Israel has a nice 5G network that can be used to guide long range strike drones onto bases in Israel proper as well as into the Knesset and other government facilities.
It's time for a Coalition of the Willing to fund and arm Hezbollah for strategic victory
Focus is shifting to whole Middle East, after Palestine, Lebanon are Syria, Yemen, Egypt and Turkey.
Those and the other ME countries will form an alliance against Israel.
With Turkey, being in NATO, she will be forced to leave it and ask for Russian nuclear umbrella.
Situation is shifting to broad Muslim alliance.
Not only Oman, but also Saudi Arabia is changing tune. Their energy minister, prince Abdulaziz bin Salman was recently in Petersburg and said about alliance with Russia, a predominantly Christian Orthodox country, till death. That minister is part of ruling royal family.
In that situation Iran is threatening Israel and dictates conditions, and goes on a diplomatic and military offensive.
This will bring back Trump to Israel defence. Options are narrower now. Trump is Epsteined. He just theatrically plays verbal spat game with Natanyahu, to show the world he is peacekeeper.
There is still growing buildup of American forces.
Soon those escalations will lead to nuclear - first on nuclear power stations by conventional weapons or dirty bombs, which would not only destroy nuclear facility but also carry radioactive nuclear isotopes. Those explosions in nuclear stations are much more radioactive and deadly. By hundreds or even a thousand times more deadly than a nuclear bomb itself, which uses the great part of nuclear material for a blast.
All done through false flag operation. Watch for timing - weekends are Israeli/American attack days. Likely from Thursday night, as Fridays, Saturdays are work free days in Israel. So they won't lose much economic productivity.
Israel will distribute gas masks to all citizens and tell them to stay in shelters for 3 days. They will also distribute fixed Geiger Counter radioactive particle instruments to show high danger levels, so population will be controlled by orders. And posting images of those Geigerd on social media, so all Americans will see them. Images of destroyed Israeli nuclear facility will be AI generated - but details will give them out, as with the sixth Natanyahu finger.
They will blame Iran to get American Congress approval for formal war.
Iranian targets and powerful warheads, including small nukes, dirty, chemical, biological and some experimental, are already prepared. Trump wants it done fast, just 3 days. Every day more powerful then the previous.
That detailed information is already passed to all NATO governments in Europe, but they don't want and will not participate. At the same time those countries are being prepared for a total international war, in case China, Russia and the other BRICS will react to nuclear attack on Iran.
Mobilisation plans for rapid deployment to Middle East are prepared.
All the world will see through it, Trump and American image will be shattered.
On top of hell on hell in Iran, immediate consequences will be food shortage, as crops are damaged and can't be harvested from fields within hundreds and a thousand kilometres, depending of wind direction. Dramatic price rise for grains. Half of family budget going exclusively on food and medicines.
Unless dirty bomb is used on a nuclear power station.
That never happen yet.
Possibly Ukrainians were planning similar device in September 2022, which caused immediate reaction from Shoigu to several top officials in Biden administration.
Advantage of using dirty bomb on power station it can be blamed on operation accident, terrorist attack. Yet it can still penetrate sarcophagus, damage vital installations, fire electronics and cause explosion in reactor.
At Busher nuclear power plant there are 72 tons of active material and 200 tons of used nuclear material, which is stored nearby and can't be moved. There are other nuclear power plants in the region, including Negev laboratory in Israel.
I remain astonished to read that the term "nuclear" is still the primary word in your minds. Are you fixated on the fantasy of receiving a nuclear warhead in just the right place in order to trigger an atomic orgasm?
Indeed! Though dirty bombs, eg cobalt bombs, are often configured to do far more lasting damage by way of long half-lives. Unless of course they’re just thrown together from nuclear waste, the sort of thing that non-state actors can just cobble together without requiring a nuclear explosion.
As to Ukrainian nuclear efforts, in practice (as distinct from research) they’ve focused on capturing Russian nuclear weapons depots. The first, 2014, was successful. The second, 2024, unsuccessful. The third attempt likely will be Kaliningrad if they get that far…
Don't misunderstand Ukraine. The authorities themselves admit that the level of education has collapsed. Ukraine is no longer the Soviet Union with its Moscow-based education system. Iran could have its bomb, but 1,000 years wouldn't be enough for Kyiv to acquire one.
No, "the authorities" do not "admit that the level of education has collapsed." And the Russian Federation "is no longer the Soviet Union, with its Moscow-based education system."
OECD, PISA, PIRLS and TIMSS ratings and scores show both Russia and Ukraine in the "Eastern European" cluster. Neither are Soviet-era high performers. Russia ranks slightly ahead of Ukraine across many metrics, but not all - and both countries' participation in standardized scoring and testing systems has been inconsistent over the last 5 years (longer for Ukraine).
Info now unavailable on the internet, scrubbed in the period late 2023 early 2024, I noticed only during the Kursk operation when my links all disappeared or had all depot references removed. Russia never admitted it, West too embarrassed to talk about it, Ukraine justifiably crowed about it. Brilliant surprise attack into Russia by US-trained armor officer, v light casualties ending in capture of depot near border. Fortunately / unfortunately (pov!) the Russians had transferred contents elsewhere years before. So US intelligence failure.
Thanks. Geographically I thought it was a bit further south, but it may well have been at the south-eastern tip of Belgorod Oblast. Not Belgorod itself, just some village.
Seriously? Don't you have a brain? We stored the fissile materials from the Kursk nuclear power plant in a crate 1000 km away, not at the nearby research center? Have you checked that the US doesn't store theirs in your bathroom?
Ad hominems always, *necessarily*, say more about the critic than the criticized.
That being established, I give you some leeway because the translation may be off. For clarity, at no time did I mention the Kursk nuclear *reactor* or *power plant*. I was discussing *weapons depots*.
Ad hominems always, *necessarily*, say more about the critic than the criticized.
That being established, I give you some leeway because the translation may be off. For clarity, at no time did I mention the Kursk nuclear *reactor* or *power plant*. I was discussing *weapons depots*.
It is a new 'feature' that lets people control the conversation in a more direct way. I don't use it and never plan to, but I can forsee it ruining the dialog even further than the dialog has been ruined already.
Censored are words related to Israel, as well as brutality, death, murder, homicide, genocide, extermination, Natanhayu, world depopulation, annihilation, American Empire, holocaust, cruelty, sex, pornography, Trump, rape, freemasonry, Epstein, cannibalism, capitalism, Kushner, plandemic 2, anthropophagy, ritual killing, human trafficking.
Apparently not to swearing words.
On 1st July in my first and only banned post I wrote about the Second coming of Messiah in recent Trump posts (since Easter) and about his son Baron taking over his father duties. Not sure what triggered censorship.
That post later was removed from bin, vanished. Together with post I was replying to and with a reply it has received.
Soon they will be outright banning offenders, no matter what they write. There might be rating system for each user, their profile - how many posts, how many likes, how many offending words, interaction with the other posters, multiple accounts
When people see others expressing minority views publicly, others feel the permission to speak. So, this "hidden" feature targets visible dissent. And self-regulation, unlike imposed censorship, is invisible.
They’re not banning anything. They’re not ordering anyone to do anything. They’re just creating enough ambient uncertainty... and it is still "free speech", right?
There is no free speech. Comments are pointless. Whatever diviates from what is allowed for news, agendas, is for the ai to put in its place; by profiling people, hiding... why resist it... people are just donators of manpower and children. I'm just cheering that in a democracy....people who do...should send their children first. No exceptions. And we should just help and insist colectively to make it happen.
I went into settings and had a dialogue with the support AI. Here is a quote directly from it that insists reply rules can be turned off or disabled:
"A publisher can turn automatic moderation off; it is not permanently imposed.
On the publication’s Settings page, under Community, they can switch off “Enable automatic moderation.” They can also leave Reply Rules visible while turning off automatic hiding, or remove the rules entirely by deleting the text and saving. "
If anyone wishes to use such a censorship feature they would do better to refrain from writing on Substack. Or they could try working for the mainstream media.
Here it is already becoming more and more about public reading of articles from mainstream media (Pravada of Western Bolshevik regimes), as if we were illiterate.
You didn't understand the meaning of my post; we are no longer illiterate people from the Middle Ages for priests to read to us from the holy bible of the media and press.
You are right; I did not understand your first post, and the second one also puzzles me.
I myself never read the mass media or watch TV or listen to radio. I do not participate in "social media". Nor have I noticed much of that kind of thing being relayed on Substack.
So I agree that I, at least, am not illiterate; I do not pay heed to priests; and I am certainly not from the Middle Ages.
"Censored are words related to Israel, as well as brutality, death, murder, homicide, genocide, extermination, Natanhayu, world depopulation, annihilation, holocaust, cruelty, sex, pornography, Trump, rape, freemasonry, Epstein, cannibalism, capitalism, Kushner, anthropophagy, ritual killing, human trafficking."
It seems none of these words led to your post being hidden? Perhaps mine will? And if it was keyword blocking why pay AI to do it. My guess is that it's the intent of the post, not the words used.
Your comments seemed to include the same comment "Poor jews had it coming", intimidating that being Jewish automatically aligns you with Israeli policy (I assume that your comment was regarding the genocide and other mass crimes against humanity underway in the Levant?)
Listening to a very long interview with Soloviev yesterday, I took note of his remarks. "Israel does not have a monopoly on the number of people who suffered genocide, 6 million Jews, compared to 27 million Soviets, millions of Native Americans, millions of victims of the UK (whose extermination camps predate the German ones), millions of victims of Islam, millions of victims of colonization and the slave trade, etc. He himself is Jewish, however, and his grandfather survived the persecution by the UMM."
There is plenty of evidence - including in such texts as the Talmud and the Shulchan Aruch that the prime rule is always "whatever is best for the Jews". Those are religious commands, presumably applying to all Jews except outright atheists (and perhaps influencing even them).
That is some straight BS . There is no evidence backing your claim. In the US the percentage is close to 70% that somehow support Israel at the same time they attempt to distance themselves from the daily horrors. This is called BS
Can you prove that? Because it seems to be exactly what any Zionist would say. And of course Zionists believe that Gentiles are subhuman, so lying to them is a good thing, not bad.
According to the description I received from Substack, this is a 'feature' only the blog owner can activate, so how does this constitute system-wide censorship?
The presence of this new ‘opportunity’ will grow and grow into a censorship opportunity on Substack. This is only a test, an initial opening towards the Gates of Hell. RESIST!!!!
He did not participate in any conversations as far as I recall, just used them as a springboard for hate speech. I was surprised he was able to do that for so long.
He is the canary in the coal mine. They are coming for us next. "Hate" speech is in the eyes of the beholder - and now recently in the eyes of the authorities who can decide "for us" what is "hate". Hate speech is a vital part of Free Speech, as free speech includes the freedom to insult or offend.
I don't like the single-mindedness of Dhdh but I fully support his right to offend. If a person does not like what another says, then they should block that person, but never should that person's opinions be blocked from the site.
Here's a test. See if you can put DH's sentiments into the form of an argument. That is how hate speech can acquire political power, if that is what you want for it, and it is what we all want from all our arguments if we want them to be instruments of change. Hate speech as such, is a self debasing grunt that destroys the credibility of the utterer. We are better than this, or we should aspire to be.
Then that is his problem, not ours. If I offend, then I need to be prepared to accept a loss of credibility, rejection and ostracism. If I make an offensive statement against some group, organisation, or whatever, then of course I am trying to both express my opinion and influence others - that's what it is all about, isn't it?
If that argument gains political power, then all the more for it - it might influence enough people to make a substantial political statement - that's good - that's freedom of speech. And if we are indeed "better than this", then such talk will have minimal effect, yes?
What you seem to be proposing is allowing some authority the right to tell us what is 'offensive' and what is not, thus punishing those who speak outside the defined bounds. That is precisely where we are today - we have accepted such authority and are sleepwalking onto a very slippery slope as a society.
Of course, all rights and freedoms have natural constraints. I can not intentionally incite to doing physical harm and causing violence. The should be and is illegal.
I guess I have trouble regarding a blackshirt movement as anything other than an orgy of mob violence. It is not about politics, philosophy or the good life. It is about putting the (Jack) boot into some class/race/group. You can have a grass roots movement for revolutionary change seeking to overthrow an 'authority' that is not like this- c/f Ghandi.
As for controlling the permitted narrative as a means of social control, it has ever been thus. The response should not be a retreat into primeval bloodthirsty noise but to play them at their own game- and win. It can be done.
Well hello DH. Reports of your online demise were premature! I know that behind the troll lurks a cool head, and a terse dark wit. I expect nothing less by way of reply, than one of your best smirking one-liners. To put you in the same bin as average hate-speak, did you a disservice. Sorry for that.
exactly - substack spying on our conversations and deciding what can and can't be said - arghjghghg so yooishshshs these things make themselves so eighted
I agree, I found Dhdh repellent, but he has the same rights as anyone else. His rantings discredited his ideas as well as himself and thus strengthened those who disagreed in my opinion. How can we know what we believe unless we can have access to all opinions?
D-your posts are rassist cuz everyone knows that Lutherans make up 87% of Izzreal'z population. You've been outed! Majority of tiny hats are in NYC metro area. The rents are too damn high! Coincidence...
There is NO SUCH THING AS "ANTI-SEMITISM", because to be a Semite one has to be born in Semitic Lands: Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, Iraq, Egypt and especially Palestine. Palestinians are actual Semites.
Hey Shlomo, you from Brooklyn? Born in Jew Jack City? You cannot be Semitic!
Take Benny the Yahoo... Polish born. Since when is Poland a Semitic land?
"Anti-Semitism" is a trope that the Zio-kikes use when they are being criticized, or to deflect from their abrogation of personal responsibility.
The religion of judaism is inherently zionist, so anybody calling themselves a jew is committed to the zionist religion regardless. Even if they don't attend a synagogue, they're still committed to advancing jewish/zionist interests religiously.
It seems we are facing a new instrument of censorship used by the author. My post that was the second after The Spectre’s first post was made hidden and removed from the original position. It is very obvious that this is a discriminatory act against an individual who admitted to the author in a forced private discussion openly that he will never drive a ‘pink convertible Cadillac’. In fact I stated clearly that I prefer 1959 Black Chevy pickup with a .50 caliber mounted on the top.
Yeah, given a chance, but if an algorithm hides your comment based not even clear what parameters - it’s a new thing here - recently started and very disturbing
We should literally boycott all authors on Substack who use tools of censorship unless it is an obviously clear situation for avoiding law enforcement entry. This should send a necessary message to Substack management as well. If an author bans someone he should clearly reason about the causes.
I would like to know if this new censorship is turned on by default and whether the author has the knowledge and the right to turn it off. OR if this censorship is by default turned off and made available to the author to turn on if they wish - even worse.
I was anticipating from early that AI will be (and already is) used for censorship and mass-disinformation. The whole of the AI Hype was originally designed for POPULATION CONTROL AND DESTRUCTION. I says f**k AI and his 6 trillion dollar mamma and daddy also. Either we chase these retards back into their closets and underground bunkers in Hawaii or they will kill us all: Take your choice!
Substack Guidelines are already crossing the line to La-La-Land:
‘Hate
Substack cannot be used to publish content or fund initiatives that incite violence based on protected classes. Offending behavior includes credible threats of physical harm to people based on their race, ethnicity, national origin, religion, sex, gender identity, sexual orientation, age, disability or medical condition.’ https://substack.com/content
In simple English: The sacred cows of Western Societies will be protected from Native European Descendents in order to promote sexual disorientation and population replacement. Substack was promoted through a growth period with a false illusion of being different from the controlled establishment media. This game is over and here comes the AI excuse for censorship. The solution is to turn toward uncensored AI based book creation like https://brightlearn.ai/ Here you create your book with AI help, edit it offline and publish and sell it. After proper editions you retain copyrights as well.
It seems we are facing a new instrument of censorship used by the author. My post that was the second after The Spectre’s first post was made hidden and removed from the original position. MY POST WAS NOT A REPLY TO ANYBODY!!! It is very obvious that this is a discriminatory act against an individual who admitted to the author in a forced private discussion openly that he will never drive a ‘pink convertible Cadillac’. In fact I stated clearly that I prefer 1959 Black Chevy pickup with a .50 caliber mounted on the top.
It seems we are facing a new instrument of censorship used by the author. My post that was the second after The Spectre’s first post was made hidden and removed from the original position. MY POST WAS NOT A REPLY TO ANYBODY!!! It is very obvious that this is a discriminatory act against an individual who admitted to the author in a forced private discussion openly that he will never drive a ‘pink convertible Cadillac’. In fact I stated clearly that I prefer 1959 Black Chevy pickup with a .50 caliber mounted on the top.
I haven't even noticed it being key words. There was one hidden that was not anything to do with anything - maybe it was about a plandemic or something
everything. Until we learn to invent stuff and NOT SELLING IT
Don't sell ( them ) anything. Ever. That's the key to stopping this. And its not even about buying stuff - its about not selling stuff - alot of what we're dealing with now is our own business greed, because of selling businesses to them. Legally. People blame them but we are to blame for selling our businesses out for money
In the previous article, Denis, myself, Mike Johnson (sp?) and a few others engaged ina discussion about this new set up by Substack. I know Substack sent the notice to all authors about this "lovely" new policing features that allows authors (supposedly) to set their own limits on comments, so they won't have to police them on their own. Sounds good, right? but the devil is in the details. Once the AI hired "hand" digests "author's limits" it'll act automatically to hide and/or remove comments, likely interpreting those limits as broadly as possible. As we can all imagine, not being particularly naive, this is obviously a trial run to see what censorship the community at large will tolerate.
I think that it is important for authors to push back, those who want to and have the time. The ones with the visibility and credibility. Substack management MUST understand that the platform's popularity is a direct result of its openness.
We, who comment on your posts and sometimes share them far and wide are keen on keeping the conversation open. Realizing that it's hard work to police comments for eg, a single author, perhaps an appeal to the community that follows you might help.
