Not necessarily unfortunately. Capitalism looked like it was in terminal decline in the 1930s, then in the 1970s, and what happened?
This, however:
>it will not back off from its attempt to destroy both China, Russia and rest of the BRICS nations.
Is true. And it may succeed.
The elephant in the room is the technological revolution with AI, in which the US is investing the most, and which is progressing at a very worrying pace. The world is globalized to such an extent now, and whoever wins that race will gain such power, that it will allow for the permanent takeover of the whole planet, irreversibly. There will be no escape once that is done.
If I were in the Kremlin, I would be drafting serious plans for the destruction of the data centers that the US is pouring hundreds of billions into, before it's too late.
That's all true, Elena. But there's a saying, "What doesn't kill you, makes you stronger"; it's not entirely true, but there's an element of truth in it, and I think the Russian military is a lot stronger and better led than it was in 2022. Russian society has also shown that it is more coherent, and has more solidarity, than we expected. A lot of Russians, maybe most, understand that their country is fighting for its independence from the American Empire, and are right behind their government.
There is more money available. Little Austria pays for the Ukrainian refugees at least 3.6 billion. Bigger Germany is at 36.5 billion. Sent them back! First, Ukraine gets young, able-bodied soldiers. Second, all these billions are available for Kyiv. And now you understand why Chancellor Merz was bringing the case of the refugees back on the table.
As long as 330-kV substations are blowing up after NATO strikes in Orenburg (as happened this morning), but nothing is exploding even in Braila and Rzeszow, let alone Brussels, Paris and London, you can laugh all you want at the Europeans but they are coming out on top in this game relative to Russia.
You know, I’ve been following simp76 since the war started. Sometimes I have time to read his articles, sometimes I don’t.
Occasionally, I scroll through the comments, because realistically, nobody has the time to read every comment on every article when each post has several hundred of them. Over time, though, I noticed one peculiar thing. Mr. GM is consistently present in the comments. Every. Single. Time. For months? Years? Who knows anymore.
Sometimes there are several comments from him under the same article, all pushing the same interpretation and trying to convince everyone of his insight. Doesn’t that seem a bit odd? Almost like an obsession — or could it be something else? For example, a deeper agenda with financial incentives? One wonders.
And here we are again. A 50 minutes ago, simp76 posts an article, and few minutes later Mr. GM is already in the comments.
I appreciate the mostly contrarian posts of GM regardless if I agree with them or not. It's a different perspective. I believe Simplicius is very balanced in his articles. I take the view of General George S. Patton. "If everyone is thinking alike, then somebody isn't thinking."
Simple is for simpletons, it’s not a custom that you criticise a president and not at all president Macron, for some magazine the saviour of Europe, the most intelligent of whole France and it shows 89% don’t like him. Just today a book published with the title Nero at the Elysee in which there many arguments/facts that he blew it. He will be know in history as the most lonesome man as was Napoleon, now with the title of Caesar Nero, the man that put Europe in flames. In addition his brother(s) in arms aren’t doing any better, except for Merz who is the coolest of the gang, making deals when the party you make deals with is absent at the negotiating table.
If he’s so balanced, why do we hear in detail about Russian advances in insignificant villages, but nothing about Kupiansk? Or why they haven’t recaptured Izium, Lyman and all the other strategic towns they lost over three years ago?
Its a fact that should be considered along other facts in this monumental fight for survival. To call this an SMO is belittling what is going on and risk to backfire inside Russia one or two years from now. I (if I where Putin) wouldnt gamble on the failure of EU (or the single states in Europe) when my own country is up in the table.
Its sort of a d’Orwellian double-think to talk about an SMO and restraining yourself when you at the same time have evidence that the enemy does everything to hurt you from behind the cover of Ukraine.
In a game of attrition and ”who-blinks-first” it is not about having enough patience.
It is the ability to scale up your leverage, the range and possibilities of leverage and the will to use them.
There was a blackout in Germany. Berlin had at least 45000 households cut from power (and an unknown number of economic entities). And of course some politicians came out with: Russia! But at the end, it was the ANTIFA, a government-paid and organized NGO. So be careful; it is easy to cry wolf (or NATO, Russia...), but reality could be different.
Can Russia sabotage the EU? I think they can. But last time I wrote that the west is dominating and winning the information space. If substations "fail" it will dominate the information space as an act of war, gain population support, demonize Russians, while every NATO act of terror is silenced. NATO still has a large support in the west because of this. Russia can't counter western information, if citizens would know the true cost and consequences for them, the acts of terror, killing Russian civilians,... only we who are here seeking truth knows what happens.
The western mind is deranged, zombified. NATO has been killing for so long that nobody even blinks when the next 100 civilians are killed by NATO. See how many are now "caring" about Iranians. They care so much that they cried when Israel killed 1000 Iranians during the 12-day war. Not so long ago the media dominated with drone sightings, suddenly we need more money for the army. It was all a lie, no drones spotted, this lie just disappears and nobody question it, except us. So every small Russian counter action will be used to stir up more Russophobia. You don't want to push it so far that the EU population wants a war. So far citizens don't want war. If it was me I would hit harder, target LNG tanker, recon drones,...
Now if you want to sabotage stuff in the EU you can always find someone. If you can smuggle a IED and enough money it's not difficult to blow up a substation.
Sabotage? We're not talking abotu sabotage -- Russia is under aerial attack 24/7.
It has to strike directly, openly and hard. The US mainland too. And not stupid stunts like hitting transformers, but proper countervalue where it hurts the most, i.e. the targets and especially the individuals that are dearest to those responsible for the war on Russia.
I prefer a more subtle method. Venezuela was a good opportunity, if Russia had mercenaries or militias under its control they could have shot down helicopters or target the US naval fleet. Other proxies attacking EU ships. But I don't know the capabilities of Russia on arming them, they still have a base in Syria. The question is if its worth the trouble? If EU/UK is imploding from within then why escalate? The economy and budgets of EU countries aren't looking good, by supporting Ukraine they destroy themselves.
Yes, they can. Actually several weapons factory have blown up these last few years , since 2022 , in Western Europe. No explanation given by MSM. Buried.
The US has had two or three unexplained fires at our facilities as well.
Twenty three mysterious deaths at Tinker Airforce base over seven months in '23. I think about 6 happened a few days after Russia hit a PATRIOT battery at Kiev airport.
There is no reliable information indicating NATO strikes on Orenburg, a Russian city in the Urals; the historical NATO strikes involved Yugoslavia (Kosovo) in 1999, while recent events in Orenburg involve flooding and Russian legal cases, suggesting possible geographical or informational confusion, but no direct NATO-Russia conflict in Orenburg has been reported. Green Midget 2, the best thing for you would be to go to Kyiv and from there, on the front lines, you can film everything that's happening and send some nice reports to Simply, who will write an article about it. Don't hesitate, don't be afraid of the FPV chasing you, keep filming.
Is this what standing on the precipice of WW2 felt like? A hyper-aggressive NeoCon state preparing to muster what is left of it's failing momentum against its own allies? Nothing will surprise me at this point. Thanks for the update Simplicius.
British as a state, nation in foreign policy are basically realists, from outside it looks immoral, competent from outside craven, cowardly, and masters of public relations... from outside liers, hypocrites.
WWZ is simply the continuation of WW2 - there is a well-known and much-loved group of people living "somewhere in the Middle East" ( I won't say where in case I get cancelled or called an 8888-888888 ) which seeks in every generation to assert its global hegemony by and through whichever lumbering buffoon-state it can parasitize at any one particular moment.
Unless and until this band of reckless desperadoes is neutralized and removed from each and every position of power they hold, in every nation around the world - including in Patagonia, for those who like to keep up with recent developments - then we will continually be on the edge of the next world war.
The wise China is the only modern state that has managed to clip the parasite’s tentacles - by not recognizing the parasite’s religion and preventing the sprouting of the parasite’s politically active organizations
In addition to not recognising the parasite's religion, they should follow up by recognizing the religion of the parasite's nemesis, ie Christianity, which they also ( foolishly ) suppress - especially as it used to be the state religion in pre Confucian times, when Shang Di was worshipped at Beijing by the Emperor himself.
I would say that we are beyond the precipice of WW3 and well into it. It is a hybrid war using all types of weapons and tactics. The challenge is to find an ending that is not thermonuclear.
>On this note, Tucker Carlson interviewed Russian political scientist and ‘advisor to Putin’ Sergey Karaganov, who allegedly said that “if the Ukraine war continues at this tempo for another year or two, we will have no choice but to nuke Germany and the UK.”
It was a very disappointing interview, because he stuck to the line that the Europeans are to blame, the Americans are sensible.
