After failing to coerce Russia into an unfavorable cessation of hostilities (read: surrender), the US is now again playing ‘sanctions’ roulette, which deep state neocon vampire Lindsey Graham has been wedging onto Trump.
The usual -- if the US is a so pathetic and weak, why are military-industrial facilities being hit by drones in Izhevsk, 1,400 km from Ukraine, while not a single drone or missile has hit anything in the continental US or even Europe?
And why was 20% of Russian strategic aviation destroyed on June 1st, plus all the figher jets destroyed on the ground in various other airfields, but not a single US plane has been destroyed by Russia in four years?
Who is winning when the exchange ratio is non-zero to zero?
"Because nobody believes Russia will use force to keep it open."
"nobody?" Why is it that the guys who don't pay attention always assume nobody else is smart enough to pay attention?
The last time any nation bordering the Baltic attempted to stop a vessel bearing Russian oil, Russia sent a Sukhoi 35 to wipe out the naval forces attempting the interception if they didn't back off. Those "forces" were part of Estonia's toy navy, so small that a single Sukhoi 35 could wipe out most of Estonia's "navy."
Pay attention to what's going on, Bash. Russia now sends military assets to protect its shipping. They're not bluffing, no more than Russia was bluffing when it warned the US in late 2021 that if the US didn't stop fucking around in Ukraine Russia would invade and denazify the place.
What Russia will actually do and what some nato states believe Russia will do are two different things. Perception is important - Russia may have extremely potent deterrence but the more time passes the less believable it is. And frankly I personally think the swedes/finns/baltics/germans/Danes acting in unison would be able to close it no problem, and Russia won't do anytning. And I think thats where we are heading
"Russia may have extremely potent deterrence but the more time passes the less believable it is. And frankly I personally think the swedes/finns/baltics/germans/Danes acting in unison would be able to close it no problem"
Whoa, there, dreaming up nonsense and then agreeing with yourself is not the same as reality.
"less believable" ? What, exactly, about a Sukhoi-35 armed to the teeth making an attack run at Estonia's itty-bitty bathtub toys is not believable? Like what, you need to actually be on the bridges of those boats to smell the shit they unloaded in their pants to grasp how they felt about the certain death headed their way?
"I personally think the swedes/finns/baltics/germans/Danes acting in unison would be able to close it no problem" OK, so you're delusional, thinking that the insignificant forces the Swedes (nice handbags, guys), the Finns (near zero naval assets), the Baltics (maybe could take on a second rate yacht club... but just maybe), the Germans (very useful for target practice) and the Danes (still waiting for their sex change operations before they can buy completely new handbags...) can muster will at any point of conflict be able to stand up to the Russian military.
Russia's not fucking around with those bozos. If they send assets at a Russian vessel, those assets will die, for sure, and if they push back Russia will annihilate the bases from which they launched. Your delusional comment thinks that a bunch of toy navies are going to have "no problem" winning against a battle-hardened Russian military. That's nuts.
G'day John, you replied to Bash and offered the sukhoi fly over but where is the sukhoi for the daily deaths in Russia from hohols missiles/drones. If my wife and kids are killed because the hohols still are killing Russians three years later will I be happy about the sukhoi flying over the Baltic Sea protecting the oligarchs oil. If the Kremlin is powerful and strategic then what happens when the Caucasus explodes due to an inter oligarchical spat or 5d chess move in Yekaterinburg 10 plus years too late.
We all want a multipolar world but if courtesy faces dajjal will he demur and feel pity.
"where is the sukhoi for the daily deaths in Russia from hohols missiles/drones."
"Daily deaths in Russia?" Nonsense. There are occasional deaths in Russia from random drone strikes against civilian targets, like the kid who got killed on a beach in Kursk. Sad, but inevitable with a conflict like this going on. They are not remotely comparable to the hundreds of thousands of Kiev's men Russia has killed.
""where is the sukhoi"? It's been dropping 500 kg to 3000+ kg FABs to wipe out Kiev's manpower. Where have you been that you didn't know that was going on?
By the way, don't be a cretin. It's not the "oligarch's" oil, it's Russia's oil and it's part of Russia's vast export earnings that have helped transform Russia into the truly wonderful place it is to live.
"What happens next time when that Su-35 is confronted by NATO F-35s?"
Easy. The F-35s die. No hesitation, no F-35 survivors.
Russia doesn't bluff. It didn't send that Su-35 against NATO ships as a show of force. Russia doesn't do Western bullshit, like "shows of force." Instead, Russia uses real force: it sent that Su-35 weapons free to kill those ships if they didn't back off.
Killing those ships, even tiny bathtub toys like the Estonian navy uses, means killing a lot more NATO nazi-lovers than just the single nazi-lover piloting an F-35. Russia sent that Su-35 to kill, marking the first time Russia has openly sent military force to kill masses of NATO personnel (adding to the many times Russia has deliberately killed masses of NATO personnel in Ukraine, like when they killed 60+ French special forces operators and when Russia killed the entire Swedish AWACs expert core).
Add to that, F-35s are about the shittiest air to air combat platform flown since WWII. About the only way they could be made any worse is if NATO retrofits their helmet-mounted displays to use braille as their user interface.
F-35's have one mission they do very well: transfer over a trillion bucks from taxpaying suckers to Western military industrial complexes and their friends. Their military roles are down to two roles:
1) Beating up on adversaries who can't shoot back, and
2) Being missile carriers, firing stand-off ground-attack missiles against non-peer adversaries from a range where they are far enough away from the adversary they don't have to defend themselves against real threats.
Neither of those cases is combat with Russia, which has no problem defeating the fake "stealth" used on F-35s and shooting them down from long ranges. Put an F-35 up against a Su-35 and the F-35 will die, every time.
You're hallucinating. Putin never "threatened the West". He simply gave the US an ultimatum that if they didn't back off attacks on Donbass Russia would invade and would de-nazify Ukraine. That's exactly what Russia did. No bluff.
There wasn't even "back channel" talks with the US at the time. The US simply blew off Russia's ultimatum without replying to it, either formally or informally.
Later on, when the US used back channels to threaten Russia it would go "all in" on Ukraine, Russia called the US's bluff. Russia's response was simply, "Do what you have to do. Whatever you send to Kiev we will destroy." That's exactly what Russia has done. No bluff.
Given limited number of them, low aircraft availability due to high maintenance failure, low mean time between repairs, parts constraints and lack of stock of weapons for the platform, the F-35 is a very short carnival show. So, that's what's going to happen.
"Frustrated that more progress has not been made." So the US wants Russia to speed up too?
Oh, oops yeah progress towards another time out so Ukraine can change their diaper and get more cookies. Macron literally promised to invade/reinforce Ukraine "when" there is a ceasefire.
So the elite plan for the world boils down this way. All our spoiled, lazy, stupid extravagantly wealthy Western leaders will lose ww3 the way the Nazis lost 2.
In another 75 years or so we'll switch all the insignia, and play it again Sam. Meanwhile the money people will get yet another reset and profit massively no matter who "loses".
Most of the world is already on the way to ruin without or without Russia's hesitancy but a strong Russia could ameliorate the situation before the accident happens.
Because Russia is trying not to start WW3. It would be easy for him to strike NATO countries; let's hope he doesn't feel it necessary to escalate to that point.
That makes no sense. There is no such thing as a covert drone strike, and no point to it if there was. If we didn't know who did it, we wouldn't know who was trying to back us off.
The SBU was under no obligation to take credit for it, and it likely wasn't even the SBU that did it, they just openly claimed it so that the Mossad/Mi-6/CIA triangle can maintain the pretense it had nothing to do with it.
Yes. Totally. I'm American and I read CIA talking points from Davos dipshits for breakfast.
America is over. It was digested and shit out by demonic despots in boardrooms for the transnational cartel killers by Mossad and people going between like Epstein using the United Nations and Swiss Bank of International Swindlements as cover
Also, whoever starts WW3 first may not win at the end of it in any meaningful sense, but whoever is on the receiving end of the first strike will certainly lose.
And right now Russia is the overwhelming favorite for being on the receiving end.
That also makes no sense. Both sides have enough hidden nukes that a counter strike, no matter how successful the other sides' first strike, would end civilization.
Which is why the primary purpose of the nukes is as a deterrent.
But if you get attacked regardless, deterrence will have failed, and you will certainly lose.
Also, there are certain scenarios under which one side escapes sufficiently intact to claim "victory". That is almost invariably the side that strikes first.
So we're is your repository to hide out and not play the game No1?
If you are talking nuke game the big bouffant won't let you demur and be shy he will prod and prod until you submit or respond as the way has already been ordained by the Zionists et al.
You are one of the most ignorant retards I've come across on the internet in the past month.
The top minds and a significant chunk of the world's GDP for several generations went into figuring out how a first strike wouldn't negate a nations' ability to perform an annihilating counter-strike. Submarines, mobile missile launchers, underground bunkers, etc. etc.
If he is a "most ignorant retard", I will let it to the likes of you to figure what the 2-3 people who engaged him, and ended up averting his questions or replying them with ad hominems may be.
We want the Russians to take out the U.N. where the maggot class is pulling the strings for global extermination.
They put Klaus Schwab in charge, an actual Nazi to let it be known that the New World Order is going to create permanent enslaved people worldwide by digital dictatorahip. COVID was your global extermination model..injections wiped out five million Americans. Kiwis, Japanese, prove your militaries are not sovereign. Diligently building the cage for the digital exterminators of the future.
We need a dictator. And maybe Putin wants his legacy to be for the Russian people not the maggot class.
Brussels being bombed would be ideal. London, DC and Carney Castle in Ottawa need to go.
Macron and his husband cannot keep their country from Civil War.
Let the people have a champion. We need one. And we need to rally behind them.
It is not Trump. NY City is going to be openly run by a terrorist.
Syria and Gaza is the plan for the planet. These are not leaders. These are generational failures who killed off competion. The lowest IQ unsophisticated drooling elite in the history of the world.
Really can't wait for the thermal flash can you? Totally wont have to pay your credit card then, ay? I live here and things are getting real. Nobody wanted Iran to do another wave and then another thereby ensuring the end of the baby-killers but they got nukes. Takes some time to set up those Zircons or whatever the Chicom(tm) equivalent. Believe me the Russians wont soon be forgetting the sight of German MBTs burning on the steps of Kursk 2025 style.. Wont be long before the Fins and my stupid ass ancestors in Norway realize USA makes a big mess and runs away. But you knew all that.
If Russia wasn't ready and is now buying time to get fully ready, I can accept that as an argument.
The problems are that:
1) There is nothing in the Kremlin's behavior to suggest that
2) Whose job was it to be already ready before this all started?
Puti had been in power for only, let's check the numbers... 23 years already.
Stalin in 1929 said publicly "We have a decade to catch up or we will be crushed in the coming big war". And he spent the next decade following up on those words.
It was known with reasonable certainty there will be a big US+Europe war against Russia one day already circa '95 or so, little doubt was left about it after 1997 and the first NATO expansion, and absolutely none after the war on Yugoslavia in 1999 and the ABM treaty being torn down in 2001.
>Rus preemptive nuclear strike on NATO bases in EU?
This is the winning move here.
Physically eliminate the US from Eurasia (not just the EU), dare them to strike at you directly.
Thus you take away forward deployment and their greatest advantage.
If they are rational, this is where they back down.
If they are not, they were going to strike first regardless.
And then you lose by the mere fact of that having happened.
The current turn-the-other-cheek, suck-up-to-daddy, hope-that-if-you-ignore-the-problem-sufficiently-stubbornly-it-will-go-away-on-its own (yeah, that played so well in Ukraine, didn't it?) "strategy" is a recipe for guaranteed total defeat.
So if they are not rational and are going to strike first, you absolutely MUST pre-empt them and at least take away the forward deployment advantage, and disarm them as much as possible so that you have to absorb as little of a first strike. as possible
There is no winning move here that involves sitting and waiting for the first strike.