In particular I'd recommend a stand-alone post about this new policy, especially given that your particular platform has established credibility but treads on sensitive areas ....I wish I had the time and attention span to research the responses among the Substacks I follow, and gauge the temperature, so to speak, but perhaps I can contribute in some small way?
I say all that because the lesson of the past is that censorship starts out relatively light, but the heavy hand is sure to descend later, unless there is some serious push-back.
PS I still so miss your Dark Futura essays. This would be a perfect topic (hint, hint).
First they came for the commenters ,and we said "ok" then they came for the readers and we didn't notice and when that happened they came for Simplicius.......As Proteran said earlier they always start small . In the past they burned books. Its always for your own good....
I'm not sure what I think about this new thing. The replies that are hidden in this thread are simply anti Semitic rants that are nothing but repeating the posters deep hatred for Jews. Nothing related to this thread, Substack article, current events or geopolitics in general. Just school yard level name calling and caricature redneck venting on the *other* complete with allusions to blood libel tropes. If such posts become widespread in the comments then the comments page will become useless. And yes, yes, I know all about the slippery slope.
For me, the only real issue is whether the author of the substack contribution can control the level of moderation on his own content's responses page.
That's what I fear as well. They gauge the opposition - not just from commenters but from the Substack authors (so very many by now. practically everyone who is anyone). It's one of those frog in boiling water scenarios.
BTW, what people do not realize and perhaps don't care to take into account is just how much pressure Substack has been under, precisely because it became the platform it did.
I find it sad that people, even "just" some commenters still don't process what we are actually up against.
Did people honestly think that this entire "Western Civilization goind down" shtick is going to go smoothly?
Oh, wait, I know some people know. Maybe many. But even they, the ones who see and know (because they've seen it all before) still don't process that it is, in fact, up to us all to do something (ie, say something - everywhere).
I guess I keep trying to urge people to the barricades, even as I know it's hard work climbing them. FWIW, I am in.
PS I have personally seen it happen on medium - the heavy hand that starts light, then gets ever heavier.
Believing that it is a personality defect not to have deep hatred for select but ill defined groups seems like a defect in its own right. But I guess my believing that makes me subhuman as well in your eyes.
in my eyes nobody is subhuman apart from psychopaths (and that is not even their fault - they cannot love anyone even if they wanted to and it's up to us non-psychopaths to identify them and prevent them from getting into positions of power where they can do a lot of harm to humanity)
Go to the very bottom of the posts. There is a drop down arrow and they are greyed out. It obviously needs tweaking. You can see Simplicius' rules in a new dropdown in your reply box after you start typing (seems to be only when editing an existing post).
You cant have people like ”dhdh” bombing every thread with anti-semitic slurs. Substack will be banned from entire countries if that continues. So they did bring some feature that identify ”some” comments as crime-think, racial or not.
Problem is that every answer to the first comment is also hidden. So a very blunt tool.
I dont think you can turn it off without consequences for yourself.
If you name the Jew for being too powerful and controlling the ‘west’ you get censored by the Jew. So don’t name Jew…. That is your argument Jew Mikey Johnson ?
FWIW: (I know you won't listen, but I'll try it anyway)
It's the way you blame every and all Jews as if they all march in lock-step with one another.
It has become quite obvious that there is no distinction any longer between US policy makers and Israeli policy makers. Articles are coming out saying there is no leash; there is no tail; there is no dog. It is just one and the same monster.
Unfortunately, you identify that "monster" as "The Jew". It isn't that you are "wrong" but there's no nuance.
In the end, you just piss people off.
I have no problem believing that is your goal. You may be an interloper whose purpose is to disrupt debate and spread hate and eventually get Simplicius column banned.
OK then explain why Berletic and Nasrallah himself call "Israel" the Americans' "proxy"? Is it one and the same or is "Israel" just a fully functional node in the system with its own agency and ability to blackmail and control western governments with fake antisepticism narratives and sexpot traps/paedophelia?
I have no argument with Berletic. I've never supported the "tail wags the dog" idea. IOW 3 weeks ago, I would definitely said that Israel is a US proxy -- However, I would have mentioned (and still do) that US policy is not made in a "black box". It is the sausage that is ground out of many conflicting ideologues and politicians and billionaires. I would also have mentioned that 40% of American Billionaires are Jews even though they represent only 2% of the American population. Then I'd bring up Meyer Lansky. Then..., and then...
The point is that US and Israeli policy are now so intertwined that telling them apart is impossible. This idea is maybe 6 months old at the most.
None of this makes the "sexpot/pedophelia honey traps" exclusive to any of the participants.
In the end, the question is rather silly since there's enough "evidence" on all sides of the question to "prove" whatever you want to prove.
The American Oligarchy is quite complicated. It is made up of many factions and factions within factions. They operate at cross-purposes. I identify two major groups: The Jewish Supremacists and the Boston Brahmins.
Within the Jewish Supremacists, George Soros and Miriam Adelson might be considered in opposition to one another. But they also have a common goal of a greater Israel.
The "Boston Brahamins" are "everyone else". It is a lousy label.
Various factions cooperated with one another to murder JFK. Lansky's Jewish Mob was deeply involved. Jack Ruby was a lieutenant in Lansky's crime organization.
I could go on and on and on and on and on...
So, the question is "how deep do you want to go"?
In the end Berletic uses his choice quite well because it buttresses his claims about American Imperialism. It really doesn't matter that Douglas MacGregor emphatically disagrees with Berletic. MacGregor uses his view to explain Congress.
Both are right for the context within which they use it and the point they want to get across.
Good answer and I was previously sort of playing devil's advocate based on an ongoing argument with someone at Moon of AL. But I still disagree with you and Berletic.
To qualify I would say more like 12 months rather than 3 weeks, but that's a somewhat minor quibble. I think it's way more complex than most people want to frame it, especially hasbara peddlers and Izzy apologists, who like to switch the situation around as it fits their narrative needs at a given time.
So as of last year, and specific to the Middle East (and thought police), the Zionist Entity indeed wags the US imperial dog. This has been a somewhat gradual process with peaks and valleys, but it's commonly accepted as well that they were one of the main reasons for the invasion of Iraq as well. Similar to Trump's long simmering hatred of the Iranian government, GWB hated Saddam for allegedly plotting his daddy's assassination. Therefore "Israel" wasn't the ONLY reason for the attacks on Iraq and Iran, but they were definitely in the top 2, and I'd say #1 for Iran and #2 for Iraq.
As for MacGregor and Congress, I would argue that with Trump, it's the same for the Executive branch. "Israel" is the no. 1 driver of policy decisions for West Asia in this administration which has been clear since before his first term (Adelson money) and 100% confirmed after he was elected (tearing up the JCPOA - a big "Israeli" priority, assassinating General Soleimani with major "Israeli" assistance and to preserve the Abraham Accords after moving the embassy to Jerusalem, etc.). Especially moving the embassy had no benefit whatsoever to American imperialism or the empire - it was a net negative unless you subscribe to the "grand plan" narratives, in which case seriously contorted and unified grand conspiracy theory must be embraced to "prove" that point.
With Trump specific to West Asia, the tail most definitely wags the dog, albeit with some of the oligarchical factions you mentioned having sometimes competing, but more often overlapping priorities (fossil fuels, piplelines, military spending, societal surveillance, security state(s), etc.).
He has an agenda where it is best for him to blame the USA for the consequences of actions in Lebanon. Given the Marine Barracks disaster, and how it caused Regan to abandon Israel at that time, he was right.
I mentioned Nasrallah. He is saying the same thing as Berletic. And I disagree. During the Cold War, the US definitely called the major shots. That is no longer the case vis a vis the ME/WA. The Israel-firsters have infiltrated the USG to the extent that it's no longer possible to simplify the situation. In many cases "Israel" is the shot caller FOR the USA in WA.
if the jew is identified that is the first step in solving the problem. whether performative of not, we now have the president of the usa (zion don) having to say that the jew is hated.
You are way too strident and uninformed in your opinions on this matter. In fact there are plenty of Jews against Zionism and "Israel" but the Zionist-Jew and Zionist (fake) Christian evangelical owned media stifles their voices too.
Maybe it has everything to do with the EU and DSA? All platforms are desperately trying to do something to please the EU. Why? Because if they "feel" you don't do enough they fine you. And when I see feel I really mean their feelings.
Platforms are cheap and convenient but they might better be used as launchpad in the future to attract readers to your own website. We need to go back to the 90's and 2000's, we self hosted everything.
Platforms will wish EU was more like North Korea, they just ban stuff and leave you the fuck alone. I looked at hidden replies, it don't bother me but EU it will hurt EU feelings under hate speech or something so Substack is not doing enough.
The Daily Telegraph, several years ago when I used to subscribe, had a very weird list of auto-banned words and phrases: 'cabal'; 'shyster'; 'BLM thugs'; perhaps oddest of all, 'gerontocrat'.
AI Overview Substack’s hidden replies are comments or notes that the platform automatically hides from public view. This occurs because they do not comply with the writer's Reply Rules, which are guidelines that creators can establish for comments, Notes, and Chat replies.Key Details About Hidden RepliesNo Deletion: Hidden replies are never permanently deleted unless the author manually deletes them. They are tucked away behind a "Replies hidden" label so the community doesn't see them, but the creator can still review them.System Learning: The moderation system watches how you manage these replies. Every time a creator manually hides or unhides a reply, the system learns and becomes better at preemptively hiding similar unwanted comments.Creator Exemption: Authors are given full control; they can view hidden replies, unhide them, or permanently remove them.Protected Users: To protect and encourage healthy community engagement, paid subscribers, followed users, and contributors are generally exempt from this automated filtering
>For the first time on the back foot, it was Israel and the US that were forced to “defensively” retaliate in kind:
What does that tells about the situation Russia is in given that every time the Kremlin allows the military to do a token missile strike, it is announced as "in response to [latest Ukro-NATO-Nazi atrocitiy], we carried out"?
The west will nuke Moscow and occupy St. Petersburg, and people here will be hailing Putin when he surrenders as the greatest war time leader ever because he avoided a world holocaust.
I think Elana is speaking metaphorically, and she is actually correct. The West doesn't need to nuke Russia, as it will neuter Russia with help of Putin and Oligarch ruling class to point where Russia remains intact but fails at its published SMO goals and goals to end the war.
Russia may not be broken up physically as the West dreams about, but it looks to be subjugated to West by terms of deal so Putin/Oligarch ruling class can divide the riches of Russia's natural resources to get seat at global cabals table.
I used to think Putin was just weak and feeble, but I guess I was wrong, it appears he is just part of the "cabal" waiting to get his and his cronies share at expense of the Russian people.
Right. The comment is more directed at the fantasy life currently dominating the alt press and its readers than an actual prediction. However, I do believe that as things are headed the west will use nuclear weapons, that Putin will roll over like a whipped dog, and people here will praise him for doing so. A real leader with actual concern for the Russian people would have won this war long ago instead of losing it.
The West may not nuke Russia, but genocide of Russians is certainly on the agenda.
You see what they did to Gaza and what they are doing now to Lebanon.
Well, none of those populations were ever demonized to anywhere the same extent as Russians.
Meanwhile Ukraine is essentially Barbarossa 2.0, but with the main lesson from the failure of the original operation learned, i.e. they are doing it in slow motion this time so that they can establish full and stable control of the territories they take over while being careful not to force Moscow to fight a real war.
If they are doing Barbarossa 2.0, then presumably there is also a Generalplan Ost 2.0 to go with it.
I don’t know… I think it’s hard to find a more friendless group than Palestinians. For a hundred years the Jewish propaganda machine has been working overtime ceaselessly to demean them. The Russians have a towering literary history that even now is mostly recognized, while the Palestinians have been portrayed as hated terrorists and cave dwellers. And a lot of them are dark skinned.
I also think the Barbarossa comparison is a little strained.
But these, I suppose, are technicalities. The plan does seem to be the balkanization of Russia with a goal to eliminate the Russian identity. Whatever prejudices need to be activated to accomplish that goal will be tried, and whatever military means. Putin called it existential, but he’s treated it like a stroll through the park.
Elaborate how Russia would have won this war a long time ago without massive civilian casualties of which Ukraine has millions of Russians which would mean a victory at high cost . China on the Iran war made a correct statement “The Illusion of victory”. Slow and steady defeats the Orcs . Attritional war will grind the west .
Are you suggesting there haven't been massive civilian casualties? And what of the soldiers lost or grievously wounded? Each side estimates the other side has lost at least a million fighters; whatever the number is, it's a large number, and the war goes on with no end in sight. Or do you think you see an end? I keep trying to get people to specify a date by when the victory will occur - do you have one? I think there will be no peace within the next five years unless Putin signs a truce that is little more than a surrender. Many more soldiers and civilians will die as the thing drags on.
I do think you overestimate the number of casualties there would have been if Putin had been serious about winning, though. It would have started with a meaningful and enforced declaration that no one in Kiev would be safe, least of all western politicians, that western aid would be treated as actual war and not this phony "proxy" stuff, that western targeting information would not be allowed and starlinks and western drones over Russian air space would be destroyed, that no ships would enter Odessa and that not a train would be allowed to move in Ukraine. Every factory should have been annihilated, every bridge destroyed.
Obviously not all of that could be perfectly performed, but if Putin had been serious about winning this war instead of whatever goal he actually has, he would have tried to do these things for a start. You don't see politicians parading around Palestine, you never see them anywhere BUT Ukraine. That speaks volumes.
There are so many non-kinetic variables that people never seem to consider. The reason Russia is in an SMO as opposed to Ukrainian total wartime footing is for:
1.) Russia went in to liberate Donbass Russian speaking population, not to invade (despite however many times Western audience regurgitate this false claim). Russia was willing to accept any deal that would allow for the safety and security of this region only. Collective Wests' duplicitous actions and delusional ravenous intent to carve up Russia, lead to the current status quo. In other words, Russia wants to continue surviving as a civilizational country, without having to suffer Great Patriotic War casualty numbers nor the economic-social breakdown of post 1992 Soviet breakup.
2.) Bringing in Nukes into the picture serves no one, not Russia not even the Western cultures, who dream not only of post 1992 era economical gorging of the Russian pie, but also all the military technical resources it can steal to fortify it's own, almost completely depleted resources, not to mention brain drain, in the same sphere of interest. Escalation past the nuclear threshold would not only not give them that opportunity, but will destroy Europe, which is, to put it in simpler terms, American food, at this juncture. How will a dying Europe be able to pay off US LNG supplies. How will a dying Europe be America's lynchpin in Europe. Those elites, need the masses to do the work which they benefit by fleecing them.
3.) The last point I would like to posit (in a multitude of variables to long to post) is, Russia has escalation dominance over whole of Europe (or at least the non-friendly states). This being, all those enemies of Russia have joined up in Ukraine to form a spear that is not only poking, but currently at war with Russia. Even if it's not at a state level, but in the operational theatre, there are (or were) mercenaries from many EU nations... Bulgaria, Romania, Czechia, Poland, France, Italy, even Hungary. I don't need to mention the more prominent ones. Yet they all get their kit and marching orders from those prominent ones, US, UK, France, Germany, and Poland (less so). Russia can hit these production sites, training facilities, decision making centres, and their combined numbers (sans Turkiye) wouldn't be sufficient to retaliate. For comparison, consider how many losses Ukraine has suffered in divisions, battalion (BTG) numbers and these were Ukrainian and volunteer mercenaries from combined US/EU.
The fact that Russia, which operates on strategic imperative, seeking to secure a security architecture, ridding itself of ravenous wolves, so it can live on and prosper without being bogged down in an endless cycle of death and hatred amongst its neighbours. This is the perspective Russia holds. Ukraine, the battering ram will shatter, and so will the machinations of the insane asylum escapees controlling it.
>Russia was willing to accept any deal that would allow for the safety and security of this region only.
So Putin lost the war before he even started it. Thank you for restating it once again.
>Russia wants to continue surviving as a civilizational country, without having to suffer Great Patriotic War
Only a total idiot would think Russia could take the Donbass and that would be the end of it. If the invasion Rubicon was crossed then the only way to establish stable peace was to end Ukrainian statehood altogether. As subsequent events have demonstrated.
And that continues to be the case.
There would have been close to zero casualties had Putin gone in properly back in 2014. How many casualties now?
>but will destroy Europe
How is that bad for Russia? Russia nukes Europe, there is no more Europe, Russia reaches the Atlantic, a millennial problem is permanently solved.
>Russia has escalation dominance over whole of Europe
So why is it that Europe escalates to absolutely unthinkable five years ago levels and Putin refuses to do anything about it?
What is that, a contribution, an observation, because you know me, or a dig at me. If you hold an alternative perspective, just share it, so I may learn of an alternative view.
3. Russia made errors prior to 2014, did a half-wit with Crimea (leaving Donbass to its fate), made more errors up to 2022, and a half-hearted SMO to secure limited goals, underestimated the resolve/madness of UK/NATO/US and is not enough strong/sacrificial to bring this to an end.
Crimea is special to Russia - it would never, under any circumstance, endanger its rights over Sevastopol, a port of strategic import. NATO wanted that port for itself - Putin acted preemptively to make sure that would never happen.
As for Donbass, Russia was more than happy to let it continue as part of Ukraine, though more autonomously - recall that the peace agreement Russia was willing to sign in late March/early April would have kept the Donbass a part of Ukraine. But the nazis would have none of that, thus eventually forcing Russia to take action when the nazis were on the edge of invading the region.
Yes, the strategic importance of Crimea, paid with millions of lifes, was self-regulated. It couldnt fall in the hands of West.
But Russia made a strategic blunder with Donbass and other Russian speaking areas in Ukraine. The same mistake they made in Baltikum. Somehow they thought that the rulers would do the same as Belorussia/Lukaschenko. Belorussia almost fell to western interests in 2020-2021. Putin saved him but where over-confident regarding the fate of Ukraine.