Well. Assisting Iran in blocking the starlink was a good start. Now start hitting the Jew wherever it is. Kushner soros Netanyahu blinken applebaum etc should not be safe anywhere.
If it is true that CIA/US was behind an assassination attempt where Putin was duped to stay in his house and wait for a phonecall we can expect everything from the Western side.
The amenable strategy from Russia belong to the good-guy behaviours, willing to reach an agreement. Question is if we not have entered the kill-or-be-killed mode.
I listened to the show. It was not an alleged statement.
Karagonov doesn't like western Europeans and has a particular animosity toward Britain and Germany. I don't think he likes Americans either, just trying to be polite.
What to you think of one of Putin's "top advisors" who was just on Tucker Carlson a few hours ago? It was basically a warning to Europe to FAFO. "Breaking News: Russia Will Nuke Germany & the UK if Ukraine War Continues, Warns Top Putin Advisor".
Britain announced the development of missiles with a 500km range that were to be supplied to Ukraine. If they target Moscow or St Petersburg then we're on the precipice of world war.
Britain, since the days of Guy Fawkes, has been the world's pre eminent developer of fireworks, and so £9 million should be more than enough to do the job.
Remember our missile development site on the Isle of Wight, which is perfectly capable of producing such hardware within a fortnight, if asked nicely.
I believe those days have past. Its primary Nuclear defense is based on the Trident system which has failed lately and was developed by the US. Most new tech and engineering work has been outsourced to India.
The fleet is also stuck in port for repairs and the ports themselves are needing upgrades to even do the repairs
I was referring to the world war part . Moscow is getting attacked by drones occasionally but is not getting hit as much as the energy infrastructure . At what point does a drone become a missile ?
The reason they call it "propaganda for morons" is that it works great on morons. It's not a compliment to your IQ that you fell for the totally fake characterization of Karaganov as one of Putin's "top advisors."
Karaganov is respected in Russia for his intelligence and for his sensible analysis of many issues, but part of that is people in Russia also accept that he has a very deep intellectual flaw in his at times delusional and nearly psychotic calls for the inappropriate use of nuclear weapons. He's like a well-loved uncle who people look forward to seeing at family gatherings despite the uncle's tendency to occasionally blurt out something that is totally insane or inappropriate.
Putin, in particular, regularly chides Karaganov in conferences and public settings for his views, saying things like, "Look, we all know what your views are on that and this is not the time for you to go off the deep end again..." He does that in a friendly, indulgent way, the way you might chide a dog that accidentally puts too much tooth pressure on your finger when you're playing with the dog and it is pulling on a dog toy you're holding.
So no, Karaganov is *not* a top advisor or any sort of advisor to Putin. He doesn't have the mental consistency and discipline to be an advisor at that level, and that's why he's still out there outside the centers of power as an entertaining, at times very incisive, but ultimately a gadfly character.
>calls for the inappropriate use of nuclear weapons
The official Russian nuclear doctrine was violated in a very grave and indisputable manner multiple times.
It is also violated every day by drone strikes numbering in the triple digits, as it has such a provision in it too.
So explain to us what about the calls to use nuclear weapons is "inappropriate" if what has happened was already specified in the official nuclear doctrine as a trigger for their use?
"The official Russian nuclear doctrine was violated in a very grave and indisputable manner multiple times.
It is also violated every day by drone strikes numbering in the triple digits, as it has such a provision in it too."
Ah, no, both of the above paragraphs are lies, both as to what was done and what the doctrine is.
The Russian Federation's nuclear doctrine has nothing in it requiring the use of nuclear weapons in response to comments by Internet trolls spouting propaganda for morons.
>Ah, no, both of the above paragraphs are lies, both as to what was done and what the doctrine is.
You are seriously starting to get on my nerves.
How are they lies?
It clearly said even before the war that attacks on the strategic nuclear forces or early warning systems warrant a nuclear response.
Small-scale such attacks began already in late 2022 with the Tu-141 strikes on Engles. But then we had June 1st 2025 when the CIA/MI-6/Mossad tried to take out the whole of Russia's strategic aviation and AWACS fleets. All of it.
Prior to that in 2024 multiple ballistic missile early warning radars that have absolutely nothing to do with this war were attacked.
Meanwhile in late 2024 the doctrine was changed to now allow for nuclear response against non-nuclear proxies of nuclear powers and also the term "mass drone attacks" was added to it as a trigger for nuclear response.
There hasn't been a day with less than 100 drones launched into the Russian mainland for longer than anyone can remember, and it has reached over 500 on multiple occasions. These are not firecracker FPV drones, these are light cruise missiles at this point.
If that is not a "mass drone attack", then what is?
And they are hitting strategic targets. Yes, it's not the bombing of Germany in 1943-1945 in terms of volume explosives dropped, but it doesn't have to be because of how precise the strikes are. A strategic bombing campaign it is nevertheless
GM, IIRC, also has claimed that Russia already has used nuclear weapons in Ukraine. (Because everyone knows that there is no way to make anything resembling a mushroom cloud without resorting to nuclear weapons).
Of course, in both cases, if they are using nuclear weapons with total impunity, this raises the question what is stopping the West and/or Russia from continuing to do so?
GM is basically looking for anything that provides a pretext to go nuclear.
Agreed . Nuclear weapons are a last resort . Once they start getting used everyone loses . Pandoras box . We have not had nuclear weapons used since WW2 for good reason.
Effectively, then, he provides a pressure-release mechanism for Russian society; ie he says what everybody says over their borscht, but inwardly knows is not appropriate.
But it feels good to say it anyway.
A bit like we all over here say that women should restrict their activities to making sandwiches and babies, whereas we know that if we say that out loud, we will be cancelled and called an **** ****** or whatever, and will have to go away and hide somewhere until the fuss dies down.
That depends on which Russian political commentary shows you watch.
Contrary to US and US vassal propaganda for morons, there's a very wide range of political commentary in Russian media. My cable package, a typical package that bundles cell phone service, multi-gigabyte fiber optic home internet, and smart TV services, delivers over 800 channels. I think over 50 of them are news channels. And then there are literally hundreds of millions of websites and social media channels available over Internet with God knows how many doing political commentary.
So sure, there's a channel and probably many channels for pretty much every political viewpoint there is. On nationwide TV the "Soloviev" channel has staked out the ultra-patriotic niche. Soloviev himself is a great guy. Doesn't at all come off as an extremist. I've been to conferences where he has spoken and he'll mingle with the crowd at such events and in person he is a friendly guy with a great sense of humor. He's also extremely smart. So was Zhirinovsky, famous in his day for being a wild man, saying things like it was time for Russia to take back both Alaska and California. Same with Karaganov. But that was just his political identity, a way to distinguish himself from the crowd and propel himself forward. In real life he was a calm, sensible, very well educated man and when he achieved some political visibility, getting a few of his party elected as deputies, he worked on solidly sane, middle of the road projects. No seizing of Alaska.
There's a market for ultra-patriot commentary in Russia and guys like Soloviev and Zhirinovsky can tap it to expand their brands. But that doesn't mean it gets significant traction compared to more measured thinking, no more than if you go to Detroit and hang around where disgruntled union guys are in line to pick up their unemployment checks, passing the time saying to each other how it's time to nuke those damned Russians, will the idea of nuking Russia propel you to national electoral victories.
In contrast, if you watch Russian political commentary shows that have guest commentators who represent significant power blocs, have real positions of authority or positions that give them real insight, what you get is a distillation of the extremely practical and pragmatic thinking that is powering Russia's complete victory over the US and US stooges in Ukraine.
It's an overworked analogy to keep bringing up Napoleon's defeat in 1812-1813 at the hands of Russia, but people keep bringing that up because it does have some significant similarities to what is going on now. The most visible is the chattering from a powerless commentariat at the strategy used to destroy Napoleon's Grand Army in Russia, that of using geography to kill his army.
It wasn't weather, as is often thought by amateurs, it was the weaponization of geography that killed Napoleon. Letting him over-extend that far into the Russian continent (the only way to think of Russia's territory is on a continental scale) guaranteed he could neither supply his army through such an extended logistics chain nor could he extract it when it was clear it was doomed.
At the same time Russia mobilized huge resources to smash into Europe and decisively defeat the French and coalition other armies there in 1813, implacably driving onward all the way to Paris. The reason cafes in Paris are called "bistros" dates from 1813, when occupying Russian forces sitting at cafe tables yelled out "bistro!" to waiters, which is Russian for "fast!" or "quickly!".
It's the same now. Just like it was obvious the Grand Army was doomed long before the dregs of it were bayonetted, it's obvious today the US and its stooges have been decisively defeated in Ukraine. Just as in 1812, Russia today also has mobilized its phenomenal strength to create an economy and a military industrial complex that is so strong the US together with all of its stooges cannot stop it. No need to use nukes to accomplish everything Russia wants accomplished.