The only excuse for the current behavior is if huge numbers of S-500s and A-235s are being secretly pumped out with the goal of shooting down as much of the US attack as possible and they are buying time for that rollout to advance sufficiently.
I can see GM’s logic. It’s street fighting logic. Nevertheless he tends to narrow down his field of vision substantially.
The west (I’d say the neoliberal system and ultimately the capitalist system-which opens up a world of questions for the post American world) is running out of road, it’s bleeding out, dying, albeit very slowly. Yes, it’s still capable of doing untold damage while it hasn’t reached the end.
Yet decapitating it using practically untested means (Hiroshima and Nagasaki don’t help here, conditions are too different) will produce consequences that are too uncertain for the winner. They are uncharted waters.
So the Russians are choosing prolonged suffering over winning tomorrow and opening some unknown Pandora’s box. But win they will, cause it’s the whole global south war ultimately. In the same way Russia and China won’t let Iran fail the same can be said of China helping Russia if it comes to that. But yes, I tend to agree there are ways and means.
"The west (I’d say the neoliberal system and ultimately the capitalist system-which opens up a world of questions for the post American world) is running out of road, it’s bleeding out, dying, albeit very slowly. "
To expand on your point CCG, Alex Krainer in this interview with Nima explores how the Pakistani recent defeat of the Indian Air Force was another blow against the West. Are you going to buy the failed Indian-French jets going forward or the successful Chinese jets? Hmm...Israel was hoping for a quick victory over the Muslim Pakistanis. FAFO.
just hit the illegal jew state... make jews the world over (kushner, appelbaum, soros, blinken, netenyahu, etc., start to have accidents... watch how the jew wars start to calm down...
Despite the critique you are getting on this site, there is a cautionary tale to be observed.
The German speaking Europeans on here may recall the book/play "The Arsonists" (also known as "Biedermann und die Brandstifter" or "The Firebugs") by Max Frisch; it is a satirical play about a seemingly upstanding businessman named Biedermann who becomes an accomplice to arsonists. The plot centers around Biedermann's naive and complacent nature, which leads him to unwittingly invite two men, Schmitz and Eisenring, into his home. The two, are under the guise of traveling salesmen. Despite growing suspicions and evidence, including the storage of gasoline drums in his attic, Biedermann refuses to believe the men are arsonists and even assists them in their destructive plans. The play serves as a cautionary tale about the dangers of complacency and the ease with which evil can infiltrate a society that is too willing to ignore warning signs.
This kindergarden nonsense of who can hit harder and who's looking 'weak' is so banal, so childish and stupid.
Where is the strategic note in your comments? I only see tactical cries for short sighted actions and no assessment of potential damage done to civilian life also.
Yes Russia had to get over some blows unfortunately but it's minor in the whole picture of the situation. Is it tragic, no doubt about it.
The western mindset of force by proxy, force by soft power and economic coercion exposes the West to the rest of the world as weak, sneaky, mean, untrustworthy, vile and also afraid, in panic and vulnerable. And for the rest of the world Ukraine is not the center of their concerns.
Why is Russia stupid and has to play the game the west wants to impose on it?
One Oreshnik on the german Reichstag? What would be the value of such an action?
That the West has come to Russias doorstep and it's hostility towards Russia, I don't think that the Russians have not noticed.
That Ukraine is NATO's proxy should be known to russian leaders and people by now as well, don't you agree?
Putin did an enormous job during his presidency in general, bringing Russia back to a mighty diplomatic power, expanding the life time of the common Russian, giving them an industrial and commercial base they can be proud of again. Plus a military that is able to defend the country.
I am truly grateful that Russia is not lead by someone like you, otherwise we'd be all gone already in an nuclear inferno and if one was still alive, they'd envy the dead.
>One Oreshnik on the german Reichstag? What would be the value of such an action?
One conventional Oreshnik won't do much, that is correct. But two hundred of them with 36 nuclear MIRVs each will solve a lot of problems.
>Putin did an enormous job during his presidency in general,
No, he wasted 15 years maintaining the Yeltsin system, and then was forced kicking and screaming by Western aggression into an reindustrialization and on-shoring campaign, which was still carried out extremely incompetently.
A Stalin was needed to save the country, with 4-5 million people physically exterminated and expelled in order to eliminate corruption and Western infiltration, and iron discipline reimposed in general. What did we get? A largely spineless little bureaucrat, much more concerned with the profits of his Jewish oligarch buddies than saving the country.
>bringing Russia back to a mighty diplomatic power
Is that why Russia just lost the Southern Caucasus, without a fight, and Central Asia is turning it against it too? Because it is a "mighty diplomatic power"? Please...
>expanding the life time of the common Russian
This was only a recovery back to Soviet standards.
But on balance it was a net negative, because it deeply corroded society -- where once stood the serious disciplined Soviet man now you have a spoiled Western consumerist brat.
>giving them an industrial and commercial base they can be proud of again.
Nothing remotely close to what was required in the situation.
>Plus a military that is able to defend the country.
The military isn't doing much defending though. The country is bombed and attacked daily and the source of those attacks remains untouched.
"One conventional Oreshnik won't do much, that is correct. But two hundred of them with 36 nuclear MIRVs each will solve a lot of problems."
Besides you only diminish every argument I brought up, you are talking crazy sh*t again. Do you have even the slightest idea what 200 times 36 nuclear means? Europe would no longer exist plus 700 million people dead or dying.
I suggest you look for professional help, this level of death wish can't be healthy, sorry to have bring it to you this way.
For the rest I spare myself and the rest of the readers a response since I see no value in arguing against a man with a mindset that leaves no room for nuance, profound insight, let alone self doubt to a certain degree.
As I see it, you remind me of Trump in another way - the intention might be there but your own personality keeps you from serious assessments, doing the required strategic thinking and just talking by 'feeling' or imagination of what should be right to do.
>Do you have even the slightest idea what 200 times 36 nuclear means? Europe would no longer exist plus 700 million people dead or dying.
Do you have any understanding of the concept of yield?
"720 nukes" can both completely sterilize Europe or do practically no damage at all, it all depends on what kind of nukes.
The Oreshnik throw weight is not sufficient for 36 megaton-range warheads (and even 720 1-Mt warheads won't kill all 700 million people in Europe, you need more than that).
But 720 50-kt to 100-kt warheads are enough to completely neutralize NATO in Europe while killing only a few tens of millions at most as collateral damage due to a lot of bases being embedded in civilian areas.
Yeah John that's what happened to the Indian natiions and it has been the answer ever since and it came from a small God fearing sect from across the other side of the world. Think Trumps actions in negotiations with Iran is exactly what happened to the Indians, is it a coincidence.
In a street fight do you wait till after the knock out punch before action. I do not have knowledge of nuclear war heads and size, tactical nuclear strikes for example but GM obviously does. In Korea the US wanted to use nuclear weapons but just devastated North Korea anyway and look at the nation of North Korea today did it create a subservient nation?
Will anything make the US a subservient nations to Russia which is what a Russian like GM is attempting to explain to you as the US has a death wish for Russia.
Any leniency shown by Russia is an expression of weakness to a neocon as GM is attempting to show and uses historic evidence re Stalin.
>Any leniency shown by Russia is an expression of weakness to a neocon as GM is attempting to show and uses historic evidence re Stalin.
The thing about the neocons that they apparently do not understand in Moscow is that once you are on their list of countries slated for destruction, there is no getting off it until you are destroyed. These people are absolutely relentless.
Remember the "seven countries in five years"? Well, it took longer than that, but nevertheless they were all destroyed indeed, except for Iran, but Iran's turn finally came this year too.
The only country that they have backed off a bit from is North Korea. Because Kim acquired a deterrent and is credible with his threats to use it, while making sure his society is completely isolated from corrosive Western influence and thus cannot be destroyed from within. But be assured, the moment they can encircle him sufficiently with point blank-range strike assets and boost-phase interceptors that work, he will be on the menu too.
The other way to force the neocons to leave you alone is to actually destroy them.
Those are your only two options.
Yet Moscow wants to make yet another shitty deal. So does Tehran.
And good that you bring up what happened to native American tribes, because it is the exact same playbook used on them that is being used now too. Start a war, end it when it starts going against you, sign treaties you have no intention to honor, prepare for the next war, stab them in the back when you are ready for it, rinse and repeat all the way to the very successful genocide of the inhabitants of 19 million square kilometers of land in North America. And in Australia they didn't even bothered much with treaties because the Aboriginals there were too weak to resist meaningfully, they just directly killed them all off.
Lessons from history that everybody should know, but the geniuses in Moscow apparently either don't know or want to ignore.
Because it was. It was 12 Tu-95MS and Tu-22M3 fully burned down to ashes, plus another dozen or so that will be in repairs for a while.
And the goal was to destroy everything. Plus all the AWACS planes. That is what the operation was set up to do. Pure blind luck saved the rest of the planes.
Is this a joke? If there were serious losses, remember, the planes are parked in the open on a known airfield; we would know about this. As Simplicius points out again and again, whenever a satellite image helps Western propaganda, you see a high-resolution picture of the damage—otherwise it is some very low-grade picture, or if there is nothing to show, as in our case, no picture at all. I am sure Simplicius made a very serious net search for pictures and did not find one; otherwise, he would have posted it. But feel free to post your sources!
Where is BDA of 3 years of strikes on Ukraine Werner? Is this a joke? No one knows what damage is being sustained in Ukraine even fuzzy satellite pictures are lacking. Yet one strike in Russia is definitively portrayed and you accept it as gospel from the belief of one source.
Ukrainian trains apparently still run and the power is still there so the people don't leave on mass and hit western Europe which would surely help Russia achieve its political goals. That apparently is 5d chess in action.
Quite typical that you are still raving about a Ukrainian "peremoga" 12 days ago. While it may reveal flaws in Russian AD, the damage, as to assess from the video, appears insignificant beyond the lamentable human losses, no secondary explosion, limited size of affected area, seems they hit a canteen or dorm.
Compare with latest attacks on Kiev or Odessa, few casualties, mainly injured, but extreme fires and secondary explosions over all of the city or port area, Your "Russia is losing" is ridiculous.
What is the BDA Aqua, there has been 3 years of similar geewhiz amazing strikes but still no BDA and no mass emigration to western Europe so are they sooo devastating. Trump told you Iran's nuclear was absolutely destroyed, what happened I wonder??
No mass emigration? Give me a break. Even official Ukrainian figures report no more that 24 million Ukrainians left, and that figure is still doubtful. Last year, 300k male pupils under 18 had left the country and missed at school opening. If they start seriously with female mobilization, before that, millons of women will be gone, too.
Yes that is all true what you said but when did that happen, last week. I was referring to the supposed increase in amazing numbers of strikes by RF in the last 10 days maybe and where is the mass emigration in the last week in the face of such supposed huge nightly strikes with Kiev burning like Dresden supposedly but obviously no BDA as usual.
In fact, Kiev did not burn like Dresden, or Hamburg, not even like Cologne or Duesseldorf in WWII. The aim there was dehousing, destroying residential areas, without much regard of civilian lives. Displacing the workforce was the aim, total civilian death toll by air war about 300k.
(Get me right, that was covered by rules of war at those times, as Germany had refuted an aerial war convention similar to the Hague land war convention in 1932 and later due to their Luftwaffe rearmament. WWII air war was cruel, but had some legitimacy. Summary bombing got banned by Geneva conventions in 1947, not that the USA ever respected that, not in Korea, in Vietnam, or elsewhere).
Dresden cost about 25k dead, Hamburg over a year earlier about 30k, the Rhineland cities some 3k each etc.
Impressively burning Kiev 2 days ago reported 23 injured.
Aqua I was being sarcastic in response to the video showing fires in Kiev which is supposed to indicate the ferocity of the attack but Kiev seems to continue functioning and fighting on even after all these huge or massive strikes and no one knows what damage is being incurred or if anything significant is destroyed from 3 years of strikes on Ukraine, but in 5d chess unknown machinations occur as part of the plan in the not a war against a Western adversory determined to destroy or Balkanize Russia whilst Russia gently continues to avoid too much chaos or disruption to the civilian population etc.