Could have gone all the way to Odessa with minimal fighting. From Kharkov to Odessa there were nascent rebellion movements, they just needed support. But no.
Kiev would have involved some fighting, but given the vast disparities in military potential at the time, it would have been trivial to take it, and then they could have just marched to Lvov slaughtering Banderites along the way.
But no, it was much better to give them eight years to raise an army and equip it. And then another five years to become what they are now...
>it would never, under any circumstance, endanger its rights over Sevastopol
Well, Putin did exactly that in Istanbul -- tried to get rid of Crimea -- so we have that data point...
Crimea in 2014 was not a Kremlin operation, it was a GRU operation. And then Putin faced the choice of either returning it back and forever disgracing himself as the worst open traitor in Russian history, or accepting the fait accompli.
Strelkov then tried to force his hand in Slavyansk too, but Putin refused to act.
I thought I was exchanging ideas with a sane person. Wow. Just wow. Kaja Kallas is not whole of Europe. Neither is Ursula Von de Lying. You exhibit a thirst for genocide not unlike Smotrich, Ben Gvir and the great demon itself...Satanyahou. I see there is no point in continuation of this dialogue.
It is bad for Russia and even if they want to fight for 20 years, NATO will not let them fight that way for 20 yrs.
Ukraine is going to produce a nuke soon, and when they do what exactly will Russia do? I am told the minute Iran declares they have a nuke they will be nuked by Israel, so where is this Russian warning to Kiev that they will get the same treatment?
Frankly, Kiev's best prospect for a win is to keep the drone strikes going and develop nuclear weapons. They have the know-how, nuke material and money to have a crash program in progress, so why would anyone think they won't develop a nuke? Showing Moscow you have a nuke will push Russia to the table (because deep down I don't think Putin has the guts to nuke Kiev).
Its only a matter of time before a heavy drone strike or Kiev nuke announcement will force Russia to change strategy. I still do not think Russia sees this SMO as 'existential' because they are acting like they have all the time in the world.
>Ukraine is going to produce a nuke soon, and when they do what exactly will Russia do?
That actually changes very little for Russia because Russia was never going to do any countervalue nuking of Ukraine. And if Ukraine is given enough nukes to destroy Russia, well, then Russia destroys Europe and the US in response, so presumably Ukraine's masters won't do that.
Russia's winning move right now is to use nukes to stop all transport between Europe and Ukraine. Which would kill practically nobody, it will just dig giant craters hundreds of meters wide right where the roads and railways enter Ukraine.
Then Europe has the choice of either starting to do airlifts and building new roads around the craters, which should receive the same treatment immediately, and perhaps entering the war directly, or backing off.
If they have any sense, that is where they back off and Russia finishes off Ukraine at its leisure, nukes or not, because Ukraine will not have enough nukes stockpiled to meaningfully do much to Russia before Russia learns about it and has to act.
If they want to go to war, then Russia nukes Europe and permanently isolates Ukraine that way and again finishes it off at its leisure.
Also, the fact that Russia will have nuked Europe but not Ukraine may finally knock some sense into the heads of the Ukrainians themselves.
That calculus does not change much with Ukraine having nukes.
What makes a big difference to Russia is Poland, Germany, Sweden, etc. acquiring their own nukes, in quantity and with solid delivery systems, under their own control. Then the winning move of nuking Europe is taken away from Russia, and Europe can be thrown into the cauldron of a continental conventional war, a much larger version of the current shitshow. Then Russia will lose.
I am not so sure, was not France or UK trying to smuggle around some nuclear triggers months back but 'backed off'. Russia threatens, but ultimately does not act like they have it in them to nuke first.
For dealing with a nuclear weapons threat, sure they do. People seem to have forgotten that Russia delivered an ultimatum in late 2021 / early 2022 and when the West blew that off Russia invaded Ukraine. That's killed almost a million of the West's stormtroopers and has burned up about half a trillion dollars in direct Western investment in the war, and has cost the EU trillions in damage to EU/UK economies. Trump won't admit it, but it's also cost the US about a trillion in knock on damage to the US economy.
A country that is willing to kill almost a million of the West's soldiers is certainly acting like it has it in it to act against a truly existential threat, like Nazis getting nukes to use on Russia.
By the way, there's no such thing as a 'nuclear trigger'. That's not a term used in nuclear weapons design. If you meant "initiators," you don't really need them for very simple devices and for a notch up from dirt primitive (which nobody would build these days) anybody who can buy gear from the oil and gas industry (about a million people) can get you neutron generators (widely used in downwell logging instrumentation) for external initiation, and it's easy to rig up internal initiators. The US used them for years because they're so simple to make and very reliable in action.
"Smuggling" those is as complex as taking a train with a marble in your pocket. That's all the bigger they are, they give off no radiation, and externally they look like a marble-sized bead. Or,... a marble.
Brown is putting forward rational arguments as to why Russia is doing what it is doing. You are saying the Russian state is wrong and should do it your way. The hubris is astounding and adds zero value to a cohesive debate.
I am not the one who maneuvered Russia into the current situation of a pending global maritime blockade, being bombed non-stop all over the space west of the Urals, and increasingly east of them too, losing the whole post-Soviet space except for Belarus, and abandoning the supposed long-term allies around the world.
Putin did that.
I was one of those warning about what was going to happen.
So yeah, either I am more qualified to run Russia than Putin because he is an absolute imbecile, or Putin is a traitor and has to be put on trial for grand treason and shot.
The Ogarkov reforms hadn't progressed far beyond the academic / experimental stage by 1991. However by 1990 enough was known for LTC Lester Grau of the US Army Studies Office to draft a comprehensive and long briefing paper on what the Soviets were up to, including BTGs. But the main focus of his paper were the two new Soviet doctrines: reconnaissance-fire and reconnaissance-strike. Much later these were christened "drone warfare before drones". The latter was demonstrated in 2014 when a NATO-trained Ukrainian mech brigade was obliterated without firing a shot, in a period variously described as between 30 seconds and three minutes. A US colonel who witnessed it was so worried he publicized it, calling it an artillery doctrine to which NATO has no counter. He was right on the second bit, slightly off on the first.
I'm not sure! They worked perfectly in 2022 - that's how the Russians were able to cut straight through the Ukrainian army despite being outnumbered 4:1. In 2023 they were still deployed (as demonstrated in one of the most astonishing engagements of the Ukrainian counter-offensive when a single Russian T-72 three times attacked and eventually defeated a Ukrainian armored column equipped with NATO tanks and IFVs - it turned out be from a BTG's armored company) Not sure about since then.
That said, BTGs may well have been disassembled (temporarily or permanently) for purposes of the key doctrine Russia apparently has been using for most of the SMO, especially for the first two years with inferior numbers. This is active defense, ironically an old 1950s(?) Soviet doctrine designed for nuclear war in which small units are expected to maneuver and take their own decisions on how and where to engage the enemy, without support or even communications with higher commands. It places a premium on small-unit leadership by junior officers and even NCOs.
"Russia was willing to accept any deal that would allow for the safety and security of this region only."
No such deal is possible or will ever be possible with the entirely agreement-incapable Clown World. It's the exact same issue TACO Trump has created for himself vis a vis Iran: he desperately wants an agreement, but everyone knows he'll never keep it, no matter what its terms, so no agreement is possible.
Indeed. EU will continue until the time Russia makes it hurt for EU. We have seen this play out many times by now, around the world.
Reminds me of Putins comment about nukes, where Putin correctly expressed/hinted that nukes are what allows North Korea to live in peace whereas Gaddafi is gone.
Nukes are useful just as standoff weapons. Regular weapons are not. Not even Oreshnik.
Iran has now demonstrated willingness to use their weapons. If Russia does the same, suddenly the war will not last 10 years.
>Reminds me of Putins comment about nukes, where Putin correctly expressed/hinted that nukes are what allows North Korea to live in peace whereas Gaddafi is gone.
Well, Russia has more nukes than anyone else, but is bombed 24/7.
Because Putin was not exactly correct about North Korea -- it is not just the nukes, it is the nukes plus the knowledge that there will be zero hesitation to use them.
And even then, once Russia and China fall and North Korea is completely surrounded, it will be attacked too, because then it will be possible to disable their arsenal.
>Nukes are useful just as standoff weapons.
Nukes are in fact extremely useful as a tactical weapon. But again, willingness to use them...
Hence the difference between Russia and Iran...Iran has demonstrated in short order it will retaliate disproportionately to any attack, while Russia responds very underwhelming and acts like it has battered wife syndrome. Putin & Russia ruling party's biggest strength is crying on a world stage no one in power cares about.
Its easy, except for Putin fanboys, to see which country is taken more seriously by it enemies.
It appears that Putin and Zelensky are prepared to open dialogue to make a peace deal. Who knows when, but both countries have lost a lot of men and material. The thirst for war has waned. Russia settles for a partial win while Ukraine survives. Ukraine is so bankrupt right now that peace itself would worsen the situation because it would lose the funding and loans it received and have to start paying them back under peace. It doesn't look like Russia will be launching a major offensive to defeat Ukraine by the end of summer, as Larry Johnson proclaimed. Johnson and Ritter have a bad record of making faulty predictions. Ritter openly admits to his bad calls. No surprise there. Russia could use the peace to strengthen its army and acquire more war material should NATO and Ukraine decide to try to push back Russia from the territories it gained in the future.
The 90-day US SMO.
The US-Israel SMO on Iran appears to be settling down, and there's talk about Iran giving its enriched uranium to Russia or China, which the US may accept. Iran doesn't need nukes anyway. It can light up the Middle East with drones and bombs, and it has essentially deterred further aggression for the most part. The US can't attack Iran without causing its economy to break down from high oil prices, which could hit $200 a barrel. Time works against Trump now, so it won't surprise me to see a deal being made with Iran sooner than people think.
It's possible that both the Russian and US SMO's end within a close timeline. No one is expecting it, but the signs are there. The next time Russia fights, it won't be an SMO. It will be war. The SMOs are likely descending from their nadir of conflict soon. Peace is a great time to prepare for the next war. 😂
Not likely on either count. The US wants both these wars, though there could be a few more fake agreements with Iran along the way. Russia will not have peace until it goes to the source, which Putin seems unable to do. The Iranians might be more respectable, but they have a very long way to go.
Denis, Putins failure from day one is his failure to see that the West breakup of Russia will never end unless they are defeated in this goal. Ukraine as neutral state is only way to do this. But sadly Putin will end the SMO with a fully militarized and natizified Ukraine that the West will rearm and go after the Bear again.
At what point does Russia wake up and realize this?
Charles, they are perfectly aware that the end game for them is balkanization and that it will never end. Since you and I know this, why wouldn't they know it? Shoigu even wrote an article talking about it.
"Их цель — десуверенизация нашей страны. Они хотят поделить нашу Родину на десятки мелких государственных образований, чтобы затем подчинить своей воле, эксплуатировать, использовать в своих корыстных интересах. Коллективный Запад не понимает природы российских межнациональных отношений, духовной, нравственной силы, единства многонационального народа России, позволяющего нам уверенно противостоять разрушительным геополитическим технологиям. Именно в единении мы имеем возможность для свободного полноценного национального развития."
"Their goal is to desovereignize our country. They want to divide our homeland into dozens of small state entities, then subjugate them, exploit them, and use them for their own selfish interests. The collective West does not understand the nature of Russian interethnic relations, the spiritual, moral strength, and unity of the multinational Russian people, which allows us to confidently resist destructive geopolitical technologies. It is precisely through unity that we have the opportunity for free and full-fledged national development."
Of course the goal of the West is balkanization of Russia. However, humans are very good at telling themselves comforting stories, or at telling themselves that at least they personally will get a cut of the action.
There are many points that need to be addressed in this article.
First of all, let's start with your surprise of Iran's escalation dominance. Anyone who has been following carefully the events of last few days and weeks, as well as listening/reading what Iranian officials were saying, would have expected Iran to respond to the Israeli bombing of Beirut. In fact, I do not understand the meaning of "non-retaliatory strike", when Iran had highlighted the "unity of fronts" and made it clear that a strike on Beirut would have triggered a response.
I am even amazed that Trita Parsi was surprised, but probably he has been living in the West and imbued in Western propaganda for far too long.
Have a look at my regular updates from the Middle East to read Iran's policy and also find out more about Iranian response to every single US violation of the ceasefire: https://geopolitiq.substack.com
Second: taking Trump's words and Barak Ravid's "fake" reports at face value, knowing that they both lie and that the latter is a Mossad asset, as he served in the signals intelligence division of Unit 8200 of the IDF (you can even see it on his Wiki page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barak_Ravid)
Tied to this is the story that Trump and Netanyahu are at odds. WRONG! This is what they want you to believe and you keep spinning the propaganda. Congratulations! Well done for this!
Even Israeli media reported that Israel had informed Trump's administration and got the green light from the bombing of Beirut, which is my next point.
You completely ignored the fact that Israel targeted just a single building in Dahye with just one missile. When you mention Beirut in your article for the second time, you make it sound like Israel started a bombing campaign on Beirut, when it has not. It was just a provocation to test Iran's resolve and cross its red lines, as I explained here: https://geopolitiq.substack.com/p/israel-bombs-beirut-to-test-irans?r=25fc37
Yes, you are correct. There is no real disagreement between the two lovers, Trump and Yahoo. Its all for show. While Trump may actually believe there will be a "deal" with Iran, the chances of that happening are zero. The Iranians are simply going through the motions for historical purposes, doing the right thing by at least trying, while Trump flails away and Yahoo tries to stave off his coming destruction.
Another point is the Yemeni stance. You quote "The Hormuz Letter" and "reports that the Houthis have decided to finally block the Bab al-Mandab". It would have been better to check sources more closely affiliated to the Yemeni government or closer to the Axis of Resistance, such as the Yemeni news agency Saba or the Lebanese Al Mayadeen, but it is probably much more work for you, since the AIs and LLMs you use to get the news ignore non-Western news media outlets.
The suspicion is that they don't trust the Iranians, and that suspicion was vindicated after Iran went for the fake ceasefire.
The hope is that the Iranians had good reasons for that, i.e. having to regoup for the final war, and when the final war starts then everyone will join all guns blazing. We shall see...
I don't share the same suspicious view. I believe that there is a plan and reason why Yemen did not contribute significatively to Operation True Promise 4. However, I find it significant that the IRGC named the new military operation "Operation Nasr", meaning "Victory". As I wrote in my latest article, the name suggests that Iran this time may want to go to the end… until victory over its enemies!
Yemen recognised the reasons why iran accepted the ceasefire - it was for geopolitical reasons to satisfy Iran's allies (Russia, China, Pakistan, etc) and regional adversaries (Saudi Arabia, Qatar, UAE, Kuwait, etc) that Iran truly wanted peace - but not at any cost. Iran knew (and currently knows!) that the USrael can not be trusted to adhere to any potential peace agreement, but they went that route anyway.
And I agree, "Operation Nasr" indicates that this is now a battle to the end against Little Satan. Iran has proven its desire for peace, that effort has failed and now Iran will pick Little Satan to pieces until it falls.
The situations are different. Iran is a direct conflict with regional implications between nuclear powers USrael and its allies against Iran, a non-nuclear power. The Ukraine war is a proxy war between the West and Russia fought on the soil of Ukraine with global implications between two powers with vast nuclear resources - such a confrontation has to be fought with great caution.
Further, pertaining to "red lines", I might add that as far as I know Russian authorities have never set a red line for anything. It is we who have interpreted thus so. What we interpreted as a "red line" were statements like "If you do this, then we have a right to do .....". And don't think Russia doesn't record each and every such "crossing" for future reference when it justifies any future actions against NATO countries.
Yemeni blockade (08/06/2026): "...Yemeni Armed Forces announced a complete naval blockade on all Israel-linked vessels in the Red Sea and Bab al-Mandab Strait, declaring that they have already carried out a successful missile strike against sensitive Israeli targets in the occupied Jaffa region..." - https://english.almanar.com.lb/article/88252/
Exactly. The ceasefire agreement clearly included the Lebanon front, and the West and Little Satan were clearly warned that attacking Lebanon under that agreement was indeed the same as attacking Iran. Anyone not seeing that has not kept up.
The real shock is that no one expected Iran to follow through with that warning.
"The real shock is that no one expected Iran to follow through with that warning."....
That's because the world is accustomed to Putins and Russia's weak responses to Wests escalating attacks and its failure to deter forcefully. I guess Putin lulled people into believing this was all the wests adversaries could do. It took Iran to wake the world up to the Wests limits, not Russia.
That's also because Western media largely ignore statements by Iranian officials and alike. They may get repetitive and boring, but... hey, at least they warn about the consequences of USraeli actions!
And that's why my articles are NOT based on Western MSM, but on alternative sources closer to the Axis of Resistance, such as Iranian (semi-)official news agencies, Lebanese Al Mayadeen and so on...
Trita Parsi is an MI6/CIA/Mossad asset posing as a “Washington-based think-tank analyst“. He’s an executive director of a think tank funded by a who’s who of billionaire neolibs and neocons. They don’t even try to cover up their psyop mouthpieces. He has a long history of babbling on about how the “regime” is unpopular, weak, militarily exhausted, repressive, brutal, blah, blah, blah…
This is the deeper reason western europe is pushing out such a frantic propaganda campaign about Russian collapse (really!!!!).
It is not just about trying to deflect from the remorseless actual Russian advance, and trying to convince the international money markets to pick up some stinking Ukrainian debt or debt that will end up there through various secondary instruments that it is suggested could be offloaded on muppets before Defeat Day- no one is wearing this one after the 2008 meltdown- it is also about losing the hegemonic umbrella provided by the US.
Western europe thought it just needed to white knuckle it out in Ukraine keeping the war going no matter how hopelessly on the ground, until the political tide changed in the US, but anyone who still thinks the dems want anything to do with this plate of euro filth, is out stone cold on the deck.