I don't watch a lot of Russian channels - yes, I watch periodically Soloviev, and obviously I don't pay too much attention to uber "let's nuke them" statements but generally there seems to be a larger audience of "forceful response" measures. I never paid attention to Zherenovsky while he was alive, but so many things he's saying were actually true/came true, I wish he wasn't so "drastic" and showy, maybe his views would be more valued.
Frankly, I never heard Karaganov speak, but I periodically check Medvedev on X - he has a great sense of humor.
I think Russia is nearing the brink of its own attrition. Of the about 1 680 000 called up for service, forced from prisoners, the volunteers and the contract soldiers we only see 700 000 in the Ukrainian arena. Even if 300 000 is allocated somewhere in the Northern area, Finland, St Petersburg, Baltikum and in front of Moscow we miss nearly 600-800 000 soldiers.
There is no way Ukraine has lost 1,5 million KIA, maimed, wounded beyond repair and Russia has only lost 1/10. Even if Ukraine exaggarate the Russian losses we can count with at least 400-500 losses of all kind/day during this ”SMO” that has lasted 1 430 days.
Another two years will only see a development of assets built up outside Ukraine for manufacturing of drones and other weapons, thereby making it hard for Russia to attrit the production. If Putins top advisor says that they will be forced to nuke UK and Germany tells a lot. Russia identify the little brits, UK, as the main enemy in Europe and Germany as a strong and willing puppet. Germany has also broken the 4-state accord of 1991. France and Italy is two states with a more pragmatic view (as for now).
Nice one Mickey. Unfortunately you skipped those whose contracts expired and they went home. The Wagner prison recruits needed 6 months for a pardon and release. Volunteer contracts are 12 months.
True. Do we know how many survived the 12 months? How many have returned as heroes? How many has signed for another year and so on?
Even a 1/3 or 1/5 of Ukrainian losses would be to much to bear for a prosperous society as Russia. The more ”civil” your society gets (as has been the case of Putins rule) the more you shun the barbaric state in a War. So you believe in the 150 000 total losses for Russia in four years and 1000-mile front, always pressing forward and exposing themselves?
Flawed…maybe. I dont know if thise numbers of contract people are inflated by the Russians or if people which ended contract in 2023 did sign another one in 2024 and so on. Its an attempt to understand what is going on behind the shroud. Why is not more of those 1,6 million enrolled in Ukraine when Russia is in peril?
Russia is not in peril. If they were to lose, it would be existential. They aren't. If Venezuela were to conquer the US it would be existential. Ain't happening. A reasonable explanation is that Russian men signed up, did their duty, got paid, and went back to their normal lives. Yeah, a lot did die and got injured and so on, but that was a risk they took -- willingly. Unlike many of the poor saps on the other side....
>If Putins top advisor says that they will be forced to nuke UK and Germany tells a lot.
He isn't Putin's top advisor, unfortunately.
But yes, the significance of the interview is precisely that he went on Tucker.
There is no way this was not agreed on with the highest level at the Kremlin.
When he was interviewed by The Duran or Glen Diesen, you can imagine he was speaking on his own, but given that Tucker interviewed Putin, this was 100% coordinated with the Kremlin and what he said was agreed on in advance.
So one can hope that sanity has prevailed inside Moscow finally and the nukes will come out.
>Another two years will only see a development of assets built up outside Ukraine for manufacturing of drones and other weapons
You already see the effects.
Six to nine months ago there was a lot of talk of Russia launching 1,000 drones a day by the end of 2025. In reality the volume of Geran strikes has leveled off at 300-400 a day.
Meanwhile "Ukraine" is now launching over 100 every day, and often it is 300. It will soon reach parity. But in reality it is a deeply unfavorable to Russia exchange even if only 3-4 get through every day, because Ukraine is a fully disposable proxy that nobody cares about so the real exchange rate is something to zero in favor of the West.
And the trend is for it to only get worse. We have been through this many times -- the manufacturing complexity of these drones is not much higher, if at all, than a simple car. But the combined West produces 40 million cars a year while Russia produces 1 million. There is no way Russia can survive in the long term under these absurd rules of engagement where the actual enemy is completely off limits for strikes, it will be crushed eventually.
"When he was interviewed by The Duran or Glen Diesen, you can imagine he was speaking on his own, but given that Tucker interviewed Putin, this was 100% coordinated with the Kremlin and what he said was agreed on in advance."
Total bullshit, like all the rest of what you wrote. I grant that propaganda for morons, like you write, does indeed get traction with morons. That may well move the needle in the US given that it is populated by so many morons that the last election featured a choice between Kamala and Trump.
But morons and the people they elect don't win wars, which is one of many reasons why the US and its stooges have lost this war.
I think this point needs to be highlighted more, no doubt that the current dynamics of the battlefield are in Russia's favor however how long can the war continue before war fatigue kicks in. In 1 month, it will mark the 4-year anniversary of the beginning of the SMO and yet this conflict is nowhere near to being resolved either through diplomatic or military means. We should question the viability of the Russian strategy since the longer the war continues the greater of chance for an unsatisfactory peace.
I agree, i think that some people in this thread are overlooking this fact. Russia has sacrificed a lot in the SMO and the longer the war goes on the more sacrifices are needed thus leading to a desire for an absolute victory. the recent actions by Ukraine and the west have only served to amplify the more hardliners in the kremlin who hold this view. in my own opinion if the war isn't concluded through diplomatic and military means by 2027 then we might begin to see more visible signs of discontent in the way Putin has handled this war.
The big problem is that the Kremlin does not fear war weariness but war enthusiasm. It carried out a deliberate and persistent policy of suppressing the early outpouring of enthusiasm for the war back in 2022.
I know it's hard to understand for most dimwits who arrive here from a rightoid libertarian position, but it is the truth of what happened and those of us actually following events watched it with horror as it unfolded.
And the rightoid dimwits do not understand it because their small minds cannot grasp that the principle that domestic policy drives foreign policy applies in Russia too, and they also have no idea of what the fundamental internal conflict in Russia is.
On one hand you have the Perestroika elites, to which Putin ultimately belongs, who feature many of the same traitors that destroyed the country in the late 1980s in order to loot it. None of them has really been actively purged and they still hold power overall.
On the other hand you have the patriots and the communists. There are plenty of monarchist non-communist patriots, but those of them who are seriously anti-communist are not that many, because at this point it is just hard to deny objective reality (that the USSR was the pinnacle of Russian greatness).
And there is the problem -- if you tell the people that this is a repeat of the Great Patriotic War, which is exactly what it is, and that they should mobilize accordingly, they will gladly follow you, but you will have to also acknowledge that Stalin was right about most things and a good guy, and that the Perestroika was a catastrophe. And to go back to some form of a Soviet system, because that is the only way to properly mobilize.
Well, you can't do that if you are the Perestroika elites and your current position depends on not doing any of that.
That fundamental internal contradiction is what the West has been skillfully exploiting for many years now, and yet there is exactly zero analysis of it in the pro-Russian Western alt-media.
It's interesting how some information is memory holed and forgotten. The 90B EUR loan was primarily organised in order to pay back 40B EUR loan installment due by Ukr to European institutions, which is due in Q1 2026. So from the planned 90B, only 50B should have been available for actual new investments, while the initial 40B used to pay back previous loan obligations.
In both situations, both EU and US loans are consumed by EU/US arms manufacturers, with Ukr only getting a small percentage in actual cash. Which the people of UKR must pay back for the next 100 years. The government of Ukr unwilling to diplomatically settle the dispute with their neighbours will cost Ukr their future. They have lost millions of people through emigration, millions on the battlefield, their industrial capacity is being destroyed, their most productive area is taken away, the remaining rump Ukraine will be without people, without industry, riddled with insane debt. Just how corrupt / immoral are the Ukr leadership, and how morally bankrupt are western politicians that oversee the entire fiasco. Their corruption is driving the economy of US/EU to the toilet. A few individuals will enrich themselves, while the plebs and middle class will be destroyed.
Yes, that's true but relative to the horror of an all out nuclear war with intentional ground bursts they are minor. Conventional mines are more horrifying to me due to the children without legs. Death from neutron radiation is quick and painless, the plutonium released can be very toxic and result in death from poisoning which is not so quick and painless so you have very good points. I just wanted to point out that nuclear weapons are not quite the horror most believe. There are worse ways to die.
You have a good attitude towards the damned things. The Third World War, called the Cold War for misdirection, now in its eighth decade since WWII, can only have three endings, collapse of the WE which has always been the aggressor, mutual peace or the full nuclear exchange. I favor peace.
