f*ck with U.S. allies like South Korea, Japan and Australia. Stable genius indeed.
Seriously?
Trump has such a perfect track record of telling the truth that you are paying attention to his exact wording as if it's a legal contract?
my first like
Ditto
Kenneth is mocking Trump's words. No, Trump's exact wording isn't a legal contract but yes, Trump's exact wording plays a role in diminishing the US in the eyes of the world. Such diminishment is part of how the world decides to move on from using dollars as the reserve currency, being unwilling to host US military bases on their territory, and how the US's hegemonic dominance contracts to a smaller and smaller circle of pathetic 'yes man' states like Argentina.
This is funny, I don't care who you are. This describes Trump to the last jot and tittle.
They now have to buy from the USA in dollars!!
No they don't
I was referring to the vassals
And european ships...
None of it makes sense. None of it's meant to.
All ships will be stopped, regardless. Islamabad was not the beginning of the end, it was the end of the beginning of a superior phase in this WWIII, where Russia has been effectively checked and chocked by the Europeans in the Ukranian front, and China is being increasingly locked too. Brian Berletic views proved right again. The US is grabbing the worlds oil and the same time choking its competitors expecting that the empire will be preserved, multipolarity destroyed, and Russia and China locked and eventually crushed. Now, do they have the means to carry out this long prepared plan? Thats the point.
Russia is not choked, Russia has everything it needs to live a good life. It also has means to destroy everything and everybody.
Grabbing whose oil? GCC oil? Russian oil? Iranian oil? Whose oil?
Russia is already defeated.
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
☝🏿
Fuck off here, too.
no need to wait for nuclear holocaust if you are tired of your life. Check what is going on in Canada for ideas.
That is completely retarded
You people that worship Berletic must have the same IQ of the Trump supporters. Brian has a view that a 10 year old has in a schoolyard. He is terrified of the US therefore he thinks the US is all powerful. Meanwhile we are seeing countries with long term strategies countering the US. The US is not some perfectly run machine even Brian's favorite policy paper had a time frame attached but brian never mentions any of this, he has a narrative so anything that happens fits in with his view. Yes, the US is not attempting to live in a multipolar world, but it has thousands of ego's and many special interests pushing and pulling in all directions. IF you are going to fight a world war with the planners in the Pentagon you will lose 100% of the time.
Agree. I doubt anyone, even given access to all the classified information in the world, could get a very accurate take on even next weeks events. Credit to Brian though, he does a solid job, as do many others. But nobody really knows and even if they did they wouldn't get many followers on the Interwebs. Simplicity rules, most people switch off when things get complicated. All we really know is the US is in terminal decline and looks desperate, trying to do as much damage as possible while it still can.
I noticed that he is indeed on a thoughtrain that differs from let's say Durans . I'm really curious who will be right but we will see soon , things are evolving quicker nowdays , everyone is getting to the end of their ropes from debt to resources to patience .
There is plenty in terms of realized outcomes on past predictions to evaluate who has been right so far. And it is Berletic, not the Durans.
Though he too was explaining back in the days how Russia will win the war of attrition, then stopped doing it as it became clear that it isn't winning it. So he isn't 100% right.
But that was more of short-term analysis.
On the long-term objectives and strategies employed he is right on the money in a way the others are absolutely hopeless.
The most messed up thing is that The Duran have interviewed him many times, i.e. what is happening has been explained to them in their faces, and yet they persist with their "analysis" that assumes Trump has good intentions but is led astray by bad influences, while primarily asking the question how to save Trump from his bad decisions instead of asking the much more valid and important question of how to save the world from US aggression. They barely even acknowledge US aggression as such...
Berletic was always right.
Only Berletic reads Rand and such reports, nobody else has access to them, like governments of various countries.
Yes, he does indeed read them, but in fact anyone can. The incredible fact is that they actually get publishe. Brian always mentions that and even sets links. The reason we would not find them without (his) help is that we do not know where to look and the titles of these reports.
When one knows the title, it is for example easy to find WHICH WAY TO PERSIA (170 pages), and even the paper on how to cut off China from its oil suppliers via a blockade can be found and read by everyone (it is 26 pages). These papers are in fact available online!
Yes and I guess Chinese read them as well.
Maybe that is why they are building projects like this one:
https://www.chinacenter.net/2020/china-currents/19-3/a-relationship-on-a-pipeline-china-and-myanmar/
And maybe that is why they elevated Kunming to the "New Tier 1" city.
Or maybe they are just smarty pants in general and came up with the idea of land-based pipelines and trade system across by far the largest continent.
Here is Berletic:
"🇺🇸🇮🇷🇨🇳 As I've said for years, China is aware of US plans and that they're all ultimately aimed at them and the multipolar world they seek to build.
They understand the implications of the US blockade of Hormuz and the US war on Iran in the first place.
China has been preparing its military, economy, infrastructure, information space, and population for all of this for decades.
And because China is not the US - the US essentially maniacal and threatening the world daily - China does not openly declare its intentions.
We will have to wait and see China's actual plans as this escalates.
For now, China has stated it will continue trading with Iran and expects no interference from the US."
https://t.me/brianlovethailand/4759
He begs to differ - does not share your whining opinion.
"A strategist will be successful if he correctly evaluates the nature of a war, which depends on different economic, social, geographic, administrative
and technical factors."
lmao
Thanks for finding this.
But like Russia, China newer shows aggression. They are concentrated on their economy, the government does not want to anger their greedy middle class, like in Russia.