The only viable conclusion to Trump's mess is for an Accord at a higher power level, meaning with Russia-China and its regal trailing gown of fearsome allies (not useless beggars, note, but real value here, as demonstrated by Iran). And western europe will not be at this table. It will be left in the beggars' bowl. Not even on the menu.
I have about a 15 minute response to what I (hopefully mistakenly) think you are referring to. Don't want to go down that path. So want to get you to expand first.
The editing of replies was designed to stop a form of trolling that ruins any proper dialogue and destroys a POV by directing attention away from it into invective and shameless misinformation.
Par example- throw hate speech into any conversation. Or just attack the messenger, rather than addressing the message. It fills up a board so that genuine critiques are simply lost.
TBF, there are lessons to be drawn from the two apparently parallel conflicts on the world stage. And there are crossovers, e.g., viz supply lines. We would not want to lose that argument, whatever your take on the cross overs. We all know what destructive trolling is, however hard it is to define it in the abstract. Just like Plato struggled to define the virtues and aesethic values as formal constructs while we we could all recognise them in their particular expressions. He used that as evidence for the existence of the Ideals, which as Aristotle pointed out, was a category mistake. But I digress.........
Yes, well, the use of a perfectly sane and necessary moderation process like you discussed is great, but using that as an excuse to ban any discussion of Israel's war crimes is not great. The liberals running Substack just can't help themselves from canceling what they insist the world should not hear.
The Anglo-American Oligarchy's attempt to "pivot to Asia" has proven to be a complete failure. The result is the destruction of Western Economies and the rise of bRICs
The Chinese Thorium reactor is "old news" in that there have been articles and youTubes about it for about a year now.
However, this article is more well structured than most and not full of the hype that has indeterminate dates for future deployment. Actually making it sound as if the Gobi would be full of Thorium reactors by "this time next year". LOL
I'll quibble with the "technical limits" excuse because there are alternate explanations that Thorium doesn't produce Plutonium needed for atomic bombs.
"Never attribute to ignorance that which can be ascribed to malice."
You are absolutely correct. I fell for the “rumors” being propagated. Thank you for clearing that up. The Thorium debate is much more complicated than i imagined.
I am an enormous nerd, so- Here is some real world crap to worry about:
(Quote)
"Uranium 233 compares favorably to plutonium in terms of weaponization; a critical mass of that isotope of uranium—about 6 kilograms, in its metal form—is about the same weight as a plutonium critical mass. UNLIKE plutonium, however, uranium 233 DOES NOT NEED IMPLOSION ENGINEERING to be used in a bomb. In fact, the US government produced uranium 233 in small quantities for weapons, and weapons designers conducted several nuclear weapons tests between 1955 and 1968 using uranium 233."
(End quote)
Article goes on to mention that the US government somehow lost track of 96 KILOGRAMS of U-233 generated during their testing of thorium breeder reactors. Couple THAT loss with the fact it works in simple gun type devices? There are 6 Hiroshima size bombs worth of U-233 out there "in the wind", location somewhere unknown???
"there are alternate explanations that Thorium doesn't produce Plutonium needed for atomic bombs" Not sure what you meant by that. Thorium reactors run on fissile thorium, which is a perfectly good fissile fuel that can be used as the explosive element in atomic bombs. All this talk about "thorium reactors don't involve materials that can be used to make nuclear bombs" is just totally physics-ignorant bullshit.
Thorium, by the way, is also a great material for radiation cases and tampers, dramatically adding to the yield of fission-fusion-fission weapons. It's been used in several US nuclear weapons that have been produced in large quantities.
I believed some false information. PFC Billy forced me to look it up. I had previously, but didn't have the right key words to get a response that provided a different answer than the one I was led to believe.
I'll believe that China has solved the reactor materials problem when they manage to keep a commercial power plant MSR running for longer than it's "payback" time.
It's great that their economy has enough resources to pursue such research and even build a pilot plant at large scale, but money can't buy off laws of nature.
Developing and implementing at scale a (largely new technology) nuclear reactor/steam to electric power plant/fuel fabrication/waste handling complex is INCREDIBLY financially expensive if done well enough not to degrade the host regions environment (USA/European style, on a good day), even MORE expensive long term if done poorly and resulting in massive, irremediable damage to environment via radioactive contamination (USSR/Ukraine/Fukushima/Chelyabinsk disaster East Urals radioactive trace style).
We shall see if China can walk that tightrope, their long term socio economic thinking does seem to offer more chance than the USA's short term planning tied purely to quarterly profits (and devil take the hindmost).
Iran's "escalation dominance" is practically the opposite of what Russia is doing. In fact, we have seen the US try to "boil the frog" with Iran, and Iran able to shatter the trap and reset. I look forward to your strong critique of the Kremlin for their passive stance
2nd, the US is not suffering economic effects comparable to what is happening in Iran and the Gulf (and Asia and Africa). Yes inflation is back but the scale and scope of economic damage in Iran is incomparable.
3rd, the apex of Iran's missile deterrence on Israel was last year during the 12 day war, when Iran would actually fire dozes of missiles at a time and, you know, hit things. Even yesterday their launches were mostly ineffective, and that was with uncontested skies. Iran then called off further escalation because THEY WANT THIS TO END TOO
The Hormuz card has been played, and the longer this goes on, the less effective it becomes. The world will move on, nothing is permanent. New wells will get drilled, new fields developed, new factories built. The Gulf countries may wind up economically ruined but so what? If this goes on for another year, the US and Israel will start striking again because the retaliation will not matter anymore.
New fields will not be developed because there are no new fields to be developed outside of possibly Antarctica.
But you are correct that the Hormuz card will be less effective. Because what will be built is pipelines. In fact that is already a problem for the Hormuz card, because Saudi Arabia built one to Yanbu a long time ago in anticipation for exactly this scenario. So Saudi Arabia production has in fact not been taken off the market, it is only UAE, Qatar, Bahrain and Kuwait. It's a big reason oil prices have not gone up as much as predicted.
Then we have thet fac that UAE has a pipeline to Fujairah on the other side of the Hormuz too, but Iran bombed it several times. However, to keep it shut down would require perpetual bombing.
More likely they will build more pipelines to allow Qatar, Kuwait and Bahrain to bypass Hormuz too. And the same will be done for ammonia and other stuff that can be sent through a pipeline.
And then there will be no more Hormuz card to play at all.
It doesn't work like that. You don't understand that these nations have no engineers and build nothing themselves. This why it takes so long to repair anything in these ME countries. Something that russiana will repair in a week, and chinese in a day, will take many months in the ME.
The list of new fields to be developed is very, very long and the world is literally swimming in oil. With rapidly advancing drilling technology, previously huge reserves are available for tapping in places left for dead. Just in South America alone, Argentina's Vaca Muerta is one of the world's largest shale plays. Then you have developments in Guyana, Brazil, Venezuela and Mexico (if it can get its act together and get the cartels out of the oil business). It's understandable why you spout so much nonsense, you aren't in possession of some pretty basic knowledge.
Oil will never be replaced. It's in and used for everything you touch. The globe is much bigger than any of us imagine. And mother earth can continue to produce oil in abundance. I have decades of experience in this area but won't get into comparing resume's (LOL)... Chip
I did say electrification would replace its use for energy requirements. Of course, there are always cases where the use of petroleum products might be more useful. I dunno, that seems to be a given.
I also said that the paper you referred to did not provide the answer to how quickly the resource would be used vs how quickly it would be created. If you want to show something that proves it is created faster than it is used — great.
Of course, then we might have to delve into the various grades and types of petroleum since it isn’t all the same. That would quickly get boring.
They will build a pipeline through to Mediterranean.
And Israel will never let Iran rest because Iran is the only regional power standing up for other countries like Syria and Lebanon. Without Iran Israel would be on the border to Turkey.
Iran and Russia have different objectives. Their opponents overlap but are not the same. Iran and Russia (and China) are supporting one another in the defeat of their common enemy, the USA -- which is under the control of the Jewish Mob, but that's a long story. One either knows it by now or one isn't paying attention.
US economic conditions is not even close to #1 in the list of problems the US has. The deployment of the brown-shirts (ICE) is not being well received by Americans. The different factions of the Anglo-American Oligarchy are not aligned in the ultimate objective. Peter Theil has decamped to Argentina because he doesn't want to be faced with the horror that may be coming.
Iran on the other hand has a very unified population willing to stand against Israeli attacks.
Iran has 120% of the missile capacity it had at the 12 day war. If they decide to escalate, there's "no problem". Check out what AsiaticGlobalOrder has to say about the political problems the GCC monarchs are having. At this point, waiting is much more to Iran's advantage. Just like Russia actually. You guys are so impatient.
The effectiveness of the Hormuz card depends on what one believes the objective is. I recall I posted Krainer's video to another comment here where he explained the "goal" is to "kill people". The reduction in fertilizer and oil has already guaranteed starvation at various locations around the planet ranging from a low of 75M to a high approaching a billion. There are a lot of variables here.
Europe is already short of gas for heating this winter. People will freeze to death. I understand even Merz is trying some back-channel deals to reopen Nordstream.
I can't see The Donald using that kind of language on Bibi. The Israeli government has long made it's preference known for Trump over anyone else. Talking that recent talk sounds more like one of those badly manufactured films-lite where "X didn't know when he was insulting Y that Y was in fact George Washington."
This is the kind of speech The Big D uses when he wants to insult someone in public, via a pre-scripted "reality." And if anyone thinks he actually did that to Netanyahu, I'll sell you an oil well in his hair, cheap.
"Dozens of ships have been supported through the strategic waterway, turning off their transponders and often sailing under cover of darkness to avoid detection by Iranian radar and patrol boats." So Iranian radar doesn't work at night? Or am I in my ignorance missing something?
The ships move in Omani waters rather than the channel. Thus the ships have extensive air cover while being at the maximum range possible from the attackers. Those attackers have to expose themselves to immediate American response so they are selective about when and where they attack.
The Iranians want to share control of the Strait with Oman. To truly accomplish that, the tiny exclave of U.A.E. territory sticking out like a thumb into the outside edge of the Strait would have to be taken over by Oman so it could complete possession of the coast line on the southern side of the strait opposite Iran.
Since the much discussed U.A.E. pipeline running through it to the only oil terminal on the outside of the strait receiving crude directly from inside the Gulf, who owns what around there is big F'n deal. Consequently, Iran wants to keep Omani relations as positive as possible under the circumstances, for future considerations. Blowing up ships in Omani waters is unlikely to help Iran achieve some of its long term goals. Just like the U.S. doesn't blow up sanctioned Iranian ships running the American gauntlet by means of using the Pakistani territorial waters on the other side of the Strait.
Besides, Iran's goal is not to completely block every single ship from ever leaving the gulf. The goal is to demonstrate to the entire world that they control the Strait and no one should forget it. Even the U.S. Navy is reduced to sneaking a very few ships out under cover of darkness in the face of the threat of the mighty Iranian military threat, as it is being perceived in much of the world.
The Strait of Hormuz is narrow and not every inch of this waterway is shipable. Even the radar on a rental sailboat is able to easily monitor the Strait. Either Iran turns a blind eye on some ships or Irans radar installations are gone (meaning even from civilian yachts) or the USA uses superior electronic radar interference (not very realistic, because we would have seen this stuff in Ukraine).
Israel has a nice 5G network that can be used to guide long range strike drones onto bases in Israel proper as well as into the Knesset and other government facilities.
It's time for a Coalition of the Willing to fund and arm Hezbollah for strategic victory
Focus is shifting to whole Middle East, after Palestine, Lebanon are Syria, Yemen, Egypt and Turkey.
Those and the other ME countries will form an alliance against Israel.
With Turkey, being in NATO, she will be forced to leave it and ask for Russian nuclear umbrella.
Situation is shifting to broad Muslim alliance.
Not only Oman, but also Saudi Arabia is changing tune. Their energy minister, prince Abdulaziz bin Salman was recently in Petersburg and said about alliance with Russia, a predominantly Christian Orthodox country, till death. That minister is part of ruling royal family.
In that situation Iran is threatening Israel and dictates conditions, and goes on a diplomatic and military offensive.
This will bring back Trump to Israel defence. Options are narrower now. Trump is Epsteined. He just theatrically plays verbal spat game with Natanyahu, to show the world he is peacekeeper.
There is still growing buildup of American forces.
Soon those escalations will lead to nuclear - first on nuclear power stations by conventional weapons or dirty bombs, which would not only destroy nuclear facility but also carry radioactive nuclear isotopes. Those explosions in nuclear stations are much more radioactive and deadly. By hundreds or even a thousand times more deadly than a nuclear bomb itself, which uses the great part of nuclear material for a blast.
All done through false flag operation. Watch for timing - weekends are Israeli/American attack days. Likely from Thursday night, as Fridays, Saturdays are work free days in Israel. So they won't lose much economic productivity.
Israel will distribute gas masks to all citizens and tell them to stay in shelters for 3 days. They will also distribute fixed Geiger Counter radioactive particle instruments to show high danger levels, so population will be controlled by orders. And posting images of those Geigerd on social media, so all Americans will see them. Images of destroyed Israeli nuclear facility will be AI generated - but details will give them out, as with the sixth Natanyahu finger.
They will blame Iran to get American Congress approval for formal war.
Iranian targets and powerful warheads, including small nukes, dirty, chemical, biological and some experimental, are already prepared. Trump wants it done fast, just 3 days. Every day more powerful then the previous.
That detailed information is already passed to all NATO governments in Europe, but they don't want and will not participate. At the same time those countries are being prepared for a total international war, in case China, Russia and the other BRICS will react to nuclear attack on Iran.
Mobilisation plans for rapid deployment to Middle East are prepared.
All the world will see through it, Trump and American image will be shattered.
On top of hell on hell in Iran, immediate consequences will be food shortage, as crops are damaged and can't be harvested from fields within hundreds and a thousand kilometres, depending of wind direction. Dramatic price rise for grains. Half of family budget going exclusively on food and medicines.
Shortage of medicines.
Note: there’s no connection between dirty bombs and attacks on nuclear power stations
Unless dirty bomb is used on a nuclear power station.
That never happen yet.
Possibly Ukrainians were planning similar device in September 2022, which caused immediate reaction from Shoigu to several top officials in Biden administration.
Advantage of using dirty bomb on power station it can be blamed on operation accident, terrorist attack. Yet it can still penetrate sarcophagus, damage vital installations, fire electronics and cause explosion in reactor.
At Busher nuclear power plant there are 72 tons of active material and 200 tons of used nuclear material, which is stored nearby and can't be moved. There are other nuclear power plants in the region, including Negev laboratory in Israel.
Blame can’t be transferred unless the “bomb” perfectly mirrors the station’s waste - in which case it’s arguably redundant;)
Nobody asks questions in the middle of an ongoing 3 WW, that would be after that war ends.
All scientists, technicians, engineers at Busher and any nuclear power stations will be dead within hours/days.
That would be hell dead zone within tens square kilometres, and mass migration from where ever wind blows.
Indeed. However it’s difficult to persuade a Geiger counter to lie!;)
I remain astonished to read that the term "nuclear" is still the primary word in your minds. Are you fixated on the fantasy of receiving a nuclear warhead in just the right place in order to trigger an atomic orgasm?
Ooh yeah! :)
Although both would be expected to spread nuclear pollution and radiation. Thus having very similar results.
Indeed! Though dirty bombs, eg cobalt bombs, are often configured to do far more lasting damage by way of long half-lives. Unless of course they’re just thrown together from nuclear waste, the sort of thing that non-state actors can just cobble together without requiring a nuclear explosion.
As to Ukrainian nuclear efforts, in practice (as distinct from research) they’ve focused on capturing Russian nuclear weapons depots. The first, 2014, was successful. The second, 2024, unsuccessful. The third attempt likely will be Kaliningrad if they get that far…
Ukraine still has 3 active nuclear power plants, thousand tons of used material.
Also attacking Zaporozhe nuclear plant every month since Spring 2022.
Don't misunderstand Ukraine. The authorities themselves admit that the level of education has collapsed. Ukraine is no longer the Soviet Union with its Moscow-based education system. Iran could have its bomb, but 1,000 years wouldn't be enough for Kyiv to acquire one.
Because all that nifty and effective Ukranian drone stuff is really just CIA .. and MI6
No, "the authorities" do not "admit that the level of education has collapsed." And the Russian Federation "is no longer the Soviet Union, with its Moscow-based education system."
OECD, PISA, PIRLS and TIMSS ratings and scores show both Russia and Ukraine in the "Eastern European" cluster. Neither are Soviet-era high performers. Russia ranks slightly ahead of Ukraine across many metrics, but not all - and both countries' participation in standardized scoring and testing systems has been inconsistent over the last 5 years (longer for Ukraine).
What nuclear weapons depot did UA capture in 2014?
Info now unavailable on the internet, scrubbed in the period late 2023 early 2024, I noticed only during the Kursk operation when my links all disappeared or had all depot references removed. Russia never admitted it, West too embarrassed to talk about it, Ukraine justifiably crowed about it. Brilliant surprise attack into Russia by US-trained armor officer, v light casualties ending in capture of depot near border. Fortunately / unfortunately (pov!) the Russians had transferred contents elsewhere years before. So US intelligence failure.
In Belgorod?
Thanks. Geographically I thought it was a bit further south, but it may well have been at the south-eastern tip of Belgorod Oblast. Not Belgorod itself, just some village.
Seriously? Don't you have a brain? We stored the fissile materials from the Kursk nuclear power plant in a crate 1000 km away, not at the nearby research center? Have you checked that the US doesn't store theirs in your bathroom?
Ad hominems always, *necessarily*, say more about the critic than the criticized.
That being established, I give you some leeway because the translation may be off. For clarity, at no time did I mention the Kursk nuclear *reactor* or *power plant*. I was discussing *weapons depots*.