>>>>>while the initial 40B used to pay back previous loan obligations.>>>>>
My understanding is that all that was intended for coverage of previous loans by the ninety billion dollar loan is the interest payments. The original loan itself (which is their own money) will simply be rolled over.
So a simple way to move debt money around off the official books and back to themselves to create a slush fund.
A classic shell game. Some people think that the bulk of the ninety billion is going to go to Ukraine in some way. Some people think that only half of it will, with the other half being used to pay down Europe's high risk loan in that area. Some people think the money will be jiggled around so that most of it actually is available to be dispatched to Ukraine anyway despite attempts to the contrary. Some people think that while most of the money is supposed to be actually available to be dispatched to Ukraine, the bulk of it will be redirected away from its stated purpose, Ukraine, and circle back to Europe in a feeble attempt to make up for some of the de-industrialization that the authorities have imposed on Europe.
You have to admire it in a looking at a multiple car accident as you pass by, kind of way. You know, you wonder ....what could have actually happened for the cars to end up the way they did, which one might have been at fault and who made it worse, and then resign yourself to never really knowing.....
Russia has demonstrated the use of an EMP missile that takes our all electronics within a five mile radius. If used against Kiev, the war would be over. There would be no electricity, cel phones, computers, TVs, radios, ATMs, lights, heat, water or money. The war would be over. Well?
Command and control is probably redundant in Lviv. Kiev is a Russian city so I am guessing that would not go over well with Russians. Although, they seem to be OK with shutting off the water and power in winter.
Probably only to be used as a weapon of last resort; Rossiya has always been clear that they could escalate, but only if faced with existential threats, and the SMO isn't thought of in that light - at the moment, at least.
The main reason for this is the elites got too greedy in the post-bellum years: in order to jack up their monstrous wealth, they decided to ‘globalize’ the critical supply chains that were the entire ‘blood and treasure’ of Western developed nations, just to make a few more cents on the dollar in the margins.
One indeed can’t dismiss a nationalistic factor. Yet at the end of the day, banderites have become the most useful collaborators with global Jewry.
It’s for a reason that Ukrainian rabbis glorify Budanov and such, and that Knesset (both in Israel and on Potomac) has been supporting the self-proclaimed Ukrainian neo-Nazi.
No doubt all that Uke debt is backed by the full faith and credit of the US, as it's always been. Just like for certain Israeli debt. How will we collect once Uke is Russia?
"Western leaders have at this point chosen to completely ignore domestic problems"
It isn't a choice, Simplicius, it's policy: Neoliberalism. The problems are the result of decisions implemented over many decades. Initially they relied on pillaging the developing countries. Then they pillaged the former Soviet republics. After that they started on their own citizenry. Now they pillaged each other in a Hunger Games finale.
The same problems, again and again. You can read about these problems in ancient Greek literature, you can study these problems in the Roman Empire, and you will find these problems in Han China, old Persia, or the Austro-Hungarian Empire. The elites grow faster than the economy, no matter if you live in communism or capitalism, and no matter if you are ruled by an emperor, religious leader, or elected president. Kontradiev showed it in mathematics. Savarewitsch in historical studies. Mises in pure economic calculation. Ayn Rand in philosophical view (and of course, we could go back to Plato...).
Then there is the debt jubilee. The concept is millennia old and was widespread till Roman times. The ancient Greeks certainly had similar debt cancellations. The Chinese today seem intent on preventing the problem arising. Ask Jack Ma.
Here, I think it is necessary to introduce some nuance. The reality is that democracy as practiced in the West destroys society in a kind of "tragedy of the commons". So both the ruling minority and the ruled majority are responsable - of course. Here:
>If Russia ends up having to use nukes, it will be Russia's fault for ending up having to use nukes.
Correct. And some of us have been saying it for four years. While being called out lunatics for talking about nukes.
And rightly so. Nukes really bad ju-ju.
Its not my fault. You MADE me do it. Says every four-year-old. As to the ships, they aren't Russian ships, are they?
>American imperialism is in terminal decline
Not necessarily unfortunately. Capitalism looked like it was in terminal decline in the 1930s, then in the 1970s, and what happened?
This, however:
>it will not back off from its attempt to destroy both China, Russia and rest of the BRICS nations.
Is true. And it may succeed.
The elephant in the room is the technological revolution with AI, in which the US is investing the most, and which is progressing at a very worrying pace. The world is globalized to such an extent now, and whoever wins that race will gain such power, that it will allow for the permanent takeover of the whole planet, irreversibly. There will be no escape once that is done.
If I were in the Kremlin, I would be drafting serious plans for the destruction of the data centers that the US is pouring hundreds of billions into, before it's too late.
That's all true, Elena. But there's a saying, "What doesn't kill you, makes you stronger"; it's not entirely true, but there's an element of truth in it, and I think the Russian military is a lot stronger and better led than it was in 2022. Russian society has also shown that it is more coherent, and has more solidarity, than we expected. A lot of Russians, maybe most, understand that their country is fighting for its independence from the American Empire, and are right behind their government.
Thirty billion won't last past the summer.
Especially it apparently is to be spread over two yeas. So its only fifteen billion before the summer.
Well, not clear how these 30Bln will be used ; probably holes and budget leaks need to be fixed asap, so this sum probably can't be split like that.
There is more money available. Little Austria pays for the Ukrainian refugees at least 3.6 billion. Bigger Germany is at 36.5 billion. Sent them back! First, Ukraine gets young, able-bodied soldiers. Second, all these billions are available for Kyiv. And now you understand why Chancellor Merz was bringing the case of the refugees back on the table.
Easier said than done.
Hi Finn!
Hello there! :)
Ah well, I guess it was all for naught….
Exactly, that's the point.
Europe is busted. They just don't admit it. Too busy committing suicide.
Victor! You're almost back to #1.
Yeah. Putting that last sentence did me in...LOL
Kudos on melding discombobulated and cockamamie in a single sentence.
Only possible when discussing the EU bureaucracy.
As long as 330-kV substations are blowing up after NATO strikes in Orenburg (as happened this morning), but nothing is exploding even in Braila and Rzeszow, let alone Brussels, Paris and London, you can laugh all you want at the Europeans but they are coming out on top in this game relative to Russia.
It's that simple
You know, I’ve been following simp76 since the war started. Sometimes I have time to read his articles, sometimes I don’t.
Occasionally, I scroll through the comments, because realistically, nobody has the time to read every comment on every article when each post has several hundred of them. Over time, though, I noticed one peculiar thing. Mr. GM is consistently present in the comments. Every. Single. Time. For months? Years? Who knows anymore.
Sometimes there are several comments from him under the same article, all pushing the same interpretation and trying to convince everyone of his insight. Doesn’t that seem a bit odd? Almost like an obsession — or could it be something else? For example, a deeper agenda with financial incentives? One wonders.
And here we are again. A 50 minutes ago, simp76 posts an article, and few minutes later Mr. GM is already in the comments.
Yes, it's really simple :)
I appreciate the mostly contrarian posts of GM regardless if I agree with them or not. It's a different perspective. I believe Simplicius is very balanced in his articles. I take the view of General George S. Patton. "If everyone is thinking alike, then somebody isn't thinking."
Simple is for simpletons, it’s not a custom that you criticise a president and not at all president Macron, for some magazine the saviour of Europe, the most intelligent of whole France and it shows 89% don’t like him. Just today a book published with the title Nero at the Elysee in which there many arguments/facts that he blew it. He will be know in history as the most lonesome man as was Napoleon, now with the title of Caesar Nero, the man that put Europe in flames. In addition his brother(s) in arms aren’t doing any better, except for Merz who is the coolest of the gang, making deals when the party you make deals with is absent at the negotiating table.
If he’s so balanced, why do we hear in detail about Russian advances in insignificant villages, but nothing about Kupiansk? Or why they haven’t recaptured Izium, Lyman and all the other strategic towns they lost over three years ago?
There are plenty of reading comprehension courses available online. You should look into it.
Great! Do you have a link? I’ve always wanted to know what ‘the pot calling the kettle black’ meant.
Figured you don't have the mental capabilities to do an internet search.
As are the people smearing him with ad hominems without engaging with the argument.
Its a fact that should be considered along other facts in this monumental fight for survival. To call this an SMO is belittling what is going on and risk to backfire inside Russia one or two years from now. I (if I where Putin) wouldnt gamble on the failure of EU (or the single states in Europe) when my own country is up in the table.
Its sort of a d’Orwellian double-think to talk about an SMO and restraining yourself when you at the same time have evidence that the enemy does everything to hurt you from behind the cover of Ukraine.
In a game of attrition and ”who-blinks-first” it is not about having enough patience.
It is the ability to scale up your leverage, the range and possibilities of leverage and the will to use them.