To me, it is unclear if they would really ever confront US with military means.
You only think people do sth if they loud mouth non stop about it.
I am living in China, tell me more how it is.
You, jsarnak, are an idiot.
Berletic's research is impeccable. His long term view of events, solid. He doesn't flitter around like a butterfly picking and choosing which politician to believe today. He's equally anti-Trump and anti-Democrat because his "continuity of agenda" theory is continuously proven to be right. He knows that the "Epstein Class" always has a Plan B if Plan A fails.
So many are celebrating Trump's idiocy without knowing that he's just the front man, the thug hired to implement the plot to control the world. You laugh at Trump's goofs while still thinking Obama was a great statesmen when he was just another cog in the machine.
Executives hired to achieve an outcome. How they do it, the shareholders don't care.
Are you one of those closet capitalists who can't see the forest for the trees?
Berletic explains the motivations behind Trump's blockade of Iran. He sees the big picture immediately. You still haven't pulled up your underpants.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KmHYS8oK-pg
Berletic also always points out he doesn't monetize anything. He gets donations, but he is not getting income from views.
That is very important and a very overlooked aspect of the situation with the alternative media. Everybody knows that the mainstream media depends on corporations and billionaires for its income so it caters to their interests and lies and distors reality accordingly. But the same is true about the alternative media - it depends on clicks, views, and subsciprtions for its income so it caters to its target audience so that they keep coming back to generate more clicks and views and subscriptions, distorting reality accordingly and avoiding bad news and unpleasant truths that would turn off people.
If I gave a shit what that retard has to say I'd be at his site instead. Why do you dumbfucks keep coming here posting such garbage? We came here because we want to hear what Simplicus has to say, not to hear some retard spout off about some other retard. If you have such a crush on Brian why don't you just stay on his site permanently and stop polluting these threads?
Fuck all the way off insect.
Oh Henry,
Everyone has an opinion about everything. And can post those opinions here.
Most manage to do it without calling other people names.
Whose the "We" in - "We came here because we want to hear what Simplicus has to say, not to hear some retard spout off about some other retard."
Why don't you just scroll pass posts like that?
Or - if you only come here to hear what Simplicius has to say - just don't read any of the comments?
Cheers
Shilling for some retard is not an opnion dumbfuck.
Why didn't you scroll past my comment then?
Go fuck your face insect
I would agree that Berletic is giving US power to much credit, but there is a real danger here, that the powers that represent the multipolar world are too late realising that they really need to combine their abilities and resources to decicevly defeat the USA. Russia, Iran and especially China seem very reluctant to commit themselves and tend to hide behind 'international law', security council shenanigans and bilateral negotiations. If they are not going to wake up soon, they really run the risk to get divided and defeated separately. US soft power is additionally something you underestimate only once... Berletic is definitely right in that regard.
The likes as Arnaud Bertrand, as much and as often I enjoy their analysis, strike me more as salesmen and diggers, who are promoting the possibility that there somehow could be a genuine and lasting understanding between the USA and its ideological, economical and military rivals, but that is NOT how imperialism works. It is utterly naive, but it is what they have set their bet on as they hope to be on the forefront of a new goldrush, it is wishful thinking, nothing more.
All the 'gotcha' moments they enjoy so much, actually are proving exactly nothing, just because a plan or a part of it did not work out as presumed, does not mean that the intention behind the plan is not real - to assume as much is just plainly stupid.
It is true that there are somehow conflicting interests in the USA just as in every other country, different fractions of capital, that may prefer different approaches, priorities or timelines (thats the difference between Obama and Trump), but ultimately all there interests converge on one single point and that is the presevation if not expansion of the American Empire. To deny this, is to concede a fundamental lack of understanding how Capitalism functions...
I hope the hint on not meeting the ascribed timeframe is not meant as a serious argument?
Bertrand appears to be and certainly is very knowledgeable, even though I sometimes have my doubts about the authenticity and depth of his knowledge - it at times is a tad too anecdotal - but one thing he is definitely not: a Marxist-Leninist, Communist or Anti-imperialist. Therefore it is impossible to describe his standpoint as "Pro-China". He is in the same way "pro-chinese" as a bookie is "anti-racist", who has his money on the new hot African-American fighter in town: he wants him to beat the old Caucasian Top Dog, but for all the wrong reasons. And the fighting and betting and money-making should pretty please stay all the same...
Hopefully the CPC stays on course and is wiser and more alert than the CPSU, because these people will turn in no time into a fifth column and a Chinese Krushchev or Gorbachev would put them to good use...
Q.e.d.
https://xcancel.com/RnaudBertrand/status/2044780568836218995#m
Brian has the real story.
Then go the fuck back to his site. If I gave a shit about him I would be at his site.
Oh Henry,
Everyone has an opinion about everything. And can post those opinions here.
Most manage to do it without calling other people names.
Whose the "We" in - "We came here because we want to hear what Simplicus has to say, not to hear some retard spout off about some other retard."
Why don't you just scroll pass posts like that?
Or - if you only come here to hear what Simplicius has to say - just don't read any of the comments?
Berletics reach is significantly bigger than Simplicius'. He has active channels in X, Rumble, and Youtube (300k subscribers) and his own website, the New Atlas. He is regularly interviewed by top analysts like the Duran, Haiphong, and Nima. His messages are not fit for you. Keep in your dark cave of stupidity.