The reason why there are drone strikes moving west to east and striking targets in Russia but no strikes moving east to west striking targets in Europe or America is that we are not in WWIII (yet).
Some of us are hoping to prevent it.
This war, like all wars has some rules, call them rituals or legal fictions if you like.
Even Genghis Khan had some rules (Surrender now and I just enslave you but won't kill you, don't surrender now and I will kill absolutely everything except for your horses).
The legal fiction operating here is that the West is not at war with Russia and is merely assisting Ukraine in defending itself. It's all through the propaganda, western soldiers fighting in Ukraine are all called EX-military volunteers DEFENDING against PUTIN'S forces not American or European military forces fighting the Russian army. All of this has to be done under the fig leaf of plausible deniability. Once that fig leaf is gone then it has to be WWIII.
A gunpowder factory has a mysterious fire, that COULD be electrical. A government minister is found dead in his car with a bullet in his brain and a pistol in his hand, that COULD be suicide, let's keep it at that level.
Once a drone flies in over the Atlantic ocean or North sea and blows up a factory or government office block then it has to be escalated to the next level. Perhaps you want that and believe the best answer is always more killings but there's a reason why we don't crucify prisoners on the roadside or have their commanders ritualistically strangled on the front steps of the capitol building anymore. It's not that it can't be effective, it was very effective for the Romans, but if you do it then the opposition has to respond in kind.
>[...]we are not in WWIII (yet). Some of us are hoping to prevent it.
It is too late for that, we are in WWIII. The question then is what is the balance of forces.
And I am going to my basic Lanchester's equations and drawing the very simple conclusion that if A is hitting B while B is not hitting A at all, then obviously B is losing.
Sure, you can make the argument that if B is also building up forces to above what it had originally and it is taking losses at a rate smaller than the rate of its build up and on balance it is building up forces faster than A is, then B is doing better.
But that falls apart the moment the rate at which A is inflicting losses on B goes up sufficiently.
With current Kremlin policy this, if it has not already happened, will happen with absolute certainty in the not too distant future.
" quote- if the US is a so pathetic and weak, why are military-industrial facilities being hit by drones in Izhevsk, 1,400 km from Ukraine, while not a single drone or missile has hit anything in the continental US or even Europe?"
Because the Russians do not need to escalate this war to win it. And because this sort of escalation and Russia's allies bouncing it into some panicky unfavourable cease fire deal, is precisely what Russia does not want.
As to why Russia is not destroying NATO stuff, it is, GM, including higher value personnel, and I assume you know that. This is just not being reported at all in the west, allowing you space to post what you are posting. But it is why Trump is throwing a tantrum right now.
How many strategic bombers do you think Russia has?
It stopped building them when the USSR collapsed and with immense effort it managed to restart Tu-160 production only in the last few years, of which it has built a grand total of 2-3 new ones so far.
yeah- it fits. Trump's s disgrace. You know - I think he's under mind control - remember Britney Spears ? And his controller is Netanyahu. That's why he comes to the WH so often. It expains everything. Trump's really weird behavior all the time now. He didn't use to be so weird. When he was interviewed on 9/11 he made sense. Netanyahu has everyone under his mind control I heard him talking at that party they had the other night - and asked about his plans for the Gazans. The whole room was filled with logic. Not even the words but just the atmosphere. I think Net is the great Satan
In fact, Netanyahu is thee WH owner and Trump is the butler. He acts like a Butler. After Epstein, he is finnished together with his Bongino crew. 6 months, that was it.
yeah - Net's got them all under his command. Its eerie. Such a slick operator. I think he might be well, it sounds crazy but he seems more powerful than they are. Like when he talks - especially to the inner circle like at that dinner party - and even Orban acts like a child around him. He's got them under mind control. And its not technological. Its on a psychic level or even a spiritual level. And his wife ! Did you see that video that made the rounds yesterday of her and Net getting out of the limo and Trump meeting them ? She looked up at Trump and the videographer captured her eyes and her expression - Truly Truly demonic. I wish I'd saved that video Its buried now on somebody's page.
He's done the same to his countrymen. The average Israeli (at least the ones I've met) used to be quite affable - almost hippies. Now they're psychotic.
the Nakba itself was the same as him. But those Kabulzes - ( sp? ) were populated by ignorant young people. I'm glad I never went to one. There is a certain type of psychopathy that is learned. Just watch the employees at slaughter houses and you see it - also in the medical industry using animals. Its revolting...but a human failing. But watching Orban in that recent episode where he pulled Hungary out of the ICC and then during the presser the way he sat so quiet beside the Devil himself. Its mind control
its not just Trump - did you see Orban sitting quietly and obediently beside Netayahu during a press conference in Hungary ? He felt completely safe in Net's presence, even with the guy being a genocider. Orban was under mind control. That's the modern way to put what was apparent.
Isn't the story no one buys Russian energy anyway so what will more sanctions do. It is all bullshit, where do all the ghost fleet tankers go and will the sanctions stop them sailing?
BREAKING Trump says US allies will pay for Ukraine weapons
US President added that the deal was reached at a NATO summit last month
NEW YORK, July 11. /TASS/. US allies agreed to pay for American arms supplies to Ukraine, US President Donald Trump said.
"We’re sending weapons to NATO, and NATO is paying for those weapons, 100%. So what we’re doing is the weapons that are going out are going to NATO, and then NATO is going to be giving those weapons [to Ukraine], and NATO is paying for those weapons," he said in an interview with NBC News.
He added that the deal was reached at a NATO summit last month.
BREAKING WAR DECLARATION MONDAY 14TH
Trump says he will make ‘major statement’ on Russia on July 14
"I’m disappointed in Russia, but we’ll see what happens over the next couple of weeks," US President said
NEW YORK, July 11. /TASS/. US President Donald Trump said in an interview with NBC News that he plans to make a major statement on Russia on Monday.
"I think I’ll have a major statement to make on Russia on Monday," he said, declining to elaborate. "I’m disappointed in Russia, but we’ll see what happens over the next couple of weeks.".
tass source
BREAKING
Anti-Russian sanctions
11 Jul, 03:50
Trump says Russia sanctions bill leaves it up to him whether to impose them
"It’s a bill that the Senate is passing that very respectfully lets the president do whatever he wants," US leader noted
NEW YORK, July 11. /TASS/. US President Donald Trump said the decision whether to impose sanctions on Russia will rest with him under the bill that Congress aims to pass.
"They’re going to pass a very major and very biting sanctions bill, but it’s up to the president as to whether or not he wants to exercise it," the US president said in an interview with NBC News. "It’s a bill that the Senate is passing that very respectfully lets the president do whatever he wants, as you know."
Trump said on July 8 that he could greenlight the bill’s consideration by Congress.
The bill was introduced in early April by a bipartisan group of senators led by Lindsey Graham, a Republican representing South Carolina (included on Russia’s list of terrorists and extremists) and Richard Blumenthal, a Democrat representing Connecticut. The proposal provides for such measures as secondary sanctions against Russia’s trading partners, for example, tariffs of 500% on imports to the US from countries that purchase oil, gas, uranium and other goods from Russia.
Russian Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Maria Zakharova on July 2 said the US should realize that sanctions against Russian are not working and backfire against the countries that push for imposing them.
He's disappointed in Russia is he? That's nothing to how most Americans feel about him. Fell for it Again is the general mood. When people are tricked they turn nastier than when they never supported him.
Putin once again miscalculated, thinking that Trump would be someone he could cut a deal with, wasting his time with 2 day ceasefires and time with Witcoff and phone calls with Trump and so on
In the end the only language that matters is the reality on the ground, and that reality is as follows:
- barely any frontline change. Casual map view from today and a year or two ago looks the same
- no price paid by western assistance. All planes, drones, satellites continue unmolested. All shipments make it thru
- Ukraine does launch offensive operations. And they succeed. Russian balance is stronger but the AFU is not a defeated force by any measure
- no shift in stance from russian so called allies
So yes Trump is going to ratchet things up. And, eventually, and this is a certainty, the ammo shortages and production capacity will be solved. Maybe not artillery shells, but tens of thousands of ~300km drones? They're coming.
Whoever is not telling you that Putin is in effect begging to surrender with the current proposal is not a serious analyst.
The minimal winning condition for Russia is the end of Ukrainian statehood altogether.
But obviously "four oblasts" (plus no real guarantees about what happens with the rest) is very far away from that. So Putin's starting offer is effectively something only slightly short of total Russia surrender.
P.S. A real win for Russia is no US nukes in Europe and all NATO infrastructure being moved outside the former Warsaw Pact, and now Scandinavia too. What was stated in December 2021. None of that is even mentioned anymore.
P.P.S. Ukraine is launching offensive operations indeed. The Russian Sumy incursion has been stopped and is now being reversed, which somehow nobody is commenting on.
I hope simplicius would give what you said about Sumy some thought in his next article.
However GM, consider that russian warfare is like the sea: ebb and flood. When the going gets though, just retreat and live to fight another day (while attritining your enemy in the process)
Not happening. Russia is interested in a long war to break both NATO and the EU. This time Germany will be put near extinction as a historical fact. They narrowly scaped dismemberment after WWII. This time is 4 real.
I agree that the front lines didn't change very much in Ukraine since a year ago. However, the realities did change quite a lot.
The Ukr people are increasingly against forceful enrollment (giving out coordinates to those recruitment centers), Ru can often just roll through villages, the amount of strikes is increasing since a year ago. So all in all, the tempo is picking up.
Remember, a war of attrition is not a linear curve. It's exponential!
Brussels, maybe. Hard to know whether it'd really help though. The Big Boss, the actual big boss or bosses, have probably never been to the branch office.
I worked in restructuring enterprises, and I have seen a lot of de-industrialization. I see no way that the ammo shortages and production capacity will get solved. At the very moment, the production is slowing down, because after a first boost and overworking the human and technical resources, we see the downturn (not at least Simplicius wrote about this). There is no workforce from related sectors that can be sent to the military industry. And worse, there are millions of regulations and a lot of people that were only employed to enforce these regulations. So please, give some information on why and where you see a comeback of Western industry and the needed blue-collar workforce.
Hi, thank you for your comment. The enterprise which I own/operate is on the other side of the de-industrialization point i.e. production leaving EU/US coming to me. So I am 100% on board with what you are saying. Conventional munitions produced the "old way" are indeed an intractable problem, and so I don't disagree that these are going to be an issue. However, there is very significant activity taking place in areas such as long range "cruise missile drones", as well as modern munitions. There is significant innovation and/or disruption from the VC-types in defense industries, and Ukraine is a proving ground for a lot of new technology. Also there is a lot of production taking place in 3rd countries eg Rheinemetall in SA. The longer this war goes on, the more the fiction of western arms production becomes reality.
I have watched the basic production of energetic materials absolutely required for weapons systems more and more disappear from territories of the USA over the last several decades. Because, we can subcontract that stuff out?!
We are down to ONE plant making double or triple based propellants. ONE plant making RDX/HMX. NO US plants were making TNT (still absolutely required for MANY systems!) between 1984 and 2024, there is ONE start up level TNT plant now ca. 2025, doing poorly and having "teething issues". ONE plant in USA is making propellant grade high nitrogen nitrocellulose. ONE plant in USA is making good old fashioned black powder, still required for igniter and expeller charges in many military systems- Except when it blows up and goes out of production for months at a time.
Bean counters with MBAs focussed on earning millions in stock options from "economizing" and arbitraging away legacy industries are not who we need to run planning for investments in critical defense infrastructure, M'kay?
"It seems under Trump America continues its Dionysian humiliation ritual. Either that or its transformation into some kind of kitschy, campy, post-capitalist dystopian weapons bazaar-cum-casino resort."
Bravo, if we can't stop the collapse of the west, we can at least be entertained by appropriately amusing prose.