>I (if I where Putin) wouldnt gamble on the failure of EU (or the single states in Europe) when my own country is up in the table.
Exactly.
For a price of global conflagration?
Russians aren’t jews.
🥱
There was a blackout in Germany. Berlin had at least 45000 households cut from power (and an unknown number of economic entities). And of course some politicians came out with: Russia! But at the end, it was the ANTIFA, a government-paid and organized NGO. So be careful; it is easy to cry wolf (or NATO, Russia...), but reality could be different.
in Amsterdam there was a blackout too, yesterday (14/01), lasting 2 hours and affecting 50.000 households/businesses and international travel (Eurostar, Schiphol Airport). apparently due to an 'explosion at one of the city's key electricity substations' - https://nltimes.nl/2026/01/14/explosion-causes-power-outage-amsterdam-city-center-west-neighborhoods
the question remains as to what caused the explosion.
They are actively habituating the people to power cuts. This is official terrorism.
Can Russia sabotage the EU? I think they can. But last time I wrote that the west is dominating and winning the information space. If substations "fail" it will dominate the information space as an act of war, gain population support, demonize Russians, while every NATO act of terror is silenced. NATO still has a large support in the west because of this. Russia can't counter western information, if citizens would know the true cost and consequences for them, the acts of terror, killing Russian civilians,... only we who are here seeking truth knows what happens.
The western mind is deranged, zombified. NATO has been killing for so long that nobody even blinks when the next 100 civilians are killed by NATO. See how many are now "caring" about Iranians. They care so much that they cried when Israel killed 1000 Iranians during the 12-day war. Not so long ago the media dominated with drone sightings, suddenly we need more money for the army. It was all a lie, no drones spotted, this lie just disappears and nobody question it, except us. So every small Russian counter action will be used to stir up more Russophobia. You don't want to push it so far that the EU population wants a war. So far citizens don't want war. If it was me I would hit harder, target LNG tanker, recon drones,...
Now if you want to sabotage stuff in the EU you can always find someone. If you can smuggle a IED and enough money it's not difficult to blow up a substation.
>Can Russia sabotage the EU
Sabotage? We're not talking abotu sabotage -- Russia is under aerial attack 24/7.
It has to strike directly, openly and hard. The US mainland too. And not stupid stunts like hitting transformers, but proper countervalue where it hurts the most, i.e. the targets and especially the individuals that are dearest to those responsible for the war on Russia.
While we can welcome that, it's too risky.
I prefer a more subtle method. Venezuela was a good opportunity, if Russia had mercenaries or militias under its control they could have shot down helicopters or target the US naval fleet. Other proxies attacking EU ships. But I don't know the capabilities of Russia on arming them, they still have a base in Syria. The question is if its worth the trouble? If EU/UK is imploding from within then why escalate? The economy and budgets of EU countries aren't looking good, by supporting Ukraine they destroy themselves.
I am surprised Russia has not armed some of those military aged men they call "immigrants" and sent them into the EU.
Yes, they can. Actually several weapons factory have blown up these last few years , since 2022 , in Western Europe. No explanation given by MSM. Buried.
The US has had two or three unexplained fires at our facilities as well.
Twenty three mysterious deaths at Tinker Airforce base over seven months in '23. I think about 6 happened a few days after Russia hit a PATRIOT battery at Kiev airport.
Indeed, I had forgotten about that, thanks for pointing that out.
There is no reliable information indicating NATO strikes on Orenburg, a Russian city in the Urals; the historical NATO strikes involved Yugoslavia (Kosovo) in 1999, while recent events in Orenburg involve flooding and Russian legal cases, suggesting possible geographical or informational confusion, but no direct NATO-Russia conflict in Orenburg has been reported. Green Midget 2, the best thing for you would be to go to Kyiv and from there, on the front lines, you can film everything that's happening and send some nice reports to Simply, who will write an article about it. Don't hesitate, don't be afraid of the FPV chasing you, keep filming.
ChatGPT is not a good source of information, nobody ever told you that?
The only reliable source of information is Green Midget, or the Midget Emperor's Palace in Kyiv. Keep singing.
Is this what standing on the precipice of WW2 felt like? A hyper-aggressive NeoCon state preparing to muster what is left of it's failing momentum against its own allies? Nothing will surprise me at this point. Thanks for the update Simplicius.
Yes, Britains rulers were as retarded then as now.
They are not stupid. Craven and cowardly, yes, but they are not stupid.
To some degree.
I tend towards the notion that their paymasters are substantially smarter than they are, and neither need nor want brilliant stooges.
British as a state, nation in foreign policy are basically realists, from outside it looks immoral, competent from outside craven, cowardly, and masters of public relations... from outside liers, hypocrites.
WWZ is simply the continuation of WW2 - there is a well-known and much-loved group of people living "somewhere in the Middle East" ( I won't say where in case I get cancelled or called an 8888-888888 ) which seeks in every generation to assert its global hegemony by and through whichever lumbering buffoon-state it can parasitize at any one particular moment.
Unless and until this band of reckless desperadoes is neutralized and removed from each and every position of power they hold, in every nation around the world - including in Patagonia, for those who like to keep up with recent developments - then we will continually be on the edge of the next world war.
The wise China is the only modern state that has managed to clip the parasite’s tentacles - by not recognizing the parasite’s religion and preventing the sprouting of the parasite’s politically active organizations
In addition to not recognising the parasite's religion, they should follow up by recognizing the religion of the parasite's nemesis, ie Christianity, which they also ( foolishly ) suppress - especially as it used to be the state religion in pre Confucian times, when Shang Di was worshipped at Beijing by the Emperor himself.
We could start by trimming the 10 million a day that gets sent to them….
To do that, you have first to remove the jewish hands that enable that - starting with Trump himself.
I would say that we are beyond the precipice of WW3 and well into it. It is a hybrid war using all types of weapons and tactics. The challenge is to find an ending that is not thermonuclear.
>On this note, Tucker Carlson interviewed Russian political scientist and ‘advisor to Putin’ Sergey Karaganov, who allegedly said that “if the Ukraine war continues at this tempo for another year or two, we will have no choice but to nuke Germany and the UK.”
It was a very disappointing interview, because he stuck to the line that the Europeans are to blame, the Americans are sensible.
This even after the events on December 29th...
It’s very tiresome to repeatedly watch the charade of the Kremlin playing nice to the Gringos.
OTOH, it’s good to see that Karaganov guy channeling you and going public about nuking things.
Well. Assisting Iran in blocking the starlink was a good start. Now start hitting the Jew wherever it is. Kushner soros Netanyahu blinken applebaum etc should not be safe anywhere.
Where are anti-Kagans demonstrations in the US when we desperately need them.
“Nuland the enemy of humanity” sounds right
If it is true that CIA/US was behind an assassination attempt where Putin was duped to stay in his house and wait for a phonecall we can expect everything from the Western side.
The amenable strategy from Russia belong to the good-guy behaviours, willing to reach an agreement. Question is if we not have entered the kill-or-be-killed mode.
The Russian leadership does not want to admit the truth to itself.
Putin has a red phone. He is reachable anywhere at anytime. Probably the CIA/MI6/GUR got
1 a bad tip, which could be an attempt by Russia to catch a spy.
2 a guess taken from an algorithm model.
3 what I consider most likely, trying to drive a wedge between Trump and Putin.
4 some other shit I can't think of.
Four out of four!
I listened to the show. It was not an alleged statement.
Karagonov doesn't like western Europeans and has a particular animosity toward Britain and Germany. I don't think he likes Americans either, just trying to be polite.
Karagonov is half cracy and no Russian with a degree of intelligence and culture shares his opinions and choices.
He is the Russian equivalent of a MAGA truck driver, what is particularly worrying because he is no truck driver and should know better.
What to you think of one of Putin's "top advisors" who was just on Tucker Carlson a few hours ago? It was basically a warning to Europe to FAFO. "Breaking News: Russia Will Nuke Germany & the UK if Ukraine War Continues, Warns Top Putin Advisor".
They know a lot of things. Some of which might actually be true. Not too likely, though....
Britain announced the development of missiles with a 500km range that were to be supplied to Ukraine. If they target Moscow or St Petersburg then we're on the precipice of world war.
They budgeted 9 million pounds sterling to research and come up with a prototype. That won't go very far.
Haywood Jablome
No. It pays for a lot of press releases and junkets.
Britain, since the days of Guy Fawkes, has been the world's pre eminent developer of fireworks, and so £9 million should be more than enough to do the job.
Remember our missile development site on the Isle of Wight, which is perfectly capable of producing such hardware within a fortnight, if asked nicely.
AI begs to differ.
The country most widely considered the preeminent developer of fireworks is China.