I highly recommend for everyone to read WHICH WAY TO PERSIA from 2009, which is what Yoni is referring to. It is rather easy to find, the name + PDF and there it is. I printed it (can't read on an iPad or other device, am accustomed to paper 🙂) and have finished part I and II. Am just starting with part III. The "great" thing is that it is actually an easy read. Nothing complicated, very matter-of-fact, easy language (well, for politicians ... lol).
The most important part for the moment is of course II/5, "Leave it to Bibi", it is jawdropping how detailed they already planned even the people they'd use in Israel for that. 🤮 I am convinced it is THE playbook. The US-leadership hates Iran since the late 1940ies/early 1950ies, it was the 2nd country where the couped the (democratic!) Government (Syria was the first) and the US will never "forgive" the "Mullahs" for kicking them out in 1979. So this was decades in the making. The amazing thing is how boldly they even put into writing what they were going to do. Do they really think people in Persia/Iran can't read??? Thanx God they prepared well and have the help of good friends.
As for the disclaimer, forget about them (always). How "high" is the chance that 6 (!) people with the same perverse interest in overthrowing another Government just meet by accident and decide, over a few drinks, to write such a paper, containing detailed planning how to achieve this goal? Behind such papers are always massive geopolitical interests ("wars are never fought for human rights, but always for propergy rights" = to exploit other countries' valueables), they get the funding they need and then all subsequent US Governments follow them to their "best abilities", regardless which party is in charge (the west' motivation is easy to see: greed, a deadly sin in all religions, just btw).
It's disgusting, however this time they bite much more than they can chew. Iran can read, is technically advanced and has enough "strategic depth" to handle such an assault, at least as long as it does not get nuclear, and even with nuclear bombs it would take a few hundred (!!!) to "bomb them back into stone age". Even the dumbest analyst will realize that the non-West will not sit still and let it happen, should that really be tried some day.
Sorry for the length. I know you know, but I wanted to sum up anyway. 👍
Brian Berletic refers to this paper often. Also the 2019 "Extending Russia".
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NEvB7l-APBw&t=4s
Thanx so much for the link, Chris!
Yes, another "famous" one, (not only) Russia read this with great attention. They put in writing 2019 what they had been following since the millennium (at least).
Can be found here (if that does not work, just "extending russia" + pdf does it):
https://www.google.com/url?esrc=s&q=&rct=j&sa=U&url=https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR3000/RR3063/RAND_RR3063.pdf&ved=2ahUKEwiDh7aG5-yTAxXMRfEDHdwMA7wQFnoECAYQAg&usg=AOvVaw2ZiR3cA1PPlQWonsFMiMwj
I am not aware of other countries doing that ... publishing their geopolitical intentions for everyone to read. 🤔 Well, the US always thought itself to be sth. special ... lol
Retarded take. Russia has already won in Ukraine. It controls all the economically relevant real estate and that land is never going back. The Europeans will be left to pick up the pieces of a rump Ukraine while Russia enjoys the fruits of strategic success.
Russia is being attacked on its territory on a daily basis, its fleet sunk, bogged down its nuclear deterrence denied, surrounded by land and sea, financially blocked, its allies destroyed one after the other. The Iranian succesful response showed that Putin went too soft. Ukraine is holding on despite de multiple attacks on the power grid and industrial facilitiies because its weapon production is now in Poland and the Baltics which Russia wont touch. Russia is figthting all NATO countries combined, its nuclear deterrence has been denied. Putin was succesful in stopping the Donbass masacre, the fifth column and the programmed partition of the country. He was too naif and realized too late. But in Ukraine thats not what victory looks like. If I were you I would be more respectful talking to people.
Pretty much all of that is incorrect. The Ukrainians managed a successful drone attack against petroleum infrastructure but that’s an annoyance more than anything else.
Russian economy is booming courtesy of inflated oil prices.
Russia has already defeated NATO, and it’s clear that the alliance will fracture and disintegrate over the next few years.
Russian allies are just fine. Iran has defeated the US and China is the emerging global superpower.
This is what puzzles me too - is the US REALLY going to sink tankers belonging to China and India? To nations on his Taking-The-Piss Committee?
It takes a lot to make the Iranian regime look sensible and level-headed, but here we are...
Why not to sink them?
There shall be no resistance.
Why they did not sink Chinese ships delivering solar panels to Cuba? Why they did not sink Russian tankers? Why they did not sink Turkish power plant ship arriving to Cuba to generate electricity?
Just wait.
Wait for what? lmao
Wait for the next phase of the war.
I don't understand the animosity toward Iran. It is a very well educated nation. Yes the head is a theocrat and his religion leans conservative, but what have they ever done to the USA? Nothing.
Faulting Iran for its support of Hezbollah and Hamas it like confessing that you support the Gaza genocide.
The USA was responsible for the 8 year war with Iraq. The US even supplied the mustard gas.
Yes a bunch of peaceful protestors were killed, but the protest was hijacked by Mossad agents doing the same thing that the Nazis did in Kiev. Difference was, Iran maintained its integrity and did not let the Mossad agents some to power.
Now you seem to be angry because Iran is "weeding out" the traitors. Gee, last time we were talking about this it was all Uyghur Genocide, where the NED sponsored ETIM was terrorizing Xinjiang. Now that the ETIM is gone, there's no genocide.
Perhaps you weren't around for the hostage situation in the late 70's after the Shah was deposed. Every night for over a year there was a program about it (which morphed into the show Nightline). I said this before in another thread, but if the Iranians had just kicked the US diplomats out nobody would have much cared. As it was, enmity towards Iran was burned deep into the US conciousness.