When you strip the drama out of it, what’s really happening here is Washington quietly acknowledging that its coercive tools just don’t pack the same punch anymore, at least not when aimed at a state like Russia that’s already spent a decade hardening itself against them.
The sanctions aren’t so much designed to work in any strategic sense as they are meant to signal resolve, especially for domestic audiences. But the math doesn’t lie: if Russia’s still selling energy, still escorting tankers through contested waters, and still building out new military infrastructure on NATO’s doorstep, then all this Western posturing starts to look less like containment and more like noise.
As for the arms package, it’s wild how easily headlines inflate 10 missiles into a “package” that sounds significant. When in reality, those ten projectiles will disappear into the next swarm of Gerans like pebbles into a flood.
Trump’s playing both sides, per usual, showing hawkishness to placate the blob, while leaving enough wiggle room to either pull back or pivot if the costs get too high.
And the whole EU angle, with Sweden’s new naval flex and the insurance games in the Baltic? The goal’s pretty clear: make it as painful and unpredictable as possible to move Russian goods through critical chokepoints. But again, Russia’s already moving with military escorts.
At the end of the day, none of this shifts the fundamental calculus: Russia’s dug in, the West’s burning political capital trying to prop up a failing proxy, and the world outside the NATO bubble’s watching it all with increasing detachment.
Sanctions or not, missile shipments or not, power flows from control of ground, resources, and strategic initiative. Right now, Washington’s short on all three.
A thought occurred to me: Russia is able to fund massive deployments like escorting their non-western-insurred fleet. But is the west? We're all so hugely in depth, we can't pay all those sailor's wages. This might go on for a little bit, but we can't simply pay it for ever. Russia could.
And, it's more bark then bite. Are they really going to stop ships in international waters, or in waters under treaty? Let's see how fast Swedish, danish people around the coast can get their brand new russian passports...
In 2022 the western banks dialed up 20 trillion like it was nothing. We're still feeling the inflation effect from it, it certainly was "transitory" or perhaps "transformative" or "transitional" may have been better adjectives for it, but in any case the 20 trillion wasn't for our benefit...
The headline here is that Trump is recognizing what many in the West already knew:
A peace that allows Russia de-facto control along the current front lines and includes promises from the west that Ukraine will never enter NATO, while also giving Ukraine anything that could legitimately be called "security guarantees", is unacceptable to Putin.
The moment the initial attempt to displace the government in Kyiv failed, the key goal of Putin's strategy has been to stop the flow of western aid to Kyiv. And the best way to achieve that goal was to get a person in the White House who be the most likely to... stop the flow of western aid to Kyiv.
The problem is that while Trump and many of his advisors were ignorant of what terms were acceptable to Putin, they did have clear expectations about what those terms were (see above) for ideological reasons. The failure of diplomacy is a result of that. But learning what the terms actually were doesn't solve the problem, because Trump knows that he won't be able to sell a deal that doesn't give Ukraine security guarantees as a win. Moreover, Trump at this point has probably figured out that Putin was relying on the illusion that he'd accept a deal along the lines above. Because Trump is petulant, and believes himself to be the greatest of dealmakers, this makes him frustrated with Putin. And if Putin were to lose the sympathy of Trump (and thereafter the alt-right), the only people arguing against arming Ukraine would be the fringes of both sides. At that point, everyone from Bernie Sanders to Tommy Tuberville would support escalating aid to Ukraine.
Russia can handle a lot, but it can't handle the military and economic pressure that would result from a US and Europe that are actually determined to aid Ukraine, rather than hedging bets month after month, and year after year, because of Trump, MAGA, and its European counterparts (which has been the situation since the war started)
This arm of Putin's strategy has run its course; the jig is up. But that doesn't make it obvious what happens next: Trump probably can't just drop the Ukraine issue altogether, because he can't have Ukraine collapse on his watch. But that doesn't mean that Trump will just arm Ukraine to the teeth. He'll probably just make clear that aid from the US won't stop after all. Meanwhile, Putin is trying to put the war in cruise control so that the Russian economy can cool off even as he continues to slowly gain territory. It's just not clear yet whether this strategy will work.
The US is having this kind of mental problem the SOF (Sanction of the Mind) and it did actually work for a very long time. Before WWII they were sanctioning the living life out of Japan, hoping to kick some action out of them and they were successful. In the meantime sanction-happy America achieved some major milestones. China became so paranoid that they kept pumping cash into gold instead of US Treasury Bills. Their total gold reserve is already around 30,000 tons. Learning from dark examples and major confiscations of the Russian, Venezuelan examples countries are fearful to accumulate US securities. Germany and Italy, two major gold depositors in the US, are making polite moves to regain their gold reserves. Problem is that nobody has seen that gold some decades ago, they just might have to line up their battle ships at the Israeli beaches if they really want it. And when things really turn nasty America can always engineer the next inflation wave, just like it was done in 2020 and poor little covid was blamed for it.
The sanction policy is just the urgency to desperately stop any economic development in the world until the American industrial base is minimally rebuilt. There is a will to choke the world economy if America cant loot it as usual.
That piece is certainly part of the whole puzzle. When we dig a few levels deeper we find a major US deindustrialization project driven by greed and a completely misguided geopolitical and domestic policy wreck.
Especially green bureaucracy. If we survive all this, one of the big questions historians will ask is why Germany, the European economic powerhouse, willingly chose to deindustrialise itself and destroy its economy for a non-existent climate issue?
deliberately. perhaps the bankers decided it would be more profitable to move the powerhouse industries somewhere else. not only Merz, being an investment banker, but even AfD's Alice Weidel has a background in banking - https://www.ft.com/content/221911c1-bca0-4bfe-aa99-5950033bd31c ....and they're bound to know all about it :-((
Nothing extraordinary there. They are just making an attempt to catch up with US standards:
The IRS tax code itself, meaning the literal statutes passed by Congress (Title 26 of the U.S. Code), is around 6,871 pages.
However, the complete body of federal tax law extends beyond the tax code to include tax regulations, revenue rulings, court decisions, and other interpretations published by the Treasury and the IRS.
If all of these materials are included, the length of the tax code rises to approximately 75,000 pages.
>After failing to coerce Russia into an unfavorable cessation of hostilities (read: surrender)
The current Russian proposal is effectively begging to surrender.
Another reminder that we have to go back to regularly -- the minimal Russian winning condition is end of Ukrainian statehood altogether, complete military control over the territory, and then de-Ukrainization.
Is that what Putin is demanding? No, it is something very, very far from that.
Very true and unsettling. Neither side, Pro-russians or NATO-fans, even discuss the Kreml goals for the SMO. Not a word. If you look at them they are timid and so easy to swallow for both Ukrainians and USs/NATO-warhaks. Putin really left is neck open. He wished them to see how ”friendly” Russia is.
But not discussing it or contemplating is evidence enough that US/NATO:s goal is Russias destruction. And Putin could be soon in the same company as Assad and Khamenei. Oh, he already is…
Agree. The Monday 14th Doomsday speech will threaten Russia with all possible things. And Trump will give a 14 day ultimatum for Putin to settle a ceasefire. By 24th July his patience is stretched enough and he will launch all his ”might” (which equals to nothing at all).
Never interrupt an enemy when the enemy is making mistakes. The longer the SMO takes, the more the so-called Global South shifts towards BRICS. Remember all the countries where the West (especially France) was extradited? Could these African governments have done this without the West being soaked into the SMO and all the damage the leaders do to their countries by sanctions? Russia is not drowning in debt or freshly printed money; the West is. Russia is not running low on weapons; the West is. The Iran affair would have been much more intense if Israel (=the West) could have received more missiles and bombs. The de-dollarization is slowly but steadily moving forward. There are a lot of reasons for Russia to fight on with some breaks applied and a lot of reasons for China to appreciate this.
Every day the Russians drag this out is an extra day for Trump to strengthen their position. Witness his psychotic letter to Lula. That will only push Brazil even more firmly into the midst of BRICS. Trump is the gift that keeps on giving.
The usual -- if the US is a so pathetic and weak, why are military-industrial facilities being hit by drones in Izhevsk, 1,400 km from Ukraine, while not a single drone or missile has hit anything in the continental US or even Europe?
And why was 20% of Russian strategic aviation destroyed on June 1st, plus all the figher jets destroyed on the ground in various other airfields, but not a single US plane has been destroyed by Russia in four years?
Who is winning when the exchange ratio is non-zero to zero?
This is exactly why the baltic is on the verge of being closed. Because nobody believes Russia will use force to keep it open.
"Because nobody believes Russia will use force to keep it open."
"nobody?" Why is it that the guys who don't pay attention always assume nobody else is smart enough to pay attention?
The last time any nation bordering the Baltic attempted to stop a vessel bearing Russian oil, Russia sent a Sukhoi 35 to wipe out the naval forces attempting the interception if they didn't back off. Those "forces" were part of Estonia's toy navy, so small that a single Sukhoi 35 could wipe out most of Estonia's "navy."
Pay attention to what's going on, Bash. Russia now sends military assets to protect its shipping. They're not bluffing, no more than Russia was bluffing when it warned the US in late 2021 that if the US didn't stop fucking around in Ukraine Russia would invade and denazify the place.
What Russia will actually do and what some nato states believe Russia will do are two different things. Perception is important - Russia may have extremely potent deterrence but the more time passes the less believable it is. And frankly I personally think the swedes/finns/baltics/germans/Danes acting in unison would be able to close it no problem, and Russia won't do anytning. And I think thats where we are heading
"Russia may have extremely potent deterrence but the more time passes the less believable it is. And frankly I personally think the swedes/finns/baltics/germans/Danes acting in unison would be able to close it no problem"
Whoa, there, dreaming up nonsense and then agreeing with yourself is not the same as reality.
"less believable" ? What, exactly, about a Sukhoi-35 armed to the teeth making an attack run at Estonia's itty-bitty bathtub toys is not believable? Like what, you need to actually be on the bridges of those boats to smell the shit they unloaded in their pants to grasp how they felt about the certain death headed their way?
"I personally think the swedes/finns/baltics/germans/Danes acting in unison would be able to close it no problem" OK, so you're delusional, thinking that the insignificant forces the Swedes (nice handbags, guys), the Finns (near zero naval assets), the Baltics (maybe could take on a second rate yacht club... but just maybe), the Germans (very useful for target practice) and the Danes (still waiting for their sex change operations before they can buy completely new handbags...) can muster will at any point of conflict be able to stand up to the Russian military.
Russia's not fucking around with those bozos. If they send assets at a Russian vessel, those assets will die, for sure, and if they push back Russia will annihilate the bases from which they launched. Your delusional comment thinks that a bunch of toy navies are going to have "no problem" winning against a battle-hardened Russian military. That's nuts.
G'day John, you replied to Bash and offered the sukhoi fly over but where is the sukhoi for the daily deaths in Russia from hohols missiles/drones. If my wife and kids are killed because the hohols still are killing Russians three years later will I be happy about the sukhoi flying over the Baltic Sea protecting the oligarchs oil. If the Kremlin is powerful and strategic then what happens when the Caucasus explodes due to an inter oligarchical spat or 5d chess move in Yekaterinburg 10 plus years too late.
We all want a multipolar world but if courtesy faces dajjal will he demur and feel pity.
"where is the sukhoi for the daily deaths in Russia from hohols missiles/drones."
"Daily deaths in Russia?" Nonsense. There are occasional deaths in Russia from random drone strikes against civilian targets, like the kid who got killed on a beach in Kursk. Sad, but inevitable with a conflict like this going on. They are not remotely comparable to the hundreds of thousands of Kiev's men Russia has killed.
""where is the sukhoi"? It's been dropping 500 kg to 3000+ kg FABs to wipe out Kiev's manpower. Where have you been that you didn't know that was going on?
By the way, don't be a cretin. It's not the "oligarch's" oil, it's Russia's oil and it's part of Russia's vast export earnings that have helped transform Russia into the truly wonderful place it is to live.
cocaine is a helluva drug...