Why China holds that position
1. Origin of fireworks
• Fireworks were invented in China over 1,000 years ago (Tang–Song dynasties), originally from bamboo and later using gunpowder.
• The earliest formulas for black powder and pyrotechnics come from Chinese alchemical texts.
2. Technical leadership
• China developed:
• Gunpowder chemistry
• Color-producing metal salts
• Aerial shell construction
• Timing fuses and multi-stage effects
• Many modern firework effects (peonies, chrysanthemums, willows, brocade crowns) are refinements of Chinese techniques.
3. Modern production dominance
• Today, 70–80% of the world’s consumer and professional fireworks are manufactured in China, especially in:
• Liuyang (Hunan) – often called the “Fireworks Capital of the World”
• Liling, Jiangxi
• Even fireworks branded as American, European, or Japanese are often Chinese-made.
My comment, of course, was entirely ironic, and should not be regarded as a statement of historical fact - more of a droll aside.
I believe those days have past. Its primary Nuclear defense is based on the Trident system which has failed lately and was developed by the US. Most new tech and engineering work has been outsourced to India.
The fleet is also stuck in port for repairs and the ports themselves are needing upgrades to even do the repairs
https://www.thenational.scot/news/24501766.six-uk-astute-class-nuclear-submarines-stuck-port-repairs/
https://www.iiss.org/online-analysis/online-analysis/2024/03/the-uks-trident-launch-failure-a-cause-for-concern/
Exactly. We aren't serious. It's all sabre rattling 🐂💩.
Designed to provide an external enemy to keep our minds off the lousy job the political establishment is doing.
Oo! Blame those flippin' Russians.
UK's prototype 'that won't go very far' > across The Channel, max. in perfect weather conditions, of course.
Sorry mate , its already in progress . Everyone is supplying weapons , equipment and to a lesser degree manpower .
When was the last missile strike on Moscow?
I was referring to the world war part . Moscow is getting attacked by drones occasionally but is not getting hit as much as the energy infrastructure . At what point does a drone become a missile ?
The reason they call it "propaganda for morons" is that it works great on morons. It's not a compliment to your IQ that you fell for the totally fake characterization of Karaganov as one of Putin's "top advisors."
Karaganov is respected in Russia for his intelligence and for his sensible analysis of many issues, but part of that is people in Russia also accept that he has a very deep intellectual flaw in his at times delusional and nearly psychotic calls for the inappropriate use of nuclear weapons. He's like a well-loved uncle who people look forward to seeing at family gatherings despite the uncle's tendency to occasionally blurt out something that is totally insane or inappropriate.
Putin, in particular, regularly chides Karaganov in conferences and public settings for his views, saying things like, "Look, we all know what your views are on that and this is not the time for you to go off the deep end again..." He does that in a friendly, indulgent way, the way you might chide a dog that accidentally puts too much tooth pressure on your finger when you're playing with the dog and it is pulling on a dog toy you're holding.
So no, Karaganov is *not* a top advisor or any sort of advisor to Putin. He doesn't have the mental consistency and discipline to be an advisor at that level, and that's why he's still out there outside the centers of power as an entertaining, at times very incisive, but ultimately a gadfly character.
>calls for the inappropriate use of nuclear weapons
The official Russian nuclear doctrine was violated in a very grave and indisputable manner multiple times.
It is also violated every day by drone strikes numbering in the triple digits, as it has such a provision in it too.
So explain to us what about the calls to use nuclear weapons is "inappropriate" if what has happened was already specified in the official nuclear doctrine as a trigger for their use?
Russia bad , blah blah
"The official Russian nuclear doctrine was violated in a very grave and indisputable manner multiple times.
It is also violated every day by drone strikes numbering in the triple digits, as it has such a provision in it too."
Ah, no, both of the above paragraphs are lies, both as to what was done and what the doctrine is.
The Russian Federation's nuclear doctrine has nothing in it requiring the use of nuclear weapons in response to comments by Internet trolls spouting propaganda for morons.
>Ah, no, both of the above paragraphs are lies, both as to what was done and what the doctrine is.
You are seriously starting to get on my nerves.
How are they lies?
It clearly said even before the war that attacks on the strategic nuclear forces or early warning systems warrant a nuclear response.
Small-scale such attacks began already in late 2022 with the Tu-141 strikes on Engles. But then we had June 1st 2025 when the CIA/MI-6/Mossad tried to take out the whole of Russia's strategic aviation and AWACS fleets. All of it.
Prior to that in 2024 multiple ballistic missile early warning radars that have absolutely nothing to do with this war were attacked.
Meanwhile in late 2024 the doctrine was changed to now allow for nuclear response against non-nuclear proxies of nuclear powers and also the term "mass drone attacks" was added to it as a trigger for nuclear response.
There hasn't been a day with less than 100 drones launched into the Russian mainland for longer than anyone can remember, and it has reached over 500 on multiple occasions. These are not firecracker FPV drones, these are light cruise missiles at this point.
If that is not a "mass drone attack", then what is?
And they are hitting strategic targets. Yes, it's not the bombing of Germany in 1943-1945 in terms of volume explosives dropped, but it doesn't have to be because of how precise the strikes are. A strategic bombing campaign it is nevertheless
Russia should have used nukes in 2022. That would have brought them some respect in the west. It is too late now.
Are you still sticking with your previous claim that Russia has ALREADY been hit with NATO nuclear weapons?
Or would you just like us to ignore your previous statements?
GM, IIRC, also has claimed that Russia already has used nuclear weapons in Ukraine. (Because everyone knows that there is no way to make anything resembling a mushroom cloud without resorting to nuclear weapons).
Of course, in both cases, if they are using nuclear weapons with total impunity, this raises the question what is stopping the West and/or Russia from continuing to do so?
GM is basically looking for anything that provides a pretext to go nuclear.
Elena,
Agreed . Nuclear weapons are a last resort . Once they start getting used everyone loses . Pandoras box . We have not had nuclear weapons used since WW2 for good reason.
Effectively, then, he provides a pressure-release mechanism for Russian society; ie he says what everybody says over their borscht, but inwardly knows is not appropriate.
But it feels good to say it anyway.
A bit like we all over here say that women should restrict their activities to making sandwiches and babies, whereas we know that if we say that out loud, we will be cancelled and called an **** ****** or whatever, and will have to go away and hide somewhere until the fuss dies down.
Exactly. Defuse the anger that is building up…
Which raises the question of why people are angry.
In the same cage as Medvedev then?
What he, Karaganov, says is something that rings a tune by some, if not all, Russians.
Indeed. Easy to throw out.
I doubt too many Russian support getting vopourised in a nuclear holocaust.
I doubt UK can holocaust Russia. And why should US sacrifice themselves?
For the banking dynasties pleasure and MIC quick buck?
I watch some Russian political commentary shows and the sentiment is the same
That depends on which Russian political commentary shows you watch.
Contrary to US and US vassal propaganda for morons, there's a very wide range of political commentary in Russian media. My cable package, a typical package that bundles cell phone service, multi-gigabyte fiber optic home internet, and smart TV services, delivers over 800 channels. I think over 50 of them are news channels. And then there are literally hundreds of millions of websites and social media channels available over Internet with God knows how many doing political commentary.
So sure, there's a channel and probably many channels for pretty much every political viewpoint there is. On nationwide TV the "Soloviev" channel has staked out the ultra-patriotic niche. Soloviev himself is a great guy. Doesn't at all come off as an extremist. I've been to conferences where he has spoken and he'll mingle with the crowd at such events and in person he is a friendly guy with a great sense of humor. He's also extremely smart. So was Zhirinovsky, famous in his day for being a wild man, saying things like it was time for Russia to take back both Alaska and California. Same with Karaganov. But that was just his political identity, a way to distinguish himself from the crowd and propel himself forward. In real life he was a calm, sensible, very well educated man and when he achieved some political visibility, getting a few of his party elected as deputies, he worked on solidly sane, middle of the road projects. No seizing of Alaska.
There's a market for ultra-patriot commentary in Russia and guys like Soloviev and Zhirinovsky can tap it to expand their brands. But that doesn't mean it gets significant traction compared to more measured thinking, no more than if you go to Detroit and hang around where disgruntled union guys are in line to pick up their unemployment checks, passing the time saying to each other how it's time to nuke those damned Russians, will the idea of nuking Russia propel you to national electoral victories.
In contrast, if you watch Russian political commentary shows that have guest commentators who represent significant power blocs, have real positions of authority or positions that give them real insight, what you get is a distillation of the extremely practical and pragmatic thinking that is powering Russia's complete victory over the US and US stooges in Ukraine.