You are very much mistaken. Americans don’t care about what Iran does except for the propaganda of the “Epstein Class”. The MSM (the dark side) is strong. Americans are too illiterate to care about what happens in Iran. The phony justification about the suppression of women in Afghanistan should make that very clear. Now that the US abandoned it.
(Which explains the Oligarchies “Plan B” of moving to Ukraine.)
I’ve worked with Iranians. Nice guys. Iraqis, not so much. Saudis privileged. The one Turk I knew is probably a general now.
There’s got to be a better label for the evil forces we face than: Oligarch, Epstein Class, banksters, Elite, Deep state. It is an international cabal, but a fractious one that preys upon one another as much as it does people
I realize you believe that you can speak for all Americans. I submit that you are wrong. Most Americans have never met anyone from the middle East -- certainly not to the extent of knowing them -- and thus your impressions of them as people are moot. I was in my late teens during the 'hostage crisis' and my recollection is that that and inflation dominated the news cycle -- impressionable years. People say, ten years younger than myself up to five to ten years older are running the show now. I really don't think they've forgotten. Most Americans don't give affairs in the middle East much thought, but if Iran comes up that is what they remember. They won't shed any tears over Iran. Rightly or wrongly is irrelevant.
What am I "wrong" about?
It is well known that the vast majority of Americans are stupid. Lead by the nose to participate in sham elections, the outcome of which is determined by the voting machines manufactured by corporations owned by the "Epstein Class". Of course they don't care about Iran.
I gave my -personal- experience with people from the Middle East. Why you seem to think that I tried to apply that experience to all Americans baffles me.
If the one thing you recall about Iran is the Hostage Crisis, then you are a pretty shallow thinker. I understand the terror that the USA inflicted on Iran. I support the removal of the US from Iranian space.
IOW, get over it. Your emotions are being manipulated by the criminal Oligarchy and you can't see it.
"I don't understand the animosity toward Iran."
Because Iran tries to be independent and not a puppet.
Well, that's why the Oligarchy hate Iran. It is interfering with their pursuit of Global Hegemony.
"People" are angry with Iran because the MSM tells them to be. That's what I don't understand. They know nothing about Iran.
. Wesley Clark revealed that weeks after 9/11, he had been shown a classified Pentagon memo outlining plans to “take out seven countries in five years”: Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, and finishing off with Iran. The first six have since been destabilized or regime-changed. Iran, considered the ultimate prize for Middle East dominance and oil control, remains the last one standing.
Why those seven, and why was Iran the ultimate prize? Greg Palast’s 2013 article titled “Larry Summers and the Secret ‘End-Game’ Memo” supplied the missing financial logic. In 1999, the world was opened to unregulated derivatives trading, so that sovereign bonds, oil flows, shipping routes, and war-risk policies could all be collateralized, rehypothecated (pledged multiple times over), and gambled upon. The lynchpin was the 1997 WTO Financial Services Agreement (the Fifth Protocol to GATS), which became operational in 1999.
Leading this band of holdouts was Iran, which since its 1983 Law for Usury-Free Banking Operations has run the world’s only fully interest-free (riba-free) banking regime. Its banks use Sharia-compliant contracts — profit-sharing (musharakah), cost-plus financing (murabaha), and leasing (ijara) — instead of charging or paying interest. This banking model stands in direct contrast to the conventional Western model, which relies on interest as its primary revenue stream and underpins the global derivatives complex with collateralized, rehypothecated debt.
I see that US support for Orban well and truly did for him. As for what Hungarians have really voted FOR, they will soon find out.
"US support" is not a thing. If you're lucky, you might be able to serve their ends for a time, but the GAE is a fickle beast, and you will be unceremoniously dumped at some future point.
schlurpo Sneem.... sounds youish
A sound argument is a sound argument whether the author is Jewish or not.
I was JOKING - and anyway - you think that's its real name ? ( trying to be correct genderetically )
Of course not a true name. My concern is that
the subconscient does not understand humor.
Through jokes, primitive minds develop ideas about all Jewish people being bad. This in turn helps the most aggressive Israelis to play the victim card, something they are proven masters of.
do you think Schlurpo Sneem is a polite youish name ?
Schlurpo Sneem is a soft serve salesman from the vicinity of Arcturus.
And he has an intact foreskin on all seven of his penises.
The thing is though, once allies see the wheels falling off they tend to hedge, and hunker down. There is a reason nobody else backed this war.
Orban deserves everything bad coming his way, let's be real here.
Who was the biggest bootlicker of Trump and Netanyahu (i.e. the new Hitlers) in Europe? Orban.
People are blinded by Hungary following a somewhat sane policy with respect to Russia and think that just because Orban is "good" on that issue, he is good in general. Nothing of the sort. He turned Hungary into Chabad Central Europe.
For that alone he should fall.
And it's not as if he did anything meaningful to help Russia either, he was just extracting concessions from Europe before going along with all sanction packages and other Russophobic policies.
Also, it quickly turned out to be a total illusion that the Hungarian people are no longer the same Russophobic Nazis that sent the Second Army to pillage Voronezh and fight at Stalingrad. and then did the massacres in 1956, because today in Budapest they were chanting "ruskik haza" ("Russians go home"), i.e. what they were chanting in 1956.
The problem is that in real life the bad guys are not necessarily replace by good guys. More often than not they are replaced by even worse guys...
Well said, Tovariska .
Or weaker guys, although worse and weaker often means the same thing.
This guy is an EU Nomenklatura puppet. Expect the ghoulash to hit the fan ...