Ad hominems always, *necessarily*, say more about the critic than the criticized.
That being established, I give you some leeway because the translation may be off. For clarity, at no time did I mention the Kursk nuclear *reactor* or *power plant*. I was discussing *weapons depots*.
You're replying to Aliocha's post about nuclear weapons depots. Logically, we wouldn't expect you to reply to him about a depot of ancient catapults.
Santa Claus's.
:)
What is this new "reply hidden" feature?
Substack is now doing AI auto-moderation of "banned keywords" ?
It is a new 'feature' that lets people control the conversation in a more direct way. I don't use it and never plan to, but I can forsee it ruining the dialog even further than the dialog has been ruined already.
It's done by AI, instantly.
Instant anti speech.
So do I need to turn it on to have it moderating what I see??? Or is it automatically on?
No, it's done only by blog owners, not by readers
Can't Simplicius simply turn this off then?
He can set his moderation to what he wants to allow.
So you need to opt out instead of opt in?
As in its bullshitting by default, 'killing' your readers until you start to notice you lost half your subscribers?
Where do we opt out?
When was this Bug added as a feature? On what date.
"That lets people control the conversation in a more direct way." But what else? What's the point? What's the objective?
So people can’t name the Jew. Just like ai has hard blocks about the Jew problem.
Since 1 June all over Substack.
Owners can opt out or chose level of censorship.
Censored are words related to Israel, as well as brutality, death, murder, homicide, genocide, extermination, Natanhayu, world depopulation, annihilation, American Empire, holocaust, cruelty, sex, pornography, Trump, rape, freemasonry, Epstein, cannibalism, capitalism, Kushner, plandemic 2, anthropophagy, ritual killing, human trafficking.
Apparently not to swearing words.
On 1st July in my first and only banned post I wrote about the Second coming of Messiah in recent Trump posts (since Easter) and about his son Baron taking over his father duties. Not sure what triggered censorship.
That post later was removed from bin, vanished. Together with post I was replying to and with a reply it has received.
Soon they will be outright banning offenders, no matter what they write. There might be rating system for each user, their profile - how many posts, how many likes, how many offending words, interaction with the other posters, multiple accounts
I was hidden instantly despite avoidance of the usual keywords. Bye, bye substack.
When people see others expressing minority views publicly, others feel the permission to speak. So, this "hidden" feature targets visible dissent. And self-regulation, unlike imposed censorship, is invisible.
They’re not banning anything. They’re not ordering anyone to do anything. They’re just creating enough ambient uncertainty... and it is still "free speech", right?
There is no free speech. Comments are pointless. Whatever diviates from what is allowed for news, agendas, is for the ai to put in its place; by profiling people, hiding... why resist it... people are just donators of manpower and children. I'm just cheering that in a democracy....people who do...should send their children first. No exceptions. And we should just help and insist colectively to make it happen.
I understand being censored by official regime bodies (the media, the press), but not by self-proclaimed journalists, analysts, etc.
I don't see any way to turn it off or change the "keywords" in the settings
Substack is protecting themselves (and I think its good for you).
A very blunt tool and sometimes incomprehensible but basically, its hides everything beneath the first banned comment irrespective of content.
It's NOT good for anyone to limit speech... Chip
So sad if substack goes the way of previous message clients
Basically, you're sharing your censorship, your prison, with us? Use AI to free yourself.
What country are you in?
It's become a habit here to ask readers where they're from. What are you looking for, a first experience...?
You've already shared that information, so reading you prattle about censorship is rich.
I went into settings and had a dialogue with the support AI. Here is a quote directly from it that insists reply rules can be turned off or disabled:
"A publisher can turn automatic moderation off; it is not permanently imposed.
On the publication’s Settings page, under Community, they can switch off “Enable automatic moderation.” They can also leave Reply Rules visible while turning off automatic hiding, or remove the rules entirely by deleting the text and saving. "
Please just find a new platform! People will follow.
so all the accurate descriptions of western zioNAZO psychocracy are forbidden?
apparently not this one ;-)
;)
I guess small hats are safe as well ;)
If anyone wishes to use such a censorship feature they would do better to refrain from writing on Substack. Or they could try working for the mainstream media.
Here it is already becoming more and more about public reading of articles from mainstream media (Pravada of Western Bolshevik regimes), as if we were illiterate.
Maybe; I never read such.
You didn't understand the meaning of my post; we are no longer illiterate people from the Middle Ages for priests to read to us from the holy bible of the media and press.
You are right; I did not understand your first post, and the second one also puzzles me.
I myself never read the mass media or watch TV or listen to radio. I do not participate in "social media". Nor have I noticed much of that kind of thing being relayed on Substack.
So I agree that I, at least, am not illiterate; I do not pay heed to priests; and I am certainly not from the Middle Ages.
Pay is better on 'stack...
Not for me. I don't charge.
So you sacrifice your private banking data and any other privacy linked to that for coins?
"Censored are words related to Israel, as well as brutality, death, murder, homicide, genocide, extermination, Natanhayu, world depopulation, annihilation, holocaust, cruelty, sex, pornography, Trump, rape, freemasonry, Epstein, cannibalism, capitalism, Kushner, anthropophagy, ritual killing, human trafficking."
It seems none of these words led to your post being hidden? Perhaps mine will? And if it was keyword blocking why pay AI to do it. My guess is that it's the intent of the post, not the words used.
Because I have answered under post of blog author Simplicious, so my post wasnt hidden.
Thats why I gave myself liberty listing them all, knowing I am protected
Your comments seemed to include the same comment "Poor jews had it coming", intimidating that being Jewish automatically aligns you with Israeli policy (I assume that your comment was regarding the genocide and other mass crimes against humanity underway in the Levant?)
Listening to a very long interview with Soloviev yesterday, I took note of his remarks. "Israel does not have a monopoly on the number of people who suffered genocide, 6 million Jews, compared to 27 million Soviets, millions of Native Americans, millions of victims of the UK (whose extermination camps predate the German ones), millions of victims of Islam, millions of victims of colonization and the slave trade, etc. He himself is Jewish, however, and his grandfather survived the persecution by the UMM."
There is plenty of evidence - including in such texts as the Talmud and the Shulchan Aruch that the prime rule is always "whatever is best for the Jews". Those are religious commands, presumably applying to all Jews except outright atheists (and perhaps influencing even them).
There are also many internationalist Jews, who don't care about their roots. Even more so about Israel.
I posted your list it a top level post. No hidden reply. I also changed you Jew comment to Israeli government and the censorship didn't block it.
I didn't use "Jew" word as the majority of Jews hate Israeli state and are anti-zionists.
I’ve just copied it as a stand alone comment at the top. So far so good.
Riiiiiight.
That is some straight BS . There is no evidence backing your claim. In the US the percentage is close to 70% that somehow support Israel at the same time they attempt to distance themselves from the daily horrors. This is called BS
Every Israeli is a Zionist, otherwise he would have stayed in the country where he lived.
Can you prove that? Because it seems to be exactly what any Zionist would say. And of course Zionists believe that Gentiles are subhuman, so lying to them is a good thing, not bad.
Guess that's a valid argument.
Besides, some of the most fanatical Zionists are these moronic Evangelical heretics.
According to the description I received from Substack, this is a 'feature' only the blog owner can activate, so how does this constitute system-wide censorship?
It's activated on all blogs since 1st June.
Simplicious even didn't know it existed, until today.
The presence of this new ‘opportunity’ will grow and grow into a censorship opportunity on Substack. This is only a test, an initial opening towards the Gates of Hell. RESIST!!!!
I’m going to test it.
Test.
Israel, brutality, death, murder, homicide, genocide, extermination, Natanhayu, world depopulation, annihilation, holocaust, cruelty, sex, pornography, Trump, rape, freemasonry, Epstein, cannibalism, capitalism, Kushner, anthropophagy, ritual killing, human trafficking.
Because you have posted it as reply under Simplicious, it won't be censored.
But it does not simply block mossad clowns instead?
Normal people are not offended by words related to evil israeli 'brown shirts'?
Just to give an example...
Yes people have "replied" to me, and I see nothing.
Probably immediately after replying to you, they have blocked you.
If you have email notifications turned on, you can read their reply there.
But not on website anymore.
Thanks. This time there was a notification, but no text in the e-mail which came a couple of days ago. Maybe just a glitch?
Seems to me there is more going on that just that feature.
Yes, try to turn it off.
But also right now if you look at the page of the post, i.e. this:
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/iran-establishes-escalation-dominance/
You see eight comments, e.g. this one:
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/iran-establishes-escalation-dominance/comment/273064535
And then it says there are four more.
However, in the comments page:
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/iran-establishes-escalation-dominance/comments
There is only your comment I am replying to, the reply to it from J. Lashley, and the one hidden comment from Kennewick Man.
Where are the other five comments?
Its Putins fault. If he had nuked Subdtacks offices this woulnt be happening.
Unironically true, though I would have aimed a bit further south in the hills
Exactly
Dhdh cannot particpate in convos anymore
He did not participate in any conversations as far as I recall, just used them as a springboard for hate speech. I was surprised he was able to do that for so long.
He is the canary in the coal mine. They are coming for us next. "Hate" speech is in the eyes of the beholder - and now recently in the eyes of the authorities who can decide "for us" what is "hate". Hate speech is a vital part of Free Speech, as free speech includes the freedom to insult or offend.
I don't like the single-mindedness of Dhdh but I fully support his right to offend. If a person does not like what another says, then they should block that person, but never should that person's opinions be blocked from the site.
My opinion only.
Here's a test. See if you can put DH's sentiments into the form of an argument. That is how hate speech can acquire political power, if that is what you want for it, and it is what we all want from all our arguments if we want them to be instruments of change. Hate speech as such, is a self debasing grunt that destroys the credibility of the utterer. We are better than this, or we should aspire to be.
Then that is his problem, not ours. If I offend, then I need to be prepared to accept a loss of credibility, rejection and ostracism. If I make an offensive statement against some group, organisation, or whatever, then of course I am trying to both express my opinion and influence others - that's what it is all about, isn't it?
If that argument gains political power, then all the more for it - it might influence enough people to make a substantial political statement - that's good - that's freedom of speech. And if we are indeed "better than this", then such talk will have minimal effect, yes?
What you seem to be proposing is allowing some authority the right to tell us what is 'offensive' and what is not, thus punishing those who speak outside the defined bounds. That is precisely where we are today - we have accepted such authority and are sleepwalking onto a very slippery slope as a society.
Of course, all rights and freedoms have natural constraints. I can not intentionally incite to doing physical harm and causing violence. The should be and is illegal.
Thank you for a thoughtful reply.
I guess I have trouble regarding a blackshirt movement as anything other than an orgy of mob violence. It is not about politics, philosophy or the good life. It is about putting the (Jack) boot into some class/race/group. You can have a grass roots movement for revolutionary change seeking to overthrow an 'authority' that is not like this- c/f Ghandi.
As for controlling the permitted narrative as a means of social control, it has ever been thus. The response should not be a retreat into primeval bloodthirsty noise but to play them at their own game- and win. It can be done.
so "hate speech" is speech you do not like. sort of like "anti-semitism" is anything the jew does not like.....
do better "Julianne" - "hate speech" is anything the jew does not like...
haha! Well that's debunked one theory at least.
Well hello DH. Reports of your online demise were premature! I know that behind the troll lurks a cool head, and a terse dark wit. I expect nothing less by way of reply, than one of your best smirking one-liners. To put you in the same bin as average hate-speak, did you a disservice. Sorry for that.
exactly - substack spying on our conversations and deciding what can and can't be said - arghjghghg so yooishshshs these things make themselves so eighted
I agree, I found Dhdh repellent, but he has the same rights as anyone else. His rantings discredited his ideas as well as himself and thus strengthened those who disagreed in my opinion. How can we know what we believe unless we can have access to all opinions?
again you use trigger words like "ranting" - you are a jew are you not "timster"
please begin all your future posts with "as a jew.." if not why do you hide ?
why don't you try to argue against my points ?
"anti-semitism: has existed for thousands of years - because of jew behavior...
D-your posts are rassist cuz everyone knows that Lutherans make up 87% of Izzreal'z population. You've been outed! Majority of tiny hats are in NYC metro area. The rents are too damn high! Coincidence...
There is NO SUCH THING AS "ANTI-SEMITISM", because to be a Semite one has to be born in Semitic Lands: Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, Iraq, Egypt and especially Palestine. Palestinians are actual Semites.
Hey Shlomo, you from Brooklyn? Born in Jew Jack City? You cannot be Semitic!
Take Benny the Yahoo... Polish born. Since when is Poland a Semitic land?
"Anti-Semitism" is a trope that the Zio-kikes use when they are being criticized, or to deflect from their abrogation of personal responsibility.
The religion of judaism is inherently zionist, so anybody calling themselves a jew is committed to the zionist religion regardless. Even if they don't attend a synagogue, they're still committed to advancing jewish/zionist interests religiously.
if so - it sure further proves my point that the jew is the problem , eh?
Why not ?
It seems we are facing a new instrument of censorship used by the author. My post that was the second after The Spectre’s first post was made hidden and removed from the original position. It is very obvious that this is a discriminatory act against an individual who admitted to the author in a forced private discussion openly that he will never drive a ‘pink convertible Cadillac’. In fact I stated clearly that I prefer 1959 Black Chevy pickup with a .50 caliber mounted on the top.
@kennewick -They put your comment into "hidden"
‘@kennewick -They put your comment into "hidden"’
I do not really see a reason for hiding. I can always defend my arguments as I think at least twice before I type.
Yeah, given a chance, but if an algorithm hides your comment based not even clear what parameters - it’s a new thing here - recently started and very disturbing
not any longer (I'm 2 hours behind @Kennewick, 1 hr behind @Angelina).
If it is the author who is using censorship, we should simply ignore that author.
We should literally boycott all authors on Substack who use tools of censorship unless it is an obviously clear situation for avoiding law enforcement entry. This should send a necessary message to Substack management as well. If an author bans someone he should clearly reason about the causes.
I would like to know if this new censorship is turned on by default and whether the author has the knowledge and the right to turn it off. OR if this censorship is by default turned off and made available to the author to turn on if they wish - even worse.
Yes, by default since 1st June.
Simplicious only today find out and trying to switch it off
I was anticipating from early that AI will be (and already is) used for censorship and mass-disinformation. The whole of the AI Hype was originally designed for POPULATION CONTROL AND DESTRUCTION. I says f**k AI and his 6 trillion dollar mamma and daddy also. Either we chase these retards back into their closets and underground bunkers in Hawaii or they will kill us all: Take your choice!
Substack Guidelines are already crossing the line to La-La-Land:
‘Hate
Substack cannot be used to publish content or fund initiatives that incite violence based on protected classes. Offending behavior includes credible threats of physical harm to people based on their race, ethnicity, national origin, religion, sex, gender identity, sexual orientation, age, disability or medical condition.’ https://substack.com/content
In simple English: The sacred cows of Western Societies will be protected from Native European Descendents in order to promote sexual disorientation and population replacement. Substack was promoted through a growth period with a false illusion of being different from the controlled establishment media. This game is over and here comes the AI excuse for censorship. The solution is to turn toward uncensored AI based book creation like https://brightlearn.ai/ Here you create your book with AI help, edit it offline and publish and sell it. After proper editions you retain copyrights as well.
Good Hunting!
It seems we are facing a new instrument of censorship used by the author. My post that was the second after The Spectre’s first post was made hidden and removed from the original position. MY POST WAS NOT A REPLY TO ANYBODY!!! It is very obvious that this is a discriminatory act against an individual who admitted to the author in a forced private discussion openly that he will never drive a ‘pink convertible Cadillac’. In fact I stated clearly that I prefer 1959 Black Chevy pickup with a .50 caliber mounted on the top.
Its not Simplicius fault.
In my case it clearly was.
Nope.
It seems we are facing a new instrument of censorship used by the author. My post that was the second after The Spectre’s first post was made hidden and removed from the original position. MY POST WAS NOT A REPLY TO ANYBODY!!! It is very obvious that this is a discriminatory act against an individual who admitted to the author in a forced private discussion openly that he will never drive a ‘pink convertible Cadillac’. In fact I stated clearly that I prefer 1959 Black Chevy pickup with a .50 caliber mounted on the top.
You comment was very brief and contained the banned "j" keyword.
I haven't even noticed it being key words. There was one hidden that was not anything to do with anything - maybe it was about a plandemic or something
Plandemic, plandemic2 and all consecutive plandemics are banned
everything. Until we learn to invent stuff and NOT SELLING IT
Don't sell ( them ) anything. Ever. That's the key to stopping this. And its not even about buying stuff - its about not selling stuff - alot of what we're dealing with now is our own business greed, because of selling businesses to them. Legally. People blame them but we are to blame for selling our businesses out for money
In the previous article, Denis, myself, Mike Johnson (sp?) and a few others engaged ina discussion about this new set up by Substack. I know Substack sent the notice to all authors about this "lovely" new policing features that allows authors (supposedly) to set their own limits on comments, so they won't have to police them on their own. Sounds good, right? but the devil is in the details. Once the AI hired "hand" digests "author's limits" it'll act automatically to hide and/or remove comments, likely interpreting those limits as broadly as possible. As we can all imagine, not being particularly naive, this is obviously a trial run to see what censorship the community at large will tolerate.
I think that it is important for authors to push back, those who want to and have the time. The ones with the visibility and credibility. Substack management MUST understand that the platform's popularity is a direct result of its openness.
We, who comment on your posts and sometimes share them far and wide are keen on keeping the conversation open. Realizing that it's hard work to police comments for eg, a single author, perhaps an appeal to the community that follows you might help.
In particular I'd recommend a stand-alone post about this new policy, especially given that your particular platform has established credibility but treads on sensitive areas ....I wish I had the time and attention span to research the responses among the Substacks I follow, and gauge the temperature, so to speak, but perhaps I can contribute in some small way?