What happens next time when that Su-35 is confronted by NATO F-35s?
Will it shoot or will it retreat?
Because that is what is coming next.
"What happens next time when that Su-35 is confronted by NATO F-35s?"
Easy. The F-35s die. No hesitation, no F-35 survivors.
Russia doesn't bluff. It didn't send that Su-35 against NATO ships as a show of force. Russia doesn't do Western bullshit, like "shows of force." Instead, Russia uses real force: it sent that Su-35 weapons free to kill those ships if they didn't back off.
Killing those ships, even tiny bathtub toys like the Estonian navy uses, means killing a lot more NATO nazi-lovers than just the single nazi-lover piloting an F-35. Russia sent that Su-35 to kill, marking the first time Russia has openly sent military force to kill masses of NATO personnel (adding to the many times Russia has deliberately killed masses of NATO personnel in Ukraine, like when they killed 60+ French special forces operators and when Russia killed the entire Swedish AWACs expert core).
Add to that, F-35s are about the shittiest air to air combat platform flown since WWII. About the only way they could be made any worse is if NATO retrofits their helmet-mounted displays to use braille as their user interface.
F-35's have one mission they do very well: transfer over a trillion bucks from taxpaying suckers to Western military industrial complexes and their friends. Their military roles are down to two roles:
1) Beating up on adversaries who can't shoot back, and
2) Being missile carriers, firing stand-off ground-attack missiles against non-peer adversaries from a range where they are far enough away from the adversary they don't have to defend themselves against real threats.
Neither of those cases is combat with Russia, which has no problem defeating the fake "stealth" used on F-35s and shooting them down from long ranges. Put an F-35 up against a Su-35 and the F-35 will die, every time.
>Russia doesn't bluff
Oh, yes, it does. Quite literally.
Putin infamously said "this is not a bluff" when he threatened the West if it meddles into the Ukraine situation at the start of the SMO.
Then the West jumped in it with both feet, and what did Putin do?
Nothing.
His bluff was called.
You're hallucinating. Putin never "threatened the West". He simply gave the US an ultimatum that if they didn't back off attacks on Donbass Russia would invade and would de-nazify Ukraine. That's exactly what Russia did. No bluff.
There wasn't even "back channel" talks with the US at the time. The US simply blew off Russia's ultimatum without replying to it, either formally or informally.
Later on, when the US used back channels to threaten Russia it would go "all in" on Ukraine, Russia called the US's bluff. Russia's response was simply, "Do what you have to do. Whatever you send to Kiev we will destroy." That's exactly what Russia has done. No bluff.
"About the only way they could be made any worse is if NATO retrofits their helmet-mounted displays to use braille as their user interface."
The blind pilot led by blind leadership (or deaf and dumb).
Love the image....What could possibly go wrong!?
Given limited number of them, low aircraft availability due to high maintenance failure, low mean time between repairs, parts constraints and lack of stock of weapons for the platform, the F-35 is a very short carnival show. So, that's what's going to happen.
"Frustrated that more progress has not been made." So the US wants Russia to speed up too?
Oh, oops yeah progress towards another time out so Ukraine can change their diaper and get more cookies. Macron literally promised to invade/reinforce Ukraine "when" there is a ceasefire.
So the elite plan for the world boils down this way. All our spoiled, lazy, stupid extravagantly wealthy Western leaders will lose ww3 the way the Nazis lost 2.
In another 75 years or so we'll switch all the insignia, and play it again Sam. Meanwhile the money people will get yet another reset and profit massively no matter who "loses".
The Russians are reluctant, because they are the only ones who know that once it starts, there will be no let-up until most of the world is ruined.
Most of the world is already on the way to ruin without or without Russia's hesitancy but a strong Russia could ameliorate the situation before the accident happens.
I am sick of hearing 'Russians hesitancy.' The longer the US sends weapons the less they will have.
Every ‘western’ city is a ruin because it is full of subhumans imported by the Jew. Only Russia has blocked this.
So far Did, there is talk of a million Indians in the Urals or Siberian sorry I skipped over the story and not sure where.
Russia is very pro Isreal or should I say Putinyahu is pro Rusreal.
There was an article in RT about that.
they are not rocket scientists. their idea of manliness is a Hollywood movie in which they win.
Because Russia is trying not to start WW3. It would be easy for him to strike NATO countries; let's hope he doesn't feel it necessary to escalate to that point.
It didn't have to be overt.
What prevented them from doing the same drone trick to US bases inside the US?
That makes no sense. There is no such thing as a covert drone strike, and no point to it if there was. If we didn't know who did it, we wouldn't know who was trying to back us off.
What was the one on June 1st?
The SBU was under no obligation to take credit for it, and it likely wasn't even the SBU that did it, they just openly claimed it so that the Mossad/Mi-6/CIA triangle can maintain the pretense it had nothing to do with it.
Are you totally dumb?
Yes. Totally. I'm American and I read CIA talking points from Davos dipshits for breakfast.
America is over. It was digested and shit out by demonic despots in boardrooms for the transnational cartel killers by Mossad and people going between like Epstein using the United Nations and Swiss Bank of International Swindlements as cover
Yes, he is!
Who are you referring to obe please?
Plausible deniability.
If aircraft start blowing up in American airbases then who did it?
Who indeed?
The Russians? The Iranians? The Chinese? The North Koreans? Mexican cartels? Left-wing radicals? Lots of options.
So what do the police do when someone has been brutally murdered and there are 5 possible people who might have done it?
Do they just do nothing?
Also, whoever starts WW3 first may not win at the end of it in any meaningful sense, but whoever is on the receiving end of the first strike will certainly lose.
And right now Russia is the overwhelming favorite for being on the receiving end.
That also makes no sense. Both sides have enough hidden nukes that a counter strike, no matter how successful the other sides' first strike, would end civilization.
It makes pefect sense.
There will likely be no winner indeed
Which is why the primary purpose of the nukes is as a deterrent.
But if you get attacked regardless, deterrence will have failed, and you will certainly lose.
Also, there are certain scenarios under which one side escapes sufficiently intact to claim "victory". That is almost invariably the side that strikes first.
"The only way to win the game, is not to play"
So we're is your repository to hide out and not play the game No1?
If you are talking nuke game the big bouffant won't let you demur and be shy he will prod and prod until you submit or respond as the way has already been ordained by the Zionists et al.
You are one of the most ignorant retards I've come across on the internet in the past month.
The top minds and a significant chunk of the world's GDP for several generations went into figuring out how a first strike wouldn't negate a nations' ability to perform an annihilating counter-strike. Submarines, mobile missile launchers, underground bunkers, etc. etc.
Learn to read.
Having a somewhat intact second strike capability and glassing the enemy does you no good when you have been struck first already.
You have lost the moment that has happened.
The question then is does the other guy also lose.
The game has the following outcomes:
1) L(A), L(B) -- both sides lose
2) L(A), W(B) -- B wins
3) W(A), L(B) -- A wins
4) If both sides "win", the game hasn't been really played yet.
A first strike by B on A means outcome #3 has been taken away as an option, and in both the first and the second option A has lost.
Well, then, inviting a first strike, which is what Russia's turn-the-other-cheek "strategy" is driving us towards means what for Russia?
If he is a "most ignorant retard", I will let it to the likes of you to figure what the 2-3 people who engaged him, and ended up averting his questions or replying them with ad hominems may be.
"How about a nice game of chess?"
> And right now Russia is the overwhelming favorite for being on the receiving end.
The overwhelming favorite: just for you? Makes sense.
We want the Russians to take out the U.N. where the maggot class is pulling the strings for global extermination.
They put Klaus Schwab in charge, an actual Nazi to let it be known that the New World Order is going to create permanent enslaved people worldwide by digital dictatorahip. COVID was your global extermination model..injections wiped out five million Americans. Kiwis, Japanese, prove your militaries are not sovereign. Diligently building the cage for the digital exterminators of the future.
We need a dictator. And maybe Putin wants his legacy to be for the Russian people not the maggot class.
Brussels being bombed would be ideal. London, DC and Carney Castle in Ottawa need to go.
Macron and his husband cannot keep their country from Civil War.
Let the people have a champion. We need one. And we need to rally behind them.
It is not Trump. NY City is going to be openly run by a terrorist.
Syria and Gaza is the plan for the planet. These are not leaders. These are generational failures who killed off competion. The lowest IQ unsophisticated drooling elite in the history of the world.
"NY City is going to be openly run by a terrorist." LMAO.
Syria is run by a humble Sufi peacenik grr don't you know coz the whitehouse told you.
The (former) Ten Million Dollar Man
if NY actually arrested that jew Netenyahu, that alone would be worth it..
The maggot class and the media cockroach class. Yes please. Thanks for the well put and 🤣comment. Spot on.
The rulers of the West are convinced that WWIII is survivable for the rulers, and besides, Russia doesn't have the stones.
Ever seen "Don't Look Up!"?
thanks for the western msm update! where would we be without it? lol..
Your nose is growing rapidly....None of those statements are true...and I'm sure you know it...
Really can't wait for the thermal flash can you? Totally wont have to pay your credit card then, ay? I live here and things are getting real. Nobody wanted Iran to do another wave and then another thereby ensuring the end of the baby-killers but they got nukes. Takes some time to set up those Zircons or whatever the Chicom(tm) equivalent. Believe me the Russians wont soon be forgetting the sight of German MBTs burning on the steps of Kursk 2025 style.. Wont be long before the Fins and my stupid ass ancestors in Norway realize USA makes a big mess and runs away. But you knew all that.
If Russia wasn't ready and is now buying time to get fully ready, I can accept that as an argument.
The problems are that:
1) There is nothing in the Kremlin's behavior to suggest that
2) Whose job was it to be already ready before this all started?
Puti had been in power for only, let's check the numbers... 23 years already.
Stalin in 1929 said publicly "We have a decade to catch up or we will be crushed in the coming big war". And he spent the next decade following up on those words.
It was known with reasonable certainty there will be a big US+Europe war against Russia one day already circa '95 or so, little doubt was left about it after 1997 and the first NATO expansion, and absolutely none after the war on Yugoslavia in 1999 and the ABM treaty being torn down in 2001.
You said it:
>Rus preemptive nuclear strike on NATO bases in EU?
This is the winning move here.
Physically eliminate the US from Eurasia (not just the EU), dare them to strike at you directly.
Thus you take away forward deployment and their greatest advantage.
If they are rational, this is where they back down.
If they are not, they were going to strike first regardless.
And then you lose by the mere fact of that having happened.
The current turn-the-other-cheek, suck-up-to-daddy, hope-that-if-you-ignore-the-problem-sufficiently-stubbornly-it-will-go-away-on-its own (yeah, that played so well in Ukraine, didn't it?) "strategy" is a recipe for guaranteed total defeat.
So if they are not rational and are going to strike first, you absolutely MUST pre-empt them and at least take away the forward deployment advantage, and disarm them as much as possible so that you have to absorb as little of a first strike. as possible
There is no winning move here that involves sitting and waiting for the first strike.
The only excuse for the current behavior is if huge numbers of S-500s and A-235s are being secretly pumped out with the goal of shooting down as much of the US attack as possible and they are buying time for that rollout to advance sufficiently.
Otherwise it is a recipe for total defeat.
I can see GM’s logic. It’s street fighting logic. Nevertheless he tends to narrow down his field of vision substantially.
The west (I’d say the neoliberal system and ultimately the capitalist system-which opens up a world of questions for the post American world) is running out of road, it’s bleeding out, dying, albeit very slowly. Yes, it’s still capable of doing untold damage while it hasn’t reached the end.
Yet decapitating it using practically untested means (Hiroshima and Nagasaki don’t help here, conditions are too different) will produce consequences that are too uncertain for the winner. They are uncharted waters.