I agree, but I have to "protect" the Hungarian voters: they are not Nazis, but completely brainwashed idiots. They don't even know what "Nazi" means, nor what "Russians go home". I know, I live among them.
I suspect he is referring to Hungary being an ally of Germany in WW2.
In 2010, Hungarian voters put Viktor Orbán, the leader of the (former SZDSZ) Szadesz worm party, on the throne. They did this because they were fed up with the corruption of the ruling party that lied to them as socialists. They thought that whoever they elected, it couldn't get any worse. They believed in the false promise of accountability. Orbán lured the common people in with benefits, and then gave them what it was all about. Many don't remember the land grabs, the corruption surrounding the construction of fences, the sales of iconic buildings in Budapest. The government connections of dubious figures, the secret service surveillance of the opposition and then the political discrediting. However, despite video recordings, there was never any impeachment, let alone an investigation. The manual control of the tax office. The deliberate destruction of public security. I won't go on, it's clear from this that it wasn't a government, but a mafia in power. Added to this is Hungary's discrediting in international politics with the UN votes against the Gaza ceasefire, which enabled further genocide. Twice. An unparalleled shame in the history of Hungarian statehood, as was the invitation of the internationally wanted head of a racist, genocidal regime. All this without any Hungarian interest being connected to it. We saw Hungarian disinterest in economic policy, which does not deserve this name. Selling out the country to foreign economic and foreign political interests. Just so that corruption can continue. The high school of peasant blindness is shadow boxing against Soros, Brussels or Ukraine, while these have not suffered any reduction in space in the Hungarian political space and receive serious financial support. I will not continue.
Yesterday the same thing happened as in 2010. One mafia gave way to another. The new ones have just as much right to steal, cheat and lie as the previous ones. So there's no need to worry, everything will go on.
The oldest, "least violent" choice in regime change CIA operations. Bring out a so-called scandal of large proportions in public, make it well-known and established, so people will even be scared to think of voting for a pedo or a compulsive rapist or someone who usurped large amounts of money, and you have the "well-thought-out" citizens on your side already. I think this is what happened in Hungary and can still happen anywhere in the EU, to say the least. Media control is extraordinary, and many people fall for this because they don't have much time to read alternative media. Many agents in the media will push such narratives to such an extent that it will be almost impossible to dispute with them, and even if you do, you will be slandered and stigmatised - or even worse- immediately.
"As for what Hungarians have really voted FOR, they will soon find out."
Even if that proves correct, it won't matter. The eu will not hesitate to do a repeat of romania if necessary.
I meant that Hungarians still think the EU is a fountain of eternal dosh. They think they are going to get back their frozen funds, bless.
The hungarians who matter will get the dosh. Nobody cares about the peons and nobody will ask them.
But it is the little people we are talking about, or we were. You can play the card of the winning elites like Brian Berletic does, but what you say becomes tautological and uninteresting.
Whether it is interesting or tautological has nothing to do with whether something accurately describes observable reality.
Look up the meaning of tautology. You could also try reading Wittgenstein who is good on what describes or purports to describe reality, and what does not. I know what you want to say. But what are you are saying is that the winners always win!
The ‘Ceasefire Flop’ was clearly a US engineered event. As the attacks on Iran increased so did the unreasonable demands to degrade a large powerful state. First it was a demand for their uranium enrichment programs, and then they were supposed to walk away from missile production and finally hand over their enriched uranium supplies. Iran really was left with no other choice but to revolt and take the Strait as a leverage in the struggle. I would even go as far as declare their fight against US bases in the area as justified self-defense.
Even the Pope sided with Iran. Based on the Just War Theory this war was anything but just.
These psychos...
They start a war. The weaker side - attacked unexpectedly - also defend themselves unexpectedly well.
So then the psychos demand that the VERY COUNTRY THEY ATTACKED WITHOUT WARNING, hand over all the successful defences they came up with.
And they do this with a straight face!
The malignant narcissistic psychopathology is off the scale.
Apparently the "Israelis" have a specific term for this behaviour, which is very prevalent in their national culture. I don't recall what it is now, it's not the yiddish "chutzpah" but an Israeli word.
Makes it so fucking obvious who is really ruling the USA.
Can say this for Trump - he really HAS already "Made Iran Great Again"!
Not quite how he meant though, lmfao.
"Mommy, Mommy, Iran shot back!"
After 50 years of bombing illiterate goat herders and blowing up wedding parties, they actually attacked some MEN who are not afraid to fight back.
FAFO
Oh, it's even better than that. Iran invests heavily in women's education, having one of the highest rates of female graduates in the World.
And many of the command structures have women in.
So the "great" US military is having it's arses handed to it by Iranian WOMEN, as well as its MEN.
The US has finally run into a REAL country, after spending 250 years massacring pre-industrial, or unarmed women and children.
And this time it doesn't have other countries like Russia and China to do all the heavy lifting for it, while Hollywood claims the credit.
Check out literacy rates around the world. Look where the US fits.
like the bullies in the sand pit. and Libanon? "you cease, we fire", says the other one.
"Fair" has nothing to do with it.
Perhaps you are thinking of freier culture.
Seems very close.
I am a former MAGA and recently I am in a constant state of schadenfreude as Trump sends the nation to a lower rung.
'and finally hand over their enriched uranium supplies'
Vance in the video is running circles around the Lebanon issue not mentioning the enriched uranium stored some place by Iran. The fact is that the Uranium is their highest priority as it can be turned into a dozen entry level nuclear bombs in a month or two.