I say all that because the lesson of the past is that censorship starts out relatively light, but the heavy hand is sure to descend later, unless there is some serious push-back.
PS I still so miss your Dark Futura essays. This would be a perfect topic (hint, hint).
Thanks. My first cursory look at the settings did not locate any way to modify this new AI feature of the keywords. I will have to search deeper
First they came for the commenters ,and we said "ok" then they came for the readers and we didn't notice and when that happened they came for Simplicius.......As Proteran said earlier they always start small . In the past they burned books. Its always for your own good....
Except it wasn't "they" who burned the books...it was "us" who told them to burn the books.
No - it is the Jew that wants to ‘shut it down’.
Bingo! Chip
I'm not sure what I think about this new thing. The replies that are hidden in this thread are simply anti Semitic rants that are nothing but repeating the posters deep hatred for Jews. Nothing related to this thread, Substack article, current events or geopolitics in general. Just school yard level name calling and caricature redneck venting on the *other* complete with allusions to blood libel tropes. If such posts become widespread in the comments then the comments page will become useless. And yes, yes, I know all about the slippery slope.
For me, the only real issue is whether the author of the substack contribution can control the level of moderation on his own content's responses page.
If you read any article posted here or anywhere on Substack since 1st June, you can see innocent posts in dustbin.
Every week Substack can introduce new rules, new words to be banned. And nobody will know what and when.
That's what I fear as well. They gauge the opposition - not just from commenters but from the Substack authors (so very many by now. practically everyone who is anyone). It's one of those frog in boiling water scenarios.
BTW, what people do not realize and perhaps don't care to take into account is just how much pressure Substack has been under, precisely because it became the platform it did.
I find it sad that people, even "just" some commenters still don't process what we are actually up against.
Did people honestly think that this entire "Western Civilization goind down" shtick is going to go smoothly?
Oh, wait, I know some people know. Maybe many. But even they, the ones who see and know (because they've seen it all before) still don't process that it is, in fact, up to us all to do something (ie, say something - everywhere).
I guess I keep trying to urge people to the barricades, even as I know it's hard work climbing them. FWIW, I am in.
PS I have personally seen it happen on medium - the heavy hand that starts light, then gets ever heavier.
deep hatred for psychopaths and other deceitful predators is a normal human instinct
it's a psychological defect not to have it
Believing that it is a personality defect not to have deep hatred for select but ill defined groups seems like a defect in its own right. But I guess my believing that makes me subhuman as well in your eyes.
in my eyes nobody is subhuman apart from psychopaths (and that is not even their fault - they cannot love anyone even if they wanted to and it's up to us non-psychopaths to identify them and prevent them from getting into positions of power where they can do a lot of harm to humanity)
I even treat many animals as humans i.e. dogs
https://freedomfox.substack.com/p/alert-substack-shadow-banning-deployed
Writer's Dashboard > Settings > Community Settings > Community: Simply toggle Enable automatic moderation to OFF (and possibly consider clarifying your manual moderation criteria text).
Thanks!
Thanks
Note: ” consider clarifying your manual moderation criteria text” .
To protect yourself you could clarify that derogatory comments about the usuals will be deleted and the author banned if it continues.
just do it manually
Thank you for this. I hadn't seen it.
I am using Brave and I don't see any new features you describe
Go to the very bottom of the posts. There is a drop down arrow and they are greyed out. It obviously needs tweaking. You can see Simplicius' rules in a new dropdown in your reply box after you start typing (seems to be only when editing an existing post).
They had to, Simplicius…
You cant have people like ”dhdh” bombing every thread with anti-semitic slurs. Substack will be banned from entire countries if that continues. So they did bring some feature that identify ”some” comments as crime-think, racial or not.
Problem is that every answer to the first comment is also hidden. So a very blunt tool.
I dont think you can turn it off without consequences for yourself.
just turn it off.
If you name the Jew for being too powerful and controlling the ‘west’ you get censored by the Jew. So don’t name Jew…. That is your argument Jew Mikey Johnson ?
FWIW: (I know you won't listen, but I'll try it anyway)
It's the way you blame every and all Jews as if they all march in lock-step with one another.
It has become quite obvious that there is no distinction any longer between US policy makers and Israeli policy makers. Articles are coming out saying there is no leash; there is no tail; there is no dog. It is just one and the same monster.
Unfortunately, you identify that "monster" as "The Jew". It isn't that you are "wrong" but there's no nuance.
In the end, you just piss people off.
I have no problem believing that is your goal. You may be an interloper whose purpose is to disrupt debate and spread hate and eventually get Simplicius column banned.
But, just in case you aren't....
jewonkaui doing petty boundary maintenance on how we goyim are allowed to talk about the jew - sort of proves my point.
how about please have everyone who is a jew mark themselves as a jew on their posts...
See, it’s BS like this that pisses people off. You want to be banned.
Why don’t you think Jews should be identified in comment sections jewonKuai ?
OK then explain why Berletic and Nasrallah himself call "Israel" the Americans' "proxy"? Is it one and the same or is "Israel" just a fully functional node in the system with its own agency and ability to blackmail and control western governments with fake antisepticism narratives and sexpot traps/paedophelia?
I have no argument with Berletic. I've never supported the "tail wags the dog" idea. IOW 3 weeks ago, I would definitely said that Israel is a US proxy -- However, I would have mentioned (and still do) that US policy is not made in a "black box". It is the sausage that is ground out of many conflicting ideologues and politicians and billionaires. I would also have mentioned that 40% of American Billionaires are Jews even though they represent only 2% of the American population. Then I'd bring up Meyer Lansky. Then..., and then...
The point is that US and Israeli policy are now so intertwined that telling them apart is impossible. This idea is maybe 6 months old at the most.
None of this makes the "sexpot/pedophelia honey traps" exclusive to any of the participants.
In the end, the question is rather silly since there's enough "evidence" on all sides of the question to "prove" whatever you want to prove.
The American Oligarchy is quite complicated. It is made up of many factions and factions within factions. They operate at cross-purposes. I identify two major groups: The Jewish Supremacists and the Boston Brahmins.
Within the Jewish Supremacists, George Soros and Miriam Adelson might be considered in opposition to one another. But they also have a common goal of a greater Israel.
The "Boston Brahamins" are "everyone else". It is a lousy label.
Various factions cooperated with one another to murder JFK. Lansky's Jewish Mob was deeply involved. Jack Ruby was a lieutenant in Lansky's crime organization.
I could go on and on and on and on and on...
So, the question is "how deep do you want to go"?
In the end Berletic uses his choice quite well because it buttresses his claims about American Imperialism. It really doesn't matter that Douglas MacGregor emphatically disagrees with Berletic. MacGregor uses his view to explain Congress.
Both are right for the context within which they use it and the point they want to get across.
Good answer and I was previously sort of playing devil's advocate based on an ongoing argument with someone at Moon of AL. But I still disagree with you and Berletic.
To qualify I would say more like 12 months rather than 3 weeks, but that's a somewhat minor quibble. I think it's way more complex than most people want to frame it, especially hasbara peddlers and Izzy apologists, who like to switch the situation around as it fits their narrative needs at a given time.
So as of last year, and specific to the Middle East (and thought police), the Zionist Entity indeed wags the US imperial dog. This has been a somewhat gradual process with peaks and valleys, but it's commonly accepted as well that they were one of the main reasons for the invasion of Iraq as well. Similar to Trump's long simmering hatred of the Iranian government, GWB hated Saddam for allegedly plotting his daddy's assassination. Therefore "Israel" wasn't the ONLY reason for the attacks on Iraq and Iran, but they were definitely in the top 2, and I'd say #1 for Iran and #2 for Iraq.
As for MacGregor and Congress, I would argue that with Trump, it's the same for the Executive branch. "Israel" is the no. 1 driver of policy decisions for West Asia in this administration which has been clear since before his first term (Adelson money) and 100% confirmed after he was elected (tearing up the JCPOA - a big "Israeli" priority, assassinating General Soleimani with major "Israeli" assistance and to preserve the Abraham Accords after moving the embassy to Jerusalem, etc.). Especially moving the embassy had no benefit whatsoever to American imperialism or the empire - it was a net negative unless you subscribe to the "grand plan" narratives, in which case seriously contorted and unified grand conspiracy theory must be embraced to "prove" that point.
With Trump specific to West Asia, the tail most definitely wags the dog, albeit with some of the oligarchical factions you mentioned having sometimes competing, but more often overlapping priorities (fossil fuels, piplelines, military spending, societal surveillance, security state(s), etc.).
I didn't mention Nasrallah.
He has an agenda where it is best for him to blame the USA for the consequences of actions in Lebanon. Given the Marine Barracks disaster, and how it caused Regan to abandon Israel at that time, he was right.
It kind of doesn't matter.
I mentioned Nasrallah. He is saying the same thing as Berletic. And I disagree. During the Cold War, the US definitely called the major shots. That is no longer the case vis a vis the ME/WA. The Israel-firsters have infiltrated the USG to the extent that it's no longer possible to simplify the situation. In many cases "Israel" is the shot caller FOR the USA in WA.
I think you should discuss the topic on an appropriate article instead of flooding the comment section with your one-liners.
You perfectly know that your favourit topic is not going to be discussed because there is no need. All is in the open anyway.
if the jew is identified that is the first step in solving the problem. whether performative of not, we now have the president of the usa (zion don) having to say that the jew is hated.
that is a big step forward...
even better- identify all the other psychopaths
You are way too strident and uninformed in your opinions on this matter. In fact there are plenty of Jews against Zionism and "Israel" but the Zionist-Jew and Zionist (fake) Christian evangelical owned media stifles their voices too.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Em_PbN8nPPU
You realize that there are some who show up precisely to sabbotage a comment board, right?
I have seen this for a quitea while It's the reason so many newspaper have turned off the comment feature for certain posts.
Yepp. There are in our midst.
Nobody of influence and authority cares what the commentators here think.
Maybe it has everything to do with the EU and DSA? All platforms are desperately trying to do something to please the EU. Why? Because if they "feel" you don't do enough they fine you. And when I see feel I really mean their feelings.
Platforms are cheap and convenient but they might better be used as launchpad in the future to attract readers to your own website. We need to go back to the 90's and 2000's, we self hosted everything.
Platforms will wish EU was more like North Korea, they just ban stuff and leave you the fuck alone. I looked at hidden replies, it don't bother me but EU it will hurt EU feelings under hate speech or something so Substack is not doing enough.
The Daily Telegraph, several years ago when I used to subscribe, had a very weird list of auto-banned words and phrases: 'cabal'; 'shyster'; 'BLM thugs'; perhaps oddest of all, 'gerontocrat'.
I take it from your question that it's "on" by default, of course.
It is.
Oh piss off, apart from Big Macs and leveraged by-outs, you never invented anything
AI Overview Substack’s hidden replies are comments or notes that the platform automatically hides from public view. This occurs because they do not comply with the writer's Reply Rules, which are guidelines that creators can establish for comments, Notes, and Chat replies.Key Details About Hidden RepliesNo Deletion: Hidden replies are never permanently deleted unless the author manually deletes them. They are tucked away behind a "Replies hidden" label so the community doesn't see them, but the creator can still review them.System Learning: The moderation system watches how you manage these replies. Every time a creator manually hides or unhides a reply, the system learns and becomes better at preemptively hiding similar unwanted comments.Creator Exemption: Authors are given full control; they can view hidden replies, unhide them, or permanently remove them.Protected Users: To protect and encourage healthy community engagement, paid subscribers, followed users, and contributors are generally exempt from this automated filtering
>For the first time on the back foot, it was Israel and the US that were forced to “defensively” retaliate in kind:
What does that tells about the situation Russia is in given that every time the Kremlin allows the military to do a token missile strike, it is announced as "in response to [latest Ukro-NATO-Nazi atrocitiy], we carried out"?
The west will nuke Moscow and occupy St. Petersburg, and people here will be hailing Putin when he surrenders as the greatest war time leader ever because he avoided a world holocaust.
That's where things are headed if the current course is maintained, indeed
Utter nonsense.
I think Elana is speaking metaphorically, and she is actually correct. The West doesn't need to nuke Russia, as it will neuter Russia with help of Putin and Oligarch ruling class to point where Russia remains intact but fails at its published SMO goals and goals to end the war.
Russia may not be broken up physically as the West dreams about, but it looks to be subjugated to West by terms of deal so Putin/Oligarch ruling class can divide the riches of Russia's natural resources to get seat at global cabals table.
I used to think Putin was just weak and feeble, but I guess I was wrong, it appears he is just part of the "cabal" waiting to get his and his cronies share at expense of the Russian people.
Right. The comment is more directed at the fantasy life currently dominating the alt press and its readers than an actual prediction. However, I do believe that as things are headed the west will use nuclear weapons, that Putin will roll over like a whipped dog, and people here will praise him for doing so. A real leader with actual concern for the Russian people would have won this war long ago instead of losing it.
The West may not nuke Russia, but genocide of Russians is certainly on the agenda.
You see what they did to Gaza and what they are doing now to Lebanon.
Well, none of those populations were ever demonized to anywhere the same extent as Russians.
Meanwhile Ukraine is essentially Barbarossa 2.0, but with the main lesson from the failure of the original operation learned, i.e. they are doing it in slow motion this time so that they can establish full and stable control of the territories they take over while being careful not to force Moscow to fight a real war.
If they are doing Barbarossa 2.0, then presumably there is also a Generalplan Ost 2.0 to go with it.
I don’t know… I think it’s hard to find a more friendless group than Palestinians. For a hundred years the Jewish propaganda machine has been working overtime ceaselessly to demean them. The Russians have a towering literary history that even now is mostly recognized, while the Palestinians have been portrayed as hated terrorists and cave dwellers. And a lot of them are dark skinned.
I also think the Barbarossa comparison is a little strained.
But these, I suppose, are technicalities. The plan does seem to be the balkanization of Russia with a goal to eliminate the Russian identity. Whatever prejudices need to be activated to accomplish that goal will be tried, and whatever military means. Putin called it existential, but he’s treated it like a stroll through the park.
Elaborate how Russia would have won this war a long time ago without massive civilian casualties of which Ukraine has millions of Russians which would mean a victory at high cost . China on the Iran war made a correct statement “The Illusion of victory”. Slow and steady defeats the Orcs . Attritional war will grind the west .
Are you suggesting there haven't been massive civilian casualties? And what of the soldiers lost or grievously wounded? Each side estimates the other side has lost at least a million fighters; whatever the number is, it's a large number, and the war goes on with no end in sight. Or do you think you see an end? I keep trying to get people to specify a date by when the victory will occur - do you have one? I think there will be no peace within the next five years unless Putin signs a truce that is little more than a surrender. Many more soldiers and civilians will die as the thing drags on.
I do think you overestimate the number of casualties there would have been if Putin had been serious about winning, though. It would have started with a meaningful and enforced declaration that no one in Kiev would be safe, least of all western politicians, that western aid would be treated as actual war and not this phony "proxy" stuff, that western targeting information would not be allowed and starlinks and western drones over Russian air space would be destroyed, that no ships would enter Odessa and that not a train would be allowed to move in Ukraine. Every factory should have been annihilated, every bridge destroyed.
Obviously not all of that could be perfectly performed, but if Putin had been serious about winning this war instead of whatever goal he actually has, he would have tried to do these things for a start. You don't see politicians parading around Palestine, you never see them anywhere BUT Ukraine. That speaks volumes.
There are so many non-kinetic variables that people never seem to consider. The reason Russia is in an SMO as opposed to Ukrainian total wartime footing is for:
1.) Russia went in to liberate Donbass Russian speaking population, not to invade (despite however many times Western audience regurgitate this false claim). Russia was willing to accept any deal that would allow for the safety and security of this region only. Collective Wests' duplicitous actions and delusional ravenous intent to carve up Russia, lead to the current status quo. In other words, Russia wants to continue surviving as a civilizational country, without having to suffer Great Patriotic War casualty numbers nor the economic-social breakdown of post 1992 Soviet breakup.
2.) Bringing in Nukes into the picture serves no one, not Russia not even the Western cultures, who dream not only of post 1992 era economical gorging of the Russian pie, but also all the military technical resources it can steal to fortify it's own, almost completely depleted resources, not to mention brain drain, in the same sphere of interest. Escalation past the nuclear threshold would not only not give them that opportunity, but will destroy Europe, which is, to put it in simpler terms, American food, at this juncture. How will a dying Europe be able to pay off US LNG supplies. How will a dying Europe be America's lynchpin in Europe. Those elites, need the masses to do the work which they benefit by fleecing them.
3.) The last point I would like to posit (in a multitude of variables to long to post) is, Russia has escalation dominance over whole of Europe (or at least the non-friendly states). This being, all those enemies of Russia have joined up in Ukraine to form a spear that is not only poking, but currently at war with Russia. Even if it's not at a state level, but in the operational theatre, there are (or were) mercenaries from many EU nations... Bulgaria, Romania, Czechia, Poland, France, Italy, even Hungary. I don't need to mention the more prominent ones. Yet they all get their kit and marching orders from those prominent ones, US, UK, France, Germany, and Poland (less so). Russia can hit these production sites, training facilities, decision making centres, and their combined numbers (sans Turkiye) wouldn't be sufficient to retaliate. For comparison, consider how many losses Ukraine has suffered in divisions, battalion (BTG) numbers and these were Ukrainian and volunteer mercenaries from combined US/EU.
The fact that Russia, which operates on strategic imperative, seeking to secure a security architecture, ridding itself of ravenous wolves, so it can live on and prosper without being bogged down in an endless cycle of death and hatred amongst its neighbours. This is the perspective Russia holds. Ukraine, the battering ram will shatter, and so will the machinations of the insane asylum escapees controlling it.
>Russia was willing to accept any deal that would allow for the safety and security of this region only.
So Putin lost the war before he even started it. Thank you for restating it once again.