So the Russians are choosing prolonged suffering over winning tomorrow and opening some unknown Pandora’s box. But win they will, cause it’s the whole global south war ultimately. In the same way Russia and China won’t let Iran fail the same can be said of China helping Russia if it comes to that. But yes, I tend to agree there are ways and means.
"The west (I’d say the neoliberal system and ultimately the capitalist system-which opens up a world of questions for the post American world) is running out of road, it’s bleeding out, dying, albeit very slowly. "
To expand on your point CCG, Alex Krainer in this interview with Nima explores how the Pakistani recent defeat of the Indian Air Force was another blow against the West. Are you going to buy the failed Indian-French jets going forward or the successful Chinese jets? Hmm...Israel was hoping for a quick victory over the Muslim Pakistanis. FAFO.
https://www.youtube.com/live/V0t83T2dWms?si=LWZ8Epkcg8hFtzTw
just hit the illegal jew state... make jews the world over (kushner, appelbaum, soros, blinken, netenyahu, etc., start to have accidents... watch how the jew wars start to calm down...
Despite the critique you are getting on this site, there is a cautionary tale to be observed.
The German speaking Europeans on here may recall the book/play "The Arsonists" (also known as "Biedermann und die Brandstifter" or "The Firebugs") by Max Frisch; it is a satirical play about a seemingly upstanding businessman named Biedermann who becomes an accomplice to arsonists. The plot centers around Biedermann's naive and complacent nature, which leads him to unwittingly invite two men, Schmitz and Eisenring, into his home. The two, are under the guise of traveling salesmen. Despite growing suspicions and evidence, including the storage of gasoline drums in his attic, Biedermann refuses to believe the men are arsonists and even assists them in their destructive plans. The play serves as a cautionary tale about the dangers of complacency and the ease with which evil can infiltrate a society that is too willing to ignore warning signs.
He is an agent provocateur, but very debil.
Where is your mindset coming from, I wonder.
This kindergarden nonsense of who can hit harder and who's looking 'weak' is so banal, so childish and stupid.
Where is the strategic note in your comments? I only see tactical cries for short sighted actions and no assessment of potential damage done to civilian life also.
Yes Russia had to get over some blows unfortunately but it's minor in the whole picture of the situation. Is it tragic, no doubt about it.
The western mindset of force by proxy, force by soft power and economic coercion exposes the West to the rest of the world as weak, sneaky, mean, untrustworthy, vile and also afraid, in panic and vulnerable. And for the rest of the world Ukraine is not the center of their concerns.
Why is Russia stupid and has to play the game the west wants to impose on it?
One Oreshnik on the german Reichstag? What would be the value of such an action?
That the West has come to Russias doorstep and it's hostility towards Russia, I don't think that the Russians have not noticed.
That Ukraine is NATO's proxy should be known to russian leaders and people by now as well, don't you agree?
Putin did an enormous job during his presidency in general, bringing Russia back to a mighty diplomatic power, expanding the life time of the common Russian, giving them an industrial and commercial base they can be proud of again. Plus a military that is able to defend the country.
I am truly grateful that Russia is not lead by someone like you, otherwise we'd be all gone already in an nuclear inferno and if one was still alive, they'd envy the dead.
>One Oreshnik on the german Reichstag? What would be the value of such an action?
One conventional Oreshnik won't do much, that is correct. But two hundred of them with 36 nuclear MIRVs each will solve a lot of problems.
>Putin did an enormous job during his presidency in general,
No, he wasted 15 years maintaining the Yeltsin system, and then was forced kicking and screaming by Western aggression into an reindustrialization and on-shoring campaign, which was still carried out extremely incompetently.
A Stalin was needed to save the country, with 4-5 million people physically exterminated and expelled in order to eliminate corruption and Western infiltration, and iron discipline reimposed in general. What did we get? A largely spineless little bureaucrat, much more concerned with the profits of his Jewish oligarch buddies than saving the country.
>bringing Russia back to a mighty diplomatic power
Is that why Russia just lost the Southern Caucasus, without a fight, and Central Asia is turning it against it too? Because it is a "mighty diplomatic power"? Please...
>expanding the life time of the common Russian
This was only a recovery back to Soviet standards.
But on balance it was a net negative, because it deeply corroded society -- where once stood the serious disciplined Soviet man now you have a spoiled Western consumerist brat.
>giving them an industrial and commercial base they can be proud of again.
Nothing remotely close to what was required in the situation.
>Plus a military that is able to defend the country.
The military isn't doing much defending though. The country is bombed and attacked daily and the source of those attacks remains untouched.
"One conventional Oreshnik won't do much, that is correct. But two hundred of them with 36 nuclear MIRVs each will solve a lot of problems."
Besides you only diminish every argument I brought up, you are talking crazy sh*t again. Do you have even the slightest idea what 200 times 36 nuclear means? Europe would no longer exist plus 700 million people dead or dying.
I suggest you look for professional help, this level of death wish can't be healthy, sorry to have bring it to you this way.
For the rest I spare myself and the rest of the readers a response since I see no value in arguing against a man with a mindset that leaves no room for nuance, profound insight, let alone self doubt to a certain degree.
As I see it, you remind me of Trump in another way - the intention might be there but your own personality keeps you from serious assessments, doing the required strategic thinking and just talking by 'feeling' or imagination of what should be right to do.
>Do you have even the slightest idea what 200 times 36 nuclear means? Europe would no longer exist plus 700 million people dead or dying.
Do you have any understanding of the concept of yield?
"720 nukes" can both completely sterilize Europe or do practically no damage at all, it all depends on what kind of nukes.
The Oreshnik throw weight is not sufficient for 36 megaton-range warheads (and even 720 1-Mt warheads won't kill all 700 million people in Europe, you need more than that).
But 720 50-kt to 100-kt warheads are enough to completely neutralize NATO in Europe while killing only a few tens of millions at most as collateral damage due to a lot of bases being embedded in civilian areas.
Frank. "Don't try to understand 'em,
Just rope 'em, tie 'em, brand 'em"
Yeah John that's what happened to the Indian natiions and it has been the answer ever since and it came from a small God fearing sect from across the other side of the world. Think Trumps actions in negotiations with Iran is exactly what happened to the Indians, is it a coincidence.
In a street fight do you wait till after the knock out punch before action. I do not have knowledge of nuclear war heads and size, tactical nuclear strikes for example but GM obviously does. In Korea the US wanted to use nuclear weapons but just devastated North Korea anyway and look at the nation of North Korea today did it create a subservient nation?
Will anything make the US a subservient nations to Russia which is what a Russian like GM is attempting to explain to you as the US has a death wish for Russia.
Any leniency shown by Russia is an expression of weakness to a neocon as GM is attempting to show and uses historic evidence re Stalin.
>Any leniency shown by Russia is an expression of weakness to a neocon as GM is attempting to show and uses historic evidence re Stalin.
The thing about the neocons that they apparently do not understand in Moscow is that once you are on their list of countries slated for destruction, there is no getting off it until you are destroyed. These people are absolutely relentless.
Remember the "seven countries in five years"? Well, it took longer than that, but nevertheless they were all destroyed indeed, except for Iran, but Iran's turn finally came this year too.
The only country that they have backed off a bit from is North Korea. Because Kim acquired a deterrent and is credible with his threats to use it, while making sure his society is completely isolated from corrosive Western influence and thus cannot be destroyed from within. But be assured, the moment they can encircle him sufficiently with point blank-range strike assets and boost-phase interceptors that work, he will be on the menu too.
The other way to force the neocons to leave you alone is to actually destroy them.
Those are your only two options.
Yet Moscow wants to make yet another shitty deal. So does Tehran.
And good that you bring up what happened to native American tribes, because it is the exact same playbook used on them that is being used now too. Start a war, end it when it starts going against you, sign treaties you have no intention to honor, prepare for the next war, stab them in the back when you are ready for it, rinse and repeat all the way to the very successful genocide of the inhabitants of 19 million square kilometers of land in North America. And in Australia they didn't even bothered much with treaties because the Aboriginals there were too weak to resist meaningfully, they just directly killed them all off.
Lessons from history that everybody should know, but the geniuses in Moscow apparently either don't know or want to ignore.
In the end, who can hit harder is the only thing that matters.
Because it's not Russia who is the aggressor? There are lots of things Russia is NOT doing to the "West" while the "West" is doing them to Russia
So? What matters is whether it works.
GM? Giddy 'Merican.
General Melschitt has returned from a triumphal tour of Ukraine with Light (on brains) Brigade. Hurrah.
FFS here it goes again with the lies "And why was 20% of Russian strategic aviation destroyed on June 1st"
Most serious commentators wrote that *one third* was.
Because it was. It was 12 Tu-95MS and Tu-22M3 fully burned down to ashes, plus another dozen or so that will be in repairs for a while.
And the goal was to destroy everything. Plus all the AWACS planes. That is what the operation was set up to do. Pure blind luck saved the rest of the planes.
Bullshit.
Is this a joke? If there were serious losses, remember, the planes are parked in the open on a known airfield; we would know about this. As Simplicius points out again and again, whenever a satellite image helps Western propaganda, you see a high-resolution picture of the damage—otherwise it is some very low-grade picture, or if there is nothing to show, as in our case, no picture at all. I am sure Simplicius made a very serious net search for pictures and did not find one; otherwise, he would have posted it. But feel free to post your sources!
Where is BDA of 3 years of strikes on Ukraine Werner? Is this a joke? No one knows what damage is being sustained in Ukraine even fuzzy satellite pictures are lacking. Yet one strike in Russia is definitively portrayed and you accept it as gospel from the belief of one source.
Ukrainian trains apparently still run and the power is still there so the people don't leave on mass and hit western Europe which would surely help Russia achieve its political goals. That apparently is 5d chess in action.
Quite typical that you are still raving about a Ukrainian "peremoga" 12 days ago. While it may reveal flaws in Russian AD, the damage, as to assess from the video, appears insignificant beyond the lamentable human losses, no secondary explosion, limited size of affected area, seems they hit a canteen or dorm.
Compare with latest attacks on Kiev or Odessa, few casualties, mainly injured, but extreme fires and secondary explosions over all of the city or port area, Your "Russia is losing" is ridiculous.
What is the BDA Aqua, there has been 3 years of similar geewhiz amazing strikes but still no BDA and no mass emigration to western Europe so are they sooo devastating. Trump told you Iran's nuclear was absolutely destroyed, what happened I wonder??
No mass emigration? Give me a break. Even official Ukrainian figures report no more that 24 million Ukrainians left, and that figure is still doubtful. Last year, 300k male pupils under 18 had left the country and missed at school opening. If they start seriously with female mobilization, before that, millons of women will be gone, too.
Yes that is all true what you said but when did that happen, last week. I was referring to the supposed increase in amazing numbers of strikes by RF in the last 10 days maybe and where is the mass emigration in the last week in the face of such supposed huge nightly strikes with Kiev burning like Dresden supposedly but obviously no BDA as usual.
In fact, Kiev did not burn like Dresden, or Hamburg, not even like Cologne or Duesseldorf in WWII. The aim there was dehousing, destroying residential areas, without much regard of civilian lives. Displacing the workforce was the aim, total civilian death toll by air war about 300k.
(Get me right, that was covered by rules of war at those times, as Germany had refuted an aerial war convention similar to the Hague land war convention in 1932 and later due to their Luftwaffe rearmament. WWII air war was cruel, but had some legitimacy. Summary bombing got banned by Geneva conventions in 1947, not that the USA ever respected that, not in Korea, in Vietnam, or elsewhere).
Dresden cost about 25k dead, Hamburg over a year earlier about 30k, the Rhineland cities some 3k each etc.
Impressively burning Kiev 2 days ago reported 23 injured.
Aqua I was being sarcastic in response to the video showing fires in Kiev which is supposed to indicate the ferocity of the attack but Kiev seems to continue functioning and fighting on even after all these huge or massive strikes and no one knows what damage is being incurred or if anything significant is destroyed from 3 years of strikes on Ukraine, but in 5d chess unknown machinations occur as part of the plan in the not a war against a Western adversory determined to destroy or Balkanize Russia whilst Russia gently continues to avoid too much chaos or disruption to the civilian population etc.
you are unable to stick to the news. Your line is always the same. Russia is losing.