Nah...Trump personally destroyed Iran's ability to refine uranium in the twelve day war.
He rode those missiles down personally, waving his cowboy hat as they dropped.
I saw the documentary on it by Kubrick.
Although frankly Mike Judge's 2006 documentary was even better.
According to Alex Krainer, the US has been bombing the north / south rail line between Tehran and Xinjiang province.
This is going to really piss off the chinese, who spent a LOT of money and time building that line, and it is disastrous for iran because they were counting on that rail line for lots of revenue.
It is nothing but a bald-faced power play stalling tactic on behalf of the UK / US axis, which is still a maritime power (fully financed and executed by the US but partially on behalf of its british "ally")
No, the Chinese are like Russians - the obedient US slaves.
Agree. Call me when Russia or China actually do anything.
China and Russia are too busy making $ off this conflict and for those two countries, making $ seems like all they want to do.
North South rail line between Tehran and Xingjiang?
Direction is SW - NE gently...
The 4 bridges taken out have already been repaired. The RR is operating.
UK? This is purely an American clusterfuck. The UK’s enthusiasm for the US has long gone. The polling shows the British public does not support this war of Netanyahu and Trump’s.
Aaand since WHEN has the UK regime given two fucks about "Public opinion"?
If the Empire was winning against Iran, we would be seeing the public demonstrating against THAT being sent to prison in the UK as well.
You're whining about swearing? What are you, a 6yr old little girl at sunday school?
Get a fucking grip man.
And btw, NO-ONE needs your validation here, least of all me.
Grow the motherfucking fucking up
You must be a charming fellow to work with. I can imagine you bring much joy to many people blessed by your presence, your charisma, profound intellect and charm.
Indeed they are.
I'm sure as many people are impressed by your pompous inability to handle a few swear words like a mature adult could.
Oh, and btw, as a respected educator for some decades, I can also inform you that EVERY SINGLE STUDY has shown that those who regularly swear usually have a LARGER vocabulary than the average, and are more trusted in society than uptight sunday school style moralisers.
Because if you can't even find it in yourself to swear over the Epstein Saga and what it has revealed, let alone what is happening in Gaza fx... well, let's say that it's probably not those swearing about those events that are the real problem, tbh.
I am very suspicious of people using capitals ... not a great look. As "a respected educator" you will be only too well aware that swearing in a classroom or (in my case a lecture theatre) generally gets you the sack. Swearing, particularly by someone like yourself claiming intellectual superiority, diminishes you. That is your choice.
If they acquiesce now; the world's a stage. The synagogue of Satan will not go quietly.
Just another JD Vance failure to add to his failure at interferring in Hungarian politics.
I missed the deleted tweet by the Pakistani Prime Minister. It is also worth mentioning two other "mysterious"/interesting tweets by the Pakistani Defense Minister, Khawaja Muhammad Asif and his colleague Ishaq Dar, Pakistan’s Foreign Minister before the negotiations took place. For more details see my articles:
- https://geopolitiq.substack.com/p/the-fake-ceasefire-dead-on-arrival
- https://geopolitiq.substack.com/p/the-war-is-still-raging-in-lebanon
Thank you Ismaele. The machinations are convoluted, vicious and unrelenting.
With the greatest respect and appreciation for Simplicius, we need a veritable army of Thinkers to track this Hydra.
"The machinations are convoluted, vicious and unrelenting."
They work. The enemies of Empire, by contrast, are naive and trusting.
Yes Feral. Even now, two and a half years after watching the heartbreaking horrors of a live streamed genocide, still going on and being joined by many others.
It brings back the lyrics of a Pete Seeger song from long ago - "Oh When will you ever learn? Oh When will you ever learn?"
(Where have all the flowers gone? Long time passing......They've gone to graveyards every one...Graveyards, They're covered with flowers every one...)
What will it take?
Humans never learn. They are stupid and easily manipulated.
I would say too many never learn. You've learned. I've learned. Countless people have learned. It takes a lot of work to throw off decades upon decades of conditioning and propaganda, esp in the US. Don't give up on the human race yet. To quote another great writer: "It was the best of times; it was the worst of times." If we didn't keep on keeping on we wouldn't be on these substacks.
Cats learn. Humans keep making the same mistakes over and over.
Trolling for new readers is fucking pathetic.
Haunting the comments section hurling insults is something.
Iran's simple and coherent strategy is an eye for an eye plus one. It was waiting for the right moment to wave in Ansar Allah. Here it is.
Yes, it seems we are back to the poker table, till the table gets flipped again and the shooting starts over.
It's like the cantina scene in 1977 Star Wars where Han Solo shot Greedo under the table. Except this time Trump is playing Han Solo and instead of shooting the Iranian negotiator with a laser blaster he used a water pistol.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=la7uuFsCIrg
It's more like the Return of the Jedi where two of the emperor's "finest legions" get their asses thoroughly kicked by a bunch of furry pot roasts with legs.
So far, Trump has had his blaster (water pistol) pointing backwards.
(shhh, don't tell him)
It hasn't followed that strategy though.
How many assassinations of US and Israeli politicians and oligarchs have we seen? None.
How many major US ships have they sunk? None.
The exchange ratio is not at all favorable to Iran at the moment, and the other side has 20 times more stuff to begin with.
And it's clear that Iran is still holding back, which is the most troubling part. Iran can fire a lot more and hit sensitive sites that have not been touched, but has not done it, meaning it is "managing escalation" long past the moment of no return. Which is how you lose. And is usually a sign of someone looking for a surrender deal, not victory...