>Russia wants to continue surviving as a civilizational country, without having to suffer Great Patriotic War
Only a total idiot would think Russia could take the Donbass and that would be the end of it. If the invasion Rubicon was crossed then the only way to establish stable peace was to end Ukrainian statehood altogether. As subsequent events have demonstrated.
And that continues to be the case.
There would have been close to zero casualties had Putin gone in properly back in 2014. How many casualties now?
>but will destroy Europe
How is that bad for Russia? Russia nukes Europe, there is no more Europe, Russia reaches the Atlantic, a millennial problem is permanently solved.
>Russia has escalation dominance over whole of Europe
So why is it that Europe escalates to absolutely unthinkable five years ago levels and Putin refuses to do anything about it?
There are only two options here:
1) Russia is in fact weak
2) Putin is working to destroy Russia
Which one is it?
Yes, world is binary and only your ideas are valid.
What is that, a contribution, an observation, because you know me, or a dig at me. If you hold an alternative perspective, just share it, so I may learn of an alternative view.
It was not a reply to your post.
Ok sorry for my confusion.
3. Russia made errors prior to 2014, did a half-wit with Crimea (leaving Donbass to its fate), made more errors up to 2022, and a half-hearted SMO to secure limited goals, underestimated the resolve/madness of UK/NATO/US and is not enough strong/sacrificial to bring this to an end.
Crimea is special to Russia - it would never, under any circumstance, endanger its rights over Sevastopol, a port of strategic import. NATO wanted that port for itself - Putin acted preemptively to make sure that would never happen.
As for Donbass, Russia was more than happy to let it continue as part of Ukraine, though more autonomously - recall that the peace agreement Russia was willing to sign in late March/early April would have kept the Donbass a part of Ukraine. But the nazis would have none of that, thus eventually forcing Russia to take action when the nazis were on the edge of invading the region.
Yes, the strategic importance of Crimea, paid with millions of lifes, was self-regulated. It couldnt fall in the hands of West.
But Russia made a strategic blunder with Donbass and other Russian speaking areas in Ukraine. The same mistake they made in Baltikum. Somehow they thought that the rulers would do the same as Belorussia/Lukaschenko. Belorussia almost fell to western interests in 2020-2021. Putin saved him but where over-confident regarding the fate of Ukraine.
Could have gone all the way to Odessa with minimal fighting. From Kharkov to Odessa there were nascent rebellion movements, they just needed support. But no.
Kiev would have involved some fighting, but given the vast disparities in military potential at the time, it would have been trivial to take it, and then they could have just marched to Lvov slaughtering Banderites along the way.
But no, it was much better to give them eight years to raise an army and equip it. And then another five years to become what they are now...
"The same mistake they made in Baltikum. Somehow they thought that the rulers would do the same as Belorussia/Lukaschenko."
No, nobody in Russia, including in the Kremlin, thought that.
>it would never, under any circumstance, endanger its rights over Sevastopol
Well, Putin did exactly that in Istanbul -- tried to get rid of Crimea -- so we have that data point...
Crimea in 2014 was not a Kremlin operation, it was a GRU operation. And then Putin faced the choice of either returning it back and forever disgracing himself as the worst open traitor in Russian history, or accepting the fait accompli.
Strelkov then tried to force his hand in Slavyansk too, but Putin refused to act.
"Well, Putin did exactly that in Istanbul -- tried to get rid of Crimea -- so we have that data point..."
Nonsense. Crimea was not on the table at Istanbul.
I thought I was exchanging ideas with a sane person. Wow. Just wow. Kaja Kallas is not whole of Europe. Neither is Ursula Von de Lying. You exhibit a thirst for genocide not unlike Smotrich, Ben Gvir and the great demon itself...Satanyahou. I see there is no point in continuation of this dialogue.
Let me guess -- your ancestors were on the side of those killing 27 million Russians 80 years, no on the receiving end
Nope
Maybe this would be of interest to you then again maybe not…
https://guyschell.substack.com/p/the-story-never-told?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=2kgv1c
It is bad for Russia and even if they want to fight for 20 years, NATO will not let them fight that way for 20 yrs.
Ukraine is going to produce a nuke soon, and when they do what exactly will Russia do? I am told the minute Iran declares they have a nuke they will be nuked by Israel, so where is this Russian warning to Kiev that they will get the same treatment?
Frankly, Kiev's best prospect for a win is to keep the drone strikes going and develop nuclear weapons. They have the know-how, nuke material and money to have a crash program in progress, so why would anyone think they won't develop a nuke? Showing Moscow you have a nuke will push Russia to the table (because deep down I don't think Putin has the guts to nuke Kiev).
Its only a matter of time before a heavy drone strike or Kiev nuke announcement will force Russia to change strategy. I still do not think Russia sees this SMO as 'existential' because they are acting like they have all the time in the world.
>Ukraine is going to produce a nuke soon, and when they do what exactly will Russia do?
That actually changes very little for Russia because Russia was never going to do any countervalue nuking of Ukraine. And if Ukraine is given enough nukes to destroy Russia, well, then Russia destroys Europe and the US in response, so presumably Ukraine's masters won't do that.
Russia's winning move right now is to use nukes to stop all transport between Europe and Ukraine. Which would kill practically nobody, it will just dig giant craters hundreds of meters wide right where the roads and railways enter Ukraine.
Then Europe has the choice of either starting to do airlifts and building new roads around the craters, which should receive the same treatment immediately, and perhaps entering the war directly, or backing off.
If they have any sense, that is where they back off and Russia finishes off Ukraine at its leisure, nukes or not, because Ukraine will not have enough nukes stockpiled to meaningfully do much to Russia before Russia learns about it and has to act.
If they want to go to war, then Russia nukes Europe and permanently isolates Ukraine that way and again finishes it off at its leisure.
Also, the fact that Russia will have nuked Europe but not Ukraine may finally knock some sense into the heads of the Ukrainians themselves.
That calculus does not change much with Ukraine having nukes.
What makes a big difference to Russia is Poland, Germany, Sweden, etc. acquiring their own nukes, in quantity and with solid delivery systems, under their own control. Then the winning move of nuking Europe is taken away from Russia, and Europe can be thrown into the cauldron of a continental conventional war, a much larger version of the current shitshow. Then Russia will lose.
And that is likely the US plan...
"Ukraine is going to produce a nuke soon,"
Nonsense. Russia would incinerate the Kiev regime before it allowed it to have a nuke.
I am not so sure, was not France or UK trying to smuggle around some nuclear triggers months back but 'backed off'. Russia threatens, but ultimately does not act like they have it in them to nuke first.
For dealing with a nuclear weapons threat, sure they do. People seem to have forgotten that Russia delivered an ultimatum in late 2021 / early 2022 and when the West blew that off Russia invaded Ukraine. That's killed almost a million of the West's stormtroopers and has burned up about half a trillion dollars in direct Western investment in the war, and has cost the EU trillions in damage to EU/UK economies. Trump won't admit it, but it's also cost the US about a trillion in knock on damage to the US economy.
A country that is willing to kill almost a million of the West's soldiers is certainly acting like it has it in it to act against a truly existential threat, like Nazis getting nukes to use on Russia.
By the way, there's no such thing as a 'nuclear trigger'. That's not a term used in nuclear weapons design. If you meant "initiators," you don't really need them for very simple devices and for a notch up from dirt primitive (which nobody would build these days) anybody who can buy gear from the oil and gas industry (about a million people) can get you neutron generators (widely used in downwell logging instrumentation) for external initiation, and it's easy to rig up internal initiators. The US used them for years because they're so simple to make and very reliable in action.
"Smuggling" those is as complex as taking a train with a marble in your pocket. That's all the bigger they are, they give off no radiation, and externally they look like a marble-sized bead. Or,... a marble.
Brown is putting forward rational arguments as to why Russia is doing what it is doing. You are saying the Russian state is wrong and should do it your way. The hubris is astounding and adds zero value to a cohesive debate.
I am not the one who maneuvered Russia into the current situation of a pending global maritime blockade, being bombed non-stop all over the space west of the Urals, and increasingly east of them too, losing the whole post-Soviet space except for Belarus, and abandoning the supposed long-term allies around the world.
Putin did that.
I was one of those warning about what was going to happen.
So yeah, either I am more qualified to run Russia than Putin because he is an absolute imbecile, or Putin is a traitor and has to be put on trial for grand treason and shot.
There are no other possibilities.
Note: BTGs are units following Russian doctrine, not NATO which still hasn’t progressed from AirLandBattle…
Indeed, but wasn't the Ukrainian army educated and trained under similar (Soviet) doctrine, not under NATO, which it isn't even a part of.
Actually the AFU was trained by NATO especially after Minsk 1. BTGs are not part of NATO doctrine.
BTGs were formed well after Ukrainian independence.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battalion_tactical_group
I see.
The Ogarkov reforms hadn't progressed far beyond the academic / experimental stage by 1991. However by 1990 enough was known for LTC Lester Grau of the US Army Studies Office to draft a comprehensive and long briefing paper on what the Soviets were up to, including BTGs. But the main focus of his paper were the two new Soviet doctrines: reconnaissance-fire and reconnaissance-strike. Much later these were christened "drone warfare before drones". The latter was demonstrated in 2014 when a NATO-trained Ukrainian mech brigade was obliterated without firing a shot, in a period variously described as between 30 seconds and three minutes. A US colonel who witnessed it was so worried he publicized it, calling it an artillery doctrine to which NATO has no counter. He was right on the second bit, slightly off on the first.
FWIW, I don't think Russia deploys BTGs any longer. They didn't work.
I'm not sure! They worked perfectly in 2022 - that's how the Russians were able to cut straight through the Ukrainian army despite being outnumbered 4:1. In 2023 they were still deployed (as demonstrated in one of the most astonishing engagements of the Ukrainian counter-offensive when a single Russian T-72 three times attacked and eventually defeated a Ukrainian armored column equipped with NATO tanks and IFVs - it turned out be from a BTG's armored company) Not sure about since then.
That said, BTGs may well have been disassembled (temporarily or permanently) for purposes of the key doctrine Russia apparently has been using for most of the SMO, especially for the first two years with inferior numbers. This is active defense, ironically an old 1950s(?) Soviet doctrine designed for nuclear war in which small units are expected to maneuver and take their own decisions on how and where to engage the enemy, without support or even communications with higher commands. It places a premium on small-unit leadership by junior officers and even NCOs.
"Russia was willing to accept any deal that would allow for the safety and security of this region only."
No such deal is possible or will ever be possible with the entirely agreement-incapable Clown World. It's the exact same issue TACO Trump has created for himself vis a vis Iran: he desperately wants an agreement, but everyone knows he'll never keep it, no matter what its terms, so no agreement is possible.
Tiresome old fart with the Putin obsession going around in his head like a blowfly in an empty room
Indeed. EU will continue until the time Russia makes it hurt for EU. We have seen this play out many times by now, around the world.
Reminds me of Putins comment about nukes, where Putin correctly expressed/hinted that nukes are what allows North Korea to live in peace whereas Gaddafi is gone.
Nukes are useful just as standoff weapons. Regular weapons are not. Not even Oreshnik.
Iran has now demonstrated willingness to use their weapons. If Russia does the same, suddenly the war will not last 10 years.
>Reminds me of Putins comment about nukes, where Putin correctly expressed/hinted that nukes are what allows North Korea to live in peace whereas Gaddafi is gone.
Well, Russia has more nukes than anyone else, but is bombed 24/7.
Because Putin was not exactly correct about North Korea -- it is not just the nukes, it is the nukes plus the knowledge that there will be zero hesitation to use them.
And even then, once Russia and China fall and North Korea is completely surrounded, it will be attacked too, because then it will be possible to disable their arsenal.
>Nukes are useful just as standoff weapons.
Nukes are in fact extremely useful as a tactical weapon. But again, willingness to use them...
Hence the difference between Russia and Iran...Iran has demonstrated in short order it will retaliate disproportionately to any attack, while Russia responds very underwhelming and acts like it has battered wife syndrome. Putin & Russia ruling party's biggest strength is crying on a world stage no one in power cares about.
Its easy, except for Putin fanboys, to see which country is taken more seriously by it enemies.
By now I have to grudgingly agree
Iran is in fact not doing anything remotely close to what it should be doing.
And yet they look like absolute lions compared to the spineless slime in the Kremlin.
Que a grande Pérsia retorne!
The 1500 Russian SMO.
It appears that Putin and Zelensky are prepared to open dialogue to make a peace deal. Who knows when, but both countries have lost a lot of men and material. The thirst for war has waned. Russia settles for a partial win while Ukraine survives. Ukraine is so bankrupt right now that peace itself would worsen the situation because it would lose the funding and loans it received and have to start paying them back under peace. It doesn't look like Russia will be launching a major offensive to defeat Ukraine by the end of summer, as Larry Johnson proclaimed. Johnson and Ritter have a bad record of making faulty predictions. Ritter openly admits to his bad calls. No surprise there. Russia could use the peace to strengthen its army and acquire more war material should NATO and Ukraine decide to try to push back Russia from the territories it gained in the future.
The 90-day US SMO.
The US-Israel SMO on Iran appears to be settling down, and there's talk about Iran giving its enriched uranium to Russia or China, which the US may accept. Iran doesn't need nukes anyway. It can light up the Middle East with drones and bombs, and it has essentially deterred further aggression for the most part. The US can't attack Iran without causing its economy to break down from high oil prices, which could hit $200 a barrel. Time works against Trump now, so it won't surprise me to see a deal being made with Iran sooner than people think.
It's possible that both the Russian and US SMO's end within a close timeline. No one is expecting it, but the signs are there. The next time Russia fights, it won't be an SMO. It will be war. The SMOs are likely descending from their nadir of conflict soon. Peace is a great time to prepare for the next war. 😂
Not likely on either count. The US wants both these wars, though there could be a few more fake agreements with Iran along the way. Russia will not have peace until it goes to the source, which Putin seems unable to do. The Iranians might be more respectable, but they have a very long way to go.
Denis, Putins failure from day one is his failure to see that the West breakup of Russia will never end unless they are defeated in this goal. Ukraine as neutral state is only way to do this. But sadly Putin will end the SMO with a fully militarized and natizified Ukraine that the West will rearm and go after the Bear again.
At what point does Russia wake up and realize this?
Charles, they are perfectly aware that the end game for them is balkanization and that it will never end. Since you and I know this, why wouldn't they know it? Shoigu even wrote an article talking about it.
"Их цель — десуверенизация нашей страны. Они хотят поделить нашу Родину на десятки мелких государственных образований, чтобы затем подчинить своей воле, эксплуатировать, использовать в своих корыстных интересах. Коллективный Запад не понимает природы российских межнациональных отношений, духовной, нравственной силы, единства многонационального народа России, позволяющего нам уверенно противостоять разрушительным геополитическим технологиям. Именно в единении мы имеем возможность для свободного полноценного национального развития."
"Their goal is to desovereignize our country. They want to divide our homeland into dozens of small state entities, then subjugate them, exploit them, and use them for their own selfish interests. The collective West does not understand the nature of Russian interethnic relations, the spiritual, moral strength, and unity of the multinational Russian people, which allows us to confidently resist destructive geopolitical technologies. It is precisely through unity that we have the opportunity for free and full-fledged national development."
https://aif.ru/politics/russia/sergey-shoygu-edinstvo-narodov-fundament-rossiyskoy-gosudarstvennosti?ysclid=mq7clbbsmt370725751
Of course the goal of the West is balkanization of Russia. However, humans are very good at telling themselves comforting stories, or at telling themselves that at least they personally will get a cut of the action.
There are many points that need to be addressed in this article.
First of all, let's start with your surprise of Iran's escalation dominance. Anyone who has been following carefully the events of last few days and weeks, as well as listening/reading what Iranian officials were saying, would have expected Iran to respond to the Israeli bombing of Beirut. In fact, I do not understand the meaning of "non-retaliatory strike", when Iran had highlighted the "unity of fronts" and made it clear that a strike on Beirut would have triggered a response.
I am even amazed that Trita Parsi was surprised, but probably he has been living in the West and imbued in Western propaganda for far too long.
Have a look at my regular updates from the Middle East to read Iran's policy and also find out more about Iranian response to every single US violation of the ceasefire: https://geopolitiq.substack.com
Second: taking Trump's words and Barak Ravid's "fake" reports at face value, knowing that they both lie and that the latter is a Mossad asset, as he served in the signals intelligence division of Unit 8200 of the IDF (you can even see it on his Wiki page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barak_Ravid)
Tied to this is the story that Trump and Netanyahu are at odds. WRONG! This is what they want you to believe and you keep spinning the propaganda. Congratulations! Well done for this!
Even Israeli media reported that Israel had informed Trump's administration and got the green light from the bombing of Beirut, which is my next point.
You completely ignored the fact that Israel targeted just a single building in Dahye with just one missile. When you mention Beirut in your article for the second time, you make it sound like Israel started a bombing campaign on Beirut, when it has not. It was just a provocation to test Iran's resolve and cross its red lines, as I explained here: https://geopolitiq.substack.com/p/israel-bombs-beirut-to-test-irans?r=25fc37
Yes, you are correct. There is no real disagreement between the two lovers, Trump and Yahoo. Its all for show. While Trump may actually believe there will be a "deal" with Iran, the chances of that happening are zero. The Iranians are simply going through the motions for historical purposes, doing the right thing by at least trying, while Trump flails away and Yahoo tries to stave off his coming destruction.
Another point is the Yemeni stance. You quote "The Hormuz Letter" and "reports that the Houthis have decided to finally block the Bab al-Mandab". It would have been better to check sources more closely affiliated to the Yemeni government or closer to the Axis of Resistance, such as the Yemeni news agency Saba or the Lebanese Al Mayadeen, but it is probably much more work for you, since the AIs and LLMs you use to get the news ignore non-Western news media outlets.