Mr Troll, if the questions are stupid, they can't be answered.
So, start answering your questions, let's see what you can come up with.
The reason why there are drone strikes moving west to east and striking targets in Russia but no strikes moving east to west striking targets in Europe or America is that we are not in WWIII (yet).
Some of us are hoping to prevent it.
This war, like all wars has some rules, call them rituals or legal fictions if you like.
Even Genghis Khan had some rules (Surrender now and I just enslave you but won't kill you, don't surrender now and I will kill absolutely everything except for your horses).
The legal fiction operating here is that the West is not at war with Russia and is merely assisting Ukraine in defending itself. It's all through the propaganda, western soldiers fighting in Ukraine are all called EX-military volunteers DEFENDING against PUTIN'S forces not American or European military forces fighting the Russian army. All of this has to be done under the fig leaf of plausible deniability. Once that fig leaf is gone then it has to be WWIII.
A gunpowder factory has a mysterious fire, that COULD be electrical. A government minister is found dead in his car with a bullet in his brain and a pistol in his hand, that COULD be suicide, let's keep it at that level.
Once a drone flies in over the Atlantic ocean or North sea and blows up a factory or government office block then it has to be escalated to the next level. Perhaps you want that and believe the best answer is always more killings but there's a reason why we don't crucify prisoners on the roadside or have their commanders ritualistically strangled on the front steps of the capitol building anymore. It's not that it can't be effective, it was very effective for the Romans, but if you do it then the opposition has to respond in kind.
The next step beyond shadow war is total war.
>[...]we are not in WWIII (yet). Some of us are hoping to prevent it.
It is too late for that, we are in WWIII. The question then is what is the balance of forces.
And I am going to my basic Lanchester's equations and drawing the very simple conclusion that if A is hitting B while B is not hitting A at all, then obviously B is losing.
Sure, you can make the argument that if B is also building up forces to above what it had originally and it is taking losses at a rate smaller than the rate of its build up and on balance it is building up forces faster than A is, then B is doing better.
But that falls apart the moment the rate at which A is inflicting losses on B goes up sufficiently.
With current Kremlin policy this, if it has not already happened, will happen with absolute certainty in the not too distant future.
Maybe Russia and the US are really business partners gutting Ukraine for its minerals, or maybe Russia is too scared to attack the US.
" quote- if the US is a so pathetic and weak, why are military-industrial facilities being hit by drones in Izhevsk, 1,400 km from Ukraine, while not a single drone or missile has hit anything in the continental US or even Europe?"
Because the Russians do not need to escalate this war to win it. And because this sort of escalation and Russia's allies bouncing it into some panicky unfavourable cease fire deal, is precisely what Russia does not want.
As to why Russia is not destroying NATO stuff, it is, GM, including higher value personnel, and I assume you know that. This is just not being reported at all in the west, allowing you space to post what you are posting. But it is why Trump is throwing a tantrum right now.
Next?
20% lol
How many strategic bombers do you think Russia has?
It stopped building them when the USSR collapsed and with immense effort it managed to restart Tu-160 production only in the last few years, of which it has built a grand total of 2-3 new ones so far.
PAK-DA next....
When?
cute pic at the end. So true.
Just a bigger version of the Temple that Epstein built on his island.
yeah- it fits. Trump's s disgrace. You know - I think he's under mind control - remember Britney Spears ? And his controller is Netanyahu. That's why he comes to the WH so often. It expains everything. Trump's really weird behavior all the time now. He didn't use to be so weird. When he was interviewed on 9/11 he made sense. Netanyahu has everyone under his mind control I heard him talking at that party they had the other night - and asked about his plans for the Gazans. The whole room was filled with logic. Not even the words but just the atmosphere. I think Net is the great Satan
In fact, Netanyahu is thee WH owner and Trump is the butler. He acts like a Butler. After Epstein, he is finnished together with his Bongino crew. 6 months, that was it.
yeah - Net's got them all under his command. Its eerie. Such a slick operator. I think he might be well, it sounds crazy but he seems more powerful than they are. Like when he talks - especially to the inner circle like at that dinner party - and even Orban acts like a child around him. He's got them under mind control. And its not technological. Its on a psychic level or even a spiritual level. And his wife ! Did you see that video that made the rounds yesterday of her and Net getting out of the limo and Trump meeting them ? She looked up at Trump and the videographer captured her eyes and her expression - Truly Truly demonic. I wish I'd saved that video Its buried now on somebody's page.
He's done the same to his countrymen. The average Israeli (at least the ones I've met) used to be quite affable - almost hippies. Now they're psychotic.
the Nakba itself was the same as him. But those Kabulzes - ( sp? ) were populated by ignorant young people. I'm glad I never went to one. There is a certain type of psychopathy that is learned. Just watch the employees at slaughter houses and you see it - also in the medical industry using animals. Its revolting...but a human failing. But watching Orban in that recent episode where he pulled Hungary out of the ICC and then during the presser the way he sat so quiet beside the Devil himself. Its mind control
He’s Satanyahu
https://dearscotland.substack.com/p/genocider-in-chief-nominates-genocide
Satanyahu lol that's brilliant- I may just have to borrow that one ;)
Trump is simply weak, stupid and easily manipulated.
its not just Trump - did you see Orban sitting quietly and obediently beside Netayahu during a press conference in Hungary ? He felt completely safe in Net's presence, even with the guy being a genocider. Orban was under mind control. That's the modern way to put what was apparent.
Orban is not under mind control. He's just a good little marionette.
not in your narrow little mind.
We thought the same thing, Cheryl.
I finished the post, then wrote the same similarity that you did--only 2 hours earlier than I.
tru dat. 'the sting is in the tail' (as we say in my language). terribly true visual.
"...new sanctions against the Russian energy sector, which could lead to a global collapse of energy markets and a global recession."
Cutting off your nose to spite your face, much?
So, that is the most stupid thing to do. Which is why it will happen. *sigh*
Isn't the story no one buys Russian energy anyway so what will more sanctions do. It is all bullshit, where do all the ghost fleet tankers go and will the sanctions stop them sailing?
This is a story for the American audience.
We hear that with every NATO escalation.
NATO escalates anyway.
BREAKING Trump says US allies will pay for Ukraine weapons
US President added that the deal was reached at a NATO summit last month
NEW YORK, July 11. /TASS/. US allies agreed to pay for American arms supplies to Ukraine, US President Donald Trump said.
"We’re sending weapons to NATO, and NATO is paying for those weapons, 100%. So what we’re doing is the weapons that are going out are going to NATO, and then NATO is going to be giving those weapons [to Ukraine], and NATO is paying for those weapons," he said in an interview with NBC News.
He added that the deal was reached at a NATO summit last month.
BREAKING WAR DECLARATION MONDAY 14TH
Trump says he will make ‘major statement’ on Russia on July 14
"I’m disappointed in Russia, but we’ll see what happens over the next couple of weeks," US President said
NEW YORK, July 11. /TASS/. US President Donald Trump said in an interview with NBC News that he plans to make a major statement on Russia on Monday.
"I think I’ll have a major statement to make on Russia on Monday," he said, declining to elaborate. "I’m disappointed in Russia, but we’ll see what happens over the next couple of weeks.".
tass source
BREAKING
Anti-Russian sanctions
11 Jul, 03:50
Trump says Russia sanctions bill leaves it up to him whether to impose them
"It’s a bill that the Senate is passing that very respectfully lets the president do whatever he wants," US leader noted
NEW YORK, July 11. /TASS/. US President Donald Trump said the decision whether to impose sanctions on Russia will rest with him under the bill that Congress aims to pass.
"They’re going to pass a very major and very biting sanctions bill, but it’s up to the president as to whether or not he wants to exercise it," the US president said in an interview with NBC News. "It’s a bill that the Senate is passing that very respectfully lets the president do whatever he wants, as you know."
Trump said on July 8 that he could greenlight the bill’s consideration by Congress.
The bill was introduced in early April by a bipartisan group of senators led by Lindsey Graham, a Republican representing South Carolina (included on Russia’s list of terrorists and extremists) and Richard Blumenthal, a Democrat representing Connecticut. The proposal provides for such measures as secondary sanctions against Russia’s trading partners, for example, tariffs of 500% on imports to the US from countries that purchase oil, gas, uranium and other goods from Russia.
Russian Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Maria Zakharova on July 2 said the US should realize that sanctions against Russian are not working and backfire against the countries that push for imposing them.
TASS
Mad dogs…and Graham the worst.
Imposing 500% tariffs to countries importing Russian uranium is a direct attack on allies. US is importing uranium themselves…
https://bellona.org/news/nuclear-issues/2025-03-enriched-uranium-fuels-russias-war-machine-but-the-u-s-still-imports-it
And will continue until 2028.
He's disappointed in Russia is he? That's nothing to how most Americans feel about him. Fell for it Again is the general mood. When people are tricked they turn nastier than when they never supported him.
Putin once again miscalculated, thinking that Trump would be someone he could cut a deal with, wasting his time with 2 day ceasefires and time with Witcoff and phone calls with Trump and so on
In the end the only language that matters is the reality on the ground, and that reality is as follows:
- barely any frontline change. Casual map view from today and a year or two ago looks the same
- no price paid by western assistance. All planes, drones, satellites continue unmolested. All shipments make it thru
- Ukraine does launch offensive operations. And they succeed. Russian balance is stronger but the AFU is not a defeated force by any measure
- no shift in stance from russian so called allies
So yes Trump is going to ratchet things up. And, eventually, and this is a certainty, the ammo shortages and production capacity will be solved. Maybe not artillery shells, but tens of thousands of ~300km drones? They're coming.
Accurately summarized.
What is there to even negotiate?
Whoever is not telling you that Putin is in effect begging to surrender with the current proposal is not a serious analyst.
The minimal winning condition for Russia is the end of Ukrainian statehood altogether.
But obviously "four oblasts" (plus no real guarantees about what happens with the rest) is very far away from that. So Putin's starting offer is effectively something only slightly short of total Russia surrender.
P.S. A real win for Russia is no US nukes in Europe and all NATO infrastructure being moved outside the former Warsaw Pact, and now Scandinavia too. What was stated in December 2021. None of that is even mentioned anymore.
P.P.S. Ukraine is launching offensive operations indeed. The Russian Sumy incursion has been stopped and is now being reversed, which somehow nobody is commenting on.
I hope simplicius would give what you said about Sumy some thought in his next article.
However GM, consider that russian warfare is like the sea: ebb and flood. When the going gets though, just retreat and live to fight another day (while attritining your enemy in the process)
Another GM rant... Skip. Next one
Oreshnik coming at the right moment not at 6th colomnist , ukro sbu troll 'let's bomb London' moment.
Not happening. Russia is interested in a long war to break both NATO and the EU. This time Germany will be put near extinction as a historical fact. They narrowly scaped dismemberment after WWII. This time is 4 real.
I agree that the front lines didn't change very much in Ukraine since a year ago. However, the realities did change quite a lot.
The Ukr people are increasingly against forceful enrollment (giving out coordinates to those recruitment centers), Ru can often just roll through villages, the amount of strikes is increasing since a year ago. So all in all, the tempo is picking up.
Remember, a war of attrition is not a linear curve. It's exponential!
I dont think Putin had any hope with Trump. He is already burnt and a political corpse. Next one...
>"Putin once again miscalculated, thinking that Trump would be someone he could cut a deal with"
Russia did not start deals proposals. It was USA that started, with the naive idea they could get a "deal" ie in American parlance, a victory.
Russians just did let Witkoff babble.
Personally I would like to see Stockholm and København turned rumble by nuclear strikes but it is not necessary.
Something nice would be Russia destroying the dam infrastructure of Netherlands.