It's an overworked analogy to keep bringing up Napoleon's defeat in 1812-1813 at the hands of Russia, but people keep bringing that up because it does have some significant similarities to what is going on now. The most visible is the chattering from a powerless commentariat at the strategy used to destroy Napoleon's Grand Army in Russia, that of using geography to kill his army.
It wasn't weather, as is often thought by amateurs, it was the weaponization of geography that killed Napoleon. Letting him over-extend that far into the Russian continent (the only way to think of Russia's territory is on a continental scale) guaranteed he could neither supply his army through such an extended logistics chain nor could he extract it when it was clear it was doomed.
At the same time Russia mobilized huge resources to smash into Europe and decisively defeat the French and coalition other armies there in 1813, implacably driving onward all the way to Paris. The reason cafes in Paris are called "bistros" dates from 1813, when occupying Russian forces sitting at cafe tables yelled out "bistro!" to waiters, which is Russian for "fast!" or "quickly!".
It's the same now. Just like it was obvious the Grand Army was doomed long before the dregs of it were bayonetted, it's obvious today the US and its stooges have been decisively defeated in Ukraine. Just as in 1812, Russia today also has mobilized its phenomenal strength to create an economy and a military industrial complex that is so strong the US together with all of its stooges cannot stop it. No need to use nukes to accomplish everything Russia wants accomplished.
I don't watch a lot of Russian channels - yes, I watch periodically Soloviev, and obviously I don't pay too much attention to uber "let's nuke them" statements but generally there seems to be a larger audience of "forceful response" measures. I never paid attention to Zherenovsky while he was alive, but so many things he's saying were actually true/came true, I wish he wasn't so "drastic" and showy, maybe his views would be more valued.
Frankly, I never heard Karaganov speak, but I periodically check Medvedev on X - he has a great sense of humor.
I think Russia is nearing the brink of its own attrition. Of the about 1 680 000 called up for service, forced from prisoners, the volunteers and the contract soldiers we only see 700 000 in the Ukrainian arena. Even if 300 000 is allocated somewhere in the Northern area, Finland, St Petersburg, Baltikum and in front of Moscow we miss nearly 600-800 000 soldiers.
There is no way Ukraine has lost 1,5 million KIA, maimed, wounded beyond repair and Russia has only lost 1/10. Even if Ukraine exaggarate the Russian losses we can count with at least 400-500 losses of all kind/day during this ”SMO” that has lasted 1 430 days.
Another two years will only see a development of assets built up outside Ukraine for manufacturing of drones and other weapons, thereby making it hard for Russia to attrit the production. If Putins top advisor says that they will be forced to nuke UK and Germany tells a lot. Russia identify the little brits, UK, as the main enemy in Europe and Germany as a strong and willing puppet. Germany has also broken the 4-state accord of 1991. France and Italy is two states with a more pragmatic view (as for now).
Nice one Mickey. Unfortunately you skipped those whose contracts expired and they went home. The Wagner prison recruits needed 6 months for a pardon and release. Volunteer contracts are 12 months.
True. Do we know how many survived the 12 months? How many have returned as heroes? How many has signed for another year and so on?
Even a 1/3 or 1/5 of Ukrainian losses would be to much to bear for a prosperous society as Russia. The more ”civil” your society gets (as has been the case of Putins rule) the more you shun the barbaric state in a War. So you believe in the 150 000 total losses for Russia in four years and 1000-mile front, always pressing forward and exposing themselves?
Its kind of magic then.
No one really knows. I'm just pointing out your flawed calculation.
Flawed…maybe. I dont know if thise numbers of contract people are inflated by the Russians or if people which ended contract in 2023 did sign another one in 2024 and so on. Its an attempt to understand what is going on behind the shroud. Why is not more of those 1,6 million enrolled in Ukraine when Russia is in peril?
Russia is not in peril. If they were to lose, it would be existential. They aren't. If Venezuela were to conquer the US it would be existential. Ain't happening. A reasonable explanation is that Russian men signed up, did their duty, got paid, and went back to their normal lives. Yeah, a lot did die and got injured and so on, but that was a risk they took -- willingly. Unlike many of the poor saps on the other side....
Exactly, soldiers get rotated, both in and out.
>If Putins top advisor says that they will be forced to nuke UK and Germany tells a lot.
He isn't Putin's top advisor, unfortunately.
But yes, the significance of the interview is precisely that he went on Tucker.
There is no way this was not agreed on with the highest level at the Kremlin.
When he was interviewed by The Duran or Glen Diesen, you can imagine he was speaking on his own, but given that Tucker interviewed Putin, this was 100% coordinated with the Kremlin and what he said was agreed on in advance.
So one can hope that sanity has prevailed inside Moscow finally and the nukes will come out.
>Another two years will only see a development of assets built up outside Ukraine for manufacturing of drones and other weapons
You already see the effects.
Six to nine months ago there was a lot of talk of Russia launching 1,000 drones a day by the end of 2025. In reality the volume of Geran strikes has leveled off at 300-400 a day.
Meanwhile "Ukraine" is now launching over 100 every day, and often it is 300. It will soon reach parity. But in reality it is a deeply unfavorable to Russia exchange even if only 3-4 get through every day, because Ukraine is a fully disposable proxy that nobody cares about so the real exchange rate is something to zero in favor of the West.
And the trend is for it to only get worse. We have been through this many times -- the manufacturing complexity of these drones is not much higher, if at all, than a simple car. But the combined West produces 40 million cars a year while Russia produces 1 million. There is no way Russia can survive in the long term under these absurd rules of engagement where the actual enemy is completely off limits for strikes, it will be crushed eventually.
You could be perfectly right.
+ for Ukraine:
* Still a lot of flesh to sacrifice
* Dormant industrial production in EU is ramping up
* Educated in the Russian system and knows their enemy
* Lot of money left (just print) in EU
* A lot of resoruces to give away to western cabal
* Materials manufactured abroad in safety
* No internal protests in EU (Hungary/Slovakia doesnt count) against the War
* Being defender is alot easier than being an attacker
* Ability to strike anywhere in Russia
- for Ukraine:
* Energy grid on the brink (can turn things around anytime)
* Less and less ability to defend their cities and assets from Russian air-war.
* War fatigue will wear them down sooner or later
+ for Russia:
…multiple
- for Russia:
* Self-restraining warfare
* Men shortage?
"When he was interviewed by The Duran or Glen Diesen, you can imagine he was speaking on his own, but given that Tucker interviewed Putin, this was 100% coordinated with the Kremlin and what he said was agreed on in advance."
Total bullshit, like all the rest of what you wrote. I grant that propaganda for morons, like you write, does indeed get traction with morons. That may well move the needle in the US given that it is populated by so many morons that the last election featured a choice between Kamala and Trump.
But morons and the people they elect don't win wars, which is one of many reasons why the US and its stooges have lost this war.
I think this point needs to be highlighted more, no doubt that the current dynamics of the battlefield are in Russia's favor however how long can the war continue before war fatigue kicks in. In 1 month, it will mark the 4-year anniversary of the beginning of the SMO and yet this conflict is nowhere near to being resolved either through diplomatic or military means. We should question the viability of the Russian strategy since the longer the war continues the greater of chance for an unsatisfactory peace.
I agree, i think that some people in this thread are overlooking this fact. Russia has sacrificed a lot in the SMO and the longer the war goes on the more sacrifices are needed thus leading to a desire for an absolute victory. the recent actions by Ukraine and the west have only served to amplify the more hardliners in the kremlin who hold this view. in my own opinion if the war isn't concluded through diplomatic and military means by 2027 then we might begin to see more visible signs of discontent in the way Putin has handled this war.
Russians will stand. Live with that.
The SMO already exceeded the GPW in length.
The big problem is that the Kremlin does not fear war weariness but war enthusiasm. It carried out a deliberate and persistent policy of suppressing the early outpouring of enthusiasm for the war back in 2022.
I know it's hard to understand for most dimwits who arrive here from a rightoid libertarian position, but it is the truth of what happened and those of us actually following events watched it with horror as it unfolded.
And the rightoid dimwits do not understand it because their small minds cannot grasp that the principle that domestic policy drives foreign policy applies in Russia too, and they also have no idea of what the fundamental internal conflict in Russia is.
On one hand you have the Perestroika elites, to which Putin ultimately belongs, who feature many of the same traitors that destroyed the country in the late 1980s in order to loot it. None of them has really been actively purged and they still hold power overall.
On the other hand you have the patriots and the communists. There are plenty of monarchist non-communist patriots, but those of them who are seriously anti-communist are not that many, because at this point it is just hard to deny objective reality (that the USSR was the pinnacle of Russian greatness).
And there is the problem -- if you tell the people that this is a repeat of the Great Patriotic War, which is exactly what it is, and that they should mobilize accordingly, they will gladly follow you, but you will have to also acknowledge that Stalin was right about most things and a good guy, and that the Perestroika was a catastrophe. And to go back to some form of a Soviet system, because that is the only way to properly mobilize.