And where is Iran's promised retaliation against US and Israeli schools? I also get the sense more gulf monarchies' hydrocarbon industry has been hit than Israeli industry. And Netanyahu has promised Israel will be the new center for Middle East energy exports.
I would think any long term Iranian victory would require a complete change of the Iraqi government. I haven't heard much in this regard even though Iraq just elected a new president. Although it's possible Western media is hiding information about Iraqi politics.
Suppsedly they did target some US edu institutions in the region, just with the advanced warning to keep people away.
See my reply to GM in this subthread.
I did not say a symmetry of response. Sorry if my phrase implied it. The reaction is in value not in kind. Iran had fought asymmetrically, has had to, from the get go. Very effectively too.
Some symmetry of response is needed though.
This will not stop until the Western elite does not feel physically safe.
And they will not feel physically not safe unless a campaign of extermination is launched against them.
People in a lock-down are physically safe, often far safer than they are under conditions of physical freedom. Physical safety is much overrated as any sort of aspiration. For elites, relevancy is the key. An elite can find itself floating free of its relevancy, which means power. We are watching this emerge in real time, as in the dwindling relevancy-power of europe as a bloc to the extent that who cares now that Orban lost? It presents nothing more than a new headache for broke europe- having Hungary cheerleading spending the EU cannot afford. Watch what happens to Israel as its relevancy fades.
Was Sam Altman's home bombed by a discontented American?
How can we be sure that the "unidentified suspect" wasn't hired by the FBI. Now the elite have another reason to support ICE.
As long as 40% of American Billionaires are Jews, Israel will always be relevant. How is it that they still have the weapons they need to commit the atrocities they do. How does their economy hold together. The Billionaire Jews (and for that matter all Billionaires, although they may not strongly support Israel) are pushing a "gang war", they've "gone to the mattresses."
https://www.inc.com/kevin-haynes/molotov-cocktail-lights-a-fire-under-sam-altman/91330106
"This" will not stop as long as Israel exists. Unless the GCC figures out that the petrodollar is dead, long live the petroyuan, and kicks the US out. And Iraq joins with Turkey (Turkey is suppose to be Israel's next victim) Israel will remain.
There's nothing to be gained by a "symmetrical" response at this time. Stop thinking you know better how to prosecute this campaign (or Ukraine) than the people making the decisions. The fact that jsarnak so easily dismisses Berletic shows you guys are failing to see the bigger picture.
I seem to have no problem integrating Berletic with Simplicius with Ritter with Stanislaw with Crooke. They're all looking at events in their own way.
The only one that I'll call out as "flat wrong" is MacGregor because of his insistence that Israel controls US policy. He has no concept of Good's tripartite state. He doesn't understand the power behind the throne(s). Berletic doesn't name that power, but they are the ones who finance the think tanks that Berletic reads and explains.
With that being said, the general consensus here seems to be that replacing Trump will matter. The war might stop, there might be a retreat to the Western Hemisphere, but the Epstein Class has a plan for that. There's a paper somewhere describing their next step.
If the Oligarchy is not removed, if the banksters are not imprisoned, it the billionaires don't have their wealth confiscated, if capitalism is allowed to continue -- there is no hope.
"Iran can fire a lot more and hit sensitive sites that have not been touched, but has not done it, meaning it is "managing escalation" long past the moment of no return. Which is how you lose. And is usually a sign of someone looking for a surrender deal, not victory..."
wow, you are quite the strategist - in your own mind
You don't know WHAT "iran can do" or can't, so why pretend that you know?
The Mar-a-Lago Circus Came to Islamabad.
Trump played J.D. Vance, the Juggler, at the Circus.
Unfortunately, all the 5 bottles of Scotch fell on his pinhead.
The whole world left laughing at the Juggler.
This was never untended as a serious negotiation. The WH Zio-controllers were unhappy with Vance's position on the Iran War.
So he was sent to be the face of failure in both Hungary and Pakistan. He fell for it and now has a "loser" tag on his forehead. Rubio will be the anointed one for 2028.
I love the symbolism of this going on during the 250th year anniversary of the nation. 250 is also the number historians say is the average age of countries and Empires.
Six years left, at most.
Yeah Vox Day guessed 2033 over 10 years ago but I think now that’s generous.
We seem to be in a very dangerous predicament. A wounded Hegemon cornered and still strong enough to cause serious damage.
to say nothing of the samson option
It is why Israelis were scurrying out of town before the air port was blasted. Rats leaving the sinking ship.
Hello abc.
Yes, this is a very bad one.
Let's hope someone can talk them down off the ledge. So far they haven't blown up the world so that's positive.
In other news, Orban is gone, Germany will draft men up to aged 45, the EU wants to build more nukes, and the French Carrier in the Eastern Med is doing recon flights both for Ukraine and USIsrael. There is no evidence of any movement towards using the 25th Amendment in the US or decreasing the Epstein coalition's control of the US. El Pais published Amanda Ungaro's interview with all of the mentions of Melania's history and DJT's pedophilia redacted.
Sorry my friends, WW3 here we come.
Yes! We are dealing with an energy war on a global footing. The last time was when the US denied the Japanese energy with an oil embargo...and we all know how that turned out.
China is not Japan of 1941.
Also this time, the USA wants to blockade oil from Iran going to Japan AND China.
I thought the maritime blockade of China was a few years off but maybe its going to start early.