Brussels, maybe. Hard to know whether it'd really help though. The Big Boss, the actual big boss or bosses, have probably never been to the branch office.
I worked in restructuring enterprises, and I have seen a lot of de-industrialization. I see no way that the ammo shortages and production capacity will get solved. At the very moment, the production is slowing down, because after a first boost and overworking the human and technical resources, we see the downturn (not at least Simplicius wrote about this). There is no workforce from related sectors that can be sent to the military industry. And worse, there are millions of regulations and a lot of people that were only employed to enforce these regulations. So please, give some information on why and where you see a comeback of Western industry and the needed blue-collar workforce.
Hi, thank you for your comment. The enterprise which I own/operate is on the other side of the de-industrialization point i.e. production leaving EU/US coming to me. So I am 100% on board with what you are saying. Conventional munitions produced the "old way" are indeed an intractable problem, and so I don't disagree that these are going to be an issue. However, there is very significant activity taking place in areas such as long range "cruise missile drones", as well as modern munitions. There is significant innovation and/or disruption from the VC-types in defense industries, and Ukraine is a proving ground for a lot of new technology. Also there is a lot of production taking place in 3rd countries eg Rheinemetall in SA. The longer this war goes on, the more the fiction of western arms production becomes reality.
Rheinmettal produce in Australia too Bash.
I have watched the basic production of energetic materials absolutely required for weapons systems more and more disappear from territories of the USA over the last several decades. Because, we can subcontract that stuff out?!
We are down to ONE plant making double or triple based propellants. ONE plant making RDX/HMX. NO US plants were making TNT (still absolutely required for MANY systems!) between 1984 and 2024, there is ONE start up level TNT plant now ca. 2025, doing poorly and having "teething issues". ONE plant in USA is making propellant grade high nitrogen nitrocellulose. ONE plant in USA is making good old fashioned black powder, still required for igniter and expeller charges in many military systems- Except when it blows up and goes out of production for months at a time.
Bean counters with MBAs focussed on earning millions in stock options from "economizing" and arbitraging away legacy industries are not who we need to run planning for investments in critical defense infrastructure, M'kay?
"It seems under Trump America continues its Dionysian humiliation ritual. Either that or its transformation into some kind of kitschy, campy, post-capitalist dystopian weapons bazaar-cum-casino resort."
Bravo, if we can't stop the collapse of the west, we can at least be entertained by appropriately amusing prose.
Ohhhh, I cannot wait until those new drones are used against us! /s
B^3 has billions to build our digital prison.
White House renovation design by Benocide Shapiro.
Now do you understand why Russia is going slow?
You left out the UFC ring in the final picture
Is that a reference to "Idiocracy"?
When you strip the drama out of it, what’s really happening here is Washington quietly acknowledging that its coercive tools just don’t pack the same punch anymore, at least not when aimed at a state like Russia that’s already spent a decade hardening itself against them.
The sanctions aren’t so much designed to work in any strategic sense as they are meant to signal resolve, especially for domestic audiences. But the math doesn’t lie: if Russia’s still selling energy, still escorting tankers through contested waters, and still building out new military infrastructure on NATO’s doorstep, then all this Western posturing starts to look less like containment and more like noise.
As for the arms package, it’s wild how easily headlines inflate 10 missiles into a “package” that sounds significant. When in reality, those ten projectiles will disappear into the next swarm of Gerans like pebbles into a flood.
Trump’s playing both sides, per usual, showing hawkishness to placate the blob, while leaving enough wiggle room to either pull back or pivot if the costs get too high.
And the whole EU angle, with Sweden’s new naval flex and the insurance games in the Baltic? The goal’s pretty clear: make it as painful and unpredictable as possible to move Russian goods through critical chokepoints. But again, Russia’s already moving with military escorts.
At the end of the day, none of this shifts the fundamental calculus: Russia’s dug in, the West’s burning political capital trying to prop up a failing proxy, and the world outside the NATO bubble’s watching it all with increasing detachment.
Sanctions or not, missile shipments or not, power flows from control of ground, resources, and strategic initiative. Right now, Washington’s short on all three.
A thought occurred to me: Russia is able to fund massive deployments like escorting their non-western-insurred fleet. But is the west? We're all so hugely in depth, we can't pay all those sailor's wages. This might go on for a little bit, but we can't simply pay it for ever. Russia could.
And, it's more bark then bite. Are they really going to stop ships in international waters, or in waters under treaty? Let's see how fast Swedish, danish people around the coast can get their brand new russian passports...
"Are they really going to stop ships in international waters, or in waters under treaty?"
They attempted that a few weeks ago...and then an SU35 appeared out of the blue sky. And that was the end of that.
That's exactly my point. Bark, no bite.
They just print up as much money as they need.
In 2022 the western banks dialed up 20 trillion like it was nothing. We're still feeling the inflation effect from it, it certainly was "transitory" or perhaps "transformative" or "transitional" may have been better adjectives for it, but in any case the 20 trillion wasn't for our benefit...
Well, the shit will hit the fan soon (more articles about my take here: https://no01.substack.com/)
Funsize missile package
Great summary Paulo!
The headline here is that Trump is recognizing what many in the West already knew:
A peace that allows Russia de-facto control along the current front lines and includes promises from the west that Ukraine will never enter NATO, while also giving Ukraine anything that could legitimately be called "security guarantees", is unacceptable to Putin.
The moment the initial attempt to displace the government in Kyiv failed, the key goal of Putin's strategy has been to stop the flow of western aid to Kyiv. And the best way to achieve that goal was to get a person in the White House who be the most likely to... stop the flow of western aid to Kyiv.
The problem is that while Trump and many of his advisors were ignorant of what terms were acceptable to Putin, they did have clear expectations about what those terms were (see above) for ideological reasons. The failure of diplomacy is a result of that. But learning what the terms actually were doesn't solve the problem, because Trump knows that he won't be able to sell a deal that doesn't give Ukraine security guarantees as a win. Moreover, Trump at this point has probably figured out that Putin was relying on the illusion that he'd accept a deal along the lines above. Because Trump is petulant, and believes himself to be the greatest of dealmakers, this makes him frustrated with Putin. And if Putin were to lose the sympathy of Trump (and thereafter the alt-right), the only people arguing against arming Ukraine would be the fringes of both sides. At that point, everyone from Bernie Sanders to Tommy Tuberville would support escalating aid to Ukraine.
Russia can handle a lot, but it can't handle the military and economic pressure that would result from a US and Europe that are actually determined to aid Ukraine, rather than hedging bets month after month, and year after year, because of Trump, MAGA, and its European counterparts (which has been the situation since the war started)
This arm of Putin's strategy has run its course; the jig is up. But that doesn't make it obvious what happens next: Trump probably can't just drop the Ukraine issue altogether, because he can't have Ukraine collapse on his watch. But that doesn't mean that Trump will just arm Ukraine to the teeth. He'll probably just make clear that aid from the US won't stop after all. Meanwhile, Putin is trying to put the war in cruise control so that the Russian economy can cool off even as he continues to slowly gain territory. It's just not clear yet whether this strategy will work.
The US is having this kind of mental problem the SOF (Sanction of the Mind) and it did actually work for a very long time. Before WWII they were sanctioning the living life out of Japan, hoping to kick some action out of them and they were successful. In the meantime sanction-happy America achieved some major milestones. China became so paranoid that they kept pumping cash into gold instead of US Treasury Bills. Their total gold reserve is already around 30,000 tons. Learning from dark examples and major confiscations of the Russian, Venezuelan examples countries are fearful to accumulate US securities. Germany and Italy, two major gold depositors in the US, are making polite moves to regain their gold reserves. Problem is that nobody has seen that gold some decades ago, they just might have to line up their battle ships at the Israeli beaches if they really want it. And when things really turn nasty America can always engineer the next inflation wave, just like it was done in 2020 and poor little covid was blamed for it.
https://moneyweek.com/investments/commodities/gold/603131/how-much-gold-does-china-own#:~:text=Gold%20imports%20via%20Switzerland%20and,thinks%20it%20is%20higher%20still.
Wonderful true!
The sanction policy is just the urgency to desperately stop any economic development in the world until the American industrial base is minimally rebuilt. There is a will to choke the world economy if America cant loot it as usual.
That piece is certainly part of the whole puzzle. When we dig a few levels deeper we find a major US deindustrialization project driven by greed and a completely misguided geopolitical and domestic policy wreck.
in Europe same thing. instead of manufacture there's endless bureaucracy.
Especially green bureaucracy. If we survive all this, one of the big questions historians will ask is why Germany, the European economic powerhouse, willingly chose to deindustrialise itself and destroy its economy for a non-existent climate issue?
deliberately. perhaps the bankers decided it would be more profitable to move the powerhouse industries somewhere else. not only Merz, being an investment banker, but even AfD's Alice Weidel has a background in banking - https://www.ft.com/content/221911c1-bca0-4bfe-aa99-5950033bd31c ....and they're bound to know all about it :-((
Nothing extraordinary there. They are just making an attempt to catch up with US standards:
The IRS tax code itself, meaning the literal statutes passed by Congress (Title 26 of the U.S. Code), is around 6,871 pages.
However, the complete body of federal tax law extends beyond the tax code to include tax regulations, revenue rulings, court decisions, and other interpretations published by the Treasury and the IRS.
If all of these materials are included, the length of the tax code rises to approximately 75,000 pages.
>After failing to coerce Russia into an unfavorable cessation of hostilities (read: surrender)
The current Russian proposal is effectively begging to surrender.
Another reminder that we have to go back to regularly -- the minimal Russian winning condition is end of Ukrainian statehood altogether, complete military control over the territory, and then de-Ukrainization.
Is that what Putin is demanding? No, it is something very, very far from that.
Very true and unsettling. Neither side, Pro-russians or NATO-fans, even discuss the Kreml goals for the SMO. Not a word. If you look at them they are timid and so easy to swallow for both Ukrainians and USs/NATO-warhaks. Putin really left is neck open. He wished them to see how ”friendly” Russia is.
But not discussing it or contemplating is evidence enough that US/NATO:s goal is Russias destruction. And Putin could be soon in the same company as Assad and Khamenei. Oh, he already is…
By the way, Trump will buckle. Only reason he might not send as much as they want him to send is they want to send more of it to Israel.
As for the sanctions and tariffs, I would love to see them try.
Please do.
Make. My. Day.
Looking forward for WTI BRENT monday night.
Agree. The Monday 14th Doomsday speech will threaten Russia with all possible things. And Trump will give a 14 day ultimatum for Putin to settle a ceasefire. By 24th July his patience is stretched enough and he will launch all his ”might” (which equals to nothing at all).
And there will be "hell to pay" again.
I dont suppose an insurance certificate from Moscow Marine and Life is going to work?
Kinda proves that Lloyds is just a protection racket.
This Russian SMO is going to take so long to complete that some of us won't be here to see it through to the end. May as well chill, everyone, lol
Hummm. Wait until the end of summer and you'll tell me.
That's what I heard last year. lol
Slowly then all at once.
We've been hearing that one for years as well.
You'll hear it again, FF!
Because it's not happening.
NATO is quite big, so that it may take some more time. We only witnessed a foreplay; the worst is yet to come.
Never interrupt an enemy when the enemy is making mistakes. The longer the SMO takes, the more the so-called Global South shifts towards BRICS. Remember all the countries where the West (especially France) was extradited? Could these African governments have done this without the West being soaked into the SMO and all the damage the leaders do to their countries by sanctions? Russia is not drowning in debt or freshly printed money; the West is. Russia is not running low on weapons; the West is. The Iran affair would have been much more intense if Israel (=the West) could have received more missiles and bombs. The de-dollarization is slowly but steadily moving forward. There are a lot of reasons for Russia to fight on with some breaks applied and a lot of reasons for China to appreciate this.
Every day the Russians drag this out is an extra day for Trump to strengthen their position. Witness his psychotic letter to Lula. That will only push Brazil even more firmly into the midst of BRICS. Trump is the gift that keeps on giving.