As I reported in my latest article (https://geopolitiq.substack.com/p/israel-responds-to-irans-retaliation) covering the events of the last ~24 hours, Yemen imposed a blockade on Bab el Mandeb only for Israel.
Yemen has been very reluctant to get involved.
They barely did anything after February 28th.
The suspicion is that they don't trust the Iranians, and that suspicion was vindicated after Iran went for the fake ceasefire.
The hope is that the Iranians had good reasons for that, i.e. having to regoup for the final war, and when the final war starts then everyone will join all guns blazing. We shall see...
I don't share the same suspicious view. I believe that there is a plan and reason why Yemen did not contribute significatively to Operation True Promise 4. However, I find it significant that the IRGC named the new military operation "Operation Nasr", meaning "Victory". As I wrote in my latest article, the name suggests that Iran this time may want to go to the end… until victory over its enemies!
Yemen recognised the reasons why iran accepted the ceasefire - it was for geopolitical reasons to satisfy Iran's allies (Russia, China, Pakistan, etc) and regional adversaries (Saudi Arabia, Qatar, UAE, Kuwait, etc) that Iran truly wanted peace - but not at any cost. Iran knew (and currently knows!) that the USrael can not be trusted to adhere to any potential peace agreement, but they went that route anyway.
And I agree, "Operation Nasr" indicates that this is now a battle to the end against Little Satan. Iran has proven its desire for peace, that effort has failed and now Iran will pick Little Satan to pieces until it falls.
By the way, compare Iran's response to USrael crossing its red lines with Russian response to Ukraine + US/EU/NATO crossing its own. ;)
The situations are different. Iran is a direct conflict with regional implications between nuclear powers USrael and its allies against Iran, a non-nuclear power. The Ukraine war is a proxy war between the West and Russia fought on the soil of Ukraine with global implications between two powers with vast nuclear resources - such a confrontation has to be fought with great caution.
True!
Further, pertaining to "red lines", I might add that as far as I know Russian authorities have never set a red line for anything. It is we who have interpreted thus so. What we interpreted as a "red line" were statements like "If you do this, then we have a right to do .....". And don't think Russia doesn't record each and every such "crossing" for future reference when it justifies any future actions against NATO countries.
Yemeni blockade (08/06/2026): "...Yemeni Armed Forces announced a complete naval blockade on all Israel-linked vessels in the Red Sea and Bab al-Mandab Strait, declaring that they have already carried out a successful missile strike against sensitive Israeli targets in the occupied Jaffa region..." - https://english.almanar.com.lb/article/88252/
https://en.ypagency.net/395328
Exactly. The ceasefire agreement clearly included the Lebanon front, and the West and Little Satan were clearly warned that attacking Lebanon under that agreement was indeed the same as attacking Iran. Anyone not seeing that has not kept up.
The real shock is that no one expected Iran to follow through with that warning.
"The real shock is that no one expected Iran to follow through with that warning."....
That's because the world is accustomed to Putins and Russia's weak responses to Wests escalating attacks and its failure to deter forcefully. I guess Putin lulled people into believing this was all the wests adversaries could do. It took Iran to wake the world up to the Wests limits, not Russia.
That's also because Western media largely ignore statements by Iranian officials and alike. They may get repetitive and boring, but... hey, at least they warn about the consequences of USraeli actions!
And that's why my articles are NOT based on Western MSM, but on alternative sources closer to the Axis of Resistance, such as Iranian (semi-)official news agencies, Lebanese Al Mayadeen and so on...
Trita Parsi has been hoping for the overthrow of the Islamic Republic for years. Not through war but politically.
Read "Going to Tehran" which was written in 2012.
Trita Parsi is an MI6/CIA/Mossad asset posing as a “Washington-based think-tank analyst“. He’s an executive director of a think tank funded by a who’s who of billionaire neolibs and neocons. They don’t even try to cover up their psyop mouthpieces. He has a long history of babbling on about how the “regime” is unpopular, weak, militarily exhausted, repressive, brutal, blah, blah, blah…
This is the deeper reason western europe is pushing out such a frantic propaganda campaign about Russian collapse (really!!!!).
It is not just about trying to deflect from the remorseless actual Russian advance, and trying to convince the international money markets to pick up some stinking Ukrainian debt or debt that will end up there through various secondary instruments that it is suggested could be offloaded on muppets before Defeat Day- no one is wearing this one after the 2008 meltdown- it is also about losing the hegemonic umbrella provided by the US.
Western europe thought it just needed to white knuckle it out in Ukraine keeping the war going no matter how hopelessly on the ground, until the political tide changed in the US, but anyone who still thinks the dems want anything to do with this plate of euro filth, is out stone cold on the deck.
The only viable conclusion to Trump's mess is for an Accord at a higher power level, meaning with Russia-China and its regal trailing gown of fearsome allies (not useless beggars, note, but real value here, as demonstrated by Iran). And western europe will not be at this table. It will be left in the beggars' bowl. Not even on the menu.
I agree with your well-stated analysis but...
"The dems"????
I have about a 15 minute response to what I (hopefully mistakenly) think you are referring to. Don't want to go down that path. So want to get you to expand first.
Thanks
The editing of replies was designed to stop a form of trolling that ruins any proper dialogue and destroys a POV by directing attention away from it into invective and shameless misinformation.
Par example- throw hate speech into any conversation. Or just attack the messenger, rather than addressing the message. It fills up a board so that genuine critiques are simply lost.
Like talking about Russian under Iran articles?
TBF, there are lessons to be drawn from the two apparently parallel conflicts on the world stage. And there are crossovers, e.g., viz supply lines. We would not want to lose that argument, whatever your take on the cross overs. We all know what destructive trolling is, however hard it is to define it in the abstract. Just like Plato struggled to define the virtues and aesethic values as formal constructs while we we could all recognise them in their particular expressions. He used that as evidence for the existence of the Ideals, which as Aristotle pointed out, was a category mistake. But I digress.........
Yes, well, the use of a perfectly sane and necessary moderation process like you discussed is great, but using that as an excuse to ban any discussion of Israel's war crimes is not great. The liberals running Substack just can't help themselves from canceling what they insist the world should not hear.
They are digging their hole, John. That it is how it is going for the old order now, everywhere is down.
This could mean that Trump is saying, "Go ahead and use your nukes Bibbi, but we,(America), don't want no part of it!"
I hope you are wrong! When the Genie is out of the bottle ...
Block the Hormuz, choke China.
Meanwhile in China
https://economy.ac/news/2026/04/202604288819
The Anglo-American Oligarchy's attempt to "pivot to Asia" has proven to be a complete failure. The result is the destruction of Western Economies and the rise of bRICs
The Chinese Thorium reactor is "old news" in that there have been articles and youTubes about it for about a year now.
However, this article is more well structured than most and not full of the hype that has indeterminate dates for future deployment. Actually making it sound as if the Gobi would be full of Thorium reactors by "this time next year". LOL
I'll quibble with the "technical limits" excuse because there are alternate explanations that Thorium doesn't produce Plutonium needed for atomic bombs.
"Never attribute to ignorance that which can be ascribed to malice."
Halon's theorem is now reversed.
@JohnOnKaui
You aren't a physics/chemistry nerd?
U-233 is AT LEAST as useful for implosion weapons as Pu-239.
You are absolutely correct. I fell for the “rumors” being propagated. Thank you for clearing that up. The Thorium debate is much more complicated than i imagined.
@JohnOnKaui
I am an enormous nerd, so- Here is some real world crap to worry about:
(Quote)
"Uranium 233 compares favorably to plutonium in terms of weaponization; a critical mass of that isotope of uranium—about 6 kilograms, in its metal form—is about the same weight as a plutonium critical mass. UNLIKE plutonium, however, uranium 233 DOES NOT NEED IMPLOSION ENGINEERING to be used in a bomb. In fact, the US government produced uranium 233 in small quantities for weapons, and weapons designers conducted several nuclear weapons tests between 1955 and 1968 using uranium 233."
(End quote)
Article goes on to mention that the US government somehow lost track of 96 KILOGRAMS of U-233 generated during their testing of thorium breeder reactors. Couple THAT loss with the fact it works in simple gun type devices? There are 6 Hiroshima size bombs worth of U-233 out there "in the wind", location somewhere unknown???
https://thebulletin.org/2014/05/thorium-the-wonder-fuel-that-wasnt/
"there are alternate explanations that Thorium doesn't produce Plutonium needed for atomic bombs" Not sure what you meant by that. Thorium reactors run on fissile thorium, which is a perfectly good fissile fuel that can be used as the explosive element in atomic bombs. All this talk about "thorium reactors don't involve materials that can be used to make nuclear bombs" is just totally physics-ignorant bullshit.
Thorium, by the way, is also a great material for radiation cases and tampers, dramatically adding to the yield of fission-fusion-fission weapons. It's been used in several US nuclear weapons that have been produced in large quantities.
I believed some false information. PFC Billy forced me to look it up. I had previously, but didn't have the right key words to get a response that provided a different answer than the one I was led to believe.
@Alyosha
I'll believe that China has solved the reactor materials problem when they manage to keep a commercial power plant MSR running for longer than it's "payback" time.
It's great that their economy has enough resources to pursue such research and even build a pilot plant at large scale, but money can't buy off laws of nature.
Developing and implementing at scale a (largely new technology) nuclear reactor/steam to electric power plant/fuel fabrication/waste handling complex is INCREDIBLY financially expensive if done well enough not to degrade the host regions environment (USA/European style, on a good day), even MORE expensive long term if done poorly and resulting in massive, irremediable damage to environment via radioactive contamination (USSR/Ukraine/Fukushima/Chelyabinsk disaster East Urals radioactive trace style).
We shall see if China can walk that tightrope, their long term socio economic thinking does seem to offer more chance than the USA's short term planning tied purely to quarterly profits (and devil take the hindmost).
Riddle me this:
Iran's "escalation dominance" is practically the opposite of what Russia is doing. In fact, we have seen the US try to "boil the frog" with Iran, and Iran able to shatter the trap and reset. I look forward to your strong critique of the Kremlin for their passive stance
2nd, the US is not suffering economic effects comparable to what is happening in Iran and the Gulf (and Asia and Africa). Yes inflation is back but the scale and scope of economic damage in Iran is incomparable.
3rd, the apex of Iran's missile deterrence on Israel was last year during the 12 day war, when Iran would actually fire dozes of missiles at a time and, you know, hit things. Even yesterday their launches were mostly ineffective, and that was with uncontested skies. Iran then called off further escalation because THEY WANT THIS TO END TOO
The Hormuz card has been played, and the longer this goes on, the less effective it becomes. The world will move on, nothing is permanent. New wells will get drilled, new fields developed, new factories built. The Gulf countries may wind up economically ruined but so what? If this goes on for another year, the US and Israel will start striking again because the retaliation will not matter anymore.
New fields will not be developed because there are no new fields to be developed outside of possibly Antarctica.
But you are correct that the Hormuz card will be less effective. Because what will be built is pipelines. In fact that is already a problem for the Hormuz card, because Saudi Arabia built one to Yanbu a long time ago in anticipation for exactly this scenario. So Saudi Arabia production has in fact not been taken off the market, it is only UAE, Qatar, Bahrain and Kuwait. It's a big reason oil prices have not gone up as much as predicted.
Then we have thet fac that UAE has a pipeline to Fujairah on the other side of the Hormuz too, but Iran bombed it several times. However, to keep it shut down would require perpetual bombing.
More likely they will build more pipelines to allow Qatar, Kuwait and Bahrain to bypass Hormuz too. And the same will be done for ammonia and other stuff that can be sent through a pipeline.
And then there will be no more Hormuz card to play at all.
It doesn't work like that. You don't understand that these nations have no engineers and build nothing themselves. This why it takes so long to repair anything in these ME countries. Something that russiana will repair in a week, and chinese in a day, will take many months in the ME.
I am an oil&gas guy and I can categorically say you are entirely wrong about that.
Yanbu and Habshan pipelines basically keep AE&KSA running at ~50% capacity
Yanbu is listed as having 7 mbpd capacity. That's all of Saudi exports.
The pipeline has 7mn capacity, that is correct. However, the actual terminal has a capacity of 3 or maybe 3.5.
This is a complex system with many bottlenecks. With all my respect you really don't know what you're talking about
OK, I stand corrected on the current exports.
But my main point was that in the future they will expand the bypasses and then Hormuz will no longer be a card to play.
We agree on that. Same for pipelines for refined products, ammonia, whatever. The Hormuz power decays every day.
The list of new fields to be developed is very, very long and the world is literally swimming in oil. With rapidly advancing drilling technology, previously huge reserves are available for tapping in places left for dead. Just in South America alone, Argentina's Vaca Muerta is one of the world's largest shale plays. Then you have developments in Guyana, Brazil, Venezuela and Mexico (if it can get its act together and get the cartels out of the oil business). It's understandable why you spout so much nonsense, you aren't in possession of some pretty basic knowledge.
Two words, abiotic oil... Chip
As far as I can tell, even this theory doesn't suggest that it is being created faster than it is currently being used.
But "so what", oil use to meet energy requirements is falling in comparison to electrification advances.
Oil will never be replaced. It's in and used for everything you touch. The globe is much bigger than any of us imagine. And mother earth can continue to produce oil in abundance. I have decades of experience in this area but won't get into comparing resume's (LOL)... Chip
I did not say oil (petroleum) would be replaced.
I did say electrification would replace its use for energy requirements. Of course, there are always cases where the use of petroleum products might be more useful. I dunno, that seems to be a given.
I also said that the paper you referred to did not provide the answer to how quickly the resource would be used vs how quickly it would be created. If you want to show something that proves it is created faster than it is used — great.
Of course, then we might have to delve into the various grades and types of petroleum since it isn’t all the same. That would quickly get boring.
Your response did not address what I posted.
Exactly.
There are abundant empty new fields between your ears though.
How do you know Irans missiles were ineffective? I have seen this claim made elsewhere. With no evidence.
They will build a pipeline through to Mediterranean.
And Israel will never let Iran rest because Iran is the only regional power standing up for other countries like Syria and Lebanon. Without Iran Israel would be on the border to Turkey.
Iran and Russia have different objectives. Their opponents overlap but are not the same. Iran and Russia (and China) are supporting one another in the defeat of their common enemy, the USA -- which is under the control of the Jewish Mob, but that's a long story. One either knows it by now or one isn't paying attention.
US economic conditions is not even close to #1 in the list of problems the US has. The deployment of the brown-shirts (ICE) is not being well received by Americans. The different factions of the Anglo-American Oligarchy are not aligned in the ultimate objective. Peter Theil has decamped to Argentina because he doesn't want to be faced with the horror that may be coming.
Iran on the other hand has a very unified population willing to stand against Israeli attacks.
Iran has 120% of the missile capacity it had at the 12 day war. If they decide to escalate, there's "no problem". Check out what AsiaticGlobalOrder has to say about the political problems the GCC monarchs are having. At this point, waiting is much more to Iran's advantage. Just like Russia actually. You guys are so impatient.
The effectiveness of the Hormuz card depends on what one believes the objective is. I recall I posted Krainer's video to another comment here where he explained the "goal" is to "kill people". The reduction in fertilizer and oil has already guaranteed starvation at various locations around the planet ranging from a low of 75M to a high approaching a billion. There are a lot of variables here.
Europe is already short of gas for heating this winter. People will freeze to death. I understand even Merz is trying some back-channel deals to reopen Nordstream.
‘What is this new "reply hidden" feature?’
Hello to all subjects of the Second Judeo Bolshevik Empire America and their Sexually Disoriented Enforcers and GangStalkers.
I can't see The Donald using that kind of language on Bibi. The Israeli government has long made it's preference known for Trump over anyone else. Talking that recent talk sounds more like one of those badly manufactured films-lite where "X didn't know when he was insulting Y that Y was in fact George Washington."
This is the kind of speech The Big D uses when he wants to insult someone in public, via a pre-scripted "reality." And if anyone thinks he actually did that to Netanyahu, I'll sell you an oil well in his hair, cheap.
"Dozens of ships have been supported through the strategic waterway, turning off their transponders and often sailing under cover of darkness to avoid detection by Iranian radar and patrol boats." So Iranian radar doesn't work at night? Or am I in my ignorance missing something?
Gary
The ships move in Omani waters rather than the channel. Thus the ships have extensive air cover while being at the maximum range possible from the attackers. Those attackers have to expose themselves to immediate American response so they are selective about when and where they attack.
The Iranians want to share control of the Strait with Oman. To truly accomplish that, the tiny exclave of U.A.E. territory sticking out like a thumb into the outside edge of the Strait would have to be taken over by Oman so it could complete possession of the coast line on the southern side of the strait opposite Iran.
Since the much discussed U.A.E. pipeline running through it to the only oil terminal on the outside of the strait receiving crude directly from inside the Gulf, who owns what around there is big F'n deal. Consequently, Iran wants to keep Omani relations as positive as possible under the circumstances, for future considerations. Blowing up ships in Omani waters is unlikely to help Iran achieve some of its long term goals. Just like the U.S. doesn't blow up sanctioned Iranian ships running the American gauntlet by means of using the Pakistani territorial waters on the other side of the Strait.
Besides, Iran's goal is not to completely block every single ship from ever leaving the gulf. The goal is to demonstrate to the entire world that they control the Strait and no one should forget it. Even the U.S. Navy is reduced to sneaking a very few ships out under cover of darkness in the face of the threat of the mighty Iranian military threat, as it is being perceived in much of the world.
The Strait of Hormuz is narrow and not every inch of this waterway is shipable. Even the radar on a rental sailboat is able to easily monitor the Strait. Either Iran turns a blind eye on some ships or Irans radar installations are gone (meaning even from civilian yachts) or the USA uses superior electronic radar interference (not very realistic, because we would have seen this stuff in Ukraine).
BTW, if you are in the Pacific time zone, it is still USS Liberty Remembrance Day
yes and massie brought it up on the house floor- the goyim are noticing