Well, you can't do that if you are the Perestroika elites and your current position depends on not doing any of that.
That fundamental internal contradiction is what the West has been skillfully exploiting for many years now, and yet there is exactly zero analysis of it in the pro-Russian Western alt-media.
*Yawn*. "Don't make me do this! I really mean it this time!"
Let's Hope it doesn't Come, That Gate was closed five years ago. It's coming. By hook or by crook.
You may be giving the insane globalists that run the West too much credit by saying it probably won't come to nukes. I don't have your same optimism.
The “owners” have been accustomed to unaccountability for too long. They don’t believe in personal hardship.
How will Germany, UK and the rest of the Greenland Defenders transport their troops? Ask yanks for a lift?
It's all entertainment for distracted plebs, kabuki
Razdragance,
The USA already has bases there . Invasion has already happened .
In the case of Britain, we do it by converting ro-ro ferries, or asking the Oxford and Cambridge boat clubs for a loan of their eights for a while.
double-eight
Or the government give private contracts to their friends to source fleets of plastic dinghies from China
It's interesting how some information is memory holed and forgotten. The 90B EUR loan was primarily organised in order to pay back 40B EUR loan installment due by Ukr to European institutions, which is due in Q1 2026. So from the planned 90B, only 50B should have been available for actual new investments, while the initial 40B used to pay back previous loan obligations.
In both situations, both EU and US loans are consumed by EU/US arms manufacturers, with Ukr only getting a small percentage in actual cash. Which the people of UKR must pay back for the next 100 years. The government of Ukr unwilling to diplomatically settle the dispute with their neighbours will cost Ukr their future. They have lost millions of people through emigration, millions on the battlefield, their industrial capacity is being destroyed, their most productive area is taken away, the remaining rump Ukraine will be without people, without industry, riddled with insane debt. Just how corrupt / immoral are the Ukr leadership, and how morally bankrupt are western politicians that oversee the entire fiasco. Their corruption is driving the economy of US/EU to the toilet. A few individuals will enrich themselves, while the plebs and middle class will be destroyed.
Global disaster.
Atmospheric nuclear explosions are relatively clean compared to ground bursts and produce almost no fallout.
God Bless Us All
Yes, that's true but relative to the horror of an all out nuclear war with intentional ground bursts they are minor. Conventional mines are more horrifying to me due to the children without legs. Death from neutron radiation is quick and painless, the plutonium released can be very toxic and result in death from poisoning which is not so quick and painless so you have very good points. I just wanted to point out that nuclear weapons are not quite the horror most believe. There are worse ways to die.
God Bless Us All
You have a good attitude towards the damned things. The Third World War, called the Cold War for misdirection, now in its eighth decade since WWII, can only have three endings, collapse of the WE which has always been the aggressor, mutual peace or the full nuclear exchange. I favor peace.
God Bless Us All
To sum up in a single word: Blackrock.
I'm not disagreeing, but Blackrock is an effect not the cause of predatory capitalism.
Capitalism is always predatory...
Isn't BlackRock two words?
( Asking for a friend. )
Explain concatenation to your friend, and give them my regards.
From the Latin "catena," a chain - so a chain is composed of links, and Black Rock is two of them.
one word, with two capital letters. unlike Vanguard (same Kosher Nostra).
And there are some with two words, like State Street.
AngloAmericanJudeo finance are the unholy trinity , all3 think and stink the same …..jews are piss and shit without the first 2
No
Nope
The jews for some reason are big on this black rock of theirs.
I think it refers to Saturn in some way, who some say is their god.
BlackRock and BlackStone. Would not be surprised if Satanic kaballah is attached to either.
>>>>>while the initial 40B used to pay back previous loan obligations.>>>>>
My understanding is that all that was intended for coverage of previous loans by the ninety billion dollar loan is the interest payments. The original loan itself (which is their own money) will simply be rolled over.
So a simple way to move debt money around off the official books and back to themselves to create a slush fund.
A classic shell game. Some people think that the bulk of the ninety billion is going to go to Ukraine in some way. Some people think that only half of it will, with the other half being used to pay down Europe's high risk loan in that area. Some people think the money will be jiggled around so that most of it actually is available to be dispatched to Ukraine anyway despite attempts to the contrary. Some people think that while most of the money is supposed to be actually available to be dispatched to Ukraine, the bulk of it will be redirected away from its stated purpose, Ukraine, and circle back to Europe in a feeble attempt to make up for some of the de-industrialization that the authorities have imposed on Europe.
You have to admire it in a looking at a multiple car accident as you pass by, kind of way. You know, you wonder ....what could have actually happened for the cars to end up the way they did, which one might have been at fault and who made it worse, and then resign yourself to never really knowing.....
So well put. Thanks.
Russia has demonstrated the use of an EMP missile that takes our all electronics within a five mile radius. If used against Kiev, the war would be over. There would be no electricity, cel phones, computers, TVs, radios, ATMs, lights, heat, water or money. The war would be over. Well?
That would be nuclear, right? Not really a good idea.
Command and control is probably redundant in Lviv. Kiev is a Russian city so I am guessing that would not go over well with Russians. Although, they seem to be OK with shutting off the water and power in winter.
Probably only to be used as a weapon of last resort; Rossiya has always been clear that they could escalate, but only if faced with existential threats, and the SMO isn't thought of in that light - at the moment, at least.
Quote
The main reason for this is the elites got too greedy in the post-bellum years: in order to jack up their monstrous wealth, they decided to ‘globalize’ the critical supply chains that were the entire ‘blood and treasure’ of Western developed nations, just to make a few more cents on the dollar in the margins.
Unquote
See Bill Clinton hero of the uniparty
Bill Clinton has been an obedient shabbos boy delivering the prompted lines
The point of globalism as the EU demonstrates is to destroy the middle class and then start culling the herd.
Excellent and very well written post. I wrote here about Ukraine's US corruption circus:
https://finnandreen.substack.com/p/the-corruption-frenzy-of-the-ukraine?utm_source=publication-search
One indeed can’t dismiss a nationalistic factor. Yet at the end of the day, banderites have become the most useful collaborators with global Jewry.
It’s for a reason that Ukrainian rabbis glorify Budanov and such, and that Knesset (both in Israel and on Potomac) has been supporting the self-proclaimed Ukrainian neo-Nazi.
No doubt all that Uke debt is backed by the full faith and credit of the US, as it's always been. Just like for certain Israeli debt. How will we collect once Uke is Russia?
So a well placed grenade would end Norways contribution to the defence of Greenland 😄
See also Sparta.
Pretty good film, too; The Spartan, with Val Kilmer.
"Western leaders have at this point chosen to completely ignore domestic problems"
It isn't a choice, Simplicius, it's policy: Neoliberalism. The problems are the result of decisions implemented over many decades. Initially they relied on pillaging the developing countries. Then they pillaged the former Soviet republics. After that they started on their own citizenry. Now they pillaged each other in a Hunger Games finale.
A feeding frenzy, IOW.
They have no domestic problems, the population is pacified.
I'll say...
https://www.nytimes.com/video/us/100000010596053/la-raid-immigration-us-citizens-video-investigation.html
not quite: daily prayers for the EU's implosion.
The same problems, again and again. You can read about these problems in ancient Greek literature, you can study these problems in the Roman Empire, and you will find these problems in Han China, old Persia, or the Austro-Hungarian Empire. The elites grow faster than the economy, no matter if you live in communism or capitalism, and no matter if you are ruled by an emperor, religious leader, or elected president. Kontradiev showed it in mathematics. Savarewitsch in historical studies. Mises in pure economic calculation. Ayn Rand in philosophical view (and of course, we could go back to Plato...).
Atlas Shrugged was prescient.
Also, the Fountainhead, which may even be better, imho.
Then there is the debt jubilee. The concept is millennia old and was widespread till Roman times. The ancient Greeks certainly had similar debt cancellations. The Chinese today seem intent on preventing the problem arising. Ask Jack Ma.
I am a radical fiscal conservative. The US will have to resort to such to save the nation.
I am so tired of hearing about GDP and stock markets being used as metrics.
... and most recently by Peter Turchin in his book "End Times" and his blog on Substack.
I would pay a hefty sum to view a broadcast of the final hunger games between the global financial/satanist cabal.
Here, I think it is necessary to introduce some nuance. The reality is that democracy as practiced in the West destroys society in a kind of "tragedy of the commons". So both the ruling minority and the ruled majority are responsable - of course. Here:
https://finnandreen.substack.com/p/europes-eclipse-of-intelligence-democracy?utm_source=publication-search