WW3 has been with us a while, it is only becoming more kinetically apparent.
US or Israel have no limits, they are on the top.
You need to pay better attention to world affairs. WW3 actually began on February 21 2013
Trump hated it that the rest of the world was ponying up to get their vessels through and did not care enough to get on board with his war. If he and his buddy Israel can't have free passage, no one can. It is school yard stuff. But with big bombs and missiles instead of footballs. Still, as he keeps finding out (who knew), those can travel both ways.
It's not schoolyard stuff, there are decades of planning behind these actions.
Never underestimate the enemy.
I am starting to increasingly see much of the alt-media as an elaborate psy-op installed to achieve exactly that effect in the countries the US has designated for destruction, because for some reason the Western alt-media does have influence there, especially in Russia. RT carries that kind of nonsense about how the Americans are some kind of doofuses all the time
Слава Богу! Glory to God Allmighty!
I am in the blissful state of agreement with a post of GM!
Is looking really stupid part of the plan too?
Decades of planning by overgrown children with arrested development tends to lead to schoolyard stuff.
"Do what I want or I hit you" starts very early in life; thankfully, most of us grow out of it by the time we leave the schoolyard.
Dear GM, you got it. In the US all of the ex-Fox stars who were ‘fired’ REMAIN on the payrolls of a Fox spinoff media company and are continuing to do the bidding of zio-nazi Rupert Murdoch. ALL of it FAKE…somehow people don’t get this. 99.5% of everything, to include this blog and manyl of the comments, are ‘informed’ by piles of steaming bullshit. WAKE UP - it’s 5th gen warfare.
Decades of planning?
You shouldn't smoke pot
Why bother with a psy-op, since nobody of influence and authority cares what alt-media consumers think?
Pot -> Kettle.
Let's all agree that Trump is not playing 5-D chess. I prefer to think of him as the demented showman playing the role of some deformed and disfigured overweight minority tranny we see on the side of the screen interpreting for the deaf what the speaker is saying. Of course the crude hand gestures and pantomimes bear only an attenuated relationship to what is actually said and if a deaf person were forced to translate it back into English we would see what a sham the whole translation is. That said, the fact that Trump is not the actor does not mean that there is no geopolitical actor with a genuine strategy and Richard Medhurst does a remarkably good job at deciphering what at least part of the US long-range strategy appears to be. His account explains why Trump must block the Strait, why the USA need not rebuild the bases to dominate, and why the backyard (oil) imperialism may be the engine for a renewed petrodollar.
The Petrogas-Dollar: The Secret US Strategy Behind the Iran War
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0nt1CgQsgpI
I doubt Chump can even play checkers.
Wow, that Medhurst piece is extremely good, if very depressing. Just when you thought the Empire had made a terrible miscalculation for the benefit of The Zionist Entity alone, it turns out (at least on Medhurst's analysis, with which I find little to disagree) that it is all part of a much longer-term and wider plan which the US is currently winning hand over fist. And it's also clear that Trump and his band of incompetent Z bagmen are not the hands pulling the levers.
Sooner or later Russia and China have to do something about the situation, to avoid death by a thousand cuts. For Europe it's already far too late.
Unfortunately, I don't see it all ending other than by a major war.
Time is ticking and that salami has been sliced half-way through now...
Trump is the heel in wrestling, hired by wealthy owners to carry out a carefully constructed plan.
Greater Israel is the plan, and a world divided between East and west. A rising East will displace a falling West, even as the West (i.e. the U.S.) consolidates power in its sphere (e.g. controlling Venezuela). My prediction is many of the gulf monarchies, Iraq, India, Pakistan, South Korea, Japan, and others come under the Eastern sphere of influence. It makes more sense that this is Trump's plan rather than maintaining U.S. hegemony over these countries. The actions (and obvious results) speak louder than words.
Greater Israel is a secondary issue. The issue is the WEF and Krapivnik's explanation of the "Golden Billion". Why people object is beyond me. They've been telling you for generations that this was the goal.
Thank you M Green. I watched that recently and agree. It is very easy to see every point of conflict as a separate issue, whilst they are all connected with the common denominator being the US of A. This has been in the making for several decades now. Brian Berletic does a good job of rehashing the 21st century and giving an overview of US terrorism - which is essentially their strategy. https://youtu.be/NEvB7l-APBw?si=Oa0qOwROaIsqeBV2
Medhurst's analysis is absolutely spot on. He ties it together amazingly well. And his statement that China is the ultimate target absolutely supports Berletic. In fact, "Everybody" knows China is the threat being countered.
Ritter was optimistic a few days ago speaking how China was pressuring Iran for the ceasefire. After Medhurst, I think it wasn't "pressure" so much as an acknowledgement of what Medhurst is talking about and trying to determine a way to counter that thrust.
Let's be clear, Trump isn't an idiot but this is NOT Trump's plan. The "Public State" (Good's tripartite state) has been given a task to accomplish. Trump will remain in power as long as he is seen to be accomplishing that task. Medhurst's report says Trump is excelling.
The USA has been losing wars since WWII, but the "Epstein Class" (which includes the Rothschilds) doesn't care as long as they gain more and more control over the world's resources.
Trump isn't playing 5D chess, the Epstein Class is. Capital is winning. Unless Capital is destroyed, all is lost.
Here’s the compliment to Medhurst. It suggests the breakdown of the world’s economies. Krapivnik’s “Golden Billion” may be realized. The Oligarchy wants us dead.
https://substack.com/home/post/p-190383417